vs
-140 +135
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 2"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Kevin Jousset
6.61 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
6.49 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.69 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Song Kenan
4.49 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
5.82 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.42 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Kevin Jousset
Moneyline
Caesars -140
KO/TKO
FanDuel +260
Submission
BetRivers +800
Decision
BetWay +275
Song Kenan
Moneyline
BetMGM +135
KO/TKO
BetRivers +390
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetRivers +410
Kevin Jousset - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 312: du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · Feb 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Micallef 1 85 of 192 44% 89 of 197 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Kevin Jousset 0 67 of 168 39% 71 of 173 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Micallef 1 25 of 49 51% 29 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Kevin Jousset 0 16 of 39 41% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jonathan Micallef 0 30 of 69 43% 30 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 25 of 60 41% 25 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jonathan Micallef 0 30 of 74 40% 30 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 26 of 69 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Micallef 85 of 192 44% 52 of 151 28 of 34 5 of 7 83 of 190 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 67 of 168 39% 32 of 112 17 of 34 18 of 22 66 of 166 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Micallef 25 of 49 51% 9 of 29 13 of 16 3 of 4 24 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 16 of 39 41% 6 of 20 2 of 9 8 of 10 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Micallef 30 of 69 43% 22 of 59 7 of 8 1 of 2 30 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 25 of 60 41% 10 of 39 7 of 12 8 of 9 25 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jonathan Micallef 30 of 74 40% 21 of 63 8 of 10 1 of 1 29 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 26 of 69 37% 16 of 53 8 of 13 2 of 3 25 of 67 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kevin Jousset vs. Jonathan Micallef
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jousset (-258), Micallef (+210)

Round 1
Moving right along, Australia hopes to keep its momentum going against a regional rival in New Zealand. Micallef (7-1, 0-0 UFC) springboarded into the organization thanks to a stellar showing on the Contender Series, while Jousset (10-3, 2-1 UFC) made his way here by winning on the same fight card—Hex Fight Series 26 in 2023—as his opponent did. Having swam in the same circles early on, they will come to blows in the former’s promotional debut. For the second fight of the night, referee Rich Mitchell draws the charge, clocking the welterweights in as they bump fists. The fighters immediately start out whipping kicks at one another, with Micallef starting first and eating one right back. Micallef steps in with a left hand, and he follows it by bashing Jousset in the ribs with his shin. Micallef circles and goes high with a kick, stumbling and drawing back to his feet before Jousset can get to him. Jousset picks his shots with kicks to varied targets, while Micallef is chambering and launching heavier blows. Jousset digs a kick under the guard, and he backs off but still eats a leg kick before getting away. Jousset jabs a kick forward, absorbs a body kick and follows with an overhand right. Micallef sneaks a leg over the top and connects to the body again with a kick, and he briefly thinks about clinching but backs off to reset instead. Micallef walks into a sharp jab, and a few more from the City Kickboxing fighter produce some swelling under Micallef’s right eye. They go after one another to the ribs with additional kicks, putting a lot into them as they smack into one another with heavy impact. Micallef gets one in low and it slides up to bump the cup, but Jousset waves him off to keep kicking. Jousset chips away from his preferred distance, and Micallef bears down on him to get tied up in a clinch. A few sharp uppercuts and an elbow force the break for “Air Jousset,” who then backs away to measure his target with accurate kicks. Micallef kicks low and then whips one up high that beans Jousset in the temple. Jousset goes down in a heap, but he is still with it and shakes out the cobwebs before Micallef can finish the job. Jousset climbs up to dodge another sweeping head kick, motioning that the blow was extremely close to landing. Jousset walks through a few more body kicks, but they are having an impact as he follows Micallef around. Both men score right hands, and they wrap their shins beneath one another’s guard. The ribcage of Jousset is looked especially marked up as the round closes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Micallef

Round 2
The fighters bump fists before picking up right where they left off. Micallef leads the dance with a left hand, and Jousset pays him back almost immediately in kind. Micallef slides on the outside to evade Jousset’s kicks while responding with some, but a quick head kick from Jousset gets blocked in the nick of time. They both fade back to sway and dodge punches, and their kicks have a much higher accuracy rate. Micallef kicks so hard, the impact on the rib echoes through the arena as fans go “ooh.” Jousset chips back with kicks, but power is not on his side as Micallef is turning his hips into these audible blows. Micallef strafes back and forth to disrupt Jousset’s movement, keeping his guard up to defend the high kick that inevitably comes. Micallef goes up high again, and Jousset breathes a sigh of relief that he could guard against it. Micallef swipes left hands over the top, chaining punches into kicks while staying wise to potential counters. Jousset manages to catch him with a left hand every so often, but the volume and damage are both tilted to the unbeaten fighter’s side. Jousset slams a kick into the raised guard, chasing Micallef around and pawing at him with jabs. When Jousset tries a head kick, Micallef protects himself and retaliates appropriately. Micallef sneaks a kick above the guard again, and Jousset’s eyes go wide as the crowd grows in support of their Aussie. They batter the body once more in rapid succession, with pops so loud that Mitchell smiles when hearing a heavy impact. The two trade punches and kicks while standing directly in front of one another, with Micallef beating Jousset to the punch just enough to matter. Another big head kick from Micallef dings Jousset at the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Micallef
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Micallef

Round 3
A final glove touch gets things going after 10 minutes of kickfighting, and they decide to do more of that. They take turns kicking at one another, with the fighters seemingly trying to outdo the other they slug it out. Micallef strafes from one side to the other to deliver a payload of a booming kick to the liver. Micallef keeps chewing up the body with successful kicks, not letting Jousset get his tempo for much more than a counter or a long pair of punches. Micallef shrugs off jabs so he can continue welting up Jousset’s sides with kicks, and he even lets Jousset kick him to open up responses. Jousset gets irritated by an exchange and walks forward with dangerous intent, tagging Micallef with lunging punches and cutting Micallef off when trying to escape. Jousset stands in the pocket too long, eating a trio of punches before Micallef can back off to reset. Micallef strides forward, kicking, punching and kicking again, and Jousset keeps his feet planted when not hurling kicks right back. Micallef doubles up on a jab to loose a head kick, and it skims the side of the dome but does not shake “Air Jousset” up. Jousset instead bites down on his gumshield and slings vicious leather, opening up a cut on the bridge of Micallef’s nose while swinging with bad intentions. Micallef circles to his right, away from the power, but not far enough away to avoid big kicks. Fans appreciate the hard work these two have put in so far, rewarding the fighters with big cheers, and the competitors show their gratitude by banging it out. Micallef kicks Jousset square in the noggin, and the City Kickboxing fighter does not bat an eye and instead is right there to throw back harder. They display inaccurate head kicks until reaching the final horn, leaving most of it in the cage after three violent rounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Jousset (29-28 Micallef)

The Official Result
Jonathan Micallef def. Kevin Jousset via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Big Brady is not a huge fan of Kevin Jousset's style but likes him in this matchup. He notes that Jousset is a technical striker with good takedown defense, while Micallef has poor striking defense and tends to panic wrestle. Brady believes Jousset will win by decision, possibly a knockout, but he doesn't trust Jousset to finish. He predicts a three-round decision.

"I think jet wins this fight I think he wins it by decision could even knock out malli but I don't really want to trust jet to to finish any anybody"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Jousset is favored due to his Judo background which can stop Micallef's takedowns. From there, his striking advantage will allow him to pick apart Micallef. The fight is expected to go the full 15 minutes with Jousset winning by decision.

decision
"I really like Jay in the spot as I think that he can stop the takedowns of malli with his Judo uh Judo background and then from there utilize his striking advantage to really pick apart malli"
LOSS vs Bryan Battle
TKO (punches) R2 3:47 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 58 of 97 59% 63 of 107 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 97 of 170 57% 118 of 194 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 40 72% 32 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 26 of 57 45% 36 of 69 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:54
2 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 57 50% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 71 of 113 62% 82 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 58 of 97 59% 31 of 66 10 of 12 17 of 19 46 of 84 12 of 13 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 97 of 170 57% 79 of 146 17 of 23 1 of 1 80 of 145 17 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 29 of 40 72% 16 of 26 6 of 7 7 of 7 19 of 29 10 of 11 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 26 of 57 45% 19 of 46 6 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 49 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 29 of 57 50% 15 of 40 4 of 5 10 of 12 27 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 71 of 113 62% 60 of 100 11 of 13 0 of 0 59 of 96 12 of 17 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle and has a small bet on him. He highlights Battle's constant forward pressure, tenacity, and improving skills. He notes that Battle never quits, as seen in his loss to Rinat Fakhretdinov. He acknowledges Jousset is good and could slow the pace, plus home territory might affect judging, but believes Battle's pressure and range will get the job done.

small bet
"Brian battle wins this fight... I've got a small bet on him here... Brian battle's forward pressure, willingness to never stop..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle by decision, citing his toughness, output, sneaky power, and opportunistic grappling. He notes Battle is improving rapidly and has more ways to win. He thinks the striking could be competitive but Battle has the grappling edge.

Battle by decision
"I'm going to take battle to win here by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Jousset as a plus-money underdog, highlighting Battle's poor grappling defense. He notes that Battle has been controlled by grapplers like Rinat Fakhretdinov, while Jousset has a strong takedown game and submission threat. Jousset's forward pressure and ability to mix in wrestling should neutralize Battle's counter-striking.

"I'm in on Kevin I'm actually got six underdogs on this card... I like Kevin ju said dude I like him and the fact that he's plus money even better"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Bryan Battle to win but expresses hesitation, noting that Kevin Jousset is more technical and could be competitive at home in France. He highlights Battle's effective striking, submission grappling, better competition, and ability to fight through adversity. However, he also mentions Jousset's leg kicks and Judo background as potential threats. Cody ultimately leans Battle but is second-guessing his pick.

"I picked battle to win I'm a little bit second guessing that but battle is the more effective Striker here the more effective submission grapple..."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Connor picks Jousset because he believes Jousset's consistent, technical striking from City Kickboxing will allow him to outwork Battle over three rounds. He notes that Battle's counter-punching is dangerous but Jousset's jab and lead hand will be difficult to counter. Connor also points out that Jousset has never been finished and is physically imposing, while Battle's success has come against fighters who fall into his counter game. He sees Jousset controlling the range and winning a decision.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Connor mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm inclined to pick him as well. I mean, it looks like a, I could totally see battle just landing a big shocking blow and ending the fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Jousset as a slight underdog. He thinks Jousset has good durability, cardio, and striking, and that Battle can be hit in the clinch. He expects a close fight and sees value in Jousset at plus money, possibly winning by decision.

"I have to lean with the dog the price is coming up on him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

JP picks Bryan Battle because he thinks Battle is faster, has a reach advantage, and is better on the ground. He notes Jousset is slow and calculated, and once in a negative position, his confidence fades. He predicts Battle will dominate and submit him.

"I think battle's going to dominate I think he's going to clip him I think J is going to like brev said be in a negative situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that if the fight stays standing it's 50/50, but Jousset's wrestling gives him an edge. He believes Battle is overvalued at -175 and that Jousset's grappling advantage makes him a solid underdog pick.

"Jette will also be the pick for me in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle over Kevin Jousset, citing Battle's reach advantage and momentum. He criticizes Jousset's performances, including going to decision with Song Kenan. He believes Battle will finish Jousset and become a mainstay in the welterweight rankings.

"I'm going to go with Brian battle here I don't think he's going to be anything at welterweight like he might get ranked but I don't think he's going to be a top prospect but I think he'll be like …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Zane picks Jousset because he trusts Jousset's technical consistency and believes Battle's counter-punching will be less effective against a disciplined striker. He notes that Jousset is stiff but has a solid jab and good fundamentals, while Battle tends to rely on opponents overextending. Zane also points out that Jousset is durable and has never been finished, making it likely he can weather Battle's power and win on points.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Zane mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm trying, I'm trusting the process with you say, like, yeah, it really just does seem like something where he's never been finished before..."
WIN vs Song Kenan
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Jousset 0 62 of 156 39% 88 of 188 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 134 of 235 57% 158 of 263 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Jousset 0 21 of 45 46% 21 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 45 of 68 66% 46 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kevin Jousset 0 22 of 60 36% 33 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 43 of 85 50% 51 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Kevin Jousset 0 19 of 51 37% 34 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 46 of 82 56% 61 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Jousset 62 of 156 39% 43 of 128 8 of 10 11 of 18 55 of 145 7 of 11 0 of 0
Song Kenan 134 of 235 57% 78 of 171 15 of 20 41 of 44 121 of 219 13 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Jousset 21 of 45 46% 12 of 30 3 of 4 6 of 11 21 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Song Kenan 45 of 68 66% 23 of 44 3 of 4 19 of 20 44 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kevin Jousset 22 of 60 36% 16 of 52 3 of 4 3 of 4 19 of 54 3 of 6 0 of 0
Song Kenan 43 of 85 50% 28 of 66 5 of 8 10 of 11 39 of 79 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Kevin Jousset 19 of 51 37% 15 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 3 15 of 46 4 of 5 0 of 0
Song Kenan 46 of 82 56% 27 of 61 7 of 8 12 of 13 38 of 73 8 of 9 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Kevin Jousset, though he acknowledges Song Kenan is a popular dog. He notes that Jousset's striking is basic but he has grappling upside. Cody points out that Song Kenan has never faced a wrestler who actively shoots takedowns, and Jousset could exploit that. He thinks if Jousset mixes in takedowns, he can win. Cody prefers the fighter with some grappling over the one with mediocre striking and no grappling defense.

"I got a nagging suspicion that I don't want to jump on son Kanan because uh I'm thinking there's maybe some deficiencies in the grappling there and Jose set sneakily that fight was over the second to hit the ground …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul picks Song Kenan as an underdog. He notes that Song has much more experience and has fought better competition. Paul wasn't impressed by Jousset's debut and thinks Song's power and experience are live. He mentions that Song dropped Ian Garry and had competitive moments against top guys. Paul bets a small amount on Song but understands the grappling risk.

Small bet on Song Kenan
"I'll take sonan it's not that I absolutely love him I did bet him but like pretty small bet"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:49 · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · Sep 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Jousset 0 29 of 58 50% 39 of 69 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Kiefer Crosbie 0 39 of 59 66% 45 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Jousset 0 29 of 58 50% 39 of 69 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:45
Kiefer Crosbie 0 39 of 59 66% 45 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Jousset 29 of 58 50% 18 of 44 4 of 5 7 of 9 25 of 54 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kiefer Crosbie 39 of 59 66% 20 of 37 9 of 12 10 of 10 36 of 52 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Jousset 29 of 58 50% 18 of 44 4 of 5 7 of 9 25 of 54 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kiefer Crosbie 39 of 59 66% 20 of 37 9 of 12 10 of 10 36 of 52 3 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Kiefer Crosbie

Angelo picks Kiefer Crosbie but with very low confidence. He notes that Kiefer sets an insane early pace and could get a quick finish if he comes out hot. However, if the fight lingers, Kevin's boring, plodding style and size advantage will likely win a decision. Angelo acknowledges Kevin is probably the smarter pick but goes with Kiefer's danger.

"I'm still gonna pick Kiefer here because the pace he sets early is insane and if he comes out hot throwing hard he could potentially get this done quickly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Big Brady picks Kevin Jousset because he believes Jousset is the better fighter everywhere, with a judo background and technical striking. He notes Jousset's extreme toughness from the Jack Della Maddalena fight. He worries about Jousset's low volume but thinks Crosby leaves openings and Jousset can get takedowns. He predicts a decision win.

"I like just say wherever this fight goes so give me just say to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Jousset but is leaning, noting that neither fighter should be in the UFC. He believes Jousset's wrestling and grappling advantage will be enough, but acknowledges that Crosbie has power and could win by knockout in the first round. Cody suggests a live bet on Jousset after the first round if he survives.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-130)
"I gotta take juice to go out and beat him so yeah he's got the hometown crowd he's got City kickboxing I think he does have the wrestling and the grappling advantage"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Daniel Levi picks Kevin Jousset, noting his Judo background and physicality. He describes Crosbie as a 'poor man's Mike Perry' who is dangerous early but fades. Levi believes if Jousset can survive the first few minutes, he can take over with trips and top control. He warns that Crosbie throws heat early, so Jousset must be careful.

Odds mentioned: Jousset minus 155, Crosbie plus 135.
"I'm gonna go Kevin as you say in this fight just you know don't get stars in the first couple minutes because Kiefer is going to be throwing Heat."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Jousset has a solid kickboxing background from City Kickboxing, with consistent leg kicks and counter striking. He also showed ability to implement grappling when needed, controlling opponents on the mat. Crosby is an SBG Ireland product on a win streak but was finished in his last two Bellator losses. Jousset should keep Crosby at range with technical striking and possibly finish in the second or third round.

"give me Kevin Ducey to start off on a dub for the city kickboxing crew"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Paul picks Jousset but is leaning, noting that Crosbie is a defensive liability and that Jousset should be able to take him down. He likes the fight doesn't go to decision prop. Paul is not confident in either fighter but sees Jousset as the more likely winner.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-130)
"I did take uh fight doesn't go to decision minus 130. um like a small Bet On It"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

The MMA Guru picks Kevin Jousset because he sees him as a more dynamic and versatile striker than Kiefer Crosbie, who is primarily a boxer. He notes that Crosbie has put MMA on the back burner to participate in a Kingpin boxing tournament against Aaron Chalmers, a celebrity fighter, which he views negatively. Additionally, he mentions that Jousset trains at City Kickboxing and has reportedly outstruck Israel Adesanya in training, indicating high-level skills. He believes Jousset's versatility and grappling advantage will be key to winning.

"I'm gonna go if Kevin just said one I think he's a way more Dynamic Striker and a more versatile Striker than Kiefer Crosby"
Song Kenan - Fight History
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
KO (spinning wheel kick) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 21 42% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Song Kenan 1 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 9 of 21 42% 4 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 20 of 28 71% 7 of 14 3 of 4 10 of 10 19 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kenan Song vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
Two welterweights with finish rates of 75% or above collide as the main card continues, with two relative elder statesmen in the weight class plying their trade against one another. Song (22-8, 6-4 UFC) celebrates an equal number of knockouts to submissions, while “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (20-5, 7-4 UFC) is all about the former. Referee Mark Craig will serve as the cage commander for a tense showdown, one that kicks off as the fighters clap hands. Song comes in, and before he can throw, Salikhov kicks his front leg. Song tries again, this time reaching out with a left hand first. Salikhov chops at the leg again, and he blocks a high kick. They both attempt leg kicks, and Salikhov doubles up on his efforts. Song guards against a few punches and throws a few back to counter, and he is driven away with a spinning back kick that lands square on his ribs. Salikhov kicks and then opens up with two left hooks, and as there are lulls in the action, the crowd begins riling up in support of the Chinese competitor. Salikhov darts in and out to attack, picking his shots until getting met with a spinning back kick coming back his way. Salikhov grits it out and blasts the lead wheel with a kick. Song does not like this, and he blitzes forward, drilling Salikhov in the side of the head and stunning him. As Song closes in, he clinches, and a knee bangs into Salikhov’s cup. Song backs away apologetically to allow Craig to call time, and Salikhov takes 40 seconds to get his wind back. They restart, and Salikhov picks up where he left off with calf kicks. Salikhov scores a right hand, catches a head kick and dumps Song to the mat. Salikhov backs off, with no interest in exploring the ground game, and instead he keeps adding money in the bank with these vicious calf kicks. Song shakes his leg out and hops away from a spinning back fist, and he races forward with a left hand.
The Russian, known for his spinning arsenal, dips into the well with a wheel kick that smashes cleanly into the melon of Song. “The Assassin” crumples to the ground in a heap, rolling to his side as he is bordering on the edge of consciousness. Salikhov drums him out with two hammerfists that are academic at best, and Craig gets between them to tend to the defeated fighter.
Song comes to before long and he graciously accepts the loss. Meanwhile, Salikhov becomes the first fighter in company history to deliver multiple knockouts via wheel kick. The “King of Kung Fu” is for real, even at the ripe age of 40.

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Kenan Song via R1 3:49 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Angelo picks Muslim Salikhov, criticizing Song Kenan's low fight IQ and lack of killer instinct. He notes Salikhov's wrestling and striking power, and expects him to capitalize on Song's mistakes. He calls Song 'one punch or bust' and an idiot inside the cage.

"salov has to be the pick when you're fighting an idiot it is what it is"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady picks Muslim Salikhov to win by knockout. He admits he usually picks against Salikhov due to his age (40, possibly older), low volume, and questionable cardio, but he sees Song Kenan as a walking punching bag with low volume and poor durability. Brady thinks Salikhov can knock out Song, who has been knocked out four times. However, he is hesitant and wants to stay away from this fight.

Salikhov wins by KO
"I'll take salikov to to get the win here but we are in China which uh wouldn't very favor s Canan um sakov is 40 at this point or he's actually probably like 80 but I don't know just just …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov but with low confidence, citing Song Kenan's poor defensive striking and tendency to absorb high volume. He thinks Salikhov's flashy, low-volume style can land the more significant shots and potentially clip Song. He expects a close decision or a late knockout for Salikhov, but warns that Song could outwork him if he walks into the fire.

"I'm going to take Muslim solakov but quite honestly that could be I would call it the PRP pick but some of these road to the UFC guys will probably be down there because I just don't care"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Song Kenan's pace is exactly what Salikhov thrives on—slow and methodical, allowing Salikhov to use feints and set up his strikes. He also points out that Salikhov's traditional martial arts background gives him a soft landing for aging, and he remains uninjury-prone. Connor acknowledges Song's power but thinks Salikhov's technical edge wins.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"Song Kenan's pace is the kind of pace that Salikhov will absolutely eat up. He will get the faint love hurts. It's so relaxing."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Vreeland picks Muslim Salikhov but expresses concern about his age (40). He acknowledges Salikhov's superior skills, spinning attacks, and counter striking, but worries about durability and slowing down. He notes Song Kenan has heavy hands but lacks volume and takedown defense. Vreeland thinks Salikhov has more ways to win and should stay at range to avoid exchanges.

"pure pick I'm going Muslim sakov here I think he's way better than this guy"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

James confidently picks Song Kenan as an underdog, believing Muslim Salikhov is washed at 40 years old with declining durability and cardio. He thinks Song's power and youth can lead to a knockout, and sees value at +160.

"plus 160 Underdog I think that's a good Underdog on the card"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Nov 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, noting that Song Kenan is hittable and Salikhov is more defensively sound. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 years old but believes his experience and ability to land flashy techniques will edge him a close decision. He expects a low-volume, tactical fight where Salikhov steals rounds with significant strikes.

"I'll go with the guy who's a little bit more defensively sound even though he is a 40 he is like 40 years old now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The MMA Guru picks Muslim Salikhov over Song Kenan, despite initially considering Song. He notes Song has been tricky but has losses to Max Griffin and a split decision with Santiago Ponzinibbio. He criticizes Song's win over Ricky Glenn as not dominant. He acknowledges Salikhov is 40 but coming off a win and active. He believes Salikhov is powerful and faster.

"I'm going to go Muslim salikov"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Zane picks Salikhov, arguing that Song Kenan's one-punch-at-a-time striking style will be neutralized by Salikhov's educated jab and range control. He notes that Song loses to good strikers who can out-volume him, and Salikhov's feints and kicking game will keep Song guessing. Zane also mentions Salikhov's durability and consistent activity despite being 40.

Salikhov opened -153, now -178; Song opened +137, now +157. Zane says 'it does feel like Salikhov should be the favorite in general.'
"I gotta pick him here. Salikhov is 40 but he's a very wonder boy kind of 40."
WIN vs Ricky Glenn
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 305: du Plessis vs. Adesanya · Aug 18, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 0 87 of 170 51% 113 of 199 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:48
Ricky Glenn 0 40 of 99 40% 67 of 127 2 of 15 13% 0 0 3:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 22 of 50 44% 37 of 68 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:05
Ricky Glenn 0 9 of 26 34% 30 of 48 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:17
2 Song Kenan 0 34 of 63 53% 37 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 0 14 of 32 43% 16 of 34 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:27
3 Song Kenan 0 31 of 57 54% 39 of 65 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Ricky Glenn 0 17 of 41 41% 21 of 45 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 87 of 170 51% 65 of 147 19 of 20 3 of 3 66 of 142 21 of 28 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 40 of 99 40% 15 of 65 11 of 15 14 of 19 33 of 92 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 22 of 50 44% 18 of 46 3 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 26 34% 4 of 19 3 of 3 2 of 4 7 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 34 of 63 53% 27 of 56 5 of 5 2 of 2 30 of 59 4 of 4 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 14 of 32 43% 4 of 19 3 of 5 7 of 8 14 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Song Kenan 31 of 57 54% 20 of 45 11 of 12 0 of 0 17 of 39 14 of 18 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 17 of 41 41% 7 of 27 5 of 7 5 of 7 12 of 36 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 11, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Angelo believes Song Kenan should steamroll Ricky Glenn due to his power and knockout ability, but he cannot bet on him at -200 because of Song's low fight IQ and history of poor decisions, like wrestling instead of finishing Ian Garry. He thinks the line is too high for a fighter he doesn't trust, so he leaves it alone despite expecting a win.

No bet due to poor value; would consider at -140
"He should steamroll Ricky Glenn... but Kanan song be a two to one favorite when we've seen him make poor decisions to give away fights in the past I can't do it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Big Brady picks Song Kenan to win by second-round knockout. He is very low on Ricky Glenn, stating Glenn looks washed and has been knocked out in the first round in his last two fights. He notes Glenn is moving up to welterweight late in his career and has poor durability. He believes Song Kenan has power and solid takedown defense, and that the fight will stay standing where Glenn's chin is compromised. He expects Kenan to land a big shot and finish the fight.

knockout in round 2
"I'm going sonkan on here and I think sanan probably lands a big shot at some point and and finishes this fight so give me sanan to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Cody believes Song Kenan has power and durability, while Glenn is past his prime with a questionable chin and multiple surgeries. He notes Glenn has been knocked out in his last two fights and is moving up to welterweight. Cody expects Song Kenan to win, likely by finish.

"I gota go s Canan on this one"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Daniel Vreeland picks Song Kenan to win, citing Glenn's recent knockout losses and potential decline. He notes that Kenan has power and is durable, while Glenn may be washed and moving up in weight. Vreeland acknowledges that Glenn is the more skilled fighter but believes recency bias is justified here.

"I'm going to pick song to win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The host picks Song Kenan but with low confidence, noting Song's power and striking rhythm. He acknowledges Glenn is a better overall mixed martial artist but questions his durability after recent knockout losses. He expects Song to win by knockout, but warns that Song is better as an underdog than a favorite.

Song by knockout
"I will still pick him to win this matchup and Win It by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul agrees, noting that Glenn's durability has left him and that he is likely just collecting a paycheck. He points out that Song Kenan has power and has knocked down Ian Garry. Paul expects Song Kenan to win by finish.

"sanan will also be the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The MMA Guru picks Song Kenan over Ricky Glenn. He notes that Song Kenan has proven him wrong before, showing pop in his hands against Rolando Bedoya and a tough fight with Kevin Jousset. He criticizes Ricky Glenn as an old, slow fighter who moves like a robot and is falling off, citing losses to Christos Giagos and Drew Dober. He believes Song Kenan is still capable, even if not a top fighter, while Glenn is declining.

"I'm going to go with son Canan there's not really much I have to break down in this fight... Ricky Glenn moves like an old man who's not got it anymore"
LOSS vs Kevin Jousset
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kevin Jousset 0 62 of 156 39% 88 of 188 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 134 of 235 57% 158 of 263 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kevin Jousset 0 21 of 45 46% 21 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 45 of 68 66% 46 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kevin Jousset 0 22 of 60 36% 33 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 43 of 85 50% 51 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Kevin Jousset 0 19 of 51 37% 34 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 46 of 82 56% 61 of 100 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kevin Jousset 62 of 156 39% 43 of 128 8 of 10 11 of 18 55 of 145 7 of 11 0 of 0
Song Kenan 134 of 235 57% 78 of 171 15 of 20 41 of 44 121 of 219 13 of 16 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kevin Jousset 21 of 45 46% 12 of 30 3 of 4 6 of 11 21 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Song Kenan 45 of 68 66% 23 of 44 3 of 4 19 of 20 44 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Kevin Jousset 22 of 60 36% 16 of 52 3 of 4 3 of 4 19 of 54 3 of 6 0 of 0
Song Kenan 43 of 85 50% 28 of 66 5 of 8 10 of 11 39 of 79 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Kevin Jousset 19 of 51 37% 15 of 46 2 of 2 2 of 3 15 of 46 4 of 5 0 of 0
Song Kenan 46 of 82 56% 27 of 61 7 of 8 12 of 13 38 of 73 8 of 9 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Kevin Jousset, though he acknowledges Song Kenan is a popular dog. He notes that Jousset's striking is basic but he has grappling upside. Cody points out that Song Kenan has never faced a wrestler who actively shoots takedowns, and Jousset could exploit that. He thinks if Jousset mixes in takedowns, he can win. Cody prefers the fighter with some grappling over the one with mediocre striking and no grappling defense.

"I got a nagging suspicion that I don't want to jump on son Kanan because uh I'm thinking there's maybe some deficiencies in the grappling there and Jose set sneakily that fight was over the second to hit the ground …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul picks Song Kenan as an underdog. He notes that Song has much more experience and has fought better competition. Paul wasn't impressed by Jousset's debut and thinks Song's power and experience are live. He mentions that Song dropped Ian Garry and had competitive moments against top guys. Paul bets a small amount on Song but understands the grappling risk.

Small bet on Song Kenan
"I'll take sonan it's not that I absolutely love him I did bet him but like pretty small bet"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 1 75 of 149 50% 85 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Rolando Bedoya 0 112 of 258 43% 112 of 260 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 16 of 34 47% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Song Kenan 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Rolando Bedoya 0 39 of 85 45% 39 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
3 Song Kenan 1 35 of 65 53% 42 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Rolando Bedoya 0 41 of 96 42% 41 of 97 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 75 of 149 50% 54 of 118 16 of 24 5 of 7 68 of 140 6 of 8 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 112 of 258 43% 36 of 146 27 of 49 49 of 63 104 of 245 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 16 of 34 47% 7 of 22 6 of 8 3 of 4 15 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 32 of 77 41% 11 of 40 4 of 16 17 of 21 30 of 72 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 24 of 50 48% 20 of 42 3 of 6 1 of 2 23 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 39 of 85 45% 10 of 49 14 of 19 15 of 17 36 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Song Kenan 35 of 65 53% 27 of 54 7 of 10 1 of 1 30 of 60 4 of 4 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 41 of 96 42% 15 of 57 9 of 14 17 of 25 38 of 92 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo believes Bedoya has a good chin to withstand Song's power, forward pressure, and grinding ability. He notes that Bedoya is a three-to-one favorite but winless in the UFC, so he includes him in a small two-fighter parlay to improve the odds. He is confident Bedoya wins.

Included in a small two-fighter parlay
"Ronaldo bedoya should win this fight he's got good enough chin to wear songs power probably won't matter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady highlights Bedoya's incredible chin and durability, noting he has a brick for a head and can eat shots. He criticizes Bedoya's striking defense but believes his volume and power will overwhelm Song Kenan. He questions how Song can knock out someone with such a durable chin and predicts Bedoya will land big shots and finish Song.

knockout
"give me badoi to win this fight I'll say knocks out song Canon"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Bedoya despite the high price, noting his impressive debut against Chaos Williams. He thinks Bedoya's durability and cardio will overwhelm Song Kenan, who has been inactive. Cody is not thrilled with the price but expects Bedoya to win.

"I think you walk so 350 yeah it's too much for an 0-1 guy but I mean that all in one guy should probably go out here and perform"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his massive volume advantage. He notes that Bedoya landed more strikes in round three of his last fight than Song has in any UFC fight. He believes Song's only path is a knockout, but Bedoya has a great chin and head movement. He mentions that Bedoya's calf kicks will be a major weapon against Song's heavy lead leg. He bet 2 units at -225 and is confident.

"I took Rolando at minus 225 about a week or two ago and uh you know so I take it on minus 225 and then the next day the line has already moved to minus 240 minus 250"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Rolando Bedoya

James is confident Bedoya wins, citing his pace, pressure, and durability after surviving Chaos Williams' power. He notes Song Kenan has low volume, poor cardio, and is getting older. He expects Bedoya to put the pace on Song and likely finish him late. He also mentions Bedoya's youth and grit as advantages.

Bedoya round 2 or 3 finish mentioned as likely
"I think bedoy is going to put the pace on him probably finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The host notes Song Kenan is on a two-fight losing streak and has moved to Kill Cliff FC to save his roster spot. He believes Song can be outworked and that Bedoya's forward pressure, relentless combinations, and power will catch up to Song. The host expects Bedoya to get his first UFC win by knockout, possibly in the second or third round, and calls Bedoya a 'star waiting to pop'.

"I think that bedoya is a star with waiting to pop he just needs a little bit more experience and this was the perfect matchup for him to try to bounce back."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul is tempted by the underdog on Song Kenan, citing the Asian fighter advantage and potential overvaluation of Bedoya after one fight. He notes Bedoya's price is inflated and Song Kenan has power. Paul is not confident but likes the value.

"I don't like song but like plus 250 you know Asian fighter in Asia"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The MMA Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Song Kenan, impressed by Bedoya's debut against Chaos Williams where he landed cleaner shots and showed composure. He notes Bedoya's youth (26), boxing technique, and low kicks. He criticizes Song Kenan's recent losses and damage taken, including a KO by Max Griffin and a beating from Ian Garry. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Bedoya, possibly 30-27.

Unanimous decision predicted
"I'm gonna swipe with Rolando bedoya very impressed with his debut and for a 26 year old I think he's got a bright future in the sport"
TKO (punches) R3 4:22 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Machado Garry 1 127 of 231 54% 127 of 231 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Song Kenan 1 55 of 110 50% 61 of 120 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Machado Garry 0 15 of 44 34% 15 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 1 22 of 41 53% 28 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:44
2 Ian Machado Garry 0 42 of 79 53% 42 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 0 17 of 35 48% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ian Machado Garry 1 70 of 108 64% 70 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Song Kenan 0 16 of 34 47% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Machado Garry 127 of 231 54% 58 of 149 36 of 46 33 of 36 119 of 220 1 of 1 7 of 10
Song Kenan 55 of 110 50% 18 of 69 8 of 9 29 of 32 45 of 94 7 of 8 3 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Machado Garry 15 of 44 34% 3 of 27 3 of 7 9 of 10 15 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Song Kenan 22 of 41 53% 9 of 26 2 of 2 11 of 13 13 of 26 6 of 7 3 of 8
2 Ian Machado Garry 42 of 79 53% 19 of 50 11 of 16 12 of 13 41 of 78 1 of 1 0 of 0
Song Kenan 17 of 35 48% 2 of 19 5 of 6 10 of 10 16 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ian Machado Garry 70 of 108 64% 36 of 72 22 of 23 12 of 13 63 of 98 0 of 0 7 of 10
Song Kenan 16 of 34 47% 7 of 24 1 of 1 8 of 9 16 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Angelo is confident in Ian Garry, noting his hand speed, footwork, and takedown defense. He believes Garry should dominate Song Kenan, who has been away for two years and has poor wrestling. Angelo expects a finish, possibly by knockout.

Ian Garry inside the distance, Ian Garry by knockout
"Ian Gary should dominate this fight but it is interesting because you know Ian Gary I thought they were slowly leveling up his competition"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Big Brady is confident in Ian Garry, citing advantages in striking, speed, volume, and power. He notes Garry's wrestling and grappling are also strong, giving him multiple paths to victory. He mentions Song Kenan's two-year layoff and that he is smaller and older. He predicts a second-round knockout for Garry.

second round knockout
"I'll say like a second round knockout I'll say knocks out sunken on in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Cody picks Garry but notes he's not impressed with his performances. He thinks Garry's footwork and reach will be too much for Song Kenan, who is raw and has been off for two years. He expects Garry to win but won't bet the -800 moneyline.

Over 0.5 takedowns for Garry on PrizePicks; considers Garry by submission
"Ian Gary pretty much beats him wherever and a minus 800 lines telling you exactly that"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Connor confidently picks Ian Garry, noting that Garry is a huge welterweight with a reach advantage and superior technical striking. He believes Garry will be too busy and too long for Song Kenan, who relies on opponents rushing him. Connor also points out that Song Kenan has a shaky chin and has been knocked out by lesser strikers, so Garry's power and precision should lead to a finish.

Garry via TKO/KO is minus 120
"I expect fully that Gary's gonna knock him out."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Jacob calls Ian Garry the biggest lock on the card, praising his clean striking, counter-striking, and ability to go three rounds. He believes Song Kenan lacks speed and that Garry will put him away early. Jacob is a big fan of Garry as a fighter despite his personality.

"I think Ian Gary is the biggest lock on this card"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Garry is a disciplined striker with good range management and a sneaky trip game. Song Kenan has been inactive for over two years and struggles against technically superior strikers. Garry will jab him up and likely get a second or third round stoppage.

Garry inside the distance
"I think that this could be one of those fights where he potentially goes out there and gets a finish... I think if you want to look for that one single bet for this fight it's probably looking for Gary …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Paul picks Garry but is more interested in props. He likes the over 0.5 takedowns for Garry on PrizePicks, thinking Garry may mix in takedowns to show improvement. He notes the -800 moneyline offers no value.

Over 0.5 takedowns for Ian Garry on PrizePicks
"over 0.5 takedowns is exploitable"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

The MMA Guru picks Ian Machado Garry to win by KO, citing Song Kenan's inactivity and multiple KO losses. He notes Garry's crisp hands and reach advantage, and believes Garry will finish him.

KO win predicted
"I'm gonna go with him winning this one over songkanan... I reckon he'll get a KO as well."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Zane also picks Garry confidently, agreeing that Garry's size, reach, and technical improvements make him a clear favorite. He notes that Song Kenan is a cautious, low-output fighter who needs opponents to make mistakes, but Garry is disciplined and will control the range. Zane expects Garry to win by knockout, as Song Kenan has been vulnerable to clean shots.

Garry via TKO/KO is minus 120
"I expect fully that Gary's gonna knock him out."
LOSS vs Max Griffin
KO (punches) R1 2:20 · UFC on ESPN: Brunson vs. Holland · Mar 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Griffin 0 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 1 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Griffin 0 14 of 24 58% 14 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Song Kenan 1 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Griffin 14 of 24 58% 5 of 10 5 of 8 4 of 6 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Song Kenan 17 of 28 60% 11 of 17 2 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Griffin 14 of 24 58% 5 of 10 5 of 8 4 of 6 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Song Kenan 17 of 28 60% 11 of 17 2 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Big Brady picks Max Griffin, emphasizing the clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes Griffin has a significant wrestling advantage, averaging 2 takedowns per 15 minutes with 53% accuracy, while Song has 45% takedown defense and offers little off his back. Brady expects Griffin to implement a wrestling game plan and win a comfortable decision, though he acknowledges Song's power makes him live.

Max Griffin wins by decision
"i'm gonna say griffin wins a pretty comfortable decision here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2021 (fight day)
Song Kenan

Daniel Levi picks Song Kenan as an underdog, citing openings for a counter right hand. He acknowledges Griffin's toughness and durability but questions his striking defense and conditioning. He notes that Griffin has lost decisions to washed-up fighters and that the line at -200 is too high. He expects a close fight and likes the plus money.

Song Kenan at +185
"at plus 185 i'll go with the dog uh in this spot to hopefully catch him with something opportunistic"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Max Griffin

Griffin has more paths to victory: volume striking, takedowns, and cardio. Song needs a KO to win, as he doesn't mix in grappling. Griffin's movement and ability to stay on the outside should allow him to outpoint Song. Griffin's durability is solid; he's only been dropped once in the UFC. Decision prop at +120 is appealing.

Griffin by decision (+120)
"I do like griffin here um and i do like him to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Max Griffin

The MMA Guru picks Max Griffin over Song Kenan. He believes Griffin's pressure, volume, and cage work will overwhelm Kenan, who arguably lost to Derek Krantz. He notes Griffin's reach advantage and recent win over Ramis Bahamad, and expects a unanimous decision (30-27). He also mentions Kenan lost to Brad Riddell and Israel Adesanya, but dismisses that as a fun fact.

"max griffin is going to go out there put a bit of a pace on him he has a massive reach advantage here"
WIN vs Callan Potter
KO (punches) R1 2:20 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Callan Potter 1 17 of 35 48% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Callan Potter 1 17 of 35 48% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Callan Potter 17 of 35 48% 12 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 0 14 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Callan Potter 17 of 35 48% 12 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 0 14 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Daniel Levi picks Song Kenan, arguing that Callan Potter takes too many punches and has a questionable chin. He believes Kenan's right hand will be the difference, and that Potter's toughness won't hold up. Levi predicts a knockout in the second round, noting that Potter's win over Mikey Patola was not impressive and that Kenan beats the guys he's supposed to beat.

knockout in the second round
"I'll take Song Kenan by knockout in the second round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The host picks Song Kenan over Callan Potter, calling both fighters 'garbage' but preferring the younger Song Kenan who has a win in his UFC debut. He notes Potter is older, has taken wear and tear, and was knocked out by Jalin Turner, whom he also calls trash.

"I am gonna go of Caen and song here over Colin Potter I like Colin Potter he's the older guy though I don't like that one bit"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · Aug 31, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 0 58 of 128 45% 61 of 131 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:35
Derrick Krantz 0 33 of 85 38% 52 of 105 3 of 6 50% 1 1 5:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 15 of 44 34% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Derrick Krantz 0 17 of 44 38% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Song Kenan 0 2 of 7 28% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Derrick Krantz 0 5 of 13 38% 21 of 30 2 of 4 50% 1 1 3:47
3 Song Kenan 0 41 of 77 53% 41 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Derrick Krantz 0 11 of 28 39% 13 of 30 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 58 of 128 45% 44 of 98 6 of 19 8 of 11 54 of 122 4 of 6 0 of 0
Derrick Krantz 33 of 85 38% 23 of 74 6 of 7 4 of 4 30 of 78 1 of 4 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 15 of 44 34% 6 of 25 4 of 12 5 of 7 14 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
Derrick Krantz 17 of 44 38% 12 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 40 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 2 of 7 28% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Derrick Krantz 5 of 13 38% 3 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 3
3 Song Kenan 41 of 77 53% 37 of 68 2 of 7 2 of 2 38 of 73 3 of 4 0 of 0
Derrick Krantz 11 of 28 39% 8 of 24 3 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Kevin Jousset, though he acknowledges Song Kenan is a popular dog. He notes that Jousset's striking is basic but he has grappling upside. Cody points out that Song Kenan has never faced a wrestler who actively shoots takedowns, and Jousset could exploit that. He thinks if Jousset mixes in takedowns, he can win. Cody prefers the fighter with some grappling over the one with mediocre striking and no grappling defense.

"I got a nagging suspicion that I don't want to jump on son Kanan because uh I'm thinking there's maybe some deficiencies in the grappling there and Jose set sneakily that fight was over the second to hit the ground against Crosby"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul picks Song Kenan as an underdog. He notes that Song has much more experience and has fought better competition. Paul wasn't impressed by Jousset's debut and thinks Song's power and experience are live. He mentions that Song dropped Ian Garry and had competitive moments against top guys. Paul bets a small amount on Song but understands the grappling risk.

Small bet on Song Kenan
"I'll take sonan it's not that I absolutely love him I did bet him but like pretty small bet"