UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025 · Middleweight · Completed
Age 28
Height 6' 2"
Reach 79.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 6' 5"
Reach 80"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mansur Abdul-Malik
3.28 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.49 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
1.65 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
83.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Antonio Trócoli
1.27 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.3 SApM
26.0% Str. Def.
0.88 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Mansur Abdul-Malik - Fight History
KO R3 3:39 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 16 of 60 26% 16 of 61 3 of 8 37% 0 0 2:07
Yousri Belgaroui 2 94 of 156 60% 107 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 7 of 24 29% 7 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yousri Belgaroui 0 22 of 47 46% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 21 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:20
Yousri Belgaroui 1 44 of 63 69% 55 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:51
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 16 12% 2 of 16 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:47
Yousri Belgaroui 1 28 of 46 60% 30 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 16 of 60 26% 10 of 45 3 of 9 3 of 6 14 of 55 2 of 5 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 94 of 156 60% 54 of 103 22 of 32 18 of 21 75 of 133 17 of 20 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 7 of 24 29% 3 of 14 1 of 4 3 of 6 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 22 of 47 46% 3 of 18 6 of 13 13 of 16 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 7 of 20 35% 5 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 2 of 5 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 44 of 63 69% 30 of 47 10 of 12 4 of 4 31 of 46 11 of 14 2 of 3
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 16 12% 2 of 14 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yousri Belgaroui 28 of 46 60% 21 of 38 6 of 7 1 of 1 22 of 40 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Angelo picks Yorgan De Castro (Yousri Belgaroui) after previously making the mistake of picking a powerful wrestler against him. He trusts De Castro's range management and striking, and notes that Mansour has looked vulnerable in past fights. He believes De Castro can win if his takedown defense holds up.

"I'm going to trust my fellow Connecticut brethren. I'm going with Yorgan here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Big Brady picks Yousri Belgaroui to win by decision. He criticizes Mansur Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency and poor striking defense, noting he gets out-landed at distance by lesser opponents. He believes Belgaroui has a good chin and will outwork Malik over 15 minutes. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds prop because Malik often does nothing early.

Belgaroui by decision, over 1.5 rounds
"I like Yousri Belgaroui here. I think he wins this fight by decision just doing more."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Cody picks Belgaroui, citing his improvement, reach advantage, and superior kickboxing. He doubts Abdul-Malik's wrestling will be effective and believes Belgaroui can outpoint him.

"Balgree is a slight underdog, but it's Balgree all day for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Connor picks Belgaroui, impressed by his debut where he used an active jab to control Bekelev. He notes that Belgaroui's kickboxing technique is consistent and can fence off opponents, while Abdul-Malik is low output and sporadic, looking for a moment. However, he acknowledges Abdul-Malik's special athleticism and reach, and that Belgaroui still takes shots and gives openings under pressure.

Odds: Belgaroui opened +120, now -105; Abdul-Malik opened -140, now -115.
"I'm going to pick Belga Rui here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel believes Abdul-Malik is a freak athlete with one-shot KO power and D1 wrestling. He thinks Belgaroui will engage, giving Abdul-Malik openings to land big shots and regain his hype.

"I'm going to go with my prospect at Manel Kape Abdulmalik to continue the win streak, and to put some hype back on his name."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host gives Abdul-Malik a 65-70% chance to win, citing his explosive power and Belgaroui's defensive vulnerabilities. Belgaroui is a technical counter striker but is hittable and has a 'giraffe neck' that makes him susceptible to knockouts. Abdul-Malik's speed and power should allow him to land big shots, and he may also have success with wrestling. The host is not super confident but sees value at -134.

Not interested in fight spread or over/under; expects a knockout.
"I think Abdul Malik is going to [__] send him to the shadow realm, brutally knock him out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

The host believes Belgaroui's technical striking and improved takedown defense will be key. He expects Belgaroui to use his reach and jab to pick apart Abdul-Malik, who may struggle with cardio if he can't dictate the pace. He notes the line movement towards Belgaroui and sees him winning by decision.

decision
"I think that leads to Belgi winning this fight by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul leans Abdul-Malik, thinking his wrestling and physicality will be the difference. He's hesitant due to Abdul-Malik's inconsistent wrestling usage.

"I'm hesitant, but it's Abdul Malikh for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

The MMA Guru picks Yousri Belgaroui, expressing surprise that he is an underdog. He believes Belgaroui's kickboxing pedigree and recent performance against Boev show he is levels above Abdul-Malik's previous competition. He notes Abdul-Malik's wins are over lower-tier opponents and that Belgaroui's takedown defense and striking will be too much. He predicts a TKO in the second or third round.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think he should be the favorite and I'm picking him to win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 26, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Yousri Belgaroui

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Belgaroui's active jab and consistent technique will be a problem for Abdul-Malik, whose MMA Masters game is reactive and not built to handle a maintenance strategy. He also mentions that Belgaroui handled a stiff test of defensive wrestling against Bekelev. However, he notes that Abdul-Malik is a special athlete with insane arm length and real kickboxing skills.

Odds: Belgaroui opened +120, now -105; Abdul-Malik opened -140, now -115.
"I'm going to take him as well."
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."
Draw vs Cody Brundage
Draw R3 0:36 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 25 of 73 34% 25 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Cody Brundage 0 30 of 67 44% 30 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Brundage 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 10 of 28 35% 10 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cody Brundage 0 10 of 31 32% 10 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Cody Brundage 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 25 of 73 34% 17 of 55 3 of 13 5 of 5 18 of 60 0 of 0 7 of 13
Cody Brundage 30 of 67 44% 18 of 49 2 of 8 10 of 10 29 of 66 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 4 of 15 26% 2 of 10 0 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 11 of 21 52% 5 of 12 1 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 10 of 28 35% 5 of 18 2 of 7 3 of 3 10 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Brundage 10 of 31 32% 4 of 22 1 of 4 5 of 5 10 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mansur Abdul-Malik 11 of 30 36% 10 of 27 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 17 0 of 0 7 of 13
Cody Brundage 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Cody Brundage
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Abdul-Malik (-800), Brundage (+500)

Round 1
The line on this middleweight pairing may not be quite as ludicrous as Wellmaker vs. Moutinho, but Abdul-Malik (8-0, 2-0 UFC) is coming in as a favorite anywhere from -950 to -1200, give or take. With eight finishes across his eight victories, prognosticators believe that his battle with Brundage (11-6, 1 NC; 5-5, 1 NC UFC) may not last long, win or lose. Referee Brent McKeehan is distinctly aware of the possibility, and is on his A-game right out of the gate. Fists are bumped before they are traded, and Brundage fires off some early warning kicks to demonstrate he is not going to be such an easy out. He lands a low kick as Abdul-Malik comes towards him, and he connects with a clean right hand. Brundage’s front kick pushes off the chest, and Abdul-Malik’s is much heavier in response. Brundage stands firm and delivers a kick to the body and one to the lead leg, and Abdul-Malik is unable to find his way in. The middleweights trade punches, and Abdul-Malik drives a front kick through the guard that surprises Brundage. Abdul-Malik walks him down but lets him entirely off the hook. Brundage strikes the front leg and fires a front kick down the middle, before lunging with an overhand right. Abdul-Malik swings a body kick and leaps at his foe with a jump knee, and Brundage steels himself and wings a pair of body shots back at him. The cautious round ends, and again fans drown the competitors out with boos.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik

Round 2
After a quick fist bump, the two meet in the middle of the cage without trading. Abdul-Malik tests the waters with a low kick, and he chambers a head kick and is met on the way down with an inside leg kick. Neither fighter is willing to commit to anything, resulting in a lull in action. Abdul-Malik decides to start fighting suddenly, running at Brundage and catching him with a right hand. Brundage retaliates with a flying knee, and Abdul-Malik tags him with another right on the ear as he plants his feet. The blow cuts Brundage behind his ear, which starts bleeding heavily down his neck. He paws at it and pays it little mind, instead winging a right hand at the overwhelming favorite. Abdul-Malik walks into a left hand as he tries to attack with a knee, and then they back off and measure one another for a while. Abdul-Malik eventually pushes out a front kick, and Brundage finds a way in and connects with two punches. Brundage’s overhand right just misses as the crowd gasps, seemingly desperate for a clean, solid strike to land. Brundage crashes the pocket but backs off when taking a low kick. Abdul-Malik spins with a back kick, and Brundage retaliates with an overhand right. The horn sounds to wrap the disappointing round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Brundage
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Brundage

Round 3
Abdul-Malik runs at his opponent as soon as the round begins, railing Brundage with a flying knee. This immediately devolves in a ludicrous brawl, where both fighters wing hooks with everything they have. Abdul-Malik hurts Brundage, Brundage returns fire, and they proceed to bang it out. Brundage closes in and drives in a knee, and Abdul-Malik turns the corner and rails his opponent with a flush knee to the sternum and a direct head clash. Brundage goes down in a heap, shelling up as Abdul-Malik unloads on him with fiery fists. Abdul-Malik swings with bad intentions, and McKeehan gives Brundage every opportunity to recover before waving the fight off. Brundage immediately protests that he went down because of the clash of heads and not the knee, and the replay official is called upon to show the clear clash of heads. One of the unluckiest fighters in the sport has yet another bizarre ending in his strange tenure with the UFC, and it is up to McKeehan and the officials to send this one to the scorecards for a technical decision due to the fight-ending headbutt and the bout reaching the third round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Abdul-Malik (29-28 Abdul-Malik)

The Official Result
Mansur Abdul-Malik def. Cody Brundage via Technical Decision (Unanimous) R3 0:36
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur because he believes the adversity in his last fight gave him a wake-up call. He expects Mansur to wrestle and avoid a firefight with Cody, who is dangerous early. He notes that if Mansur engages in a firefight, he is screwed.

I'm probably going to stay away from this one
"I'm going to pick Mansour because I think the adversity in his last fight gave him a little bit of a wakeup call."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady picks Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round knockout. He expects a violent fight where both swing, but believes Malik's power and ground-and-pound will be too much for Brundage. He notes Brundage is dangerous early but has been fed tough opponents, and Malik is the most terrifying yet.

first round knockout
"I'm going to take Mansur Daleik to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, emphasizing the massive reach advantage (79.5 vs 72 inches) and Brundage's tendency to implode when his initial plan fails. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a composed, powerful fighter who will make Brundage work to get inside, leaving him open to counters. Connor thinks Brundage's only chance is an early guillotine, but that is unlikely.

Abdul-Malik opened at -423, now -803; Brundage opened at +287, now +617.
"It's just hard to imagine how he actually loses this fight it really is"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Abdul-Malik's athleticism, explosivity, and power will find a big shot to put Brundage away early. Brundage is expected to break quickly under that pressure.

round 1 knockout
"I think Abdul Malik will utilize his athleticism, explosivity, and power to find that big shot to put Brundage away early here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a powerful prospect who will finish Cody Brundage in the first round. He notes Brundage's tendency to 'tuck up in a ball' when grappling doesn't go his way, as seen against Sedriques Dumas. He expects a TKO, though he acknowledges Brundage could win if he gets a guillotine.

Mansur Abdul-Malik by first-round TKO; also mentioned a prop bet on fight time under 5.5 minutes
"Mansur Abdul Malik is going to [ __ ] up Cody Brundage like what is what is this matchmaking ... I think that Mansur Abdul Malik is going to chin Cody Brundage in the first round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Abdul-Malik confidently, noting that Brundage's shallow game plan and inability to adjust will leave him exposed. He points out that Abdul-Malik is young, powerful, and composed, and that Brundage's only path is to wrestle, but he lacks the depth to maintain it. Zane compares this to the Abdul-Razak Alhassan fight where Brundage was brutally finished.

Abdul-Malik opened at -423, now -803; Brundage opened at +287, now +617. Zane says the odds are too wide but understandable.
"Abdul Malik for sure he's just too powerful and too strong too tireless"
WIN vs Nick Klein
KO R2 3:24 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Feb 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 29 of 54 53% 32 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:35
Nick Klein 0 28 of 46 60% 50 of 70 1 of 9 11% 0 0 3:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Nick Klein 0 16 of 26 61% 37 of 49 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:55
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 28 of 46 60% 31 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:27
Nick Klein 0 12 of 20 60% 13 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 54 53% 28 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 20 12 of 19 11 of 15
Nick Klein 28 of 46 60% 5 of 18 2 of 5 21 of 23 26 of 43 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 of 8 12% 0 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nick Klein 16 of 26 61% 3 of 11 0 of 2 13 of 13 14 of 23 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Mansur Abdul-Malik 28 of 46 60% 28 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 12 12 of 19 11 of 15
Nick Klein 12 of 20 60% 2 of 7 2 of 3 8 of 10 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Feb 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is extremely confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him probably his most confident pick on the entire card. He highlights Mansur's D1 wrestling, power, and clean takedowns, while noting Nick Klein is a solid grappler but less athletic and powerful. The only concern is a potential BJJ submission from Klein, but Angelo doesn't think Klein will win a scramble.

"Probably my most confident pick on the entire card is Mansur Abdul-Malik."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him the biggest favorite on the card at -900. He notes that Nick Klein is hittable and coming in on short notice, and that Abdul-Malik has nasty ground-and-pound. He struggles to see Klein getting the fight to the ground or surviving on the feet, predicting a brutal first-round knockout.

by first round knockout
"I just see maner knocking him out brutally in the first round"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to shut down Klein's grappling with superior wrestling and scrambling, then walk him down and land big shots for a first-round finish.

"I think Abdul Malik will be able to shut down the grapple heavy approach of Klein utilizing Superior wrestling and scrambling and eventually walking Klein down and Landing Big Shots putting him away in the first round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru calls this a layup for Abdul-Malik, noting his size, athleticism, and training at MMA Masters. He acknowledges Klein's submission win on the Contender Series but says taking the fight on short notice hurts his chances. He predicts a first round TKO for Abdul-Malik, also citing that crowds lead to more early finishes.

first round KO
"I'm gonna have to go with Manor Abdul Malik I think he'll probably get a TKO early here I'm gonna go first round KO for man mansur Abdul Malik"
TKO (knee and punches) R1 2:44 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 1 29 of 51 56% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:27
Duško Todorović 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 29 of 51 56% 27 of 49 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 2 22 of 37
Duško Todorović 3 of 5 60% 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik despite it being his UFC debut. He loves his high-level D1 wrestling, explosiveness, and ground work. He notes Todorović is a technical striker with chin questions. He has Mansur in a parlay but warns against overexposure, advising not to put him in multiple parlays.

included in a parlay
"I love moner in this spot I love the highlevel wrestling experience I will always favor wrestlers I love the explosiveness I love the fact that he works when he's on top he's not just hanging out racking up minutes …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Abdul-Malik, citing Todorović's poor striking defense, low takedown defense, and susceptibility to being knocked out. He highlights Abdul-Malik's wrestling background and devastating ground-and-pound. He predicts a first-round knockout but notes slight cardio concerns if the fight extends.

Abdul-Malik by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'm taking maner Abdul Malik to get this done I think it's a first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody is confident in Abdul-Malik due to Todorović's glaring holes: poor takedown defense and a weak chin. He notes Abdul-Malik's Division I wrestling background and athleticism, and expects him to take Todorović down and finish him. Cody sees this as a favorable matchup for the prospect.

"I think manur just uses his wrestling credentials drops under takes him down now you got todorovic who is technically a blackbell but he's no good off his back."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Abdul-Malik, noting he is a big favorite. He describes Abdul-Malik as a great prospect from MMA Masters with natural tools but lacking interstitial skills. He contrasts this with Todorović, who has bad habits and bad defense from a weak regional scene. Connor thinks Abdul-Malik's athleticism will overcome Todorović's flaws.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel Vreeland picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and potential. He notes Duško Todorović's defensive flaws (hands down, chin up) and believes Abdul-Malik's physicality will overwhelm him. Vreeland expects Abdul-Malik to get his first UFC win, possibly by knockout.

"I think Mansour Abdul Malik is going to come out here Saturday night and get his first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Todorović is returning from back surgeries and may struggle with ring rust against the large, explosive Abdul-Malik. Despite Todorović's experience, Abdul-Malik's physicality should lead to a knockout victory.

wins by KO
"I believe that's going to cause him a lot of issues to try to wipe off that ring Rush against the large explosive and Powerful opponent like Abdul Malik... which will lead to a knockout victory for the UFC newcomer"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, pointing out Todorović's poor decision-making and chin. He mentions Todorović's leg injury in his last fight and his tendency to walk into danger. Paul thinks Abdul-Malik's wrestling and striking will be too much, but acknowledges the banana peel pricing risk.

"There's just too many red flags for me to get behind him as an underdog when there's some better looking ones later on in the show."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik but is hesitant, noting that Todorović is a good underdog value. He criticizes Abdul-Malik's contender series performance against Wes Schultz, but believes Todorović's long layoff and ACL tear make him vulnerable. He expects Abdul-Malik's offensive wrestling and ground and pound to be the difference, but warns that if the fight goes past round one, Todorović could make it competitive.

Great value on Todorović as underdog, should be closer to 2-1 favorite but is 3-1
"I'm still going to go mansur Abdul DUS goes too easily hit he's been out for a year and a bit a year and a half now um and he's coming off an ACL te and manur can wrestle offensively"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Abdul-Malik. He describes Abdul-Malik as a big, powerful, fast athlete from MMA Masters, but notes his game lacks structure. He criticizes Todorović as hateable with bad defense and a wrestling game that only works against weak opponents. Zane thinks Abdul-Malik's physical advantages will prevail.

"I think it's a pretty straightforward pick. Like so many of the fights on this card."
Antonio Trócoli - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mantas Kondratavičius 1 75 of 107 70% 135 of 177 2 of 4 50% 1 0 6:06
Antonio Trócoli 0 17 of 39 43% 29 of 54 1 of 12 8% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 28 of 42 66% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 14 42% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 1 39 of 47 82% 73 of 88 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 5 of 10 50% 7 of 12 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 8 of 18 44% 21 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 15 40% 13 of 23 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mantas Kondratavičius 75 of 107 70% 61 of 93 14 of 14 0 of 0 42 of 68 17 of 19 16 of 20
Antonio Trócoli 17 of 39 43% 10 of 28 3 of 7 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 28 of 42 66% 19 of 33 9 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 14 42% 2 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 39 of 47 82% 35 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 22 7 of 7 16 of 18
Antonio Trócoli 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 2
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 15 40% 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

"I think Mantis is going to run through him here. He's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Mantas Kondratavičius by first-round KO
"Contra Vicious probably knocks this guy out in the first round. He should knock this guy out in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

"I do have Montasis to uh you clip him with something eventually and put him down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"Yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

"Down goes Tracoli and Montas gets his arm raised and a performance of the night bonus."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

"I think he knocks him out in the first round. Maybe chokes him out."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

"It would be crazy to bet an unknown like Mantas, but yeah, it's another one of those fights where you just don't have a whole lot of information."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

Mantas Kondratavičius by KO, round 1
"It should be a round one finish for Mantas in my opinion."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

under 1.5 rounds (-210), Mantas win in round 1 (+115), Mantas win by KO in round 1 (+185)
"Antonio Truckley versus Mantas Contrativicius under one and a half rounds at odds of minus 210."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Round one prop at +115
"I'm going to go with the Lithuanian here to make short work of Antonio Tralli. I'd rather take the round one prop than his money line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

"I think he's going to catch Trolley at some point and put him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Mantas early first or second round finish. I'd say first round finish for Mantas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mantas Kondratavičius

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"So yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."
LOSS vs Tresean Gore
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:23 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Angelo is baffled that Tresean Gore is nearly a 2-to-1 favorite given he hasn't fought in two years and has only six professional fights. He sees Trócoli as bigger, more skilled, more experienced, and better trained. He also notes Trócoli's length and aggressive grappling as key advantages. He has placed a half-unit bet on Trócoli at +145.

half unit bet at +145
"Antonio troli is the pick he's bigger he's more skilled he's more experienced he's better trained he has the hotter girlfriend literally everything I have a half a unit on him at Plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Big Brady is not high on either fighter but gives Gore the edge due to takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Gore's low volume and overrated power as concerns, but believes Gore's higher ceiling and ability to keep the fight standing will lead to a decision win. He expects the fight to be unexciting.

Gore by decision
"give me Gore here to win this fight probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Cody reluctantly picks Gore, noting both fighters are inactive and unproven. He gives Gore the edge in athleticism and upside, but admits it's a narrative-based pick. Cody expects a messy fight and advises against betting it.

"If you're a smart guy just don't even bet on this crap altogether but if you're chasing an underdog I suppose troli has a chance and if you got a gun to my head and you're telling me to take …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Connor picks Trócoli hesitantly, noting Gore has been out for two years with injuries and got outstruck by Cody Brundage. He thinks Trócoli will blitz early and if Gore can't handle it, Trócoli wins. Connor acknowledges Trócoli is bad but believes Gore's inactivity and lack of proven ability make Trócoli the pick.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Connor says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Daniel Vreeland picks Tresean Gore despite concerns about his inactivity and mental toughness. He notes Gore's athletic gifts and finishing ability, while criticizing Antonio Trócoli's lack of development and athletic disadvantage. Vreeland worries Gore might pull a stunt but believes he has more potential and skills.

"I'll go Tre Shawn but you know do I sound confident?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Tresean Gore

Gore is favored due to his speed, explosivity, and power. The pick expects him to land big shots on Trócoli and find a knockout within two rounds.

wins inside distance, round 1-2
"I'm going to have to lean with the speed explosivity and power of the Tron gors side to land Big Shots Onre coli and find that knockout within two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

Paul is not confident in either fighter. He notes Trócoli's poor striking defense and Gore's inactivity. He prefers betting on a finish rather than picking a winner, suggesting the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds
"Rather than aide I'm more interested in betting for somebody to get a finish in the first two and or first 12 and a half minutes of this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tresean Gore

The Guru picks Tresean Gore but is hesitant due to Gore's KO loss to Cody Brundage. He criticizes Antonio Trócoli as 'dog [__]' with no offensive output. He believes Gore can chew up Trócoli's legs and get a TKO, but worries about Gore being outgrappled.

TKO win
"I'm going to go with Tre sha Gore he could be outg grappled here maybe but as long as this fight's on the feet I see Gore chewing up his legs and eventually getting a TKO win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Antonio Trócoli

Zane picks Trócoli, agreeing with Connor. He describes Trócoli as an Instagram model who will sprint at Gore and either wreck him or self-destruct. Zane notes Gore has only six pro fights in a decade and has been injured. He thinks Trócoli's early blitz could overwhelm Gore, but acknowledges Trócoli's limitations.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Zane says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
TKO (knee and punches) R3 2:27 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 82 of 108 75% 108 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 77 0 of 7 0% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 19 of 27 70% 39 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 12 of 17 70% 26 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:05
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 30 of 40 75% 36 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 4 of 11 36% 13 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 33 of 41 80% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 82 of 108 75% 28 of 52 22 of 24 32 of 32 69 of 94 13 of 14 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 16 of 34 47% 8 of 22 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 19 of 27 70% 4 of 12 5 of 5 10 of 10 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 30 of 40 75% 8 of 18 11 of 11 11 of 11 21 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 4 of 11 36% 1 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 41 80% 16 of 22 6 of 8 11 of 11 31 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to …"
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 26, 2025 (10 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 27, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."