Career Averages - Denis Tiuliulin
Career Averages - Jamie Pickett
Denis Tiuliulin
Jamie Pickett
Denis Tiuliulin - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 49 of 88 | 55% | 95 of 140 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 6:00 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 26 of 70 | 37% | 183 of 246 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 35 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:22 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 44 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 26 of 40 | 65% | 39 of 57 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:38 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 116 of 136 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 23 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sedriques Dumas | 49 of 88 | 55% | 28 of 66 | 9 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 40 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 26 of 70 | 37% | 10 of 49 | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 67 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sedriques Dumas | 6 of 10 | 60% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sedriques Dumas | 26 of 40 | 65% | 13 of 27 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 18 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 10 of 24 | 41% | 3 of 13 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sedriques Dumas | 17 of 38 | 44% | 12 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 13 of 39 | 33% | 6 of 31 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Dumas (-218), Tiuliulin (+180)
Round 1
Fight fans on the West Coast of the U.S. will be having combat with coffee this morning, as the UFC takes to Abu Dhabi with a show featuring a number of fighters that struggle to get into the U.S. Plenty of international talent litters this event, with over a dozen countries repped at one point tonight. The fist pairing of the evening is more regular rivalry between America and Russia, as the
much-maligned
Dumas (9-2, 2-2 UFC) battles the struggling Tiuliulin (10-9, 1 NC; 1-4 UFC) in a match that might lead to at least one roster cut. Both men prefer the knockout, with the Evolve Gym fighter more inclined to headhunt. The middleweights choose not to bump fists to start the day’s festivities, and referee Keith Peterson is ready to cut all nonsense out of the equation. They lash out with dueling low kicks, and Dumas whiffs on a head kick. When Dumas fires off a low kick, he is countered by a knee that busts him in the chops. Tiuliulin gets his foe’s attention with a few additional punches, but Dumas surges forward and takes him off his feet with a sudden tackling takedown. Tiuliulin works his way towards the wall to get back up, and Dumas holds him down and knees him in the thigh repeatedly. Peterson asks for more activity, with Dumas in a holding pattern while the Russian is stuck on a knee. Dumas drags Tiuliulin down to his seat for a second, peppering the same spot with knee after short knee. Tiuliulin muscles his way upright, turning the corner and falling on top of his opponent in a surprise reversal. Dumas is on his backside and bursts his way up, and he eats a knee while standing but is no worse for wear as he looks to chuck Tiuliulin to the mat. The American presses his foe to the wire, and Dumas’ knees work the body and thigh until one bangs into the cup. There is a quick apology from Dumas, and Tiuliulin knows it was a total accident and takes a little under 30 seconds to get his wind back. When they resume, Dumas lunges forward with a right hand, and he belts Tiuliulin in the face with a lead-leg high kick. Dumas shoots in on a takedown and gets rebuffed, with Tiuliulin shoving him away and resetting. They fire off alternating jabs when upright, and Tiuliulin reaches with a one-two that leaves him vulnerable for a takedown effort from Dumas that drags Tiuliulin back to a single knee again. Dumas peppers the leg with irritating knees on the welted area until the horn awkwardly blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
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Round 2
Tiuliulin is the immediate aggressor to begin the second stanza, firing off frantic offense including a knee that catches the chin. Dumas swings back, calming himself down and sticking out jabs, but Tiuliulin stings him with a few more wild strikes before slowing. Dumas flicks out a few more jabs and shoots for a reactive double, and Tiuliulin shuts it down and is pushed away. Dumas blasts the thigh with another kick—the first developed a huge welt in the previous round—and fights behind his sharp jab. Dumas whips a kick up around the guard, and ducks a punch in pursuit of a double. Tiuliulin counters with a step-in knee, and Dumas pushes through it and presses the Russian to the wire. Dumas successfully drags Tiuliulin to his backside, and Tiuliulin is quick to return to a knee and grabs the fence to try to improve position but is warned. Tiuliulin bops his man with a number of meaningless right hands, ones that are technically scoring but have absolutely no effect while Dumas hangs on and knees him. After a lengthy stalemate, Tiuliulin finally works his way upright with the fence behind him and a minute remaining on the clock. Dumas stays pinned to him like a cheap suit, and Peterson splits them apart. Dumas restarts with a big one-two, and Tiuliulin walks him down a shrugs off a right hook. Dumas intercepts the advancing Russian with an uppercut, and his range is giving Tiuliulin fits with jabs and long punches. Dumas lets a knee fly past him, and a body kick grazes him. Dumas ends the round with a reverse crescent kick that ricochets off the raised guard.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Dumas
Round 3
Dumas reintroduces himself with piston-like jabs, and Tiuliulin senses he might be down on the scorecards and approaches the last frame as such. Tiuliulin walks Dumas down, loading up on strikes, but it is his partial jump knee that catches Dumas on the jaw. Dumas staggers briefly and gets his bearings, strafing to the side and winging a right hand over the guard. Dumas ducks into a looping uppercut that comes up short, and Tiuliulin walks forward with his own uppercut that also misses the mark. Tiuliulin digs a left to the body and gets out of range of the kicks that fly at him, and Dumas spams body kicks and avoids a huge pair of hooks. Dumas jabs into a takedown, and Tiuliulin flips him all the way over and winds up on top at the three-minute mark. Tiuliulin smothers his man from above, dropping down some sporadic ground-and-pound while staying just busy enough to remain in the position. Dumas hand-fights in hopes of getting a standup, but when that does not come, he kicks off his opponent and explodes to his feet. With 60 seconds left on the clock, Tiuliulin is loaded for bear, but he finds that he has to dodge a quick spinning back fist and stifle a takedown. Tiuliulin is about to unleash a big right hand, but Dumas shoots again on the hips. Tiuliulin gets away from it and leaps with a knee that is way off the target. Tiuliulin cracks Dumas with a right hand, and Dumas appears rocked and totally spent. This does not stop Dumas from pitching kicks and looping strikes back at him. Tiuliulin ends the fight with a final takedown, with Dumas considering a guillotine but not nearly enough gas in the tank to get it.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tiuliulin (29-28 Dumas)
The Official Result
Sedriques Dumas def. Denis Tiuliulin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
Angelo thinks both fighters are not very good, but he gives a slight edge to Dumas because he is tough, can eat shots, and has shown some takedown ability. He notes Tiuliulin has zero grappling and poor technique, but has power. He advises saving money and not betting unless Dumas becomes an underdog.
Big Brady is shocked that Dumas is a -220 favorite given his poor UFC performances. He notes Dumas has been tentative and unimpressive, while Tiuliulin is more active and lands bigger shots on the feet. However, he has little confidence in Tiuliulin due to his poor grappling defense. He predicts Tiuliulin wins by second-round knockout.
Cody picks Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's low volume and poor wrestling. He notes that Dumas has been out struck by lesser opponents and has no power. Cody thinks Tiuliulin has better volume and power, and that Dumas's takedown game is not good enough to neutralize him. He also mentions that Tiuliulin is training under Renat Fakhretdinov and improving his takedown defense.
Daniel leans towards Dumas, citing his youth, reach, and wrestling ability against Tiuliulin's subpar grappling. He notes Tiuliulin's durability is waning and that Dumas can grind out a win. However, he warns against laying -235 on Dumas due to his low fight IQ and past struggles, calling it a lean but not a confident bet.
Tiuliulin is the superior striker if he can show takedown defense. He should be able to touch up Dumas and find a knockout.
Paul picks Denis Tiuliulin, noting that Dumas has low volume and has not shown knockout power. He thinks Tiuliulin's striking volume and power are superior. Paul also mentions that Dumas's wrestling is not elite and that Tiuliulin can defend takedowns. He believes the line is mispriced and that Tiuliulin has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru picks Sedriques Dumas over Denis Tiuliulin, citing Dumas's youth (28 vs 36), longer reach, and wrestling advantage. He notes Tiuliulin's known weakness in wrestling and expects Dumas to mix in takedowns for control time, leading to a 29-28 decision. He mentions Dumas's recent loss was due to eye pokes, not a true defeat.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 1 | 65 of 87 | 74% | 90 of 123 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:51 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 30 of 71 | 42% | 37 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 38 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 4:37 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 1 | 52 of 72 | 72% | 52 of 72 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 23 of 57 | 40% | 25 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Leroy Duncan | 65 of 87 | 74% | 44 of 65 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 13 | 46 of 65 | 16 of 17 | 3 of 5 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 30 of 71 | 42% | 19 of 57 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 26 of 66 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 13 of 15 | 86% | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 7 of 14 | 50% | 4 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Christian Leroy Duncan | 52 of 72 | 72% | 38 of 57 | 5 of 6 | 9 of 9 | 40 of 57 | 9 of 10 | 3 of 5 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 23 of 57 | 40% | 15 of 46 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Christian Leroy Duncan, hoping his loss to Arman Petrosian woke him up to be less flashy and more focused. He notes Duncan is the better wrestler and should take the fight to the ground. He expects a finish and does not see it going the distance.
Big Brady thinks Tiuliulin is not UFC caliber, with no striking defense and the worst ground game in the UFC. He sees Duncan having multiple paths: picking him apart and knocking him out, or taking him down and submitting him. He predicts a first-round knockout, noting Tiuliulin's only chance is landing a big shot.
Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan confidently, citing his movement, footwork, and counter-striking. He notes that Tiuliulin is a brawler with poor footwork and cardio, coming in on short notice. Duncan can pick him apart and likely get a TKO. Cody sees this as an excellent stylistic matchup for Duncan.
Duncan relies on speed, explosiveness, and early power to finish fights. Tiuliulin has been finished by grapplers but Duncan is a striker. Duncan's power and speed should be too much early, leading to a knockout in the first round. However, Duncan is reliant on finishes and may fade if it goes longer. Tiuliulin could make it closer if he survives the early onslaught.
Paul agrees, noting Tiuliulin's rudimentary style and poor grappling. He believes Duncan can hang out at range and avoid danger. Paul mentions Tiuliulin's history of getting finished and expects Duncan to win by TKO or submission.
The MMA Guru picks Christian Leroy Duncan to win by body kick KO in round two. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable and requires breaking opponents, and is coming off a nasty KO. He believes Duncan is a much better striker with good cardio and movement, and that Tiuliulin taking the fight on short notice makes it a no-brainer.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 0 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 6 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Rodrigues | 5 of 6 | 83% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gregory Rodrigues | 5 of 6 | 83% | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Gregory Rodrigues but with low confidence, noting that the fight should be closer to a pick'em than the current odds. He believes Rodrigues has a significant ground advantage and can submit Tiuliulin if he shoots takedowns. However, he worries that Rodrigues might choose to slug it out, which could lead to another knockout loss. He notes Tiuliulin's power fades over three rounds and he has nothing on the ground.
Big Brady confidently picks Gregory Rodrigues to win by first-round submission, emphasizing Rodrigues' elite jiu-jitsu against Denis Tiuliulin's poor ground game. He notes Tiuliulin has been submitted in four of his seven losses and looked lost on the mat against Jun Yong Park. Brady worries Rodrigues might stand and bang, but if he grapples, the fight ends quickly.
Cody expects Rodrigues to take the fight to the ground and submit Tiuliulin, who has poor grappling defense. He notes Rodrigues has questionable ring IQ and may stand and trade, but if he wrestles, he wins easily. He predicts a rear-naked choke submission in the first or second round.
Daniel Levi picks Gregory Rodrigues, expecting him to grapple more after his last knockout loss. He notes that Rodrigues has heavy hands and a dangerous submission game, and that Tiuliulin is vulnerable on the ground, having been submitted before. Levi thinks Rodrigues will submit Tiuliulin in round one or two, but acknowledges that Tiuliulin is dangerous on the feet and has a better chin. He played under 1.5 rounds and submission props.
Lucrative James picks Gregory Rodrigues to win, likely by finish from top position. He acknowledges Rodrigues' poor chin but believes he will overwhelm Tiuliulin. He also likes a prop bet on Tiuliulin by KO due to Rodrigues' chin issues, calling it a system play.
Rodrigues is a high-level BJJ black belt with improving striking. Tiuliulin struggles with grapplers, as seen in his recent losses. Rodrigues will take him down and dominate from top position, likely finishing inside the distance. The moneyline is worth the chalk, but the finish prop offers a discount.
The MMA Guru picks Gregory Rodrigues, though he notes if the odds become ridiculous, betting on Tiuliulin might not be bad. He thinks Rodrigues can win on the feet or by taking the fight to the ground if needed. He criticizes Tiuliulin's hittable style and compares it unfavorably to Diaz/Covington at higher weights. He predicts a KO win for Rodrigues.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 38 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 25 of 38 | 65% | 38 of 52 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 25 of 38 | 65% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 11 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 8 of 22 | 36% | 4 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 25 of 38 | 65% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 11 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 8 of 22 | 36% | 4 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady likes Park's cardio, volume, and underrated grappling. He notes Tiuliulin is hittable with poor striking defense and a suspect gas tank. He expects Park to drown Tiuliulin with grappling and eventually find a submission in the second or third round.
Cody picks Tiuliulin at plus money, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Park is prone to brawling and getting knocked out, as seen against Gregory Rodrigues. He expects Tiuliulin to land a knockout, especially if Park engages recklessly. He added Tiuliulin at +190.
Connor agrees, highlighting Park's ability to use aggression against Tiuliulin, running him into jabs and countering. He notes that Tiuliulin is heavily rooted and lumbering, making takedowns easier once Park establishes his jab. He has faith in Park's ability to figure out these matchups despite the physical disadvantages.
Paul picks Tiuliulin, calling him a greasy underdog. He notes Tiuliulin's power and improved takedown defense, while Park has a tendency to brawl and get knocked out. He expects Tiuliulin to win by knockout, especially if Park engages in a firefight. He likes the plus money.
Zane expects Park to win due to his crafty striking and excellent ground and pound. He notes that Tiuliulin is a reckless, aggressive striker who is hyper durable but lacks structure. He believes Park's takedowns and positional grappling will be effective, though he acknowledges that Park often faces physical challenges due to size disadvantages.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Tiuliulin | 2 | 73 of 161 | 45% | 87 of 178 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 60 of 111 | 54% | 63 of 114 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 22 of 76 | 28% | 28 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Denis Tiuliulin | 2 | 51 of 85 | 60% | 59 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 26 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Tiuliulin | 73 of 161 | 45% | 53 of 131 | 19 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 52 of 133 | 15 of 15 | 6 of 13 |
| Jamie Pickett | 60 of 111 | 54% | 44 of 90 | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 56 of 103 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denis Tiuliulin | 22 of 76 | 28% | 16 of 64 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 35 of 60 | 58% | 23 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denis Tiuliulin | 51 of 85 | 60% | 37 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 30 of 57 | 15 of 15 | 6 of 13 |
| Jamie Pickett | 25 of 51 | 49% | 21 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 46 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his takedowns and ability to win via grappling. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy, while Tiuliulin is a brawler with power. He thinks if Pickett manages range and uses takedowns, he can win, but it's a low-confidence pick.
Big Brady picks Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, criticizing Jamie Pickett for being inactive and fighting not to lose. He was impressed by Tiuliulin's debut against a tough prospect and believes Tiuliulin can stuff takedowns and land a big shot. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he expects the fight to be terrible overall.
Cody leans towards Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, noting that Jamie Pickett is not a great wrestler and that Tiuliulin has power and durability. He mentions that Pickett's takedown defense is not elite and that Tiuliulin can hold his own on the feet. He is not betting it but picks Tiuliulin for the show.
Daniel Levi picks Denis Tiuliulin for the upset. He notes Tiuliulin's knockout power and long striking, while Pickett has been finished before. He acknowledges Pickett's physical advantages and takedown ability, but believes if Tiuliulin can avoid being taken down, he can light up Pickett on the feet. Levi calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Jacob strongly disagrees, picking Denis Tiuliulin. He thinks Pickett does not belong in the UFC, is gun-shy, and has telegraphed takedowns. He praises Tiuliulin's striking, power, and toughness, noting he landed clean shots against a dominant wrestler on short notice. He believes Tiuliulin will march forward and find a finish.
The host leans Jamie Pickett but can't back him at -130. He expects Pickett to use his physical attributes to overpower Tiuliulin in the clinch and grind out a decision. He notes Tiuliulin's power but thinks Pickett's durability and bullying style will prevail.
Paul leans towards Jamie Pickett, noting that Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and cardio, which are Pickett's strengths. He believes Pickett will use his wrestling to lean on Tiuliulin and tire him out. However, he is not confident and says it's a dog or pass fight.
The MMA Guru picks Denis Tiuliulin to win by TKO in the first round. He describes both fighters playing at range early, with Tiuliulin looking for body kicks. Pickett will time punches when Tiuliulin kicks, but as he rushes in, Tiuliulin lands a big shot over the top, rocks Pickett, and finishes with body shots and big shots against the cage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaskhab Khizriev | 0 | 42 of 67 | 62% | 54 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 31 of 82 | 37% | 43 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 0 | 29 of 46 | 63% | 41 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 17 of 47 | 36% | 29 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 13 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 14 of 35 | 40% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliaskhab Khizriev | 42 of 67 | 62% | 31 of 53 | 8 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 33 of 56 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 31 of 82 | 37% | 28 of 78 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 30 of 80 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 29 of 46 | 63% | 21 of 36 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 8 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 17 of 47 | 36% | 15 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Aliaskhab Khizriev | 13 of 21 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Denis Tiuliulin | 14 of 35 | 40% | 13 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Aliaskhab Khizriev to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Khizriev is a beast with power and excellent wrestling and ground-and-pound, while Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and has been submitted before. He acknowledges that Tiuliulin looks dangerous on the feet, but believes Khizriev will take him down and finish him. He also mentions that Khizriev is inactive and undersized, but still expects a dominant win.
Cody picks Khizriev, noting his layoff but blaming cancellations. He thinks Tiuliulin is outmatched and on short notice. He expects Khizriev to win quickly. He likes the price compared to other favorites.
Daniel Levi picks Aliaskhab Khizriev, stating he took him at -325 and parlayed him. He praises Khizriev's grappling, lower center of gravity, and ability to take the fight to the ground immediately. He notes Tiuliulin is a dangerous striker but expects Khizriev to submit him in the first round. He acknowledges the line has moved to -800 but is confident in his pick.
The host picks Khizriev but expresses concerns about his size at 185 lbs and the possibility of the fight going over 1.5 rounds. He notes Khizriev's Dagestani wrestling style and expects a TKO in the second or third round. He mentions Tiuliulin's padded record and short notice, but also that Tiuliulin is training at Extreme Couture and may be tougher than expected.
Paul picks Khizriev, expecting an early finish. He notes Khizriev's aggressive style and Tiuliulin's short notice. He thinks the price is high but justifiable. He considers Khizriev a good parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Aliaskhab Khizriev over Denis Tiuliulin, acknowledging Tiuliulin's KO power but noting he is a bottom-of-the-barrel short-notice replacement. He believes Khizriev is in his prime, more well-rounded, and has faced better competition, while Tiuliulin has failed at every step up in competition. The Guru predicts a submission win in the first round, but warns that if Khizriev gets KO'd early, Tiuliulin could pull the upset.
Jamie Pickett - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 0 | 23 of 59 | 38% | 83 of 147 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 0 | 0 | 10:08 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 | 20 of 55 | 36% | 26 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 7 of 19 | 36% | 20 of 32 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:42 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 33 of 59 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 11 of 24 | 45% | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Eryk Anders | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 30 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 1 of 12 | 8% | 3 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eryk Anders | 23 of 59 | 38% | 14 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 12 |
| Jamie Pickett | 20 of 55 | 36% | 11 of 45 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 46 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eryk Anders | 7 of 19 | 36% | 2 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 8 of 19 | 42% | 3 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Eryk Anders | 10 of 23 | 43% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Jamie Pickett | 11 of 24 | 45% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Eryk Anders | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 of 12 | 8% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Eryk Anders, citing his athleticism, durability, and ability to bully his way to a win. He notes Anders is a large favorite at -330, which is too wide for him, but he expects Anders to win. He suggests there might be value on inside the distance props.
Big Brady picks Anders, calling it a cage-pushing fight. He notes Anders has higher volume, more power, and is physically stronger. He expects Anders to push Pickett against the cage and take him down, similar to his 24-takedown-attempt fight. He predicts a greasy decision win for Anders.
Cody picks Anders, calling him a gatekeeper who beats lower-level opponents like Pickett. He notes Pickett's terrible output and lack of finishing ability, and that Anders has been competitive with better fighters. Cody believes Anders will win but calls it a bad bet at minus-500, though he admits he'll include Anders in parlays as a degenerate.
Anders should be able to force the action, push Pickett against the cage, and land takedowns. However, Anders is 36 and slowing down, and -400 is not a number to trust with him. The fight is expected to be closely competitive and go to the scorecards, with Anders likely getting his hand raised. The host prefers the over or fight goes to decision.
Paul picks Anders but is hesitant due to the minus-500 price. He notes Anders has been inconsistent but has faced better competition and has shown improved cardio and output recently. He thinks Pickett is on a losing streak and lacks volume or power. Paul expects Anders to win but acknowledges the price is steep and that Pickett could make it close.
The MMA Guru initially considered Pickett but decided Anders is the pick. He notes Anders was close with Marc-André Barriault and had a scrap, while Pickett is on a four-fight losing streak and has no impressive wins. He calls Pickett 'awful' and says his wins are unimpressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 0 | 31 of 80 | 38% | 59 of 109 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 1 | 7:15 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 14 of 52 | 26% | 26 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 | |
| 3 | Josh Fremd | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 19 of 33 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:53 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 19 | 26% | 11 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Fremd | 31 of 80 | 38% | 11 of 49 | 10 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 22 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Jamie Pickett | 14 of 52 | 26% | 4 of 31 | 6 of 16 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 45 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Fremd | 11 of 29 | 37% | 2 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 25 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 18 | 22% | 0 of 9 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 15 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Josh Fremd | 13 of 31 | 41% | 7 of 20 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 5 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 15 | 33% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Josh Fremd | 7 of 20 | 35% | 2 of 12 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 19 | 26% | 3 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fremd, citing his improving grappling and athleticism. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy and has poor takedown defense. He expects Fremd to wrestle and grind out a win.
Big Brady picks Josh Fremd to win by submission in the second round. He believes Fremd has Pickett covered in every aspect, noting Pickett's three-fight skid and poor durability. He mentions Fremd's power and submission game, and says Fremd can win by decision, knockout, or submission. He is not laying -325 but is confident Fremd gets it done.
Cody picks Fremd, citing his wrestling background, cardio, and improvement. He notes Fremd's competitive fight against Fluffy Hernandez and his submission win over Cedric Dumas. He criticizes Pickett's three-fight losing streak and lack of UFC-level skills. He thinks Fremd's wrestling and grappling advantage will be too much, and that Pickett's job is on the line but he doesn't see a path to victory.
James picks Fremd but is not confident, calling it a 'bad fight' and not his type. He thinks Fremd should win but notes Pickett is tough, long, and strong in the clinch. He believes the line at -350 is too wide and should be around -250. He likely won't bet it.
Fremd showed a relentless wrestling style in his last fight, but he is a heavy favorite at -350 against a guy on a three-fight losing streak. Pickett relies on physical traits but is not great technically. Fremd's wrestling and pace should be too much, but trusting him at such a short price is risky given his limited sample size. Fremd should grind out a decision.
Paul picks Fremd, agreeing that Pickett doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Fremd's submission skills and ability to get dominant positions. He thinks Fremd will likely win by submission. He considered Pickett at plus money but after digging, concluded Pickett is just not good enough.
The MMA Guru picks Josh Fremd over Jamie Pickett, noting Fremd's losses to Anthony Hernandez (who is doing that to everyone) and Tresean Gore (a nasty guillotine). He believes Fremd is more well-rounded with grappling and striking, and that Pickett tends to fade in fights. He thinks Fremd's potential and size advantage will lead to a win, possibly ending Pickett's UFC career.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nickal | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Nickal | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 of 6 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 2:30 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Nickal | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bo Nickal | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nickal (-1400), Pickett (+850)
Round 1
The main card of UFC 285 begins with the hotly anticipated debut of elite college wrestler Nickal (3-0, 0-0 UFC), who is entering only his fourth pro fight with a combined two minutes and 27 seconds of fight time under his belt not counting his amateur outings. He meets Pickett (13-8, 2-4 UFC), whose last trip to the cage lasted nearly 10 minutes, or nearly twice much time as Nickal’s pro and amateur career combined. Nickal comes in as a nonsensical favorite of -2000 or above in some books, and referee Keith Peterson will be the one to clock them in despite that nonsense. The middleweights do not touch gloves, as they would rather get right to it. Nickal leaps forward, jumps in the air with a kick that misses, and he hits the floor. Nickal shoots for a takedown, and Pickett stuffs it on the first try. Nickal shoves him against the wall and knees him a few times, and Pickett grimaces from an apparent knee to the groin. The foul uncalled, Nickal throws his man to his knees, and searches for a possible brabo choke, only to release it to circle around and take the back. Nickal grabs hold of a rear-naked choke, and he changes it to a neck crank but lets it go to look for another opening. Nickal jumps to the side, and he wraps his left arm beneath Pickett’s chin and squeezes with an arm-triangle choke. Pickett talks to Nickal the whole time while the submission is being attempted, and Pickett is able to survive the first strong squeeze. Pickett defends with his left arm between the neck and the choke, and Nickal adjusts and fastens it tighter. Pickett stays composed and calm as Nickal keeps squeezing, and Pickett pushes off the hip and stays with it. The wrestler keeps the vice-like grip as tight as can be, and he forces Pickett to finally surrender, thereby boosting his young record to 4-0 with four finishes on his ledger. Nickal has made good on his promotional debut, and the next question will soon be what the UFC does with him next with all the hype surrounding him. The victorious Nickal claims in his post-fight interview that he will be not only the champion, but the top pound-for-pound fighter in the sport.
The Official Result
Bo Nickal def. Jamie Pickett R1 2:54 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Angelo is certain Bo Nickal will win, stating he will wrestle immediately and finish the fight. He notes that the odds are extremely high and there is no value, but Nickal is the closest thing to a guarantee in the sport. Angelo advises against betting due to the poor odds.
Big Brady is extremely confident in Bo Nickal, calling him a next-level wrestler with power and submission ability. He notes Jamie Pickett has poor takedown defense and has been submitted before. He predicts a first-round submission for Nickal, welcoming him to the UFC.
Cody is confident Nickal wins inside the distance, likely by submission. He thinks Nickal will overwhelm Pickett early and finish him in the first round. He recommends under 1.5 rounds and says Nickal ends up on parlay tickets.
Connor is extremely confident Nickal wins, calling it a soft touch. He notes Pickett is a good athlete but easily cowed by superior athletes, with poor body language and a tendency to crumble. He expects Nickal to finish via TKO or submission, though Pickett may avoid submission briefly.
Jacob agrees that Bo Nickal will win, but questions whether Nickal will go for a quick takedown or try to show off his striking. He notes that Jamie Pickett folds under pressure and that this matchup was made for a reason. Jacob sees no value in betting on Nickal at these odds.
Nickal is a decorated wrestler with good submissions. Pickett is on a two-fight losing streak and likely fighting for his job. Nickal will get a takedown and submit him in the first round. Look for early finishing props.
Paul agrees Nickal will win easily but notes the odds are too short to bet the moneyline. He mentions the under 1.5 rounds is heavily juiced and considers a small sprinkle on the over as a contrarian play, but ultimately expects a quick finish.
The MMA Guru picks Bo Nickal to win by first-round submission, likely a rear-naked choke. He criticizes Pickett's lack of quality wins and believes Nickal's wrestling will be too much.
Zane agrees, calling Pickett a 'gentle giant' who crumbles under pressure. He notes Pickett was submitted by Kyle Daukaus and TKO'd by Jordan Wright, so a finish is probable. He sees no path for Pickett.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Tiuliulin | 2 | 73 of 161 | 45% | 87 of 178 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 60 of 111 | 54% | 63 of 114 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denis Tiuliulin | 0 | 22 of 76 | 28% | 28 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Denis Tiuliulin | 2 | 51 of 85 | 60% | 59 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 26 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Tiuliulin | 73 of 161 | 45% | 53 of 131 | 19 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 52 of 133 | 15 of 15 | 6 of 13 |
| Jamie Pickett | 60 of 111 | 54% | 44 of 90 | 13 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 56 of 103 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denis Tiuliulin | 22 of 76 | 28% | 16 of 64 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 35 of 60 | 58% | 23 of 46 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Denis Tiuliulin | 51 of 85 | 60% | 37 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 30 of 57 | 15 of 15 | 6 of 13 |
| Jamie Pickett | 25 of 51 | 49% | 21 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 46 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his takedowns and ability to win via grappling. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy, while Tiuliulin is a brawler with power. He thinks if Pickett manages range and uses takedowns, he can win, but it's a low-confidence pick.
Big Brady picks Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, criticizing Jamie Pickett for being inactive and fighting not to lose. He was impressed by Tiuliulin's debut against a tough prospect and believes Tiuliulin can stuff takedowns and land a big shot. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he expects the fight to be terrible overall.
Cody leans towards Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, noting that Jamie Pickett is not a great wrestler and that Tiuliulin has power and durability. He mentions that Pickett's takedown defense is not elite and that Tiuliulin can hold his own on the feet. He is not betting it but picks Tiuliulin for the show.
Daniel Levi picks Denis Tiuliulin for the upset. He notes Tiuliulin's knockout power and long striking, while Pickett has been finished before. He acknowledges Pickett's physical advantages and takedown ability, but believes if Tiuliulin can avoid being taken down, he can light up Pickett on the feet. Levi calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Jacob strongly disagrees, picking Denis Tiuliulin. He thinks Pickett does not belong in the UFC, is gun-shy, and has telegraphed takedowns. He praises Tiuliulin's striking, power, and toughness, noting he landed clean shots against a dominant wrestler on short notice. He believes Tiuliulin will march forward and find a finish.
The host leans Jamie Pickett but can't back him at -130. He expects Pickett to use his physical attributes to overpower Tiuliulin in the clinch and grind out a decision. He notes Tiuliulin's power but thinks Pickett's durability and bullying style will prevail.
Paul leans towards Jamie Pickett, noting that Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and cardio, which are Pickett's strengths. He believes Pickett will use his wrestling to lean on Tiuliulin and tire him out. However, he is not confident and says it's a dog or pass fight.
The MMA Guru picks Denis Tiuliulin to win by TKO in the first round. He describes both fighters playing at range early, with Tiuliulin looking for body kicks. Pickett will time punches when Tiuliulin kicks, but as he rushes in, Tiuliulin lands a big shot over the top, rocks Pickett, and finishes with body shots and big shots against the cage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 19 of 29 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:12 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Daukaus | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 19 of 29 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:12 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Daukaus | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Daukaus | 6 of 9 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jamie Pickett | 5 of 9 | 55% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Receiving an upgrade to the co-main event slot, Daukaus (10-2, 1 NC; 1-2, 1 NC UFC) and Pickett (13-6, 2-2 UFC) will handle their business at a pre-planned 195-pound catchweight due to the latter taking the fight on short notice. This fun stylistic clash will draw officiating from referee Herb Dean, and the fighters gladly touch gloves as they are happy to be fighting tonight. Pickett strikes first with few low kicks, and Daukaus replies in kind. Right after Daukaus wings a right hand, he changes levels to go after a takedown. Although Pickett stays upright on the first attempt, Daukaus sucks his legs out beneath him and drags him down. From his back, “The Nightwolf” holds on to a guillotine choke, and Daukaus wisely comes around with his own shoulder to set up a Von Preux shoulder choke. Pickett lets go of his arm grip so that he does not himself get submitted, and instead sits up and turns on his hip to try to stand back up. Daukaus keeps his man trapped beneath him, smacking him in the face with a few right hands, but Pickett explodes out of the position and powers back to his feet. Pickett tries to let his hands go when he gets upright, only to find Daukaus right on him to go hunting for a single. The Philadelphia native successfully lifts Pickett’s leg all the way up in the air before slamming him to the mat, and he is quick to secure half guard. When Pickett sits up and turns like before, Daukaus times this to try to take his back. Pickett simply stands up from this position, and he shucks Daukaus off of his back. Daukaus does not let up, remaining tied to Pickett until he lets go of his own accord. Out of nowhere, Daukaus drills Pickett with a few punches square on the chin, and when Pickett is shaken up, Daukaus leaps forward to snag another takedown.
Pickett falls to his back, and when he rolls to his side, Daukaus quickly attacks with a sneaky brabo choke from a difficult angle. In half guard, Daukaus keeps the choke snaked around Pickett’s neck and it is tight. With no way to get out, Pickett wriggles his arm free so that he can tap out on Daukaus’ side barely one second before the horn blares.
There is a bit of confusion as to the timing of the stoppage, or whether Pickett reached the end of the round, but it appears that he tapped out just before the bell. What a way to win a fight!
The Official Result
Kyle Daukaus def. Jamie Pickett R1 4:59 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his recent performance against Joseph Holmes where he showed volume and mixed in takedowns. He notes that if Pickett fights aggressively and uses takedowns, he beats Daukaus almost every time. However, he acknowledges Pickett's gun-shy tendencies could be a problem.
Big Brady picks Kyle Daukaus, noting Pickett has low output and has been outgrappled by lesser fighters. He believes Daukaus has advantages on the feet and on the ground, and predicts a submission in the first or second round.
Cody picks Kyle Daukaus, citing his well-rounded skill set and superior grappling. He notes that Daukaus has shown good moments in his UFC fights, including a strong performance against Kevin Holland that was ruled a no contest due to an accidental headbutt. Cody believes Daukaus will have faster hand speed and should be able to take the fight to the mat, where he has a sizable advantage. He also mentions that Jamie Pickett's game is not well-rounded and relies on smothering opponents against the cage.
Levi leans toward Daukaus but thinks the line is too wide, suggesting it should be around -175. He acknowledges Pickett's momentum and confidence from two wins, but notes Pickett's wins were over lower-level opponents. Levi expects Daukaus to win a close decision, possibly an ugly fight, and mentions Daukaus should finish but might not.
Daukaus is better everywhere: clinch, grappling, and developing striking. Pickett has physical tools but lacks output and fight IQ. Daukaus should control the fight with takedowns and either submit or decision Pickett. The sub/decision combo at -165 is a great line. A knockout is unlikely, so the method is between submission and decision.
Paul picks Daukaus, noting that Pickett is low-volume and doesn't use his long reach well. He thinks Daukaus's path to victory is to take the fight to the mat, where he should have a clear advantage. Paul acknowledges that Pickett could spam clinches, but overall he sees Daukaus as a rightful favorite at -250.
The MMA Guru picks Kyle Daukaus to win by 29-28 decision in a clinch-heavy fight. He believes Daukaus has better technique on the feet and superior jiu-jitsu, and can neutralize Pickett's cage-grappling game. He notes Daukaus has a good chin and has never been finished as a pro, so Pickett's power is less of a threat. He expects a boring clinch fest with Daukaus edging out the rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 50 of 122 | 40% | 54 of 126 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 51 of 93 | 54% | 59 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 24 of 35 | 68% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 24 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 18 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 50 of 122 | 40% | 22 of 86 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 40 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 51 of 93 | 54% | 30 of 65 | 13 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 82 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 10 of 23 | 43% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 24 of 35 | 68% | 13 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 23 of 55 | 41% | 12 of 42 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 50 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 17 of 44 | 38% | 6 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 36 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 14 of 31 | 45% | 8 of 22 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Pickett due to UFC experience, but worries about Holmes' equal size and grappling threat. He notes Pickett's reach advantage is neutralized and that both can be gun-shy. He calls it a razor-thin pick and says he won't bet on it.
Big Brady thinks the odds are off, as Joseph Holmes is inexperienced and has fought low-level competition, while Jamie Pickett has faced UFC-caliber fighters. He calls it a coin flip and says he would not bet it, but if forced to pick, he takes Pickett as a dog by decision. He notes both fighters have similar skill sets and low volume.
Cody leans toward Holmes, citing his length and reach advantage. He notes Holmes's camp (James Krause) will have a good game plan. He expects Holmes to use his range striking and avoid grappling. However, he admits Holmes looked green and the fight could go either way.
Daniel Levi leans toward Joseph Holmes, citing his physical advantages (6'4", 80-inch reach) and finishing ability (submission and KO). He notes that Pickett has folded under pressure in the past, losing by first-round finishes to Charles Byrd and Jordan Wright. Levi is hesitant because Holmes hasn't been tested at UFC level, but he believes Holmes will outwork Pickett in a close fight. He also mentions Pickett's mental struggles and that he's seeing a therapist.
The host leans toward Joseph Holmes, expecting him to dictate the pace with clinch work and takedowns against the cage. He notes Pickett's durability but thinks Holmes' aggression and control will win rounds. The host is not confident in a finish, predicting a decision. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a possible bet due to both fighters' low finishing rates.
Paul leans toward Pickett as an underdog, citing his experience and durability. He notes Holmes is very green and his striking is telegraphed. He expects Pickett's strength in the clinch to be a factor. However, he acknowledges Holmes's length and potential if he keeps the fight at range.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Holmes' Muay Thai background, range, power, and accuracy on the feet, and notes that Holmes already beat Pickett on the regional scene by first-round destruction. He doesn't see Pickett's grappling as a threat, as Holmes is rangier and better at controlling distance. He expects Holmes to land a clean shot early and finish the fight quickly, similar to how Jordan Wright did.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 47 of 96 | 48% | 58 of 108 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 0 | 25 of 62 | 40% | 43 of 80 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 5:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 7 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 26 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 18 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 47 of 96 | 48% | 23 of 64 | 23 of 30 | 1 of 2 | 26 of 72 | 21 of 23 | 0 of 1 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 25 of 62 | 40% | 14 of 48 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 54 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 10 of 18 | 55% | 2 of 7 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 18 of 35 | 51% | 9 of 22 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 11 of 26 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 11 of 21 | 52% | 6 of 15 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 19 of 43 | 44% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 36 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Laureano Staropoli | 10 of 34 | 29% | 6 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is surprised Pickett is such a big underdog. He notes Pickett has a foot reach advantage and manages range well, and can mix in takedowns. He thinks Staropoli gets gun shy and is hit twice as much as he hits. He already grabbed a +3.5 bet on Pickett, meaning he only needs Pickett to win one round. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight (over 73.5 combined strikes).
Big Brady picks Staropoli as the more talented fighter despite a three-fight skid, noting his losses came against tough competition. He worries about Staropoli's size disadvantage and Pickett's 8.5-inch reach advantage, but believes Staropoli's skill edge will carry him to a close decision. He advises against betting this fight.
Cody picks Laureano Staropoli, citing his volume, forward pressure, and durability. He notes that Pickett has poor striking defense, moves backward, and was knocked out quickly in his last fight. Cody believes Staropoli will win the numbers battle and likely take a decision, though he acknowledges the price is high. He sees Staropoli as a lower-tier parlay piece.
Lock leans Staropoli based on competition level. He notes Pickett is not UFC level and Staropoli has fought better opponents. He expects Staropoli to win by decision but is not confident enough to bet heavily.
Paul leans towards Staropoli, noting that Pickett's best attribute was his durability, but that was shattered in his last fight. He agrees with Cody that Staropoli's forward pressure and volume should win the fight. However, Paul is not fully confident due to the price.
The MMA Guru picks Laureano Staropoli, noting that Staropoli is moving up to middleweight but is naturally a welterweight, which he believes makes him better than most middleweights. He points out that Jamie Pickett is coming off a KO loss and lacks quality wins, while Staropoli has faced tougher competition and is more technically sound. He predicts Staropoli will out-grapple Pickett and win by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 1 | 26 of 32 | 81% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 1 | 26 of 32 | 81% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:12 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright | 26 of 32 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 9 of 14 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Wright | 26 of 32 | 81% | 21 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 12 | 9 of 14 |
| Jamie Pickett | 4 of 5 | 80% | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Pickett is durable, never knocked out, and has a solid chin. Wright has terrible striking defense (40%), no chin, and has never been to decision. Pickett can pressure forward, land hard shots, and has good wrestling. I expect Pickett to finish Wright in the second round by knockout.
Daniel Levi picks Jamie Pickett, citing his physicality, speed, and strength advantage. He notes that Jordan Wright (Beverly Hills Ninja) has a suspect chin, as seen in the Anthony Hernandez fight, and was steamrolled by Joaquin Buckley. Levi thinks Pickett can knock out Wright or win by decision, and calls this Pickett's best chance to get a UFC win.
The host picks Pickett but wants no part of betting the fight. He notes Pickett has shown durability, eating big shots from Soriano and Chukwu, while Wright has a questionable chin. He thinks Pickett lands a big shot and finishes Wright in the second round. However, he acknowledges both fighters are low level and that Wright could win if he lands early.
The MMA Guru picks Jamie Pickett to win by TKO in round 2. He notes that Jordan Wright has spectacular finishes but against weak competition, and that Wright slows down after the first round. He believes Pickett can absorb Wright's early onslaught, as shown in his fight with Pannie Soriano, and then finish Wright late in the second round against the cage.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo leans toward Jamie Pickett, citing his takedowns and ability to win via grappling. He notes Pickett is a solid striker but gun-shy, while Tiuliulin is a brawler with power. He thinks if Pickett manages range and uses takedowns, he can win, but it's a low-confidence pick.
Big Brady picks Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, criticizing Jamie Pickett for being inactive and fighting not to lose. He was impressed by Tiuliulin's debut against a tough prospect and believes Tiuliulin can stuff takedowns and land a big shot. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he expects the fight to be terrible overall.
Cody leans towards Denis Tiuliulin as a dog, noting that Jamie Pickett is not a great wrestler and that Tiuliulin has power and durability. He mentions that Pickett's takedown defense is not elite and that Tiuliulin can hold his own on the feet. He is not betting it but picks Tiuliulin for the show.
Daniel Levi picks Denis Tiuliulin for the upset. He notes Tiuliulin's knockout power and long striking, while Pickett has been finished before. He acknowledges Pickett's physical advantages and takedown ability, but believes if Tiuliulin can avoid being taken down, he can light up Pickett on the feet. Levi calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Jacob strongly disagrees, picking Denis Tiuliulin. He thinks Pickett does not belong in the UFC, is gun-shy, and has telegraphed takedowns. He praises Tiuliulin's striking, power, and toughness, noting he landed clean shots against a dominant wrestler on short notice. He believes Tiuliulin will march forward and find a finish.
The host leans Jamie Pickett but can't back him at -130. He expects Pickett to use his physical attributes to overpower Tiuliulin in the clinch and grind out a decision. He notes Tiuliulin's power but thinks Pickett's durability and bullying style will prevail.
Paul leans towards Jamie Pickett, noting that Tiuliulin has poor takedown defense and cardio, which are Pickett's strengths. He believes Pickett will use his wrestling to lean on Tiuliulin and tire him out. However, he is not confident and says it's a dog or pass fight.
The MMA Guru picks Denis Tiuliulin to win by TKO in the first round. He describes both fighters playing at range early, with Tiuliulin looking for body kicks. Pickett will time punches when Tiuliulin kicks, but as he rushes in, Tiuliulin lands a big shot over the top, rocks Pickett, and finishes with body shots and big shots against the cage.
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