vs
-240 +230
UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Karol Rosa
5.88 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
4.59 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.17 TD Avg
48.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Pannie Kianzad
4.88 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.09 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.41 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Karol Rosa
Moneyline
BetRivers -240
KO/TKO
FanDuel +800
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel -130
Pannie Kianzad
Moneyline
Caesars +230
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1400
Submission
BetRivers +3300
Decision
BetRivers +275
Karol Rosa - Fight History
SCHED vs Luana Santos
WIN vs Nora Cornolle
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 33 of 58 56% 190 of 224 2 of 3 66% 2 0 11:25
Nora Cornolle 0 27 of 47 57% 75 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 18 of 34 52% 29 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:03
Nora Cornolle 0 24 of 37 64% 45 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karol Rosa 0 7 of 11 63% 77 of 84 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:53
Nora Cornolle 0 0 of 3 0% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karol Rosa 0 8 of 13 61% 84 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:29
Nora Cornolle 0 3 of 7 42% 24 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 33 of 58 56% 25 of 47 6 of 8 2 of 3 14 of 35 6 of 6 13 of 17
Nora Cornolle 27 of 47 57% 15 of 33 4 of 4 8 of 10 17 of 36 10 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 18 of 34 52% 10 of 24 6 of 7 2 of 3 12 of 28 6 of 6 0 of 0
Nora Cornolle 24 of 37 64% 14 of 26 4 of 4 6 of 7 14 of 27 10 of 10 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8
Nora Cornolle 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 8 of 13 61% 8 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 9
Nora Cornolle 3 of 7 42% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nora Cornolle vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-180); Cornolle (+150)

Round 1
The final women’s match of the evening comes at 135 pounds, in a wide-open division where a contender likely need only amass three or four wins to get a crack at gold. Rosa (18-7, 7-4 UFC) has alternated wins and losses in her last eight outings while hearing the final bell for the entirety of her UFC run. On the other side of the equation, French muay thai practitioner Cornolle (9-2, 3-1 UFC) has only claimed one career win on the scorecards. They will tangle under the watchful eye of referee Kerry Hatley. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Cornolle gets right to business, walking Rosa down with a body kick and a few punches. Rosa’s back hit the wall, and she fires right back to force the Frenchwoman back. Cornolle resets and lands a low kick, hopping away from a counter to connect with one more. A brief clinch leads to nothing, so Rosa reaches out with a right hand. Cornolle does the same, following with a left and then backing off. Cornolle sits down on a hard low kick, getting countered with two punches upstairs. Cornolle tries for a standing hammerfist, and Rosa tags her with counters as she circles away. Cornolle splits the guard with a right hand, and the two tie up as Rosa pushes her to the wall. Rosa changes levels but is stood up, and Cornolle frames off with an elbow. Cornolle plants her shin on Rosa’ lead leg, and she sways back to evade a looping right hand.
Cornolle has another leg kick countered with three punches up top, and Rosa follows with a one-two but the French striker has her guard up in time. Cornolle initiates a clinch, and Rosa turns her about and jams her up against the fence. Rosa ties up Cornolle’s leg for a trip attempt, but she does not get it. They knee one another on the inside and Cornolle tries to loop big punches when she gains a modicum of space. Rosa keeps her high and tight, kneeing her a few more times even as Cornolle has her elbow smushed in to the Brazilian’s face. Cornolle forces the break with her elbows, and she gets to walking Cornolle down and elbows her in the cheek. The clinch is engaged in the middle of the cage, where Cornolle delivers some knees to the body and is pressed to the fence. Cornolle escapes thanks to her elbows once more, and swelling is growing fast on Rosa’s left cheek. Cornolle knees her foe in the face twice as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cornolle
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Cornolle
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Cornolle

Round 2
Cornolle stalks her foe down to get going, putting hands right in Rosa’s face. Rosa responds immediately with a takedown shot, putting the Frenchwoman on her back in seconds. Cornolle hits her back and defends with a kimura, keeping a two-on-one wrist lock on Rosa’s left arm. Rosa uses her free right hand to smack Cornolle in the side to little effect, and she switches to elbow that land with small but growingly impactful thuds.
Cornolle tries to sit up, but Rosa gloms onto her and pushes her flat to her back. Rosa steps into full mount, and she fastens an arm-triangle mount that starts to smother the woman named “Wonder.” Rosa releases the grip to land some body shots, and she adjusts her arms again. When she does not secure it, she switches back to light punches to the side. Rosa stays heavy rather than sitting up to unload with power, and when she does, Cornolle sits up. Rosa flirts with a rear-naked choke that Cornolle defends without issue, but Rosa is still dominating her threatening with something or other. Rosa grasps hold of a brute force rear-naked choke that is on the nose, and she lets it go so she does not gas her arms out. Rosa bludgeons with ground strikes until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
The two women come out swinging, with Cornolle trying to pay Rosa back from the last round. Rosa goes back to her grappling quickly, tackling the Frenchwoman to the floor with relative ease and crawling on top of her into half guard. Rosa presses her shoulder down heavily on the side of Cornolle’s neck, grinding out her opponent rather than sitting up to inflict damage. Rosa scores a few pitter-patter body shots as she exerts top pressure, and Cornolle slashes and hacks at her off her back with stern elbows. The Brazilian hops to the other side, still in half guard, and Cornolle looks to her corner for answers.
Rosa loops her right arm beneath Cornolle’s neck and pushes her shoulder down on the windpipe for a one-armed arm-triangle choke, keeping Cornolle stuck on her back with no escape. Rosa stifles Cornolle from getting out, following her every twist and turn with the proper counter to remain on top. Cornolle tries to kick off with upkicks, and even lands an illegal one as Hatley lightly admonishes her for this. Rosa sits on top of her foe, bopping her with hammerfists until Cornolle turns to her side. Rosa tries for some kind of choke as she wraps her arms around the Frenchwoman, and she lets Cornolle turn over so she can work her over with punches. Rosa continues swinging, landing some to the back of the head as she turns it up in the last seconds. When time expires, the only question will be whether Rosa earned 10-8 scores in Rounds 2, 3 or both. The Brazilian keeps her decision streak intact, having gone the distance in all 12 of her UFC outings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-8 Rosa (29-27 Rosa)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Nora Cornolle via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-27, 29-27)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Connor picks Rosa, noting that Cornolle's only effective tool is clinch striking, and Rosa should be able to avoid that by using her range and volume. He acknowledges Rosa's inconsistency but believes even on a bad night she can outwork Cornolle, who has a very narrow path to victory.

"I think Hossa can pull it out as well, even on a bad night too."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Zane also picks Rosa, emphasizing that Cornolle's game is one-dimensional and Rosa has the tools to keep the fight at range. He notes that only Jacqueline Cavalcanti has beaten Cornolle by fighting technically at distance, and Rosa can replicate that. Zane warns that Rosa could fall into Cornolle's clinch, but believes she is unlikely to get out-wrestled or out-paced.

"I think so too. I do. She's unlikely to get out wrestled. She's unlikely to get out paced."
LOSS vs Ailín Pérez
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ailín Pérez 0 53 of 112 47% 120 of 182 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 62 of 131 47% 81 of 155 2 of 8 25% 0 0 4:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ailín Pérez 0 18 of 25 72% 48 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 13 of 23 56% 21 of 33 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:08
2 Ailín Pérez 0 11 of 33 33% 45 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 16 of 41 39% 27 of 53 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:50
3 Ailín Pérez 0 24 of 54 44% 27 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 33 of 67 49% 33 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ailín Pérez 53 of 112 47% 20 of 67 6 of 11 27 of 34 49 of 105 2 of 5 2 of 2
Karol Rosa 62 of 131 47% 28 of 87 11 of 17 23 of 27 56 of 121 2 of 3 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ailín Pérez 18 of 25 72% 8 of 14 1 of 2 9 of 9 16 of 22 0 of 1 2 of 2
Karol Rosa 13 of 23 56% 10 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 4 9 of 16 2 of 2 2 of 5
2 Ailín Pérez 11 of 33 33% 6 of 24 0 of 1 5 of 8 10 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 16 of 41 39% 5 of 25 6 of 10 5 of 6 14 of 38 0 of 1 2 of 2
3 Ailín Pérez 24 of 54 44% 6 of 29 5 of 8 13 of 17 23 of 52 1 of 2 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 33 of 67 49% 13 of 44 4 of 6 16 of 17 33 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ailin Perez vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-265), Perez (+215)

Round 1
Since making her promotional debut in 2019, Rosa (18-6, 7-3 UFC) has gone to decision in all 10 of her UFC outings. The Brazilian may tie a record if she hears the final bell against Perez (11-2, 4-1 UFC)—but the only decisions for Perez have come when she won the fight. Serving as the only women’s match of the evening, the ladies try to do their division justice and improve on the paltry finish rate that marred last year. They will do so as referee Mike Beltran takes charge of the cage. A fist bump starts the action, and Rosa assumes the center of the cage to get going. Slowly walking towards the Argentinian, Rosa ignores incoming leg kicks so she can let her hands go. Perez charges her, clinching up with a body lock to try for a takedown, and Rosa slides away and breaks free. As she marches forward again, Rosa lets go with a right hand, and Perez times a tackling takedown to put the Brazilian on her back. Landing in half guard, Perez gets right to work with grinding top control. The action stalls out with Perez dragged back to the full guard, as she lands the occasional blow and amassing plenty of control time. Perez passes to half guard on the other side, and Rosa actively pushes off the leg and launches an upkick to make Perez turn away and back off. Rosa punches her way into another exchange, where she stuffs a takedown and flicks out a jab at the end of it. Perez connects with three punches and darts away before getting caught, and she reaches down in hopes of catching a leg kick to attempt a takedown. Rosa tosses her out of the way and hammers the midsection with a right hand, and both ladies reset. Perez times a spinning back fist as Rosa advances, and Rosa gives her back a low kick to think about. Perez attempts high kick, and she fails to check a low kick when planting. Rosa keeps chewing up the lead leg of her opponent, forcing a stance switch. Perez waves on Rosa to come at her, but the round ends before she can.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Perez

Round 2
Perez leads off the round with peppering low kicks, keeping Rosa at bay early. Rosa jabs her way forward, and she whips a low kick up that appears to slap into Perez’ groin. Beltran calls time, and Perez takes a few seconds before getting back to it. They resume trading leg kicks, and Rosa overswings a right hand that allows Perez to clinch her. Rosa gets out of the tie-up to push out a jab, and she defends a takedown shot with relative ease. Perez paws out a front kick, and she raises her leg in time to stop a low kick from harming her. Rosa keeps her hands up to block a one-two, and she parries a spinning back fist and a body kick while pressing forward. Perez jumps at her with a knee, and Rosa pushes it to the side and punches her in the face. Perez works the body with a kick, and she backs off when a one-two is fired down the pipe. Perez scores a spinning back fist, lands and releases a body kick before Rosa can get to her. Rosa settles down, loops a right hand over the guard, and is out of range before a counter gets to her. Rosa puts two punches on the jaw and pops Perez with a flying knee, but the subsequent takedown attempt slows her down. Rosa defends the first try, but the second effort by the Argentinian leads to her securing top position, landing in half guard. Perez prefers position over offense when getting the fight down, clinging to her foe and softening her up with the occasional blow. Perez hangs on in an arm-triangle setup, only to get bucked back to the guard when it starts getting close. The round ends with both women striking while horizontal, and it might go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Perez
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Perez

Round 3
There is a double touch of gloves to begin the last round, and Perez paws out her left hand to start things off. They connect at the same time with alternating single punches, and then back away to reset. Perez scores a low kick and gets popped with a left hook, but it is one-and-done for the Brazilian. Rosa aims an overhand right at the target, and it brushes past “Fiona,” who chambers and fires two kicks in rapid succession. Rosa stalks down her adversary and jackhammers her with an inside low kick that makes Perez stumble and change stances. Perez returns fire with her own calf kick, and Rosa no-sells it and hacks at the front wheel. Rosa ducks a telegraphed spinning back fist and checks a few low kicks while pressing ahead, and her landed leg kick consistently gets Perez’ attention. Two big punches from Rosa force Perez to tie her up, and she cannot hold her for long before Rosa breaks away. Rosa nails the front leg with a kick that makes Perez wince, and some swelling develops above Perez’ left eye. Rosa stays in her foe’s face, keeping just out of range of the flying strikes so she can sit down on left hooks and leg kicks. Perez is compromised but still in the fight, and at the 90-second mark, Rosa does not appear to be aggressive to the point of forcing a finish. Instead, Rosa remains composed, slowly chipping away at either leg and jabbing her way forward. Perez smacks Rosa upside the head with a right hand, and Rosa stalks her around the cage lobbing punches and heavy kicks. Perez pushes her back with front kicks and a stomping kick to the knee, but Rosa decides to take a page out of her playbook and spin to strike. There is no finish, and the bantamweights go the distance to likely set a record for Rosa starting her UFC run with 11 straight decisions.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Perez)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Perez)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Perez)

The Official Result
Ailin Perez def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Angelo picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, believing her wrestling and forward pressure will be too much for Karol Rosa, who hasn't faced a strong wrestler recently. He notes that Rosa's takedown defense is untested against a wrestler of Pérez's style. He has a small bet on Pérez at +150 and is surprised the odds are widening instead of tightening.

Small bet half a unit on Ailín Pérez at +150; may double down or bet +3.5 rounds for cushion.
"I think aen Perez actually does win this fight I love her as an underdog I have a small little bed on her half a unit"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Cody picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, citing her wrestling and top control. He notes that Pérez has taken down all her UFC opponents and has improved rapidly at Fortis MMA. Rosa has poor takedown defense and no get-up game once taken down, as seen against Sarah McMahon and Norma Dumont. Cody believes Pérez will take Rosa down, control her, and win rounds. He also mentions that Rosa has no power and all her wins are by decision, so Pérez only needs to win the first two rounds.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"iien ien Perez sign me up Paul come on"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Daniel picks Pérez for the upset, noting that he has lost money betting on Rosa multiple times. He believes Pérez's relentless takedown attack and improved standup will be key. Daniel thinks if Pérez takes Rosa down, she can win. He mentions that Rosa has poor takedown defense and has faded in fights.

Daniel says he is not trying to lose money on Rosa for a fourth time. He picks Pérez to win.
"I'm gonna go with Eileen Perez for the upset"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Lucrative James picks Karol Rosa, stating she is the better overall MMA fighter with superior striking, cardio, experience, and grappling. He acknowledges Ailín Pérez's tenacious wrestling and potential to cause problems early, but notes Pérez's poor cardio and striking, which often leads to her fading in round three. James observes that Rosa typically has her best round in the third, while Pérez fades, making a late stoppage or decision win for Rosa likely. He understands the appeal of Pérez as a big underdog due to her grappling, but ultimately favors Rosa's well-rounded game.

"I have to pick Carol Roser in this fight but I understand if you're taking Perez as a massive Underdog just because of the potential that this is women's MMA kind of close fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Karol Rosa

The host believes Rosa has a significant striking advantage and can stay upright against Perez's grinding grappling. He expects Rosa to chop away at the lead leg and possibly muster a late finish, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

"I'm going to go with HOSA and HOSA to win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Pérez. He notes that if the fight becomes a grappling match, Pérez has the advantage. Paul acknowledges that Pérez's cardio has been problematic in round three, but believes she can win the first two rounds. At plus 210, he sees plenty of value. He also mentions that Rosa has no power, so Pérez can afford to slow down late.

No specific prop bet mentioned.
"at plus 210 they're giving me plenty of meat on the bone too to take a shot there so I'm with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Ailín Pérez. He argues that Rosa is better at MMA overall, with great takedown defense, ability to get back to her feet, and striking that doesn't look amateurish. He notes Rosa has competed with top division fighters like Irene Aldana and Norma Dumont, and outlanded Aldana. He sees this as a step up for Pérez against a real MMA fighter.

"I'm going to side with Carol Rosa I just think it's the next step in aen Perez's career where she actually faces a female MMA fighter who is good at MMA"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 117 of 194 60% 140 of 223 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 92 of 182 50% 138 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 42 of 74 56% 42 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 40 of 80 50% 40 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karol Rosa 0 52 of 84 61% 56 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 43 of 78 55% 44 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karol Rosa 0 23 of 36 63% 42 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 9 of 24 37% 54 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 117 of 194 60% 70 of 132 8 of 9 39 of 53 100 of 170 16 of 23 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 92 of 182 50% 56 of 138 20 of 27 16 of 17 82 of 163 10 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 42 of 74 56% 21 of 42 2 of 2 19 of 30 42 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 40 of 80 50% 18 of 52 13 of 18 9 of 10 39 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 52 of 84 61% 33 of 62 1 of 2 18 of 20 49 of 80 3 of 4 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 43 of 78 55% 33 of 66 5 of 7 5 of 5 39 of 70 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 23 of 36 63% 16 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 16 13 of 19 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 9 of 24 37% 5 of 20 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 14 5 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-205), Kianzad (+170)

Round 1
A women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Kianzad (16-8, 5-5 UFC) against Rosa (17-6, 6-3 UFC) closes out the preliminaries and should provide some clarity in terms of mid-card pecking order at 135 pounds. Kianzad enters the Octagon on the heels of back-to-back losses, having fallen back to the .500 mark within the promotion. Beltran administers the law and order. No glove touch. Kianzad jabs to the body. Rosa answers with a leg kick, then another. The impact spins around Kianzad. Another low kick from Rosa, whose game plan comes into view inside the first minute. One-two from Rosa. Inside leg kick from the Brazilian. Kianzad answers with an overhand left, but she eats yet another leg kick. Kianzad doubles up on the jab but misses the target. Rosa cuts loose with a two-punch volley and mixes in an inside leg kick. Jab from Rosa, then a low kick. Kianzad responds with a sharp right hand, followed by a left hook. The Swede now doing all she can to keep her leg out of harm’s way. No luck. Rosa finds the mark with another kick. They exchange in the center. Kianzad fires a three-punch volley, resets and lands a right hand. Leg kick from Rosa. Kianzad goes to throw a kick, loses her balance and hits the deck. Back on the feet, Rosa greets her with a flying knee.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 2
This could get ugly if Kianzad does not address the kicks. She doubles up on the left hook. Rosa answers with multiple low kicks, then steps into an elbow. They trade in the center. Rosa continues to damage the legs, then opens a cut on the forehead with another elbow. Blood streams down between Kianzad’s eyes. Rosa backs her up with punches, shields herself from the return fire and gets her hands in gear again. Kianzad welcomes her into the clinch with a knee to the ribs. Rosa responds with short-range elbow. Kianzad’s lead leg has swelled to twice its normal size. Rosa lands a short left hook. Jab from Rosa, then a leg kick. Kianzad hops in visible distress. Less than a minute to go. Nice one-two from Kianzad. Rosa answers with a jab and follows it with a leg kick. Kianzad is going to have a hard time going to sleep. Rosa jabs at the end of the middle stanza and closes with a kick.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
They clinch to start the third round. Rosa controls the position and mixes in a few elbows before they separate. Rosa with a one-two. A significant hematoma now developing outside of Kianzad’s right eye. Rosa executes a takedown, likely surprising the Swede. Kianzad scores with short punches and elbows from the bottom. Blood becoming more of an issue for the former Cage Warriors champion. Kianzad gets to a knee, builds a base and gets back to her feet. Halfway home in Round 3. Rosa presses her into the fence and creates enough space to rip some elbows upstairs. Punches follow. Somebody get Kianzad some ice. Rosa continues to crowd her along the cage, bleeding time off the clock. She alternates between clinching and punching. Stellar performance from the Brazilian. They trade knees as the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Pannie Kianzad—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.

Over 2.5 rounds should be safe but got burned on that last time with Pannie
"HOSA is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.

"total doger pass total CF dot model peny kad's got A plus number next to her name that's my pick this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.

Rosa by split decision; maybe taking either woman to win by split decision
"I still am going to lean on the HOSA side here as I think she's the better overall fighter and I'm really hoping that she decides to go to a grappling here behind her striking so she can separate herself …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.

"I took uh I found a plus 180 uh earlier this morning and uh took Penny keed that's uh that's where I'm at here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa, stating she is more committed to the game and younger than Pannie Kianzad. He does not provide extensive technical analysis but expresses confidence in her dedication and age advantage.

"I'm going to go with Carol Rosa winning that one... I just think she's more committed to the game way more committed to the game"
LOSS vs Irene Aldana
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Dec 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Irene Aldana 0 145 of 308 47% 145 of 308 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 204 of 350 58% 204 of 350 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Irene Aldana 0 30 of 88 34% 30 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 45 of 89 50% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Irene Aldana 0 54 of 109 49% 54 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 67 of 108 62% 67 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Irene Aldana 0 61 of 111 54% 61 of 111 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 92 of 153 60% 92 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Irene Aldana 145 of 308 47% 122 of 276 20 of 28 3 of 4 145 of 308 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 204 of 350 58% 103 of 237 6 of 11 95 of 102 204 of 349 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Irene Aldana 30 of 88 34% 23 of 75 5 of 10 2 of 3 30 of 88 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 45 of 89 50% 11 of 52 2 of 2 32 of 35 45 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Irene Aldana 54 of 109 49% 48 of 103 5 of 5 1 of 1 54 of 109 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 67 of 108 62% 37 of 73 1 of 4 29 of 31 67 of 107 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Irene Aldana 61 of 111 54% 51 of 98 10 of 13 0 of 0 61 of 111 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 92 of 153 60% 55 of 112 3 of 5 34 of 36 92 of 153 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Irene Aldana vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aldana (-205), Rosa (+170)

Round 1
The winner of this next preliminary affair could posture themselves in line for the next title shot, given the dearth of contenders at 135 pounds. Aldana (14-7, 7-5 UFC) is coming off a deflating defeat to the great Amanda Nunes, while Rosa (17-5, 6-2 UFC) has shifted around from bantamweight to featherweight until the latter disintegrated. Whether this lasts three minutes or three full rounds, referee Jason Herzog has clocked in and is ready for what comes next. There is a sporting glove touch between the women, and Aldana strikes first with a quick jab. Rosa strings two punches and a leg kick together to give something back, and Aldana is right there to pop her with a one-two when that completes. Rosa meanders forward as chants for “Mexico” rain down, and Aldana meets her with a few peppering jabs. Rosa lunges with two more punches and a low kick, and she skirts away from a right hand that zips towards her. Aldana absorbs a few more lead leg kicks, and she gets driven back by the Brazilian with a straight right hand. Aldana sticks out a sharp jab and reddens the nose of her foe with a couple subsequent punches, and Rosa retaliates with a fierce leg kick that spins Aldana around and sits her on her seat momentarily. Aldana gathers her thoughts and tanks two more kicks, and she marches forward putting hands on Rosa. Aldana connects with a solid one-two, but Rosa continues to chop her down like a tree. Less than three minutes in, and Aldana’s left leg is welted on both sides and showing some damage. Rosa does not take her foot off the gas as she continues to work on the boxer’s leg, and Aldana forces responses with long, leaning punches. Rosa’s defense stays effective enough to show little harm from the punches, and she slams her shin on the inside of Aldana’s thigh. Aldana is wearing it, but she bites down on her mouthpiece and connects with numerous punches up top. Rosa chambers and fires more legs kicks, never allowing Aldana to feel comfortable, and Aldana is not bothering to check or do anything about them. Instead, Aldana plods forward, jabbing and dinging Rosa with punches. Rosa, the bridge of her nose cut, pounds on Aldana’s lead leg with kicks on the inside and out. Aldana toughs it out, but every time one lands, her knee nearly buckles. Aldana maintains a stiff upper lip, backing Rosa off with her long, accurate punches. Aldana gets off a right hand, and Rosa rocks her with a head kick shortly thereafter. The horn sounds, with both ladies licking their wounds after five harsh minutes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 2
The two practically sprint off of their stools to get ready for the second round, and they quickly touch gloves first. Rosa gets right back to bombarding Aldana with ferocious kicks, and Aldana is in her face piecing her up with punches. Rosa gives back punches, in lesser volume, but her kicks make more than up for it. Aldana hops around back and forth to try to get some feeling back in her lead wheel, as Rosa is chopping hard at the inner thigh that is welted and swollen. Rosa uses her leg kicks to open up punches up top, and Aldana continues to fight through the pain and blasts Rosa in the face with a one-two. Aldana punches her way into a long combination, and she tags Rosa with a straight right hand. Rosa chomps down on her gumshield and slings leather right back, but Aldana continues to peck and poke away at her with effective punches. With Rosa’s back against the wall, she has nowhere to go, and Aldana lays into her with long series of punches. Rosa cannot get off kicks when in close range, until Aldana backs off. Rosa falls over when throwing a kick, and Aldana lets her back up so that she can chain punches en masse. Aldana pours it on as Rosa begins to slow, and the right hands from the Mexican draw serious swelling on Rosa’s left eye. Rosa fearlessly trades leather, but Aldana is the far superior pure boxer and does some damage. The Brazilian gets enough space to lob out low kicks, until Aldana crowds her with her fists. Rosa tries to back her off courtesy of a jump knee, and Aldana parries it and comes out firing. Aldana starts kiaiing when landing punches, and Rosa’s face is busted up from taking punishment. Aldana ignores the leg kicks, even when aimed at her calf, and she stings Rosa with a vicious uppercut. Rosa throws caution to the wind and starts brawling, and Aldana takes it to her with several more crisp punches until the horn ends the wild round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aldana
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aldana
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Aldana

Round 3
The ladies are glad to touch ’em up to begin the last round, and Aldana is fired up. The first punch Aldana throws rocks Rosa, and Rosa takes a quick count of her teeth and absorbs a few more fiery punches. Rosa connects with a few low kicks on the inside and out, and Aldana jabs her way into a blistering exchange. Rosa gets her swollen eye smashed as she kicks Aldana’s leg out, and Aldana’s one-two continues to find its home. Rosa picks up the number of low kicks again, intercepting an advancing Aldana. Aldana rips an uppercut in the midst of a salvo, and Rosa chops her lead leg down like Van Damme kicking the banana tree in “Kickboxer.” Rosa continues her assault of leg kicks, and Aldana finds her mark with head shots and one big one to the body. Aldana busts open the mouse under Rosa’s eye and spams uppercuts, and Rosa is backing off but still trading. This is insane. Aldana may not realize how hurt Rosa is, and she does not target the body as much and continues teeing off up top. Rosa throws back with everything she has, and Aldana drills the liver with a left hand. Aldana starts aiming punches to the body, and she mixes shots up top and down to the midsection. Rosa is tough as a two-dollar steak, bleeding from both eyes and compromised by body shots, but she is still in the fight. Aldana connects again and again with long chains of punches, transforming Rosa’s face into an unrecognizable visage, and Rosa counters with bombs. With 30 seconds left, Rosa decides it is time to start brawling, chin be darned. Aldana walks through leg kicks and busts Rosa in the chops with everything she has. Aldana smashes Rosa’s nose, and blood is leaking out of Rosa’s face from basically everywhere. Rosa may take some steps back, but she does not stop trading furious leather until the bitter end. The final bell sounds, putting an end to a sure-fire “Fight of the Night” winner immediately worthy of “Fight of the Year” consideration. What an absolutely sensational firefight!

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aldana (29-28 Aldana)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Aldana (29-28 Aldana)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Aldana (29-28 Aldana)

The Official Result
Irene Aldana def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Irene Aldana

Angelo picks Irene Aldana but is hesitant, citing concerns about fighters coming off title losses. He acknowledges Rosa's busy striking and takedown ability, but believes Aldana's size and power should prevail. He does not trust her with his money.

No bet; concerned about post-title loss spiral
"Irene aldana is the pick probably medium level confidence... I don't trust her with my money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa as a slight underdog, calling it a close fight. He likes Aldana's striking and power but notes Rosa's youth (7 years younger), high volume (over 5 significant strikes per minute), and improving grappling (brown/black belt in BJJ). Brady believes Rosa can get takedowns, as she has in 5 UFC fights, and potentially win minutes on the mat. He predicts a very close split decision for Rosa.

"I am going to pick the dog here and Carol HOSA to win a very very close split competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, arguing that Aldana's takedown defense is a major liability and that Rosa has the volume and wrestling to win. He notes that Aldana was nearly beaten by Macy Chiasson before landing a lucky upkick, and that Rosa is younger and has shown improvement. Cody believes Rosa can swarm Aldana with volume and mix in takedowns to secure a decision. He is not fully confident but sees Rosa as the dog pick.

"dog number three for me... car Rosa"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Irene Aldana

Daniel Vreeland picks Irene Aldana as his lock, stating that Karol Rosa is in over her head in the striking department and won't get enough grappling going. He thinks the line on Aldana is nice at around -200.

"I'm gonna take uh aren Alana I think Carol Jose is in over her head here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Lucrative James is confident Karol Rosa is the side at plus money. He believes Irene Aldana's win over Macy Chiasson was a fluke (upkick from bottom) and that she was losing that fight. He thinks Rosa can get takedowns and control from top, and that the fight is close on the feet. He calls betting on Aldana at minus 230 'mental' and says Rosa should not be plus 180.

"Karol Rosa should not be plus 180... this is ridiculous."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The host picks Rosa as an underdog, citing her youth, potential, and well-rounded game. He believes Rosa can out-grapple Aldana, who has shown vulnerabilities in the clinch and on the ground. He notes that Rosa can be competitive on the feet but should look to close the distance and implement her grappling. He expects Rosa to win a decision by putting together a better MMA package.

Rosa by decision
"give me the youngster here the 28-year-old at least relative to the 35-year-old AR adala uh as I think HOSA can go out there and put together a better MMA package here and win this fight on the scorecards so …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Paul picks Rosa as an underdog, citing Aldana's poor takedown defense and Rosa's volume and wrestling. He notes that Aldana has been taken down easily in past fights and that Rosa can win on the feet or by mixing in takedowns. Paul acknowledges both fighters are untrustworthy but sees value in Rosa at +160. He believes Rosa's cardio and volume will be key.

"I'll go with the CF dot model here and uh and side with Carol Rosa"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Irene Aldana

The Guru picks Irene Aldana over Karol Rosa, despite Aldana's poor performance against Amanda Nunes. He notes Aldana's wins over Macy Chiasson and Yana Santos, and believes she has a finishing advantage and is physically bigger. He expects Aldana to win easily.

"I'm going with Irene aldana... Irene aldana beats her really easily even though she was absolutely [ __ ] scared of Amanda Nunes"
WIN vs Yana Santos
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 95 of 156 60% 151 of 213 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:53
Yana Santos 0 66 of 130 50% 117 of 181 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 33 of 54 61% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Yana Santos 0 12 of 26 46% 35 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Karol Rosa 0 29 of 44 65% 48 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:34
Yana Santos 0 20 of 44 45% 42 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Karol Rosa 0 33 of 58 56% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yana Santos 0 34 of 60 56% 40 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 95 of 156 60% 20 of 69 42 of 47 33 of 40 63 of 113 32 of 43 0 of 0
Yana Santos 66 of 130 50% 38 of 95 18 of 21 10 of 14 48 of 106 12 of 14 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 33 of 54 61% 11 of 31 17 of 18 5 of 5 14 of 27 19 of 27 0 of 0
Yana Santos 12 of 26 46% 7 of 20 4 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 22 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 29 of 44 65% 5 of 19 13 of 13 11 of 12 18 of 32 11 of 12 0 of 0
Yana Santos 20 of 44 45% 14 of 36 5 of 6 1 of 2 16 of 38 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 33 of 58 56% 4 of 19 12 of 16 17 of 23 31 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
Yana Santos 34 of 60 56% 17 of 39 9 of 11 8 of 10 24 of 46 4 of 4 6 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Karol Rosa vs. Yana Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-175), Santos (+150)

Round 1
A few weeks ago, Santos (14-7, 1 NC; 4-4 UFC) was expecting to encounter Macy Chiasson at bantamweight in what would have been an important fight given the post-Amanda Nunes landscape. Instead, she moves up in weight to the practically empty featherweight category to throw down with Rosa (16-5, 5-2 UFC). In theory, this could be a no. 1 contender fight if the promotion keeps the women’s 145-pound category together, but that remains to be seen. It will go down under the watchful eye of referee Kerry Hatley, and it kicks off with a cordial fist bump. Rosa engages first and throws hands, and Santos meets her with a few powerful punches right back. Santos strides forward to get a few knees up the middle, and Rosa replies with a sharp elbow when they are clinched. The two frantically race at one another, and Rosa grips the clinch and gets elbows on the break. Santos punches her way in, and she shells up when Rosa counters with a left and a right. The two both swing hard, and this results in a tie-up that Santos uses to push the Brazilian to the wall. Santos clings to her foe, kneeing her a few times from either side. Santos grinds, and Rosa palms her on the ear a few times. Santos chips away with short knees to the midsection, staying busy in the position while keeping Rosa stuck with her back at the wall. Santos sneaks an elbow over the top and stays closely pressed to her adversary, as her strike totals add up in this clinch position. Santos peppers Rosa with short left hands as she hangs on, and another elbow gets over the top before Rosa explodes to turn her around. Rosa gives her one single knee back before Santos tries to turn her about, and they split up. Rosa walks Santos down, and she blocks a body kick and bounces back. Santos throws punches and a body kick, and Rosa takes a subsequent front kick to the body. Rosa counters a leg kick with an overhand right, and she chases Santos around until they bump heads together. They end up clinching in the middle of the cage, and Santos shoves her to the fencing and starts up her knee attack again. Santos elects to separate, and Rosa connects with an overhand right that makes Santos think twice about closing in. Santos tosses out a low kick, and she spins with a back kick to the body. They both try to elbow each other from up close, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
The second round begins as Rosa moves to the center of the cage and starts chasing Santos around again. Santos ducks back from a big one-two, and Rosa lands a solid body shot before Santos can grab hold of her and initiate the clinch. Rosa backs off to find a better angle of approach, and she goes back in and is quickly turned around by the Russian. Santos throws knees to any target, squeezing Rosa tight against the fence before popping her with an elbow. Santos backs away, and crashes forward to clinch back up. Santos sneaks over another elbow and decides to break, and Rosa starts walking her down throwing punches. They trade blows, and Rosa ends with a good right hand. They tie up and trade knees in the Thai clinch, and Santos circles away to keep moving. Santos whiffs on an axe kick, and they crash together for a brief clinch until they push off. Rosa stalks down her opponent, and she lands a leg kick only to get countered with an overhand right. Rosa marches forward with impunity, and she knees Santos on the way in. The two ladies engage in single strike excursions, where they dart in, land something, and get out. They take turns in these kinds of engagements, and Rosa fires off a head kick and lets Santos brush past her. Santos kicks the body with a side kick, and she keeps strafing laterally. Rosa lands a right hand and has her head kick blocked, and she swats away a step-in elbow so she can close the distance. Santos welcomes this and turns her around without batting an eye, and the close round wraps with the two stuck together.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
The last round has been reached, and Rosa is the immediate aggressor as she throws big punches. Santos snatches her up and pulls her into the clinch game, but Rosa pushes her away to return to kickboxing range. Santos keeps moving, and she kicks the body a few times as Rosa walks towards her. Santos comes in to clinch, and she backs out with an elbow that grazes off the cheek. Rosa plants the ball of her foot on Santos’ midsection, and she fires off a one-two that gets Santos’ attention. They trade heavy leg kicks, and the pocket collapses as they both rush at the other to launch knees. Rosa pushes off, and she counters a body kick with a thudding right hand. Santos hops back and gathers her thoughts, and she kicks low again. They swipe at one another with big kicks, and Rosa lumps her foe up with a right hand and a low kick that does not give off a slapping sound. Rosa plods onward, beating Santos to the punch a few times in brief skirmishes, and she lands a right hand on the nose to make Santos blink it out. Rose aims a right to the body, and she checks a leg kick in response. Santos tries to keep Rosa away with a front kick, and Rosa walks through it and parries a body kick that follows. Rosa splits the guard with a one-two, and the Brazilian is the aggressor and swinging with heavier blows. Santos peppers the lead leg with a kick, and Rosa delivers one much heavier. Rosa ties her up to land one single elbow, and she pushes off to gain space and not get trapped. Rosa lumbers towards her opponent constantly, throwing punches and the occasional kick, and Santos is stuck looking for counters. A high kick from Rosa grazes off the top of the head, and she plants a one-two on the chin. Rosa trips Santos out with 15 seconds left in the fight, and she jams down elbows to the face and punches to the side to conclude the fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Yana Santos via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa, expecting her volume and takedown threats to disrupt Yana Santos's rhythm. He notes Yana is the better technical striker but Rosa's busy output and wrestling will be key. He predicts a decision win for Rosa, similar to her win over Lina Lansberg but without a knockdown. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds (potential bet)
"I think it's a pretty straightforward spot for Carol right I think Jana's gonna be the better striker in technique but Carol's gonna be too busy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Yana Santos has looked atrocious lately, with poor takedown defense (45%) and losses to Holly Holm and Irene Aldana. He believes Rosa's black belt in BJJ and superior striking volume will allow her to control the fight on the mat and on the feet. He acknowledges the fight could get greasy but is confident Rosa has her covered everywhere.

"I'm gonna pick Carol HOSA to win this fight I'll say she wins this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody likes Rosa's volume and wrestling advantage. He notes Santos has poor takedown defense and get-up game, as seen in fights against Vieira and Holm. Rosa can wrestle and has good durability. Cody thinks Rosa will press Santos against the cage, take her down, and grind out a decision. He also notes Rosa's ability to put up high strike numbers.

"calrose has the favorite yeah I'm gonna have to back that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Daniel leans Rosa but is concerned about her recent drop in volume and defensive grappling holes. He notes Rosa's past high-volume performances and toughness, but worries that Yana could control her against the fence and win close rounds. He expects Rosa to win but sees a path for Yana via grinding decisions, making the -150 price unappealing. He calls it a pass at these odds.

"I like hosted a win but I don't like it enough at these odds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Paul picks Rosa, citing her significant strike volume (125 vs Kohaya, 171 vs Procopio) compared to Santos' low volume. He notes Rosa's wrestling advantage and Santos' recent losses. Paul thinks Rosa by decision is likely, but he may not bet it due to the price.

Rosa by decision at -115
"I can understand why she's a minus 170 favorite am I going to get to that from a betting perspective you know me probably not"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The Guru picks Karol Rosa, calling her technically sound and noting her win over Joseline Edwards. He doesn't see her being out-grappled by Yana Santos. However, he expresses frustration with women's MMA, calling it a coin flip and saying 'whatever happens happens,' indicating low confidence.

"I'm gonna go with Carol Rosa here I actually think she's quite technically sound as a fighter"
LOSS vs Norma Dumont
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 1 33 of 68 48% 144 of 194 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:13
Karol Rosa 0 35 of 87 40% 63 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 8 of 19 42% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karol Rosa 0 11 of 26 42% 15 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
2 Norma Dumont 0 7 of 18 38% 47 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:57
Karol Rosa 0 11 of 28 39% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
3 Norma Dumont 1 18 of 31 58% 72 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:16
Karol Rosa 0 13 of 33 39% 21 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 33 of 68 48% 19 of 43 8 of 11 6 of 14 20 of 53 13 of 15 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 35 of 87 40% 18 of 64 9 of 13 8 of 10 27 of 76 8 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 8 of 19 42% 3 of 7 3 of 5 2 of 7 6 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 11 of 26 42% 5 of 17 2 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 7 of 18 38% 4 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 1 4 of 13 3 of 5 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 11 of 28 39% 7 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 21 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 18 of 31 58% 12 of 23 2 of 2 4 of 6 10 of 23 8 of 8 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 13 of 33 39% 6 of 25 3 of 3 4 of 5 11 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Norma Dumont vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-115), Rosa (-105)

Round 1
An all-Brazil battle at the rare women’s featherweight category is about to play out, with the victor here between Rosa (16-4, 5-1 UFC) and Dumont (8-2, 4-2 UFC) very possibly a win away from a crack at the belt in that division – should the champ wish to defend. Unlike the previous matchup that expected a knockout that did not get delivered, these ladies have gone the distance a combined 19 times in their 30 pro outings, while accounting for all nine of their UFC wins. Referee Chris Tognoni might be in this one for the long haul, and it opens up with a touch of gloves. The featherweights are tentative to engage, with Rosa reaching out with a low kick and a front kick from out of range to account for the first minute. They spring into action, throwing alternating hooks, and they catch one another as Rosa gets the worst of it and blinks it out. Dumont moves to the center of the Octagon and throws the low kick, and she swats out with a left to follow. A person from the crowd shows “let’s go” to spur the ladies into action, as they stand in front of one another doing nothing. Tognoni asks them to fight, and they do, briefly, with looping hooks aimed at one another. After the exchange, they get back to a lull of inactivity, with Rosa landing a single leg kick. Dumont answers with one, and Tognoni implores them to do something. Dumont crashes the pocket and ties Rosa up, and she is warned for hooking her fingers in the fence to keep Rosa stuck against it. Rosa punches her opponent on the posterior as Dumont gloms onto her, and Dumont pays it no mind as she presses on the Parana Vale Tudo fighter. Tognoni tells Dumont to stay busy, and Rosa punches her in the backside a few more times before Dumont knees her in the belly. Tognoni breaks the two up after nothing happens in the clinch, and they start slinging leather in short bursts. Dumont calms down and lands a leg kick, one that Rosa meets immediately after. Dumont springs forward with two punches that split the guard, and she takes punches and a pair of knees in response before the slow round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
The second round kicks off as the two ladies high-five, and Dumont gets her engine roaring as she throws down. Fists fly, and Rosa takes a few on the chin that knock her back to the wall. Dumont tags her a few more times, until the featherweights clinch up, and Dumont immediately grabs it and is warned. The punches from “The Immortal” cause some serious damage on Rosa’s eye, as a cut appears to have formed on or around the eyelid to make Rosa look as if she were weeping blood a la Le Chiffre. It is not a derangement of the tear duct, and instead a result of Dumont’s effective left hand, but they slow down in the clinch. Tognoni considers breaking them, until Rosa sets up a Thai clinch and knees the body a few times. Dumont squeezes her against the wall even tighter, and is once more warned for hooking her fingers in the chain links. Rosa is able to escape the clinch and still seems to be able to see, as she swings her way into a combination that ends up with another tie-up. Rosa pursues a body lock takedown, and Dumont stays upright as Tognoni watches on to make sure no funny business happens. Dumont tries to counter throw her opponent, and Rosa stops it from succeeding and knees her on the chin. Dumont gives her a knee back to the body, and Rosa is content to jam Dumont up in this position. Try as she might, Dumont cannot escape, and Rosa belts her in the face with a cheeky elbow. The round concludes as Rosa breaks off to throw hands, with Dumont replying with a knee to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 3
A glove touch starts off the last round at range, and Dumont opens up with two leg kicks and one to the midsection. Rosa throws one back, prompting Dumont to retaliate with a one-two down the middle. Rosa is caught when throwing by Dumont’s oncoming clinch attempt, but they do not tie one another up and instead return to kickboxing range. Dumont sticks out a jab on that damaged eye and scores a low kick, and it is partially checked as she hops on it when recoiling. Dumont jabs the body as Rosa kicks her in the body, and Rosa gets off a quick right hand over the top. Rosa charges her way into a clinch, landing a few shots before closing the distance, and Dumont turns her around with ease. Dumont hangs on with this position, slowing down any offense from either fighter to practically nothing, as Rosa wriggles her arms while Dumont holds both underhooks. Rosa gains space by a matter of inches to use her elbow to frame off and push away, and Dumont counters with a throw that dumps the PRVT fighter to her back. Rosa jumps right back up instead of settling on her back, and she whips a one-two at her opponent. Rosa loads up on a right hand, and Dumont drops to a knee and shakes her head out. Rosa crashes towards her, and she ends up clinching instead of throwing more strikes. Rosa gets off a couple short elbows and a right hand from up close, and Dumont recovers by holding on and turning her about in the tie-up. Rosa gets some space with 30 seconds to spare, and Rosa walks her down and slugs her in the face with her right hand. Dumont backs off, and she seeks a clinch to slow things down. Rosa throws her foe down on her face, and when they stand up, Rosa spins with a back elbow that drills into the face of “The Immortal.” Dumont is stunned but still with it, and the horn blows to end this drudge of a potential eliminator.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Angelo picks Norma Dumont as an underdog, surprised she is +125. He trusts her size, takedown defense, and striking acumen. He notes that while Rosa has high volume, she gets hit twice as often. He thinks Dumont's technical striking will be the difference and that she can pull off the upset.

"I like Norma Dumont here she's sitting at plus 125 right now and I'm surprised... Norma Dumont Underdog pick on this card I think she's gonna pull off the upset."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Big Brady leans with Norma Dumont to win by split decision, but has no confidence in the pick. He notes that the fight is at featherweight, which favors Dumont's size, and that the grappling exchanges will decide the winner. He sees both fighters having been taken down in the past, but gives a slight edge to Dumont's size to get on top and win minutes on the ground. He is passing on betting this fight entirely.

passing on betting
"I'm going to take her I'm going to say she does get take down Sierra she does get on top she uses that size to kind of win minutes on the ground but just no no confidence in this fight …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, hoping she can use her volume and speed to outwork Dumont. He notes Dumont doesn't wrestle enough and Rosa has good takedown defense. However, he admits it's a close fight and he is relying on Dumont fighting a bad game plan. He acknowledges Dumont's wrestling could be a problem if she uses it.

"I'm gonna go roast to the other side but uh I hear you I think it's gonna come down to the takedown with Carol Rosa"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Connor picks Karol Rosa, arguing that Dumont is too patient and doesn't know how to grapple, which will be a problem against Rosa's willingness to wrestle. He notes that Rosa flourishes when she can dictate the nature of the fight, and Dumont's lack of pressure will allow Rosa to work. Connor also criticizes Dumont's resume, saying she has mostly beaten non-threatening opponents.

Odds comment: Rosa opened at -142, currently -103; Dumont opened at +128, now -114. Connor says that line movement doesn't make sense.
"I think that this probably makes this Dumont fight a pretty good one for Hosa, frankly."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Karol Rosa is the more well-rounded fighter with better output, technical striking, and ground game. However, she is moving up to featherweight, where Norma Dumont has a size and strength advantage. Rosa struggled against the physicality of Sarah McMahon in the past. Dumont is a wild card with inconsistent performances and weight issues. Rosa should use her footwork and volume to outpoint Dumont, but it's a close fight. Prediction: Rosa by decision, with low confidence.

Over 2.5 rounds might be a good play
"I'm still going to lean with the hostess side thinking that she has more paths to Victory here... I'm thinking that we're going to see a horse out Striker here win this five-year decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

Paul picks Dumont, noting he got her at plus 125 earlier. He believes Dumont has the power and wrestling advantage, and can take Rosa down and control her. He acknowledges Rosa's volume and speed but thinks Dumont's size and strength will be decisive. He mentions the line has moved to minus 120 and there may not be much value left.

"big Norm will be my pick I'm already on her um but at a significantly better price as this becomes more like minus 120 minus 130 I mean I don't know if there's too much meat on the bone"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, agreeing with a coin flip. He thinks Dumont is a much better fighter than Karol Rosa, noting Rosa's lack of takedown ability and Dumont's decent takedown defense. He cites Dumont's clean win over Danielle Wolfe and believes she will outclass Rosa on the feet. He predicts a decision win, 29-28 or 30-27.

decision
"I am going to go with Norma Jamon here I just think she's like such a better fighter than Carol Rosa is"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Karol Rosa. He notes that Dumont is a solid counter puncher but too patient and doesn't seize initiative. Zane believes Rosa will get a ton of time to work and that Dumont struggles when put on her back. He also points out that Rosa is a willing wrestler and that Dumont's wins are over weak competition.

"I think so too. I mean, I do think it has the potential to... we might see some interesting clashes here because Dumont for all of her overpatience, it is because she is a pretty solid counter puncher."
Decision (majority) (29–27, 29–27, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 54 of 74 72% 160 of 190 3 of 6 50% 0 0 9:44
Lina Länsberg 1 36 of 60 60% 100 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 6 of 10 60% 42 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:59
Lina Länsberg 1 7 of 10 70% 22 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:56
2 Karol Rosa 0 15 of 16 93% 58 of 64 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:29
Lina Länsberg 0 4 of 12 33% 28 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karol Rosa 0 33 of 48 68% 60 of 77 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:16
Lina Länsberg 0 25 of 38 65% 50 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 54 of 74 72% 31 of 46 13 of 16 10 of 12 24 of 38 15 of 20 15 of 16
Lina Länsberg 36 of 60 60% 15 of 39 20 of 20 1 of 1 18 of 42 16 of 16 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Lina Länsberg 7 of 10 70% 3 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 15 of 16 93% 7 of 7 1 of 1 7 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 14 of 15
Lina Länsberg 4 of 12 33% 3 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Karol Rosa 33 of 48 68% 22 of 34 11 of 14 0 of 0 19 of 29 14 of 19 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 25 of 38 65% 9 of 22 16 of 16 0 of 0 12 of 25 13 of 13 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Lina Lansberg vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-295), Lansberg (+245)

Round 1
The big show is upon us, and if you live in North America, you’re getting up early for this one and for good reason. A cool dozen fights – with most matches featuring ranked competitors – will grace this blockbuster event, one that begins in the women’s 135-pound weight class. Rising contender and Jessica Andrade training partner Rosa (15-4, 4-1 UFC) will look to get back on track after a humbling defeat to Sara McMann in March, while 40-year-old Swede Lansberg (10-6, 4-5 UFC) intends on demonstrating she is not done yet as she hunts for her first win since 2019. The first match of the day draws officiating from referee Lukasz Bosacki, and it begins without a glove touch. As a note, the UFC commentary team of Jon Anik, Daniel Cormier and Paul Felder is completely silent, possibly from technical difficulties. The two ladies jab at one another, and Rosa tosses out a body kick. Rosa fires off another kick, and Lansberg counters her with a right hand over the top that drops Rosa to her seat. The crowd erupts, and Lansberg sprints forwards but cannot reach her opponent before Rosa springs to her feet. Still a little tingly, Rosa runs straight into Lansberg, where she pushes her straight into the fence and clings on tight. Lansberg gladly accepts this position, turns her foe around and knees her in the belly a few times. Lansberg stays busy in the clinch, working the thighs and midsection with knees, and Bosacki calls for action. The two ladies both consider takedowns at the same time, and Rosa is the stronger woman and shoves Lansberg down to the mat. The Brazilian lands in half guard, and she postures up but Lansberg is clinging to her wrists to prevent any offense. Meanwhile, Lansberg is attempting to slash with elbows off her back, and this allows Rosa to get her own strikes going from above. Rosa settles for control time as she rides and drops down a few punches, but the strikes are sporadic at best. Rosa shifts momentarily to three-quarter mount, but opts to stand up right before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lansberg
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 2
The commentary resumes at the beginning of the second round, but fight fans might pine for an option for no commentary for broadcasts going forward – not because Jon Anik is not an exceptional fight caller, but because it provides a different and interesting option to watch fights. At the start of Round 2, Rosa blitzes forward and hits a takedown within seconds. Rosa comfortably sits on top, with Lansberg unable to reverse, sweep or find a better angle. Rosa places her foe flat on her back, and she grinds her elbow on the face of “Elbow Queen” as if to attempt a very low level of regicide. Rosa then elbows the side as the time ticks off the clock, and Lansberg suddenly explodes to kick Rosa off of her. Rosa lords over her with slapping kicks to the leg, and Lansberg remains on her back instead of climbing back up. The crowd is not thrilled with this exchange. Rosa allows Lansberg to sit up, and as the Swede is leaning against the cage with her left knee down, Rosa blasts her in the face with an illegal knee. Bosacki recognizes this immediately, and he allows Lansberg to recover from the foul and calls in the doctor. Lansberg is all smiles and asks for Bosacki to take a point, and he agrees and deducts one point from Rosa. The fighters get back to it after about two minutes of recovery time, and Lansberg comes out swinging. Rosa capitalizes on this aggression by bowling her over with a takedown. The Brazilian smothers from on top in half guard again, with few strikes of merit and plenty of time hanging on in this position. Lansberg considers snatching up a heel from her back, and this forces Rosa to stand back up. Rosa leaps down in a diving leg lock attempt, and the round ends before anything can come from it.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9
Ben Duffy scores the round: 9-9
John Brannigan scores the round: 9-9

Round 3
The bantamweights meet in the middle, and both want to throw hands. Rosa clips her opponent with a right hand, and as Lansberg throws a body kick, the Swede gets tagged with a left hook. Lansberg strides forward and delivers a knee to the chest, and Rosa is feeling it as Lansberg pushes her to the wall. Rosa attempts to respond with knees while stuck on the fence, and she spins her opponent around and elbows her on the chin. The two jockey for position in this tight posture, and they get off knees at the same moment. This stalemate continues as Rosa gets the upper hand with short but effective strikes, and she gets shoved back. The Brazilian leaps in the air with a knee, and she bullies Lansberg back to the wire again. Lansberg deftly turns her around and gets off an elbow, forcing Rosa to change levels and go for a failed takedown. As she senses Lansberg slowing, Rosa swarms with a barrage of elbows and punches, as if to send a message to “Elbow Queen.” Rosa swings so hard she nearly topples over, as Lansberg has some swelling growing fast under her left eye. Lansberg catches her and ties her up to slow down the onslaught, but this allows Rosa to hit a throw and drop her to her knees. Lansberg climbs back up, and Rosa spins with an elbow that collides with the temple. Rosa rips one more knee to the body before the horn blares, and this could a close one depending on how judges score the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (28-28 Rosa)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-27 Rosa)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-27 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Lina Lansberg via Majority Decision (29-27, 29-27, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa because she is the more well-rounded fighter with solid takedown offense and defense. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a better striker but was recently out-struck by Pannie Kianzad, and Rosa can avoid the clinch and use her own takedowns. He emphasizes that Rosa needs to avoid getting into a Muay Thai clinch.

"Karol is the more well-rounded fighter she should absolutely win this fight but she definitely needs to avoid getting into a Muay Thai clinch and fighting that dirty Lena lansberg fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Rosa is 13 years younger, has higher volume (6.65 significant strikes per minute vs 2.74), and believes Länsberg would need to clinch or take the fight down to win, which he doesn't see happening. He expects Rosa to keep it upright and outpoint Länsberg over 15 minutes.

"I like Carol Jose to win this fight you know keep it upright keep it at range and just out Point Lena Landsberg across 15 minutes and win probably 30-27"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody is confident in Rosa, noting her superior volume and striking. He thinks Länsberg is low volume and lacks power. Cody expects Rosa to win by decision, and likes the decision prop at -110.

Rosa by decision (-110)
"I gotta think uh fade the underdog go with Carol Rosa big favorite yes but as you mentioned Rose said not really known for her finishing abilities"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa to win, citing her huge output advantage (nearly 7 strikes per minute vs Lina Länsberg's under 3). He notes Rosa's well-rounded game including takedowns, and that she is 27 while Länsberg is 40. Levi is only wary of Länsberg's elbows but thinks Rosa's knees in the clinch and overall volume will prevail. He bet 1 unit at -225.

Bet 1 unit at -225.
"I bet uh Carlos at minus 225 to win one unit"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Karol Rosa is a solid prospect with great output, often landing over 100 significant strikes. She has good body work in the clinch and can also take a grapple-heavy approach to nullify Länsberg's elbows. Länsberg is 40 years old and coming off a loss to Pannie Kianzad, who is not as good as Rosa. Rosa should win via decision, and the chalk is worthy even at -295.

Rosa by decision at -115
"I think HOSA is a very solid Prospect... I think that this is a great matchup for a hostel to go out there I think the chalk is more than worthy of it as well"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Paul is confident in Rosa, noting Länsberg's age and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Rosa's volume and grappling will be too much. Paul has already bet Rosa by decision at -110.

Rosa by decision (-110)
"I actually just added Carol Rosa by decision to my card at -110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Lina Länsberg, citing Rosa's superior technique, youth (27 vs 40), and recent grappling improvements after a loss to Sarah McMahon. He notes Länsberg's decline and believes Rosa will win by unanimous decision, leveraging a two-inch reach advantage.

"Carol Rosa is going to win because she is Carol Rosa and her opponent is Lena Landsberg"
Pannie Kianzad - Fight History
LOSS vs Karol Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 117 of 194 60% 140 of 223 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 92 of 182 50% 138 of 229 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 42 of 74 56% 42 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 40 of 80 50% 40 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karol Rosa 0 52 of 84 61% 56 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 43 of 78 55% 44 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karol Rosa 0 23 of 36 63% 42 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:00
Pannie Kianzad 0 9 of 24 37% 54 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 117 of 194 60% 70 of 132 8 of 9 39 of 53 100 of 170 16 of 23 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 92 of 182 50% 56 of 138 20 of 27 16 of 17 82 of 163 10 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 42 of 74 56% 21 of 42 2 of 2 19 of 30 42 of 74 0 of 0 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 40 of 80 50% 18 of 52 13 of 18 9 of 10 39 of 79 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 52 of 84 61% 33 of 62 1 of 2 18 of 20 49 of 80 3 of 4 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 43 of 78 55% 33 of 66 5 of 7 5 of 5 39 of 70 4 of 8 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 23 of 36 63% 16 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 16 13 of 19 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 9 of 24 37% 5 of 20 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 14 5 of 10 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Karol Rosa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-205), Kianzad (+170)

Round 1
A women’s bantamweight tilt pitting Kianzad (16-8, 5-5 UFC) against Rosa (17-6, 6-3 UFC) closes out the preliminaries and should provide some clarity in terms of mid-card pecking order at 135 pounds. Kianzad enters the Octagon on the heels of back-to-back losses, having fallen back to the .500 mark within the promotion. Beltran administers the law and order. No glove touch. Kianzad jabs to the body. Rosa answers with a leg kick, then another. The impact spins around Kianzad. Another low kick from Rosa, whose game plan comes into view inside the first minute. One-two from Rosa. Inside leg kick from the Brazilian. Kianzad answers with an overhand left, but she eats yet another leg kick. Kianzad doubles up on the jab but misses the target. Rosa cuts loose with a two-punch volley and mixes in an inside leg kick. Jab from Rosa, then a low kick. Kianzad responds with a sharp right hand, followed by a left hook. The Swede now doing all she can to keep her leg out of harm’s way. No luck. Rosa finds the mark with another kick. They exchange in the center. Kianzad fires a three-punch volley, resets and lands a right hand. Leg kick from Rosa. Kianzad goes to throw a kick, loses her balance and hits the deck. Back on the feet, Rosa greets her with a flying knee.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 2
This could get ugly if Kianzad does not address the kicks. She doubles up on the left hook. Rosa answers with multiple low kicks, then steps into an elbow. They trade in the center. Rosa continues to damage the legs, then opens a cut on the forehead with another elbow. Blood streams down between Kianzad’s eyes. Rosa backs her up with punches, shields herself from the return fire and gets her hands in gear again. Kianzad welcomes her into the clinch with a knee to the ribs. Rosa responds with short-range elbow. Kianzad’s lead leg has swelled to twice its normal size. Rosa lands a short left hook. Jab from Rosa, then a leg kick. Kianzad hops in visible distress. Less than a minute to go. Nice one-two from Kianzad. Rosa answers with a jab and follows it with a leg kick. Kianzad is going to have a hard time going to sleep. Rosa jabs at the end of the middle stanza and closes with a kick.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
They clinch to start the third round. Rosa controls the position and mixes in a few elbows before they separate. Rosa with a one-two. A significant hematoma now developing outside of Kianzad’s right eye. Rosa executes a takedown, likely surprising the Swede. Kianzad scores with short punches and elbows from the bottom. Blood becoming more of an issue for the former Cage Warriors champion. Kianzad gets to a knee, builds a base and gets back to her feet. Halfway home in Round 3. Rosa presses her into the fence and creates enough space to rip some elbows upstairs. Punches follow. Somebody get Kianzad some ice. Rosa continues to crowd her along the cage, bleeding time off the clock. She alternates between clinching and punching. Stellar performance from the Brazilian. They trade knees as the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (30-27 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Pannie Kianzad—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.

Over 2.5 rounds should be safe but got burned on that last time with Pannie
"HOSA is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.

"total doger pass total CF dot model peny kad's got A plus number next to her name that's my pick this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.

Rosa by split decision; maybe taking either woman to win by split decision
"I still am going to lean on the HOSA side here as I think she's the better overall fighter and I'm really hoping that she decides to go to a grappling here behind her striking so she can separate herself …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.

"I took uh I found a plus 180 uh earlier this morning and uh took Penny keed that's uh that's where I'm at here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa, stating she is more committed to the game and younger than Pannie Kianzad. He does not provide extensive technical analysis but expresses confidence in her dedication and age advantage.

"I'm going to go with Carol Rosa winning that one... I just think she's more committed to the game way more committed to the game"
LOSS vs Macy Chiasson
Submission R1 3:54 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Macy Chiasson 0 2 of 6 33% 29 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Macy Chiasson 0 2 of 6 33% 29 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:52
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 2 of 2 100% 1 1 2:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Macy Chiasson 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Macy Chiasson 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 10 40% 3 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Angelo acknowledges Kianzad has a big striking advantage with her boxing, but she was unable to get up off the bottom in her last fight against Ketlen Vieira. Chiasson has added grappling to her game, taking down Norma Dumont six times and Irene Aldana three times. He thinks Chiasson will get takedowns and hold Kianzad down. He also suggests a plus 3.5 round bet on Kianzad as she might win a round on the feet.

Pannie Kianzad +3.5 rounds (buying points) if odds drop
"I got to go with Macy here here I think she'll squeak in a taked down hold her down maybe panny can steal a round so a plus three and a half might be a good bet there"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Big Brady picks Macy Chiasson to win by decision. He expects Chiasson's size and physicality to be too much for Kianzad, allowing her to control the fight against the cage and on the mat. He references Kianzad's recent loss to Vieira as a blueprint.

by decision
"It's cheson for me cheson to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Cody leans toward Macy Chiasson, citing her size, physicality, and grappling advantage. He notes she has choked Kianzad out before and is the better grappler. However, he is wary of the minus 240 line due to Chiasson's weight cut struggles and long layoff. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins before betting.

"Macy Chiasson... she's a bigger stronger more physical bruiser on the feet... she's already choked her out once."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Lucrative James picks Macy Chiasson to win, likely by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes that Chiasson is physically stronger, has better grappling, and finished Kianzad before on The Ultimate Fighter. He also questions whether Kianzad has lost a step and mentions Chiasson's recent performances against tough opponents. He expresses concern about Chiasson's weight cut but still expects her to win.

Chiasson by submission
"I'm gonna go with Chase on here to get a submission win again maybe she gets a ground and pound TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The host acknowledges Kianzad's striking advantage but believes she will be frustrated by Chiasson's grapple-heavy approach. He notes Chiasson's ability to bully opponents in the clinch and get fights to the ground easily, where she can rough up Kianzad from top position for the majority of the fight and win by decision.

"I think we'll see kiasan Drager to the mat rougher up from that top position and keep her there for the majority of 15 minutes eventually getting her hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on betting this fight, noting Chiasson's weight cut issues and unimpressive recent performances. He mentions the bizarre liver kick loss to Aldana and questions her durability. He does not pick a winner and says it's a pass from a betting perspective.

"There's no way I bet minus 240 on Macy Chiasson it's going to be a pass from a betting perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The Guru picks Macy Chiasson, citing her physicality, power, and improved kicks. He notes she outmuscled Kianzad in their first fight and choked her out. He believes Chiasson has more options in the clinch and at range, and that Kianzad is purely a boxer with a reach disadvantage. He expects Chiasson to win by decision, possibly 30-27 or 29-28.

decision
"I'm going to go with chasson getting this one done by decision 3027 2928."
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 15 of 33 45% 65 of 103 3 of 3 100% 3 0 10:49
Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 51 43% 92 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 5 of 15 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:53
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 16 25% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 7 of 13 53% 25 of 34 1 of 1 100% 2 0 4:18
Pannie Kianzad 0 4 of 9 44% 15 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 3 of 5 60% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:38
Pannie Kianzad 0 14 of 26 53% 70 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 15 of 33 45% 13 of 31 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 25 1 of 2 6 of 6
Pannie Kianzad 22 of 51 43% 17 of 45 3 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 30 0 of 0 12 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 5 of 15 33% 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 16 25% 2 of 13 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3
Pannie Kianzad 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ketlen Vieira 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 2
Pannie Kianzad 14 of 26 53% 12 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Pannie Kianzad vs. Ketlen Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-150), Kianzad (+130)

Round 1
The fight with arguably the greatest title implications tonight is buried in the middle of the prelims, as the women’s bantamweight division is still championless and the perceived “uncrowned queen” of Holly Holm was knocked down a peg last week. Both women on the outside of the UFC’s top five looking in, Vieira (13-3, 7-3 UFC) and Kianzad (16-6, 5-3 UFC) will engage in a crucial contest at 135 pounds. With neither woman sporting a stoppage rate over 50%, referee Jason Herzog could be in it for the long haul here. Vieira offers a glove touch, but Kianzad wants nothing to do with it. Instead, Kianzad races forward pushing out straight punches down the middle. Vieira dodges back and reaches out with a heavy right hand, and Kianzad is out of the way in time. Vieira sticks out a jab, and Kianzad catches her with a left hand and a right over the top. Kianzad pokes out a jab, and she follows with a left hook that bounces off the guard. Vieira shoots in for a low single-leg takedown, and she lifts Kianzad’s leg up and throws her down to land right in side control. Kianzad recovers to half guard when Vieira sets up an arm-triangle choke, and the Brazilian still has her left arm hooked around the head of her opponent. Vieira looks to isolate Kianzad’s left arm for a potential armlock, and Kianzad turns to her side to stop it from coming together. Vieira powers her back over with shoulder pressure, smothering “Banzai” and returning her flat to her back. Kianzad gets back to a guard and she sets up butterfly hooks to push off, and this allows Vieira to punch her square in the face. Kianzad responds with a few strikes off her back, but the ones she absorbs from “Fenomeno” are far heavier. Kianzad looks to push off the midsection, but Vieira stays heavy as a ton of bricks and steps into the half guard. Vieira controls her adversary and presses her shoulder into Kianzad’s face and neck, and frustrating the Swede. Vieira grabs hold of the left arm and isolates it to grip for a kimura, and Kianzad protects herself by putting it under her back. As Vieira shifts to north-south position, the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle of the cage, and Kianzad leads off with a looping left hook. Vieira blocks it and replies in kind, and the strike from the Brazilian glances off the raised guard. When Kianzad kicks low, Vieira gives her three punches over the top. Kianzad steps in to punch, and Vieira snatches up the lead leg and easily throws Kianzad to the canvas. Vieira goes right to half guard, and a desperate Kianzad is able to pull her into her guard and closes it up. Kianzad times a moment in transition to push her foot off Vieira’s body, but Vieira is able to casually shift back over the half guard. Vieira starts hunting for a kimura, and Kianzad defends it but starts taking heavy body shots. Vieira gloms onto her, and she hops into full mount and quickly locks down an arm-triangle choke. Vieira squeezes with her full body weight, and Kianzad defends it with her left arm between the grip of her opponent and her own neck. Kianzad turns the proper way to protect her neck, and Vieira abandons the submission. Kianzad explodes to her side, and she attempts to turn over and get to her knees so she can get back up. Vieira bowls her over and puts her on her back again. With 30 seconds remaining, Vieira tries to lock down an arm-triangle choke on the other side, but Kianzad is wise to it and is not in submission danger. The round ends with Vieira on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
A fire seemingly lit under her backside, Kianzad springs right into action, rushing at Vieira with punches in bunches. When Kianzad overextends on a left hook, Vieira smartly changes levels, coming up with a clean double-leg takedown to put Kianzad on her back 15 seconds into the final frame. Kianzad does everything she can to scoot her way to the wall, and this gives up her back in the process. Vieira leans with her back against the fencing, holding onto Kianzad from behind and sliding her hooks in. The leverage for any submission is not there, until she turns to lower herself to the floor. Vieira sets up a rear-naked choke, and Kianzad hand-fights to save herself from getting tapped. When Kianzad thwarts the choke, Vieira locks up a body triangle to further make Kianzad’s life miserable. Kianzad is able to defend from the choke setups, and she grits her teeth and spins around to secure top position with about two minutes left in the fight. Kianzad opens up with punches when she winds up on top, and Vieira clings to her to shut down the offense. Kianzad frees herself and stands up, and she jumps down to nail Vieira with a diving right hand. As Kianzad does damage from the guard, the commentary team starts discussing people walking their cats in strollers. All the while, Kianzad is doing anything she can to hunt for a finish, flailing with punches and hammerfists. Vieira pushes off with the ball of her foot, and she smacks Kianzad in the face with one illegally. Herzog checks on Kianzad, who says she is fine and wants to keep going. Kianzad rains down punches to any target, marking up Vieira’s right eye, and swinging frantically. Vieira throws her legs up high for a triangle choke, and she simultaneously grips an armbar, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Pannie Kianzad via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo favors Pannie Kianzad's footwork, speed, athleticism, and jab over Ketlen Vieira's size and strength. He notes Vieira's recent performances have been spotty and that her lack of speed could be exploited. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds and a plus 3.5 betting line on Kianzad.

over 2.5 rounds likely a lock; plus 3.5 on Pannie Kianzad (buying points)
"the pick is going to be Pawnee I like the footwork I like the speed I like the athleticism I like the jab"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad by decision, but says he doesn't care about the fight and won't bet it. He likes Kianzad's volume striking and believes she can keep the fight standing with 80% takedown defense. He notes Vieira lands harder shots but Kianzad will outwork her. He is concerned if Vieira gets takedowns.

by decision
"give me Kanza to win this fight give me to Win It by decision but I will not be putting a dollar on this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Cody picks Vieira, noting her superior competition and grappling advantage. He thinks she will use clinch and takedowns to control Kianzad. He acknowledges it could be a close decision but sees value at -140.

"minus 140 seems pretty fair for for Viera"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Daniel slightly leans toward Ketlen Vieira, noting she has historically been on a higher level and is stronger in the clinch with better top control. However, he thinks she hasn't looked the same since her injury and surgery after the Zingano fight. He acknowledges Pannie Kianzad has better hands and durability, and expects a closely contested fight that could go either way. He is not surprised if Kianzad wins a split decision.

Daniel says 'I slightly lean with Catlin' but does not bet. He mentions the line: Vieira -140, Kianzad +120.
"I slightly lean with Catlin I've always viewed her kind of on a higher level"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The host picks Ketlen Vieira, believing her damaging strikes will outweigh Kianzad's volume. He notes Vieira's power and ability to hurt opponents, while Kianzad struggles against higher competition and takes damage poorly. He expects Vieira to storm back and win by decision.

"I think Catelyn storms back here and picks up a victory gets back into the win column"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

Paul picks Vieira, citing her size, strength, and grappling. He notes Kianzad struggles in the clinch and has been knocked down. He thinks Vieira's boxing improvements will help, but expects a close decision.

"the pick would be ketling there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ketlen Vieira

The MMA Guru leans towards Ketlen Vieira, calling it a coin flip but favoring her based on level of competition. He notes that Amanda Nunes' retirement may motivate contenders. He dismisses Pannie Kianzad's win over Lina Länsberg and criticizes her performance against Alexis Davis. The Guru believes Vieira's size, strength, and reach advantage will lead to a 29-28 split decision win.

"I am gonna lean towards Caitlin Vieira just based on level of competition that she's been fighting recently"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 · Apr 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 1 39 of 88 44% 64 of 113 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:23
Lina Länsberg 0 78 of 160 48% 109 of 210 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 3 of 6 50% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
Lina Länsberg 0 5 of 12 41% 20 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:54
2 Pannie Kianzad 1 15 of 30 50% 33 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:20
Lina Länsberg 0 22 of 45 48% 38 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 21 of 52 40% 22 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lina Länsberg 0 51 of 103 49% 51 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 39 of 88 44% 30 of 75 8 of 11 1 of 2 31 of 78 8 of 10 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 78 of 160 48% 59 of 140 16 of 17 3 of 3 59 of 137 19 of 23 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 5 of 12 41% 2 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 15 of 30 50% 10 of 23 5 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 22 7 of 8 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 22 of 45 48% 15 of 37 7 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 31 11 of 14 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 21 of 52 40% 18 of 47 2 of 3 1 of 2 21 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lina Länsberg 51 of 103 49% 42 of 94 6 of 6 3 of 3 46 of 97 5 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad, though he is surprised she is such a heavy favorite. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a world champion Muay Thai fighter with excellent clinch work, but Kianzad is a very good boxer with good footwork and high-volume striking. He believes Kianzad can stick and move for 15 minutes to avoid the clinch and win a decision.

"i do think penny wins i think she should be a favorite and i think she can do it because she just has to stick and move for 15 minutes"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad to win by decision. He notes Kianzad is the better striker, younger (30 vs 40), and improving her takedown defense and ground game. He criticizes Länsberg's low volume and 44% striking defense, and notes she hasn't fought in almost two years. He expects Kianzad to stuff takedowns and outpoint Länsberg on the feet.

win by decision
"panning by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody picks Kianzad, emphasizing her striking volume and Länsberg's decline. He notes Kianzad's recent performances and thinks she will outwork Länsberg. He calls it a 'passing of the torch' spot.

"kansas is going to be in this one throughout and not enough of a grappling edge to say that she's going to rely on that to be panty so yeah"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad confidently, noting she beat Länsberg 10 years ago when both were in different stages of their careers. Länsberg is now nearly 40 and coming off having a baby, while Kianzad is entering her prime. Levi expects Kianzad to out-tough Länsberg with volume and win a decision.

Picks Kianzad by decision
"Give me panty kianza to win this decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad, citing her volume and improvement. He notes Länsberg's age (40) and layoff, and thinks Kianzad will dominate on the feet. He mentions he already bet her as part of a parlay.

"kianza for me was minus 300 425 we're starting to cut off all my perceived value"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her technical striking and youth (10 years younger). He notes Lina Länsberg lacks great wins and that Kianzad's close loss to Raquel Pennington is better than anything Länsberg has done. He expects a 29-28 or 30-27 decision.

unanimous decision 29-28 or 30-27
"gotta go with pani kianzad lena landsberg isn't too good whatsoever"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raquel Pennington 0 50 of 98 51% 85 of 144 1 of 2 50% 0 0 5:34
Pannie Kianzad 0 48 of 79 60% 98 of 144 1 of 3 33% 0 0 6:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raquel Pennington 0 12 of 19 63% 21 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:24
Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 12 66% 25 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Raquel Pennington 0 10 of 17 58% 21 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Pannie Kianzad 0 12 of 18 66% 34 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
3 Raquel Pennington 0 28 of 62 45% 43 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:15
Pannie Kianzad 0 28 of 49 57% 39 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raquel Pennington 50 of 98 51% 26 of 68 20 of 25 4 of 5 13 of 50 37 of 48 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 48 of 79 60% 26 of 56 17 of 18 5 of 5 23 of 49 23 of 28 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raquel Pennington 12 of 19 63% 3 of 7 8 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 3 12 of 16 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 5 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Raquel Pennington 10 of 17 58% 7 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 10 6 of 7 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 12 of 18 66% 7 of 13 4 of 4 1 of 1 7 of 11 3 of 5 2 of 2
3 Raquel Pennington 28 of 62 45% 16 of 47 9 of 11 3 of 4 9 of 37 19 of 25 0 of 0
Pannie Kianzad 28 of 49 57% 16 of 36 8 of 9 4 of 4 15 of 33 13 of 16 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Angelo picks Raquel Pennington because she will march forward, hold Pannie against the cage, and neutralize her boxing. He notes that Pennington's losses are to current/former champions and that she is a boring but effective grappler. He likes the -132 odds and thinks they will move. He is confident Pennington stifles Pannie's combinations.

Less on Pannie Kianzad's strike line (115.5)
"raquel pennington is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Big Brady picks Raquel Pennington, citing her superior level of competition and ability to grind against the cage. He notes Kianzad was outstruck by Alexis Davis and has shown vulnerability to wrestling. He predicts a decision win for Pennington, though he wishes the price were better and likely won't bet it.

"i'm going to take pennington to win um don't love the price to be honest"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her better striking and improved takedown defense. He notes that Pennington is a grinder but has looked mentally off in recent fights. Cody believes Kianzad can keep the fight at range and outwork Pennington.

"i would classify this one as a dog or pass situation and again you do have chianzan as that plus 110 underdogs so gonna go ahead"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Daniel Levi leans with Raquel Pennington. He calls Kianzad an overachiever and thinks Pennington's record is misleading because she has fought the best. He sees similar boxing-centric styles but gives the edge to Pennington, expecting a close decision. He notes he usually likes to dog close decisions but here he leans with Pennington.

"i'm gonna go with rocky pennington here maybe a close decision and oftentimes on close decisions i like to dog but on this one i'm leaning with rocky pennington to to win the decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Raquel Pennington

Preet picks Pennington because she is good at everything and has better cardio and forward pressure. He thinks Kianzad is a better technical striker but Pennington will nullify her with clinch work and takedowns. He expects a decision and likes the fight goes to decision at +125.

Fight goes to decision +125
"I like Pennington in this fight I'm kind of you know I'm kind of surprised how much I like her here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul agrees with taking Kianzad at plus money, noting that Pennington's style could lead to a close decision. He thinks Kianzad's volume and range striking give her an edge, but acknowledges the smaller cage may favor Pennington's grinding.

"if it's gonna be that close you take the plus money i guess in those spots so i'll i'll follow you along on that one panty cans at plus 110"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad over Raquel Pennington, praising Kianzad's fundamentals, dirty boxing, and recent form. He questions Pennington's motivation and activity, predicting a 30-27 unanimous decision for Kianzad.

"i'm going to go with pani kian's ad here"
WIN vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 124 of 249 49% 124 of 249 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 132 of 251 52% 147 of 268 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 82 59% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Alexis Davis 0 42 of 84 50% 50 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 37 of 83 44% 37 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 44 of 82 53% 50 of 89 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 38 of 84 45% 38 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 124 of 249 49% 99 of 210 24 of 38 1 of 1 122 of 246 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 132 of 251 52% 95 of 211 12 of 15 25 of 25 125 of 239 7 of 9 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 49 of 82 59% 38 of 66 10 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 80 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 42 of 84 50% 30 of 71 2 of 3 10 of 10 41 of 83 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 37 of 83 44% 29 of 69 8 of 14 0 of 0 37 of 82 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 44 of 82 53% 32 of 69 4 of 5 8 of 8 40 of 75 4 of 4 0 of 3
3 Pannie Kianzad 38 of 84 45% 32 of 75 6 of 9 0 of 0 38 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 46 of 85 54% 33 of 71 6 of 7 7 of 7 44 of 81 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Big Brady picks Alexis Davis as a slight underdog, believing her grappling and top control can be the difference. He notes Davis has faced tougher competition and has a black belt, but she needs to consistently go for takedowns. He is concerned about Kianzad's recent winning streak but sees value in Davis if she implements a wrestling-heavy game plan.

Davis by decision
"i'm gonna actually pick alexis davis here to kind of implement hopefully that same game plan against the bina mazzo get this fight down to the mat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody slightly favors Kianzad, citing her jab and takedown defense. He thinks she can keep the fight standing and outbox Davis. He notes Davis's toughness and BJJ but believes Kianzad's striking will be the difference. He is not betting it.

"it's like an ever so slight pick for penny kianzad"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Daniel Levi picks Pannie Kianzad, noting her improved takedown defense and boxing volume. He respects Alexis Davis as a vet but thinks Kianzad's size and striking will be too much. He expects Kianzad to keep the fight standing and out-volume Davis, leading to a clear decision win.

"i'm gonna go with panicky keon's ad to keep it standing and just out volume alexis davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad has superior striking and can use her jab to stay on the outside, while Davis is slower and relies on grappling. Kianzad showed she can survive takedowns and come back in later rounds, as seen in her last fight. However, Davis is durable and could grind out a win if she gets takedowns. Kianzad likely wins a decision if she fights disciplined.

Kianzad by decision
"I do end up leaning on the Pannie Kianzad side due to her having better striking... I'm going to take Kianzad to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul passes on this fight. He sees it as a close fight that likely goes the distance, but the line doesn't offer value. He notes Davis's grappling threat but is not confident enough to bet.

"it's more of a past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad, citing her superior striking, underrated takedown defense (85% defense rate), and youth. He believes she can replicate Sabina Mazo's success on the feet against Alexis Davis and avoid takedowns. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision.

"i'm gonna go with pani kianzad here because i feel like she's definitely going to get the better of alexis davis on the feet"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 49 of 104 47% 70 of 131 2 of 4 50% 0 0 6:33
Sijara Eubanks 0 92 of 143 64% 132 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 7 of 12 58% 20 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:23
Sijara Eubanks 0 3 of 9 33% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 8 of 15 53% 14 of 23 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 28 of 40 70% 56 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:39
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 34 of 77 44% 36 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Sijara Eubanks 0 61 of 94 64% 67 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 49 of 104 47% 43 of 94 5 of 9 1 of 1 38 of 90 4 of 7 7 of 7
Sijara Eubanks 92 of 143 64% 57 of 105 22 of 25 13 of 13 65 of 114 26 of 28 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 7 of 12 58% 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 6
Sijara Eubanks 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Pannie Kianzad 8 of 15 53% 7 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 1
Sijara Eubanks 28 of 40 70% 16 of 26 11 of 13 1 of 1 8 of 18 20 of 22 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 34 of 77 44% 30 of 69 3 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 73 1 of 4 0 of 0
Sijara Eubanks 61 of 94 64% 38 of 70 11 of 12 12 of 12 55 of 88 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Angelo picks Pannie Kianzad as an underdog, noting that Eubanks has a 7-4 record and her recent fights have all gone to decision. He believes Kianzad can sneak out a win in a decision.

goes to decision
"that is going to be kianzad against eubanks eubanks is a seven and four fighter i think and if you look at her card if you look like at her recent fights they're all decisions her last night nine fighter …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Pannie Kianzad as a slight underdog, expecting her to stuff most takedowns and win rounds two and three with volume. He notes Eubanks' poor gas tank and Kianzad's 92% takedown defense in the UFC. However, he is not overly confident because if Kianzad gets taken down, she could be in trouble on the ground.

"i'm going to say kansai stuff's the majority of the takedowns keeps it on the feet for the majority of the time wins rounds two and rounds three and wins a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The host picks Kianzad as a slight underdog, citing her striking advantage and ability to keep the fight on the feet. He is concerned about Eubanks' grappling but believes Kianzad's kicks and distance management will earn her a decision. He is not highly confident.

"i still will side with the dog here i think penny will go out there and outstrike sajara for about two rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The Guru picks Sijara Eubanks but is hesitant, calling it a very close fight. He believes Eubanks is the bigger fighter with reach advantage and has faced better competition. He notes that both have similar wins and losses, but Eubanks' scrappiness and durability give her the edge. He predicts a split decision.

"i think i'm going to go with ciara eubanks being just a bit more lesbian than panikianzad... split decision ciara eubanks getting it done"
WIN vs Bethe Correia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 26, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Pannie Kianzad 0 56 of 143 39% 83 of 178 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:01
Bethe Correia 0 103 of 199 51% 106 of 205 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Pannie Kianzad 0 18 of 47 38% 19 of 48 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:08
Bethe Correia 0 30 of 68 44% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Pannie Kianzad 0 22 of 51 43% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Bethe Correia 0 25 of 48 52% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Pannie Kianzad 0 16 of 45 35% 21 of 50 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:32
Bethe Correia 0 48 of 83 57% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Pannie Kianzad 56 of 143 39% 40 of 117 14 of 20 2 of 6 46 of 126 9 of 15 1 of 2
Bethe Correia 103 of 199 51% 76 of 168 10 of 14 17 of 17 97 of 191 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Pannie Kianzad 18 of 47 38% 14 of 39 4 of 7 0 of 1 14 of 40 4 of 7 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 30 of 68 44% 22 of 56 4 of 8 4 of 4 27 of 63 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Pannie Kianzad 22 of 51 43% 11 of 36 9 of 11 2 of 4 16 of 41 5 of 8 1 of 2
Bethe Correia 25 of 48 52% 17 of 40 4 of 4 4 of 4 22 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Pannie Kianzad 16 of 45 35% 15 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 1 16 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 48 of 83 57% 37 of 72 2 of 2 9 of 9 48 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Big Brady picks Kianzad because she is faster and has a striking advantage. He notes Correia has fought better competition but is stiff and slow. He expects a close split decision and says he probably won't bet it.

Kianzad by decision; split decision likely
"I think she's the far faster fighter like correa is just you know she's very stiff she's slow"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Bethe Correia

Daniel picks Correia, citing her experience, toughness, and power. He thinks Kianzad may start well but fade, and Correia can win the later rounds. He notes Correia has fought the best and been competitive, while Kianzad's level of competition is lower. He expects a close decision.

"i'm actually going to go with betch kojeya to win the second and third round and edge out this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Kianzad is the longer, more polished striker and can mix in takedowns. Correia is flawed technically and has lost to higher-level competition. Kianzad should outpoint Correia over three rounds, though the line offers little value at -155.

"i still like kansai here i'm gonna take her to win this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

The MMA Guru picks Pannie Kianzad based on physical attributes like size and reach, and her recent clear win over Jessica-Rose Clark. He acknowledges both fighters have questionable losses but believes Kianzad's experience and physical advantages will lead to a unanimous decision victory. He is not highly confident, calling it a lean.

"I'm going to be going with Panikad to get the job done by decision."
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.

Over 2.5 rounds should be safe but got burned on that last time with Pannie
"HOSA is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.

"total doger pass total CF dot model peny kad's got A plus number next to her name that's my pick this week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.

Rosa by split decision; maybe taking either woman to win by split decision
"I still am going to lean on the HOSA side here as I think she's the better overall fighter and I'm really hoping that she decides to go to a grappling here behind her striking so she can separate herself on the judges scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Pannie Kianzad

Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.

"I took uh I found a plus 180 uh earlier this morning and uh took Penny keed that's uh that's where I'm at here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa, stating she is more committed to the game and younger than Pannie Kianzad. He does not provide extensive technical analysis but expresses confidence in her dedication and age advantage.

"I'm going to go with Carol Rosa winning that one... I just think she's more committed to the game way more committed to the game"