Career Averages - Marcin Tybura
Career Averages - Greg Hardy
Marcin Tybura - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 47 of 110 | 42% | 85 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 0 | 30 of 59 | 50% | 49 of 81 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 5:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 18 of 26 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 51 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 18 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 47 of 110 | 42% | 22 of 77 | 20 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 36 of 96 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 30 of 59 | 50% | 24 of 53 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 43 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 8 of 22 | 36% | 5 of 16 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 17 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 9 of 15 | 60% | 8 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 19 of 50 | 38% | 8 of 35 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 13 of 26 | 50% | 11 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 20 of 38 | 52% | 9 of 26 | 11 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Tyrell Fortune | 8 of 18 | 44% | 5 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Tyrell Fortune because he believes Fortune's power and striking will be too much for the aging Marcin Tybura. He notes that if Tybura can get takedowns, he could grind out a win, but he doubts Tybura can avoid Fortune's power. Angelo suggests betting on Fortune inside the distance if hesitant on the moneyline, as Tybura is unlikely to finish Fortune.
Big Brady leans toward Marcin Tybura to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges it's a greasy heavyweight fight and sees paths for both. He favors Tybura's experience and submission grappling advantage on the ground. He notes Tybura is 40 with a questionable chin, but believes if Tybura gets on top, the fight ends quickly. He also mentions Fortune's power and early finishes but thinks Tybura's path is more reliable.
Cody picks Tybura, expecting him to survive Fortune's early explosiveness and take over as Fortune fades. He suggests live betting Tybura after the first round.
Connor also picks Tybura, agreeing that Fortune's grappling is bad and that Tybura's backtake game will be decisive. He notes that Fortune is not interested in fighting and that Tybura's decline is a concern but Fortune is not the type to exploit it.
Daniel thinks Fortune is catching Tybura at the right time, as Tybura is 40 and near retirement. He believes Fortune's motivation and well-rounded skills will earn him a UFC debut win.
The host believes Fortune's wrestling and grappling will be the difference, allowing him to control the fight on the ground. He notes Tybura's experience but thinks Fortune's strength and top pressure will grind out a decision. He expresses some concern about Fortune's submission defense after a heel hook loss but expects him to have shored that up.
Paul leans Tybura as a dog, citing Fortune's questionable cardio and heart. He's hesitant but sees value on Tybura at plus money.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Tybura, despite acknowledging Tyrell Fortune's wrestling background. He believes Tybura's experience and durability will carry him to a decision win. He notes that Fortune has not faced high-level competition recently and that Tybura can grind out a win. He predicts a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Tybura due to his grappling advantage, noting that Tybura is one of the few heavyweights with a backtake game, while Fortune has poor grappling instincts and gives up his back. He also mentions Fortune's lack of willingness to finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Ante Delija | 1 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Ante Delija | 1 | 13 of 28 | 46% | 15 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ante Delija | 13 of 28 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 4 of 9 | 44% | 1 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ante Delija | 13 of 28 | 46% | 13 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Angelo reluctantly picks Marcin Tybura, citing his toughness, experience, and ability to grind out wins. He notes that the line has flipped with Delija now the favorite. He acknowledges Delija's power and takedowns but points out his age (35) and that he's from another organization, which the community often dismisses. He believes Tybura's durability and cagemanship will be key.
Big Brady picks Ante Delija, citing his speed and power on the feet. He notes Tybura's chin has been cracked and he is almost 40. He sees Delia winning by knockout if he can stuff takedowns, but acknowledges Tybura's path via grappling. He predicts a knockout win.
The host recalls their first meeting where Tybura won after Delija broke his leg. He thinks Delija can be successful in the UFC and will land more damaging shots, be more aggressive, mix in clinch and takedowns, eventually find a dominant position and get Tybura out of there via TKO.
The Guru picks Ante Delija, arguing that Tybura's 'fraud check' wins come against less experienced opponents, while Delija is a seasoned heavyweight with no clear holes. He notes Delija's training with Tom Aspinall and believes his athleticism and footwork will be too much. He predicts a TKO finish in round two or three, possibly from leg kicks and in-close shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 61 of 155 | 39% | 64 of 158 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 60 of 145 | 41% | 102 of 192 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 10 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 15 of 38 | 39% | 41 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 33 of 79 | 41% | 33 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Mick Parkin | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 37 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 61 of 155 | 39% | 28 of 110 | 29 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 60 of 151 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 60 of 145 | 41% | 47 of 130 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 | 49 of 118 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 21 of 56 | 37% | 4 of 34 | 15 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 23 of 45 | 51% | 13 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 22 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 7 of 20 | 35% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 15 of 38 | 39% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 25 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 33 of 79 | 41% | 20 of 61 | 11 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 32 of 76 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mick Parkin | 22 of 62 | 35% | 19 of 58 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Mick Parkin, going against his bias for wrestlers. He notes Tybura's chin is fading after being wobbled in recent fights, but questions whether Parkin has one-punch knockout power. He thinks if Tybura can't get takedowns, he's in trouble, and Parkin's pace and control could be the difference. He admits it's a gut pick.
Brady is taking the underdog Tybura, questioning what a Mick Parkin win looks like. He notes Parkin's wins are against low-level competition and that he was outlanded by Kyle Machado. Brady thinks Tybura can win a close fight on the feet or dominate on top, and predicts a decision win.
The host notes that the UFC has brought Parkin along slowly, and now he faces a tough veteran. Parkin's athletic advantages in striking and grappling will be too much for the aging Tybura, leading to a late finish or decision win.
The Guru is confident in Mick Parkin, praising his conditioning, patience, and well-rounded game. He notes that Tybura has beaten many heavyweights who rush for a finish, but Parkin is patient and won't make that mistake. He expects Parkin to chop at the legs, stay composed, and win a 29-28 decision, as he has seen Parkin answer grappling questions that other Tybura opponents could not.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 35 of 49 | 71% | 153 of 187 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 7:14 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 66 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:57 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 17 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 32 of 44 | 72% | 87 of 105 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:17 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 10 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 35 of 49 | 71% | 33 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 26 of 30 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 15 of 29 | 51% | 13 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 10 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 32 of 44 | 72% | 31 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 27 |
| Jhonata Diniz | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tybura (-148), Diniz (+124)
Round 1
With Derrick Lewis out for the time being, Tybura (25-9, 12-8 UFC) is now the man who stands across the Octagon from undefeated hammer-thrower Diniz (8-0, 2-0 UFC). The Brazilian came in a few weeks ago expecting to serve as the favorite against “The Black Beast,” but instead he finds himself in a pick-‘em with a well-rounded Polish heavyweight. The big men get after it as soon as referee Herb Dean says go, with a touch of gloves a formality that happens first. Tybura strikes first with a body kick, and he shells up to block two punches up top. Diniz lets fly a surprising head kick, and he blitzes forward and clips the Polish fighter with a short, mean left hand. Tybura falls to his back, and Diniz gladly leaps on top while moving to half guard hacking down with elbows. Tybura attempts a sweep, but Diniz blasts him in the face with hammerfists in an effort to stop it. Tybura steels himself and completes the reversal, dumping the undefeated fighter on his back and lowering himself down into half guard. Diniz clings to the man on top of him to prevent most offense from raining down on him, and the crowd does not appreciate the stalemate that follows. Tybura uses his full body weight to press down, staying chest-to-chest and getting off short strikes on either side. Tybura covers Diniz’ mouth when not smacking him with short strikes that are more irritating than damaging. Tybura grinds with an elbow on the chin, and he uses the awkward face covering to step over to full mount. Tybura keeps tightly pressed rather than posturing up, smothering the unbeaten man and making his life miserable. Tybura sits up to drive a few punches on the chin, and Diniz ties him up again to save himself. Tybura gets in a single heavy elbow, and he rides out the remainder of the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tybura
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tybura
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Tybura
Round 2
Gloves are touched to start the round, and once more, Tybura aims a kick to the ribs. Diniz crowds him with a right hand, and Tybura backs off to reset. Tybura reaches out with a left hand that comes up short, and he pushes out a front kick that is also inaccurate. Diniz’ clubbing right hand bounces off the guard, and he narrowly evades a front kick aimed at his chin. Tybura keeps his distance with another front kick, and he dings Diniz with a straight left. Diniz bites down on his mouthpiece and slugs the Polish fighter in the jaw with a few heavy blows, and Tybura strikes back and slips away. Tybura splits the guard with a left, and Diniz wings back three punches that get his attention. Tybura drops down, ducking a punch and setting up a double-leg takedown. “Tybur” climbs into half guard, and Diniz claims that he is getting poked in the eye. Dean tells them to keep working, and Tybura does so with sporadic but effective ground-and-pound. With 1:50 remaining in the round, Tybura assumes full mount, and he starts fishing for an armlock by gripping Diniz’ right wrist and torqueing it. Tybura lets it go so he can set up a crucifix, and he beats down on the Brazilian with punches and elbows. Tybura pounds down with a pair of elbows, and he opens up with several more than rip Diniz’ face wide open. Blood sprays across the canvas in a display reminiscent of the infamous “you don’t know where I’ve been, Lou” scene, only it is the man on his back that is pouring red fluid everywhere. Tybura jackhammers the Brazilian with a massive flurry of elbows, and Diniz barely survives to the bell as cuts are all over his face with blood streaming everywhere. Diniz has to be helped back to his corner, and doctors are going to look closely at him.
Before the third round opens, physicians attend to Diniz and check his condition. He passes the vision test, and the cutman appears to have sealed most of the open wounds on him. However, Diniz is wobbly on his feet even after a minute to recover, and the doctor does not want any further damage inflicted on the Brazilian.
Diniz starts shouting that he is fine, able to continue and is not as hurt as he appears. The medical team thinks otherwise, informing Dean that Diniz’ condition is no bueno and that he should not be fighting anymore today. Dean accepts their advice and calls a halt to the match between rounds, giving a 5:00 finish by doctor stoppage to the Polish fighter.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Tybura
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-8 Tybura
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Tybura
The Official Result
Marcin Tybura def. Jhonata Diniz R2 5:00 via TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
Angelo picks Marcin Tybura, emphasizing that Tybura is a durable grinder who can get fights to the ground, while Jhonata Diniz is useless off his back. He notes that Diniz has great striking but untested takedown defense, and Tybura will eat shots to get the takedown. He hopes Tybura is an underdog and plans to bet if so.
Big Brady leans with Marcin Tybura, believing that if Tybura gets the fight to the mat, he will dominate. He notes that Tybura often gets beat up on the feet before wrestling, but if he uses his fight IQ and takes Diniz down early, he can finish. He also mentions that Diniz is vulnerable on the ground, as seen in fights against Austin Lane and Karl Williams. Brady predicts a first-round knockout via ground and pound or submission.
Cody picks Marcin Tybura by submission, citing Tybura's grappling advantage and Diniz's poor takedown defense. He notes Tybura has taken down many heavyweights and has a black belt in BJJ. Cody expects Tybura to take Diniz down and submit him, possibly in the first round.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Tybura's wrestling will be too much for Diniz. He mentions that Diniz's game is busy in the pocket but that Tybura can tie him up and drag him down. Connor also notes that Tybura has been knocked out before but is durable and awkward.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jhonata Diniz as an underdog, believing he can survive Tybura's takedowns and win on the feet. He notes Diniz's youth, reach, and power, and thinks Tybura is declining. He acknowledges Tybura's ground game but expects Diniz to avoid or survive bad positions and land strikes. He mentions the odds movement as a factor.
Vreeland picks Tybura as his lock, stating he is 1000% sure Tybura will take down and ground-and-pound Diniz. He believes Tybura's wrestling and top control will be too much for Diniz, leading to a TKO finish.
Fox picks Oliveira as his lock instead of Tybura, saying he got even safer. He does not provide detailed reasoning for this pick in the transcript, but it is clear he is confident in Oliveira.
The host notes Tybura is a different opponent than Diniz was expecting (originally scheduled to face Derrick Lewis). He expects Tybura to showcase his full MMA game, staying away from Diniz's striking, getting the fight to the ground, and finding a submission opportunity.
Paul picks Marcin Tybura, citing his experience and grappling. He notes Diniz is a one-dimensional striker with poor grappling, and Tybura will take him down and control him. Paul expects Tybura to win by decision or submission, and is confident in the pick.
The MMA Guru picks Jhonata Diniz, noting his kickboxing background and KO power. He sees value in Diniz as a slight underdog. He believes Diniz's takedown defense will hold up and that he can KO Tybura early, possibly with a jab.
Zane picks Tybura, expecting him to take Diniz down and get his back. He notes that Tybura is one of the few backtake artists in the heavyweight division and that Diniz is not prepared for that grappling. Zane acknowledges that Tybura can get knocked out early, but he trusts Tybura's wrestling to prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:43 |
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Marcin Tybura | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Marcin Tybura because he already won the first fight and has good takedown defense (only taken down once in six years). He notes that Spivac hasn't evolved much and had a sloppy fight against Oleinik. However, he cautions that Tybura is 38 and Spivac is 9 years younger, and heavyweights are unpredictable. He likely won't bet on this fight.
Cody agrees with Paul, favoring Tybura due to his cardio, striking, wrestling, and experience. He points out that Spivac's skill set hasn't evolved, his grappling isn't high-level, and he struggles when he can't take down opponents. Cody believes Tybura's ability to persevere and land better shots in later rounds gives him the edge.
Tybura is the better overall fighter with superior striking, cardio, and experience. He won the first fight and has only lost to top-tier heavyweights since. Spivac's improvements may not be enough to overcome Tybura's well-rounded game. The fight likely goes to the scorecards, making Tybura by decision a solid play at plus money.
Paul favors Tybura because he won the previous matchup and still holds advantages in striking, wrestling, cardio, and experience. He notes Spivac hasn't evolved much, has robotic striking, poor cardio, and relies on wrestling which Tybura can neutralize. Paul sees Tybura as a durable journeyman who can grind out a win in a five-round fight.
The MMA Guru picks Marcin Tybura, citing his win in their first fight and his improved takedown defense. He notes Tybura's cardio advantage in a five-round fight and his ability to win later rounds, as seen against Blaydes and Romanov. He criticizes Spivac's lack of improvement and finishing ability, pointing out that Spivac landed no significant strikes against Tom Aspinall.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 73 of 96 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 18 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 73 of 96 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 27 of 41 | 65% | 23 of 34 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Tai Tuivasa | 27 of 41 | 65% | 23 of 34 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 21 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tuivasa (-122), Tybura (+105)
Round 1
Heavyweights put meat back on the menu for the marquee matchup. Likely having to cut down in weight to reach 266 pounds, Tuivasa (14-6, 8-6 UFC) is ready to let his heavy hands fly. Tybura (24-8, 11-7 UFC), who will be almost 20 pounds lighter officially—not counting whatever Tuivasa weight lost to get there—would prefer not to be on the receiving end of those fists. Although it is always possible that this could go 25 minutes, referee Herb Dean is ready for this to be done sooner than later. He brings them together, and they bump gloves before trying to take the other’s head off. Tuivasa sticks out a jab, and Tybura releases a body kick and a right hand in response. Tuivasa aims a body kick and connects with a few right hands, and Tybura closes in and gets clacked with several elbows on the forehead. The elbows slide Tybura’s head open on several places, causing blood to flow fast. Tybura looks to his hand to see the blood, and Tuivasa starts letting go with heavy leg kicks Tybura lumbers forward, walking through strikes to shoot in for a double. Tybura clasps his hands, and when Tuivasa punches him on the side of the head, he lifts the Aussie up and slams him down to the ground. “Tybur” lands in half guard and starts driving down right hands, and he lets Tuivasa turn to his knees so he can take the back. Tybura gets both hooks in and starts raining down right hands on the side of the head. As he continues to pound on “Bam Bam,” Tuivasa lowers himself down and does not seem otherwise worse for wear. Tuivasa turns to his side and tries to defend the sledgehammers with one hand. Tybura keeps heavy and allows Tuivasa to turn over so he can keep bludgeoning the Aussie. Tybura softens his man up before locking down a rear-naked choke, and he secures it under the chin. Tuivasa fights the grip and kicks with his legs to tough out the choke, and he tries to slowly slide his jaw down to escape choke danger. Tybura does not release the grip even when he hears Tuivasa gasping for air and clinging to consciousness, but he knows the finish is right around the corner. The Polish heavyweight retains his grip, and as he presses down with his full weight from behind, he puts Tuivasa all the way out. Tuivasa goes out on his shield, his arm flopping to the side, and Dean recognizes this immediately and halts the fight. This is a massive win for Tybura, even with Tuivasa skidding, as he lands the first submission in his UFC career, doing so under bright lights. With that technical submission—not the first of the night, making this card somewhat unusual—in the books, this show comes to a close. The Apex will play host again next week to another event before taking to the road, and we will be here for it. We hope you are too.
The Official Result
Marcin Tybura def. Tai Tuivasa R1 4:08 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo notes that Tuivasa's chin is gone after three consecutive knockout losses to elite heavyweights, and his takedown defense is only 54%. Tybura is a durable grinder who uses strikes to set up takedowns and will pound on opponents once on top. He thinks Tybura can rush Tuivasa against the cage and grind through takedowns. He is watching the line movement, hoping to get Tybura at +120 or +130 as the fan favorite gets action.
Big Brady picks Tai Tuivasa to win by first-round knockout. He believes Tuivasa's power and striking advantage will be too much for Tybura, who lacks power and has been knocked out before. He notes the risk if the fight goes long and Tybura gets on top, but expects Tuivasa to land first.
Cody leans toward Tai Tuivasa, citing his early explosiveness and power as likely too much for Tybura, who has been knocked out quickly in recent fights. He notes Tybura's wrestling threat but believes Tuivasa can stuff early takedowns and land a knockout before the fight gets deep. He acknowledges the line is even money and both have a chance, but Tuivasa's youth and power give him the edge.
Lucrative James is torn on this fight. He acknowledges that stylistically Tai Tuivasa could knock out Tybura, but he is concerned about Tuivasa's mental state, recent three-fight losing streak, and a knee injury three months prior. He also notes Tybura's reliability and grinding style, comparing it to the Blaydes fight. He ultimately decides he likely won't bet on this fight but might play Tuivasa KO in round 1 or 2 or Tybura by decision.
The host notes Tuivasa is on a losing streak and heavily reliant on knockout power, but when facing cleaner, crisper opponents he often comes up short. He expects Tybura to have a cleaner all-around game, roughing up Tuivasa in the clinch, dragging him to the floor, and possibly opening up a submission. He acknowledges Tuivasa's power but believes Tybura can avoid it due to Tuivasa's telegraphing. He compares Tybura's ability to take big shots from past opponents and still win, predicting Tybura dictates the fight and grinds out a decision or an arm triangle choke.
Paul also picks Tai Tuivasa by knockout, agreeing with Cody that Tybura's wrestling is not likely to be effective early when Tuivasa is fresh. He notes that Tybura will have to eat shots to close distance and that the small cage helps Tuivasa. He acknowledges the unpredictability of heavyweights but sees this as a decent matchup for Tuivasa to get back on track.
The Guru picks Tai Tuivasa by TKO in round one or two. He believes Tuivasa's calf kicks will be effective against Tybura, who lacks the low kick defense of Volkov. He notes Tuivasa's ability to get back up from takedowns and his power punching, especially uppercuts and hooks. He thinks Tybura is hittable and Tuivasa will find his chin, as he did against Ciryl Gane.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Aspinall | 1 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Aspinall | 1 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 13 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 4 of 15 | 26% | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Aspinall | 13 of 18 | 72% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Marcin Tybura | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Aspinall | 13 of 18 | 72% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Marcin Tybura | 4 of 15 | 26% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is all-in on Tom Aspinall, believing he should dominate anywhere the fight goes. He acknowledges the knee injury concern but thinks Aspinall's speed, power, and BJJ are superior. He calls Aspinall the most confident pick on the card and suggests him as a parlay piece with Molly McCann.
Big Brady picks Tom Aspinall to win by first-round knockout. He calls it a setup fight for Aspinall after his injury. He notes Tybura has been knocked out by Derrick Lewis and others, and questions his chin. He thinks Aspinall's speed and power will be too much, and Tybura's only path is to take Aspinall down or outlast him, which he doubts. He mentions Tybura looked skinny at the face-off.
Cody acknowledges Aspinall is likely to win but sees value on Tybura at +380 due to Aspinall's knee injury and heavyweight volatility. He took a very small bet on Tybura, fully expecting to lose, but thinks the price is too high on Aspinall. He mentions that historically, plus money heavyweights have value.
Daniel picks Tom Aspinall to win, citing his speed, technical striking, and well-rounded game including takedowns and submissions. He notes that Aspinall represents the new wave of heavyweights and has a significant speed advantage over Tybura. However, he is concerned about the price at -475, calling it a 'sucker bet' and stating he lines Aspinall closer to -400. He also mentions the risk of freak injury given Aspinall's recent surgery. Despite the pick, he passes on betting due to poor value.
James picks Tom Aspinall to win by finish in round two. He acknowledges Aspinall's cardio is an unknown but notes that the only evidence of a cardio issue was the Arlovski fight where Aspinall seemed to have an adrenaline dump but still finished. He believes Aspinall is better than Tybura everywhere and that Tybura's only advantages are experience and potential cardio. James thinks Aspinall will be smarter this time and not steamroll in round one, but will get the finish in round two. He mentions that Tybura at +350 is the value side but he still favors Aspinall.
The host picks Tom Aspinall, citing his speed, power, and ability to finish. He notes Tybura has been hurt early in fights before but that Aspinall is a better finisher than those opponents. He predicts a first-round stoppage and suggests targeting under 1.5 rounds.
Paul picks Aspinall but notes the price is too high to bet straight. He suggests live betting Tybura after the first round if Aspinall gasses. He highlights Aspinall's speed, power, and BJJ, but also his cardio concerns and the knee injury. He would hedge if Aspinall is on a parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Tom Aspinall, calling it a logical pick. He criticizes Marcin Tybura's age and conditioning, and notes Tybura has no submission wins in the UFC. The Guru believes Aspinall has a massive advantage on the feet and on the ground, and predicts a finish in the first round, either by TKO or takedown. He also mentions Aspinall's year off and vengeance after surgery.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 40 of 103 | 38% | 61 of 133 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:55 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 34 of 113 | 30% | 34 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 12 of 41 | 29% | 12 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 17 of 57 | 29% | 17 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 22 of 72 | 30% | 22 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 22 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:55 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 40 of 103 | 38% | 12 of 70 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 9 | 39 of 102 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 34 of 113 | 30% | 24 of 98 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 34 of 112 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 22 of 45 | 48% | 5 of 26 | 10 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 12 of 41 | 29% | 8 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 17 of 57 | 29% | 7 of 44 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 22 of 72 | 30% | 16 of 63 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 72 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marcin Tybura | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Blagoy Ivanov | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady calls this a messy fight and expects it to go to a greasy decision. He picks the underdog Ivanov because he is more durable and has never been finished, while Tybura has been finished multiple times. He is not confident and advises against betting.
Cody picks Ivanov at plus money, calling it a close heavyweight fight. He believes Ivanov has a slight edge in technical boxing and volume. He notes both fighters are low-volume and durable, expecting a decision. He took Ivanov at +130 and thinks the fight is essentially 50-50, so he takes the underdog.
Connor picks Marcin Tybura, expecting a split decision. He notes that Tybura is more proactive with kicks and combinations, and will likely be the one initiating clinch exchanges. However, he acknowledges Ivanov's durability and defensive wrestling, which could make the fight ugly. Connor is confident it will be a split decision but leans Tybura due to higher output.
Paul picks Tybura, arguing that Ivanov has looked slow and predictable in recent fights. He notes Ivanov's poor cardio and lack of takedown attempts, while Tybura has good cardio and mobility for a heavyweight. He expects Tybura to outwork Ivanov, especially in the later rounds. He also likes the under on Tybura 1.5 takedowns on PrizePicks.
Zane picks Marcin Tybura, agreeing that it will be a split decision. He notes that Tybura has better tools at range and is more likely to control the clinch. However, he warns that Ivanov's power and chin could cause an upset if Tybura gets hurt. Zane sees Tybura's improved composure as a key factor.
Greg Hardy - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 17 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serghei Spivac | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 20 |
| Greg Hardy | 7 of 12 | 58% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Serghei Spivac | 14 of 27 | 51% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 20 |
| Greg Hardy | 7 of 12 | 58% | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Spivac but says he wouldn't bet the fight due to heavyweight volatility. He notes Spivac needs to wrestle early and often, and that Hardy has power but poor grappling. He mentions Spivac had trouble with Oleinik but chalks it up to fear of the ground. He expects Spivac to shoot immediately.
Big Brady picks Greg Hardy to win by first-round knockout. He is not high on Spivac, noting that Spivac often waits too long to shoot takedowns and has poor striking defense. Brady acknowledges Hardy's power and good takedown defense early, but admits Hardy's ground game is weak. He sees the fight as a coin flip: if Spivac gets it to the mat, he wins; if not, Hardy knocks him out. Brady leans toward Hardy because he doubts Spivac's game plan.
Cody does not have a strong lean on this fight. He acknowledges Hardy's early power and finishing ability but notes his cardio and grappling holes. He suggests a live betting opportunity if Spivac takes Hardy down early, but he has no interest in betting the fight outright.
Daniel Levi picks Serghei Spivac via ground and pound TKO. He believes Spivac will take Hardy down and dominate on the ground, as Hardy has nothing off his back and gasses out. He notes that Spivac doesn't like getting hit but should avoid striking exchanges. He criticizes Hardy's mental toughness and cardio, citing the inhaler incident and recent losses.
Spivak is a big heavyweight who should dominate Hardy on the ground. Hardy gasses and gives up when taken down, as seen in the Tai Tuivasa fight. Spivak can take Hardy down, wear on him, and finish with a submission or ground and pound. The line should be closer to -300. Hardy's only chance is an early KO, but Spivak can survive the first round and take over.
Paul sees this as closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest. He notes Hardy's early power and nearly finishing Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura, but acknowledges his cardio and grappling deficiencies. Paul thinks Hardy could finish Spivac early, but if not, Spivac will take over. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and leans Hardy as a live underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Greg Hardy as an underdog over Serghei Spivac, despite acknowledging Spivac's grappling advantage. He believes Hardy's explosiveness and power will catch Spivac early, as Spivac is poor on the feet in the first round. He notes Hardy prepared for Aleksei Oleinik and Spivac stepped in on short notice, and that Spivac is coming off a KO loss. He predicts a first-round KO for Hardy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 1 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 1 | 11 of 23 | 47% | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Tuivasa | 11 of 23 | 47% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Greg Hardy | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Tuivasa | 11 of 23 | 47% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Greg Hardy | 6 of 15 | 40% | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
As per usual, an unranked heavyweight brawl takes high placement on the main card over other ranked fighters below it, this time with Tuivasa (11-3, 5-3 UFC) and Hardy (7-3, 1 NC; 4-3, 1 NC UFC) ready to throw fastballs. A full 527.5 pounds will measure between these sluggers, along with 16 knockouts in their combined 18 victories. Referee Mark Smith is already holding on to his proverbial hat inside the Octagon, and the heavyweights decide to touch gloves before throwing down. Hardy points to the center of the cage to incite a brawl, and Tuivasa laughs it off with several heavy leg kicks that catch Hardy off-guard. Hardy stings Tuivasa with a long left hand, and he peppers Tuivasa with several jabs before absorbing a popping leg kick. Tuivasa sits down on a right hand, and Hardy eats it like a Vegemite sandwich and fires right back at him. Both big men blast each other with power punches, and the Aussie staggers as he backs off, surprised that Hardy's right hand on the temple hurt him. Hardy crashes in to put him away, and Tuivasa is right there like Scott Smith against Pete Sell, nailing Hardy with a right hand and freezing him in his tracks with a missile of a left hand. Hardy’s legs crumble beneath him as if he were a puppet that had its strings cut, and Tuivasa leaps on his damaged opponent to pound him out. It does not take more than a couple follow-up punches for Smith to call the fight, as Hardy’s eyes roll back in his head from the hammering shots. A speedy victory leads to Tuivasa leaping on top of the cage, and he calls for his corner to supply him with his trademark celebratory beverage. The commission does not get in the way, allowing the ecstatic Aussie to drink beer out of a shoe to the delight of the T-Mobile Arena. He calls on fans to supply him with more shoeys on the way out in his post-fight interview, and pounds a few as he strides back to the locker room. Jorge Masvidal is there to greet him, and he meets “Bam Bam” with a warm, alcohol-soaked embrace.
The Official Result
Tai Tuivasa def. Greg Hardy R1 1:07 via KO (Punches)
Angelo is very confident in Tuivasa, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tuivasa's technical striking, heavy hands, Samoan chin, and takedown defense. He notes Hardy has no ground game and is clueless on the mat. He has a moneyline bet on Tuivasa and has him in his DraftKings lineup.
Big Brady picks Greg Hardy to win by decision. He notes Hardy's volume (4.83 strikes per minute) and positive strike differential, and believes the bigger cage favors Hardy's range management. He expects Hardy to stay on the outside and outland Tuivasa. He acknowledges Hardy's cardio concerns but thinks Tuivasa won't attempt takedowns, so Hardy won't gas. He also notes Tuivasa's chin but thinks Hardy can avoid getting clipped.
Cody picks Tuivasa but is hesitant. He notes Hardy's cardio issues and asthma, and Tuivasa's durability and leg kicks. He expects Hardy to win the first round but fade, allowing Tuivasa to come back. He suggests betting Tuivasa live after the first round.
Daniel Levi picks Tai Tuivasa to win. He highlights Tuivasa's better technique, volume, and experience against higher-level competition, including former champions. He notes that Greg Hardy has cardio issues and tends to fade in later rounds, as seen in the Marcin Tybura fight. He believes Tuivasa's leg kicks and will to dig deeper will be decisive, and that Hardy is unlikely to take the fight to the ground. He expects Tuivasa to win a decision or possibly get a finish in the later rounds.
Jacob picks Hardy as a value play, expecting a first-round finish either way. He thinks Hardy's wild, powerful striking from odd angles could catch Tuivasa early. He admits it's a coin flip but likes Hardy at 7800 in DraftKings. He acknowledges this is his last time backing Hardy after being burned before.
I'm taking Tuivasa here. Hardy has cardio issues and will struggle to get his stick-and-move game off. Tuivasa will pressure him, land combinations, and push him against the cage. Hardy gassed against Tybura, and I think Tuivasa will knock him out in the second or third round. I like Tuivasa by KO round 2 or 3.
Paul picks Tuivasa but is hesitant. He notes Hardy's athleticism and improvements but questions his cardio. He thinks Tuivasa's durability and ability to keep coming will be key. He expects Hardy to win the first round but fade, and Tuivasa to take over.
The Guru predicts Tuivasa will win by first-round KO. He expects Tuivasa to use calf kicks to destroy Hardy's lead leg, a rare weapon in the heavyweight division. After Hardy throws some early bombs, Tuivasa will chop at the calf repeatedly, causing Hardy to stumble and move backwards. Tuivasa will then clinch against the cage, land body shots and elbows, and break with a big right hand that drops Hardy. The Guru sees a finish similar to Tuivasa's previous win over Jorgen de Castro.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 0 | 51 of 101 | 50% | 60 of 111 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 50 of 91 | 54% | 50 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 16 of 36 | 44% | 16 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 38 of 62 | 61% | 38 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 0 | 35 of 65 | 53% | 44 of 75 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Tybura | 51 of 101 | 50% | 34 of 82 | 10 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 27 |
| Greg Hardy | 50 of 91 | 54% | 29 of 65 | 12 of 13 | 9 of 13 | 46 of 85 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcin Tybura | 16 of 36 | 44% | 8 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Greg Hardy | 38 of 62 | 61% | 23 of 42 | 7 of 8 | 8 of 12 | 35 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marcin Tybura | 35 of 65 | 53% | 26 of 55 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 17 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 27 |
| Greg Hardy | 12 of 29 | 41% | 6 of 23 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Greg Hardy, citing his toughness and one-punch power. He notes Hardy can get in the pocket and take a shot, but expresses a caveat about him not getting worn out.
Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura over Greg Hardy, despite Hardy being a slight favorite. He notes Tybura's solid wrestling and BJJ black belt, and believes he can take Hardy down, where Hardy looks like a 'fish out of water'. Brady predicts a submission win in the third round, citing Hardy's poor gas tank and Tybura's experience advantage.
The host likes Tybura as a dog, citing Hardy's narrow path to victory (KO only) and suspect gas tank. He believes Tybura's well-rounded game, including takedowns and volume, will overwhelm Hardy as the fight progresses. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision for Tybura.
The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, believing he will push Greg Hardy against the cage and weather an early storm. He notes Tybura's improved conditioning and grappling ability, and that Hardy tends to gas. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late TKO for Tybura.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 17 of 37 | 45% | 17 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maurice Greene | 1 | 46 of 74 | 62% | 56 of 85 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maurice Greene | 0 | 25 of 43 | 58% | 35 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Maurice Greene | 1 | 21 of 31 | 67% | 21 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 17 of 37 | 45% | 6 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 11 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maurice Greene | 46 of 74 | 62% | 32 of 55 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 14 | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 38 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 13 of 25 | 52% | 3 of 10 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Maurice Greene | 25 of 43 | 58% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 11 | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 16 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 4 of 12 | 33% | 3 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Maurice Greene | 21 of 31 | 67% | 18 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 22 |
Big Brady favors Hardy's power and athleticism, noting Greene's poor striking defense and chin. He thinks Greene's kicks leave openings and that the smaller cage will lead to a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO.
Hardy has power and has shown improvement in his last few fights, but his cardio is questionable. Greene is mobile and can chip away from distance, but his cardio also fades. Hardy likely wins by KO in the second round, but the -310 line is too steep.
The MMA Guru picks Greg Hardy by unanimous decision, noting that Hardy is improving and has a similar reach to Greene. He believes Hardy will chop at Greene's legs, following the game plan that worked for John Valente, and that Greene lacks motivation and hasn't improved.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 55 of 124 | 44% | 66 of 135 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 0 | 24 of 69 | 34% | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 25 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 25 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 55 of 124 | 44% | 21 of 80 | 7 of 9 | 27 of 35 | 55 of 124 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 24 of 69 | 34% | 6 of 44 | 2 of 7 | 16 of 18 | 24 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 25 of 55 | 45% | 13 of 40 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 10 | 25 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 15 of 41 | 36% | 6 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 16 of 31 | 51% | 5 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 12 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 4 of 11 | 36% | 0 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Greg Hardy | 14 of 38 | 36% | 3 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 13 | 14 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yorgan De Castro | 5 of 17 | 29% | 0 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Greg Hardy, citing his athleticism, reach advantage, and improvement. He compares the fight to Hardy's win over Juan Adams. He acknowledges De Castro's power but expects Hardy to be busier and win by first-round knockout. He thinks the line at minus 190 is a bit wide and would not bet it due to heavyweight volatility.
Daniel Levi picks Greg Hardy, citing his athleticism, size, and UFC experience. He notes Hardy's improvement in patience and jab, and believes De Castro may gas in later rounds. Levi acknowledges De Castro's power and timing but thinks Hardy's reach advantage and ability to avoid big shots will be key.
Matt is high on De Castro, citing his leg kicks, power, and movement. He believes De Castro can neutralize Hardy's movement with calf kicks and eventually finish him. He sees Hardy as overvalued and plans to bet De Castro if the line reaches +200. He picks De Castro by second-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 0 | 86 of 152 | 56% | 86 of 152 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 46 of 135 | 34% | 51 of 140 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 23 of 45 | 51% | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 32 of 51 | 62% | 32 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 14 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexander Volkov | 0 | 31 of 56 | 55% | 31 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 21 of 57 | 36% | 21 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov | 86 of 152 | 56% | 44 of 101 | 26 of 32 | 16 of 19 | 86 of 152 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Greg Hardy | 46 of 135 | 34% | 23 of 92 | 13 of 29 | 10 of 14 | 46 of 135 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Volkov | 23 of 45 | 51% | 9 of 27 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 23 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Greg Hardy | 11 of 40 | 27% | 9 of 31 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 3 | 11 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexander Volkov | 32 of 51 | 62% | 12 of 28 | 12 of 14 | 8 of 9 | 32 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Greg Hardy | 14 of 38 | 36% | 4 of 19 | 6 of 14 | 4 of 5 | 14 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexander Volkov | 31 of 56 | 55% | 23 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 31 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Greg Hardy | 21 of 57 | 36% | 10 of 42 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 21 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The only heavyweight contest on the card is our co-main event, as ranked contender Volkov (30-7, 4-1 UFC) welcomes short-notice replacement Hardy (5-1, 1 NC; 2-1, 1 NC UFC) into hostile territory. The referee of this 516-pound battle is Leon Roberts. Hardy runs towards his opponent but they touch gloves, and Volkov opens with an unexpected leg kick to start the fight. He lands a few more, and Hardy fires back with a long right straight. Hardy flicks out a jab, and Volkov hammers him to the body with a kick and then fires a jab at the American's face. Hardy looks to set up a big right hand, and as Volkov defends it with a kick, Hardy darts in to pursue a takedown. Volkov defends it and circles out, but takes a kick from Hardy. Hardy throws a jab to the body and then one to the head, so Volkov responds by flipping a quick head kick up that Hardy is able to block. A strong one-two comes from Volkov, and Hardy chases after him with some left jabs. Two more jabs from Hardy land successfully, so Volkov comes back with a similar string of punches. As Hardy punches the body, Volkov slaps him back to the midsection with a quick kick. Hardy keeps the jab going, and Volkov is out of the way but takes a leg kick. Volkov snaps a jab out that gets the crowd behind him, as they appear to be chanting his name. "Drago" walks him down with jabs and speedy kicks, and then clips Hardy on the chin with a right hand that makes Hardy lick his lips. Hardy pounces with two big left hands, but Volkov is no worse for wear as he throws out another body kick to his short-notice opponent. This surprisingly close round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Round 2
The two grin and stare at one another as they touch gloves, and we are informed that Hardy may have injured his right hand in that first round. Hardy continues to pepper with that left jab, so Volkov throws a jab back at him and then a right. Hardy throws that potentially compromised right without ill effect, and Volkov is largely able to roll with it. The two trade leg kicks, but the volume is in favor of Volkov as he doubles and triples up on them. Hardy tries to throw back harder, and goes full power for a strike that is well short of the mark, and he nearly tumbles to the cage floor in the process. Hardy keeps his jab to the body going, and Volkov is content to pick at him with kicks at distance. As Hardy sets up a big right hand, Volkov clips him with a straight left, but Hardy still connects with that punch. Volkov digs to the body with a push kick, and Hardy leaps forward to attack the body in response. Volkov continues that gameplan, working the front kick to the midsection and catching Hardy with numerous kicks to the body when the American comes in. Hardy rushes in with a right, and then fires a spinning back first at his Russian opponent, but Volkov is able to block it. Volkov sneaks up a head kick that partially lands, and Hardy grins at him. Volkov works the body several more times with kicks, and he follows those punches with sharp jabs. As the horn sounds, Hardy limps back to his corner.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov
Round 3
A final touch of gloves leads immediately to a front kick that tags Volkov on the chin. Hardy comes out like he was shot out of a cannon, swinging hard but not landing to great effect. Volkov stays tall and jabs at Hardy, and the American complains of an eye poke. Roberts contends that it was a knuckle, and we continue unabated. As they trade jabs, Hardy tries to close the distance but Volkov remains in kicking range. They go jab-for-jab, until Volkov commits on a few leg kicks that cause Hardy to flinch. As he lands a few low kicks, he fakes low and goes up with a head kick that grazes the chin of the former football player. Hardy grabs hold of Volkov's left hand in a jab, so Volkov fires a right hand that slams into Hardy's jaw. Hardy lets go and tries to keep jabbing, but his volume is about half as much as Volkov. As Hardy goes low, Volkov flings a head kick and again catches Hardy unaware, but Hardy walks right through it. With a minute remaining, the two trade heavy jabs, and then a big body kick from Volkov stuns Hardy momentarily. Another follows immediately, and then a head kick from Volkov sends something flying out of the cage -- it might be tape, or spit, or even Vaseline. Volkov keeps the distance striking going, and jabs and kicks his way until the final horn sounds, and we have surprisingly reached the scorecards.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Volkov (30-27 Volkov)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Volkov (29-28 Volkov)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Volkov (30-27 Volkov)
The Official Result
Alexander Volkov def. Greg Hardy via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 54 of 105 | 51% | 54 of 105 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Sosoli | 0 | 26 of 97 | 26% | 26 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 19 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Sosoli | 0 | 9 of 32 | 28% | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Sosoli | 0 | 7 of 35 | 20% | 7 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ben Sosoli | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 54 of 105 | 51% | 22 of 72 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 28 | 52 of 103 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Sosoli | 26 of 97 | 26% | 15 of 78 | 10 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 8 | 17 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Sosoli | 9 of 32 | 28% | 3 of 22 | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Greg Hardy | 18 of 31 | 58% | 5 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 10 | 18 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Sosoli | 7 of 35 | 20% | 5 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Greg Hardy | 17 of 35 | 48% | 5 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 10 | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ben Sosoli | 10 of 30 | 33% | 7 of 25 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 0 | 36 of 38 | 94% | 36 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Juan Adams | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 0 | 36 of 38 | 94% | 36 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Juan Adams | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Hardy | 36 of 38 | 94% | 35 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 31 |
| Juan Adams | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Hardy | 36 of 38 | 94% | 35 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 31 |
| Juan Adams | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Greg Hardy, citing his toughness and one-punch power. He notes Hardy can get in the pocket and take a shot, but expresses a caveat about him not getting worn out.
Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura over Greg Hardy, despite Hardy being a slight favorite. He notes Tybura's solid wrestling and BJJ black belt, and believes he can take Hardy down, where Hardy looks like a 'fish out of water'. Brady predicts a submission win in the third round, citing Hardy's poor gas tank and Tybura's experience advantage.
The host likes Tybura as a dog, citing Hardy's narrow path to victory (KO only) and suspect gas tank. He believes Tybura's well-rounded game, including takedowns and volume, will overwhelm Hardy as the fight progresses. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision for Tybura.
The Guru picks Marcin Tybura, believing he will push Greg Hardy against the cage and weather an early storm. He notes Tybura's improved conditioning and grappling ability, and that Hardy tends to gas. He predicts a 29-28 decision or late TKO for Tybura.
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