Career Averages - Tabatha Ricci
Career Averages - Fatima Kline
Tabatha Ricci
Fatima Kline
Tabatha Ricci - Fight History
AJ picks Fatima Kline by decision, calling her a lock. He notes Kline is good everywhere and Ricci is a huge underdog (+375). He believes Kline will win on the scorecards in a lopsided performance, though a finish is possible. He considers it a poor betting fight for props.
AJ picks Kline but criticizes the -450 odds as a 'scam,' believing fair odds are around -200. He expects Kline to win via kickboxing and range advantage, but thinks Ricci will make it competitive with her clinch game. AJ predicts a decision win for Kline.
AJ picks Fatima Kline, praising her striking and grappling. He believes her range kickboxing and size advantage (5'6", 67" reach) will be too much for Tabatha Ricci, who relies on clinch and grappling. He expects Kline to win a decision, possibly with some trips or elbows, and sees her as a future title threat.
AJ picks Fatima Kline, citing her versatility, kickboxing, and size advantage (5 inches taller, 6-inch reach). He notes Kline's high-level grappling and striking, expecting her to outkick Ricci, fend off clinch work, and win by unanimous decision. He sees this as Kline's breakout fight.
Angelo picks Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her grappling to become a boxer under her boyfriend's influence. He believes Fatima's length, power, and jiu-jitsu will dominate, though he's unsure if she'll get a finish or win a decision.
Angelo is very confident in Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her wrestling to become a boxer after getting a boyfriend. He believes Fatima is better in all areas: striking, wrestling, and grappling, and that Ricci has no chance of taking her down. He thinks Fatima is safe to include in parlays.
Big Brady confidently picks Fatima Kline, calling her the future of the division. He praises her striking and grappling, noting she is good everywhere. He expects Kline to keep it standing and out-strike Ricci, winning by decision.
Big Brady picks Fatima Kline over Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's high ceiling, improved striking, and well-rounded game. He believes Kline's striking volume and speed will be too much for Ricci, and expects Kline to win by decision, possibly in round three. He is very confident, stating he'd be surprised if she lost.
Cody notes Kline's size, reach, and volume advantages over the shorter Ricci. He mentions Kline's only loss is at 125 and she's big and strong for 115. He thinks Kline's pressure, cage control, and striking will outwork Ricci, but the minus 500 price scares him off from betting the moneyline directly.
Connor picks Kline, agreeing that she is a step up for Ricci. He notes that Kline showed excellent timing on reactive takedowns against Angela Hill, and Ricci will give those opportunities. He also points out that Kline is much bigger (5'6" vs 5'1") and has a significant reach advantage. He thinks Ricci is a solid athlete but that Kline's size and grappling will be decisive.
Daniel Levi picks Fatima Kline to dominate Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's physicality, relentlessness, and grappling skills. He believes Ricci has plateaued as a gatekeeper and was exposed in her last fight, while Kline is a special prospect with hunger and potential. He expects Kline to win decisively, possibly bloodying Ricci.
Kline is a big favorite, but the host feels the odds are too wide. Ricci has elite cardio and could wear Kline down with grappling pressure, but she is coming on short notice and is outgunned on the feet. Kline has a training partner with a similar style to Ricci, which helps her preparation. The host passes on betting either fighter, noting that if forced to pick, Ricci is the value side for a small sprinkle.
Lucrative James picks Fatima Kline to win by decision, citing Kline's superior striking, fight IQ, and cardio. He notes that Ricci has experience but is outgunned on the feet and may not be able to consistently take Kline down. He expects Kline to control the fight and win a decision, though a headkick finish is possible.
Kline has superior physicality, power, and grappling, and should be able to out-grind Ricci from top position. Ricci is a BJJ black belt but has struggled against stronger opponents and lacks power in her striking. Kline's chain wrestling and control should lead to a decision win, and she is a solid parlay piece even at heavy chalk.
The host likes Kline, believing she is far superior in all aspects of MMA. Despite Ricci being more technical, Kline's athleticism, strength, and power will be too much, leading to a decision win.
Paul believes Kline wins more often than not due to her size, strength, and physicality. He notes Ricci's struggles against larger opponents and thinks Kline's grappling negates Ricci's BJJ. He is wary of the minus 500 line but thinks Kline's path to victory is clear.
The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline (Clan) over Tabatha Ricci, noting Kline's size, reach, and kickboxing advantage. He doubts Ricci can dominate on the ground and expects Kline to do more damage over three rounds. He mentions Kline's wins over Melissa Dixon and Angela Hill.
Zane picks Kline because she is bigger, longer, and more natural in her movements. He notes that Kline has excellent timing on reactive takedowns, which Ricci will give up when pressuring. He compares Ricci to Tecia Torres, saying she throws a lot but is too small to control fights. He also notes that Kline is a high-output striker who fills space well, and that her only weakness has been putting her game together, which she is improving.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 26 of 64 | 40% | 122 of 174 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 8:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 37 of 82 | 45% | 89 of 144 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 26 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 61 of 79 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 50 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 35 of 61 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 30 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0:47 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virna Jandiroba | 26 of 64 | 40% | 19 of 56 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 37 of 82 | 45% | 27 of 68 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 33 of 77 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virna Jandiroba | 3 of 10 | 30% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 7 of 13 | 53% | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Virna Jandiroba | 9 of 16 | 56% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Virna Jandiroba | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 31 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 24 of 55 | 43% | 19 of 47 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 22 of 52 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Virna Jandiroba, believing she is the better wrestler and can control the fight. He criticizes Tabatha Ricci's striking, saying she thinks she's a boxer but isn't, and her takedowns are poor. He notes Jandiroba is one judge away from being champion and expects her to grind out a win. He placed a half-unit bet on Jandiroba at +115.
Big Brady leans toward Tabatha Ricci but with low confidence. He acknowledges Jandiroba is a higher-level grappler but thinks Ricci is stronger, has better wrestling, and is the better striker. He sees a path where Ricci stuffs takedowns and wins on the feet. He also notes Jandiroba's age (37) and potential lack of motivation after a title loss. He will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Ricci because she is the better striker and has excellent takedown defense, making it hard for Jandiroba to hold her down. He believes the judges will favor damage over control time, and Ricci's striking will leave a lasting impression.
Connor also picks Jandiroba, agreeing that Ricci's style of fighting forward and trying to grapple will be a problem against a superior grappler. He notes that Jandiroba is a spiritual successor to Damien Maia, always looking to turn striking into takedowns. Connor points out that Ricci hasn't shown the ability to make adjustments against elite fighters and relies too much on physicality, which won't be enough here.
The host is torn on the winner, seeing strong cases for both. He initially leaned Ricci due to youth and volume, but after research, he sees Jandiroba's power and ground advantage as significant. He concludes the fight is too close to bet pre-fight and prefers live betting. However, he does bet Ricci +3.5 on the fight spread.
James leans toward Virna Jandiroba as the underdog, surprised by the odds given Jandiroba's recent title fight and superior grappling. He believes Jandiroba's top control and submission threat are the best in the division, and that Ricci hasn't faced such a test. He notes Ricci's striking advantage but doubts her power, calling her knockout of Amanda Ribas a fluke. However, he hesitates due to Jandiroba's age (37) and potential post-title-fight letdown, and mentions he might bet the over instead. He picks Jandiroba via decision but is not confident enough to bet.
James mentions the co-main event but does not give a pick for either fighter. He only describes the matchup as interesting.
The host believes Jandiroba's grappling will be too much for Ricci, as she can get takedowns and keep Ricci in defensive positions. He notes Ricci's improved striking but doubts she can provide enough danger to keep Jandiroba from her game. He expects Jandiroba to win by decision, controlling the fight with top pressure.
Paul leans towards Ricci, noting that Jandiroba's grappling-heavy style may not score well if judges prioritize damage. He acknowledges Jandiroba's takedown ability but thinks Ricci's striking and ability to get back up will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci, predicting a controversial decision win. He believes Ricci will be out-grappled but the judges will favor her, possibly setting up a future fight with Mackenzie Dern. He notes Jandiroba looked bad against Dern and that Ricci is coming off a TKO win.
Zane picks Jandiroba, comparing her to Damien Maia as a grappler who knows how to wrestle up and has developed good enough boxing to supplement her grappling. He notes that Ricci is aggressive and fights on the front foot, but is too small to have a dominant top game. Zane believes Ricci's physicality won't be enough against Jandiroba's superior grappling and that Ricci's willingness to engage in the clinch will play into Jandiroba's hands.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 30 of 72 | 41% | 77 of 122 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 34 of 76 | 44% | 82 of 140 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 55 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 34 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 30 of 72 | 41% | 18 of 57 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 29 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 34 of 76 | 44% | 23 of 60 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 61 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 22 of 47 | 46% | 13 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 14 of 42 | 33% | 8 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 20 of 34 | 58% | 15 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas but is split between brain and gut. He notes Ribas is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and striking, while Tabatha Ricci has abandoned her grappling for boxing due to her boyfriend's influence. He believes Ricci's new style is ineffective and Ribas is the better fighter, but acknowledges Ricci's pressure and cardio could cause an upset.
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, believing she is the better striker and grappler. He notes Ribas has a reach advantage and a positive striking differential, while Ricci has low volume and a very short reach. He acknowledges Ribas has chin issues but thinks Ricci lacks power to exploit it. He predicts a decision win.
Connor also picks Ricci, emphasizing that Ribas is a reactive fighter who lets opponents dictate the fight. He notes that Ricci has a simple but effective game plan of aggression and pressure, which has worked against similar fighters. Connor points out that Ribas's defensive flaws and tendency to jump away make her vulnerable to Ricci's forward movement.
Both women are flaky, but Ricci has the ability to work through Ribas's unflashy striking game and could even land takedowns to grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci despite acknowledging she has been 'gifted' decisions in the past. He notes Ribas's chinny nature and recent submission loss, but is hesitant because Ricci's wins are often controversial. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly a robbery, in Ricci's favor.
Zane picks Ricci, citing her consistent aggression and game plan compared to Ribas's reactive style. He notes that Ribas struggles against fighters who press forward with a clear plan, and Ricci's power-based pressure could overwhelm her. Zane acknowledges that Ribas is more dynamic and could hurt Ricci, but trusts Ricci's known approach over Ribas's inconsistency.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 78 of 161 | 48% | 89 of 172 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 15 of 103 | 14% | 17 of 106 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 16 of 40 | 40% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 0 of 13 | 0% | 0 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 34 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 8 of 30 | 26% | 10 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 3 | Yan Xiaonan | 0 | 37 of 67 | 55% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 7 of 60 | 11% | 7 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yan Xiaonan | 78 of 161 | 48% | 45 of 118 | 25 of 34 | 8 of 9 | 77 of 159 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 15 of 103 | 14% | 8 of 85 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 14 | 15 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yan Xiaonan | 16 of 40 | 40% | 5 of 25 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 of 13 | 0% | 0 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yan Xiaonan | 25 of 54 | 46% | 16 of 40 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 8 of 30 | 26% | 3 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yan Xiaonan | 37 of 67 | 55% | 24 of 53 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 36 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 7 of 60 | 11% | 5 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 7 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Yan Xiaonan, praising her boxing and technical striking. He acknowledges Tabatha Ricci's pressure and cardio but believes Yan's skills and takedown defense will prevail. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds is a good bet.
Big Brady picks Tabatha Ricci with little confidence. He thinks the odds are off and that Yan Xiaonan's takedown defense is questionable, recalling the Carla Esparza loss where Yan was easily taken down. If Ricci can get takedowns, she can win minutes on top. Even on the feet, Ricci can push Yan against the cage and burn clock. Brady sees a path for Ricci to win by decision but is not confident.
Cody picks Ricci as a live underdog, arguing that Yan's takedown defense is suspect and Ricci's grappling is elite. He notes that Ricci has taken down multiple black belts and that Yan was exposed by Carla Esparza's wrestling. He believes Ricci can get takedowns, control top position, and grind out a decision or even a submission. He likes Ricci by decision at plus money.
Connor also picks Yan, emphasizing that Yan's boxing is far superior and that Ricci's grappling, while strong, may not be effective against a bigger, high-output striker. He notes that Ricci's top game is static and she struggles to finish, so Yan can survive takedowns and win on the feet. Connor agrees that the three-round format helps Ricci but still favors Yan.
Daniel Vreeland is a long-time Yan Xiaonan backer and continues the trend here. He sees a big size and striking advantage for Yan, noting Ricci's janky striking and poor top control. He references Ricci's inability to hold down Angela Hill and believes Yan's improved takedown defense and toughness will allow her to get back up. He expects Yan to light Ricci up on the feet and win decisively.
James leans towards Yan Xiaonan as the better striker, but is cautious due to Yan coming off a brutal loss and Ricci's improving grappling. He expects Yan to win a 29-28 decision on damage, but considers it a pass fight with no strong betting opinion.
Ricci's ability to mix it up in the clinch with takedowns and her comfort in striking will allow her to put together a better body of work over 15 minutes and win on the scorecards, pulling off the upset.
Paul picks Yan Xiaonan but is hesitant, noting that Ricci has a path to victory via takedowns and control. He thinks Yan's striking power and ferocity will be the difference, but she must stay off her back and get up immediately if taken down. He expects a close fight that goes to decision and could see a split.
The MMA Guru picks Yan Xiaonan over Tabatha Ricci, citing Yan's better boxing, range control, and size advantage. He notes Yan has fought top competition, including a decision loss to Zhang Weili where she dropped Zhang, and wins over Jessica Andrade and Mackenzie Dern. He believes Ricci's 'bunder' won't sway judges in China. He predicts a decision win for Yan.
Zane picks Yan Xiaonan, citing her superior striking volume, technique, and power. He acknowledges Ricci's improved boxing and strong double-leg takedown, but doubts Ricci's ability to control Yan on the ground due to size and static top game. Zane also notes that the three-round format helps Ricci, but Yan's striking advantage should carry her if she avoids being controlled for two rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 112 of 216 | 51% | 140 of 245 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 101 of 239 | 42% | 140 of 280 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 5:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 21 of 47 | 44% | 35 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 27 of 62 | 43% | 42 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:07 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 44 of 79 | 55% | 51 of 87 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 44 of 86 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 47 of 90 | 52% | 54 of 97 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 39 of 101 | 38% | 54 of 116 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 112 of 216 | 51% | 66 of 152 | 43 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 88 of 182 | 19 of 26 | 5 of 8 |
| Angela Hill | 101 of 239 | 42% | 82 of 215 | 8 of 13 | 11 of 11 | 88 of 219 | 10 of 14 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 21 of 47 | 44% | 10 of 34 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 27 of 62 | 43% | 18 of 52 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 20 of 53 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 44 of 79 | 55% | 27 of 52 | 14 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 62 | 8 of 10 | 4 of 7 |
| Angela Hill | 35 of 76 | 46% | 29 of 67 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 31 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 47 of 90 | 52% | 29 of 66 | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 83 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
| Angela Hill | 39 of 101 | 38% | 35 of 96 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 37 of 98 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ricci (-112), Hill (-108)
Round 1
While Magny-Morales was one “passing of the torch” match, this co-main event is set up to be one as well. At the tender age of 39, Hill (17-13, 12-13 UFC) has won four of five and is trying to make one final push to get into top contention at 115 pounds. Ricci (10-2, 5-2 UFC) saw her own momentum fall away after a close loss last year, but a razor-close victory in May got her back in the win column. While the two are on the outer edge of the top 10, it is a must-win encounter for either woman. Referee Keith Peterson serves as the official for the nonsense-free strawweight tilt, and the ladies have no interest in touching gloves. Ricci marches forward and gets caught with a right hand early, and she pushes in to tie Hill up against the fence. Hill uses her elbow to try to frame off, and Ricci gets her underhooks in pursuit of a body lock takedown. Hill uses knees to fight her way out, and she eats a right hand on the outside. Ricci blasts forward to attack, landing a few shots, and Hill lands one back before they clinch up again. Ricci tries for another takedown, but Hill stands her up as they trade knees. The two break, and Hill pushes off a front kick when she gets space. Ricci connects at the end of a right hand, and she lands a second and ducks under a Hill counter to change levels. Hill defends it and breaks free, but not before absorbing a flush knee to the breadbasket. Both ladies land one big right hand, and Ricci resets and races at her, attacking with a tornado of offense. Hill responds and pushes her away, and she ducks down to smack “Baby Shark” with an overhand right. Ricci blitzes once more, and Hill is out of harm’s way in time. Ricci lands a low kick and punches her way in, although Hill strafes to the side to disrupt the forward momentum. Ricci nonetheless runs straight at her to the her up, ignoring a knee up the middle to try for something. Hill stops a takedown before it materializes and separates. Hill sneaks a right hand around a jab, and she spins with an elbow but Ricci is out of range. Hill targets the body with three punches, and Ricci walks her down and tries to slug it out. Hill hits her back and decides to initiate the clinch, and they jockey for position while Hill tries for her own trip takedown. Ricci stifles it and gets kneed in the belly, and Hill targets the same spot with another as they split apart. They let frantic hands fly right to the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Round 2
Ricci pushes the pace right out of her corner, not slowing down even when Hill punches her in the face. Ricci uses her momentum to sling Hill to the mat, and she drops down fierce hammerfists and is drilled with an upkick. Ricci lowers herself down, and Hill sets up a triangle choke to keep her honest. When Ricci backs off, Hill powers her way back to her feet, and Ricci is quick to jam her up against the fencing. Hill turns her about and breaks free, tossing out a head kick that is nowhere near the target. Ricci gathers a head of steam and rushes forward, and Hill backs her off with a short combination ending with a body kick. Ricci lands two punches, Hill scores back, and Ricci is right there to keep the pressure on. Ricci looks for an up-elbow as she throws everything at her opponent, and Hill catches her with a right hand and ducks down to grab hold of her lead leg to take her off-balance. Hill catches a kick to drag Ricci to the wall, but she cannot hold it. Hill targets the body with a knee, and when Ricci backs off, Hill kicks her in the ribs. Ricci sprints into clinch range, and Hill lines up a Thai clinch to knee her in the midsection. Hill breaks off with a body kick, and she jabs and leans to avoid a knee flying at her melon. Ricci scores a one-two, and Hill responds with a push kick. A leaping elbow strike from Ricci brushes off the guard, and the two are mixing it up and not letting either get an upper hand. Hill drops down and comes up with a right hand, and Ricci stands right in front of her and bops her with an uppercut. Hill sits down on a hard right hand, and Ricci answers her back immediately. Hill connects with another clean right, and Ricci wants to slug it out until she shoots in for a single and hits it. Hill ties her up with a one-armed guillotine until Ricci is able to wrench her neck out. Ricci sits up, and Hill hacks with elbows. Ricci gets pushed off with upkicks, and the two meet in the clinch and start blasting one another like Frye vs. Takayama until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ricci
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 3
The two women come out firing immediately, with Ricci running into the melee. Hill drills her with a spinning elbow, forcing Ricci to take a back step. Ricci takes a quick count of her teeth and throws back, with Hill answering and reddening her nose up with more powerful strikes. Ricci targets the body with a kick, and Hill comes over the top with a right hand and tries for an up-elbow. Hill shoots for a takedown, and Ricci turns her around and puts Hill on her seat. Hill kicks off Ricci’s chest to send Ricci flying, and they both get back up. Ricci plods forward, and Hill stands right in the pocket and trades until Ricci’s forward movement results in a clinch. Ricci slows things down as she stomps Hill’s toes and offers the occasional knee, and Hill knees her back until they split up. Ricci beats Hill to the punch in an exchange, and Hill appears to be slowing while Ricci is just as amped up as ever. Hill buzzes the hair with a spinning elbow, and she drives a right hand on the chin and a front kick. Ricci crashes forward to strike, and Hill intercepts her with an uppercut and backs off to take a breath. Hill eats a left hand and counters, and she kicks Ricci in the ribs. Ricci lands a head shot and then one to the body, and Hill kicks her in the guts. Ricci shoots for a low double, and Hill defends and latches onto Ricci’s neck. Ricci pulls her head out of danger, and Hill kicks her in the ribs. Even with Hill appearing winded, she still outlands Ricci and draws some blood with her fists. Hill kicks the body and then spins with an elbow that grazes the cheek. Ricci scores a single leg kick, and she follows it with a one-two. Hill throws back, knocking Ricci back with a hard right hand and uppercuts Ricci in the chin for good measure. Hill jumps forward with a knee, and as Ricci rushes at her, Hill knees her twice more. Ricci backs off, and Hill kicks her a few more times until this wild and crazy strawweight scrap comes to a close. It’s anyone’s guess who will get their hand raised after that frenetic 15-minute fracas.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Hill)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Ricci)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill (29-28 Hill)
The Official Result
Tabatha Ricci def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Angela Hill, citing her veteran savvy, length, cardio, and experience. He notes that Hill has found a late-career resurgence at 39 and is a high-IQ striker who can avoid takedowns and exploit rookie mistakes. He mentions that Ricci went 1-for-10 on takedowns in her last fight and was outstruck, but judges favored her pressure. He thinks Hill can steal a decision and recommends the over 2.5 rounds.
Cody picks Ricci because of her youth, athleticism, and superior grappling. He believes she can take Hill down and control the fight, as Hill is not as elusive as other grapplers Ricci has faced. He notes Ricci's path to victory is clear: mix in takedowns and control time. He also mentions that Hill is 39 and may not have the same durability.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tabatha Ricci but is not confident due to inconsistent judging. He notes Ricci's improving volume and jiu-jitsu advantage, while Hill has been on a resurgence. He thinks Ricci might win by split decision or submission, but acknowledges the fight could be a robbery.
Brevin picks Angela Hill, noting she has entered her prime at 39 with sharp striking and improved grappling. He thinks her length and volume will be key. He acknowledges Ricci's grappling advantage but believes Hill can defend takedowns and win on the feet. JP disagrees, picking Ricci by decision, citing Hill's 12-13 UFC record and age. He thinks Ricci's grappling, though not submission-heavy, will be enough, and notes Hill goes to decision often but doesn't win dominantly.
Paul leans towards Hill because of her high volume striking and improved grappling. He thinks Hill can outwork Ricci on the feet and avoid takedowns. He notes the fight is a coin flip but sides with the steam on Hill. He also mentions that Hill's experience and recent submission win show her grappling improvements.
The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill because he thinks she is a much better fighter than Tabatha Ricci. He worries about Ricci holding her down but believes Hill's striking and experience will prevail. He notes Hill's recent win over Denise Gomes and expects a decision victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 54 of 143 | 37% | 94 of 186 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 5:15 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 80 of 219 | 36% | 92 of 231 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 25 of 76 | 32% | 26 of 77 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 42 of 107 | 39% | 47 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 10 of 27 | 37% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 36 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 23 of 65 | 35% | 24 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 54 of 143 | 37% | 32 of 105 | 9 of 19 | 13 of 19 | 48 of 135 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 80 of 219 | 36% | 64 of 194 | 6 of 14 | 10 of 11 | 70 of 193 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 25 of 76 | 32% | 12 of 52 | 5 of 11 | 8 of 13 | 23 of 72 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 42 of 107 | 39% | 32 of 93 | 4 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 94 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 10 of 27 | 37% | 7 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 15 of 47 | 31% | 11 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 13 of 39 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 19 of 40 | 47% | 13 of 31 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tecia Pennington | 23 of 65 | 35% | 21 of 60 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 60 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci because he doubts Tecia Pennington will be the same fighter after having a baby and a two-year layoff. He notes Ricci's relentless takedowns and top pressure, and that she has beaten good grapplers. He acknowledges Pennington's well-rounded skills but thinks the layoff and motherhood are too big a question mark.
Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington (Torres) for the upset, despite acknowledging red flags like her two-year layoff after having a baby. He believes Torres has the better striking and volume, and that even if Ricci takes her down, Torres has a good get-up game and is physically strong. He notes Ricci's path to victory is getting takedowns, but she failed to do so in losses to Fiorot and Lupi. He expects the fight to primarily take place standing, favoring Torres.
Cody picks Pennington but is leaning, not confident. He notes that Pennington (formerly Torres) has a history of high volume and has fought the best, but she is coming off a layoff and a loss. He thinks her volume and takedown defense will be key, and she can outwork Ricci on the feet. However, he acknowledges it's a coin flip and wishes for better plus money.
Daniel Vreeland picks Tabatha Ricci, but hesitantly. He notes that Tecia Pennington is the better fighter on her best day, but she is coming off a pregnancy, which often leads to a drop in performance. He also questions Ricci's level but thinks the pregnancy factor gives Ricci the edge. He acknowledges it could go either way.
The host picks Pennington due to her takedown defense and striking speed, which should keep the fight upright and cause Ricci problems. He notes the long layoff after childbirth as a concern but thinks the stylistic matchup favors her. He would only bet if the line moves to +150, indicating a lean rather than a confident play.
Paul picks Pennington, citing her volume and experience. He notes that Ricci's striking is stiff and she relies on takedowns, but Pennington has good takedown defense. Paul thinks Pennington can outwork Ricci in a competitive decision. However, he is not confident and calls it a coin flip.
The MMA Guru picks Tecia Pennington (formerly Torres) as an underdog over Tabatha Ricci. He criticizes Ricci's standup as 'atrocious' and notes that Ricci only wins when she gets takedowns, which Pennington's wrestling background should prevent. He highlights Pennington's ability to avoid being held down and her superior striking, predicting a clear decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 84 of 224 | 37% | 91 of 232 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 98 of 221 | 44% | 101 of 225 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 22 of 61 | 36% | 24 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 23 of 73 | 31% | 23 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 90 | 34% | 32 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 36 of 72 | 50% | 38 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 35 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 39 of 76 | 51% | 40 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 84 of 224 | 37% | 68 of 197 | 8 of 11 | 8 of 16 | 78 of 218 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 98 of 221 | 44% | 81 of 200 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 85 of 207 | 11 of 12 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 22 of 61 | 36% | 17 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 8 | 20 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 23 of 73 | 31% | 18 of 67 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 69 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 90 | 34% | 24 of 80 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 29 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 36 of 72 | 50% | 29 of 63 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 32 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 31 of 73 | 42% | 27 of 67 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 29 of 71 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 39 of 76 | 51% | 34 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 71 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Godinez, emphasizing her wrestling and size advantage. He criticizes Ricci's striking and takedowns, believing Godinez can defend takedowns and win on the feet. He is not insanely confident but thinks Godinez gets it done.
Big Brady picks Loopy Godinez by decision. He believes Godinez is the better striker with good volume and power, and also the better wrestler with strong takedown defense. He thinks Godinez can dictate where the fight takes place and win striking exchanges even if she doesn't wrestle. He notes Godinez's past fight IQ issues but doesn't think they'll matter here.
Cody picks Godinez, citing her boxing volume, pressure, and improved ring IQ. He notes she has size and strength advantages, and that Ricci's wrestling likely won't be enough. He thinks Godinez wins on volume and pressure, though he's not confident enough to bet heavily.
Godinez's wrestling background should allow her to keep the fight upright where she has the striking advantage. Ricci will need to take it to the ground to have success, but Godinez can control where the fight takes place. The line has moved from -120/-130 to -170, which makes sense, but he would prefer a better line around -130 to bet. Prediction is Godinez by decision.
Paul agrees, noting Godinez's striking advantage and that Ricci's wrestling will be negated. He thinks Godinez will win on volume, though he acknowledges the New York commission can be unpredictable. He sees Godinez as the rightful favorite.
The MMA Guru picks Loopy Godinez, citing her advantage in standup and aggression. He thinks Godinez will force a high pace that Ricci is not comfortable with, and notes that Godinez is tough and throws punches like a man. He predicts a decision win for Godinez.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 100 of 315 | 31% | 101 of 318 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 76 of 219 | 34% | 78 of 225 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 29 of 80 | 36% | 30 of 81 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 12 of 48 | 25% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 31 of 114 | 27% | 31 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 36 of 86 | 41% | 36 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 40 of 121 | 33% | 40 of 122 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 28 of 85 | 32% | 28 of 86 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tabatha Ricci | 100 of 315 | 31% | 59 of 257 | 17 of 25 | 24 of 33 | 95 of 306 | 3 of 7 | 2 of 2 |
| Gillian Robertson | 76 of 219 | 34% | 31 of 150 | 24 of 40 | 21 of 29 | 74 of 212 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tabatha Ricci | 29 of 80 | 36% | 17 of 60 | 2 of 6 | 10 of 14 | 27 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Gillian Robertson | 12 of 48 | 25% | 4 of 34 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tabatha Ricci | 31 of 114 | 27% | 16 of 94 | 8 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 31 of 112 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 36 of 86 | 41% | 14 of 56 | 9 of 12 | 13 of 18 | 35 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tabatha Ricci | 40 of 121 | 33% | 26 of 103 | 7 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 37 of 117 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Gillian Robertson | 28 of 85 | 32% | 13 of 60 | 11 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 27 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her strength, pressure, and superior grappling. He believes Ricci is too strong for Gillian Robertson to take down and will be the better grappler on the ground. He has half a unit on Ricci at -121 and notes the line has yo-yoed. He sees Ricci as the next evolution of the wrestle-boxer style.
Big Brady leans towards Tabatha Ricci, believing she will be the better wrestler and striker. He notes Robertson's poor takedown defense (25%) and tendency to accept being on her back. He thinks Ricci's Judo background and BJJ black belt will allow her to get takedowns and control the fight. He predicts a decision win but acknowledges it could go either way.
Cody picks Robertson, citing her size and strength advantage. He notes her grappling credentials but acknowledges her struggles against good wrestlers. He thinks the plus money is worth it and expects a close fight.
Connor picks Ricci because she is strong, an excellent grappler, and increasingly comfortable on the feet. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Connor also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.
Daniel Levi picks Tabatha Ricci, citing her ability to keep the fight standing or wrestle in reverse. He notes Robertson's submission threat but thinks Ricci's jiu-jitsu and physicality can neutralize it. He believes Ricci has more paths to victory and can survive on the ground if needed.
The host picks Tabatha Ricci to win by decision. He believes Ricci is a superior grappler and wrestler who will get top position and control Robertson. He notes Robertson's tendency to play off her back and thinks Ricci will be too privy to her submission attempts. He expects Ricci to dominate the fight with top control and win a decision.
Paul picks Ricci, citing her striking advantage and top control. He notes her training with Mackenzie Dern and thinks she can avoid Robertson's submissions. He mentions he already bet Ricci at -125.
The Guru picks Gillian Robertson over the majority pick Tabatha Ricci. He believes Robertson's length and reach advantage will allow her to lead the dance, and she does more damage on the ground with ground and pound. He thinks both are grapplers but Robertson's aggression and experience will win her a split decision based on damage.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricci. He notes that Robertson's winning condition is narrow: she must get on top and dominate with submissions or ground and pound. Ricci is difficult to take down and is rapidly improving everywhere, while Robertson had to learn striking and still looks awkward. Zane also points out that Ricci seems to enjoy striking and will look significantly faster than Robertson. He suggests Ricci could even choose to avoid grappling entirely and work on her striking against a slower, more cumbersome opponent.
Fatima Kline - Fight History
AJ picks Fatima Kline, citing her versatility, kickboxing, and size advantage (5 inches taller, 6-inch reach). He notes Kline's high-level grappling and striking, expecting her to outkick Ricci, fend off clinch work, and win by unanimous decision. He sees this as Kline's breakout fight.
AJ picks Kline but criticizes the -450 odds as a 'scam,' believing fair odds are around -200. He expects Kline to win via kickboxing and range advantage, but thinks Ricci will make it competitive with her clinch game. AJ predicts a decision win for Kline.
AJ picks Fatima Kline, praising her striking and grappling. He believes her range kickboxing and size advantage (5'6", 67" reach) will be too much for Tabatha Ricci, who relies on clinch and grappling. He expects Kline to win a decision, possibly with some trips or elbows, and sees her as a future title threat.
AJ picks Fatima Kline by decision, calling her a lock. He notes Kline is good everywhere and Ricci is a huge underdog (+375). He believes Kline will win on the scorecards in a lopsided performance, though a finish is possible. He considers it a poor betting fight for props.
Angelo picks Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her grappling to become a boxer under her boyfriend's influence. He believes Fatima's length, power, and jiu-jitsu will dominate, though he's unsure if she'll get a finish or win a decision.
Angelo is very confident in Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her wrestling to become a boxer after getting a boyfriend. He believes Fatima is better in all areas: striking, wrestling, and grappling, and that Ricci has no chance of taking her down. He thinks Fatima is safe to include in parlays.
Big Brady confidently picks Fatima Kline, calling her the future of the division. He praises her striking and grappling, noting she is good everywhere. He expects Kline to keep it standing and out-strike Ricci, winning by decision.
Big Brady picks Fatima Kline over Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's high ceiling, improved striking, and well-rounded game. He believes Kline's striking volume and speed will be too much for Ricci, and expects Kline to win by decision, possibly in round three. He is very confident, stating he'd be surprised if she lost.
Cody notes Kline's size, reach, and volume advantages over the shorter Ricci. He mentions Kline's only loss is at 125 and she's big and strong for 115. He thinks Kline's pressure, cage control, and striking will outwork Ricci, but the minus 500 price scares him off from betting the moneyline directly.
Connor picks Kline, agreeing that she is a step up for Ricci. He notes that Kline showed excellent timing on reactive takedowns against Angela Hill, and Ricci will give those opportunities. He also points out that Kline is much bigger (5'6" vs 5'1") and has a significant reach advantage. He thinks Ricci is a solid athlete but that Kline's size and grappling will be decisive.
Daniel Levi picks Fatima Kline to dominate Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's physicality, relentlessness, and grappling skills. He believes Ricci has plateaued as a gatekeeper and was exposed in her last fight, while Kline is a special prospect with hunger and potential. He expects Kline to win decisively, possibly bloodying Ricci.
Kline is a big favorite, but the host feels the odds are too wide. Ricci has elite cardio and could wear Kline down with grappling pressure, but she is coming on short notice and is outgunned on the feet. Kline has a training partner with a similar style to Ricci, which helps her preparation. The host passes on betting either fighter, noting that if forced to pick, Ricci is the value side for a small sprinkle.
Lucrative James picks Fatima Kline to win by decision, citing Kline's superior striking, fight IQ, and cardio. He notes that Ricci has experience but is outgunned on the feet and may not be able to consistently take Kline down. He expects Kline to control the fight and win a decision, though a headkick finish is possible.
Kline has superior physicality, power, and grappling, and should be able to out-grind Ricci from top position. Ricci is a BJJ black belt but has struggled against stronger opponents and lacks power in her striking. Kline's chain wrestling and control should lead to a decision win, and she is a solid parlay piece even at heavy chalk.
The host likes Kline, believing she is far superior in all aspects of MMA. Despite Ricci being more technical, Kline's athleticism, strength, and power will be too much, leading to a decision win.
Paul believes Kline wins more often than not due to her size, strength, and physicality. He notes Ricci's struggles against larger opponents and thinks Kline's grappling negates Ricci's BJJ. He is wary of the minus 500 line but thinks Kline's path to victory is clear.
The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline (Clan) over Tabatha Ricci, noting Kline's size, reach, and kickboxing advantage. He doubts Ricci can dominate on the ground and expects Kline to do more damage over three rounds. He mentions Kline's wins over Melissa Dixon and Angela Hill.
Zane picks Kline because she is bigger, longer, and more natural in her movements. He notes that Kline has excellent timing on reactive takedowns, which Ricci will give up when pressuring. He compares Ricci to Tecia Torres, saying she throws a lot but is too small to control fights. He also notes that Kline is a high-output striker who fills space well, and that her only weakness has been putting her game together, which she is improving.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 56 of 120 | 46% | 65 of 137 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 115 of 223 | 51% | 152 of 268 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 9 of 26 | 34% | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 25 of 44 | 56% | 42 of 62 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:01 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 32 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 37 of 82 | 45% | 42 of 90 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 53 of 97 | 54% | 68 of 116 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 56 of 120 | 46% | 34 of 85 | 15 of 27 | 7 of 8 | 44 of 103 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Fatima Kline | 115 of 223 | 51% | 89 of 189 | 23 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 71 of 167 | 15 of 20 | 29 of 36 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 9 of 26 | 34% | 5 of 17 | 1 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Fatima Kline | 25 of 44 | 56% | 20 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 25 | 3 of 6 | 9 of 13 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 28 of 51 | 54% | 17 of 35 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Fatima Kline | 37 of 82 | 45% | 21 of 62 | 16 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 69 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Angela Hill | 19 of 43 | 44% | 12 of 33 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Fatima Kline | 53 of 97 | 54% | 48 of 90 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 23 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kline (-470), Hill (+360)
Round 1
Marc Goddard is the referee. Kline sticks a jab right off the bat. Hill tries to clinch and absorbs a knee and is then simply overpowered, as Kline takes the veteran down near the fence. Kline goes to work in her foe’s full guard. Hill lands an upkick as Kline hovers over her. Hill scrambles up but Kline keeps the pressure on, driving her into the fence. Kline with a nice knee in the clinch. The strawweights battle it out in the clinch, and Kline fires an uppercut on the break. Hill lands an effecitve low kick. Kline with a straight right at range. Kline punches into the clinch, land a knee and then separates. Kline catches Hill with a body kick. A front kick and uppercut lands for Kline, and then she takes Hill down when her foe tries an ill-advised spinning back kick. Kline is in half guard and lands a heavy elbow from above. Hill recovers full guard, but Kline continues to control position. Kline stands and eats an upkick before diving back into side control. Kline looks to set up a kimura late in the period. Kline gives it up and ends on top.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Round 2
Kline immediately lands a front kick. Hill fires off a right hand and applies pressure, but she eats a body kick for her efforts. Now Kline is piecing up Hill with punches, and it’s an accomplishment for “Overkill” to keep her feet after that salvo. Kline shoots from distance and pushes Hill into the fence. Kline lands an elbow on the break. Kline shoots again and shoves Hill into the fence. They move back to range and Kline lands a knee down the middle. Hill with a right hand. Kline crashes into the clinch and it’s Hill who knees the body effectively. Kline backs up Hill with a combination. Hill with a low kick. A high kick partially lands for Kline, who forces the clinch again. The strawweights battle it out in close, with Hill landing a knee before they break. Kline kicks the body. Kline has a combination countered by Hill. A right gets through for Kline and it’s Hill who initiates the clinch. Kline reverses late in the round and lands a couple knees before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kline
Round 3
A right lands for Hill early on. Kline with an outside leg kick. Kline sticks out her jab, but another solid right finds the mark for Hill. A counter right lands for Kline, who follows with another right in short order. The right hand lands again for Kline, who then stops Hill with a front kick down the middle. Hill pressures Kline near the fence, but Kline lands her jab. Kline tags the veteran with a combination. A left hook-right hand combination catches Hill on the way in. Hill forces the clinch with about 2:00 to go. Kline powers her adversary down to the canvas. Kline stacks Hill near the fence and drops a hammerfist. Kline clears the legs and looks to take the back as Hill stands. Hill is able to free herself and they’re at range with less than a minute to go. Kline subsequently powers Hill back to the mat and unloads with a flurry of ground-and-pound. Kline jumps on the back and stays aggressive. Kline falls off the back and the strawweights are tangled up on the canvas. They scramble up and Kline punctuates what should be a victory with a backfist and a head kick.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kline (30-27 Kline)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kline (30-27 Kline)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kline (30-27 Kline)
The Official Result
Fatima Kline def. Angela Hill via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00
Angelo picks Angela Hill despite her age (40), believing she is more technical and durable than Fatima Kline. He criticizes Kline's takedown attempts and notes her wins are over fighters no longer in the UFC. He is hesitant and considers a plus 3.5 round bet but does not place a moneyline bet.
Big Brady picks Fatima Kline, citing her youth (15 years younger) and Angela Hill's recent decline. He notes Hill looked poor in her last four fights and is slowing down at age 40. Brady believes Kline has a big advantage on the ground with vicious ground and pound and a good submission game, though he predicts a decision win. He mentions Kline trains with Erin Blanchfield and expects her to get the fight to the mat.
Cody picks Kline, citing her youth, speed, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Hill is slowing down at 41 and that Kline has good grappling and striking. Cody believes Kline can outstrike Hill or take her down. He mentions that Hill's cardio is fading and that Kline is the logical pick.
Connor also picks Kline, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Hill may be losing a step and that Kline is a very good grappler who can dominate from winning positions. He thinks Kline's youth and versatility give her the edge, but acknowledges Hill is still a tough test.
Daniel sees a clear mismatch, with Hill at 40 years old and on the decline, while Kline is a young, physical, and well-rounded prospect. He expects Kline to dominate and make a statement, similar to how Denise Gomes beat Tecia Torres.
Lucrative James picks Fatima Kline to win, citing her youth, full-time training, and well-rounded skills. He believes Hill is past her prime and struggles from bottom position, while Kline has great striking and grappling. He expects Kline to dominate on the feet and on the ground, possibly winning by decision or late submission.
Kline lands bigger shots against Hill, eventually lands takedowns, and grinds Hill out from top position. She gets her hand raised on the scorecards.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that women's favorites have been hitting at a high rate. He points out that Hill is past her prime and that Kline is younger, faster, and stronger. Paul thinks Kline will win by decision or TKO. He is confident in the pick and mentions that he has been backing favorites successfully.
The Guru picks Fatima Kline, citing her size, range, and finishing ability. He notes that Angela Hill is aging and has been less effective recently, with losses to Tabatha Ricci and Luana Pinheiro. Kline has shown consistent finishing ability and should be able to outmuscle Hill. The Guru predicts a decision win for Kline, possibly with a late finish.
Zane picks Kline, noting that Hill may be losing athleticism and that Kline is younger and more capable everywhere. He acknowledges that Hill is a tough veteran and a great clinch fighter, but thinks Kline's grappling and scrambling could be too much. He calls the odds too wide.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 1 | 92 of 181 | 50% | 95 of 187 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Melissa Martinez | 0 | 44 of 119 | 36% | 52 of 129 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 32 of 64 | 50% | 32 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Melissa Martinez | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 35 of 67 | 52% | 38 of 72 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Melissa Martinez | 0 | 18 of 54 | 33% | 26 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Fatima Kline | 1 | 25 of 50 | 50% | 25 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Melissa Martinez | 0 | 9 of 27 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 92 of 181 | 50% | 57 of 132 | 26 of 35 | 9 of 14 | 75 of 160 | 12 of 14 | 5 of 7 |
| Melissa Martinez | 44 of 119 | 36% | 23 of 89 | 15 of 18 | 6 of 12 | 44 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 32 of 64 | 50% | 19 of 45 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 31 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Martinez | 17 of 38 | 44% | 9 of 25 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 35 of 67 | 52% | 17 of 45 | 14 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 54 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Melissa Martinez | 18 of 54 | 33% | 10 of 43 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 6 | 18 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Fatima Kline | 25 of 50 | 50% | 21 of 42 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Melissa Martinez | 9 of 27 | 33% | 4 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Fatima Kline will get the fight to the ground and avoid Martinez's power strikes. He notes Kline's grappling is dangerous and she has good takedowns, while Martinez's takedown defense is decent but her back is vulnerable. He is confident Kline wins but refuses to bet at -400 odds, calling it insane.
Big Brady is extremely confident in Fatima Kline, calling her one of the best prospects in WMMA. He highlights her striking, grappling background, and dominant ground and pound. He notes that Melissa Martinez was outgrappled by Elise Reed, the worst grappler in the division, and expects Kline to get a takedown and finish. He picks Kline by second-round submission.
Connor agrees, noting that Martinez is a step down from Kline's previous opponents. He thinks Kline's straight punches will work, and she can take Martinez down at will. He sees this as a good opportunity for Kline to get cage time.
The host expects Kline to dominate Martinez using a grapple-heavy approach and finish her within two and a half rounds. Kline is a heavy favorite at -400, indicating strong confidence in her victory. The host emphasizes her grappling advantage as the key to the finish.
The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline, citing her physicality and size advantage (5'6" vs 5'2"). He notes she is a -1200 favorite and expects her to use grappling to secure a submission in the early rounds, referencing her recent first-round submission win over Victoria Dudakova. He believes Melissa Martinez's win over Alice Ardelean was competitive and that Kline will be too physical.
Zane sees Kline as a good prospect with an aggressive all-round game, though her striking is predictable. He thinks Martinez is hyper-frenetic and jittery, and Kline's straight punches and takedowns will work well. He expects Kline to take Martinez down and control the fight easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 42 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 3 | 6:05 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 2:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 25 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:41 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 17 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 3:24 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 of 4 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatima Kline | 15 of 32 | 46% | 13 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 23 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatima Kline | 11 of 16 | 68% | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 8 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Fatima Kline | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Fatima Kline but is highly critical of the -900 odds, calling them 'absurd' for a fighter with only seven professional fights and no UFC wins. He acknowledges Kline's grappling advantage but notes her lack of strength and recent loss where she was taken down. He suggests the better bet might be on Victoria Dudakova via the plus 3.5 round spread, as he believes Dudakova could win a round and cover. He expects the fight to go to decision.
Big Brady is very high on Fatima Kline, calling her the future. He criticizes Dudakova's cardio, striking, and grappling, noting she looked terrible against Sam Hughes and struggled against Jinu Fry. He highlights Kline's well-rounded skills, training with Erin Blanchfield, and her black belt in BJJ. Brady predicts Kline will wear down Dudakova and finish her by third-round submission, as Kline has stated she wants a finish in her strawweight debut.
Cody picks Kline but refuses to bet at -1000, calling the line absurd. He notes Kline's grappling and training with Blanchfield, but warns of Dudakova's physicality and potential for an upset. He advises passing or using Kline in deep parlays only.
Daniel thinks Kline should be favored but questions the -1000 price, calling it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Dudakova has had disappointing performances and a staph infection, but getting a Russian fighter at +625 is rare. He leans Kline but says he'll probably pass unless he sees something at weigh-ins.
Kline returns to her natural strawweight class after being outmuscled at a higher weight on short notice. She should showcase her skills and grind out Dudakova, possibly finding a submission later in the fight.
Paul picks Kline but also refuses to bet at -1000. He notes her well-rounded skills and natural weight class, but warns of women's MMA volatility. He suggests waiting for weigh-ins and possibly taking a small flyer on Dudakova.
The Guru picks Kline despite being surprised by the wide odds (9-1 favorite). He thinks it's a 50-50 fight leaning towards Kline but trusts the oddsmakers know something about Dudakova. He notes 48% of people are picking Dudakova but goes with Kline because of the betting line.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 40 of 89 | 44% | 93 of 165 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 7:48 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 39 of 81 | 48% | 48 of 94 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 29 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 13 of 37 | 35% | 33 of 61 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Fatima Kline | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 23 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 40 of 89 | 44% | 25 of 65 | 9 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 27 of 70 | 4 of 6 | 9 of 13 |
| Fatima Kline | 39 of 81 | 48% | 32 of 73 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 74 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 10 of 23 | 43% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 |
| Fatima Kline | 4 of 12 | 33% | 2 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 17 of 29 | 58% | 9 of 18 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 22 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Fatima Kline | 16 of 31 | 51% | 13 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 13 of 37 | 35% | 9 of 30 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Fatima Kline | 19 of 38 | 50% | 17 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Kline (-122), Jasudavicius (+102)
Round 1
Originally expecting to face Viviane Araujo, powerful Canadian Jasudavicius (10-3, 4-2 UFC) will now meet the debuting Kline (6-0, 0-0 UFC). The unbeaten Kline, who held titles at two divisions in Cage Fury FC, steps up on extremely short notice as she previously planned on appearing on the Contender Series this season. Keeping tabs on the flyweights will be referee Joel Ojeda, and there is no glove touch to commence the matchup. Kline moves in and out to get going, changing stances frequently and ultimately landing with a leg kick for the first strike of the match. Jasudavicius answers a second low kick with a right hand counter, and she brings her leg up to check another kick. When Kline reaches her, Jasudavicius counters with a sharp left that knocks Kline back. Jasudavicius nearly sweeps the leg with a low calf kick, and she parries a jab coming back her way. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick that slams into the raised guard of her foe, and Kline pays it no mind and does not appear to hear the “USA” chants in support of her ringing through the cage. Kline crashes forward, walking through a low kick and tackles the Canadian to the mat as they possibly clash heads. Jasudavicius uses butterfly guard in hopes of a sweep, and she prevents Kline from getting on top. Kline tries to leap over her to get a better position, but Jasudavicius fights it off and turns the corner to lift the newcomer up and muscle her to the floor. Kline crawls to the corner of the cage wall, and Jasudavicius rains down right hands and an elbow that slams into the back of the head. Jasudavicius is warned for the illegal blow, and she stays heavy on top with one hook in and hunts for a rear-naked choke that results in a face crank. Kline pulls the arm away, and Jasudavicius hangs on from behind to trap Kline’s left arm from defending herself. Jasudavicius keeps working from on top until Kline lowers herself to her back, in part due to “The Archangel” fighting out of a rear-naked choke setup. Jasudavicius gets away with a knee that bumps into Kline’s face, and she unleashes some serious ground-and-pound including at least one more shot to the back of the head. Kline shifts and turns to stay active, and Jasudavicius mauls her until the bell ends the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 2
The women zoom out of their corners and pass one another, and Kline strikes first with a front kick. Jasudavicius replies with a low kick, and Kline splits the guard with a left hand. Jasudavicius fires off a head kick and backpedals to avoid two leaping punches coming her way. Kline beats Jasudavicius to the punch with a one-two, and she does this a second time as the Canadian staggers for a second and gathers her thoughts. The crowd is lathered up by the striking exchanges, and Jasudavicius reaches her foe with a right hand to calm them. Jasudavicius sneaks a right hand over the guard, and she shrugs off a body kick and resets. Jasudavicius takes a right hand and gives one back, and she snaps out a jab and pushes off with the ball of her foot. The two fight in a phone booth, and Kline gets her with an uppercut before breaking. Jasudavicius steps in with an elbow and backs away when a one-two finds the mark, and she paws out a left hook when Kline comes at her. Jasudavicius targets the body, and Kline retreats and tries to set up a trap to release an elbow while jumping. Jasudavicius ties her opponent up, and Kline circles around and hops on to take the back for a split second. Jasudavicius starts blasting the body with knees after turning Kline back around, and Kline’s body language changes and she is dragged down to a knee from the Canadian. Jasudavicius imposes her weight and puts Kline down, briefly flattening her out and hanging on in dominant position while blasting the unbeaten woman with elbows and punches. As Jasudavicius rides, she has one hook in and loops left hands behind and on the ear. Ojeda warns the Niagara Top Team fighter for another strike to the back of the head, and Kline turns around and ends up giving up her back. Jasudavicius welcomes this and hooks up the body triangle almost immediately, and she begins softening Kline up with body shots. Jasudavicius searches for a choke as Kline hand-fights effectively, and she occasionally gets off strikes as Kline twists and turns. Kline goes to her knees, and Jasudavicius flips around to snatch up an armbar. Kline bucks her off and smacks her with three hammerfists before the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 3
Jasudavicius appears the fresher of the two as she jogs out of her corner to begin the last round, while Kline takes to the center of the cage and prods out a front kick. Jasudavicius jabs her back to the belly, and this fires Kline up. Kline lashes out with two mighty one-twos, stumbling the Canadian, but Jasudavicius rises and lets her have it with retaliatory blows. The two women go punch-for-punch and kick-for-kick, and Kline’s handiwork excites the fans enough to cheer for her again. Jasudavicius lets Kline bounce fists off her guard so she can loop strikes back, and Kline still manages to reach her with a few blows. Jasudavicius stays behind a jab and stings her foe with an uppercut, and they clash heads as they come together. Jasudavicius scores a right hand and a left, and when Kline backs off, Jasudavicius steps forward with an elbow. They tie up, and Kline tries to throw the Canadian to the floor but gives her back up standing. Jasudavicius wrenches Kline to the floor, and she lands on top and jacks Kline in the jaw with an elbow. Jasudavicius moves herself to half guard and quickly is able to assume full mount, but Kline’s scrambling ability allows her to stand up. This victory is short-lived, as Jasudavicius slings her back down to the floor like a sack of potatoes. Jasudavicius lands and immediately presses down heavily to trap Kline from bucking, and she smothers the newcomer and lands occasional body shots. Kline tugs her toes off the fencing to try to improve her position, and Ojeda tells her to knock it off. Kline closes her guard, and Jasudavicius does not mind as she continues to work Kline over with ground strikes. Kline turns her back, and Jasudavicius sells out for a rear-naked choke. Kline backwards somersaults, and Jasudavicius lets her do this so she can fasten the choke under the chin. Time expires before the submission lands, but Jasudavicius drills her with one thudding elbow after the fight ends. There is no ill will for the strike landing at 15:01, and they hug it out to conclude the flyweight pairing.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Fatima Kline via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius despite Fatima Kline's line movement from underdog to favorite. He believes Jasmine's superior wrestling, full fight camp, size advantage, and elevation experience will be key. He notes that Fatima is dangerous and a bad stylistic matchup as she also wants to wrestle, but Jasmine's offensive wrestling and pressure should prevail. Angelo is monitoring the line and may bet on Jasmine if the odds become favorable, possibly using a plus 3.5 round handicap.
Cody picks Kline, citing her superior grappling and back-taking ability. He believes she can take Jasudavicius down and control the fight on the ground. He notes Jasudavicius's brawling style and thinks Kline's jiu-jitsu will be the difference.
Daniel Vreeland picks Fatima Kline to win her debut. He was initially skeptical but after watching tape, he believes Kline is a legitimate prospect with well-rounded skills. He notes her high-level training with Aaron Blanchfield and thinks she is technically superior to Jasudavicius. He acknowledges the short notice and altitude but is impressed by her tape.
Fatima Kline is taking this fight on short notice but is a complete enough fighter to handle Jasudavicius' grappling-heavy approach. Kline has a slight striking advantage and will showcase she deserves to be at this level, winning by decision.
Paul picks Jasudavicius, citing her full camp and altitude preparation. He notes Kline's short notice and weight class jump, and believes Jasudavicius's experience and volume will be key. He expects a decision win for Jasudavicius.
Expert Picks (18)
AJ picks Fatima Kline by decision, calling her a lock. He notes Kline is good everywhere and Ricci is a huge underdog (+375). He believes Kline will win on the scorecards in a lopsided performance, though a finish is possible. He considers it a poor betting fight for props.
AJ picks Kline but criticizes the -450 odds as a 'scam,' believing fair odds are around -200. He expects Kline to win via kickboxing and range advantage, but thinks Ricci will make it competitive with her clinch game. AJ predicts a decision win for Kline.
AJ picks Fatima Kline, citing her versatility, kickboxing, and size advantage (5 inches taller, 6-inch reach). He notes Kline's high-level grappling and striking, expecting her to outkick Ricci, fend off clinch work, and win by unanimous decision. He sees this as Kline's breakout fight.
AJ picks Fatima Kline, praising her striking and grappling. He believes her range kickboxing and size advantage (5'6", 67" reach) will be too much for Tabatha Ricci, who relies on clinch and grappling. He expects Kline to win a decision, possibly with some trips or elbows, and sees her as a future title threat.
Angelo picks Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her grappling to become a boxer under her boyfriend's influence. He believes Fatima's length, power, and jiu-jitsu will dominate, though he's unsure if she'll get a finish or win a decision.
Angelo is very confident in Fatima Kline, criticizing Tabatha Ricci for abandoning her wrestling to become a boxer after getting a boyfriend. He believes Fatima is better in all areas: striking, wrestling, and grappling, and that Ricci has no chance of taking her down. He thinks Fatima is safe to include in parlays.
Big Brady picks Fatima Kline over Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's high ceiling, improved striking, and well-rounded game. He believes Kline's striking volume and speed will be too much for Ricci, and expects Kline to win by decision, possibly in round three. He is very confident, stating he'd be surprised if she lost.
Big Brady confidently picks Fatima Kline, calling her the future of the division. He praises her striking and grappling, noting she is good everywhere. He expects Kline to keep it standing and out-strike Ricci, winning by decision.
Cody notes Kline's size, reach, and volume advantages over the shorter Ricci. He mentions Kline's only loss is at 125 and she's big and strong for 115. He thinks Kline's pressure, cage control, and striking will outwork Ricci, but the minus 500 price scares him off from betting the moneyline directly.
Connor picks Kline, agreeing that she is a step up for Ricci. He notes that Kline showed excellent timing on reactive takedowns against Angela Hill, and Ricci will give those opportunities. He also points out that Kline is much bigger (5'6" vs 5'1") and has a significant reach advantage. He thinks Ricci is a solid athlete but that Kline's size and grappling will be decisive.
Daniel Levi picks Fatima Kline to dominate Tabatha Ricci, citing Kline's physicality, relentlessness, and grappling skills. He believes Ricci has plateaued as a gatekeeper and was exposed in her last fight, while Kline is a special prospect with hunger and potential. He expects Kline to win decisively, possibly bloodying Ricci.
Kline is a big favorite, but the host feels the odds are too wide. Ricci has elite cardio and could wear Kline down with grappling pressure, but she is coming on short notice and is outgunned on the feet. Kline has a training partner with a similar style to Ricci, which helps her preparation. The host passes on betting either fighter, noting that if forced to pick, Ricci is the value side for a small sprinkle.
Lucrative James picks Fatima Kline to win by decision, citing Kline's superior striking, fight IQ, and cardio. He notes that Ricci has experience but is outgunned on the feet and may not be able to consistently take Kline down. He expects Kline to control the fight and win a decision, though a headkick finish is possible.
The host likes Kline, believing she is far superior in all aspects of MMA. Despite Ricci being more technical, Kline's athleticism, strength, and power will be too much, leading to a decision win.
Kline has superior physicality, power, and grappling, and should be able to out-grind Ricci from top position. Ricci is a BJJ black belt but has struggled against stronger opponents and lacks power in her striking. Kline's chain wrestling and control should lead to a decision win, and she is a solid parlay piece even at heavy chalk.
Paul believes Kline wins more often than not due to her size, strength, and physicality. He notes Ricci's struggles against larger opponents and thinks Kline's grappling negates Ricci's BJJ. He is wary of the minus 500 line but thinks Kline's path to victory is clear.
The MMA Guru picks Fatima Kline (Clan) over Tabatha Ricci, noting Kline's size, reach, and kickboxing advantage. He doubts Ricci can dominate on the ground and expects Kline to do more damage over three rounds. He mentions Kline's wins over Melissa Dixon and Angela Hill.
Zane picks Kline because she is bigger, longer, and more natural in her movements. He notes that Kline has excellent timing on reactive takedowns, which Ricci will give up when pressuring. He compares Ricci to Tecia Torres, saying she throws a lot but is too small to control fights. He also notes that Kline is a high-output striker who fills space well, and that her only weakness has been putting her game together, which she is improving.
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