vs
-323 +309
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Jul 18, 2026 · Lightweight · Scheduled
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 5' 11"
Reach 71"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Chase Hooper
4.5 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.02 SApM
39.0% Str. Def.
2.43 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
2.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mitch Ramirez
3.51 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.98 SApM
37.0% Str. Def.
0.59 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Chase Hooper
Moneyline
Betfair Exchange -323
KO/TKO
BetRivers +390
Submission
FanDuel +160
Decision
Cloudbet 4.97
Mitch Ramirez
Moneyline
BetUS +309
KO/TKO
Cloudbet 6.67
Submission
Cloudbet 32.75
Decision
BetRivers +1000
Chase Hooper - Fight History
SCHED vs Mitch Ramirez
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

Hooper by sub +160; Ramirez KO round 1 +1100 (hedge); Hooper by sub in parlay
"Chase Hooper by sub at plus 160... Hooper's clear pathway and Ramirez's clear pathway. And you can play both sides of it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.

Hooper by submission (+160), under 2.5 rounds (-200), Ramirez by KO (+525) as hedge
"I'm pick flipping to Chase Hooper. I'll go Hooper by sub."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mitch Ramirez

AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.

Ramirez by KO, over 1.5 rounds (-140)
"I think I got to just pick Mitch Ramirez and ride. Like, yes. Could Chase Hooper get to his back and strangle him? Of course."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.

Hooper by submission +150, Ramirez by KO round 1 +1000
"I am THE LAST CHASE HOOPER FAN STANDING... Chase Hooper should be able to outgrapple him pretty handily here."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.

"Chase Hooper should absolutely win this fight. But before we go betting on a dude that's coming off two knockouts in a row, let's just get him a win under his belt."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.

"I think Chase Hooper wins this fight. I'll throw Chase Hooper in my lineup."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Hooper. ... Hooper by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.

Chase Hooper by submission
"I have been circling around Chase Hooper by submission this week, but minus 350. I mean, two years ago they make this match up. Chase Hooper's minus a thousand."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.

"Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage. And, uh, just not a natural fighter. And easy to get out ahead of in exchanges, which should make it easy for Hooper to jump into really advantageous position."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.

betting advice: dog or pass situation
"I'm going Chase Hooper all day. But uh I think I think from a betting perspective, this is a dog or pass situation."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.

"There's no way that I would bet Hooper at an implied probability of 75%. These odds are way too steep."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.

"I'll pick Chase Super in this fight. I'll pick him via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.

Hooper by submission at +200, under 2.5 rounds if better than -150, Ramirez round 1 KO at +900
"I think Hooper wins. I think Hooper finds his way to get to the back of Ramirez. I think he eventually suffocates and submits Ramirez with the rear naked choke."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.

Ramirez round one KO at plus 900 hedge
"I believe Hooper should be able to find his way to the back of Ramirez and eventually find a submission, but it's hard to trust him at chalk, especially considering how he's been looking in his last two fights. Ramirez …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.

"It's got to be Hooper for me. I I can't click Mitch Ramirez this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.

submission win, late first round
"I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though... I think we're looking at a late first round submission for Chase Hooper."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.

Odds: Hooper -350 favorite, Ramirez +285 underdog.
"Chase Hooper is just going to be some insane, like nonsensical clench tie up that leads to a standing backtake rolling for a leg lock. Ramirez is not going to be up to speed with all that stuff."
LOSS vs Lance Gibson
KO R1 2:56 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is not confident, noting that Hooper relies on experience and BJJ, and that he hasn't beaten anyone under 40 in years. He thinks Lance Gibson could win if he wrestles and stays safe. Angelo criticizes the odds, saying Hooper should not be a 3-to-1 favorite.

"I'm going to pick Chase here because I do believe that experience at this level matters almost as much as the actual skills."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Hooper's striking deficiencies and recent knockout losses, but believes Hooper's ground game is elite. He notes Hooper has improved his wrestling, taking down Jim Miller eight times and Clay Guida three times. He thinks once Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate with ground and pound and submissions.

Hooper by submission round 2
"Give me Chase Hooper here. I think he gets the fight down to the ground and he starts to style on Lance Gibson Jr."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody believes Hooper's grappling and improving striking will be too much for Gibson, who he views as a Bellator-level fighter. He expects Hooper to win via submission or decision.

"It's going to be a Chase Hooper play."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper as well, agreeing that Hooper's grappling is dynamite and he is a violent grappler. He thinks Gibson's mentality is not suited for fighting and that Hooper will take advantage.

"I'll take Hooper as well."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper's experience and grappling will be too much for Gibson, who he views as not UFC caliber. He expects Hooper to submit Gibson, noting Gibson lacks knockout power to threaten Hooper.

"I'm going to pick Hooper to come out here and submit this guy."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host believes Hooper is very likely to win due to his improved wrestling and ground game, but the odds (-318) are too steep to bet. Gibson is a volume striker without knockout power, so Hooper should eventually get a takedown and finish. However, there is not enough known about Gibson to bet the underdog, making this an easy pass.

"Hooper's probably going to get the job done. I'm not going to be betting this one. Hooper's too big of a favorite for me to take a shot on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host likes Hooper's submission game but is wary of the minus 240 line, as he thinks Hooper may struggle to get the fight to the ground against Gibson's athleticism. He suggests Hooper needs to be reckless with striking to create openings for grappling. He predicts Hooper will eventually find a submission but acknowledges the risk.

submission
"I am going to go Hooper. I think it's just a matter of time before he finds a way to get this into the grappling realm. And I think from there he eventually pulls off a submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees, noting Hooper's length and grappling advantage. He's not impressed by Gibson's UFC debut and expects Hooper to handle him.

"Chase Hooper for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, citing his recent grappling improvements and wins over Jim Miller and Jordan Leavitt. He believes Hooper's grappling will be too much for Lance Gibson Jr., who he considers a name merchant. He expects Hooper to survive early danger and eventually submit or outgrapple Gibson for a decision.

"I'm going to go with Chase Hooper getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Hooper knows how to be aggressive and go after submissions, while Gibson seems to avoid fighting. He notes that Gibson's wins are against cans and he shuts down when faced with skill parity.

"Hooper knows how to try to win. He knows how to go after people, be aggressive."
KO R1 4:58 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alexander Hernandez vs. Chase Hooper
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-345), Hernandez (+275)

Round 1
Getting away from the prelims to the four-bout chunk on the ESPN network, we start with a lightweight clash that pits a young-up-and-comer against someone who used to hold that status before aging out of it. Hooper (16-3-1, 8-3 UFC) is full of things and vinegar at the age of 25 on a five-fight win streak—one shy of a career long. His opponent Hernandez (16-8, 8-7 UFC) has won lately to edge himself above the .500 UFC record line, although a defeat tonight would even him out again. The two men have referee Jason Herzog to thank for how the officiating will play out in the next 15 minutes or fewer, and they opt to bump fists.
Hooper starts off with long front kicks from either limb to the body. The kicks set up one up high, and he chains a spinning back fist into it. Hernandez steps in to kick the body, and Hooper nearly reaches him on the way out with his far longer limbs. Hernandez tries to close the distance again, and Hooper uses his front kick to frustrate his foe. Hernandez manages to get in to score a pair of punches, only to have to back off and wait for Hooper to throw a naked kick to counter with an overhand left. Hernandez sticks out a straight right hand, and Hooper whizzes past him with a combination.
Hernandez sits down on two counterpunches when Hooper kicks at the ribs, and he hurls a big left hand as Hooper shoots in for a single-leg entry. Hernandez breaks out of it and circles away, blocking a chasing strike or two including a spinning back fist. Hooper plants two punches on the jaw, and Hernandez reaches him at the end of a left. Hooper’s front kick is mixed in, and he shoots in low for a takedown and lands on his own face. Hernandez scoots away and lets Hooper back up, and he measures the longer fighter with looping punches out of range. Hernandez connects on a few punches and evades a long right hand, while parrying two subsequent strikes. “The Great Ape” hits with a left, and Hooper partially rolls with it and replies with doubled left hooks.
Hernandez keeps moving from side to side, and he lances a fierce right hand down the middle to separate Hooper from his senses. Hooper collapses to his knees and tries for a desperate takedown to save himself, and Hernandez pounds on him from both sides of the head with seconds to go in the round. As Hooper takes damage, Herzog waves the fight off
, as he does not feel that Hooper should have a few more seconds to ride out the round and recover. Hooper is crestfallen but nods in understanding when informed exactly what happened, while the victorious Hernandez raises his arms and parades around the cage to celebrate.

The Official Result
Alexander Hernandez def. Chase Hooper R1 4:58 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo notes Hooper has filled out physically, improved his takedowns, and is undefeated at 155. He thinks Hernandez is inconsistent and undersized, and that Hooper's height and BJJ advantage could be key. However, he acknowledges Hernandez's takedown defense and toughness, making this a close fight. He slightly leans Hooper but is not confident.

Considering betting Hernandez to win a round (+3.5) at plus money
"I'm going to slight lean Chase. Chase is going to be the pick, but like by this much."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round TKO. He notes Hernandez struggles with high pace and has been broken in many fights. Hooper is massive, pushes a pace, and will drain Hernandez's gas tank. He thinks Hooper will chain takedowns and submission attempts, finishing Hernandez in the second or third round. He acknowledges Hernandez could hurt Hooper early, but if Hooper gets rolling, it's a bad matchup for Hernandez.

Hooper by TKO, round 2
"I think Chase Suber is going to get it done. So, give me Chase to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hooper. He notes that Hernandez is a solid wrestler but crumbles under pressure, and that Hooper's aggressive style and confidence will cause Hernandez to fold. He references the Damon Jackson fight as a blueprint for how to beat Hernandez with pressure. He also notes that Hooper's grappling is creative and can create submissions from any position.

"I think I agree. There's also the fact that Chase Hooper is the kind of grappler who doesn't even necessarily need to complete a takedown. To teleport to his opponent's back or drop for a leg lock or whatever creates …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host notes Hooper's recent improvements and chaotic striking approach. He expects Hooper to wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission, likely in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"Given his recent improvements and his chaotic striking approach, I think he can wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission probably in the second or third round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

The Guru leans towards Alexander Hernandez, though he expresses some hesitation. He believes Hernandez's explosiveness and body shots will be effective against Chase Hooper. The Guru notes that Hooper's grappling is improved but he lacks damaging ground and pound and often wins by submission threat rather than actual submissions. He worries about Hernandez's close fight with Austin Hubbard but thinks Hernandez will have more moments in the scrambles and on the feet.

"I'm going to lean towards Alexander Hernandez here for some reason. I don't know why I'm feeling it, but I think Alexander Hernandez is going to show up and have a, you know, I beat Benil Darush, by the way, …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, citing Hernandez's tendency to collapse under pressure. He compares Hernandez's fight with Damon Jackson, where Jackson's pressure led to Hernandez crumbling. He notes that Hooper is pathologically aggressive and will put pressure on Hernandez, and that Hooper's grappling is dynamic enough to create submissions even without completing takedowns. He acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out but believes Hernandez lacks the dog mentality to capitalize.

Hernandez opened +200, now +260; Hooper opened -145, now -310. Zane notes the line is getting wide on Hooper.
"I got, I got to pick Hooper. Yeah. I think you have swayed me. I mean, look, it is a fight where Hooper could get fucking knocked out. Oh yeah. Yeah, absolutely. Like he is. I mean, Hernandez is a …"
WIN vs Jim Miller
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 0 13 of 35 37% 22 of 45 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 21 of 44 47% 59 of 94 8 of 14 57% 1 0 10:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 10 of 16 62% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 10 of 21 47% 24 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:57
2 Jim Miller 0 1 of 12 8% 2 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 11 45% 10 of 19 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:04
3 Jim Miller 0 2 of 7 28% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 6 of 12 50% 25 of 34 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 13 of 35 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 28 1 of 2 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 21 of 44 47% 13 of 34 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 41 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 10 of 16 62% 10 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 10 of 21 47% 4 of 13 5 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jim Miller 1 of 12 8% 0 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Jim Miller 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jim Miller
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-800), Miller (+550)

Round 1
While it is understandable, it is still unfortunate that announcer Bruce Buffer declined to shout out Miller’s (38-18, 1 NC; 27-17, 1 NC UFC) preferred nickname that was certainly not “A-10.” We get what we get, so “Expletive Deleted” will have to hold serve for now. The grizzled veteran, one whose name is all over the leaderboards including the most fights (soon to be 46) and the most victories (27 for now), will throw down with a man 16 years his junior. In a contest of old man strength vs. youthful exuberance, Hooper (15-3-1, 7-3 UFC) will represent the latter and will close as an astronomical betting favorite north of -800. Things like 41 and -800 are just numbers to Miller, who will meet Hooper in the center of the cage while referee Kerry Hatley watches on. They do not touch gloves. When Miller plods forward, Hooper backs away and uses his kicks to keep his preferred distance. Hooper suddenly attacks with a swarm of punches, and Miller sits in the pocket and fires back at him. Hooper gets the better of an exchange, and he slides back and clips Miller with a solid right hand. Miller is unfazed and cracks his foe with a left hook, and Hooper punches and shoots low for a single. Miller drops to a knee to defend it, and he wraps up a guillotine choke that forces Hooper to stand. Hooper drops to the floor to roll out of it, and Miller lowers himself down and blasts the youngster in the face with a standing-to-ground left hand. Hooper hunts for a triangle choke, and Miller punches his way out of it and reassumes top position in the guard. “A-10” stacks Hooper up to prevent Hooper from going after anything, and Miller latches on with a guillotine and jumps guard to secure it. Hooper calmly works his neck out of harm’s way, and he finds himself in top. Miller turns over and gives up his back, and Hooper is quick to start hunting for a standing rear-naked choke. Miller leans against the cage to take some of the weight off, and he tries to scrape “The Dream” off of him using the chain links. Hooper has the body triangle wrapped around the waist to remain on Miller’s back, and he hacks at Miller with an elbow. Hooper attempts a neck crank, and Miller bucks and twists to get Hooper off of his back. Hooper hits his back and instantly attacks an armbar, and Miller punches his way out of that and a subsequent triangle setup. Miller nails his man with a big left hand, and he pushes out of a quick triangle that materializes out of nowhere. Miller stands up, and Hooper follows him and pushes out a front kick. One more front kick from Hooper results in him getting caught with an overhand right, and the horn sounds to end the dramatic round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 2
Miller starts out the round ready to get in the pocket and exchange, and he scores a solid left hand to back Hooper off. When Hooper presses him, Miller tags him with another left. The youngster chains a front kick into a spinning back fist, and Miller defends against them and allows Hooper to take him down so he can grip hold of a two-on-one wrist lock. Hooper elbows him in the side while Miller clings to the limb, using it to work back to his feet. Hooper takes his back standing and wrenches him to the ground, where he flirts with a rear-naked choke to further control his foe. Miller works his way back to his feet and leans himself on the wire, and Hooper softens him up and is pulled off of Miller’s back, but he sells out for a takedown and lands in side control. After Hooper gets off some strikes, Miller fights to his feet, and he considers a guillotine when Hooper pursues a mat return. Miller lets it go and stands up, and Hooper kicks off the fencing and tosses Miller to his back. Hooper controls Miller from the side and then back, and the two scramble and roll to find themselves in an awkward situation. Hoop looks to lace Miller’s legs and spread them apart for a banana split, and he tugs on Miller’s foot to further hold on tight. Miller survives this and makes it to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 3
Hooper wants to take the fight down to begin the final round, with Miller wearing it after 10 minutes of combat. The control of Hooper starts to take over, as he latches on the elder statesman’s back and wrangles him to the floor. Hooper again pursues a leglock from a strange angle, and Miller’s knee is trapped in a precarious predicament. They remain stuck in a 50-50 of sorts, with a possible twister or other unorthodox submission coming together. Miller on his back, has his legs caught between Hooper’s, and his torso is about to turn the wrong direction until Hooper decides to abandon it and take top position. Hooper clings to the top position like Saran wrap, nullifying Miller and causing the audience to start booing. Hooper resides in half guard, smothering and hanging tight until posturing up with a few elbows to the side. Hooper sits up with seconds to go, and the fight that started with a roar ends with a whimper.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (29-28 Hooper)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jim Miller via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jim Miller

Connor picks Jim Miller, citing his well-rounded game and lack of fear of grapplers. He believes Miller's experience and ability to find one good shot will be key, and that Hooper's messy striking will leave him vulnerable. Connor notes that Miller has knocked out bad strikers before and that Hooper's game may fall apart if his early submission attempts fail.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I'm gonna take the OG in a matchup like this."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi notes that Chase Hooper handled a legend, securing eight takedowns and doing what he was supposed to do. He suggests moving Hooper up and even proposes a fight against Michael Chandler. He respects Jim Miller as a legend but acknowledges the loss.

"Chase Hooper went out there, handled a legend, you know, eight takedowns. Uh he didn't he didn't get to sub him, but you know, he went out there, did what he was supposed to do."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Chase Hooper, believing his scrambling and kinetic grappling will overwhelm the 41-year-old Jim Miller. He thinks Hooper's youth and submission hunting will lead to a finish, possibly early. Zane acknowledges Miller's power and experience but feels Hooper's style is too dynamic for Miller to keep up with.

Hooper opened at -674, now -832; Miller opened at +415, now +556. Zane calls the odds 'extreme' and says they should not be that wide.
"I think I'm going to pick Chase Hooper. ... Hooper's like a young Joe Lozon away."
WIN vs Clay Guida
Submission (armbar) R1 3:41 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, arguing that Clay Guida is 42 years old and past his prime, while Hooper's grappling and evolving striking will be too much. He mentions Hooper already submitted Guida in their first fight with a calf slicer. Angelo dismisses the idea that Hooper can't win a kickboxing match, stating Guida is too old and worn down. He is confident Hooper will win again.

"Chase Hooper absolutely smokes here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper, citing his youth, jiu-jitsu, and improvement. He notes Guida's age and submission losses. He expects Hooper to win inside the distance, likely by submission.

Hooper inside the distance
"Chase Hooper inside the distance... whether it be submission or TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor is very confident in Hooper, stating that Guida can no longer wrestle or strike effectively. He notes that Hooper is much larger with long arms, and that if Guida tries to wrestle, Hooper will submit him. Connor points out that Guida's style has been ineffective for years and that Hooper's modern technique will be too much.

"This is just a layup for chase. Hooper. Yeah, it should be right really should be."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper has matured and can beat Guida anywhere. He references their previous grappling match where Hooper submitted Guida. He expects Hooper to finish Guida, possibly by submission.

by submission
"I think he's going to come out here and finish Klay Guida."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper should absolutely smash Clay Guida, who is notorious for coming up short against submission specialists early, just as Charles Oliveira and Jim Miller were able to do. I expect Hooper to submit Guida within the first five minutes.

submission within first round
"I expect Hooper to submit quido within the first five minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, emphasizing his grappling and physical advantages. He notes Guida's age and lack of offense. He expects Hooper to submit Guida, but suggests inside the distance is safer.

Hooper by submission (small bet)
"Chase Hooper by submission is somewhat playable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, noting Guida's age (42) and tendency to make grappling mistakes that lead to submissions. He thinks Hooper's reach, youth, and improved striking will allow him to dominate. He sees Hooper latching up a guillotine or getting dominant position. He does not see Guida having the power to knock Hooper out.

Chase Hooper wins by submission (guillotine)
"I'm going with Chase Hooper um getting this one done against Klay Guida"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane agrees, confidently picking Hooper. He notes that Guida is ancient and cannot wrestle or strike anymore, while Hooper is a young, skilled grappler with a size advantage. Zane believes Hooper will either outstrike Guida or submit him if Guida tries to wrestle.

"Jay super is gonna beat him using modern technology."
Submission (brabo choke) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 1 62 of 109 56% 129 of 217 1 of 1 100% 2 0 6:03
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 1 32 of 62 51% 76 of 123 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:10
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Hooper 0 30 of 47 63% 53 of 94 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 62 of 109 56% 58 of 104 4 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 23 0 of 0 58 of 86
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 32 of 62 51% 28 of 57 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 18 0 of 0 29 of 44
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Hooper 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 42
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev because of his striking advantage and Chase Hooper's poor takedown offense (22% accuracy). He notes Borshchev has a professional kickboxing background and can defend takedowns well enough. He acknowledges Hooper's dangerous BJJ but believes Borshchev can keep the fight standing and land punishment.

"Vice should be able to defend the takedowns Dole out some punishment viav is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Slava Borshchev to win by first-round knockout, but admits it's a tough call and he could look stupid. He notes that on the feet, Borshchev has a huge advantage, as Hooper has been knocked down repeatedly by strikers like Steve Garcia. However, if Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate. Borshchev has poor takedown defense (36%), but Hooper's wrestling may not be as good as previous opponents. He hopes Borshchev stuffs takedowns and makes it look easy.

"I'm going to take Slava to win this fight by first round knockout um hopefully stuff the takedowns and if he does I think he makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper as a confident underdog, noting that Borshchev has terrible takedown defense (35% in UFC) and has been taken down 24 times in 6 fights. Hooper, despite his own takedown accuracy issues, should be able to take Borshchev down and dominate on the ground with his elite BJJ. Cody believes Hooper's cardio and tenacity will allow him to survive early striking exchanges and find takedowns later. He already bet Hooper at plus 140.

Bet at +140
"I think Chase gets the dub I'll take Chase as the dog I actually already bet him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Vreeland picks Chase Hooper, noting that Borshchev has poor takedown defense, especially when tired. He believes Hooper can weather the early storm and drag Borshchev to the ground for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission. He mentions that Hooper has moved up to 155 and is growing into his body.

by submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"If Hooper can weather this storm and not get knocked the [ __ ] out he can drag this guy down and either ground and pound TKO or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host leans Borshchev due to his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He expects Borshchev to land big shots as Hooper recklessly closes distance, and hopes his submission defense holds up on the mat. He acknowledges Hooper's grappling danger but thinks Borshchev can survive and find a knockout. The pick is a lean, as he understands the underdog appeal.

"I'll lean borchev um but a very dangerous fight on both sides"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, echoing Cody's reasoning. He emphasizes that Borshchev's takedown defense is abysmal and that Hooper, despite his own flaws, has the grappling to exploit it. Paul notes that Hooper has shown heart and improvement at 155, and his BJJ is elite. He expects Hooper to get the fight to the ground and submit or control Borshchev. Paul calls it a 'dog pick' and is confident Hooper can win.

"I got a dog I was hoping that this was going to be our shoy bet of the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev over Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's improvement. He believes the striking gap is too large and that Borshchev's leg kicks and body shots will be effective. He notes that Hooper lacks the strength to power through takedowns against Borshchev, who has good takedown defense. He predicts a body shot TKO finish.

left hook to the body, liver shot TKO
"I'm going to go with vishav borchev over Chase Hooper... I think he's going to chop that leg kick... and probably finish people with a body shot."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:58 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-230), Leavitt (+190)

Round 1
Styles make fights, and these two lightweights appear to have the same one. These two grapplers may treat fans with fun exchanges, or they could nullify the other and result in a kickboxing match. Hooper (12-3-1, 4-3 UFC) and Leavitt (11-2, 4-2 UFC) are ready to go wherever is needed over the next three rounds, as is referee Mike Beltran. Two of the more convivial fighters on the roster share a light-hearted clap of hands, and then prepare to hurt each other. Hooper rushes out hoping to strike, and Leavitt hunts for a takedown. Hooper turns him over and fights off a single attempt from Leavitt, and the two spin one another around in the clinch. A scramble leads to the two hitting the mat, and Leavitt considers a guillotine and then a triangle choke into an omoplata. Leavitt uses these attempts to sweep his opponent, and he maintains a can opener only to fall into an armbar setup. Hooper turns over and leans to his back to try to lock the submission down, and Leavitt turns and stands up to stack Hooper up and break up the submission. Hooper chains a leglock into an armbar, and Leavitt smashes him in the face with big right hand that stuns Hooper. “The Dream” attempts a leglock, and Leavitt drops down to do the same, and the 50/50 position persists until Hooper drills Leavitt in the face.
Hooper turns over, and Leavitt sits up and is a bit too slow to spin around. Hooper takes his back during the scramble, and he fastens the body triangle around the waist and locks down a rear-naked choke. The forearm slides beneath the chin, and Hooper starts celebrating the submission before he even gets a tap. Leavitt ultimately does surrender instead of going out
, and Hooper lets go and stands to release a guttural celebratory shriek.

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jordan Leavitt R1 2:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Angelo picks Jordan Leavitt, expecting him to be more physical and have slightly better wrestling. He notes both are similar grapplers with poor striking, but thinks Leavitt's power in his hands and ability to get takedowns will be the difference. He may bet if Leavitt becomes a bigger dog.

May bet if line moves and Leavitt becomes a bigger dog
"I'm still going to pick Jordan leave it in this fight I think he can be more physical I think he's going to have the slightly better wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady likes Hooper, noting he's putting it together with incredible pace and cardio, as seen in his wins over Felipe Colares and Nick Fiore. He thinks Leavitt has solid wrestling and striking but slows down, as in the Claudio Puelles fight. He predicts Hooper will push a pace Leavitt can't keep up with and finish him late in the third round by TKO.

"I think Chase super can can set a pace that L not going be able to keep up with and I think Hooper gets Lev out of there late in that third round so give me Chase Hooper to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Chase Hooper, noting his high volume striking and improved grappling. He mentions Hooper's durability and ability to win by submission or decision. Cody sees Leavitt as one-dimensional with low output and believes Hooper's size and skill advantage will prevail.

"I think Chase wins on volume Chase could potentially you know sub them have the better grappling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has improved his pressure fighting and can get the fight to the ground where he has a slick submission game. Leavitt has a weird submission game but questionable cardio and striking. Hooper can land better damage and control on top, winning by decision. However, both fighters are flaky, so confidence is low.

"I'm going to lean Chase superer here still though I think he can get off on better damage I think he can get some control time from that top position and I think he can make it look good enough …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul is high on Chase Hooper, citing his youth, size advantage at lightweight, and improved wrestling. He notes Hooper's legitimate jiu-jitsu and cardio, and believes Leavitt is one-dimensional with no standout skills. Paul expects Hooper to drown Leavitt with pressure and volume.

"I think Chase Hooper gets the win"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Leavitt over Chase Hooper, believing Leavitt is further along in his MMA career. He notes Leavitt's improved striking since 2021 and his competitive grappling with Claudio Puelles, which he thinks Leavitt won. He believes Leavitt's grappling is good enough to stop Hooper and that Hooper's win over Nick Fiore is not impressive.

"I just think Jordan Leavitt is further along in his mixed martial arts career than Chase Hooper... I'm going to go Jordan Leavitt wins this fight."
WIN vs Nick Fiore
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 149 of 245 60% 217 of 340 1 of 10 10% 1 1 3:54
Nick Fiore 0 51 of 90 56% 58 of 98 4 of 8 50% 0 0 4:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 60 of 101 59% 68 of 112 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:55
Nick Fiore 0 17 of 32 53% 20 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
2 Chase Hooper 0 56 of 90 62% 74 of 112 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:54
Nick Fiore 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:36
3 Chase Hooper 0 33 of 54 61% 75 of 116 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:05
Nick Fiore 0 19 of 27 70% 22 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 149 of 245 60% 110 of 203 31 of 34 8 of 8 97 of 160 42 of 73 10 of 12
Nick Fiore 51 of 90 56% 49 of 88 1 of 1 1 of 1 34 of 66 11 of 17 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 60 of 101 59% 44 of 84 11 of 12 5 of 5 35 of 61 22 of 36 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1
2 Chase Hooper 56 of 90 62% 43 of 76 12 of 13 1 of 1 36 of 57 17 of 29 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 15 of 31 48% 14 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 25 2 of 4 1 of 2
3 Chase Hooper 33 of 54 61% 23 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2 26 of 42 3 of 8 4 of 4
Nick Fiore 19 of 27 70% 18 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Angelo picks Nick Fiore because Chase Hooper's striking is abysmal and he lacks wrestling to get the fight to the ground. He notes that Hooper is a 'full-on Jiu Jitsu nerd' with no hands, while Fiore is a solid grappler with better takedowns. However, he admits Hooper could sneak out a win since he may be the better BJJ artist, so no bet is placed.

Maybe inside the distance decision no action on Chase
"I can't go with Chase Hooper here in reality he's gonna be the better Grappler and he is fighting another Grappler so that is a recipe for a win but his absolute lack of hands his inability to wrestle to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to submit Nick Fiore in the third round, but with low confidence. He notes Hooper has looked better recently, especially in the Felipe Colares fight, but also got knocked out badly by Steve Garcia. He expects this to be a grappling-heavy fight and trusts Hooper's cardio and experience in later rounds over Fiore, who slowed in his UFC debut. However, he admits having much confidence in Hooper is not smart.

submission in round 3
"give me Chase super for the win I'll say Chase super third round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody thinks Hooper's grappling and cardio could be decisive if the fight stays on the ground. He notes Hooper has been given a favorable matchup and that Fiore's cardio is untested. He takes the underdog for value.

"I'm gonna take Chase Hooper plus money."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper, noting that Fiore's pre-UFC wins were over weak competition and that he was easily handled by Rubezki. He believes Hooper's grappling advantage will be decisive, and that Fiore's aggression will play into Hooper's comfort zone. Connor also mentions that Hooper's move to lightweight is smart and that he will continue to pack on strength.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper as an underdog. He argues that Nick Fiore's style plays into Hooper's strengths: Fiore likes to scramble and grapple, which is Hooper's wheelhouse. Levi notes Fiore is not a threat standing and that Hooper has superior BJJ and flexibility. He acknowledges Hooper's poor striking defense but believes Fiore will take the fight to the mat, where Hooper can win. He calls Hooper his 'fighter to watch.'

"Chase Hooper's my pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The host picks Nick Fiore but is not highly confident, calling it a toss-up between two BJJ black belts. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as the grappling may cancel out early. He thinks Fiore's aggressive style and top pressure could be the difference, and he expects a decision win.

over 1.5 rounds
"I like the over one and a half as I think the majority of their Jiu Jitsu will cancel each other out for at least seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Paul picks Fiore, citing his better striking and the fact that Hooper has taken a lot of damage. He thinks Fiore's grappling is solid and that Hooper's stand-up is not sustainable. He is not confident but leans Fiore.

"I'll be picking Fiore."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The MMA Guru believes in New England Cartel's ability to improve fighters. He notes Fiore has dominated regional competition (though against cans) and showed toughness against Ricky Turcios on short notice. He expects Fiore's takedown defense and boxing to be too much for Chase Hooper, predicting a TKO finish on the feet in the first round. He doubts Hooper's athleticism and ability to get the fight to the ground.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Nick Fior over Chase Hooper ... I think he's going to spark him on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, believing he can tangle Fiore up on the mat and come out ahead in scrambles. He notes that Fiore's striking is purely a way to get to grappling, and Hooper is comfortable in clinch and ground exchanges. Zane also thinks Hooper's striking has improved, as seen against Philippa Colares, and that Fiore is not the same level of pocket aggressor as Steve Garcia.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
Mitch Ramirez - Fight History
SCHED vs Chase Hooper
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.

Hooper by submission +150, Ramirez by KO round 1 +1000
"I am THE LAST CHASE HOOPER FAN STANDING... Chase Hooper should be able to outgrapple him pretty handily here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mitch Ramirez

AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.

Ramirez by KO, over 1.5 rounds (-140)
"I think I got to just pick Mitch Ramirez and ride. Like, yes. Could Chase Hooper get to his back and strangle him? Of course."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

Hooper by sub +160; Ramirez KO round 1 +1100 (hedge); Hooper by sub in parlay
"Chase Hooper by sub at plus 160... Hooper's clear pathway and Ramirez's clear pathway. And you can play both sides of it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.

Hooper by submission (+160), under 2.5 rounds (-200), Ramirez by KO (+525) as hedge
"I'm pick flipping to Chase Hooper. I'll go Hooper by sub."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.

"I think Chase Hooper wins this fight. I'll throw Chase Hooper in my lineup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.

"Chase Hooper should absolutely win this fight. But before we go betting on a dude that's coming off two knockouts in a row, let's just get him a win under his belt."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Hooper. ... Hooper by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.

Chase Hooper by submission
"I have been circling around Chase Hooper by submission this week, but minus 350. I mean, two years ago they make this match up. Chase Hooper's minus a thousand."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.

"Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage. And, uh, just not a natural fighter. And easy to get out ahead of in exchanges, which should make it easy for Hooper to jump into really advantageous position."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.

betting advice: dog or pass situation
"I'm going Chase Hooper all day. But uh I think I think from a betting perspective, this is a dog or pass situation."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)

Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.

"There's no way that I would bet Hooper at an implied probability of 75%. These odds are way too steep."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.

"I'll pick Chase Super in this fight. I'll pick him via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.

Ramirez round one KO at plus 900 hedge
"I believe Hooper should be able to find his way to the back of Ramirez and eventually find a submission, but it's hard to trust him at chalk, especially considering how he's been looking in his last two fights. Ramirez …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.

Hooper by submission at +200, under 2.5 rounds if better than -150, Ramirez round 1 KO at +900
"I think Hooper wins. I think Hooper finds his way to get to the back of Ramirez. I think he eventually suffocates and submits Ramirez with the rear naked choke."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.

"It's got to be Hooper for me. I I can't click Mitch Ramirez this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.

submission win, late first round
"I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though... I think we're looking at a late first round submission for Chase Hooper."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.

Odds: Hooper -350 favorite, Ramirez +285 underdog.
"Chase Hooper is just going to be some insane, like nonsensical clench tie up that leads to a standing backtake rolling for a leg lock. Ramirez is not going to be up to speed with all that stuff."
LOSS vs Mike Davis
KO R2 4:08 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mitch Ramirez 0 51 of 111 45% 57 of 118 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 47 of 77 61% 58 of 94 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mitch Ramirez 0 8 of 18 44% 14 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Mike Davis 0 3 of 8 37% 13 of 24 1 of 2 50% 2 0 4:20
2 Mitch Ramirez 0 43 of 93 46% 43 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Mike Davis 1 44 of 69 63% 45 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mitch Ramirez 51 of 111 45% 27 of 85 8 of 10 16 of 16 46 of 105 5 of 6 0 of 0
Mike Davis 47 of 77 61% 29 of 53 15 of 20 3 of 4 44 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mitch Ramirez 8 of 18 44% 4 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 4 6 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mike Davis 3 of 8 37% 2 of 5 0 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Mitch Ramirez 43 of 93 46% 23 of 71 8 of 10 12 of 12 40 of 89 3 of 4 0 of 0
Mike Davis 44 of 69 63% 27 of 48 15 of 19 2 of 2 41 of 66 0 of 0 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.

"Mike Davis is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Mike Davis

Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.

dominant decision
"I got to go Mike Davis going forward. I will have some concerns... I'll take him to win this fight by a pretty dominant decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Connor agrees, pointing out that Ramirez loses sense of defense when aggressive, and if he's not aggressive, he's a sitting duck. Davis has the skills to take him down and win. Connor also notes that Davis's lack of ambition is a concern, but against this opponent, he should prevail.

Davis -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.

finish in round 2
"Another prohibitive favorite here in Davis at -900. And I think he reminds us how good he actually is after a fumble against Ferris ZM earlier this week this year. I think we'll see Davis put together a solid body …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mike Davis

The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.

no value in betting Mike Davis at -1000; suggests live betting if Ramirez has a good first round
"I'm going to go with Mike Davis over Mitch Ramirez. This is a bit of a no-brainer. Um, he's a massive favorite again, minus a thousand."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Mike Davis

Zane notes that Mike Davis is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, but lacks drive. However, against Mitch Ramirez, who is a wild over-committing swinger, Davis should be able to take him down and control the fight. He thinks Davis's slick transitions and grappling will be too much for Ramirez, who is a sitting duck if not aggressive.

Davis opened -900, Ramirez +600
"I gotta pick davis here... he is actually quite good."
LOSS vs Thiago Moises
KO R3 0:15 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Moises 1 25 of 39 64% 53 of 72 2 of 2 100% 1 0 6:36
Mitch Ramirez 0 16 of 48 33% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Moises 0 4 of 6 66% 25 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:18
Mitch Ramirez 0 6 of 8 75% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Thiago Moises 0 15 of 26 57% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:14
Mitch Ramirez 0 10 of 39 25% 11 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
3 Thiago Moises 1 6 of 7 85% 6 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Mitch Ramirez 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Moises 25 of 39 64% 10 of 23 3 of 4 12 of 12 17 of 30 2 of 2 6 of 7
Mitch Ramirez 16 of 48 33% 4 of 32 5 of 7 7 of 9 13 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Moises 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 2
Mitch Ramirez 6 of 8 75% 0 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Thiago Moises 15 of 26 57% 8 of 18 2 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
Mitch Ramirez 10 of 39 25% 4 of 30 4 of 5 2 of 4 7 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Thiago Moises 6 of 7 85% 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 5
Mitch Ramirez 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Moises vs. Mitch Ramirez
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Moises (-410), Ramirez (+320)

Round 1
Originally expecting to face Brad Riddell in the co-main event slot, Moises (17-7, 6-5 UFC) instead tumbles down to the early prelims to take on late replacement and UFC debutant Ramirez (8-1, 0-0 UFC), who lost in an appearance on last year’s Contender Series. The two lightweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as the fighters consider but abandon a glove touch. The two start rapping the other’s calf with kicks one after the other, testing the waters and doing some work early. They proceed to take turns with these kicks until Moises decides to mix things up with a tackling double-leg takedown. Moises succeeds in placing Ramirez on his seat, and Ramirez turns to his side in hopes of finding a sweep. Moises shuts it down and shifts to half guard, where he slowly opens up with elbow strikes. Ramirez bucks and twists, but the heavy Brazilian is not going anywhere as he proceeds to smother and land shots. Ramirez uses all his might to pop up, but Moises drags him down from behind until Ramirez realizes he should not give up his back and turns over again. Moises leans down to potentially set up an arm-triangle choke, but with half guard on the other side, he is unable to find the right leverage. Ramirez scoots himself to the wall, but Moises drags him away from it so he can hope to pass. Moises lets it go so he can slash down with elbows, and he gets bucked off but this is the best thing for him. Ramirez turns to crawl away on his knees, and like a predatory animal, Moises pounces on his back. Moises almost immediately gets the hooks in and secures a body triangle, and as Ramirez turns over to his back, Moises is already fishing for a rear-naked choke. Ramirez hand-fights well enough to prevent the choke from getting close, and Moises slides arms back and forth in search of the sub. Moises softens his man up with a couple strikes, and Ramirez tries to swing back from behind his head. The round ends in this dominant position, with the horn blaring twice.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 2
The lightweights come together in the middle of the cage, and Ramirez pushes the pace by leading off with a whipping overhand right. As Ramirez tries to shove the Brazilian against the wall, Moises turns him about. The two jockey for position while tied up, and Moises tangles up the legs for a trip attempt but does not find it. Moises drives a knee to the chest as he looks for another entry, with a double that fails. This allows Ramirez to break free, and Moises chops down on his lead leg as he gets backed off with punches. Moises reaches out with a front kick, and leans back as a head kick whizzes past his face. Ramirez swings as hard as he can with a right hand, and the veteran shoots in for a double and drives Ramirez back to the wall. The two do a little slow dance when up close in the clinch, and Moises breaks free with an elbow and misses with a front kick by a matter of inches. Ramirez punches his way forward into a clinch, and he is turned around and smacked in the face a few times. Moises lets go to reset, and he kicks the calf of his opponent that is welted and swollen badly. Ramirez kicks back, but Moises aims at the same target again to make Ramirez recoil. As he does this, he fires off a front kick and stings Ramirez with an overhand right. Moises chops low and spins with a wheel kick that buzzes the side of the head, and he calmly works his way forward, landing shots to chop away. Ramirez goes after two leg kicks of his own, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises

Round 3
Moises begins the round with a front kick, and
he knocks Ramirez off his feet with a vicious low kick. Ramirez hits the deck, and a ferocious Moises chases after him and whips four low kicks down reminiscent of Donald Cerrone against Myles Jury.
Ramirez grimaces in pain and Smith recognizes that he is done, and he waves off the fight. This is a statement performance for the Brazilian, who registers his first knockout as a UFC fighter by putting the newcomer away with leg kicks.

The Official Result
Thiago Moises def. Mitch Ramirez R3 0:15 via TKO (Leg Kicks)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Angelo expects Moises to be a big favorite. He is a slick grappler who stays composed and works for submissions, with technical striking and solid low kicks to set up takedowns. Although Moises was taken down five times and mauled by Benoit Saint-Denis, Angelo notes that Ramirez is not on that level. He thinks Moises will win the striking exchanges and is good enough to defend takedowns or sweep off bottom. He will bet if the line is favorable.

waiting for odds; will bet if line is favorable
"Moises is the pick and if we somehow get something that even resembles a favorable line I'm probably going to go ahead and jump on him here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Big Brady picks Thiago Moises to win by second-round submission. He views this as a levels fight, with Moises' BJJ and experience being far superior to Ramirez, who is coming in on short notice. He expects Moises to get a takedown and submit Ramirez.

by second round submission
"I'm going to take Thiago Moises to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Cody picks Thiago Moises, noting his experience against top competition and superior skills everywhere. He acknowledges Ramirez's danger as a short-notice debutant but believes Moises is better on the feet and on the ground. He warns about Moises' durability but expects him to win.

"Moises is a legitimate gatekeeper to the top 15... how does Mitch Ramirez pull this thing out of his hat?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Thiago Moises

The host notes that Ramirez is stepping in on short notice and is less skilled and experienced than Moises. He expects Moises to have the technical striking advantage and eventually open up a club-and-sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez, getting back in the win column.

"I think that will eventually open up a club and sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez and get Moes back on The Winning Side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Moises

Paul agrees, stating Moises is better everywhere and has seen every trick Ramirez might have. He notes Ramirez's Contender Series loss and lack of high-level experience. He will not bet Ramirez.

"Moises seems like the rightful favorite here I will not be betting Mitch Ramirez."
Expert Picks (17)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.

Hooper by submission (+160), under 2.5 rounds (-200), Ramirez by KO (+525) as hedge
"I'm pick flipping to Chase Hooper. I'll go Hooper by sub."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Lean picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.

Hooper by sub +160; Ramirez KO round 1 +1100 (hedge); Hooper by sub in parlay
"Chase Hooper by sub at plus 160... Hooper's clear pathway and Ramirez's clear pathway. And you can play both sides of it."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.

Hooper by submission +150, Ramirez by KO round 1 +1000
"I am THE LAST CHASE HOOPER FAN STANDING... Chase Hooper should be able to outgrapple him pretty handily here."
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Mitch Ramirez

AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.

Ramirez by KO, over 1.5 rounds (-140)
"I think I got to just pick Mitch Ramirez and ride. Like, yes. Could Chase Hooper get to his back and strangle him? Of course."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.

"I think Chase Hooper wins this fight. I'll throw Chase Hooper in my lineup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.

"Chase Hooper should absolutely win this fight. But before we go betting on a dude that's coming off two knockouts in a row, let's just get him a win under his belt."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"I'm going Hooper. ... Hooper by first round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.

Chase Hooper by submission
"I have been circling around Chase Hooper by submission this week, but minus 350. I mean, two years ago they make this match up. Chase Hooper's minus a thousand."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.

"Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage. And, uh, just not a natural fighter. And easy to get out ahead of in exchanges, which should make it easy for Hooper to jump into really advantageous position."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.

betting advice: dog or pass situation
"I'm going Chase Hooper all day. But uh I think I think from a betting perspective, this is a dog or pass situation."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Jul 17, 2026 (1 day before fight)
No clear pick

Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.

"There's no way that I would bet Hooper at an implied probability of 75%. These odds are way too steep."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.

"I'll pick Chase Super in this fight. I'll pick him via submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.

Ramirez round one KO at plus 900 hedge
"I believe Hooper should be able to find his way to the back of Ramirez and eventually find a submission, but it's hard to trust him at chalk, especially considering how he's been looking in his last two fights. Ramirez round one KO sitting at plus 900 is not a …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.

Hooper by submission at +200, under 2.5 rounds if better than -150, Ramirez round 1 KO at +900
"I think Hooper wins. I think Hooper finds his way to get to the back of Ramirez. I think he eventually suffocates and submits Ramirez with the rear naked choke."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.

"It's got to be Hooper for me. I I can't click Mitch Ramirez this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.

submission win, late first round
"I'll go Chase Hooper. I'm [ __ ] worried about it though... I think we're looking at a late first round submission for Chase Hooper."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.

Odds: Hooper -350 favorite, Ramirez +285 underdog.
"Chase Hooper is just going to be some insane, like nonsensical clench tie up that leads to a standing backtake rolling for a leg lock. Ramirez is not going to be up to speed with all that stuff."