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Age 34
Height 6' 4"
Reach 76"
Weight 240 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 75"
Weight 259 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Rizvan Kuniev
3.94 SLpM
54.0% Str. Acc.
2.33 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
0.98 TD Avg
75.0% TD Acc.
93.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Tyrell Fortune
2.0 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
3.13 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
3.0 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Rizvan Kuniev
Moneyline
BetRivers -295
Tyrell Fortune

No odds available

Rizvan Kuniev - Fight History
SCHED vs Tyrell Fortune
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jailton Almeida 0 31 of 67 46% 50 of 92 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:24
Rizvan Kuniev 0 43 of 93 46% 102 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 6:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jailton Almeida 0 5 of 12 41% 14 of 22 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:11
Rizvan Kuniev 0 12 of 24 50% 33 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:11
2 Jailton Almeida 0 8 of 21 38% 15 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rizvan Kuniev 0 15 of 35 42% 30 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
3 Jailton Almeida 0 18 of 34 52% 21 of 40 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:13
Rizvan Kuniev 0 16 of 34 47% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jailton Almeida 31 of 67 46% 17 of 50 12 of 15 2 of 2 23 of 57 8 of 10 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 43 of 93 46% 31 of 77 11 of 15 1 of 1 22 of 65 21 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jailton Almeida 5 of 12 41% 1 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 12 of 24 50% 5 of 15 6 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 12 8 of 12 0 of 0
2 Jailton Almeida 8 of 21 38% 4 of 14 4 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 15 of 35 42% 12 of 30 3 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 28 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Jailton Almeida 18 of 34 52% 12 of 28 6 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 29 5 of 5 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 16 of 34 47% 14 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 25 7 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Angelo picks Jailton Almeida confidently, calling him one of the best wrestling heavyweights ever. He notes Almeida's spectacular takedown execution and believes he will dominate Kuniev on the ground. He mentions that Almeida was robbed in his last fight against Alexander Volkov, where he had 7 takedowns and 11 minutes of control time. He advises jumping on the -220 line before it moves.

"Jolton's the pick. Very com minus 220. I would jump on that now before it's minus 400,000."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Big Brady picks Rizvan Kuniev as a dog, noting that Kuniev stuffed takedowns well against Curtis Blades, who is one of the best wrestlers in the UFC. He believes Almeida has poor cardio and doesn't handle adversity well, and if Kuniev can stuff early takedowns, he will break and finish Almeida. He predicts a second-round knockout.

by second round knockout
"I'm going Kunov here... Give me Rizon Kunia by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Cody also picks Kuniev, highlighting Almeida's lack of size and finishing ability. He notes Almeida's control time doesn't score well with judges, and Kuniev's striking and clinch work should earn him rounds. Cody expects a decision win for Kuniev, with the over being a strong play.

over 1.5 rounds
"Kunay meanwhile... he's not going to hold you up against the cage and land shorts the whole time. It's not who he is."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Connor picks Kuniev, citing his solid takedown defense and steady, measured aggression. He believes Kuniev's simple, mistake-free style could be the recipe to handle Almeida, especially if Almeida can't get takedowns. He notes that Almeida's striking is poor and Kuniev could pressure him. However, he admits it's a risky pick given Kuniev's lack of UFC experience.

Same odds discussion.
"I might take Kunev actually."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Lucrative James picks Jailton Almeida to win by submission in round one. He believes Almeida's grappling will be too much for Kuniev, who showed poor takedown defense against Curtis Blades. James notes that Almeida is excellent at taking the back and finishing, while Kuniev is primarily a striker.

win in round 1
"My prediction for this fight is Jolton Almeida to win in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

The host picks Kuniev by TKO in rounds 2 or 3. He believes Kuniev can stop Almeida's takedowns and work back to his feet quickly, then outbox Almeida and take over as Almeida gasses. He notes Kuniev's striking and wrestling are underrated, and that Almeida struggles when he can't get takedowns.

round 2 or 3 TKO
"So, I'm going to go Kunv here. I think he gets that round two, round three TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Paul picks Rizvan Kuniev, citing Almeida's struggles with modern judging that favors damage over control time. He notes Kuniev's better boxing and durability, and Almeida's inability to finish or hold down bigger opponents. Paul expects Kuniev to land the more impactful strikes and edge a decision.

over 1.5 rounds
"I'm not the biggest Rizon guy... but credit where credit's due, last fight he lost a decision that frankly most people scored for him against Curtis Blades."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Jailton Almeida

The host picks Jailton Almeida over Rizvan Kuniev. He thinks Almeida's grappling will be too much, and he will out-scramble Kuniev. He notes Kuniev's conditioning may be an issue later in the fight. He expects Almeida to win, possibly boringly, and hopes he gets cut afterwards.

"I'm going to go with Jailton Almeida, a little bit too athletic."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jailton Almeida

Zane picks Almeida but acknowledges Kuniev's solid defensive wrestling and measured aggression. He notes that Kuniev's performance against Curtis Blades was impressive, but Blades has been disconnected from his wrestling. He thinks Almeida's relentless takedown attempts could overwhelm Kuniev, but if Kuniev stuffs them, Almeida could be in trouble.

Almeida opened at -550, currently -145; Kuniev opened at +420, currently +125. Zane likes the line, saying Almeida should be a slight favorite.
"I think I have to pick Almeida over three rounds, but Kunev is a dark course."
LOSS vs Curtis Blaydes
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Curtis Blaydes 0 56 of 95 58% 101 of 143 2 of 15 13% 0 0 5:21
Rizvan Kuniev 0 45 of 108 41% 58 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Curtis Blaydes 0 12 of 23 52% 21 of 33 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:01
Rizvan Kuniev 0 8 of 22 36% 13 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Curtis Blaydes 0 16 of 39 41% 19 of 42 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
Rizvan Kuniev 0 24 of 52 46% 26 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Curtis Blaydes 0 28 of 33 84% 61 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:12
Rizvan Kuniev 0 13 of 34 38% 19 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Curtis Blaydes 56 of 95 58% 34 of 71 3 of 4 19 of 20 44 of 82 12 of 13 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 45 of 108 41% 38 of 100 4 of 5 3 of 3 35 of 93 10 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Curtis Blaydes 12 of 23 52% 7 of 18 0 of 0 5 of 5 7 of 17 5 of 6 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 8 of 22 36% 5 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Curtis Blaydes 16 of 39 41% 14 of 36 1 of 2 1 of 1 15 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 24 of 52 46% 21 of 48 1 of 2 2 of 2 19 of 45 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Curtis Blaydes 28 of 33 84% 13 of 17 2 of 2 13 of 14 22 of 27 6 of 6 0 of 0
Rizvan Kuniev 13 of 34 38% 12 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 26 5 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Rizvan Kuniev

Angelo fades Curtis Blaydes, picking Rizvan Kuniev as a lean. He notes that Blaydes has abandoned wrestling and has a weak chin, while Kuniev is decent everywhere and has power. He thinks Kuniev could have success if he gets Blaydes against the cage and drags him down, but acknowledges Blaydes is the bigger favorite. He is not confident in Kuniev but prefers him due to Blaydes' declining career.

Mentions Blaydes' lack of takedowns and chin issues; no specific bet.
"I'm going to fade Curtis Blades here. It just feels like his career is on the wrong slope."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Big Brady picks Curtis Blaydes but with the caveat that Blaydes could get knocked out, as all five of his losses are by KO. He is not sold on Kuniev, who tested positive for PEDs and looks different off them. Brady thinks Blaydes has better cardio and will drag the fight into deep waters, either getting a late finish or winning a decision. He predicts Blaydes by decision.

late finish or decision
"I got to go play Blades here. I think he wins this fight."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Connor picks Blaydes, agreeing that Kuniev's pressure-counter style will lead to clinch exchanges where Blaydes can dominate. He notes that Kuniev is not as dynamic as Almeida, whom Blaydes outwrestled, and that Kuniev's soft physique and lack of athleticism make him a poor matchup for Blaydes. He believes Blaydes should be a much heavier favorite, calling it a 'minus 500 situation.'

Odds comment: Blaydes should be a much heavier favorite, like minus 500.
"I think this is a minus like 500 situation. Honestly, like I think this is a point where blades is just like, it would be pretty remarkable if he lost this."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

The host notes Blaydes was a -340 favorite in March and now is around -260, which he considers a gift. He thinks Blaydes' wrestling will thwart Kuniev's, allowing him to land big shots and outdamage Kuniev, possibly getting a ground-and-pound finish, but official prediction is Blaydes by decision.

"This time around, he finds himself closer to that minus 260 range and I think that's a gift of a line as I think his wrestling will thwart that of the Russians and I think he'll be able to find …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

The MMA Guru picks Curtis Blaydes, criticizing Rizvan Kuniev as a known steroid cheat. He highlights Blaydes' experience, underrated striking, and excellent grappling defense. He predicts Blaydes will win by TKO via ground-and-pound in round two, noting Kuniev's inability to finish or outpoint Blaydes.

Blaydes wins by TKO (ground-and-pound) in round 2
"I'm going with Curtis Blades here. I just think there's too much of an advantage in experience. I don't see Kunv finishing him."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Curtis Blaydes

Zane picks Blaydes, arguing that Kuniev's style invites wrestling by pressuring and clinching, which plays into Blaydes' strengths. He notes that Kuniev's fight against Kunya showed he allows himself to be clinched and wrestled, and that Blaydes is a much better wrestler than Kuniev. He dismisses concerns about Blaydes' striking-first tendency, as Kuniev's pressure will give Blaydes easy takedown entries.

"I have to pick Curtis blades here because you watch that kunya fight for kunyev. And what is the first thing he let's happen? Yeah, he lets kunya go in and wrestle him."
Tyrell Fortune - Fight History
SCHED vs Rizvan Kuniev
WIN vs Marcin Tybura
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marcin Tybura 0 47 of 110 42% 85 of 153 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Tyrell Fortune 0 30 of 59 50% 49 of 81 3 of 5 60% 0 0 5:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marcin Tybura 0 8 of 22 36% 13 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyrell Fortune 0 9 of 15 60% 18 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:03
2 Marcin Tybura 0 19 of 50 38% 21 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tyrell Fortune 0 13 of 26 50% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Marcin Tybura 0 20 of 38 52% 51 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:41
Tyrell Fortune 0 8 of 18 44% 18 of 29 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marcin Tybura 47 of 110 42% 22 of 77 20 of 27 5 of 6 36 of 96 11 of 14 0 of 0
Tyrell Fortune 30 of 59 50% 24 of 53 6 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 43 6 of 6 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marcin Tybura 8 of 22 36% 5 of 16 2 of 4 1 of 2 4 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
Tyrell Fortune 9 of 15 60% 8 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 2 5 of 9
2 Marcin Tybura 19 of 50 38% 8 of 35 7 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tyrell Fortune 13 of 26 50% 11 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 12 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Marcin Tybura 20 of 38 52% 9 of 26 11 of 12 0 of 0 15 of 32 5 of 6 0 of 0
Tyrell Fortune 8 of 18 44% 5 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 14 3 of 3 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Tyrell Fortune vs. Marcin Tybura
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Fortune (-120); Tybura (+100)

Round 1
There is one heavyweight card on the billing, and it happens now. At the tender age of 40, Polish all-around fighter Tybura (27-10, 14-9 UFC) has slowed to a degree, but wins in two of three suggest he is still not out of it yet. He welcomes former Bellator big man Fortune (17-3, 2 NC; 0-0 UFC) to the organization, who will have one Lally brother of Arizona Combat Sports fame in his corner. Keeping tabs on the action and hoping it will not end up in the hands of the judges will be referee Herb Dean, who would prefer not to be paid by the hour in this affair. The late replacement Fortune offers a glove touch that is accepted by “Tybur,” and away they go.
Fortune bounces lightly around on his heels while Tybura slowly works his way towards him, and he parries a front kick. After offering little offense, Fortune springs into action with a textbook double-leg takedown that dumps Tybura on his back. The newcomer starts jackhammering Tybura with his free right hand, pounding on the veteran until Tybura turns to defend against the strikes. Tybura gets to a knee while Fortune keeps clubbing him, and Fortune leans on him to smother him and prevent him from standing.
“Tybur” stands back up with the wall behind him, and he thwarts the first mat return attempt. Fortune grinds on his opponent, with Tybura framing off his face with an elbow that sets up a knee on the chin of Fortune. The debutant ignores the boos to keep squeezing Tybura against the cage, and Tybura slides another elbow off his face and knees Fortune in the stomach twice. Tybura pushes off Fortune’s face to break off. He lumbers forward slowly to offer a labored one-two, and Fortune strikes him back with a right hand. Tybura tosses up a kick that collides with the arm, and he swarms forward with a trio of punches. Fortune’s right hand is countered with a right up top, and he ends the round with a front kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fortune
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fortune
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fortune

Round 2
Tybura introduces himself again with kicks, and he wings a right hand over the top as Fortune circles away. Fortune gathers a head of steam to hurl two punches up top, and Tybura bounds off them and keeps his push kick going. Tybura hits nothing but air with two offered punches, with volume exceptionally low between the two as they take turns slowly engaging. Tybura hurls a right hand and eats a right on the jaw on the way in, and they clinch up with Tybura scoring knees and a check hook to break off. Fortune scores another hard right hand when Tybura is about to engage, and he ignores a low kick but cannot avoid two front kicks. The second slides down into the cup, and Dean calls time as the boos rain down. Fortune only takes a couple seconds before saying he is good to go, and he re-engages with a power right hand. The newcomer is well out of way when Tybura strikes at him, and he beats “Tybur” to the punch with flying fists.
Fortune’s overhand right scores practically any time Tybura meanders forward to attack, as he appears to be giving a tell that Fortune has picked up on. Tybura intercepts an advancing Fortune with a chopping leg kick, and it takes the ACS fighter a moment to get back up. Tybura slings a right hand and avoids the counter he knows is coming. Fortune puts a right hand down the pipe when Tybura kicks his lead leg, and he dances away from slow punches but cannot evade the thumping calf kick. Fortune takes a flush body kick after landing a jab, and he splits the guard with a fierce two-punch flurry. Tybura keeps walking face-first into punches, and he does not bat an eye and has to chase the fleet of foot Fortune around until the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fortune
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Fortune
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Fortune

Round 3
Fortune starts off the final round pushing for a takedown, and he bullies the UFC vet against the cage but cannot get him down. Tybura presses his hand of Fortune’s face to stop the attempt from going anywhere, and he manages to break free. Tybura boxes his way forward, but Fortune is too slick and does not absorb much. Tybura crashes into him, and the two clinch up. Fortune digs punches to the body until Tybura separates again, and it is the Polish fighter who strikes with a front kick. Tybura pops Fortune in the chops with a right hand, and he goes again to the body with a kick. Fortune whiffs on an overhand right, and Tybura presses him to the cage wall. Fortune turns him around with relative ease, and Tybura strikes with a knee but gets elbows hard. Tybura frames off with his elbow to get away.
The front kick of “Tybur” intercepts Fortune, who swings heavily at him. Fortune connects with a one-two and is promptly driven back with power punches back his direction. Tybura attacks aggressively, and Fortune tackles him to the floor. Tybura stands, and he is quickly mat returned. Tybura rushes to put his side to the cage wall, and Fortune clubs him with right hands as Tybura stands up. The two battle for underhooks, and Tybura thumps Fortune up with short punches and knees. Tybura elbows his man in the face from up close, and Fortune responds with knees to the stomach. Tybura punches his way back into the clinch, and he tags Fortune with a huge overhand right. Tybura goes headhunting, and Fortune strikes the body. Tybura, who appears to be the fresher of the two, clubs Fortune with a few punches, and Fortune gathers a head of steam and swings back as they reach the final horn, exhausted and drenched in sweat.
The initial scores are announced as 30-27, 29-28 and 29-28 all in favor of Tybura, and the crowd drowns out the building with boos. There is some confusion, and Fortune angrily departs the cage with his team as they believed he did enough. Bruce Buffer is called back to the Octagon, where he apologizes and re-announces the winner via unanimous decision as Fortune. Sometimes these things happen in MMA.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tybura (29-28 Fortune)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tybura (29-28 Fortune)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tybura (29-28 Fortune)

The Official Result
Tyrell Fortune def. Marcin Tybura via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Tyrell Fortune

Angelo picks Tyrell Fortune because he believes Fortune's power and striking will be too much for the aging Marcin Tybura. He notes that if Tybura can get takedowns, he could grind out a win, but he doubts Tybura can avoid Fortune's power. Angelo suggests betting on Fortune inside the distance if hesitant on the moneyline, as Tybura is unlikely to finish Fortune.

Win inside distance decision no action
"Tyrell's going to be the pick. If you're too scared to bet him, then grab him at win inside the distance decision no action."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Big Brady leans toward Marcin Tybura to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges it's a greasy heavyweight fight and sees paths for both. He favors Tybura's experience and submission grappling advantage on the ground. He notes Tybura is 40 with a questionable chin, but believes if Tybura gets on top, the fight ends quickly. He also mentions Fortune's power and early finishes but thinks Tybura's path is more reliable.

Tybura by submission round 2
"I'm leaning Tybura here. ... I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Cody picks Tybura, expecting him to survive Fortune's early explosiveness and take over as Fortune fades. He suggests live betting Tybura after the first round.

"It's going to be the Polish powerhouse, Marcin Tybura."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Connor also picks Tybura, agreeing that Fortune's grappling is bad and that Tybura's backtake game will be decisive. He notes that Fortune is not interested in fighting and that Tybura's decline is a concern but Fortune is not the type to exploit it.

"I think for the grappling alone... I pick Tabora."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tyrell Fortune

Daniel thinks Fortune is catching Tybura at the right time, as Tybura is 40 and near retirement. He believes Fortune's motivation and well-rounded skills will earn him a UFC debut win.

"I think this is right place, right time for Tyrell Fortune to at least get one UFC win under his belt against an established, serious name in Marcin Tybura."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Tyrell Fortune

The host believes Fortune's wrestling and grappling will be the difference, allowing him to control the fight on the ground. He notes Tybura's experience but thinks Fortune's strength and top pressure will grind out a decision. He expresses some concern about Fortune's submission defense after a heel hook loss but expects him to have shored that up.

decision
"I think we'll see Fortune having shored up those submission defense issues and I think that would lead to him grinding this fight out uh and having a successful UFC debut."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Paul leans Tybura as a dog, citing Fortune's questionable cardio and heart. He's hesitant but sees value on Tybura at plus money.

"I'm taking the dog in Tybura as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marcin Tybura

The MMA Guru picks Marcin Tybura, despite acknowledging Tyrell Fortune's wrestling background. He believes Tybura's experience and durability will carry him to a decision win. He notes that Fortune has not faced high-level competition recently and that Tybura can grind out a win. He predicts a 29-28 decision.

decision
"I'm picking Martin Tyura to win this fight."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Marcin Tybura

Zane picks Tybura due to his grappling advantage, noting that Tybura is one of the few heavyweights with a backtake game, while Fortune has poor grappling instincts and gives up his back. He also mentions Fortune's lack of willingness to finish.

"I think for the grappling alone... I pick Tabora."