Career Averages - Kurtis Campbell
Career Averages - Trevor Peek
Kurtis Campbell - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 17 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Danny Silva | 2 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 20 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 15 of 36 | 41% | 15 of 38 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Danny Silva | 0 | 6 of 20 | 30% | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:56 | |
| 2 | Kurtis Campbell | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Danny Silva | 2 | 10 of 12 | 83% | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurtis Campbell | 17 of 41 | 41% | 12 of 29 | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 16 of 32 | 50% | 11 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 23 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kurtis Campbell | 15 of 36 | 41% | 10 of 24 | 2 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 6 of 20 | 30% | 3 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Kurtis Campbell | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Danny Silva | 10 of 12 | 83% | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 |
Angelo picks Kurtis Campbell because of his excellent wrestling and BJJ, expecting him to shoot takedowns repeatedly. He acknowledges Danny Silva is tough and has good takedown defense, but believes Campbell's wrestling will be the difference, especially fighting in England.
Big Brady is confident in Kurtis Campbell, praising his well-rounded skills, nasty ground and pound, and high ceiling. He notes that Campbell is only 23 and the hometown favorite. He thinks Campbell will mix in takedowns and get into dominant positions, but Danny Silva is extremely tough and won't be knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Campbell.
Cody echoes Paul, noting Campbell's diverse arsenal and Silva's defensive liabilities. He expects Campbell to get the job done.
Connor picks Silva as well, echoing Zane's reasoning. He notes that Silva is a fast athlete with volume, but has no sense of pace and makes exchanges he doesn't need to. Connor trusts Silva's athleticism and technique over Campbell's, but admits Campbell could win if Silva fails to dissuade his pressure. He calls Campbell a 'male Jillian Robertson' who relies on grappling.
Daniel likes Campbell's maturity and mindset, comparing him to younger prospects like Vallejos. He thinks Campbell's pressure and mixing of strikes will overwhelm Silva, who tends to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to win by decision or submission.
Daniel Vreeland picks Charlie Campbell to win his UFC debut. He praises Campbell's wrestling, top pressure, and mental toughness, while criticizing Silva's tendency to fade after the first round. He expects Campbell to take Silva down and control the fight.
Silva has elite cardio, toughness, and durability, which will trouble debutant Campbell. Campbell is more skilled but hasn't faced someone with Silva's pressure. Silva should win if he can survive early rounds and push pace. The odds are too wide; Silva is the value bet.
James picks Charlie Campbell, praising his high fight IQ and well-rounded skills. He thinks Campbell's grappling and ability to make the right decisions will be key. He notes that Silva is tough but lacks standout skills, while Campbell has multiple weapons.
The host is confident in Kurtis Campbell winning by finish (TKO or submission). He praises Campbell's relentless pressure, grappling, and strength, while Silva is seen as a technical striker without knockout power. He expects Campbell to mix in takedowns and dominate on the ground, leading to a finish.
Paul likes Campbell's power, volume, and youth, while Silva is a generalist who struggles in close fights. He expects Campbell to win by decision or late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Kurtis Campbell to win by second-round submission. He praises Campbell's well-roundedness and ability to hurt opponents with seemingly light shots. He notes Silva has a good chin but has taken damage and has scar tissue, and Campbell's dynamic striking and grappling will be too much. He expects Campbell to open Silva up and find a rear-naked choke.
Zane picks Silva but is hesitant because Silva has a tendency to keep opponents in fights despite being athletically superior. He notes that Silva is faster and stronger than anyone Campbell has faced, and has good striking, but he lets opponents stay competitive. Zane trusts Silva's skills over Campbell's, as Campbell's wins are against low-level competition and he relies on bullying. However, he acknowledges Campbell could win if Silva makes characteristic mistakes.
Trevor Peek - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 55 of 107 | 51% | 63 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 42 of 66 | 63% | 85 of 124 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 16 of 33 | 48% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 12 of 23 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 36 of 48 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:41 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 22 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 28 of 39 | 71% | 37 of 53 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yanal Ashmouz | 55 of 107 | 51% | 29 of 78 | 18 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 48 of 99 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 42 of 66 | 63% | 26 of 48 | 9 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 19 of 41 | 18 of 20 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yanal Ashmouz | 16 of 33 | 48% | 6 of 21 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 15 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yanal Ashmouz | 22 of 33 | 66% | 11 of 21 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 10 of 16 | 62% | 7 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yanal Ashmouz | 17 of 41 | 41% | 12 of 36 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 28 of 39 | 71% | 15 of 26 | 7 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 23 | 11 of 11 | 5 of 5 |
Angelo picks Yanal Ashmouz because he is the better fighter skill-for-skill, with technique everywhere, but he is hesitant because Trevor Peek is incredibly durable and has insane pressure. He notes that Yanal is still a dog and he has a bet on him, but he has buyer's remorse after watching Peek's toughness. He hopes Yanal doesn't break.
Big Brady picks Yanal Ashmouz as the underdog but says he wants nothing to do with betting on this fight. He describes it as a chaotic, back-and-forth war that likely goes to decision, with both guys having moments. Brady likes Ashmouz's ability to land big shots and mix in takedowns, but admits the fight could go either way.
Cody echoes Paul's sentiment, praising Peek's chin, heart, and relentless pressure. He notes Ashmouz's lack of grappling and tendency to get taken down, while Peek's wrestling has improved. He expects Peek to walk through Ashmouz's strikes and land a knockout.
Daniel is a fan of Trevor Peek's fighting style and believes Ashmouz is KO-or-bust. He criticizes Ashmouz's low volume and reliance on one big shot, and thinks Peek can outwork him to a decision or catch him. He notes that Ashmouz struggled when he couldn't get the knockout against Chris Duncan. Daniel sees multiple paths to victory for Peek.
Peek is durable, aggressive, and has never been finished. Ashmouz hits hard but may struggle to keep the fight at range. In a pocket exchange, Peek's power and chin could prevail. However, the host prefers to watch rather than bet heavily, as this fight reveals ceilings for both.
Paul is a fan of Peek's style and believes his durability, pressure, and power will overwhelm Ashmouz, who is more technical but lacks grappling and has shown vulnerability to pressure. He notes Ashmouz's poor takedown defense and tendency to fade. He picks Peek by KO.
The MMA Guru picks Yanal Ashmouz over Trevor Peek. He praises Ashmouz's power and notes he fought Chris Duncan with a broken arm and still went to a decision. He believes Peek is too hittable and that Ashmouz is primed to land big KO blows. He predicts a TKO win for Ashmouz, though he admits he will be rooting for Peek.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 0 | 47 of 97 | 48% | 62 of 118 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 54 of 100 | 54% | 100 of 153 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 0 | 1 | 5:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 19 of 41 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 27 of 50 | 54% | 43 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 24 of 45 | 53% | 33 of 58 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 35 of 53 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 3 of 11 | 27% | 22 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Campbell | 47 of 97 | 48% | 32 of 77 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 9 | 34 of 81 | 10 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Trevor Peek | 54 of 100 | 54% | 20 of 50 | 18 of 29 | 16 of 21 | 40 of 80 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlie Campbell | 19 of 41 | 46% | 10 of 28 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 17 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Trevor Peek | 27 of 50 | 54% | 7 of 21 | 9 of 13 | 11 of 16 | 22 of 44 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charlie Campbell | 24 of 45 | 53% | 18 of 38 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 3 |
| Trevor Peek | 24 of 39 | 61% | 11 of 20 | 9 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 29 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charlie Campbell | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 3 of 11 | 27% | 2 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Charlie Campbell is the more skilled technical fighter. He believes Peek's granite chin, high pressure, and chaotic style make him very difficult to beat. He says that Campbell cannot out-technique Peek because Peek is so crazy and in your face. Angelo notes that Peek is a 2-to-1 underdog and that based on skills alone he should be a 10-to-1 underdog, but with Peek's chin and aggression, it's a pick 'em fight. He picks the dog.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek with no confidence, acknowledging a huge skill deficit. He notes that Campbell is the much better mixed martial artist, but Peek makes up for it with heart, durability, and toughness. He worries that Campbell may beat Peek up early but fail to finish, allowing Peek to come back and find a finish in the second round, similar to Peek's previous fights.
Cody is confident in Peek, noting his dog mentality and ability to overcome adversity. He points out Campbell's tendency to fight in the pocket and his high chin, which plays into Peek's power. Cody also highlights Peek's training at altitude with Justin Gaethje and Cory Sandhagen, which should improve his cardio. He predicts a Peek knockout, especially in the small Apex cage.
Daniel Vreeland picks Trevor Peek despite admitting bias, as he loves Peek's brawling style. He acknowledges Charlie Campbell is more technical and will likely win round one, but believes Peek can take over late if Campbell doesn't finish early. Vreeland notes Campbell is green and has been knocked out by lesser athletes like Chris Duncan, and expects Peek to rough him up against the fence and test his heart in deep waters.
Campbell is the technically better striker with good range management and patience. He learned from his loss to Duncan and now lets knockouts come to him. Peek has an iron chin and forward pressure, but Campbell can pot-shot him from distance. The fight likely goes to decision, but Campbell should outland him.
Paul picks Trevor Peek as a dog, citing his durability, pressure, and power. He notes Campbell has a reach advantage but fights with his head high and has been knocked out by Chris Duncan after dominating. Paul thinks Peek's ability to take a punch and return fire will be key, and that Peek's training camp at altitude with top guys will improve his cardio. He expects a Peek knockout.
The host praises Campbell's crispy boxing, footwork, and patience. He notes Campbell learned from getting KO'd by Chris Duncan after dominating early. He predicts Campbell will use his reach advantage, find a shot to wobble Peek, and finish with crisp one-twos. He expects a TKO win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 43 of 92 | 46% | 47 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 61 of 97 | 62% | 83 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 35 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 43 of 92 | 46% | 28 of 70 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 41 of 90 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 61 of 97 | 62% | 32 of 61 | 16 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 83 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 8 of 13 | 61% | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 21 of 46 | 45% | 16 of 35 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 23 of 39 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 25 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 22 of 33 | 66% | 14 of 22 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.
Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.
Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.
Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 51 of 125 | 40% | 65 of 140 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:23 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 71 of 117 | 60% | 145 of 203 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 29 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 26 of 51 | 50% | 45 of 71 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 1:49 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:52 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 44 of 54 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 0 | 14 of 44 | 31% | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 33 of 49 | 67% | 56 of 78 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chepe Mariscal | 51 of 125 | 40% | 25 of 91 | 23 of 31 | 3 of 3 | 39 of 105 | 12 of 20 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 71 of 117 | 60% | 51 of 94 | 11 of 14 | 9 of 9 | 41 of 78 | 20 of 23 | 10 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chepe Mariscal | 24 of 59 | 40% | 14 of 45 | 8 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 50 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 26 of 51 | 50% | 18 of 41 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 32 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 11 | |
| 2 | Chepe Mariscal | 13 of 22 | 59% | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Chepe Mariscal | 14 of 44 | 31% | 5 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Trevor Peek | 33 of 49 | 67% | 27 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 25 of 40 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Chepe Mariscal, citing his superior experience and skills. He notes Chepe is a fantastic grappler who can duck under Trevor Peek's chaos and get takedowns. He mentions the line has moved from +170 to +155 and he has a quarter unit on Chepe at +155. He also strongly recommends the 'does not go the distance' prop as a safer bet.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging that Mariscal is probably the better fighter with tougher competition. He compares it to the Torres-Moda fight where the better striker lost to a big shot. He trusts Peek's chin and toughness, noting Peek took a beating on the Contender Series and came back to finish. He also notes Mariscal is moving up a weight class on short notice. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Peek, citing his durability and power. He thinks Peek's pressure will eventually overwhelm Mariscal, who has questionable durability. He notes Peek's size advantage and the rumor of a quick turnaround if he wins.
Connor picks Trevor Peek despite acknowledging he is a terrible technician. He loves Peek's insane confidence and recklessness, which makes him effective. Connor notes that Peek is a great athlete with fast and powerful strikes, and his chaotic style overwhelms opponents. He thinks Mariscal is not technical enough to cross that confidence and will get drawn into a messy brawl. Connor admits he will keep picking Peek until and probably after he loses because he enjoys watching him fight.
Daniel Levi picks Trevor Peek, citing his physicality, power, and ability to take a shot. He thinks Mariscal is smaller and has been knocked out before. He believes Peek's brute strength and fight-changing power will be too much, especially as the fight goes on. He notes Peek's improved training after quitting his job.
The host picks Chepe Mariscal to win, possibly by finish. He believes Mariscal is more experienced and talented overall, with a solid grappling and striking game. He notes Peek's brawling style and durability but thinks Mariscal can take advantage of Peek's aggression. He suggests the fight doesn't go to decision as a prop, but is cautious about Mariscal's durability.
Paul leans towards Mariscal, citing his technical kickboxing and speed. He thinks Mariscal can outpoint Peek and avoid his power. He acknowledges Peek's toughness but believes Mariscal's technique will prevail.
The Guru picks Trevor Peek, calling him the 'Derek Lewis of the lightweight division' with good get-ups from takedowns and dangerous first-round power. He believes Mariscal, making his UFC debut on short notice, may have octagon jitters and get smoked. He predicts Peek will march forward, get up from takedowns, and finish with a standing hammerfist.
Zane picks Mariscal, reasoning that while Peek is fun to watch, his technique is terrible and he is a bad fighter. Zane notes that Mariscal has more technique and is always on the borderline of throwing it all away to brawl, but that inconsistency is a problem. However, Zane thinks Mariscal's ability to be a messy scrapper who can overwhelm opponents gives him the edge. He acknowledges that Peek's confidence and athleticism make him dangerous, but ultimately believes Mariscal's slightly better technique will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 11 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 2 | 51 of 86 | 59% | 51 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 7 of 29 | 24% | 11 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 2 | 51 of 86 | 59% | 51 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 7 of 29 | 24% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 51 of 86 | 59% | 38 of 70 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 36 of 67 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 7 of 29 | 24% | 5 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Erick Gonzalez | 51 of 86 | 59% | 38 of 70 | 8 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 36 of 67 | 9 of 12 | 6 of 7 |
Connor picks Gonzalez, noting that he has a five-inch reach advantage and should be able to stick at range with jabs and kicks. He acknowledges that Gonzalez doesn't maintain range well and gets into the pocket, but he believes Gonzalez is trying to be a good fighter and has better structure than Peek. Connor also points out that Gonzalez's early career losses were not by knockout, which is a good sign for his durability here.
Zane picks Peek because Gonzalez is made of glass and his style pushes him forward into the pocket, where Peek can land. He notes that Gonzalez is uncomfortable at range and gets clipped, while Peek is a messy brawler who will storm the castle. Zane admits Peek could get knocked out in the process, but he picks him to get the knockout.
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