UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 6' 5"
Reach 80"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mantas Kondratavičius
4.97 SLpM
65.0% Str. Acc.
1.3 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
2.8 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
91.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Antonio Trócoli
1.27 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.3 SApM
26.0% Str. Def.
0.88 TD Avg
9.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Mantas Kondratavičius - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mantas Kondratavičius 1 75 of 107 70% 135 of 177 2 of 4 50% 1 0 6:06
Antonio Trócoli 0 17 of 39 43% 29 of 54 1 of 12 8% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 28 of 42 66% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 14 42% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 1 39 of 47 82% 73 of 88 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 5 of 10 50% 7 of 12 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 8 of 18 44% 21 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 15 40% 13 of 23 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mantas Kondratavičius 75 of 107 70% 61 of 93 14 of 14 0 of 0 42 of 68 17 of 19 16 of 20
Antonio Trócoli 17 of 39 43% 10 of 28 3 of 7 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 28 of 42 66% 19 of 33 9 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 14 42% 2 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 39 of 47 82% 35 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 22 7 of 7 16 of 18
Antonio Trócoli 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 2
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 15 40% 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

"I think Mantis is going to run through him here. He's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Mantas Kondratavičius by first-round KO
"Contra Vicious probably knocks this guy out in the first round. He should knock this guy out in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

"I do have Montasis to uh you clip him with something eventually and put him down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"Yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

"I think he knocks him out in the first round. Maybe chokes him out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

"Down goes Tracoli and Montas gets his arm raised and a performance of the night bonus."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert pick date unknown

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

"It would be crazy to bet an unknown like Mantas, but yeah, it's another one of those fights where you just don't have a whole lot of information."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

under 1.5 rounds (-210), Mantas win in round 1 (+115), Mantas win by KO in round 1 (+185)
"Antonio Truckley versus Mantas Contrativicius under one and a half rounds at odds of minus 210."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

Mantas Kondratavičius by KO, round 1
"It should be a round one finish for Mantas in my opinion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Round one prop at +115
"I'm going to go with the Lithuanian here to make short work of Antonio Tralli. I'd rather take the round one prop than his money line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

"I think he's going to catch Trolley at some point and put him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Mantas early first or second round finish. I'd say first round finish for Mantas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"So yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
Antonio Trócoli - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mantas Kondratavičius 1 75 of 107 70% 135 of 177 2 of 4 50% 1 0 6:06
Antonio Trócoli 0 17 of 39 43% 29 of 54 1 of 12 8% 0 0 5:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 28 of 42 66% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 14 42% 9 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:33
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 1 39 of 47 82% 73 of 88 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 5 of 10 50% 7 of 12 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 0 8 of 18 44% 21 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
Antonio Trócoli 0 6 of 15 40% 13 of 23 1 of 7 14% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mantas Kondratavičius 75 of 107 70% 61 of 93 14 of 14 0 of 0 42 of 68 17 of 19 16 of 20
Antonio Trócoli 17 of 39 43% 10 of 28 3 of 7 4 of 4 15 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mantas Kondratavičius 28 of 42 66% 19 of 33 9 of 9 0 of 0 19 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 14 42% 2 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mantas Kondratavičius 39 of 47 82% 35 of 43 4 of 4 0 of 0 16 of 22 7 of 7 16 of 18
Antonio Trócoli 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Mantas Kondratavičius 8 of 18 44% 7 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 14 1 of 2 0 of 2
Antonio Trócoli 6 of 15 40% 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

"I think Mantis is going to run through him here. He's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Mantas Kondratavičius by first-round KO
"Contra Vicious probably knocks this guy out in the first round. He should knock this guy out in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

"I do have Montasis to uh you clip him with something eventually and put him down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"Yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

"Down goes Tracoli and Montas gets his arm raised and a performance of the night bonus."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

"I think he knocks him out in the first round. Maybe chokes him out."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert pick date unknown

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

"It would be crazy to bet an unknown like Mantas, but yeah, it's another one of those fights where you just don't have a whole lot of information."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

Mantas Kondratavičius by KO, round 1
"It should be a round one finish for Mantas in my opinion."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

under 1.5 rounds (-210), Mantas win in round 1 (+115), Mantas win by KO in round 1 (+185)
"Antonio Truckley versus Mantas Contrativicius under one and a half rounds at odds of minus 210."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Round one prop at +115
"I'm going to go with the Lithuanian here to make short work of Antonio Tralli. I'd rather take the round one prop than his money line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

"I think he's going to catch Trolley at some point and put him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Mantas early first or second round finish. I'd say first round finish for Mantas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"So yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
Submission R1 1:09 · UFC 323 · Dec 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:42
Antonio Trócoli 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mansur Abdul-Malik 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1
Antonio Trócoli 3 of 6 50% 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Angelo picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling him a high-level collegiate wrestler with power in his hands. He dismisses Antonio Trócoli as having declined significantly since being with Mackenzie Dern, noting his poor takedowns and cardio. Angelo acknowledges that Abdul-Malik may not be the killer initially thought after a close fight with Cody Brundage, but still believes he will finish Trócoli. He advises against parlaying at -1000 odds.

finish (implied)
"Mansur Abdul-Malik is the pick. It's not worth parlaying at minus 1,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Big Brady is very confident in Mansur Abdul-Malik, calling the fight a 'sanctioned murder'. He criticizes Trócoli's lack of striking, wrestling, and overall fight skill, noting Trócoli is a poker player. He worries Abdul-Malik may be hesitant but expects him to win by first-round knockout if he shows urgency.

Abdul-Malik by first round knockout
"This should be Mansur Abdul-Malik all day. ... I think he does it in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Cody picks Abdul-Malik, noting his wrestling and power. He believes Trócoli is a low-level opponent who has only one win in six years. He expects Abdul-Malik to win by TKO. He also mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a potential play due to Abdul-Malik's lack of urgency in recent fights.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"Mansour Abdul Malik is going to beat him. Uh, not only that, they try to run the fight back in February. Tracoli pulls out."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Connor picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, noting that he is a superb athlete, hyper powerful and fast, and huge for the division. He contrasts Trócoli, who is a hobbyist fighter with poor coordination and no sense of range. Connor believes Abdul-Malik will easily win despite his own technical flaws.

"Mansur Abdul Malik is the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Daniel picks Abdul-Malik, praising his athleticism, power, and wrestling. He expects a finish, though he's unsure of the round due to Abdul-Malik's slow start against Brundage. He dismisses Trócoli's chances, citing his lack of focus and poor fight IQ.

"The minus a thousand favorites is going to get a finish here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Lucrative James notes that Mansur Abdul-Malik is a raw but athletic prospect, while Antonio Trócoli seems more focused on poker than MMA. He expects Abdul-Malik's physicality and ground-and-pound to lead to a finish, likely in the second round. He acknowledges Abdul-Malik's flaws but sees Trócoli as an easy matchup.

"Mansaw I got him to finish him maybe in round two or something."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The host expects Abdul-Malik to dominate Trócoli, running over him within a round and a half. He notes that Abdul-Malik has let fights go longer than necessary but believes he will come dialed in and finish the Brazilian quickly.

finish within 1.5 rounds
"This should be a shellacking courtesy of Abdul Malik, who should be able to run over Trali within a round and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Paul agrees, citing Abdul-Malik's wrestling and physical advantages. He notes that Trócoli is a BJJ black belt but has been submitted quickly in recent fights. He believes Abdul-Malik will win by TKO or submission. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds at plus 175.

Over 1.5 rounds +175
"I think the over one and a half plus 175 is like I think that's a good play."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

The Guru picks Mansur Abdul-Malik to win, but expects a late finish due to Trócoli's size and explosiveness. He notes that Abdul-Malik's previous fights have gone into later rounds, and Trócoli is a low-level opponent. The Guru predicts a late second-round TKO.

late second round TKO
"I'm going to go with Manser Abdomalik to get this one done. Late second round TKO over Antonio Traola."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Zane picks Mansur Abdul-Malik, agreeing that Trócoli is a hobbyist who is uncoordinated and lacks athleticism. He notes that Abdul-Malik is a powerhouse from MMA Masters, and while his technique is flawed, Trócoli is so bad that Abdul-Malik should win easily.

"Easy pick Malik is in fact opened at minus 800 is currently minus 1200."
LOSS vs Tresean Gore
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 1:23 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tresean Gore 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Antonio Trócoli 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tresean Gore 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Antonio Trócoli

Angelo is baffled that Tresean Gore is nearly a 2-to-1 favorite given he hasn't fought in two years and has only six professional fights. He sees Trócoli as bigger, more skilled, more experienced, and better trained. He also notes Trócoli's length and aggressive grappling as key advantages. He has placed a half-unit bet on Trócoli at +145.

half unit bet at +145
"Antonio troli is the pick he's bigger he's more skilled he's more experienced he's better trained he has the hotter girlfriend literally everything I have a half a unit on him at Plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

Big Brady is not high on either fighter but gives Gore the edge due to takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Gore's low volume and overrated power as concerns, but believes Gore's higher ceiling and ability to keep the fight standing will lead to a decision win. He expects the fight to be unexciting.

Gore by decision
"give me Gore here to win this fight probably by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

Cody reluctantly picks Gore, noting both fighters are inactive and unproven. He gives Gore the edge in athleticism and upside, but admits it's a narrative-based pick. Cody expects a messy fight and advises against betting it.

"If you're a smart guy just don't even bet on this crap altogether but if you're chasing an underdog I suppose troli has a chance and if you got a gun to my head and you're telling me to take …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Antonio Trócoli

Connor picks Trócoli hesitantly, noting Gore has been out for two years with injuries and got outstruck by Cody Brundage. He thinks Trócoli will blitz early and if Gore can't handle it, Trócoli wins. Connor acknowledges Trócoli is bad but believes Gore's inactivity and lack of proven ability make Trócoli the pick.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Connor says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

Daniel Vreeland picks Tresean Gore despite concerns about his inactivity and mental toughness. He notes Gore's athletic gifts and finishing ability, while criticizing Antonio Trócoli's lack of development and athletic disadvantage. Vreeland worries Gore might pull a stunt but believes he has more potential and skills.

"I'll go Tre Shawn but you know do I sound confident?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

Gore is favored due to his speed, explosivity, and power. The pick expects him to land big shots on Trócoli and find a knockout within two rounds.

wins inside distance, round 1-2
"I'm going to have to lean with the speed explosivity and power of the Tron gors side to land Big Shots Onre coli and find that knockout within two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

Paul is not confident in either fighter. He notes Trócoli's poor striking defense and Gore's inactivity. He prefers betting on a finish rather than picking a winner, suggesting the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds
"Rather than aide I'm more interested in betting for somebody to get a finish in the first two and or first 12 and a half minutes of this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Tresean Gore

The Guru picks Tresean Gore but is hesitant due to Gore's KO loss to Cody Brundage. He criticizes Antonio Trócoli as 'dog [__]' with no offensive output. He believes Gore can chew up Trócoli's legs and get a TKO, but worries about Gore being outgrappled.

TKO win
"I'm going to go with Tre sha Gore he could be outg grappled here maybe but as long as this fight's on the feet I see Gore chewing up his legs and eventually getting a TKO win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Antonio Trócoli

Zane picks Trócoli, agreeing with Connor. He describes Trócoli as an Instagram model who will sprint at Gore and either wreck him or self-destruct. Zane notes Gore has only six pro fights in a decade and has been injured. He thinks Trócoli's early blitz could overwhelm Gore, but acknowledges Trócoli's limitations.

Odds: Gore -166 to -190, Trócoli +147 to +153. Zane says 'I don't see why anybody would give Gore favorite odds on anything.'
"I'm going to pick the Instagram model. Gore can, if he can dig down and just like ride out that early blitz. Sure. Tricoli has nothing else."
TKO (knee and punches) R3 2:27 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 22, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 82 of 108 75% 108 of 136 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 77 0 of 7 0% 0 0 4:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 19 of 27 70% 39 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 12 of 17 70% 26 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:05
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 0 30 of 40 75% 36 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Antonio Trócoli 0 4 of 11 36% 13 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:37
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 1 33 of 41 80% 33 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Antonio Trócoli 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sharabutdin Magomedov 82 of 108 75% 28 of 52 22 of 24 32 of 32 69 of 94 13 of 14 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 16 of 34 47% 8 of 22 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sharabutdin Magomedov 19 of 27 70% 4 of 12 5 of 5 10 of 10 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 12 of 17 70% 7 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Sharabutdin Magomedov 30 of 40 75% 8 of 18 11 of 11 11 of 11 21 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 4 of 11 36% 1 of 6 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Sharabutdin Magomedov 33 of 41 80% 16 of 22 6 of 8 11 of 11 31 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Antonio Trócoli 0 of 6 0% 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sharabutdin Magomedov vs. Antonio Trocoli
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: N/A

Round 1
The roller coaster ride that brought “Shara Bullet” and “Malvado” to this middleweight matchup has finished, but only one man will get off with his hand raised. In charge of making sure that there are no further unpleasant surprises will be referee Marc Goddard. Magomedov is southpaw, Trocoli orthodox, and Magomedov quickly flicks out a question mark kick that falls just short of Trocoli’s chin. Trocoli wades forward and stings “Bullet” with two punches to the head, then drives him to the fence with dual underhooks. Magomedov defends the takedown with a raised knee and overhook, but Trocoli eventually hoists the leg. Goddard breaks them up, warning Trocoli for grabbing the fence, and returns them to space, away from the fence. Magomedov takes advantage, throwing kicks to the head and lead leg, trying to keep the taller man at bay. Trocoli wades in again, backs Magomedov to the fence, but Magomedov slides out of the pocket rather than be backed into the fence again. Trocoli clinches, drives Magomedov into the cage, and drags him down to one knee. Magomedov posts with one hand, then stands back up, interposing his knee once again to keep Trocoli away from his hips. Trocoli tries to lock his hands, but they are still in that position when the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Trocoli
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Trocoli
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Trocoli

Round 2
Magomedov backs Trocoli up with a spin kick to the chest. Trocoli marches forward with kicks of his own, looking to cut off the cage and back “Bullet” into the fence. Magomedov lands a couple of lightning-quick kicks to the legs. Trocoli shoots a slow takedown from way outside and Magomedov is all over it. A minute and a half in, Trocoli is inching forward, with Magomedov flicking out sporadic kicks as he slides around the outside. Magomedov tags Trocoli with a one-two and a pair of kicks to the lead leg. Trocoli shoves Magomedov to the cage, where Magomedov once again uses a knee and overhook to shield himself. The crowd lets its displeasure be heard, and Goddard warns them to work. Trocoli looks about to haul Magomedov down, but Magomedov saves himself with a blatant fence grab. Goddard warns Magomedov, but does not intervene otherwise, a stark contrast to Trocoli’s fence grab in Round 1. Magomedov goes to work with low kicks again, and keeps it up to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Magomedov

Round 3
The middleweights embrace to open Round 3. Magomedov lands a hook kick to the body, then a low kick. Magomedov with another leg kick. Trocoli is offering nothing back. Magomedov throws a lead hook upstairs that glances. Magomedov goes back to the low kick, then another. Magomedov with a question mark kick that slaps off of Trocoli’s head. Trocoli is standing still as a statue in the center of the cage. Magomedov with a hook kick to the head. Trocoli tries a molasses-slow takedown, bending from the waist.
Magomedov simply steps out of the way, then crushes him with a knee to the chin. Trocoli staggers away, with “Shara Bullet” in pursuit. He pours on the punches and Goddard is there in a flash for the TKO stoppage.

The Official Result
Sharabutdin Magomedov def. Antonio Trocoli R3 2:27 via TKO (Knee and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Angelo picks Shara, noting the opponent change to a grappler on short notice. He believes Shara's striking is far superior and that Trócoli hasn't fought in four years. He references Shara's last fight where he was taken down but stayed active off his back. He expects Shara to knock out Trócoli once the odds settle, likely around -400 to -600.

"I think sha knocks out Antonio troli once these odds drop again"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Big Brady picks Sharabutdin Magomedov, citing his phenomenal striking and the short-notice disadvantage for Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's activity off his back in his debut and expects him to win a decision, possibly with some takedown success for Trócoli but not enough. Brady also mentions the UFC's desire to promote Magomedov as a factor.

"give me sh magov to win this fight and Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Cody picks Magomedov despite red flags, noting his striking volume and aggression. He acknowledges Magomedov's lack of ground game but believes Trócoli, a former lightweight on short notice, won't exploit it. He warns that Magomedov could be the 'apple pie f***er' if Trócoli uses his grappling.

"I'll take Shara but because of the price because of like the line Char seems like a safe play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Daniel Vreeland picks Sharabutdin Magomedov confidently, noting his exceptional kicking game and athleticism. He acknowledges Trócoli's BJJ black belt and submission threat but believes Trócoli will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet. He expects a knockout or dominant decision for Magomedov.

"you got to go with the big favorite here with Shara and um yeah I think he's uh gonna get a second UFC win"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Jacob picks Shara, noting Trócoli is coming off a three-year layoff and has been teaching McKenzie Dern how to box (poorly). He thinks even if Trócoli gets takedowns, Shara is active off his back and will eventually land strikes. He expects Shara to win handily.

"some guy coming off threeyear layoff who's been teaching McKenzie Duren how to box and she can't box her [ __ ] it's probably going to get lit up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

JP calls this 'baby food' and is extremely confident in Magomedov, describing him as a 'straight killer' who will finish Trócoli. He notes Magomedov's one eye but dismisses Trócoli's regional experience. Brevan agrees, calling Magomedov an 'absolute killer' with explosive striking from any position. He expects a KO/TKO and criticizes Trócoli's mediocre skills. Both are fully confident in a Magomedov finish.

Magomedov by KO/TKO
"It's baby food it's not close Shara is the boy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

Paul picks Magomedov, citing size and striking advantage. He notes Trócoli's recent fights at lower weight classes and lack of wrestling to exploit Magomedov's weakness. Paul believes Magomedov will outwork Trócoli on the feet.

"I'll side with Shar Shar Mega medov"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Sharabutdin Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Sharabutdin Magomedov over Antonio Trócoli, calling it a no-brainer. He notes that Trócoli is a short-notice opponent who has been training for kickboxing and boxing, not MMA, and hasn't had an MMA fight since April 2023. He believes Magomedov's striking is dangerous and that he can also take the fight to the ground if needed. He sees Trócoli's only path to victory as a sudden KO, which he thinks is unlikely.

"I'm going to go with Sharon magedov I think this is a no-brainer um the guy is a pretty dangerous Striker to be fair so maybe there is some value an underdog but um I just think it's silly to …"
Expert Picks (13)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Angelo picks Mantis because he is a kickboxer with good power and length, while Antonio Trócoli has lost three in a row by submission and has a history of quitting. He believes Mantis will run through Trócoli, who needs to grapple to win but can't weather the striking. He hopes this doesn't become another Contender Series fade.

"I think Mantis is going to run through him here. He's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Big Brady is very confident in Mantas Kondratavičius (Contra Vicious), calling this a 'sanctioned murder.' He highlights Kondratavičius's devastating power, saying he hits so hard that he felt it through his laptop. He notes that Trócoli is a grappler who has been submitted in back-to-back fights by guillotine, and he doesn't trust Trócoli to get the fight to the ground. He predicts a brutal first-round KO.

Mantas Kondratavičius by first-round KO
"Contra Vicious probably knocks this guy out in the first round. He should knock this guy out in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Cody picks Kondratavičius, citing Trócoli's poor grappling and cardio. He expects a finish.

"I do have Montasis to uh you clip him with something eventually and put him down."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kondratavičius. He emphasizes that Trócoli is not a real fighter and that Kondratavičius's aggression and unpredictability will be too much. Connor notes that Trócoli's tapology photo says it all.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"Yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel picks Mantas to finish Trócoli in round one. He notes Trócoli's lack of interest and poor performances, while Mantas is a talented kickboxer with power. He thinks Trócoli might be dangerous early but will get finished.

"I think he knocks him out in the first round. Maybe chokes him out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Daniel Vreeland picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by knockout. He praises Kondratavičius' kickboxing and power, while dismissing Trócoli's skills as subpar. He expects Kondratavičius to land a straight right and finish the fight.

"Down goes Tracoli and Montas gets his arm raised and a performance of the night bonus."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert pick date unknown
No clear pick

Mantas is an unknown with little footage past the first round. Trocoli is low-level but has grappling. Betting Mantas at -769 is crazy; it's dog or pass.

"It would be crazy to bet an unknown like Mantas, but yeah, it's another one of those fights where you just don't have a whole lot of information."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
No clear pick

Lucrative James is betting on the fight to go under 1.5 rounds, not picking a specific winner. He believes Mantas is an aggressive finisher who forces early stoppages, and he thinks Trócoli is mentally checked out of MMA, focused on poker, and likely to fold early. He is confident in the under 1.5 rounds bet at -210 odds.

under 1.5 rounds (-210), Mantas win in round 1 (+115), Mantas win by KO in round 1 (+185)
"Antonio Truckley versus Mantas Contrativicius under one and a half rounds at odds of minus 210."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

James picks Mantas Kondratavičius, believing Trócoli is more focused on poker than MMA. He thinks Mantas' power and aggression will lead to a first-round knockout. He notes that Trócoli has been finished multiple times and lacks the will to win.

Mantas Kondratavičius by KO, round 1
"It should be a round one finish for Mantas in my opinion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The host is confident in Mantas Kondratavičius winning in round one. He praises Kondratavičius's karate-style striking and finishing ability, while Trócoli is seen as not UFC-level with poor durability. He expects an early finish and prefers the round one prop over the moneyline.

Round one prop at +115
"I'm going to go with the Lithuanian here to make short work of Antonio Tralli. I'd rather take the round one prop than his money line."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Paul thinks Kondratavičius will catch Trócoli with a knockout, as Trócoli is on a losing streak and seems more focused on poker than fighting.

"I think he's going to catch Trolley at some point and put him out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

The MMA Guru picks Mantas Kondratavičius to win by first-round finish. He dismisses Trócoli as a low-level fighter who only got into the UFC due to his relationship with Mackenzie Dern and has done nothing of value. He praises Mantas for destroying opponents on the regional scene and looking dominant in his Contender Series win.

first round finish
"I'm going to go with Mantas early first or second round finish. I'd say first round finish for Mantas."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident pick date unknown
Mantas Kondratavičius

Zane picks Mantas Kondratavičius, describing him as a wild, aggressive fighter who throws jabs with a pivot but lacks self-preservation. However, he notes that Trócoli is an Instagram model who folds under pressure and is not a real fighter. Zane believes Kondratavičius's chaos will overwhelm Trócoli.

Odds comment: Kondratavičius opened -400, now -700; Trócoli opened +300, now +525.
"So yeah, I will take Legionary Mantis, Condra Tovikius."