vs
+106 -115
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Age 33
Height 6' 1"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Yohan Lainesse
2.22 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.38 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.94 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
72.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Darian Weeks
4.49 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.56 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
2.0 TD Avg
30.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Yohan Lainesse
Moneyline
FanDuel +106
KO/TKO
BetRivers +255
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +460
Darian Weeks
Moneyline
Caesars -115
KO/TKO
BetRivers +270
Submission
BetRivers +900
Decision
BetWay +350
Yohan Lainesse - Fight History
LOSS vs Sam Patterson
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:03 · UFC 297: Strickland vs. du Plessis · Jan 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sam Patterson 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Yohan Lainesse 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sam Patterson 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Yohan Lainesse 0 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sam Patterson 1 of 9 11% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sam Patterson 1 of 9 11% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Angelo picks Lainesse due to his power and Patterson's suspect chin, referencing Patterson's recent knockout loss. He notes that both fighters can finish each other, but expects Lainesse to land on Patterson's chin. He also plans to bet the under on the round total if a 2.5 round line becomes available.

Under 2.5 rounds (if line drops)
"the easy answer is Johan has power Sam Patterson gets knocked out so I'm going to go with the easy answer here Johan liones is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Big Brady picks Lainesse but hates the pick. He notes Lainesse has changed his style to be too conservative and gun-shy, but still has power and takedown defense. He thinks if the old Lainesse shows up, he knocks out Patterson early. He questions Patterson's chin and defense but acknowledges Patterson could win if Lainesse fights timidly.

first round knockout
"I'll take liones to knock out Sam Patterson in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

Cody picks Patterson as an underdog, citing Lainesse's poor cardio and chin. He thinks if Patterson survives the first round, he can take over with his grappling and submission game. He notes Lainesse's power but believes Patterson's length and jiu-jitsu will be key.

"I am going to take the slight underdog shot on Sam Patterson."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Vreeland picks Yohan Lainesse but is not confident. He notes Lainesse has devastating power and looked good in the Gabe Green fight before being stopped. He worries about Lainesse's recent gun-shy performances but hopes a change in training camp reignites his aggression. He expects a knockout if the old Lainesse shows up.

"give me Johan here but you know I'm not laying it"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Feb 6, 2025 (fight day)

This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Patterson vs Lainesse.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Sam Patterson

I'm going with Patterson here. He is the better cleaner striker and has a better ground game. I wouldn't be surprised to see him change levels and look for a submission finish. Lainesse is a solid power puncher but in terms of raw skills, Patterson is the better fighter. If the line climbs closer to +150, it becomes even more attractive. I think no matter who wins, it ends by finish, and I'll take Patterson by submission.

submission prop, fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go with Patterson I think Patterson wins this fight likely by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Paul leans Lainesse by KO in round 1, citing his power and Patterson's shaky chin. He acknowledges Lainesse's cardio issues but thinks he can get an early knockout. He doesn't love the bet but picks Lainesse.

Lainesse KO round 1
"I'll say Johan KO round one but don't love it."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

The MMA Guru picks Yohan Lainesse, emphasizing his power and the home crowd advantage in Canada. He criticizes Sam Patterson's defensive flaws, particularly his chin-up stance and susceptibility to overhands. He notes Patterson's recent KO loss and the risk of moving up in weight to face a heavy hitter. He predicts a KO win for Lainesse.

KO
"I'm going to go Johan leness I think he's going to find the KO he's fighting in front of his home crowd in Canada"
LOSS vs Mike Malott
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Feb 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mike Malott 0 9 of 17 52% 20 of 28 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:36
Yohan Lainesse 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mike Malott 9 of 17 52% 3 of 8 4 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 1 of 4 25% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Yohan Lainesse vs. Mike Malott
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-215), Lainesse (+185)

Round 1
The main card commences with all-Canadian violence, which might sound oxymoronic but comes in the form of a welterweight clash pitting Malott (8-1-1, 1-0 UFC) against Lainesse (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Combined, the two have 14 stoppages across their 17 wins, so referee Mark Smith’s services might be required sooner than later. The countrymen will save admiration and respect for later and do not opt to touch gloves. Lainesse lands the first blow in the form of an inside low kick, and Malott dances on the outside and brings a kick up high that glances off the guard. “Proper Mike” turns to plant a side kick on Lainesse’s belly, and he has another high kick blocked. Lainesse retreats and absorbs a booming body kick, and Malott lets him off the hook to recover. Lainesse lines up a body kick and a high kick, with the former getting through, and Lainesse does not attempt to counter or even throw a strike in response. Lainesse tosses out a half-hearted strike in the open space, and Malott is feet away. In response, Malott darts forward with a stomping kick to the knee. Lainesse comes up short with a head kick, and Malott whips a kick that pounds into the forearm. Malott gets off a side kick into a leaping right hand, and Lainesse suddenly surges into action with a looping left hand. Malott catches the advancing man and uses his momentum against him to hit an inside trip and dump him on the mat, where he lands in half guard. Lainesse clings tightly to his man on top to disallow him from opening up with strikes, and this nullifies Malott for a time.
Malott steps through again to return to half guard again, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke and crushes his shoulder on Lainesse’s windpipe. Before even moving to mount, Malott has Lainesse in danger. Malott does move to full mount to secure the choke, but it does not take more than a couple seconds for Lainesse to surrender.
That marks nine finishes in nine wins for the rising Malott, who has still never needed more than five minutes to record a victory.

The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Yohan Lainesse R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Connor picks Malott, noting that Lainesse is not a good wrestler and has no change-up; he has to get a knockout. Connor points out that Lainesse's solution to gassing was to reduce output, which is not sustainable. Malott, while not a great wrestler, is willing and has a nice left hook. Connor also mentions that Lainesse may never have faced someone who throws good punches, and Malott's compact punching could be a problem for him.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I guess I'll take him a lot because the other thing with Linus is that he's not a good wrestler it's not a good wrestler there's not really any change-up that Linus can throw in here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Mike Malott

Zane picks Malott because he is the smoother, more defensively mindful fighter with better pocket mechanics. He notes that Malott has a great sense of spatial awareness in the pocket and throws compact, solid punches. Lainesse, on the other hand, is a raw power puncher who gasses easily and has poor wrestling. Zane believes if Malott survives the first round, he can push Lainesse to fatigue and potentially hurt him with his left hook.

Malott opened at -235, now -222. Lainesse opened +200, now +178.
"I'm gonna take a lot I think being the smoother slicker more defensively mindful guy inside with better mechanics as long as he survives the first round I think he can push Linus to the point that yeah Linus is …"
WIN vs Darian Weeks
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yohan Lainesse 0 44 of 108 40% 49 of 113 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:49
Darian Weeks 0 23 of 66 34% 24 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yohan Lainesse 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Darian Weeks 0 13 of 28 46% 13 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Yohan Lainesse 0 19 of 40 47% 22 of 43 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:42
Darian Weeks 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Yohan Lainesse 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:48
Darian Weeks 0 5 of 22 22% 6 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yohan Lainesse 44 of 108 40% 14 of 60 10 of 19 20 of 29 41 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 23 of 66 34% 10 of 46 5 of 7 8 of 13 22 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yohan Lainesse 13 of 37 35% 1 of 20 3 of 5 9 of 12 12 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 13 of 28 46% 5 of 19 3 of 4 5 of 5 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yohan Lainesse 19 of 40 47% 9 of 21 4 of 8 6 of 11 18 of 36 1 of 4 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 5 of 16 31% 2 of 11 1 of 1 2 of 4 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yohan Lainesse 12 of 31 38% 4 of 19 3 of 6 5 of 6 11 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 5 of 22 22% 3 of 16 1 of 2 1 of 4 4 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.

small moneyline bet
"I think Darian wins this fight he can dictate if it's on the feet he can dictate if it goes to the mat so Darian is the pick and I got a little tiny money line bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.

"I'll take Darian Weeks I'll say by decision but I think the third round finish is definitely on the table."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.

Weeks round 3 at +1000
"i'm gonna pick dairy and weeks strictly based on cardio durability the ability to fight 15 minutes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.

Bet 2 units at +116 and +114
"I took one unit on lyness at plus 116 and one unit at plus 114."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.

"I'm going to take Darion over Johann 10 out of 10 times and I think that's what it comes down to whoever is able to dictate the pace pressure and show some real toughness in this fight is going to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Darian Weeks

The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.

decision or late finish
"I'll be leaning Darian Weeks here and if the line does end up flipping... I might have to take a small poke on Darian Weeks as the underdog."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.

"i just think lioness will get very tired once he gets tired he's gonna make mistakes once he makes mistakes even a guy like darion weeks should be able to capitalize"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Yohan Lainesse

The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.

KO at the end of round one
"I'm gonna be going with Johannes by KO at the end of round one"
LOSS vs Gabe Green
TKO (punches) R2 4:02 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera · Apr 30, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabe Green 0 48 of 123 39% 54 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Yohan Lainesse 1 41 of 80 51% 42 of 81 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabe Green 0 12 of 57 21% 16 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Yohan Lainesse 0 25 of 50 50% 25 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:32
2 Gabe Green 0 36 of 66 54% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Yohan Lainesse 1 16 of 30 53% 17 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabe Green 48 of 123 39% 26 of 98 13 of 16 9 of 9 36 of 105 4 of 5 8 of 13
Yohan Lainesse 41 of 80 51% 15 of 40 11 of 16 15 of 24 35 of 74 3 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabe Green 12 of 57 21% 6 of 49 2 of 4 4 of 4 10 of 54 2 of 3 0 of 0
Yohan Lainesse 25 of 50 50% 7 of 20 8 of 12 10 of 18 23 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Gabe Green 36 of 66 54% 20 of 49 11 of 12 5 of 5 26 of 51 2 of 2 8 of 13
Yohan Lainesse 16 of 30 53% 8 of 20 3 of 4 5 of 6 12 of 26 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 24, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.

"i am going to trust green to throw straight punches right up the middle get inside of that looping power of johann and grind out what will probably be a nail-biting decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.

second round submission
"i will take uh gabe green to win this fight and i will take him to win by a submission second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.

"definitely not laying the chalk on him gonna add lioness to my card"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.

"since the line has flipped i'm going the opposite side i'm going to take johan um to potentially catch him with something big in the early going"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.

Lainesse by knockout +200
"i'm actually going to take a flyer on line s and uh plus 200 by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.

"i'm leaning toward i think he's probably gonna get added to the car it's gonna be an all dog card for me this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.

Lainesse by first-round KO
"johan lyness is gonna ko gabriel green in the first round... i'm gonna have to go with johan lines by first round ko"
Darian Weeks - Fight History
LOSS vs Yohan Lainesse
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yohan Lainesse 0 44 of 108 40% 49 of 113 1 of 9 11% 0 0 1:49
Darian Weeks 0 23 of 66 34% 24 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yohan Lainesse 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Darian Weeks 0 13 of 28 46% 13 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Yohan Lainesse 0 19 of 40 47% 22 of 43 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:42
Darian Weeks 0 5 of 16 31% 5 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Yohan Lainesse 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:48
Darian Weeks 0 5 of 22 22% 6 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yohan Lainesse 44 of 108 40% 14 of 60 10 of 19 20 of 29 41 of 100 3 of 8 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 23 of 66 34% 10 of 46 5 of 7 8 of 13 22 of 65 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yohan Lainesse 13 of 37 35% 1 of 20 3 of 5 9 of 12 12 of 35 1 of 2 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 13 of 28 46% 5 of 19 3 of 4 5 of 5 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Yohan Lainesse 19 of 40 47% 9 of 21 4 of 8 6 of 11 18 of 36 1 of 4 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 5 of 16 31% 2 of 11 1 of 1 2 of 4 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Yohan Lainesse 12 of 31 38% 4 of 19 3 of 6 5 of 6 11 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 5 of 22 22% 3 of 16 1 of 2 1 of 4 4 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.

small moneyline bet
"I think Darian wins this fight he can dictate if it's on the feet he can dictate if it goes to the mat so Darian is the pick and I got a little tiny money line bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.

"I'll take Darian Weeks I'll say by decision but I think the third round finish is definitely on the table."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.

Weeks round 3 at +1000
"i'm gonna pick dairy and weeks strictly based on cardio durability the ability to fight 15 minutes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.

Bet 2 units at +116 and +114
"I took one unit on lyness at plus 116 and one unit at plus 114."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.

"I'm going to take Darion over Johann 10 out of 10 times and I think that's what it comes down to whoever is able to dictate the pace pressure and show some real toughness in this fight is going to …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Darian Weeks

The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.

decision or late finish
"I'll be leaning Darian Weeks here and if the line does end up flipping... I might have to take a small poke on Darian Weeks as the underdog."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.

"i just think lioness will get very tired once he gets tired he's gonna make mistakes once he makes mistakes even a guy like darion weeks should be able to capitalize"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Yohan Lainesse

The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.

KO at the end of round one
"I'm gonna be going with Johannes by KO at the end of round one"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Apr 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Machado Garry 0 74 of 144 51% 80 of 151 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Darian Weeks 0 40 of 77 51% 60 of 99 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Machado Garry 0 15 of 32 46% 18 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Darian Weeks 0 10 of 17 58% 18 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
2 Ian Machado Garry 0 20 of 42 47% 23 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Darian Weeks 0 10 of 21 47% 16 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:11
3 Ian Machado Garry 0 39 of 70 55% 39 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Darian Weeks 0 20 of 39 51% 26 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Machado Garry 74 of 144 51% 47 of 113 12 of 16 15 of 15 69 of 136 5 of 8 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 40 of 77 51% 17 of 47 8 of 12 15 of 18 33 of 66 7 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Machado Garry 15 of 32 46% 8 of 23 4 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 10 of 17 58% 3 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 6 7 of 12 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Ian Machado Garry 20 of 42 47% 11 of 33 4 of 4 5 of 5 19 of 41 1 of 1 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 10 of 21 47% 5 of 14 2 of 3 3 of 4 7 of 17 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Ian Machado Garry 39 of 70 55% 28 of 57 4 of 6 7 of 7 36 of 64 3 of 6 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 20 of 39 51% 9 of 24 4 of 7 7 of 8 19 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 30, 2022 (10 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Angelo picks Ian Garry but thinks the odds are too wide (should not be 2-1 favorite). He believes Garry's power and striking can touch up Weeks, but notes Garry's defensive holes and Weeks' wrestling threat. He thinks Garry will win but it's not a lock.

"i still think ian wins ... i think ian gary can touch up darian weeks i think he's got more power than brian barbarena does so i think he'll do more damage have more success and get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Big Brady picks Ian Garry to win by competitive decision. He is impressed with Garry's overall skills but worried about his striking defense, as he was hit a lot by Jordan Williams. Weeks is durable, has good wrestling and power, and has never been finished. Brady thinks Garry's higher skill and cardio will prevail, but he doesn't love the line.

"i'm gonna say gary wins this fight by a competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Cody is hesitant, initially considering Weeks as a live underdog but ultimately sticking with Garry. He notes Garry's youth and striking precision, but worries about his lack of adversity and the transition from Cage Warriors. Cody thinks Weeks has a shot but that Garry's striking is better and he should win if it stays on the feet. He decides to fade his own underdog lean.

"i'm gonna cower it up a little bit here and just stick with the big favorite on you and gary"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Levi is impressed with Garry's regional career, including his kicking game, stance switching, takedown defense, and heart. He thinks Garry is a real fighter who got out of his comfort zone to train at Sanford. He believes Darian Weeks is being overrated due to the Brian Barberena fight, and that Garry's clean striking will be too much. He has parlayed Garry with Petr Yan.

Parlay: Ian Garry + Petr Yan
"i parlayed uh ian gary with uh the undisputed bantamweight champion peter yan"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

I initially wanted to fade Garry but after tape study, I think Weeks is not the guy to do it. Garry has size and reach advantages, good counter-striking, and will pick Weeks apart from the outside. Weeks telegraphs his big shots and slows down as fights go on. I see Garry getting a second or third round TKO.

"I think Gary gets his hand raised I'll see you there second or third round TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

Paul picks Garry despite not being impressed by his debut. He thinks Garry's striking is better than Weeks', and that Weeks' footwork and cardio looked poor against Barbarena. Paul notes Garry's size advantage and that this is a hand-picked opponent. He expects Garry to knock Weeks out, and is considering Garry by KO at +110.

Garry by KO +110
"i think gary knocks him out i've uh he's like plus 110 a trafficking sports book uh for the knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ian Machado Garry

The MMA Guru picks Ian Garry, praising his regional performances and noting that his debut jitters are behind him. He expects Garry to pick apart Darian Weeks over three rounds, winning a 30-26 decision. He mentions Garry's reach advantage and training at Sanford MMA.

"i'm gonna go in gary uh he looked he looked a little bit jittery in his debut which is a bit worrying but... i think he and gary gets this one done by decision"
LOSS vs Bryan Barberena
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Barberena 0 108 of 217 49% 134 of 243 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Darian Weeks 0 118 of 209 56% 125 of 217 4 of 8 50% 0 0 3:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Barberena 0 21 of 40 52% 24 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Darian Weeks 0 26 of 45 57% 29 of 49 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:20
2 Bryan Barberena 0 32 of 75 42% 38 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Darian Weeks 0 49 of 85 57% 52 of 88 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:00
3 Bryan Barberena 0 55 of 102 53% 72 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Darian Weeks 0 43 of 79 54% 44 of 80 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Barberena 108 of 217 49% 55 of 152 30 of 36 23 of 29 97 of 205 11 of 12 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 118 of 209 56% 62 of 136 37 of 51 19 of 22 101 of 187 14 of 18 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Barberena 21 of 40 52% 4 of 17 4 of 5 13 of 18 17 of 36 4 of 4 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 26 of 45 57% 5 of 19 12 of 16 9 of 10 19 of 38 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Bryan Barberena 32 of 75 42% 20 of 60 6 of 8 6 of 7 30 of 73 2 of 2 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 49 of 85 57% 28 of 56 14 of 21 7 of 8 42 of 77 4 of 4 3 of 4
3 Bryan Barberena 55 of 102 53% 31 of 75 20 of 23 4 of 4 50 of 96 5 of 6 0 of 0
Darian Weeks 43 of 79 54% 29 of 61 11 of 14 3 of 4 40 of 72 3 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells via inside the distance/decision no action at +120. He notes Wells has power and BJJ, while Matthews has poor fight IQ. Angelo likes the safety net: if Wells wins by finish he gets paid, if Matthews wins by decision he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +120
"i did not go moneyline for jeremiah wells but what i did do was inside the digi inside the distance decision no action on jeremiah wells"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)

Big Brady picks Jeremiah Wells as a dog, noting that the line doesn't make sense to him. He highlights Wells' impressive debut win over Warlley Alves, his training at Renzo Gracie Philly with top guys, and his solid wrestling and takedown defense. He contrasts Wells' explosiveness and power with Jake Matthews' inconsistent performances and lower level of competition. Brady believes Wells can win a decision or even finish, and gives Wells the cardio advantage.

by decision
"i'm gonna go with the dog here in jeremiah wells... win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Barberena

Cody picks Barberena but with low confidence, noting that Barberena's best days are behind him and he takes a lot of damage. He thinks Barberena could grind out a win but is not reliable as a favorite. Cody mentions that Weeks is inexperienced and that Barberena's toughness might carry him.

"i will take brian barbarina i will but god i really don't love it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Barberena

Daniel Levi picks Bryan Barberena to win, citing his veteran savvy and experience. He notes that Barberena has seen a different level than Weeks, who is a newcomer with only five pro fights. He acknowledges that Barberena may be in decline but thinks he still has enough in the tank to hand Weeks his first loss. He warns about the risk of a declining fighter taking on a young athletic kid with finishing power.

"I think brian still got enough in the tank to come out here and and hand this kid his first l"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Jacob makes Jeremiah Wells the lock of the week, putting 4 units on him. He cites Wells' power, BJJ black belt, and Matthews' lack of KO power since 2013. Jacob notes if Wells gets tired or lunges, it's not his fault, but he loves Wells all the way.

Lock of the week, 4 units
"jeremiah wells i absolutely love him love him for a lot of the week"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Barberena

I like Barberena. He is a veteran who has fought top competition and should be too much for Weeks, who is green and on short notice. Barberena has good durability and cardio, while Weeks tends to slow down. I expect Barberena to take over as the fight goes on and possibly finish in round three. The decision prop at plus 285 and round three finish at plus 1000 are both appealing.

Barberena by decision +285, Barberena round 3 +1000
"i like barbarina by decision or barbarina round three are the two spots i'm looking at"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Paul picks Weeks as an underdog, noting that Barberena is shot and takes too much damage. He thinks Weeks has power and could catch Barberena, but admits he doesn't know much about Weeks. Paul is not confident but sees value in the plus money.

"screw it i'll for the purposes of the show no bet but i'll take darian weeks to uh pull the upset here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Darian Weeks

The MMA Guru picks Darian Weeks to win by second-round TKO. He sees Weeks as a solid prospect with a good amateur career. He predicts Barberena will be dropped in the first round but survive, then Weeks will finish him with a big right hand in the second round.

second round tko
"i'm going to go of darion weeks by first round ko ... i'll say second round tko for darium weeks"
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.

small moneyline bet
"I think Darian wins this fight he can dictate if it's on the feet he can dictate if it goes to the mat so Darian is the pick and I got a little tiny money line bet on him."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.

"I'll take Darian Weeks I'll say by decision but I think the third round finish is definitely on the table."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.

Weeks round 3 at +1000
"i'm gonna pick dairy and weeks strictly based on cardio durability the ability to fight 15 minutes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Yohan Lainesse

Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.

Bet 2 units at +116 and +114
"I took one unit on lyness at plus 116 and one unit at plus 114."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.

"I'm going to take Darion over Johann 10 out of 10 times and I think that's what it comes down to whoever is able to dictate the pace pressure and show some real toughness in this fight is going to win this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Darian Weeks

The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.

decision or late finish
"I'll be leaning Darian Weeks here and if the line does end up flipping... I might have to take a small poke on Darian Weeks as the underdog."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Darian Weeks

Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.

"i just think lioness will get very tired once he gets tired he's gonna make mistakes once he makes mistakes even a guy like darion weeks should be able to capitalize"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2022 (fight day)
Yohan Lainesse

The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.

KO at the end of round one
"I'm gonna be going with Johannes by KO at the end of round one"