UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Next Fight
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Toshiomi Kazama
1.49 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
4.56 SApM
38.0% Str. Def.
1.94 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Charalampos Grigoriou
2.62 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
3.97 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
2.62 TD Avg
80.0% TD Acc.
90.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Toshiomi Kazama
Moneyline
BetRivers +215
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1200
Submission
BetRivers +550
Decision
BetWay +700
Charalampos Grigoriou
Moneyline
FanDuel -245
KO/TKO
FanDuel +100
Submission
FanDuel +1900
Decision
FanDuel +360
Toshiomi Kazama - Fight History
LOSS vs Elijah Smith
KO R1 4:10 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elijah Smith 0 37 of 46 80% 61 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:49
Toshiomi Kazama 0 0 of 0 --- 2 of 2 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elijah Smith 0 37 of 46 80% 61 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:49
Toshiomi Kazama 0 0 of 0 --- 2 of 2 1 of 1 100% 1 1 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elijah Smith 37 of 46 80% 35 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 36 of 43
Toshiomi Kazama 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elijah Smith 37 of 46 80% 35 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 36 of 43
Toshiomi Kazama 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Elijah Smith

Angelo is very confident in Elijah Smith, calling him a good grappler with fast hands and solid power. He notes Toshiomi Kazama is a BJJ nerd with a questionable chin. Angelo thinks Smith will run through Kazama, as this is a tune-up fight for the prospect. He acknowledges the -500 odds are high but trusts Smith.

"Elijah's the pick. I'm very confident here. And minus 500."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Elijah Smith

Big Brady is very confident in Elijah Smith, calling him a well-rounded fighter with a massive striking advantage over Kazama, whom he considers the worst striker in the division. He notes Smith's cardio has improved and he can grapple as well. Brady believes Smith will knock out Kazama early, predicting a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I think Smith knocks him out and I think he knocks him out probably pretty early. Give me Elijah Smith to win this fight and win it by first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elijah Smith

The host acknowledges Kazama's high-level BJJ but believes he struggles to get fights to the ground and will struggle even more against Smith. He expects Smith to use good movement, speed, and striking to line up a big knockout victory.

by KO
"Look for Smith to utilize good movement, speed, and striking and eventually lining up a big knockout victory to earn that win over Kazama."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Elijah Smith

The MMA Guru picks Elijah Smith, calling Kazama a fighter who shouldn't be in the UFC. He notes Smith's close fight with Vince Morales showed he can battle through adversity. He expects Smith to handle Kazama, though he's not sure if Smith will become a top prospect.

Bet on Elijah Smith fight time over 6.75 minutes as part of a parlay
"I think Elijah Smith is going to win against Toshi Kazama."
Submission (triangle choke) R2 1:55 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Toshiomi Kazama 0 2 of 5 40% 67 of 84 1 of 9 11% 1 1 4:19
Charalampos Grigoriou 1 26 of 38 68% 36 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Toshiomi Kazama 0 2 of 4 50% 31 of 46 1 of 8 12% 0 1 4:09
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 2 of 4 50% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
2 Toshiomi Kazama 0 0 of 1 0% 36 of 38 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:10
Charalampos Grigoriou 1 24 of 34 70% 29 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Toshiomi Kazama 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charalampos Grigoriou 26 of 38 68% 23 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 17 1 of 1 18 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Toshiomi Kazama 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charalampos Grigoriou 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Toshiomi Kazama 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 24 of 34 70% 23 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 0 18 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Angelo is confident in Grigoriou because Kazama is a grapple-first fighter who has failed to get his grappling going in the UFC, is chinny on the feet, and has back-to-back first-round TKO losses. Grigoriou has powerful leg kicks, solid grappling, and is being set up for success. This is one of Angelo's more confident picks on the card.

"Charlos should win here he is going to be the pick one of my more confident picks on the card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Kazama's poor chin and Grigoriou's striking advantage. He notes Grigoriou's counter-grappling ability from training with high-level grapplers, and that Kazama's submission threats are unlikely to succeed. Cody expects a knockout.

"I got Gregor I don't know that uh the price makes a whole lot of sense just because like as you mentioned it's two fairly lower level guys Kazama I don't think should be in the UFC to begin with"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Grigoriou has a clear striking advantage and should be able to touch up Kazama, who has been knocked out in his last two fights. However, Kazama is dangerous on the ground and could pull guard or find a submission. This is the least confident pick on the card, and the minus 220 price is not recommended.

Grigoriou by knockout
"I must say though this is probably my least confident prediction on the entire card and I would want none of that minus 220 especially if Kazama is successful as in wrapping him up and getting his grappling going"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Paul picks Grigoriou despite the high price, citing Kazama's weak chin and one-dimensional grappling. He notes Grigoriou trains at Ray Longo's gym with better partners, has knockout power, and should win by KO. He took Grigoriou by inside the distance at minus 105.

Grigoriou by KO (inside the distance) at minus 105
"Garo by knockout I got at minus 105 yesterday it's like 262 to win 250 that's where I at on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

The MMA Guru picks Charalampos Grigoriou, calling him a 'can crusher' but better than Toshiomi Kazama. He notes Grigoriou's wins over Cameron Smotherman and Chris Dutenhoffer, while criticizing Kazama's poor striking defense and recent KO losses. He believes Grigoriou's striking will prevail, especially given Kazama's two consecutive KO defeats.

"I'm going to go with shos Gregorio because this guy is very can crushy you know he's not good at fighting he's very can he's very trash you know but um he's better than Toshi Ami Kazam"
TKO (punches) R1 4:16 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Garrett Armfield 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 1 45 of 77 58% 45 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Garrett Armfield 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 1 45 of 77 58% 45 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Garrett Armfield 15 of 31 48% 8 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 45 of 77 58% 36 of 67 9 of 10 0 of 0 40 of 68 0 of 0 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Garrett Armfield 15 of 31 48% 8 of 24 3 of 3 4 of 4 15 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 45 of 77 58% 36 of 67 9 of 10 0 of 0 40 of 68 0 of 0 5 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Angelo sees Armfield as more well-rounded but notes that he often fights to his opponent's style instead of imposing his own. He acknowledges Kazama's slick BJJ and chin issues, but leans toward Armfield due to his technical striking and takedown defense. He is not betting on this fight, just watching.

"I am still gonna slightly gear it here because he's just a more well-rounded fighter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Toshiomi Kazama

Big Brady notes that Garrett Armfield has struggled with wrestlers and grapplers in his losses, being submitted twice. He sees Toshiomi Kazama as a dangerous grappler who can take the fight to the mat and submit Armfield. He also mentions the long flight to Singapore as a potential disadvantage for Armfield. He forgives Kazama for his quick loss to Rinya Nakamura and believes this is a winnable fight for him.

submission in round 2
"give me a toshiyami Kazama to win this fight I'll take him to win by second round submission in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Cody picks Armfield, citing his well-rounded skills and training at Kill Cliff FC. He notes Kazama's chinny history and one-dimensional grappling. Cody expects Armfield to improve after moving to his natural weight class and training with top partners.

"I kind of been leaning him he's the actual mixed martial arts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

Daniel picks Garrett Armfield, noting that he is faster, more accurate, and more technically sound. He mentions that Kazama has a terrible chin and is a one-trick pony with submissions. He is confident Armfield can keep the fight standing and win by striking. He bet 2 units at -147 and is confident in the pick, though he acknowledges the submission threat.

"I took Armfield at -147 a couple days ago I played him to win two units here's why"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Garrett Armfield

James picks Garrett Armfield as the better all-around MMA fighter. He believes Armfield is the superior striker and that Kazama's wrestling is not good enough to take Armfield down consistently. He notes Kazama's Jiu-Jitsu is a lower-percentage path from the bottom, and Armfield should be able to avoid submissions and win on the feet.

"I'm going with Garrett Armfield"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The host describes Kazama as a BJJ black belt with poor striking who relies on pulling guard and sweeps. He believes Armfield will use his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing and utilize his speed and striking advantage to damage Kazama. The host expects Armfield to eventually get a knockout due to accumulative damage, noting that Kazama leaves many openings.

"I think that was CRM field eventually get the finish here to get his hand raised by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Toshiomi Kazama

Paul picks Kazama as an underdog, citing the Asian fighter advantage in Singapore and jet lag concerns for Armfield. He notes Kazama's submission skills but acknowledges his poor chin. Paul is not confident but likes the value.

Kazama by submission +300
"I'm gonna be taking the Asian underdogs in Asian in uh China or in Singapore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Garrett Armfield

The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield over Toshiomi Kazama, trusting the American regional scene and Kill Cliff FC training over Kazama's Japanese scene. He notes Armfield's tough debut against David Onama but believes he is more well-rounded. He criticizes Kazama's KO loss to a 2-2 opponent and unimpressive Road to UFC win. He predicts Armfield's superior substance of competition will prevail.

"I'm gonna trust a kill Cliff FC Prospect I'm going with Gara Armfield here over to Yoshi Kazama even if his record does look a little bit worse I think it's against better substance"
LOSS vs Rinya Nakamura
KO (punch) R1 0:33 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinya Nakamura 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 2 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinya Nakamura 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Toshiomi Kazama 2 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinya Nakamura 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 24 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinya Nakamura 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Toshiomi Kazama 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 10 of 24 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Big Brady is high on Nakamura's world-class wrestling and knockout power. He thinks Kazama will struggle to take down a wrestler of Nakamura's caliber and will be knocked out early. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I like him to knock out toshiom in the very first round here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Cody picks Nakamura inside the distance, calling him the best prospect on the card. He notes Nakamura's world-class wrestling pedigree and finishing ability. He expects Nakamura to take Kazama down and finish, possibly by submission. He also considers a small sprinkle on Nakamura by submission at +800.

Nakamura inside the distance (-125); Nakamura by submission (+800 sprinkle)
"I took renya Nakamura inside the distance at minus 125... I'm considering adding him by submission because that's like plus 800"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Connor agrees, noting that Kazama's insistence on wrestling will play into Nakamura's strengths. He points out that Kazama's bag of tricks may not work against a superior athlete, and that Nakamura has shown rapid improvement. He sees this as a winnable matchup for Nakamura to showcase his development.

"It's easy to see why this is the big favorite matchup."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Paul picks Nakamura inside the distance, emphasizing his wrestling background and MMA upbringing. He notes Nakamura's ability to strike or grapple, and expects him to knock out Kazama. He thinks Kazama's guard-pulling style will not work against Nakamura's physicality.

"I think I think Nakamura knocks him out um doesn't submit him but either way we both like them we both like them inside the distance"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rinya Nakamura

Zane highlights Nakamura's rapid improvement and wrestling background, noting that he has become a more aggressive combination puncher with natural instincts for pressuring. He contrasts this with Kazama, who is crafty but not a great athlete and tends to lose wrestling exchanges as fights go on. He believes Nakamura's higher ceiling and athleticism will prevail.

"A pretty straightforward pick for uh, the the super prospect in nakamura, yeah."
Charalampos Grigoriou - Fight History
LOSS vs Toshiomi Kazama
Submission (triangle choke) R2 1:55 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Toshiomi Kazama 0 2 of 5 40% 67 of 84 1 of 9 11% 1 1 4:19
Charalampos Grigoriou 1 26 of 38 68% 36 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Toshiomi Kazama 0 2 of 4 50% 31 of 46 1 of 8 12% 0 1 4:09
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 2 of 4 50% 7 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
2 Toshiomi Kazama 0 0 of 1 0% 36 of 38 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:10
Charalampos Grigoriou 1 24 of 34 70% 29 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Toshiomi Kazama 2 of 5 40% 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charalampos Grigoriou 26 of 38 68% 23 of 34 3 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 17 1 of 1 18 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Toshiomi Kazama 2 of 4 50% 2 of 3 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2
Charalampos Grigoriou 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Toshiomi Kazama 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 24 of 34 70% 23 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 0 18 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Angelo is confident in Grigoriou because Kazama is a grapple-first fighter who has failed to get his grappling going in the UFC, is chinny on the feet, and has back-to-back first-round TKO losses. Grigoriou has powerful leg kicks, solid grappling, and is being set up for success. This is one of Angelo's more confident picks on the card.

"Charlos should win here he is going to be the pick one of my more confident picks on the card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Kazama's poor chin and Grigoriou's striking advantage. He notes Grigoriou's counter-grappling ability from training with high-level grapplers, and that Kazama's submission threats are unlikely to succeed. Cody expects a knockout.

"I got Gregor I don't know that uh the price makes a whole lot of sense just because like as you mentioned it's two fairly lower level guys Kazama I don't think should be in the UFC to begin with"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Grigoriou has a clear striking advantage and should be able to touch up Kazama, who has been knocked out in his last two fights. However, Kazama is dangerous on the ground and could pull guard or find a submission. This is the least confident pick on the card, and the minus 220 price is not recommended.

Grigoriou by knockout
"I must say though this is probably my least confident prediction on the entire card and I would want none of that minus 220 especially if Kazama is successful as in wrapping him up and getting his grappling going"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Paul picks Grigoriou despite the high price, citing Kazama's weak chin and one-dimensional grappling. He notes Grigoriou trains at Ray Longo's gym with better partners, has knockout power, and should win by KO. He took Grigoriou by inside the distance at minus 105.

Grigoriou by KO (inside the distance) at minus 105
"Garo by knockout I got at minus 105 yesterday it's like 262 to win 250 that's where I at on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

The MMA Guru picks Charalampos Grigoriou, calling him a 'can crusher' but better than Toshiomi Kazama. He notes Grigoriou's wins over Cameron Smotherman and Chris Dutenhoffer, while criticizing Kazama's poor striking defense and recent KO losses. He believes Grigoriou's striking will prevail, especially given Kazama's two consecutive KO defeats.

"I'm going to go with shos Gregorio because this guy is very can crushy you know he's not good at fighting he's very can he's very trash you know but um he's better than Toshi Ami Kazam"
LOSS vs Chad Anheliger
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chad Anheliger 0 21 of 65 32% 26 of 70 4 of 5 80% 0 0 5:24
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 85 of 155 54% 144 of 220 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chad Anheliger 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:38
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 8 of 15 53% 25 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:34
2 Chad Anheliger 0 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:46
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 26 of 33 78% 68 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Chad Anheliger 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charalampos Grigoriou 0 51 of 107 47% 51 of 107 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chad Anheliger 21 of 65 32% 16 of 53 2 of 7 3 of 5 21 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 1
Charalampos Grigoriou 85 of 155 54% 57 of 122 10 of 13 18 of 20 68 of 137 12 of 12 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chad Anheliger 9 of 21 42% 4 of 13 2 of 4 3 of 4 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 1
Charalampos Grigoriou 8 of 15 53% 2 of 9 0 of 0 6 of 6 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chad Anheliger 4 of 11 36% 4 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 26 of 33 78% 21 of 27 1 of 1 4 of 5 9 of 15 12 of 12 5 of 6
3 Chad Anheliger 8 of 33 24% 8 of 31 0 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charalampos Grigoriou 51 of 107 47% 34 of 86 9 of 12 8 of 9 51 of 107 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Angelo notes that Anheliger has solid BJJ and power but his takedown defense has failed him repeatedly in the UFC, giving up 10 takedowns in four fights. Grigoriou is a powerful striker with heavy leg kicks and can also grapple with big takedowns and heavy top pressure. He believes Grigoriou's wrestling can bail him out if he gets into trouble on the feet. Despite being a heavy favorite, Angelo thinks Grigoriou will earn the price tag.

"I need to go Gregorio not only is he a powerful Striker but he can hang on the feet as well his wrestling can bail him out of trouble if he ends up in trouble"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chad Anheliger

Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger to win by knockout in the third round. He notes that Anheliger is a dog with three-round cardio and hits hard, while Grigoriou can be low volume and has suspect cardio. However, he is not confident enough to bet on it.

by knockout in the third round
"I'm going to pick Chad and helinger here... I'm going to take him to win this fight actually by knockout I think it comes in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Cody picks Charalampos Grigoriou, citing his youth (six years younger) and full camp. He notes Anheliger is 37, undersized at 135, and on a short-notice replacement with injuries. He thinks Grigoriou's striking and durability will edge out Anheliger, though Anheliger could catch him.

"I would take Gregorio... he's six years younger and at 135 pounds that's going to make a difference."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

The host notes that both fighters have similar skill sets but gives the edge to Grigoriou due to his speed, explosiveness, and power advantage. He expects Grigoriou to land the more damaging blows from distance and win on the scorecards, though he acknowledges Anheliger's durability and good chin could make it difficult to finish.

"I do think that we'll see gregorio's speed explosivity and power Advantage come into play here allowing him to touch up on HRA from distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Paul also picks Grigoriou, though he admits he doesn't know much about him. He notes Anheliger hasn't impressed and is likely on his way out. He passes on betting but leans Grigoriou.

"I'll with you I really don't know anything about this Grigoriou guy... I'm not no real intentions to bet this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chad Anheliger

The Guru picks Chad Anheliger as an upset, citing Grigoriou's red flags such as struggling with a 6-5 short-notice opponent and losing to an 8-6 fighter. He believes Anheliger is tough, won't get finished, and can outwork Grigoriou over the distance. He notes Grigoriou is slow and open on the feet, while Anheliger has shown durability and a grinding style.

"I'm going to go with Chad Anheliger to win this fight in an upset... I think if he doesn't get finished he can out consistent Sher lampos Gregorio over the distance of this fight."
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Angelo is confident in Grigoriou because Kazama is a grapple-first fighter who has failed to get his grappling going in the UFC, is chinny on the feet, and has back-to-back first-round TKO losses. Grigoriou has powerful leg kicks, solid grappling, and is being set up for success. This is one of Angelo's more confident picks on the card.

"Charlos should win here he is going to be the pick one of my more confident picks on the card"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Kazama's poor chin and Grigoriou's striking advantage. He notes Grigoriou's counter-grappling ability from training with high-level grapplers, and that Kazama's submission threats are unlikely to succeed. Cody expects a knockout.

"I got Gregor I don't know that uh the price makes a whole lot of sense just because like as you mentioned it's two fairly lower level guys Kazama I don't think should be in the UFC to begin with"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Grigoriou has a clear striking advantage and should be able to touch up Kazama, who has been knocked out in his last two fights. However, Kazama is dangerous on the ground and could pull guard or find a submission. This is the least confident pick on the card, and the minus 220 price is not recommended.

Grigoriou by knockout
"I must say though this is probably my least confident prediction on the entire card and I would want none of that minus 220 especially if Kazama is successful as in wrapping him up and getting his grappling going"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

Paul picks Grigoriou despite the high price, citing Kazama's weak chin and one-dimensional grappling. He notes Grigoriou trains at Ray Longo's gym with better partners, has knockout power, and should win by KO. He took Grigoriou by inside the distance at minus 105.

Grigoriou by KO (inside the distance) at minus 105
"Garo by knockout I got at minus 105 yesterday it's like 262 to win 250 that's where I at on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Charalampos Grigoriou

The MMA Guru picks Charalampos Grigoriou, calling him a 'can crusher' but better than Toshiomi Kazama. He notes Grigoriou's wins over Cameron Smotherman and Chris Dutenhoffer, while criticizing Kazama's poor striking defense and recent KO losses. He believes Grigoriou's striking will prevail, especially given Kazama's two consecutive KO defeats.

"I'm going to go with shos Gregorio because this guy is very can crushy you know he's not good at fighting he's very can he's very trash you know but um he's better than Toshi Ami Kazam"