UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023 · Women's Strawweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Age 35
Height 5' 1"
Reach 58.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 2"
Reach 62.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Talita Alencar
2.91 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
3.36 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
3.02 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Rayanne dos Santos
4.57 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
6.47 SApM
59.0% Str. Def.
0.5 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Talita Alencar
Moneyline
DraftKings +136
KO/TKO
BetRivers +2200
Submission
BetRivers +510
Decision
BetRivers +285
Rayanne dos Santos
Moneyline
Caesars -155
KO/TKO
BetRivers +850
Submission
BetRivers +430
Decision
FanDuel +180
Talita Alencar - Fight History
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Talita Alencar 0 60 of 195 30% 80 of 216 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:27
Julia Polastri 0 78 of 111 70% 87 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Talita Alencar 0 12 of 49 24% 16 of 53 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
Julia Polastri 0 21 of 26 80% 27 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Talita Alencar 0 20 of 65 30% 36 of 82 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:27
Julia Polastri 0 27 of 40 67% 30 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Talita Alencar 0 28 of 81 34% 28 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julia Polastri 0 30 of 45 66% 30 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Talita Alencar 60 of 195 30% 34 of 151 19 of 35 7 of 9 54 of 188 1 of 1 5 of 6
Julia Polastri 78 of 111 70% 48 of 78 12 of 14 18 of 19 72 of 103 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Talita Alencar 12 of 49 24% 3 of 35 4 of 8 5 of 6 9 of 45 0 of 0 3 of 4
Julia Polastri 21 of 26 80% 8 of 11 5 of 6 8 of 9 17 of 20 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Talita Alencar 20 of 65 30% 14 of 56 6 of 9 0 of 0 17 of 62 1 of 1 2 of 2
Julia Polastri 27 of 40 67% 18 of 31 5 of 5 4 of 4 27 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Talita Alencar 28 of 81 34% 17 of 60 9 of 18 2 of 3 28 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julia Polastri 30 of 45 66% 22 of 36 2 of 3 6 of 6 28 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Polastri (-225); Alencar (+190)

Round 1
This nondescript Apex card at the end of April has all the makings of Spring Cleaning, with seven of the 26 combatants tonight sporting UFC records below .500 and several more hovering very close to or right at that midpoint. The latter is the case for this card opener at 115 pounds, as while Alencar (7-1-1, 3-1 UFC) has only lost after four walks to the Octagon, countrywoman Polastri (14-5, 2-2 UFC) sees an even record with the promotion thus far. The two strawweights will tangle as referee Jason Herzog watches on, all smiles with one another as they do not even offer a glove touch.
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Polastri moves straight to the center of the cage and plays it cool, letting the jittery Alencar fly past her with a spinning back fist. Polastri easily swats away a few punches that fly her direction, hoisting a substantial reach advantage. Alencar reaches her with a single jab, and her follow-ups including a kick or two largely fall short. Polastri smacks her back with a low kick. Polastri catches a kick and lets fly a loud response to the midsection. Alencar tries to pitch an off-angled head kick, and Polastri sways to dodge it and blocks one more orthodox kick coming at her. Alencar sits down on a body kick to seemingly target the raised arms of her foe, and she takes a step back when Polastri counters.
Polastri is able to time Alencar coming in and strike back, but she is not landing much on her own right. Alencar sinks in a thumping low kick and watches Polastri dance away from the action, frustrating her to the point of committing to a few power punches. Polastri is a ways away from the danger, picking her shots and probing with her jab. Polastri drives a kick to the body, safe from anything returning, and she nods at Alencar as Alencar bears down on her. “Problem Child” scores a solid right hand, ignoring the comeback to put her hands on the longer woman. Polastri escapes, and she pitches a body kick that is caught and allows Alencar to deposit her to the canvas. Polastri defends when she hits her back with effective upkicks, pushing her fellow Brazilian back away from her numerous times to not allow Alencar get on top. Polastri times an escape, and Alencar spears her to tackle her back down to the mat. Alencar looks to isolate Polastri’s left arm for a potential kimura, and she drops down a few punches as the round elapses.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Polastri
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Polastri

Round 2
Polastri once more moves directly to the center of the cage as the round opens, and she starts out more actively with a few jabs. Alencar thinks about kicking her back, but she is beaten to the punch—foot, actually—when Polastri’s kicks fly faster. Polastri is quick to evade and dodge most of the attacks, with her guard up high to protect against the rest. Polastri jabs Alencar up and forces her to shoot in on her hips, and she laughs it off and is nowhere to be found. Polastri pays her foe back with snappy jabs and calf kicks on the inside and outside of the front leg. Polastri sneaks a kick up high, and she is two feet away from a front kick that Alencar fires back. Alencar commits to another hefty kick, and she hits nothing but air. Polastri scores a solid calf kick, with Alencar reaching down in hopes of catching it. She abandons that effort and strings a few punches together.
Polastri promptly drives her back with a head kick, and she slips punches and drills Alencar with an overhand right. Polastri’s hands are low as she keeps them by her side, offering up shovel uppercuts from her lead hand to mark up Alencar’s nose. Alencar cannot find her range, while Polastri lands any time she tries. “Psycho” goes to the body, and Alencar catches it and trips her up to take the fight horizontal. This time, the upkicks from Polastri do not keep Alencar at bay, as Alencar pounces to assume top position with about a minute to go. Polastri turns to her side, and Alencar elbows her twice in the back of the head as Herzog tells her to not do that. Alencar smothers down in the half guard, with Polastri hanging on tight to ride out the rest of the round. Alencar frames off the face with an elbow, grinding one down on the face and the other on the ribs. Polastri pushes her off with seconds to spare, using her upkicks to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
The countrywomen decide to touch gloves as the last round opens. Polastri’s strategy to assume the middle of the Octagon is ironclad as Alencar allows her to do so every time. Alencar looks for a spinning back fist as she tries to navigate longer jabs, with the jab from the taller, longer woman causing her plenty of issues. Alencar swings wide, and Polastri is practically in another county by the time the punch extends. She does get off a sneaky side kick to the stomach, and Polastri stomps her foot to feint and fake but ends up taking two more punches on the jaw. Alencar considers a level change, but Polastri shoves her back. Polastri fires off a head kick, and as it grazes off the forehead, Alencar flashes a grin from ear to ear.
Polastri makes Alencar adjust her nose when plunking her with a solid one-two, and Alencar feels that it is not broken and fakes a takedown shot. Polastri circles away to avoid any concern, prodding with her jab and walking through a one-two to throw back a kick. Alencar offers up a front kick and then one to the chest, but it is her left hand that gets through. Polastri is able to lean back at times as kicks zoom past her face, moving just enough to not get struck while still remaining in range to counter. She counters. Alencar tries to catch a kick, and Polastri belts her in the face with her fists to force her to drop it. Alencar spins with a big kick, but nothing doing. Her body kick, however, does score. Polastri draws a bit more blood on the beak with a solid punch, and Alencar hears the 10-second clapper and starts brawling. Polastri engages in a brief brawl before time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Polastri (29-28 Polastri)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (29-28 Alencar)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (29-28 Alencar)

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Julia Polastri via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Talita Alencar

Angelo picks Talita Alencar as the underdog, reasoning that the gap on the ground is very wide and if Alencar can get the fight to the ground, she wins. He acknowledges that Alencar's takedowns are not very good, but notes that Julia Polastri's takedown defense is also poor. He compares the two weaknesses to 'expired milk versus a baby diaper left out in the sun' and chooses the expired milk (Alencar). He mentions Alencar is live for a submission but could get beaten badly if she can't get it to the ground.

"I'm going with the dog. I'm gonna pick the dog. She's obviously live for a sub but if she doesn't get it to the ground she's gonna get the [__] beat out of her."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Julia Polastri

Big Brady picks Julia Polastri over Talita Alencar. He questions Alencar's competition, noting her wins came against fighters with poor takedown defense. He believes Polastri will be tougher to take down and has better cardio and clinch work. He predicts Polastri will break Alencar and finish her in the second or third round.

Polastri wins by third round knockout
"I like Polastri here and I think Polastri's going to break Alencar as the fight goes on. She's going to, you know, mix in those knees. She's going to pressure. And I think she's going to finish Alencar in the …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Julia Polastri

Connor picks Polastri as well, citing her ability to rally and finish fights. He notes that Alencar has a solid takedown game but gasses out, while Polastri gets stronger as the fight goes on. Connor also mentions that Polastri is only 28 and should be hitting her prime, making her a good pick.

Polastri opened at -200, now -240; Alencar opened at +170, now +205. Connor thinks the line is a bit wide but understandable.
"i think i'm gonna take pilasterie yeah me too i think it could be a real 50 50 fight alan yark goes out and gets all the takedowns early swamps her in the first round gets an early takedown in …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Talita Alencar

The host acknowledges this is a tricky fight due to extreme stylistic advantages: Polastri is a striker with terrible takedown defense and ground game, while Alencar is a grappler with no striking and bad cardio. He says the better bet is Alencar because of the risk-to-reward ratio, but he wouldn't personally bet either pre-fight. He prefers live betting and mentions betting Alencar +3.5 rounds.

Alencar +3.5 rounds; fight likely goes to decision but odds too poor to bet; prefers live betting
"The better bet of the two is Alencar. It's clearly the dog or pass, but that's simply just letting the odds do the work for you."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Julia Polastri

James picks Polastri, expecting her to survive early takedowns and come back with a third-round finish as Alencar gasses. He notes Polastri's history of late finishes and Alencar's cardio issues.

KO in round three
"I'm going to pick Pastry cuz I think she's going to get a third round finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Julia Polastri

Polastri is a Muay Thai specialist with good takedown defense and volume striking. She should be able to stick and move, avoid Alencar's grappling, and land significant damage. Alencar's wild striking and shaky gas tank will be exposed as Polastri picks her apart and eventually gets a TKO in the second or third round.

Polastri by round 3 TKO
"give me plaster and plaster by round three TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Julia Polastri

Zane picks Polastri because she is a natural fighter who comes on strong late in fights, while Alencar tends to fade if she can't get a finish. He notes that Polastri has good takedown defense once she gets going and is a vicious slugger. Zane also points out that Alencar's striking is power-based and she struggles when shut down early.

Polastri opened at -200, now -240; Alencar opened at +170, now +205. Zane is surprised the line is so wide.
"i think i'm gonna take pilasterie yeah me too i think it could be a real 50 50 fight alan yark goes out and gets all the takedowns early swamps her in the first round gets an early takedown in …"
Submission R3 4:36 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Talita Alencar 0 60 of 100 60% 79 of 122 5 of 8 62% 2 0 6:10
Ariane Carnelossi 0 25 of 76 32% 50 of 106 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Talita Alencar 0 18 of 30 60% 26 of 38 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:51
Ariane Carnelossi 0 1 of 17 5% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:39
2 Talita Alencar 0 20 of 39 51% 23 of 45 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:30
Ariane Carnelossi 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
3 Talita Alencar 0 22 of 31 70% 30 of 39 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:49
Ariane Carnelossi 0 14 of 24 58% 15 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Talita Alencar 60 of 100 60% 34 of 67 19 of 23 7 of 10 31 of 65 14 of 15 15 of 20
Ariane Carnelossi 25 of 76 32% 10 of 57 3 of 5 12 of 14 25 of 71 0 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Talita Alencar 18 of 30 60% 9 of 18 8 of 10 1 of 2 5 of 12 9 of 9 4 of 9
Ariane Carnelossi 1 of 17 5% 1 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 14 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Talita Alencar 20 of 39 51% 10 of 25 7 of 9 3 of 5 14 of 32 5 of 6 1 of 1
Ariane Carnelossi 10 of 35 28% 2 of 24 2 of 4 6 of 7 10 of 33 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Talita Alencar 22 of 31 70% 15 of 24 4 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 21 0 of 0 10 of 10
Ariane Carnelossi 14 of 24 58% 7 of 16 1 of 1 6 of 7 14 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Ariane Carnelossi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alencar (-250); Carnelossi (+210)

Round 1
After a rousing series of fight cards around the world, the UFC recedes back to the Apex for half of its remaining shows this year. The first of two weekends in a row, the promotion’s headquarters—reportedly with new, revamped internal facilities even including concession stands (that are not open yet)—will play host to UFC Fight Night 263, also known as UFC Vegas 110. For the sixth time in the last eight events, women will kick off the violent festivities. Strawweights take center stage, where a loss will almost certainly save their place on the roster while a defeat does not guarantee another match in the Octagon. Alencar (6-1-1, 2-1 UFC) has reached the final bout of her initial four-fight deal, so this one will matter more than the others. She battles the returning Carnelossi (15-3, 3-2 UFC), who has only competed once in the last three years. The two will be joined in the cage by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as they bump fists.
Carnelossi comes out of her corner loaded for bear, and she bashes Alencar in the face right off the bat. Alencar bounces back, rebounds off the fencing and pushes out with kicks. She rushes forward behind a right hand to set up a clinch with a body lock takedown attempt, and Carnelossi muscles her around to break it up. Carnelossi scores a short strike on the break, and then walks her retreating countrywoman down. “Sorriso” has her guard up in time to block the single kicks soaring her direction, although a one-two down the pipe gets her attention. Carnelossi goes for her own level change, ultimately hitting a 115-pound wall plus the cage behind her in Alencar. Carnelossi grinds on Alencar when a single-leg effort fails, and she smacks Alencar with short but frustrating overhand rights.
Carnelossi staves off a counter trip attempt, and the two jockey for position twirled around in the tie-up. Alencar puts Carnelossi’s back to the fencing, and she knees her in the stomach when bending over for something. Carnelossi turns her about once more and gives her a few knees to think about on the other side of the equation. This continues, and Alencar is warned for grabbing the fence to keep Carnelossi stuck and has her hand slapped away a few times. Alencar ducks down in pursuit of a single-leg takedown, and she gets it for a second or two before Carnelossi pops back to her feet without issue. Carnelossi punches her way out of the clinch and meanders forwards Alencar, swinging her way until they end up clinching once more. Alencar trips Carnelossi to the floor, and Carnelossi uses her upkicks when hitting the mat to keep Alencar from climbing on top of her. Alencar drops to her knees, and Smith warns Carnelossi for what would be illegal upkicks. The horn sounds with Alencar striking from above.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 2
Like the previous round, Carnelossi plods directly forward to engage, no glove touch in the works. Carnelossi walks through a body kick to put her hands on her opponent, and a right hand opens a tiny cut on the bridge of Alencar’s nose. Alencar swings, and Carnelossi counters her more effectively. Alencar’s front kick is an effective weapon at keeping her foe at bay, but only for a brief time as Carnelossi tends to charge when struck with that blow. She does just that when drilled with a kick down the middle, racing after Alencar and slugging her in the face. Carnelossi ducks down and nearly takes a knee on the chin, and they proceed to bang it out up close and personally. Alencar spins with a back kick when in close proximity, and Carnelossi’s pressure is getting to her as she cannot get space to recover. Carnelossi connects with a hefty low kick that makes Alencar recoil it awkwardly, and she keeps kicking that spot.
Alencar winds up with a huge right hand while taking shots, and she grabs the back of Carnelossi’s head and drives a knee square into it. Alencar hurls Carnelossi to the floor, and she prevents Carnelossi from standing by snapping down on the back of her neck. Carnelossi still manages to force her way upright, and she remains comfortable in the clinch getting her head right after getting stunned. Carnelossi tries to drag the fight to the floor, and Alencar turns the tables and puts her down on the mat. When Carnelossi looks to get up, Alencar hangs on to a kimura that she uses to attempt to sweep. When not looking for that, she elbows Carnelossi in the side of the dome again and again. Carnelossi drops all the way down to pursue a desperate takedown, and Alencar accepts it as she has her legs laced around Carnelossi’s and looks to take her back. Alencar gets the hooks in and wraps up a rear-naked choke, fastening the short choke under the chin and pulling back. Carnelossi rolls to her side and then stomach, surviving the deep submission and likely being saved by the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
Carnelossi appears good to go to start the round despite nearly going out in the end of the previous frame, and she asserts pressure. Carnelossi kicks low to open up a right hand, and she ignores a body kick to hunt “Problem Child” down. Alencar sticks out a right hand, and Carnelossi swarms her with a combination counter. Alencar snaps out a left, but her blows are largely one-and-done while Carnelossi’s volume is giving her fits. Alencar puts three punches together to decent effect, and she fakes a level change after it to get Carnelossi to bite. They trade low kicks, and Carnelossi checks the latter and gives her another one back. As Carnelossi fearlessly walks Alencar down kicking her in the midsection, Alencar snatches the limb out of the air and trips Carnelossi to the floor. Carnelossi prevents Alencar from getting into her guard by pitching upkicks aplenty, and she even threatens briefly with an omoplata shoulder lock setup that ultimately puts her in a worse position than when she started.
Alencar lowers herself down into the side control position, where she slips right to north-south position with Carnelossi scrambling all the while. Carnelossi counters with her own single-leg shot, and Alencar steps over her and sets up an inverted triangle choke. Alencar hammers the side with elbows until Carnelossi explodes to get to her knees and push through the takedown try. Alencar shuts her down and elbows her in the side of the head until pulling guard and getting Carnelossi’s back.
With a minute left in the round, Alencar gets the body triangle secure, and she starts fishing for chokes. Alencar slides her right forearm beneath the chin, and she goes palm-to-palm but it is not crushingly tight. Alencar adjusts her grip, torqueing the choke as hard as she can, and Carnelossi lifts her arm up and dramatically taps out.
This marks the first time that “Sorriso” has been submitted since her pro debut in 2014 against Amanda Ribas. The victorious Alencar puts behind her a five-fight decision or draw stretch, and all of her stoppages remain by RNC.

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Ariane Carnelossi R3 4:36 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Talita Alencar

Angelo picks Talita Alencar, highlighting her grappling prowess and recent win over Vanessa Demopoulos. He notes Ariane Carnelossi is physically strong but lacks takedown defense and skills. He expects Alencar to get takedowns and control the fight, though he is unsure about spending $9,000 on her in DFS.

"Ariane Carnelossi is going to lose this fight. I don't know if I'm going to spend nine grand on Talita Alencar though."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Talita Alencar

Big Brady picks Talita Alencar due to Ariane Carnelossi's terrible takedown defense (14%). He notes Alencar is not the best wrestler but attempts many takedowns and is good on top with solid ground and pound. He also mentions Alencar is a six-time BJJ world champion. The only concern is Alencar's cardio, but he believes Carnelossi will struggle. He predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission
"I like Allen Carr. Give me Allen Carr to get takedowns and potentially get a submission. I'll say second round submission for Toita Allen Carr."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Talita Alencar

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Carnelossi is very strong but stiff and awkward everywhere. He thinks Alencar's jiu-jitsu will allow her to drag Carnelossi down and control her on the ground, even if her wrestling isn't elite.

Alencar opened at -500, now -230; Carnelossi opened at +385, now +195.
"I agree that carnalossi is just very strong but also very stiff and awkward everywhere it seems."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Talita Alencar

Lucrative James picks Talita Alencar, citing her superior wrestling and grappling against Ariane Carnelossi, who has poor takedown defense (14%). He believes Alencar will take Carnelossi down at will and control the fight on the ground. He notes Carnelossi's power and toughness but thinks the skill gap is too large, predicting a decision win for Alencar.

Talita Alencar wins by decision
"I got Toita Alan Carr in this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

Carnelossi's strength and BJJ black belt should help her stay safe against Alencar, and she will eventually butcher Alencar on the feet to win by TKO. The host is surprised the odds are as wide as they are, implying value on Carnelossi.

surprised by the odds
"Kind of surprised the odds are as wide as they are, but I believe Carnalosi's strength and BJJ Black belt can help her stay safe here against Alan Carr and then eventually butcher Alan Carr on the feet to win …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ariane Carnelossi

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi despite Talita Alencar being the favorite. He worries that Alencar's grappling may not be enough to get takedowns consistently, and Carnelossi's physicality and strength could neutralize Alencar's shots. He believes Carnelossi will win on damage if the fight stays standing, predicting an upset decision.

"I'm going to go with Ariane Carnelossi. The shoulders are a dead giveaway and when I'm not sure, I'm going to go with this."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Talita Alencar

Zane picks Alencar because she is a solid jiu-jitsu fighter with good top control, while Carnelossi is stiff, head-hunts, and is easy to take down. He notes that Alencar's wrestling is clumsy but she finds ways to get to good positions. Carnelossi tends to stay on her back when put there.

Alencar opened at -500, now -230; Carnelossi opened at +385, now +195.
"I'm just gonna take alan car. Carnalossi is strong but stands really stiff, head hunts like crazy, so she's really easy to take off of her feet."
Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · Apr 05, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Vanessa Demopoulos 0 10 of 34 29% 34 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Talita Alencar 0 45 of 75 60% 107 of 150 4 of 5 80% 1 0 12:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 4 of 7 57% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Talita Alencar 0 9 of 17 52% 19 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:25
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 6 of 20 30% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Talita Alencar 0 11 of 24 45% 40 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:43
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 0 of 7 0% 8 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Talita Alencar 0 25 of 34 73% 48 of 64 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Vanessa Demopoulos 10 of 34 29% 9 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 45 of 75 60% 39 of 67 4 of 4 2 of 4 13 of 39 1 of 1 31 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Vanessa Demopoulos 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 9 of 17 52% 7 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 11 1 of 1 5 of 5
2 Vanessa Demopoulos 6 of 20 30% 5 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 11 of 24 45% 7 of 18 3 of 3 1 of 3 8 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
3 Vanessa Demopoulos 0 of 7 0% 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 25 of 34 73% 25 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 23 of 27
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Vanessa Demopoulos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Alencar (-112), Demopoulos (-108)

Round 1
This 11-week marathon of consecutive UFC cards soldiers on with the penultimate show on the stretch. We scoot back to the confines of the UFC Apex for better EBITDA margins, in a building that was supposed to starting renovations or construction soon. For now, it plays host to 12 fights ranging from 115 pounds to 266, but few matches on the lineup have any rankings relevance while there is likely to be ample pink slip fodder. The ladies in this curtain jerker might be safe if they lose this one, but with the promotion preparing for the summer season of Contender Series, few on the roster are safe. The two that kick this event off might be similar in age but they are a chasm apart in terms of experience. Demopoulos (11-6, 5-3 UFC) celebrates almost three times the appearances of Alencar (5-1-1, 1-1 UFC) despite the Brazilian just two years younger. Referee Chris Tognoni takes charge for the opening bout, and it kicks off without a glove touch. Demopoulos says hello with two punches across the forward bow, and she snaps out another such combo and reaches Alencar with one more left hand before the Brazilian can get to her. Alencar ties her foe up against the cage, and she drops down and wraps up a head lock to force “Lil Monster” to her knees. Alencar uses her left arm to pressure behind Demopoulos’s neck, and she is warned for grabbing the fence when imposing her weight on her opponent. Demopoulos uses her toes to try to pull her out of danger, which too is a foul. Alencar keeps to this position, content to control rather than actually committing to the unorthodox submission. Alencar releases the grip around the neck and pushes Demopoulos’ legs out of the way to establish a more traditional top position. Demopoulos uses her legs to threaten and otherwise keep Alencar honest, allowing Alencar to punch her in the face repeatedly. Demopoulos hunts for a sweep and only bails on it when absorbing a particularly effective elbow. Alencar keeps her full weight down, jumping from one side to the other and winding up in a sudden armbar. The Brazilian punches out of it from above, and she grabs the foot of Demopoulos for a possible foot or ankle lock. Alencar sits on Demopoulos’ face as she hangs on, staying heavy until the round wraps.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 2
Demopoulos starts the round as aggressive as the first, firing off two one-two salvos and a right hand before she is met by her opponent. Alencar gets up close and personal, changing levels for a possible takedown, but abandons it and lets her hands go to smack Demopoulos upside the head. Demopoulos comes up short on a winging overhand right, and she wades back to let Alencar do something similar. Alencar tosses out naked leg kicks to keep Demopoulos away, and she sits down on a clean right hand but does not budge Demopoulos one inch. The moment “Lil Monster” drives through a one-two, Alencar counters her momentum to hit a double-leg takedown and plop her on her back. Alencar lands in half guard, using her shoulder pressure to flatten out Demopoulos as soon as they get horizontal. Alencar is quick to engage her smothering best, stifling Demopoulos and getting warned for striking the spine when she does attack again. “Problem Child” gives Demopoulos another problem by stepping to the other side so she can set up an arm-triangle choke. Demopoulos bucks and kicks enough to gain the space she needs to not get choked out, and this only results in her getting struck with more ground-and-pound. Alencar finds a brief opening and hammers down four right hands, and she sits back on Demopoulos’ face in a relatively unusual position. Demopoulos sells out for a leglock in hopes of reversing the position, and Alencar gets out of it by repeatedly grabbing the fence. Tognoni slaps her hand several times, and Alencar still is able to yank on it to get her leg out of the sub. Rules mean nothing with no consequences, and multiple fence grabs keeping her out of a submission go generally uncalled other than a “knock it off” from Tognoni. Alencar rides out the position on top until time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
Demopoulos marches out of her corner a woman possessed, and she lashes out with multiple one-twos down the pipe. Alencar rushes towards her as well, perhaps for a takedown, and she clashes heads before changing levels. Tognoni checks to make sure neither woman sustained damage, and on the restart, Alencar tackles Demopoulos to the mat and the collective air out of the Apex as well. Alencar hangs out in guard, unafraid of anything the Factory X fighter will do to her, and she pops Demopoulos with some short, scoring strikes. Demopoulos hunts for a triangle choke, armbar or even possibly a desperate leglock, and the Brazilian laughs them all off and steps the proper direction to avoid them completely while remaining in top. Alencar shifts to half guard from the opposite side as she wants to set up an armbar, and she drops down ground-and-pound when not isolating the neck. When the sub is not there, Alencar sits up into three-quarter mount, and she attacks with strikes from above. With nothing left to lose, Demopoulos explodes to sit up and even stand. Unfortunately for her, the “Problem Child” is a problem for her, as she executes a near-immediate mat return to sling Demopoulos to her back. Alencar lords over her, dropping down standing-to-ground punches while avoiding upkicks. Alencar picks up the pace with more punches than before, and she climbs into half guard and elbows until the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-8 Alencar (30-26 Alencar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Alencar (30-27 Alencar)

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Vanessa Demopoulos via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Angelo argues that Vanessa is the more complete fighter with solid striking, footwork, and decent grappling, while Talita Alencar is an accomplished grappler but ineffective on the feet, small, and powerless. He notes that Talita's takedowns are not great and she relies on strength, and that even if she gets it to the ground, she hasn't shown the killer instinct expected. Angelo believes Vanessa can win via striking and takedown defense, and he dismisses any bias from his past interaction with Vanessa.

"This should be a Vanessa pick all day long she's the more complete fighter of the two to has proven to be pretty useless on the feet she's small she's ineffective she is powerless and even if she gets it …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 1, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

Big Brady picks Vanessa Demopoulos despite acknowledging she has questionable wins and poor takedown defense. He believes Talita Alencar's cardio is a major issue, as she slowed down significantly in her Contender Series fight. He expects Demopoulos to survive early grappling and take over in later rounds, finishing a gassed Alencar via ground and pound.

third round ground and pound TKO
"I'm going Vanessa deop here I'm going to take her to win by by third round ground and pound TKO"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Talita Alencar

Alencar's BJJ wizardry will come into play, allowing her to land takedowns and eventually find a submission. The fight could be close but Alencar's grappling advantage is expected to secure the win.

submission
"I think the BJJ Wizardry of Alan car will come into play allowing her to land takedowns and eventually find the submission to get demopoulos out of there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Vanessa Demopoulos

The Guru picks Vanessa Demopoulos based on her physicality, scrappiness, and experience. He dismisses Talita Alencar as not UFC-caliber, noting her claim to fame was against someone who got fraud-checked. He admits there's no technical aspect to analyze, just that Demopoulos is larger and more physical.

"Vanessa Demopulus is probably going to win 2928. She's more physical. She's scrappy. She's got experience. She's larger."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · Aug 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stephanie Luciano 1 72 of 175 41% 87 of 190 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:10
Talita Alencar 0 41 of 151 27% 45 of 159 1 of 10 10% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stephanie Luciano 0 26 of 67 38% 27 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Talita Alencar 0 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Stephanie Luciano 0 24 of 54 44% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Talita Alencar 0 9 of 41 21% 9 of 42 1 of 8 12% 0 0 0:21
3 Stephanie Luciano 1 22 of 54 40% 29 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Talita Alencar 0 15 of 55 27% 19 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stephanie Luciano 72 of 175 41% 49 of 139 14 of 22 9 of 14 66 of 167 5 of 7 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 41 of 151 27% 20 of 100 16 of 44 5 of 7 36 of 141 5 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stephanie Luciano 26 of 67 38% 18 of 52 5 of 10 3 of 5 26 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 17 of 55 30% 12 of 47 3 of 6 2 of 2 17 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Stephanie Luciano 24 of 54 44% 15 of 42 5 of 7 4 of 5 21 of 51 3 of 3 0 of 0
Talita Alencar 9 of 41 21% 4 of 28 4 of 11 1 of 2 8 of 37 1 of 3 0 of 1
3 Stephanie Luciano 22 of 54 40% 16 of 45 4 of 5 2 of 4 19 of 49 2 of 4 1 of 1
Talita Alencar 15 of 55 27% 4 of 25 9 of 27 2 of 3 11 of 49 4 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Stephanie Luciano
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Luciano (-185), Alencar (+154)

Round 1
A women’s strawweight rematch kicks off the streamlined undercard, as Alencar (5-0-1, 1-0 UFC) takes on Luciano (5-1-1, 0-0 UFC) for the second time in less than a year. The 115-pound hopefuls fought to a draw on Dana White’s Contender Series in September. Luciano was awarded a UFC contract for her efforts and Alencar received a traditional call-up for her Octagon debut, as she eked out a split decision over Rayanne dos Santos at UFC Fight Night 233 on Dec. 9. Jerin Valel draws the assignment as the referee. A glove touch gets us underway. Luciano takes the center and eats a head kick right out of the gate. Fortunately for her, there was not much oomph behind it. Alencar fires a leg kick, circles out into open space and steers clear of her opponent’s punches. Luciano tries and fails to corner Alencar, who continues to circle effectively. Luciano now using her seven-inch reach advantage to get her jab and one-twos in gear. She probes to the body, then misfires on an overhand right. Luciano sneaks in a left hook, then gets back to the jab. Midway through the first round, and neither woman has established too much of an advantage. Alencar mixes in a body-head combination, then fakes a takedown. Luciano jabs and manages to dodge the return fire. Ninety seconds to go. Luciano jabs, feints a kick and scores with a pawing right hook. Alencar swings wildly with both hands and misses. They clinch, and Luciano shoots a few knees to the body, then punches on the break. A flying knee from Luciano lands to the body. Jumping switch kick from Luciano gets blocked, but a knee that follows bloodies Alencar’s nose.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Luciano
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Luciano
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Luciano

Round 2
Luciano immediately gets back to the jab. Alencar ducks in for a takedown but fails to corral her counterpart, and Luciano escapes to a standing position. Luciano separates and unleashes more jabs. A spinning backfist from Alencar gets blocked. Both women tend to telegraph their strikes. Luciano sprawls on attempted takedown, takes top position briefly and disengages. More jabs score. Not going well for Alencar thus far. Leg kick from Luciano, then a chopping right hand followed by a left hook. Alencar eats a head kick without issue. Luciano blocks one in return, then connects again upstairs. Alencar now reaching on her punches, as she continues to struggle to find the mark. A minute to go, and Luciano is in charge. Side kick from Luciano grazes Alencar’s midsection. She shoots in response, only to get shut down along the fence. Luciano separates and hammers home a body kick. Alencar fires back but generally with single shots. Luciano whiffs on a spinning backfist and denies a takedown as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Luciano
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Luciano
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Luciano

Round 3
Luciano smiles at her adversary at the start of Round 3, and she has every reason to do so. They trade leg kicks. Alencar looks to pressure, but Luciano calmly circles away. Right cross-left hook combination from Luciano. She counters an Alencar leg kick with multiple punches. To no one’s surprise, Alencar needs this fight on the mat to have a real chance. Luciano denies a takedown, blocks a head kick and connects with a clean one-two. She backs Alencar to the fence with punches, engages her in the clinch and uses her height and leverage to her advantage. They separate midway through the round. Luciano drops her fellow Brazilian with a jumping knee. Alencar resorts to the butt scoot while she clears her head. Back on her feet now. Luciano looks to jab, throws a right hand over the top and engages Alencar in the clinch with double underhooks. They separate. Time running out on Alencar. Luciano leaving her feet to throw kicks and knees more and more as her comfort level increases. She lands a close-range elbow and a left hook. Alencar tries to answer. No luck. Luciano coasts to the finish line.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Luciano (30-27 Luciano)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Luciano (30-27 Luciano)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Luciano (30-27 Luciano)

The Official Result
Stephanie Luciano def. Talita Alencar—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Angelo picks Luciano because she showed toughness and cardio in the first fight, biting down on her mouthpiece and coming forward while Alencar gassed. He notes that Alencar went 4 for 24 on takedowns and without takedowns she cannot win. However, he acknowledges it's a tricky rematch and Alencar could win if she gets her wrestling going.

"luchano is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Cody agrees, highlighting Luciano's grappling defense and striking advantage. He notes Alencar's striking is stiff and she mostly holds opponents down. Cody expects Luciano to stuff takedowns and win a decision or late TKO.

"I agree with Luciano it seems like this is kind of her style is that her takedown defense is not necessarily great but her grappling defense is pretty solid"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Luciano is the better striker and should have a decided advantage if she keeps the fight standing. However, her takedown defense and fight IQ are concerns, and Alencar could make it close if she completes takedowns. Luciano's youth and damage output lead to a decision win, but confidence is low due to ring rust and Alencar's BJJ threat.

Luciano by decision
"I still believe Luciano will end up getting the better of those exchanges getting the better of the Striking Landing more damage and winning this fight on the scorecards not a whole lot of confidence here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

Paul picks Luciano, noting her youth, volume, and ability to survive on the ground. He thinks she can keep the fight standing more this time and win by decision or late TKO. He mentions her dengue fever layoff but believes she should be improved.

"I think it minus F 15 um she's probably Fair PR or she's probably a fair favorite to uh to be betting this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Stephanie Luciano

The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Luciano based on her size advantage and ability to stuff takedowns. He notes that in their first fight on the Contender Series, Talita Alencar had control time but couldn't finish, and Luciano won the third round decisively. He believes Luciano's defensive jiu-jitsu and striking will carry her to victory in the rematch.

"I'm going to go with Stephanie Luciano lad because she's a bit bigger than her lad and she Stu the takedowns"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Talita Alencar 0 57 of 130 43% 80 of 156 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Rayanne dos Santos 0 36 of 157 22% 48 of 176 1 of 9 11% 0 0 2:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Talita Alencar 0 34 of 64 53% 34 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 11 of 63 17% 13 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Talita Alencar 0 10 of 22 45% 32 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Rayanne dos Santos 0 16 of 44 36% 25 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
3 Talita Alencar 0 13 of 44 29% 14 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 9 of 50 18% 10 of 52 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Talita Alencar 57 of 130 43% 41 of 104 11 of 17 5 of 9 45 of 117 11 of 12 1 of 1
Rayanne dos Santos 36 of 157 22% 21 of 125 12 of 25 3 of 7 21 of 133 8 of 12 7 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Talita Alencar 34 of 64 53% 28 of 56 4 of 5 2 of 3 27 of 57 7 of 7 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 11 of 63 17% 5 of 49 5 of 12 1 of 2 9 of 59 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Talita Alencar 10 of 22 45% 4 of 13 4 of 5 2 of 4 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1
Rayanne dos Santos 16 of 44 36% 8 of 30 6 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 25 5 of 7 7 of 12
3 Talita Alencar 13 of 44 29% 9 of 35 3 of 7 1 of 2 11 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 9 of 50 18% 8 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 2 8 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Rayanne Amanda dos Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dos Santos (-148), Alencar (+124)

Round 1
The penultimate UFC card of 2023 is upon us, and it is certainly an event.
Road to UFC 2 Finals
UFC Shanghai
UFC Vegas 83 will bring a small crop of Asian prospects to the forefront, but it will start with two Brazilian ladies going head-to-head at 115 pounds. Invicta FC atomweight champ Amanda (14-6, 0-0 UFC) will be moving up in weight for her promotional debut, while Alencar (4-0-1, 0-0 UFC) was signed off of Dana White’s Contender Series—from a draw. High finish rates from the ladies mean that referee Keith Peterson might have to get involved before it is all said and done, but before they get after it, the strawweight leave their nonsense at the door and wade towards one another without a glove touch in sight. Alencar sticks out a front kick to introduce herself, and Amanda backs off and flicks out a jab. Amanda springs to the side and gets kicked upside the head, and Alencar crashes the pocket and looks for a takedown. When Amanda pushes her off, Alencar looks for a left hand on the break. Alencar reaches out with an overhand right, and she just misses with a subsequent high kick. The ladies slam fists in one another’s faces at the same time, and Alencar wobbles back but gathers her senses and looks to settle down with jabs and head kick attempts. Alencar misses the mark with an overhand right, and Amanda answers her with a solid right that knocks her foe back. Amanda pushes off with a one-two, and as she overcommits to a strike, Alencar closes in on her and snatches hold of a single-leg takedown. Amanda backs herself up against the fence, keeping her balance, and she leans back against the wall. When she pushes off, she takes a right hand on the chin. Amanda comes out firing, and Alencar responds in kind as they crack one another in the chops. Amanda wings a left hand high to open up a straight right hand down the middle, and Alencar takes a few steps back and gets driven towards the cage wall. Amanda rings her bell with a one-two, and she goes low with a kick to mix things up. Amanda strings several punches together, and she ends a combination with a right hand right on the ear. The two slow down to not burn out their gas tanks early, and Amanda settles down with a few jabs. Alencar attempts a takedown in open cage, and Amanda shoves her back and starts lighting her up with body shots and those up high. Right as the bell sounds, Amanda leaps in the air, and she bounces of Alencar’s forehead—it is a legal blow, technically, so nothing else comes of it.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amanda
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amanda
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amanda

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle, and Alencar reintroduces herself with a winging right hand that bounces off the guard, and a head kick try that makes her topple over. Amanda backs off, as if to signal her foe to stand back up, but Alencar butt-scoots towards her. Amanda motions for her to stand up, and Peterson gets between them to make it so. When upright, Alencar throws hard but cannot find her range with her strikes. Amanda prods at her with a low kick, and she leans back from a pair of high kicks that buzz past her. Amanda calmly works her way in, peppering with the occasional kick, and shutting down much of anything coming back her way. When Alencar attempts a head kick, Amanda dips and smacks her in the lead leg. Both women paw out front kicks several feet away from the other, and Alencar struggles to get in. Alencar aims one kick low as Amanda springs from side to side, and the former Invicta champ ducks a pair of punches and nails Alencar with a right hand. Alencar crowds her and jams her up against the fence, and she spams knees to the body to stay busy. With both underhooks, Alencar muscles Amanda to the mat courtesy of a body lock takedown. Alencar lands on top in half guard, and she looks for side control while also attempting an armlock on the other side. Amanda defends against the submission while pushing the shorter woman off of her, and she connects with a few on the chest to keep Alencar at bay. Alencar lowers herself down to deliver some powerful strikes, and she stings Amanda with one right before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
Alencar takes to the center of the cage to start the final frame, and she leads the dance with a one-two as Amanda ducks to the side. Amanda looks for her own short combination, and she ends up countering Alencar with a short right when Alencar attacks. Alencar kicks the body and reaches out with a left hand, and Amanda’s own offense is relatively muted. Amanda looks to strike when Alencar ducks down for a takedown, and she pushes Alencar to the side and whiffs on a haymaker when she breaks away. Alencar tosses out three punches that bounce off the raised guard, and Amanda gets one back on the temple. This same type of exchange repeats itself, with Alencar not landing while Amanda gets one in. Amanda swings for the fences, and Alencar is well out of harm’s way in time. Alencar, not wanting to get hit by one of those booming shots, shoots for a single. Amanda stuffs it and sprints to the side to reset. Alencar meanders forward, attempting kicks and punches, and Amanda calmly responds with a single damaging leg kick. Amanda doubles up on a jab as Alencar walks her down, and she hops back to avoid a head kick and comes up short with an overhand right. Both women get off right hands during a brief exchange, and Amanda separates and connects with a low kick. Alencar attempts a single, and Amanda stuffs her and busts her in the chops with a right hand. Amanda is swinging with everything she has, and she catches Alencar at the end of a right. Amanda smiles with 10 seconds left on the clock, as she draws Alencar into a brawl. This works to her advantage, as she rings Alencar up with a few strikes before Alencar tries to clinch up. This position ends the fight, and Amanda, all smiles, looks for a hug from her now former opponent.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Rayanne Amanda dos Santos via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Cody picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she is a natural atomweight moving up, but she has speed and better striking. Cody points out that Alencar is a BJJ specialist with poor cardio and limited MMA experience. He thinks dos Santos can keep the fight standing and outpoint Alencar. Cody also mentions that dos Santos has good takedown defense and cardio from five-round fights.

"I got to take the slight favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Paul picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she has a well-rounded skill set and better striking. Paul points out that Alencar is one-dimensional and gassed in her Contender Series fight. He thinks dos Santos's reach and striking advantage will be key. Paul is not forcing an underdog pick here and goes with the favorite.

"it's rayon Amanda the favorite minus 160 for me"
Rayanne dos Santos - Fight History
LOSS vs Alice Ardelean
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rayanne dos Santos 0 78 of 225 34% 79 of 227 1 of 6 16% 0 0 0:30
Alice Ardelean 0 154 of 352 43% 159 of 359 1 of 1 100% 0 1 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rayanne dos Santos 0 23 of 45 51% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Alice Ardelean 0 26 of 86 30% 28 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Rayanne dos Santos 0 21 of 62 33% 21 of 63 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Alice Ardelean 0 45 of 107 42% 45 of 108 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
3 Rayanne dos Santos 0 34 of 118 28% 34 of 118 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:01
Alice Ardelean 0 83 of 159 52% 86 of 162 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rayanne dos Santos 78 of 225 34% 67 of 210 6 of 10 5 of 5 75 of 217 3 of 8 0 of 0
Alice Ardelean 154 of 352 43% 115 of 300 28 of 39 11 of 13 150 of 344 4 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rayanne dos Santos 23 of 45 51% 17 of 39 2 of 2 4 of 4 21 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alice Ardelean 26 of 86 30% 18 of 73 6 of 10 2 of 3 24 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Rayanne dos Santos 21 of 62 33% 20 of 60 1 of 2 0 of 0 20 of 60 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alice Ardelean 45 of 107 42% 32 of 90 9 of 12 4 of 5 44 of 105 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Rayanne dos Santos 34 of 118 28% 30 of 111 3 of 6 1 of 1 34 of 115 0 of 3 0 of 0
Alice Ardelean 83 of 159 52% 65 of 137 13 of 17 5 of 5 82 of 156 1 of 2 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: dos Santos (-265), Ardelean (+215)

Round 1
After an essential recovery weekend from the UFC’s never-ending train of fight cards, the engines of the promotion rev up very slowly as the UFC Apex will be its first stop. This much-maligned fight card has fallen down to 10 bouts with a few catchweights and some missed opportunities for the fighters that needed them most. The action begins at 115 pounds, where a pair of ladies with 0-2 records in the promotion thus far vie for their first win. Whether it is dos Santos (14-8, 0-2 UFC) or Ardelean (9-7, 0-2 UFC) who gets their hand raised after the next possible 15 minutes of combat, referee Chris Tognoni will be the first to know. The strawweights touch ‘em up to signal respect towards one another, and then they let the fun begin. Ardelean leads off immediately behind a jab, and she walks dos Santos down and measures her with a one-two. Dos Santos stands her ground and slugs right back, clipping Ardelean with heavy hooks. Ardelean grins, wanting to trade leather, and the Brazilian is happy to oblige her. They take turns one after the other to engage their offense, with dos Santos landing cleaner but showing a bit of swelling on the side of her right eye. When dos Santos pushes off a kick, Ardelean counters her over the top. Ardelean swings right into a clinch, with dos Santos bullying her to the wall as Ardelean works the body with knees. The Romanian turns her foe around in the clinch, and she breaks off with an elbow that bangs into dos Santos’ face. Ardelean presses forward, looking for long, straight punches that are more far-reaching than the hooks dos Santos lobs back at her. They both land flush, and Ardelean shakes it off and comes out swinging with short combinations. Ardelean walks into a right hand, but she still connects a few strikes before backing off. Dos Santos has her right hand chambered ready to fire massive hooks, and Ardelean beats her to the punch with a one-two down the pipe. Ardelean laughs off a right hand to ding the Brazilian with a left, and dos Santos frowns and circles away to reset. Ardelean pitches out a few fastballs down the middle, and she rings dos Santos’ bell with one final combo before the bell.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean

Round 2
Ardelean marches forward to engage and start off the round, and when dos Santos counters, she ducks down and hits a takedown to put the Brazilian on the mat. Dos Santos pulls on the fence to work her way upright, and Ardelean is on her putting her fists in dos Santos’ face. Ardelean’s jab snaps the head back, and dos Santos responds with a double-leg takedown that runs into a Romanian wall. Dos Santos pushes off with her fingers out, and they jam into Ardelean’s eye socket. She says it is all good and asks Tognoni to let them continue. When given his blessing, she gets right back in dos Santos’ face, using her jab to do work. Dos Santos clubs her with a hook, but the volume discrepancy is growing as Ardelean chains punches in bunches. Dos Santos gets Ardelean’s attention, but this only makes her smile and spurs her on to brawl. Brawl is exactly what she does. Ardelean takes her foot off the gas before expending her tank, and goes back to measuring her opponent with jabs and follow-ups. Dos Santos steps in for an attempted trip and throw, but Ardelean’s base is too solid. Ardelean goes to the body with a right hand, and dos Santos responds with a left hook and a one-two that lands with an audible thud. Ardelean pushes off from a clinch setup, and she leans back to watch a massive right hand buzz by her. Dos Santos times a knee on the chin, and Ardelean no-sells it and quickly is able to defuse a takedown effort that follows. Ardelean plods forward, flicking the jab, and she smacks dos Santos with a low kick. When dos Santos swings high, Ardelean ducks and rips the body. Ardelean connects with a right hand, and she walks into one from the Brazilian that does not make her flinch. A three-punch combo from Ardelean lands on the last one, and she winds up and starts throwing heavier leather and knocks dos Santos back a few steps. Dos Santos tries for another takedown, and Ardelean shrugs it off and ignores a one-two on the chin as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean

Round 3
The ladies get right to fighting in the final frame, where they reach the center of the cage and bang it out. Dos Santos leads with a jab, and Ardelean adds up several punches and surprises dos Santos. The Brazilian steels herself and puts everything she has into several power punches, and she lands them cleanly and still does not get her to back off. The right hands from dos Santos mark up Ardelean’s cheek, but she is just as in the fight as ever. Dos Santos keeps Ardelean honest with her firepower, with Ardelean just touching while dos Santos is winging shots. Ardelean’s jab is an effective tool at disrupting the looping blows, but not at stopping them. Dos Santos, who might know she is down on the scorecards, is giving it all she has. Dos Santos cracks her foe with a crisp one-two, and she lets Ardelean swing past her so she can keep hitting her. Punches from Ardelean make a wound that bleeds in the shape of a Joker smile on one side of her face, while Ardelean’s own face is starting to leak around her eyebrow. They show no concern for damage or defense, instead pounding on one another in an entertaining and action-packed manner. Ardelean smiles when she gets tagged, and as she confidently marches forward, dos Santos succeeds in taking her down. Ardelean gets to a knee, and she reverses a second effort from the Brazilian to find top position. Dos Santos kicks her off, and the two get back to their feet and resume their brawl. Dos Santos’ face is swollen and busted up, while Ardelean’s is not much better—although she has a smile that she cannot wipe off of her mug. Dos Santos keeps whipping that right hand, and Ardelean is a welcome recipient of it and is willing to give it back in spades. The two women throw hammers at one another, with Ardelean getting the better of the final exchange. Time expires, and the Romanian raises her arms in the air in expectation that she has done enough.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 dos Santos (29-28 Ardelean)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ardelean (30-27 Ardelean)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 dos Santos (29-28 Ardelean)

The Official Result
Alice Ardelean def. Rayanne dos Santos via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Angelo picks Rayanne dos Santos because she is the better overall fighter with fluid striking, good movement, and solid takedown defense. He notes that Alice Ardelean is tough and a gamer but lacks technique and hasn't shown improvement. He expects a decision win for dos Santos, who should win two out of three rounds.

Mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet on Alice Ardelean if she wins a round.
"I'm going to go with Dos Santos here. I think she's the overall better fighter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Big Brady picks Rayanne dos Santos but is hesitant due to her poor fight IQ, as seen in her loss to Puja Tomar where she chose to strike instead of using her black belt. He believes dos Santos has a clear grappling advantage but worries she will stand and strike, leading to a split decision. He ultimately picks her by decision, noting the risk of leaving it to the judges.

by decision
"I'm picking Dosantes. I have to pick Dosses. just think she's a lot better. I think she has a clear path with the grappling, but will she use that clear path? Probably not, cuz she's an idiot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Matt picks Rayanne dos Santos to win by decision. He notes that dos Santos is the better striker and BJJ specialist, but has underperformed in her first two UFC fights, losing split decisions. He believes she will kick it up a notch with her back against the wall, mixing in takedowns and top pressure. He is not confident in the moneyline at -265 but likes the decision prop.

Amanda by decision -125, Amanda by submission +500, Ardelean by decision +290
"I think she wins this fight. I think she wins it by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

The MMA Guru picks Rayanne dos Santos based on her higher ceiling and younger age (27 vs 34). He acknowledges Alice Ardelean could out-physical her but believes dos Santos is the better technical fighter. He notes both are low-level but sees more potential in dos Santos.

"I'm going to go with Rayan Dos Santos kicking off this card. She's younger. She's in her 20s... I'm going to bet on the development and the highest ceiling of potential on Ray Doss Santos."
LOSS vs Puja Tomar
Decision (split) (30–27, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Puja Tomar 0 84 of 150 56% 86 of 152 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:49
Rayanne dos Santos 0 95 of 199 47% 99 of 203 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Puja Tomar 0 27 of 44 61% 27 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 36 of 75 48% 37 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Puja Tomar 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 28 of 57 49% 28 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Puja Tomar 0 33 of 55 60% 35 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Rayanne dos Santos 0 31 of 67 46% 34 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Puja Tomar 84 of 150 56% 47 of 92 29 of 46 8 of 12 79 of 144 5 of 6 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 95 of 199 47% 29 of 112 50 of 59 16 of 28 94 of 194 1 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Puja Tomar 27 of 44 61% 17 of 28 9 of 13 1 of 3 26 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 36 of 75 48% 12 of 48 21 of 23 3 of 4 35 of 71 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Puja Tomar 24 of 51 47% 9 of 25 9 of 18 6 of 8 23 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 28 of 57 49% 4 of 19 15 of 20 9 of 18 28 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Puja Tomar 33 of 55 60% 21 of 39 11 of 15 1 of 1 30 of 51 3 of 4 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 31 of 67 46% 13 of 45 14 of 16 4 of 6 31 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Angelo picks Rayanne dos Santos because of her grappling advantage. He notes that Puja Tomar is aggressive and fun to watch but has massive grappling holes, and Rayanne is an aggressive grappler who can get takedowns and control the fight. He is shocked the UFC gave Puja a tough matchup instead of a winnable one.

"I think ran wins this fight the grappling is just it's just too the grappling is too big of a gap"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Big Brady picks Rayanne dos Santos (Amanda) to win by submission in the second round. He notes that while Puja Tomar has power and throws with bad intentions, she is a fish out of water on her back. Amanda is a BJJ black belt and will get the fight to the mat and tap her out.

submission round 2
"Amanda I think she gets it done I think she gets the fight down to the mat and Taps out Puja Tamar in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Cody picks dos Santos, noting that Tomar has no grappling and is a blue belt in BJJ. Dos Santos is a BJJ black belt from a family of black belts. Cody expects dos Santos to take Tomar down and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or ground-and-pound. He sees this as a clear mismatch.

"I would almost certainly expect her to be better in her sophomore outing she's now fought in the UFC she knows what to expect she's got those nerves off of her and she not taking on a big strong BJJ …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Daniel picks the Brazilian fighter based on national stereotype and experience, admitting he hasn't deeply analyzed the matchup. He notes the Brazilian has fought higher competition and should win if she gets it to the mat, as Tomar has been knocked out before.

"Brazil over India period"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Jacob picks Rayanne dos Santos, agreeing with Angelo's assessment. He describes Puja as a cyclone who comes forward aggressively, but Rayanne has a major grappling advantage and submissions. However, he warns that if Rayanne doesn't use her wrestling early and gets lazy, Puja could overwhelm her. He thinks Rayanne can dominate if she gets takedowns and submits her.

"I think ran has the the opportunity to to Really dominate this fight end it early but I think she has the opportunity to really [ __ ] it up like she did her last fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Dos Santos is a BJJ black belt with improving striking, while Tomar is a UFC newcomer with poor takedown defense and weak ground control. Dos Santos should push the pace, take the fight to the ground, and find a submission. The loss in her debut will motivate her to secure a win.

submission
"I do like dos Santos in the spot... I do think she'll come out with a victory as well by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Paul picks dos Santos, noting the massive grappling disparity. He expects dos Santos to submit Tomar or win by dominant decision. Paul likes dos Santos by submission at plus 175 but notes the price has been steamed.

Rayanne dos Santos by submission (+175)
"rayon Amanda by sub seems like the play plus 175 is the only thing I see right now it opened up at uh plus 240 and then it's been steamed pretty much immediately"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

The Guru picks Rayanne dos Santos because Puja Tomar's wins are against 'absolute cans' and she lost dominantly to Stamp Fairtex. He notes Rayanne is younger (28), bigger, and has a grappling background, which is how Tomar has been beaten before. He admits Rayanne isn't great and lost her UFC debut, but still picks her.

"I'm going to go with rayan Amanda to be honest with you guys uh yeah I'll take her to win this one"
LOSS vs Talita Alencar
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · Dec 09, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Talita Alencar 0 57 of 130 43% 80 of 156 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Rayanne dos Santos 0 36 of 157 22% 48 of 176 1 of 9 11% 0 0 2:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Talita Alencar 0 34 of 64 53% 34 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 11 of 63 17% 13 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Talita Alencar 0 10 of 22 45% 32 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Rayanne dos Santos 0 16 of 44 36% 25 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:11
3 Talita Alencar 0 13 of 44 29% 14 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rayanne dos Santos 0 9 of 50 18% 10 of 52 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Talita Alencar 57 of 130 43% 41 of 104 11 of 17 5 of 9 45 of 117 11 of 12 1 of 1
Rayanne dos Santos 36 of 157 22% 21 of 125 12 of 25 3 of 7 21 of 133 8 of 12 7 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Talita Alencar 34 of 64 53% 28 of 56 4 of 5 2 of 3 27 of 57 7 of 7 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 11 of 63 17% 5 of 49 5 of 12 1 of 2 9 of 59 2 of 4 0 of 0
2 Talita Alencar 10 of 22 45% 4 of 13 4 of 5 2 of 4 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1
Rayanne dos Santos 16 of 44 36% 8 of 30 6 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 25 5 of 7 7 of 12
3 Talita Alencar 13 of 44 29% 9 of 35 3 of 7 1 of 2 11 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rayanne dos Santos 9 of 50 18% 8 of 46 1 of 2 0 of 2 8 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Talita Alencar vs. Rayanne Amanda dos Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dos Santos (-148), Alencar (+124)

Round 1
The penultimate UFC card of 2023 is upon us, and it is certainly an event.
Road to UFC 2 Finals
UFC Shanghai
UFC Vegas 83 will bring a small crop of Asian prospects to the forefront, but it will start with two Brazilian ladies going head-to-head at 115 pounds. Invicta FC atomweight champ Amanda (14-6, 0-0 UFC) will be moving up in weight for her promotional debut, while Alencar (4-0-1, 0-0 UFC) was signed off of Dana White’s Contender Series—from a draw. High finish rates from the ladies mean that referee Keith Peterson might have to get involved before it is all said and done, but before they get after it, the strawweight leave their nonsense at the door and wade towards one another without a glove touch in sight. Alencar sticks out a front kick to introduce herself, and Amanda backs off and flicks out a jab. Amanda springs to the side and gets kicked upside the head, and Alencar crashes the pocket and looks for a takedown. When Amanda pushes her off, Alencar looks for a left hand on the break. Alencar reaches out with an overhand right, and she just misses with a subsequent high kick. The ladies slam fists in one another’s faces at the same time, and Alencar wobbles back but gathers her senses and looks to settle down with jabs and head kick attempts. Alencar misses the mark with an overhand right, and Amanda answers her with a solid right that knocks her foe back. Amanda pushes off with a one-two, and as she overcommits to a strike, Alencar closes in on her and snatches hold of a single-leg takedown. Amanda backs herself up against the fence, keeping her balance, and she leans back against the wall. When she pushes off, she takes a right hand on the chin. Amanda comes out firing, and Alencar responds in kind as they crack one another in the chops. Amanda wings a left hand high to open up a straight right hand down the middle, and Alencar takes a few steps back and gets driven towards the cage wall. Amanda rings her bell with a one-two, and she goes low with a kick to mix things up. Amanda strings several punches together, and she ends a combination with a right hand right on the ear. The two slow down to not burn out their gas tanks early, and Amanda settles down with a few jabs. Alencar attempts a takedown in open cage, and Amanda shoves her back and starts lighting her up with body shots and those up high. Right as the bell sounds, Amanda leaps in the air, and she bounces of Alencar’s forehead—it is a legal blow, technically, so nothing else comes of it.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amanda
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amanda
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amanda

Round 2
The ladies meet in the middle, and Alencar reintroduces herself with a winging right hand that bounces off the guard, and a head kick try that makes her topple over. Amanda backs off, as if to signal her foe to stand back up, but Alencar butt-scoots towards her. Amanda motions for her to stand up, and Peterson gets between them to make it so. When upright, Alencar throws hard but cannot find her range with her strikes. Amanda prods at her with a low kick, and she leans back from a pair of high kicks that buzz past her. Amanda calmly works her way in, peppering with the occasional kick, and shutting down much of anything coming back her way. When Alencar attempts a head kick, Amanda dips and smacks her in the lead leg. Both women paw out front kicks several feet away from the other, and Alencar struggles to get in. Alencar aims one kick low as Amanda springs from side to side, and the former Invicta champ ducks a pair of punches and nails Alencar with a right hand. Alencar crowds her and jams her up against the fence, and she spams knees to the body to stay busy. With both underhooks, Alencar muscles Amanda to the mat courtesy of a body lock takedown. Alencar lands on top in half guard, and she looks for side control while also attempting an armlock on the other side. Amanda defends against the submission while pushing the shorter woman off of her, and she connects with a few on the chest to keep Alencar at bay. Alencar lowers herself down to deliver some powerful strikes, and she stings Amanda with one right before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Alencar
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Alencar

Round 3
Alencar takes to the center of the cage to start the final frame, and she leads the dance with a one-two as Amanda ducks to the side. Amanda looks for her own short combination, and she ends up countering Alencar with a short right when Alencar attacks. Alencar kicks the body and reaches out with a left hand, and Amanda’s own offense is relatively muted. Amanda looks to strike when Alencar ducks down for a takedown, and she pushes Alencar to the side and whiffs on a haymaker when she breaks away. Alencar tosses out three punches that bounce off the raised guard, and Amanda gets one back on the temple. This same type of exchange repeats itself, with Alencar not landing while Amanda gets one in. Amanda swings for the fences, and Alencar is well out of harm’s way in time. Alencar, not wanting to get hit by one of those booming shots, shoots for a single. Amanda stuffs it and sprints to the side to reset. Alencar meanders forward, attempting kicks and punches, and Amanda calmly responds with a single damaging leg kick. Amanda doubles up on a jab as Alencar walks her down, and she hops back to avoid a head kick and comes up short with an overhand right. Both women get off right hands during a brief exchange, and Amanda separates and connects with a low kick. Alencar attempts a single, and Amanda stuffs her and busts her in the chops with a right hand. Amanda is swinging with everything she has, and she catches Alencar at the end of a right. Amanda smiles with 10 seconds left on the clock, as she draws Alencar into a brawl. This works to her advantage, as she rings Alencar up with a few strikes before Alencar tries to clinch up. This position ends the fight, and Amanda, all smiles, looks for a hug from her now former opponent.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amanda (29-28 Amanda)

The Official Result
Talita Alencar def. Rayanne Amanda dos Santos via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Cody picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she is a natural atomweight moving up, but she has speed and better striking. Cody points out that Alencar is a BJJ specialist with poor cardio and limited MMA experience. He thinks dos Santos can keep the fight standing and outpoint Alencar. Cody also mentions that dos Santos has good takedown defense and cardio from five-round fights.

"I got to take the slight favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Paul picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she has a well-rounded skill set and better striking. Paul points out that Alencar is one-dimensional and gassed in her Contender Series fight. He thinks dos Santos's reach and striking advantage will be key. Paul is not forcing an underdog pick here and goes with the favorite.

"it's rayon Amanda the favorite minus 160 for me"
Expert Picks (2)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Cody picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she is a natural atomweight moving up, but she has speed and better striking. Cody points out that Alencar is a BJJ specialist with poor cardio and limited MMA experience. He thinks dos Santos can keep the fight standing and outpoint Alencar. Cody also mentions that dos Santos has good takedown defense and cardio from five-round fights.

"I got to take the slight favorite"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rayanne dos Santos

Paul picks Rayanne dos Santos. He notes that she has a well-rounded skill set and better striking. Paul points out that Alencar is one-dimensional and gassed in her Contender Series fight. He thinks dos Santos's reach and striking advantage will be key. Paul is not forcing an underdog pick here and goes with the favorite.

"it's rayon Amanda the favorite minus 160 for me"
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Rayanne lost to Pujar before this. In the fight she threw up a shin high kick. Talita got a takedown went for a kimura. IDK. Lots of experience grabbling previously but at what level??