Career Averages - Derek Brunson
Career Averages - Sam Alvey
Derek Brunson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 37 of 84 | 44% | 43 of 90 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 2:30 |
| Derek Brunson | 1 | 71 of 115 | 61% | 84 of 132 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 18 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:28 |
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 0 | 25 of 61 | 40% | 25 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Derek Brunson | 1 | 62 of 101 | 61% | 68 of 108 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dricus du Plessis | 37 of 84 | 44% | 27 of 71 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 74 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 |
| Derek Brunson | 71 of 115 | 61% | 55 of 97 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 53 of 95 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dricus du Plessis | 12 of 23 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 |
| Derek Brunson | 9 of 14 | 64% | 6 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | |
| 2 | Dricus du Plessis | 25 of 61 | 40% | 16 of 50 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 57 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Derek Brunson | 62 of 101 | 61% | 49 of 86 | 6 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 50 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 11 |
Angelo leans towards Dricus du Plessis, despite acknowledging that Derek Brunson has a clear path to victory via wrestling. He is concerned about Brunson's age, chin, and cardio after his loss to Jared Cannonier. Angelo notes that du Plessis is dangerous and can blitz forward, and he believes Brunson may fold under pressure.
Big Brady picks Dricus du Plessis, citing his power and submission ability, and his ability to fight through fatigue. He notes Brunson's age (39), questionable chin, and talk of retirement. He predicts Brunson may have early success wrestling, but du Plessis will land a big shot and knock him out in the second round.
Cody expects du Plessis to win inside the distance. He notes Brunson's age (39), slowing reflexes, and tendency to get caught with his chin up. He thinks du Plessis's power and durability will be too much as the fight progresses.
Connor picks Derek Brunson, believing his superior wrestling and technical striking will allow him to control the fight. He notes that du Plessis is chaotic and willing to make catastrophic errors, which Brunson can exploit to get takedowns and dominate on the ground. However, Connor acknowledges that if Brunson slows down and du Plessis's relentless pressure takes over, Brunson could fall apart.
Jacob is confident in Dricus du Plessis, calling Brunson overrated and noting that his takedowns have come against weak wrestlers. He believes Brunson panics when hit and that du Plessis will spark him early. Jacob thinks Brunson will retire after this fight.
Du Plessis is an athletic freak with big power and explosiveness. Brunson is 39, has durability issues, and was knocked out by Jared Cannonier. Du Plessis will land big shots as the fight goes on and knock Brunson out.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking du Plessis inside the distance. He thinks Brunson will have early success but fade, and du Plessis will catch him. He likes the inside distance prop at -110.
The MMA Guru picks Dricus du Plessis to win by guillotine choke, citing du Plessis' underrated grappling and Brunson's tendency to shoot for panic takedowns. He believes du Plessis will finish Brunson in the second round.
Zane also picks Brunson, citing his technical advantages everywhere and the likelihood that he will get early takedowns against du Plessis's wild entries. He notes that du Plessis's wrestling is messy and he often puts himself in bad positions, which Brunson can capitalize on. Zane adds that while du Plessis has great cardio and durability, Brunson's power and top control should be enough to secure a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cannonier | 0 | 55 of 89 | 61% | 61 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Derek Brunson | 1 | 43 of 97 | 44% | 48 of 103 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 1 | 0 | 2:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Cannonier | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 18 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Derek Brunson | 1 | 20 of 41 | 48% | 25 of 46 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 2 | Jared Cannonier | 0 | 39 of 54 | 72% | 43 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 57 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Cannonier | 55 of 89 | 61% | 42 of 75 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 38 of 71 | 12 of 13 | 5 of 5 |
| Derek Brunson | 43 of 97 | 44% | 25 of 69 | 12 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 41 of 89 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Cannonier | 16 of 35 | 45% | 13 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Derek Brunson | 20 of 41 | 48% | 12 of 30 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 3 | |
| 2 | Jared Cannonier | 39 of 54 | 72% | 29 of 44 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 5 |
| Derek Brunson | 23 of 56 | 41% | 13 of 39 | 6 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Cannonier, believing he can defend Brunson's takedowns and land his power shots. He notes that even when taken down, Cannonier has knocked out high-level grapplers like Hermansson and Branch. He questions Brunson's chin and thinks Kelvin Gastelum, a better wrestler, couldn't keep Cannonier down.
Big Brady believes Cannonier's takedown defense at middleweight is excellent (85%), and he will be able to stuff Brunson's takedowns and get back up if taken down. He notes Brunson is chinny and has been knocked out five times, and Cannonier has the power to knock him out. He predicts Cannonier will end Brunson's winning streak with a first round knockout.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting Brunson's wins are over grapplers and that Cannonier is a tough takedown. He highlights Cannonier's strength and cardio, and expects Brunson to get desperate and clipped. He thinks the line should be closer to -250.
Daniel Levi picks Jared Cannonier to knock out Derek Brunson. He believes Cannonier's takedown defense has improved and that he will stuff Brunson's takedowns and put pressure on him. Levi notes that Brunson's opponents haven't been top-level and that Brunson has been knocked out multiple times. He is not crazy about the price and will probably pass on betting, but he thinks Cannonier wins.
Cannonier has excellent takedown defense and knockout power. Brunson's wins have come against opponents with cardio or grappling issues, and he gets rocked in every fight. Cannonier should stuff takedowns and land a knockout. Brunson's grappling advantage won't be enough to hold Cannonier down. Expect a second-round KO.
Paul thinks Brunson's recent wins are over stylistically favorable opponents and that Cannonier's takedown defense and power will be too much. He notes Cannonier stuffed takedowns from Whittaker and Gastelum, and that Brunson's chin is suspect. He expects Cannonier to knock Brunson out.
The MMA Guru picks Jared Cannonier by third-round KO, citing his takedown defense, cardio, and power. He believes Brunson will slow down after failing takedowns and get caught with a left hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 41 of 84 | 48% | 101 of 145 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 7:23 |
| Darren Till | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 51 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Darren Till | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 37 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:56 |
| Darren Till | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Darren Till | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 41 of 84 | 48% | 37 of 76 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 45 |
| Darren Till | 26 of 50 | 52% | 14 of 38 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 42 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 26 of 51 | 50% | 26 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 34 |
| Darren Till | 7 of 16 | 43% | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 7 |
| Darren Till | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 9 of 20 | 45% | 5 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Darren Till | 14 of 24 | 58% | 6 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 11 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Darren Till to win by knockout, citing Till's power and Brunson's questionable chin and cardio. He notes that Till has faced much tougher competition recently (Whittaker, Gastelum, Masvidal, Woodley) compared to Brunson's lower-level opponents. However, he is hesitant because Till is very low volume (max 49 sig strikes in a fight) and Brunson is a strong wrestler who could out-grapple Till. Brady thinks the line is off (Till -180) and would not bet the moneyline, preferring the knockout prop.
Cody thinks Till should win but is hesitant at -180, noting Till's low volume and tendency to be reserved. He suggests waiting for a live line after the first round to get a better price. He acknowledges Brunson's wrestling and chain takedowns could cause problems, but believes Till's power and durability will allow him to get a late finish in a five-round fight.
I believe Till is an elite striker and Brunson's takedowns will be harder to secure against Till's 82% takedown defense. Brunson's striking is not on the same level, and Till's power is real—he's dropped five of nine opponents. Even if Brunson gets early takedowns, Till's get-up game is good enough to work back up. The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Till as Brunson's desperation takedowns fail. I'm confident Till wins, likely by decision or late KO.
Paul is taking Brunson as a plus money underdog, citing Till's low volume and Brunson's improved fight IQ and wrestling. He notes Brunson has been cashing as a dog recently and that Till's kryptonite is what Brunson does—wrestling and pressure. He believes Brunson can get takedowns and grind out a win, especially if the fight goes into later rounds where Till's hesitancy costs him.
The MMA Guru picks Darren Till to win by first-round TKO. He believes Till's striking and takedown defense will be too much for Brunson, who is hesitant on the feet and has been KO'd multiple times. He notes that if Till cannot beat Brunson, he will never be a champion. He expects a slow first round with Brunson attempting a takedown and Till countering with a left hook to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 226 of 323 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 190 of 236 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 63 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 25 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 16 of 30 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 54 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 39 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 51 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:46 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 47 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 42 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Kevin Holland | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 56 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 43 of 93 | 46% | 28 of 74 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 14 of 43 | 10 of 10 | 19 of 40 |
| Kevin Holland | 36 of 74 | 48% | 28 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 29 of 64 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 14 of 35 | 40% | 12 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 28 |
| Kevin Holland | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 2 |
| Kevin Holland | 13 of 26 | 50% | 11 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 6 of 11 | 54% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Kevin Holland | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Derek Brunson | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Kevin Holland | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Derek Brunson | 8 of 15 | 53% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kevin Holland | 10 of 20 | 50% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Quicker than expected, we have reached the main event of the evening. At stake is a possible place as a top contender, and two men on a combined eight-fight win streak look to end the other’s success. Brunson (21-7, 12-5 UFC) will face Holland (21-5, 8-2 UFC), and despite Holland’s ribbing, there is no bad blood as the two middleweights decide to touch gloves in front of referee Herb Dean. Holland reaches out with his hand, and he jumps back and gets kicked midair. Holland scores a fast front kick on the chin, and he ducks out of the way as Brunson is coming out throwing haymakers. Holland slips and falls to his back, and Brunson leaps on top to attack. “Trailblazer” ties Brunson up from his back with a body triangle, and Brunson does not mind as he lands a few punches from above. Holland slashes with elbows from below, but the far more emphatic punches are Brunson’s as they have an appreciable effect. Brunson works elbows as Holland looks to set up a submission, and the strikes break up the attempt without issue. Brunson throws heavy shots as he maintains heavy top pressure, and Holland pushes off only to get warned for nearly raking Brunson’s eye. Holland keeps his guard closed as Brunson pounds on him, and Holland talks to him and responds with short, hacking elbows. Holland boxes the ears and throws his legs up to try something, but Brunson ignores it and continues to hammer away on him. Holland is chattering away at him the entire time, and Brunson appears composed and lands heavy shots that silence Holland for the briefest of moments. Holland continues to banter and tell Brunson to stop covering his mouth, and Brunson continues to rain down powerful shots. Holland jumps back up, and Brunson pushes him away right at the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Round 2
Between rounds, Holland has a conversation with former lightweight champ Khabib Nurmagomedov who is sitting in the stands. Holland laughs and smiles, and the fight clocks back in again. Holland whiffs with a huge right hand and a head kick, and Brunson walks forward and gets tagged with a left hand counter. Holland shouts to Nurmagomedov to tell him when Brunson’s takedown comes, and Brunson crashes forward into a clinch for a takedown attempt. Holland breaks free and lazily spins around, and he drills Brunson with a nasty right hand. Holland clips him again with a few punches, and Brunson falls across the cage. Brunson aims for a desperation takedown, lifting Holland’s leg up high in the air. Holland lands a few punches with his leg raised, and Brunson pops him with a right hand and lands an emphatic takedown. Holland surrenders mount quickly, only to roll for a leglock and allow Brunson to climb back into top position. In half guard, Brunson targets an arm-triangle choke, and looks to pass to mount or side control so he can finish the submission. Holland rolls but is pushed down and flattened on the canvas, where Brunson puts his full body weight from the other side and the choke is tight. Holland continues to talk even while firmly in the danger zone, and Brunson is in side control applying the choke. Holland rides out the submission that would put lesser fighters out, and miraculously powers out of the position and kicks off to stand back to his feet. Holland laughs and turns around, and when he throws a kick, Brunson picks him up and slams him down. Holland keeps talking to people out of the cage, asking for advice to stop takedowns. Brunson, in full guard, works him over with punches as Holland slaps and paws at him from beneath. Brunson postures up to land a few strikes, and he kicks off right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Round 3
Holland is not dismayed by the results of the last rounds, and he comes out smiling and reaches out his left hand. Brunson flirts with a leg kick, and Holland smacks him with an overhand right counter. Brunson retreats and circles around the cage, and Holland walks him down and lands a crisp right hand. Brunson shoots in for a takedown, where he lifts Holland up and slams him down on the canvas. Holland throws his legs up for a triangle choke, and he turns it into an armbar but Brunson is savvy and able to get out of harm’s way. Holland is able to get Brunson to stand up, but Brunson wades through an upkick to lower himself back into Holland’s guard. Holland stays busy on his back with elbows and slaps, and Brunson’s workrate has slowed dramatically. Brunson sits up a few times with slowed punches, and Holland ties him up and looks to Dean for a standup. Holland ties up a body triangle and elbows Brunson a few times, but he does allow Brunson to land some punches as well. Brunson, whose strikes are slowing, lands some but not enough to stave off Dean. The shots are enough to keep the position, but Holland is consistently throwing palm strikes and elbows at high volume. Brunson grinds his elbow on Holland’s chin, and his ground-and-pound is sporadic but effective at racking up lengthy control time in the round. Brunson sits up to drop down a few punches, and he squeezes heavily from above while Holland tries and fails to kick off the fence. Brunson continues his grind-embracing approach until the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Round 4
Holland opens up the round with a leg kick, and he backs away while Brunson pump-fakes with takedown attempts. Brunson lets loose a lazy leg kick, and two punches find their home on his chin as a response. Holland clips Brunson with a few punches, and Brunson falls forward to take the fight down. Holland backs off, and recklessly charges into the fray only to get tied up. Holland pushes him off, and gets pulled into a clinch where Brunson uppercuts him several times. Brunson pushes him into the fence and gets a takedown, where he lands in side control. Holland scrambles back to his feet, but Brunson drags him right back down and is in Holland’s closed guard. Holland is frustrated as Brunson calmly and methodically gives ground-and-pound, and when Brunson elbows him in the face, Holland loudly cheers for him. Dean asks Brunson to work a few times, and every time he says it, Brunson lands a punch or two from on top. Holland looks to kick off the fence, only to get pulled back away from it and eat strikes. Brunson’s top control is making Dean take a close look at standing the fight back up, as he claps for Brunson to continue working. Holland kicks off the fence and gets to his knee. He hops over to the fence, and Brunson follows him and mashes him into the wire. Brunson presses his full body weight into Holland’s chest, and he knees Holland a few times and puts his hands out of the cage for a moment. Dean admonishes him, and he apologizes. Holland fails to escape the clinch, and elects to slap Brunson a few times before the fourth round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brunson
Round 5
Holland offers a glove touch but Brunson ignores him to start off the final round. Holland picks his leg up to block a leg kick, and he stands still in the center of the cage while Brunson aims for angles. A front kick from Holland misses, and Brunson backs off and jabs him a few times. Brunson ducks down and clocks Holland with a left hand, and he may have hurt Holland but Holland wears it well and counters a leg kick with a left hand. Holland catches Brunson on the way in with a left hand, and when he leaps forward with a hook, Brunson ducks down and clinches up to take the fight down. The two land punches to the body in the clinch, and Holland knees him a few times for good measure. One of Holland’s strikes opened up a cut on Brunson’s eye, and Holland smells the blood and is excited by it. “Trailblazer” surges forward and takes Brunson down, and he is now the first fighter in UFC history to land a takedown on Brunson. Holland celebrates his work, but Brunson ties him up and locks him down so that little effective ground-and-pound can be levied. Holland postures up and lands a few punches, before lifting Brunson up to slam him down as if he were channeling his inner Quinton Jackson. Dean tells Holland that he will stand him up if he does not do anything, so he sits up and lands some shots. Brunson kicks him off, and he rushes forward for a takedown of his own to grind out the talkative kickboxer. Holland defends the first attempt but cannot stop the redoubled effort, as he slowly descends to the canvas where Brunson is lording over him punching him in the face. Dean already tells Brunson to do something, and Brunson does just that with elbows and punches. Holland pushes off the fence and giggles at Brunson, but Brunson is holding the position and winning the fight because of this strategy. Holland kicks off, and he walks away upset that he lost. With 10 seconds left, Holland appears to admit defeat as he turns his back and waves his hand in disgust. Brunson lands a punch as Holland is not paying attention, so Holland explodes with a flying knee and a hammerfist on the way down, and the final horn blares to end this 25-minute affair. The fight card comes to an inglorious end, but there is no ill will between the two middleweights. A big pay-per-view event comes over the horizon next week, although it has lost some luster as featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski tested positive for COVID-19 and the fight is off – this is likely why the Riddell-Gillespie fight was scratched on tonight’s card. We will be here for UFC 260, and we hope you are too.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Holland (49-46 Brunson)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Holland (49-46 Brunson)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Holland (49-46 Brunson)
The Official Result
Derek Brunson def. Kevin Holland via Unanimous Decision (49-45, 49-46, 49-46)
Big Brady picks Kevin Holland but is hesitant, acknowledging the line is off and Brunson is the value side. He notes Holland has red flags in his takedown defense and cardio, but Brunson has been knocked out five times and may struggle to hold Holland down. Brady expects Holland to knock out Brunson in the second round, as Holland is dangerous off his back and has a steel chin. He says the KO prop at +160 is not a bad look.
Daniel Levi picks Kevin Holland, citing his creativity and unquantifiable skills. He acknowledges Brunson's improved composure but believes Holland's experience and talent will prevail. He notes Holland's overconfidence as a concern but still expects a spectacular finish. He mentions Holland's past injury in the Darren Stewart fight as a possible excuse for that poor performance.
Brunson has rejuvenated his career at Sanford MMA, becoming more disciplined and conservative. He should have a wrestling advantage and can control Holland against the cage or on the ground. Holland's cardio is untested in five-round fights, and he showed flaws against Darren Stewart. Brunson's chin narrative is overblown; he's been more careful. Brunson by decision is the pick, with the decision prop at +365 offering value.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Holland to beat Derek Brunson. He believes Holland has shown a good jiu-jitsu game off his back, which previous Brunson opponents lacked, and can work early for a TKO. He notes Brunson's tendency to crumble under trash talk, as seen against Israel Adesanya, and expects Brunson to shoot desperately and get caught. However, he admits concern because Brunson has a knack for pulling off upsets.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 88 of 145 | 60% | 107 of 164 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 0 | 35 of 72 | 48% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 29 of 50 | 58% | 32 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 0 | 24 of 41 | 58% | 25 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 54 of 85 | 63% | 69 of 100 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 0 | 11 of 31 | 35% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 88 of 145 | 60% | 58 of 106 | 15 of 21 | 15 of 18 | 53 of 95 | 9 of 17 | 26 of 33 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 35 of 72 | 48% | 17 of 50 | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 63 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 29 of 50 | 58% | 12 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 24 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 24 of 41 | 58% | 11 of 24 | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 33 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 54 of 85 | 63% | 42 of 69 | 7 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 44 | 5 of 12 | 22 of 29 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 11 of 31 | 35% | 6 of 26 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 5 of 10 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Edmen Shahbazyan | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
We have rapidly reached the main event, which is a three-round middleweight tilt as two knockout artists in Brunson (20-7, 11-5 UFC) and Shahbazyan (11-0, 4-0 UFC) come to blows. Sharing 20 knockout wins across their 31 career triumphs, referee Herb Dean may have his work cut out for him in this abbreviated affair moved to the headliner spot on short notice. They have no interest in touching gloves, as Shahbazyan marches forward and takes a punch to the body. Brunson swings and misses with a low kick, and a body kick comes up mostly short. Shahbazyan leans down to land a punch to the body, and then goes for another as Brunson backs off. They come together, and Shahbazyan clips Brunson with a short check hook. Shahbazyan changes levels briefly, and Brunson grabs hold of his neck, so “The Golden Boy” breaks free and disengages. Shahbazyan whips a head kick up high that comes up shy of the mark, and a right hand that follows catches Brunson standing. Brunson tries to get a few more kicks off, and Shahbazyan circles to his left and sneaks in a left hand. Brunson charges at him with a few punches, only to change levels and go after a takedown. Shahbazyan rips a few elbows to the side of Brunson’s head, but Brunson tosses him down anyway. Shahbazyan tries to get back to his feet, and avoids damage while getting to his knees. When he stands up, Brunson mashes him on the fence, so Shahbazyan delivers a big right hand that forces a break. Shahbazyan loads up on a few more rights, and Brunson backs off to shoot for a takedown. Shahbazyan nails him a few more times, and Brunson wobbles but keeps his composure as he eats these power shots. Shahbazyan ends the night well with a groin kick, and Brunson shrugs it off so there is not much of a pause. Brunson rushes in with looping hooks and elbows, and Shahbazyan backs away to reconsider his position. Brunson comes forward to implement a takedown, and Shahbazyan catches him on the chin with a knee. Brunson is not concerned, and he keeps pushing heavy, but Shahbazyan shoves him away. Brunson leads with a knee and a left hand, so Shahbazyan gives it back with a knee to the body and a right of his own. Brunson slaps low with a kick, and goes to the body, so Shahbazyan slings a few punches and an elbow as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Shahbazyan
Round 2
Perhaps surprising to some, we see a second round. Shahbazyan leads off with a head kick, and Brunson eats it like a steak and tries to throw back. Shahbazyan counters that offense with a right hook, and Brunson returns fire with a left hook. Shahbazyan overextends himself with a looping hook, allowing Brunson to take his leg and lift him up, setting Shahbazyan on his back. Shahbazyan springs right back up without effort, and in the clinch, we hear someone landed a cup shot. Neither pay it any mind, and they separate, which allows Brunson to kick to the body. When Shahbazyan advances, Brunson holds his fingers outstretched and jabs Shahbazyan in the eye, so Dean pauses the fight. On the break, Dean warns both fighters to keep track of their fingers, and Brunson sticks out a right hand to re-introduce it to Shahbazyan’s face. Shahbazyan digs him to the body with a kick that nearly makes Brunson double over, and as he tries to pour it on, Brunson counters him and bullies him against the fence. Brunson separates to string together a heavy series of punches, and he punctuates it with a knee. Shahbazyan loads up on a pair of enormous right hands, and they whiz by the bleach blonde hair of Brunson. Shahbazyan’s punches are more loose now, and his one-two is labored as Brunson ignores it. Brunson pressures him against the fence again, and lands a few shots while keeping his weight on the undefeated fighter. Brunson scoops the legs out and puts Shahbazyan down, where he drops down some powerful hammerfists as he takes side control. Shahbazyan rolls to his stomach, and Brunson keeps him trapped with punches, pounding on him while Shahbazyan twists and turns. Brunson is in half guard raining down punches, and Shahbazyan eats practically all of them as he is trapped on his back. Brunson postures up to hack at Shahbazyan with a nasty elbow, and Shahbazyan’s eyebrow is split wide open. The horn sounds, and when Shahbazyan sits on his stool between rounds, he nearly falls off as Dean calls in the doctor.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Brunson
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Brunson
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Brunson
Round 3
Shahbazyan may be hurt, but the cut is not in a bad enough spot to end the fight, so he requests to continue. Brunson comes out firing with a leg kick and looks much fresher, as he chases Shahbazyan around the cage.
Brunson leaps forward with a few reaching punches, and he rips Shahbazyan off his feet and starts clubbing him in the face with sledgehammers. Only a few more need to come down before Dean has seen enough
, and Brunson has now handed “The Golden Boy” the first loss of his career in devastating fashion. That spells the end of this shortened fight night, so see you next week for more action!
The Official Result
Derek Brunson def. Edmen Shahbazyan R3 0:26 via TKO (Punches)
Big Brady picks Edmen Shahbazyan to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Brunson has been knocked out five times and is past his prime at 36, while Shahbazyan is a young 22-year-old beast with a high ceiling. He believes Shahbazyan will come out aggressively and touch Brunson's chin early, ending the fight in the first round. He mentions the line is off at -345 and suggests looking at inside the distance props.
Daniel picks Shahbazyan, praising his complete skill set including boxing, grappling, and takedowns. He notes that Brunson leads with his chin up and that Shahbazyan throws straight, disciplined shots. He expects a first-round knockout, citing Shahbazyan's 10 first-round finishes and his handling of Brad Tavares.
The host picks Brunson despite being an underdog, citing concerns about Shahbazyan's cardio and lack of experience in later rounds. He notes that Shahbazyan looked poor in the third round against Darren Stewart and that Brunson's wrestling and grinding style could neutralize Shahbazyan's early power. He also mentions the smaller cage favoring Brunson's clinch game and that the line has moved too far in Shahbazyan's favor.
The host picks Edmen Shahbazyan to win by brutal KO in the first round. He notes Shahbazyan's calmness, distance control, and takedown defense, while criticizing Derek Brunson's tendency to come forward with his chin exposed and get knocked out by top competition. He mentions Brunson's pattern of beating lower-level guys and losing to rising contenders, and predicts a straight right or uppercut finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 81 of 185 | 43% | 102 of 207 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 |
| Ian Heinisch | 0 | 58 of 143 | 40% | 65 of 150 | 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 27 of 54 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Ian Heinisch | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Ian Heinisch | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 13 of 34 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 36 of 88 | 40% | 40 of 92 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Ian Heinisch | 0 | 26 of 66 | 39% | 31 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 81 of 185 | 43% | 51 of 142 | 26 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 69 of 170 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 6 |
| Ian Heinisch | 58 of 143 | 40% | 37 of 114 | 16 of 23 | 5 of 6 | 49 of 130 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 16 of 42 | 38% | 10 of 35 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Ian Heinisch | 19 of 43 | 44% | 8 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 29 of 55 | 52% | 21 of 41 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 3 | 23 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 |
| Ian Heinisch | 13 of 34 | 38% | 7 of 22 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 36 of 88 | 40% | 20 of 66 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 85 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ian Heinisch | 26 of 66 | 39% | 22 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 0 | 56 of 94 | 59% | 65 of 103 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 0 | 3:17 |
| Elias Theodorou | 0 | 65 of 170 | 38% | 87 of 194 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 16 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Elias Theodorou | 0 | 16 of 42 | 38% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 26 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Elias Theodorou | 0 | 25 of 68 | 36% | 34 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 23 of 36 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Elias Theodorou | 0 | 24 of 60 | 40% | 28 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Brunson | 56 of 94 | 59% | 34 of 62 | 11 of 17 | 11 of 15 | 45 of 82 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 |
| Elias Theodorou | 65 of 170 | 38% | 16 of 88 | 27 of 34 | 22 of 48 | 53 of 150 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derek Brunson | 14 of 24 | 58% | 11 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 |
| Elias Theodorou | 16 of 42 | 38% | 1 of 17 | 11 of 12 | 4 of 13 | 9 of 33 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Derek Brunson | 22 of 37 | 59% | 10 of 21 | 6 of 7 | 6 of 9 | 20 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Elias Theodorou | 25 of 68 | 36% | 5 of 33 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 22 | 24 of 63 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Derek Brunson | 20 of 33 | 60% | 13 of 23 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Elias Theodorou | 24 of 60 | 40% | 10 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 13 | 20 of 54 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Derek Brunson | 3 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel Adesanya | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 9 of 23 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Derek Brunson | 3 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Adesanya | 3 of 14 | 21% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Derek Brunson | 13 of 23 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Israel Adesanya | 3 of 14 | 21% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Derek Brunson | 13 of 23 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
Sam Alvey - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 2 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 40 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michał Oleksiejczuk | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 2 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 40 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michał Oleksiejczuk | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 22 of 37 | 59% | 18 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michał Oleksiejczuk | 3 of 11 | 27% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 22 of 37 | 59% | 18 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 17 |
Angelo picks Michał Oleksiejczuk despite his poor performance against Dustin Jacoby. He highlights Oleksiejczuk's speed and pressure, and notes that Sam Alvey's chin may be fading after getting rocked by Brendan Allen. He believes Oleksiejczuk can stay on the outside and avoid Alvey's wild strikes to win.
Big Brady is very confident in Michał Oleksiejczuk, noting that Sam Alvey is on an eight-fight winless streak and has not won since 2018. He describes Alvey's style as low-volume and predictable, while Oleksiejczuk is a fast starter who throws combinations and attacks the body. He predicts a first-round knockout win for Oleksiejczuk, stating that Alvey's chin is questionable and he expects a statement performance.
Cody also picks Oleksiejczuk, noting that Alvey's durability is fading and he has been stopped in recent fights. He mentions that Alvey's only chance is a puncher's chance, but his power hasn't been there. Cody believes Oleksiejczuk will swarm Alvey and finish him early, especially if Alvey goes into 'YOLO mode' for his last fight.
Daniel Levi picks Michał Oleksiejczuk as part of a parlay with Jamahal Hill, citing Sam Alvey's eight-fight winless streak, low output, and declining chin. He expects Oleksiejczuk to walk Alvey down and land big body shots and hooks, likely finishing him in the first round. Levi notes Alvey's counter right hand and guillotine as minor threats but believes Oleksiejczuk's power and pressure will be too much.
Paul picks Oleksiejczuk but is wary of the -700 price. He notes that Alvey is on a long losing streak and has lost durability. Paul is concerned about Oleksiejczuk's weight cut to 185 and wants to see weigh-ins. He suggests props like Oleksiejczuk by decision (+175) or inside the distance (-140).
The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk by first-round TKO via body shot. He notes Sam Alvey's recent decline, being finished by Brendan Allen and Julian Marquez. He praises Oleksiejczuk's toughness and win over Shamil Gamzatov, and believes Alvey has no answer on the feet or on the ground. He also mentions Oleksiejczuk is only 27 and improving.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 36 of 54 | 66% | 36 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 18 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 25 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 24 of 57 | 42% | 20 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 36 of 54 | 66% | 15 of 32 | 14 of 15 | 7 of 7 | 32 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 18 of 43 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 25 of 37 | 67% | 11 of 22 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 23 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 11 of 17 | 64% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Due to a late replacement, Alvey (33-16-1, 1 NC; 10-11-1, 1 NC UFC) now finds himself taking on Allen (17-5, 5-2 UFC) in the light heavyweight division. The two men that hail from an area in Wisconsin about a half hour from one another meet in the center of the cage, and referee Chris Tognoni serves as the onlooker. The gloves do not get touched, as Allen would prefer to come out fighting. Allen comes out swinging, and Alvey backs up to the wall. When Allen throws recklessly, Alvey counters him with a quick, clean right hook that shocks Allen. “All-In” shoots in for a takedown, and Alvey sprawls and pushes Allen down to the mat. “Smile’n Sam” tosses Allen away, and he backs away awaiting an advancing Allen. Allen does just that, marching forward to attack, and Alvey is prepared with a counter right hook again. Allen is wary of this strike, and as he pays attention to it, Alvey kicks his lead leg hard. Alvey connects with a one-two, and Allen shakes it off and walks face-first into a sharp punch. Allen does not slow down, kicking up high with a kick. Alvey catches it, sets the leg down and lands a fast one-two again. Allen tries to find a way in, and he reaches out with a jab to the body. As he lets loose with a high body kick, Alvey reaches out with a long left hand across the bow. Alvey’s one-two just misses again, and he lines another up right when Allen takes the forward step to him. Alvey’s range is giving Allen issues, and he again clips Allen with a right. Allen rushes in, gets pushed away and runs forward with a spinning back fist. The strike is blocked by both of Alvey’s arms, and Allen calmly backs away to start hacking at Alvey’s lead leg. Alvey tags Allen once more with a pair of punches, leading Allen to blitz in and pursue a takedown. Allen splits off and rocks Alvey with a right hook. They both throw at the same time, hurting each other, and a follow-up from Allen drops Alvey to a knee against the wall. Alvey gets up, they brawl it out for a few more seconds, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Round 2
Allen leads the dance to start off the second round, with a few head kick that are blocked fully. Alvey backs off, and a foot from Allen’s spinning wheel kick grazes his jaw. Alvey blitzes ahead with a surge of punches, and he does this again to give Allen pause. Allen gathers himself and marches Alvey down, and Alvey is there with a heavy leg kick to meet him. “All-In” goes all-in with a body kick, and Alvey takes it like a champ and reaches out with a right. Allen throws up another head kick, and he punches the body and dips back out of the way when Alvey prepares to counter. Alvey charges ahead, and this assault misses the mark. Allen fires off a right to the body and a left to the head, and “Smile’n Sam” is no longer smiling from the strikes.
Alvey falls to his knees in big trouble, and Allen instantly jumps on to take Alvey’s back. Alvey leans towards the fence, only to find that Allen has set up a rear-naked choke without any hooks in. Hooks? “All-In” don't need no stinkin’ hooks. Allen crushes the windpipe with all his might, and Alvey reluctantly surrenders.
The unfortunate winless streak continues for Alvey, who took on a new opponent in a different weight class on a week’s notice.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Sam Alvey R2 2:10 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Brendan Allen but with hesitation. He notes Allen is the better athlete and wrestler, but has chin issues and is coming off a knockout loss. Alvey is on a long winless streak but has power and experience. Angelo thinks Allen should wrestle and take it seriously, but calls it a live bet fight if Allen stands and trades. He picks Allen with the assumption he wrestles.
Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Alvey's only path is a knockout. He points out that Allen has better volume and technique, and that Alvey's takedown defense is historically strong but Allen's wrestling may not be good enough to take him down. However, he thinks Allen should win on the feet. He is confident in Allen.
Daniel Levi leans Brendan Allen but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Allen is taking the fight on four days' notice, moving up to 205 lbs, and has been knocked out in two of his last three. However, he thinks Allen is the better fighter and should have the tools to beat Alvey, who often does nothing for long stretches. Levi suggests a small bet on Alvey at +325 for those looking for a dog, but his pick is Allen.
Lock of the Night picks Allen, citing the massive skill discrepancy. He notes Allen's improved striking and ability to stay at range, similar to the Soriano fight. He warns that Allen should not chase takedowns excessively to avoid gassing. He likes Allen by decision at +165 and the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul thinks Allen is the younger, faster, and quicker fighter. He notes that Alvey is on a seven-fight winless streak and hasn't won since 2018. He believes Allen's volume and leg kicks will be key, and that Alvey's only path is a lucky punch. He is confident Allen wins but acknowledges the short notice could affect his gas tank.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen (Phil Horse) but expresses concern about his chin, calling it 'genetically bad'. He notes Sam Alvey doesn't have the best chin either, and expects Allen to land better shots and get a first-round KO. However, he is hesitant due to Allen's vulnerability to being wobbled.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 68 of 122 | 55% | 114 of 169 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 69 of 119 | 57% | 75 of 126 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 42 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 17 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 40 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 32 of 59 | 54% | 34 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 68 of 122 | 55% | 55 of 105 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 58 of 112 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 69 of 119 | 57% | 36 of 77 | 19 of 27 | 14 of 15 | 63 of 113 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 13 of 16 | 81% | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 26 of 44 | 59% | 17 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 24 of 44 | 54% | 12 of 29 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 34 of 58 | 58% | 30 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 32 of 59 | 54% | 20 of 41 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Turman, citing his BJJ black belt, slick ground game, and clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes training feedback from Dan Cramer that Turman feels good. He acknowledges Alvey's deceptive power but believes Turman will get the submission.
Cody picks Alvey as a dog, citing his strong takedown defense and power. He notes that Turman has poor takedown accuracy and tends to lose position on the ground. Cody thinks Alvey's veteran savvy and ability to fight 15 minutes will pay off. He is concerned about Alvey's recent losing streak but believes the style matchup favors him.
Jacob picks Turman but is hesitant, noting Turman was knocked out cold two months ago and may be hesitant. He agrees the UFC is feeding Alvey to Turman, but warns Alvey is tough and could win if he eats shots. He stayed away from betting.
Lock picks Alvey by KO at +300, believing Alvey's power and durability will be too much for Turman. He notes Turman has shown poor durability, getting knocked out by Andrew Sanchez and Bruno Silva. Lock thinks Alvey's takedown defense and clinch strength will keep the fight standing, where he can land a big shot. He expects Alvey to win minutes only by knockout, not decision.
Paul picks Alvey, surprised himself but noting that Turman is the exact type of fighter Alvey can beat. He highlights Alvey's takedown defense and left hand power. Paul thinks Turman's grappling is overrated and that he tires easily. He expects Alvey to win by knockout or decision.
The Guru picks Sam Alvey as an underdog, questioning Wellington Turman's chin after two consecutive KO losses and his quick return. He believes Alvey's toughness, cardio, and grappling awareness will allow him to outlast Turman and win a unanimous decision. The Guru dismisses Turman's grappling threat and expects Alvey to display veteran savvy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 0 | 29 of 78 | 37% | 29 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 61 of 100 | 61% | 62 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 24 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 27 of 52 | 51% | 28 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 0 | 5 of 24 | 20% | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Sam Alvey | 1 | 34 of 48 | 70% | 34 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Marquez | 29 of 78 | 37% | 21 of 64 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 6 | 28 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 61 of 100 | 61% | 46 of 78 | 15 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 41 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julian Marquez | 24 of 54 | 44% | 16 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 23 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 27 of 52 | 51% | 19 of 38 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Julian Marquez | 5 of 24 | 20% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 34 of 48 | 70% | 27 of 40 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 24 |
Big Brady picks Marquez to win by decision, despite Marquez having a 100% finish rate. He thinks Marquez will pressure and outpoint Alvey, who has not won in a long time and takes a lot of damage. Brady is not confident in the pick and is passing on betting, as he finds the fight potentially boring and the line not appealing. He notes both fighters are durable and the fight likely goes to decision.
Cody picks Marquez, citing his recovery from ring rust, James Krause's coaching, and Alvey's difficult weight cut to 185. He notes Alvey's low output and lack of offensive wrestling, while Marquez has better timing and power. He expects Marquez to edge it.
Daniel Levi picks Sam Alvey, despite acknowledging that Alvey is a long-term fade and the blueprint to beat him is well-known. He is not sold on Julian Marquez, viewing him as an opportunistic finisher who looked horrendous against Maki Pitolo. Levi thinks the fight could be an ugly middleweight scrap that could go either way, so he goes with Alvey for the first time in years.
The host leans Alvey for the value, noting that Marquez's win over Pitolo was a sloppy fight and that Alvey has decent takedown defense and power. However, he acknowledges that Alvey fights on the back foot and hasn't won in five fights. He picks Alvey by decision, but calls the fight a 'slop fest' and advises against betting it.
Paul leans Alvey, noting his durability and ability to lull opponents into slow fights. He wants to see weigh-ins but thinks Alvey's counter-punching and experience could be factors. He is not confident due to Alvey's losing streak and weight cut.
The MMA Guru picks Julian Marquez by first-round KO, despite calling Marquez 'so bad' and 'sloppy'. He notes Marquez has big power and a great chin, while Sam Alvey is moving down to middleweight after being knocked out previously. He thinks Marquez will lose some grappling exchanges early but then land a big right hand to finish Alvey. He expects Alvey to be 'frowning' after the loss.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 1 | 56 of 126 | 44% | 61 of 133 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 59 of 166 | 35% | 69 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 22 of 64 | 34% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 0 | 19 of 49 | 38% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 23 of 60 | 38% | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 22 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 19 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da Woon Jung | 56 of 126 | 44% | 43 of 108 | 5 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 46 of 114 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 59 of 166 | 35% | 38 of 140 | 3 of 8 | 18 of 18 | 56 of 162 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da Woon Jung | 20 of 42 | 47% | 13 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 22 of 64 | 34% | 14 of 53 | 1 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da Woon Jung | 19 of 49 | 38% | 13 of 39 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 23 of 60 | 38% | 14 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da Woon Jung | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 14 of 42 | 33% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 39 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is confident in Da Woon Jung, citing his high output (6.59 significant strikes per minute) compared to Alvey's low volume. He notes Jung's good chin and cardio, and struggles to see a path to victory for Alvey. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he acknowledges a decision is possible.
Daniel Levi picks Da Woon Jung, citing his durability, discipline, and jab. He notes that Alvey is on the decline and has been figured out, with his only recent knockout being against a low-level opponent. Levi believes Jung will stay technical, pick Alvey apart with the jab, and avoid the counter right hook, likely winning by early knockout.
The host leans toward Da Woon Jung, noting that Jung is younger, more aggressive, and has better output. He questions Sam Alvey's durability and recent form, but is not confident enough to bet the moneyline at -370. He suggests Jung by knockout as a prop.
The MMA Guru picks Da Woon Jung to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Jung is more technical and controlled than Ryan Spann (who struggled with Alvey), sets up shots with feints, and is coming off a KO win over Mike Rodriguez. He criticizes Alvey for losing too many times and being 34 years old.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Spann | 0 | 51 of 115 | 44% | 52 of 116 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 57 of 108 | 52% | 103 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Spann | 0 | 9 of 27 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 57 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Ryan Spann | 0 | 22 of 39 | 56% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Ryan Spann | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 20 of 49 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 25 of 44 | 56% | 29 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Spann | 51 of 115 | 44% | 41 of 102 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 48 of 109 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 57 of 108 | 52% | 40 of 90 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 15 | 46 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Spann | 9 of 27 | 33% | 7 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 24 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 17 of 25 | 68% | 10 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ryan Spann | 22 of 39 | 56% | 18 of 32 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 15 of 39 | 38% | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ryan Spann | 20 of 49 | 40% | 16 of 45 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 46 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 25 of 44 | 56% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Welcome back, everyone. It’s been a rough few months, and the last 24 hours have been especially rocky, but fights are officially back on the menu. We begin this 11-fight odyssey in the light heavyweight division, as rising Fortis MMA star Spann (17-5, 3-0 UFC) takes on the effervescent Alvey (33-13, 1 NC; 10-8 UFC). An unmasked Dan Miragliotta draws the first referee assignment of the evening, and with a touch of gloves, it’s on with the show! Spann begins to walk Alvey down, and starts out with a right hand and then another thudding right before ducking into a double. Snatching up the legs, Spann drags his man down; Alvey gets back to his feet and works a few hammerfists to irritate Spann. Switching to a single, Spann drops low and hits it, and Alvey flirts with grabbing the fence while he is trying to get back up. As Alvey returns to his feet, Spann sets up a standing arm-triangle choke, allowing Alvey to pepper him with a few short right hands to the torso. Spann tightens up and tries to wrench Alvey down, but Alvey resists and he does not look to be in a good position. Alvey’s head is starting to change colors, and he looks distressed but does not seem to want to fight it off. Spann looks to rip him down to the canvas, and Alvey calmly pops his head out and punches his way free. “Superman” keeps Alvey against the fence, and Alvey scores with a right hand to back off his opponent. He lands another, and Spann backpedals for a moment, before returning to the pressure. Alvey wings a few punches, and Spann throws so hard that he stumbles across the cage before regaining his composure. An inadvertent low kick catches Spann on the cup, and the action does not slow for long. Spann makes him pay for it with a heavy right hand, and Alvey shakes it off before returning fire with a right hook. The Fortis MMA fighter again throws himself off balance with a looping punch, allowing Alvey to kick his legs and send him off-balance. Spann drops down for a single, and takes a knee on the way in. Right before the round ends, Alvey sneaks in a knee and a solid elbow up top, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Spann
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Spann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Spann
Round 2
Between rounds, Spann seems concerned that is taking damage from a few of Alvey’s low calf kicks. To return some damage, Spann fires a head kick up top to start the round. It delivers a serious impact even though Alvey blocks it, but Spann uses the forward movement to go after a takedown. Alvey stands him up and they clinch and break apart, allowing Alvey to catch him with a solid left hand on the way out. Spann starts to talk to his corner as the fight progresses, and Alvey continues to pepper that lead calf with kicks that continue to get Spann’s attention. Spann’s looping punches are not catching Alvey flush, and Alvey’s counters fall short. The two swing heavy leather as they crash together, and Alvey appears to get the better of the exchange as they separate. Alvey keeps his back close to the fence, but times a stiff left hand and follows it with a right hook to nail “Superman” on the chin. Spann walks through it, and throws a heavy body kick that makes Alvey circle away. Sensing the success of that kick, Spann throws a few more, and scores a hard right while Alvey tries to defend that kick. Another low kick scores for Alvey, frustrating Spann to throw all he has into a short right hook that falls shy of the mark, and Alvey dances away. Spann tags him with an overhand left after a front kick, but Alvey is unfazed. Spann charges forward to land another few punches, ending the combination with a vicious left hook. The punches for Spann are finding their mark repeatedly, although his wildness is making him fall across the cage as Alvey avoids most of the damage. “Smile’n Sam” tries to throw a spinning wheel kick of sorts, but he is several feet away, so Spann simply stands there to admire the attempt as the round comes to a close.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Spann
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Spann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Alvey
Round 3
The final frame begins with Spann walking forward into a clinch. Alvey tries to tie him up with a Thai clinch, although Spann breaks free and clips him on the way out. Another body kick scores for Spann, and Alvey is protesting something but it is unclear what he is concerned about. The action does not stop, so Spann walks forward as he continues to talk to his coaches. Coming short with a few long punches, Spann misses but Alvey does not make him pay for it. They start taking turns throwing at each other. Suddenly, Spann whips a high kick and cracks Alvey, and Alvey is rocked. They start swinging with reckless abandon, and the chin of Alvey holds up as he shakes out the cobwebs. After trading furious leather, they separate, allowing Spann to connect with a few more body kicks. Alvey lands a few solid lefts, but Spann throws back harder and more often, blasting Alvey on the jaw. Despite the powerful shots, “Smile’n” keeps going, and Spann looks to be a little tired now. The punches and kicks for Spann are much slower than before, allowing Alvey to stick and move. Alvey goes up with his own head kick, and Spann did not like that. A huge shot from Alvey hurts Spann, and Spann shoots for a desperation takedown. Alvey catches him and sets up a 10-finger guillotine choke, but Spann muscles his way back to his feet. Alvey clips Spann again, and again, with nasty left hands as Spann is in a bad way. Spann falls against the cage, and Alvey pours it on in the waning seconds. The Team Quest fighter puts everything he has left to force a stoppage, but time expires before he can get it. What a wild end to that round, and the first fight is now in the hands of the judges. Although the post-fight interview for Joe Rogan was reportedly off the table for this event, the winner of this fight still gets one from a maskless, gloveless Rogan.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alvey (29-28 Spann)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alvey (29-28 Spann)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Alvey (29-28 Alvey)
The Official Result
Ryan Spann def. Sam Alvey via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
Big Brady picks Ryan Spann to dominate Sam Alvey, expecting a clear decision victory. He notes Spann's reach advantage and submission threat, but believes Alvey's chin will hold up, preventing a knockout. He mentions Spann is a minus 380 favorite and suggests using him in parlays.
Daniel Levi picks Ryan Spann, stating he has too much physically for Alvey and is the rightful favorite. He notes Spann's improvement, nasty guillotine, and physical tools (6'5", 82-inch reach). Levi thinks Alvey hasn't evolved and is deteriorating, and that Spann should capitalize on Alvey's declining chin.
Matt thinks the line at -380 is too wide and prefers a closer price around -250. He notes Spann's potential and crisp 1-2 but worries about his gas tank and Sam Alvey's durability and possible progression. He sees the under 2.5 rounds as the best bet and only includes Spann in a Hail Mary parlay.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klidson Abreu | 0 | 28 of 77 | 36% | 67 of 117 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 36 of 89 | 40% | 61 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klidson Abreu | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 27 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Klidson Abreu | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:13 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 17 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 3 | Klidson Abreu | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 14 of 46 | 30% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klidson Abreu | 28 of 77 | 36% | 12 of 53 | 5 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 21 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 36 of 89 | 40% | 17 of 60 | 4 of 13 | 15 of 16 | 35 of 85 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Klidson Abreu | 6 of 21 | 28% | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 13 of 25 | 52% | 7 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Klidson Abreu | 10 of 25 | 40% | 4 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Sam Alvey | 9 of 18 | 50% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Klidson Abreu | 12 of 31 | 38% | 6 of 19 | 2 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 14 of 46 | 30% | 6 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 14 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Crute | 1 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Crute | 1 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 17 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Crute | 14 of 32 | 43% | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
| Sam Alvey | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmy Crute | 14 of 32 | 43% | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
| Sam Alvey | 3 of 14 | 21% | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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