Career Averages - Luana Pinheiro
Career Averages - Sam Hughes
Luana Pinheiro
Sam Hughes
Luana Pinheiro - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecia Pennington | 0 | 63 of 127 | 49% | 78 of 149 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 40 of 110 | 36% | 46 of 118 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 26 of 61 | 42% | 30 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 16 of 51 | 31% | 19 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 21 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 20 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Tecia Pennington | 0 | 19 of 28 | 67% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 7 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecia Pennington | 63 of 127 | 49% | 34 of 82 | 10 of 17 | 19 of 28 | 56 of 109 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 40 of 110 | 36% | 23 of 85 | 5 of 9 | 12 of 16 | 33 of 95 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tecia Pennington | 26 of 61 | 42% | 18 of 42 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 13 | 21 of 51 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 16 of 51 | 31% | 11 of 44 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 43 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tecia Pennington | 18 of 38 | 47% | 8 of 25 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 8 | 17 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 20 of 39 | 51% | 11 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 35 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tecia Pennington | 19 of 28 | 67% | 8 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 18 of 23 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 4 of 20 | 20% | 1 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 17 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tecia Pennington, stating she should win all day long. He notes that Pennington is good everywhere, with good boxing, solid grappling, and insane cardio. He acknowledges that the line at -400 is a little sketchy but believes she wins more often than not. He suggests the over might be more affordable and advises keeping an eye on the over line.
Big Brady picks Tecia Pennington, noting that Luana Pinheiro fades after the 7.5-minute mark. He argues Pennington's losses are to elite fighters in close decisions, and a loss to Pinheiro would be her worst ever. He expects Pennington to win by decision.
The host is surprised Pennington is such a big favorite, believing Pinheiro matches her in physicality and may be the better striker in terms of landing significant damage. He sees Pinheiro as very live to pull off the upset and picks her to win by decision. However, the pick is not made with high confidence, as he acknowledges the line is surprising.
The Guru picks Tecia Pennington, calling her underrated and strong for the division. He believes she scrambles well and won't be outgrappled by Luana Pinheiro. He notes Pennington was robbed in past decisions against Mackenzie Dern and Tabatha Ricci, and thinks she is better overall. He predicts a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 42 of 105 | 40% | 63 of 128 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:17 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 52 of 108 | 48% | 78 of 145 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 0 | 1 | 8:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 14 of 38 | 36% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 15 of 35 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 25 of 61 | 40% | 29 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 20 of 47 | 42% | 22 of 55 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 18 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 17 of 29 | 58% | 41 of 55 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 4:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 42 of 105 | 40% | 23 of 84 | 16 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 41 of 102 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 52 of 108 | 48% | 33 of 72 | 5 of 18 | 14 of 18 | 28 of 76 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 28 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 14 of 38 | 36% | 8 of 32 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 15 of 32 | 46% | 6 of 17 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 8 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 25 of 61 | 40% | 13 of 48 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 20 of 47 | 42% | 11 of 32 | 3 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 17 of 29 | 58% | 16 of 23 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 20 |
Angelo argues that since Luana Pinheiro was submitted by Angela Hill (the least dangerous grappler), she will certainly be submitted by Gillian Robertson, who has the most submission wins in flyweight history. He acknowledges Pinheiro has decent takedown defense and striking, but the MMA math leads him to Robertson. He calls it the only logical conclusion.
Big Brady believes this is a terrible matchup for Pinheiro, who fades after 7.5 minutes and has been submitted before. He praises Robertson's size, strength, cardio, and ground game, predicting she will take over late and submit Pinheiro in the second round.
Cody echoes Paul's concerns about Pinheiro's wrestling and notes her quit in the Ronda Marcos fight. He highlights Robertson's high ring IQ and ability to grind opponents down with ground and pound. Cody expects Robertson to dominate on the mat and finish or win a clear decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Pinheiro's striking is aimless and formless. He thinks Robertson can ride out Pinheiro's initial success and eventually get her to the mat. He expects a submission win for Robertson.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Gillian Robertson, highlighting her record for most submission wins in UFC women's history and her ability to get takedowns. He criticizes Luana Pinheiro's toughness and cites past performances where Pinheiro was taken down and submitted by lesser grapplers. Vreeland expects Robertson to dominate on the ground and secure a finish.
Lucrative James confidently picks Gillian Robertson to win by submission. He highlights that Robertson has more physicality at strawweight and is a dangerous BJJ artist, while Pinheiro has cardio issues and is not strong in grappling. He predicts Robertson will get top position and finish via rear-naked choke or armbar, and also suggests the fight won't go to decision.
This is a horrible stylistic matchup for Pinheiro. If she can't get success in the first round, Robertson will wear her down with pressure and pace, leading to a submission victory in round two.
Paul sees Pinheiro's takedown defense as a major red flag, citing her struggles against Angela Hill and Michelle Waterson. He believes Robertson's relentless top control and submission threats will be too much. Paul likes Robertson by submission and thinks the -400 line is accurate.
The Guru picks Gillian Robertson, citing her grappling advantage and recent submission wins. He notes Luana Pinheiro's two-fight losing streak and that Robertson is a big favorite. He expects Robertson to implement her grappling and get a submission or TKO finish.
Zane picks Robertson confidently. He notes that Pinheiro has a one-dimensional judo clinch game and no real striking. Robertson is a diligent takedown artist and ruthless on the ground. He expects Robertson to get the takedown and likely submit Pinheiro.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 0 | 17 of 60 | 28% | 25 of 77 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 28 of 79 | 35% | 39 of 91 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 8 of 34 | 23% | 15 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 0 | 10 of 40 | 25% | 11 of 41 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 24 of 49 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angela Hill | 17 of 60 | 28% | 11 of 51 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 54 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 28 of 79 | 35% | 19 of 64 | 9 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 21 of 71 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angela Hill | 7 of 20 | 35% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 8 of 34 | 23% | 8 of 29 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Angela Hill | 10 of 40 | 25% | 5 of 32 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 20 of 45 | 44% | 11 of 35 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hill (-135), Pinheiro (+114)
Round 1
It’s on with the main card. Two strawweights on the outside of the top 15 looking in—the UFC does have one of them ranked—will come to blows in hopes of making that next big step towards contention. Pinheiro (11-2, 3-1 UFC) will be looking to get back into the green after her last outing saw her nine-fight win streak snapped violently. On the other side of the equation, divisional staple Hill (16-13, 11-13 UFC) has won three of our last four and is on a solid run despite turning 39 in January. Referee Herb Dean is ready for the long haul, and the women are too as they get right to it with no consideration of a glove touch. Hill feints her way forward, flicking out a front kick to test the waters and find her range. Pinheiro circles to both directions, and Hill cuts her off and pitches out a high kick that is several feet away from her intended target. Hill leaps forward with two right hands, both still too distant. Hill closes in, but the first actual strike landing is a calf kick from the Brazilian. Both women throw and land simultaneous right hands, and Pinheiro keeps her left hand ready to release. Hill puts the ball of her foot on Pinheiro’s torso, and she continues to walk Pinheiro down winging a right hand. The two women stick out jabs, and Pinheiro shoots for a takedown but cannot get anywhere. Hill backs away from a right hand, and she meanders forward and tosses out a head kick that is inaccurate. Pinheiro stick out a jab that marks up Hill’s nose, and they rush towards one another and start trading. Pinheiro looks to mix things up and throw Hill to the floor, but “Overkill” keeps her balance and pushes Pinheiro back to the fencing. Pinheiro jumps guard with a guillotine choke, and Hill threatens back with a Von Preux shoulder choke all while looking to establish better top position. Pinheiro releases her choke so that she does not get countered, and Hill lands a solid right hand before getting pushed off by Pinheiro’s flailing legs. Pinheiro gets off an upkick or two, and Hill pounces and bops her in the noggin with a right hand. Hill gets backed off with upkicks, and she connects with two mean standing-to-ground punches. Pinheiro jumps back to her feet, and Hill hurls her back down and lands a few strikes before the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hill
Round 2
Pinheiro races out of her corner to engage, only for Hill to jab her back. Pinheiro loads upon on a power right hand, and when that misses, she leans back as one from Hill buzzes past her as well. Pinheiro splits the guard with a front kick, and Hill flirts with a single-leg takedown and comes over the top with a right. Pinheiro pirouettes with a back fist, and Hill’s guard is high enough to protect her. Pinheiro uses her jab effectively to score, and she times a right hand over the top. When Hill crowds her, Pinheiro lands hard again and grins to celebrate her handiwork. Pinheiro spins with a back fist, and Hill sees it coming and ducks it so she can throw Pinheiro to the ground. Pinheiro grabs the fence a few times to stay afloat, and Dean warns her for the fouls. The two fight for position in the clinch when Hill’s takedown comes up short, and Hill stifles a trip that Pinheiro offers back. Pinheiro escapes the clinch, and Hill gives chase with a front kick and a stabbing jab that snaps the head back. They both go after high kicks, and Hill tries a jumping switch kick and a high kick that both miss the mark. Hill misses with a head kick, and she knocks Pinheiro off her feet with a lunging jab. Pinheiro hops back up, and Hill is on her with pressure and strikes. Pinheiro shoots for a takedown, and Hill stops it and clings to a guillotine choke that she uses to knee the Brazilian in the head. Pinheiro escapes, and Hill runs at her and kicks her in the face. Pinheiro swings back and lands a left hand that cuts Hill’s eye, and Pinheiro shoots for a takedown.
Hill snatches up the neck while stuffing the attempt, and she sits down with a guillotine choke. When they hit the ground, Hill sweeps to claim the mounted guillotine, and the choke is crushingly tight. Pinheiro, who holds most of her finishes by submission while never suffering a submission loss, taps out.
Hill punts an 11-fight consecutive streak of fights going the distance with her tapout victory, and she is so excited when Dean intervenes that she does not know what to do with her hands. Hill figures it out and offers to help the defeated Pinheiro back to her feet, and she jumps into the arms of her corner to celebrate her first-ever submission win.
The Official Result
Angela Hill def. Luana Pinheiro R2 4:12 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angela Hill is a veteran with high fight IQ, good speed, volume, and versatility, though she lacks power. Luana Pinheiro is a powerful striker with solid takedowns and BJJ, but Hill's experience and game planning should prevail. Hill recently showed she can wrestle, and Angelo expects her to stick to a game plan and win a decision.
Cody highlights Pinheiro's pattern of coming out fast and then gassing, as seen against Amanda Lemos and Randa Markos. He believes Hill's technical striking, footwork, and cardio will allow her to weather the early storm and take over in later rounds. Cody also notes Hill's improved wrestling, which she used to get five takedowns against Denise Gomes.
Pinheiro is effective early but slows down, and Hill has improved her takedown defense and getups. Hill's volume and cardio advantage will allow her to piece up Pinheiro in the later rounds. Hill has derailed prospects before and should keep the fight standing. Expects Hill to win a decision.
Paul expects Hill to use her veteran savvy and volume to outwork Pinheiro, who has a history of gassing after a fast start. He notes Hill's technical striking and footwork will allow her to capitalize as the fight goes on. Paul also mentions Hill's recent use of wrestling as a new wrinkle.
The MMA Guru picks Angela Hill over Luana Pinheiro, calling Pinheiro 'quite [__]'. He argues that Hill has a misrepresented record with several robbery losses, and that she is difficult to finish. He believes Hill will outwork Pinheiro over three rounds and win a decision, as Pinheiro barely scraped by against Michelle Waterson.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 55 of 116 | 47% | 56 of 120 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 87 of 224 | 38% | 96 of 234 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 25 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 18 of 69 | 26% | 19 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 40 of 98 | 40% | 40 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 13 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 37 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 55 of 116 | 47% | 36 of 86 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 51 of 109 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 87 of 224 | 38% | 57 of 158 | 8 of 29 | 22 of 37 | 81 of 212 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 25 of 54 | 46% | 17 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 18 of 69 | 26% | 12 of 51 | 1 of 8 | 5 of 10 | 17 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 18 of 35 | 51% | 11 of 23 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 40 of 98 | 40% | 23 of 64 | 3 of 14 | 14 of 20 | 39 of 96 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 12 of 27 | 44% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 29 of 57 | 50% | 22 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 25 of 48 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, expecting her to use her size and strength to grind out a win. He notes she is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and cardio. He warns she must stay controlled and not get sucked into a brawl. He also mentions a prop bet on Luana Pinheiro inside the distance.
Big Brady thinks Ribas is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, grappling, cardio—but her chin is very bad, having been dropped and knocked out multiple times. He finds it hard to pick Pinheiro, who he doesn't think is that great, to win by knockout. He predicts Ribas wins by decision but calls it a sketchy fight due to durability concerns.
Cody picks Amanda Ribas, citing her takedown offense and volume striking. He notes that Pinheiro is a front-runner who tires, and Ribas can mix in takedowns and striking to win. He acknowledges Ribas took damage in her last fight but believes she has the dog in her to win.
Pinheiro has good striking power and can hurt Ribas on the feet. Ribas's grappling is a threat, but Pinheiro is strong enough to keep it standing. Pinheiro's power punches can find the button and knock Ribas out, likely in the second round. The line is too wide; Pinheiro has value at plus money.
Paul picks Ribas, noting her takedown accuracy and ability to grind. He points out that Pinheiro gasses and has questionable durability. Paul believes Ribas can take her down, tire her, and open up striking. He mentions Ribas' loss to Barber but thinks Pinheiro lacks that finishing ability.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas despite concerns about her chin after being knocked out at flyweight. He criticizes Luana Pinheiro's record as padded, noting her controversial win over Michelle Waterson and a fake knockout against Randa Markos. He believes Ribas has a massive reach advantage and that Pinheiro lacks the power to finish her, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 61 of 188 | 32% | 70 of 199 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 44 of 122 | 36% | 48 of 132 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 20 of 67 | 29% | 20 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 15 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 19 of 62 | 30% | 22 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 20 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 3 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 22 of 59 | 37% | 28 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 10 of 29 | 34% | 13 of 34 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 61 of 188 | 32% | 18 of 114 | 16 of 34 | 27 of 40 | 53 of 178 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 44 of 122 | 36% | 16 of 79 | 15 of 21 | 13 of 22 | 38 of 109 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 20 of 67 | 29% | 5 of 39 | 4 of 11 | 11 of 17 | 20 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 15 of 43 | 34% | 5 of 29 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Pinheiro | 19 of 62 | 30% | 9 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 6 of 12 | 18 of 59 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 19 of 50 | 38% | 9 of 34 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 9 | 15 of 42 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Pinheiro | 22 of 59 | 37% | 4 of 32 | 8 of 16 | 10 of 11 | 15 of 52 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 10 of 29 | 34% | 2 of 16 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 5 | 9 of 25 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Luana Pinheiro but with low confidence, citing age and career trajectory. He notes that Luana is a powerful striker with solid takedowns, but Michelle Waterson has veteran savvy and is the better overall striker. He is concerned about Luana coming off major knee surgery, which could affect her athleticism. He thinks Michelle is very live as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Michelle Waterson-Gomez as an underdog, citing the massive step down in competition for Waterson. He notes that Pinheiro has a strong judo and early power but fades as the fight goes on. He believes Waterson's striking and experience will allow her to take over in later rounds. He is hesitant due to Waterson's age (37) but sees value.
Cody picks Waterson as a value play. He thinks the fight is closer to 50-50 than the line suggests, so he sides with the plus money. He notes Pinheiro hasn't proven much and her DQ win over Randa Marcos was unimpressive. However, he doesn't love the pick and says he probably won't bet it. He acknowledges Waterson is at the end of her career.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Waterson. He notes that Pinheiro is raw and that Waterson is a competent, tough, high-level fighter who knows how to win. Connor also mentions that Pinheiro's potential hasn't been realized yet.
Jacob flips to Michelle Waterson after film study, noting that Luana's takedowns are almost all Judo headlock throws that work against lower-level opponents. He believes Michelle's experience and superior striking will allow her to stay out of the clinch and dominate. He also points out that Luana is coming off major knee surgery, which could be a factor.
Waterson-Gomez is a veteran with good movement, kicks, and underrated grappling. Pinheiro has power and a strong top game but questionable cardio and competition level. I think Waterson's experience and ability to stay at range will wear on Pinheiro's gas tank, leading to a decision win. However, I lack high confidence because Pinheiro could land effective damage early.
Paul picks Pinheiro but is hesitant. He notes Pinheiro is younger, stronger, and has better wrestling and power. He thinks Pinheiro can take Waterson down and win rounds. However, he acknowledges Waterson's experience and fan-friendly style could lead to a close split decision in Florida. Paul says this is a low-confidence pick and not a top play.
The MMA Guru picks Michelle Waterson to win by 29-28 decision. He describes it as a 'snooze fest' where Waterson will use fight IQ to secure a takedown at the end of each round, stealing the rounds on the scorecards. He expects a close fight with little action, but Waterson's experience and late-round takedowns will be the difference.
Zane picks Waterson because she is a crafty veteran who can stay tight and technical, taking Pinheiro off her feet with takedowns. He notes that Pinheiro's game is raw and she doesn't have a great top game or method to get ground and pound. Zane also mentions that Waterson is tough to knock out and has good reactive shots.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 60 of 159 | 37% | 67 of 170 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:07 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 53 of 130 | 40% | 65 of 147 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 11 of 39 | 28% | 16 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 11 of 27 | 40% | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 23 of 63 | 36% | 24 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 20 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 26 of 57 | 45% | 27 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 23 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 60 of 159 | 37% | 40 of 126 | 14 of 25 | 6 of 8 | 53 of 148 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Sam Hughes | 53 of 130 | 40% | 23 of 72 | 6 of 22 | 24 of 36 | 50 of 126 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 11 of 39 | 28% | 5 of 30 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Sam Hughes | 11 of 27 | 40% | 3 of 11 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 12 | 11 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Luana Pinheiro | 23 of 63 | 36% | 20 of 56 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 6 |
| Sam Hughes | 19 of 47 | 40% | 9 of 28 | 2 of 9 | 8 of 10 | 19 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Luana Pinheiro | 26 of 57 | 45% | 15 of 40 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 23 of 56 | 41% | 11 of 33 | 2 of 9 | 10 of 14 | 20 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Luana Pinheiro, citing her power striking, solid takedowns, and BJJ. He notes Sam Hughes is tough but hittable with a negative striking differential, and that Luana's grappling will be the difference. He expects a decision win rather than a finish, as Luana doesn't have one-punch KO power. He mentions the odds are probably correct at -290.
Big Brady picks Luana Pinheiro to win by first-round finish. He notes Pinheiro's phenomenal judo and ability to get the fight to the mat, but also highlights her gas tank issues as she hasn't seen the second round in over seven fights. He believes Sam Hughes' 44% takedown defense is a major hole and that Pinheiro will exploit it early. However, he warns that if Hughes survives the first round, the fight could get sketchy for Pinheiro.
Cody picks Pinheiro but is concerned about her cardio. He notes that all her wins are first-round finishes and she lost a decision when the fight went past the first round. However, he believes her judo and grappling are superior to Hughes's. He thinks Pinheiro will likely finish Hughes early, but if it goes longer, she may fade. He recommends betting Pinheiro inside the distance at plus money to mitigate the cardio risk.
Daniel Levi picks Luana Pinheiro to win by armbar. He notes her judo throws and power, but worries about her panic when fights go past the first round. He criticizes Sam Hughes for being hesitant and timid, and believes Pinheiro will build a 10-8 round early and cruise to victory. He expects a submission finish.
Lock likes Sam Hughes as a plus money underdog. He believes Pinheiro has a terrible gas tank and will fade if she doesn't finish early. Hughes is gritty and durable, and Lock thinks she can push a pace that exposes Pinheiro's cardio. He also notes that Hughes won a round off Loma Lookboonmee, showing she can compete. Lock took a half unit on Hughes moneyline and also sprinkled round props.
Paul picks Pinheiro confidently. He dismisses the controversy around her last fight, stating she looked dominant before the illegal kick. He believes her judo is upper echelon and she will easily take Hughes down. He notes that Hughes has been dominated on the ground by Lookboonmee and finished by Tisha Torres. Paul thinks Pinheiro is a real prospect and Hughes is a card filler.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Pinheiro over Sam Hughes. He notes that Sam Hughes has not looked impressive in her UFC fights, facing tough competition in Tisha Torres and Loma Lookboonmee. He highlights Pinheiro's dominant grappling performance against Randa Marcos, where she took her down five times and out-struck her on the feet. He expects Pinheiro to win on the feet and in grappling, likely by unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 35 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Randa Markos | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 35 of 61 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Pinheiro | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 34 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Randa Markos | 29 of 53 | 54% | 22 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 20 of 38 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Pinheiro | 18 of 40 | 45% | 12 of 32 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 34 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Randa Markos | 29 of 53 | 54% | 22 of 44 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 20 of 38 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 8 |
Big Brady picks Luana Pinheiro to win by decision, but expresses hesitation about betting on Contender Series fighters, especially in women's MMA. He likes Pinheiro's aggression, power, and ability to take the fight down, noting Markos's poor takedown defense. However, he acknowledges that Contender Series favorites often fail to cover the price tag. He ultimately picks Pinheiro but says he won't bet on it.
Cody thinks Pinheiro is a strong prospect with hands and a judo background, training at ATT with her boyfriend Matheus Nicolau. He notes that Randa Markos has lost three in a row and seems to be on a downswing, possibly thinking about retirement. He believes Pinheiro can exploit Markos in many areas and that -170 is a fair price. However, he has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA and the veteran vs. debutant dynamic.
Daniel Levi picks Luana Pinheiro to win, citing her finishing ability and jiu-jitsu credentials. He acknowledges the risk of a debut egg but believes Randa Markos is declining mentally and physically. Levi notes that Pinheiro's path to victory is takedowns and top control, as Markos has been dominated on the ground recently.
The host picks Randa Markos as an underdog, citing her experience and durability. He questions Pinheiro's cardio since all her wins are first-round finishes on the regional scene. He expects Markos to take the fight into deeper waters and grind out a decision.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Markos has seen better days and is on a losing streak. He points out that Markos has never won back-to-back fights in the UFC and is getting older. He thinks Pinheiro is a natural finisher with good grappling and striking, and that she looks strong for 115 pounds. He believes Pinheiro can exploit Markos' telegraphing and suspect wrestling. He agrees that -170 is fair but has low confidence due to the level of competition.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Pinheiro over Randa Markos, expressing frustration with Markos' poor decision-making and lack of effort. He highlights Pinheiro's power and finishing ability, noting she has first-round finishes in her recent fights. He predicts Pinheiro will win by first-round finish, either by submission or KO.
Sam Hughes - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 107 of 231 | 46% | 111 of 237 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 77 of 144 | 53% | 91 of 160 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 41 of 87 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 33 of 43 | 76% | 37 of 47 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 32 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 37 of 83 | 44% | 38 of 84 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 22 of 64 | 34% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 107 of 231 | 46% | 52 of 163 | 45 of 55 | 10 of 13 | 72 of 188 | 34 of 42 | 1 of 1 |
| Sam Hughes | 77 of 144 | 53% | 47 of 110 | 13 of 17 | 17 of 17 | 65 of 132 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 40 of 85 | 47% | 18 of 59 | 16 of 19 | 6 of 7 | 29 of 70 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 33 of 43 | 76% | 13 of 23 | 9 of 9 | 11 of 11 | 30 of 40 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 30 of 63 | 47% | 15 of 46 | 13 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 48 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 |
| Sam Hughes | 22 of 37 | 59% | 16 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 37 of 83 | 44% | 19 of 58 | 16 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 26 of 70 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 22 of 64 | 34% | 18 of 58 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 59 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Piera Rodríguez but is hesitant. He thinks Rodríguez's takedowns will be the key, as Sam Hughes's takedown defense has not been great. However, he warns that Las Vegas judges may not value wrestling, and if Hughes is busier on the feet, she could get the decision. He would not bet Rodríguez and prefers Hughes as a dog.
Big Brady picks Piera Rodríguez to win by decision, citing her improved cardio and wrestling since their first fight. He notes her elite takedown numbers (4.5 per 15 minutes, 54% accuracy) and believes she will mix in takedowns and control the fight. He sees the rematch playing out similarly to the first, with Rodríguez winning rounds 1 and 2 and possibly not slowing down in round 3.
Cody picks Hughes as a dog, citing her toughness, scrambling, and striking advantage. He notes Rodríguez's takedowns don't lead to control. He thinks Hughes can outwork her and win a decision.
Connor also picks Rodríguez, emphasizing that she was consistently ahead in the first fight and has the speed and technical edge. He notes that Hughes's wins come against inexperienced fighters, while Rodríguez is more well-rounded. He sees the rematch as unnecessary but expects a similar outcome.
James picks Sam Hughes as an underdog, expecting a close decision. He notes Hughes' improved takedown defense and cardio, and believes she can win by outworking Rodríguez. He acknowledges Rodríguez's grappling advantage but thinks Hughes can edge a split decision.
The host believes Sam Hughes has improved since their first fight, particularly in strength and conditioning, and that her pressure and volume will be key. He notes that Hughes has better takedown defense now and can get back to her feet quickly, negating Rodriguez's clinch advantage. He expects Hughes to outdamage Rodriguez and win a decision, citing that rematches often play out differently and Hughes is the one who has improved more.
Paul leans Rodríguez, citing her wrestling and previous win over Hughes. He thinks she can get takedowns and control. He acknowledges it's close but favors the wrestler.
The Guru picks Piera Rodríguez to win the rematch, believing she will improve her striking and that her grappling will be more recognized by the judges this time. He notes that in the first fight, Rodríguez outgrappled Hughes but lost due to striking, and he thinks Rodríguez's youth gives her more room to improve. He predicts a split decision or 29-28.
Zane picks Piera Rodríguez, noting that she was faster and stronger in the first fight and controlled the grappling exchanges. He believes Hughes struggles against fighters with better athleticism and that Rodríguez's speed and technical edge will again be decisive. He acknowledges a chance for Hughes if she comes in more aggressive, but sees Rodríguez as the likely winner.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shauna Bannon | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 42 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 55 of 84 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 5:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shauna Bannon | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 33 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 45 of 65 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:09 | |
| 2 | Shauna Bannon | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 9 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shauna Bannon | 13 of 38 | 34% | 5 of 20 | 4 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 12 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 2 |
| Sam Hughes | 21 of 46 | 45% | 19 of 43 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shauna Bannon | 7 of 21 | 33% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 13 of 29 | 44% | 11 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 12 | |
| 2 | Shauna Bannon | 6 of 17 | 35% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
| Sam Hughes | 8 of 17 | 47% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hughes (-310); Bannon (+250)
Round 1
After a week to catch our collective breaths, the UFC sallies forth to Paris. As part of its annual French fight card series, local fans will be treated to a bevy of European athletes with decent matchups. It all comes to a head with French fighters in the main and co-main attractions, but before then, there are 11 more fights to get through. We commence the festivities with the sole women’s match on the card, one that will play out at strawweight. Bannon (7-1, 2-1 UFC) will look to keep her momentum going as she clashes with .500 UFC fighter Hughes (10-6, 5-5 UFC) who may be better than her resume appears. The two 115ers will be joined in the Octagon by referee Lukasz Bosacki, who clocks them in as they rush towards one another without a fist bump in sight. It’s on with the show.
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They both strike at the same time to greet one another, and Hughes lands cleaner and gest Bannon’s attention right off the bat. Reddening up the Irishwoman’s nose with her fists, she prompts Bannon into shooting in for a takedown. Hughes turns the tables against her and tackles her to the mat, and various chants in French boom throughout the surprisingly populated building. When Bannon closes up her guard and slows Hughes down, members of the audience start wooing rudely. Bosacki calls for more action before long, and the crowd starts to turn on the strawweights as the grind has been embraced two minutes in. Bannon lifts her right leg up for a rubber guard, but Hughes completely ignores it and retains heavy chest pressure.
As little else happens besides a few Hughes punches, Bosacki calls for them to do something more. “Sampage” listens this time around, and she slugs Bannon with several powerful blows. Bannon’s eyes go wide as she takes fire, and she grabs hold of Hughes to slow her down. Hughes looks to pass guard, and Bannon uses upkicks to push off her foe’s chest. The upkicks do not slow Hughes, who steps over to a crucifix position and starts hammering “Mama B” with elbows. Bosacki asks for Bannon to fight back as Hughes thumps Bannon up with her elbows, and Bannon desperately bucks to get her arm free and drags Hughes back to half guard. Hughes explodes over to take the back briefly during a scramble, and she settles for side control so she can beat down Bannon further. When Bannon sits up, Hughes tries for a no-hook rear-naked choke. The Irish fighter is able to escape the choke and work to her feet with the wall behind her, and Hughes knees her in the face and pops her with a left hand before the bell sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Round 2
The ladies get right to business, with Bannon knowing she dropped the round and starting off aggressively. Kicks from the Irish athlete fly to all targets, as she sets up one high by starting on the lead leg. Hughes shrugs it off and counters with an overhand right, and a bit of a mouse develops under her left eye. Hughes is tough as nails as she catches a head kick and slings Bannon to the mat, where she punches her foe all the way down to the canvas. Hughes sits comfortably in an open guard, and Bannon hooks her fingers inside of her opponent’s gloves. Bosacki warns her for the foul, and Hughes punishes her for this by bashing her with heavy ground-and-pound. “Sampage” works her way to side control, where she hunts for another crucifix position—perhaps emulating the recent success of middleweight champ Khamzat Chimaev—and this makes Bannon scramble like a madwoman. Hughes allows her to turn because she has set a trap. When Bannon posts of her hands to sit up, her neck is exposed and Hughes knows it.
Hughes snatches up a textbook rear-naked choke, looping both hooks in and securing her grip beneath the chin. Bannon knows her goose is cooked, and she has no choice but to tap out.
The victorious American has performed her first submission—and second finish overall—in the Octagon, while handing Bannon her first stoppage loss as a pro.
The Official Result
Sam Hughes def. Shauna Bannon R2 1:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo is extremely confident in Sam Hughes, calling her his most confident pick on the entire card. He criticizes Shauna Bannon's unorthodox and ineffective striking style, describing her as having low fight IQ and a 'weirdo fight style.' He believes Hughes' relentless pressure, cardio, and grinding ability will overwhelm Bannon, leading to takedowns and forward pressure. He notes the line has moved from -250 to -320 and expects it to go even higher. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a prop.
Big Brady picks Sam Hughes, noting she is a favorite for the first time in her UFC career. He believes this is her easiest fight yet, citing her pressure, cardio, and pace. He mentions she can mix in grappling but is not willing to bet at -310. He predicts a decision win.
The host believes Sam Hughes is a great matchup to expose Shauna Bannon as not a UFC-level talent. He expects Hughes to control the fight from the start with her pressure striking or takedowns and top control, grinding out a decision win.
The Guru picks Sam Hughes because she has a clear method of victory: her wrestling and gritty cardio. He criticizes Shauna Bannon for lacking any standout skill, noting her win over Pujitoma was circumstantial. He expects Hughes to win a close decision by securing takedowns at the end of rounds, which often sways judges in women's MMA.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Luciano | 0 | 82 of 251 | 32% | 101 of 273 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 76 of 152 | 50% | 146 of 233 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 4:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Luciano | 0 | 42 of 104 | 40% | 52 of 114 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 35 of 68 | 51% | 42 of 75 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Luciano | 0 | 18 of 44 | 40% | 20 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 71 of 98 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:19 | |
| 3 | Stephanie Luciano | 0 | 22 of 103 | 21% | 29 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 28 of 55 | 50% | 33 of 60 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Luciano | 82 of 251 | 32% | 45 of 202 | 23 of 34 | 14 of 15 | 79 of 246 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 76 of 152 | 50% | 43 of 113 | 15 of 20 | 18 of 19 | 69 of 144 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephanie Luciano | 42 of 104 | 40% | 21 of 76 | 13 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 102 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 35 of 68 | 51% | 21 of 48 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 9 | 32 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stephanie Luciano | 18 of 44 | 40% | 9 of 35 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 41 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 13 of 29 | 44% | 8 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Stephanie Luciano | 22 of 103 | 21% | 15 of 91 | 3 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 103 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 28 of 55 | 50% | 14 of 41 | 8 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Stephanie Luciano over Sam Hughes. He believes Luciano is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and cardio. He notes that Hughes is a pressure fighter but Luciano won't fade early. He also mentions the plus 3.5 round line as a potential value bet on Hughes.
Big Brady picks Stephanie Luciano, noting her excellent cardio and output, which should allow her to maintain pace for all 15 minutes. He observes that Sam Hughes' wins come against opponents who slow down after the first 7-8 minutes, but Luciano won't fade. Brady thinks if Luciano can stuff takedowns, she will pick Hughes apart on the feet. He predicts a decision win but does not like the -225 price.
Cody picks Yur Medeiros, but with low confidence due to his volatile style and durability issues. He notes that Medeiros is a finisher but has been knocked out. He prefers the under on the fight, expecting a finish. He considers Gilbert Urbina as a dog play because of the high line.
Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.
The host believes Luciano's striking advantage will prove decisive, though the fight might be closer than odds indicate. He expects Luciano to land more damage and win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Gilbert Urbina as a dog, citing Medeiros's inconsistency and durability issues. He notes that Urbina has a reach advantage and has been off for a while, possibly making improvements. He believes the line is too high and that Urbina has a chance to win, especially if he can avoid early knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Stephanie Luciano, citing her improved takedown defense after facing an opponent who shot 24 takedowns in her last fight. He notes she's tall for the division with nasty striking, planting her feet when she throws punches. He dismisses Sam Hughes as a 'fraud checker' who has beaten prospects but thinks Luciano's takedown defense and striking will be too much. He also suggests judges might rob Hughes even if she wins, so he's confident in Luciano.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 61 of 144 | 42% | 104 of 199 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 4:38 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 97 of 193 | 50% | 139 of 240 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 34 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 30 of 70 | 42% | 39 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 34 of 65 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 41 of 80 | 51% | 54 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 36 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 46 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 61 of 144 | 42% | 45 of 122 | 15 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 50 of 125 | 11 of 19 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 97 of 193 | 50% | 65 of 147 | 24 of 38 | 8 of 8 | 86 of 179 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 25 of 66 | 37% | 16 of 54 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 53 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 30 of 70 | 42% | 19 of 51 | 7 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 26 of 64 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 25 of 53 | 47% | 19 of 46 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 48 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 41 of 80 | 51% | 29 of 66 | 10 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 39 of 77 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 11 of 25 | 44% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viktoriia Dudakova | 26 of 43 | 60% | 17 of 30 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
Angelo picks Dudakova but is hesitant because the odds are too high for a close fight. He thinks Dudakova is the better fighter skill-for-skill and expects her to wrestle early, but warns that if she lets Hughes pressure, she could have a tough night. He advises against betting the moneyline and recommends the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady acknowledges Sam Hughes is a live dog but thinks Dudakova can go the full 15 minutes without gassing. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and striking defense, while Dudakova should do enough to win a close decision. He mentions Dudakova's last poor performance was due to a staph infection on her ass, which should not be a factor this time.
Cody picks Sam Hughes, citing Dudakova's poor performances, weight miss, and medical issues. He notes that Dudakova has low volume and overrated wrestling, while Hughes has faced better competition and is constantly in your face. Cody thinks Hughes can outwork Dudakova and win a decision. He also mentions that Hughes is always an underdog and fights to the last minute.
Daniel leans towards Dudakova, citing her reach advantage, youth, and takedown ability against Hughes' poor takedown defense. He acknowledges Hughes' higher pace but thinks Dudakova can seal rounds with takedowns and win a close decision. He is not fully confident due to Dudakova's greenness.
Hughes is a live underdog if not at a huge physical disadvantage. She should put on a pace and grind out Dudakova, winning at least two rounds on the scorecards.
Paul picks Sam Hughes, noting that Dudakova has not impressed and has had weight issues. He thinks Hughes can make the fight ugly and grind out a decision. Paul also mentions that Hughes is underrated and always gives 100% effort. He believes the line is too wide and that Hughes has a good chance to win.
The MMA Guru picks Victoria Dudakova over Sam Hughes, calling Hughes 'awful' and past her prime. He notes Dudakova is a younger, improving Russian prospect with a win streak, including a win over Maria Silva on the contender series. He expects Dudakova to do enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 94 of 269 | 34% | 97 of 272 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 83 of 197 | 42% | 88 of 206 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 28 of 88 | 31% | 29 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 21 of 52 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 32 of 91 | 35% | 33 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 36 of 75 | 48% | 39 of 78 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 0 | 34 of 90 | 37% | 35 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 28 of 75 | 37% | 28 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yazmin Jauregui | 94 of 269 | 34% | 52 of 197 | 24 of 42 | 18 of 30 | 84 of 253 | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 83 of 197 | 42% | 40 of 143 | 17 of 24 | 26 of 30 | 80 of 190 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yazmin Jauregui | 28 of 88 | 31% | 16 of 65 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 9 | 22 of 78 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 19 of 47 | 40% | 11 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Yazmin Jauregui | 32 of 91 | 35% | 18 of 67 | 9 of 14 | 5 of 10 | 29 of 87 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 36 of 75 | 48% | 15 of 53 | 11 of 11 | 10 of 11 | 34 of 70 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Yazmin Jauregui | 34 of 90 | 37% | 18 of 65 | 7 of 14 | 9 of 11 | 33 of 88 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 28 of 75 | 37% | 14 of 54 | 3 of 7 | 11 of 14 | 27 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Jauregui, believing the UFC set this up for her to get back on track. He notes her striking and grappling are impressive, and while she was knocked out quickly in her last fight, Sam Hughes doesn't hit as hard. He trusts the process.
Big Brady picks Yazmin Jauregui to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Jauregui is the biggest favorite on the card at -500 and that the matchup is favorable. He praises Jauregui's takedown defense and striking, while criticizing Sam Hughes's hittability and toughness. He thinks Jauregui will dominate on the feet and potentially finish Hughes, though he questions Jauregui's chin after being dropped in her last two fights.
Cody picks Jauregui but is hesitant, calling it the coward's way out. He notes Jauregui's durability is a question mark after being knocked out by Denise Gomes, but her takedown defense held against Lendo. He thinks Jauregui has a massive advantage on the feet and is more interested in live betting.
The host believes Hughes will be the best wrestler Jauregui has faced, despite Jauregui's 100% takedown defense rate (only two attempts faced). He thinks Hughes's improvement at Fortis MMA and game planning will allow her to take the fight into deep waters and win on the scorecards, springing a massive upset.
Paul leans towards Hughes due to the massive plus price. He notes Hughes is 3-1 in her last four, gritty, and has been using more wrestling lately. He questions what makes Jauregui such a huge favorite, as she hasn't excelled in hard 15-minute fights. However, he admits Hughes isn't a power puncher and if it's a striking affair, Jauregui likely wins.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 12 of 52 | 23% | 52 of 109 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 3 | 0 | 3:42 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 46 of 104 | 44% | 107 of 176 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 7:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 11 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 8 of 11 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 34 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 2 of 21 | 9% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 60 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 12 of 52 | 23% | 12 of 42 | 0 of 7 | 0 of 3 | 11 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 46 of 104 | 44% | 45 of 101 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 62 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 35 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 7 of 25 | 28% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 3 | 6 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 18 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 6 of 21 | 28% | 6 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 2 of 21 | 9% | 2 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jaqueline Amorim | 29 of 58 | 50% | 28 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 30 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Amorim (-245), Hughes (+205)
Round 1
For the third time in five weeks, the UFC is asking its fans to empty their pocketbooks and shell out $80 for a fight card. This event in Miami, with a championship rematch a mere six months in the making sitting atop the marquee, might have something to offer everyone. The now dozen-bout billing begins in the women’s strawweight division, with a match that would be well-suited for an LFA headliner. Unbeaten Amorim (6-0, 0-0 UFC) will make her first walk to the Octagon tonight, where she meets “Sampage” Hughes (7-5, 2-4 UFC). The first fight of the night begins with a touch of gloves in front of referee Andrew Glenn, and it’s on with the show. Amorim introduces herself with a few sweeping kicks, and Hughes dodges or blocks them all. Hughes paws forward a jab, and she is met with a pair of right hooks from the Brazilian. Hughes claims she was poked in the eye, and Glenn does not recognize it so they do not stop. Hughes walks her opponent down, but she gets countered repeatedly by Amorim. Hughes presses forward with jabs outstretched, and Amorim shoots in from afar with a takedown. Hughes defends from her back with an armbar, but Amorim laughs this off and steps over to a dominant position. As Hughes scrambles, Amorim takes her back and briefly considers an armbar setup. Hughes fights it off and explodes back to her feet, and she elbows her foe in the face before defending another level change. Amorim grabs hold of a single-leg takedown and lifts Hughes off the ground to toss her to the mat like a sack of potatoes. Hughes instinctually keeps her legs high for a potential triangle choke, and Amorim slides through and allows Hughes to move to her knees so she can take the back. Briefly flirting with a kimura lock from the back, she instead gets both hooks in and hunts for a rear-naked choke. Amorim secures the body triangle and strangles Hughes, but the tough Hughes grits it out and fights the hands to defend from the choke. Hughes stands up, and Amorim remains on her back and wrenches on the neck. Amorim locks it down, and Hughes fights the hands again to defend the choke and does so by getting her fingers in the gloves. Amorim switches to a palm-to-palm grip as Hughes falls to her back, and once again Hughes survives while still firmly entrenched in the danger zone. Amorim retains her tight body triangle around the waist, and she abandons the back take to step over into mount and set up an arm-triangle choke. Hughes scrambles and gets slugged in the chops, and she manages to stand up. The round ends as she chases Amorim across the cage.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Amorim
Round 2
Amorim has reached the second round for the first time as a pro, and Hughes appears energized as she pushes forward and drives Amorim to the wall. Amorim jumps to guard, and Hughes backs off and lets her stand up. Amorim swings with a body kick, and Hughes lays into her with a pair of punches. Amorim rushes in for a takedown, and Hughes bowls her over and moves into the guard. Amorim sets up the body triangle off her back, keeping Hughes from dropping down ground-and-pound. Hughes looks to free her hands to bust the Brazilian in the face, but Amorim is clinging tightly and looking to sneak her arm under Hughes’ knee. Hughes wrenches out her left hand to bop Amorim in the nose a few times, and Amorim flails with her legs and pushes Hughes off of her to force the standup. Hughes strides forward with a few punches, and a takedown effort from Amorim is again thwarted by “Sampage.” Hughes makes Amorim stand up again, and she dings her with a few punches. Amorim falls to her back, and Hughes complains to Glenn about grabbing the glove. Amorim fastens the body triangle with Hughes on top, and she postures up in the guard and rains down punches. Amorim turns to pursue a leglock, and Hughes rips it out and stands. Amorim is slow to follow her up, seemingly running out of steam, and she pursues a desperation takedown that is easily stuffed. The crowd rains down boos as Amorim overcommits to a single, and she turns it to a double-leg and ends up pulling guard instead. Amorim goes after a heel hook, but Hughes slides the leg free and stands up. Hughes decides to pursue a single of her own, and she dumps Amorim on her back and holds her there until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes
Round 3
Everyone and their brother in Hughes’ corner informs her that her opponent is exhausted. The third round opens with a glove touch, and Hughes is the immediate aggressor to pick up right where she left off. Amorim flails feebly with her fists, and Hughes ignores them and gets off a right hand. “Sampage” fires off a high kick, and Amorim flops to her back and looks to tie Hughes up. Hughes escapes, and the Brazilian stands and backs up against the cage. Hughes punts her in the face with a front kick, and Amorim moves to her back again and puts her legs around the waist. Hughes opens up with heavy hammerfists and elbows, and Amorim tries to fight back but is getting into a failed slugfest from her back. Hughes settles down when Amorim gets the body triangle around the waist again, and Amorim turns to a side in hopes of setting up a two-on-one wrist lock. Hughes continues to fight off that kimura setup, all while punching the body and otherwise frustrating the unbeaten fighter. Hughes does not slow her methodical offense, and a long series of left hands land on the jaw. Amorim paws back every time to little effect, and she turns over with the body triangle still in play for an armlock. Amorim is warned for grabbing the inside of the glove, and Hughes does not like this and opens up with some heavy ground-and-pound. Hughes bails on the position and stands up, and a fatigued Amorim stands and backs away. Hughes pushes out a front kick and a few punches, and she has Amorim on the ropes and totally spent. Amorim leans forward for a takedown, but has no energy to secure it, so Hughes pushes her to her seat and pounds on her. Hughes pushes off and stands, and Amorim wings a big right hand and follows with a front kick. Amorim gets caught with a few punches, drops down for a takedown, and the match comes to a close. Depending on the scoring of Round 1, a draw could theoretically be in play.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hughes (29-28 Hughes)
The Official Result
Sam Hughes def. Jaqueline Amorim via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo sees Jaqueline Amorim as the clear winner due to her undefeated record, all stoppage wins, and superior grappling with blast double takedowns and a wild array of submissions. He notes she also has legitimate one-punch power. However, he is cautious about betting because Sam Hughes is extremely tough and has UFC experience, which could lead to a fade if Amorim doesn't finish early. He suggests an under 2.5 rounds play might be the way to go.
Big Brady is confident in Jaqueline Amorim due to her elite BJJ credentials and six first-round finishes. He notes that Sam Hughes has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents. He believes once Amorim gets the fight to the mat, it will be over quickly via submission. He predicts a first-round submission.
Cody picks Amorim but is slightly hesitant due to the price. He notes Amorim's submission skills are elite and that she finishes fights quickly. He points out Hughes' poor takedown defense and believes Amorim will get the fight to the ground and submit her. Cody says he won't parlay her but thinks she wins. He mentions the under on the fight time as a potential play.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hughes. He notes that Amorim is a great prospect but very raw, and Hughes has shown she can break opponents who expect to win quickly.
Jacob agrees that Amorim should dominate, highlighting her methodical takedown timing and excellent top control. He notes that Sam Hughes's toughness may actually work against her because she scrambles to get back to her feet, which opens up submission opportunities for Amorim. He is concerned about Amorim's cardio if the fight goes past the first round, but believes she is good enough to get the job done early.
Amorim is a BJJ black belt with all six wins by first-round finish. Her grappling should overwhelm Hughes, who has good cardio but may struggle to stop takedowns. The line at -230 is too wide for a debutant, but Amorim's submission threat is real. I expect her to lock up a submission after getting the fight to the ground.
Paul picks Amorim, believing her BJJ is elite and that she will take Hughes down and submit her. He notes Hughes has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by many opponents. Paul thinks Amorim's grappling is a level above and that she will progressively improve position. He acknowledges Amorim's striking is unproven but expects her to get the fight to the ground quickly. He suggests live betting Hughes if the fight goes past the first round.
The MMA Guru predicts Jaqueline Amorim will win by first-round submission via rear-naked choke. He envisions a scramble early on where Amorim gets Hughes against the cage, executes an inside or outside trip to get on top in half guard, then takes the back as Hughes scrambles and sinks in the choke. He is confident in this outcome, describing the sequence in detail.
Zane picks Hughes because Amorim is raw and has never been outside the first round. He notes that Hughes has been building a functional game and is aggressive with intelligent pressure. Zane also mentions that Amorim's grappling is not complex and she may not get clean takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 83 of 160 | 51% | 89 of 166 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 0 | 0 | 1:56 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 69 of 155 | 44% | 78 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 19 of 53 | 35% | 20 of 54 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 22 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 34 of 51 | 66% | 37 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 20 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 0 | 30 of 56 | 53% | 32 of 58 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 31 of 56 | 55% | 36 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piera Rodríguez | 83 of 160 | 51% | 32 of 101 | 42 of 48 | 9 of 11 | 47 of 122 | 33 of 35 | 3 of 3 |
| Sam Hughes | 69 of 155 | 44% | 55 of 135 | 11 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 55 of 140 | 14 of 14 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piera Rodríguez | 19 of 53 | 35% | 7 of 35 | 9 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 47 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Sam Hughes | 21 of 56 | 37% | 18 of 50 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 52 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Piera Rodríguez | 34 of 51 | 66% | 13 of 29 | 17 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 35 | 13 of 14 | 2 of 2 |
| Sam Hughes | 17 of 43 | 39% | 12 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 39 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Piera Rodríguez | 30 of 56 | 53% | 12 of 37 | 16 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 40 | 16 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Hughes | 31 of 56 | 55% | 25 of 48 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 49 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Piera Rodríguez, believing she is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling. He notes that Sam Hughes has evolved into a grappler and needs takedowns to win, but Piera has good takedown defense and inflicts damage in scrambles. He calls it a no-bet situation because Sam is live, but he might bet Sam Hughes by decision (+3.5 points) if the odds drop.
Big Brady picks Piera Rodríguez to win by decision. He highlights Rodríguez's improved grappling and powerful striking, and notes that Sam Hughes has poor striking defense and takedown defense. He believes Rodríguez is a bad stylistic matchup for Hughes, who relies on grinding but will struggle to get takedowns. Brady expects a competitive fight but sees Rodríguez winning clearly on the feet and possibly with takedowns.
Cody picks Rodríguez, citing her striking advantage and takedown defense. He notes Hughes has been winning with wrestling against weak opposition, but Rodríguez should be able to keep the fight standing and out-strike her. He is hesitant due to Rodríguez's cardio concerns.
Rodríguez is the better striker with power and leg kicks, and her wrestling is on par with Hughes. Hughes relies on pressure and wrestling, but Rodríguez should be able to stuff takedowns and win the striking exchanges. The host expects a decision win for Rodríguez and likes the decision prop at +105. However, the odds are slightly wide, and Hughes could be live.
Paul picks Rodríguez but is hesitant. He notes Rodríguez has good takedown defense and a striking advantage, but her cardio and ground game are question marks. He thinks Hughes could tire her out with wrestling, but ultimately Rodríguez should win.
The MMA Guru picks Piera Rodríguez, noting her undefeated record and experience in main events. He believes she has too much power for Sam Hughes and will drop her in the first round, lose the second, and win the third on pace. He predicts a 29-28 decision, citing Rodríguez's sting in her shots and ability to withstand pressure.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 0 | 17 of 41 | 41% | 70 of 100 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 43 of 65 | 66% | 130 of 161 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 11:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 57 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 23 of 41 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 55 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:49 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Elise Reed | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 52 of 60 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hughes | 17 of 41 | 41% | 10 of 34 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 37 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 43 of 65 | 66% | 33 of 51 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 19 | 6 of 10 | 30 of 36 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Hughes | 16 of 35 | 45% | 9 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 31 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 15 of 31 | 48% | 9 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Sam Hughes | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 13 of 15 | 86% | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 15 | |
| 3 | Sam Hughes | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Elise Reed | 15 of 19 | 78% | 14 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
Angelo picks Sam Hughes based on her grappling performance in her last fight, where she showcased takedowns and control time. He notes that Elise Reed was taken down four times in two fights, making the takedown the difference. However, he acknowledges it's a close fight and that Elise Reed is better than people think. He is hesitant because both women are coming off career-saving wins.
Big Brady picks Elise Reed because she is the better striker with improved takedown defense. He notes Sam Hughes is a walking punching bag with poor striking defense, and Reed should win on the feet. He predicts a decision win for Reed but says he is not betting on this fight.
Cody picks Reed confidently, citing her superior striking, footwork, and cardio. He notes Hughes' lack of offense and tendency to rely on opponents gassing. He believes Reed will outpoint Hughes from range and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.
The host picks Sam Hughes as his free pick of the night at +145. He believes Hughes's path to victory involves grappling, either takedowns or control time against the cage. He expects Hughes to implement her grappling and grind out a win. He is confident enough to bet one unit on her.
Paul agrees with Cody, saying Reed's kicking game and cardio should be too much for Hughes. He notes Hughes' only win came against a gassed opponent and that Reed won't tire. He is confident in Reed.
The MMA Guru believes Elise Reed is better on the feet and can mitigate damage on the ground, working her way back up. He thinks Sam Hughes will get takedowns but the damage from Reed's striking will be too much. He predicts a razor close 29-28 decision for Reed.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Luana Pinheiro, citing her power striking, solid takedowns, and BJJ. He notes Sam Hughes is tough but hittable with a negative striking differential, and that Luana's grappling will be the difference. He expects a decision win rather than a finish, as Luana doesn't have one-punch KO power. He mentions the odds are probably correct at -290.
Big Brady picks Luana Pinheiro to win by first-round finish. He notes Pinheiro's phenomenal judo and ability to get the fight to the mat, but also highlights her gas tank issues as she hasn't seen the second round in over seven fights. He believes Sam Hughes' 44% takedown defense is a major hole and that Pinheiro will exploit it early. However, he warns that if Hughes survives the first round, the fight could get sketchy for Pinheiro.
Cody picks Pinheiro but is concerned about her cardio. He notes that all her wins are first-round finishes and she lost a decision when the fight went past the first round. However, he believes her judo and grappling are superior to Hughes's. He thinks Pinheiro will likely finish Hughes early, but if it goes longer, she may fade. He recommends betting Pinheiro inside the distance at plus money to mitigate the cardio risk.
Daniel Levi picks Luana Pinheiro to win by armbar. He notes her judo throws and power, but worries about her panic when fights go past the first round. He criticizes Sam Hughes for being hesitant and timid, and believes Pinheiro will build a 10-8 round early and cruise to victory. He expects a submission finish.
Lock likes Sam Hughes as a plus money underdog. He believes Pinheiro has a terrible gas tank and will fade if she doesn't finish early. Hughes is gritty and durable, and Lock thinks she can push a pace that exposes Pinheiro's cardio. He also notes that Hughes won a round off Loma Lookboonmee, showing she can compete. Lock took a half unit on Hughes moneyline and also sprinkled round props.
Paul picks Pinheiro confidently. He dismisses the controversy around her last fight, stating she looked dominant before the illegal kick. He believes her judo is upper echelon and she will easily take Hughes down. He notes that Hughes has been dominated on the ground by Lookboonmee and finished by Tisha Torres. Paul thinks Pinheiro is a real prospect and Hughes is a card filler.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Pinheiro over Sam Hughes. He notes that Sam Hughes has not looked impressive in her UFC fights, facing tough competition in Tisha Torres and Loma Lookboonmee. He highlights Pinheiro's dominant grappling performance against Randa Marcos, where she took her down five times and out-struck her on the feet. He expects Pinheiro to win on the feet and in grappling, likely by unanimous decision.
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