Career Averages - Mansur Abdul-Malik
Career Averages - Antonio Trócoli
Mansur Abdul-Malik - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 16 of 60 | 26% | 16 of 61 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 2 | 94 of 156 | 60% | 107 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 7 of 24 | 29% | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 1 | 44 of 63 | 69% | 55 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:51 | |
| 3 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 2 of 16 | 12% | 2 of 16 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 1 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 30 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 16 of 60 | 26% | 10 of 45 | 3 of 9 | 3 of 6 | 14 of 55 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 94 of 156 | 60% | 54 of 103 | 22 of 32 | 18 of 21 | 75 of 133 | 17 of 20 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 7 of 24 | 29% | 3 of 14 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 22 of 47 | 46% | 3 of 18 | 6 of 13 | 13 of 16 | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 7 of 20 | 35% | 5 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 15 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 44 of 63 | 69% | 30 of 47 | 10 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 46 | 11 of 14 | 2 of 3 | |
| 3 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 2 of 16 | 12% | 2 of 14 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yousri Belgaroui | 28 of 46 | 60% | 21 of 38 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 40 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Yorgan De Castro (Yousri Belgaroui) after previously making the mistake of picking a powerful wrestler against him. He trusts De Castro's range management and striking, and notes that Mansour has looked vulnerable in past fights. He believes De Castro can win if his takedown defense holds up.
Big Brady picks Yousri Belgaroui to win by decision. He criticizes Mansur Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency and poor striking defense, noting he gets out-landed at distance by lesser opponents. He believes Belgaroui has a good chin and will outwork Malik over 15 minutes. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds prop because Malik often does nothing early.
Cody picks Belgaroui, citing his improvement, reach advantage, and superior kickboxing. He doubts Abdul-Malik's wrestling will be effective and believes Belgaroui can outpoint him.
Connor picks Belgaroui, impressed by his debut where he used an active jab to control Bekelev. He notes that Belgaroui's kickboxing technique is consistent and can fence off opponents, while Abdul-Malik is low output and sporadic, looking for a moment. However, he acknowledges Abdul-Malik's special athleticism and reach, and that Belgaroui still takes shots and gives openings under pressure.
Daniel believes Abdul-Malik is a freak athlete with one-shot KO power and D1 wrestling. He thinks Belgaroui will engage, giving Abdul-Malik openings to land big shots and regain his hype.
The host gives Abdul-Malik a 65-70% chance to win, citing his explosive power and Belgaroui's defensive vulnerabilities. Belgaroui is a technical counter striker but is hittable and has a 'giraffe neck' that makes him susceptible to knockouts. Abdul-Malik's speed and power should allow him to land big shots, and he may also have success with wrestling. The host is not super confident but sees value at -134.
The host believes Belgaroui's technical striking and improved takedown defense will be key. He expects Belgaroui to use his reach and jab to pick apart Abdul-Malik, who may struggle with cardio if he can't dictate the pace. He notes the line movement towards Belgaroui and sees him winning by decision.
Paul leans Abdul-Malik, thinking his wrestling and physicality will be the difference. He's hesitant due to Abdul-Malik's inconsistent wrestling usage.
The MMA Guru picks Yousri Belgaroui, expressing surprise that he is an underdog. He believes Belgaroui's kickboxing pedigree and recent performance against Boev show he is levels above Abdul-Malik's previous competition. He notes Abdul-Malik's wins are over lower-tier opponents and that Belgaroui's takedown defense and striking will be too much. He predicts a TKO in the second or third round.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Belgaroui's active jab and consistent technique will be a problem for Abdul-Malik, whose MMA Masters game is reactive and not built to handle a maintenance strategy. He also mentions that Belgaroui handled a stiff test of defensive wrestling against Bekelev. However, he notes that Abdul-Malik is a special athlete with insane arm length and real kickboxing skills.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.
Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.
Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.
Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.
Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.
Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.
The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.
Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.
Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 25 of 73 | 34% | 25 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Cody Brundage | 0 | 30 of 67 | 44% | 30 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Brundage | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 10 of 28 | 35% | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cody Brundage | 0 | 10 of 31 | 32% | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Cody Brundage | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 25 of 73 | 34% | 17 of 55 | 3 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 |
| Cody Brundage | 30 of 67 | 44% | 18 of 49 | 2 of 8 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Brundage | 11 of 21 | 52% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 10 of 28 | 35% | 5 of 18 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cody Brundage | 10 of 31 | 32% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 11 of 30 | 36% | 10 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 |
| Cody Brundage | 9 of 15 | 60% | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Abdul-Malik (-800), Brundage (+500)
Round 1
The line on this middleweight pairing may not be quite as ludicrous as Wellmaker vs. Moutinho, but Abdul-Malik (8-0, 2-0 UFC) is coming in as a favorite anywhere from -950 to -1200, give or take. With eight finishes across his eight victories, prognosticators believe that his battle with Brundage (11-6, 1 NC; 5-5, 1 NC UFC) may not last long, win or lose. Referee Brent McKeehan is distinctly aware of the possibility, and is on his A-game right out of the gate. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brundage fires off some early warning kicks to demonstrate he is not going to be such an easy out. He lands a low kick as Abdul-Malik comes towards him, and he connects with a clean right hand. Brundage’s front kick pushes off the chest, and Abdul-Malik’s is much heavier in response. Brundage stands firm and delivers a kick to the body and one to the lead leg, and Abdul-Malik is unable to find his way in. The middleweights trade punches, and Abdul-Malik drives a front kick through the guard that surprises Brundage. Abdul-Malik walks him down but lets him entirely off the hook. Brundage strikes the front leg and fires a front kick down the middle, before lunging with an overhand right. Abdul-Malik swings a body kick and leaps at his foe with a jump knee, and Brundage steels himself and wings a pair of body shots back at him. The cautious round ends, and again fans drown the competitors out with boos.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Round 2
After a quick fist bump, the two meet in the middle of the cage without trading. Abdul-Malik tests the waters with a low kick, and he chambers a head kick and is met on the way down with an inside leg kick. Neither fighter is willing to commit to anything, resulting in a lull in action. Abdul-Malik decides to start fighting suddenly, running at Brundage and catching him with a right hand. Brundage retaliates with a flying knee, and Abdul-Malik tags him with another right on the ear as he plants his feet. The blow cuts Brundage behind his ear, which starts bleeding heavily down his neck. He paws at it and pays it little mind, instead winging a right hand at the overwhelming favorite. Abdul-Malik walks into a left hand as he tries to attack with a knee, and then they back off and measure one another for a while. Abdul-Malik eventually pushes out a front kick, and Brundage finds a way in and connects with two punches. Brundage’s overhand right just misses as the crowd gasps, seemingly desperate for a clean, solid strike to land. Brundage crashes the pocket but backs off when taking a low kick. Abdul-Malik spins with a back kick, and Brundage retaliates with an overhand right. The horn sounds to wrap the disappointing round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Round 3
Abdul-Malik runs at his opponent as soon as the round begins, railing Brundage with a flying knee. This immediately devolves in a ludicrous brawl, where both fighters wing hooks with everything they have. Abdul-Malik hurts Brundage, Brundage returns fire, and they proceed to bang it out. Brundage closes in and drives in a knee, and Abdul-Malik turns the corner and rails his opponent with a flush knee to the sternum and a direct head clash. Brundage goes down in a heap, shelling up as Abdul-Malik unloads on him with fiery fists. Abdul-Malik swings with bad intentions, and McKeehan gives Brundage every opportunity to recover before waving the fight off. Brundage immediately protests that he went down because of the clash of heads and not the knee, and the replay official is called upon to show the clear clash of heads. One of the unluckiest fighters in the sport has yet another bizarre ending in his strange tenure with the UFC, and it is up to McKeehan and the officials to send this one to the scorecards for a technical decision due to the fight-ending headbutt and the bout reaching the third round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
The Official Result
Mansur Abdul-Malik def. Cody Brundage via Technical Decision (Unanimous) R3 0:36
Angelo picks Mansur because he believes the adversity in his last fight gave him a wake-up call. He expects Mansur to wrestle and avoid a firefight with Cody, who is dangerous early. He notes that if Mansur engages in a firefight, he is screwed.
Big Brady picks Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round knockout. He expects a violent fight where both swing, but believes Malik's power and ground-and-pound will be too much for Brundage. He notes Brundage is dangerous early but has been fed tough opponents, and Malik is the most terrifying yet.
Connor picks Abdul-Malik, emphasizing the massive reach advantage (79.5 vs 72 inches) and Brundage's tendency to implode when his initial plan fails. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a composed, powerful fighter who will make Brundage work to get inside, leaving him open to counters. Connor thinks Brundage's only chance is an early guillotine, but that is unlikely.
Abdul-Malik's athleticism, explosivity, and power will find a big shot to put Brundage away early. Brundage is expected to break quickly under that pressure.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a powerful prospect who will finish Cody Brundage in the first round. He notes Brundage's tendency to 'tuck up in a ball' when grappling doesn't go his way, as seen against Sedriques Dumas. He expects a TKO, though he acknowledges Brundage could win if he gets a guillotine.
Zane picks Abdul-Malik confidently, noting that Brundage's shallow game plan and inability to adjust will leave him exposed. He points out that Abdul-Malik is young, powerful, and composed, and that Brundage's only path is to wrestle, but he lacks the depth to maintain it. Zane compares this to the Abdul-Razak Alhassan fight where Brundage was brutally finished.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 32 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Nick Klein | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 50 of 70 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Nick Klein | 0 | 16 of 26 | 61% | 37 of 49 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 28 of 46 | 60% | 31 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Nick Klein | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 29 of 54 | 53% | 28 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 20 | 12 of 19 | 11 of 15 |
| Nick Klein | 28 of 46 | 60% | 5 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 21 of 23 | 26 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Nick Klein | 16 of 26 | 61% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 13 | 14 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 28 of 46 | 60% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 12 of 19 | 11 of 15 |
| Nick Klein | 12 of 20 | 60% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him probably his most confident pick on the entire card. He highlights Mansur's D1 wrestling, power, and clean takedowns, while noting Nick Klein is a solid grappler but less athletic and powerful. The only concern is a potential BJJ submission from Klein, but Angelo doesn't think Klein will win a scramble.
Big Brady is confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him the biggest favorite on the card at -900. He notes that Nick Klein is hittable and coming in on short notice, and that Abdul-Malik has nasty ground-and-pound. He struggles to see Klein getting the fight to the ground or surviving on the feet, predicting a brutal first-round knockout.
The host expects Abdul-Malik to shut down Klein's grappling with superior wrestling and scrambling, then walk him down and land big shots for a first-round finish.
The Guru calls this a layup for Abdul-Malik, noting his size, athleticism, and training at MMA Masters. He acknowledges Klein's submission win on the Contender Series but says taking the fight on short notice hurts his chances. He predicts a first round TKO for Abdul-Malik, also citing that crowds lead to more early finishes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 1 | 29 of 51 | 56% | 31 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Duško Todorović | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 29 of 51 | 56% | 27 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 37 |
| Duško Todorović | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 29 of 51 | 56% | 27 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 37 |
| Duško Todorović | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.
Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.
Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.
Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.
Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.
Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.
Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.
Antonio Trócoli - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantas Kondratavičius | 1 | 75 of 107 | 70% | 135 of 177 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 6:06 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 29 of 54 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 5:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 0 | 28 of 42 | 66% | 41 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:52 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 | |
| 2 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 1 | 39 of 47 | 82% | 73 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 3 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 3:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantas Kondratavičius | 75 of 107 | 70% | 61 of 93 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 68 | 17 of 19 | 16 of 20 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 17 of 39 | 43% | 10 of 28 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 28 of 42 | 66% | 19 of 33 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 32 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 6 of 14 | 42% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 39 of 47 | 82% | 35 of 43 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 18 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mantas Kondratavičius | 8 of 18 | 44% | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 2 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.
Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.
Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.
Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.
Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.
Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.
James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.
Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.
The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.
Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.
The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.
Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansur Abdul-Malik | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.
Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.
Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.
Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.
Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.
Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.
The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.
Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.
Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tresean Gore | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tresean Gore | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tresean Gore | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tresean Gore | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is baffled that Tresean Gore is nearly a 2-to-1 favorite given he hasn't fought in two years and has only six professional fights. He sees Trócoli as bigger, more skilled, more experienced, and better trained. He also notes Trócoli's length and aggressive grappling as key advantages. He has placed a half-unit bet on Trócoli at +145.
Big Brady is not high on either fighter but gives Gore the edge due to takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Gore's low volume and overrated power as concerns, but believes Gore's higher ceiling and ability to keep the fight standing will lead to a decision win. He expects the fight to be unexciting.
Cody reluctantly picks Gore, noting both fighters are inactive and unproven. He gives Gore the edge in athleticism and upside, but admits it's a narrative-based pick. Cody expects a messy fight and advises against betting it.
Connor picks Trócoli hesitantly, noting Gore has been out for two years with injuries and got outstruck by Cody Brundage. He thinks Trócoli will blitz early and if Gore can't handle it, Trócoli wins. Connor acknowledges Trócoli is bad but believes Gore's inactivity and lack of proven ability make Trócoli the pick.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tresean Gore despite concerns about his inactivity and mental toughness. He notes Gore's athletic gifts and finishing ability, while criticizing Antonio Trócoli's lack of development and athletic disadvantage. Vreeland worries Gore might pull a stunt but believes he has more potential and skills.
Gore is favored due to his speed, explosivity, and power. The pick expects him to land big shots on Trócoli and find a knockout within two rounds.
Paul is not confident in either fighter. He notes Trócoli's poor striking defense and Gore's inactivity. He prefers betting on a finish rather than picking a winner, suggesting the under 2.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Tresean Gore but is hesitant due to Gore's KO loss to Cody Brundage. He criticizes Antonio Trócoli as 'dog [__]' with no offensive output. He believes Gore can chew up Trócoli's legs and get a TKO, but worries about Gore being outgrappled.
Zane picks Trócoli, agreeing with Connor. He describes Trócoli as an Instagram model who will sprint at Gore and either wreck him or self-destruct. Zane notes Gore has only six pro fights in a decade and has been injured. He thinks Trócoli's early blitz could overwhelm Gore, but acknowledges Trócoli's limitations.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharabutdin Magomedov | 1 | 82 of 108 | 75% | 108 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 39 of 77 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 39 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 26 of 41 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 | |
| 2 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 0 | 30 of 40 | 75% | 36 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 13 of 30 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 3 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 1 | 33 of 41 | 80% | 33 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharabutdin Magomedov | 82 of 108 | 75% | 28 of 52 | 22 of 24 | 32 of 32 | 69 of 94 | 13 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 16 of 34 | 47% | 8 of 22 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 19 of 27 | 70% | 4 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 10 | 17 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 12 of 17 | 70% | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 30 of 40 | 75% | 8 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 11 of 11 | 21 of 30 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 4 of 11 | 36% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sharabutdin Magomedov | 33 of 41 | 80% | 16 of 22 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 31 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Antonio Trócoli | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.
Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.
Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.
Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.
Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.
JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.
Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.
The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.
Expert Picks (10)
Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.
Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.
Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.
Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.
Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.
Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.
The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.
Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.
The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.
Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.
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