vs
+138 -127
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Next Fight
Age 30
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 31
Height 5' 10"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Bolaji Oki
6.42 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
5.12 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
1.02 TD Avg
57.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mason Jones
5.98 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
4.45 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
3.48 TD Avg
55.0% TD Acc.
73.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Bolaji Oki
Moneyline
BetUS +138
KO/TKO
FanDuel +370
Submission
BetMGM +2500
Decision
Cloudbet +364
Mason Jones
Moneyline
4casters -127
KO/TKO
BetRivers +460
Submission
Cloudbet +1135
Decision
Cloudbet +194
Bolaji Oki - Fight History
LOSS vs Manoel Sousa
KO R3 4:12 · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 84 of 170 49% 108 of 196 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:23
Manoel Sousa 2 71 of 179 39% 86 of 196 0 of 3 0% 1 0 1:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 20 of 26 76% 42 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:51
Manoel Sousa 1 10 of 21 47% 23 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:59
2 Bolaji Oki 0 32 of 72 44% 34 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Manoel Sousa 0 13 of 66 19% 15 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Bolaji Oki 0 32 of 72 44% 32 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Manoel Sousa 1 48 of 92 52% 48 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 84 of 170 49% 42 of 111 28 of 44 14 of 15 62 of 143 17 of 19 5 of 8
Manoel Sousa 71 of 179 39% 48 of 150 16 of 21 7 of 8 62 of 161 8 of 14 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 20 of 26 76% 8 of 14 9 of 9 3 of 3 3 of 7 12 of 12 5 of 7
Manoel Sousa 10 of 21 47% 8 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 12 5 of 5 1 of 4
2 Bolaji Oki 32 of 72 44% 16 of 49 11 of 18 5 of 5 28 of 65 4 of 6 0 of 1
Manoel Sousa 13 of 66 19% 7 of 56 4 of 8 2 of 2 12 of 61 1 of 5 0 of 0
3 Bolaji Oki 32 of 72 44% 18 of 48 8 of 17 6 of 7 31 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Manoel Sousa 48 of 92 52% 33 of 76 10 of 11 5 of 5 46 of 88 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Angelo picks Manoel Sousa, praising his incredible aggression, power, and pace. He notes that Bolaji Oki is a dangerous striker but fades significantly, and Sousa can go a full 15 minutes. He also mentions Sousa's win over Mauricio Ruffy and believes the UFC will invest in him.

"Manuel Souza is gonna be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Big Brady picks Manoel Sousa to win by third-round knockout. He likes Sousa's pressure style, power, and gas tank, and questions Oki's chin and durability. He notes Oki has been hurt and slowed down in fights, and believes Sousa will break him as the fight goes on. He acknowledges Oki has a path via wrestling but doubts he can maintain it for 15 minutes.

"give me Emanuel Souza to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Cody picks Sousa, citing his technical striking and power. He notes Oki's poor cardio and decision-making. He thinks Sousa will catch Oki as he tires.

"It's Sza for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Connor also picks Oki, emphasizing that Sousa has learned all the wrong things and lacks defensive acumen. He notes that Oki is fearless and a fantastic athlete, while Sousa is designed to snipe opponents who are afraid of him. Connor believes Oki's functional rawness will prevail over Sousa's flawed style.

Oki opened at +170, currently +230; Sousa opened at -200, dropped to -400, currently -270
"Sosa's raw in a way where it's like, Oh, you have learned all the wrong things. Yeah. So I'll take Oki as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

James picks Manoel Sousa to win by knockout, citing his power, pace, and pressure. He notes Oki's questionable chin and tendency to gas out after a fast start. He acknowledges Oki's grappling upside but believes Sousa's relentless style will overwhelm him.

"I'm going to pick Mammo Soua to win via knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 10, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

The host picks Sousa to win by knockout but is hesitant about the high price. He believes Sousa's Muay Thai and power will eventually land on Oki, but acknowledges Oki's own power and the possibility of an upset. He would prefer the line closer to -185 and suggests waiting for better odds. He notes that Sousa's grappling improvement and learning from the Perez fight will help him keep the fight standing.

Sousa by KO
"I think Sosa ends up landing the big enough shot to put Oki away here. I'm not so confident to the point that I would have played him at minus 300... I think -255 a little bit wide."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Manoel Sousa

Paul picks Sousa, noting his power and technical striking. He thinks Oki's cardio and ring IQ are issues. He expects Sousa to win by knockout.

"I think Sza has the way better uh the way better ground game and uh maybe he's coming into his own."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2026 (fight day)
Manoel Sousa

The Guru picks Manoel Sousa, citing his crafty veteran experience from Bellator and his ability to work into fights. He notes that Oki is explosive but fades after the first round, and that Sousa has the durability and finishing ability to take over in later rounds. He predicts a TKO in round 2 or 3.

Prediction: round 2 or 3 TKO
"I'm going to go with Manel Sousa... round two or three TKO finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Zane picks Bolaji Oki, noting that Sousa is a raw fighter with poor defense and a tendency to lunge in without setup. He believes Oki's athleticism and fearlessness will overwhelm Sousa, who struggles against aggressive opponents. Zane compares the fight to Oki's bout with Timmy Kwamba, where Oki's functional rawness outperformed Kwamba's flawed style.

Oki opened at +170, currently +230; Sousa opened at -200, dropped to -400, currently -270
"I'll take Oki as well. What is it? It's weird. That's a weird, lightweight fight of like, yeah, they're both prospects technically, but like, I dunno, not fighters."
LOSS vs Mason Jones
KO R2 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 1 38 of 99 38% 40 of 101 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 57 of 136 41% 67 of 147 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 1 29 of 73 39% 31 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 20 of 57 35% 25 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:16
2 Bolaji Oki 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 37 of 79 46% 42 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 38 of 99 38% 26 of 76 8 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 85 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 57 of 136 41% 52 of 128 2 of 3 3 of 5 23 of 84 2 of 3 32 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 73 39% 21 of 61 6 of 10 2 of 2 25 of 59 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 20 of 57 35% 17 of 51 1 of 2 2 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 10
2 Bolaji Oki 9 of 26 34% 5 of 15 2 of 9 2 of 2 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 79 46% 35 of 77 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 40 0 of 0 26 of 39
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away with the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either of those …"
CANCEL vs Marquel Mederos
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 18, 2025 (13 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

Angelo picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his cleaner striking technique and defensive soundness. He believes Mederos can use his jab to get through Bolaji Oki's guard and that Oki's power and speed will be less effective as he slows down. He also mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet.

Mentions a potential plus 3.5 round spread bet on Mederos.
"I am going with Markeel Maderos here. He is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady likes Bolaji Oki's volume and power, noting his strong performance against Chris Duncan before getting caught in a guillotine. He criticizes Marquel Mederos for close fights against lower-level opponents like Lanni Quinonez and Austin Hubbard, and believes Oki can out-strike and potentially out-grapple Mederos. He picks Oki by decision.

by decision
"I like Oki here. You know, Oki's a very good fighter. I like the volume, you know, in that Chris Duncan fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 28, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Marquel Mederos

The MMA Guru picks Marquel Mederos as an underdog, citing his versatility in multiple ranges (clinch, inside, distance) compared to Bolaji Oki who is primarily effective at range. He notes Mederos' composure and Oki's occasional overzealousness. He predicts a TKO in later rounds or a decision win.

"I'm actually going to go with Markeel Madios here. He's an underdog... I think Markeel Maderos is more effective in more different ranges than Bellagio is."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 31, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 136 of 303 44% 136 of 303 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 118 of 309 38% 118 of 309 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 36 of 92 39% 36 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 24 of 84 28% 24 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bolaji Oki 0 54 of 108 50% 54 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 42 of 100 42% 42 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Bolaji Oki 0 46 of 103 44% 46 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michael Aswell 0 52 of 125 41% 52 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 136 of 303 44% 92 of 243 36 of 48 8 of 12 135 of 300 1 of 3 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 118 of 309 38% 92 of 270 19 of 29 7 of 10 117 of 305 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 36 of 92 39% 23 of 75 9 of 11 4 of 6 36 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 24 of 84 28% 16 of 72 3 of 4 5 of 8 24 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bolaji Oki 54 of 108 50% 31 of 77 19 of 25 4 of 6 53 of 106 1 of 2 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 42 of 100 42% 35 of 87 6 of 12 1 of 1 42 of 98 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Bolaji Oki 46 of 103 44% 38 of 91 8 of 12 0 of 0 46 of 102 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michael Aswell 52 of 125 41% 41 of 111 10 of 13 1 of 1 51 of 123 1 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michael Aswell vs. Bolaji Oki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Oki (-375), Aswell (+300)

Round 1
Ever the internationally focused organization, where else can one find a tried-and-true Texan throwing down with a “Zulu Warrior” from Belgium? Right here in the Octagon is where it’s at, as “The Texas Kid” Aswell (10-2, 0-0 UFC) has made it to the promotion after riding the wave of Fury FC for a few years. He meets Oki (9-2, 1-1 UFC), who would like nothing more than to punch a hole in Aswell’s chest a la Ray Longo. The third man in the cage for this lightweight affair will be referee Herb Dean, who clocks the two in as they bump fists. It’s off to the races for these two, who quickly engage quickly with stern right hands. Oki sinks down a heavy low kick, and the two crash together. Oki backs off and pushes out a few jabs, and he swings a leg kick that makes him topple over. Aswell cannot reach him before he recovers, but he does walk Oki down and try to nail him with a right hand. Instead, it is Oki who clubs Aswell, with a nasty right hand followed by a left to the body. Oki does this again, walking through Aswell’s hammers that are swinging at the same time. Aswell calms himself down to toss out a few calf kicks, and he dodges a hook to clip Oki with a right hand. Oki shows no ill effects, and Aswell walks him down with his jab outstretched. Oki drills Aswell on the temple with a straight right hand, and Aswell busts him in the chops and may have hurt him for a second as Oki retreats. It does not take long for Oki to get back to lobbing bombs, and he mixes in a few body shots but gets popped on the way out. These two are trading effectively and flush on one another, and their chins are holding up at the three-minute mark but the pace may not be maintainable as they continue. The right hand from Oki splits a cut on the corner of Aswell’s left eyebrow, with the blood leaking into his eye slightly but not hampering his sight. Aswell still nails Oki with heavy hands, setting them up with jabs and knocking him back with a pair of rights. Aswell connects with another right, walks through a jab and fires off a right hook. Oki snaps his head back with a long jab, and his left hook to the belly finds its home a couple times. Both lightweights land hard at the end of the round, with Aswell knocking Oki back a step and possibly stealing the round with one concussive blow.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aswell
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aswell
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aswell

Round 2
A glove touch prompts the lightweights to get right in front of one another and punch. Oki backs him off with a step-in knee and tries to chain a high kick into it, but it is Aswell who stands firm and punches him square in the stomach. Oki sits down on big punches, but Aswell is able to roll with them just enough to not get his chin checked. Oki times another knee when Aswell steps in, and he slips back and tags Aswell as Aswell rushes at him. Oki measures several more body shots, and Aswell busts him in the chops with a right hand. Aswell fires off another right hook that snaps the head to the side, and Oki sticks his tongue out and puts three fists on Aswell’s face in rapid succession. Aswell lands a few punches, and Oki spins with a back kick to the belly. Aswell connects with two punches and is out of the way before getting countered, and he steps in and bops Oki in the chops with a left. Oki knocks him back thanks to his power punches, and he works a left to the ribs and a right up top. They both land at the same time, and Oki dodges an elbow to send Aswell retreating. Oki chains a knee into a right hand, and Aswell is tough as nails but is standing still when Oki puts hands on him. Aswell goes for two, and Oki’s lead jab and check hook to the damage. Oki knees his foe again, and he trips as he swings for the fences and recovers quickly. Oki takes a low kick on the calf and drills Aswell with a short combo, forcing the Texan to ricochet off the wall. Oki’s right hand further pounds Aswell on the jaw, and he jumps forward with a knee that flies past his foe on the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki

Round 3
One final glove touch kicks off the last round, and Oki starts off quickly with a jab and a chin-shaking right hand. Aswell displays near otherworldly durability as Oki is not taking it easy on him, but it is Oki in the driver’s seat. The power is substantially in his favor, and he has Aswell reacting to his strikes while he largely shrugs off the ones coming back his way. Even with Aswell’s likely higher volume, the right and left hooks from Oki are far more impactful. A few such hooks land on the chin, and Oki eats a counter, pats himself on the head to ask Aswell to bring it on and throws back. Oki leads off with his left hook, and three punches of his back Aswell up to the fence. Oki continue to chase after his opponent as Aswell is in retreat mode now, and he keeps his guard high to let Aswell’s swings bounce off him. Oki takes a hard right hand, and when Aswell doubles up his jab, Oki smiles at him and asks for more. Aswell obliges, but not before Oki clips him again hard. The strike totals are sky-high in this fight and the numbers are likely quite close, but Oki has figured out how to put volume together while still hitting Aswell harder than he gets hit back. Oki marks up Aswell’s left eye with his power right hand, and Aswell is looking for answers as his mighty swings seem to have no effect on the Belgian. Oki walks into and through a right hand, and he winds up with three hearty swings that bounce Aswell’s head around. Oki is determined to swing it out to the bell, and he does just that.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)

The Official Result
Bolaji Oki def. Michael Aswell via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 29, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Matt picks Bolaji Oki to win by decision. He highlights Oki's power punching and ability to maintain his gas tank over three rounds, while Aswell is a basic pressure fighter moving up a weight class on short notice. He expects Oki to land the more eye-catching shots and win on the scorecards, noting Aswell's durability but lack of power.

over 2.5 rounds -140 to -150 (intriguing)
"I'm going to go with Oki by decision."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady

Angelo picks Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady because of his relentless pressure and ability to maintain pace, while Bolaji Oki tends to slow down as fights go on. He notes that Al-Selwady had a full camp and is a pressure striker who mixes in takedowns. He acknowledges that Oki is a tough opponent with a good jab and fast sprawls, but believes Al-Selwady's cardio and pressure will be the difference.

Expects odds movement; advises to take advantage of early lines.
"I'm sticking with alati he had the full Camp he has the incredible pressure bagok slows down over time alawa does not so I'm going alati here"
LOSS vs Chris Duncan
Technical Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:34 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Duncan 0 28 of 50 56% 29 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:11
Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Duncan 0 28 of 50 56% 29 of 51 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:11
Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 12 of 29 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Duncan 28 of 50 56% 25 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 39 6 of 8 1 of 3
Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 7 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 6 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Duncan 28 of 50 56% 25 of 47 3 of 3 0 of 0 21 of 39 6 of 8 1 of 3
Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 7 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 6 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Angelo picks Chris Duncan as an underdog. He believes Duncan's willingness to stand in the pocket and pump a jab non-stop will frustrate Oki, who has defensive issues and gets hit often. Duncan's durability and ability to survive being dropped are key factors. Angelo notes he might sprinkle a small bet if Duncan's line becomes a bigger underdog.

might sprinkle a dollar or two if line moves to high pluses
"Chris Duncan's gonna win this fight... Chris has that solid jab... Chris has what seems like a very good chin..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki but is hesitant due to Chris Duncan's poor striking defense (49%) and tendency to walk into shots. He notes Oki has power and could hurt Duncan, but thinks the fight could be close and competitive. He expects Oki to win by decision, possibly dropping Duncan at some point.

Oki by decision
"I'm going to take Oki here um I'm going to take him to win this fight either I'll say by decision maybe he hurts Duncan here or there maybe it drops him but I'm going to say Oki wins this …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Cody leans towards Duncan as an underdog, citing Oki's questionable cardio and takedown defense. He notes that Duncan has wrestling and can take Oki down, potentially tiring him. However, he acknowledges Oki's power and the risk of getting knocked out. He doesn't plan to bet heavily.

"I'll side with Duncan strictly because these new gloves have ruined Knockouts"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Cody picks Bolaji Oki as his tournament play, highlighting his physicality, power, and early knockout potential. He notes Oki is minus 105 to win inside the distance and that Chris Duncan has been badly hurt in past fights. Cody believes Oki is a more technical and powerful striker with better durability, making him a sneaky tournament target at 8.8k.

win inside the distance (-105)
"I'm going to throw Bolaji Oki here at 8.8k against Chris Duncan... he's minus 105 to win inside the distance."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Oki is a much cruder fighter despite being a better athlete. He thinks Duncan's experience and ability to game plan will be key. Connor also mentions that Duncan has shown flexibility in his approach, which should help him avoid Oki's early power.

"I think it's all backwards."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Daniel Vreeland picks Bolaji Oki to win by knockout. He thinks Oki is much faster and more powerful on the feet, and that Duncan is hittable and slow. He notes Oki's good takedown defense and counter-striking. He expects Oki to hurt Duncan and finish him, possibly with body shots.

wins by KO
"I'm going to pick hoki to to find a KO here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

JP picks Bolaji Oki because of his power and nine-fight win streak. He notes Oki has never been finished and Chris Duncan has been KO'd by Slava Claus and submitted by Manuel Torres, which he views as poor performances. JP believes Oki's power will be too much for Duncan.

"give me uh Oki by KO okay [ __ ] Duncan no way you're getting submitted by a bum like Torres"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Paul leans towards Oki, believing his power will eventually catch Duncan, who has a questionable chin. He notes that Oki's takedown defense is a concern, but Duncan's wrestling isn't elite. He expects Oki to land a knockout at some point, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.

"I think at some point Oki just melts him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

The MMA Guru picks Bolaji Oki over Chris Duncan, citing Oki's superior speed and fluidity. He notes that Duncan is slow for the division and hasn't impressed, while Oki looked technical in his UFC debut. He predicts Oki will land more damaging shots and win by decision.

"I'm going to go with bagok I think he'll just be a little bit more fluid a little bit more fast twist and I think that might be the difference in this fight so I'm going to pick him by …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chris Duncan

Zane picks Duncan as an experience pick, noting that Duncan is reasonably well-rounded and can game plan. He thinks Duncan can lean on wrestling or aggressive striking to pressure Oki. However, he acknowledges Duncan has meltdown potential, but Oki doesn't have a grappling threat to trouble Duncan.

"My instinct is Duncan for what is essentially an experience pick."
WIN vs Timmy Cuamba
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 0 60 of 152 39% 61 of 157 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:49
Timmy Cuamba 0 33 of 94 35% 35 of 96 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 0 29 of 61 47% 30 of 64 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:10
Timmy Cuamba 0 9 of 43 20% 9 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bolaji Oki 0 10 of 25 40% 10 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
Timmy Cuamba 0 11 of 21 52% 13 of 23 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:55
3 Bolaji Oki 0 21 of 66 31% 21 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Timmy Cuamba 0 13 of 30 43% 13 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 60 of 152 39% 51 of 139 5 of 8 4 of 5 58 of 145 1 of 4 1 of 3
Timmy Cuamba 33 of 94 35% 20 of 67 8 of 14 5 of 13 26 of 86 5 of 6 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 61 47% 24 of 55 1 of 1 4 of 5 28 of 56 0 of 2 1 of 3
Timmy Cuamba 9 of 43 20% 5 of 30 1 of 3 3 of 10 9 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bolaji Oki 10 of 25 40% 10 of 24 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Timmy Cuamba 11 of 21 52% 9 of 15 1 of 4 1 of 2 5 of 14 4 of 5 2 of 2
3 Bolaji Oki 21 of 66 31% 17 of 60 4 of 6 0 of 0 20 of 64 1 of 2 0 of 0
Timmy Cuamba 13 of 30 43% 6 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 12 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Timothy Cuamba vs. Bolaji Oki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: N/A

Round 1
On August 29, 2023, both Oki (8-1, 0-0 UFC) and Cuamba (8-1, 0-0 UFC) competed on the fourth episode of Dana White’s Contender Series in its 2023 season. Both men ended up getting their hands raised—Oki by knockout, and Cuamba by decision—and the former was signed. The latter went back to the regionals, where he fought at Tuff-N-Uff, the former all-amateur promotion, and smoked Michael Stack just one week ago. The round robin of fighters ends with this lightweight pairing of 8-1 newcomers, and it will be joined in the cage by referee Chris Tognoni. There is no plan on touching gloves, as they would rather get down to business. Oki presents himself as the immediate aggressor, chasing Cuamba down and reaching out with a low kick and some wide punches. Cuamba does not engage with much of his own offense in the opening 90 seconds, but for a few jabs and low kicks. Oki throws back one leg kick and unloads with two big right hands that mark up Cuamba’s face. Cuamba looses a right hand of his own back Oki off, but Oki is driving jabs to the increasingly red eye of his opponent. Oki times an advancing Cuamba with a short right, and the offense slows down from both parties. Oki shuffles in place as he tosses out a single right hand, and when that misses, Cuamba lets rip two overhand rights. Oki pokes out several more jabs and avoids the counter, and he lands a low kick with an audible thud. Cuamba comes back with a jab and slings a right hand after it, and he presses forward but pulls back before shooting. Oki gladly remains in boxing range, jabbing his opponent up, until Cuamba spurs into action with a head kick. Oki catches it and pushes Cuamba to the floor, where he unloads with a series of punches until the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki

Round 2
The lightweights reach out to exchange a glove touch to start off the round, and Oki starts to chase Cuamba around the cage with jabs. Cuamba looks to mix things up with low kicks, but Oki walks through it and doubles up a jab to nail Cuamba with a right hand. Cuamba comes back with a two-punch combination, but it does not fluster Oki in the slightest. Oki continues to jab without fear of reprisal, and even when a counter comes from Cuamba, it is one-and-done. Oki peppers his man with a jab and occasional follow-up punches, and Cuamba attacks in response with a single-leg takedown effort. Oki backs up to the wall in defense, and he stifles Cuamba from getting him down and ends up taking Cuamba’s back in the process. Oki considers a rear-naked choke but falls off the side, although he gets a single hook in momentarily. Cuamba turns him back and stays doggedly pursuing the single, and he transitions to a double and manages to ground Oki after all. Cuamba steps over to the side and sits in an open half guard as he postures up to elbow Oki. When Oki sits up, Cuamba considers a guillotine choke at the 10-second clapper. Oki stands up, ignores a few elbows on the side of his head, and he hangs on as the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cuamba

Round 3
The final round commences as Oki looks to pick up where he left off on the feet with a veritable cornucopia of jabs. Cuamba attempts a kick, but Oki is too close and irritating him with jabs. Oki drops his hands and puts them behind his back to showboat, and Cuamba punches him square in the face. Oki continues to march forward with jabs outstretched, and he surprises his adversary by attempting a level change. Cuamba pushes him away and returns to kickboxing range. Oki welcomes this by reintroducing his jab to the face of his opponent, and he is light enough on his feet to dodge the counters that careen his direction. Cuamba sneaks out a left hand as he gets constantly driven back, but he cannot seem to stop the methodical strategy of “The Zulu Warrior.” Cuamba tries to swing for the fences, and Oki watches them soar past him. Oki sprawls to stop a takedown, and he marches down Cuamba and strings four punches together. Oki catches Cuamba with an uppercut, as he puts a bit more mustard on his punches with less than a minute to go. Cuamba keeps circling and absorbing punches, and he occasionally looks for a brawl but is telegraphing the majority of his power strikes. Oki fearlessly presses ahead with punches in bunches, gets in a knee, and reaches out with a Superman punch right before this lackluster offering comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Oki (29-28 Oki)

The Official Result
Bolaji Oki def. Timothy Cuamba via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Angelo describes Bolaji Oki as a busy striker with a good jab, power, and fast sprawl, though he slows down. He notes that Timmy Cuamba (referred to as deir hadzic) is an okay striker who relies on closing distance and takedowns, but his wide strikes leave him open to counters. Angelo believes Oki can defend takedowns and land effectively, and picks him to win. He suggests under 2.5 rounds might make sense.

under 2.5 rounds might make sense
"I think BAGI wins this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki to win by decision. He notes that Oki has many ways to win, including wrestling, as Cuamba has the worst takedown defense in the lightweight division. He thinks Oki can brawl on the feet but can also take Cuamba down easily. He is not laying -300 on a debutant but picks Oki.

"give me bagok to win this fight and I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Cody picks Oki, noting his size and power. He thinks Cuamba is taking the fight on short notice and moving up a weight class, which are disadvantages. Oki has shown good wrestling and knockout power. Cody expects Oki to land the bigger shots and win by decision or late stoppage.

"I got to go with baji Oki who again debut and do you want to pay the money line and blah blah blah blah blah like the the guy's explosive"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Oki is a young, powerful striker with speed and explosiveness. He should be able to find an early knockout against the aging and injury-returning Hadzovic. Hadzovic's ring rust and knee surgery recovery are major concerns. Oki's power will be too much, and he should win by first-round knockout.

"I got to lean with Oki as I think he should be able to uh find that early knockout here I think his speed and power is going to be too much for hadzovic and that ring rust is going …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Paul also picks Oki, citing size and preparation. He notes Cuamba fought last week and is moving up, which could affect his performance. Oki is the more proven prospect. Paul is not planning to bet it but leans Oki.

"I'll side with size here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

The MMA Guru picks Bolaji Oki because he is a dangerous athlete with good reach and power, and he is facing Timothy Cuamba on short notice. He recalls Oki's nasty first-round finish on the Contender Series. He notes that Cuamba is moving up from featherweight and taking the fight on short notice, which he sees as a disadvantage.

"I just think BAGI is too much of a presence and he's got too much power for a heavweight coming up so yeah I don't like this for a couple days notice."
Mason Jones - Fight History
WIN vs Axel Sola
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mason Jones 0 110 of 236 46% 123 of 251 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 65 of 135 48% 68 of 141 3 of 7 42% 0 0 2:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mason Jones 0 18 of 46 39% 27 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 15 of 32 46% 18 of 38 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:45
2 Mason Jones 0 34 of 73 46% 35 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Axel Sola 0 22 of 51 43% 22 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Mason Jones 0 58 of 117 49% 61 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Axel Sola 0 28 of 52 53% 28 of 52 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mason Jones 110 of 236 46% 76 of 193 29 of 37 5 of 6 83 of 193 26 of 42 1 of 1
Axel Sola 65 of 135 48% 49 of 116 16 of 19 0 of 0 61 of 125 4 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mason Jones 18 of 46 39% 12 of 39 4 of 5 2 of 2 16 of 40 2 of 6 0 of 0
Axel Sola 15 of 32 46% 13 of 28 2 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 28 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Mason Jones 34 of 73 46% 26 of 62 5 of 8 3 of 3 30 of 68 4 of 5 0 of 0
Axel Sola 22 of 51 43% 14 of 42 8 of 9 0 of 0 22 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Mason Jones 58 of 117 49% 38 of 92 20 of 24 0 of 1 37 of 85 20 of 31 1 of 1
Axel Sola 28 of 52 53% 22 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0 25 of 47 3 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo picks Mason Jones because of his superior wrestling and aggression. He notes Axel Sola is the cleaner striker but Mason is an absolute dog with far better takedowns. He already bet half a unit on Mason at -125 and expects the line to move further.

bet 0.5 units at -125; expects line to move
"I'm picking Mason Jones. I like Mason Jones here. ... I actually bet on him. I threw a half a unit on him at minus 125."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones but is not confident due to Jones's awful fight IQ. He notes that Jones has all the tools (BJJ black belt, judo black belt, good striking) but often refuses to grapple when he has an advantage. He thinks Jones should use his grappling against Axel Sola, who has decent power but poor cardio and can be taken down. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but warns that Jones is hittable and could get rocked.

Mason Jones by decision
"I got to go Jones here. And I'm not in the business of really betting on this guy all too much because some of the fight IQ mistakes this guy makes, it's kind of sickening."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones, citing his well-rounded game and Sola's tendency to fade. He sees Jones winning a competitive decision.

"I'm going to take Mason Jones."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor picks Mason Jones as well, emphasizing that Jones is a full-tilt swarming fighter who can afford to be reckless because his aggression leads into his wrestling. He notes that Sola struggled with McKee's size but that Jones is tougher and more physically resilient. Connor expects an absolute war and a beating if Jones wins.

"I think I'm going to take Jones as well, but it's an interesting fight. It's a good fight. Yeah. Should be fun. Yeah. So it does when it'll be in a really cool fashion. I know that. Yeah. And if …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones, believing his relentless pressure and ability to break opponents will overcome Sola's early striking success. He thinks Sola's karate style will falter as Jones walks him down and takes over in later rounds. He acknowledges Sola's power but trusts Jones's durability and cardio.

"I think Mason Jones has the style required to put that pressure on Sola. ... I really do think that if Mason can eat these shots and not be too compromised, stay in this guy's face, start to back him …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Mason Jones to win by breaking Axel Sola in the latter part of the fight. He believes Jones' pressure and pace will overwhelm Sola, who fades after the first few minutes. He expects Jones to take Sola's best shots and then take over.

"I'm picking Mason Jones. I'm betting Mason Jones. I think he comes out here, extends his UFC win streak, and hands the very talented Axel Sola his first octagon defeat."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is consistent, has home advantage, and his relentless pace will wear down Sola. Sola is more technical but fades as the fight goes on. Jones should win by decision or late stoppage. The only risk is a flash KO, but Jones is durable.

Under 2.5 rounds is interesting; Jones likely finishes or gets finished.
"Mason Jones is the only money line bet that I have got uh on this card."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

James picks Mason Jones but is not confident, as he admits he may have underrated Axel Sola. He thinks Jones' UFC experience and will to win will carry him, but Sola's fight IQ and size are concerns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"I'm going to pick Mason Jones anyway for this one. But it's not a strong pick and I want to do more tape study before I actually finalize my prediction. But Mason Jones via decision will be my pick."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Axel Sola

The host picks Axel Sola by decision but is hesitant. He believes Sola's athleticism, reach, and clean striking will expose Jones's lack of speed and durability. He expects Sola to keep the fight standing and outpoint Jones. However, he admits being a Mason Jones fan and acknowledges Jones's toughness.

"I'm going to go Solola and Solola by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul thinks Jones' wrestling, cardio, and durability will outlast Sola, who has been exposed in the past. He expects Jones to win a decision or late stoppage.

"Mason Jones minus 125. Sure, why not? Doesn't seem like doesn't seem too out of..."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones to win by finish in the second or third round. He notes Jones is more well-rounded, physical, and durable, with a judo background and good grappling. He expects Jones to use his durability and cardio advantage, and find a TKO up against the cage with knees and elbows as the fight slows down.

finish in the second or third round
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done by third round finish or late second round finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane leans toward Mason Jones because Jones has a simpler, more natural style that he sticks to, while Sola has more potential but is less complete. Zane notes that Sola gave up takedowns under pressure in pre-UFC bouts, and Jones's wrestling and aggression could exploit that. He acknowledges Sola's crafty striking and adjustments against McKee but trusts Jones's bruiser mode.

"I'm leaning Jones. I don't think Jones is necessarily like better than Sola in lots of different metrics, but I think he has a style that it's much simpler and more natural for him to just stick to it."
WIN vs Bolaji Oki
KO R2 3:18 · UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Sep 06, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bolaji Oki 1 38 of 99 38% 40 of 101 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 57 of 136 41% 67 of 147 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bolaji Oki 1 29 of 73 39% 31 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mason Jones 1 20 of 57 35% 25 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:16
2 Bolaji Oki 0 9 of 26 34% 9 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 37 of 79 46% 42 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bolaji Oki 38 of 99 38% 26 of 76 8 of 19 4 of 4 34 of 85 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 57 of 136 41% 52 of 128 2 of 3 3 of 5 23 of 84 2 of 3 32 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bolaji Oki 29 of 73 39% 21 of 61 6 of 10 2 of 2 25 of 59 0 of 0 4 of 14
Mason Jones 20 of 57 35% 17 of 51 1 of 2 2 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 10
2 Bolaji Oki 9 of 26 34% 5 of 15 2 of 9 2 of 2 9 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 79 46% 35 of 77 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 40 0 of 0 26 of 39
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away with the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either of those …"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 03, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jeremy Stephens 0 42 of 108 38% 54 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Mason Jones 0 81 of 231 35% 104 of 261 8 of 12 66% 0 0 6:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jeremy Stephens 0 21 of 47 44% 24 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 39 of 103 37% 41 of 108 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:43
2 Jeremy Stephens 0 19 of 55 34% 24 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Mason Jones 0 37 of 115 32% 43 of 123 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:45
3 Jeremy Stephens 0 2 of 6 33% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 5 of 13 38% 20 of 30 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jeremy Stephens 42 of 108 38% 19 of 79 7 of 11 16 of 18 41 of 105 1 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 81 of 231 35% 50 of 188 19 of 28 12 of 15 74 of 220 5 of 7 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jeremy Stephens 21 of 47 44% 6 of 28 3 of 6 12 of 13 20 of 45 1 of 2 0 of 0
Mason Jones 39 of 103 37% 22 of 80 9 of 13 8 of 10 36 of 100 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jeremy Stephens 19 of 55 34% 12 of 47 4 of 5 3 of 3 19 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mason Jones 37 of 115 32% 25 of 98 9 of 13 3 of 4 35 of 112 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Jeremy Stephens 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Mason Jones vs. Jeremy Stephens
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jones (-600), Stephens (+440)

Round 1
Stephens enters to massive pop from his hometown crowd, and hopes to give them something to keep cheering about against fellow returnee Jones. Mike Beltran draws his first referee assignment of the evening, and the lightweights go to work in matchin orthodox stances. Stephens is throwing hooks with mean intentions right away, but he scores first with a hard leg kick. Jones is composed, however, moving laterally and tagging “Lil Heathen” with a variety of fast kicks from both sides. Jones goes upstairs and a head kick glances off Stephens’ guard. Jones connects with a body kick, then a spinning back kick to the head. None of them have landed with a ton of impact, but the speed and accuracy are there. Stephens catches Jones with a hard right hand, which leaves a visible swelling under the Welshman’s eye. They clinch, and Stephens fires off a couple of murderous-looking uppercuts that have Jones backing away hastily. Jones steps back in and lands an uppercut of his own. Stephens wades forward, and his punches look to have slowed just a bit. Jones takes Stephens’ back standing, hoists him with a rear waistlock and deposits him on the canvas. Stephens scrambles back up, but Jones elevates him for an easy mat return. Jones stays on Stephens’ back this time, and with under 30 seconds to go he tries a rear-naked choke. It’s wrapped up but not under the chin, and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones

Round 2
Jones and Stephens meet in the center of the cage and flurry with punches. Stephens lands a good one and the crowd erupts. Jones fires back and they clinch. Stephens lands a nice uppercut in close. Jones tags Stephens with a glancing head kick and just slips a right hook coming back his way. Stephens throws another right, and Jones has just barely escaped disaster from that punch several times already in this fight. Jones lands a flying knee, followed by a level elbow, and Stephens is bleeding from the hairline. Stephens throws a salvo of punches, several of which connect, and Jones loses his mouthguard. Jones is bleeding from the face as well. The crowd is deafening as the two men swing away in phone-booth range. Jones lands a spinning back kick to the head, and Stephens steps in to land a clean counter punch. Stephens throws a straight to the body that hurts Jones and has him backing off. Stephens surges forward and takes Jones’ back standing. Jones spins to face his opponent and hauls Stephens to his knees, lands briefly in mount, then jumps on his back as he turns away. Short time left in the round once again, and once again the horn sounds with Jones in back control.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones

Round 3
The Des Moines crowd roars as Stephens and Jones come out for the final frame, and they pop further when Stephens lands a nice right hand in the opening exchange. Jones staves off further punishment—and quiets the arena—by changing levels for an easy takedown against the cage. Jones lands in Stephens’ guard, but Stephens gets back to his feet. Jones drags Stephens back down, spins through north-south, and grabs Stephens’ left arm with a two-on-one, looking to isolate the limb for an armbar. Stephens locks his hands and defends, with Jones kneeling over his head and trying to wrench the arm out. Jones gives up on the armbar and moves to Stephens’ back. Stephens explodes to his feet and Jones drags him back down, to scattered boos from the crowd. Jones laces the legs of the seated Iowan at the base of the fence, and is close to landing in full mount. Stephens gets back to this feet yet again, and Jones yet again responds by "dragon" his man back to the ground. Under a minute left to go and Jones gets back control, then takes mount as Stephens spins around. The final horn sounds with Jones in full mount near the cage and the Des Moines crowd sounding off in discontent.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jones (30-27 Jones)

The Official Result
Mason Jones def. Jeremy Stephens via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo expects Mason Jones to pick apart Jeremy Stephens with superior boxing and takedowns. He notes that Stephens is exciting but slower and will likely be taken down multiple times. He does not predict a finish but believes Jones will win a clear decision.

"Mason Jones is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady is very confident in Mason Jones, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Jones's well-rounded skills: BJJ black belt, great striking, volume, power, and toughness. Stephens hasn't fought in MMA since 2022, is 38, and looked bad recently. Brady expects Jones to take Stephens down and finish him quickly, predicting a first-round submission. He notes that if Jones stands and bangs, it gives Stephens a puncher's chance, but still favors Jones.

Round 1 submission
"Give me Jones to win this fight. I'll take him to win it by first round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Jones's aggression and clinch wrestling will be too much for Stephens. He compares Stephens's decline to his loss to Clay Collard, where aggression wore him down. Connor believes Jones can take Stephens down and keep him there, as Stephens's ground instincts are poor. He calls it a fight that feels like PFL filler but expects Jones to win.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm taking Mason Jones as well. If Clay Collard can beat the shit out of Jeremy Stevens, it was the aggression that really wore him down and that's all Jones does."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is younger and closer to his prime. He will mix up his game to wear down the 39-year-old Stephens and eventually secure a dominant position for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission.

TKO or submission
"I have to lean with the youth and being closer to his prime with Mason Jones as I expect him to mix up the game well enough to really wear down the soontobe 39year-old and then eventually securing a dominant …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones, citing his well-roundedness, wrestling, and granite chin. He believes Jeremy Stephens is too old and has been focusing on BKFC and boxing, so his grappling will be rusty. He predicts Jones will win by TKO on the ground, possibly after using his taekwondo to back Stephens up. He thinks Jones should be a 3-to-1 favorite, not -575.

TKO on the ground, should be 3-to-1 favorite
"I'm going to go with Mason Jones getting this one done. He may get hit a few times, but I reckon he'll tough it out."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 1, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Jones, emphasizing that Stephens has been a lost cause in MMA for years, with declining foot speed and takedown defense. He notes that Jones is an aggressive brawler who pressures well and has never been knocked out. Zane points out that Stephens hasn't knocked anyone out in MMA since 2018 and is susceptible to pressure and wrestling. He believes Jones will swarm Stephens and wear him down.

Odds: Jones -609, Stephens +426. Zane thinks the odds are way too high for Jones, who is not a dominating force.
"I have to pick Mason Jones... Jeremy Stevens hasn't knocked anybody out in MMA since 2018... there's just a lot of ways to fight around Jeremy Stevens."
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ľudovít Klein 0 43 of 105 40% 78 of 141 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:17
Mason Jones 1 50 of 87 57% 70 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 6:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ľudovít Klein 0 20 of 55 36% 33 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:10
Mason Jones 0 21 of 44 47% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Ľudovít Klein 0 16 of 33 48% 26 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:49
Mason Jones 1 20 of 25 80% 28 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:56
3 Ľudovít Klein 0 7 of 17 41% 19 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Mason Jones 0 9 of 18 50% 20 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ľudovít Klein 43 of 105 40% 16 of 70 23 of 31 4 of 4 21 of 75 21 of 27 1 of 3
Mason Jones 50 of 87 57% 37 of 68 10 of 16 3 of 3 31 of 63 7 of 9 12 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ľudovít Klein 20 of 55 36% 6 of 39 10 of 12 4 of 4 13 of 47 7 of 8 0 of 0
Mason Jones 21 of 44 47% 14 of 34 6 of 9 1 of 1 16 of 38 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Ľudovít Klein 16 of 33 48% 5 of 17 11 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 18 10 of 13 1 of 2
Mason Jones 20 of 25 80% 16 of 20 3 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 13 1 of 1 9 of 11
3 Ľudovít Klein 7 of 17 41% 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 1
Mason Jones 9 of 18 50% 7 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady picks Mason Jones to win by third-round submission. He notes Klein has power and head kicks but poor cardio and output. Jones has great cardio, output, and is well-rounded with a black belt in BJJ and judo. He expects Jones to break Klein in the later rounds and submit him.

Jones by submission in round 3
"give me a mason jones to win i'll say mason jones by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, highlighting his wrestling, grappling, cardio, and chin. He notes Klein has cardio issues and doesn't fight well going backwards. Cody thinks Jones will overwhelm Klein with pressure and takedowns. He predicts a decision win for Jones.

"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel Levi picks Mason Jones, comparing him to a lightweight Marvin Vettori with a great chin and relentless pressure. He believes Jones will break Klein down as the fight goes on, especially since Klein has succumbed to pressure before. Levi notes that Klein is fast early but fades, and as long as Jones doesn't get caught by a high kick, he should win.

"i think that as this fight enters the second and third round the pressure is going to be too much"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Jones is more active, has good striking volume, takedowns, and ground game. He should win everywhere as long as he doesn't get knocked out. Klein relies on his left straight and head kick, but Jones has great cardio and durability. Jones likely finishes later in the fight.

fight doesn't go to decision -180 (mentioned as a possibility)
"Jones will outward Klein and possibly finish him later on in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Mason Jones, citing his pressure, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Klein struggles with forward pressure and fights poorly off his back foot. Paul thinks Jones will take Klein down and grind him out. He mentions Jones' good chin and volume. Paul also likes Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.

Jones over 53.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"i got mason jones i got mason jones by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru believes Mason Jones will win by late-round TKO. He notes that Klein is good at stalling against the cage and has explosivity on the feet, but he doesn't see Klein finishing Jones, who has a good chin and cardio. As the fight goes on, Jones will pressure Klein against the cage, land body shots and knees, and eventually get a TKO in the third round.

third round TKO
"i'm gonna say that he's gonna get a tko against a cage with body shots with knees to the body knees to the face"
WIN vs David Onama
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mason Jones 0 87 of 157 55% 116 of 191 8 of 14 57% 0 0 9:01
David Onama 0 90 of 153 58% 121 of 186 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mason Jones 0 30 of 66 45% 41 of 80 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:34
David Onama 0 30 of 60 50% 41 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Mason Jones 0 33 of 52 63% 45 of 65 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:49
David Onama 0 35 of 59 59% 42 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Mason Jones 0 24 of 39 61% 30 of 46 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:38
David Onama 0 25 of 34 73% 38 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mason Jones 87 of 157 55% 65 of 133 20 of 22 2 of 2 69 of 130 10 of 18 8 of 9
David Onama 90 of 153 58% 80 of 142 8 of 9 2 of 2 70 of 128 19 of 23 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mason Jones 30 of 66 45% 22 of 57 6 of 7 2 of 2 27 of 55 3 of 11 0 of 0
David Onama 30 of 60 50% 24 of 54 5 of 5 1 of 1 22 of 49 7 of 9 1 of 2
2 Mason Jones 33 of 52 63% 23 of 41 10 of 11 0 of 0 29 of 48 3 of 3 1 of 1
David Onama 35 of 59 59% 32 of 55 2 of 3 1 of 1 24 of 46 11 of 13 0 of 0
3 Mason Jones 24 of 39 61% 20 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 27 4 of 4 7 of 8
David Onama 25 of 34 73% 24 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 24 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Mason Jones, calling him 'my boy.' He highlights Jones's durability, cardio, and experience against tough competition. Cody notes that Jones has a great chin, good grappling, and pushes a strong pace. He contrasts Jones's proven UFC-level skills with Onama's untested resume, pointing out that Onama has only fought low-level competition and is making a short-notice debut. Cody believes Jones will dominate and potentially finish Onama.

Parlay piece; second line
"i got to go with mason jones he's another one of these guys that i would consider my boy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Lock picks Jones based on superior grappling. He notes Jones is a black belt in judo and jiu-jitsu with good wrestling. He expects Jones to take Onama down and dominate. He likes Jones inside the distance and by submission.

Jones inside the distance -140, Jones by submission +550
"i'm on uh jones uh does he get the finish possibly if he can properly implement that top pressure"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a pick, calling it a pass. He notes that Onama looks decent on tape and that the -500 price is too steep. Paul acknowledges that Onama has a puncher's chance and is from a good camp, but he is not confident enough to bet either side.

"i'm just gonna pass"
LOSS vs Alan Patrick
No Contest (accidental eye poke) R2 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alan Patrick 0 10 of 32 31% 14 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 46 of 85 54% 57 of 100 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alan Patrick 0 7 of 28 25% 7 of 30 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 38 of 71 53% 44 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
2 Alan Patrick 0 3 of 4 75% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Mason Jones 0 8 of 14 57% 13 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alan Patrick 10 of 32 31% 5 of 25 5 of 7 0 of 0 7 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 46 of 85 54% 32 of 67 13 of 17 1 of 1 11 of 37 9 of 13 26 of 35
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alan Patrick 7 of 28 25% 3 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 38 of 71 53% 28 of 58 10 of 13 0 of 0 10 of 32 8 of 12 20 of 27
2 Alan Patrick 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mason Jones 8 of 14 57% 4 of 9 3 of 4 1 of 1 1 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Big Brady is very confident in Mason Jones, calling him the biggest favorite on the card for a reason. He notes Jones is well-rounded with great striking and a black belt in BJJ, while Patrick is 37, has poor striking defense, and gets wobbled by every shot. He believes Jones will win the striking exchanges by a mile and predicts a knockout, as Patrick's chin is not there.

"i'll take jones by knockout biggest favorite on the card for a reason"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Cody picks Jones confidently, noting his durability and improvement. He thinks Jones will stop Patrick's takedowns and win on the feet. Cody sees Jones as one of the safer favorites on the card.

"jones is gonna be top ticket so keep an eye out for that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Daniel picks Mason Jones to finish the fight, likely by body shot knockout in the second or third round. He notes that Alan Patrick is almost 40, has slowed down, and his athleticism has diminished. Daniel points out that Patrick's takedown defense and get-up game have declined, and he cannot keep up with Jones's pace. He praises Jones's volume, calf kicks, and durability, and believes Jones will overwhelm Patrick and eventually land a fight-ending body shot.

"i'm going to say second or third round body shot knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mason Jones

Patrick is one-dimensional and relies on takedowns, but Jones has good takedown defense and get-up ability. Jones has power and will finish Patrick, likely by TKO.

Jones by KO +100, Jones inside distance -110, under 2.5 rounds -115
"I'd actually like mason jones to win inside the distance here probably even by ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Paul picks Jones confidently, citing his youth, momentum, and well-rounded skills. He notes Patrick's one-dimensional wrestling and inability to get takedowns against better competition. Paul thinks Jones will stuff takedowns and win on the feet. He sees Jones as a safe parlay piece.

"i don't see a world where alan patrick wins"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, believing Alan Patrick is past his prime and lacks cardio. He thinks Jones is younger, hungrier, and better in all areas, with good jiu-jitsu to neutralize Patrick's grappling. He predicts a third-round TKO via knees against the cage after Patrick fades, though he notes risky moments early where Patrick might get a takedown.

TKO round 3, knees against cage
"i think mason jones goes out there gets it done good uh cardio i think you'll win 29-28 i think there's going to be some risky moments in round one i actually might call a third round tko for mason …"
LOSS vs Mike Davis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Davis 0 108 of 207 52% 111 of 210 3 of 9 33% 0 0 0:50
Mason Jones 0 117 of 313 37% 132 of 329 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Davis 0 31 of 58 53% 31 of 58 3 of 5 60% 0 0 0:43
Mason Jones 0 29 of 69 42% 38 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Mike Davis 0 40 of 77 51% 40 of 77 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:07
Mason Jones 0 48 of 125 38% 52 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
3 Mike Davis 0 37 of 72 51% 40 of 75 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mason Jones 0 40 of 119 33% 42 of 122 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Davis 108 of 207 52% 54 of 131 42 of 61 12 of 15 97 of 189 8 of 14 3 of 4
Mason Jones 117 of 313 37% 83 of 265 18 of 31 16 of 17 104 of 285 11 of 21 2 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Davis 31 of 58 53% 16 of 37 11 of 15 4 of 6 27 of 50 1 of 4 3 of 4
Mason Jones 29 of 69 42% 17 of 53 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 63 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Mike Davis 40 of 77 51% 22 of 50 14 of 22 4 of 5 37 of 74 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mason Jones 48 of 125 38% 39 of 112 4 of 7 5 of 6 44 of 114 2 of 4 2 of 7
3 Mike Davis 37 of 72 51% 16 of 44 17 of 24 4 of 4 33 of 65 4 of 7 0 of 0
Mason Jones 40 of 119 33% 27 of 100 11 of 17 2 of 2 36 of 108 4 of 11 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady calls this a very close fight and says the line should be closer. He likes both fighters but gives a slight edge to Mike Davis due to better competition. He notes Davis's boxing is very good and he is powerful, while Mason Jones is a black belt in BJJ and a good finisher. He predicts a decision win for Davis, but says Mason Jones at +150 is a value play and he doesn't hate anyone taking a shot on him.

Mason Jones at +150 is value; fight likely goes to decision
"i'm going to go with mike davis i think he's fought the better competition"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Mike Davis's speed, crisp striking, and wrestling background will be too much for Mason Jones, who is stepping up from Cage Warriors. He notes Davis's hand speed and kicks as key advantages, and expects a finish in the second round via KO. He is confident Davis is on a higher level than Jones's previous competition.

"mike davis is just a completely other level than what mason jones has faced in the cage warrior scene"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The MMA Guru picks Mason Jones as an underdog, believing the odds should be even. He argues Jones has faced better competition, including a first-round TKO of previously undefeated Adam Proctor, and has more pro experience (10-0 vs 8-2). He expects a slugfest where Jones' power, which knocked out welterweights, will be too much for Davis, leading to a first-round TKO. He calls the underdog odds a 'steal'.

first round TKO, underdog
"i'm gonna go with mason jones getting the job done by first round tko against mike davis it should be evens odds he's an underdog that's a steal for me"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Angelo slightly leans towards Mason Jones, citing his superior wrestling and ability to frustrate Oki with a busy jab. He notes that Oki struggles when backing up and that Jones' offensive takedowns are better. He calls it a competitive fight but thinks Jones' wrestling gives him the edge.

"Mason Jones is going to be the pick because I think he's just slightly better with the wrestling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Bolaji Oki

Big Brady picks Bolaji Oki in a close fight, citing Oki's high volume and power. He questions Mason Jones' fight IQ, noting he didn't grapple when he should have. He expects the fight to stay standing and go to a split decision, with Oki landing the bigger shots.

Oki by decision
"I'll say Oki wins this fight, but it's all up to what the crooked corrupt judges think. I think it's a close decision. Going to be Oi. Oki by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Connor also picks Jones, agreeing that Oki is undercooked and that Jones's fully formed game can handle a variety of opponents. He notes that Oki's technique falls apart when the fight gets out of control, and Jones will exploit that. He sees Jones as a much more reliable fighter at this level.

"Jones just has a much more fully formed, fleshed out game capable of dealing with a variety of opponents."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The host acknowledges the fight is a potential fight of the night contender and notes the odds are shifting towards Oki. However, he picks Jones due to his experience and ability to mix up the game better. He expects Jones to land more damage, outgrapple Oki, and win on the scorecards as the fight goes into deeper waters.

"I think Jones is just a little bit more experienced, can really mix up the game a lot better than Okei. And I think once this fight gets into deeper waters, Jones should be able to pull away with the experience he's accured."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mason Jones

The Guru picks Mason Jones, acknowledging Oki's speed and power but noting Jones' granite chin and grinding style. He believes Jones' grappling and cardio will wear Oki down as the fight progresses. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with Jones losing the first round but taking over in the second and third.

"I'm going to go with Mason Jones. I'm going to go Mason Jones."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mason Jones

Zane picks Mason Jones because he is a known quantity with a durable, aggressive style that will test Oki's inexperience. He notes that Oki has physical talent but poor footwork and decision-making, and that Jones will turn the fight into a brawl where Oki is uncomfortable. He believes Jones's wrestling and durability will be key.

"I got a big Mason Jones. Like Okey has the physical talent to make this fight bad for Jones. But if he can't avoid a brawl, then Jones is much more difficult to take momentum from than either of those guys."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 8 months, 4 weeks ago

Oki nearly got the KO in rd1 and emptied the tank. The sub was there for Mason in rd2 ect but the gnp was the weapon used. Sub might be good again .