UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy Next Fight
Age 31
Height 5' 10"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 28
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Mason Jones
5.98 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
3.48 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Axel Sola
4.07 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
5.29 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
2.22 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Mason Jones - Fight History
WIN vs Axel Sola
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mason Jones 0 110 of 236 46% 123 of 251 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 65 of 135 48% 68 of 141 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mason Jones 0 18 of 46 39% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 15 of 32 46% 18 of 38 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:45
2 Mason Jones 0 34 of 73 46% 35 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Mason Jones 0 58 of 117 49% 61 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 28 of 52 53% 28 of 52 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mason Jones 110 of 236 46% 76 of 193 29 of 37 5 of 6 83 of 193 26 of 42 1 of 1
Axel Sola 65 of 135 48% 49 of 116 16 of 19 0 of 0 61 of 125 4 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mason Jones 18 of 46 39% 12 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 16 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
Axel Sola 15 of 32 46% 13 of 28 2 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 28 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Mason Jones 34 of 73 46% 26 of 62 5 of 8 3 of 3 30 of 68 4 of 5 0 of 0
Axel Sola 22 of 51 43% 14 of 42 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mason Jones 58 of 117 49% 38 of 92 20 of 24 0 of 1 37 of 85 20 of 31 1 of 1
Axel Sola 28 of 52 53% 22 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo picks Mason Jones because of his superior wrestling and aggression. He notes Axel Sola is the cleaner striker but Mason is an absolute dog with far better takedowns. He already bet half a unit on Mason at -125 and expects the line to move further.

bet 0.5 units at -125; expects line to move
"I'm picking Mason Jones. I like Mason Jones here. ... I actually bet on him. I threw a half a unit on him at minus 125."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones but is not confident due to Jones's awful fight IQ. He notes that Jones has all the tools (BJJ black belt, judo black belt, good striking) but often refuses to grapple when he has an advantage. He thinks Jones should use his grappling against Axel Sola, who has decent power but poor cardio and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but warns that Jones is hittable and could get rocked.

Mason Jones by decision
"I got to go Jones here. And I'm not in the business of really betting on this guy all too much because some of the fight IQ mistakes this guy makes, it's kind of sickening."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones, citing his well-rounded game and Sola's tendency to fade. He sees Jones winning a competitive decision.

"I'm going to take Mason Jones."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor picks Mason Jones as well, emphasizing that Jones is a full-tilt swarming fighter who can afford to be reckless because his aggression leads into his wrestling. He notes that Sola struggled with McKee's size but that Jones is tougher and more physically resilient. Connor expects an absolute war and a beating if Jones wins.

"I think I'm going to take Jones as well, but it's an interesting fight. It's a good fight. Yeah. Should be fun. Yeah. So it does when it'll be in a really cool fashion. I know that. Yeah. And if …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones, believing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents will overcome Sola's early striking success. He thinks Sola's karate style will falter as Jones walks him down and takes over in later rounds. He acknowledges Sola's power but trusts Jones's durability and cardio.

"I think Mason Jones has the style required to put that pressure on Sola. ... I really do think that if Mason can eat these shots and not be too compromised, stay in this guy's face, start to back him …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Mason Jones to win by breaking Axel Sola in the latter part of the fight. He believes Jones' pressure and pace will overwhelm Sola, who fades after the first few minutes. He expects Jones to take Sola's best shots and then take over.

"I'm picking Mason Jones. I'm betting Mason Jones. I think he comes out here, extends his UFC win streak, and hands the very talented Axel Sola his first octagon defeat."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is consistent, has home advantage, and his relentless pace will wear down Sola. Sola is more technical but fades as the fight goes on. Jones should win by decision or late stoppage. The only risk is a flash KO, but Jones is durable.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Jones likely finishes or gets finished.
"Mason Jones is the only money line bet that I have got uh on this card."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

James picks Mason Jones but is not confident, as he admits he may have underrated Axel Sola. He thinks Jones' UFC experience and will to win will carry him, but Sola's fight IQ and size are concerns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"I'm going to pick Mason Jones anyway for this one. But it's not a strong pick and I want to do more tape study before I actually finalize my prediction. But Mason Jones via decision will be my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host picks Axel Sola by decision but is hesitant. He believes Sola's athleticism, reach, and clean striking will expose Jones's lack of speed and durability. He expects Sola to keep the fight standing and outpoint Jones. However, he admits being a Mason Jones fan and acknowledges Jones's toughness.

"I'm going to go Solola and Solola by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul thinks Jones' wrestling, cardio, and durability will outlast Sola, who has been exposed in the past. He expects Jones to win a decision or late stoppage.

"Mason Jones minus 125. Sure, why not? Doesn't seem like doesn't seem too out of..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones to win by finish in the second or third round. He notes Jones is more well-rounded, physical, and durable, with a judo background and good grappling. He expects Jones to use his durability and cardio advantage, and find a TKO up against the cage with knees and elbows as the fight slows down.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done by third round finish or late second round finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane leans toward Mason Jones because Jones has a simpler, more natural style that he sticks to, while Sola has more potential but is less complete. Zane notes that Sola gave up takedowns under pressure in pre-UFC bouts, and Jones's wrestling and aggression could exploit that. He acknowledges Sola's crafty striking and adjustments against McKee but trusts Jones's bruiser mode.

"I'm leaning Jones. I don't think Jones is necessarily like better than Sola in lots of different metrics, but I think he has a style that it's much simpler and more natural for him to just stick to it."
WIN vs Bolaji Oki
KO R2 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 1 38 of 99 38% 40 of 101 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 57 of 136 41% 67 of 147 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 1 29 of 73 39% 31 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 20 of 57 35% 25 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:16
2 Bolaji Oki 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 37 of 79 46% 42 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 38 of 99 38% 26 of 76 8 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 85 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 57 of 136 41% 52 of 128 2 of 3 3 of 5 23 of 84 2 of 3 32 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 73 39% 21 of 61 6 of 10 2 of 2 25 of 59 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 20 of 57 35% 17 of 51 1 of 2 2 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 10
2 Bolaji Oki 9 of 26 34% 5 of 15 2 of 9 2 of 2 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 79 46% 35 of 77 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 40 0 of 0 26 of 39
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away with the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either of those …"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremy Stephens 0 42 of 108 38% 54 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Mason Jones 0 81 of 231 35% 104 of 261 8 of 12 66% 0 0 6:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremy Stephens 0 21 of 47 44% 24 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 39 of 103 37% 41 of 108 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:43
2 Jeremy Stephens 0 19 of 55 34% 24 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Mason Jones 0 37 of 115 32% 43 of 123 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:45
3 Jeremy Stephens 0 2 of 6 33% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 5 of 13 38% 20 of 30 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremy Stephens 42 of 108 38% 19 of 79 7 of 11 16 of 18 41 of 105 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 81 of 231 35% 50 of 188 19 of 28 12 of 15 74 of 220 5 of 7 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremy Stephens 21 of 47 44% 6 of 28 3 of 6 12 of 13 20 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mason Jones 39 of 103 37% 22 of 80 9 of 13 8 of 10 36 of 100 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jeremy Stephens 19 of 55 34% 12 of 47 4 of 5 3 of 3 19 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 115 32% 25 of 98 9 of 13 3 of 4 35 of 112 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jeremy Stephens 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mason Jones vs. Jeremy Stephens
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jones (-600), Stephens (+440)

Round 1
Stephens enters to massive pop from his hometown crowd, and hopes to give them something to keep cheering about against fellow returnee Jones. Mike Beltran draws his first referee assignment of the evening, and the lightweights go to work in matchin orthodox stances. Stephens is throwing hooks with mean intentions right away, but he scores first with a hard leg kick. Jones is composed, however, moving laterally and tagging “Lil Heathen” with a variety of fast kicks from both sides. Jones goes upstairs and a head kick glances off Stephens’ guard. Jones connects with a body kick, then a spinning back kick to the head. None of them have landed with a ton of impact, but the speed and accuracy are there. Stephens catches Jones with a hard right hand, which leaves a visible swelling under the Welshman’s eye. They clinch, and Stephens fires off a couple of murderous-looking uppercuts that have Jones backing away hastily. Jones steps back in and lands an uppercut of his own. Stephens wades forward, and his punches look to have slowed just a bit. Jones takes Stephens’ back standing, hoists him with a rear waistlock and deposits him on the canvas. Stephens scrambles back up, but Jones elevates him for an easy mat return. Jones stays on Stephens’ back this time, and with under 30 seconds to go he tries a rear-naked choke. It’s wrapped up but not under the chin, and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones

Round 2
Jones and Stephens meet in the center of the cage and flurry with punches. Stephens lands a good one and the crowd erupts. Jones fires back and they clinch. Stephens lands a nice uppercut in close. Jones tags Stephens with a glancing head kick and just slips a right hook coming back his way. Stephens throws another right, and Jones has just barely escaped disaster from that punch several times already in this fight. Jones lands a flying knee, followed by a level elbow, and Stephens is bleeding from the hairline. Stephens throws a salvo of punches, several of which connect, and Jones loses his mouthguard. Jones is bleeding from the face as well. The crowd is deafening as the two men swing away in phone-booth range. Jones lands a spinning back kick to the head, and Stephens steps in to land a clean counter punch. Stephens throws a straight to the body that hurts Jones and has him backing off. Stephens surges forward and takes Jones’ back standing. Jones spins to face his opponent and hauls Stephens to his knees, lands briefly in mount, then jumps on his back as he turns away. Short time left in the round once again, and once again the horn sounds with Jones in back control.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones

Round 3
The Des Moines crowd roars as Stephens and Jones come out for the final frame, and they pop further when Stephens lands a nice right hand in the opening exchange. Jones staves off further punishment—and quiets the arena—by changing levels for an easy takedown against the cage. Jones lands in Stephens’ guard, but Stephens gets back to his feet. Jones drags Stephens back down, spins through north-south, and grabs Stephens’ left arm with a two-on-one, looking to isolate the limb for an armbar. Stephens locks his hands and defends, with Jones kneeling over his head and trying to wrench the arm out. Jones gives up on the armbar and moves to Stephens’ back. Stephens explodes to his feet and Jones drags him back down, to scattered boos from the crowd. Jones laces the legs of the seated Iowan at the base of the fence, and is close to landing in full mount. Stephens gets back to this feet yet again, and Jones yet again responds by "dragon" his man back to the ground. Under a minute left to go and Jones gets back control, then takes mount as Stephens spins around. The final horn sounds with Jones in full mount near the cage and the Des Moines crowd sounding off in discontent.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)

The Official Result
Mason Jones def. Jeremy Stephens via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo expects Mason Jones to pick apart Jeremy Stephens with superior boxing and takedowns. He notes that Stephens is exciting but slower and will likely be taken down multiple times. He does not predict a finish but believes Jones will win a clear decision.

"Mason Jones is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady is very confident in Mason Jones, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Jones's well-rounded skills: BJJ black belt, great striking, volume, power, and toughness. Stephens hasn't fought in MMA since 2022, is 38, and looked bad recently. Brady expects Jones to take Stephens down and finish him quickly, predicting a first-round submission. He notes that if Jones stands and bangs, it gives Stephens a puncher's chance, but still favors Jones.

Round 1 submission
"Give me Jones to win this fight. I'll take him to win it by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Jones's aggression and clinch wrestling will be too much for Stephens. He compares Stephens's decline to his loss to Clay Collard, where aggression wore him down. Connor believes Jones can take Stephens down and keep him there, as Stephens's ground instincts are poor. He calls it a fight that feels like PFL filler but expects Jones to win.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm taking Mason Jones as well. If Clay Collard can beat the shit out of Jeremy Stevens, it was the aggression that really wore him down and that's all Jones does."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is younger and closer to his prime. He will mix up his game to wear down the 39-year-old Stephens and eventually secure a dominant position for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission.

TKO or submission
"I have to lean with the youth and being closer to his prime with Mason Jones as I expect him to mix up the game well enough to really wear down the soontobe 39year-old and then eventually securing a dominant …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones, citing his well-roundedness, wrestling, and granite chin. He believes Jeremy Stephens is too old and has been focusing on BKFC and boxing, so his grappling will be rusty. He predicts Jones will win by TKO on the ground, possibly after using his taekwondo to back Stephens up. He thinks Jones should be a 3-to-1 favorite, not -575.

TKO on the ground, should be 3-to-1 favorite
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done. He may get hit a few times, but I reckon he'll tough it out."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Jones, emphasizing that Stephens has been a lost cause in MMA for years, with declining foot speed and takedown defense. He notes that Jones is an aggressive brawler who pressures well and has never been knocked out. Zane points out that Stephens hasn't knocked anyone out in MMA since 2018 and is susceptible to pressure and wrestling. He believes Jones will swarm Stephens and wear him down.

Odds: Jones -609, Stephens +426. Zane thinks the odds are way too high for Jones, who is not a dominating force.
"I have to pick Mason Jones... Jeremy Stevens hasn't knocked anybody out in MMA since 2018... there's just a lot of ways to fight around Jeremy Stevens."
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 105 40% 78 of 141 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:17
Mason Jones 1 50 of 87 57% 70 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 6:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 55 36% 33 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Mason Jones 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 16 of 33 48% 26 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:49
Mason Jones 1 20 of 25 80% 28 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:56
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 17 41% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Mason Jones 0 9 of 18 50% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 105 40% 16 of 70 23 of 31 4 of 4 21 of 75 21 of 27 1 of 3
Mason Jones 50 of 87 57% 37 of 68 10 of 16 3 of 3 31 of 63 7 of 9 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 20 of 55 36% 6 of 39 10 of 12 4 of 4 13 of 47 7 of 8 0 of 0
Mason Jones 21 of 44 47% 14 of 34 6 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 16 of 33 48% 5 of 17 11 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 18 10 of 13 1 of 2
Mason Jones 20 of 25 80% 16 of 20 3 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 13 1 of 1 9 of 11
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 1
Mason Jones 9 of 18 50% 7 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones to win by third-round submission. He notes Klein has power and head kicks but poor cardio and output. Jones has great cardio, output, and is well-rounded with a black belt in BJJ and judo. He expects Jones to break Klein in the later rounds and submit him.

Jones by submission in round 3
"give me a mason jones to win i'll say mason jones by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, highlighting his wrestling, grappling, cardio, and chin. He notes Klein has cardio issues and doesn't fight well going backwards. Cody thinks Jones will overwhelm Klein with pressure and takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Levi picks Mason Jones, comparing him to a lightweight Marvin Vettori with a great chin and relentless pressure. He believes Jones will break Klein down as the fight goes on, especially since Klein has succumbed to pressure before. Levi notes that Klein is fast early but fades, and as long as Jones doesn't get caught by a high kick, he should win.

"i think that as this fight enters the second and third round the pressure is going to be too much"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is more active, has good striking volume, takedowns, and ground game. He should win everywhere as long as he doesn't get knocked out. Klein relies on his left straight and head kick, but Jones has great cardio and durability. Jones likely finishes later in the fight.

fight doesn't go to decision -180 (mentioned as a possibility)
"Jones will outward Klein and possibly finish him later on in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Mason Jones, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Klein struggles with forward pressure and fights poorly off his back foot. Paul thinks Jones will take Klein down and grind him out. He mentions Jones' good chin and volume. Paul also likes Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru believes Mason Jones will win by late-round TKO. He notes that Klein is good at stalling against the cage and has explosivity on the feet, but he doesn't see Klein finishing Jones, who has a good chin and cardio. As the fight goes on, Jones will pressure Klein against the cage, land body shots and knees, and eventually get a TKO in the third round.

third round TKO
"i'm gonna say that he's gonna get a tko against a cage with body shots with knees to the body knees to the face"
WIN vs David Onama
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mason Jones 0 87 of 157 55% 116 of 191 8 of 14 57% 0 0 9:01
David Onama 0 90 of 153 58% 121 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mason Jones 0 30 of 66 45% 41 of 80 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:34
David Onama 0 30 of 60 50% 41 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Mason Jones 0 33 of 52 63% 45 of 65 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:49
David Onama 0 35 of 59 59% 42 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Mason Jones 0 24 of 39 61% 30 of 46 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:38
David Onama 0 25 of 34 73% 38 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mason Jones 87 of 157 55% 65 of 133 20 of 22 2 of 2 69 of 130 10 of 18 8 of 9
David Onama 90 of 153 58% 80 of 142 8 of 9 2 of 2 70 of 128 19 of 23 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mason Jones 30 of 66 45% 22 of 57 6 of 7 2 of 2 27 of 55 3 of 11 0 of 0
David Onama 30 of 60 50% 24 of 54 5 of 5 1 of 1 22 of 49 7 of 9 1 of 2
2 Mason Jones 33 of 52 63% 23 of 41 10 of 11 0 of 0 29 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1
David Onama 35 of 59 59% 32 of 55 2 of 3 1 of 1 24 of 46 11 of 13 0 of 0
3 Mason Jones 24 of 39 61% 20 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 27 4 of 4 7 of 8
David Onama 25 of 34 73% 24 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 24 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, calling him 'my boy.' He highlights Jones's durability, cardio, and experience against tough competition. Cody notes that Jones has a great chin, good grappling, and pushes a strong pace. He contrasts Jones's proven UFC-level skills with Onama's untested resume, pointing out that Onama has only fought low-level competition and is making a short-notice debut. Cody believes Jones will dominate and potentially finish Onama.

Parlay piece; second line
"i got to go with mason jones he's another one of these guys that i would consider my boy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Lock picks Jones based on superior grappling. He notes Jones is a black belt in judo and jiu-jitsu with good wrestling. He expects Jones to take Onama down and dominate. He likes Jones inside the distance and by submission.

Jones inside the distance -140, Jones by submission +550
"i'm on uh jones uh does he get the finish possibly if he can properly implement that top pressure"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, calling it a pass. He notes that Onama looks decent on tape and that the -500 price is too steep. Paul acknowledges that Onama has a puncher's chance and is from a good camp, but he is not confident enough to bet either side.

"i'm just gonna pass"
LOSS vs Alan Patrick
No Contest (accidental eye poke) R2 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 10 of 32 31% 14 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 46 of 85 54% 57 of 100 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 38 of 71 53% 44 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
2 Alan Patrick 0 3 of 4 75% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 8 of 14 57% 13 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 10 of 32 31% 5 of 25 5 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 46 of 85 54% 32 of 67 13 of 17 1 of 1 11 of 37 9 of 13 26 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 7 of 28 25% 3 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 38 of 71 53% 28 of 58 10 of 13 0 of 0 10 of 32 8 of 12 20 of 27
2 Alan Patrick 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 8 of 14 57% 4 of 9 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady is very confident in Mason Jones, calling him the biggest favorite on the card for a reason. He notes Jones is well-rounded with great striking and a black belt in BJJ, while Patrick is 37, has poor striking defense, and gets wobbled by every shot. He believes Jones will win the striking exchanges by a mile and predicts a knockout, as Patrick's chin is not there.

"i'll take jones by knockout biggest favorite on the card for a reason"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones confidently, noting his durability and improvement. He thinks Jones will stop Patrick's takedowns and win on the feet. Cody sees Jones as one of the safer favorites on the card.

"jones is gonna be top ticket so keep an eye out for that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones to finish the fight, likely by body shot knockout in the second or third round. He notes that Alan Patrick is almost 40, has slowed down, and his athleticism has diminished. Daniel points out that Patrick's takedown defense and get-up game have declined, and he cannot keep up with Jones's pace. He praises Jones's volume, calf kicks, and durability, and believes Jones will overwhelm Patrick and eventually land a fight-ending body shot.

"i'm going to say second or third round body shot knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Patrick is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns, but Jones has good takedown defense and get-up ability. Jones has power and will finish Patrick, likely by TKO.

Jones by KO +100, Jones inside distance -110, under 2.5 rounds -115
"I'd actually like mason jones to win inside the distance here probably even by ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Jones confidently, citing his youth, momentum, and well-rounded skills. He notes Patrick's one-dimensional wrestling and inability to get takedowns against better competition. Paul thinks Jones will stuff takedowns and win on the feet. He sees Jones as a safe parlay piece.

"i don't see a world where alan patrick wins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, believing Alan Patrick is past his prime and lacks cardio. He thinks Jones is younger, hungrier, and better in all areas, with good jiu-jitsu to neutralize Patrick's grappling. He predicts a third-round TKO via knees against the cage after Patrick fades, though he notes risky moments early where Patrick might get a takedown.

TKO round 3, knees against cage
"i think mason jones goes out there gets it done good uh cardio i think you'll win 29-28 i think there's going to be some risky moments in round one i actually might call a third round tko for mason …"
LOSS vs Mike Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 108 of 207 52% 111 of 210 3 of 9 33% 0 0 0:50
Mason Jones 0 117 of 313 37% 132 of 329 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 31 of 58 53% 31 of 58 3 of 5 60% 0 0 0:43
Mason Jones 0 29 of 69 42% 38 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Mike Davis 0 40 of 77 51% 40 of 77 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Mason Jones 0 48 of 125 38% 52 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
3 Mike Davis 0 37 of 72 51% 40 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 40 of 119 33% 42 of 122 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 108 of 207 52% 54 of 131 42 of 61 12 of 15 97 of 189 8 of 14 3 of 4
Mason Jones 117 of 313 37% 83 of 265 18 of 31 16 of 17 104 of 285 11 of 21 2 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 31 of 58 53% 16 of 37 11 of 15 4 of 6 27 of 50 1 of 4 3 of 4
Mason Jones 29 of 69 42% 17 of 53 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 63 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Mike Davis 40 of 77 51% 22 of 50 14 of 22 4 of 5 37 of 74 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 48 of 125 38% 39 of 112 4 of 7 5 of 6 44 of 114 2 of 4 2 of 7
3 Mike Davis 37 of 72 51% 16 of 44 17 of 24 4 of 4 33 of 65 4 of 7 0 of 0
Mason Jones 40 of 119 33% 27 of 100 11 of 17 2 of 2 36 of 108 4 of 11 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady calls this a very close fight and says the line should be closer. He likes both fighters but gives a slight edge to Mike Davis due to better competition. He notes Davis's boxing is very good and he is powerful, while Mason Jones is a black belt in BJJ and a good finisher. He predicts a decision win for Davis, but says Mason Jones at +150 is a value play and he doesn't hate anyone taking a shot on him.

Mason Jones at +150 is value; fight likely goes to decision
"i'm going to go with mike davis i think he's fought the better competition"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Mike Davis's speed, crisp striking, and wrestling background will be too much for Mason Jones, who is stepping up from Cage Warriors. He notes Davis's hand speed and kicks as key advantages, and expects a finish in the second round via KO. He is confident Davis is on a higher level than Jones's previous competition.

"mike davis is just a completely other level than what mason jones has faced in the cage warrior scene"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones as an underdog, believing the odds should be even. He argues Jones has faced better competition, including a first-round TKO of previously undefeated Adam Proctor, and has more pro experience (10-0 vs 8-2). He expects a slugfest where Jones' power, which knocked out welterweights, will be too much for Davis, leading to a first-round TKO. He calls the underdog odds a 'steal'.

first round TKO, underdog
"i'm gonna go with mason jones getting the job done by first round tko against mike davis it should be evens odds he's an underdog that's a steal for me"
Axel Sola - Fight History
LOSS vs Mason Jones
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mason Jones 0 110 of 236 46% 123 of 251 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 65 of 135 48% 68 of 141 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mason Jones 0 18 of 46 39% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 15 of 32 46% 18 of 38 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:45
2 Mason Jones 0 34 of 73 46% 35 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Mason Jones 0 58 of 117 49% 61 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 28 of 52 53% 28 of 52 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mason Jones 110 of 236 46% 76 of 193 29 of 37 5 of 6 83 of 193 26 of 42 1 of 1
Axel Sola 65 of 135 48% 49 of 116 16 of 19 0 of 0 61 of 125 4 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mason Jones 18 of 46 39% 12 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 16 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
Axel Sola 15 of 32 46% 13 of 28 2 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 28 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Mason Jones 34 of 73 46% 26 of 62 5 of 8 3 of 3 30 of 68 4 of 5 0 of 0
Axel Sola 22 of 51 43% 14 of 42 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mason Jones 58 of 117 49% 38 of 92 20 of 24 0 of 1 37 of 85 20 of 31 1 of 1
Axel Sola 28 of 52 53% 22 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo picks Mason Jones because of his superior wrestling and aggression. He notes Axel Sola is the cleaner striker but Mason is an absolute dog with far better takedowns. He already bet half a unit on Mason at -125 and expects the line to move further.

bet 0.5 units at -125; expects line to move
"I'm picking Mason Jones. I like Mason Jones here. ... I actually bet on him. I threw a half a unit on him at minus 125."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones but is not confident due to Jones's awful fight IQ. He notes that Jones has all the tools (BJJ black belt, judo black belt, good striking) but often refuses to grapple when he has an advantage. He thinks Jones should use his grappling against Axel Sola, who has decent power but poor cardio and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but warns that Jones is hittable and could get rocked.

Mason Jones by decision
"I got to go Jones here. And I'm not in the business of really betting on this guy all too much because some of the fight IQ mistakes this guy makes, it's kind of sickening."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones, citing his well-rounded game and Sola's tendency to fade. He sees Jones winning a competitive decision.

"I'm going to take Mason Jones."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor picks Mason Jones as well, emphasizing that Jones is a full-tilt swarming fighter who can afford to be reckless because his aggression leads into his wrestling. He notes that Sola struggled with McKee's size but that Jones is tougher and more physically resilient. Connor expects an absolute war and a beating if Jones wins.

"I think I'm going to take Jones as well, but it's an interesting fight. It's a good fight. Yeah. Should be fun. Yeah. So it does when it'll be in a really cool fashion. I know that. Yeah. And if …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones, believing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents will overcome Sola's early striking success. He thinks Sola's karate style will falter as Jones walks him down and takes over in later rounds. He acknowledges Sola's power but trusts Jones's durability and cardio.

"I think Mason Jones has the style required to put that pressure on Sola. ... I really do think that if Mason can eat these shots and not be too compromised, stay in this guy's face, start to back him …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Mason Jones to win by breaking Axel Sola in the latter part of the fight. He believes Jones' pressure and pace will overwhelm Sola, who fades after the first few minutes. He expects Jones to take Sola's best shots and then take over.

"I'm picking Mason Jones. I'm betting Mason Jones. I think he comes out here, extends his UFC win streak, and hands the very talented Axel Sola his first octagon defeat."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is consistent, has home advantage, and his relentless pace will wear down Sola. Sola is more technical but fades as the fight goes on. Jones should win by decision or late stoppage. The only risk is a flash KO, but Jones is durable.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Jones likely finishes or gets finished.
"Mason Jones is the only money line bet that I have got uh on this card."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

James picks Mason Jones but is not confident, as he admits he may have underrated Axel Sola. He thinks Jones' UFC experience and will to win will carry him, but Sola's fight IQ and size are concerns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"I'm going to pick Mason Jones anyway for this one. But it's not a strong pick and I want to do more tape study before I actually finalize my prediction. But Mason Jones via decision will be my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host picks Axel Sola by decision but is hesitant. He believes Sola's athleticism, reach, and clean striking will expose Jones's lack of speed and durability. He expects Sola to keep the fight standing and outpoint Jones. However, he admits being a Mason Jones fan and acknowledges Jones's toughness.

"I'm going to go Solola and Solola by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul thinks Jones' wrestling, cardio, and durability will outlast Sola, who has been exposed in the past. He expects Jones to win a decision or late stoppage.

"Mason Jones minus 125. Sure, why not? Doesn't seem like doesn't seem too out of..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones to win by finish in the second or third round. He notes Jones is more well-rounded, physical, and durable, with a judo background and good grappling. He expects Jones to use his durability and cardio advantage, and find a TKO up against the cage with knees and elbows as the fight slows down.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done by third round finish or late second round finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane leans toward Mason Jones because Jones has a simpler, more natural style that he sticks to, while Sola has more potential but is less complete. Zane notes that Sola gave up takedowns under pressure in pre-UFC bouts, and Jones's wrestling and aggression could exploit that. He acknowledges Sola's crafty striking and adjustments against McKee but trusts Jones's bruiser mode.

"I'm leaning Jones. I don't think Jones is necessarily like better than Sola in lots of different metrics, but I think he has a style that it's much simpler and more natural for him to just stick to it."
WIN vs Rhys McKee
KO R3 2:02 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rhys McKee 1 45 of 105 42% 52 of 114 1 of 4 25% 0 0 3:05
Axel Sola 0 33 of 135 24% 48 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rhys McKee 0 9 of 25 36% 13 of 29 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:11
Axel Sola 0 6 of 39 15% 15 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rhys McKee 0 18 of 49 36% 19 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
Axel Sola 0 16 of 59 27% 20 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rhys McKee 1 18 of 31 58% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Axel Sola 0 11 of 37 29% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rhys McKee 45 of 105 42% 40 of 94 5 of 11 0 of 0 36 of 94 5 of 7 4 of 4
Axel Sola 33 of 135 24% 27 of 128 6 of 7 0 of 0 23 of 116 10 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rhys McKee 9 of 25 36% 9 of 22 0 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Axel Sola 6 of 39 15% 6 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 35 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rhys McKee 18 of 49 36% 16 of 46 2 of 3 0 of 0 15 of 44 3 of 5 0 of 0
Axel Sola 16 of 59 27% 10 of 53 6 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 50 6 of 9 0 of 0
3 Rhys McKee 18 of 31 58% 15 of 26 3 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 26 1 of 1 4 of 4
Axel Sola 11 of 37 29% 11 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 31 3 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Angelo leans towards Rhys McKee as an underdog, noting his experience against good fighters and his length. He acknowledges Axel Sola's speed and power but questions his level of competition. He also factors in Sola stepping up on short notice and potential octagon jitters. He expects the line to tighten and possibly flip.

"I'm going to lean Reese McKe here and we'll see how good the Jonas Brother is."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Big Brady picks Rhys McKee despite his poor striking defense, citing his toughness and durability. He notes Sola is moving up in weight and is hittable. He believes McKee's size and doggedness will carry him to a decision win, his first decision victory in 21 fights.

McKee by decision
"I'm going to take Reese McKe to win his very first decision. 21 fights for Reese McKe. Zero decision wins. I kind of think that changes here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Axel Sola

Connor picks Sola to keep it interesting, noting that Sola has a fighter's mentality and can be more aggressive when needed. He thinks Sola's physicality is at least as good as Alex Morono, who easily handled McKee. However, he admits that Sola often has a feeling-out period and may let McKee into the fight.

"I'll take Sola just to keep it interesting."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host acknowledges McKee's volume approach but believes Sola has a better jab and overall MMA game. He expects Sola to take the fight to the ground and find opportune moments to control and damage McKee en route to a decision victory.

"I think Solah has a better jab and overall MMA game, which will include him taking this fight to the ground and finding opportune moments to control and damage McKe on route to a decision victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

The Guru picks Rhys McKee, believing Axel Sola's regional fights showed vulnerabilities against crafty veterans. He argues McKee is superior at range and in distance management, and Sola won't be able to impose his ground game. He predicts a 29-28 decision for McKee, with McKee winning rounds one and three or two and three.

"I'm going to go with Reese McKe in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rhys McKee

Zane picks McKee, taking a chance on the veteran. He notes that Sola tends to start slow and get pushed around, and that McKee's momentum-building style could take over if he survives the early rounds. He acknowledges that McKee is physically underwhelming and often loses at the UFC level, but believes Sola may not be aggressive enough to put him away.

"I think I'm going to take the chance on Reese McKee. It seems like a, it shouldn't, you know, I expect Sola will be a favorite and it, Reese McKee struggles at this level are something that I don't ever …"
Expert Picks (12)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo picks Mason Jones because of his superior wrestling and aggression. He notes Axel Sola is the cleaner striker but Mason is an absolute dog with far better takedowns. He already bet half a unit on Mason at -125 and expects the line to move further.

bet 0.5 units at -125; expects line to move
"I'm picking Mason Jones. I like Mason Jones here. ... I actually bet on him. I threw a half a unit on him at minus 125."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones but is not confident due to Jones's awful fight IQ. He notes that Jones has all the tools (BJJ black belt, judo black belt, good striking) but often refuses to grapple when he has an advantage. He thinks Jones should use his grappling against Axel Sola, who has decent power but poor cardio and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but warns that Jones is hittable and could get rocked.

Mason Jones by decision
"I got to go Jones here. And I'm not in the business of really betting on this guy all too much because some of the fight IQ mistakes this guy makes, it's kind of sickening."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones, citing his well-rounded game and Sola's tendency to fade. He sees Jones winning a competitive decision.

"I'm going to take Mason Jones."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor picks Mason Jones as well, emphasizing that Jones is a full-tilt swarming fighter who can afford to be reckless because his aggression leads into his wrestling. He notes that Sola struggled with McKee's size but that Jones is tougher and more physically resilient. Connor expects an absolute war and a beating if Jones wins.

"I think I'm going to take Jones as well, but it's an interesting fight. It's a good fight. Yeah. Should be fun. Yeah. So it does when it'll be in a really cool fashion. I know that. Yeah. And if Jones wins, it'll probably be an absolute beating."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones, believing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents will overcome Sola's early striking success. He thinks Sola's karate style will falter as Jones walks him down and takes over in later rounds. He acknowledges Sola's power but trusts Jones's durability and cardio.

"I think Mason Jones has the style required to put that pressure on Sola. ... I really do think that if Mason can eat these shots and not be too compromised, stay in this guy's face, start to back him up, then you're going to start to see Axel Sola …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Mason Jones to win by breaking Axel Sola in the latter part of the fight. He believes Jones' pressure and pace will overwhelm Sola, who fades after the first few minutes. He expects Jones to take Sola's best shots and then take over.

"I'm picking Mason Jones. I'm betting Mason Jones. I think he comes out here, extends his UFC win streak, and hands the very talented Axel Sola his first octagon defeat."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is consistent, has home advantage, and his relentless pace will wear down Sola. Sola is more technical but fades as the fight goes on. Jones should win by decision or late stoppage. The only risk is a flash KO, but Jones is durable.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Jones likely finishes or gets finished.
"Mason Jones is the only money line bet that I have got uh on this card."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

James picks Mason Jones but is not confident, as he admits he may have underrated Axel Sola. He thinks Jones' UFC experience and will to win will carry him, but Sola's fight IQ and size are concerns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"I'm going to pick Mason Jones anyway for this one. But it's not a strong pick and I want to do more tape study before I actually finalize my prediction. But Mason Jones via decision will be my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host picks Axel Sola by decision but is hesitant. He believes Sola's athleticism, reach, and clean striking will expose Jones's lack of speed and durability. He expects Sola to keep the fight standing and outpoint Jones. However, he admits being a Mason Jones fan and acknowledges Jones's toughness.

"I'm going to go Solola and Solola by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul thinks Jones' wrestling, cardio, and durability will outlast Sola, who has been exposed in the past. He expects Jones to win a decision or late stoppage.

"Mason Jones minus 125. Sure, why not? Doesn't seem like doesn't seem too out of..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones to win by finish in the second or third round. He notes Jones is more well-rounded, physical, and durable, with a judo background and good grappling. He expects Jones to use his durability and cardio advantage, and find a TKO up against the cage with knees and elbows as the fight slows down.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done by third round finish or late second round finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane leans toward Mason Jones because Jones has a simpler, more natural style that he sticks to, while Sola has more potential but is less complete. Zane notes that Sola gave up takedowns under pressure in pre-UFC bouts, and Jones's wrestling and aggression could exploit that. He acknowledges Sola's crafty striking and adjustments against McKee but trusts Jones's bruiser mode.

"I'm leaning Jones. I don't think Jones is necessarily like better than Sola in lots of different metrics, but I think he has a style that it's much simpler and more natural for him to just stick to it."