UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024 · Catchweight (141 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Next Fight
Age 36
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 8"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Yana Santos
4.41 SLpM
57.0% Str. Acc.
3.12 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.78 TD Avg
47.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chelsea Chandler
3.55 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.44 SApM
40.0% Str. Def.
0.87 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
28.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Yana Santos
Moneyline
Caesars -145
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
FanDuel +2500
Decision
BetWay +105
Chelsea Chandler
Moneyline
FanDuel +132
KO/TKO
BetRivers +950
Submission
FanDuel +850
Decision
BetRivers +265
Yana Santos - Fight History
WIN vs Macy Chiasson
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Macy Chiasson 0 54 of 118 45% 91 of 158 2 of 3 66% 1 0 3:43
Yana Santos 0 65 of 124 52% 115 of 176 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Macy Chiasson 0 14 of 33 42% 24 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Yana Santos 0 31 of 50 62% 40 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
2 Macy Chiasson 0 25 of 50 50% 32 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:03
Yana Santos 0 31 of 52 59% 55 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Macy Chiasson 0 15 of 35 42% 35 of 57 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:40
Yana Santos 0 3 of 22 13% 20 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Macy Chiasson 54 of 118 45% 25 of 76 25 of 35 4 of 7 24 of 81 25 of 29 5 of 8
Yana Santos 65 of 124 52% 29 of 74 31 of 43 5 of 7 29 of 73 36 of 51 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Macy Chiasson 14 of 33 42% 5 of 19 7 of 11 2 of 3 8 of 26 6 of 7 0 of 0
Yana Santos 31 of 50 62% 10 of 25 20 of 22 1 of 3 10 of 25 21 of 25 0 of 0
2 Macy Chiasson 25 of 50 50% 9 of 31 14 of 16 2 of 3 10 of 34 15 of 16 0 of 0
Yana Santos 31 of 52 59% 19 of 36 9 of 13 3 of 3 16 of 28 15 of 24 0 of 0
3 Macy Chiasson 15 of 35 42% 11 of 26 4 of 8 0 of 1 6 of 21 4 of 6 5 of 8
Yana Santos 3 of 22 13% 0 of 13 2 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Angelo likes Yana Santos as a plus-185 underdog. He thinks Macy Chiasson has abandoned her Muay Thai style for grappling, which plays into Yana's strengths as a good striker with good footwork and range management. He notes that in Las Vegas, takedowns don't score well, so empty takedowns won't help Macy. He also mentions a potential plus-3.5 spread bet.

Plus 185 underdog; considering plus 3.5 spread bet.
"I think Jana is a phenomenal underdog here. Plus 185. I think she's a great underdog here... I am going to lean Giannis Santos here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Big Brady is confident in Macy Chiasson, noting that Yana Santos is very bad on the bottom and has been knocked out multiple times. He believes Chiasson can get takedowns and finish the fight with ground and pound or a submission. He acknowledges that Chiasson struggled against Ketlen Vieira, but attributes that to Vieira's elite takedown defense. He predicts a third-round submission for Chiasson.

Macy Chiasson by third round submission.
"I think Macy wins here. I think she gets on top. I think she gets takedowns and I think she finds a finish. I think she finishes Jana Santos. I'll say third round submission for Macy Chazison in this fight."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Yana Santos

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Santos because Chiasson's offensive piling up is a thin veneer that collapses when things go wrong. He expects Chiasson to crash into the clinch and get bullied on the fence, as she does when she is not the stronger fighter. He also notes that Santos is a neutralizer who can break through Chiasson's game.

Chiasson opened at -300, currently -200; Santos opened at +250, currently +170
"I'll take Santos too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Yana Santos

Chiasson missed weight again, and the host sees this as an opportunity for Santos to take advantage with her striking advantage and good takedown defense, running away with the fight on the scorecards.

"I think that this is a perfect opportunity for Santos to take advantage of that by really putting on Chiasson with her striking advantage, utilizing her good takedown defense early, and then running away with this matchup and winning it …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Macy Chiasson

The MMA Guru picks Macy Chiasson, citing her physicality and size advantage. He notes that Yana Santos lacks a logical path to victory and Chiasson's pressure and clinch work should be enough. He predicts a 29-28 decision.

"I'm going with Macy Chiasson. I'm looking at the Irene Aldana fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Yana Santos

Zane picks Santos because Chiasson's success depends on being bigger and stronger than her opponent, and when she is not, she looks weak and collapses. He notes that Santos is big and awkward, and can keep the fight at her range or be competitive inside physically. He also points out that Santos has beaten Ketlen Vieira and Misha Tate, while Chiasson lost to Vieira and would likely lose to Tate.

Chiasson opened at -300, currently -200; Santos opened at +250, currently +170
"I got to pick Santos here."
WIN vs Miesha Tate
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Santos 0 66 of 117 56% 87 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Miesha Tate 0 40 of 115 34% 108 of 204 1 of 7 14% 0 0 5:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Santos 0 31 of 61 50% 43 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:25
Miesha Tate 0 22 of 55 40% 33 of 72 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:47
2 Yana Santos 0 31 of 44 70% 39 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Miesha Tate 0 13 of 43 30% 18 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Yana Santos 0 4 of 12 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Miesha Tate 0 5 of 17 29% 57 of 84 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Santos 66 of 117 56% 37 of 87 15 of 16 14 of 14 47 of 96 19 of 21 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 40 of 115 34% 25 of 88 8 of 17 7 of 10 29 of 100 8 of 10 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Santos 31 of 61 50% 14 of 44 9 of 9 8 of 8 19 of 47 12 of 14 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 22 of 55 40% 14 of 43 4 of 7 4 of 5 20 of 52 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yana Santos 31 of 44 70% 20 of 33 6 of 6 5 of 5 24 of 37 7 of 7 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 13 of 43 30% 6 of 28 4 of 10 3 of 5 7 of 36 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Yana Santos 4 of 12 33% 3 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 5 of 17 29% 5 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Angelo picks Yana Santos as the underdog, citing her superior striking and footwork. He believes Miesha Tate is one-dimensional and will struggle to get takedowns. He notes that Santos looked good in her last fight and that Tate has not evolved enough to compete. He also mentions a possible spread bet if available.

Interested in +3.5 spread if available
"Jana's the pick. The sport just passes some people by."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Big Brady picks Miesha Tate, citing a clear path to victory via takedowns and ground control. He notes that Yana Santos has poor takedown defense (42%) and looks bad on bottom, as seen against Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira. Despite Tate's age (38) and inconsistency, her ground game is strong with submissions and ground and pound. He predicts Tate will finish by second-round submission.

Round 2 submission
"I'm going to go Miesa Tate to win this fight. I'll take her to win this fight by second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

Tate should take advantage of Santos's grappling shortcomings. She will mix up takedowns, get top control, and grind out a decision win.

"I believe we're going to see a great performance from Tate here as she should be able to take advantage of some of the grappling shortcomings in Santos's game."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Miesha Tate

The MMA Guru picks Miesha Tate, stating that Yana Santos has shown an inability to do anything on the ground. He believes Tate's wrestling and experience will be enough to outwrestle Santos. He criticizes the state of women's bantamweight but expects Tate to get the win.

"I'm going to go with Misha Tate. She's a favorite as well. So actually it's not that crazy."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Santos 1 94 of 135 69% 135 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:00
Chelsea Chandler 0 56 of 124 45% 73 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Santos 0 33 of 44 75% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Chelsea Chandler 0 14 of 40 35% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Yana Santos 1 33 of 48 68% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Chelsea Chandler 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
3 Yana Santos 0 28 of 43 65% 58 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Chelsea Chandler 0 25 of 50 50% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Santos 94 of 135 69% 30 of 58 38 of 50 26 of 27 58 of 94 36 of 41 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 56 of 124 45% 31 of 90 25 of 34 0 of 0 29 of 88 27 of 36 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Santos 33 of 44 75% 10 of 19 11 of 12 12 of 13 24 of 35 9 of 9 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 14 of 40 35% 9 of 31 5 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 30 6 of 10 0 of 0
2 Yana Santos 33 of 48 68% 12 of 21 12 of 18 9 of 9 21 of 34 12 of 14 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 17 of 34 50% 10 of 27 7 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 28 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Yana Santos 28 of 43 65% 8 of 18 15 of 20 5 of 5 13 of 25 15 of 18 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 25 of 50 50% 12 of 32 13 of 18 0 of 0 9 of 30 16 of 20 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler (141: Missed Weight) vs. Yana Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-142), Chandler (+120)

Round 1
Action heads back to the women’s bantamweight division, where Santos (14-8, 4-5 UFC) collides with an overweight Chandler (6-2, 2-1 UFC). The 30-year-old Chandler tipped the scales at 141 pounds—a whopping five pounds over the bantamweight limit. Herb Dean handles the officiating duties. Santos takes the center of the cage against the southpaw. She lands a kick across both legs. Side kick to the lead leg from Santos. She follows punches with another leg kick. Definite difference in class of fighter so far. Chandler steps forward punches and looks to clinch. Santos shrugs it off. Leg kick from Santos, then another. Chandler counters with a straight left. Body kick from Santos. Chandler bobs and weaves on the outside, as the action stalls. Santos steps into a push kick to the face, then crashes into the clinch. Chandler turns her into the fence. Santos breaks free and cuts loose with punches. Ninety seconds left. Chandler pumps out a range-finding jab. Santos delivers a nice kick to the body. Pace slows again. Another body kick from Santos. Chandler flurries, connects with a left and clinches along the cage. She goes nowhere and separates. Body kick from Santos, followed by a spinning back kick upstairs. She closes with an inside low kick.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
Chandler charges out to the center of the cage and eats a pair of punches. Santos floors her with a right hand, then hammers the legs with kicks with Chandler in the butt scoot position. Dean restarts them standing. Head kick from Santos, followed by a one-two and another push kick to the face. Chandler absorbs another leg kick. Santos steps into an inside leg kick, resets in open space and scores with a leg kick. Too much speed and skill for Chandler, who simply cannot plug all the holes in her game. She bullies her way into the clinch. Santos breaks free. No change to the narrative midway through the round. Santos connects with a short-range knee to the body, engages Chandler in the clinch, lands an elbow and turns her to the fence. She lands an elbow off the break. Santos superior at range and in the clinch. Chandler looks to close the distance behind a straight left. No luck. Santos unleashes a kick to the head in open space, then another. Chandler scores with a right hand over the top. Santos lands an axe kick to the collar bone. They finish the round in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 3
Santos circles on the outside to start Round 3. Leg kick from Santos. Chandler again crashes into the clinch along the fence and works knees to the legs and body. Santos avoids a trip and connects with an elbow for breaking free. Chandler walks Santos into a chopping right hand over the top. Santos answers with a body kick. Inside leg kick from Santos, who circles on the outside. Chandler initiates the clinch, throws a knee to the body and tries to bottle up Santos along the fence. Santos breaks free without much trouble. Chandler swarms with punches. Santos responds with a close-quarters knee to the gut, then another. Chandler seems to be out of ideas. Push kick to the face from Santos. She follows with a side kick to the chest. Just too many weapons. Ninety seconds on the clock. Chandler stalks forward and eats a left hand over the top. Once again, they find their way into the clinch. They trade knees. Santos escapes into open space. Chandler follows left hands into the clinch. Action stalls. Push kick to the face from Santos. Chandler hammers away to the body with both hands but runs out of time.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)

The Official Result
Yana Santos def. Chelsea Chandler—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler based on size and power, expecting her to slow down the pace, lean on Santos, and hold her against the cage. He admits Santos is the better technical fighter but is on a three-fight skid and might be phoning it in. He warns that confidence is very low and advises not to bet heavily on this pick.

Very low confidence; be careful betting
"I think Chelsea Chandler wins because she's big don't bet on it be very careful confidence very low"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Cody picks Santos but with low confidence, citing her poor takedown defense (42%) and Chandler's grappling. He thinks Santos can win rounds 2 and 3 if she keeps it standing, and suggests live betting if she loses the first round. He notes the fight likely goes to decision and judges may favor activity.

Fight goes to decision (over 2.5 rounds)
"I'm leaning towards judges looking at activity work rate who's actually trying to finish and who's actually trying to fight so give me Jana things could change with a bad way cut then you'd feel better about Jana"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Santos has a significant experience advantage and is better in the clinch, where the fight will likely be won. Chandler is raw on the feet and open to counters. Santos should land better damage and win a split decision, though Chandler's physical strength could cause problems.

"I think that Santos will have an advantage there and Chandler could have some success of her own being a pretty physically strong woman herself but I think the experence of Santos and the technical advantages of Santos will end …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Paul leans slightly to Santos due to her volume striking, but acknowledges low confidence. He expects a split decision and notes Chandler's grappling could control early rounds. He suggests a split decision prop as a good play.

Split decision (plus 300)
"I'll lean ever so slightly to the volume on Santos but the the confidence and actually laying a hammer on this is definitely not there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

The MMA Guru picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her commitment to the game and size/strength advantage over Yana Santos. He does not provide detailed technical breakdown but expresses confidence in Chandler's physical attributes.

"I'll go Chelsea Chandler I think um yeah she's just more committed to the game and she's bigger and stronger"
LOSS vs Karol Rosa
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karol Rosa 0 95 of 156 60% 151 of 213 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:53
Yana Santos 0 66 of 130 50% 117 of 181 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karol Rosa 0 33 of 54 61% 68 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Yana Santos 0 12 of 26 46% 35 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Karol Rosa 0 29 of 44 65% 48 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:34
Yana Santos 0 20 of 44 45% 42 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Karol Rosa 0 33 of 58 56% 35 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yana Santos 0 34 of 60 56% 40 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karol Rosa 95 of 156 60% 20 of 69 42 of 47 33 of 40 63 of 113 32 of 43 0 of 0
Yana Santos 66 of 130 50% 38 of 95 18 of 21 10 of 14 48 of 106 12 of 14 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karol Rosa 33 of 54 61% 11 of 31 17 of 18 5 of 5 14 of 27 19 of 27 0 of 0
Yana Santos 12 of 26 46% 7 of 20 4 of 4 1 of 2 8 of 22 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Karol Rosa 29 of 44 65% 5 of 19 13 of 13 11 of 12 18 of 32 11 of 12 0 of 0
Yana Santos 20 of 44 45% 14 of 36 5 of 6 1 of 2 16 of 38 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Karol Rosa 33 of 58 56% 4 of 19 12 of 16 17 of 23 31 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
Yana Santos 34 of 60 56% 17 of 39 9 of 11 8 of 10 24 of 46 4 of 4 6 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Karol Rosa vs. Yana Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosa (-175), Santos (+150)

Round 1
A few weeks ago, Santos (14-7, 1 NC; 4-4 UFC) was expecting to encounter Macy Chiasson at bantamweight in what would have been an important fight given the post-Amanda Nunes landscape. Instead, she moves up in weight to the practically empty featherweight category to throw down with Rosa (16-5, 5-2 UFC). In theory, this could be a no. 1 contender fight if the promotion keeps the women’s 145-pound category together, but that remains to be seen. It will go down under the watchful eye of referee Kerry Hatley, and it kicks off with a cordial fist bump. Rosa engages first and throws hands, and Santos meets her with a few powerful punches right back. Santos strides forward to get a few knees up the middle, and Rosa replies with a sharp elbow when they are clinched. The two frantically race at one another, and Rosa grips the clinch and gets elbows on the break. Santos punches her way in, and she shells up when Rosa counters with a left and a right. The two both swing hard, and this results in a tie-up that Santos uses to push the Brazilian to the wall. Santos clings to her foe, kneeing her a few times from either side. Santos grinds, and Rosa palms her on the ear a few times. Santos chips away with short knees to the midsection, staying busy in the position while keeping Rosa stuck with her back at the wall. Santos sneaks an elbow over the top and stays closely pressed to her adversary, as her strike totals add up in this clinch position. Santos peppers Rosa with short left hands as she hangs on, and another elbow gets over the top before Rosa explodes to turn her around. Rosa gives her one single knee back before Santos tries to turn her about, and they split up. Rosa walks Santos down, and she blocks a body kick and bounces back. Santos throws punches and a body kick, and Rosa takes a subsequent front kick to the body. Rosa counters a leg kick with an overhand right, and she chases Santos around until they bump heads together. They end up clinching in the middle of the cage, and Santos shoves her to the fencing and starts up her knee attack again. Santos elects to separate, and Rosa connects with an overhand right that makes Santos think twice about closing in. Santos tosses out a low kick, and she spins with a back kick to the body. They both try to elbow each other from up close, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
The second round begins as Rosa moves to the center of the cage and starts chasing Santos around again. Santos ducks back from a big one-two, and Rosa lands a solid body shot before Santos can grab hold of her and initiate the clinch. Rosa backs off to find a better angle of approach, and she goes back in and is quickly turned around by the Russian. Santos throws knees to any target, squeezing Rosa tight against the fence before popping her with an elbow. Santos backs away, and crashes forward to clinch back up. Santos sneaks over another elbow and decides to break, and Rosa starts walking her down throwing punches. They trade blows, and Rosa ends with a good right hand. They tie up and trade knees in the Thai clinch, and Santos circles away to keep moving. Santos whiffs on an axe kick, and they crash together for a brief clinch until they push off. Rosa stalks down her opponent, and she lands a leg kick only to get countered with an overhand right. Rosa marches forward with impunity, and she knees Santos on the way in. The two ladies engage in single strike excursions, where they dart in, land something, and get out. They take turns in these kinds of engagements, and Rosa fires off a head kick and lets Santos brush past her. Santos kicks the body with a side kick, and she keeps strafing laterally. Rosa lands a right hand and has her head kick blocked, and she swats away a step-in elbow so she can close the distance. Santos welcomes this and turns her around without batting an eye, and the close round wraps with the two stuck together.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa

Round 3
The last round has been reached, and Rosa is the immediate aggressor as she throws big punches. Santos snatches her up and pulls her into the clinch game, but Rosa pushes her away to return to kickboxing range. Santos keeps moving, and she kicks the body a few times as Rosa walks towards her. Santos comes in to clinch, and she backs out with an elbow that grazes off the cheek. Rosa plants the ball of her foot on Santos’ midsection, and she fires off a one-two that gets Santos’ attention. They trade heavy leg kicks, and the pocket collapses as they both rush at the other to launch knees. Rosa pushes off, and she counters a body kick with a thudding right hand. Santos hops back and gathers her thoughts, and she kicks low again. They swipe at one another with big kicks, and Rosa lumps her foe up with a right hand and a low kick that does not give off a slapping sound. Rosa plods onward, beating Santos to the punch a few times in brief skirmishes, and she lands a right hand on the nose to make Santos blink it out. Rose aims a right to the body, and she checks a leg kick in response. Santos tries to keep Rosa away with a front kick, and Rosa walks through it and parries a body kick that follows. Rosa splits the guard with a one-two, and the Brazilian is the aggressor and swinging with heavier blows. Santos peppers the lead leg with a kick, and Rosa delivers one much heavier. Rosa ties her up to land one single elbow, and she pushes off to gain space and not get trapped. Rosa lumbers towards her opponent constantly, throwing punches and the occasional kick, and Santos is stuck looking for counters. A high kick from Rosa grazes off the top of the head, and she plants a one-two on the chin. Rosa trips Santos out with 15 seconds left in the fight, and she jams down elbows to the face and punches to the side to conclude the fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 Rosa)

The Official Result
Karol Rosa def. Yana Santos via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Angelo picks Karol Rosa, expecting her volume and takedown threats to disrupt Yana Santos's rhythm. He notes Yana is the better technical striker but Rosa's busy output and wrestling will be key. He predicts a decision win for Rosa, similar to her win over Lina Lansberg but without a knockdown. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds (potential bet)
"I think it's a pretty straightforward spot for Carol right I think Jana's gonna be the better striker in technique but Carol's gonna be too busy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Yana Santos has looked atrocious lately, with poor takedown defense (45%) and losses to Holly Holm and Irene Aldana. He believes Rosa's black belt in BJJ and superior striking volume will allow her to control the fight on the mat and on the feet. He acknowledges the fight could get greasy but is confident Rosa has her covered everywhere.

"I'm gonna pick Carol HOSA to win this fight I'll say she wins this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody likes Rosa's volume and wrestling advantage. He notes Santos has poor takedown defense and get-up game, as seen in fights against Vieira and Holm. Rosa can wrestle and has good durability. Cody thinks Rosa will press Santos against the cage, take her down, and grind out a decision. He also notes Rosa's ability to put up high strike numbers.

"calrose has the favorite yeah I'm gonna have to back that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Daniel leans Rosa but is concerned about her recent drop in volume and defensive grappling holes. He notes Rosa's past high-volume performances and toughness, but worries that Yana could control her against the fence and win close rounds. He expects Rosa to win but sees a path for Yana via grinding decisions, making the -150 price unappealing. He calls it a pass at these odds.

"I like hosted a win but I don't like it enough at these odds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Paul picks Rosa, citing her significant strike volume (125 vs Kohaya, 171 vs Procopio) compared to Santos' low volume. He notes Rosa's wrestling advantage and Santos' recent losses. Paul thinks Rosa by decision is likely, but he may not bet it due to the price.

Rosa by decision at -115
"I can understand why she's a minus 170 favorite am I going to get to that from a betting perspective you know me probably not"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The Guru picks Karol Rosa, calling her technically sound and noting her win over Joseline Edwards. He doesn't see her being out-grappled by Yana Santos. However, he expresses frustration with women's MMA, calling it a coin flip and saying 'whatever happens happens,' indicating low confidence.

"I'm gonna go with Carol Rosa here I actually think she's quite technically sound as a fighter"
LOSS vs Holly Holm
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Holly Holm 0 32 of 63 50% 105 of 163 4 of 6 66% 0 0 9:49
Yana Santos 0 21 of 46 45% 120 of 185 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Holly Holm 0 7 of 16 43% 24 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Yana Santos 0 12 of 25 48% 50 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
2 Holly Holm 0 16 of 33 48% 43 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:09
Yana Santos 0 7 of 12 58% 38 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Holly Holm 0 9 of 14 64% 38 of 60 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:59
Yana Santos 0 2 of 9 22% 32 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Holly Holm 32 of 63 50% 23 of 49 8 of 12 1 of 2 14 of 33 4 of 5 14 of 25
Yana Santos 21 of 46 45% 3 of 22 8 of 9 10 of 15 15 of 37 6 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Holly Holm 7 of 16 43% 5 of 12 2 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0
Yana Santos 12 of 25 48% 2 of 13 3 of 4 7 of 8 9 of 20 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Holly Holm 16 of 33 48% 12 of 27 4 of 5 0 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 1 12 of 21
Yana Santos 7 of 12 58% 1 of 4 3 of 3 3 of 5 6 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Holly Holm 9 of 14 64% 6 of 10 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 4
Yana Santos 2 of 9 22% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 2 0 of 6 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Angelo is very confident in Holm, calling her one of his two most confident picks on the card. He notes that Holm is a technical striker with great footwork and that her age (41) matters less because she doesn't rely on speed or take much damage. He points out that Santos lacks power, which plays into Holm's style, and that Santos is coming off a two-year layoff after having a baby. He believes Holm should dominate and that the line should be wider, but he is wary of betting women's MMA due to past upsets.

"Holly Holm is my most confident pick on this entire card."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Big Brady picks Holly Holm but with low confidence, citing red flags on both sides. He notes Holm's age (41) and decline in her last fight against Ketlen Vieira, as well as a layoff. On Santos' side, she just had a baby and got married, which Brady views as potential distractions. He expects Holm to win by holding Santos against the cage for three rounds in a boring decision, but calls the fight a 'big pass' for betting.

Holm by decision
"holms gonna go out there and hold Santa's against the cage for three rounds decision to win there you go but I would not be betting on this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Cody picks Holly Holm but is hesitant due to her age and potential decline. He notes Holm has shifted to a wrestling-heavy game plan and is effective in the clinch. He believes Holm should win but doesn't like the -250 moneyline, preferring Holm by decision at -115. He acknowledges the Pat Mayo theory of betting women's underdogs but still leans Holm. He mentions Holm's durability and Santos coming off a KO loss.

Holly Holm by decision; over 2.5 rounds
"I would personally bet Holly Holm by decision because I don't want to bet Hollywood minus 250 straight up"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Connor picks Holm because Santos is fragile and tends to revert to clinching when pressured, which plays into Holm's strength. He notes Holm's striking has slowed but she remains strong in the clinch and hard to hurt. He expects Holm to hold Santos on the fence for three rounds and win a decision.

Mentions odds: Holm opened -200, currently -238; Santos opened +150, currently +193. Notes line is getting wider.
"I got to just pick Holly home to hold her on the fence for three rounds and for Yana Konitsuka to not be able to make anything that makes it look like she's won the fight."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Jacob also picks Holm, agreeing she is the better fighter everywhere. He notes that Holm is not a finisher and the fight likely goes to decision, which could be risky with Texas judges. He mentions that Santos might be aggressive and that the optics could favor her if she pressures, but he thinks Holm should dominate. He says he found plus money on Holm and has a bet on her, but does not specify the exact prop.

Found plus money on Holly Holm (specific prop not stated)
"I found plus money for Holly Holm that I absolutely love."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Holly Holm

The host expects another veteran performance from Holly Holm, believing she will grind against Yana Santos against the cage, utilize her superior strength and power, drag the fight to the ground, and do good work from top position. He notes that Santos is coming off a layoff after having a baby, which adds uncertainty. He thinks Holm's physical fitness and longevity are exceptional for her age, and that strength advantage will be key. He predicts Holm wins by decision.

"I think we're in store for another veteran performance here from Holly Holm"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Holly Holm

The Guru picks Holm, citing her recent wins over Aldana and Pennington, and notes that Santos hasn't fought since 2021 and had a child. He expects Holm to use her athleticism and cage control to win a decision, though he admits it's a sad prediction.

"probably just Holly Holm holding her against a cage... I'm gonna go Holly home pushing her against a cage"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Holly Holm

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Holm's clinch strength hasn't decayed and Santos lacks confidence to avoid a Holm fight. He doubts Santos can win unless she proves she can overcome Holm's physicality. He sees it as a fight where Holm's strength and clinch work will be decisive.

Mentions odds: Holm -238, Santos +193. Notes the line is getting wider.
"You got to pick home Santos. She really would have to prove that she can win a fight like this."
Chelsea Chandler - Fight History
13
138 MMA Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

The host picks Cachoeira but is hesitant, noting that both fighters are on the chopping block and neither has looked good lately. He acknowledges that if Chandler wrestles hard she could win, but on the feet Cachoeira is tough and comes forward with heavy hands. He says he doesn't feel convicted on either side.

"I'm going to take Cachoeira here, but I fully understand that if Chandler comes out there and just starts trying to take her down or push her against the cage for the whole fight, she can absolutely win that."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

AJ picks Priscila Cachoeira as an underdog, believing she will knock out Chelsea Chandler. He notes Chandler looked skinny and chinny in her last loss, while Cachoeira is always aggressive and has knockout power. AJ predicts a KO victory for Cachoeira.

Priscila Cachoeira by KO +260 (explicitly mentioned), Cachoeira KO round 1 +700 (mentioned)
"I think Kachera is knocking her out."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

AJ picks Cachoeira by knockout, citing her heavy hands and Chandler's apparent durability issues after weight cut. He notes Chandler looked skinny at weigh-ins and was knocked out by Joselyn Edwards. AJ expects Cachoeira to land a big shot early, possibly a shovel uppercut, and finish in round one.

Cachoeira by KO; under 2.5 rounds plus 100; Cachoeira first round KO
"I'm going Kachoera knockout. I think she's going to put Chelsea Chandler out. Plus 100 for Kachuera."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler, reasoning that she will use her size and strength to push Priscila Cachoeira against the cage and take her down. He notes that Cachoeira has no ground skills and actively works against herself on the ground. He expects Chandler to win by being the 'Jolly Green Giant' and landing on top, possibly finding a finish.

"Chelsea should win this fight just by being the Jolly Green Giant, landing on top and chilling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Big Brady picks Priscila Cachoeira to win by second round knockout. He admits bias but argues that Chelsea Chandler doesn't like getting hit and has poor striking defense, while Cachoeira hits hard and is tough. He worries about Cachoeira's ground game but thinks she can avoid being on her back long enough to land a knockout.

by second round knockout
"I'll take Priscilla by knockout. Why not? You know, I don't think Chelsea Chandler likes getting hit. Priscilla likes getting hit."
BU
Bum MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Both fighters are chinny and not the best, but Priscila Cachoeira is more aggressive and goes all out for a knockout. Chelsea Chandler has declined since her win over Julia Stoliarenko four years ago, losing to Norma Dumont and Joselyne Edwards. Cachoeira is expected to chin Chandler early.

KO in round 1
"Cashera round one KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cody picks Cachoeira as a dog, noting Chandler's poor weight cuts and suspect chin. He believes Cachoeira's pressure and durability could overwhelm Chandler. He calls it a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money.

"Catcher, is this is this the PRP pick correct? because there's no confidence here. But um it's a 50-50 fight. Was a dog a pass fight? Not take the dog."
FI
Fight Night Picks Expert Lean picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Priscila Cachoeira is picked but with low confidence. She has power in her hands, but her wrestling is a weakness. Chelsea Chandler should wrestle but may not. The host is unsure if Chandler will implement her game plan or get knocked out. Cachoeira is predictable but could land a knockout.

"I'll go Pasha. We'll see how I feel, you know, later uh in the week. I'm not really confident on either side, though."
GR
Greedo Plays MMA Expert Confident picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Cachoeira has better striking power and should be able to stuff Chandler's takedowns. Chandler's wrestling isn't at a level to control Cachoeira. Cachoeira wins a decision, as her power has diminished but she can outpoint Chandler.

"I'm going to take her here. We're going to go Priscilla Caterera. For the first time on the channel, I'm taking Priscilla Catoera to win a mixed martial arts fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked May 30, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Lucrative James picks Chelsea Chandler reluctantly, citing her grappling upside as the deciding factor. He acknowledges both fighters are aging and the fight is low-level, but believes Chandler can win via KO ground and pound in round 2. He notes Priscila Cachoeira's power and experience but thinks Chandler's ability to win on the feet or ground gives her an edge.

Chelsea Chandler via KO (ground and pound) round 2; suggests 'doesn't go to decision' prop
"I got to pick Chelsea here. ... Chelsea Chandler via KO ground and pound round two is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Chandler's grappling is the key; she should be able to take Cachoeira down and dominate from top position. Cachoeira has knockout power but poor takedown defense and is 37 years old. Chandler likely finishes by submission, and the under 2.5 rounds at +100 is a good bet.

Chandler by submission; under 2.5 rounds (+100)
"I'm going to lean submission for Chandler. I think she'll end up being too strong for Cash Aera, and then I think she'll end up being too slick on the mat."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul picks Chandler but is hesitant, noting she should use wrestling to control Cachoeira. He acknowledges Cachoeira's toughness and Chandler's weight issues. He is not betting the fight but leans Chandler on fight IQ.

"I'm picking Chelsea Chandler. I just I can't do this Cab game anymore."
KO R1 2:31 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 10 of 23 43% 11 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joselyne Edwards 0 30 of 42 71% 35 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 10 of 23 43% 11 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joselyne Edwards 0 30 of 42 71% 35 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 10 of 23 43% 6 of 17 2 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 30 of 42 71% 14 of 23 3 of 5 13 of 14 27 of 39 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 10 of 23 43% 6 of 17 2 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0
Joselyne Edwards 30 of 42 71% 14 of 23 3 of 5 13 of 14 27 of 39 1 of 1 2 of 2
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Joselyne Edwards
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Edwards (-298), Chandler (+240)

Round 1
After some fight fans got a week off—at least from the UFC—the slate starts to roll on again. We start this cycle in an arena show, with the audience at the T-Mobile Center early in Kansas City ready to rock. A whole 14 fights are on the long slate tonight, and action begins in the women’s bantamweight division featuring two ladies most expected would miss weight and be required to compete at a catchweight or the nonexistent featherweight category. Both Chandler (6-3, 2-2 UFC) and Edwards (14-6, 5-4 UFC) have things under control for this April outing, and referee Zach Teiberis will join them in the cage to make things official. The women do not bump fists before engaging, and it’s time for some action. Edwards takes to the center of the stage and starts firing off kicks to the lead leg and side. Chandler tosses one or two back, but Edwards are starting to have an impact. Chandler looks to tie her foe up, and Edwards takes advantage of the body lock and trips the Californian out to plant her on her back. “La Pantera” lands in half guard, and Chandler holds on tight to not allow her to get off much offense. Chandler scoots to the fence and pushes Edwards off, but she waits for Teiberis to give her a stand-up. Edwards lets her up, and she gets right in her face with fists and a heavy kick to the ribs. Chandler rebounds off the fence after eating a punch salvo, with Edwards firmly in the driver’s seat in the first two minutes. Edwards times a right hand over the top when Chandler throws a naked kick, and Edwards lines up a chain of punches that had Chandler’s curiosity and quickly gain her attention.
Chandler standing straight up against the fence, Edwards opens up with a couple right hooks, and it is a bomb of a left hand that separates Chandler from her senses. Chandler hits the deck, and Edwards pounces, knowing her work here is about to be done. Notching her first knockout victory since 2020, Edwards finishes the job with a slew of hammerfists that force Teiberis to wave the fight off.
This was one-way traffic for the favored Panamanian, who dominantly placed the Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu on her first career losing streak in just over half a round.
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The Official Result
Joselyne Edwards def. Chelsea Chandler R1 2:31 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards because she is the better fighter overall, with superior kickboxing, range management, and improving takedown defense. He notes that Chelsea Chandler is enormous and strong but slow and lumbering, and he doubts she can simply overpower Joselyn. He mentions that Joselyn was -190, then -210, now -220, and he has her in a parlay.

Parlay with Da'Mon Blackshear
"Joselyn is by far the better fighter. This isn't even close."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Big Brady is confident in Joselyne Edwards, citing her striking advantage and Chelsea Chandler's tendency to be a punching bag. He notes Edwards' takedown defense has improved, though she has been taken down in the past. He expects Edwards to stuff takedowns and win a decision, as Chandler is not a threat on the feet.

fight goes to decision
"I got to go Edwards here... I think it's probably going to go to decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The host acknowledges Chandler's physicality but believes Edwards' technical advantages will allow her to land combinations and head kicks from distance, leading to a decision win.

"I believe the technical advantages from Edwards will allow her to touch up Chandler from distance, throwing in combinations and a ton of head kicks, which will eventually lead to Edwards winning this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards, citing her technical striking, reach advantage, and experience with 20 pro fights compared to Chandler's 9. He notes Edwards' counter-wrestling and range management, and expects her to outstrike Chandler to a 29-28 decision. He mentions that judges are increasingly scoring damage over grappling, which favors Edwards.

"I think Joselyn Edwards is pretty good. She's actually quite technical. She's going to have a reach advantage here. She's going to have an advantage on the feet."
LOSS vs Yana Santos
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Santos 1 94 of 135 69% 135 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:00
Chelsea Chandler 0 56 of 124 45% 73 of 152 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Santos 0 33 of 44 75% 38 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Chelsea Chandler 0 14 of 40 35% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
2 Yana Santos 1 33 of 48 68% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Chelsea Chandler 0 17 of 34 50% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
3 Yana Santos 0 28 of 43 65% 58 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Chelsea Chandler 0 25 of 50 50% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Santos 94 of 135 69% 30 of 58 38 of 50 26 of 27 58 of 94 36 of 41 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 56 of 124 45% 31 of 90 25 of 34 0 of 0 29 of 88 27 of 36 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Santos 33 of 44 75% 10 of 19 11 of 12 12 of 13 24 of 35 9 of 9 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 14 of 40 35% 9 of 31 5 of 9 0 of 0 8 of 30 6 of 10 0 of 0
2 Yana Santos 33 of 48 68% 12 of 21 12 of 18 9 of 9 21 of 34 12 of 14 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 17 of 34 50% 10 of 27 7 of 7 0 of 0 12 of 28 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Yana Santos 28 of 43 65% 8 of 18 15 of 20 5 of 5 13 of 25 15 of 18 0 of 0
Chelsea Chandler 25 of 50 50% 12 of 32 13 of 18 0 of 0 9 of 30 16 of 20 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler (141: Missed Weight) vs. Yana Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-142), Chandler (+120)

Round 1
Action heads back to the women’s bantamweight division, where Santos (14-8, 4-5 UFC) collides with an overweight Chandler (6-2, 2-1 UFC). The 30-year-old Chandler tipped the scales at 141 pounds—a whopping five pounds over the bantamweight limit. Herb Dean handles the officiating duties. Santos takes the center of the cage against the southpaw. She lands a kick across both legs. Side kick to the lead leg from Santos. She follows punches with another leg kick. Definite difference in class of fighter so far. Chandler steps forward punches and looks to clinch. Santos shrugs it off. Leg kick from Santos, then another. Chandler counters with a straight left. Body kick from Santos. Chandler bobs and weaves on the outside, as the action stalls. Santos steps into a push kick to the face, then crashes into the clinch. Chandler turns her into the fence. Santos breaks free and cuts loose with punches. Ninety seconds left. Chandler pumps out a range-finding jab. Santos delivers a nice kick to the body. Pace slows again. Another body kick from Santos. Chandler flurries, connects with a left and clinches along the cage. She goes nowhere and separates. Body kick from Santos, followed by a spinning back kick upstairs. She closes with an inside low kick.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
Chandler charges out to the center of the cage and eats a pair of punches. Santos floors her with a right hand, then hammers the legs with kicks with Chandler in the butt scoot position. Dean restarts them standing. Head kick from Santos, followed by a one-two and another push kick to the face. Chandler absorbs another leg kick. Santos steps into an inside leg kick, resets in open space and scores with a leg kick. Too much speed and skill for Chandler, who simply cannot plug all the holes in her game. She bullies her way into the clinch. Santos breaks free. No change to the narrative midway through the round. Santos connects with a short-range knee to the body, engages Chandler in the clinch, lands an elbow and turns her to the fence. She lands an elbow off the break. Santos superior at range and in the clinch. Chandler looks to close the distance behind a straight left. No luck. Santos unleashes a kick to the head in open space, then another. Chandler scores with a right hand over the top. Santos lands an axe kick to the collar bone. They finish the round in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 3
Santos circles on the outside to start Round 3. Leg kick from Santos. Chandler again crashes into the clinch along the fence and works knees to the legs and body. Santos avoids a trip and connects with an elbow for breaking free. Chandler walks Santos into a chopping right hand over the top. Santos answers with a body kick. Inside leg kick from Santos, who circles on the outside. Chandler initiates the clinch, throws a knee to the body and tries to bottle up Santos along the fence. Santos breaks free without much trouble. Chandler swarms with punches. Santos responds with a close-quarters knee to the gut, then another. Chandler seems to be out of ideas. Push kick to the face from Santos. She follows with a side kick to the chest. Just too many weapons. Ninety seconds on the clock. Chandler stalks forward and eats a left hand over the top. Once again, they find their way into the clinch. They trade knees. Santos escapes into open space. Chandler follows left hands into the clinch. Action stalls. Push kick to the face from Santos. Chandler hammers away to the body with both hands but runs out of time.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos (30-27 Santos)

The Official Result
Yana Santos def. Chelsea Chandler—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler based on size and power, expecting her to slow down the pace, lean on Santos, and hold her against the cage. He admits Santos is the better technical fighter but is on a three-fight skid and might be phoning it in. He warns that confidence is very low and advises not to bet heavily on this pick.

Very low confidence; be careful betting
"I think Chelsea Chandler wins because she's big don't bet on it be very careful confidence very low"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Cody picks Santos but with low confidence, citing her poor takedown defense (42%) and Chandler's grappling. He thinks Santos can win rounds 2 and 3 if she keeps it standing, and suggests live betting if she loses the first round. He notes the fight likely goes to decision and judges may favor activity.

Fight goes to decision (over 2.5 rounds)
"I'm leaning towards judges looking at activity work rate who's actually trying to finish and who's actually trying to fight so give me Jana things could change with a bad way cut then you'd feel better about Jana"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Santos has a significant experience advantage and is better in the clinch, where the fight will likely be won. Chandler is raw on the feet and open to counters. Santos should land better damage and win a split decision, though Chandler's physical strength could cause problems.

"I think that Santos will have an advantage there and Chandler could have some success of her own being a pretty physically strong woman herself but I think the experence of Santos and the technical advantages of Santos will end …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Paul leans slightly to Santos due to her volume striking, but acknowledges low confidence. He expects a split decision and notes Chandler's grappling could control early rounds. He suggests a split decision prop as a good play.

Split decision (plus 300)
"I'll lean ever so slightly to the volume on Santos but the the confidence and actually laying a hammer on this is definitely not there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

The MMA Guru picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her commitment to the game and size/strength advantage over Yana Santos. He does not provide detailed technical breakdown but expresses confidence in Chandler's physical attributes.

"I'll go Chelsea Chandler I think um yeah she's just more committed to the game and she's bigger and stronger"
WIN vs Josiane Nunes
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 47 of 105 44% 49 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Josiane Nunes 0 58 of 130 44% 100 of 176 2 of 2 100% 0 0 7:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 13 of 32 40% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Josiane Nunes 0 20 of 40 50% 29 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:27
2 Chelsea Chandler 0 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josiane Nunes 0 15 of 33 45% 46 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Chelsea Chandler 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Josiane Nunes 0 23 of 57 40% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 47 of 105 44% 37 of 85 9 of 19 1 of 1 43 of 101 4 of 4 0 of 0
Josiane Nunes 58 of 130 44% 43 of 107 13 of 21 2 of 2 43 of 106 2 of 3 13 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 13 of 32 40% 7 of 25 5 of 6 1 of 1 10 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Josiane Nunes 20 of 40 50% 14 of 32 6 of 8 0 of 0 13 of 29 2 of 3 5 of 8
2 Chelsea Chandler 9 of 13 69% 9 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Josiane Nunes 15 of 33 45% 13 of 29 1 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 8 of 13
3 Chelsea Chandler 25 of 60 41% 21 of 47 4 of 13 0 of 0 25 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
Josiane Nunes 23 of 57 40% 16 of 46 6 of 10 1 of 1 23 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler (137: Missed Weight) vs. Josiane Nunes
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nunes (-135), Chandler (+114)

Round 1
The second catchweight affair comes next, as ex-featherweight Chandler (5-2, 1-1 UFC) could not quite reach the 136-pound limit, clocking in a pound heavy and giving up 20% of her purse to her opponent. Also a featherweight in the past, the 5-foot-2 Nunes (10-1, 3-0 UFC) had no issue making weight. There will be a size disparity in the cage, and referee Chris Tognoni will make sure nothing problematic comes from it. Nunes is intense and has no interest in touching gloves, and she walks out of her corner calm as a cucumber while knowing it is about to get messy. Nunes slowly moves forward, until she lets her hands go. Nunes clubs Chandler on the side of the head with a huge left hand in the midst of a combination, and she draws Chandler into an early brawl. Nunes gets the better of the exchange to force Chandler to separate and strafe to the side, and Nunes gives chase and engages another slugfest. Chandler takes a few shots and ties the Brazilian up, but it does not take long for the shorter Nunes to turn her around perhaps thanks to her lower center of gravity. Nunes gets off a high knee, and she breaks off and just misses taking a hard elbow. Nunes swarms her opponent with a flurry of punches, clipping Chandler on the temple with a wild left. Chandler backs off and moves away from the small ball of power and fury, but Nunes catches up with her. Chandler attempts to slow her down again, clinching up and setting up a trip on the outside. Chandler succeeds in tripping Nunes to the mat, where she imposes her body weight on top of the slugger. Nunes tries to kick off, and Chandler opens up with a few punches. Nunes sets up a high guard, and she hacks with elbows while not letting Chandler throw much else. Nunes looks to lift one leg up high to set up a potential triangle, and she goes all the way over with her legs to hook up an armbar. Chandler lifts her up in the air and powerbombs her down, and Nunes lets it go instead of letting it sink it deeper. Chandler connects with several punches, and Nunes fights her way back up and absorbs a risky body kick on the way. Nunes lashes out with a blitz of punches, knocking Chandler back until Chandler stands her ground and fires back. The two measure one another with power strikes until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nunes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nunes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nunes

Round 2
Nunes loads up on vicious punches as soon as the round begins, and she stings Chandler in a flurry of blows. Nunes knocks Chandler down to a knee, and Chandler works her way back up. Nunes backs Chandler up again, laying into her with fiery fists, and Chandler swings back with bad intentions including a few body kicks. Nunes’ punches smash Chandler’s nose wide open, and blood leaks out of both nostrils. As they both trade, Nunes considers a level change, but Chandler tackles her over and shifts to full mount. Nunes turns to her side while maintaining wrist control, and Chandler takes her back and gets both hooks in. Nunes turns in an effort to escape, and Chandler follows her every step of the way to remain on top, although no longer in dominant position. Chandler opens up with a few strikes but would prefer to remain in top control, and Nunes closes her guard around the waist. Chandler slams a few elbows down to stay busy, dishing out damage as time ticks off the clock. Nunes hangs on tight to prevent any serious offense from mounting, as a small cut on the bridge of her nose drips blood into her eye. Chandler winds up with a few more elbows, and she stands back up with seconds to go before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chandler
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chandler
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chandler

Round 3
The last round kicks off with a body kick from the American. Nunes ducks down, swinging a right hand to the body, but she misses. Chandler digs another kick to the ribs, prompting Nunes to load up with a left hand that gets Chandler’s attention. Nunes unloads another overhand left, and she forces Chandler to retreat with her surge of punches. Chandler uses jabs to keep her distance until Nunes charges her, and the Brazilian’s strikes land as Chandler keeps moving. Nunes walks through a body kick and rocks Chandler with a left hook. Chandler bites down on her mouthpiece and slings back, and Nunes racks her again with a massive left. Chandler tries to tie her up with a clinch, and Nunes shakes her off and resets so she can race forward swinging her mighty fists. Chandler turns away from an exchange, and she gets to the center of the cage and sticks out a jab. Nunes passes the jab so she can wing her left, and her momentum allows Chandler to grab hold of her and slow her down. Chandler presses her full body weight and drives a few knees to the chest, but Nunes wants to break and throw hands. Nunes smacks her foe with a few more punches, and Chandler still has some bounce on her feet as she moves. Nunes connects with two heavy left hands, and Chandler tanks them and is no worse for wear. Nunes crowds her with a swarm of punches, and Chandler turns her back and lifts up a back kick that smacks into Nunes’ cheek. Nunes darts forward, leading with her left, and she gets driven back by a front kick to the ribs. Nunes continues to spam her left, and Chandler eats it like a slice of avocado toast and remains in the fight. Chandler pokes out a jab and starts taunting her opponent, who responds by punching her square in the face. Nunes leaps forward with two left hooks, and the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Nunes (29-28 Nunes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Nunes (29-28 Nunes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Nunes (29-28 Nunes)

The Official Result
Chelsea Chandler def. Josiane Nunes via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo argues that Nunes looked worse in her last fight (barely beating a 40-year-old) than Chandler did (losing to a top-five opponent). He thinks Chandler is tough, powerful, and will be giant in this fight. He notes the over 2.5 rounds line is only -120 and expects a decision, as both are tough and Nunes is not a finisher. He may bet on Chandler if she becomes an even bigger dog, and also consider the over.

over 2.5 rounds at -120; may bet on Chandler if line moves
"I like Chelsea Chandler here I'm hoping she'll become an even bigger dog Chelsea's the dog right now I'm hoping she becomes an even bigger dog because I will bet on her here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Big Brady picks Josiane Nunes to win by decision, but is not confident. He notes Nunes' size disadvantage but thinks her striking and power will be enough if she stuffs takedowns. He does not trust either fighter and will not bet on this fight.

by decision
"I'm gonna take Josan Nunes to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Cody picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her size and physicality advantage. He notes Nunes is one-dimensional with an overhand left and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. He expects Chandler to use her ground game and win by decision, but warns about Chandler's weight cut to 135 lbs.

by decision
"Chelsea Chandler by decision... ground game that size and that physicality pays off."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

The host sees this as striker vs grappler, with Chandler being much bigger and stronger. He expects Chandler to use her strength to bully Nunes against the cage, drag her to the ground, and assert top pressure to open up a TKO opportunity.

TKO
"I think she should be able to assert that top pressure and that dominant control which will open up a TKO opportunity"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul also leans toward Chandler, noting Nunes will be dwarfed. He compares Nunes to a female version of Ilir Latifi, with no neck and a one-dimensional style. He thinks Chandler can press her against the cage and make it ugly, but emphasizes the weigh-ins are important for both fighters.

"I'm with you Chelsea Chandler kind of uses that weight uses that size and goes up against there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

The Guru picks Josiane Nunes by TKO in round two. He notes Chandler's poor standup, throwing punches with eyes closed, and that Nunes has wicked power. He believes the bantamweight weight class favors Nunes, and that Chandler is too open on the feet. He references Chandler's loss to Norma Dumont where she looked lost.

TKO in round two
"I'm going to go Jos an Nunes lethal hands... I think Chelsea Chandler is so unbelievably open on the feet she throws punches where her eyes closed and Josan nunz is going to catch her on the chin with manpow."
LOSS vs Norma Dumont
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 47 of 76 61% 98 of 141 3 of 3 100% 0 0 8:58
Chelsea Chandler 0 22 of 61 36% 72 of 124 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 18 of 24 75% 44 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:24
Chelsea Chandler 0 8 of 20 40% 31 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:20
2 Norma Dumont 0 22 of 38 57% 31 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:47
Chelsea Chandler 0 9 of 25 36% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
3 Norma Dumont 0 7 of 14 50% 23 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:47
Chelsea Chandler 0 5 of 16 31% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 47 of 76 61% 30 of 59 12 of 12 5 of 5 28 of 49 10 of 12 9 of 15
Chelsea Chandler 22 of 61 36% 14 of 51 6 of 7 2 of 3 13 of 44 9 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 18 of 24 75% 10 of 16 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 14 8 of 9 0 of 1
Chelsea Chandler 8 of 20 40% 3 of 14 3 of 3 2 of 3 3 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Norma Dumont 22 of 38 57% 14 of 30 4 of 4 4 of 4 14 of 28 2 of 3 6 of 7
Chelsea Chandler 9 of 25 36% 8 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Norma Dumont 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 7
Chelsea Chandler 5 of 16 31% 3 of 13 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 9 3 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Norma Dumont
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumont (-140), Chandler (+120)

Round 1
Stop us if you’ve heard this one: this might be the final women’s featherweight bout in UFC history. This next bout will officially serve as the first between ranked combatants, although neither are ranked in the division in which they are competing because there is no ranking for featherweights. Both in the top 15 at 135 pounds, little should be at stake when Dumont (9-2, 5-2 UFC) faces off against Chandler (5-1, 1-0 UFC). Bad blood has entered this matchup, and they do not touch gloves in front of referee Jacob Montalvo. While they were wild on weigh-in day, they are anything but to lead off the bout. Chandler plods forward slowly, and she reaches out with a front kick and a few jabs. Chandler backs Dumont to the fence, and Dumont suddenly springs to life, with a fierce and furious combination of punches. Chandler is stunned and worse, and she actively turns her back and sprints from one end of the cage to the other in a bizarre display. Dumont chases after her, backing her up to the wall, and Chandler gathers her thoughts and tries to fight back. Dumont get off a body kick ad she circles away, and Chandler walks her down and walks into a punch. Chandler connects with her own left hand, and they end up tied up. Chandler looks for an outside trip or some way to put Dumont to the floor, but her attempts fail as Dumont turns her around. Chandler drives a knee to the torso, and she presses her weight on her opponent to slow things to a crawl. When Chandler commits to a takedown, the Brazilian reverses her and puts Chandler on her back. Chandler utilizes a high guard in an attempt to trap Dumont, but Dumont is wise to the triangle setup and keeps her body weight squeezed down as tightly as she can. Dumont smothers her foe without getting little else going in the way of offense, grinding and wearing Chandler down. With seconds to spare, Dumont drops down a short elbow and raps Chandler on the side of the head a few times before the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 2
Chandler marches out of her corner willing to engage, but Dumont throw back with a vengeance to make Chandler think twice. Dumont gets off a calf kick, and she reaches out an overhand right. Chandler clips Dumont with a left hand, and her lead leg is kicked hard to make her change stances. Dumont kicks the other leg, and Chandler checks it. Chandler telegraphs a left hook, leading to a clinch when Dumont snatches her up and turns her around. Chandler breaks free and starts slugging, but she gets bopped with a one-two and her head snaps back. Chandler continues pressing forward, even coming up short in the exchanges, largely because her hands are too low and Dumont beats her to the punch. Dumont blasts her opponent in the face with a one-two, and she follows it with another as Chandler’s head movement is the kind that would force Coach Edmund to yell “head movement.” Dumont trips Chandler up and dumps her to the floor, where she falls flat on top of her and smothers again. Chandler gets put in a position where her neck is between the floor and the wall, but she still lifts her legs up high enough to potentially threaten with an armbar or a triangle choke. Dumont shucks out of it without concern and keeps top position. Chandler pushes Dumont up with her foot, and she drills her in the face with an upkick. Dumont gloms back down and imposes her weight and will, and Chandler still manages to muscle her way back up with the fence behind her. Chandler jockeys for position, turning about and leaning her shoulder on Dumont. They trade short knees to little effect, and the round ends with a push-off and a left hook from the Brazilian.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont

Round 3
The two featherweights nod at one another before starting off the last round, and Dumont strikes first in the form of a one-two. Chandler bobs her head up and down, but Dumont is easily able to time her movement and smack her in the face. Dumont then rushes forward, where she goes for a double or some sort of takedown to put her foe down. Chandler turns the tables on the Brazilian, taking Dumont for a ride. Dumont stands back up, and Chandler hangs on with a standing arm-triangle choke as she leans on Dumont against the wire. Dumont ignores it, gets out of the clinch and is followed with Chandler punching towards her. Dumont uses Chandler’s momentum against her and procures a body lock takedown. Dumont lowers herself on top, and Chandler rolls for a leglock. Dumont is able to move the proper direction to shut it down entirely, to the degree that she rolls Chandler over to her knees so that she can pound on her from behind. Chandler is unable to stand back up, as Dumont shoves her back over to her side. Dumont grinds an elbow on the cheek, and she sets up an arm-triangle choke with half guard on the other side. Chandler senses it being set up and thwarts it by getting her arm between the gripping arm and her head. Dumont postures up with 45 seconds to go, slugging Chandler in the face from above. Chandler throws her legs up high for a possible armbar, and when Dumont stands up, Chandler swings upkicks at her. Dumont warily lowers herself back into the active guard, and she ends the exhausting fight in this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumont (30-27 Dumont)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont def. Chelsea Chandler via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler for the upset, calling her the far more dangerous fighter. He notes Norma has a clear advantage in experience and fight IQ, but she got rocked by Carol Rosa, and Chelsea can do the same. He recommends betting on Chelsea wins inside the distance with decision no action, meaning if it goes to decision he gets a refund. He believes Norma is not dangerous and Chelsea is tough, so if anyone is finished, it's Norma.

wins inside the distance (decision no action)
"I'm gonna go with Chelsea for the upset but the BET should absolutely be wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Big Brady picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her aggression and dog mentality. He admits Dumont is probably the better fighter but thinks Chandler's aggressiveness will go a long way. He expects a close decision where Chandler does a little more across 15 minutes, possibly landing harder shots or getting takedowns. He calls the fight 'greasy' and says he's not betting on it.

"I'm gonna side with Chelsea Chandler and for this reason I think the better fighter is probably actually Dumont at this point but you know Chelsea Chandler has that dog in her she's aggressive she's gonna be the more aggressive …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Cody leans toward Chandler as a value play at plus money, noting Dumont's low volume and Chandler's aggressive style. He thinks Chandler lands the better shots and that the judges may favor damage and output over cage control. He acknowledges it's a 50/50 fight and prefers the plus money. He also considers the under 2.5 rounds, thinking Chandler could overwhelm Dumont early.

under 2.5 rounds at +180; fight doesn't go to decision
"I think this is the kind of play that at plus money you're maybe just gonna take whoever it is is the value side... if you're going to lean it towards a 50 50 type fight based on which judges …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The host believes Dumont is the better striker and will put together solid combinations to damage Chandler. He thinks Chandler's lack of experience and raw game will be exposed, and Dumont may even get a TKO finish due to the skill gap on the feet.

Dumont by TKO
"I'm going to be taking Dumont via TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Paul leans toward Chandler as an underdog, citing her bruiser style and high pace in her debut. He thinks her forward pressure and volume could overwhelm Dumont, who has low output. He notes the price is attractive at +120 and expects a close fight. He also considers the under 2.5 rounds at +180, thinking Chandler might finish early.

under 2.5 rounds at +180; fight doesn't go to decision at +155/+170
"I'm leaning towards the underdog Chelsea Chandler to get the job done here... Chandler showed in that stoliaranko fight that like you know she if she can keep that pace... big Norm's going to be in big trouble"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Norma Dumont

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont over Chelsea Chandler, emphasizing Dumont's proven track record against higher-level competition, including wins over Karol Rosa and a close fight with Irene Aldana. He dismisses Chandler's win over Julija Stoliarenko and notes her losses to Alexis Davis and Julia Avila. He predicts Dumont wins.

"I'm gonna have to go with Norma jammont because she's literally had decent scraps with decent level competition"
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Julija Stoliarenko

Round 1
In a pre-planned catchweight affair at 140 pounds, proud Lithuanian Stoliarenko (10-6-2, 1-4 UFC) wants to keep her modicum of momentum going after winning her first UFC appearance after five tries. She faces off against promotional newcomer Chandler (4-1, 0-0 UFC), plucked from the Invicta ranks but with the Diaz brothers in her camp. Referee Jacob Montalvo watches on as the two decide not to touch gloves, and instead they want to go after it early. Chandler lands a kick, and when she lines up a punch, Stoliarenko plods forward and takes her down. Within seconds, Stoliarenko shifts right into full mount, and she transitions into her favorite armbar setup. Chandler is wise to it, and she flips Stoliarenko over and breaks up the armlock before it is secured. The Stockton, Calif., native unloads with ground-and-pound when she is safe from submission harm, and she hammers Stoliarenko with several powerful blows. Stoliarenko kicks off the fence to get out of the bad situation, and finds her way back to the feet. Chandler catches her with a clean right hand as Stoliarenko resets, and Stoliarenko staggers back and looks to get her feet back beneath her. Stoliarenko is marked up from absorbing strikes, and slightly wobbled on the feet, and Chandler is loading up on heavy strikes. When Stoliarenko shoots in for a takedown, she drops to her knees and is bowled over. Chandler moves immediately into mount, and she makes Stoliarenko pay for the takedown try. Stoliarenko bucks and lifts her legs up high, and in doing so, she forces Chandler to climb back upright. Stoliarenko desperately shoots for a takedown, and Chandler hip tosses her to the mat and raises her arms up in typical Diaz-esque fashion. Stoliarenko stands up and backs off, and when she attempts another takedown, Chandler easily pushes her to her back and moves to mount.
Sensing that the Lithuanian is starting to wilt, Chandler turns it up to 11 and starts battering Stoliarenko with heavy punches. The shots are getting through and Montalvo is right there paying attention. Chandler keeps bombarding her doomed opponent with relentless fists, and Montalvo steps in to rescue Stoliarenko from further harm.
The Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu product has just announced herself to the promotion in a big way, putting away a woman that had not been stopped with strikes since 2014.

The Official Result
Chelsea Chandler def. Julija Stoliarenko R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody leans towards Julija Stoliarenko, noting her dangerous armbar and improved striking. He is concerned about Chandler's size and the catchweight, but believes Stoliarenko's submission threat is real. He prefers the submission prop but may wait for weigh-ins to assess size discrepancy.

Stoliarenko by submission +300
"I'll lean towards her ever so slightly the plus 350 like you said on the submission makes the most sense"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Julija Stoliarenko by submission, noting her specialty is the armbar and she has shown improvement in her overall game. He acknowledges Chandler is bigger and has some jiu-jitsu, but believes Stoliarenko's experience and ability to capitalize on mistakes will be key. He suggests waiting for a better price on the submission prop.

Stoliarenko by submission +300; may wait for better price
"stinko sub is uh is is my plan of attack on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

The MMA Guru leans toward Julija Stoliarenko, noting her specific skill set of armbars and judo. He thinks she can take Chandler down and control her on the ground, possibly submitting her. He is less confident because Chandler is untested and has a thyroid issue affecting weight cut, but he believes Stoliarenko has faced better competition. He calls it a pick'em fight.

"I'll take Julia I guess... she has brought some good people."
Expert Picks (5)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

Angelo picks Chelsea Chandler based on size and power, expecting her to slow down the pace, lean on Santos, and hold her against the cage. He admits Santos is the better technical fighter but is on a three-fight skid and might be phoning it in. He warns that confidence is very low and advises not to bet heavily on this pick.

Very low confidence; be careful betting
"I think Chelsea Chandler wins because she's big don't bet on it be very careful confidence very low"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Cody picks Santos but with low confidence, citing her poor takedown defense (42%) and Chandler's grappling. He thinks Santos can win rounds 2 and 3 if she keeps it standing, and suggests live betting if she loses the first round. He notes the fight likely goes to decision and judges may favor activity.

Fight goes to decision (over 2.5 rounds)
"I'm leaning towards judges looking at activity work rate who's actually trying to finish and who's actually trying to fight so give me Jana things could change with a bad way cut then you'd feel better about Jana"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Santos has a significant experience advantage and is better in the clinch, where the fight will likely be won. Chandler is raw on the feet and open to counters. Santos should land better damage and win a split decision, though Chandler's physical strength could cause problems.

"I think that Santos will have an advantage there and Chandler could have some success of her own being a pretty physically strong woman herself but I think the experence of Santos and the technical advantages of Santos will end up reigning Supreme in the spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yana Santos

Paul leans slightly to Santos due to her volume striking, but acknowledges low confidence. He expects a split decision and notes Chandler's grappling could control early rounds. He suggests a split decision prop as a good play.

Split decision (plus 300)
"I'll lean ever so slightly to the volume on Santos but the the confidence and actually laying a hammer on this is definitely not there for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chelsea Chandler

The MMA Guru picks Chelsea Chandler, citing her commitment to the game and size/strength advantage over Yana Santos. He does not provide detailed technical breakdown but expresses confidence in Chandler's physical attributes.

"I'll go Chelsea Chandler I think um yeah she's just more committed to the game and she's bigger and stronger"