UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024 · Catchweight (129 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov Next Fight
Age 33
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 33
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Luana Carolina
4.65 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
3.46 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.3 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Julija Stoliarenko
2.74 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.78 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
54.0% TD Def.
1.4 Sub. Avg
Luana Carolina - Fight History
CANCEL vs Melissa Mullins
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo picks Luana Carolina because she is the better striker with solid takedown defense (68%). He notes Melissa Mullins is too hittable with no head movement and her offensive wrestling is not great. He believes Luana should win everywhere and is surprised she is the underdog, expecting the line to flip.

surprised she's a dog; expects line to flip to favorite
"I think Luanna Karolina wins this fight. I think she's the better fighter basically everywhere."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins despite her terrible fight IQ, noting that she has a massive advantage on the ground with nasty ground and pound. He points out that Luana Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and that Mullins should be able to take her down and control her. However, he is hesitant because Mullins often refuses to wrestle and instead tests her striking, as seen in her last fight. He predicts a decision win for Mullins.

Melissa Mullins by decision
"I'm going to take Melissa Mullins here for the win, but it's really hard to be confident in her after she pulled an absolute stunt in her last fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody agrees, noting Mullins' weight misses and lack of heart. He expects Carolina to win.

"I think Carolina's the side here as well."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Connor picks Melissa Mullins, agreeing that you take the grappler in this matchup. He notes that Mullins is relentlessly aggressive with takedowns and ground control, while Carolina is a volume striker who can be beaten by grappling. Connor also advises against betting on this fight.

Odds comment: Mullins opened -150, now +110; Carolina opened +130, now -130. Connor says don't bet on this one.
"Yeah, in a matchup like that, you take the rest of it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel leans Carolina due to her experience and ability to weasel decisions. He notes Mullins has head-scratching moments and can be finished. However, he acknowledges it's women's MMA and the British fighter might have crowd support.

"That experience gap for Luana Carolina leans me over to her side, but it's women's MMA. The British fighter, you know, might have some pull with the crowd. I'm going to go Carolina."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina to win by decision. He cites her experience and striking prowess, but acknowledges she can be taken down. He expects Carolina to get back to her feet and outpoint Mullins over three rounds.

"I'm going to pick Lana Karolina to come out here and uh win a decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

James picks Luana Carolina but is not confident. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has more UFC experience, but her takedown defense is a concern. He notes that Mullins has poor fight IQ and may not shoot takedowns consistently. He predicts a decision win for Carolina.

"I'm going to pick Lana Karolina in this one. There's no confidence here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The host is hesitant but leans towards Luana Carolina. He notes that Mullins has a grappling advantage but questions whether she will actually wrestle after failing to do so in her last fight. He believes Carolina's striking edge and improved defensive grappling could lead to a decision win. However, he admits he has underrated Carolina in the past and sees this as a potential breakout performance.

"I feel like this might be one of those spots where she could have a breakout performance where she stops the takedowns of Mullins or at least quickly works back to her feet."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina, citing Mullins' poor durability and tendency to quit. He expects Carolina to outwork and finish Mullins.

"For me, it's Lana Karolina all day long."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Mullins

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins over Luana Carolina, though he admits neither fighter has been impressive. He notes Mullins is younger and may show more improvement fight to fight, while Carolina hasn't done much lately and has lost to lower-level opponents. He seems uncertain but goes with Mullins.

"I am going to go with Melissa Mullins to defeat Lanna Karolina here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Melissa Mullins

Zane picks Melissa Mullins, reasoning that in a matchup between a relentless grappler (Mullins) and a volume striker (Carolina), you take the grappler who can control the fight. He notes that Mullins is aggressive with takedowns and ground control, but if she can't get takedowns, she's cooked. Zane advises not betting on this fight.

Odds comment: Mullins opened -150, now +110; Carolina opened +130, now -130. Zane says don't bet on this one.
"I think I'm going to take Mullins. In a matchup like that, you take the rest of it."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michelle Montague 0 41 of 88 46% 99 of 164 5 of 7 71% 0 0 10:43
Luana Carolina 0 48 of 82 58% 75 of 115 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michelle Montague 0 10 of 32 31% 25 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:44
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 36 66% 39 of 52 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Michelle Montague 0 17 of 32 53% 38 of 55 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:42
Luana Carolina 0 15 of 25 60% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michelle Montague 0 14 of 24 58% 36 of 53 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:17
Luana Carolina 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michelle Montague 41 of 88 46% 34 of 77 6 of 9 1 of 2 12 of 36 1 of 1 28 of 51
Luana Carolina 48 of 82 58% 31 of 60 5 of 6 12 of 16 46 of 77 1 of 3 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michelle Montague 10 of 32 31% 8 of 28 2 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 24 0 of 0 5 of 8
Luana Carolina 24 of 36 66% 11 of 20 3 of 4 10 of 12 23 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Michelle Montague 17 of 32 53% 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 12 1 of 1 9 of 19
Luana Carolina 15 of 25 60% 12 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 2 14 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 2
3 Michelle Montague 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 14 of 24
Luana Carolina 9 of 21 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 2 9 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Angelo picks Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) over Luana Carolina, citing Montague's wrestling and jiu-jitsu background at an international level, her willingness to strike, and her size. He acknowledges Luana Carolina's takedown defense and clinch work but believes Montague's aggression and grappling will be too much. He dismisses the knockout loss to Molly McCann as a fluke.

"Michelle Monte wins this fight. She's going to be the pick. I am surprised to see the line continuing to widen because we do have a proven fighter in the way."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Big Brady picks Darrell Montague to win by second-round submission. He highlights Montague's submission expertise, noting all six wins are by rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Montague is one-dimensional and has poor striking, but believes she will get a takedown due to her physicality and Carolina's questionable takedown defense. He notes Carolina has been taken down frequently in recent fights.

submission, second round
"I like Montigue here. I like Montigue by submission. I'll say second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

Cody picks Montague, citing her grappling pedigree and size advantage moving down to 135. He notes Carolina has been taken down in her last eight fights and is moving up in weight, while Montague is a strong grappler with a rear-naked choke streak. He warns about Montague's cardio but thinks she can win the first two rounds.

"Michelle Montigu bigger, stronger, have the fan support, trains at at love it, and probably will get takedowns just like the other ones have done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Connor agrees, noting that Montague's recent fights show her shooting immediately for back takes, which will be a problem for Carolina. He also mentions that Carolina's chin is high and she relies on reach, but Montague has the same reach and is bigger. He thinks Montague's grappling will be decisive.

"What we've seen from Montague in her past couple bouts is somebody who goes out immediately and shoots and works for back takes, and I think that'll just wreck Carolina."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

James is confident in Michelle Montague (Darrell Montague) due to her massive size advantage and elite back-taking ability. He notes she has submitted every opponent via rear-naked choke and that Luana Carolina is moving up from flyweight, making her vulnerable to grappling. He predicts a submission win.

by submission (rear-naked choke)
"Michelle Montigu via submission is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

The host expresses concern about Montague's weight cut to 135 lbs for the first time, but if successful, expects her to ragdoll Luana Carolina and secure another submission victory. The pick is conditional on making weight.

submission victory
"The weight is a big concern here for Montigue, who's going to be coming down to 135 lbs for the first time in her career, but if she does this successfully, I expect her to go out there and ragd …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Darrell Montague

The Guru picks Michelle Montigue (Darrell Montague) confidently, impressed by her consistent first-round submission finishes and amateur experience. He sees Luana Carolina as a potential fraud check but believes Montigue's training at American Top Team and dominant style will lead to another first-round rear-naked choke victory.

first round rear-naked choke
"I'm going to go with Michelle Montigue getting this one done over Lanna Karolina."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michelle Montague

Zane sees Montague as a bigger, stronger fighter who will shoot for takedowns and back takes, which should wreck Carolina. He notes that Carolina's success depends on being taller and longer, but Montague is two inches taller with the same reach and looks more muscular. He also points out that Montague has shown a consistent ability to stay on the back foot and outpoint opponents if needed.

"Montague will be one of the few women Carolina has ever fought who is bigger than her... She may just feel like a much bigger, stronger fighter."
CANCEL vs Montana De La Rosa
UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo picks Luana Carolina, citing her superior striking and solid takedown defense (74%). He believes she can keep the fight standing and outpoint Montana De La Rosa, who relies on wrestling. He notes that Carolina is used to opponents trying to take her down and sees her as a solid bet, possibly worth a stab.

Solid bet; lady over is probably the way to go
"I think this is a pretty straightforward win and I think it's going to be LNA Carolina she's by far the better striker in this matchup and if she can keep this fight standing she absolutely wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady leans toward Luana Carolina, impressed by her takedown defense. He notes that Montana De La Rosa will try to wrestle, but if she can't get takedowns, Carolina is the better striker. He expects a close split decision.

fight goes to decision; close split decision
"I slightly got to go to the Luana Carolina side I'm going to pick her to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

The host expects De La Rosa's wrestling style to pay off and expose holes in Luana Carolina's game. He looks for De La Rosa to smother her with grappling, possibly opening a submission opportunity, but primarily controlling the fight and winning on the scorecards.

"I believe Del Rosa's wrestling style will pay off for a year and it will start to expose the holes that are still in Lana Carolina's game look for delar Rosa to smother her with her grappling maybe open up …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina over Montana De La Rosa. He notes that Montana has had takedowns but hasn't established dominant control, while Luana will win on the feet with more grit and determination. He also mentions a psychological edge: Luana will be jealous of Montana's looks and fight with rage. He predicts a split decision.

"I'm going to go with Lana carolina... she'll be able to win this one on the feet and she'll have more grit and heart and determination."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 94 of 167 56% 114 of 199 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Lucie Pudilová 0 43 of 114 37% 62 of 145 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 33 of 51 64% 38 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
Lucie Pudilová 0 6 of 32 18% 14 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Luana Carolina 0 24 of 50 48% 28 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Lucie Pudilová 0 22 of 43 51% 27 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
3 Luana Carolina 0 37 of 66 56% 48 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucie Pudilová 0 15 of 39 38% 21 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 94 of 167 56% 45 of 101 23 of 35 26 of 31 73 of 142 21 of 25 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 43 of 114 37% 25 of 86 16 of 23 2 of 5 27 of 93 16 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 33 of 51 64% 14 of 29 6 of 9 13 of 13 25 of 41 8 of 10 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 6 of 32 18% 5 of 25 1 of 4 0 of 3 5 of 29 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 24 of 50 48% 13 of 36 7 of 9 4 of 5 16 of 41 8 of 9 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 22 of 43 51% 12 of 33 10 of 10 0 of 0 9 of 28 13 of 15 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 37 of 66 56% 18 of 36 10 of 17 9 of 13 32 of 60 5 of 6 0 of 0
Lucie Pudilová 15 of 39 38% 8 of 28 5 of 9 2 of 2 13 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Angelo is surprised that Luana Carolina is a plus-money underdog, as he believes she is the better striker with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He notes that Lucie Pudilová has poor takedown defense and is not the better wrestler or striker. He has placed a half-unit bet on Luana at plus money, expecting the line to move.

half unit bet at plus money
"Lanna Carolina is going to be the pick she's a plus money Underdog and I have a half a unit bet on her at plus money"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody picks Carolina, highlighting her better competition, volume, and ability to defend takedowns. He notes Pudilová's poor takedown accuracy and that she struggles when taken down. He thinks Carolina will win with damage in the clinch and on the ground, and that judges will favor her output.

"She's the player for me this week."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Carolina, citing Pudilová's poor record with judges and her increased hesitancy. He notes Carolina's Muay Thai background and recent submission win. Vreeland expects a kickboxing match that goes to decision, with Carolina getting the nod.

"I see it going all three and uh Lana is going to get the decision here the judges hate uh the judges AB absolutely hate Lucia pudova"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lucie Pudilová

Pudilová is a slight underdog at +100. She has improved her grappling since her first UFC stint and can use her striking to set up takedowns, unlike Stoliarenko who pulls guard. Pudilová's aggressiveness and ability to mix in takedowns should keep Carolina uncomfortable at distance. I think Pudilová is the better overall fighter and can grind out a decision win.

"I do think that pudova is the better overall fighter and optically speaking I think she can make it look better for the judges so give me pudilova and Pila by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul agrees, saying Carolina is the pick all day. He thinks wrestling will be negated and that Carolina's striking and clinch work will be key. He was impressed with her win over Stoliarenko.

"I think it's Carolina all day to be perfectly honest."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina, calling Lucie Pudilová 'garbage'. He notes Carolina stuffed takedowns from Lupita Godinez, who has good wrestling, and believes Carolina can out-grapple or out-strike Pudilová. He compares Pudilová's win over Yanan Wu unfavorably to Carolina's similar style, and cites Carolina's size and reach advantage.

"I'm going to go with Lanna Carolina because uh Lucy pyo's garbage"
TKO (punches) R3 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 66 of 136 48% 138 of 230 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 68 1 of 5 20% 3 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 12 of 32 37% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
2 Luana Carolina 0 25 of 55 45% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 28 35% 14 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Luana Carolina 0 29 of 49 59% 60 of 89 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
Julija Stoliarenko 0 0 of 6 0% 1 of 7 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 66 of 136 48% 41 of 96 15 of 26 10 of 14 28 of 75 13 of 20 25 of 41
Julija Stoliarenko 16 of 59 27% 7 of 40 6 of 10 3 of 9 11 of 51 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 12 of 32 37% 6 of 20 3 of 7 3 of 5 7 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 25 24% 2 of 17 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 25 of 55 45% 13 of 38 6 of 9 6 of 8 14 of 36 4 of 6 7 of 13
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 28 35% 5 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 3 6 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 29 of 49 59% 22 of 38 6 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 12 5 of 10 17 of 27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 62 35% 77 of 122 2 of 6 33% 2 1 4:11
Ivana Petrović 0 41 of 87 47% 112 of 167 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 3 of 15 20% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:22
Ivana Petrović 0 10 of 22 45% 31 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:08
2 Luana Carolina 0 13 of 32 40% 28 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:58
Ivana Petrović 0 16 of 38 42% 47 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:24
3 Luana Carolina 0 6 of 15 40% 31 of 40 1 of 3 33% 2 0 0:51
Ivana Petrović 0 15 of 27 55% 34 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 22 of 62 35% 15 of 51 5 of 8 2 of 3 16 of 50 4 of 10 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 41 of 87 47% 18 of 60 11 of 15 12 of 12 27 of 66 7 of 8 7 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 3 of 15 20% 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 10 of 22 45% 3 of 14 0 of 1 7 of 7 6 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 9
2 Luana Carolina 13 of 32 40% 9 of 25 4 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 22 4 of 8 2 of 2
Ivana Petrović 16 of 38 42% 6 of 25 7 of 10 3 of 3 11 of 32 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 6 of 15 40% 3 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ivana Petrović 15 of 27 55% 9 of 21 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

Angelo picks Ivana Petrović, expecting her grappling to be the difference. He notes she should be able to take down Luana Carolina and either submit or grind out a decision. However, he finds the -200 odds too wide for a UFC debut with only six fights and advises against betting. He warns against the over 2.5 rounds as the fight could end either way.

"Ivana should be able to drag Luanna to the ground and either submit her or just grind out a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina by decision, but is very reluctant. He thinks Carolina is the better striker and has solid takedown defense, but notes she has been taken down and put in trouble before. Petrović has a good ground game and could finish if she gets on top. Brady calls it a terrible fight and advises not to bet on it.

"I'll take Carolina by decision oh that was gross oh gonna throw up I'm gonna take Carolina by decision don't bet on this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Cody likes Carolina as a plus-money underdog. He notes Petrović is very green (less than 2 years pro) and has been dropped in fights. Carolina has fought better competition and has a striking advantage. Cody thinks Carolina can keep the fight standing and win a decision, especially if she defends takedowns. He compares it to other recent underdog wins.

"I'm going with the CF dog model myself I thought exact same thing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Daniel picks Luana Carolina as an underdog, citing her experience and takedown defense (2 of 15 allowed against Godinez). He notes Petrović is hittable and unproven at UFC level, and that debuts often disappoint. He sees a close kickboxing match where Carolina's volume and durability could edge her ahead. He is willing to take a shot at plus odds.

"I'm also go with uh Luana let's see what she can do with this opportunity"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul is considering Carolina as a dog. He notes Petrović's wrestling is her only path, but her stand-up is green and she was dropped by a short elbow. Carolina has good balance in the clinch and striking advantage. Paul thinks if Petrović can't get takedowns, Carolina wins. He is watching the market for a better price.

"I am considering uh a bet on Luanna Carolina who I think in the clinch is going to have some nasty elbows"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ivana Petrović

The Guru picks Ivana Petrović, citing her undefeated record (6-0) and good cardio shown in a fourth-round submission win. He notes Luana Carolina's losses to Molly McCann and Joanne Calderwood, and while Carolina beat Lupita Godinez, she was much larger. He trusts the undefeated prospect but acknowledges women's MMA is unpredictable.

"I'm probably gonna go with Petrovic here over Luana Carolina... she's 6-0 undefeated"
LOSS vs Joanne Wood
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joanne Wood 0 131 of 228 57% 177 of 278 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:50
Luana Carolina 0 100 of 199 50% 123 of 222 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joanne Wood 0 38 of 62 61% 55 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:32
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 65 58% 42 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Joanne Wood 0 33 of 60 55% 56 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:07
Luana Carolina 0 24 of 53 45% 33 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Joanne Wood 0 60 of 106 56% 66 of 112 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:11
Luana Carolina 0 38 of 81 46% 48 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joanne Wood 131 of 228 57% 61 of 142 46 of 53 24 of 33 84 of 177 46 of 50 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 100 of 199 50% 55 of 144 34 of 40 11 of 15 75 of 165 25 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joanne Wood 38 of 62 61% 13 of 32 17 of 20 8 of 10 20 of 42 18 of 20 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 65 58% 15 of 38 16 of 19 7 of 8 25 of 50 13 of 15 0 of 0
2 Joanne Wood 33 of 60 55% 16 of 39 8 of 10 9 of 11 21 of 48 11 of 11 1 of 1
Luana Carolina 24 of 53 45% 14 of 40 9 of 11 1 of 2 18 of 44 6 of 9 0 of 0
3 Joanne Wood 60 of 106 56% 32 of 71 21 of 23 7 of 12 43 of 87 17 of 19 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 38 of 81 46% 26 of 66 9 of 10 3 of 5 32 of 71 6 of 10 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Angelo thinks Joanne Wood should win because she is better everywhere and has faced elite competition. He notes her losses are to champions and title contenders. He placed a half-unit bet on her at -150 three weeks ago and got good closing value. He is concerned about Wood's motivation and age but still expects her to win.

bet placed at -150, now -190
"I do think Joanne wood wins this fight three weeks ago I threw a half a unit on her at minus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Big Brady picks Joanne Wood but with low confidence, noting she has looked like she doesn't want to be there recently. He acknowledges Wood's losses are to elite competition, and she should win this fight due to volume striking and Carolina's lack of takedowns. However, he is scared by Wood's recent performances and will not bet this fight.

will not bet this fight
"do I have confidence in Wood no ... but she better win this fight man"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Cody picks Wood reluctantly, noting her experience and technical Muay Thai. He thinks Carolina's takedown defense is poor and Wood can take her down if needed. He acknowledges Wood's durability and motivation are questions at 37, but believes Carolina is there to be beaten. He says he's likely screwed betting women's MMA but picks Wood.

"I will have to take Joanne wood reluctantly not reluctantly because I don't want to reluctantly because I know as soon as I bet an MMA women's MMA spot I'm likely screwed"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Connor picks Wood but is very hesitant, acknowledging her recent mental and physical decline. He believes she should win against a fighter as limited as Carolina, but he doubts Wood's current mindset. He notes that Wood has never been knocked out and has the tools to win if she fights on the front foot.

"I'm gonna stick with a desperation pick for Wood of like you should not lose to a fighter this bad."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Jacob sees this as a very close fight and is staying away. He thinks both fighters have similar styles and it will likely go to a split decision. He notes Luana Carolina could come on strong late and that Joanne Wood's motivation is questionable. He might bet on a split decision prop but is not picking a winner.

split decision prop considered
"I wouldn't pick either side on this I think it's sloppy I think it's back and forth I think it's close comes down to the judges."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Wood is on a three-fight losing streak but those losses came against top competition (Santos, Grasso). She is a solid striker with good footwork, output, and elbows. Carolina is a decent striker but her wins are questionable and she was knocked out by Molly McCann. Wood should be the better technical striker and outwork Carolina over three rounds, possibly mixing in elbows. Carolina's takedowns are not expected to be a threat.

"I think wood will shuck off the inevitable takedowns that are coming our way and she will get back to that game that just has made her so successful in the UFC which is cardio footwork output and throwing in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

Paul picks Wood, but his favorite prop is over 63.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks. He thinks the fight goes 15 minutes and Wood lands well over that number. He says Wood by decision is likely but the moneyline is better than the decision prop. He notes Wood's recent losses were to elite competition and she should handle Carolina.

Joanne Wood over 63.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"on prize picks they've got a promo code dop they got 65 or 63.5 significant strikes love that prop that's like my my favorite prop this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood over Luana Carolina, calling it a 'no-brainer' despite the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Wood has lost only to top competition like Grasso, Santos, and Murphy, while Carolina lost to Molly McCann who is not elite. He acknowledges Wood's jiu-jitsu vulnerabilities but believes her striking and experience will carry her to a decision win.

"I'll go with Joanne Calderwood I guess because Luana Carolina lost a Molly McCann"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Zane picks Carolina as a gut pick, citing Wood's psychological fragility. He notes that Wood has looked increasingly flinchy and prone to giving up, while Carolina is scrappy and has shown resilience. Zane believes Carolina's pressure and clinch work could break Wood's will, even though Carolina is technically inferior.

"I'm kind of making a gut pick."
LOSS vs Molly McCann
KO (spinning back elbow) R3 1:52 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 85 of 159 53% 99 of 174 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
Luana Carolina 0 64 of 132 48% 76 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 56 of 107 52% 61 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 52 42% 23 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 Molly McCann 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Luana Carolina 0 26 of 51 50% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 1 14 of 22 63% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Luana Carolina 0 16 of 29 55% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 85 of 159 53% 52 of 118 28 of 36 5 of 5 69 of 139 14 of 18 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 64 of 132 48% 26 of 88 33 of 39 5 of 5 47 of 113 17 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 56 of 107 52% 35 of 79 19 of 26 2 of 2 47 of 96 9 of 11 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 22 of 52 42% 6 of 32 13 of 17 3 of 3 16 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Molly McCann 15 of 30 50% 5 of 19 8 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 26 1 of 2 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 26 of 51 50% 13 of 37 12 of 13 1 of 1 16 of 40 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 16 of 29 55% 7 of 19 8 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.

"i'm siding with the bookies here and i'm just gonna give a tiny tiny slight edge to molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.

"give me carolina for the upset give me carolina to win a very close probably greasy split decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.

"the pick would be my mccann by decision ever so slightly"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.

"close fight favors uh molly mccann um but i think that molly mccann might turn up on luana carolina maybe even get 130 27 in there too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.

McCann via decision; McCann by submission (+1100)
"I expect her at her optimal level to go out there and outstrike Luana Carolina."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.

"i'll pick carolina for the purposes of this show but uh i don't think i'm gonna get money my money in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.

split decision
"i'm gonna go luanna carolina here... she's longer, she's got good kicks, she was able to stuff takedowns"
Julija Stoliarenko - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriella Fernandes 0 59 of 114 51% 59 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 61 of 161 37% 64 of 167 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriella Fernandes 0 19 of 45 42% 19 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 49 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
2 Gabriella Fernandes 0 23 of 38 60% 23 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 18 of 43 41% 19 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Gabriella Fernandes 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 24 of 71 33% 26 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriella Fernandes 59 of 114 51% 38 of 91 15 of 17 6 of 6 58 of 112 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 61 of 161 37% 28 of 117 13 of 20 20 of 24 56 of 154 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriella Fernandes 19 of 45 42% 10 of 35 9 of 10 0 of 0 19 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 19 of 47 40% 9 of 32 1 of 3 9 of 12 19 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Gabriella Fernandes 23 of 38 60% 14 of 28 4 of 5 5 of 5 23 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 18 of 43 41% 9 of 32 1 of 3 8 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gabriella Fernandes 17 of 31 54% 14 of 28 2 of 2 1 of 1 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 24 of 71 33% 10 of 53 11 of 14 3 of 4 19 of 66 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Angelo picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her powerful striking and decent jiu-jitsu. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is a dangerous grappler but has sloppy striking and is either armbar or nothing. Angelo believes if Gabriella can defend takedowns, she will beat Julija up and potentially finish her. He started with low confidence but moved to medium confidence.

"I think Gabriella, assuming she could defend the takedowns here, is going to beat the hell out of Julia and potentially finish her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Big Brady is confident in Gabriella Fernandes, describing Julija Stoliarenko as the most one-dimensional fighter in the UFC with only an armbar threat. He notes Stoliarenko has no striking, no wrestling, and has been finished multiple times. Brady believes Fernandes will dominate on the feet and can also do damage on top if the fight goes to the ground. He predicts Fernandes will knock out Stoliarenko in the second round.

second round knockout
"I like Fernandez here. I think she knocks out Ranken. I'll say second round knockout for Gabriella Fernandez."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Connor agrees, noting Fernandes showed toughness and resilience against Kong, remaining calm and looking for counters. He sees Stoliarenko as a limited fighter who struggles when her one plan fails.

Odds: Fernandes -400. Connor implies the line is too close.
"Pretty much. Yeah, I think yeah, I mean she did show some toughness and resilience."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The host highlights Fernandes' striking advantage and physicality, expecting her to keep the fight standing and pick apart Stoliarenko from distance. He predicts a headkick knockout, showing confidence in a finish.

by KO (headkick)
"I think the striking advantage and physicality of Fernandez will allow her to keep this fight standing where she'll be able to pick apart stolen from distance and eventually line up a headkick to produce a knockout victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her recent win over Wang Cong and her solid jiu-jitsu. He believes Stoliarenko is a finish-or-be-finished fighter but Fernandes has the grappling to avoid submissions. He predicts a first or second round finish for Fernandes.

Fernandes wins by finish in round 1 or 2; also bet on Fernandes fight time under 10 minutes as part of a parlay
"I think she will find the finish in the first or second round here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Gabriella Fernandes

Zane picks Fernandes because she is tough, hard to dominate, and has never been finished. He believes if she survives Stoliarenko's armbar attempts, she will win. He notes Stoliarenko is a one-trick pony who often gets crushed before securing the armbar.

Odds: Fernandes -400, Stoliarenko +300. Zane thinks the line should be wider, like -600 or -700.
"All it takes is for her to survive one arm bar for me to assume that she beats stolia ranko."
LOSS vs Luana Carolina
TKO (punches) R3 4:52 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luana Carolina 0 66 of 136 48% 138 of 230 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 16 of 59 27% 21 of 68 1 of 5 20% 3 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luana Carolina 0 12 of 32 37% 35 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:04
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 25 24% 6 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
2 Luana Carolina 0 25 of 55 45% 43 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 28 35% 14 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:12
3 Luana Carolina 0 29 of 49 59% 60 of 89 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:25
Julija Stoliarenko 0 0 of 6 0% 1 of 7 0 of 2 0% 3 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luana Carolina 66 of 136 48% 41 of 96 15 of 26 10 of 14 28 of 75 13 of 20 25 of 41
Julija Stoliarenko 16 of 59 27% 7 of 40 6 of 10 3 of 9 11 of 51 5 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luana Carolina 12 of 32 37% 6 of 20 3 of 7 3 of 5 7 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 25 24% 2 of 17 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 22 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Luana Carolina 25 of 55 45% 13 of 38 6 of 9 6 of 8 14 of 36 4 of 6 7 of 13
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 28 35% 5 of 19 5 of 6 0 of 3 6 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Luana Carolina 29 of 49 59% 22 of 38 6 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 12 5 of 10 17 of 27
Julija Stoliarenko 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."
WIN vs Molly McCann
Submission (armbar) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.

suggested as parlay piece
"Molly McCann's going to win this fight I don't know if it's gonna be by stoppage but she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.

first round knockout
"Molly McCann first round knockout my goodness"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.

would bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better
"I think Molly meatball McCann out volumes out Tufts uh uh solo renko she just has to avoid getting taken down and subbed in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.

Daniel says 'it's less than minus 200 to fade one of the worst fighters on the roster' and expects a highlight-reel finish.
"I think Molly is gonna bust this girl up gonna get a highlight real finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.

by knockout, waiting for better price around -200
"give me model McCann by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.

"I think this is an absolute setup for Molly McCann to go out there and roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I'm going with Molly McCann over Julius dolorenko"
TKO (punches) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chelsea Chandler 0 12 of 27 44% 20 of 36 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Julija Stoliarenko 0 38 of 70 54% 47 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chelsea Chandler 12 of 27 44% 5 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 38 of 70 54% 34 of 64 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 43 0 of 0 21 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chelsea Chandler vs. Julija Stoliarenko

Round 1
In a pre-planned catchweight affair at 140 pounds, proud Lithuanian Stoliarenko (10-6-2, 1-4 UFC) wants to keep her modicum of momentum going after winning her first UFC appearance after five tries. She faces off against promotional newcomer Chandler (4-1, 0-0 UFC), plucked from the Invicta ranks but with the Diaz brothers in her camp. Referee Jacob Montalvo watches on as the two decide not to touch gloves, and instead they want to go after it early. Chandler lands a kick, and when she lines up a punch, Stoliarenko plods forward and takes her down. Within seconds, Stoliarenko shifts right into full mount, and she transitions into her favorite armbar setup. Chandler is wise to it, and she flips Stoliarenko over and breaks up the armlock before it is secured. The Stockton, Calif., native unloads with ground-and-pound when she is safe from submission harm, and she hammers Stoliarenko with several powerful blows. Stoliarenko kicks off the fence to get out of the bad situation, and finds her way back to the feet. Chandler catches her with a clean right hand as Stoliarenko resets, and Stoliarenko staggers back and looks to get her feet back beneath her. Stoliarenko is marked up from absorbing strikes, and slightly wobbled on the feet, and Chandler is loading up on heavy strikes. When Stoliarenko shoots in for a takedown, she drops to her knees and is bowled over. Chandler moves immediately into mount, and she makes Stoliarenko pay for the takedown try. Stoliarenko bucks and lifts her legs up high, and in doing so, she forces Chandler to climb back upright. Stoliarenko desperately shoots for a takedown, and Chandler hip tosses her to the mat and raises her arms up in typical Diaz-esque fashion. Stoliarenko stands up and backs off, and when she attempts another takedown, Chandler easily pushes her to her back and moves to mount.
Sensing that the Lithuanian is starting to wilt, Chandler turns it up to 11 and starts battering Stoliarenko with heavy punches. The shots are getting through and Montalvo is right there paying attention. Chandler keeps bombarding her doomed opponent with relentless fists, and Montalvo steps in to rescue Stoliarenko from further harm.
The Cesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu product has just announced herself to the promotion in a big way, putting away a woman that had not been stopped with strikes since 2014.

The Official Result
Chelsea Chandler def. Julija Stoliarenko R1 4:15 via TKO (Punches)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody leans towards Julija Stoliarenko, noting her dangerous armbar and improved striking. He is concerned about Chandler's size and the catchweight, but believes Stoliarenko's submission threat is real. He prefers the submission prop but may wait for weigh-ins to assess size discrepancy.

Stoliarenko by submission +300
"I'll lean towards her ever so slightly the plus 350 like you said on the submission makes the most sense"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Julija Stoliarenko by submission, noting her specialty is the armbar and she has shown improvement in her overall game. He acknowledges Chandler is bigger and has some jiu-jitsu, but believes Stoliarenko's experience and ability to capitalize on mistakes will be key. He suggests waiting for a better price on the submission prop.

Stoliarenko by submission +300; may wait for better price
"stinko sub is uh is is my plan of attack on this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

The MMA Guru leans toward Julija Stoliarenko, noting her specific skill set of armbars and judo. He thinks she can take Chandler down and control her on the ground, possibly submitting her. He is less confident because Chandler is untested and has a thyroid issue affecting weight cut, but he believes Stoliarenko has faced better competition. He calls it a pick'em fight.

"I'll take Julia I guess... she has brought some good people."
Submission (armbar) R1 0:42 · UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Jul 02, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 9 of 16 56% 6 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 1
Jessica-Rose Clark 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Angelo picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her slick striking and evolving grappling. He notes that Stoliarenko has zero wrestling and poor takedown accuracy, making it unlikely she can get the fight to the ground where she is dangerous. He believes Clark's cleaner striking will allow her to cruise to a decision.

Moneyline bet at -140
"I absolutely love jessica rose clark in this fight i already snatched up a moneyline bet at -140 on her"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Big Brady picks Jessica-Rose Clark but is hesitant due to Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He notes Clark is the better striker and should implement a wrestling game plan like Alexis Davis did, but worries about Clark's submission defense. He expects Clark to win by decision if she avoids the armbar.

Clark by decision
"give me rose clark to win i'm gonna take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody thinks Stoliarenko is better on the feet and has submission threats. He notes Clark's takedowns could lead to armbar opportunities for Stoliarenko. He picks Stoliarenko but isn't confident enough for a Shoei bet.

"I'm gonna take Julia Sterly estenko and I'm not even confident enough to be like chewy bet on this"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 30, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

Daniel Levi picks Jessica-Rose Clark, believing she is better everywhere except against the armbar. He notes that Clark has a history of making mental mistakes, such as in her last fight where she did the one thing they trained not to do. He is wary of Stoliarenko's armbar specialty but thinks Clark should win if she fights smart. He does not bet due to recency bias and lack of trust.

No bet; burned before on Clark.
"the pick is jessica rose clark but i am not betting it at the betting window"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko is a submission specialist with 8 of 9 wins via armbar. Clark can be sloppy on top and Stoliarenko will threaten submissions from her back. Clark's win over Sarah Alpar may be overvalued; she was exposed by Stephanie Edgar. Stoliarenko's armbar is a live threat at plus money.

submission prop at +350
"i'm gonna bank on another stoliorenko armbar victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul leans toward Stoliarenko, noting her submission skills and striking. He thinks Clark's best path is to clinch, but Stoliarenko can win on the feet or via submission. He recommends taking the moneyline rather than props.

"I would take the under one and a half uh takedowns for jrc all lean towards her on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jessica-Rose Clark

The MMA Guru picks Jessica-Rose Clark, citing her improved grappling training at AKA and her ability to use it against Julija Stoliarenko, who has been outgrappled repeatedly in the UFC. He notes Stoliarenko has nothing off her back and expects Clark to cruise to a 30-27 unanimous decision with top control.

"i feel as though jessica rose clark is going to be too good on the feet maybe it'll be equal on the feet but i reckon her grappling is going to get her to win here"
LOSS vs Alexis Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexis Davis 0 85 of 120 70% 171 of 218 1 of 1 100% 0 0 9:09
Julija Stoliarenko 0 56 of 113 49% 93 of 154 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexis Davis 0 22 of 26 84% 63 of 75 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:52
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 3 100% 20 of 23 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Alexis Davis 0 38 of 60 63% 38 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 45 of 96 46% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexis Davis 0 25 of 34 73% 70 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:17
Julija Stoliarenko 0 8 of 14 57% 28 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexis Davis 85 of 120 70% 55 of 86 9 of 12 21 of 22 41 of 64 1 of 1 43 of 55
Julija Stoliarenko 56 of 113 49% 40 of 94 14 of 17 2 of 2 51 of 108 1 of 1 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexis Davis 22 of 26 84% 22 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 22 of 26
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alexis Davis 38 of 60 63% 14 of 33 5 of 7 19 of 20 37 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 45 of 96 46% 32 of 81 13 of 15 0 of 0 44 of 95 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Alexis Davis 25 of 34 73% 19 of 27 4 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 21 of 29
Julija Stoliarenko 8 of 14 57% 6 of 11 0 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Angelo picks Alexis Davis as the veteran with experience and fight IQ. He notes Davis is a busy striker with a one-to-one striking differential, but she loses only to top-ranked opponents. Stoliarenko has great jiu-jitsu but poor wrestling and striking. Angelo expects Davis to dominate with combinations and avoid submission threats.

"i gotta go with the vet here i'm going with alexis davis to use her experience and use her fight iq to grind out what i think will pre a pretty one-sided win for her"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Davis has better striking, pace, and ground game. He thinks Stoliarenko is not on Davis's level. He is confident Davis wins but acknowledges women's MMA can be unpredictable.

"gotta go with my girl uh the alley gator alexis davis"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Daniel Levi picks Alexis Davis but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Davis is a veteran with experience, but she has lost four of her last five and is 38. Stoliarenko is known for armbars off her back. Levi thinks Davis should win but the -240 price is too high, so he advises passing or taking the dog. He picks Davis but says it's not a betting opportunity.

"the pick is davis"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Lock of the Night picks Davis, citing her superior striking and experience. He notes Stoliarenko's only path is armbar, but Davis is a tenured black belt. He expects Davis to win via decision or possibly finish. He likes Davis by decision at even money.

Davis by decision +100
"i think davis absolutely wipes estolia right quick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

Paul thinks Davis has superior skills everywhere and should win easily. He notes that Stoliarenko's only threat is an armbar, but Davis is a veteran who should avoid that. He is confident Davis wins by decision and likes the Davis by decision prop.

Davis by decision (even money)
"davis by decision is even money i think that's a pretty solid bet"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Alexis Davis

The MMA Guru picks Alexis Davis, calling her underrated despite her record. He notes she has had close fights with top fighters like Viviane Araujo and Jennifer Maia, but often loses due to being cut by bigger shots. He dismisses Julija Stoliarenko as 'hot trash' and predicts a 30-26 decision win for Davis, with a 10-8 third round.

decision, 30-26
"i'm going to go with alexis davis here... i think she's going to win the first two rounds outland uh julius dollarenko in those first two rounds dominate her get the takedown"
LOSS vs Julia Avila
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:19 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Jun 26, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julia Avila 0 48 of 91 52% 107 of 163 1 of 4 25% 1 2 3:31
Julija Stoliarenko 0 40 of 94 42% 60 of 115 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julia Avila 0 29 of 58 50% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julija Stoliarenko 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Julia Avila 0 17 of 30 56% 42 of 59 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:28
Julija Stoliarenko 0 10 of 24 41% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:34
3 Julia Avila 0 2 of 3 66% 36 of 46 1 of 2 50% 1 1 3:03
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 5 60% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julia Avila 48 of 91 52% 31 of 72 11 of 13 6 of 6 42 of 84 2 of 3 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 40 of 94 42% 27 of 73 5 of 9 8 of 12 37 of 88 3 of 5 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julia Avila 29 of 58 50% 21 of 49 7 of 8 1 of 1 28 of 56 1 of 2 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 27 of 65 41% 18 of 49 3 of 7 6 of 9 27 of 64 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Julia Avila 17 of 30 56% 8 of 20 4 of 5 5 of 5 12 of 25 1 of 1 4 of 4
Julija Stoliarenko 10 of 24 41% 6 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 3 8 of 20 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Julia Avila 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Angelo picks Julia Avila, reasoning that Stoliarenko will accept being on her back, throw up submissions but not get any, and end up losing a decision. He notes Avila is a heavy-handed brawler who is aggressive on top. He advises staying away from Avila in betting due to high price but likes the over on strikes.

over on strikes (more/more)
"in my opinion i think avila is the is the play here because i think stoliarenko will accept being on her back throw up tons of submissions not get any of them and end up losing a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Big Brady picks Julia Avila to win by KO, citing her massive striking advantage and strength. He warns against going to the ground with Stoliarenko, who has eight armbar wins, but believes Avila can keep it standing and finish. He notes Stoliarenko's poor wrestling and that she has been finished by strikes in half her losses. He would not bet Avila at -400 but expects her to win.

by KO, would not bet at -400
"i'll take a villa i'm actually going to take her to win by ko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Cody picks Avila, noting her athletic background and well-rounded skills. He criticizes Stoliarenko's level of competition and one-dimensional armbar game. He thinks Avila's striking and top game will be too much, and Stoliarenko's only path is pulling guard, which plays into Avila's strength. He is confident but acknowledges the price is high.

"i'm gonna go ahead and say i'm going with julia"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Jacob picks Julija Stoliarenko, citing her judo throw into armbar that she has done many times. He mentions that Joe Todora says Avila is his girl so he will stay away from her. Jacob is confident Stoliarenko finds a way to get the submission.

"i think we all picked story renko last time and and we're pretty confident about it listen joe todora says that avila is his girl so i'll stay away from her i got respect for joe tadora what's up man …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Avila should keep the fight on the feet and overpower Stoliarenko. Stoliarenko is dangerous off her back with armbars, so Avila must be careful. Avila will look for a knockout via ground and pound after dropping her. The under 2.5 rounds is intriguing as both are live for finishes. However, Avila at -345 is not a betting recommendation.

Under 2.5 rounds plus 135 to plus 155
"I'm actually gonna go with uh avila by second round tko probably by ground and pound after dropping her... the only spot that i'm going to be looking at is the under two and a half"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 23, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julia Avila

Paul picks Avila, noting Stoliarenko's poor UFC debut and limited skills. He thinks Avila's wrestling and striking are superior. He is not excited about the -360 price but sees Avila as a safe play. He mentions that Stoliarenko passed out on the scale in their previous booking, which is a red flag.

"avalo was supposed to like there were some offers and stuff i believe from like some bigger camps for her to go train"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Julia Avila

The MMA Guru picks Julia Avila, noting her better record, competition, and technique. He highlights her hands and combination punching, referencing her first-round finish of Gina Mazany. He also points out Stoliarenko's severe weight cut issues (fainting on the scales twice) as a major red flag, making Avila the safer bet.

"i'm gonna go with julia avila i went with her the first time she's got a better record fought better competition"
LOSS vs Yana Kunitskaya
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yana Kunitskaya 0 43 of 57 75% 209 of 254 1 of 2 50% 0 0 13:16
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 26 23% 30 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yana Kunitskaya 0 8 of 12 66% 64 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:22
Julija Stoliarenko 0 2 of 8 25% 18 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
2 Yana Kunitskaya 0 23 of 26 88% 92 of 108 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:44
Julija Stoliarenko 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Yana Kunitskaya 0 12 of 19 63% 53 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:10
Julija Stoliarenko 0 3 of 16 18% 10 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yana Kunitskaya 43 of 57 75% 20 of 34 20 of 20 3 of 3 8 of 19 29 of 32 6 of 6
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 26 23% 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 23 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yana Kunitskaya 8 of 12 66% 3 of 7 4 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 4 7 of 8 0 of 0
Julija Stoliarenko 2 of 8 25% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Yana Kunitskaya 23 of 26 88% 11 of 14 10 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 1 18 of 20 5 of 5
Julija Stoliarenko 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yana Kunitskaya 12 of 19 63% 6 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 14 4 of 4 1 of 1
Julija Stoliarenko 3 of 16 18% 2 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Big Brady picks Kunitskaya but is not confident enough to bet her. He believes she is the better striker and can win by staying off the ground, but worries she might take Stoliarenko down, which plays into Stoliarenko's submission game. He compares it to the Balbina vs Jojua fight where a similar mistake led to a loss. He predicts a decision win for Kunitskaya.

"i'm assuming kunsa kaya is smart enough to not do that but at this point we just don't know with women's mma so uh kunzakaya by decision but you know big big big pass um from a betting perspective there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Daniel Levi picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by submission, specifically an armbar. He acknowledges that Yana Kunitskaya is the better fighter overall but believes she is prone to getting submitted, as seen in her past fights. Levi notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with many first-round finishes, and he expects her to pull guard and secure the submission at some point during the fight.

submission by armbar
"i'm actually going to go with the upset i think that julia stoliarenko gets a fluke arm bar"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

Kunitskaya is technically superior with good kickboxing and range control. However, she struggles in the pocket and can be pressured. Stoliarenko is a brawler with devastating elbows and a dangerous armbar from the clinch. The line at -235 is too wide; Stoliarenko offers value at +200. Kunitskaya likely wins by decision if she keeps it at range, but Stoliarenko could finish.

Stoliarenko moneyline +200, Stoliarenko inside distance
"I'm going to take Kunitskaya to win by decision but the value side by far is Julia here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Yana Kunitskaya

The MMA Guru picks Yana Kunitskaya because she has good clinch control and can hold opponents against the cage, as seen in her fight with Aspen Ladd. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is taking the fight on short notice and went to a split decision against a lesser opponent. He believes Kunitskaya's clinch work will be the difference.

"i believe that yana kunitskaya is going to win this one julia stoliorenko has beaten some good girls outside the ufc but went to a split decision"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Angelo picks Julija Stoliarenko to win but strongly advises against betting on her. He compares her to Malcolm Gordon, a previous 'cash cow' that lost. He notes that Stoliarenko's path to victory is getting a takedown, but she is not a good fighter overall. He emphasizes that Luana Carolina is the better fighter overall but has been taken down frequently, which could be exploited.

No bet advised; warns against betting on Stoliarenko despite picking her
"I'm going to pick Julia to win because Lena Carolina has been taken down many times... but there's not a world where I spend money on that"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Big Brady picks Julija Stoliarenko to win by first-round armbar. He notes that Stoliarenko is an armbar specialist with 10 wins by armbar, all in the first round. He believes her aggressiveness and improved wrestling will cause problems for Luana Carolina, who has questionable decision-making and has almost been submitted in recent fights. He expects the fight to hit the mat, where Stoliarenko is extremely dangerous.

first round, submission (armbar)
"give me stoia Rano it's weird seeing her as a favorite ... I'll say she does get that armar in the first round and gets the job done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Cody picks Stoliarenko by submission, calling it the play of the week. He notes Stoliarenko's elite armbar from guard and Carolina's poor takedown defense and physical strength. He expects Stoliarenko to get the fight to the mat and submit her quickly.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub is the play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Stoliarenko's persistence and expertise in armbars should be too much for Carolina. Once Stoliarenko snatches an arm, it's only a matter of time before she gets the tap. Carolina's takedown defense is improving, but Stoliarenko's strength and Judo will likely get the fight to the ground.

Under 2.5 rounds is plus 120 and could cover a Carolina finish, but host expects Stoliarenko by submission.
"I like sto Reno here I wish he was the underdog cuz you know I don't really like to invest too much into a fighter that only has that One path to Victory."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Julija Stoliarenko

Paul picks Stoliarenko by submission, agreeing with Cody. He highlights Carolina's vulnerability to takedowns and Stoliarenko's dangerous armbar. He thinks the plus-205 price is excellent value.

Stoliarenko by submission +205
"stinko sub plus 205 at one book right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The MMA Guru picks Luana Carolina over Julija Stoliarenko, questioning whether Stoliarenko is actually good or just benefited from Molly McCann's poor ground game. He notes Carolina has better standup and overall ability, and that Stoliarenko has a rough weight cut at 125. He expects Carolina to win, likely as an underdog.

likely as an underdog
"I'm gonna go with Lanna Carolina over J Juliana Julia steno... I'm going to go with Lanna karolina I reckon she's got some time to improve herself as a fighter... likely as an underdog."