Career Averages - Molly McCann
Career Averages - Diana Belbiţă
Molly McCann - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 17 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 3:24 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexia Thainara | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 21 | 52% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.
Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.
Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.
The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.
Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 57 of 84 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 44 of 74 | 59% | 63 of 99 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 5:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 31 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 20 | 55% | 30 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 21 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 17 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruna Brasil | 32 of 56 | 57% | 19 of 38 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 28 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Molly McCann | 44 of 74 | 59% | 20 of 46 | 22 of 24 | 2 of 4 | 32 of 56 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruna Brasil | 10 of 21 | 47% | 7 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 25 of 38 | 65% | 8 of 18 | 15 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 20 | 55% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 11 of 19 | 57% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Bruna Brasil | 11 of 15 | 73% | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Molly McCann | 8 of 17 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.
Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.
Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.
Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.
Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.
McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.
Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 6 of 16 | 37% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 9 of 29 | 31% | 9 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julija Stoliarenko | 6 of 16 | 37% | 1 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Molly McCann | 9 of 29 | 31% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.
Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.
Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.
The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.
Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 93 of 115 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Molly McCann | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erin Blanchfield | 25 of 38 | 65% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 19 |
| Molly McCann | 7 of 13 | 53% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.
Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.
Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.
Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.
Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.
The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.
Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.
Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 1 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 29 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 9 of 33 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 24 of 52 | 46% | 20 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 |
| Hannah Goldy | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.
Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.
McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.
Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 1 | 85 of 159 | 53% | 99 of 174 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:30 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 64 of 132 | 48% | 76 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 56 of 107 | 52% | 61 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 1 | 14 of 22 | 63% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Carolina | 0 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 85 of 159 | 53% | 52 of 118 | 28 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 69 of 139 | 14 of 18 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 64 of 132 | 48% | 26 of 88 | 33 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 47 of 113 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 56 of 107 | 52% | 35 of 79 | 19 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 47 of 96 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 22 of 52 | 42% | 6 of 32 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 15 of 30 | 50% | 5 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Luana Carolina | 26 of 51 | 50% | 13 of 37 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 40 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 14 of 22 | 63% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Carolina | 16 of 29 | 55% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.
Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.
Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.
Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.
McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.
Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.
The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 127 of 272 | 46% | 130 of 275 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 122 of 361 | 33% | 134 of 374 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 23 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 35 of 87 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 51 of 101 | 50% | 51 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 42 of 124 | 33% | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 0 | 55 of 120 | 45% | 56 of 121 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 0 | 56 of 162 | 34% | 57 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 127 of 272 | 46% | 110 of 249 | 16 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 126 of 270 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 122 of 361 | 33% | 87 of 316 | 24 of 33 | 11 of 12 | 114 of 349 | 6 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 21 of 51 | 41% | 17 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 63 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 64 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 51 of 101 | 50% | 43 of 93 | 7 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 51 of 101 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 42 of 124 | 33% | 27 of 106 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 42 of 124 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 55 of 120 | 45% | 50 of 111 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 54 of 118 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ji Yeon Kim | 56 of 162 | 34% | 45 of 147 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 55 of 161 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision, citing her superior striking accuracy (50% vs Kim's 34%) and volume. He notes Kim has a 10-inch reach advantage but doesn't use it effectively and misses a lot. McCann can also mix in takedowns against Kim, who has poor takedown defense (42%). Brady points out that McCann's losses have come against grapplers, while Kim is not a wrestler. He expects McCann to win a decision.
Cody slightly leans McCann, noting her wrestling and ground-and-pound against lower-level opposition. He acknowledges Kim's 10-inch reach advantage and better striking, but thinks McCann can get takedowns and grind out a decision. He is not confident and may flip depending on weigh-ins.
I like Kim here. She has a huge size advantage—10-inch reach and 3-inch height advantage. She's fought much better competition like Antonina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso and had moments standing with them. McCann's wins are over low-level opponents, and she lost to the only decent fighters she faced. Kim's takedown defense has been a concern, but McCann isn't a great wrestler and her control time is weak. I think Kim wins the stand-up easily and can even finish. I'm sprinkling Kim by KO at +1160.
Paul is high on Kim, calling her the best bet on the card. He cites the 10-inch reach advantage and Kim's superior striking. He doubts McCann can sustain wrestling for three rounds and thinks Kim will win on the feet. He plans to bet Kim.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann to win by close decision. He calls it a pick'em fight but trusts McCann's toughness and grit to push the pace and finish rounds strong. He notes McCann's wins over Ariane Lipski, Diana Belbita, and Priscila Cachoeira as evidence of her ability to grind out decisions. He expects a split decision 29-28.
Diana Belbiţă - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 20 of 69 | 28% | 23 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 35 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 20 of 69 | 28% | 23 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 35 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 20 of 69 | 28% | 6 of 43 | 6 of 17 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 27 of 50 | 54% | 23 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 20 of 69 | 28% | 6 of 43 | 6 of 17 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 27 of 50 | 54% | 23 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barbosa (-500), Belbita (+340)
Round 1
Of all the fights tonight, this one will see the widest betting line between favorite and underdog. Having won just twice in seven UFC offerings, it makes some sense that Belbita (15-9, 2-5 UFC) should serve with plus money, but +625 is where she stands. About to close as one of the most heavily favored UFC fighters this year, Barbosa (7-3, 1-1 UFC) is expected to power through while accompanied by -1000 odds. Never tell “Warrior Princess” the odds. Referee Keith Peterson will be the overseer for this flyweight contest, one that opens up with a respectful clap of hands and no nonsense in sight. They both lob low kicks at one another and pull them back. Barbosa strikes first with a jab, and she skirts away from the counter. The Brazilian scores an overhand right, and Belbita is there to pay her back this time with a long left and a ripping left to the body. She goes for the body shot a few more times, ignoring what Barbosa puts on her to connect cleanly. The face of “Warrior Princess” ducks into punches and throws back in hopes of clipping Barbosa with a counter. Barbosa parries a head kick, and she races back to avoid several punches chained into a head kick. Barbosa flashes her jab, and she stays in the pocket too long and gets popped with an overhand right. Belbita attacks the body again, making sure to fighting in flurries, and she times another big right hand up top. Belbita ends a combo with a low kick, and she absorbs anything the Brazilian hurls at her without batting an eye. Belbita goes to the body, opening up an overhand right to the head. She jams the ball of her foot on Barbosa’s stomach, and dings her with a few right hands. Barbosa pressures her against the fencing and spins with an elbow that clips her. When Belbita leans over to try to shake it off, Barbosa hits the level change she suddenly wants and lands practically in full mount.
Barbosa leans her weight down, and she locks up an arm-triangle choke before long. Belbita pumps her hips back and forth, but she cannot buck the Brazilian off of her. As Barbosa presses down with all she has, Belbita has no choice but to surrender.
Just like that, Barbosa lifts her submission rate as a pro to 50%, while landing the first arm-triangle of her career.
The Official Result
Dione Barbosa def. Diana Belbita R1 4:13 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo is very confident that Dione Barbosa will dominate Diana Belbiţă. He highlights Dione's Judo background and grappling, while noting Diana has zero power, low fight IQ, and has been vocal about not caring about her career. He believes Diana is just showing up for a paycheck and will get bullied in all exchanges. Angelo calls it a 'mly whopping' and says Dione runs through her.
Big Brady is very confident in Dione Barbosa, citing her judo and BJJ black belts against Diana Belbiţă, who has been submitted five times. He believes Barbosa will take the fight to the ground and submit Belbiţă, likely via rear-naked choke or armbar in the first round.
Barbosa's BJJ prowess and Belbiţă's poor takedown defense will lead to Barbosa finding a submission. The pick is a lean based on grappling advantage.
The Guru picks Dione Barbosa based on physicality, strength, and power, contrasting her muscular build with Diana Belbiţă's lack of snap or pop. He believes Belbiţă cannot impose damage on anyone and that Barbosa will be too strong and powerful, likely getting takedowns and finishing inside the distance.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 42 of 91 | 46% | 43 of 92 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 77 | 37% | 29 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 42 of 91 | 46% | 27 of 71 | 14 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 11 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 77 | 37% | 9 of 46 | 13 of 23 | 7 of 8 | 24 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.
Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.
McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.
Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 141 of 267 | 52% | 155 of 283 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 1 | 2:15 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 99 of 261 | 37% | 108 of 270 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 39 of 74 | 52% | 41 of 78 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:12 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 35 of 83 | 42% | 41 of 89 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 41 of 76 | 53% | 52 of 87 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 30 of 66 | 45% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 3 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 0 | 61 of 117 | 52% | 62 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 34 of 112 | 30% | 34 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 141 of 267 | 52% | 94 of 203 | 42 of 58 | 5 of 6 | 123 of 244 | 17 of 21 | 1 of 2 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 99 of 261 | 37% | 57 of 199 | 33 of 50 | 9 of 12 | 85 of 241 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 39 of 74 | 52% | 29 of 60 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 62 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 35 of 83 | 42% | 21 of 64 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 25 of 70 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 41 of 76 | 53% | 31 of 62 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 34 of 66 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 30 of 66 | 45% | 18 of 49 | 10 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 60 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz | 61 of 117 | 52% | 34 of 81 | 25 of 33 | 2 of 3 | 60 of 116 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 34 of 112 | 30% | 18 of 86 | 12 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 34 of 111 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz, noting her recent three-fight winning streak and that her previous losses came against elite competition. He believes Diana Belbiţă is a step down in competition and criticizes Belbiţă's losses to lower-tier fighters. He thinks Kowalkiewicz can have success with grappling, as Belbiţă has been taken down frequently. He predicts a decision win but is not in love with the price tag.
Cody picks Kowalkiewicz, citing her experience, resurgence, and superior grappling. He notes that Belbiţă has only fought low-level opponents and has poor takedown defense. Kowalkiewicz should be able to mix in takedowns and control the fight, likely winning a decision.
Daniel Levi leans Karolina Kowalkiewicz, citing her historical level and recent confidence boost from a three-fight win streak. He notes her improved grappling and high output in her last fight. However, he acknowledges she is 37 and has had inconsistent performances, and that Diana Belbiţă has good striking volume. He is not fully confident but picks Kowalkiewicz based on her overall career.
Lucrative James is confident in Belbiţă, having bet her at +160. He argues that the market overvalues skill-for-skill while ignoring intangibles: Belbiţă hits harder, is younger (37 vs prime), and has a reach and height advantage. He believes Kowalkiewicz has a magnet for 4-ounce gloves and will get knocked down or finished. He thinks the line should be a pick'em or Belbiţă favored.
Belbiţă is younger and has been improving, using volume striking and forward pressure. Kowalkiewicz is the more technical striker but has been inconsistent. If Belbiţă can keep the fight standing and avoid being controlled on the ground, her volume could sway the judges. She is worth a shot as an underdog, though Kowalkiewicz has more experience. Expect a decision win for Belbiţă.
Paul picks Kowalkiewicz, noting her ability to win via volume or grappling. He mentions Belbiţă's reach advantage but believes Kowalkiewicz's experience and takedown ability will be decisive. He likes the moneyline and also considers the decision prop.
The MMA Guru picks Karolina Kowalkiewicz over Diana Belbiţă, though not very confident. He notes Kowalkiewicz looked good in her last fight against Vanessa Demopoulos and is on a three-fight win streak after a long losing streak, building confidence. He dismisses Belbiţă's wins over Maria Oliveira and Molly McCann as unimpressive, and points out that Belbiţă was finished by an Instagram model. He believes Kowalkiewicz's momentum and better competition give her the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 106 of 208 | 50% | 154 of 258 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 64 of 168 | 38% | 85 of 200 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 41 of 84 | 48% | 60 of 104 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 28 of 66 | 42% | 36 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 49 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 19 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 45 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Maria Oliveira | 0 | 29 of 85 | 34% | 30 of 86 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 106 of 208 | 50% | 71 of 165 | 20 of 25 | 15 of 18 | 76 of 176 | 22 of 24 | 8 of 8 |
| Maria Oliveira | 64 of 168 | 38% | 45 of 142 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 8 | 62 of 166 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 41 of 84 | 48% | 30 of 68 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 33 of 76 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 28 of 66 | 42% | 19 of 55 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 22 of 37 | 59% | 9 of 24 | 11 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 20 | 12 of 13 | 4 of 4 |
| Maria Oliveira | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 43 of 87 | 49% | 32 of 73 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 7 | 37 of 80 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Maria Oliveira | 29 of 85 | 34% | 21 of 72 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Maria Oliveira as an underdog. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has been out for over a year due to injuries, while Maria has fought three times in that span. He believes Maria's durability and forward pressure will be key, and that Diana may struggle with takedowns or slow down. He sees Maria winning a close fight.
Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă because she can exploit Maria Oliveira's poor takedown defense with her judo and throws. Oliveira is the better technical striker, but Belbiţă throws high volume and can mix in takedowns to win close rounds. He also notes the Canadian factor may help in a close decision. He is not confident and has little interest in the fight.
Cody picks Diana Belbiţă, noting that Oliveira is willing to stand and trade, which plays into Belbiţă's hands. He believes Belbiţă has improved her cardio and counter-wrestling under Kruelion. He thinks Oliveira's lack of wrestling will allow Belbiţă to keep the fight standing and win a striking battle. He expects a decision win for Belbiţă.
Connor also picks Maria Oliveira, agreeing that Belbiţă lacks core strength and can be pushed around. He notes that Oliveira's losses are to very good athletes like Vanessa Demopoulos, Tabitha Ricci, and Kana Asakura, while Belbiţă is not at that level. Connor thinks the odds could be more skewed toward Oliveira, as Belbiţă has struggled against anyone who takes her out of her game.
Daniel Levi picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her higher volume and better cardio compared to Maria Oliveira, who he considers one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes that Oliveira pushes her punches and has poor fundamentals, while Belbiţă puts out a ton of volume and has shown grit. He believes Belbiţă will outwork Oliveira and win a decision, especially with the Canadian crowd behind her.
James picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision. He notes that Belbiţă has better striking fundamentals with her hands up and sharp punches, while Maria Oliveira is wild with her chin up. He believes Belbiţă can also take Oliveira down if she wants, as Oliveira has a terrible ground game. He predicts the fight goes to decision but suggests betting on the fight ending inside distance at plus money due to the volatility of low-level women's MMA.
Belbiţă has an aggressive striking style with good body work and forward pressure. She's been improving her defensive grappling and should land more effective strikes than Oliveira, who was dropped multiple times in her last fight. The home crowd advantage in Vancouver may help her in a close decision. However, this is a low-confidence lean given both women are similar strikers.
Paul leans toward Maria Oliveira, citing her slight grappling advantage and reach. He notes that Belbiţă's big win over Hannah Goldie came with a significant reach advantage, and Oliveira is similarly sized. He thinks Oliveira's takedowns and submission threat could be the difference. He acknowledges it's a close fight and expects a decision.
The MMA Guru leans towards Maria Oliveira because she is faster and more talented on the feet, with a range advantage despite being shorter. He notes that Diana Belbiţă has poor grappling, having been submitted when attempting a takedown and out-grappled by Molly McCann. He expects a stand-up fight and predicts a close decision win for Oliveira.
Zane picks Maria Oliveira, citing Belbiţă's lack of core strength, which makes her easy to push around. He notes that Oliveira is a more comfortable, athletic striker who is faster and more confident. Belbiţă's striking has improved, but she lacks the athleticism to impose her will. Zane thinks Oliveira's losses have come against strong grapplers or athletes, and Belbiţă does not fit that mold, so Oliveira should win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 0 | 87 of 252 | 34% | 124 of 295 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 88 of 175 | 50% | 113 of 201 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 5:24 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 28 of 96 | 29% | 35 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 27 of 61 | 44% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 33 of 88 | 37% | 47 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 31 of 61 | 50% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 0 | 26 of 68 | 38% | 42 of 87 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 42 of 66 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria de Paula | 87 of 252 | 34% | 43 of 200 | 28 of 35 | 16 of 17 | 79 of 244 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 88 of 175 | 50% | 70 of 156 | 17 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 71 of 156 | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gloria de Paula | 28 of 96 | 29% | 12 of 76 | 10 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 27 of 61 | 44% | 21 of 54 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 21 of 53 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gloria de Paula | 33 of 88 | 37% | 16 of 69 | 12 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 31 of 61 | 50% | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 55 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gloria de Paula | 26 of 68 | 38% | 15 of 55 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 23 of 65 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 30 of 53 | 56% | 24 of 47 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 48 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă, citing her pressure, experience, and takedowns as the difference. He acknowledges Gloria de Paula is the better striker, but believes Belbiţă's well-roundedness and forward pressure will win out. He notes if de Paula keeps it standing, she could win.
Big Brady hates this fight and refuses to bet on it. He reluctantly picks Diana Belbiţă because she throws more volume and might take de Paula down, but he has no confidence. He notes de Paula has poor fight IQ and doesn't try to get up from takedowns. He predicts Belbiţă wins by decision.
Cody picks Belbiţă, noting her improvements under coach Kru Allen at Iron Tiger. He highlights her better volume and power, and believes she can out-strike de Paula. Cody acknowledges that both fighters have poor wrestling, but thinks Belbiţă's striking is superior and that she should win a stand-up fight.
Levi leans toward Belbiţă, citing her confidence from a recent win and de Paula's struggles in the UFC. He notes de Paula looked like a deer in headlights and has been knocked out. Levi believes Belbiţă will be more aggressive and break away in the later rounds, though he acknowledges both have liabilities on the ground.
De Paula is the cleaner striker with better discipline and leg kicks. She should counter Belbiţă's wild forward pressure. The concern is Belbiţă's volume could sway judges, but de Paula's crisp striking should earn a decision. A KO at +500 is also intriguing but less likely.
Paul picks Belbiţă, citing de Paula's recent knockout loss and Belbiţă's longer combinations. He expects Belbiţă to be a slight favorite by fight time and likes the value at -110.
The MMA Guru picks Diana Belbiţă to win by decision, citing her experience and reach advantage. He notes that Gloria de Paula has been KO'd early in her career and is inconsistent. While both fighters are low-level, Belbiţă's 14-6 record compared to de Paula's 5-4 gives him confidence in the more experienced fighter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 1 | 117 of 211 | 55% | 126 of 222 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 92 of 182 | 50% | 107 of 198 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 5:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 1 | 48 of 76 | 63% | 55 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 30 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 30 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 29 of 56 | 51% | 31 of 58 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 40 of 78 | 51% | 41 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Hannah Goldy | 0 | 37 of 82 | 45% | 46 of 91 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Belbiţă | 117 of 211 | 55% | 68 of 152 | 22 of 29 | 27 of 30 | 101 of 185 | 14 of 22 | 2 of 4 |
| Hannah Goldy | 92 of 182 | 50% | 56 of 137 | 25 of 32 | 11 of 13 | 58 of 140 | 18 of 23 | 16 of 19 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diana Belbiţă | 48 of 76 | 63% | 23 of 47 | 14 of 18 | 11 of 11 | 34 of 58 | 12 of 14 | 2 of 4 |
| Hannah Goldy | 26 of 44 | 59% | 12 of 26 | 10 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 33 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Diana Belbiţă | 29 of 57 | 50% | 16 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 53 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Hannah Goldy | 29 of 56 | 51% | 14 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 46 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Diana Belbiţă | 40 of 78 | 51% | 29 of 65 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 40 of 74 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Hannah Goldy | 37 of 82 | 45% | 30 of 71 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 61 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 17 |
Angelo picks Diana Belbiţă because she has solid takedown defense, is just as busy as Hannah Goldy, and is much taller. He notes that Hannah is strong but doesn't have knockout power or use her physicality to ragdoll opponents. He calls this a 'pick 'em fight' and advises not to bet on it, as the odds at +155 aren't enough to justify a bet. He also likes the over on the monkey knife fight line, expecting a high-volume decision.
Big Brady picks Diana Belbiţă as the dog, citing her significant reach advantage (7.5 inches) and ability to keep the fight standing. He notes Hannah Goldie struggled against Miranda Granger's reach and expects Belbiţă to use her length to win a decision. He acknowledges Belbiţă's poor fight IQ in her last bout but believes she won't make the same mistake here.
Cody does not make a clear pick, calling it a stay away fight. He notes both fighters have question marks and the line has moved to a pick'em. He says if he had to force a dog, he would take the dog, but he doesn't have a firm stance.
Daniel Levi picks Hannah Goldy, expecting her to tip and run from the outside and win a close decision. He notes that Belbiţă is aggressive but redlines and makes mistakes, while Goldy is the polar opposite, playing it safe. Levi acknowledges the layoff for Goldy but expects improvements, and sees value in Goldy at the pick'em price.
Jacob picks Diana Belbiţă based on her walkout with a fox draped over her shoulders, calling it 'enough for me.' He acknowledges that neither fighter is very good and that the fight is tough to pick. He notes that Hannah Goldy looked green on the ground in a grappling match he watched. He does not express strong confidence and sees the fight as a toss-up.
The host picks Diana Belbiţă, noting her striking advantage and reach (68 inches vs Goldy's 61). He acknowledges her poor fight IQ in the past but believes the year off and training with Adrian Wooley and Kyle Nelson will help. He expects Belbiţă to keep the fight at distance and win by decision, as Goldy is durable but has struggled against longer opponents. He also mentions a potential TKO finish but leans decision.
Paul also does not make a clear pick, calling it a 50/50 fight. He notes Belbiţă has a reach advantage and Goldy has output but is coming off a long layoff. He says if you got plus money on Belbiţă earlier, that was the move, but now it's even money and he doesn't have a firm stance.
The Guru picks Belbiţă as an underdog, citing her experience, youth, and activity advantage over Goldy. He criticizes Goldy's inactivity and questions her commitment due to her OnlyFans account. He notes Belbiţă's reach advantage and believes she will win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liana Jojua | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liana Jojua | 5 of 9 | 55% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liana Jojua | 5 of 9 | 55% | 3 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Liana Jojua as an underdog, noting Belbiţă is the better striker but has poor takedown defense. He thinks Jojua can take the fight to the ground where she is dangerous with submissions. He predicts an ugly decision or submission win for Jojua, calling it likely the worst fight on the card.
Daniel Levi picks Diana Belbiţă, calling her the tougher fighter and noting that Liana Jojua has not impressed, pulling stunts in her last fight. He acknowledges Belbiţă has been submitted multiple times but believes she showed toughness against Molly McCann and can keep the fight standing to outpoint Jojua.
The Guru dismisses both fighters as terrible, but gives the edge to Diana Belbiţă due to her experience, size, and reach advantage. He criticizes Belbiţă's padded record but notes that Liana Jojua has not beaten anyone of note and lost to Sarah Moras. He ultimately picks Belbiţă because experience and physical attributes tend to matter in low-level matchups.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 0 | 113 of 238 | 47% | 126 of 252 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 1 | 0 | 3:39 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 98 of 252 | 38% | 104 of 260 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 0 | 36 of 83 | 43% | 36 of 83 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 46 of 112 | 41% | 47 of 114 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 0 | 38 of 60 | 63% | 50 of 73 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 0 | 39 of 95 | 41% | 40 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 0 | 34 of 109 | 31% | 34 of 109 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McCann | 113 of 238 | 47% | 86 of 199 | 17 of 24 | 10 of 15 | 73 of 177 | 8 of 14 | 32 of 47 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 98 of 252 | 38% | 58 of 201 | 23 of 31 | 17 of 20 | 76 of 219 | 18 of 29 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Molly McCann | 36 of 83 | 43% | 22 of 64 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 8 | 27 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 46 of 112 | 41% | 23 of 86 | 14 of 17 | 9 of 9 | 36 of 95 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Molly McCann | 38 of 60 | 63% | 35 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 27 of 40 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 18 of 31 | 58% | 10 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 19 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Molly McCann | 39 of 95 | 41% | 29 of 78 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 37 of 88 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Diana Belbiţă | 34 of 109 | 31% | 25 of 93 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 7 | 32 of 105 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.
Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.
Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.
McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.
Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.
The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.
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