Career Averages - Yohan Lainesse
Career Averages - Darian Weeks
Yohan Lainesse
Darian Weeks
Yohan Lainesse - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Patterson | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Patterson | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lainesse due to his power and Patterson's suspect chin, referencing Patterson's recent knockout loss. He notes that both fighters can finish each other, but expects Lainesse to land on Patterson's chin. He also plans to bet the under on the round total if a 2.5 round line becomes available.
Big Brady picks Lainesse but hates the pick. He notes Lainesse has changed his style to be too conservative and gun-shy, but still has power and takedown defense. He thinks if the old Lainesse shows up, he knocks out Patterson early. He questions Patterson's chin and defense but acknowledges Patterson could win if Lainesse fights timidly.
Cody picks Patterson as an underdog, citing Lainesse's poor cardio and chin. He thinks if Patterson survives the first round, he can take over with his grappling and submission game. He notes Lainesse's power but believes Patterson's length and jiu-jitsu will be key.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yohan Lainesse but is not confident. He notes Lainesse has devastating power and looked good in the Gabe Green fight before being stopped. He worries about Lainesse's recent gun-shy performances but hopes a change in training camp reignites his aggression. He expects a knockout if the old Lainesse shows up.
This fight is not discussed in the transcript. The host does not mention Patterson vs Lainesse.
I'm going with Patterson here. He is the better cleaner striker and has a better ground game. I wouldn't be surprised to see him change levels and look for a submission finish. Lainesse is a solid power puncher but in terms of raw skills, Patterson is the better fighter. If the line climbs closer to +150, it becomes even more attractive. I think no matter who wins, it ends by finish, and I'll take Patterson by submission.
Paul leans Lainesse by KO in round 1, citing his power and Patterson's shaky chin. He acknowledges Lainesse's cardio issues but thinks he can get an early knockout. He doesn't love the bet but picks Lainesse.
The MMA Guru picks Yohan Lainesse, emphasizing his power and the home crowd advantage in Canada. He criticizes Sam Patterson's defensive flaws, particularly his chin-up stance and susceptibility to overhands. He notes Patterson's recent KO loss and the risk of moving up in weight to face a heavy hitter. He predicts a KO win for Lainesse.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 0 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:36 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott | 9 of 17 | 52% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Malott | 9 of 17 | 52% | 3 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Malott (-215), Lainesse (+185)
Round 1
The main card commences with all-Canadian violence, which might sound oxymoronic but comes in the form of a welterweight clash pitting Malott (8-1-1, 1-0 UFC) against Lainesse (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Combined, the two have 14 stoppages across their 17 wins, so referee Mark Smith’s services might be required sooner than later. The countrymen will save admiration and respect for later and do not opt to touch gloves. Lainesse lands the first blow in the form of an inside low kick, and Malott dances on the outside and brings a kick up high that glances off the guard. “Proper Mike” turns to plant a side kick on Lainesse’s belly, and he has another high kick blocked. Lainesse retreats and absorbs a booming body kick, and Malott lets him off the hook to recover. Lainesse lines up a body kick and a high kick, with the former getting through, and Lainesse does not attempt to counter or even throw a strike in response. Lainesse tosses out a half-hearted strike in the open space, and Malott is feet away. In response, Malott darts forward with a stomping kick to the knee. Lainesse comes up short with a head kick, and Malott whips a kick that pounds into the forearm. Malott gets off a side kick into a leaping right hand, and Lainesse suddenly surges into action with a looping left hand. Malott catches the advancing man and uses his momentum against him to hit an inside trip and dump him on the mat, where he lands in half guard. Lainesse clings tightly to his man on top to disallow him from opening up with strikes, and this nullifies Malott for a time.
Malott steps through again to return to half guard again, and he locks down an arm-triangle choke and crushes his shoulder on Lainesse’s windpipe. Before even moving to mount, Malott has Lainesse in danger. Malott does move to full mount to secure the choke, but it does not take more than a couple seconds for Lainesse to surrender.
That marks nine finishes in nine wins for the rising Malott, who has still never needed more than five minutes to record a victory.
The Official Result
Mike Malott def. Yohan Lainesse R1 4:15 via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Connor picks Malott, noting that Lainesse is not a good wrestler and has no change-up; he has to get a knockout. Connor points out that Lainesse's solution to gassing was to reduce output, which is not sustainable. Malott, while not a great wrestler, is willing and has a nice left hook. Connor also mentions that Lainesse may never have faced someone who throws good punches, and Malott's compact punching could be a problem for him.
Zane picks Malott because he is the smoother, more defensively mindful fighter with better pocket mechanics. He notes that Malott has a great sense of spatial awareness in the pocket and throws compact, solid punches. Lainesse, on the other hand, is a raw power puncher who gasses easily and has poor wrestling. Zane believes if Malott survives the first round, he can push Lainesse to fatigue and potentially hurt him with his left hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 44 of 108 | 40% | 49 of 113 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 23 of 66 | 34% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 22 | 22% | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 44 of 108 | 40% | 14 of 60 | 10 of 19 | 20 of 29 | 41 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 23 of 66 | 34% | 10 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 13 | 22 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 13 of 37 | 35% | 1 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 13 of 28 | 46% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 19 of 40 | 47% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 11 | 18 of 36 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 22 | 22% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.
Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.
Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.
The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.
Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.
The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 0 | 48 of 123 | 39% | 54 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 42 of 81 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 0 | 12 of 57 | 21% | 16 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 38 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 1 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 17 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Green | 48 of 123 | 39% | 26 of 98 | 13 of 16 | 9 of 9 | 36 of 105 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 41 of 80 | 51% | 15 of 40 | 11 of 16 | 15 of 24 | 35 of 74 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabe Green | 12 of 57 | 21% | 6 of 49 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 25 of 50 | 50% | 7 of 20 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 18 | 23 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabe Green | 36 of 66 | 54% | 20 of 49 | 11 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 |
| Yohan Lainesse | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Gabe Green, though he acknowledges Lainesse's power and danger. He trusts Green to throw straight punches up the middle to get inside Lainesse's looping power and grind out a decision. He notes Green is the more dangerous grappler on the ground, but Lainesse has better takedowns and can end the fight at any moment.
Big Brady picks Gabe Green, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and grappling. He notes Green's poor striking defense but believes Lainesse's cardio will fade after the first round. He predicts a second-round submission win for Green, as he will take over as the fight progresses.
Cody also picks Lainesse, noting his power and improved grappling. He thinks Green's poor decision-making and defensive holes will be exploited. Cody references Lainesse's wins over tough competition on the regional scene and believes he has multiple paths to victory. He calls it another live underdog on a card full of them.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse after the line flipped. He notes Lainesse's one-punch power and ability to fight fatigued, while Green is hittable and may get caught. Levi expects a close fight that could end in a knockout or decision, with Lainesse possibly winning the first two rounds and surviving the third.
The host picks Lainesse, citing his raw power and improving skills. He notes Green is hittable and has been knocked out early before. Lainesse has one-punch knockout power and a wrestling/grappling advantage. Green's reputation for durability is based on fighting volume strikers, not power punchers. He expects Lainesse to land a big shot and finish Green.
Paul picks Yohan Lainesse as a live underdog, citing his raw power and underrated grappling. He notes Green's defensive flaws and tendency to get hit a lot (175 significant strikes against Daniel Rodriguez). Paul thinks Lainesse's strength and wrestling could be an advantage, and that Green's poor inside fighting will be exposed. He mentions Lainesse's self-belief and momentum from the contender series.
The Guru picks Yohan Lainesse to KO Gabe Green in the first round. He notes that Green gets hit too much and that Lainesse has vicious power and speed. The Guru points out Lainesse's reach and height advantages, and his undefeated confidence. He believes Green will try to walk Lainesse down but will get caught, similar to his fight with Daniel Rodriguez where he absorbed many strikes.
Darian Weeks - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 44 of 108 | 40% | 49 of 113 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 23 of 66 | 34% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 13 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 22 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 5 of 22 | 22% | 6 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yohan Lainesse | 44 of 108 | 40% | 14 of 60 | 10 of 19 | 20 of 29 | 41 of 100 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 23 of 66 | 34% | 10 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 8 of 13 | 22 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yohan Lainesse | 13 of 37 | 35% | 1 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 12 | 12 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 13 of 28 | 46% | 5 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yohan Lainesse | 19 of 40 | 47% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 11 | 18 of 36 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yohan Lainesse | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 5 of 22 | 22% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.
Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.
Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.
The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.
Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.
The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 74 of 144 | 51% | 80 of 151 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 40 of 77 | 51% | 60 of 99 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:31 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 20 of 42 | 47% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 16 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 0 | 39 of 70 | 55% | 39 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 26 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Machado Garry | 74 of 144 | 51% | 47 of 113 | 12 of 16 | 15 of 15 | 69 of 136 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 40 of 77 | 51% | 17 of 47 | 8 of 12 | 15 of 18 | 33 of 66 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Machado Garry | 15 of 32 | 46% | 8 of 23 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 10 of 17 | 58% | 3 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ian Machado Garry | 20 of 42 | 47% | 11 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 10 of 21 | 47% | 5 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ian Machado Garry | 39 of 70 | 55% | 28 of 57 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 36 of 64 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 20 of 39 | 51% | 9 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 8 | 19 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ian Garry but thinks the odds are too wide (should not be 2-1 favorite). He believes Garry's power and striking can touch up Weeks, but notes Garry's defensive holes and Weeks' wrestling threat. He thinks Garry will win but it's not a lock.
Big Brady picks Ian Garry to win by competitive decision. He is impressed with Garry's overall skills but worried about his striking defense, as he was hit a lot by Jordan Williams. Weeks is durable, has good wrestling and power, and has never been finished. Brady thinks Garry's higher skill and cardio will prevail, but he doesn't love the line.
Cody is hesitant, initially considering Weeks as a live underdog but ultimately sticking with Garry. He notes Garry's youth and striking precision, but worries about his lack of adversity and the transition from Cage Warriors. Cody thinks Weeks has a shot but that Garry's striking is better and he should win if it stays on the feet. He decides to fade his own underdog lean.
Levi is impressed with Garry's regional career, including his kicking game, stance switching, takedown defense, and heart. He thinks Garry is a real fighter who got out of his comfort zone to train at Sanford. He believes Darian Weeks is being overrated due to the Brian Barberena fight, and that Garry's clean striking will be too much. He has parlayed Garry with Petr Yan.
I initially wanted to fade Garry but after tape study, I think Weeks is not the guy to do it. Garry has size and reach advantages, good counter-striking, and will pick Weeks apart from the outside. Weeks telegraphs his big shots and slows down as fights go on. I see Garry getting a second or third round TKO.
Paul picks Garry despite not being impressed by his debut. He thinks Garry's striking is better than Weeks', and that Weeks' footwork and cardio looked poor against Barbarena. Paul notes Garry's size advantage and that this is a hand-picked opponent. He expects Garry to knock Weeks out, and is considering Garry by KO at +110.
The MMA Guru picks Ian Garry, praising his regional performances and noting that his debut jitters are behind him. He expects Garry to pick apart Darian Weeks over three rounds, winning a 30-26 decision. He mentions Garry's reach advantage and training at Sanford MMA.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Barberena | 0 | 108 of 217 | 49% | 134 of 243 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 118 of 209 | 56% | 125 of 217 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Barberena | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 24 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 29 of 49 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 2 | Bryan Barberena | 0 | 32 of 75 | 42% | 38 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 49 of 85 | 57% | 52 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 | |
| 3 | Bryan Barberena | 0 | 55 of 102 | 53% | 72 of 119 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Darian Weeks | 0 | 43 of 79 | 54% | 44 of 80 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Barberena | 108 of 217 | 49% | 55 of 152 | 30 of 36 | 23 of 29 | 97 of 205 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 118 of 209 | 56% | 62 of 136 | 37 of 51 | 19 of 22 | 101 of 187 | 14 of 18 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Barberena | 21 of 40 | 52% | 4 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 18 | 17 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 26 of 45 | 57% | 5 of 19 | 12 of 16 | 9 of 10 | 19 of 38 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Bryan Barberena | 32 of 75 | 42% | 20 of 60 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 30 of 73 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 49 of 85 | 57% | 28 of 56 | 14 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 42 of 77 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 4 | |
| 3 | Bryan Barberena | 55 of 102 | 53% | 31 of 75 | 20 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 50 of 96 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Darian Weeks | 43 of 79 | 54% | 29 of 61 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 40 of 72 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells via inside the distance/decision no action at +120. He notes Wells has power and BJJ, while Matthews has poor fight IQ. Angelo likes the safety net: if Wells wins by finish he gets paid, if Matthews wins by decision he gets a refund.
Big Brady picks Jeremiah Wells as a dog, noting that the line doesn't make sense to him. He highlights Wells' impressive debut win over Warlley Alves, his training at Renzo Gracie Philly with top guys, and his solid wrestling and takedown defense. He contrasts Wells' explosiveness and power with Jake Matthews' inconsistent performances and lower level of competition. Brady believes Wells can win a decision or even finish, and gives Wells the cardio advantage.
Cody picks Barberena but with low confidence, noting that Barberena's best days are behind him and he takes a lot of damage. He thinks Barberena could grind out a win but is not reliable as a favorite. Cody mentions that Weeks is inexperienced and that Barberena's toughness might carry him.
Daniel Levi picks Bryan Barberena to win, citing his veteran savvy and experience. He notes that Barberena has seen a different level than Weeks, who is a newcomer with only five pro fights. He acknowledges that Barberena may be in decline but thinks he still has enough in the tank to hand Weeks his first loss. He warns about the risk of a declining fighter taking on a young athletic kid with finishing power.
Jacob makes Jeremiah Wells the lock of the week, putting 4 units on him. He cites Wells' power, BJJ black belt, and Matthews' lack of KO power since 2013. Jacob notes if Wells gets tired or lunges, it's not his fault, but he loves Wells all the way.
I like Barberena. He is a veteran who has fought top competition and should be too much for Weeks, who is green and on short notice. Barberena has good durability and cardio, while Weeks tends to slow down. I expect Barberena to take over as the fight goes on and possibly finish in round three. The decision prop at plus 285 and round three finish at plus 1000 are both appealing.
Paul picks Weeks as an underdog, noting that Barberena is shot and takes too much damage. He thinks Weeks has power and could catch Barberena, but admits he doesn't know much about Weeks. Paul is not confident but sees value in the plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Darian Weeks to win by second-round TKO. He sees Weeks as a solid prospect with a good amateur career. He predicts Barberena will be dropped in the first round but survive, then Weeks will finish him with a big right hand in the second round.
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo believes Darian Weeks is the better striker and faster than Lainesse. He highlights Weeks' incredible takedown defense, comparing it to old-school BJ Penn, and thinks Weeks can dictate whether the fight stays on the feet or goes to the mat. He notes Lainesse has power but is slow and tends to brawl, which should allow Weeks to pick him apart technically. Angelo placed a small moneyline bet on Weeks.
Big Brady picks Darian Weeks despite acknowledging Yohan Lainesse's power and wrestling. He notes Lainesse has poor cardio and gassed against Gabe Green, while Weeks has a proven chin and excellent cardio. He expects Weeks to weather an early storm and take over via wrestling and pace, predicting a decision win or late finish.
Cody picks Darian Weeks, citing his cardio and durability. He notes that Lainesse has terrible cardio and fades after the first round. He believes Weeks can take over in later rounds, and mentions the Weeks round 3 prop at +1000. He says it's a good live bet opportunity.
Daniel Levi picks Yohan Lainesse and has bet 2 units on him at plus money. He believes Lainesse is the more polished fighter with power and takedowns, while Weeks is inexperienced at the UFC level. He notes Lainesse's cardio issues in the Gabe Green fight were due to pacing, not lack of conditioning, and expects leg kicks and elbows to be key. He thinks the odds are off and Lainesse wins at least 6 out of 10 times.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, emphasizing that whoever dictates pace and pressure will win. He notes Lainesse's conditioning failed in his last fight and that he quit when tired, while Weeks showed toughness against Ian Garry. Jacob believes Weeks is more technical and will out-tough Lainesse, picking him 10 out of 10 times.
The host expects Darian Weeks to avoid Lainesse's big power early, drag him to the ground, and grind him out for a late finish or decision. He notes that if the line flips to Weeks as underdog, he might take a small bet. He sees Weeks as the better overall fighter.
Paul picks Darian Weeks, noting that Lainesse has cardio issues and that Weeks has durability. He believes Weeks can take Lainesse down and tire him out. He mentions that Lainesse has power but if he doesn't finish early, Weeks will take over. He says it's a good live bet spot.
The MMA Guru predicts Yohan Lainesse will win by KO at the end of round one. He describes a patient start where Lainesse chops at the legs and lands jabs, but Darian Weeks gets the better of him initially, pushing him against the cage. However, Weeks gets overconfident and Lainesse lands a massive KO blow on the jaw to finish him.
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