UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 6' 3"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Brunno Ferreira
3.77 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.25 TD Avg
23.0% TD Acc.
61.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Armen Petrosyan
5.84 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
3.31 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.17 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
41.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Brunno Ferreira - Fight History
SCHED vs Ikram Aliskerov
KO R1 1:47 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gregory Rodrigues 1 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gregory Rodrigues 1 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gregory Rodrigues 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 2 of 5 40% 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gregory Rodrigues 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 2 of 5 40% 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (27 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Angelo notes that both fighters are similar with heavy hands and poor cardio, but Gregory is larger and has better fight IQ. He expects Gregory to wrestle early to avoid another knockout, as Bruno knocked him out in their first fight when Gregory was ill-prepared. He believes Gregory will slow the pace and win on the scorecards.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think Gregory is going to keep this pace slow, stay on the outside... I actually think this could be a very interesting fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Big Brady picks Gregory Rodrigues over Brunno Ferreira in a rematch. He notes Ferreira knocked out Rodrigues in the first fight, but Rodrigues has elite jiu-jitsu that he underutilizes. Brady believes if Rodrigues fights smart, mixes in takedowns, and uses his grappling, he can submit Ferreira, who gassed badly against Abus Magomedov. He predicts a second-round submission, warning that if Rodrigues stands and bangs, he could get knocked out again.

Rodrigues by second round submission
"Give me Gregory Rodriguez to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Cody also picks Ferreira, highlighting Rodrigues' defensive flaws and tendency to gas. He notes Ferreira's speed and power, and that Rodrigues has been knocked out before. He expects Ferreira to land a big shot and finish.

"I got a slight dog play here on Bruno Ferrer."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Connor picks Rodrigues despite the first loss, noting that Rodrigues was styling on Ferreira before getting caught. He believes Rodrigues's improved grappling and willingness to test Ferreira's submission defense will be key. However, he acknowledges that Ferreira's one-punch power and Rodrigues's tendency to fade late make this a risky pick. Connor sees it as a well-matched rematch where either outcome is possible.

Odds: Ferreira opened at +130, now +145; Rodrigues opened at -150, now -170.
"I am going to pick Gregory Rodriguez, even despite the first loss. He should absolutely style on Bruno Fajeta again, but it's middleweight. So he might just get clocked again."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira as a plus-170 underdog, believing the odds should be closer. He notes that Ferreira knocked out Rodrigues in their first fight and has power that can end the fight early. Vreeland acknowledges both fighters have cardio issues and one-shot power, but he likes the value on Ferreira.

"Give me Bruno Ferrer to come out here and uh make history once again and get this upset."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

James picks Brunno Ferreira as the value side, noting that Ferreira already knocked out Rodrigues in their first fight and has the power to do it again. He highlights Rodrigues' poor chin and tendency to get hit, while Ferreira's leaping left hook is a dangerous weapon. James admits he is not confident but cannot trust Rodrigues at minus-200 odds due to his chin issues. He expects Ferreira to win by KO, likely early.

"I'm going to ultimately pick Bruno Ferrer just because I just feel like, you know, underdog price, pretty big underdog price. He's already knocked him out once."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Rodrigues has a height and reach advantage and will play it safe early before finding a knockout as Ferreira slows. He learned from the first fight and should be more assertive. The fight finishes inside the distance. Waiting for a better line is advised.

Rodrigues by knockout; fight inside distance
"I think this fight finishes inside the distance. I think wins, but I would think twice in terms of taking him at Chalk."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Paul picks Ferreira as a dog, citing Rodrigues' durability issues and poor head movement. He notes Ferreira's speed and power, and that he already knocked out Rodrigues. He sees value at plus money and expects a knockout.

"It's dog or pass here for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, citing his previous KO win over Rodrigues. He believes Ferreira's power and finishing ability will be too much, and that Rodrigues is chinny. He predicts a KO win, possibly in a scrappy fight.

KO victory
"Bruno Fea KO victory."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Zane picks Rodrigues, echoing Connor's reasoning. He notes that Rodrigues has become more willing to grapple and can use ground-and-pound to finish. Zane points out that Ferreira's game is limited to wild overhands and sacrificial submissions, and Rodrigues should be able to avoid the big shot if he fights smart. However, he admits that Ferreira's power makes it a dangerous fight.

Odds: Ferreira +145, Rodrigues -170.
"I am going to pick Gregory Rodriguez, even despite the first loss."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 88 of 186 47% 90 of 188 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:08
Brunno Ferreira 0 77 of 149 51% 77 of 149 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 27 of 49 55% 28 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Brunno Ferreira 0 25 of 47 53% 25 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Marvin Vettori 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 30 of 55 54% 30 of 55 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Marvin Vettori 0 30 of 66 45% 31 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:04
Brunno Ferreira 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 88 of 186 47% 78 of 176 1 of 1 9 of 9 86 of 181 2 of 4 0 of 1
Brunno Ferreira 77 of 149 51% 60 of 130 9 of 10 8 of 9 73 of 143 3 of 3 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 27 of 49 55% 22 of 44 0 of 0 5 of 5 27 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 25 of 47 53% 18 of 40 3 of 3 4 of 4 25 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 2
2 Marvin Vettori 31 of 71 43% 27 of 67 1 of 1 3 of 3 29 of 68 2 of 3 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 30 of 55 54% 21 of 45 5 of 5 4 of 5 27 of 52 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Marvin Vettori 30 of 66 45% 29 of 65 0 of 0 1 of 1 30 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 1
Brunno Ferreira 22 of 47 46% 21 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 46 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Marvin Vettori

Angelo picks Marvin Vettori, citing his incredible durability and experience against top competition. He notes that Vettori has been fighting the top 10 for years, while Ferreira has not faced the same level. Angelo acknowledges Ferreira's power and judo but doubts his cardio and ability to hurt Vettori. He expects Vettori to weather an early storm and win a decision, and he bet on the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds (bet at -140, half unit)
"Marvin Vettori is gonna be the pick here. I think Marvin gets it done. I even bet on the round over."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Marvin Vettori

Big Brady picks Marvin Vettori despite calling him 'washed'. He notes Vettori's durability and volume, and Ferreira's cardio issues, referencing Ferreira's loss to Abus Magomedov. He expects Vettori to mix in takedowns, grind on Ferreira, and submit him in the third round.

Vettori by third round submission
"I'm going to take Vtori to, you know, mix in the takedowns, grind on Ferrer, get him tired, and actually submit Ferrer in the third round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marvin Vettori

Cody picks Vettori, citing his durability and volume. He notes that Vettori has never been finished and has gone the distance with top competition. He believes Ferreira relies on early finishes and will fade if he doesn't get them. He thinks Vettori will outwork Ferreira and win by decision.

"It's got to be Marv. It's got to be Marv. Is this where Marv's head actually falls off for the first time? If it is, then then so be it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Connor picks Brunno Ferreira, citing that Vettori has lost his way after leaving Kings MMA and now fights without a clear game plan. He notes that Ferreira is a power puncher with submission threats, and while Vettori should win on paper, his recent performances show he is adrift. Connor calls it a vibes pick.

"I'm going to take Fajeta. He seems totally adrift to me. Like he just does not know what the aim is."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Daniel picks Ferreira, citing Vettori's decline (1-5 since title fight), lack of power, and fading durability. He believes Ferreira's power and finishing ability will be too much, and he expects Ferreira to become the first to finish Vettori in the UFC. He notes Vettori's volume edge but doubts it matters.

"Bruno Hulk Ferra is going to be the first man in UFC history to finish Marvin Vtori."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Lucrative James believes Marvin Vettori has looked washed recently, with declining durability. He notes Ferreira's power and thinks Vettori's chin may finally crack. He acknowledges the risk of betting against a proven chin but sees value in Ferreira as an underdog. He leans towards a KO win for Ferreira but does not predict the method definitively.

"I got Bruno Ferrer here, man."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Marvin Vettori

The host notes the opposite recent records but sees this as a step up in competition for Ferreira. He highlights Vettori's never-been-finished durability and Ferreira's lack of decision wins, expecting Vettori to bully Ferreira and pull out the win in deep water.

"Vtori's never been finished and Fera has never won a fight by decision... Vtori puts it on him, bullies him, and pulls his fight out in deep water."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marvin Vettori

Paul agrees, emphasizing Vettori's chin and experience against elite fighters. He notes that Ferreira's wins are all first-round finishes and that he has never won a decision. He believes Vettori's size and durability will allow him to outlast Ferreira and win by decision or late finish.

"Marvin Vtori is one hell of a survivor."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The Guru picks Brunno Ferreira to finish Marvin Vettori, despite Vettori's legendary chin. He notes Vettori is becoming more hittable and showing damage, and Ferreira has KO power and submissions. The Guru predicts a first-round finish by TKO or submission.

first round finish
"Brunno Fe is going to finish Marvin Vtori by TKO early in this fight. I reckon I think it's going to be the first or second round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Zane picks Brunno Ferreira, agreeing that Vettori has destroyed his own ability to fight with a good process. He notes that Ferreira is a power puncher with poor footwork but has knockout wins. Zane believes Vettori's indecision and gun-shyness could lead to Ferreira landing a big shot.

"I agree. The head of the game makes no, it is not even a borderline elite middleweight game."
WIN vs Jackson McVey
Submission R1 3:35 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brunno Ferreira 0 7 of 9 77% 9 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:07
Jackson McVey 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brunno Ferreira 0 7 of 9 77% 9 of 11 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:07
Jackson McVey 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brunno Ferreira 7 of 9 77% 4 of 5 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jackson McVey 4 of 15 26% 3 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brunno Ferreira 7 of 9 77% 4 of 5 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jackson McVey 4 of 15 26% 3 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brunno Ferreira vs. Jackson McVey
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ferreira (-600), McVey (+440)

Round 1
Violence is almost guaranteed in this next preliminary tilt, as these two middleweights each celebrate 100% finish rates. Ferreira (13-2, 4-2 UFC) will now draw McVey (6-0, 0-0 UFC) after a round robin of opponent switches for both men, and they are more than ready to hit something. Referee Kerry Hatley will make sure that they do so on the up-and-up. Before looking to lop one another’s head off, the intense 185ers touch gloves.
Ferreira gets right on his bike and circles around to find his way in, trying to look for angles towards the taller newcomer. Ferreira fires off a body kick after about 30 seconds of inactivity, and he circles all the way around his adversary with nary another strike thrown. McVey offers a few pawing front kicks to see if he can reach “The Hulk,” and he has a high kick skim across Ferreira’s shoulder. Ferreira steps in to jack McVey in the jaw with a right hook, but it is one-and-done as he backs off to avoid counters. Ferreira scores a low kick and shells up to block a few punches and a high kick. He blasts the front leg with a kick, and McVey stumbles and smiles to try to keep a poker face. Ferreira turns around carelessly to reset, and McVey tackles him to the mat from behind and briefly takes his back.
The incredibly strong Brazilian stands up with McVey on his back, leans over and slams McVey over his head to the mat. McVey lands with a grunt, and Ferreira leisurely sits down in side control to start doing work with elbow. When McVey looks to scramble, Ferreira slices into full mount like a hot knife through butter.
Ferreira lowers himself down for an arm-triangle choke setup, but it is a ruse as he traps McVey’s arm from the side and rolls him over, the armbar already set. Ferreira turns belly-down to complete the submission
, and the newcomer is shocked at how fast Ferreira nailed that sub and taps out frantically. “The Hulk” releases the grip immediately and runs to his corner to embrace them. His 100% finish rate remains intact.

The Official Result
Brunno Ferreira def. Jackson McVey R1 3:35 via Submission (Armbar)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira to win, citing his power, grappling, and experience. He notes that Jackson McVey has had a chaotic lead-up with multiple fight cancellations and weight cuts, which will work against him. However, he warns against betting heavy on Ferreira due to cardio issues.

Says he won't have a whole bunch of bets on a minus 700 favorite with cardio issues.
"I think Bruno smokes him. I think Bruno smokes him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Big Brady expects Brunno Ferreira to knock out Jackson McVey in the first round, citing Ferreira's scary power and McVey's step up in competition. He feels bad for McVey but sees a mismatch.

Ferreira by first round knockout
"I think FRA probably knocks out Jackson McVey in the first round."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The host notes that McVey is on short notice and facing the most difficult opponent he's ever come across. He believes Ferreira will crush him and finish him within the first round, indicating a high confidence in a first-round finish.

finishes within the first round
"I think Fera crushes him and finishes him within the first round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The MMA Guru picks Brunno Ferreira over Jackson McVey, calling it a mismatch. He notes that McVey is a debutant who was originally scheduled to fight someone else and has been in a depleted state due to weight cuts. Ferreira is described as a very good middleweight with dynamic striking and power, having knocked out Gregory Rodriguez in the first round. The Guru predicts a second-round TKO for Ferreira, as McVey's stand-up is hesitant and rushed, and he will likely get caught.

"I'm going with Jackson McVey... I think he's going to lose to Bruno Fea."
CANCEL vs Ikram Aliskerov
Submission R2 4:27 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brunno Ferreira 0 27 of 56 48% 31 of 63 2 of 7 28% 1 0 1:12
Armen Petrosyan 0 46 of 83 55% 47 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brunno Ferreira 0 13 of 25 52% 14 of 26 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
Armen Petrosyan 0 22 of 39 56% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brunno Ferreira 0 14 of 31 45% 17 of 37 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:54
Armen Petrosyan 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brunno Ferreira 27 of 56 48% 14 of 40 9 of 10 4 of 6 25 of 53 2 of 3 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 46 of 83 55% 19 of 54 7 of 7 20 of 22 46 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brunno Ferreira 13 of 25 52% 6 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 5 11 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 22 of 39 56% 6 of 22 4 of 4 12 of 13 22 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brunno Ferreira 14 of 31 45% 8 of 25 5 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 24 of 44 54% 13 of 32 3 of 3 8 of 9 24 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R3 3:14 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 26 of 59 44% 45 of 81 4 of 8 50% 1 0 3:36
Brunno Ferreira 0 29 of 71 40% 36 of 83 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 14 of 29 48% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 2 of 12 16% 2 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 8 of 23 34% 21 of 37 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:14
Brunno Ferreira 0 20 of 42 47% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
3 Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 4 of 7 57% 10 of 15 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:22
Brunno Ferreira 0 7 of 17 41% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abusupiyan Magomedov 26 of 59 44% 10 of 40 8 of 11 8 of 8 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 2
Brunno Ferreira 29 of 71 40% 20 of 59 9 of 12 0 of 0 26 of 65 1 of 2 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abusupiyan Magomedov 14 of 29 48% 4 of 17 5 of 7 5 of 5 14 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 2 of 12 16% 0 of 8 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Abusupiyan Magomedov 8 of 23 34% 3 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 3 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 2
Brunno Ferreira 20 of 42 47% 16 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 37 0 of 1 2 of 4
3 Abusupiyan Magomedov 4 of 7 57% 3 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 7 of 17 41% 4 of 13 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira with low confidence. He questions whether Abusupiyan Magomedov is good or not, noting his weak chin and poor performances. He thinks Ferreira's only path is an early finish, but with new gloves, finishes are less reliable. He will watch the line movement for better value on Ferreira as the underdog.

Watching line movement tracker for better value on Ferreira as the dog.
"Brunno f is going to be the pick low confidence I'm going to be watching the line movement tracker keeping an eye on it see if I can get even better value."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Big Brady picks Magomedov, citing his size, reach advantage, and wrestling. He is concerned about Ferreira's cardio, noting he looked like he was slowing down in the first round against Dustin Stoltzfus. He believes Magomedov can mix in takedowns and finish Ferreira in the second round by submission.

second round submission
"I'll say abua met off to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Cody picks Abusupiyan Magomedov, believing his wrestling and length will be key. He notes that Ferreira has poor takedown defense and that Magomedov can neutralize his power by taking him down. Cody is not highly confident due to Magomedov's cardio issues but thinks he can grind out a win.

"I'm going to take a small play on him"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Connor picks Magomedov, noting that Ferreira is much smaller and his game is shallow. He compares Ferreira to a portion of Gilbert Burns' striking without the other tools. Magomedov's size and reach will allow him to control the fight, and Ferreira is not suited for fighting off his back.

"I was thinking he's like, uh, he's like a portion of Gilbert Burns is striking without any of the other stuff to back it up. Yeah. Short little stocky power puncher who like, yeah, he just doesn't have anything else …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Magomedov, arguing that he is more technical on the feet and has a strong wrestling game. He notes that Magomedov's losses are to top middleweights like Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland, and that Ferreira's only path is a KO. Vreeland expects Magomedov to take Ferreira down repeatedly and possibly submit him.

"Abus Mega Med off uh definitely my Play Here wouldn't shock me if he subbed him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Daniel Vreeland picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout, citing Ferreira's devastating power and Magomedov's history of being knocked out. He acknowledges that if the fight goes to decision, Magomedov likely wins, but believes Ferreira's early finishing upside is worth the pick. Vreeland is not confident and notes the risk of Ferreira fading if he doesn't get the finish.

first-round knockout
"I'm gonna go with Bruno to come out here and upset him via starch again"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Jeff Fox is taking Ferreira, swayed by his recent win over Warley Alves. He believes Ferreira can land a knockout if he can keep the fight standing, though he acknowledges Magomedov's wrestling threat. Fox's pick is less confident and seems to be a contrarian choice.

"I'm taking F especially if he wants to stri with him then I I will take the hul here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Magomedov has the overall advantage with his ability to mix in grappling and his reach and length. He should counter Ferreira's blitzing approach and eventually put him away by knockout, similar to what Nurlan Ruziboev did to Toofan.

Magomedov wins by knockout
"look for magov to win this fight by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing his superior wrestling and cleaner striking. He notes that Ferreira is undersized for middleweight and has been taken down easily. Paul believes Magomedov can implement a wrestling-heavy game plan and win by decision or late finish. He is not highly confident.

"I think I'm going to go with a boost"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The Guru leans toward Brunno Ferreira, trusting his doggedness and finishing instincts in a firefight. He notes that Abusupiyan Magomedov may not have the same grit and could fade. He acknowledges both are capable of finishing each other but believes Ferreira will push when the going gets tough. The Guru also comments that Magomedov is 'too westernized' and 'soy'.

"I'm going to go with Brunno Ferreira because in my mind I'm thinking if it all goes good for either of them each of them are going to have a chance to win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Zane picked Magomedov, noting that Ferreira has great power but the rest of his game doesn't exist. He described Magomedov's game as an inch deep and a mile wide, able to do enough to stay in a fight if his opponent can't take over in any one area. Zane pointed out that Ferreira lacks consistency and a plan, so Magomedov was able to climb back and get the win.

"fajeta is he's got great power but the rest of his game just doesn't exist"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

Zane picks Magomedov because of his significant size and reach advantage over Ferreira. He notes that Ferreira's game is shallow and he is a short, stocky power puncher with no other tools to control a fight. Magomedov can use his reach to land one-twos and takedowns, and Ferreira's only chance is an early knockout, but Magomedov has speed and size.

"I think it could be wider than that. I know Avus is a bit of a glass cannon and you know, he's been shown up by fighters like Kyle Baha'o and Sean Strickland and even Lewis Taylor at one point, …"
KO (spinning back elbow) R1 4:51 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brunno Ferreira 1 24 of 36 66% 27 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 18 of 40 45% 20 of 44 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brunno Ferreira 1 24 of 36 66% 27 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 18 of 40 45% 20 of 44 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brunno Ferreira 24 of 36 66% 16 of 27 6 of 7 2 of 2 22 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dustin Stoltzfus 18 of 40 45% 12 of 34 4 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 34 3 of 3 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brunno Ferreira 24 of 36 66% 16 of 27 6 of 7 2 of 2 22 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dustin Stoltzfus 18 of 40 45% 12 of 34 4 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 34 3 of 3 2 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira, citing his insane power against Dustin Stoltzfus's questionable chin. He notes that all of Ferreira's wins are finishes, and Stoltzfus has been knocked out before. He thinks it's a trap fight because it seems too easy, but he is falling into the trap. He predicts Ferreira wins inside the distance.

Brunno Ferreira wins inside the distance
"Bruno FAA inside the distance no less"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Big Brady picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Ferreira's incredible one-punch power and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Stoltzfus is hitable with 48% striking defense and that Ferreira will follow up if he hurts him. He mentions a potential live bet on Stoltzfus if he survives the first round.

knockout round 1; live bet Stoltzfus if survives first round
"give me Bruno Ferrera to win this fight and win this fight by first round Nar knockout I think he Sparks Dustin stsf in the early going"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Cody picks Stoltzfus as a greasy underdog, noting that Ferreira is a first-round knockout artist with questionable cardio and wild striking. Stoltzfus has decent cardio, wrestling, and BJJ, and has been competitive against tough opponents. Cody believes if Stoltzfus can survive the first round, he can take over with his grappling and pressure. He sees value in the plus money and expects Stoltzfus to win by decision or late submission.

"I would think that there's a lot of pass here for stus but largely he's going to have to get out of that first round Bruno we know he's a tank engine for the first round but almost all of …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Daniel picks Stoltzfus as a live dog, believing Ferreira is too small for middleweight and that Stoltzfus can survive the early onslaught and take over after the seven-minute mark. He notes Ferreira's all-first-round finishes but criticizes his awkward movement and lack of in-between striking. He warns that Stoltzfus stands straight up and gets hit early, but if he can drag the fight out, his grappling and experience could pay off.

dog or pass
"I'm going to go Dustin Stoltzfus here now"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Jacob picks Brunno Ferreira, agreeing with Angelo. He notes that Stoltzfus has a suspect chin and Ferreira has big power. However, he warns that if the fight gets out of the first round, Ferreira might fade. He has Ferreira in a parlay but is not betting him heavily. He plans to live bet Stoltzfus if the first round ends without a finish.

Brunno Ferreira in a parlay; live bet on Dustin Stoltzfus if fight goes past round 1
"I'm picking Bruno I think he is going to find that shot but if this gets out of the first round I don't care how the first round looked Saturday live stream if we're streaming you better believe I'm putting …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Stoltzfus has a reach and height advantage, and his straight shots down the pipe should keep Ferreira at bay. Ferreira is a power puncher with a BJJ black belt, but Stoltzfus showed improved performance against Soriano. At +220, Stoltzfus is a good underdog pick to win by decision, possibly even a late finish.

"give me stfo and St Fus by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul sees this as a dogger pass situation. He acknowledges Ferreira's first-round knockout power but notes the lack of value on Ferreira by knockout props. He thinks Stoltzfus could win if he survives the early storm, but he's not confident enough to make a pick.

"it's a dogger pass type of situation as well Cody"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The Guru picks Ferreira to 'smoke' Stoltzfus, saying Stoltzfus isn't the same level of danger on the feet and will be more scared in the fight. He notes Ferreira has KO power and that Stoltzfus's wins aren't impressive (e.g., Dwight Grant, Punahele Soriano). He expects a KO win for Ferreira.

KO win prediction
"Bruno fa is going to smoke him... there will be one person in this fight who is a lot more [__] himself than the other one and it's going to be Dustin stus so I think that's going to lead …"
Armen Petrosyan - Fight History
LOSS vs Brunno Ferreira
Submission R2 4:27 · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · Mar 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brunno Ferreira 0 27 of 56 48% 31 of 63 2 of 7 28% 1 0 1:12
Armen Petrosyan 0 46 of 83 55% 47 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brunno Ferreira 0 13 of 25 52% 14 of 26 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:18
Armen Petrosyan 0 22 of 39 56% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brunno Ferreira 0 14 of 31 45% 17 of 37 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:54
Armen Petrosyan 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brunno Ferreira 27 of 56 48% 14 of 40 9 of 10 4 of 6 25 of 53 2 of 3 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 46 of 83 55% 19 of 54 7 of 7 20 of 22 46 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brunno Ferreira 13 of 25 52% 6 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 5 11 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 22 of 39 56% 6 of 22 4 of 4 12 of 13 22 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brunno Ferreira 14 of 31 45% 8 of 25 5 of 5 1 of 1 14 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 24 of 44 54% 13 of 32 3 of 3 8 of 9 24 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (spinning backfists) R2 4:52 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 65 of 106 61% 67 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 77 of 140 55% 77 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 33 of 49 67% 35 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Armen Petrosyan 0 46 of 81 56% 46 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 32 of 57 56% 32 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Armen Petrosyan 0 31 of 59 52% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 65 of 106 61% 24 of 53 29 of 34 12 of 19 63 of 104 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 77 of 140 55% 22 of 66 10 of 14 45 of 60 75 of 138 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 49 67% 12 of 24 13 of 14 8 of 11 31 of 47 2 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 46 of 81 56% 14 of 35 5 of 7 27 of 39 44 of 79 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 32 of 57 56% 12 of 29 16 of 20 4 of 8 32 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 31 of 59 52% 8 of 31 5 of 7 18 of 21 31 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Sharabutdin Magomedov despite being disappointed in his lack of finishes. He believes Shara is the better striker and counter-striker, and Armen's forward pressure will play into Shara's hands. However, he also sees value in betting on Armen Petrosyan at plus money via a spread bet, as Shara has not been finishing fights and Armen could win rounds.

Sneaky good bet on Armen Petrosyan +3.5 if available; over 2.5 rounds if plus money.
"I'm going to pick Shara because I think arman's forward pressure will play in to's very good counter striking but I think a sneaky good bet... plus three and a half on Arman petosan might be a very good bet."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Big Brady picks the underdog Petrosyan, calling this the closest fight on the card. He thinks Petrosyan can hang on the feet and may mix in takedowns, which could be a key factor. He notes that Petrosyan has been taken down a lot but might have improved his wrestling, similar to Roman Kopylov. He believes at worst it's a 50/50 fight and doesn't understand the odds.

"I'm going with with the dog here I just don't understand these odds"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody picks Armen Petrosyan as a slight underdog, citing Magomedov's lack of grappling and takedown defense. He notes that Petrosyan has faced strong grapplers and survived, and that he has the striking volume and power to outwork Magomedov. Cody also mentions that Petrosyan may mix in takedowns of his own. However, he is not highly confident due to potential hometown cooking for Magomedov.

"I'm actually going to go with Arman petan as well"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Connor picks Magomedov, noting his speed and volume, though he acknowledges his takedown defense is still a work in progress. He believes Petrosyan lacks the power to hurt Magomedov and that Magomedov's boxing improvements will be enough to win a striking battle. Connor is not fully confident but sees Magomedov as the likely winner.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosyan opened at +167, currently +142
"So unfortunately I think I have to picture our bullet Magomedov."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov to win, citing his movement and elusiveness as key factors against the more flat-footed Petrosyan. He acknowledges Petrosyan's striking credentials but believes Magomedov's lateral movement and ability to stay on the move will frustrate Petrosyan. Vreeland also mentions the potential for favorable judging in Abu Dhabi for a fighter with a name ending in 'ov'.

"I'm going sha magam medov"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a clear pick for this fight. He sees value on Petrosyan but is not confident enough to bet. He notes that Magomedov has a unique kicking style that could trouble Petrosyan, but Petrosyan has grappling upside and may shoot takedowns. He plans to study more tape before deciding.

"it's a tough one for me guys... I'm going to say that there is some value on patan but I do want to look into the fight a little bit more"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Petrosyan is the technically superior striker with a cleaner, straighter style that will counter Magomedov's orthodox approach. He may mix in some grappling but his fundamental striking and clinch work should lead to a decision win.

"look for petosan winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul picks Petrosyan, noting that Magomedov has no wrestling and that Petrosyan has good volume and kicks. He believes Petrosyan's experience against grapplers will help him, and that he can win the striking exchanges. Paul is not confident due to potential judging bias but leans Petrosyan.

"I'll take Armen but I don't like it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov by decision, believing Petrosyan's rangey, point-fighting style plays into Magomedov's strengths. He notes that Petrosyan doesn't mix in grappling and will engage in a striking match where Magomedov's volume and durability should win rounds. He criticizes Magomedov's finishing ability but thinks he will outwork Petrosyan. The Guru also mentions Petrosyan's short reach as a disadvantage.

"I'm going to go with Sharabutdin Magomedov here getting it done by a decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane also picks Magomedov, citing his speed and volume. He notes that Petrosian is not a powerful striker and that Magomedov's improved takedown defense, while still imperfect, should be enough to avoid being controlled. Zane thinks Magomedov's pace will overwhelm Petrosian.

Magomedov opened at -189, currently -159; Petrosian opened at +167, currently +142
"I think Magomedov is more powerful. I think Petrosian, he's much faster and Petrosian himself is not, it's not like he's a great defensive fighter."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Zane picked Magomedov, noting his elite speed and dedication to volume. He pointed out that Petrosyan is a low-power, slightly less volume kickboxer with okay but not good wrestling, which was a good matchup for Magomedov. Zane highlighted that Magomedov is getting better at MMA, improving his takedown defense, and that Petrosyan started well but got discouraged by the absurd speed and second-guessed himself.

"chara bullet is really fast and really dedicated to volume he is elite in his speed"
LOSS vs Rodolfo Vieira
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:48 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rodolfo Vieira 0 6 of 11 54% 14 of 21 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:46
Armen Petrosyan 0 9 of 20 45% 14 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rodolfo Vieira 0 6 of 11 54% 14 of 21 3 of 3 100% 1 0 2:46
Armen Petrosyan 0 9 of 20 45% 14 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rodolfo Vieira 6 of 11 54% 4 of 6 0 of 2 2 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 9 of 20 45% 1 of 10 1 of 3 7 of 7 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rodolfo Vieira 6 of 11 54% 4 of 6 0 of 2 2 of 3 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 9 of 20 45% 1 of 10 1 of 3 7 of 7 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Armen Petrosyan vs. Rodolfo Vieira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Vieira (-120), Petrosyan (+100)

Round 1
Rescheduled from November due to a fight-night scratch, this quintessential striker vs. grappler contest opens the main card, as ADCC and mundials all-star Vieira (9-2, 4-2 UFC) would like nothing more than to become the first man to tap out kickboxer Petrosyan (9-2, 3-1 UFC). No matter how it plays out, these two middleweights are primed to put on a show. Referee Mark Smith is on call to keep things on the up-and-up, and there is no bad blood between them as they even hugged it out before announcer Joe Martinez introduced them. They clap both hands together, and Petrosyan takes to the center of the cage and starts looking for a jab. It is Vieira who lands the jab first, although Petrosyan is quick to find it on his own. Petrosyan jams a low kick on the calf, and he scores a front kick and another low kick while Vieira is still watching him. They trade leg kicks, and Vieira hand-fights to prevent Petrosyan from landing a right hand. Petrosyan accepts this by turning his hips towards low kicks, and he uses a front kick like a jab. Vieira doubles up on a jab, leading Petrosyan to kicking him in the side. Vieira scoops up an easy single, and when Petrosyan scrambles, the Brazilian takes his back briefly. Petrosyan manages to get back up, only for “The Black Belt Hunter” to take him down again with a single. Vieira gets one hook around the side and allows Petrosyan to surrender position so he can fish for a choke. Petrosyan muscles his way back upright, and Vieira decides instead to lift “Superman” in the air and throw him down to the mat like a middleweight Matt Hughes. This time, Petrosyan is not so able to climb up the wall behind him, and Vieira moves to half guard while lowering his weight down for an arm-triangle choke. Vieira easily steps over to mount, and Petrosyan turns over to give up his back. Vieira lets this happen so he can get a rear-naked choke, and Petrosyan turns around to lay down flat on his back.
The Brazilian presses down with all his might and he locks down an arm-triangle choke, and it is academic at this point. With seconds to spare in the round, Petrosyan taps out twice, and he nearly goes out as Vieira releases the grip. Smith pulls them apart, and Petrosyan is incensed, perhaps not realizing that he surrendered.
Petrosyan tries to claim he did not submit to the move, but no one listens as the video plays on the big screen showing him tapping. Vieira still retains a 100% finish rate with his arm-triangle choke, and he claims the UFC record with the most submissions of this type in company history (four).

The Official Result
Rodolfo Vieira def. Armen Petrosyan R1 4:48 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Angelo highlights Rodolfo Vieira's world-class BJJ and explosiveness, and notes his improved striking and toughness shown in the Cody Brundage fight. Armen Petrosyan is a beast on the feet with a kickboxing background but has questionable takedown defense. Angelo believes the gap on the ground is wider than on the feet, and that Vieira will get takedowns and win. He is confident and looks for prop bets.

"Rolph Vier is going to be the pick pretty confident in him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Big Brady hesitantly picks Rodolfo Vieira to win by first-round submission. He notes that Vieira is a legit BJJ black belt with incredible grappling, while Petrosyan has terrible takedown defense (36%) and gives up his back. However, Vieira has poor cardio and if Petrosyan survives the first round, he likely knocks Vieira out. He calls it a pick 'em fight.

first round submission
"I'm going to stick with Roda Vieira I'm going to take him to win this fight by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rodolfo Vieira

Cody picks Vieira, acknowledging Petrosyan is better on the feet. He thinks if Vieira can get the fight to the mat early, his BJJ is a threat. Cody notes Vieira's cardio issues but believes he can survive 15 minutes. He sees this as a close fight where Vieira's submission threat gives him the edge.

"Rulo for me"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Petrosyan has shown improved takedown defense and submission defense, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He should be able to keep the fight standing and use his kickboxing to wear on Vieira, potentially finding a TKO in the second round. Vieira has cardio issues and is dangerous early, but Petrosyan's patience and technical discipline should allow him to survive and take over late.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to call it petan TKO round two uh fight doesn't go to decision would obviously be my favorite spot in this matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul picks Petrosyan, citing his superior striking, cardio, and durability. He criticizes Vieira's takedown accuracy and cardio, noting he gassed against Anthony Hernandez. Petrosyan has shown good takedown defense and volume. Paul believes if Petrosyan survives the first round, he will take over and win by decision or late TKO.

"Arman all day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

The MMA Guru picks Armen Petrosyan because he believes Petrosyan has good takedown defense and a tucked-up style with short arms that makes him safer in close range. He thinks Petrosyan will chew up Vieira's legs and stuff takedowns early. He likes Petrosyan's work on the inside and expects him to get the win.

"I'm going to go with Arman petosan... I think he's got good takedown defense and uh I think he's going to chew up the legs of Rulo Vie the CF and then manag to stuff a lot of those takedowns …"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Armen Petrosyan 0 89 of 156 57% 111 of 179 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:21
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 59 of 122 48% 73 of 136 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Armen Petrosyan 0 37 of 66 56% 37 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 27 of 51 52% 27 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Armen Petrosyan 0 36 of 62 58% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 20 of 43 46% 25 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:41
3 Armen Petrosyan 0 16 of 28 57% 28 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:17
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 12 of 28 42% 21 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Armen Petrosyan 89 of 156 57% 37 of 90 15 of 22 37 of 44 77 of 139 10 of 14 2 of 3
Christian Leroy Duncan 59 of 122 48% 23 of 72 8 of 16 28 of 34 58 of 121 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Armen Petrosyan 37 of 66 56% 10 of 30 6 of 10 21 of 26 36 of 64 1 of 2 0 of 0
Christian Leroy Duncan 27 of 51 52% 10 of 29 6 of 8 11 of 14 27 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Armen Petrosyan 36 of 62 58% 19 of 42 8 of 10 9 of 10 26 of 50 9 of 10 1 of 2
Christian Leroy Duncan 20 of 43 46% 6 of 24 2 of 6 12 of 13 20 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Armen Petrosyan 16 of 28 57% 8 of 18 1 of 2 7 of 8 15 of 25 0 of 2 1 of 1
Christian Leroy Duncan 12 of 28 42% 7 of 19 0 of 2 5 of 7 11 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan, noting his pressure and creativity. He acknowledges that Armen Petrosyan is a skilled striker with a solid chin, and if Duncan chases an early knockout and gasses, Petrosyan could take over. However, Duncan hasn't shown a gas tank issue yet. Angelo calls Duncan an affordable minus 150.

"Christian is going to be the pick and he is honestly an affordable minus 150 right now"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Big Brady picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges that Petrosyan is likely to win the minutes with higher volume, but Duncan has fight-ending power with spinning attacks and flying knees. Brady notes Petrosyan has poor takedown defense and has been knocked out before. He also mentions Duncan has shown some takedown ability and solid ground game, which could be an alternative path. He thinks the line may be a bit wide but leans to Duncan's power.

"I think it's going to be Christian Leroy Duncan who wins the moments and and finds a knockout quite quite frankly."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody takes the underdog Petrosyan, citing his elite striking volume, cardio, and leg kicks. He notes that Petrosyan's takedown defense is poor but his ability to scramble back up and maintain pace is excellent. He believes Duncan, while athletic and rangy, may not have the cardio to keep up with Petrosyan's pressure over three rounds. Cody thinks Petrosyan's leg kicks will slow Duncan's movement, and if Petrosyan can survive the first round, he will take over in the second and third. He also mentions a prop for Petrosyan by split decision at +1250.

Petrosyan by split decision at +1250 (sprinkle)
"I'll go with I've got the arm and Armin special this week"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Connor picks Duncan for similar reasons, citing his power and aggression. He notes that Petrosian is a 'Vettori type' who is difficult to look good against, but Duncan's power and ability to land crushing shots should carry him. Connor is not fully confident but leans to the powerful fighter.

"I got to pick the powerful guy."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Daniel Levi picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his athleticism, speed, and reach advantage. He notes Duncan's impressive movement in his debut and believes he can land takedowns on Petrosyan, whose takedown defense is poor. He got Duncan at -125 and thinks the line is good value. He also mentions the age disparity and Duncan entering his prime.

bet at -125, potential finish
"I got him at -125 I thought that was an awesome line for him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Petrosyan is the technically better kickboxer but Duncan's speed, explosiveness, and power will be the difference maker. Petrosyan has been knocked out by less technical strikers before. Duncan throws flying knees and spinning techniques and is likely to land a knockout blow in the first or second round.

Duncan wins by KO in round 1 or 2
"I fully expect him to go out there and lie in that knockout blow on a Petrosian... give me Christian Leroy Duncan probably first or second knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Paul sides with Cody, noting that Petrosyan's sample size of high-volume striking in three-round fights is impressive, and until he sees more from Duncan, he leans to the underdog. He mentions that Petrosyan by decision is +250 and by split decision is +1250, which could be worth a sprinkle. He thinks the fight could be close and go to the judges.

Petrosyan by decision at +250; Petrosyan by split decision at +1250 (sprinkle)
"slight lean to the underdog here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan over Armen Petrosyan, emphasizing the eight-inch reach advantage. He notes Petrosyan is a good striker but lacks dynamism, while Duncan throws wheel kicks, front kicks, and flying knees. He expects Duncan to catch Petrosyan pulling out of an exchange and win by TKO.

"I am going to be going with Christian Leroy Duncan over arm and Petrosian... I think the reach Advantage is just everything in this matchup"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Zane picks Duncan because he trusts Duncan's power and comfort in the pocket. He notes that Petrosian is consistent but lacks power, and that Duncan is a more mindful pocket puncher with good vision in exchanges. Zane believes Duncan's dynamic fight-changing power will be too much for Petrosian, who has shown vulnerability to counters.

"I'll take Duncan."
WIN vs A.J. Dobson
DEC R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
LOSS vs Caio Borralho
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Caio Borralho 0 12 of 25 48% 49 of 83 4 of 5 80% 0 0 10:09
Armen Petrosyan 0 31 of 61 50% 72 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Caio Borralho 0 4 of 5 80% 14 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:24
Armen Petrosyan 0 1 of 2 50% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Caio Borralho 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:47
Armen Petrosyan 0 12 of 29 41% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:26
3 Caio Borralho 0 6 of 12 50% 27 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:58
Armen Petrosyan 0 18 of 30 60% 41 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Caio Borralho 12 of 25 48% 4 of 15 6 of 8 2 of 2 11 of 23 1 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 31 of 61 50% 2 of 19 3 of 9 26 of 33 16 of 40 0 of 0 15 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Caio Borralho 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Caio Borralho 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 12 of 29 41% 1 of 12 1 of 3 10 of 14 9 of 23 0 of 0 3 of 6
3 Caio Borralho 6 of 12 50% 1 of 6 4 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 10 1 of 2 0 of 0
Armen Petrosyan 18 of 30 60% 1 of 7 2 of 5 15 of 18 6 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 15
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Angelo picks Caio Borralho but with low confidence, noting the fight is closer than the 2-1 odds suggest. He highlights Borralho's slick grappling and takedowns, while Petrosyan is a high-volume kickboxer with questionable takedown defense. He acknowledges Petrosyan can win if he makes Borralho pay on grappling entries, as seen in his win over Gregory Rodrigues. He may switch his pick by fight week.

"Kyo is the pick here but I really don't see him being as big of a favorite as the books do... I may end up switching this pick by the end of the week."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Big Brady confidently picks Caio Borralho, highlighting his superior wrestling and grappling. He notes that Petrosyan's takedown defense is non-existent and that he gives up his back frequently. Brady believes Borralho will take the fight to the mat, take Petrosyan's back, and finish via ground-and-pound or submission. He predicts a first-round finish, though he acknowledges Petrosyan has power and could win if the fight stays standing.

first round finish
"kyle first round finish let's go"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Cody likes Borralho's well-rounded skills and high fight IQ, but acknowledges Petrosyan's toughness and cardio. He thinks Borralho can bait Petrosyan in and get takedowns, where his grappling is superior. However, he's not highly confident because Petrosyan is a live underdog with a solid skill set.

Mentions Borralho over 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
"i'm gonna have to go with him to get the job done but not one that i would have a whole lot of confidence in not because i don't love chao i really do but because he's taking on somebody …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)
Armen Petrosyan

The host bets 1 unit on Armen Petrosyan at +196. He believes Petrosyan is a solid prospect who can deal with Borralho's game. He thinks the line has moved too far in Borralho's favor due to recency bias, and that Petrosyan's defensive grappling is excellent, allowing him to get back to his feet and work on the feet. He sees a potential knockout for Petrosyan. He notes that Petrosyan's takedown defense is not great but his defensive grappling is amazing.

Bet 1 unit at +196. Thinks Petrosyan could knock him out.
"I got one unit on Armin patrizia not plus 196. I feel pretty damn good about him cast him last time around that's not the only reason I'm betting him but I do think he's uh a solid Prospect here …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

Paul agrees with Cody that Borralho is the pick, but he's not supremely confident. He notes that Petrosyan has been taken down multiple times in recent fights and that Borralho's path to victory is through takedowns and grappling. He mentions the over 1.5 takedowns prop on PrizePicks.

Mentions Borralho over 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
"i'm not supremely confident in kyo getting over uh you know two or more takedowns but i thought the number was a little bit low so that's how i've got my investment in this one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Caio Borralho

The Guru picks Caio Borralho (referred to as Carballo/Kaubour), praising his grappling and size advantage. He notes Borralho out-grappled Gadzhi Omargadzhiev easily and believes he can take down Petrosyan. He predicts a decision win, with Borralho using his reach and transitions to control the fight.

decision win
"I'm going to be going with Carballo here."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Armen Petrosyan 0 127 of 231 54% 128 of 232 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 0 61 of 133 45% 61 of 133 2 of 3 66% 2 0 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Armen Petrosyan 0 41 of 72 56% 41 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 0 18 of 40 45% 18 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Armen Petrosyan 0 35 of 75 46% 36 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
3 Armen Petrosyan 0 51 of 84 60% 51 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gregory Rodrigues 0 19 of 42 45% 19 of 42 1 of 2 50% 2 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Armen Petrosyan 127 of 231 54% 50 of 139 38 of 47 39 of 45 127 of 231 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 61 of 133 45% 45 of 114 9 of 12 7 of 7 61 of 133 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Armen Petrosyan 41 of 72 56% 19 of 47 6 of 7 16 of 18 41 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 18 of 40 45% 9 of 30 3 of 4 6 of 6 18 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Armen Petrosyan 35 of 75 46% 14 of 49 11 of 14 10 of 12 35 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 24 of 51 47% 21 of 48 3 of 3 0 of 0 24 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Armen Petrosyan 51 of 84 60% 17 of 43 21 of 26 13 of 15 51 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gregory Rodrigues 19 of 42 45% 15 of 36 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Big Brady picks Gregory Rodrigues to win by first-round submission. He notes Petrosyan's takedown defense is a huge liability and that every Petrosyan fight follows a pattern where he gets taken down early, his opponent gasses, and then he finishes. Brady believes Rodrigues has elite BJJ and can submit Petrosyan if he gets him down. However, he is hesitant because Rodrigues has been knocked out before and his gas tank is questionable if the fight goes past the first round.

Rodrigues by first-round submission
"I'll pick rodriguez i don't love it but i'm going to take rodriguez to get the fight down to the mat i think he can get takedowns whenever he wants and i think his ground game is on an elite …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

Cody picks Petrosyan as an underdog, citing his striking power, leg kicks, and improved takedown defense from training in Dagestan. He notes Rodrigues' questionable chin and cardio, and believes Petrosyan can knock him out if he avoids grappling. Cody calls it a 'dog or pass' fight.

"i'm gonna take the underdog here arm and protrusion and plus 140"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Daniel Levi picks Gregory Rodrigues to win via submission. He highlights Rodrigues' size, physicality, and black belt, and notes Petrosyan has been knocked out before. Levi warns that if Rodrigues gets cocky and stands with Petrosyan, he could get knocked out, but expects Rodrigues to take him down and submit him. He mentions Petrosyan's ability to survive bad positions and come back, but thinks Rodrigues' experience is the difference.

"i'm gonna go with rodriguez via via submission but i could see a rodriguez knockout too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

The host likes Petrosyan as an underdog, believing his striking is superior and that he will defend takedowns well. He expects Rodrigues to struggle to get the fight to the ground and gas out, allowing Petrosyan to find a knockout in the second or third round. He compares the matchup to Jared Cannonier vs Derek Brunson and thinks Petrosyan deserves to be the slight favorite.

"i like petrossian at these underdog odds and i do think he gets the knockout i think he even deserves to be the slight favorite here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gregory Rodrigues

Paul picks Rodrigues by submission, noting his size, strength, and BJJ black belt. He believes Rodrigues should take Petrosyan down and submit him, though he acknowledges Rodrigues' chin is a concern. Paul placed a small bet on Rodrigues by submission at +400.

Rodrigues by submission +400
"i threw a little sprinkle because i was worried that the number's gonna get away from me rodriguez by submission plus 400"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Armen Petrosyan

The MMA Guru picks Armen Petrosyan to win by KO in the second round. He acknowledges Gregory Rodrigues' power and recent improvements in grappling but notes that Rodrigues has shown a questionable chin and gassing issues, as seen in his fight with Park and Yong. The Guru believes Petrosyan's diverse striking (head kicks, body shots) and ability to stay calm in bad positions will be key. He expects a high-paced first round with grappling from Rodrigues, followed by Petrosyan landing a KO blow in the second as Rodrigues slows down.

second round KO
"petrosian's going to make a comeback and land like a ko blow in the second round"