UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Age 28
Height 6' 0"
Reach 75"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 6' 4"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
6.64 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
6.35 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
85.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ozzy Diaz
6.44 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
7.23 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos
Moneyline
DraftKings -180
KO/TKO
FanDuel +280
Submission
BetRivers +475
Decision
DraftKings +300
Ozzy Diaz
Moneyline
FanDuel +166
KO/TKO
FanDuel +380
Submission
BetWay +2000
Decision
BetRivers +575
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos - Fight History
Submission R3 4:12 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Baisangur Susurkaev 0 107 of 213 50% 136 of 242 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:16
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 78 of 211 36% 89 of 222 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Baisangur Susurkaev 0 21 of 58 36% 21 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 19 of 58 32% 19 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Baisangur Susurkaev 0 56 of 104 53% 66 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 45 of 108 41% 51 of 114 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
3 Baisangur Susurkaev 0 30 of 51 58% 49 of 70 1 of 4 25% 1 0 2:16
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 14 of 45 31% 19 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Baisangur Susurkaev 107 of 213 50% 56 of 143 31 of 48 20 of 22 98 of 202 2 of 2 7 of 9
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 78 of 211 36% 69 of 198 5 of 8 4 of 5 70 of 201 8 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Baisangur Susurkaev 21 of 58 36% 6 of 34 7 of 15 8 of 9 21 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 19 of 58 32% 15 of 53 1 of 2 3 of 3 18 of 55 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Baisangur Susurkaev 56 of 104 53% 29 of 69 17 of 24 10 of 11 54 of 102 2 of 2 0 of 0
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 45 of 108 41% 42 of 102 2 of 4 1 of 2 40 of 103 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Baisangur Susurkaev 30 of 51 58% 21 of 40 7 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 42 0 of 0 7 of 9
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 14 of 45 31% 12 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Baisangur Susurkaev vs. Djorden Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Susurkaev (-625), Santos (+455)

Round 1
Multiple bouts tonight feature nearly prohibitive betting lines, and this is one of them. Undefeated Chechen finisher Susurkaev (11-0, 2-0 UFC) has most of the bettors on his side as he pushes a line around -800, but he will not be the most highly favored athlete from that perspective tonight. Odds don’t fight, and Santos (11-2, 1-1 UFC) will instead as he tries to stage quite an upset. The middleweights will receive oversight from referee Gasper Oliver, and they acknowledge him and one another with a fist bump.
It is a cautious hand-fighting strategy from the two that starts things off, with Susurkaev eventually offering out a front kick to the midsection about 20 seconds in. Susurkaev sinks a low kick on his intended target before dodging a few kicks, and he just misses a head kick and celebrates his own handiwork. Santos moves in, so Susurkaev greets him with a one-two and a body kick. Santos catches it and dodges a spinning elbow, pawing out a right hand to force Susurkaev to wipe his nose. Santos swats out with a jab and a shovel uppercut, chopping at the front leg as well when Susurkaev shrugs at him. Susurkaev lines up two right hands over the top, and the Brazilian wears them well and checks a low kick to hurl a right hand up top. Susurkaev keeps chewing up the front leg, which is lumped up and beaten already.
Susurkaev switches stances to lull Santos in, and he comes up hitting nothing when he spins with a back kick. He settles down and hammers the front leg with a slapping kick, lunging after it with a right hand. Santos pays him back with a one-two, and he gets popped when standing around too long with a long, straight right hand. Susurkaev ducks a punch to shoot in on the hips, but Santos shuts him down and forces him to stand again. The middleweights trade blows one after the other, seeing the reaction from one before swinging back. As Santos lands a solid right hand, Susurkaev slips and looks at his footing. Santos jabs and power punches have marked up Susurkaev’s face, with a shiner developing around the right eye and a shallow cut on the bridge of his nose. Santos flicks out his jab, dodges a high kick and motions at it. Susurkaev spins with something else upstairs, and Santos evades that as well and showboats a little more as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev

Round 2
Fists are bumped, and Santos immediately follows it with his jab. Santos found its home regularly towards the end of the first round, and he is repeating the success and giving Susurkaev fits. Susurkaev loads up with heavy power to get Santos to slow down, but it is instead drawing a firefight out of the Brazilian. Susurkaev slips a left hand around the guard, and Santos doubles up his jab and puts a one-two after it. Susurkaev wades face-first into an uppercut, and he sweeps the leg with a hard kick. Santos remains on his feet and drills Susurkaev with an overhand right. Susurkaev reels and fires one back. Santos partially checks a leg kick and has hands to deal with shortly thereafter. Santos gets in the pocket to trade, eating a right hand behind the hear and pushing off with an uppercut. Santos strings several punches together, catching his opponent at least once more twice in the midst of his lengthy combos. Susurkaev punches and kicks him back, varying his offense well to drive Santos back.
Susurkaev confidently presses forward, landing punches in bunches. Santos is still very much in this one, throwing almost as often as Susurkaev swings at him. Santos goes to the well a few times with spins, never thumping Susurkaev with one but coming close. He manages to grab hold of the Russian and bully him to the wall, and when fans start booing, Susurkaev encourages them to get louder. Santos decides against a level change and backs off, putting his jab right back in Susurkaev’s face. Santos sways back to absorb a right hand up top, and his blows bounce Susurkaev off the wall. Susurkaev scores to get Santos’ attention, and Santos dings him with an elbow. Susurkaev has a low kick checked and sets up an elbow to stagger Santos. Susurkaev splits a cut open on the top of Santos’ forehead, with blood leaking down his face right into his eye. The horn sounds with hands and feet flying every which way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Susurkaev

Round 3
Santos strides out of his corner loaded for bear, and he puts hands on Susurkaev almost immediately. Susurkaev spins twice, landing both times with them, and he rips an elbow as Santos meanders towards him. Susurkaev takes a left hand he goes not like, so he has to take a moment to blink it out and chop down with a low kick. Santos takes a right hand on the chin without batting an eye, and Susurkaev follows it with two more, a low kick and a level change. Santos leans himself on the fencing to stay afloat, with Susurkaev grabbing him from behind. Santos posts off the floor to adjust his position, and he breaks out of the clinch only to take a flush uppercut on the chin. Susurkaev is too close to score a head kick, and he takes a flush right hand and shrugs at Santos like a Diaz brother. Santos throws valiantly, and Susurkaev starts talking to him, telling him to bring it on. When Santos is about to engage, Susurkaev shoots for a takedown.
Susurkaev pushes Santos to the wall, with Santos clinging to a high standing guillotine. Susurkaev works the body with his free right hand while appearing overall unconcerned about the choke effort. Santos leans back, but he still does not have the leverage he is seeking to make it tight. Santos knees the body once or twice before Susurkaev redoubles his effort in to get hold of a single. He lifts Santos in the air and slams him down to his other leg, where he begins to smack Santos in the back of the head while Santos is scrambling. Santos works his way to the fencing, but he leaves his neck exposed so he can work back up. Susurkaev snatches up this opportunity in a hurry, wrapping a rear-naked choke up and securing it under the chin. Santos turns over, looking for any way to take off the leverage, but this is not the best plan.
The choke around his throat is disablingly tight, as Santos’ resistance quickly fade as his arms go limp. Oliver sees this and needs to slap Susurkaev on the sides a few times to release the submission.
It may have taken the unbeaten fighter 14-plus minutes to get the stoppage, but he keeps his 0 and hands the Brazilian his first finish defeat.

The Official Result
Baisangur Susurkaev def. Djorden Santos R3 4:12 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Angelo picks Baisangor but is not confident in the value at the current odds. He notes that Baisangor had trouble with Eric McConico's pressure and that Jordan Santos could do the same with his high volume. He expects a competitive fight and will stay away from betting on it.

"I am still going to pick Bisangor, but I don't think he's worth this money."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Angelo picks Baisangur Susurkaev, stating he is more dangerous and well-rounded. He notes Susurkaev's power, flashy techniques, and solid takedown defense. He acknowledges Santos is tough and busy, and that Susurkaev had some trouble in his last fight. He expects the odds to be too expensive (minus 1000) and advises against betting unless the line is better.

Angelo says if the odds are minus 150 or minus 200, load up, but expects them to be too expensive. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds prop didn't hit in Susurkaev's last fight.
"I'm going to pick Bisangor here. He's definitely the more dangerous of the two. He's the more well-rounded of the two. He's a better fighter here, so he's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Big Brady confidently picks Baisangur Susurkaev, noting he is better everywhere and should win easily. However, he criticizes Susurkaev for showboating and not finishing fights, as seen in his previous performances. Brady expects Susurkaev to win by decision rather than finish, given his tendency to mess around.

"I think he wins here against De Jordan Santos though. I think he can take him down, out grapple him. I think he can out strike him. I think he's better everywhere."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Cody picks Susurkaev, citing his power and wrestling advantage. He notes Santos's volume but thinks Susurkaev's power and grappling will be too much. Cody expects Susurkaev to win, possibly by knockout.

"Sus is uh I ain't stepping in front of that train this week."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Connor also picks Susurkaev confidently, emphasizing his athleticism and ability to control the pace. He notes that Susurkaev is defensively mindful enough to avoid trouble and has the confidence to overwhelm Santos. Connor expects Susurkaev to 'dance all over Santos' and finish him if needed.

Susurkaev opened at -500, now -725; Santos opened at +375, now +525.
"He's capable of going out there and just dancing all over Santos."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Daniel picks Susurkaev, praising his striking style influenced by Anderson Silva and Nick Diaz, and his confidence. He acknowledges Santos' inspiring story but believes Susurkaev is a special talent who will show out.

"I think Susark is a special talent. He actually has a fighting style that, you know, you see his last name, so you think he's probably some lay and prey guy and that's not the case at all. This guy …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host does not bet this fight. He notes Susurkaev is a big favorite (1.14) but unplayable due to wide odds. He mentions Santos has weaknesses but could be a live underdog. He considers the over 1.5 rounds at 1.64 interesting but does not lock it in, preferring to do more research.

No bet. Mentions over 1.5 rounds at 1.64 as interesting but not locked in.
"This is one of those fights where from a betting point of view, it's really difficult... I'm not interested in the fight spreads either... the over 1.5 rounds is interesting to me. I'm not liking it enough to lock it …"
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Confident picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Predicted method: KO/TKO Round 1. Susurkaev is undefeated with two finishes, showing KO power and submission skills, while Santos is making his UFC debut with a 0-0 record and has been knocked out in his only professional fight. Susurkaev's reach advantage (79" vs 75") and takedown threat (2.76 per round) will be too much for Santos, who has poor striking defense (48%). This is a clear mismatch; Susurkaev should win by knockout or submission in the first round.

Susurkaev by KO/TKO +130
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Jacob is high on Jordan Santos, calling him an 'absolute killer' and a 'zombie' who keeps coming forward. He believes Santos's jab and calf kicks will be effective against Baisangor's cocky style, and that if Baisangor doesn't get an early knockout, he will be in trouble. Jacob thinks Santos will ruin parlays and that this is the fight where Baisangor gets caught.

"I like Jordan Santos in this spot. He's an absolute fucking dog."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Lucrative James picks Baisangur Susurkaev because he believes Susurkaev has multiple paths to victory, including striking and grappling. He notes that Susurkaev has been immature in past fights but expects him to be more serious here. He predicts Susurkaev wins by submission, as he respects Santos' chin but thinks Susurkaev's jiu-jitsu will be the difference.

"I'll take Susakaya for the win. I'll say he gets it done via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

The host picks Susurkaev by knockout, citing his slick striking, power, and speed. He notes that Santos is hittable and reckless entering the pocket, which will allow Susurkaev to find a big shot. He is slightly queasy about the -650 moneyline but likes the KO prop at +125. He acknowledges Santos has durability but believes Susurkaev's sniping style will prevail.

Susurkaev by knockout at +125
"I'm going to go Cersive and Cersive by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Paul picks Susurkaev, citing his power and grappling. He notes Santos's volume but thinks Susurkaev's power and wrestling will be decisive. Paul expects Susurkaev to win.

"Sir Sakay, I feel like he's, you know, more prone to falling behind the A-ball, looking for that big shot."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

The MMA Guru picks Baisangur Susurkaev, noting he is a heavy favorite at -700. He acknowledges Santos is a crafty vet who can make it messy, but believes Susurkaev has overcome tricky situations before, like against Tom Nolan. He thinks Susurkaev is being given a showcase opponent and should win, though he's not fully sold on the hype.

"I'm going to go with Bangus Sukayv. He's a minus 700 favorite for a reason."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Baisangur Susurkaev

Zane is confident in Susurkaev, noting his speed, confidence, and well-rounded game. He contrasts Susurkaev's playful, experimental style with Santos's slow, cumbersome approach. Zane believes Susurkaev will easily outclass Santos and if Santos has a moment, Susurkaev will respond with aggression rather than doubt.

Susurkaev opened at -500, now -725; Santos opened at +375, now +525.
"A confident by Susurkaev pick."
WIN vs Danny Barlow
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Danny Barlow 0 93 of 171 54% 106 of 186 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 99 of 216 45% 109 of 232 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Danny Barlow 0 32 of 49 65% 32 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 27 of 49 55% 27 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Danny Barlow 0 45 of 83 54% 45 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 42 of 105 40% 42 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Danny Barlow 0 16 of 39 41% 29 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 30 of 62 48% 40 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Danny Barlow 93 of 171 54% 56 of 129 12 of 15 25 of 27 92 of 170 0 of 0 1 of 1
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 99 of 216 45% 74 of 182 11 of 18 14 of 16 95 of 211 1 of 1 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Danny Barlow 32 of 49 65% 8 of 24 5 of 6 19 of 19 32 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 27 of 49 55% 17 of 37 5 of 5 5 of 7 27 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Danny Barlow 45 of 83 54% 32 of 68 7 of 8 6 of 7 45 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 42 of 105 40% 35 of 93 4 of 9 3 of 3 42 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Danny Barlow 16 of 39 41% 16 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 1 15 of 38 0 of 0 1 of 1
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 30 of 62 48% 22 of 52 2 of 4 6 of 6 26 of 57 1 of 1 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Angelo picks Jordan Santos (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) as an underdog, citing his high volume striking and forward pressure. He notes Danny Barlow struggles when backing up and may not land a knockout. Santos's insane volume and toughness make him a great dog at $7,000.

Underdog pick, high volume expected
"I think Jordan's a decent dog here. $7,000, incredible price point."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Big Brady dismisses Barlow's loss to Sam Patterson as not a bad look, while heavily criticizing Santos for losing to Azie Diaz. He thinks Barlow has UFC wins and power, while Santos is not UFC caliber. He predicts Barlow will knock out Santos, noting Santos eats a lot of punches and Barlow has power.

Barlow by KO in round 2
"I'm gonna take Danny Barlo to win this fight. I'll take Barlo to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Cody picks Santos, citing his volume and durability. He notes Barlow is moving up to 185 and may not carry power. Santos trains at American Top Team and has better cardio. Cody expects Santos to outwork Barlow and win by decision.

"I got Jordan Santos is actually the PRP pick because I I could see him losing, I'm sure. But for the price, oh man, this guy's definitely the value side here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Connor picks Danny Barlow, emphasizing Barlow's superior athleticism and cleaner technique. He notes that Santos is a messy brawler who is wide open and uncoordinated, and that Barlow's straight shots and speed should be decisive. However, Connor cautions that Barlow is not that good and the odds are too wide.

Barlow opened -300, currently -300; Santos opened +250, currently +250. Connor says the odds shouldn't be that wide.
"I gotta pick Barlow like it's not... Barlow is so much cleaner a technician."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Danny Barlow

James is confident in Barlow due to his speed advantage moving up from welterweight and superior striking. He notes Barlow's chin issues but believes moving up in weight will help. James predicts a knockout in rounds 2 or 3 as Barlow's left hand piles up.

"I'm predicting Danny Barlow to win this one. Santos seems tough, but I'm going to go with a knockout in rounds two or rounds three. I'm going to say that the left hands pile up too much."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

The host thinks Barlow has a good matchup to bounce back from his first pro loss. He expects Barlow to counter Santos' volume-heavy approach effectively, landing a straight left down the pipe and winning by knockout.

win by knockout
"I think Barlo will counter him effectively, land that straight left down the pipe and find the win by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos

Paul picks Santos, citing Barlow's lack of volume and questionable cardio. He notes Barlow's wins have been unimpressive and he struggled against Veretennikov. Santos's pressure and volume will be key. Paul expects Santos to win by decision.

"I'm going with the dog here, Jordan Santos."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Danny Barlow

The MMA Guru picks Danny Barlow to spark out Jorgen De Castro (Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos) in round one. He considers it a mismatch, noting De Castro's close fight with Ozzy Diaz and his hittability on the feet. He believes Barlow's speed will be too much and predicts a first-round KO.

first round KO
"Danny Barlow's going to spark out Jorgen De Castro in round one."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Danny Barlow

Zane also picks Barlow, noting that Barlow has real athletic gifts and throws good straight shots, while Santos is a messy brawler who got away with things against a poor opponent. Zane expects Barlow to win but thinks it will be a struggle, and that the odds are too wide given Barlow's struggles against better competition.

"I'm taking Barlow... Barlow is the favorite here opened at minus 300 currently minus 300."
LOSS vs Ozzy Diaz
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 131 of 345 37% 134 of 348 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
Ozzy Diaz 0 135 of 261 51% 136 of 262 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 25 of 70 35% 25 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ozzy Diaz 0 20 of 36 55% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 49 of 135 36% 49 of 135 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Ozzy Diaz 0 51 of 97 52% 51 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 57 of 140 40% 60 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Ozzy Diaz 0 64 of 128 50% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 131 of 345 37% 115 of 323 8 of 14 8 of 8 130 of 342 0 of 1 1 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 135 of 261 51% 119 of 240 9 of 13 7 of 8 130 of 255 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 25 of 70 35% 17 of 61 3 of 4 5 of 5 25 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz 20 of 36 55% 16 of 30 0 of 1 4 of 5 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 49 of 135 36% 45 of 128 2 of 5 2 of 2 49 of 135 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz 51 of 97 52% 46 of 92 2 of 2 3 of 3 51 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 57 of 140 40% 53 of 134 3 of 5 1 of 1 56 of 137 0 of 1 1 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 64 of 128 50% 57 of 118 7 of 10 0 of 0 59 of 122 5 of 6 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz - Fight History
LOSS vs Ateba Gautier
KO R2 1:10 · UFC 328 · May 09, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ateba Gautier 1 23 of 82 28% 27 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ozzy Diaz 0 6 of 20 30% 8 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ateba Gautier 0 12 of 55 21% 16 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ozzy Diaz 0 4 of 12 33% 6 of 14 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:03
2 Ateba Gautier 1 11 of 27 40% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ozzy Diaz 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ateba Gautier 23 of 82 28% 15 of 69 6 of 11 2 of 2 20 of 79 1 of 1 2 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 6 of 20 30% 5 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ateba Gautier 12 of 55 21% 8 of 49 2 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 54 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz 4 of 12 33% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ateba Gautier 11 of 27 40% 7 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Angelo picks Ateba Gautier as the easiest pick on the card. He notes Gautier's nasty striking, speed, power, and early finishes. He says Ozzy Diaz can be knocked out and Gautier knocks people out. He mentions Gautier's cardio looked good in his last decision win. He acknowledges the odds are unaffordable at minus 1000.

Angelo says Gautier is minus 1000, so not affordable, but the pick is easy.
"Ata knocks people out. Ata knocks out Azie. That 1 plus 1 equals 2. It's that simple."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Angelo is very confident in Ateba Gautier, describing him as hitting like a freight train and being fast. He notes that Ozzy Diaz has been knocked out before and that Gautier carries his power late. He expects Gautier to knock him out.

"Ataba's going to knock him out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Big Brady confidently picks Ateba Gautier, expecting him to regain hype after a lackluster win. He notes Ozzy Diaz will come forward and likely walk into a big shot. Brady predicts a first-round knockout and also likes the Underdog prop for fight time under 7.5 minutes.

Underdog: fight time under 7.5 minutes
"I like a Tevita Gotti here. I like him to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Cody picks Gautier, citing his power and Diaz's poor striking defense. He notes Gautier's improvements and Diaz's tendency to get knocked out. Cody expects Gautier to win by first-round knockout.

Gautier by first-round knockout
"I got goatee to win by first round knockout and under one and a half Paul Shaughnessy."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Connor agrees that Gautier is being well-managed and that this fight is a showcase. He highlights that Diaz is a 'normal guy living his dream' who lacks the athleticism to compete with Gautier. Connor notes that Diaz's losses come from being 'absolutely fucked up as fast as possible' and expects Gautier to crush him.

Gautier opened at -1000, now -1800; Diaz opened at +675, now +900.
"Gautier will crush him."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Daniel picks Gautier, noting that despite criticism for a recent decision win, Gautier is a young prospect who gained valuable octagon time. He expects Gautier to dominate Diaz, possibly by first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"I also got by first round knockout, too."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)

The host does not bet this fight. He notes Gautier is a huge favorite (1.09) and unplayable, while Diaz is weak on the ground. He considers the over 1.5 rounds at 3.50 tempting but decides to protect his money.

No bet. Mentions over 1.5 rounds at 3.50 as tempting but passes.
"I wouldn't touch Aussie Diaz here, but obviously Gautier's odds are unplayable... I'll probably give this a miss."
FI
FightingPost AI Expert Lock picked May 9, 2026 (fight day)
Ateba Gautier

Predicted method: KO/TKO Round 1. Gautier is undefeated with four first-round finishes, showcasing devastating KO power and a 100% takedown accuracy. Diaz has only one win and was knocked out in his UFC debut, absorbing 7.23 strikes per minute. Gautier's reach advantage (81" vs 79") and switch stance will create problems for Diaz, who has no takedown attempts in his career. This is a massive mismatch; Gautier will likely land a clean shot early and finish the fight within the first round.

Gautier by KO/TKO -340
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Jacob picks Ateba Gautier by first-round KO, calling it the 'hammer of the week'. He notes that Gautier has power early and that Ozzy Diaz has been knocked out before. He advises against playing under 1.5 rounds at minus odds.

first round KO
"I am hammering AIA GDA first round KO."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 3, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Lucrative James picks Ateba Gautier to win by knockout in round one. He believes Gautier's elite striking setups and power will be too much for Ozzy Diaz, who has been finished early in fights before. He notes that Diaz's pressure style could lead him into Gautier's strikes, and that Gautier carries power into later rounds. He acknowledges Diaz's cardio but thinks Gautier's power is decisive.

"I got a TB Goautier to win this fight via knockout in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 5, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The host picks Gautier by first-round knockout, emphasizing his power and youth. He notes that Diaz is 35 and lacks the power to hurt Gautier, while Gautier's power is significant. He expects Gautier to run through Diaz quickly, as Diaz cannot absorb the same shots that Pulv did.

Round 1 knockout
"I'm going to go round one knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 6, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Paul picks Gautier, citing his power and Diaz's vulnerability. He notes Gautier's athleticism and expects a quick finish. However, Paul is cautious about the value due to the short odds.

Gautier by knockout in round one
"Tiba Goce is minus 1,800 now. His knockout prop is approaching minus 500. Him to win in round one is minus 200."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The MMA Guru picks Ateba Gautier emphatically, calling it a destruction. He notes Gautier is a -1100 favorite and predicts a first-round KO. He believes Gautier is being built as a prospect and that Ozzy Diaz is outmatched, having lost to Joe Pyfer and Mingyang Zhang. He expects Gautier to finish Diaz in 60-120 seconds.

first round KO, minus 1,100
"He's going to KO Aussie Diaz in the first round. There, I said it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 8, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Zane sees this as a showcase for Gautier, who is being carefully managed. He notes that Ozzy Diaz is a tough, hard-nosed fighter but lacks the athleticism and dynamic offense to threaten Gautier. Zane believes Gautier's superior athleticism and technique will overwhelm Diaz, especially since Diaz tends to get crushed quickly when facing better athletes.

Gautier opened at -1000, now -1800; Diaz opened at +675, now +900. The odds reflect the matchup dynamic.
"showcase for Gautier, nothing wrong with this man getting the showcase at this point in his career."
CANCEL vs Ateba Gautier
UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 131 of 345 37% 134 of 348 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:26
Ozzy Diaz 0 135 of 261 51% 136 of 262 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 25 of 70 35% 25 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ozzy Diaz 0 20 of 36 55% 20 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 49 of 135 36% 49 of 135 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Ozzy Diaz 0 51 of 97 52% 51 of 97 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 0 57 of 140 40% 60 of 143 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:24
Ozzy Diaz 0 64 of 128 50% 65 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 131 of 345 37% 115 of 323 8 of 14 8 of 8 130 of 342 0 of 1 1 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 135 of 261 51% 119 of 240 9 of 13 7 of 8 130 of 255 5 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 25 of 70 35% 17 of 61 3 of 4 5 of 5 25 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz 20 of 36 55% 16 of 30 0 of 1 4 of 5 20 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 49 of 135 36% 45 of 128 2 of 5 2 of 2 49 of 135 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ozzy Diaz 51 of 97 52% 46 of 92 2 of 2 3 of 3 51 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Djorden Ribeiro dos Santos 57 of 140 40% 53 of 134 3 of 5 1 of 1 56 of 137 0 of 1 1 of 2
Ozzy Diaz 64 of 128 50% 57 of 118 7 of 10 0 of 0 59 of 122 5 of 6 0 of 0
LOSS vs Zhang Mingyang
TKO (elbow and punches) R1 2:25 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zhang Mingyang 1 17 of 34 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ozzy Diaz 0 9 of 12 75% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zhang Mingyang 1 17 of 34 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ozzy Diaz 0 9 of 12 75% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zhang Mingyang 17 of 34 50% 9 of 24 2 of 4 6 of 6 15 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 8
Ozzy Diaz 9 of 12 75% 4 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zhang Mingyang 17 of 34 50% 9 of 24 2 of 4 6 of 6 15 of 26 0 of 0 2 of 8
Ozzy Diaz 9 of 12 75% 4 of 7 5 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mingyang Zhang vs. Osman Diaz

Round 1
The main card has begun, and all the Road to UFC fights are behind us. It’s time for some action. Light heavyweight finishers that sport matching 100% stoppage rates come to blows, and referee Kevin Sataki better fasten his safety belt. Zhang (17-6, 1-0 UFC) has the crowd behind him and a ton of momentum with 10 straight knockouts at his back. LFA vet Diaz (9-2, 0-0 UFC) will certainly not shy away from a brawl, and it could get wild in a hurry. The two clap their hands together, and it is Zhang who moves directly to the center of the cage. The fans are energized and chanting support for “Mountain Tiger,” who leads the dance with a push kick and then two calf kicks. Diaz leaps forward with a left hand that is blocked, and he ducks down and nearly gets kneed. Zhang splits the guard with a leaping left hand, and Diaz lunges at him back with a jab. Diaz’ jab is countered by a few leg kicks, and Zhang reaches him with a left hand up top. Diaz scores a right hand to make the Chinese fighter smile, and Zhang races after him loaded for bear. Diaz backs him off with an overhand right, and he slips away from a body jab but cannot get out of the way of a one-two. Diaz plunks his foe with a right hand around the guard, and Zhang smiles and resets.
Zhang hammers the front leg, and he nails Diaz with a short but devastating elbow that puts Diaz down. Barely still with it, Diaz turns to his knees and turtles up, and the man from China rushes after him to pummel him. About a dozen swarming punches get through from Zhang before Sataki has seen enough
, and Zhang’s 100% finish rate—all in the first round—stays intact by crushing the LFA vet. The crowd goes wild.

The Official Result
Mingyang Zhang def. Osman Diaz R1 2:25 via TKO (Elbow and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

Angelo picks Zhang Mingyang, citing his superior grappling and power. He notes Ozzy Diaz is chinny and skinny, and expects Zhang to finish inside the distance. He suggests looking for extra juice on Zhang inside the distance.

Zhang inside the distance; fight won't go to distance
"Jiang is going to be the pick here you're probably safe to try to find a little extra juice like Jiang inside the distance"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

Big Brady picks Zhang Mingyang to win by first-round knockout. He thinks the odds are off but notes Ozzy Diaz is very hitable and has a questionable chin, often getting beaten up before mounting a comeback. Zhang has tremendous power and is likely to land early. Brady expects a violent first-round finish, as Zhang has never won a fight that went past the first round.

Zhang Mingyang wins by KO in round 1
"I think the most likely scenario is a jang mingyong first round knockout and that's what I'll go with"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ozzy Diaz

Cody picks Diaz as a live underdog, arguing that Zhang's record is built on weak competition and he has been knocked out or submitted in most losses. Diaz has fought better competition, trains at Kings MMA, and has power and a ground game. He expects a banger where Diaz's experience and durability give him the edge, possibly by knockout.

"I would take aie Diaz yeah I can't really disagree with very much there it just seems it's like an absolute car crash"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

Connor picks Zhang but hesitantly, noting that Diaz's pressure and composure could take Zhang into the second round, where Zhang historically loses. He acknowledges that King's MMA fighters often overperform and Diaz could survive the early storm. However, Connor thinks Zhang's power and brawling are a good answer for Diaz's style, and he's not ready to fade Zhang yet.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think he's a very reasonable pick as well. But you know how loathe we are to trust first-round knockout machines."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

Daniel Vreeland picks Zhang Mingyang, a Chinese knockout artist on a 10-fight win streak. He notes Diaz's tendency to get beaten up early before opponents gas, but believes Zhang will not gas out and will finish him. Vreeland highlights Zhang's devastating ground and pound and chin-finding ability, expecting a knockout in Macau.

by KO
"I'm going Ming yangang Jang to come out here and get a devastating knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ozzy Diaz

Paul agrees, noting that Zhang's wins are over nobodies and his losses are by finish. Diaz has trained with high-level partners and has power in his hands. He thinks the plus money is worth a shot in a volatile matchup where both have knockout power, but Diaz's superior competition gives him the edge.

"give me the guy who trains it with a good gym in California get good looks I mean it comes down to Who's Who skull can take you know who can who who skull can take a concussive blow"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

The MMA Guru picks Zhang Mingyang over Ozzy Diaz, citing Zhang's power and finishing instincts. He notes Zhang knocked out Branson Ribero in his debut and knocked out Tokotos on Road to UFC. He views Diaz as a 'skinny fat' athlete who got smoked by Joe Pyfer and has a questionable win over Bavon Lewis. He predicts a first-round TKO for Zhang.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with mingyang Jang over Aussie Diaz"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Zhang Mingyang

Zane picks Zhang Mingyang, citing his brawling power and first-round finishing ability. He notes that Diaz is a functional pressure fighter but lacks elite athleticism, and Zhang's power could put him away early. Zane acknowledges that Zhang is a first-round knockout machine and usually loses if he goes past the first, but Diaz's style plays into Zhang's strengths.

Diaz opened +253, now +273; Zhang opened -301, now -329. Zane says 'these odds should not be getting wider' and 'Zhong is not that guy to have wide odds.'
"I'm going to take Zhang Mingyang just to land the kind of shots on Diaz walking in that have put Diaz to sleep before."
Comments (8)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Not sure where the previous fight for Osman ( Ozzy) is vs Zhang. Ranks in any martial arts styles: BJJ purple belt Favorite grappling technique: Head-and-arm chokes. Stunned by counter elbow, had stank face. Nice by Zhang 205 good technique. Leg kicks ect. Ozzy body was milky.

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Ozzy is lethargic on entries jabs, kicks ect, moved down 185 after lose to Zhang. He has problems with Athletes.

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Macou China cannon fodder up a weightclass vs Zhang?

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Ozzy B league, can finish weak opponents. Bevon was gassed rd2, he followed and peppered correctly but no power. Accurate punches to be fair.

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Djorden trains with the Boffin brothers

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

https://www.instagram.com/djordensantosufc/

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

+340 Santos in his DWC fight again Currie. Knocked Currie with kick didnt follow to ground. Stuffed the takedown

BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Boixing background for Santos, makes sense nice uppercuts. Forced Currie to box and boxed him up. Brazil jiujitsu photo 8 years ago. Does go for the takedown 20 seconds left went for a guillotine but he could have kept going. Cocky fighter at times. Hands up taunt.