vs
+270 -145
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Age 26
Height 5' 11"
Reach 75"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 9"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Dom Mar Fan
3.71 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
2.49 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
2.0 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kody Steele
4.44 SLpM
32.0% Str. Acc.
7.17 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.62 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Dom Mar Fan
Moneyline
FanDuel +270
KO/TKO
Unibet +1150
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
BetRivers +285
Kody Steele
Moneyline
Pinnacle -145
KO/TKO
FanDuel +420
Submission
FanDuel +700
Decision
FanDuel +200
Dom Mar Fan - Fight History
LOSS vs Kody Steele
Submission R1 3:56 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele

Round 1
Good evening, or as we say here in Texas, good morning! In the UFC Perth curtain jerker, Road to UFC product Mar Fan (9-2) makes his proper Octagon debut against
Dana White's Contender Series
Season 8 alum Steele (7-1; 0-1 UFC). The third man in the cage is referee Matt Wynne. Both lightweights set up in orthodox and it’s the taller Mar Fan pawing out with a long jab. Steele shoots a double-leg from outside and secures a clean takedown. Mar Fan closes his guard and uses his arms to control Steele’s posture. Ninety seconds in, Steele passes to half guard. He’s throwing short punches and using shoulder pressure to make his foe uncomfortable. Steele tries to pass to mount as Mar Fan looks for a sweep. He does, but Mar Fan times him perfectly and rolls him right over, sweeping to top position. Steele scrambles and they end up in an awkward-looking leglock race position. Under two minutes left in the round and Steele is the only one actually threatening his foe’s leg.
Mar Fan starts to stand out of the position, Steele adjusts his hold to a wild kneebar/heel hook hybrid attack and suddenly Mar Fan taps!
Wynne is there to save him in a flash and Kody Steele has his first UFC win. Impressive stuff from the combat jiu-jitsu star.

The Official Result
Kody Steele def. Dom Mar Fan R1 3:56 via Submission (Heel Hook)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Angelo picks Kody Steele despite his last fight stats looking bad, because he believes Steele's pressure and takedowns will be effective against Dom Mar Fan's weak takedown defense. He notes that Steele can hang in striking and then sneak takedowns. Angelo hopes the odds tighten as he expects public perception to favor Dom based on stats.

Angelo hopes odds tighten; mentions -175 odds.
"Cody's going to be the pick. I hope these odds tighten. I hope people do look at the last fight and the stats and just make some snap judgments and bet the other side."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady picks Kody Steele to win by decision. He notes that Steele has a strong grappling background but tends to strike, which he believes will be an advantage against Dom Mar Fan's grappling-focused style. Brady thinks Steele is the better striker and grappler, and expects him to stuff takedowns and outwork Mar Fan on the feet over three rounds.

Steele by decision
"I like Steel here to win the fight. I'm going to take him to win the fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Cody picks Steele, citing his superior grappling and BJJ black belt. He believes Steele's wrestling and submission skills will be too much for Mar Fan, despite Steele's tendency to brawl.

"I got to go with the best guy with the best skill set who I believe is going to win. And it's Cody Steel."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Connor picks Mar Fan, noting that he is calm and composed, while Steele is a hothead who gets mad and fights stupidly when frustrated. He compares Steele to Cody Garbrandt in his worst aspects. He thinks Mar Fan's technical problem-solving and composure will frustrate Steele and lead to a win.

"Yeah, I feel inclined to take Don Marfan actually. Yeah, I think he's I just think he's real calm and composed and steel is accustomed to the idea of people freaking out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Daniel Vreeland picks Kody Steele to get his first UFC win, believing he is more physical and athletic than Dom Mar Fan. He notes Steele's durability and pace, and thinks Mar Fan is not a significant step up in competition.

"I think Cody Steel gets back on track, gets his first UFC win. I think he probably bullies this guy a little bit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Lucrative James picks Kody Steele to win via knockout. He believes Steele's grappling base and physicality will neutralize Dom Mar Fan's wrestling, and that Steele has a striking advantage. He notes Steele's recent loss to Zhu Rong but expects a bounce-back performance. He plans to review more tape on Steele's grappling.

"I'll take Cody Steel to win this one and I'll take Cody Steel to win this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kody Steele

The host believes Kody Steele is the better grappler with superior wrestling and BJJ, and expects him to outscramble Dom Mar Fan. On the feet, Steele's power, aggressiveness, and pace will cause Fan problems, leading to a knockout victory, likely in the third round. The host notes that Steele's striking is more confident than typical BJJ specialists, but his takedown defense needs work. The host also mentions a prop for round three KO at +400.

Round three KO at +400
"I think Steel is the better grappler. He's a better wrestler, better BJJ specialist. And I think he'll be able to outscramble and showcase a better gas tank than Domar fan as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Paul picks Mar Fan as a dog, citing his resourcefulness and ability to win close fights. He believes Mar Fan's grit and home crowd could lead to a controversial split decision.

"Dogger pass for me. controversial split decision just for just to blow up people's parlays early in the day."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

The MMA Guru picks Kody Steele, citing his grappling prowess and experience in grappling tournaments. He notes that Dom Mar Fan's Road to UFC wins were against lower-level competition and his last performance wasn't impressive. He believes Steele's grappling will be the deciding factor.

"I'm going to go with Cody Steel with his grappling prowess here taking over in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

Zane picks Steele because he believes Steele's physical ceiling is higher and he knows how to fight going forward. He notes that Steele is an underperformer but has the tools to put pressure on Mar Fan. However, he acknowledges Steele's tendency to get frustrated and fight stupid when things don't go his way.

"I'm still gonna pick Cody steel. Just because I do think the physical ceiling is higher and he does know how to fight going forward."
WIN vs Kim Sang-wook
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dom Mar Fan 0 68 of 134 50% 92 of 160 1 of 10 10% 0 0 5:30
Kim Sang-wook 0 99 of 173 57% 135 of 211 1 of 4 25% 0 1 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dom Mar Fan 0 10 of 12 83% 18 of 21 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:14
Kim Sang-wook 0 16 of 19 84% 31 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:25
2 Dom Mar Fan 0 19 of 42 45% 19 of 42 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:02
Kim Sang-wook 0 44 of 68 64% 53 of 78 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:42
3 Dom Mar Fan 0 39 of 80 48% 55 of 97 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:14
Kim Sang-wook 0 39 of 86 45% 51 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dom Mar Fan 68 of 134 50% 37 of 94 29 of 38 2 of 2 50 of 108 18 of 26 0 of 0
Kim Sang-wook 99 of 173 57% 79 of 142 18 of 29 2 of 2 63 of 129 29 of 36 7 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dom Mar Fan 10 of 12 83% 2 of 4 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 10 of 11 0 of 0
Kim Sang-wook 16 of 19 84% 10 of 11 5 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1 15 of 18 0 of 0
2 Dom Mar Fan 19 of 42 45% 12 of 35 5 of 5 2 of 2 18 of 37 1 of 5 0 of 0
Kim Sang-wook 44 of 68 64% 39 of 59 4 of 8 1 of 1 30 of 50 7 of 10 7 of 8
3 Dom Mar Fan 39 of 80 48% 23 of 55 16 of 25 0 of 0 32 of 70 7 of 10 0 of 0
Kim Sang-wook 39 of 86 45% 30 of 72 9 of 14 0 of 0 32 of 78 7 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Angelo picks Dom Mar Fan, stating he is the far better striker, faster, more athletic, and overall better fighter. He notes that Kim Sang-wook is strong and determined but not fast or clean. He warns that if Fan gets dragged to the ground, he will be uncomfortable. He calls the fight razor thin.

"I'm going to pick Fan here because again, I think he's faster. I think he's cleaner. I think he's more athletic."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Big Brady picks the hometown fighter Dom Mar Fan, citing his wrestling and ability to reverse positions. He notes Kim is defensively irresponsible and reckless, and Mar Fan can take advantage. He expects a decision win.

"I'm going take Dom Marfan to win this fight, and I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kim Sang-wook

Cody is picking Kim, believing he has more firepower and better cardio than Dom Mar Fan. He notes that Dom Mar Fan's grappling-heavy style may slow the fight but expects Kim to land a knockout in the later rounds.

"I got the Korean fighter to get the job done likely by knockout and uh yeah, hope for the best."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kim Sang-wook

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Kim. He notes that Kim is a big blanket who will pressure Mar Fan and take him down. Mar Fan's awkward style and susceptibility to pressure should play into Kim's hands.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, he seems like a big blanket. Yep, hard-nosed comes forward throws one stupid ugly punch just to have an excuse to fall into a takedown."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

James picks Fan, believing his tricky grappling will overcome Kim's wrestling. He notes Fan's only losses are to Salkilld, and that Kim will engage in Fan's wheelhouse. James expects a decision win for Fan, possibly with a submission.

"I feel like Fan is a little bit more tricky, a little bit more well-versed, and he's going to come out on top."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Mar Fan is a talented grappler with good submission defense and top control. He has dominated his Road to UFC fights as an underdog. Kim is also a grappler, but Mar Fan has a little extra in the tank and does better in bad positions. The host expects Mar Fan to grind out a decision, possibly with some success for Kim in the third round, but Mar Fan's grappling defense should hold.

Mar Fan by decision
"I like Fan. I like him at minus 170 and I think he ends up grinding this out and winning it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick on the moneyline, instead preferring the over 2.5 rounds. He notes that both are good grapplers and the fight could be close.

Over 2.5 rounds
"I'm more interested in the over two and a half, which is like minus 150."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

The Guru picks Dom Mar Fan, noting his losses are only to Quillan Salkilld, which he considers no shame. He sees Dom as a decent regional prospect with good grappling ability, while Sang-wook Kim has been taken down and held down in fights. He expects a decision win for Dom.

"I'm going to go with Dom Man over Sang Wuk Kim."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kim Sang-wook

Zane picks Kim Sang-wook because he is a bigger, hard-nosed wrestler who will put pressure on Dom Mar Fan and make him uncomfortable. He notes that Mar Fan is a kick-wrestler who is uncomfortable in the pocket and susceptible to pressure. Kim's blanketing style should allow him to control the fight.

Mar Fan opened at -205, now -150; Kim opened at +175, now +130.
"Taking song with Kim as well. He's bigger. He's more of a size bully. It's not a fun or pretty style and it won't go far in the OC, but Don Marfan seems like the kind of guy that makes …"
Kody Steele - Fight History
WIN vs Dom Mar Fan
Submission R1 3:56 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dom Mar Fan 0 1 of 2 50% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Kody Steele 0 1 of 1 100% 19 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dom Mar Fan 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele

Round 1
Good evening, or as we say here in Texas, good morning! In the UFC Perth curtain jerker, Road to UFC product Mar Fan (9-2) makes his proper Octagon debut against
Dana White's Contender Series
Season 8 alum Steele (7-1; 0-1 UFC). The third man in the cage is referee Matt Wynne. Both lightweights set up in orthodox and it’s the taller Mar Fan pawing out with a long jab. Steele shoots a double-leg from outside and secures a clean takedown. Mar Fan closes his guard and uses his arms to control Steele’s posture. Ninety seconds in, Steele passes to half guard. He’s throwing short punches and using shoulder pressure to make his foe uncomfortable. Steele tries to pass to mount as Mar Fan looks for a sweep. He does, but Mar Fan times him perfectly and rolls him right over, sweeping to top position. Steele scrambles and they end up in an awkward-looking leglock race position. Under two minutes left in the round and Steele is the only one actually threatening his foe’s leg.
Mar Fan starts to stand out of the position, Steele adjusts his hold to a wild kneebar/heel hook hybrid attack and suddenly Mar Fan taps!
Wynne is there to save him in a flash and Kody Steele has his first UFC win. Impressive stuff from the combat jiu-jitsu star.

The Official Result
Kody Steele def. Dom Mar Fan R1 3:56 via Submission (Heel Hook)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Angelo picks Kody Steele despite his last fight stats looking bad, because he believes Steele's pressure and takedowns will be effective against Dom Mar Fan's weak takedown defense. He notes that Steele can hang in striking and then sneak takedowns. Angelo hopes the odds tighten as he expects public perception to favor Dom based on stats.

Angelo hopes odds tighten; mentions -175 odds.
"Cody's going to be the pick. I hope these odds tighten. I hope people do look at the last fight and the stats and just make some snap judgments and bet the other side."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady picks Kody Steele to win by decision. He notes that Steele has a strong grappling background but tends to strike, which he believes will be an advantage against Dom Mar Fan's grappling-focused style. Brady thinks Steele is the better striker and grappler, and expects him to stuff takedowns and outwork Mar Fan on the feet over three rounds.

Steele by decision
"I like Steel here to win the fight. I'm going to take him to win the fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Cody picks Steele, citing his superior grappling and BJJ black belt. He believes Steele's wrestling and submission skills will be too much for Mar Fan, despite Steele's tendency to brawl.

"I got to go with the best guy with the best skill set who I believe is going to win. And it's Cody Steel."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Connor picks Mar Fan, noting that he is calm and composed, while Steele is a hothead who gets mad and fights stupidly when frustrated. He compares Steele to Cody Garbrandt in his worst aspects. He thinks Mar Fan's technical problem-solving and composure will frustrate Steele and lead to a win.

"Yeah, I feel inclined to take Don Marfan actually. Yeah, I think he's I just think he's real calm and composed and steel is accustomed to the idea of people freaking out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Daniel Vreeland picks Kody Steele to get his first UFC win, believing he is more physical and athletic than Dom Mar Fan. He notes Steele's durability and pace, and thinks Mar Fan is not a significant step up in competition.

"I think Cody Steel gets back on track, gets his first UFC win. I think he probably bullies this guy a little bit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Lucrative James picks Kody Steele to win via knockout. He believes Steele's grappling base and physicality will neutralize Dom Mar Fan's wrestling, and that Steele has a striking advantage. He notes Steele's recent loss to Zhu Rong but expects a bounce-back performance. He plans to review more tape on Steele's grappling.

"I'll take Cody Steel to win this one and I'll take Cody Steel to win this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kody Steele

The host believes Kody Steele is the better grappler with superior wrestling and BJJ, and expects him to outscramble Dom Mar Fan. On the feet, Steele's power, aggressiveness, and pace will cause Fan problems, leading to a knockout victory, likely in the third round. The host notes that Steele's striking is more confident than typical BJJ specialists, but his takedown defense needs work. The host also mentions a prop for round three KO at +400.

Round three KO at +400
"I think Steel is the better grappler. He's a better wrestler, better BJJ specialist. And I think he'll be able to outscramble and showcase a better gas tank than Domar fan as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Paul picks Mar Fan as a dog, citing his resourcefulness and ability to win close fights. He believes Mar Fan's grit and home crowd could lead to a controversial split decision.

"Dogger pass for me. controversial split decision just for just to blow up people's parlays early in the day."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

The MMA Guru picks Kody Steele, citing his grappling prowess and experience in grappling tournaments. He notes that Dom Mar Fan's Road to UFC wins were against lower-level competition and his last performance wasn't impressive. He believes Steele's grappling will be the deciding factor.

"I'm going to go with Cody Steel with his grappling prowess here taking over in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

Zane picks Steele because he believes Steele's physical ceiling is higher and he knows how to fight going forward. He notes that Steele is an underperformer but has the tools to put pressure on Mar Fan. However, he acknowledges Steele's tendency to get frustrated and fight stupid when things don't go his way.

"I'm still gonna pick Cody steel. Just because I do think the physical ceiling is higher and he does know how to fight going forward."
LOSS vs Rong Zhu
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rong Zhu 1 125 of 241 51% 126 of 243 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:18
Kody Steele 0 59 of 209 28% 59 of 209 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rong Zhu 0 33 of 75 44% 34 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
Kody Steele 0 27 of 86 31% 27 of 86 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:06
2 Rong Zhu 1 32 of 64 50% 32 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Kody Steele 0 9 of 36 25% 9 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Rong Zhu 0 60 of 102 58% 60 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kody Steele 0 23 of 87 26% 23 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rong Zhu 125 of 241 51% 108 of 220 4 of 8 13 of 13 125 of 241 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 59 of 209 28% 47 of 194 10 of 11 2 of 4 58 of 205 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rong Zhu 33 of 75 44% 27 of 69 2 of 2 4 of 4 33 of 75 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 27 of 86 31% 21 of 79 4 of 4 2 of 3 26 of 82 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Rong Zhu 32 of 64 50% 28 of 59 1 of 2 3 of 3 32 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 9 of 36 25% 8 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 1 9 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Rong Zhu 60 of 102 58% 53 of 92 1 of 4 6 of 6 60 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kody Steele 23 of 87 26% 18 of 82 5 of 5 0 of 0 23 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady is a fan of Kody Steele, noting his BJJ black belt and improved striking. He believes Steele has a massive grappling advantage over Rong Zhu, who has been submitted four times. However, he worries that Steele might fall in love with his hands and stand and bang, which could give Rong a chance. Brady predicts a second-round submission if Steele mixes in takedowns.

"I like Cody steel here um rangu could be live early on especially if they stand in bang a little bit but especially as this fight goes on whether steel grapples or not as this fight goes on I like …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Feb 4, 2025 (5 days before fight)

Daniel Levi discusses Kody Steele's UFC debut, noting his impressive Contender Series performance and Dana White's praise. He mentions Steele's opponent Rong Zhu, who has been in the UFC before. He does not pick a winner, only advising viewers to pay attention to Steele.

"Definitely pay attention to this kid cody Steel because he looked very promising in his Regional and Dana White's Contender series footage"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Rong Zhu's experience and striking advantage are expected to overcome Steele's undefeated record. Steele will struggle to get the fight to the ground due to Rong Zhu's improved defensive grappling. The pick is for Rong Zhu to win by decision.

decision
"I do believe the experience and striking advantage of rangu will allow him to overcome The Undefeated record of Cody steel"
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Angelo picks Kody Steele despite his last fight stats looking bad, because he believes Steele's pressure and takedowns will be effective against Dom Mar Fan's weak takedown defense. He notes that Steele can hang in striking and then sneak takedowns. Angelo hopes the odds tighten as he expects public perception to favor Dom based on stats.

Angelo hopes odds tighten; mentions -175 odds.
"Cody's going to be the pick. I hope these odds tighten. I hope people do look at the last fight and the stats and just make some snap judgments and bet the other side."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Big Brady picks Kody Steele to win by decision. He notes that Steele has a strong grappling background but tends to strike, which he believes will be an advantage against Dom Mar Fan's grappling-focused style. Brady thinks Steele is the better striker and grappler, and expects him to stuff takedowns and outwork Mar Fan on the feet over three rounds.

Steele by decision
"I like Steel here to win the fight. I'm going to take him to win the fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Cody picks Steele, citing his superior grappling and BJJ black belt. He believes Steele's wrestling and submission skills will be too much for Mar Fan, despite Steele's tendency to brawl.

"I got to go with the best guy with the best skill set who I believe is going to win. And it's Cody Steel."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Connor picks Mar Fan, noting that he is calm and composed, while Steele is a hothead who gets mad and fights stupidly when frustrated. He compares Steele to Cody Garbrandt in his worst aspects. He thinks Mar Fan's technical problem-solving and composure will frustrate Steele and lead to a win.

"Yeah, I feel inclined to take Don Marfan actually. Yeah, I think he's I just think he's real calm and composed and steel is accustomed to the idea of people freaking out."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Daniel Vreeland picks Kody Steele to get his first UFC win, believing he is more physical and athletic than Dom Mar Fan. He notes Steele's durability and pace, and thinks Mar Fan is not a significant step up in competition.

"I think Cody Steel gets back on track, gets his first UFC win. I think he probably bullies this guy a little bit."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Kody Steele

Lucrative James picks Kody Steele to win via knockout. He believes Steele's grappling base and physicality will neutralize Dom Mar Fan's wrestling, and that Steele has a striking advantage. He notes Steele's recent loss to Zhu Rong but expects a bounce-back performance. He plans to review more tape on Steele's grappling.

"I'll take Cody Steel to win this one and I'll take Cody Steel to win this one via knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kody Steele

The host believes Kody Steele is the better grappler with superior wrestling and BJJ, and expects him to outscramble Dom Mar Fan. On the feet, Steele's power, aggressiveness, and pace will cause Fan problems, leading to a knockout victory, likely in the third round. The host notes that Steele's striking is more confident than typical BJJ specialists, but his takedown defense needs work. The host also mentions a prop for round three KO at +400.

Round three KO at +400
"I think Steel is the better grappler. He's a better wrestler, better BJJ specialist. And I think he'll be able to outscramble and showcase a better gas tank than Domar fan as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dom Mar Fan

Paul picks Mar Fan as a dog, citing his resourcefulness and ability to win close fights. He believes Mar Fan's grit and home crowd could lead to a controversial split decision.

"Dogger pass for me. controversial split decision just for just to blow up people's parlays early in the day."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

The MMA Guru picks Kody Steele, citing his grappling prowess and experience in grappling tournaments. He notes that Dom Mar Fan's Road to UFC wins were against lower-level competition and his last performance wasn't impressive. He believes Steele's grappling will be the deciding factor.

"I'm going to go with Cody Steel with his grappling prowess here taking over in this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Kody Steele

Zane picks Steele because he believes Steele's physical ceiling is higher and he knows how to fight going forward. He notes that Steele is an underperformer but has the tools to put pressure on Mar Fan. However, he acknowledges Steele's tendency to get frustrated and fight stupid when things don't go his way.

"I'm still gonna pick Cody steel. Just because I do think the physical ceiling is higher and he does know how to fight going forward."