Career Averages - Marquel Mederos
Career Averages - Landon Quiñones
Marquel Mederos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla | 0 | 147 of 271 | 54% | 164 of 291 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 112 of 180 | 62% | 117 of 186 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Padilla | 0 | 40 of 66 | 60% | 44 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 28 of 43 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 2 | Chris Padilla | 0 | 63 of 119 | 52% | 71 of 129 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 44 of 75 | 58% | 46 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Chris Padilla | 0 | 44 of 86 | 51% | 49 of 91 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 41 of 64 | 64% | 43 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Padilla | 147 of 271 | 54% | 71 of 164 | 30 of 40 | 46 of 67 | 124 of 242 | 22 of 28 | 1 of 1 |
| Marquel Mederos | 112 of 180 | 62% | 81 of 147 | 12 of 13 | 19 of 20 | 91 of 155 | 21 of 25 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Padilla | 40 of 66 | 60% | 20 of 40 | 8 of 11 | 12 of 15 | 31 of 56 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Marquel Mederos | 27 of 41 | 65% | 14 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 20 of 34 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Chris Padilla | 63 of 119 | 52% | 23 of 62 | 11 of 14 | 29 of 43 | 61 of 113 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Marquel Mederos | 44 of 75 | 58% | 32 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 42 of 71 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Chris Padilla | 44 of 86 | 51% | 28 of 62 | 11 of 15 | 5 of 9 | 32 of 73 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Marquel Mederos | 41 of 64 | 64% | 35 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 50 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Chris Padilla, believing his relentless pressure and smothering style will overwhelm Mark O. Madsen. He notes Madsen's composure and clean technique but thinks Padilla's pace and grinding approach will be too much, similar to how Austin Hubbard troubled Madsen. He expects Padilla to set a higher pace and win.
Big Brady notes Padilla has been an underdog in all four UFC wins but is now favored. He praises Padilla's pressure, toughness, power, and wrestling. He thinks Padilla will make Medeiros uncomfortable with pressure and takedowns, winning a decision. He dislikes the -195 price but picks Padilla.
Cody also picks Padilla, noting his well-rounded game and Mederos' defensive flaws. He thinks Padilla's calf kicks and clinch work will lead to a win.
Connor picks Padilla based on his recent surge in confidence and fight IQ. He notes that Padilla has figured out how to win, using pressure and pace to overcome more technical fighters. He acknowledges that Medeiros is a more natural athlete but trusts Padilla's determination and recent trajectory.
Daniel admits he has been wrong about Padilla before and finally gives him credit. He thinks Padilla will edge a close decision, though he notes Mederos is a solid point fighter.
Daniel Vreeland picks Marquel Mederos, believing the odds are skewed. He notes that Padilla sits back and waits for opponents, while Mederos has good footwork, volume, and takedown defense. He thinks Mederos will outpoint Padilla over three rounds, especially if Padilla can't land a big shot.
James picks Mederos, believing his leg kicks and range control will be too much for Padilla, who is a late replacement. He thinks Padilla's style is not suited to beat Mederos.
Padilla's pressure, calf kicks, and Muay Thai should wear down Mederos over time. Mederos is fast and athletic but may fade after a round and a half. Padilla's durability and aggression have carried him in past fights. However, Mederos could win early rounds with speed. Padilla likely wins a decision or late finish, but the line is fair.
Paul is confident in Padilla, praising his veteran savvy, Muay Thai, and cage control. He thinks Padilla's advanced basics will overwhelm the green Mederos.
The MMA Guru picks Chris Padilla over Marquel Mederos. He calls Padilla a crafty veteran who has been winning as an underdog, with a nasty elbow finish over Rong Zhu. He notes Mederos had a split decision with Austin Hubbard, and believes Padilla's craftiness and back takes will earn him a 30-27 decision.
Zane picks Padilla, agreeing that he is figuring things out while Medeiros is still floating. He notes that Medeiros fights like Tony Ferguson, relying on creativity and 50/50 exchanges, which is risky against a determined fighter like Padilla. He acknowledges that Medeiros could click, but Padilla's confidence and game plan give him the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 1 | 110 of 165 | 66% | 115 of 170 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Mark Choinski | 0 | 58 of 114 | 50% | 64 of 120 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 | 0 | 4:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 31 of 46 | 67% | 31 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Mark Choinski | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 52 of 82 | 63% | 54 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Mark Choinski | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 26 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 1 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Mark Choinski | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 23 of 39 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 110 of 165 | 66% | 63 of 108 | 16 of 18 | 31 of 39 | 94 of 146 | 10 of 10 | 6 of 9 |
| Mark Choinski | 58 of 114 | 50% | 48 of 102 | 7 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 54 of 106 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 31 of 46 | 67% | 15 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 13 | 31 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mark Choinski | 14 of 36 | 38% | 12 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 52 of 82 | 63% | 35 of 60 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 13 | 44 of 71 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 6 |
| Mark Choinski | 26 of 44 | 59% | 22 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 27 of 37 | 72% | 13 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 13 | 19 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
| Mark Choinski | 18 of 34 | 52% | 14 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Mark Choinski but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Marquel Mederos was sick last week and had to pull out, which raises concerns about his conditioning. He thinks Mark is a good wrestler with creative striking, but he doesn't wrestle enough. He picks Mark because he can't trust a guy who was too sick to fight days ago.
Big Brady picks Mark Choinski as a live underdog. He notes Choinski's wrestling background and solid top control, and thinks he can take Mederos down and win a competitive decision. He points out that Mederos struggled with Austin Hubbard and Landon Quiñones, and that Choinski is a better wrestler than Hubbard. He acknowledges Mederos has 85% takedown defense but thinks Choinski can still get takedowns.
Choinski makes his UFC debut on short notice but has strong NCAA wrestling credentials. He is expected to take down Mederos, grind him out, and possibly threaten submissions. The pick is for Choinski to win on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos, citing significant reach and height advantages, as well as more experience. He notes Mark Choinski is short and light for the division, and lacks experience. He expects Mederos to use his physical advantages to win.
Angelo picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his cleaner striking technique and defensive soundness. He believes Mederos can use his jab to get through Bolaji Oki's guard and that Oki's power and speed will be less effective as he slows down. He also mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet.
Big Brady likes Bolaji Oki's volume and power, noting his strong performance against Chris Duncan before getting caught in a guillotine. He criticizes Marquel Mederos for close fights against lower-level opponents like Lanni Quinonez and Austin Hubbard, and believes Oki can out-strike and potentially out-grapple Mederos. He picks Oki by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his versatility in multiple ranges (clinch, inside, distance) compared to Bolaji Oki who is primarily effective at range. He notes Mederos' composure and Oki's occasional overzealousness. He predicts a TKO in later rounds or a decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 44 of 68 | 64% | 57 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 1:33 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 26 of 65 | 40% | 62 of 121 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 1 | 0 | 7:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 23 of 35 | 65% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 19 of 41 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:50 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 18 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 4:12 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 28 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:28 |
| Austin Hubbard | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 25 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 44 of 68 | 64% | 21 of 41 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 20 | 32 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 9 |
| Austin Hubbard | 26 of 65 | 40% | 16 of 51 | 6 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 60 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 23 of 35 | 65% | 9 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 21 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 17 of 39 | 43% | 10 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 6 of 11 | 54% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Austin Hubbard | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 15 of 22 | 68% | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 |
| Austin Hubbard | 6 of 17 | 35% | 4 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Connor picks Mederos, noting his Tony Ferguson-like style of fighting in the pocket with high activity and creativity. He thinks Mederos's pressure will overwhelm Hubbard, who is reactive and lacks power. He acknowledges that Mederos's style puts him in danger but believes he can go far before a potential fall.
Zane picks Mederos, agreeing that his aggressive pocket fighting will be too much for Hubbard. He notes that Hubbard's game is reactive and low-power, and that Mederos's willingness to eat a shot and come back is a key advantage. Zane thinks the matchup favors Mederos's mentality.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 55 of 149 | 36% | 78 of 176 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 60 of 146 | 41% | 74 of 165 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 31 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 22 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 26 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 18 of 54 | 33% | 25 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 55 of 149 | 36% | 41 of 115 | 11 of 26 | 3 of 8 | 54 of 145 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 60 of 146 | 41% | 28 of 103 | 18 of 26 | 14 of 17 | 55 of 141 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 32 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 12 of 36 | 33% | 7 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 18 of 48 | 37% | 16 of 38 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 21 of 55 | 38% | 9 of 37 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 18 of 54 | 33% | 14 of 45 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 27 of 55 | 49% | 12 of 37 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marquel Mederos, citing his composure, dangerous striking, and takedown defense. He notes that Mederos is a touted prospect but warns against overexposure due to his UFC debut. He mentions that Mederos is part of a parlay with Thomas Petersen but only one bet on him.
Big Brady picks the underdog Landon Quiñones to win a close decision. He notes that both fighters are evenly matched and the line should be closer. He highlights Quiñones' incredible toughness, volume, leg kicks, and power, as well as his defensive wrestling. He expects the fight to primarily take place on the feet and go to decision, with the judges potentially messing it up.
Cody picks Quiñones, citing his volume, cardio, and technical striking. He notes Mederos' power but questions his cardio and wrestling. He thinks Quiñones' output and durability will earn him a decision or late stoppage.
Mederos has a great striking game with educated kicks and decent grappling. Quiñones looked out of shape in his last fight and has questionable cardio. Mederos should control the fight with his kicks from range and possibly mix in takedowns to drain Quiñones' energy. The host expects Mederos to win by decision.
Paul picks Quiñones, noting he missed the better plus-money price but still likes him. He highlights Quiñones' performance against Hackbarth and his grappling improvements. He thinks Mederos is a one-round threat but Quiñones can weather it.
The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos over Landon Quiñones, citing that Quiñones was getting beaten up by Nazareno Malegarie, who lacks power. He notes Mederos has high finishing potential with good boxing, a knee KO, and decent takedown defense. He also dislikes the damage Quiñones is coming off of and believes Mederos will get a finish.
Landon Quiñones - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 0 | 55 of 149 | 36% | 78 of 176 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 60 of 146 | 41% | 74 of 165 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 31 of 62 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 12 of 36 | 33% | 15 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 22 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 21 of 55 | 38% | 26 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 0 | 18 of 54 | 33% | 25 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 27 of 55 | 49% | 33 of 62 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Mederos | 55 of 149 | 36% | 41 of 115 | 11 of 26 | 3 of 8 | 54 of 145 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 60 of 146 | 41% | 28 of 103 | 18 of 26 | 14 of 17 | 55 of 141 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marquel Mederos | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 32 | 5 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 12 of 36 | 33% | 7 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marquel Mederos | 18 of 48 | 37% | 16 of 38 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 21 of 55 | 38% | 9 of 37 | 6 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 20 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marquel Mederos | 18 of 54 | 33% | 14 of 45 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 27 of 55 | 49% | 12 of 37 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 24 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marquel Mederos, citing his composure, dangerous striking, and takedown defense. He notes that Mederos is a touted prospect but warns against overexposure due to his UFC debut. He mentions that Mederos is part of a parlay with Thomas Petersen but only one bet on him.
Big Brady picks the underdog Landon Quiñones to win a close decision. He notes that both fighters are evenly matched and the line should be closer. He highlights Quiñones' incredible toughness, volume, leg kicks, and power, as well as his defensive wrestling. He expects the fight to primarily take place on the feet and go to decision, with the judges potentially messing it up.
Cody picks Quiñones, citing his volume, cardio, and technical striking. He notes Mederos' power but questions his cardio and wrestling. He thinks Quiñones' output and durability will earn him a decision or late stoppage.
Mederos has a great striking game with educated kicks and decent grappling. Quiñones looked out of shape in his last fight and has questionable cardio. Mederos should control the fight with his kicks from range and possibly mix in takedowns to drain Quiñones' energy. The host expects Mederos to win by decision.
Paul picks Quiñones, noting he missed the better plus-money price but still likes him. He highlights Quiñones' performance against Hackbarth and his grappling improvements. He thinks Mederos is a one-round threat but Quiñones can weather it.
The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos over Landon Quiñones, citing that Quiñones was getting beaten up by Nazareno Malegarie, who lacks power. He notes Mederos has high finishing potential with good boxing, a knee KO, and decent takedown defense. He also dislikes the damage Quiñones is coming off of and believes Mederos will get a finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 171 of 377 | 45% | 172 of 378 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 148 of 354 | 41% | 152 of 359 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 43 of 98 | 43% | 43 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 44 of 103 | 42% | 47 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 59 of 135 | 43% | 60 of 136 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 54 of 115 | 46% | 55 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:30 | |
| 3 | Nasrat Haqparast | 0 | 69 of 144 | 47% | 69 of 144 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Landon Quiñones | 0 | 50 of 136 | 36% | 50 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasrat Haqparast | 171 of 377 | 45% | 114 of 304 | 57 of 73 | 0 of 0 | 161 of 361 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 148 of 354 | 41% | 79 of 273 | 37 of 46 | 32 of 35 | 137 of 340 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasrat Haqparast | 43 of 98 | 43% | 26 of 77 | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 97 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 44 of 103 | 42% | 14 of 68 | 13 of 16 | 17 of 19 | 43 of 102 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nasrat Haqparast | 59 of 135 | 43% | 42 of 111 | 17 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 51 of 121 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 54 of 115 | 46% | 31 of 87 | 13 of 17 | 10 of 11 | 45 of 103 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nasrat Haqparast | 69 of 144 | 47% | 46 of 116 | 23 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 68 of 143 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Landon Quiñones | 50 of 136 | 36% | 34 of 118 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 5 | 49 of 135 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nasrat Haqparast as the better striker with good takedown defense. He notes that Landon Quinones is a well-rounded guy but this is too much too soon. Nasrat should be the better striker and has the takedown defense to keep it standing. However, if Landon comes out wrestle-heavy, he could steal the fight.
Big Brady confidently picks Nasrat Haqparast, citing his much better competition and power. He notes Haqparast has knocked down many opponents and thinks this is a big step down in competition. He predicts a second-round knockout.
Cody picks Haqparast, noting that Quiñones is making his UFC debut on short notice and was submitted quickly on The Ultimate Fighter. He believes Haqparast's experience and wrestling will be enough, even though he has looked disinterested at times. Cody acknowledges the -500 price is steep but sees no value on the underdog.
Daniel Levi picks Nasrat Haqparast confidently, citing his experience against tough competition and his youth (born 1995). He believes Haqparast's activity and smarter decision-making will be the difference. Levi notes that Quiñones is still unproven at the UFC level and that Haqparast has been improving.
Haqparast is coming off a decision win over John Makdessi and has been off for a year. Quiñones is a short-notice replacement who was submitted quickly by Jason Knight on the contender series. Haqparast should take advantage of Quiñones' striking defense shortcomings and win by decision. The fight likely goes the full 15 minutes, so the over 2.5 rounds is preferred over the moneyline.
Paul picks Haqparast, agreeing that Quiñones is not ready for this spot. He notes that Haqparast has faced better competition and should be able to outwork Quiñones. Paul is priced out at -500 but sees Haqparast as the clear winner.
The MMA Guru picks Nasrat Haqparast over Landon Quiñones, stating that none of the Ultimate Fighter prospects this year were good. He notes that Haqparast is more seasoned at 28, has fought top competition like John Makdessi, Bobby Green, Dan Hooker, and Drew Dober, and is a good boxer. He believes Quiñones looked lost on the ground against Jason Knight on TUF and will struggle to land a big punch. He predicts Haqparast will outbox him to a decision or get a TKO in the third round.
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Marquel Mederos, citing his composure, dangerous striking, and takedown defense. He notes that Mederos is a touted prospect but warns against overexposure due to his UFC debut. He mentions that Mederos is part of a parlay with Thomas Petersen but only one bet on him.
Big Brady picks the underdog Landon Quiñones to win a close decision. He notes that both fighters are evenly matched and the line should be closer. He highlights Quiñones' incredible toughness, volume, leg kicks, and power, as well as his defensive wrestling. He expects the fight to primarily take place on the feet and go to decision, with the judges potentially messing it up.
Cody picks Quiñones, citing his volume, cardio, and technical striking. He notes Mederos' power but questions his cardio and wrestling. He thinks Quiñones' output and durability will earn him a decision or late stoppage.
Mederos has a great striking game with educated kicks and decent grappling. Quiñones looked out of shape in his last fight and has questionable cardio. Mederos should control the fight with his kicks from range and possibly mix in takedowns to drain Quiñones' energy. The host expects Mederos to win by decision.
Paul picks Quiñones, noting he missed the better plus-money price but still likes him. He highlights Quiñones' performance against Hackbarth and his grappling improvements. He thinks Mederos is a one-round threat but Quiñones can weather it.
The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos over Landon Quiñones, citing that Quiñones was getting beaten up by Nazareno Malegarie, who lacks power. He notes Mederos has high finishing potential with good boxing, a knee KO, and decent takedown defense. He also dislikes the damage Quiñones is coming off of and believes Mederos will get a finish.
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