UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · Jun 27, 2026 · Middleweight · Scheduled
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Age 32
Height 6' 5"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 28
Height 6' 4"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Nursulton Ruziboev
2.59 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
2.89 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.75 TD Avg
66.0% TD Acc.
33.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Andrey Pulyaev
3.84 SLpM
56.0% Str. Acc.
3.14 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.29 TD Avg
16.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Nursulton Ruziboev - Fight History
SCHED vs Andrey Pulyaev
CANCEL vs Bryan Battle
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo has been a big supporter of Ruziboev since his UFC debut and picks him here. He highlights Ruziboev's wrestling and grappling prowess, his size at 6'5, and his power, noting that Battle missed weight and is moving up to middleweight where his power may not carry. He believes Battle is not big enough for the weight class and that Ruziboev's chin and skills will prevail. He bet on Ruziboev at +150.

bet at +150
"I'm picking Nerzleton and I bet on Nerzleton at plus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by second-round knockout. He notes Ruziboev has massive size, reach, and power, and that Battle has poor striking defense (44%). He thinks Battle will walk into big shots and could get knocked out. He also mentions Ruziboev's takedown defense is improving and Battle is not a wrestler at middleweight. He acknowledges Ruziboev is low volume but dangerous, and could win by damage-based decision or knockout.

Ruziboev by KO, round 2
"I'm going to take Ruseabova to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by TKO in the first two rounds. He believes Ruziboev's height and reach advantage will be problematic for Bryan Battle, who won't be able to use his physicality as he did against Randy Brown. The Guru notes that Ruziboev is a dirty fighter who will cheat to win, extending fingers and grabbing the cage. He also mentions Ruziboev's dynamic movement and ability to dart in and out, which will be difficult for Battle to handle.

TKO in first two rounds; Ruziboev wins by TKO
"I'm actually going to go with Ruseo getting this one done by TKO. ... I think he'll finish Brian Battle in the first two rounds."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 21 of 37 56% 41 of 62 2 of 5 40% 2 0 5:11
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 35 of 68 51% 53 of 94 1 of 2 50% 0 2 3:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 5 of 13 38% 10 of 18 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:14
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 13 of 27 48% 21 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:24
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 2 of 3 66% 14 of 18 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:13
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 11 of 19 57% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:55
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 14 of 21 66% 17 of 26 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:44
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 11 of 22 50% 11 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Stoltzfus 21 of 37 56% 5 of 19 4 of 6 12 of 12 19 of 34 1 of 2 1 of 1
Nursulton Ruziboev 35 of 68 51% 24 of 53 8 of 11 3 of 4 24 of 52 1 of 1 10 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 5 of 13 38% 2 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nursulton Ruziboev 13 of 27 48% 8 of 19 2 of 4 3 of 4 11 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Nursulton Ruziboev 11 of 19 57% 9 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 14
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 14 of 21 66% 2 of 7 2 of 4 10 of 10 13 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Nursulton Ruziboev 11 of 22 50% 7 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 11, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo picks Nursulton Ruziboev confidently, calling him an absolute beast. He highlights Ruziboev's massive 6'5" frame, wrestling and grappling prowess, and a good chin. He notes that Ruziboev's only UFC loss was to Buckley at 170 lbs, which is credible. Angelo expects Ruziboev to be patient, eat a few shots, and then pour it on later. He finds the -280 odds affordable and suggests the over might be sneaky good if a round line is available.

Angelo suggests the over on a round line might be sneaky good because Ruziboev has an incredible chin.
"Nerzleton's the pick. The minus 280 odds seem pretty affordable."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 15, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Big Brady picks Dustin Stoltzfus as a plus-240 underdog, citing Ruziboev's poor takedown defense and lack of volume. He believes Stoltzfus can take Ruziboev down and control him, making Ruziboev's power useless. He expects a decision win if Stoltzfus fights smart.

Stoltzfus by decision
"I'm taking Stoultz here, believe it or not. ... I think he has all the tools to to win this fight. So I'll say Solstus wins this fight by decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

The host acknowledges Ruziboev's power and striking advantage but notes he has been grinded out by lesser grapplers. He believes Stoltzfus, with his BJJ black belt and wrestling improvements from Extreme Couture, can get Ruziboev to the ground and grind him out from top position, either winning on the scorecards or finding a submission.

Stoltzfus by decision or submission
"As long as Stoultzfus has really minded his P's and Q's in this fight and really sharpened his game with the help of extreme couture, he should be you able to utilize his BJJ black belt and wrestling improvements to …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev, calling him a dirty fighter who moves well and has a ton of experience. He thinks Ruziboev is better at middleweight with more power. He notes Stoltzfus has been styled on by opponents like Bruno Ferreira and doesn't see a path to victory. He predicts a TKO in the first or second round.

Ruziboev by TKO in round 1 or 2
"I'm gonna have to go with Nultton Marusv TKO in the first or second round."
WIN vs Eric McConico
KO R2 0:33 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Feb 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nursulton Ruziboev 2 20 of 42 47% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Eric McConico 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 0 13 of 24 54% 14 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Eric McConico 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Nursulton Ruziboev 2 7 of 18 38% 10 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Eric McConico 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nursulton Ruziboev 20 of 42 47% 15 of 35 4 of 6 1 of 1 13 of 30 6 of 11 1 of 1
Eric McConico 5 of 13 38% 1 of 5 1 of 3 3 of 5 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 13 of 24 54% 8 of 17 4 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eric McConico 4 of 10 40% 0 of 3 1 of 2 3 of 5 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Nursulton Ruziboev 7 of 18 38% 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 7 5 of 10 1 of 1
Eric McConico 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Eric McConico vs. Nursulton Ruziboev

Round 1
Moving right along, two men that rarely leave matters to the judges will clash to start building momentum in the wide-open middleweight category. After a tough loss, Ruziboev (34-9-2, 2 NC; 2-1 UFC) is returning to 185 pounds, and he will be welcoming Tuff-N-Uff vet McConico (9-2-1, 0-0 UFC) to the world-famous Octagon. Referee Keith Peterson is on guard, ready to step in at a moment’s notice and bust up any nonsense. A fist bump precedes the action, and McConico opens up with a slapping low kick as “USA” chants loudly echo throughout the building. McConico parries a front kick fired at him and chambers a head kick in response, only to not let it go. As the fighters circle one another without much activity, the fans let the fighters have it with a swath of boos. Ruziboev tries to answer their calls for action with an overhand right, but he misses the mark by a wide margin. Ruziboev tries for another as a counter, and he skims the side of the head when McConico attempts a kick. McConico is out of range with most of his strikes, and Ruziboev reaches him at the end of a right hand right on the pectorals. Ruziboev jams a front kick to the liver, and he is answered with a low kick. Ruziboev surges forward with a right hand, and he shakes his head when McConico fails on a counter. Ruziboev blitzes after another lull in action, and a second flurry gets his hands on his opponent. McConico rips a kick to the ribs, and “Black” wraps him up and pushes him to the fencing. Dirty boxing from the newcomer allows him to break out of the tie-up, and he has a head kick slap off the raised guard to little impact. The crowd is not impressed, even as Ruziboev marches forward and zings a few straight punches down the middle. A low kick from McConico is answered by a one-two, and this exchange happens a second time. The Uzbekistan ends the round with a body kick and a right hand.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ruziboev
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ruziboev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ruziboev

Round 2
The fighters clap hands to get going, and McConico is energized as he puts a pair of punches on the chin to reintroduce himself. Ruziboev fires right back, and this slugfest is exactly where McConico does not want to be. The taller, longer man unloads and nails McConico with a strong combination of punches, causing McConico to wobble and stumble his way to the fence. McConico falls to his face and works his way up under fire.
Ruziboev chases, swinging with all his might, allowing the newcomer to get back to his feet so he can blast him once more with several relentless right hands. As McConico hits the deck a second time, Peterson has seen enough, with McConico turning to his side and in a bad, bad way.
The victor walks off screaming, letting out all of his remaining emotions after registering the knockout. That marks 33 finishes in the 35 wins for the Uzbekistan native, who at 6-foot-5 will be a tough matchup for a lot of fighters in the weight class. To make matters more interesting, Ruziboev informs commentator Michael Bisping that he is willing to fight at either 77 or 84 kgs, meaning 170 pounds or 185 pounds.

The Official Result
Nursulton Ruziboev def. Eric McConico R2 0:33 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo is confident in Nursulton Ruziboev, noting he is a big middleweight with wrestling and power, and that this weight class suits him better than welterweight. He thinks McConico is not dangerous enough on the feet to pose a real problem, and expects Ruziboev's wrestling to be a big advantage. He assumes both fighters are in shape despite short notice.

"I think Nursulton has another showcase win here... these odds minus 300 assuming everybody's in shape make a ton of sense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev but hates the -300 price tag, calling it unwarranted. He notes that Ruziboev hasn't proven much in the UFC, with wins via eye poke and one-punch knockout, and was taken down by Warlley Alves for three rounds. However, he thinks Ruziboev's size, length, and power will be too much for Eric McConico, who has durability issues and is coming in on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.

by first round knockout
"I got to go rabo again I hate the minus 300 don't lay minus 300 on this dude but I'm going to pick rabo to win this fight by first round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Eric McConico

The host notes McConico is on short notice but in shape from a recent fight. He expects McConico to use a game plan similar to Buckley's, keeping Ruziboev on his back and out of danger, winning on the scorecards.

"look for makano to try to utilize the same game plan as walking Buckley keeping ruzi boov on his back keeping him out of danger and eventually winning this fight on the scorecards"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The Guru picks Ruziboev based on 'light man skill' and experience fighting at welterweight, implying he had to be good to win there. He criticizes McConico's late-career signing at age 34, lack of finishing potential, and weak resume. He expects Ruziboev to piece him up and finish him.

"I'm going with rabo but there you go there's a story line I doubted him if he pulls off the upset good for him"
LOSS vs Joaquin Buckley
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joaquin Buckley 1 86 of 156 55% 113 of 187 4 of 4 100% 0 1 5:30
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 31 of 72 43% 43 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joaquin Buckley 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:16
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 7 of 22 31% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Joaquin Buckley 0 14 of 27 51% 23 of 37 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:42
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 8 of 21 38% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Joaquin Buckley 1 64 of 106 60% 82 of 127 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:32
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 16 of 29 55% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joaquin Buckley 86 of 156 55% 70 of 137 14 of 17 2 of 2 15 of 50 0 of 0 71 of 106
Nursulton Ruziboev 31 of 72 43% 17 of 46 13 of 24 1 of 2 23 of 59 1 of 1 7 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joaquin Buckley 8 of 23 34% 5 of 18 2 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 9
Nursulton Ruziboev 7 of 22 31% 4 of 15 3 of 6 0 of 1 7 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Joaquin Buckley 14 of 27 51% 8 of 21 5 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 18 0 of 0 7 of 9
Nursulton Ruziboev 8 of 21 38% 3 of 13 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Joaquin Buckley 64 of 106 60% 57 of 98 7 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 18 0 of 0 60 of 88
Nursulton Ruziboev 16 of 29 55% 10 of 18 5 of 10 1 of 1 8 of 16 1 of 1 7 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Joaquin Buckley vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Buckley (-166), Ruziboev (+140)

Round 1
Ever since moving down to 170 pounds, the 5-foot-8 kickfighter Buckley (18-6, 8-4 UFC) has found a new lease on life, even if he tries to move up a more logjammed division with contenders waiting ages for title shots these days. Looking to crash that party will be Uzbekistan finisher Ruziboev (34-8-2, 2 NC; 2-0 UFC), who has shifted back and forth from welterweight and middleweight over the years. Knowing that one of these men may need smelling salts in the foreseeable future, referee Keith Peterson is ultra-prepped and ready for the nonsense-free proceedings. There is a stern staredown between the two that ultimately results in no touch of gloves. Buckley crowds his way forward to begin, and he backs away from a front kick that is aimed his direction. Buckley shifts to the left and right while trying to find his way in, and Ruziboev is warned for outstretched fingers. Ruziboev reaches with a right hand, and Buckley comes at him swinging. Ruziboev ducks away from a huge overhand left, and he tries to line up straight shots to intercept the shorter man coming in. Ruziboev misses another front kick, and he lets Buckley fly past him when Buckley is winging shots. The crowd starts chanting “USA,” and Buckley absorbs this energy and surges forward, where he takes a flush flying knee to the body and tackles Ruziboev to the ground. Buckley is wrapped up when landing on top, with Ruziboev hooking his arms around Buckley’s to hope for a stalemate that results in a standup. Buckley is pushed away, and he swings when Ruziboev fights back to his feet. Ruziboev returns fire and clips him, and Buckley retreats only to sprint forward and smash straight into Ruziboev’s chest to put him flat on his back. Buckley decides after landing a few strikes to stand back up, and Ruziboev follows him up. Buckley hops away from a front kick and scores a low kick, and his jabs as well out of range. Buckley keeps his guard up to block a high kick, and his blitz of a few looping strikes come up short. Buckley raises his hand in the air as he circles away, and he tells Ruziboev to fight him. Ruziboev motions to come get him, and Buckley answers as he leaps forward throwing wild hooks. Buckley spins with a back kick that is brushed off, and he walks off disappointed. Ruziboev runs at him and jumps with a flying knee, but Buckley is elsewhere as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 2
Buckley appears to have a fire lit in his belly as he starts the second round, as he races forward and releases a big kick early. Ruziboev retreats and measures Buckley with a right hand. Buckley resets and blazes forward, ripping Ruziboev off of his feet and tossing him down to the floor like a sack of potatoes. Ruziboev uses his offensive guard to kick Buckley off of him, and Buckley allows him to get back up. Ruziboev gets off a right hand that partially connects, and Buckley closes in and lands as body shot. Ruziboev trots forward with his arms outstretched, and he walks into a front kick to the sternum. Buckley chases Ruziboev around and shrugs off a right hand so he can unload with body shots. Buckley takes a flush knee and responds with a right hook that lands cleanly. Buckley is struck with another knee on the way in, and is still struggling to find the range. A side kick from “New Mansa” finds its target, and his guard is high enough to block a straight right hand from his foe. Ruziboev splits the guard with a front kick and hops away from winging hooks that whiz past him. Buckley starts pointing around the cage, and he tries to use this misdirection to charge in and crack his foe. He gets off a big right hand and wrenches Ruziboev down to the mat, slamming him down and landing in side control. Buckley puts a knee on the belly, and Ruziboev pulls him back to guard. Buckley rains down punches, and Ruziboev answers with an armbar that Buckley completely ignores. The round ends, Buckley helps his foe up and they embrace.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Buckley

Round 3
Hands are clapped together to begin the final round. They use alternating jabs to still look for their respective distances, and Buckley leaps forward and pulls back before reaching the target. Buckley has a right hand glance off the target, and Ruziboev replies with a few body shots. Buckley eats a left hand and laughs it off so he can blast Ruziboev in the face with bombs. Buckley knocks Ruziboev off his feet down to his seat, where he moves to top position, and Ruziboev flails frantically with his legs and lands a few upkicks to get Buckley away. Buckley holds on the neck when Ruziboev sits up, and Ruziboev escapes and tries to land some shots. Buckley chases after him and connects with some punishing blows, and Ruziboev goes down again. Buckley leaps on top and begins an onslaught of ground-and-pound when he gets to mount, and he hammers Ruziboev with punches as Ruziboev’s face has been bloodied up. Ruziboev struggles to hang on and grabs the glove to protect himself, so Buckley frames off with his elbow and clobbers him with additional elbows. Ruziboev survives the assault somehow and sweeps the shorter man, and he ignores a triangle setup to move into the half guard so he can blast Buckley with his own offense. Buckley twists and turns, and he explodes to turn Ruziboev over and put him down again. Buckley sits up and jackhammers Ruziboev with right hands, and Peterson is watching closely as Ruziboev’s eye is busted up. Buckley unleashes with everything he has, and Ruziboev responds with several illegal upkicks that land on the spine and the back of the head. Peterson calls time to acknowledge the foul, and Buckley asks for them to be stood up. Ruziboev tries to offer a glove touch, and Buckley shrugs him off. Ruziboev loads up on a head kick, and Buckley walks him down and slugs him in the chops right to the final horn. This matchup somehow has gone the distance, although it is no question who will get their hand raised.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Buckley (30-26 Buckley)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Buckley (30-27 Buckley)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Buckley (30-26 Buckley)

The Official Result
Joaquin Buckley def. Nursulton Ruziboev via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo picks Nursulton Ruziboev, citing his wrestling and grappling ability, as well as his power in his hands. He notes Ruziboev is a much larger fighter and a capable striker, but worries he might abandon his grappling for striking. He acknowledges Joaquin Buckley's speed, power, and improved movement, but believes Ruziboev's wrestling could be the difference.

"I am still going to pick nelton rabv here and that's because nelton rabv I think can be the real deal"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to knock out Joaquin Buckley in the first round, calling it a shot in the dark. He notes that Buckley has been knocked out multiple times (by Holland, Curtis, etc.) and Ruziboev has a ton of power. However, he admits he still doesn't know much about Ruziboev, who has over 40 fights but mostly first-round finishes. He thinks Ruziboev's power might be the difference, and if he beats Buckley, he will gain hype.

"I'm going to take the upset we here with ROV really really a shot in the dark cuz again just still not don't know what to think of this guy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Cody picks Buckley, noting that Ruziboev has a poor record at 170 lbs (7 of 8 losses at that weight) and tends to gas after the first round. He highlights Buckley's speed, cardio advantage, and ability to explode with big shots. Cody believes Buckley can survive an early onslaught and take over in later rounds, especially with the crowd behind him in St. Louis. He also notes that Ruziboev's takedown defense is suspect and Buckley could mix in wrestling.

"I got Buckley terms of Buckley's own offensive wrestling he's actually a decent not great decent wrestler I think he could force the issue on RAB boov"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

Daniel Vreeland picks Joaquin Buckley, noting that Buckley has experience against larger opponents and that Ruziboev's ceiling is likely top 30. He believes Buckley can extend the fight and find his range, and that Ruziboev struggles when he doesn't get an early finish. He also mentions the risk of a letdown spot for Buckley after a big win.

"I do think that he's gonna be able to shine in the co-main event especially if he can extend this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Joaquin Buckley

The host picks Buckley to win by knockout in rounds 2 or 3, citing his experience and fight IQ against a less tested opponent. He expects Buckley to mix in grappling and wear down Ruziboev before landing a big shot. He notes Ruziboev's size and reach but questions his weight cut and competition level. The pick is confident for the finish, though he acknowledges unknowns about Ruziboev.

Buckley knockout round 2 or 3
"I'm going to go Buckley knockout probably round two or round three"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Paul leans towards Ruziboev but is hesitant, citing his size and power advantage. He notes that Ruziboev has a 10-fight winning streak with all finishes in the first round, but his record at 170 is poor. Paul worries about the weight cut and cardio, as Ruziboev has not gone past the first round in years. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins to see how Ruziboev looks at 170. Paul acknowledges Buckley's improvements but thinks Ruziboev could be a 'merer' if he lands early.

"I still think I like ROV I'm going to wait until the weigh ends though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The MMA Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev over Joaquin Buckley, noting Ruziboev's reach and rangy striking style. He believes Buckley's boxing-heavy approach will be neutralized by Ruziboev's length and uppercuts, and that Ruziboev's willingness to cheat (eye pokes) could be an advantage. He predicts a TKO win via uppercut as Buckley comes in.

TKO, uppercut
"I'm gonna go with nasam Rusev... TKO going to say uppercut as Buckley comes in."
TKO (punches) R1 3:18 · UFC on ESPN: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Mar 30, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nursulton Ruziboev 1 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Sedriques Dumas 0 1 of 16 6% 1 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 1 12 of 32 37% 12 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Sedriques Dumas 0 1 of 16 6% 1 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nursulton Ruziboev 12 of 32 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 7
Sedriques Dumas 1 of 16 6% 1 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 12 of 32 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 25 0 of 0 1 of 7
Sedriques Dumas 1 of 16 6% 1 of 13 0 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sedriques Dumas vs. Nursulton Ruziboev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruziboev (-265), Dumas (+215)

Round 1
Ruziboev and Dumas go to work under the supervision of referee “Shaolin” Ribeiro. Both middleweights are in orthodox stance, and Dumas comes forward with kick feints and a long jab. Ruziboev isn’t throwing anything back, but once he has the read, he nails Dumas with a righty counter over the jab. Dumas backs off, and when they come together again, Ruziboev meets him with an uppercut up the middle. Ruziboev tries a lead left hook that glances, and backs away from a Dumas front kick. Dumas continues to match forward, but he backs away from the ensuing collision pawing at his right eye. He looks at the referee, but Ribeiro either didn’t see a foul, or saw a legal strike.
Ruziboev gives no quarter, coming forward and laying into Dumas with a string of punches. Dumas wilts under the barrage, covering up as Ruziboev pours on the punishment. Ribeiro interposes himself for the stoppage, but this is going to be one heavily viewed replay.
The replay, when it comes, shows Ruziboev appearing to drag his open fingers across Dumas’ face during one of the final exchanges. We will see if that leads to any sort of appeal in the coming days.

The Official Result
Nursolton Ruziboev def. Sedriques Dumas R1 3:18 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo is very confident in Nursulton Ruziboev, calling him a 'grappling beast' who will ragdoll Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas as 'kind of terrible' and notes that even Cody Brundage took him down. He believes Ruziboev should be the biggest favorite on the card and recommends betting now before the line moves.

"nelton rabv is a Savage Beast who is going to win this fight I'm very very confident in him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by first-round submission. He highlights Ruziboev's size (6'5" at middleweight), power, and dangerous submission game, noting he has many rear-naked choke wins. He criticizes Dumas for poor performances, getting hurt by lesser opponents, and questionable cardio. Brady believes Ruziboev is a level above everywhere and will submit Dumas when the fight hits the mat.

"give me ntan rizab to win this fight I think he wins it by first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Cody acknowledges Ruziboev's first-round finishing ability but worries about his cardio if the fight goes past the first. He notes Dumas's poor life choices and questionable cardio but thinks Ruziboev's durability and skill advantage should carry him, though the price (-260) is unappealing.

"rusol is the play"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Daniel Vreeland picks Nursulton Ruziboev, citing his massive experience (over 40 fights) and finishing ability. He notes Dumas is still green, has been submitted before (by Josh Fremd), and may have distractions outside the cage. He thinks Ruziboev will expose Dumas on the ground, though he doesn't advocate betting at -250.

"I have a feeling that nuron is gonna expose him on the ground here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 26, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Ruziboev has a height advantage and aggressive striking, but Dumas has a 3-inch reach advantage. Ruziboev's experience (42 fights) and recent camp at Marquez MMA in Philly are positives. Dumas is still unproven; his wins came against Cody Brundage (who jumped guillotine) and Abdul Razak Alhassan (coming off long layoff). Ruziboev's aggressiveness should be the difference, but he must avoid leaving his neck open for a choke. Prediction: Ruziboev inside the distance.

Ruziboev inside the distance; Dumas by decision as a sprinkle
"I'm going to lean with ruzi B Dumas absolutely alive Underdog"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 28, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Paul is high on Ruziboev, calling him a 'monster' and noting his size, power, and training in Philly. He contrasts Ruziboev's focused Instagram with Dumas's partying and legal issues, believing Ruziboev will starch him early.

"I'm picking rabo of to win the fight here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The host picks Nursulton Ruziboev, criticizing Sedriques Dumas' wins as coming against opponents with low fight IQ. He believes Ruziboev is more experienced and has a higher fight IQ. He predicts Ruziboev will win, possibly by using his grappling and striking advantage.

"I'm going to go nult Rusev via probably having above a 50 IQ I think it's all it's going to take here"
KO (punches) R1 1:17 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nursulton Ruziboev 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 0 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brunno Ferreira 0 6 of 9 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nursulton Ruziboev 3 of 5 60% 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nursulton Ruziboev 3 of 5 60% 0 of 0 0 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brunno Ferreira 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Angelo picks Brunno Ferreira but with low confidence. He acknowledges Ferreira's insane power but questions his takedown defense against a wrestling specialist like Ruziboev. He notes that Ruziboev is a live underdog and may flip his pick if the line moves. He advises avoiding betting on this fight entirely.

may bet Ruziboev if underdog line grows
"Brunno will still be the pick but like by this much because he does have insane power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Big Brady picks Brunno Ferreira to win by first-round knockout. He is more impressed with Ferreira's Contender Series win and his knockout of Gregory Rodriguez than any of Ruziboev's opponents. He notes Ruziboev has poor takedown defense and Ferreira has solid wrestling and devastating ground and pound. He acknowledges Ruziboev could be legit but feels Ferreira is the safer pick.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say Ferreira does knock him out though in the very first round I'll say he takes him down gets on top and pounds him out can be Bruno Ferreira by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Cody sees Ruziboev as a greasy underdog with plus money. He notes Ruziboev has 44 pro fights, has improved since moving to Daniel Gracie's team, and has a size and grappling advantage. Ferreira has big power but questionable cardio and grappling. Cody thinks Ruziboev can win by wrestling and cardio, though he acknowledges the unknown level of competition.

"the plus money in Roosevelt looks pretty okay"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Daniel leans Ferreira but with low confidence due to the late opponent change and Ruziboev's length and experience. He notes Ferreira's explosive power and first-round finishing ability, but worries about closing distance against a 6'4" fighter with 20 submission wins. He acknowledges Ruziboev's poor cardio and decision record (2-6), but sees Ferreira's path to victory via takedowns or power shots. He is less confident than in the original matchup against Razak.

"I'm gonna lean for era but not as confident as I was in his initial matchup"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

Paul picks Ferreira but is not confident. He notes Ferreira's power and KO of Gregory Rodrigues, but questions his cardio and grappling. Ruziboev is an unknown with a strange record. Paul thinks Ferreira's power gives him a chance, but he doesn't feel great about the pick.

"I'll pick Ferreira but mine is 200. um I really don't think there's enough like meat on the bone there that I feel confident in that selection"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Brunno Ferreira

The Guru picks Brunno Ferreira, noting his power and strength advantage. He criticizes Ruziboev's striking as sloppy and open to getting chinned, and believes Ferreira will stuff takedowns and land a big shot for a KO. He also notes Ruziboev's submission wins come off his back, but Ferreira won't shoot takedowns.

KO
"I'm gonna go with Bruno for hair... he lands that big shot and puts away rizzobov by KR"
Andrey Pulyaev - Fight History
LOSS vs Ateba Gautier
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 324 · Jan 24, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ateba Gautier 2 34 of 112 30% 34 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrey Pulyaev 0 59 of 123 47% 59 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ateba Gautier 1 8 of 42 19% 8 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrey Pulyaev 0 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ateba Gautier 1 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrey Pulyaev 0 24 of 46 52% 24 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ateba Gautier 0 11 of 29 37% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrey Pulyaev 0 16 of 40 40% 16 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ateba Gautier 34 of 112 30% 24 of 98 9 of 13 1 of 1 30 of 103 4 of 9 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 59 of 123 47% 34 of 83 19 of 32 6 of 8 57 of 121 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ateba Gautier 8 of 42 19% 8 of 39 0 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 19 of 37 51% 12 of 26 7 of 10 0 of 1 19 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Ateba Gautier 15 of 41 36% 9 of 35 5 of 5 1 of 1 12 of 34 3 of 7 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 24 of 46 52% 15 of 33 5 of 9 4 of 4 22 of 44 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Ateba Gautier 11 of 29 37% 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 16 of 40 40% 7 of 24 7 of 13 2 of 3 16 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ateba Abega Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gautier (-900), Pulyaev (+600)

Round 1
It’s knock out or get knocked out as these prelims keep racing towards the finish line. With a mighty 2025 campaign of three first-round strike stoppages at his back, Gautier (9-1, 3-0 UFC) is aiming to become not only a breakout competitor at the age of 23, but a bona fide contender. To get there, he will have to defeat brick that hits back in the form of Pulyaev (10-3, 1-1 UFC). Ready on standby with the smelling salts is—well, it’s not referee Mark Smith, and instead the medical team, but you get the drill—and the power punchers tap their gloves together before swinging them.
Pulyaev looks for a stomp kick to the knee, and is out of range from a high kick from the other leg. Gautier wings a range-finding right hand, and he misses the mark. He stalks the Russian down and blasts him in the face with a cruise missile of a right hand, knocking Pulyaev clean off his feet. Gautier allows him to come back up to his feet and backs off, so that he can stalk his prey further. Pulyaev gets clipped again as he backpedals, with Gautier’s power so overwhelming that he is questioning his life decisions at the moment. The Russian proceeds to work the body with a kick, and sneaks in a left hand to get Gautier’s attention. Gautier gives him a right hand right back, and Pulyaev rolls with the punches and bounces off the cage wall. Gautier scores twice more with clubbing rights, and Pulyaev gets on his bike and starts jabbing. He reaches the target with a left, and dodges a telegraphed Gautier overhand right.
The Alexander Shlemenko protégé surprises Gautier with distance strikes, fighting through a storm and continuing to target the midsection. Gautier lays into him with a right hand, and Pulyaev strikes back and opens a cut on the corner of the betting favorite’s left eye. Pulyaev sticks his man with a one-two, and he knocks Gautier off-balance when Gautier sells out in attack. Pulyaev thumps the body again and unloads with a heavy left, and Gautier is starting to slow and increasingly look for the knockout blow. Pulyaev scores once and dodges the responses, and he jabs Gautier on the way out. Gautier continues stalking forward, his volume falling off fairly fast, and Pulyaev has been staging a comeback effort with multiple effective body shots. Pulyaev takes a groin shot, tells Smith he wants to keep at it, and they trade hands until the bell. Pulyaev may have stolen the round back after the early adversity, but judges’ scores may vary.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gautier
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Pulyaev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pulyaev

Round 2
The middleweights clap hands before getting to business, and Pulyaev starts off with distant kicks. He brings a high kick up that gets blocked, and takes a right hand across the forward bow as he bounces off the fencing. The Russian rips the body with a kick, and he smacks Gautier with a solid left. Gautier is left swinging at air, as he is a fraction of his former speed but still throwing with everything he has. This allows Pulyaev to potshot him with strikes, and his investment of body work has already paid off handsomely. Pulyaev gets in with a left hand and out of the way before Gautier can respond, and he belts his man in the gut again. Gautier steels himself to absorb a left hand so he can hurl back a big right, and Pulyaev wears it well. Body kicks fly from both sides, and Pulyaev doubles up on the midsection work but is caught with an overhand right. The Russian stumbles and falls on his seat, and as if he had springs in his shorts, bounds right back upright no worse for wear.
Gautier continues slowly plodding forward like a Terminator, loading up his right hand but getting nailed with a high kick and a sharp jab before tossing it out. Gautier is not about to stop hurling heavy leather, and he backs Pulyaev up against the wall and sets him down once more. Pulyaev gets back up, and Gautier stalks him down and unloads on him as Pulyaev largely defends the worst of the blows. Gautier takes some time to regenerate his energy resources, and he pitches a high kick that brushes his foe’s face. Pulyaev gets in a left hand, ducks the right, and slips. A Pulyaev head kick goes wide, and his efforts to target the body have slowed. Both men land push kicks to the knee, and Pulyaev slaps Gautier in the face with the instep of his foot. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gautier
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Gautier
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Gautier

Round 3
Pulyaev back-hands a glove touch and stays out of range, wrapping his foot upside Gautier’s head to reintroduce himself. Gautier strikes back with a brutal right hand that stings the Russian once more, but Pulyaev is able to shake it off and keep strafing to the right away from the power. Gautier still loads up on his haymakers, and Pulyaev sees them coming a mile away and tosses back a kick. Pulyaev’s distant strikes have bloodied up Gautier’s nose, and he knows Gautier is going to throw everything at him. He does just that, and Pulyaev zips away. The volume drops off a cliff from these two middleweights, largely relegated to single swings at one another as the action slows.
Gautier keeps his guard up to defend a high kick, and he times Pulyaev bending to the side with a shin to the chin. Pulyaev’s chin is made of sterner stuff, as he absorbs what comes at him and manages to tag Gautier right back. When Pulyaev attacks the body, Gautier counters him with a scooping left. As Pulyaev stays to a wide berth, he chips at the heavy swinger and ducks down to land a big left. Gautier’s looping counters hit air and little more, so he elects to work the body with a kick. Pulyaev lines up a jab to nail the torso with another kick, and Gautier wears it well but is slow as molasses. Pulyaev whiffs on a high kick and walks around the cage as time expires, with the two surprising the masses and going to a decision. It’s anyone’s guess how the judges will value the damage and knockdowns in this matchup.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pulyaev (29-28 Gautier)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Pulyaev (29-28 Pulyaev)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Pulyaev (29-28 Pulyaev)

The Official Result
Ateba Abega Gautier def. Andrey Pulyaev via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Angelo picks Ateba Gautier, calling him a nasty striker with incredible speed and power. He notes Gautier fades but usually finishes early. He acknowledges Andrey Pulyaev is a capable striker with a good jab but believes Gautier will likely win by knockout. He suggests looking for prop bets to find value at minus 800.

He probably wins by knockout. So, you're probably safe here in a couple of props. Obviously, at minus 800 is what it is. Maybe we get an interesting prop here to try to find some value.
"I still think is going to win here. It's likely a showcase. I think he smokes Andre."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lock picked Jan 15, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Big Brady calls this a 'sanctioned murder,' praising Gautier's manager for feeding him easy opponents. He notes Gautier has spent only about 5-6 minutes in the UFC and has knocked out everyone. He believes Pulyaev will back up and get knocked out in round one, possibly fatally.

Gautier by KO/TKO in round 1
"I think it's a sanctioned murder. I I I don't know who sanctioned this fight."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Cody is very confident in Ateba Gautier, comparing him to Francis Ngannou in terms of athleticism and power. He believes Gautier's physicality and striking will overwhelm Pulyaev, who has poor grappling and a weak chin. Cody expects a first-round finish and has bets on Gautier by KO and under 1.5 rounds.

Under 1.5 rounds, Ateba Gautier round 1
"I'm on the under one and a half which is chalky. It's like minus 200. I'm parlaying that thing up. uh him round one."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Connor sees Gautier as a promising prospect with a great head for MMA, while Pulyaev has terrible retreating defense and collapses inward when backing up. He notes that Gautier is an insistent pressure fighter who manages his range well, stepping in with a one-two and then taking a half-step back to land again. Connor believes Pulyaev's poor footwork and tendency to fold under pressure will be exploited.

Odds comment: Gautier opened at -900, now -800; Pulyaev opened at +600, now +550. Connor says the odds seem reasonable.
"This man folds into himself as he backs up. He's a huge rangy striker who every back step he takes is him collapsing inward."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2026 (16 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Daniel Vreeland picks Ateba Gautier to win. He notes Gautier's physicality, knockout power, and youth at 23. He acknowledges that Pulyaev is a step up in competition and is durable, but believes Gautier's confidence and power will be the difference. Vreeland is curious about the over 1.5 rounds prop but ultimately picks Gautier.

over 1.5 rounds (mentioned as potential prop)
"My pick is going to be the minus 900 favorite Gaudier to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2026 (10 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

James is extremely confident, calling Gautier an elite striker with amazing ringcraft and patience. He dismisses the narrative that Gautier only wins due to athleticism, emphasizing his technical striking. He predicts a KO win, possibly in the first round.

"A Tiba Gautier is an elite striker. Elite elite striker. If this guy was not athletic and had no power and had zero muscles, he would still knock people out."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The host picks Gautier by first-round knockout, citing his power and explosiveness. He notes that Pulyaev is a striker but may struggle with Gautier's power and could try grappling unsuccessfully. He recommends the under 1.5 rounds as a better bet than the moneyline, as Gautier is a heavy favorite.

Under 1.5 rounds, Gautier wins in round 1
"I wouldn't take the chalk on Goautier. You know, obviously, I think he wins this fight. I think he gets the knockout, but I think the under one and a half would probably be the better way to go here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Paul is also confident in Gautier, calling him a future champion. He notes Gautier's youth, athleticism, and power, and believes Pulyaev's striking-heavy style plays into Gautier's hands. Paul expects a dominant performance and will include Gautier in parlays despite the high price.

"Yeah, he's going to kill him. um to to to summarize everything into probably less than a minute here. I mean, go watch Andre Pulv this Danny Abeca fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

The MMA Guru picks Ateba Gautier, calling it a lock due to the massive odds (-1000). He notes Gautier's finishing ability and Pulyaev's hesitancy, but also mentions a potential grappling weakness for Gautier. He predicts a first-round TKO via body shots.

first round TKO, body shots
"I'm going to go with Gutierre by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 23, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ateba Gautier

Zane agrees that Gautier is the pick, highlighting that Pulyaev is not a step up from previous opponents and that Gautier's pressure and range management will be too much. He notes that Pulyaev's retreating defense is terrible and that Gautier will keep him trapped and land consistently. Zane also comments on the smart booking for Gautier's development.

Odds comment: Gautier opened at -900, now -800; Pulyaev opened at +600, now +550. Zane says the odds seem reasonable.
"I think this looks like a great fight for goatee. It's a smart booking."
WIN vs Nick Klein
KO/TKO R2 1:31 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrey Pulyaev 0 10 of 21 47% 19 of 33 4 of 7 57% 1 0 4:45
Nick Klein 1 23 of 31 74% 30 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrey Pulyaev 0 9 of 18 50% 18 of 30 3 of 5 60% 1 0 3:55
Nick Klein 0 12 of 18 66% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrey Pulyaev 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:50
Nick Klein 1 11 of 13 84% 13 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrey Pulyaev 10 of 21 47% 5 of 13 5 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 11 7 of 10 0 of 0
Nick Klein 23 of 31 74% 15 of 22 8 of 9 0 of 0 12 of 18 9 of 11 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrey Pulyaev 9 of 18 50% 5 of 12 4 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 9 6 of 9 0 of 0
Nick Klein 12 of 18 66% 7 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 10 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Andrey Pulyaev 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0
Nick Klein 11 of 13 84% 8 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 8 2 of 3 2 of 2
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Leroy Duncan 0 73 of 141 51% 116 of 187 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:36
Andrey Pulyaev 0 18 of 55 32% 36 of 78 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 16 of 34 47% 44 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:50
Andrey Pulyaev 0 4 of 11 36% 14 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 28 of 57 49% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Andrey Pulyaev 0 12 of 36 33% 14 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 0 29 of 50 58% 41 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Andrey Pulyaev 0 2 of 8 25% 8 of 18 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Leroy Duncan 73 of 141 51% 35 of 87 17 of 28 21 of 26 47 of 105 26 of 36 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 18 of 55 32% 8 of 43 7 of 8 3 of 4 14 of 48 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Leroy Duncan 16 of 34 47% 6 of 17 5 of 10 5 of 7 8 of 23 8 of 11 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 4 of 11 36% 1 of 8 2 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Christian Leroy Duncan 28 of 57 49% 10 of 33 5 of 9 13 of 15 27 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 12 of 36 33% 6 of 28 4 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 34 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Christian Leroy Duncan 29 of 50 58% 19 of 37 7 of 9 3 of 4 12 of 26 17 of 24 0 of 0
Andrey Pulyaev 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Angelo picks Christian Leroy Duncan as a massive favorite, stating the odds are spot on. He notes that while Duncan was out-wrestled in his last fight, Pulyaev's striking is limited to an occasional jab, so Duncan won't have to worry about power. He believes Duncan's takedown defense will hold up, and as the fight goes on, Pulyaev's takedowns will become sloppier.

"I've got to go CLD here he's obviously a massive favorite so no shock there but odds aside I think he wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

Brady sees Duncan as a big favorite who beats lower-level guys in spectacular fashion. He thinks Pulyaev is in the same category as Duncan's previous wins. Brady predicts a second-round knockout, noting Pulyaev looked good on the contender series but fought a punching bag.

Duncan by KO round 2
"I got Christian lero Duncan here I'm going to take him to win this fight by by second round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The host believes Duncan is far more athletic, powerful, and quicker on the feet, which will lead to a knockout in the second or third round. He emphasizes Duncan's physical advantages.

knockout in round 2 or 3
"I think Duncan is far more athletic, far more powerful, and way quicker on the feet, and that will ultimately lead to him finding the knockout in the second or third round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Christian Leroy Duncan

The Guru confidently picks Christian Leroy Duncan, believing he is too powerful and dense for Pulyaev, who he describes as frail and manipulatable. He expects Duncan to pressure Pulyaev backwards, push him against the cage, and land knees and elbows. He predicts a TKO in round two, as Pulyaev becomes more hesitant after being pressured early.

TKO round two
"I think Christian Leroy Duncan is a little too powerful for him I think that's going to be the difference here"