Career Averages - Rafael Fiziev
Career Averages - Manuel Torres
Rafael Fiziev
Manuel Torres
Rafael Fiziev - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiziev (-125); Torres (+105)
Round 1
The main event kicks off, with Marc Goddard drawing the final referee assignment of the evening. They touch gloves and go to work immediately. Fiziev reaches out with a hard body kick. Torres answers with one of his own. Torres throws a pair of blistering punches that come up badly short. Fiziev meets Torres’ next approach with a lovely reactive takedown, plowing the Mexican to his seat at the base of the fence. He works to pull Torres’ hips away from the fence and complete the takedown, but Torres powers back to his feet. Fiziev lands a low blow and they take a moment to let Torres recover. As soon as they reengage, the strikers clatter low kicks off of each other’s calves. Torres connects with a punch that bowls Fiziev over, off-balance more than hurt, and he springs back up. Half of the round is down and this has been a frenetic fight so far. They take a breath and go back to business. Fiziev is working southpaw, reaching for Torres’ lead hand, then switches to orthodox. Torres’s left calf is already badly reddened, but he is starting to find the mark with his jab. Fiziev catches Torres coming in and uses a nifty trip to take him completely off his feet. Torres springs back up and misses just short with a sweeping right hand, then lands a very hard jab right before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
They touch gloves. Fiziev comes out and throws a
spinning wheel kick that blasts Torres in the side of the head
. He goes down in a heap and tries to scramble back to his feet, but Fiziev crushes him with a stream of punches, including two coffin nails at the base of the cage that spur Goddard into action. Incredible finish for Rafael Fiziev, and the National Gymnastics Arena explodes!
The Official Result
Rafael Fiziev def. Manuel Torres R2 0:15 via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches)
AJ picks Torres to win by finish, citing his pressure, hand speed, and power. He thinks Fiziev is on a decline, too hittable, and that Torres will close the distance and land big shots. AJ expects a first-round knockout or a club-and-sub, noting Torres' submission threat.
AJ DeVito is extremely confident in Manuel Torres to upset Rafael Fiziev, calling it his lock of the week. He believes Torres is a stylistic nightmare for Fiziev due to his quick gap-closing and heavy hands, and questions Fiziev's durability after recent knockout losses. He notes Torres' submission threat as a secondary option but expects a KO. He also discusses various prop bets including Torres by finish, KO, submission, and round props, but ultimately prefers the moneyline at plus money.
AJ picks Torres by knockout, citing his devastating power and blitzing style. Fiziev is coming off a KO loss and may struggle with Torres' pressure. Torres' submission threat is also live. The matchup favors Torres' close-range aggression over Fiziev's kickboxing.
AJ picks Torres by finish, citing his power, pressure, and underrated grappling. He thinks Fiziev has shown signs of slowing down and that Torres's jiu-jitsu is superior. He expects Torres to force a stoppage, possibly by submission or TKO.
Angelo picks Fiziev after flipping from Torres, citing that Fiziev's recent losses are to elite fighters (Gamrot, Ruffy) and that he is the better striker. He notes Fiziev's chin is questionable but believes he can fight smart at home and outpoint Torres.
Angelo initially doubted Fiziev due to his fading chin, but after seeing Justin Gaethje's performance, he reversed his pick. He believes Fiziev is the better striker and wrestler, and that Torres' win over Grant Dawson is not comparable to Fiziev's losses to Gaethje and Ruffy. He hopes Fiziev's chin holds up and notes that Fiziev has flipped to a slight favorite at -115.
Angelo is fine with Fiziev winning and picked him, but acknowledges Manuel Torres as a solid underdog with random power and slick grappling. He notes Fiziev's losses are to top fighters like Gaethje and Ruffy, and a broken leg against Gamrot, while Torres may not be ready for that level.
Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He notes Torres is a 'kill or be killed' fighter with 19 first-round finishes in 20 fights, possessing massive power. Fiziev is the more technical striker but has taken damage, has a questionable chin after being knocked out by Ruffy, and may be on the decline. Brady thinks Torres catches him early, though he acknowledges Fiziev could win if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Fiziev, citing his body of work and home-field advantage in Azerbaijan. He acknowledges Torres's power and danger in the first round but believes Fiziev's experience and skill edge will prevail if he survives the early onslaught. He notes the fight is low on his betting priority list.
Daniel Levi leans towards Fiziev because he has proven more at the upper echelon, has more ways to win including mixing in takedowns, and his power has translated deep into fights (e.g., fifth-round KO of RDA). He acknowledges Torres's dangerous first-round power and size but questions his durability past round one and his level of competition. Levi is low-key rooting for Torres but wants to see how he handles an extended war.
Jacob picks Torres by KO, citing his tape study showing Fiziev is susceptible to a long 1-2 combination. He thinks Torres' blitzing style and round 1 aggression will overwhelm Fiziev, who has been dropped before. He expects an early finish.
Lucrative James picks Fiziev because he believes Fiziev is a much higher level striker than Torres, with better patience, volume, and technical kicking. He notes that Fiziev has fought and beaten better competition, and that Torres has not been outside round one since 2018, giving Fiziev a cardio and experience advantage in later rounds. He also points to the common opponent Ignacio Bahamondes, who knocked out Torres but was clearly outpointed by Fiziev. However, he acknowledges Torres has more power and is on an upward trajectory while Fiziev has wear and tear.
The host believes Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai striking and experience will allow him to find openings and counter Torres, leading to a big knockout win for Fiziev in front of his home country.
Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai and speed will allow him to counter Torres' aggression. Torres makes mistakes and trusts his power too much. Fiziev can eat a shot and land his own counters, hurting Torres and eventually putting him away by knockout.
Paul picks Fiziev but is hesitant, noting Fiziev's age and wear from a long career with many fights. He worries about Fiziev's durability after the Ruffy KO and thinks his best days are behind him. However, he values Fiziev's back class and experience over Torres's unknown durability and cardio, and expects Fiziev to win a competitive fight.
The Guru picks Fiziev via third or fourth-round TKO, citing his superior striking, defense, and experience. He believes Fiziev's leg kicks and body work will slow Torres, who lacks experience in longer fights. He notes Torres's power but expects Fiziev's patience and technical edge to prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurício Ruffy | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 37 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 1 | 55 of 88 | 62% | 60 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maurício Ruffy | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 21 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Maurício Ruffy | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 1 | 37 of 60 | 61% | 39 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurício Ruffy | 36 of 66 | 54% | 9 of 31 | 15 of 19 | 12 of 16 | 34 of 64 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 55 of 88 | 62% | 45 of 77 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 7 | 42 of 66 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maurício Ruffy | 16 of 33 | 48% | 2 of 12 | 7 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 14 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 18 of 28 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 18 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Maurício Ruffy | 20 of 33 | 60% | 7 of 19 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 37 of 60 | 61% | 32 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 20 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ruffy (-122), Fiziev (+102)
Round 1
It’s a striker’s delight in the “featured fight of the night” slot, as lightweights in need of a big win lock ‘em up. “Ataman” Fiziev (13-4, 7-4 UFC) may have struggled having to face Justin Gaethje twice in the span of about two years, but he righted the ship last June by taking out Ignacio Bahamondes. On the other side of the equation, Fighting Nerds staple Ruffy (12-2, 3-1 UFC) saw his mighty win streak come to a crashing halt last year when the co-headliner Benoit St. Denis wrangled and tapped him. This ranked lightweight contest where only man will remain in the top 10 when the dust settles will be officiated by referee Dan Movahedi. The heavy hitters touch gloves before handling their business.
Ruffy in a wide stance holds the center of the cage, avoiding a sweeping low kick while keeping his lead hand dangerously low. The head movement allows Ruffy to dodge a sudden head kick, and he answers with a quick leg kick. Fiziev slowly works his way forward, cutting off the cage and darting in behind a single left hand. Ruffy tosses out another kick, and Fiziev drills him with one that is far heavier. Fiziev ducks away from a tie-up attempt and goes low with another hard kick. Ruffy is not responding well to the calf kicks from the Tiger Muay Thai striking instructor, and Fiziev pressures him all the way to the wall to force a clinch. Ruffy turns him around, and Fiziev is able to escape out the side and nail the body with a kick. Ruffy offers a spinning elbow that is not accurate, and Fiziev walks him down without fear of reprisal.
Ruffy steps in to strike, and he gets caught with a pair of punches and a surprise head kick. Fiziev keeps Ruffy on the back foot, whipping him with kicks to remain pinned to the wall. Ruffy chains a low kick into a step-in knee, and Fiziev barely dodges in time. Both men go to the body, with tit-for-tat powerful single striking exchanges. Ruffy largely throws one at a time, while Fiziev walks through them and fires of his own combos. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ruffy
Round 2
The athletes meet in the middle, with Fiziev starting off with strong body kicks. Ruffy replies with a solid right hand to back him off, and he spins with a back kick that Fiziev evades in time. Fiziev kicks low and then to the ribs, and he ducks under a sweeping left hand. Ruffy sneaks in a right hand over the top, and he partially checks a low kick. Fiziev rushes in with a left hook, and he keeps his opponent skirting on the back wall. They trade punches, with Fiziev taking a low kick on the way out that he does not defend well. Ruffy prods out a few jabs and is met with a hard body kick, and he winds up with a huge right hand that Fiziev takes flush.
Fiziev spins with a wheel kick and bounces off, and he resets without Ruffy taking advantage of it. Fiziev kicks at the front calf, and is answered with one from his opponent. Fiziev digs a right to the midsection, and then ducks in to go left to the liver. Ruffy retreats, and he takes low kicks on both sides. Ruffy reaches out with a right, and he bats Fiziev upside the head with a standing back fist. Fiziev walks Fiziev down and boots him in the liver again, and he gets backed off with a straight jab but is right in front of Ruffy. Ruffy measures his man and blasts Fiziev in the face with a right hand down the pipe, and Fiziev goes squirrely and on ice skates trips around the cage barely able to stay upright. Movahedi thinks to step in, but allows them to keep fighting. Ruffy does not go wild, instead picking his shots and methodically clobbering Fiziev with ground strikes. Fiziev still has his head on a swivel, and he sways and moves so that he can work his way back to his feet, but after several more blistering right hands, he is in a bad way as his balance has completely abandoned him.
Ruffy is able to bully Fiziev down to the ground again, partly due to Fiziev clinging to consciousness with figurative stars over his head like a "Street Fighter" character, and he unloads with a brief but final, concussive bombardment of punches until Movahedi does intervene.
This is a huge triumph for Ruffy, earning easily the biggest win of his career by putting away a renowned muay thai striker and trainer.
The Official Result
Mauricio Ruffy def. Rafael Fiziev R2 4:30 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Rafael Fiziev, stating he is the better traditional striker and has shown he can wrestle and grapple, which is a key advantage. He notes that Ruffy is creative and powerful but was frozen by takedowns in his last fight. Fiziev has dog in him and made adjustments in his last fight. Angelo sees value at minus 115 given their resumes.
Big Brady slightly leans toward Maurício Ruffy in a close striker's delight. He notes Fiziev has slowed down in the third round historically and didn't look great against Gachi after injury. Ruffy is a high-level striker with flashy spinning attacks and won't fade. Brady sees it as a 29-28 split decision either way, but expects Ruffy to take over late.
Cody believes Fiziev is undervalued as a slight underdog. He criticizes Ruffy's reliance on flashy knockouts and low volume, noting that Ruffy was outstruck by James Llontop and only landed 3 significant strikes before his wheel kick KO of Bobby Green. He praises Fiziev's veteran savvy, volume, and ability to mix in wrestling, predicting a close decision win for Fiziev.
Connor picks Fiziev, arguing that Ruffy is a smoke-and-mirrors fighter who is not a natural counter puncher and struggles when pressured. He notes that Fiziev is a superior technician with good takedown defense and that Ruffy's only path to victory is a lucky knockout. He also points out that Ruffy's wins are against slow or limited opponents, while Fiziev has fought elite competition.
Daniel Vreeland picks Ruffy as a dog, viewing the line as a market overcorrection. He believes Ruffy is a special striker who can match Fiziev's speed and technique, and that Fiziev has slowed down since his ACL surgery. Vreeland also notes that Ruffy has improved by training with Volkanovski and that Fiziev lacks a ground threat, making this a striking match where Ruffy can win.
James picks Ruffy to win by KO, citing Ruffy's youth, distance control, and timing advantage. He believes Fiziev is on a downtrend and may be hesitant to engage. James notes Ruffy's training with Volkanovski and that Fiziev's wrestling won't be effective. He sees Ruffy's durability and power as key factors.
Fiziev is a nasty Muay Thai striker with good speed, combinations, and countering ability. He has improved his wrestling, as shown in his last fight where he landed four takedowns. Ruffy struggles with grapplers and was broken mentally by Saint Denis. Fiziev's durability is ironclad, and he should push the pace, counter effectively, and mix in takedowns. The host is baffled that Fiziev is the underdog and expects a finish in round two or three.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ruffy is overvalued due to his flashy style and that Fiziev is a more complete fighter. He highlights Fiziev's ability to mix in takedowns and his experience against top competition. He expects Fiziev to win a close decision.
The Guru picks Rafael Fiziev, citing his superior striking, timing, and ability to chop at opponents with kicks. He notes Ruffy's weaknesses in fundamentals and predicts Fiziev will win by decision, possibly 29-28. He expects Ruffy to have a good third round but Fiziev's technical edge will prevail.
Zane picks Fiziev, emphasizing that Ruffy is limited strategically and relies on time and space to set up shots. He notes that Fiziev is a capable, controlled striker who can crowd Ruffy and take him down if needed. He also mentions that Ruffy's takedown defense is poor and that Fiziev's only losses are to elite fighters like Gaethje and Gamrot.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 62 of 113 | 54% | 87 of 141 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 50 of 147 | 34% | 62 of 165 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 17 of 25 | 68% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 13 of 46 | 28% | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 28 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 44 | 45% | 23 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 30 of 60 | 50% | 42 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 17 of 57 | 29% | 26 of 70 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 62 of 113 | 54% | 31 of 72 | 25 of 34 | 6 of 7 | 52 of 96 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 10 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 50 of 147 | 34% | 23 of 108 | 13 of 17 | 14 of 22 | 47 of 139 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 17 of 25 | 68% | 4 of 10 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 13 of 46 | 28% | 2 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 15 | 13 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 15 of 28 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 44 | 45% | 7 of 30 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 19 of 41 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 30 of 60 | 50% | 19 of 42 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 8 |
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 17 of 57 | 29% | 14 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 52 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Bahamondes (-125), Fiziev (+105)
Round 1
The co-main event is a true just bleed delight if there ever was one. UFC chief Dana White might even attach his “If you don’t know, now you know” sticker of approval to this lightweight collision. Fiziev (12-4, 6-4 UFC), amped up to put a three-fight skid behind him, challenges vicious Chilean Bahamondes (17-5, 6-2 UFC) to fisticuffs. There is no more that needs to be said, as these two thrillers can take things into their own hands. Referee Marc Goddard will be there in case something goes awry, but otherwise hopes to have next-to-no involvement in this 155-pound scrap. Gloves are touched before they are traded.
Bahamondes uses his range as an advantage early, using his beanpole legs and arms to touch Fiziev before Fiziev can get to him. The stork-like legs from Bahamondes reach the mark first, but Fiziev is quick and nails Bahamondes’ leg on the way back. Bahamondes tries a kick from the other side that is not checked, and Fiziev crashes forward to drive home a few punches to the body. Fiziev checks a kick and switches stances, landing his own thudding kick. Bahamondes gives him one right back, and Fiziev ends a combo of inaccurate fists with an accurate calf kick. Fiziev connects with a clean body kick, and Bahamondes is still hesitant to engage with power.
The two crash together, with Fiziev going to the body as Bahamondes responds upstairs, and when Fiziev takes a step back, Bahamondes peppers him with kicks to the middle and low. A one-two from Bahamondes is out of range, despite measuring much longer in the arms, and Fiziev gets to him with a fierce body kick. Bahamondes splits the guard with a jab, and Fiziev blitzes him but does not land flush with anything. Both fighters constantly switch stances, mirroring one another until Bahamondes breaks up the dance party with a head kick attempt. Fiziev parries it and goes to the midsection. Fiziev lunges forward and snaps the head to the side with a strong left hook, the hardest punch of the fight thus far. Bahamondes misses with a spinning wheel kick, but his spinning back kick plants firmly on the midsection. Bahamondes tries an axe kick, and Fiziev comes up short on a one-two but scores a body kick at the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes
Round 2
The lightweights measure one another with distant strikes early, and Fiziev uses his Matrix-like dodging ability to avoid a one-two and a buzzing head kick. Bahamondes races forward and grabs hold of the Azerbaijani fighter, where he pursues a single but goes nowhere fast. Fiziev breaks and cracks him with a left hook, one that forces Bahamondes to pursue the grappling again. Bahamondes leans on the Tiger Muay Thai instructor, but Fiziev turns him about and elbows him up top and pounds his body with his fists. Bahamondes attempts a pair of knees when setting up a brief Thai plum, and Fiziev shakes him off and leans to dodge the wheel kick he sees coming. Fiziev thumps Bahamondes with three strikes when Bahamondes lands one, and he smoothly dodges three kicks aimed at his head. Bahamondes pecks at Fiziev coming in with a jab, and he gets off leg kicks from either side before Fiziev can get to him. Bahamondes lands to the body, and Fiziev does the same with his shin. Bahamondes’s body kick is not dodged, nor is the end of his head kick.
Fiziev is caught at the end of that kick but not before landing some strikes of his own, and he shakes off the kick and shoots for a double. Bahamondes considers a guillotine when falling over, but he lets go and starts looking for upkicks. Fiziev does not fall victim to them, telling Bahamondes to stand up. Fiziev shoots again for a double, and this time, Bahamondes jumps guard for his guillotine. “Ataman” no-sells it, yanking his neck out of danger and posturing up to land a few hammerfists. Bahamondes tugs his toes on the wire—it is a rough day for enforcing fence grabs, even as Goddard admonishes the fouling fighter—and works to his feet. Fiziev knocks Bahamondes off his feet as Bahamondes tries a kick, and the crowd goes wild thinking he got the one-hitter quitter knockout. Instead, it was the end of the round bell that stopped the action.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 3
The fighters hug it out to start the last round, and Fiziev thanks him for the embrace by plugging Bahamondes with a crisp left hand. Bahamondes loops back a one-two at him as if to answer his volley, and his head kick zooms past the elusive Fiziev. Bahamondes’ front kick is out of range, and Fiziev jabs him back to keep him honest. When Bahamondes ties up the muay thai aficionado, Fiziev works him over with body shots and knees until Bahamondes abandons the effort. Bahamondes strides forward and plants a one-two on the chin, and he drills an advancing Fiziev with a stern right hand. Once more, Bahamondes scores a solid right hand, and he spins with a back kick that misses the mark. When he settles his feet, he surprises Fiziev with a few punches, and Fiziev pushes him over and considers taking top position.
Rather than playing in the guard, however, Fiziev stands up and motions that Bahamondes should follow him. Bahamondes strings several punches and kicks together, and his head kick still misses the mark. Fiziev gets up close and personal with body shots and knees, and Bahamondes bullies him to the wall in pursuit of a double. When that fails, Bahamondes settles for knees to the body, and Fiziev is warned for grabbing his opponent’s glove. Fiziev forces a separation and eats a right hand, going to the body first and firing upstairs. Bahamondes stands in the pocket and trades, connecting with heavy offense and putting more volume together. Fiziev does not like this, his eye busted open, and he shoots for a double. Bahamondes is stuck on his back absorbing elbows and body shots, but he gives Fiziev several elbows back. Both fighters go ballistic with elbows, and Fiziev backs off with seconds to go. Bahamondes spins with a wheel kick, and when he falls over, he attempts a leglock. A bloodied Fiziev calmly steps out of it and rains down punches until the horn sounds, concluding a decent match.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bahamondes (29-28 Fiziev)
Christian Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev (30-27 Fiziev)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev (29-28 Fiziev)
The Official Result
Rafael Fiziev def. Ignacio Bahamondes via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his length, striking, and multiple ways to win. He acknowledges that Fiziev is the better striker but thinks Bahamondes is on a run and has more finishing options. He notes that Fiziev may have slowed down after injuries and tough fights. He recommends exposure to both in multiple lineups.
Big Brady picks Rafael Fiziev despite him being on a three-fight skid, noting that Fiziev's losses came against top competition (Gamrot, Gaethje twice) and one was on short notice. He believes Bahamondes is taking a step up in competition and that Fiziev's speed, power, and movement will cause problems early. Brady acknowledges Fiziev's cardio issues but thinks the fight goes to decision and that hometown judges will favor Fiziev in a close fight. He predicts a greasy, possibly controversial decision win for Fiziev.
Connor picks Fiziev, agreeing with Zane that Bahamondes' reversion to pocket fighting against Turner is a bad sign against Fiziev. He notes that Bahamondes has lost to short, explosive strikers before and that Fiziev is a much more polished striker than Bahamondes' recent opponents. He believes Fiziev's technical edge and the fact that Bahamondes hasn't proven his new style against a serious range striker make Fiziev the clear pick.
The host is surprised Bahamondes is the slight favorite. He thinks Fiziev may have handpicked his opponent to perform in front of his hometown crowd. He expects Fiziev's speed advantage and wrestling to thwart Bahamondes' distance striking, leading to a big shot or control time for a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his range and improved distance management. He believes Fiziev's size disadvantage and recent war with Justin Gaethje will be factors. He expects Bahamondes to pick Fiziev apart as the fight goes on, predicting a third-round finish.
Zane picks Fiziev, noting that Fiziev looked great in his return against Gaethje despite losing, and that Bahamondes has struggled against shorter, better range strikers like Ludovic Klein and John McDessie. He points out that Bahamondes' instinct to sit in the pocket and trade hooks plays into Fiziev's strengths, and that Bahamondes' new rangy style hasn't been tested against a serious striker. He believes Fiziev's technical advantage will be decisive even if he tires.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 1 | 72 of 134 | 53% | 98 of 163 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 68 of 119 | 57% | 81 of 134 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 21 of 32 | 65% | 22 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | Justin Gaethje | 1 | 21 of 52 | 40% | 34 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 17 of 40 | 42% | 17 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 39 of 61 | 63% | 47 of 71 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 42 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 72 of 134 | 53% | 56 of 117 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 8 | 41 of 92 | 26 of 34 | 5 of 8 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 68 of 119 | 57% | 20 of 61 | 43 of 52 | 5 of 6 | 49 of 100 | 14 of 14 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 12 of 21 | 57% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 21 of 32 | 65% | 6 of 16 | 13 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 20 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 5 | |
| 2 | Justin Gaethje | 21 of 52 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 8 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 17 of 40 | 42% | 6 of 24 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justin Gaethje | 39 of 61 | 63% | 33 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 38 | 18 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 30 of 47 | 63% | 8 of 21 | 21 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 41 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Connor picks Gaethje because he has more faith in Gaethje's cardio and durability than Fiziev's coming off a knee injury and short notice. He notes that Fiziev faded in their first fight and has not looked good since, while Gaethje's loss to Holloway was a stylistic nightmare that doesn't reflect his overall level. Connor believes Gaethje's jab and pressure will be too much for a rusty Fiziev.
Lucrative James picks Fiziev but is not confident due to intangibles like Gaethje's recent KO loss and Fiziev's knee injury layoff. He thinks Fiziev is the better striker and will land counters, but Gaethje could take over late if he pressures. He predicts Fiziev by KO, similar to his first fight prediction. He notes the line has moved from -250 to -155, indicating market correction.
Zane picks Gaethje, echoing Connor's reasoning about Fiziev's injury and short notice. He notes that Fiziev's pacing has always been a problem and that he tends to gas in round three. Zane also points out that Fiziev's style of crashing into Gaethje plays into Gaethje's strengths in the clinch and pocket. He is surprised by the betting line moving toward Fiziev.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 19 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 17 of 42 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 16 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 12 of 34 | 35% | 12 of 35 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 18 of 32 | 56% | 4 of 14 | 12 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 16 of 40 | 40% | 11 of 31 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 16 of 27 | 59% | 4 of 11 | 10 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 12 of 34 | 35% | 7 of 25 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiziev (-155), Gamrot (+130)
Round 1
The stakes are high for these two lightweights, as a victory in this main event could vault one man into the top echelon of the division. Fiziev (12-2, 6-2 UFC) tried to reach that level against Justin Gaethje, while Gamrot (22-2, 1 NC; 5-2 UFC) was turned away recently by Beneil Dariush. Two men – plus referee Herb Dean – enter, and one man will leave, figuratively speaking. The two contenders are intense but fully respectful, despite competing for rival camps of Kill Cliff FC and American Top Team, respectively. Fists are bumped, and they are about to be traded. Both men look for the middle of the cage to start off, and they do not throw a single strike the first 30 seconds. One finally comes, with a jab from Gamrot. Fiziev jabs the body in response, and he scrapes the midsection with a body kick. Gamrot gets off a leg kick, and he hops back when Fiziev feints towards him. Gamrot comes up missing the mark with a head kick, and Fiziev also throws an inaccurate strike up high. Gamrot steps through a jab to lands a right hand on the chin, and Fiziev does not even budge. When Gamrot attempts this blitz a second time, Fiziev strings together five punches in rapid succession to force the Polish fighter to retreat. They fire off low kicks at the same time, and Gamrot’s foot comes up and pops the cup. They both bump fists after the foul and do not take a moment. Fiziev reaches his man with a right hand, and Gamrot shoots down low as he possibly can to lift Fiziev’s leg up in the air. Fiziev miraculously stays on his feet from the attempt, and he skirts away and resets. Fiziev works the body with a kick, and he cannot avoid a one-two that comes back his way. Gamrot has a high kick glance off the shoulder, and Fiziev returns fire with a strike to the body. Fiziev swipes a right to the body, and he partially deflects a leg kick. Gamrot parries a body kick, and he springs forward with a double jab. Fiziev misses with a front kick and is able to escape a trio of punches from his opponent. Gamrot does reach his man with a jab, only for Fiziev to reply with a front kick up the middle. Fiziev hammers the lead leg with a kick that sets Gamrot down, and Gamrot spins and works his way back up without issue. Gamrot races after Fiziev, looking for another takedown, and a fast and furious scramble ensues as Fiziev hits his seat and pops up. The horn sounds, and both men high five after the final exciting exchange.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
The lightweights bump fists to open the second round, and Gamrot is the initial aggressor. This leads him to walking into a body kick, but he presses forward to pursue a takedown. Fiziev wildly moves out of the way from the first and second attempts, but Gamrot successfully grounds him on the third effort that is chained together. Fiziev works his way towards the wall, and Gamrot looks to hold his weight on him and drag Fiziev down. Gamrot hunts for a trip, a single, a double, or anything he can muster, and Fiziev is a stone wall for this grappling exchange. Fiziev manages to push away, and he winds up and fires a body kick that pounds into Gamrot’s torso and lands with a loud thump. As Fiziev pulls it back, his left knee torques the wrong way, and Fiziev collapses and yelps in pain. Not knowing exactly what happened, Gamrot sprints towards his fallen foe and swings a few punches, and Dean is quick to rush to Fiziev’s aid and call in the medical staff. Before realizing that his opponent suffered an injury, Gamrot sprints over to his corner, where he lets out several shouts of victory. Gamrot’s excitement cools quickly when he discovers that Fiziev is hurt, and he appears saddened about this. Despite the result, Gamrot does emerge the victor and is looking towards the future. In his post-fight interview, while he states his ultimate goal is to fight champ Islam Makhachev, he does not believe he is ready for that. Instead, he calls for a fight against who he perceives to be the most dangerous grappler in the division, Charles Oliveira. Unfortunately for Gamrot, Oliveira’s dance card is full at the moment, as Oliveira will be rematching Makhachev next month for his old belt. If Gamrot fights either the winner or loser of that championship bout at UFC 294, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Mateusz Gamrot def. Rafael Fiziev R2 2:03 via TKO (Knee Injury)
Angelo picks Fiziev for the first time against Gamrot. He notes Fiziev is the better striker and has shown a willingness to go to war. He thinks over five rounds, Fiziev will eventually catch Gamrot. However, he acknowledges Gamrot's wrestling and durability, and says Gamrot at the current moneyline is great value.
Big Brady picks Rafael Fiziev to win by decision, noting he would max-bet Fiziev if it were a three-round fight. He praises Fiziev's striking power and improvement, but worries about his cardio in the championship rounds. He expects Fiziev to stuff takedowns early and bank the first three rounds, possibly knocking Gamrot down. He acknowledges Gamrot's relentless pace and never-slow-down cardio could make it close late.
Cody leans towards Gamrot as a live underdog, emphasizing that Fiziev's cardio fades in later rounds and Gamrot's wrestling can exploit that. He notes Gamrot has never been finished and has a strong chin, but acknowledges Fiziev's striking advantage early. He prefers to bet Gamrot live at a better price rather than pre-fight.
Daniel sees this as a very close fight that could go either way, so he leans toward the underdog. He highlights Gamrot's relentless takedown attempts (21 vs. Tsarukyan, 19 vs. Dern) and his unique low-single wrestling style that Fiziev hasn't faced. He worries Fiziev may fade in the later rounds under constant grappling pressure, leading to Gamrot taking over in rounds 3-5. He acknowledges Fiziev's athleticism and takedown defense but thinks the volume of attempts will eventually pay off.
Lucrative James picks Fiziev, citing his takedown defense and Muay Thai balance to stuff Gamrot's single-leg attempts. He believes Fiziev will land critical damage on the feet and potentially finish Gamrot. Even if it goes late, he thinks Gamrot will be too damaged to capitalize on his cardio edge. He placed 3 units on Fiziev at -136.
The host picks Gamrot as an underdog, reasoning that Fiziev fades in later rounds while Gamrot has proven cardio and grappling over five rounds. He notes Fiziev's 90% takedown defense but believes Gamrot's relentless pressure and chain wrestling will wear him down, leading to a decision win in rounds 3-5. The host also mentions the over 4.5 rounds as a good prop.
Paul leans slightly towards Fiziev, citing his striking advantage and improved takedown defense early. He worries about Gamrot's low volume and that judges may not reward takedowns without damage. However, he is not confident enough to bet pre-fight and will wait for weigh-ins.
The MMA Guru picks Rafael Fiziev, criticizing Mateusz Gamrot's striking as limited to a one-two and takedown attempts. He believes Fiziev's body kicks and counter shots will be effective, and predicts a first or second round TKO. He notes Fiziev's strength and low center of gravity, and argues that the 'secret better half' of lightweight (including Fiziev) tends to beat grapplers like Gamrot. He acknowledges Gamrot's wrestling but thinks Fiziev's danger will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 0 | 103 of 171 | 60% | 106 of 174 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 97 of 169 | 57% | 97 of 169 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 23 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 27 of 48 | 56% | 29 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 32 of 49 | 65% | 32 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Justin Gaethje | 0 | 53 of 87 | 60% | 54 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 38 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | 103 of 171 | 60% | 81 of 142 | 14 of 15 | 8 of 14 | 84 of 147 | 19 of 24 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 97 of 169 | 57% | 38 of 100 | 52 of 61 | 7 of 8 | 81 of 151 | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Gaethje | 23 of 36 | 63% | 11 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 27 of 50 | 54% | 11 of 29 | 15 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 25 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Justin Gaethje | 27 of 48 | 56% | 22 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 23 of 44 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 32 of 49 | 65% | 12 of 27 | 18 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Justin Gaethje | 53 of 87 | 60% | 48 of 80 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 41 of 70 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael Fiziev | 38 of 70 | 54% | 15 of 44 | 19 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 29 of 60 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiziev (-148), Gaethje (+124)
Round 1
It might not be the fight some were hoping to see, but if their first rumble was any indication, Gaethje (25-5, 8-5 UFC) vs. Fiziev (12-3, 6-3 UFC) 2 should be crackerjack material. Due to the late notice of this lightweight rematch, the two will be scheduled for three five-minute rounds instead of 5x5 like when Gaethje was planning on facing Dan Hooker. In a contest that could easily headline any Fight Night offering out there, these two strikers plan on picking right where they left off. Referee Jason Herzog has donned his hard hat to protect from any errant blows once these two mighty gladiators start swinging. There is a sign of respect before the anticipated brawl, as the men high-five in the center of the cage. Immediate chants of “USA” in support of Gaethje drown out any other audio in the building, and they die down as the fighters do not commit to much. When Gaethje lands his first full-throated strike, Fiziev tackles him to the canvas with a surprise takedown. Gaethje scrambles to get out of the precarious predicament, and Fiziev quickly tries for another level change. The man from Kazakhstan successfully puts Gaethje down again, where he winds up sitting in an inverted triangle choke position dropping down elbows. Gaethje calmly remains in the position until exploding out, and he resets in the center of the cage and takes a right hand over the top. Fiziev jabs his foe in the stomach and then comes up top with another, only for Gaethje to walk him down and uppercut him in the jaw. Gaethje wings a right hand that lands at the end of it, and it is one-and-done as he slowly creeps forward towards his adversary. Fiziev pushes his foe back with a jab to the chest and a leg kick, and his jab keeps Gaethje from engaging fully. Gaethje swings his way in, and Fiziev greets him with a knee and a tie-up. Fiziev rips another two knees to the body, and Gaethje strikes back and swings a right hand up top. Fiziev targets the body with a kick and stings him with a left hand, and he goes after another audible body kick. Gaethje closes in on him as if he wants to take the fight down, but Fiziev’s balance holds up as he knees Gaethje in the ribcage. Gaethje slashes with an elbow up close and forces a break, and he unloads a right hand square on Fiziev’s eye socket. Fiziev kicks, and he recoils it awkwardly. Gaethje shoots for a takedown, and when it fails, he catches Fiziev with a pair of punches. Gaethje goes wide with a kick, and Fiziev sneaks in a left right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
The lightweights touch gloves to get back to it, and Gaethje leads the dance with two inaccurate hooks. Gaethje ducks and lashes out with a right and a left, staying in Fiziev’s face until Fiziev partially lands a groin kick. Herzog calls time, and Gaethje takes a little more than 15 seconds before he’s good to go again. Fiziev lunges with a left hand, and his right that follows scores effectively. Gaethje dings him with two hooks, and he absorbs a leg kick before he can back out. “The Highlight” come up short on most of his swings, but he does clip the striking coach with a left hook. Fiziev considers a takedown, bailing on it and taking a few punches on the way out. Fiziev lands a couple in the pocket, but he wants to get out of the brawl and into his preferred technical range. Fiziev looses a body kick and a left to the ribs, and he waves Fiziev on for more as he walks him down. Gaethje slips and comes up top with a vicious overhand right, and he absorbs a body kick and has a head kick skim his dome. Gaethje shakes it off, asks for more and puts his hands on Fiziev’s face. Fiziev misses with a massive right hand, and he kicks low and is checked. Fiziev steps in with a knee to the torso, and Gaethje gives him a clean uppercut to the body and a right hand to break up the brief clinch. Gaethje intercepts his foe with a short left, and he ducks into an uppercut. Fiziev times a perfect knee when Gaethje ducks, and Gaethje slips a few punches and blasts Fiziev with a brutal uppercut that knocks him clean off his feet. Gaethje pounces to try to finish the job, smothering Fiziev when Fiziev turns to his knees and starts beating on his side. Fiziev grits his teeth and works to his feet, but Gaethje drills him with a right hand on the way. Fiziev swings a head kick that bangs into the raised guard, and he leans back to watch a Gaethje head kick pass him by. The tense, exciting round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje
Round 3
There is a final high-five to open the final stanza, and Gaethje is quick to engage and swat his left hand. Gaethje looks for his uppercut, and it just grazes the beard. Fiziev backs off to unload a spinning wheel kick that bangs into Gaethje’s chin, and Gaethje wipes his nose and paws out a left hand. Fiziev chops at the lead leg, and Gaethje unloads three successive uppercut right hands that catch Fiziev cleanly. Fiziev stands firm in the pocket and cracks Gaethje with a left hand, and Gaethje waves him on. Fiziev whips kick after kick to the body, with Gaethje calling him on every time. Fiziev kicks him upside the head, and Gaethje drills him with an uppercut on the way out. Gaethje trips and stumbles but gathers himself, tying Fiziev up and clipping him with a right hand. Fiziev blasts him with punches and knees to the body, while Gaethje punches him in the head time and time again. One fierce right hand from Gaethje lumps up Fiziev’s left eye in a hurry, and the two get in the clinch and practiced muay thai with ferocious knees. Gaethje breaks and swings a sneaky head kick up top, catching Fiziev in the side of the head leaned over. Gaethje pushes his foe against the wall and delivers three crisp uppercuts on the jaw, and he takes a step back and slips. Gaethje pours it on with power punches, and he uppercuts Fiziev a few more times when they are tied up. Fiziev knees Gaethje in the belly any time they clinch, and Gaethje scores the right hand frequently when breaking. Gaethje strings a jab and an uppercut into a takedown effort, where he pushes Fiziev to the wire but does not ground him. Gaethje imposes his pressure and works the body, and Fiziev knees him back up close. When Fiziev tries to escape, Gaethje catches him on the way out. Fiziev sits on two punches and a high kick, and Gaethje laughs it off and kicks Fiziev in the face. Gaethje unloads a swarm of wild hooks, rocking Fiziev and hurting him badly. Fiziev steels himself and knees Gaethje, and the horn sounds to conclude the dramatic lightweight tilt. What a fight, living up to the hype about as much as it can.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje (29-28 Gaethje)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje (29-28 Gaethje)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gaethje (29-28 Gaethje)
The Official Result
Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo is confident in Fiziev because he is the most technical striker in the division and Gaethje struggles with technical strikers. He notes Fiziev has phenomenal takedown defense and has defended takedowns from elite grapplers. He thinks Gaethje's power is always a threat but Fiziev should outclass him on the feet.
Big Brady picks Fiziev, citing his technical striking and youth. He questions Gaethje's durability due to accumulated damage and notes Gaethje looked tired in the Oliveira fight. He believes Fiziev can knock Gaethje out, predicting a second-round KO. He expects a war but trusts Fiziev's cardio and skills.
Cody picks Fiziev, citing Gaethje's accumulated damage and declining durability. He notes Gaethje's reckless style leaves him open to counters, and Fiziev's technical striking and ability to intercept shots will be key. He mentions Gaethje's wrestling is an option but he chooses not to use it. He doesn't love the moneyline but sees Fiziev as the cleaner striker. He has no strong prop lean but says the pick is Fiziev.
Connor picks Fiziev because Gaethje has become a back-foot counter puncher who no longer pressures. He notes that Gaethje's new approach makes him vulnerable to fighters who can draw out his counters and come back with combinations, as Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier did. Fiziev is a fast, technical striker with good body work and defensive responsibility. Connor thinks Fiziev's ability to slip and counter will be key, and that Gaethje's lack of subtle adjustments will hurt him. He also notes that Fiziev's kicking game and creativity will give Gaethje trouble.
Jacob is a big fan of Fiziev and thinks he is the best striker in the UFC regardless of weight class. He notes Fiziev knocked out his former striking coach Brad Riddell. He thinks Fiziev will expose Gaethje's striking as high school level with precise counters. He expects a dominant win.
Fiziev is a technical Muay Thai striker with good defense and cardio, while Gaethje is a brawler who may be slowing down at 34. Fiziev's technical advantage should allow him to counter Gaethje's wild hooks and leg kicks, leading to a knockout. Gaethje's durability is a concern, and Fiziev is the younger, hungrier fighter.
Paul echoes Cody's sentiment, picking Fiziev as the better striker. He notes Fiziev's takedown defense was impressive against dos Anjos, and Gaethje is unlikely to wrestle. He acknowledges Gaethje's power and volume make him live, but thinks Fiziev's technical edge wins out. He says minus 225 is about right and he won't bet it, but Fiziev is the pick.
The MMA Guru picks Rafael Fiziev to win by TKO, calling it a terrible matchup for Gaethje. He notes Fiziev is a kickboxer who doesn't have to worry about takedowns, allowing him to focus on striking. Gaethje's weaknesses include leg kicks, body shots, and a high guard that leaves his body open. Fiziev has the best body shots in the division and will chop the legs, rip the body, and eventually land a body-head combo for a KO. He also mentions Gaethje's accumulated damage and recent KO loss as factors.
Zane also picks Fiziev, citing Gaethje's increasing unwillingness to pressure. He notes that Gaethje has struggled against consistent technical strikers who are not easily breakable, like Poirier and Alvarez. Fiziev is a fast, powerful kicker who can work at range and in the pocket. Zane thinks Fiziev's defense and combination punching will be effective, and that Gaethje's habit of overcommitting on counters will leave him off-balance. He also mentions that Fiziev's body work could slow Gaethje down, and that this is a good matchup for Fiziev at the right time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 54 of 110 | 49% | 90 of 162 | 2 of 16 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 6:13 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 1 | 64 of 159 | 40% | 92 of 192 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 14 of 41 | 34% | 17 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 20 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 9 of 22 | 40% | 13 of 32 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 24 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | |
| 4 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 15 of 23 | 65% | 28 of 41 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:27 | |
| 5 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 1 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 54 of 110 | 49% | 31 of 80 | 12 of 14 | 11 of 16 | 50 of 106 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 64 of 159 | 40% | 32 of 102 | 27 of 52 | 5 of 5 | 62 of 155 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 9 of 26 | 34% | 5 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 14 of 41 | 34% | 8 of 26 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 19 of 36 | 52% | 10 of 26 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 17 of 44 | 38% | 6 of 27 | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 9 of 22 | 40% | 6 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 17 of 38 | 44% | 7 of 26 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Rafael Fiziev | 15 of 23 | 65% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 12 of 27 | 44% | 7 of 17 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rafael Fiziev | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rafael dos Anjos | 4 of 9 | 44% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiziev (-200), dos Anjos (+170)
Round 1
The battle for Rafael supremacy comes to a head in this main event, in the only fight tonight containing two ranked competitors. Former lightweight king dos Anjos (31-13, 20-11 UFC) hopes to push towards another run at the title, but he will have to get through “Ataman” Fiziev (11-1, 5-1 UFC) to get there. This intriguing clash between veteran and upstart, grappler and striker, and old lion vs. young thundercat will be joined by referee Mark Smith. When the cage door closes, the Rafaels touch gloves ahead of their 25-minute tilt -- if needed – and they are ready to finally get after it. Fiziev strikes first with a sharp body kick, and dos Anjos looks to cut him off and he tosses out a low kick. Fiziev answers with another body kick, and he does a dodge reminiscent of the film “The Matrix” as he leans back from a high kick. Dos Anjos steps in with a left hand that catches “Ataman” on the chin, and he ducks a looping left to pop Fiziev with a punch of his own. The Brazilian charges in to press Fiziev against the cage, and he looks for a body lock to slow Fiziev down and starts spamming knees to the thigh. Fiziev keeps his balance when dos Anjos looks for a level change, and dos Anjos comfortable crushes Fiziev against the wire. The full body weight of the former champ is pressed against Fiziev, who finds himself pinned and unable to get any offense off from up close. Fiziev quickly turns to get out, and he steps in with a knee and a right hand as they split. Fiziev delivers two kicks to the body, and dos Anjos replies with one. Fiziev answers with another, and he kicks high and jumps in the air with a knee. Two punches to the body lead to one to the head from the Tiger Muay Thai fighter, and he just misses with a whipping head kick. Dos Anjos thumps a leg kick low and keeps his guard high and tight to block incoming fire until he can shoot for a double. Fiziev’s takedown defense holds up on the attempt, and he absorbs a few knees and an elbow before spinning out. Fiziev steps in with an elbow, and he catches dos Anjos with a pair of right hands. Fiziev sneaks in a left hand that shakes dos Anjos up, and the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
The lightweights clap hands to start off the second frame, and they meet in the center of the Octagon. Fiziev looses a head kick that misses the mark, and dos Anjos pounds him in the torso with a kick. Dos Anjos steps in with a left, and he takes a body shot on the way in. Fiziev catches a second loud body kick, and he clinches up but separates when nothing comes of it. The Brazilian loads up on a left hand, and Fiziev pushes him off and jams his thumb in dos Anjos’ right eye. Dos Anjos takes 30 seconds to blink it out, and when they resume, Fiziev kicks high quickly. Dos Anjos marches him down and catches him with a left hook, and he dives forward for a single. Fiziev spins around, and dos Anjos grabs hold of his back with his hands clasped. Fiziev turns back around to stop it, and he pushes off to split and get back the center of the cage. Dos Anjos keeps light on his feet and strides forward with a straight left hand, and he steps on Fiziev’s foot to hold him in that position. Fiziev once more uses the elastic that is his spine to bend backwards and dodge a head kick, and he counters with an uppercut and a left hook. Fiziev pushes out a jab and takes one clean one back, and dos Anjos kicks him in the ribs. Dos Anjos hunts for a takedown, and Fiziev deftly reverses him and hip tosses dos Anjos to his knees. Fiziev gets up first, and he pushes dos Anjos back to the wire, but cannot grind him there. “Ataman” wings an uppercut, and dos Anjos steps in to clinch in the middle of the Octagon. With a body lock, dos Anjos attempts to take Fiziev down, but once more, he is stopped in his tracks from doing so. Dos Anjos scores a knee on the break, and he pokes at Fiziev with an uppercut on his way back. Dos Anjos reaches him with a right, and Fiziev responds with a powerful one that stuns dos Anjos momentarily. The ex-champ gathers his thoughts and kicks low, and he reaches out with a short right hook. Fiziev kicks him in the body and gets clipped with a long left hand, and the bell rings to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 3
Between rounds, dos Anjos is concerned about a cut below his right elbow. His corner tells him to forget about it, and there is a split on his forearm from blocking a kick from the previous round. The round opens with a few punches from Fiziev, and dos Anjos darts forward in pursuit of a double-leg takedown. Fiziev posts off his arm to keep himself upright, and dos Anjos doggedly pursues it to ground Fiziev. The Brazilian kicks Fiziev’s foot out to get the takedown he was seeking, and Fiziev climbs right back up without concern. As dos Anjos hangs on in the clinch, Fiziev looks at the video screen to find a way out. He does this as dos Anjos goes after a single, yanking his leg free and gaining some separation to work several body kicks. After absorbing a few more blows, dos Anjos darts in with a double, and he pushes Fiziev back but is nowhere close to taking him down. Smith tells them to work as they just hang on in the clinch, and dos Anjos blasts a knee to the liver as Fiziev splits off. The lightweights trade low kicks, and Fiziev wings a short left hook that gets dos Anjos’ attention. A straight right hand from Fiziev makes dos Anjos blink it out, and Fiziev is the one to initiate a clinch, pushing the former champ up against the chain-link fencing. Dos Anjos turns the corner to break apart, and he connects with a chopping leg kick only to eat a jump knee in the process. Dos Anjos tries to keep his head movement to evade multiple straight punches aimed at his head, and the two men trade one after the other in the middle of the cage. The round ends as Fiziev connects with a right.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 4
Ever the veteran, dos Anjos stays a little longer on his stool between rounds, prompting Smith to hurry his corner out and get him back so that they can fight. Fiziev starts off the round with several quick kicks, and dos Anjos plods forward and the two bang heads together. The Brazilian plows forward to go after a takedown, and as dos Anjos does not get it, Smith tells him to work. Fiziev gets the break he seeks, and he splits the guard with a left hand. “Ataman” chains four punches together in a combination, and dos Anjos level changes to push in for a takedown. Fiziev spins him around and jams the ex-champion into the fence, and the position stalls until Fiziev steps back. Dos Anjos nails Fiziev with a flying knee and a few punches, and he attempts to use this momentum to take the fight down, but Fiziev is quick to stop him. Dos Anjos grabs the gloves to break out of this position, only to get warned for his attempt. They break up, and dos Anjos pops Fiziev with a left. The Brazilian snatches up a leg for a single, and Fiziev hops back and keeps his balance. Dos Anjos meets him in the center of the cage to throw hands, and dos Anjos steps in with a back-elbow. Fiziev fights for a sweep takedown, and dos Anjos keeps his feet beneath him and punches his way into a takedown effort. Tired of struggling to get the takedown, “RDA” opts to lift Fiziev clear off the ground and slam him down to the mat. Dos Anjos gloms on to Fiziev while not doing anything from top position, prompting Smith to clap his hands and tell dos Anjos to work. Dos Anjos stays squeezed with his shoulder to the chest of his opponent, and Fiziev powers up with one second to spare. They both land a single punch as the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 dos Anjos
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 dos Anjos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 dos Anjos
Round 5
Smith tells dos Anjos to stay busy in his positions between rounds, and the final round kicks off with a glove touch. The Brazilian kicks low and Fiziev kicks high, and dos Anjos pushes out with a straight left hand.
Fiziev jumps in with a knee, and when that gets blocked, he releases a left hook that totally demolishes dos Anjos. The former champion falls crashing to the mat, and Fiziev leaps over and hammers him with two consciousness-depriving punches before Smith steps in to call a halt to this contest.
Dos Anjos sits up to protest the stoppage, but there is nothing he can do, as the fight is over. Fiziev runs off to celebrate, earning easily the biggest win of his career and answering several questions that loomed about his talents. “Now we know who is the greatest Rafael in the UFC,” Fiziev shouts in his post-fight interview. He then calls for tennis star Rafael Nadal to determine the ultimate Rafael supremacy. Fiziev doubles down on the callout, boldly claiming that he can beat Nadal in his own sport. It is exceptionally unlikely this will come to fruition, but he did punch his ticket to a huge fight at 155 pounds next. No matter who Fiziev faces next, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Rafael Fiziev def. Rafael dos Anjos R5 0:18 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Rafael dos Anjos as a +170 underdog, citing his grappling, size advantage, cardio, and durability. He notes Fiziev is the better striker but has questionable cardio, especially in a 5-round fight. He points out that RDA has not lost in 6 years without being taken down, and Fiziev is unlikely to initiate takedowns. He already has a moneyline bet on RDA at +170.
Big Brady picks Rafael dos Anjos, citing the five-round distance as a key factor. He notes that Fiziev has never seen the fourth or fifth round and has slowed down in third rounds of past fights, while RDA has proven cardio and experience in championship rounds. He expects RDA to mix in takedowns to test Fiziev's 95% takedown defense and cardio, potentially taking over in later rounds. He predicts a close decision win for RDA, acknowledging Fiziev could knock him out early.
Cody believes Fiziev has the advantage in striking with better hands and kicks, and his takedown defense is strong. He thinks Fiziev's cardio is sufficient to secure early rounds and then survive if needed. He sees RDA as a gatekeeper and Fiziev as a rising contender, calling it a passing of the torch.
The host discusses the Fiziev vs RDA fight but does not place a bet on it. He acknowledges the value on RDA as an underdog and respects those who pick him, but he personally keeps the fight out of his betting card. He mentions having Fiziev in a parlay but does not elaborate on a clear pick. He notes that Fiziev is younger, faster, and stronger, but RDA is durable and could win by decision. Ultimately, he does not commit to a side.
Paul thinks the price on Fiziev is too wide and expects to get RDA at a better price closer to fight time. He notes RDA's wrestling could be a factor, especially in a five-round fight, and that Fiziev's takedown defense hasn't been fully tested. He calls it a dogger pass situation but leans RDA.
The Guru picks Rafael Fiziev, believing RDA's style is tailor-made to lose to Fiziev. He notes Fiziev's body work, takedown defense, and youth advantage. He predicts Fiziev will win the first three rounds decisively, possibly a 4-1 decision, with RDA making a late resurgence but ultimately losing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 59 of 115 | 51% | 62 of 118 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 66 of 123 | 53% | 66 of 123 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 19 of 35 | 54% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 18 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Brad Riddell | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fiziev | 59 of 115 | 51% | 23 of 72 | 20 of 26 | 16 of 17 | 59 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 66 of 123 | 53% | 36 of 78 | 22 of 30 | 8 of 15 | 64 of 121 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafael Fiziev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 9 of 28 | 7 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 19 of 35 | 54% | 10 of 18 | 7 of 10 | 2 of 7 | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rafael Fiziev | 22 of 50 | 44% | 8 of 30 | 8 of 13 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 30 of 59 | 50% | 14 of 38 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 28 of 57 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rafael Fiziev | 16 of 24 | 66% | 6 of 14 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brad Riddell | 17 of 29 | 58% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
A veritable striker’s delight is on tap for the co-headliner, when 10-1 lightweights looking to claw their way towards top-10 consideration meet. Both Riddell (10-1, 4-0 UFC) and Fiziev (10-1, 4-1 UFC) are riding impressive win streaks, and for one, that stretch will come to an end within the next 15 minutes. Referee Herb Dean has already laced up his running shoes as he is ready for wherever the fight takes place. The two friends touch gloves to seal the cage around them, and away we go with what many call the potential “Fight of the Night.” Riddell leads the dance with a few jabs, more to find his distance than to connect with them. Riddell scores an inside leg kick, and he hops out of the way when a low kick flies back at him. Neither man engages with anything of note for the first minute, and the most emphatic strike to that point is a body kick from the Kiwi. Fiziev just misses with a high kick and a spinning kick that follows, and Riddell acknowledges the strikes that buzz by him. Fiziev gets off a left hand on the temple, and Riddell dances back and kicks out in response. Riddell kicks low and punches high, and Fiziev backs him up to the wall but does not engage like normal. Fiziev sits down on a body kick, and he pulls back on a right hand but does not throw it. Both lightweights start trading furiously, right in front of one another as if a switch was just flipped, and they both crack each other and then slow down to get their bearings. Riddell appears to get the better of the exchange as he comes forward to follow up. While the fighters continue to commit to heavy strikes, the commentary booth drifts off into a discussion about first-person shooter video games, even while fistic violence plays out before them. Riddell lands, Fiziev responds, and Riddell follows up as they show no fear and little interest in defense while they just blast each other one after the next. Fiziev calmly walks forward to back Riddell into the wall, and he boots the liver only for Riddell to kick him back in the same spot. They go tit-for-tat, but Fiziev lands a few more kicks. Riddell ends the round with a sharp combination, and a few punches get around the guard to punctuate the close first frame.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Riddell
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
Gloves get touched to begin the second round, and Riddell strikes first with a leg kick that makes Fiziev turn around. Fiziev catches a kick, and they sling heavy leather. A Fiziev body kick lands cleanly, and Fiziev beats him his man to the punch with a right hand to follow. Riddell blocks a few strikes, but an elbow gets through his guard to cut him open on the corner of his left eye. “Quake” pays it no mind as he throws two punches that land about as flush as they possibly could. Fiziev plants a left hand square on the cheek, and they both throw bombs and clip one another. Riddell jabs his way into throwing a right hand over the top, and Fiziev rolls with it and continues his forward pressure to keep Riddell trapped on the outskirts of the Octagon. Riddell swings with bad intentions, and he ducks back when Fiziev zooms a kick past his head. Fiziev slips a punch and nails Riddell in the face with a right hand, and he follows this up with a leaping knee right on the chin. “Ataman” pushes his foe up to the wall so he can knee him in the midsection, and he lands one more knee on the separation before kicking the body. Riddell darts forward to attack, only for Fiziev to greet him and not budge an inch. Fiziev continues to batter his opponent’s body, and Riddell throws hands that miss the mark. Riddell tries to stutter-step his way in, and he pops Fiziev with a left hook but comes up short on a subsequent right over the top. The round ends before Riddell can reach his man with any additional strikes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 3
The doctor comes in to check Riddell’s cut, which splits across the outer half of his eyebrow, but it is not gushing blood into his eye so the doctor clears him to continue. When the last round opens, they hug it out as they are having a blast together. Fiziev counters Riddell on the way in, and he throws a leg kick that gets caught. “Quake” times a level change perfectly to put Fiziev down to the mat, but he can only keep him there for a few seconds before Fiziev springs back up. When they both stand up, they trade powerful blows, and the impact of these strikes echoes through the arena. Riddell targets the body and head to set up strikes, and Fiziev has a cut opened up above his own left eye. When Fiziev overcommits to a punch, Riddell attempts to take him down, but this time, Fiziev stops it from succeeding. They trade punches and leg kicks, trading vicious shots and not backing down.
When Riddell circles to the right, Fiziev spins a wheel kick that clocks Riddell square on the side of the head. “Quake” is stunned as his eyes go wide, and he falls to the ground while trying to snatch hold of a leg, very possibly out on the way down.
Dean is quick to stop the fight, seeing that the lights are on but no one’s home for Riddell. When Riddell comes to, he is still very wobbly and has a hard time standing, after suffering the first knockout loss of his career. Meanwhile, Fiziev puts himself on the map with an ultra-rare, spectacular spinning wheel kick knockout.
The Official Result
Rafael Fiziev def. Brad Riddell R3 2:20 via KO (Spinning Wheel Kick)
Angelo picks Fiziev, citing his volume and diversity of strikes. He notes Riddell has more power but waits for the perfect shot, while Fiziev will already have landed kicks. Angelo is nervous about Riddell's power but sticks with Fiziev.
Big Brady picks Brad Riddell as a slight underdog, but with low confidence. He notes the fight is very even and should be a pick'em. He highlights Fiziev's tendency to slow down in later rounds, while Riddell maintains his pace. He also notes Riddell may mix in takedowns, though Fiziev has 100% takedown defense. Brady thinks Riddell's volume and cardio advantage could be key, but acknowledges Fiziev lands harder shots. He sides with Riddell slightly.
Cody also picks Riddell, emphasizing his volume and technical striking. He points out that Fiziev's power shots led to him gassing out against Bobby Green, while Riddell has superior cardio and accuracy. Cody believes Riddell's takedown defense has improved and that he can win by outworking Fiziev, especially in the later rounds.
Daniel Levi picks Rafael Fiziev by a close decision, acknowledging that Fiziev is explosive and accurate in the first two rounds but tends to slow down and get hit more in the third. He notes that Fiziev's output remains high throughout, but his defense deteriorates. He expects Fiziev to win the first two rounds and edge out a decision, though he admits it could go either way.
Jacob picks Fiziev, noting his wild style may impress judges. He thinks Fiziev's aggression and volume will sway scorecards in a close fight. Jacob acknowledges it's a coin toss but leans Fiziev.
I like Riddell. He is the better boxer with better cardio and tends to get stronger as fights go on. Fiziev starts fast but slows down, and he has lost round three in every fight. Riddell will punish Fiziev's naked kicks and land cleaner shots. I expect Riddell to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 190 is solid. A round three finish is also live.
Paul picks Riddell, citing his volume and technical kickboxing. He notes that Fiziev was out-struck by Bobby Green and faded in the third round, while Riddell has shown cardio and takedown defense improvements. Paul believes Riddell's familiarity with Fiziev from training together gives him an edge, and that Riddell can win by outworking him over three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Brad Riddell to win by 29-28 decision. He expects Fiziev to win the first round with kicks and takedown defense, but Riddell's body shots and takedown pressure will wear Fiziev down. Riddell will take over in the second and third, landing heavy body hooks and knees, winning the last two rounds.
Manuel Torres - Fight History
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fiziev (-125); Torres (+105)
Round 1
The main event kicks off, with Marc Goddard drawing the final referee assignment of the evening. They touch gloves and go to work immediately. Fiziev reaches out with a hard body kick. Torres answers with one of his own. Torres throws a pair of blistering punches that come up badly short. Fiziev meets Torres’ next approach with a lovely reactive takedown, plowing the Mexican to his seat at the base of the fence. He works to pull Torres’ hips away from the fence and complete the takedown, but Torres powers back to his feet. Fiziev lands a low blow and they take a moment to let Torres recover. As soon as they reengage, the strikers clatter low kicks off of each other’s calves. Torres connects with a punch that bowls Fiziev over, off-balance more than hurt, and he springs back up. Half of the round is down and this has been a frenetic fight so far. They take a breath and go back to business. Fiziev is working southpaw, reaching for Torres’ lead hand, then switches to orthodox. Torres’s left calf is already badly reddened, but he is starting to find the mark with his jab. Fiziev catches Torres coming in and uses a nifty trip to take him completely off his feet. Torres springs back up and misses just short with a sweeping right hand, then lands a very hard jab right before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Fiziev
Round 2
They touch gloves. Fiziev comes out and throws a
spinning wheel kick that blasts Torres in the side of the head
. He goes down in a heap and tries to scramble back to his feet, but Fiziev crushes him with a stream of punches, including two coffin nails at the base of the cage that spur Goddard into action. Incredible finish for Rafael Fiziev, and the National Gymnastics Arena explodes!
The Official Result
Rafael Fiziev def. Manuel Torres R2 0:15 via TKO (Spinning Wheel Kick and Punches)
AJ picks Torres by finish, citing his power, pressure, and underrated grappling. He thinks Fiziev has shown signs of slowing down and that Torres's jiu-jitsu is superior. He expects Torres to force a stoppage, possibly by submission or TKO.
AJ picks Torres to win by finish, citing his pressure, hand speed, and power. He thinks Fiziev is on a decline, too hittable, and that Torres will close the distance and land big shots. AJ expects a first-round knockout or a club-and-sub, noting Torres' submission threat.
AJ DeVito is extremely confident in Manuel Torres to upset Rafael Fiziev, calling it his lock of the week. He believes Torres is a stylistic nightmare for Fiziev due to his quick gap-closing and heavy hands, and questions Fiziev's durability after recent knockout losses. He notes Torres' submission threat as a secondary option but expects a KO. He also discusses various prop bets including Torres by finish, KO, submission, and round props, but ultimately prefers the moneyline at plus money.
AJ picks Torres by knockout, citing his devastating power and blitzing style. Fiziev is coming off a KO loss and may struggle with Torres' pressure. Torres' submission threat is also live. The matchup favors Torres' close-range aggression over Fiziev's kickboxing.
Angelo picks Fiziev after flipping from Torres, citing that Fiziev's recent losses are to elite fighters (Gamrot, Ruffy) and that he is the better striker. He notes Fiziev's chin is questionable but believes he can fight smart at home and outpoint Torres.
Angelo initially doubted Fiziev due to his fading chin, but after seeing Justin Gaethje's performance, he reversed his pick. He believes Fiziev is the better striker and wrestler, and that Torres' win over Grant Dawson is not comparable to Fiziev's losses to Gaethje and Ruffy. He hopes Fiziev's chin holds up and notes that Fiziev has flipped to a slight favorite at -115.
Angelo is fine with Fiziev winning and picked him, but acknowledges Manuel Torres as a solid underdog with random power and slick grappling. He notes Fiziev's losses are to top fighters like Gaethje and Ruffy, and a broken leg against Gamrot, while Torres may not be ready for that level.
Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He notes Torres is a 'kill or be killed' fighter with 19 first-round finishes in 20 fights, possessing massive power. Fiziev is the more technical striker but has taken damage, has a questionable chin after being knocked out by Ruffy, and may be on the decline. Brady thinks Torres catches him early, though he acknowledges Fiziev could win if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Fiziev, citing his body of work and home-field advantage in Azerbaijan. He acknowledges Torres's power and danger in the first round but believes Fiziev's experience and skill edge will prevail if he survives the early onslaught. He notes the fight is low on his betting priority list.
Daniel Levi leans towards Fiziev because he has proven more at the upper echelon, has more ways to win including mixing in takedowns, and his power has translated deep into fights (e.g., fifth-round KO of RDA). He acknowledges Torres's dangerous first-round power and size but questions his durability past round one and his level of competition. Levi is low-key rooting for Torres but wants to see how he handles an extended war.
Jacob picks Torres by KO, citing his tape study showing Fiziev is susceptible to a long 1-2 combination. He thinks Torres' blitzing style and round 1 aggression will overwhelm Fiziev, who has been dropped before. He expects an early finish.
Lucrative James picks Fiziev because he believes Fiziev is a much higher level striker than Torres, with better patience, volume, and technical kicking. He notes that Fiziev has fought and beaten better competition, and that Torres has not been outside round one since 2018, giving Fiziev a cardio and experience advantage in later rounds. He also points to the common opponent Ignacio Bahamondes, who knocked out Torres but was clearly outpointed by Fiziev. However, he acknowledges Torres has more power and is on an upward trajectory while Fiziev has wear and tear.
Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai and speed will allow him to counter Torres' aggression. Torres makes mistakes and trusts his power too much. Fiziev can eat a shot and land his own counters, hurting Torres and eventually putting him away by knockout.
The host believes Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai striking and experience will allow him to find openings and counter Torres, leading to a big knockout win for Fiziev in front of his home country.
Paul picks Fiziev but is hesitant, noting Fiziev's age and wear from a long career with many fights. He worries about Fiziev's durability after the Ruffy KO and thinks his best days are behind him. However, he values Fiziev's back class and experience over Torres's unknown durability and cardio, and expects Fiziev to win a competitive fight.
The Guru picks Fiziev via third or fourth-round TKO, citing his superior striking, defense, and experience. He believes Fiziev's leg kicks and body work will slow Torres, who lacks experience in longer fights. He notes Torres's power but expects Fiziev's patience and technical edge to prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Manuel Torres | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Dawson | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Manuel Torres | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | 8 of 21 | 38% | 4 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grant Dawson | 8 of 21 | 38% | 4 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dawson (-218), Torres (+180)
Round 1
Herb Dean is the referee. Torres takes the center of the cage. Dawson flocks out a high kick. Another head kick slams off of Torres’ guard. Dawson’s first shot is denied by Torres, who is patient early. Torres steps in with a left, and Dawson returns fire with an overhand right. Dawson remains active with his kicking game, as he lands to his foe’s body. Torres kicks the body in return. A straight left ot the body connects for Torres. Torres stuffs anotehr takedown. Dawson lands a front kick down the middle. “El Loco” is unfazed, and he finds his opening moments later. After Dawson whiffs on an overhand,
Torres goes on the attack, dropping his American adversary with a rapid-fire combination. Dawson collapses to the canvas and covers up. Torres wastes little time sealing his victory, as he unloads with a barrage of approximately five unanswered hammerfists to force the stoppage.
That’s now five finishes in five UFC victories — and 16 first-round stoppages overall — for the Mexican standout.
The Official Result
Manuel Torres def. Grant Dawson via TKO (Punches) R1 2:25
Angelo picks Grant Dawson despite calling him the most boring fighter on the roster. He acknowledges Dawson's excellent wrestling and grappling, and expects him to get takedowns and control the fight. He notes that Manuel Torres is dangerous but believes Dawson's game plan will prevail. Angelo expresses disdain for the entertainment value but respects Dawson's skills.
Big Brady picks Grant Dawson, expecting him to weather Torres' early storm and take the fight to the mat. He notes Dawson's improved cardio and ground and pound at American Top Team, and predicts a second-round TKO via ground and pound.
Cody picks Dawson but is hesitant due to Torres' knockout power. He believes Dawson's wrestling and control will neutralize Torres, as Torres has not shown good takedown defense. He notes that Dawson trains at American Top Team and will likely get early takedowns. He acknowledges the risk of getting knocked out but trusts Dawson's game plan.
Connor picks Grant Dawson by smothering wrestling, noting that Dawson has won 23 of 25 fights and is a proven grinder. He acknowledges that Dawson has never beaten a real hitter and has faded in fights where he didn't crush his opponent early, but still sees Dawson's path to victory through control.
Daniel picks Dawson, believing his relentless grappling will drown Torres if he survives the first round. He notes Torres has never been past the first round and has knockout power, but Dawson's improved striking and top control should prevail in an extended fight. He expects a submission or ground-and-pound TKO.
Lucrative James highlights Grant Dawson's elite wrestling and back-taking ability. He notes that Manuel Torres is a fast starter who fades if he doesn't finish early, and that Dawson's grappling will neutralize Torres' power. He also mentions that Dawson's teammate Chris Duncan has fought Torres before, providing valuable intel. He predicts Dawson wins inside the distance via grappling.
The host views this as a dangerous early fight for Dawson but believes if he can secure takedowns and wear Torres down, his elite lightweight grappling will shine. He expects Dawson to find a finish in the second or third round.
Paul is confident in Dawson, citing his wrestling and control time. He notes that Dawson has dominated grapplers and that Torres' wins are all first-round finishes, which becomes less likely if Dawson gets takedowns. He believes Dawson will smother Torres and win by decision or submission.
The Guru picks Grant Dawson over Manuel Torres, trusting Dawson's elite grappling to survive Torres' early power. He notes Torres has never left the first round and has been submitted before. The Guru predicts a late second or third round submission or ground-and-pound finish.
Zane picks Manuel Torres as a fun upset, citing that Torres is a big, strong athlete with quick reactions who may be hard to hold down. He notes that Dawson has been taken down quickly by Chris Duncan and that Torres has submission threats. Zane believes Torres could knock Dawson out if he can't control him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 1 | 23 of 25 | 92% | 23 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 1 | 23 of 25 | 92% | 23 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Drew Dober | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 23 of 25 | 92% | 21 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 16 |
| Drew Dober | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 23 of 25 | 92% | 21 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 16 |
| Drew Dober | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Torres (-125), Dober (+105)
Round 1
The organization knew exactly what it was doing when it matched these two flamethrowers together. In the one corner stands a Mexican in Torres (15-3, 3-1 UFC) who proudly celebrates a 93% finish rate with an equal number of knockouts to subs. In the other will be Dober (27-14, 1 NC; 13-10, 1 NC UFC), who just so happens to share the UFC lightweight knockout record with Dustin Poirier. Fists and feet are sure to fly in a frenzy, but before they do, referee Mike Beltran clocks them in. A quick clap of hands leads to Dober claiming the center of the cage fishing out a jab. Torres pitches back a push kick, and he pump-fakes other to try to keep Dober from getting to him. Torres lines up a one-two down the pipe, and he chain a body kick into it. Dober comes up short on his own kick to the ribs, and he ducks out of the way of a pair of big punches aimed at him. Torres gets off a front kick and a head kick—the latter is blocked—before Dober swings for the bleachers and largely misses the mark. The Mexican pierces the jab, and
a fierce right hand that follows sends Dober collapsing to his knees. On instinct alone, Dober leans forward to clutch Torres’ ankle, and Torres rains down a hellacious stream of hammerfists that appear to separate Dober from his senses and wake him back up. After well over a dozen hammerfists smash into the side of Dober’s dome, Beltran decides to step in and wave the contest off.
Dober stands up, confused, and he asks the cage officials and medical professionals what happened and why the fight was stopped. All the while, Dober is barely able to stand up without assistance, and he does not like what happened but comes to terms with it after seeing the replay. Some may call it an early stoppage, but others saw upwards of 15 unanswered, unblocked swinging hammerfists colliding with Dober’s head and scrambling his circuits completely.
The Official Result
Manuel Torres def. Drew Dober R1 1:45 via TKO (Punches)
James picks Drew Dober to win, arguing that Torres has never won outside round one except for a split decision where he gassed, and that elevation will worsen his cardio. He highlights Dober's elite chin, cardio, and forward pressure, noting Dober's last fight against Jean Silva showed his durability. James believes Dober will survive Torres' early onslaught and then dominate in rounds two and three, likely finishing Torres. He also mentions a potential submission angle for Torres but favors Dober's path to victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Manuel Torres | 2 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Manuel Torres | 2 | 31 of 58 | 53% | 36 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 43 | 46% | 9 of 30 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 35 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 31 of 58 | 53% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 20 of 43 | 46% | 9 of 30 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 35 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Manuel Torres | 31 of 58 | 53% | 25 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 25 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Torres (-118), Bahamondes (-102)
Round 1
Keeping things pushing, one of many combatants out of Entram Gym steps into the cage next, as Torres (15-2, 3-0 UFC) wants to keep his 93% finish rate high as can be at the expense of kick-happy Bahamondes (15-5, 4-2 UFC). While Torres sports an equal distribution of knockouts to submissions, the Valle Flow Striking ace Bahamondes vastly prefers to get things done on the feet. The bantamweight clash will be officiated by referee Marc Goddard, with the victor making a strong push to reach the outskirts of the top 15. They touch gloves. Torres reaches out with a low kick that comes up short, and Bahamondes does the exact same. Bahamondes reaches with a long pair of punches, and his leg kick also misses. Torres lands with a thudding kick, and he hits air as a right hand buzzes past the Chilean. Bahamondes reaches out with a jab at the end of a front kick, and Torres kicks him in the ribs and falls over. Torres jumps back up immediately and is no worse for wear, still out of range from most of Bahamondes’ kicks. Torres splits the guard with a strong left hand, and he knocks Bahamondes’ head around with three additional punches before Bahamondes can sprint away. Torres gets his hands on his opponent after Bahamondes tries a jump knee, rapping the body with short but mean right hands as well as a few knees. Torres breaks out of the clinch he set up, parrying a right hand and checking a calf kick. They catch one another in an exchange, but Torres appears to hit harder with his fists. Bahamondes hooks a kick around his head and rocks Torres, but Torres shakes it off and keeps his guard up to block a second head kick. Bahamondes hammers the midsection with his shin, and he parries a combination to rifle off a right hand that sends Torres crashing to the mat. Bahamondes jumps on top in hopes of finishing the job, but his hammerfists and punches do not seal the deal as Goddard asks for Torres to keep moving. Torres does just that, and he recovers enough to fight back to his feet. Torres charges in recklessly, knees still wobbled, and he lets Bahamondes have it with a short combination. Bahamondes just misses with a head kick, and
he snipes the charging Torres with another step-back right hand that short-circuits Torres. The Mexican awkwardly hits the mat with his leg bent back, and Bahamondes does not let him off the hook this time. Crouched down above Torres, Bahamondes releases a barrage of standing-to-ground punches as Torres can do nothing but shell up to cover his head.
Goddard sees that before long, Torres is no longer defending himself, and he steps in. Torres is quick to recover and embrace his victorious opponent, and Bahamondes has unquestionably punched his ticket to bigger fights going forward.
The Official Result
Ignacio Bahamondes def. Manuel Torres R1 4:02 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo leans Ignacio Bahamondes for three reasons: his length advantage, higher level experience, and the fact that Manuel Torres pulled guard in his last fight, which won't work against Bahamondes. He notes Bahamondes has good footwork and head movement, solid takedown defense, and came out aggressive in his last fight. However, he acknowledges Torres is dangerous and the fight could end early. He suggests a round under or 'fight doesn't go the distance' prop.
Big Brady flipped from initially leaning Torres to picking Bahamondes as a dog. He notes Torres is a beast in the first round (14 of 15 wins in round 1) but has never been past round 1.5. Bahamondes has shown ability to go into later rounds and weather storms. He predicts Bahamondes will survive an early onslaught and break Torres in the second round via knockout.
Daniel picks Ignacio Bahamondes, believing that if he survives the early storm, he will pick Torres apart with calf kicks, jabs, and spins. He notes Bahamondes' training with Khabib and Islam for grappling, and doubts Torres can maintain his high pace. He predicts a knockout for Bahamondes.
The transcript does not discuss this fight.
Fading the hype on Torres and going with the more experienced and technically better fighter in Bahamondes. He will touch up Torres, lean on his durability early, and then utilize superior technical striking to finish Torres in the second or third round.
The MMA Guru picks Manuel Torres. He describes Torres as a physical freak with incredible strength, comparing him to a lightweight version of Dricus du Plessis. He notes Bahamondes has had mediocre performances against similar competition, including a loss to Ludovic Klein where he was controlled on the ground. He also points out that Bahamondes was wobbled by a shorter fighter with a shorter reach, and Torres has more power and range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Chris Duncan | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Chris Duncan | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Chris Duncan | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Chris Duncan | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Torres (-162), Duncan (+136)
Round 1
To kick off the main card, the promotion booked a lightweight affair with fighters that seem allergic to the final bell. The ultra-aggressive Torres (14-2, 2-0 UFC) has only gone the distance once in 16 pro outings, while Scotland’s Duncan (11-1, 2-0 UFC) has needed the involve the judges on three occasions thus far in his tenure. While the scorecards may not be required, referee Mike Beltran is ready to step in at a moment’s notice. A sign of respect in the form of a clap of hands starts things off, and Torres moves right to the middle of the cage. When Torres throws a punch, Duncan counters with a clean right hand that nearly knocks the Mexican off his feet. Torres partially recovers, and Duncan charges at him. Torres tosses Duncan to the side and whips a high kick at him, and Duncan wears it on the chin and starts going after a takedown. As the two jockey for position, they result in a scramble, and Duncan takes Torres down. Torres fights his way around and takes the back, and he looks for chokes but cannot find one. As Torres wrenches Duncan to the canvas, this time he has the advantageous position to keep shifting and secure the back take to get his hooks in.
Torres immediately grips a rear-naked choke on top of the chin, and he calmly slides it under the chin and puts Duncan in grave danger. “The Problem” tries to solve his problem by hand-fighting and hoping to break the choke grasp, but there is nothing he can do as they are fresh and dry. Duncan considers briefly going out on his shield, but he ultimately taps out instead.
The lightweight from Mexico kicks his finish rate up a notch while landing an equal number of submission to knockouts in his career. A whole 14 of his 15 pro wins for "El Loco" have come in the first round.
The Official Result
Manuel Torres def. Chris Duncan R1 1:46 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Torres as the more dangerous fighter, citing his length and finishing ability. He acknowledges Duncan's durability and toughness but believes Torres will eventually break him. He mentions that over 1.5 rounds might be solid but Torres is the pick.
Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Torres has 15 finishes in 16 fights, all in the first round, and is a chaotic striker. He criticizes Chris Duncan's 49% striking defense and notes that Duncan has been knocked down and knocked out before. Brady believes Torres will draw Duncan into a brawl and that Torres has more power and durability. He expects the fight to end in the first round.
Cody picks Duncan as an underdog, noting that Torres is a first-round finisher with suspect cardio and grappling. He believes Duncan can take Torres down, make him carry weight, and grind him out. He mentions Duncan's improved wrestling and game plan against Ashmus. He acknowledges the risk of getting melted early but likes the plus price.
The host acknowledges Torres's power and early finishes but notes he overextends and can be countered. He believes Duncan is a more educated striker with a well-rounded game. If Duncan can survive the early onslaught, he can grind Torres against the cage and on the mat, finding a finish in the second or third round as Torres slows down.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Duncan. He notes Torres is an offensive dynamo but has cardio issues and poor grappling defense. Duncan's takedowns and pressure could be key. He mentions Duncan's camp at American Top Team and his improved fight IQ. He thinks Duncan can avoid a gunfight and grind out a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 1 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Nikolas Motta | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 1 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 13 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Nikolas Motta | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 13 of 17 | 76% | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Nikolas Motta | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 13 of 17 | 76% | 3 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Nikolas Motta | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Torres (-180), Motta (+155)
Round 1
Referee Herb Dean will need to be on his A-game for this next fight, as it might not need the judges. Lightweights Torres (13-2, 1-0 UFC) – with his 92% finish rate, and eight straight fights to end in Round 1 – and knockout-minded Motta (13-4, 1-1 UFC) collide with sights set on bonus checks. The fighters meet in the middle of the cage and clap their hands together, and get right to it. Torres reaches out with several front kicks, and Motta tries to swing right hands back but is out of range. Torres plans a pair of kicks on the lead wheel of his opponent, and they trade leg kicks after. Motta steps in with a two-punch combination, and Motta crashes the pocket and nails him with a left hand. Torres, wide-eyed from the strike, backs off, and Motta gets him with a low kick. Torres tries to calm himself down by tossing out a front kick, and he chases after Motta with a few punches but cannot get to him.
Torres has his lead leg nailed, and he loads up with an elbow with every ounce of his might. The elbow smashes directly into the face of “Iron Motta,” who collapses lifelessly to the mat on his side.
Before Dean can run across the cage to break them up, Torres smacks Motta with a few hammerfists, and he is mercifully pulled away as Motta is long gone. Torres runs to celebrate, and medical professionals race into the cage to tend to the completely ruined Motta, who is still out. As Torres realizes how badly he destroyed Motta, he drops down to his knees and expresses concern for the fallen fighter. Thankfully, Motta eventually comes back around, and he returns to his stool and is embraced by the victorious Torres. The knockout turned from outstanding to scary in an instant, but Torres just registered one of the more destructive one-shot finishes seen in a while.
The Official Result
Manuel Torres def. Nikolas Motta R1 1:50 via KO (Elbow)
Angelo picks Nikolas Motta as the underdog. He believes Motta is the more powerful striker and will avoid Torres's plum clinch and takedowns. Torres has a BJJ advantage but will struggle to get the fight to the ground. Angelo plans to bet Motta plus 3.5 points on the judge's scorecard, so a 29-28 loss still pays.
Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He describes Torres as a wild, relentless fighter who pushes a high pace and looks for finishes. Brady notes Torres has been finished twice by submission but has good durability and chin, while Motta has been knocked out multiple times. He believes Torres will make it his fight and overwhelm Motta with pressure and volume. Brady expects a chaotic car crash of a fight ending early in Torres' favor.
Cody is high on Torres, citing his finishing ability, good volume, durability, and multiple ways to win. He notes that Torres has a nasty submission game and striking, and that his only losses came via leg locks early in his career. Cody thinks Torres will overwhelm Motta with volume and eventually catch him, predicting a knockout after the over 1.5 rounds. He acknowledges Motta's durability is a question mark.
Connor picks Torres, citing his chin and comfort in the pocket. He notes that Motta is a sharp counter puncher but gets hit cleanly and lacks durability. Connor expects Torres to fire back when hit and eventually overwhelm Motta with power.
Daniel Levi picks Nikolas Motta, citing Motta's superior technical striking and counter boxing. He notes Torres's reckless striking leaves openings, and Motta can exploit them. He also mentions Motta's grappling as a potential path to tire Torres. He acknowledges the danger in the first few minutes but believes Motta can weather the storm and take over.
Torres has cardio issues and is mostly an early knockout threat. Motta is a better technical striker with more experience. If Motta survives the early onslaught, he can take over in the second round and find his own knockout. The fight likely ends inside the distance. Motta wins by knockout.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Torres puts on a high pace early and often, and that his significant strike totals are impressive. He questions whether Torres can maintain that pace if the fight extends, but given Motta's durability issues, he thinks Torres will get the job done. Paul likes the over 37.5 significant strikes for Torres on PrizePicks.
The MMA Guru picks Manuel Torres over Nikolas Motta, citing Torres as a good prospect with momentum and a reach advantage. He notes Motta was slept by Jim Miller and has questionable striking defense. He expects a stand-up fight favoring Torres, who has improved over a year off.
Zane picks Torres because of his durability and ability to navigate wild exchanges. He notes that Motta is fragile and has been knocked out multiple times, while Torres has never been KO'd. Zane believes that in a pocket exchange, Torres will land the harder shots and Motta will break.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Frank Camacho | 1 | 34 of 64 | 53% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Frank Camacho | 1 | 34 of 64 | 53% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Torres | 16 of 31 | 51% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Frank Camacho | 34 of 64 | 53% | 27 of 56 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manuel Torres | 16 of 31 | 51% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Frank Camacho | 34 of 64 | 53% | 27 of 56 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Torres (-130), Camacho (+110)
Round 1
Camacho and Torres waste no time in slinging punches as referee Herb Dean gets out of their way. Camacho briefly looks for a takedown, but otherwise there’s nothing but fists flying for a solid minute. Camacho lands a stinging jab but eats a right-hand counter from the Mexican. Camacho runs Torres into the fence and drives a knee up the middle. They disengage and meet in the center of the Octagon. Torres lands a big rear hand uppercut that rocks Camacho. Sensing he has his man hurt, Torres pursues with punches. Camacho appears to be recovering, throwing back, when Torres slips a punch and lands a blistering left-right combo that drops Camacho to his seat in a daze. Referee Dean rushes in for the stop, and Manuel Torres has made his UFC debut in scintillating fashion.
The Official Result
Manuel Roberto Torres def. Frank Camacho R1 3:27 via TKO (Punches)
Cody picks Camacho but with very low confidence. He notes Camacho has more experience, a BJJ black belt, and looks in great shape on social media after a year off. However, he acknowledges Camacho's recent loss to Justin James and fight pullouts. He says there's not a shred of confidence in the selection.
Paul is undecided, calling it a 50-50 stay-away fight. He notes there's not enough footage on Torres and Camacho's last performance was poor. He mentions the line is close and he doesn't have enough confidence to pick either side.
Expert Picks (16)
AJ picks Torres by finish, citing his power, pressure, and underrated grappling. He thinks Fiziev has shown signs of slowing down and that Torres's jiu-jitsu is superior. He expects Torres to force a stoppage, possibly by submission or TKO.
AJ DeVito is extremely confident in Manuel Torres to upset Rafael Fiziev, calling it his lock of the week. He believes Torres is a stylistic nightmare for Fiziev due to his quick gap-closing and heavy hands, and questions Fiziev's durability after recent knockout losses. He notes Torres' submission threat as a secondary option but expects a KO. He also discusses various prop bets including Torres by finish, KO, submission, and round props, but ultimately prefers the moneyline at plus money.
AJ picks Torres to win by finish, citing his pressure, hand speed, and power. He thinks Fiziev is on a decline, too hittable, and that Torres will close the distance and land big shots. AJ expects a first-round knockout or a club-and-sub, noting Torres' submission threat.
AJ picks Torres by knockout, citing his devastating power and blitzing style. Fiziev is coming off a KO loss and may struggle with Torres' pressure. Torres' submission threat is also live. The matchup favors Torres' close-range aggression over Fiziev's kickboxing.
Angelo is fine with Fiziev winning and picked him, but acknowledges Manuel Torres as a solid underdog with random power and slick grappling. He notes Fiziev's losses are to top fighters like Gaethje and Ruffy, and a broken leg against Gamrot, while Torres may not be ready for that level.
Angelo picks Fiziev after flipping from Torres, citing that Fiziev's recent losses are to elite fighters (Gamrot, Ruffy) and that he is the better striker. He notes Fiziev's chin is questionable but believes he can fight smart at home and outpoint Torres.
Angelo initially doubted Fiziev due to his fading chin, but after seeing Justin Gaethje's performance, he reversed his pick. He believes Fiziev is the better striker and wrestler, and that Torres' win over Grant Dawson is not comparable to Fiziev's losses to Gaethje and Ruffy. He hopes Fiziev's chin holds up and notes that Fiziev has flipped to a slight favorite at -115.
Big Brady picks Manuel Torres to win by first-round knockout. He notes Torres is a 'kill or be killed' fighter with 19 first-round finishes in 20 fights, possessing massive power. Fiziev is the more technical striker but has taken damage, has a questionable chin after being knocked out by Ruffy, and may be on the decline. Brady thinks Torres catches him early, though he acknowledges Fiziev could win if he survives the first round.
Cody picks Fiziev, citing his body of work and home-field advantage in Azerbaijan. He acknowledges Torres's power and danger in the first round but believes Fiziev's experience and skill edge will prevail if he survives the early onslaught. He notes the fight is low on his betting priority list.
Daniel Levi leans towards Fiziev because he has proven more at the upper echelon, has more ways to win including mixing in takedowns, and his power has translated deep into fights (e.g., fifth-round KO of RDA). He acknowledges Torres's dangerous first-round power and size but questions his durability past round one and his level of competition. Levi is low-key rooting for Torres but wants to see how he handles an extended war.
Jacob picks Torres by KO, citing his tape study showing Fiziev is susceptible to a long 1-2 combination. He thinks Torres' blitzing style and round 1 aggression will overwhelm Fiziev, who has been dropped before. He expects an early finish.
Lucrative James picks Fiziev because he believes Fiziev is a much higher level striker than Torres, with better patience, volume, and technical kicking. He notes that Fiziev has fought and beaten better competition, and that Torres has not been outside round one since 2018, giving Fiziev a cardio and experience advantage in later rounds. He also points to the common opponent Ignacio Bahamondes, who knocked out Torres but was clearly outpointed by Fiziev. However, he acknowledges Torres has more power and is on an upward trajectory while Fiziev has wear and tear.
The host believes Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai striking and experience will allow him to find openings and counter Torres, leading to a big knockout win for Fiziev in front of his home country.
Fiziev's hard-nosed Muay Thai and speed will allow him to counter Torres' aggression. Torres makes mistakes and trusts his power too much. Fiziev can eat a shot and land his own counters, hurting Torres and eventually putting him away by knockout.
Paul picks Fiziev but is hesitant, noting Fiziev's age and wear from a long career with many fights. He worries about Fiziev's durability after the Ruffy KO and thinks his best days are behind him. However, he values Fiziev's back class and experience over Torres's unknown durability and cardio, and expects Fiziev to win a competitive fight.
The Guru picks Fiziev via third or fourth-round TKO, citing his superior striking, defense, and experience. He believes Fiziev's leg kicks and body work will slow Torres, who lacks experience in longer fights. He notes Torres's power but expects Fiziev's patience and technical edge to prevail.
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