vs
-625 +530
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026 · Featherweight · Completed
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Age 24
Height 5' 8"
Reach 72"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 25
Height 6' 0"
Reach 71"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Marwan Rahiki
7.73 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
6.33 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ollie Schmid
0.0 SLpM
0.0% Str. Acc.
0.0 SApM
0.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Marwan Rahiki
Moneyline
Caesars -625
KO/TKO
FanDuel -160
Submission
BetRivers +400
Decision
BetRivers +750
Ollie Schmid
Moneyline
FanDuel +530
KO/TKO
BetWay +900
Submission
BetWay +2200
Decision
BetRivers +1900
Marwan Rahiki - Fight History
WIN vs Ollie Schmid
TKO R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marwan Rahiki 1 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Ollie Schmid 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marwan Rahiki 1 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Ollie Schmid 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marwan Rahiki 22 of 40 55% 14 of 25 2 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 36 0 of 0 3 of 4
Ollie Schmid 9 of 30 30% 0 of 15 3 of 6 6 of 9 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marwan Rahiki 22 of 40 55% 14 of 25 2 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 36 0 of 0 3 of 4
Ollie Schmid 9 of 30 30% 0 of 15 3 of 6 6 of 9 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marwan Rahiki vs. Oliver Schmid

Round 1
“Freaky” Rahiki (8-0; 1-0 UFC) had been scheduled to face native star Jack Jenkins at UFC Perth, but instead gets debuting City Kickboxing prospect Schmid (4-2). The referee assignment for this featherweight clash falls to Mike Beltran. Both strikers are in orthodox stance to start things off and it’s Schmid coming forward, throwing out one-twos and a low kick. Rahiki gives ground, lets the initial attacks fall short, and meets a Schmid advance with a spinning kick to the midsection. Schmid wears it and keeps coming forward, landing a long jab to the body and another low kick. Rahiki is calmly slipping and parrying most of Schmid’s offense through two minutes, but not throwing back much of his own. Rahiki flicks out a lightning-fast front kick to the gut. Rahiki answers a Schmid punch combination with a clean counter left. Schmid comes forward with another flurry of punches, and
Rahiki again slips them and returns fire with a scooping left hand that drops Schmid in his tracks. Rahiki pounces and lays down hammerfists until Beltran arrives to save the debutant.
Impressive work by Marwan Rahiki.

The Official Result
Marwan Rahiki def. Oliver Schmid R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Big Brady picks Marwan Rahiki to win by first-round knockout. He dismisses Ollie Schmid's skills, noting that Schmid was finished by Demsey Gillies, which caps his ceiling. Brady expects Rahiki to be a massive favorite and predicts an early finish.

Rahiki by KO, round 1
"Marwan Khadzhiev by first-round knockout for me."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Cody picks Rahiki, noting his relentless cardio and striking volume. He believes Rahiki will overwhelm Schmid, who is a short-notice replacement with limited experience.

"Rahiki looks like a good prospect who's got infinite amount of cardio and very very volatile striking offense... I think he runs right through Ollie Schmidt."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Marwan Rahiki to win by exciting finish. He praises Rahiki's exciting style and believes he will overcome Ollie Schmid, who is a late replacement. He notes that Rahiki leaves openings but expects him to extend his win streak.

"I think that Marlon Rahiki is gonna extend the win streak. I think he's gonna get a very exciting finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Paul picks Rahiki, agreeing that he is a massive favorite. He notes Rahiki's cardio and pressure, and believes he will finish Schmid early.

"Rahiki... he's going to be a massive favorite. What do we do with this fight? There's nothing you can do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

The MMA Guru picks Marwan Rahiki, noting he is a -800 favorite. He praises Rahiki's recovery and action-fighting style, while criticizing Ollie Schmid's record and short-notice replacement. He believes Rahiki will find a home for his strikes.

"Um minus 800 for Marouan Rahoui. I've been a fan of Rahoui."
KO R2 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marwan Rahiki 0 90 of 164 54% 93 of 171 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
Harry Hardwick 0 65 of 149 43% 76 of 164 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marwan Rahiki 0 44 of 83 53% 44 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Harry Hardwick 0 40 of 94 42% 44 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
2 Marwan Rahiki 0 46 of 81 56% 49 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:35
Harry Hardwick 0 25 of 55 45% 32 of 62 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marwan Rahiki 90 of 164 54% 60 of 126 18 of 25 12 of 13 88 of 160 2 of 4 0 of 0
Harry Hardwick 65 of 149 43% 39 of 117 11 of 13 15 of 19 65 of 148 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marwan Rahiki 44 of 83 53% 26 of 59 7 of 12 11 of 12 44 of 83 0 of 0 0 of 0
Harry Hardwick 40 of 94 42% 23 of 74 7 of 8 10 of 12 40 of 93 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Marwan Rahiki 46 of 81 56% 34 of 67 11 of 13 1 of 1 44 of 77 2 of 4 0 of 0
Harry Hardwick 25 of 55 45% 16 of 43 4 of 5 5 of 7 25 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rahiki (-270); Hardwick (+220)

Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. Rahiki has a kick checked. A straight right lands for Rahiki. Hardwick catches a kick and nimbly jumps on his foe’s back, locking in a body triangle as Rahiki carries him. Rahiki shrugs his foe off and they’re back to standing. Rahiki with a front kick, Hardiwck lands a crisp right. Hardwick lands a few nice straight shots before Rahiki lands a body kick. A right snaps Rahiki’s head back. Rahiki follows a front kick with a leg kick. Rahiki wings a hook. Hardwick angles off and lands a right hook. Rahiki targets the legs with a pair of low kicks. Knee stomps from Rahiki. Hardwick eats a jab. A low kick makes Rahiki stujble. Hardwick jabs the body, catches a kick and follows Rahiki to the fence. A stiff jab lands for Rahiki. Hardwick makes Rahiki stubmle with a kick. Rahiki goes on the offensive, winging powerful hooks and tagging Hardwick. The Brit is in the fight, and he fires back in the pocket. Now Hardwick is moving forward. They trade low kicks. Rahiki blocks a head kick and wings more power hooks Hardwick’s way. Rahiki ends the round with a spinning back kick to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki

Round 2
Rahiki blocks a body kick. A left by Hardwick backs up Rahiki. Rahiki knows Hardwick off balance with a clean head kick. Rahiki stalks him and tees off witha barrage of punches near the fence. hardwick answers, moving forward and landing combinations of his own. Hardwick lands some straight pucnhes, but Rahiki wobbles hardwick with hooks. Rahiki unloads with a flurry against the fence, and it seems like the fence was holding up Hardwick. Hardwick punches his way back to the center of the Octagon. Hardwick clinches, but Rahiki gets space and again lands heavy shots near the fence. Hardwick is bleeding from the mouth now. Rahiki flicks out a stiff jab. Hardwick has a head kick block, and Rahiki lands a spinning back kick to the body. Hardwick lands a takedown, but Rahiki reverses into top position. Hardwick recovers fulll guard and locks in a body triangle, giving himself a breather after some furious action. Not a lot of action on the ground here, as Hardwick is neutralizing Rahiki. Rahiki stands and immediately fires a head kick as Hardwick stands. Both fighters misfire on some kicks before the horn. While it appeared the fight would go to a third round, Hardwick reveals to his corner that he has a broken jaw. As a result, the bout is waved off after two rounds. Rahiki will win his UFC debut.

The Official Result
Marwan Rahiki def. Harry Hardwick via TKO (Jaw Injury) R2 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Angelo picks Marwan Rahiki but with low confidence. He likes Marwan's aggression, creativity, and volume, and thinks he will get in Harry's face and land clean. He notes that Harry Hardwick had a poor UFC debut but attributes it to short notice and a bad stylistic matchup. He is not ready to parlay Marwan yet.

"Marwan's going to be the pick, but it's a low confidence pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Big Brady picks Marwan Rahiki to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Rahiki's defensive flaws but believes Hardwick's poor striking defense and tendency to eat punches will be exploited. He notes Hardwick's chin may not hold up against Rahiki's power, and expects Rahiki to land big shots.

"I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Harry Hardwick

Cody picks Hardwick as a dog, citing his experience, heart, and superior ground game. He notes Rahiki's defensive flaws and susceptibility to being hit. He thinks Hardwick can take him down and submit him or win a decision.

"Hardwick as an underdog. You got to have some underdogs on this card."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Connor picks Rahiki, agreeing that Hardwick is not on the same physical tier. He notes Rahiki's toughness and ability to keep attacking even after getting hurt, while Hardwick lacks the tactical depth to overcome the athletic gap.

Odds: Hardwick opened at +170, currently +235; Rahiki opened at -200, currently -275.
"How do I not pick that dude to beat Harry Hardwick?"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

James picks Marwan Rahiki to win, predicting a first-round stoppage. He acknowledges Rahiki's poor defense and tendency to get dropped but believes his athleticism, power, and dynamic striking will overwhelm Hardwick, who was finished by calf kicks in his debut. He notes Hardwick's durability and cardio but thinks Rahiki's early firepower will be decisive. He is torn and mentions Hardwick's submission as a possible prop.

Harry Hardwick submission
"I will actually go with a with a stoppage. I'll go with a first round stoppage for Rahiki is my official prediction."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

The host picks Rahiki to win inside the distance, believing he is the better all-around fighter with slick striking and superior jiu-jitsu. He expects Rahiki to avoid Hardwick's pressure and volume, and potentially replicate Fernandez's leg kick strategy. He notes that Hardwick's durability and cardio could make it competitive, but Rahiki's finishing ability should prevail.

Rahiki inside the distance
"I think Rhiki wins. I think he wins inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Harry Hardwick

Paul picks Hardwick, noting his experience and ability to make it close. He thinks Hardwick's heart and durability will be key. He expects a competitive fight and Hardwick to cover the spread.

"I plug my nose and take take that you know that that one of the guys who was like a standout guy on the British regional scene just has a few too many tricks seen too many looks and at …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Harry Hardwick

The Guru picks Harry Hardwick as a plus-200 underdog, believing he is better at featherweight and that Rahiki struggled against lesser competition. He notes Hardwick's tough chin, building striking, and nasty back takes. He predicts a submission win, possibly a rear naked choke in the second or third round.

Odds: +200 underdog; Prediction: submission (rear naked choke)
"I'm going to go with Harry Hardwicke here... second round finish. I'm going to say rear naked choke."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Zane picks Rahiki, citing the athletic gap. Hardwick is a quadruple A fighter who couldn't scare Fernandez, while Rahiki is on another physical level and tough. He notes Rahiki's defensive liabilities but believes his speed and power will overwhelm Hardwick.

Odds: Hardwick opened at +170, currently +235; Rahiki opened at -200, currently -275.
"You got to pick Rahiki."
Ollie Schmid - Fight History
LOSS vs Marwan Rahiki
TKO R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · May 02, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marwan Rahiki 1 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Ollie Schmid 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marwan Rahiki 1 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Ollie Schmid 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marwan Rahiki 22 of 40 55% 14 of 25 2 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 36 0 of 0 3 of 4
Ollie Schmid 9 of 30 30% 0 of 15 3 of 6 6 of 9 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marwan Rahiki 22 of 40 55% 14 of 25 2 of 7 6 of 8 19 of 36 0 of 0 3 of 4
Ollie Schmid 9 of 30 30% 0 of 15 3 of 6 6 of 9 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Marwan Rahiki vs. Oliver Schmid

Round 1
“Freaky” Rahiki (8-0; 1-0 UFC) had been scheduled to face native star Jack Jenkins at UFC Perth, but instead gets debuting City Kickboxing prospect Schmid (4-2). The referee assignment for this featherweight clash falls to Mike Beltran. Both strikers are in orthodox stance to start things off and it’s Schmid coming forward, throwing out one-twos and a low kick. Rahiki gives ground, lets the initial attacks fall short, and meets a Schmid advance with a spinning kick to the midsection. Schmid wears it and keeps coming forward, landing a long jab to the body and another low kick. Rahiki is calmly slipping and parrying most of Schmid’s offense through two minutes, but not throwing back much of his own. Rahiki flicks out a lightning-fast front kick to the gut. Rahiki answers a Schmid punch combination with a clean counter left. Schmid comes forward with another flurry of punches, and
Rahiki again slips them and returns fire with a scooping left hand that drops Schmid in his tracks. Rahiki pounces and lays down hammerfists until Beltran arrives to save the debutant.
Impressive work by Marwan Rahiki.

The Official Result
Marwan Rahiki def. Oliver Schmid R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Big Brady picks Marwan Rahiki to win by first-round knockout. He dismisses Ollie Schmid's skills, noting that Schmid was finished by Demsey Gillies, which caps his ceiling. Brady expects Rahiki to be a massive favorite and predicts an early finish.

Rahiki by KO, round 1
"Marwan Khadzhiev by first-round knockout for me."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Cody picks Rahiki, noting his relentless cardio and striking volume. He believes Rahiki will overwhelm Schmid, who is a short-notice replacement with limited experience.

"Rahiki looks like a good prospect who's got infinite amount of cardio and very very volatile striking offense... I think he runs right through Ollie Schmidt."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Marwan Rahiki to win by exciting finish. He praises Rahiki's exciting style and believes he will overcome Ollie Schmid, who is a late replacement. He notes that Rahiki leaves openings but expects him to extend his win streak.

"I think that Marlon Rahiki is gonna extend the win streak. I think he's gonna get a very exciting finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Paul picks Rahiki, agreeing that he is a massive favorite. He notes Rahiki's cardio and pressure, and believes he will finish Schmid early.

"Rahiki... he's going to be a massive favorite. What do we do with this fight? There's nothing you can do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

The MMA Guru picks Marwan Rahiki, noting he is a -800 favorite. He praises Rahiki's recovery and action-fighting style, while criticizing Ollie Schmid's record and short-notice replacement. He believes Rahiki will find a home for his strikes.

"Um minus 800 for Marouan Rahoui. I've been a fan of Rahoui."
Expert Picks (5)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Big Brady picks Marwan Rahiki to win by first-round knockout. He dismisses Ollie Schmid's skills, noting that Schmid was finished by Demsey Gillies, which caps his ceiling. Brady expects Rahiki to be a massive favorite and predicts an early finish.

Rahiki by KO, round 1
"Marwan Khadzhiev by first-round knockout for me."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Cody picks Rahiki, noting his relentless cardio and striking volume. He believes Rahiki will overwhelm Schmid, who is a short-notice replacement with limited experience.

"Rahiki looks like a good prospect who's got infinite amount of cardio and very very volatile striking offense... I think he runs right through Ollie Schmidt."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Marwan Rahiki to win by exciting finish. He praises Rahiki's exciting style and believes he will overcome Ollie Schmid, who is a late replacement. He notes that Rahiki leaves openings but expects him to extend his win streak.

"I think that Marlon Rahiki is gonna extend the win streak. I think he's gonna get a very exciting finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

Paul picks Rahiki, agreeing that he is a massive favorite. He notes Rahiki's cardio and pressure, and believes he will finish Schmid early.

"Rahiki... he's going to be a massive favorite. What do we do with this fight? There's nothing you can do."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marwan Rahiki

The MMA Guru picks Marwan Rahiki, noting he is a -800 favorite. He praises Rahiki's recovery and action-fighting style, while criticizing Ollie Schmid's record and short-notice replacement. He believes Rahiki will find a home for his strikes.

"Um minus 800 for Marouan Rahoui. I've been a fan of Rahoui."