vs
-162 +145
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021 · Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 7"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 32
Height 5' 7"
Reach 69"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cody Durden
3.34 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
4.19 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
3.89 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Aoriqileng
4.69 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
5.47 SApM
48.0% Str. Def.
1.2 TD Avg
46.0% TD Acc.
58.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Cody Durden
Moneyline
FanDuel -162
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
BetWay +600
Decision
FanDuel +150
Aoriqileng
Moneyline
DraftKings +145
KO/TKO
FanDuel +550
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +280
Cody Durden - Fight History
SCHED vs Ode' Osbourne
UFC 329 · Jul 11, 2026
WIN vs Jafel Filho
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jafel Filho 0 23 of 63 36% 50 of 93 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:08
Cody Durden 0 34 of 72 47% 91 of 136 5 of 5 100% 1 0 5:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jafel Filho 0 3 of 12 25% 9 of 18 1 of 1 100% 0 1 2:00
Cody Durden 0 11 of 23 47% 36 of 50 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:20
2 Jafel Filho 0 8 of 28 28% 17 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Cody Durden 0 15 of 34 44% 21 of 41 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:37
3 Jafel Filho 0 12 of 23 52% 24 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Cody Durden 0 8 of 15 53% 34 of 45 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jafel Filho 23 of 63 36% 10 of 44 7 of 13 6 of 6 16 of 54 7 of 9 0 of 0
Cody Durden 34 of 72 47% 21 of 54 4 of 6 9 of 12 24 of 61 3 of 4 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jafel Filho 3 of 12 25% 1 of 7 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Durden 11 of 23 47% 8 of 18 2 of 3 1 of 2 3 of 14 2 of 3 6 of 6
2 Jafel Filho 8 of 28 28% 2 of 19 2 of 5 4 of 4 7 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0
Cody Durden 15 of 34 44% 6 of 24 1 of 2 8 of 8 14 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Jafel Filho 12 of 23 52% 7 of 18 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 17 6 of 6 0 of 0
Cody Durden 8 of 15 53% 7 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 2 7 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Jafel Filho
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Filho (-600); Durden (+450)

Round 1
A late replacement up a weight class, Durden (17-10-1, 6-8-1 UFC) hopes that he can snap a four-fight skid and exorcise his demons against “Pastor” Filho (17-4, 3-2 UFC). The Brazilian celebrates all but one of his pro wins by stoppage, so the Georgia native will need to be on his best behavior for the next 15 minutes or less. Referee Jason Herzog will keep things official as the two men up at bantamweight throw down. They elect to bump clap hands first.
Despite their seemingly intense beginning, no one throws a strike anywhere close to their intended target for nearly 30 seconds. Filho lazily pushes out a front kick, allowing Durden to respond with an overhand right. Durden rushes forward to tackle Filho to the mat, surprising the Brazilian and forcing him to respond with submission attempts. Durden defends the setups, but in the process, he is turned around with Filho pursuing his own level change. Both men get in a 50-50 position with their arms hooked, but it is Filho who is the quicker man as he stands up and wraps his right arm around Durden’s chest like a malicious seat belt.
Filho also slips his legs around Durden’s to try to disrupt his base, and like a python slowly swallowing a goat, he inch-by-inch separates Durden from his balance to put him down. Filho tries to set something up on top, but the frantic Durden bursts out of the position to get back upright. Filho is quick to chase after him with punch combinations, his front kick at the end of one scoring well. Filho changes stances to time a check of a kick he sees coming, and Durden marches him down and slings him to the mat with a trip. When Durden sits up to drop down strikes, Filho off his back looks for a kneebar. Durden turns out of it to take Filho’s back when they stand, and the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
Durden races out of his corner swinging, hurling big punches while Filho makes a funny face and slides to the side. Durden walks through a thudding calf kick to further crowd the Brazilian, and his subsequent kick is caught. Filho does not take advantage of this, instead lobbing a right left hand upstairs. Durden fires back with his own hook, and his low kick makes Filho recoil it to the side to take some of the sting out of it. Durden keeps pressuring his foe, and his inside leg kick scores a few more times. Filho tries for a step-in knee, and he gets his jaw jacked with a right hand. Durden catches him with a right hand and trips Filho up. Filho hits his back and offers up an upkick, using the moment of impact to explode back to his feet. Durden nonetheless tackles him to the ground, pulling Filho away from the cage as Filho grabs it, and he backs off to find another angle in.
Durden winds up an axe kick, smashing his heel directly into Filho’s cup. He tries to keep attacking, but Herzog remarks that he just kicked him square in the groin and that he needs to back off. After a short recovery time, Filho is good to go, and he starts to apply pressure. He dings Durden with a right hand as he crowds him to initiate in a clinch and possible body lock to throw, but Durden sees it coming and pushes him back. Filho parries a big right hand, but the second from Durden gets through. Filho plods forward, chasing after the American throwing big hands. Durden is elusive enough to evade the worst of what comes his way, only for Filho to grab hold of him and throw him down like too many bags of groceries, because who needs three trips to the car when you can bring them all in with one overloaded trip, as cans and bottles fall out of the bags while one rips, and you bang into furniture and hope you brought it all inside. Check the eggs before putting them in the fridge first. Filho attacks mightily on top, forcing Durden to turn over so he can hunt for a choke. Before he gets it, the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Filho
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Filho
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Filho

Round 3
There is a half-hearted hug between the two athletes, and Filho is energized coming out of his corner but does not go wild. Instead, Durden methodically works his way in, using his overhand right to close the distance. Filho ducks in to tie the Georgia native up, and after he tries to manipulate the action, he slashes out with an elbow and a heavy right. Durden breaks off and hunts for a front choke, letting it go to pursue a takedown, ultimate tripping Filho but not getting him down. Both men pop back up, some damage showing under Filho’s right eye, and Durden completes a trip and throw to put the Brazilian on the mat.
Durden looks for an off-angle choke in hopes of otherwise controlling Filho, and the Brazilian’s first roll to escape fails. Filho escapes the grappling exchange but appears totally wiped, slowly trying to stand up. Durden targets a soccer kick square in the ribs, and “Pastor” topples to his back. Durden leaps down to half guard, where he changing his position to take the back. With a single hook in, Durden grabs hold of a neck crank and turns Filho’s head to the left. Filho grits it out but is stuck, with Durden screaming at him or anyone listening while he clubs Filho on the sides of the head. The odd match ends with Durden pumped up and yelling. It may all come down to the first round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Durden (29-28 Durden)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Durden (29-28 Durden)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Durden (29-28 Durden)

The Official Result
Cody Durden def. Jafel Filho via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jafel Filho

Big Brady picks Jafel Filho over Cody Durden. He highlights Durden's struggles with grappling and submission defense, noting he has been submitted five times. He is impressed by Filho's performance against Clayton Carpenter, where he got a first-round Kimura. He predicts Filho will take Durden down and submit him in the first round.

Filho wins by first round submission
"I think Jafer Filho is going to take him down and and probably going to sub him in the very first round."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jafel Filho

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Filho easily. He notes that Durden is on a terrible losing streak, has been finished repeatedly, and his only recent win is over a retired fighter. Connor also points out that Filho is a strong wrestler and submission artist, and that Durden's short notice makes the line even more justified.

Filho opened at -400, now -650; Durden opened at +330, now +475. Connor thinks the line is sensible.
"i gotta say too like a that feels too wide but b also up at phantom weight like i really don't durden is not yeah it's not a strong flyweight uh filio is a strong has been a strong flyweight …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Hesitant picked Apr 25, 2026 (fight day)
Cody Durden

The host thinks the odds are very wide and that Durden can cause Filho problems due to his scrambly wrestling and Filho's weakness off his back. However, Durden's terrible cardio is a major risk. He says it's an IQ test: impossible to bet Filho, so if you must bet, take Durden. He prefers live betting and will bet Durden +3.5 and over 1.5 rounds.

Durden +3.5 rounds; over 1.5 rounds; prefers live betting
"It's clearly dog or pass. And it's not really up for debate."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jafel Filho

James picks Filho, expecting him to exploit Durden's grappling weakness with a submission win. He notes Filho's elite jiu-jitsu and early strength, predicting a first-round submission.

submission in round one
"I'll take Jafal Filo to win via submission in this one. ... I would expect that Jafel Filo gets a submission in round one here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jafel Filho

Zane picks Filho confidently, noting that Durden has lost four in a row and six of his last seven, and is getting crushed in most losses. He points out that Durden's confidence is gone after being knocked out, and that Filho is a strong submission artist with good top control. Zane also mentions that Filho is moving up from flyweight, which should make him even stronger.

Filho opened at -400, now -650; Durden opened at +330, now +475. Zane thinks the line is appropriate given Durden's short notice.
"you just got to pick filio like this version of durden against a athletically competent submission artist uh-huh i ain't picking cody he's not a bad wrestler like yeah that too yeah you know it's not like filio in fact …"
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 326 · Mar 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Durden 0 8 of 21 38% 54 of 69 3 of 8 37% 0 3 4:50
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 0 25 of 42 59% 43 of 60 4 of 4 100% 1 2 6:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Durden 0 4 of 8 50% 21 of 25 3 of 6 50% 0 0 1:51
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 0 9 of 13 69% 15 of 19 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:37
2 Cody Durden 0 4 of 11 36% 8 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:37
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 0 12 of 22 54% 20 of 30 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:51
3 Cody Durden 0 0 of 2 0% 25 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 2 2:22
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 0 4 of 7 57% 8 of 11 1 of 1 100% 0 2 2:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Durden 8 of 21 38% 5 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 3 7 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 2
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 25 of 42 59% 20 of 34 1 of 3 4 of 5 7 of 19 1 of 1 17 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Durden 4 of 8 50% 1 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 1
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 9 of 13 69% 5 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 7 1 of 1 5 of 5
2 Cody Durden 4 of 11 36% 4 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 1
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 12 of 22 54% 11 of 20 0 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 12 0 of 0 8 of 10
3 Cody Durden 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 4 of 7 57% 4 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tumendemberel (-148), Durden (+124)

Round 1
What should be a grappler’s delight will treat fans as flyweights Durden (17-9-1, 6-7-1 UFC) and Tumendemberel (9-1, 0-1 UFC) ply their trade against one another. The former has dropped three straight, while the latter’s “Art of Knockout” nickname may be a little off-kilter as the Mongolian celebrates most of his victories via tapout. Regardless of funky, multi-syllabic, the two will meet under the auspices of referee Jason Herzog, and they race towards one another without a touch of gloves to get things started.
Durden peels back right before crashing into his opponent, and they offer low kicks at one another before Durden shoots for a double-leg entry. Tumendemberel defends by jumping guard with a guillotine choke, and both fighters are fresh and dry as a bone. Tumendemberel adjusts his grip to grab hold from a different angle, hanging the choke higher up but not locking it down entirely. Durden slithers his neck out of danger and looks to get off some ground strikes, and it takes mere seconds before Tumendemberel scrambles. Tumendemberel is able to stand, and Durden takes his back from one side and has his gloves grabbed while doing so. Herzog warns the Mongolian of the foul, and Tumendemberel leans to put Durden against the cage behind him to take the weight off his back. Tumendemberel shakes his foe off, and the two reset. Both land a single leg kick before Durden shoots, and once more Tumendemberel attacks a guillotine.
Durden twists all the way around to free his neck far easier this time, and he forces them to stand so he can take Tumendemberel down in a way he wishes. The house lights flicker on and off during the match, and Durden looks to Herzog confused while also stifling a takedown shot. Durden knees a bent-over Tumendemberel in the face, and Tumendemberel lifts him off the ground and slams him down on his back. Durden hits the ground and sets up an armbar, snatching hold of Tumendemberel’s right limb but failing to grip it fully. Tumendemberel wriggles out and retreats, and Durden pops back up. Tumendemberel swings for a big right hand, and Durden shoots for a counter takedown. Tumendemberel flips Durden to his back and elbows him in the face a few times, but Durden is still pressing for the takedown. When Durden flips his foe over, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel

Round 2
Herzog issues Tumendemberel a stern warning to not strike Durden in the back of the head between rounds, and Tumendemberel acknowledges this. They start off the second round with Tumendemberel whipping low kicks, and his long punches keep Durden from recklessly shooting…for a time. Durden does go after a takedown, and he gets tossed to his back and attacks a leglock. Tumendemberel sits down to take the danger out of the ankle/heel lock, and he drills Durden in the side of the head until he legs it go. Tumendemberel grabs hold of Durden’s back and assumes a body triangle, and Durden still looks to turn and break out of it. Durden manages to put Tumendemberel on his back despite a brief body lock, and the Mongolian is once more warned for hooking his fingers inside of Durden’s gloves. The ensuing scramble results in Tumendemberel flipping Durden over, where he holds on with a guillotine choke from his back.
This allows a potential Von Preux submission, but Durden smiles when it is applied and his smiles disappears when he gets belted in the face by Tumendemberel’s free right hand. Herzog is on top of these two as there are possible fence grabs, illegal upkicks and other malfeasance going on, and the moment Durden gets up, Tumendemberel hits a clean tackling double to put the American back down. Tumendemberel smothers while in top control grinding his elbow on his foe’s face while Durden motions to Herzog for some intervention. Tumendemberel drills Durden hard in the back of the head, and Herzog calls for him to aim for the ear. Durden gets to his knees and stands, where he rushes after Tumendemberel and nails him with a one-two. When Durden keeps throwing, time expires, and Tumendemberel punches him clearly after the bell. What are rules?

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 3
Durden opens up with a huge right hand, and Tumendemberel counters him by tackling him to the floor. Durden turns the corner to take the back of the Mongolian, who manages to shimmy and slowly buck Durden off of him. Tumendemberel thumps Durden on the chin with a few more elbows, and Durden returns to a knee in hopes of standing. When Durden stands back up, Tumendemberel mat returns him and takes his back to lock up a body triangle. Tumendemberel starts fishing for a rear-naked choke before getting position, and he nails Durden in the back of the head again. Durden slumps over and finds himself in RNC danger, with Tumendemberel’s arm across his face. Durden hand-fights to defend the submission, and he breaks the grip around his face and abdomen to reverse “Art of Knockout.”
Durden drops down a single right hand and positions himself to attack an arm-triangle choke, and he is in half guard with Tumendemberel answering the proverbial telephone to defend the submission. Durden lays flat on top before jumping to the other side, and Tumendemberel rolls to his knees to break out of it. Durden clings to his man from the back, and Tumendemberel bumps and shakes but Durden has his toes hooked in the cage to prevent him from getting rolled off. Durden hangs on for dear life, but he is inch-by-inch sliding off. Tumendemberel finds the moment to free himself and he lashes out with a hard right hand, all while planting Durden flat on his back. Tumendemberel leans his shoulder down to pressure for a possible arm-triangle, and he stands up and finds himself in Hail Mary heel hook danger. Tumendemberel yanks his limb free and the bell sounds, but he decides he is not done fighting and tries to boot Durden in the face with a soccer kick after the bell. Herzog shoulder-checks the Mongolian to his back, but nothing else happens.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (30-27 Tumendemberel)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (29-27 Tumendemberel)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Tumendemberel (29-27 Tumendemberel)

The Official Result
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel def. Cody Durden via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (27 days before fight)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Angelo says Cody Durden used to be a dog but is now a shell of himself, while Nyamjargal is a powerful striker who can be hit but is durable. He notes that Carlos Hernandez took down Nyamjargal four times but got dropped, and Carlos is more durable than Cody. He picks Nyamjargal to win.

"Unfortunately I'm picking Nam."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Big Brady picks Nyamjargal Tumendemberel over Cody Durden. He acknowledges Durden is likely more skilled but worries about his durability after taking massive damage in recent fights. Durden has been finished five times by submission and two by KO, and his chin appears to be fading. Tumendemberel has good front chokes and opportunistic submissions. Brady predicts Durden will look good early, get hurt, shoot for a takedown, and get submitted in the second round.

Tumendemberel by second round submission
"Give me Nam Jarle two in a barrel to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Cody picks Tumendemberel, citing Durden's cardio issues and hittability. He notes that Tumendemberel only needs to land one shot. He expects a late knockout.

"I'll take the Mongolian fire to get the win."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Connor picks Durden because he believes Durden's relentless aggression will overwhelm Tumendemberel, who lacks a clean answer for pressure. He notes that Tumendemberel is a dangerous puncher but has been taken down easily in the past. Durden's jab and combination punching should allow him to initiate exchanges effectively.

"I think this is a fight where Durden can press his aggression and two, two and several can, we'll never have a clean answer for it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel Vreeland picks his friend Cody Durden, acknowledging bias but providing reasoning. He believes Durden's experience against higher-level competition will be key, and that Durden will avoid getting caught early. Vreeland notes that Durden's career is on the line and expects him to give a veteran lesson.

"I'm super biased. Duran is my friend, so of course I'm picking Deran. I think he's going to come out here and give this guy a tour of the octagon."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Durden

James picks Cody Durden as an underdog, believing the fight is close to 50/50 and Durden is the value side. He notes Durden's superior competition and skills, but acknowledges his poor chin and tendency to get hurt. James thinks Durden can dominate if he avoids getting knocked out, but admits it's a tough call due to Durden's durability issues.

"I'm going to pick Cody Durham because he's the underdog here. And if you have an underdog, but you're saying the fight's 50/50, automatically that's the value side."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Tumendemberel has shown improved defensive grappling and durability. He can stop Durden's wrestling and threaten with submissions or power shots. Durden's recent losses show his ceiling. The under 2.5 rounds is appealing as both have finishing ability.

under 2.5 rounds
"The spot that I like most in this matchup is the under two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

Paul picks Tumendemberel, citing Durden's tendency to fade after the first round. He notes Tumendemberel's durability and power. He expects to bet live after Durden wins the first round.

"Two in Denver all wins late. Uh, is my official pick."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden, despite a personal beef. He believes Durden's grappling and pressure will be too much for Tumendemberel, who lacks experience. He expects Durden to win by decision, noting his toughness and volume.

decision
"I'm going to go with Cody Deren by decision. 2928."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Zane agrees with Durden, though he expresses disdain for Durden's personality. He notes that Tumendemberel's ideas stop at one punch and that Durden can deal with that. He acknowledges the possibility of Tumendemberel landing a big shot or a submission, but thinks Durden's pressure will be too much.

"Yeah, I agree. Durden is the pick."
Submission R2 3:13 · UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Allan Nascimento 0 52 of 115 45% 52 of 115 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:21
Cody Durden 0 57 of 128 44% 57 of 128 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Allan Nascimento 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 36 of 73 49% 36 of 73 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:03
2 Allan Nascimento 0 26 of 57 45% 26 of 57 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:21
Cody Durden 0 21 of 55 38% 21 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Allan Nascimento 52 of 115 45% 19 of 69 7 of 17 26 of 29 51 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Durden 57 of 128 44% 47 of 112 5 of 9 5 of 7 57 of 128 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Allan Nascimento 26 of 58 44% 7 of 31 3 of 9 16 of 18 25 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Durden 36 of 73 49% 28 of 61 5 of 8 3 of 4 36 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Allan Nascimento 26 of 57 45% 12 of 38 4 of 8 10 of 11 26 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 21 of 55 38% 19 of 51 0 of 1 2 of 3 21 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Allan Nascimento
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nascimento (-260); Durden (+210)

Round 1
Due to Durden (17-8-1, 6-6-1 UFC) stepping in to replace Rafael Estevam on short notice, he has agreed to face “Puro Osso” Nascimento (21-6, 3-1 UFC) at a catchweight of 130 pounds. This wrestler vs. grappler affair will be officiated by referee Mark Smith, who claps the athletes in as they touch gloves to signal their relief in being able to fight and get paid this weekend.
Durden bounces up and down on his heels, possibly presenting looks for takedowns, but then springs forward and drills the Brazilian with an overhand right. Durden pops Nascimento with a jab, and he smacks the front leg with his shin. Durden evades a kick and hurls an overhand right, and he pushes out a front kick that is caught and forces him to the mat. Durden lets him back up and puts a jab right in the Brazilian’s face. Nascimento hammers the lead calf with a kick, and a second puts Durden on notice. Durden races ahead throwing punches, and Nascimento slips to the side and beats him with another thudding kick. He scores one more when Durden comes his direction, and Durden still crashes the pocket and checks Nascimento’s chin with a left hand on the cheek. The jabs from Durden are marking up Nascimento’s cheek, and he is not far from splitting it open with sheer volume.
Nascimento keeps his back to the cage and tosses out kicks, and he sharply counters Durden with a right hand and plants one more calf kick for good measure. Durden punches through the guar to reach the taller Brazilian, and he catches him with a right hook and makes Nascimento double over. Nascimento reels and backs away, and Durden knocks him back to the wall with an overhand right. Nascimento goes back after his leg kick, and Durden punches him in the guts to back him away again. Nascimento checks a kick and lets his hands go, and his head kick does reach the top of the head. Durden kicks and shoots for a takedown, and Nascimento stands him up and skirts away from the offense he anticipates. Durden still marches him down, his leg lump and welted from the kicks, so that he can put his hands on Nascimento’s jaw. They trash one another with heavy leg kicks, and Nascimento stings Durden and forces him to shoot on him. Nascimento stands back to let it fly by him, and the horn sounds to end what became a close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Chris Laporte scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
Durden starts out the round as aggressive as ever, and he scores on the Brazilian early. Nascimento slows him down with a steady diet of calf kicks, and his right hands continue to find their home while Durden rushes after him. They clash shins when kicking at the same time, and then bang their heads together when coming towards one another. Nascimento backs off, with Smith telling them to be careful, and he rushes in behind a knee. Durden shakes it off and responds with a plethora of punches, only slowing when Nascimento tries to introduce his shin to the Georgia native’s chin. Nascimento whiffs on a looping left hand, and he has a leg kick checked. Nascimento stands Durden up with a right hand, and he gets his head snapped back in the counter. Nascimento pounds on the front leg, and he eats three punches down the middle like they are nothing. Durden gets clipped with a left hand, constantly pressing forward even when under fire. Nascimento rattles him with a long one-two, wrapping his hand around the back of the neck but not using it for a takedown.
Both met let their hands go, and Nascimento puts Durden down with a counter right hand.
Durden ducks to shoot, and he finds himself immediate ensnared in an anaconda choke. Nascimento has the submission virtually completed the moment Durden hits his knees, in what may be the worst choice that “Custom Made” could have made. Durden turns to his back, but there is no way out, so he has to give up.
Durden taps until Smith intervenes, and Nascimento has now recorded 15 submissions in his 22 pro wins. He asks for a ranked opponent, specifically calling out Steve Erceg for his next outing.

The Official Result
Allan Nascimento def. Cody Durden R2 3:13 via Submission (Anaconda Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Allan Nascimento

Angelo picks Allan Nascimento, but is hesitant. He notes Nascimento's jiu-jitsu is excellent but his takedowns are poor, so he relies on being taken down to sweep. He thinks Cody Durden's wrestling and cardio have declined, and he gets tired. However, he worries that if Durden doesn't wrestle, Nascimento won't finish on the feet, leading to a low-scoring fight. He may avoid it in DFS.

"I think Alan wins this fight. I think Alan could potentially finish this new version of Cody Durden, but I'm... probably going to avoid it."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Allan Nascimento

Big Brady picks Allan Nascimento, noting Cody Durden is on short notice, 34 years old, and has taken a ton of damage in recent fights. He highlights Nascimento's size, length, and excellent grappling. He believes once the fight hits the ground, Nascimento will have a huge advantage and predicts a second-round submission.

second round submission, minus 300 favorite
"I like Nasnto here. I'll take him to win this fight by second round submission."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Allan Nascimento

Connor also picks Nascimento, noting that Durden is super vulnerable on defense and aggressive to a fault. He thinks Nascimento's submission game is dangerous enough to catch Durden, but he wouldn't be surprised if Durden rides out a win on top. He mentions Durden's bigger signature wins but still leans Nascimento.

"I think I'll take Nascimento and one thing I do know about him is that he's durable."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Allan Nascimento

Nascimento's BJJ will get Durden into bad spots and he will eventually pull off a submission. The host's favorite spot is the under 2.5 rounds at even money.

under 2.5 rounds at even money
"His BJJ should help him get Duran into some bad spots and from there I expect Nasameto to eventually pull off a submission. Although my favorite spot in this fight would probably be the under two and a half at …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Allan Nascimento

The MMA Guru picks Allan Nascimento, noting his size advantage at catchweight and superior grappling. He compares Nascimento's dominant grappling against Jafel Filho to Cody Durden's struggles against Jake Hadley. He worries about Durden taking the fight on short notice and predicts Nascimento wins by decision or submission in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"I'm going to say that Allan Nascimento gets this one done. Another thing to mention here as well, Allan Nascimento out-grappled Jafel Filho round after round."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Oct 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Allan Nascimento

Zane picks Nascimento to catch a submission, noting that Durden sells out so hard on offense that he makes himself vulnerable to submissions. He acknowledges that if Nascimento doesn't submit him, Durden could grind out a win. He mentions Nascimento's durability and solid submission game.

submission
"I'm thinking to take Nascimento to catch sub but like you know if he doesn't this could be a very scrappy hard fought fight."
LOSS vs Jose Ochoa
KO R2 0:11 · UFC on ESPN: Usman vs. Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Durden 0 9 of 41 21% 12 of 47 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:42
Jose Ochoa 1 30 of 79 37% 52 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Durden 0 9 of 39 23% 12 of 45 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:42
Jose Ochoa 0 25 of 73 34% 47 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Cody Durden 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jose Ochoa 1 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Durden 9 of 41 21% 6 of 34 1 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 37 0 of 1 1 of 3
Jose Ochoa 30 of 79 37% 18 of 42 7 of 28 5 of 9 24 of 71 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Durden 9 of 39 23% 6 of 32 1 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 35 0 of 1 1 of 3
Jose Ochoa 25 of 73 34% 13 of 36 7 of 28 5 of 9 22 of 68 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Cody Durden 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jose Ochoa 5 of 6 83% 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Jose Ochoa
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ochoa (-180), Durden (+150)

Round 1
Trying to break out of a bit of a rough patch, having lost three of four, Durden (17-7-1, 6-5-1 UFC) needs a win bad and wants it even more because this match takes place at home. A product of American Top Team Atlanta, he will welcome wild-swinging Ochoa (7-1, 1 NC; 0-1 UFC) to the ATL. When the dust settles between these two flyweights, one will return to the win column—barring something unexpected. Referee Kevin MacDonald will be on top of the action. The two combatants bump fists, and Ochoa comes out erratically with bouncing, jittery movement and kicks. Ochoa stabs the body with his toes extended, and he does this two more times before Durden comes back at him with a left hand. Ochoa continues working the body with the same move, and he spins with an elbow on the counter try from Durden. Durden shakes it off and is ready to trade, but it is Ochoa who lands in bunches. Ochoa’s movement allows him to avoid the worst that Durden tosses at him, while keeping a solid range with his legs outstretched constantly. Durden latches onto Ochoa’s right leg in pursuit of a single, wrangling the younger man to the mat and lacing his hooks around them for a moment. Durden slithers to the side in an attempt to take the back, but Ochoa knows this is coming and turns himself around while standing up. Durden knees his way out of the clinch, and Ochoa thanks him for this by kicking him in the fast-reddening lead leg. Ochoa slips a punch to connect with three, with Durden’s chin holding up but taking damage early. Ochoa tags the Georgian with a fast combination, and he grabs hold of a guillotine when Durden shoots and knees him to break up the shot. Ochoa goes to the body with a left, and he spams two head kick from the same leg and chains punches and another kick behind it. Durden tries to bully him back, only to absorbs an elbow and a mean left hand. Ochoa is a meat grinder, marching Durden down and putting him through his paces. Durden takes several more blows on the chin, and in response he unloads a right hand from the depths that stuns Ochoa to his core. This allows Durden to easily change levels and take Ochoa down, but Ochoa hits his back and starts firing off upkicks aplenty. Durden lowers himself down through the flailing legs, dropping down a few standing-and-ground punches. As soon as Ochoa locks up a triangle choke, the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ochoa
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ochoa
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ochoa

Round 2
The second round kicks off with Durden grinning like a banshee. As he moves to the center of the cage, Ochoa meets him there. Durden reaches out with a right hand to initiate an exchange, and the younger fighter dips back and clubs him with an uppercut that shakes the Covington, Georgia, native up badly. As Durden wobbles back to put the fence behind him, Ochoa just misses with a flying switch kick aimed at his mug.
The moment he plants his feet, Ochoa dodges a left hook and unloads a blistering short left hand that jacks Durden in the jaw and sends him careening to the floor. While MacDonald is sprinting to the fighters to wave things off, Ochoa hammers the local with two or three more fierce right hands.
MacDonald gets in to stop the fight, and Durden’s eyes are wide and rolling around in his noggin. Ochoa walks off and celebrates, while Durden looks around confusedly and briefly protests but needs to be helped back to his feet, further justifying the stoppage. Ochoa earns his first UFC victory in big way, putting down a gritty grappler like Durden in the latter’s home territory.

The Official Result
Jose Ochoa def. Cody Durden R2 0:11 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Angelo leans Cody Durden because he is battle-tested and relentless with takedowns. He notes that Jose has good takedown defense but hasn't faced a wrestler as determined as Cody. He acknowledges Cody's suspect chin but believes his pressure will be key.

"I'm probably going to lean Cody here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jose Ochoa

Big Brady picks Jose Ochoa by second-round submission. He likes Ochoa's striking and sneaky submission game, and notes that Cody Durden has been taking damage and has four submission losses. He believes Ochoa is dangerous everywhere and will either knock out Durden or snatch a submission.

second round submission
"I'm going to say OOA wins this fight by second round submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jose Ochoa

Ochoa's superior striking and aggressive BJJ will overwhelm Durden. He will eventually secure a submission and force the tap.

submission
"Look for him to utilize his superior striking... it's a very good and active aggressive BJJ shoulder look to get this fight to the ground... slaps on a submission and forces the tap."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jose Ochoa

The Guru picks Jose Ochoa, impressed by his performance against Lone'er Kavanagh where he showed finishing ability and hurt him to the body. He notes Ochoa is a 'nasty finisher' with submission skills, and expects a finish in the first two rounds, possibly by body shot or submission after hurting Durden.

Jose Ochoa by finish in the first two rounds
"Joseé Ooa is really good and I'm going to take him to win and it's [ __ ] am I going to take him to like dude he looked really good against Lona Kavanaaugh and he should not have looked …"
LOSS vs Joshua Van
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joshua Van 0 70 of 217 32% 74 of 223 2 of 8 25% 0 0 3:14
Cody Durden 0 165 of 304 54% 184 of 323 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joshua Van 0 14 of 33 42% 18 of 38 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Cody Durden 0 30 of 49 61% 46 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Joshua Van 0 27 of 99 27% 27 of 100 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 72 of 136 52% 73 of 137 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
3 Joshua Van 0 29 of 85 34% 29 of 85 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Cody Durden 0 63 of 119 52% 65 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joshua Van 70 of 217 32% 60 of 203 6 of 8 4 of 6 70 of 217 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 165 of 304 54% 131 of 262 22 of 27 12 of 15 144 of 279 19 of 22 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joshua Van 14 of 33 42% 13 of 30 1 of 2 0 of 1 14 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 30 of 49 61% 24 of 39 2 of 4 4 of 6 15 of 32 13 of 15 2 of 2
2 Joshua Van 27 of 99 27% 22 of 93 4 of 5 1 of 1 27 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 72 of 136 52% 57 of 119 14 of 15 1 of 2 71 of 134 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Joshua Van 29 of 85 34% 25 of 80 1 of 1 3 of 4 29 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 63 of 119 52% 50 of 104 6 of 8 7 of 7 58 of 113 5 of 5 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Joshua Van
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Van (-155), Durden (+130)

Round 1
Speed is the name of the game in this flyweight affair, as skilled grappler Durden (17-6-1, 6-4-1 UFC) will try to ply his trade against offense-first Houstonian by way of Myanmar Van (11-2, 4-1 UFC). The two 125ers looking to climb the ranks share similar stoppage rates of 71% and 73%, respectively, which is rare at this division and something referee Chris Tognoni should keep in mind when officiating this contest. Fists are bumped, and they come into close range to trade. Durden lands a low kick and comes up short on a one-two. Van connects with a hard low kick, and Durden fires back with a surprisingly effective high kick and a punch salvo. Durden punches his way into a double-leg takedown, and he gets elbows in the side of the head when trying. Durden drops all the way down to fish for Van’s ankle, and he lifts “The Fearless” up and deposits him to his seat. Van methodically works his way back to his feet with Durden pressuring and leaning on him, and he hacks with a few elbows before Durden drags him back down to the floor. Van strikes with elbows to the side of the dome, and Durden takes a moment to cover as he does not like absorbing them. Van muscles his way up to his feet, but Durden is on him like a cheap suit. Van rips the body with a right hand to break away, and he rushes forward behind his jab. Durden fires off a left hand, and the two trade blows in the pocket. Van pierces the guard with a few jabs and works the body in subsequent strikes, and he snaps the head back with a sharp uppercut. Van gets Durden’s attention, slipping an uppercut to get Durden’s attention. Van slams his shin on the front leg of his foe, and he walks square into an uppercut that Durden is spamming. As Van meanders forward, Durden stops him with a double-leg entry. Van defends with elbows until Durden switches to a single-leg takedown attempt, and Van is able to set his leg down while keeping himself upright. Durden tries to lift Van up in the air, but he settles for grinding out the remainder of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
The flyweights race out of their corners to re-engage, and engage they do. Both men load up on wild strikes, and Van rocks his opponent with a flurry. Durden fires back, and he keeps Van honest but is not taking him out of the equation. Van shrugs off a head kick to do some damage with punch combos, and he sprawls to stop a takedown and clips Durden with an uppercut. Van chains his punches together, and Durden’s balance is starting to betray him as his knees wobble. Van knocks his man back with an accurate series of punches, and he drills the midsection and is ready to stop a takedown. Durden flops to his back, and Van tells him to get up. Tognoni has him stand up, and they start up throwing fire again. Durden lands, and all Van does is smile and swing back with a vengeance. Durden’s power is starting to slip due to fatigue, while Van is accurate and putting high volume that marks Durden’s face up on the nose and eyebrow. Durden overswings, and he eats a crisp overhand right for his effort. “The Fearless” fearlessly engages in a slugfest, landing first and last in exchanges. Van is not loading up, instead allowing Durden to do that so he can capitalize on the wild, lumbering swings and retaliate sharply. Van stops a takedown in its tracks so he can drive home an uppercut, and he wades away from a spinning back fist and slides in to connect with a right hand. Durden’s inaccurate left hook leads to three punches busting him in the chops. Durden keeps swinging hard, and the telegraphed strikes are either missing entirely or sliding off the target and getting rolled with. Van puts a one-two on the chin, and Durden responds with a left and a big right. Van strings together five punches in rapid succession, leaning back to dodge “Custom Made” and forward to connect cleanly. When Van eats the power strikes, he does not budge, while every other blow seems to draw a reaction out of the slowing Durden. The round ends with the two trading leather.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Van
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van

Round 3
A glove touch commences the final frame, and Van is immediately in striking range as he flusters Durden with movement and footwork. Durden fights behind his jab, and he puts some mustard behind a follow-up right hand. Van no-sells the strike and nails Durden with two powerful low kicks, and Durden swipes back at him with left hooks. Van goes high and then to the body and low calf, mixing things up to keep Durden guessing. Durden tries a Superman punch from up close, only fur Van to block it and knock him back a step. One-twos from both sides land on the guard, and Van clubs his foe on the temple and drops Durden to a knee. Durden signals that it was not a big deal, drawing Van into a brawl. Yan’s offense is gradually breaking Durden down, and he connects with a particularly rough left hand that makes Durden fall to his back. Durden is forced to stand back up, and he keeps his right hand covering the eye socket that might have been hurt. Van strings three punches into a knee to the liver, and Durden shells up and launches a huge right hand that goes wide. Van stifles a takedown and misses with a haymaker, only to drift back when Durden spins with a back fist. Van slips and counters his foe, and Durden wobbles but stays on his feet. A jab from Van makes Durden frown, but it does not slow him down as he hurls huge hooks anywhere he can aim them. Van walks him down and connects cleanly, knocking Durden’s mouthpiece out. Tognoni calls time during a moment to break to replace Durden’s gumshield, and the two resume their torrid brawl. Durden may be leading with his chin, but he is swinging with everything he has. Van hurts him with a few hooks, a knee and a head kick, and Durden is hanging on tight but just taking damage. Durden swings it out until the final bell, putting an end to an exciting striking affair.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Van (30-27 Van)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Van (29-28 Van)

The Official Result
Joshua Van def. Cody Durden via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-26, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Angelo picks Cody Durden as a dog, citing Durden's relentless pressure wrestling and cardio as key factors. He believes Durden's takedowns will frustrate Joshua Van and deplete his confidence. Angelo notes both fighters are chinny but expects Durden to focus on winning rather than brawling. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if the odds widen further.

Plus 138 as a dog, might bet plus 3.5 spread if odds widen
"Cody Duran is going to be the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Joshua Van

Cody picks Van but expects a tough first round. He notes Durden's wrestling and fast starts, but thinks Van's cardio and volume will take over in later rounds. He suggests live betting Van after the first round.

"Van for me, but I expect round one to be difficult."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Connor picks Durden, though he hates to do it. He notes that Durden starts fast and pressures aggressively, which could overwhelm Van, who tends to start slow and build into fights. Connor points out that Van has been taking too much damage recently and is fighting too frequently, which raises concerns about his durability. He also mentions that Durden's pace and wrestling could be a problem for Van, who has shown vulnerability early in fights.

"I think i'm gonna pick durden here. They hate to do it."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel admits bias as Durden's friend but provides analysis: he believes Durden's well-rounded attack and ability to exploit Van's uncomfortable ranges will lead to a win. He expects Durden to mix takedowns and striking effectively.

"I think that Cody Duran with a more well-rounded attack."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Joshua Van

Van successfully bounced back from his knockout loss to Charles Johnson by defeating Edgar Chairez. He will take that momentum, showcase improved takedown defense, keep the fight standing, and eventually catch Durden slipping to get a knockout victory.

knockout victory
"I believe you'll be able to take that momentum showcase his improved takedown defense keep this fight in The Standing Room and eventually catch dirt and slipping leading to a knockout victory for Joshua van"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Paul picks Durden as an underdog, citing his wrestling and fast starts. He notes Van's high fight frequency and potential wear. He thinks Durden can win the first two rounds and hold on, but acknowledges the risk.

"I actually think I will take Durden and hope he wins the first and wins the second."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden, citing Van's tendency to get rocked on the feet and Durden's improved hands and grappling. He thinks Durden's size and takedowns will be too much for Van, and that once Durden gets a lead he is hard to catch. He predicts a 29-28 decision based on the first two rounds.

"I'm going to go Cody Duran I'm going to go of Cody Duran over Joshua van"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Zane also picks Durden, expressing concern for Van's health and development. He notes that Van is inexperienced and makes bad decisions under duress, and that Durden's early pressure and wrestling could exploit that. Zane points out that Van has been in wars recently and is fighting too often, which could lead to him getting knocked out or losing a decision. He believes Durden is a tough out and that Van's ceiling is higher but not yet realized.

"I think i'll pick durden too. I do not like it."
WIN vs Matt Schnell
Submission (ninja choke) R2 0:29 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Durden 0 40 of 83 48% 40 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Matt Schnell 0 34 of 78 43% 37 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Durden 0 40 of 80 50% 40 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matt Schnell 0 33 of 77 42% 36 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cody Durden 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Matt Schnell 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Durden 40 of 83 48% 32 of 73 3 of 3 5 of 7 38 of 81 2 of 2 0 of 0
Matt Schnell 34 of 78 43% 31 of 73 3 of 5 0 of 0 34 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Durden 40 of 80 50% 32 of 71 3 of 3 5 of 6 38 of 78 2 of 2 0 of 0
Matt Schnell 33 of 77 42% 30 of 72 3 of 5 0 of 0 33 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cody Durden 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matt Schnell 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Matt Schnell
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Durden (-335), Schnell (+220)

Round 1
Due to the late nature of this flyweight pairing coming together—Durden (16-6-1, 5-4-1 UFC) will serve as a replacement to Alessandro Costa—the two men next will be fighting up in weight at bantamweight. Both short-notice Durden and Schnell (16-8, 1 NC; 6-6, 1 NC UFC) are hovering around the .500 mark in the promotion, so a win may go a long way while a loss could spell disaster. Referee Chris Tognoni will serve as the Octagon ranger for this contest, and gloves are touched to get things going. Durden moves to the center of the cage and is caught with an early uppercut. Durden backs off and finds another way in, and Schnell clips him twice more in a speedy exchange. Schnell points at him but does not capitalize on hurting and reddening Durden, instead allowing Durden to walk him down. Durden elects to fight to his disadvantage, brawling wildly and backing Schnell up a big. Durden lands several body shots until Schnell fires back, and Schnell’s attacks are more powerful and result in Durden thinking twice. Durden lands a right and eats two rights back. Durden unleashes a fury of punches, and Schnell shakes him up with furious counters that are heavier and faster. Durden wipes his hands and blinks it out, and he backs away as Schnell kicks him in the ribs. Durden wings a few punches that come up short, and Schnell times an outside leg kick that buckles the knee. Durden catches his man on the end of a left hand, and Schnell fires back with a right. Durden clubs him with a hard right, and Schnell skirts to the side and prepares an uppercut that lands on the nose. Schnell clacks the front leg again, and he allows Durden to overswing so he can counter effectively. Durden still manages to get off his right hand a few times, and Schnell’s head movement and footwork keeps him from absorbing any flush. Schnell snipes his man a few times until Durden pushes out a front kick to slow him down. Schnell ducks a head kick that skims his hair, and the two throw caution to the wind and brawl again. Schnell gets tagged with a left hand on the nose, and he winds up and retorts with a flurry of fists. Durden connects at the end of a right hand that cuts Schnell’s eyebrow, and Schnell bites down on his gumshield and blasts Durden in the face with an overhand right. Durden spins with a wheel kick that brushes past his opponent, and Schnell gathers his thoughts and punches his way into a short combo. They trade left hands, and Schnell lands three while Durden gets off two. The two trade right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Schnell
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
The fighters are ready to pick up right where they left off, and after a few low kicks, Schnell lands a big left hand. After connecting, Schnell shoots in with a telegraphed takedown, and Durden’s eyes go wide and he grins as he snatches hold of a guillotine choke. Schnell twists around, and Durden chains his submission into a ninja choke. When “Danger” keeps turning, he finds himself in even graver danger, as Durden locks the choke down and turns Schnell to his back. As soon as Schnell is on his back, he taps with both hands in a panic as the submission was likely to put his lights out. Durden releases the choke when Tognoni gets between them and goes over to the cage to shout at someone in the audience. His team manages to calm him down, and he celebrates his handiwork with his wife and corner. While Durden gives his post-fight interview, Schnell removes his gloves and places them in the center of the cage to signal his retirement. Instead of looking for a moment on the mic, Schnell departs the cage, overcome with emotion.

The Official Result
Cody Durden def. Matt Schnell R2 0:29 via Submission (Ninja Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Angelo picks Cody Durden (referred to as Alexandre Costa) because he is a solid striker with real power, good takedown defense, and durability, while Matt Schnell has been in too many wars and his chin is failing. He believes Costa will blast Schnell's legs and crack him in the head, leading to a knockout. He notes that Schnell is not dangerous enough to put Costa away.

"Alexandre Costa should win here he should dominate here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Big Brady picks Cody Durden to win by knockout. He notes Durden is stepping in on short notice but looked career-best in his last fight before getting caught. Brady believes Durden's striking will be the difference and that he just needs to land one clean shot. He warns about Schnell's dangerous grappling but thinks Durden will avoid the ground and finish the fight inside the distance.

fight finishes inside the distance
"give me Duran Duran by knockout and it should be a fight that that finishes inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matt Schnell

Cody picks Schnell, arguing that Durden's short notice, weight cut issues, and lack of corner are major red flags. He notes Schnell's superior experience and cardio, but admits Durden's power and aggression could end it early. He sees value at +250 but is not highly confident.

"I will take match nil"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel is biased as a friend of Durden, but he believes Durden's power and Schnell's weak chin will be the deciding factor. He acknowledges Schnell is well-rounded and technical, but thinks Durden will eventually land a knockout. He notes that Schnell has been knocked out in recent fights and that Durden is aware of Schnell's chin. Despite the short notice, Daniel is confident Durden will get the win.

"I do think eventually at some point Cody Duran's gonna get his second UFC knockout so uh let's let's [ __ ] go Cody Duran... I will never pick against Cody Duran."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Matt Schnell

Paul is intrigued by Schnell at +250, noting Durden is taking the fight on a week's notice, moving up to 135 lbs, and may not have a coach. He acknowledges Schnell's chin issues but believes his experience and cardio advantage could pay off if he survives early. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and leans Schnell.

"maybe matchell is the PRP pick Underdog some series plus money that actually could come through but you can't be ton confident on confident on it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Matt Schnell

The MMA Guru picks Matt Schnell over Cody Durden. He calls Schnell the 'chiniest fighter in UFC history' but believes Alexandro Costa is explosive and powerful. He notes Schnell got wobbled by Sumudaerji and predicts Costa will put him away brutally in round one.

round one finish
"alesandro Costa is going to put him away in round one brutally"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
TKO (punches) R2 2:58 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 28 of 63 44% 31 of 68 1 of 1 100% 3 0 2:35
Cody Durden 1 42 of 73 57% 45 of 77 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 24 of 57 42% 25 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Cody Durden 0 22 of 47 46% 23 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
2 Bruno Silva 0 4 of 6 66% 6 of 10 1 of 1 100% 3 0 2:23
Cody Durden 1 20 of 26 76% 22 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 28 of 63 44% 20 of 52 5 of 7 3 of 4 27 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Durden 42 of 73 57% 31 of 57 6 of 10 5 of 6 24 of 51 1 of 1 17 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 24 of 57 42% 16 of 46 5 of 7 3 of 4 24 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cody Durden 22 of 47 46% 13 of 33 5 of 9 4 of 5 21 of 46 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bruno Silva 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cody Durden 20 of 26 76% 18 of 24 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 17 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Durden vs. Bruno Silva
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Durden (-122), Silva (+102)

Round 1
In the only other fight on the billing beyond the main event with UFC-ranked fighter, top-15 Durden (16-5-1, 5-3-1 UFC) would like nothing more than to put a rough face crank submission loss in December behind him. He will meet fellow grappler Silva (13-5-2, 1 NC; 3-2, 1 NC UFC) in the center of the cage, in what could be an interesting clash of styles on the mat. Referee Chris Tognoni is ready whether it lasts three minutes or all three rounds, and he commences the match as the 125ers bump fists. Durden is quick to lash out with a body kick, and he walks Silva down and marks Silva’s left eye up early with punches. Durden changes levels, and the two bonk heads as Tognoni tells them to be careful. Durden keeps chasing after his opponent, and Silva pushes him away and lands a sweeping leg kick. Silva races forward to tie the American up, and he lands a knee to the guts while Durden looks to trip Silva up. Durden scores a right at the break, and chases to land another long right hand before Silva can zip away. Silva pushes off with the ball of his foot, and he jabs the body and avoids a front kick. Durden clips his opponent with three punches, and he ducks when Silva tries to spin with a back fist to counter. Durden sits down on a chopping kick, and he evades a scooping uppercut and stops a takedown effort in its tracks from the Brazilian. Durden surges forward, fighting behind his jab, and he swipes with a left hook on his way in. Durden attacks with a leg kick, and he is countered with an overhand right. Durden connects with two hooks, and he meanders forward pawing with hooks until committing to one up top and another to the body. Silva misses with another big uppercut, but his front kick does land cleanly. Durden winds up with a huge right hand that busts into Silva’s nose, reddening his cheek and nose, and he wears it well. Durden parries a body shot, swipes out with a left hand and drills Silva with a right hand. Silva cries foul, and Tognoni pauses the action and calls for a replay to confirm that Durden’s fingers grazed the eyeball. The Brazilian needs a doctor to come in and wipe away his eye, and Tognoni goes to calmly warn Durden for the accidental foul. Silva informs Tognoni that he can continue, but needs a little more time to recover—he has four more minutes, and no booing crowd to urge him to return to combat sooner than he should. Silva tells Tognoni his eye is spasming, but he can keep going, and they get back to it after two minutes of recovery. Both men rush at one hellbent for leather, and the proceed to throw it hard. Both men tag the other, and Durden is warned for outstretched fingers. Silva kicks low as blood trickles out of his nostril, and Durden turns with a back kick that plants square in the solar plexus. Durden points to his success, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Durden
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Durden

Round 2
The flyweights clock in for the second round, and Silva is smiling and ready to return to action. He strikes first in the form of a leg kick, and Durden answers him with a twitchy right hand. Durden finds success with it and beans the Brazilian with two more, putting “Bulldog” on skates. Silva backs off and shoots for a takedown, and Durden catches a brabo choke. Silva turns the proper direction, and he fights off a subsequent anaconda choke. Durden tries a third time to land a similar submission, and Silva survives all three and lowers himself to his back. Silva tries to tug off the fence links to find a better angle, and Durden lays flat on top of him. Silva wall-walks to his knees, and Durden is on him and drags him back down when Silva pops up. Durden stays glued to his man, but Silva explodes back to his feet and walks Durden down.
“Bulldog” walks through a jab and drills Durden in the jaw with a ferocious uppercut, knocking his mouthpiece clean out and sending the American crashing to the canvas. Silva pounces and unloads with relentless right hands, pouring it on and drawing blood that sprays the mat as he beats Durden down. Silva continues landing as Tognoni asks for Durden to fight back, and when Durden’s arms go limp, he intervenes.
This is a crazy comeback for Silva, who turns the tables with just one punch and may have performed some unauthorized dental work on the soon-to-be-unranked contender. This sport never fails to surprise, and no fighter is ever totally safe while the cage door is locked and both competitors are still in the fight.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Cody Durden R2 2:58 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Angelo picks Cody Durden because his aggressive wrestling pace will be too much for Bruno Silva, leading to a close decision. He notes that Silva has power and could land a knockout, but Durden's chin is a concern. He does not mention a bet, but is confident in the pick.

"I think the wrestling pace is going to be too much I think Cody squeezes out a close decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Bruno Silva, highlighting his striking advantage and the fact that he accepted the fight before Durden, indicating confidence from training together. He notes Silva's defensive wrestling is solid and that Durden will struggle to take him down. He also mentions Silva's submission win over Tyson Nam as impressive.

"I got Bruno Silva man so that's that's the pick for me on this one."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel Vreeland picks his friend Cody Durden, citing Durden's superior wrestling, volume, and training with Pantoja. He acknowledges Bruno's explosive power and opportunistic submissions but believes Durden will outwork him everywhere. Vreeland warns against underestimating Durden's standup and submission defense.

"I think Cody outworks this guy um and everywhere too like on the feet I think he's gonna out volume him and when he decides to mix in his takedowns as long as you know he doesn't get caught in …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Silva is a +100 underdog. He has a slick boxing approach and BJJ black belt, and his takedown defense and ability to work back to his feet should frustrate Durden. Durden will put himself in danger with his wrestling, and Silva can capitalize with a submission or TKO. Silva's inactivity (16 months) is a concern, but his skills should be enough to get the win.

submission
"I'm going to call Bruno Silva Club in sub as I think that deran will put himself into too much danger and I think Silva is dangerous enough to eventually find that big shot and put Duran away"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul also picks Bruno Silva, agreeing with Cody's points about Silva's striking and the familiarity from training. He thinks Silva has an advantage on the feet and that Durden will be in trouble if he tries to grapple. He also notes the submission prop as a possibility.

"Bruno Silva is also the pick for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden, trusting in his activity. He notes Bruno Silva has been inactive, fighting only once since 2021, while Durden has been consistently fighting. He highlights Durden's wins over Jake Hadley and Charles Johnson, and believes Durden is more disciplined and focused. He also mentions Durden is bigger for the division.

"I'm going to trust in the activity as I said Bruno Silva's been a little bit out of the game recently"
Aoriqileng - Fight History
SCHED vs Cody Haddon
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Haddon vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Haddon (-350); Aori (+280)

Round 1
Aussie bantamweight prospect Haddon (8-1; 1-0 UFC) looks to follow up on his debut win against Aoriqileng (26-12, 1 NC; 4-4, 1 NC UFC), who will attempt to turn things around for the host country, as Chinese fighters are 0-2 on the evening thus far. Jason Herzog is the referee on duty. Both fighters are orthodox and Aoriqileng looks a full weight class larger than Haddon. It’s Haddon pushing the action, however, sliding forward into the pocket and exchanging glancing punch combinations with the “Mongolian Murderer.” Neithen man lands anything clean, but Haddon steps into the pocket again, tries a knee pick, and then uses a body lock to hoist and slam Aori. He slides to the back and pounds his foe’s head with both fists as they sink to the canvas. Haddon is in complete control, mindful of his postur and position as he continues to hammer the near-helpless Aori. Making things worse, Aori’s right arm becomes pinned under his body for a moment, and the Australian takes full advantage, pounding away with elbows and punches. Herzog is hovering nearby, but letting Aori work his way out of danger, and his patience is vindicated as Aori rolls and frees his arm. It’s still 100% Haddon, however, and with under a minute to go he pauses the unending storm of punches to try for a rear-naked choke. Aori spins out of back mount, forcing Haddon to give up the choke, but he continues to pour on the punishment until the horn sounds. Complete thrashing in Round 1 by the younger man.
10-8 Haddon.

Round 2
Aori looks much recovered to start Round 2, and he comes forward right away, swinging hooks with both hands. Haddon drops for a takedown and gets absolutely pancaked, recovers and enters again, only for Aori to catch him in a front headlock and snap him down. Aori looks for the guillotine and is legitimately threatening Haddon’s neck, but Haddon eventually extricates himelf from the choke and they return to their feet. From there, he is quick to enter once again, dropping for a smooth-looking double leg.
Aori stands him up with underhooks, at which point Haddon hits him with two knees to the liver, the second of which absolutely melts him. Haddon follows Aori back to the mat and pours on the punches at the base of the fence, and it’s clear that Aori is cooked.
Herzog steps in for the save and the domination is complete. Brutal, brutal work by the man from Western Australia.

The Official Result
Cody Haddon def. Qileng Aori R2 2:21 via TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 18, 2026 (12 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

AJ confidently picks Haddon, praising his clean boxing, combinations, and forward pressure. He thinks Haddon's striking is faster and more powerful than Aoriqileng's, and expects a finish, possibly by KO. AJ notes Haddon is a blue-chip prospect and Aoriqileng is a tough but less technical veteran.

Cody Haddon wins by KO/TKO
"I'm picking Cody Hadden, but like Aricie Long is not an easy UFC challenge for Cody Hadden, dude. Aricie Long's gangster with the striking. He's a vet, too. ... I think Cody Hadden could end up rocking Aricie Long bad …"
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

AJ is a fan of Cody Haddon as a prospect, praising his hands, boxing pressure, high output, and slickness. He thinks Haddon's volume and speed will overwhelm Aoriqileng, who has dangerous offense but is hittable. AJ believes Haddon will outwork him, possibly with a finish, and that Haddon's talent is superior. He notes Haddon is coming off a layoff but expects the best version.

Haddon KO at +210; Haddon at -350
"I'm a Cody Hadden fan for sure as a prospect. I think he's nice with it, man. Good hands on him, good boxing pressure, high output, slickness in his shots. ... Hadden for the dub is my call."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon but is hesitant due to the two-year layoff and major surgery. He acknowledges Cody is the better fighter and if he is even 80% of what he was, he should win. However, he cannot touch the odds due to the uncertainty.

"I'm still going to pick Cody win because Cody is the better fighter. He's just the better fighter. But I just can't I can't touch these odds. Not in this situation."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 29, 2026 (fight day)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon, praising his pressure, pace, and well-rounded skills. He is concerned about Haddon's long layoff due to injury but still believes he is the better overall fighter. However, he plans to fade Haddon in DraftKings due to high price and potential scoring issues.

fade in DraftKings lineup due to price and layoff
"I still think Cody Haden gets the win. I think he's the better overall fighter. I love the pressure. I love everything about Cody Haden in this matchup."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked May 24, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Angelo picks Cody Haddon based on his skills and performance against Dan Argueta, but he is hesitant due to Haddon's two-year layoff from a torn ligament. He questions what version of Haddon will show up and notes the risk of fighting in enemy territory. He cannot bet on Haddon at -350 given the uncertainty, but he is rooting for him.

"I have to pick Cody here. I cannot bet on him at minus 350. Not after a long two-year injury layoff in quote unquote enemy territory."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Big Brady picks Cody Haddon by decision, praising his clean boxing, fast hands, volume, and wrestling. He notes Haddon is good everywhere and has been out with injuries but is only 27. He acknowledges Aoriqileng is tough and durable but believes Haddon will outland him and mix in takedowns if needed.

"Give me Cody Haden to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Cody is high on Haddon, calling him a legitimate prospect with crisp boxing, good volume, durability, and improving wrestling. He notes Haddon's takedown defense and scrambling looked good against Dan Argueta. Richie Lang is an older, slower fighter who struggles with volume and has been knocked out by lesser punchers. Cody expects Haddon to outwork and potentially finish Lang.

Haddon by decision or late finish; Haddon to land 150+ significant strikes
"I don't see him losing. So, he is a guy that I may be overvaluing, sure, but you see money's coming in. People are seeing probably the exact same thing."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Haddon

Connor picks Cody Haddon, praising his lazy but effective style: a calm, flat-footed fighter with a long jab, good head movement, and combinations to the body. He notes Haddon's poise is a strength, though it could later lead to a fight being ripped away.

"Cody Haddon looks lazy in a James Toney kind of way... that poise is a strength."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Jacob picks Cody Haddon and is confident despite the layoff. He notes that Cody has a boxing background and wrestling as a backup plan. He thinks Cody should use wrestling early to take the pop out of Aoriqileng's shots. He acknowledges the risk but believes Cody is the better fighter.

"I'm touching them, man. I'm touching them. I'm feeling them. I'm squeezing them. I'm going to enjoy them. Because this is where the line should be priced."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked May 23, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Lucrative James is high on Cody Haddon, calling him 'championship material' with superior boxing, volume, and body work. He notes Aoriqileng's only path is power punches, but Haddon's chin and defensive skills should prevail. He expects Haddon to win a beatdown decision, possibly with late finish attempts, but Aori is tough. He mentions Haddon's injury history but believes in his skill level.

Cody Haddon via decision
"I got Cody Haden to win this fight. I'll say that he wins it via decision, but like a beatdown decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 25, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The host picks Haddon to win inside the distance, citing his technical superiority in all aspects and speed advantage. He believes Haddon's slick striking and grappling will cause Aoriqileng problems, and that Aoriqileng's overaggression will open up finishing opportunities. He cannot decide between knockout or submission but is confident in a finish.

"I'm going to go Haden here. I'm going to go Haden inside the distance. I don't I can't pick between knockout or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The host is a big Cody Haddon fan and believes this is a perfect matchup for him. He expects Haddon to showcase sharper striking and good grappling, eventually finding a big shot to finish Aoriqileng inside the distance.

inside the distance
"Give me Cody Haden inside the distance."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 27, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Haddon's well-rounded skills and volume. He mentions that Lang's wins are over low-level opponents and that Haddon's pace will be too much. Paul sees Haddon as a strong play.

"Volume is going to be tough. I think even wrestling, Cody Haden can can put it on him there."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 26, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The Guru picks Haddon due to superior well-roundedness. He notes Haddon has good striking with body work, combinations, and leg kicks, plus solid grappling and scrambling. Aoriqileng has forward pressure and power but poor defense and takedown defense. Experience favors Aoriqileng but skill favors Haddon.

"I think that the skill is on the side of Haden and I got to side with the skill."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The Guru picks Cody Hadden over Iori (Aoriqileng), citing Hadden's well-rounded skills, high volume, and durability. He believes Hadden's technical striking and cardio will outwork Iori, who is an explosive pocket brawler. He notes Iori's limited ceiling and Hadden's potential.

"I'm going to pick Cody Hadden."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 20, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Cody Haddon

The MMA Guru picks Cody Haddon to win by finish. He notes that Haddon is younger, faster, and has good hand speed, while Aoriqileng is slower and can be pressured. He believes Haddon can keep the fight on the feet or take it down if he wants, and that Haddon's speed and pressure will lead to a finish.

"I think he's actually going to find a finish in this matchup."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 28, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Cody Haddon

Zane picks Cody Haddon as a young prospect coming off a strong debut against a seasoned veteran. Aoriqileng is a midcard action fighter who can be outwrestled and outgrappled. Zane calls it a squash match but a useful one against a tough veteran.

Odds mentioned: Haddon -365, Aoriqileng +290
"Haddon is the pick, and the fight should be fun."
WIN vs Cody Gibson
KO R1 0:21 · UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen · Oct 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cody Gibson 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 1 5 of 8 62% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cody Gibson 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 1 5 of 8 62% 6 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cody Gibson 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cody Gibson 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 5 of 8 62% 5 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cody Gibson vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Gibson (-160); Aori (+130)

Round 1
Previously on the main card, this bantamweight battle between two men below .500 in the promotion has slid down into the prelims. A win will be crucial for either man here, with backs likely against the wall. Gibson (21-11, 3-6 UFC) is a ways away from evening things out, while Aori (25-12, 1 NC; 3-4, 1 NC UFC) could hit that precious midpoint win rate by prevailing. The third man in the Octagon for the two athletes will be referee Mitch Cadlick. A fist bump is shared.
Gibson opens up with a massive right hand to say hello, skimming the side of the Chinese fighter’s cheek. When he offers a leg kick behind it, Aori says “two can play that game” and launches back a missile of a right that jacks Gibson cleanly on the jaw.
Gibson takes a step back to gather his thoughts, his cheek already swelling up from the one blow absorbed, and he walks face-first into another when pitching a naked leg kick. This one nearly shuts the lights out and puts Gibson down for the count.
“The Mongolian Murderer” leaps on top to batter Gibson with ground strikes, and Cadlick watches on to see how Gibson is defending himself. Gibson’s hands are not where Cadlick thinks they should be to intelligently defend himself, and the Donkey Kong-esque hammerfists do the job and force Cadlick to wave the fight off. The defeated “Renegade” sits up and issues a protest, his cheek growing in size by the second, and his cries fall on deaf ears as the fight is over and he has lost. Aori runs over to his team to embrace them, and he dons a glorious hat that is a brilliant shade of blue. When it comes time for the post-fight interview, the promotion drops the ball completely by bringing in his coach, Eddie Cha, as the translator. Cha is, unfortunately, a Korean man who promptly explains that he cannot speak Chinese.

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Cody Gibson R1 0:21 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Angelo picks Cody Gibson, citing his length, striking, and takedown ability. He expects Gibson to use a similar game plan as against Anne Hallegren, with multiple takedowns and control time. He notes Aori Qileng's vulnerability to takedowns, as seen against Raul Rosas.

"I'm going to pick Cody Gibson here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Big Brady sees a clear grappling edge for Gibson, noting Qileng's poor takedown defense. He compares it to Gibson's win over Chad Anheliger where he controlled the fight with takedowns. He questions Gibson's fight IQ and cardio but picks him by decision.

"Give me Cody Gibson to win this fight and win it by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Cody picks Gibson, citing his size, wrestling background, and durability. He notes Gibson has never been knocked out and has high volume. Qileng lacks power and has poor takedown defense. Cody expects Gibson to outwork Qileng and win by decision or late stoppage.

"Cody on Cody, let's uh let's let's pull one out for the Coody's and get the victory over in BC. So I I will take Gibson."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Connor picks Gibson, noting his improved boxing and technical proficiency. He points out that Gibson works hard on the technical side and showed sharp combinations against Blackshear. However, Connor notes Gibson's tendency to overpush and tire, which could be a problem against Aoriqileng's durability. He still favors Gibson's more purposeful game.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"I kind of feel like Gibson is going to bank a lot of early momentum."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

James sees Gibson's wrestling as a clear path to victory, but worries about his age (38) and Qileng's improvements in takedown defense. He expects Gibson to grind out a decision with takedowns and top control, though Qileng's striking could be dangerous if the fight stays on the feet.

"I'm going to end up siding with Cody Gibson in this fight. And the reason is because I do think that even though Archici Lang has got better at his grappling defense, Cody Gibson will be able to string together …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

The host believes Gibson is a better striker and wrestler than Qileng. As long as Gibson can muzzle Qileng's aggressive style, he should mix the martial arts well and win on the scorecards.

"I still believe Gibson is a better striker and better wrestler than Ari Lang."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

Paul picks Gibson, agreeing with Cody. He notes Qileng's low volume and questionable takedown defense. Gibson's wrestling and pressure will be key. Paul sees Gibson winning about 70% of the time and thinks the line is fair.

"I don't see myself whatsoever getting to Ori Lang. Too low volume. Takedown defense is questionable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Cody Gibson

The MMA Guru picks Cody Gibson over Aori Qileng. He likes Gibson's pressure and volume, noting Qileng has been walked down before. He believes Gibson will throw twice as many shots and win a decision if neither finishes. He admits neither has great wins but trusts Gibson's output.

decision win 29-28
"Cody Gibson's going to get this one done. ... 29-28 decision, by the way."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Cody Gibson

Zane picks Gibson, citing his more functional game and ability to bank early momentum. He notes that Gibson's boxing has improved and he fights with purpose, while Aoriqileng is a scrappy but less purposeful fighter. Zane worries about Gibson's tendency to fade in round three, but believes he will build a two-round lead before tiring.

Odds: Gibson opened at +145, currently -170; Aoriqileng opened at -170, currently +145.
"So yeah, I'm going to take Gibson too, but it'll be fun scrap."
LOSS vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 306: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Raul Rosas Jr. 0 41 of 94 43% 98 of 158 3 of 7 42% 0 0 7:32
Aoriqileng 0 22 of 54 40% 80 of 118 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 11 of 22 50% 41 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:13
Aoriqileng 0 4 of 10 40% 18 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 17 of 49 34% 17 of 49 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 0 17 of 42 40% 17 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 0 13 of 23 56% 40 of 54 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:19
Aoriqileng 0 1 of 2 50% 45 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Raul Rosas Jr. 41 of 94 43% 21 of 59 7 of 20 13 of 15 27 of 70 0 of 0 14 of 24
Aoriqileng 22 of 54 40% 12 of 43 10 of 11 0 of 0 22 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Raul Rosas Jr. 11 of 22 50% 5 of 10 1 of 7 5 of 5 6 of 16 0 of 0 5 of 6
Aoriqileng 4 of 10 40% 1 of 6 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Raul Rosas Jr. 17 of 49 34% 9 of 35 2 of 6 6 of 8 17 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 17 of 42 40% 11 of 36 6 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Raul Rosas Jr. 13 of 23 56% 7 of 14 4 of 7 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 18
Aoriqileng 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rosas Jr. (-850), Aori (+575)

Round 1
It’s time for something new. It’s time for something different. Out of the UFC Apex, and not even posted up in its standard haunt of the T-Mobile Arena, instead the UFC is putting on a night of combat inside of the vaulted Sphere in Las Vegas. While some have seen snippets of previews, the occasional Twitter leak and some other sneak peeks, this will be fresh to fans and media alike. We don’t quite know what to expect, and that makes it exciting. This 10-fight showcase that celebrates Mexican fighters on Mexican Independence Day—along with a spangly-haired kid from Montana against a robot from Georgia, not to mention Saudi Arabia thrown in for good measure—and as a result, Mexican combatants will be the focus and betting favorites almost every step of the way. The matchup of the evening will also serve as the one with the widest betting lines, as grappling wunderkind Rosas Jr. (9-1, 3-1 UFC) comes in with odds in his favor around -1000 against well-traveled China export Aori (25-11, 1 NC; 3-3, 1 NC UFC). Although referee Chris Tognoni signed up to officiate this event like any other, even he is surprised at the spectacle unfolding around them. The bantamweights touch gloves, and it’s time for something new. Rosas lashes out first with a low kick, and he is warned for outstretched fingers. He switches stances and kick Aori two more times on the lead leg. Rosas goes to the body with a kick, and chants for “chiwiwis” rain down in support of Rosas. Aori springs into action with a lunging combination, and the Mexican youngster bats them out of the way and circles off. Rosas whiffs on a pair of looping shots, and he gets caught with a right hand and just misses on the counter. Rosas attacks the front leg a few more times, and when he stands still, Aori potshots him with a solid right hand. Rosas jumps back and forth between stances, and he is once more warned for his fingers pointing out. Rosas charges in from a distance to go after a takedown, and after they bounce off the wall, he succeeds in dragging the Chinese competitor down. Rosas opens up with several loud body shots while Aori looks for sweeps and butterfly hooks, but he elects instead to pass to half guard. Rosas climbs over to side control, and he moves to mount in a hurry. Aori times the guard pass to buck and sit up, but this only allows Rosas to circle around him and take his back. Aori is warned for pulling his toes in the cage as additional chants for “chiwiwis” loudly call for Rosas. Rosas grips a brief face crank, but he bails on it when the grip is not tight. As Aori turns to his side, Rosas punches him in the side of the head a few times. With seconds to spare, Rosas slides over to the mount position to rain down elbows, and the horn sounds.
Advertisement

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas

Round 2
The bantamweights touch ‘em up to get going, and Rosas opens up with a kick or two before Aori surges at him with punches outstretched. Aori reaches his foe with a right hand amidst an exchange, and he hops away when Aori jumps at him with a knee. Rosas paws with a few more low kicks, and one slides up and bumps into the cup apparently. Aori waves it off, and he winds up with a massive right hand that brushes past the hair of the youngster. Rosas shoots for a takedown, and Aori tosses it aside. Aori jabs his way in but misses on the overhand right, and he stops another takedown effort coming his way. Rosas peppers the lead leg with kicks, keeping to the outer edge to not allow Aori to reach him with anything of significance. When Aori does connect, Rosas fires back angrily. The warning comes for Rosas again for pointing his fingers out, and Aori loads up on an overhand right to smash the kid in the chops. Aori chambers and fires another big overhand right, and Rosas wears it well and keeps moving and switching stances. Aori goes for a right hand to the body, and he tries for two more wide hooks. Rosas walks towards him and wants to brawl, and Aori happily obliges him. Aori tags him during an exchange, and he fights off a takedown up close. Aori stalks after the younger fighter and flicks out a jab or two, and he goes to the body with a right hand. Aori parries a kick and gives a loud one back to the body, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The fighters come together to hug it out before the last round commences, with Rosas showing a little trickle of blood on his lip. When they disengage, Aori is quick to pick up where he left off, walking the 19-year-old down and kicking him in the ribs. To fire up Rosas, the crowd chants “chiwiwis” again, and this results in him charging in for a tackling takedown that puts Aori to his seat. Aori wall-walks, and Rosas quickly mat returns him with a body lock, landing in side control. Aori scrambles, and in the process, he gives up his back when turning to his knees. Rosas reaches way back to slam down knees to the shoulder, landing several until Aori sells out by somersaulting. This forces “Mongolian Murderer” to his back once more, with Rosas comfortably on top of him in the guard. Rosas stays busy on top with ground-and-pound, more of the frustrating variety than with anything individually damaging. Tognoni asks for more activity from on top, and Rosas sits up to fling one right hand down. It’s “chiwiwis” again for the audience, but Rosas does not take any additional chances or let anything special fly. At 19 years of age, the young Rosas has not let the surroundings or his hype get the better of him, as he smothers the power puncher and keeps him flat on his back. Rosas drops down an elbow and a left hand, and Aori responds with an elbow from his back. As seconds tick off the clock, both fighters swing at one another, and the less-than-thrilling match comes to an end. Barring something unusual, Mexico is on the board, and the audience may hope that things spice up a bit.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (30-27 Rosas)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rosas (29-28 Rosas)

The Official Result
Raul Rosas Jr. def. Qileng Aori via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 8, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Angelo picks Raul Rosas Jr. but with caution. He notes Rosas is young (19), a relentless grappler with 12 takedowns in 5 fights, but his striking is still raw and he can be reckless. Angelo points out that Rosas lost the first round in his last fight and gassed out badly two fights ago against CR Rod. He warns against overexposure on the -700 line, suggesting Rosas could still make mistakes. The pick is Rosas, but Angelo advises betting conservatively.

Caution against heavy betting on Rosas due to youth and past cardio issues.
"Rosas is going to be the pick but like I always say I'm conservative an bet with caution... I would not be overly Expos I wouldn't say he he's minus 700 let me throw R Rosas in 15 parlay he's …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Big Brady sees this as a clear mismatch, with Raul Rosas Jr. being a massive favorite. He notes Aoriqileng's poor takedown defense and history of submissions, predicting Rosas will get a takedown and finish quickly. He expects a first-round submission win.

first round submission
"I think it's a really bad match for RI long... Ral roses Jr gets a takedown and probably finishes it shortly after."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Daniel picks Raul Rosas Jr., noting his size, grappling, and relentless pressure. He expects Rosas to take down Qileng and submit him, possibly in the second round. He mentions Qileng's counter right hand but believes Rosas' grappling will be too much.

Rosas by submission in round 2
"roses to win by Sub in round one is plus 190 and Roses to win by Sub in round two is plus 290"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 2, 2025 (fight day)

The transcript does not discuss this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

Rosas Jr. is a phenom who will get the fight to the ground as he always does. Aoriqileng has shown decent grappling defense but will struggle with Rosas Jr.'s aggression. Expects Rosas Jr. to get him out in the first round, likely by submission.

submission TKO prop, probably by submission
"I expect Rosas Jr to get him out of there in the first round submission TKO prop not a bad sprinkle but probably by submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 9, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Raul Rosas Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes that Aoriqileng has lost to fighters he wouldn't describe as extremely talented, and that Rosas Jr. is a rising prospect with good grappling and pace. He trusts Rosas Jr. to get the grappling going early and secure a submission.

submission win first or second round
"I'm going to go with aori Chang losing this one by being out grappled... first or second round for R roses Jr I'm going with him to get the job done"
LOSS vs Daniel Marcos
No Contest (accidental groin kick) R2 3:28 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Marcos 0 81 of 126 64% 84 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Aoriqileng 0 45 of 95 47% 45 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Marcos 0 36 of 63 57% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aoriqileng 0 22 of 54 40% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Daniel Marcos 0 45 of 63 71% 46 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:28
Aoriqileng 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Marcos 81 of 126 64% 50 of 84 12 of 19 19 of 23 69 of 113 5 of 6 7 of 7
Aoriqileng 45 of 95 47% 26 of 71 10 of 12 9 of 12 43 of 93 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Marcos 36 of 63 57% 20 of 41 6 of 9 10 of 13 33 of 60 3 of 3 0 of 0
Aoriqileng 22 of 54 40% 13 of 41 5 of 6 4 of 7 22 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Daniel Marcos 45 of 63 71% 30 of 43 6 of 10 9 of 10 36 of 53 2 of 3 7 of 7
Aoriqileng 23 of 41 56% 13 of 30 5 of 6 5 of 5 21 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Daniel Marcos vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Marcos (-250), Aori (+205)

Round 1
If the reports and claims are accurate, a billionaire will be in the stands at the UFC Apex this afternoon. Within a matter of minutes, it will be apparent if the tech mogul and personality of the social media platform formerly known as Twitter, Elon Musk, has received the Mark Zuckerberg treatment of renting the entire place out for himself. If not, a few hundred fans plus the controversial figure will be in the building for this jam-packed 14-fight showcase. The first match of the day comes in the bantamweight division, as flashy undefeated Peruvian Marcos (15-0, 2-0 UFC) aims to keep his spotless record intact at the expense of Inner Mongolia’s Aori (25-11, 3-3 UFC). Referee Jason Herzog will need to be on high alert right out of the gate to keep track of these two quick competitors. The gloves are touched, and it’s on with the show. Aori flicks out an early front kick to measure his range, and he sits back and waits to see if a counter comes his way. It does not. Marcos watches from afar, and he surges into action with a single overhand right that gets Aori’s attention. The two trade low kicks, and they both let their hands go with big, winging punches. In the midst of an exchange, Marcos changes things up with a stern knee on the jaw, and Aori shakes it off. Both men land flush and back off to not get sucked into a brawl. Aori paws out a front kick, and blood trickles down the temple from the power lefts from the Peruvian. Aori leaps forward with a knee, and uses his momentum to press into a clinch. Marcos meets him with a strike that busts Aori’s mouth open, and Aori cannot keep the tie-up and is forced to back off and reset. Marcos comes up short with a front kick, but his looping punches continues to bust up the Chinese competitor, smashing Aori’s nose in the process. Blood leaks from several places on Aori’s face like the Doomguy low on health, but he is very much still in the fight as he lets Marcos have it with a quick combination. Marcos keeps his guard high, so Aori kicks low repeatedly. Marcos retaliates after absorbing one particularly stern low kick, and he whips his right hand into action. Marcos prods out a jab and draws out some oncoming fire from Aori, taking advantage of this by blasting Aori with an uppercut. Aori tanks it and moves forward, and the horn signals the end of the first round.
Advertisement

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marcos
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Marcos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Marcos

Round 2
The fighters touch ‘em up before getting back to it, and Marcos is ready to engage first as he clubs Aori with a short right hand. The unbeaten Peruvian presses forward into a clinch, and he presses Aori against the fence. When circling away, Marcos lines up a low kick that disrupts the balance of his opponent. Aori hits the deck, and Marcos pounces in an effort to finish the fight with a flurry of heavy firsts. Aori survives the worst of it and gets back to his feet, and crimson fluid trickles from additional places on his face after taking serious damage. Marcos spins with a back elbow that misses the mark, and he continues assaulting Aori’s lead calf with gnarly kicks. Aori tries valiantly to throw back and even catches Marcos with a two-punch salvo, but Marcos’ volume and power is breaking Aori. “Soncora” sits down on a left to the liver that lands with an audible thud, and he appears to find his mark almost every time he throws a strike. Aori swings backs, and his fingers stretch out as one drifts into Marcos’ eye. Marcos needs just a few seconds to recover, and when they get back to business, Marcos aims a front kick to the body but ends up glancing it off the cup. Aori takes 30 seconds to catch his wind before resuming, and he gets right in Marcos’ face and throws a few punches. Aori concludes his combination with a kick square on Marcos’ cup that looks to be a bit of payback, and Marcos groans as Herzog pauses the action for the third time in a few seconds after a trio of unfortunate fouls. Herzog warns Aori for his strike, and Marcos is ready to go after about 45 seconds of recovery. Marcos lets loose with a kick, and Aori responds with one that slaps into his inner thigh and draws a reaction from Marcos. Aori jumps in the air with an attempted strike, and Marcos meets him in the air with a front kick to the groin. Herzog rolls his eyes and calls time, and informs both fighters through their translators that there are to be no more accidents, and that points will be deducted for any additional fouls. Aori drops to his knees and dry heaves from the groin strike, and Herzog allows Aori to recover for a minute before calling in the doctor. Aori pulls himself back to his feet after two minutes elapse, but he is clearly compromised and not having a good time right now. Not wanting to cool down, Marcos shadowboxes and jogs in his corner, but Aori crouches down and drops back to a knee. Time continues to tick off the clock, and Aori reaches the five-minute mark. Herzog asks him if he is able to continue, and Aori does not say anything and bends over. Herzog recognizes that Aori is in no shape to fight another professional combatant aiming to take his head off, and he waves the fight off. Due to the inadvertent groin strike—Aori was in the air when Marcos caught him with a front kick, a total accident—and the fact that it did not reach Round 3, this fight should be declared a no contest. When the result is read, Marcos breaks into tears, with his stellar performance invalidated due to a fluke kick. On the other side of the equation, Aori is assisted out of the cage, with the damage of two direct groin shots too much to bear on his own.

The Official Result
Daniel Marcos vs. Qileng Aori is Ruled a No Contest (Accidental Groin Kick) R2 3:28
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Angelo acknowledges that Daniel Marcos looked poor in his last fight against Davey Grant, with low volume and a lack of pressure. However, he emphasizes looking at the broader body of work, where Marcos has shown effective striking, power, and takedown defense. He believes Marcos should be more technical and busy, and should win, but the recent performance makes him hesitant. He notes the odds are -200, which he finds a bit rich given the last fight.

"Daniel Marcos is the pick... Daniel Marcos that fought David Grant has a tough night, Daniel Marcos before the David Grant fight should walk through a Corey Lang."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Big Brady picks Daniel Marcos to win by decision. He notes that Marcos is a much more skilled striker with a lot of tools on the feet, while Aoriqileng is a brawler who is very hittable. He expects the fight to go 15 minutes and Marcos to outpoint Aoriqileng, though he mentions a slight concern about corrupt judges.

"this should be Daniel Marcus just outpointing Ari long across 15 minutes here so give me Daniel Marcos by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Cody picks Marcos, noting he is a superior fighter with good volume. Aoriqileng is fun but often falls behind on the scorecards and has takedown defense issues. Marcos should outpoint him. Cody suggests a prop on Marcos by decision or by KO at +300.

Marcos by KO (+300)
"Marcos by decision would be my best get my my best guess"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Marcos has a solid all-around game with good calf kicks and the ability to mix in grappling. He should be able to batter Aoriqileng's lead leg and eventually look for takedowns. Aoriqileng has struggled against better competition and his wins are against subpar opponents. Marcos is undefeated and should continue his run with a decision victory.

"I look for maros to batter the lead leg of ARA Lang and then eventually look for those takedowns if those open themselves for him and I look forward to maros continuing his undefeated run going to 16-0 and picking …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

Paul also picks Marcos, calling it a massive mismatch. He notes Aoriqileng's low output and poor takedown defense. Marcos is a volume striker who should pick him apart. Paul likes Marcos by KO at +300 as a prop.

Marcos by KO (+300)
"Marcos is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Marcos

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Marcos because he believes Aoriqileng is a worse version of Davey Grant, who Marcos already faced. He notes that Marcos showed good striking defense against Grant's unorthodox style and expects Aoriqileng to slow down after the first round, allowing Marcos to win a decision.

"I'm going to go with Daniel Marcos to start off the card because he's fighting aori Chang... I think if he stays alive past the first round we're going to see aori Chang start to slow down against him."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Oct 07, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 1 44 of 66 66% 120 of 159 2 of 4 50% 0 0 5:39
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 7 of 36 19% 31 of 73 4 of 11 36% 3 0 4:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 0 7 of 11 63% 23 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 1 of 10 10% 10 of 28 3 of 5 60% 1 0 2:56
2 Aoriqileng 0 13 of 19 68% 51 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:33
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 1 of 5 20% 5 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:27
3 Aoriqileng 1 24 of 36 66% 46 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:03
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0 5 of 21 23% 16 of 35 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 44 of 66 66% 24 of 41 8 of 11 12 of 14 28 of 45 1 of 3 15 of 18
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 7 of 36 19% 5 of 30 2 of 3 0 of 3 7 of 33 0 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 7 of 11 63% 5 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 4 6 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 1 of 10 10% 1 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Aoriqileng 13 of 19 68% 5 of 10 3 of 4 5 of 5 8 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 1 of 5 20% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aoriqileng 24 of 36 66% 14 of 25 5 of 6 5 of 5 14 of 23 0 of 1 10 of 12
Johnny Muñoz Jr. 5 of 21 23% 3 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Johnny Munoz Jr. vs. Qileng Aori
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-112), Munoz (-108)

Round 1
When the dust settles after this bantamweight battle, one of the two competitors will likely be back in the win column – barring something strange or a draw. Additionally, the victor will move back to a .500 record with the promotion, while the defeated may find themselves on the chopping block. Whether that is China’s Aori (24-11, 2-3 UFC) or “Kid Kvenbo” Munoz Jr. (12-3, 2-3 UFC), they will have 15 minutes or less to decide that. Referee Keith Peterson draws the charge for this nonsense-free matchup, and the fighters do not have time for a touch of gloves first. Instead, Aori wants to stalk straight forward and fire off a leg kick. The pace wanes as they try to find their distances, with Aori’s occasional low kick the only strikes after about 90 seconds. Aori suddenly sprints into action with a left to the body and a hard right to the head, and Munoz has to shake it off and shoots for a takedown in response. Aori easily stops it and delivers a stern leg kick. Munoz whips a right hand over the top, stinging his opponent and backing him to the fence. Instead of taking advantage of the situation with more strikes, “Kid Kvenbo” settles to shoot in for a double-leg takedown. Munoz gets his man down momentarily, and Aori powers back up. Although Munoz gets a mat return, Aori again has little issue standing, but he does give up his back. Munoz uses this to trip up Aori from behind, and he gets his hooks in and secures back control when Aori hits the ground. The Chinese fighter is quick to hand-fight to not allow any submission attempt get anywhere close to completion, and Munoz tries to soften him up with a few body shots and slide his right arm around the chin. Aori looks to push his feet off the fence to get a bit of leverage, and he spins around quickly. This allows Munoz to snatch up an armbar, and Aori struggles momentarily but breaks the grip and stands up. One big kick from Aori to Munoz’ thigh concludes the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Munoz
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Munoz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Munoz

Round 2
Aori immediately starts the round aggressively, putting hands on Munoz and hurting him early. Munoz responds with a few strikes but is bowled over, and Aori moves himself into the guard of his opponent. Munoz protests that Aori is clawing his eyes or sticking fingers up his nose, and Peterson tells Aori to keep it clean. Munoz considers a submission attempt from his back, and he slides his leg up and around to set up an armbar. Aori wrenches his limb free from the sub, and he lowers himself back down to the guard. Munoz uses his active guard to force Aori to think twice and stand back up, and when Aori gets up, he starts slapping his feet into Munoz’ legs. Aori times a diving right hand to smash Munoz in the face, and Munoz smiles at him. Aori gets back to his feet, and Peterson has Munoz stand after a few awkward moments. Aori nails his man with a calf kick, and he clips Munoz with a few punches. Munoz shakes it off and backpedals, loosing a head kick that sails past his opponent. Munoz shoots for a takedown, and although Aori stops it, Munoz succeeds in jamming Aori up to the fencing. Munoz quickly goes for a body lock takedown, looking for some way to leverage Aori down, but Aori is strong and not only stops it but turns Munoz around. Aori sneaks in an elbow, and Munoz does not like this, so the American decides to jump for a guillotine choke while he wraps his legs around Aori’s waist. With Munoz’ back to the wall, there is nothing to the submission, so he releases it right before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The bantamweights race to meet one another, throwing big right hands one after the other. Aori walks into a jab, and he digs a right hand to the belly. Aori looks for a jump knee when Munoz ducks down, and Munoz eats part of it and laughs, offering a glove touch for the solid blow. Munoz circles to the side, and when he aims a left hand over the top, Aori counters him with two punches as he slides away. Munoz shoots in low for a takedown, and “The Mongolian Murderer” kills the setup and pins Munoz against the wall. Peterson tells the fighters not to grab the fence, and the fighters break away and return to striking distance. A Munoz kick grazes the cup, and Aori adjusts his groin when there is no stoppage. Munoz shoots for a takedown, and Aori perfectly times a body shot that ultimately nails Munoz in the chin and sets him down. Munoz stands back up, and fails on another takedown. When the attempt fails, he gets cracked with another right and flops to his back. Aori jumps down into the open guard of his foe, looking for ground-and-pound. Aori gets some strikes off, racking up the points while not allowing Munoz to get in on a submission. Munoz sells out for a leglock when Aori tries to pass guard, and Munoz finds himself in a strange position that is a partial calf slicer. Aori lays to his back and is not overly concerned about the maneuver, and he drives several hammerfists on the side and back of the head. Peterson is watching closely, warning Aori for a few illegal blows, but Munoz toughs them out and explodes for one last takedown try. Aori staves it off, is pressed to the cage, and the fight comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori (29-28 Aori)

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Johnny Munoz Jr. via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Johnny Muñoz Jr.

Angelo picks Johnny Muñoz Jr. with low confidence, calling him a 'squirt' but acknowledging his BJJ and power. He notes that Aoriqileng is tough but can be out-grappled. He is waiting for prop bets like a +3.5 spread on Aoriqileng, as Muñoz could be dangerous early but fade. He emphasizes this is a low-confidence pick.

Waiting for +3.5 spread prop on Aoriqileng
"I'm going to pick Johnny Munos he is the underdog ... very low confidence"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 3, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Big Brady is not high on either fighter and calls this his least favorite fight on the card. He criticizes Johnny Muñoz Jr. for quitting in his last fight and notes that Aoriqileng has shown decent takedown defense and the ability to get back to his feet. He believes Aoriqileng can stuff takedowns and keep the fight standing, leading to a decision win. He is not betting this fight.

"I'm going to take AI long to win by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his physicality, pressure, and power. He notes that Muñoz lacks power and has unimpressive wrestling. Aoriqileng should land the bigger shots and win a decision or late stoppage.

Aoriqileng by decision
"sign me up for originally by uh unanimous... sign me up for"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Daniel Levi picks Aoriqileng, citing his heavy hitting and durability. He notes that Johnny Muñoz has suspect striking and doesn't like to get hit, and that Aoriqileng can crack him. He acknowledges Muñoz's jiu-jitsu threat but thinks Aoriqileng's power and grit will be the difference.

"I'm still gonna go I already to win this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2023 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

Lucrative James believes Aoriqileng has a massive advantage on the feet and will hurt Muñoz to the body. He thinks Muñoz is flaky and will get finished on the feet, predicting a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money, noting that Muñoz's wrestling is not good enough to get the fight to the ground consistently.

under 2.5 rounds at even money
"I'm going to pick iichi Lang knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 6, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has improved his takedown defense and trains with strong wrestlers. He should be able to keep the fight standing and use his volume striking to overwhelm Muñoz. Muñoz has struggled to get fights to the ground and relies on BJJ, but his striking and wrestling have been poor. Aoriqileng should win by decision, possibly with some ground and pound.

"that should allow Richi Lang to end up in top position maybe rain down some big shots... and getting his hand raised by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 4, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul leans toward Aoriqileng, expecting him to land the more punishing strikes over 15 minutes. He is unsure about the wrestling matchup but believes Aoriqileng's pressure will be effective. He would not bet this fight with his own money.

"if I was forced to make a play on this fight it would be uh orichi Lang as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Johnny Muñoz Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Johnny Muñoz Jr. over Aoriqileng. He notes Muñoz didn't look bad against Daniel Santos, who is a good finisher, and that Muñoz showed enough striking defense to avoid being finished. He believes Aoriqileng is dangerous only in round one and then fades, while Muñoz is consistently okay throughout the fight. He suggests a betting strategy: if Aoriqileng wins the first round, bet on Muñoz Jr. as Aoriqileng tends to gas.

if you see Aoriqileng winning the first round and he's up on the odds, put some money on Muñoz Jr.
"I'm gonna have to go with Johnny Munoz Jr I think he's consistently okay enough throughout the distance of the fight"
LOSS vs Aiemann Zahabi
KO (punches) R1 1:04 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aiemann Zahabi 1 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aoriqileng 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aiemann Zahabi 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
Aoriqileng 5 of 5 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 4 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Aiemann Zahabi
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-125), Zahabi (+105)

Round 1
In his sixth year with the company, Tristar Gym’s own Zahabi (9-2, 3-2 UFC) will remarkably be entering into only bout no. six in the Octagon. This is a far cry from Chinese combatant Aori (24-9, 2-2 UFC), who is about to have five outings under his belt in a little over two years when referee John Cooper clocks them in. The bantamweight combatants do not touch ‘em up to start, and Aori instead walks forward and fires off several kicks to the body. Zahabi blitzes with a few punches, and Aori parries them effectively. From afar, Aori chips with a few kicks, including a thudding leg kick. The Chinese fighter does not recoil his leg fast enough to get his guard up, and Zahabi reaches out with a takedown to threaten.
As Aori leans back, Zahabi swarms him with a right hand that hits air, and a left hand that smashes Aori square on the chin. Aori drops to the mat like a sack of potatoes, and Zahabi raises his arms in the air to celebrate what he thinks is a walk-off knockout. Cooper does not actually call the fight off, as Aori lands and turns to his side in a daze. The Canadian, learning he has to keep hitting the defeated fighter, reluctantly goes over to Aori and lowers himself to slug Aori with two more left hands to conclude the match once and for all.
This is a huge win for Zahabi, and the crowd goes wild. When Aori comes to, he squares up like he wants to keep fighting, seemingly not knowing that he was knocked out cleanly. So far, the home fans have had plenty to cheer about tonight.

The Official Result
Aiemann Zahabi def. Qileng Aori R1 1:04 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Angelo picks Aiemann Zahabi as an underdog. He notes that Zahabi is well-rounded with big power, and that his performance against Ricky Turcios was impressive. He believes Zahabi will be more technical and a step ahead of Aoriqileng. He plans to monitor line movement and may bet if Zahabi becomes a larger underdog.

"I do think he gets the win here he's the underdog I think he's going to get it done"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

Big Brady picks Aiemann Zahabi because he is the more active striker, landing 6.07 significant strikes per minute compared to Aoriqileng's 3.01. He notes that Aoriqileng has low volume, doesn't use his BJJ, and has poor takedown attempts. Zahabi is younger, more experienced, and has never been knocked out. He expects Zahabi to outwork Aoriqileng over three rounds and win a decision.

"I actually like arichi long a decent amount in this matchup... he's going to be outlanding as a hobby probably two to one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his volume and pressure style. He notes that Zahabi is a low-volume counter puncher who doesn't wrestle much, and Aoriqileng will come forward with blitzes and constant pressure. He believes Zahabi's wrestling is not good enough to neutralize Aoriqileng, and the volume difference should win rounds. He acknowledges the risk of a bad Canadian decision but still picks Aoriqileng.

"I think a Richie Lang's style should uh should win this fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Connor also picks Aoriqileng, noting that Zahabi's wins came against fighters who wouldn't engage or lacked physicality, while his losses to Vince Morales and Ricardo Ramos were not close. He points out that Aoriqileng is a little slow-paced but has more promise in his fights with Jeff Molina and Cody Durden, where a method was visible. Connor suggests it would be a good time for Zahabi to show wrestling, but Aoriqileng is not easy to keep down.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"Yeah, so yeah, I'll take our qlang as well."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Levi does not make a pick for this fight, stating he has no interest in betting it. He notes that Aoriqileng has power but questionable takedown defense, while Zahabi has low activity and is older. He defers to the co-host who has a teammate in the fight.

"I don't really have much interest in betting this fight personally at the moment"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

James picks Aoriqileng, noting his momentum with two straight wins and improved takedown defense and striking. He contrasts Aoriqileng's aggressive pressure and volume with Zahabi's technical but low-volume outside fighting style. James believes Aoriqileng can land heavier shots and push the pace to win on the scorecards. He warns that if Aoriqileng reverts to a brawler style, Zahabi could catch him with straight shots, but overall he likes Aoriqileng's spot and the even-money price.

"I think irichi Lang's a good spot in this in this spot I think he's gonna land the heavier shots I think he'll probably land more damage and I think he's going to be the one pushing out the pace …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Aoriqileng has shown improved defensive grappling since moving to bantamweight and has a volume and output advantage. Zahabi is a technical striker but often too timid, and his low activity is a concern. Aoriqileng's pressure and accuracy should earn him a decision, though Zahabi could win if he uses his jiu-jitsu. Low confidence due to Zahabi's potential grappling edge.

"give me a Richie laying here and I think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul picks Aoriqileng, emphasizing the volume disparity: Aoriqileng averages 6.07 strikes per minute vs Zahabi's 3.01. He notes that Zahabi's fights are low-output, and Aoriqileng's constant pressure should win rounds. He expects a close fight but believes Aoriqileng's output will be enough, though a bad Canadian decision is possible.

"it's not tercios is a one fight pint-sized sample oh he beat one kid right uh this is the hobby six fights you kind of know what you're gonna get out of them which is sub 50 and a Richie …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Aiemann Zahabi

The MMA Guru picks Aiemann Zahabi over Aoriqileng, praising Zahabi's fight IQ and game planning. He notes Aoriqileng is predictable with big power shots and telegraphs his moves, while Zahabi can figure out opponents and mix things up. He believes Zahabi's size and heat behind his shots will keep Aoriqileng honest, predicting a 30-27 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Amy and zahabi I like Amy and zahabi because much like um the other zahabi for our sahabi he has a good mind for the game"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Aoriqileng

Zane picks Aoriqileng, criticizing Zahabi's last fight as extremely technical but aimless, with fighters standing too far apart. He notes that Zahabi is a brawler who doesn't understand fighting without chaos, while Aoriqileng has a clear method: he works his way forward, applies pressure, and punishes mistakes with quick counters. Zane thinks Aoriqileng is better in a brawl and also better when it's not a brawl, making him the pick.

Aoriqileng favorite at -118; Zahabi at -110 or even favorite on some books
"I'm gonna take him. Yeah, I'm gonna take our killing uh as well."
WIN vs Jay Perrin
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards 2 · Aug 20, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 0 72 of 132 54% 102 of 163 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Jay Perrin 0 88 of 167 52% 106 of 188 3 of 7 42% 0 0 5:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 0 18 of 31 58% 24 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Jay Perrin 0 20 of 49 40% 25 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:04
2 Aoriqileng 0 29 of 43 67% 47 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Jay Perrin 0 20 of 49 40% 24 of 55 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:04
3 Aoriqileng 0 25 of 58 43% 31 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Jay Perrin 0 48 of 69 69% 57 of 79 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 72 of 132 54% 51 of 107 14 of 17 7 of 8 61 of 119 11 of 13 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 88 of 167 52% 63 of 135 20 of 25 5 of 7 73 of 148 13 of 16 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 18 of 31 58% 15 of 26 2 of 3 1 of 2 16 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 20 of 49 40% 10 of 35 8 of 10 2 of 4 17 of 44 1 of 2 2 of 3
2 Aoriqileng 29 of 43 67% 19 of 33 5 of 5 5 of 5 26 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 20 of 49 40% 15 of 41 3 of 6 2 of 2 20 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Aoriqileng 25 of 58 43% 17 of 48 7 of 9 1 of 1 19 of 51 6 of 7 0 of 0
Jay Perrin 48 of 69 69% 38 of 59 9 of 9 1 of 1 36 of 56 12 of 13 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Qileng Aori vs. Jay Perrin
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-175), Perrin (+130)

Round 1
Former W.A.R.S champion Aori locks horns with ex-Cage Titans ruler Perrin in a bantamweight clash that will be overseen by Tyler Tomlinson. Gloves are touched and we’re underway. Perrin misses the mark on a combination early and a “USA” chant breaks out. Perrin with a quick leg kick. A left hook to the body lands for Perrin and Aori catches the ensuing kick. He releases the grip and sticks a straight right hand. Perrin pressures with a combination, but Aori moves out of danger. It’s a very measured beginning for Aori, who tags Perrin with another straight right. Perrin rushes forward and gets staggered with a short, counter left hook. Aori looks for an opening, backs his man up and launches a flying knee. That allows Perrin to force the clinch and turn Aori into the cage. Aori breaks free and swings heavy punches, including an uppercut he sneaks under Perrin’s left. Aori stalks his foe and lands a couple heavy punches. Perrin looks to clinch, but Aori quickly breaks free. A nice two-punch combination finds the mark for “The Mongolian Murderer.” A leg kick connects for Perrin. Aori lands a hard leg kick and avoids Perrin’s rush. Perrin lands a leaping knee but eats a left hook on the exit. Perrin changes levels, connects the hands and plants Aori on the mat with 20 seconds left. Perrin passes to half guard and then stands to land a few punches before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 2
Perrin just misses a snap kick up the middle. Aori steps in with a body-head combo. Perrin shakes off a jumping knee from Aori and waggles his finger. Perrin catches a low kick fro Aori and capitalizes with a takedown. He dives into top position about a minute in, working from half guard. Aori recovers full guard and slides to the cage, where he wall walks to his knees. Perrin still has his hands locked, but he moves Aori to his feet. Aori reverses position and separates, which prompts a glove touch from Perrin halfway through the round. A short counter right clips Perrin, who seems to recover quickly. Another counter right lands following a Perrin combination. A glancing right lands for Aori and Perrin shakes his head before blitzing forward. Aori is economical with his offense, but is doing the most damage. A hard calf kick lands for Aori, but Perrin keeps the pressure on and gets in on a single leg. Aori defends nicely with his back to the cage. Aori breaks and dodges an elbow. A straight to the body lands for Aori and then a counter right moments later. Perrin keeps wading forward and throwing punches unitl the horn, and a few find the mark.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori

Round 3
The combatants touch gloves again before the final stanza. Perrin pressures with a kick to the body, but then gets tagged with a short counter right. They’re trading early, and then it’s Aori who shoots. Perrin stuffs it and shoves his foe into the fence. Perrin with a short elbow in close as he grinds away. Aori separates and returns to the center of the Octagon. Perrin lands a glancing jab. Perrin switches stances and steps in with a left hook. Perrin keeps the pressure on and lands a knee in close. He doesn’t give Aori any space and he gets a takedown. Aori hustles to his feet in a hurry and Perrin presses him into the fence, landing a knee to the body. Perrin drops for a double leg and briefly gets Aori to a knee. He keeps the pressure on and lands a couple short punches and a knee in close quarters. Perrin drops low for another takedown, but Aori stuffs it. Perrin creates an opening to land a short elbow. Aori is staying stuck on the fence this round, allowing Perrin to impose his will a little more than in previous frames. Perrin again thinks about a takedown, but Aori isn’t having it. Finally Aori breaks free with about a minute to go. Perrin pressures with punches and eats a counter right. Perrin lands a leg kick and then tries his luck with a spinning back fist. A straight right lands for Aori, but Perrin answers with a front kick down the middle. Aori stuffs an ensuing takedown shot, but he’s pressed into the fence, and Perrin separates and is teeing off with punches in the waning moments of the round. It’s spirited action in the final seconds, and Perrin appears to have Aori reeling as several solid punches land. The Chinese fighter survives the assault, but it’s a strong finish for Perrin.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Jay Perrin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Angelo picks Aoriqileng (Corey Lang) over Jay Perrin. He describes Lang as a well-rounded fighter with incredible pressure and pace, solid footwork, and a sturdy chin. He notes that Perrin is primarily a wrestler who almost never gets his first takedown and spends time against the cage. Angelo believes Lang's superior striking and ability to work off the cage will earn him his second UFC win. He thinks the -190 line is about right and might try to beat the curve if it moves further.

"i do think corey lang works off the cage lets his hands go and gets his second ufc win here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Big Brady is siding with the underdog Jay Perrin. He notes that Aoriqileng (Richie Long) is a powerful striker but is hittable and has cardio concerns. Perrin fights with a process, relentlessly pursuing takedowns and has excellent cardio. Brady believes Perrin will take Aoriqileng down, wear on him, and win minutes on the mat across three rounds, likely by decision. He trusts Perrin's game plan and sees a clear path to victory.

Perrin by decision
"i'm actually going to side with the dog here and jay parent i do trust him to come out here and fight with a smart game plan"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Cody picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and physicality. He notes Aoriqileng has been taken down before and thinks Perrin can replicate that. He hopes the training with top wrestlers pays off.

"i was just spamming the i think he has a wrestling advantage and i'm hoping he's going to take him down"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Daniel Levi leans toward Aoriqileng (the Mongolian Murderer) but is not confident. He notes that Aoriqileng has one-hitter-quitter power and has faced better competition, but the blueprint to beat him is established (out-volume or out-grapple). Levi is concerned about Aoriqileng's cardio and the effects of travel and elevation if he trained overseas. He thinks if Aoriqileng lands big shots, he wins, but if not, Jay Perrin's solid all-around game could make it competitive.

Mentions that the line opened at -300 and has moved to -145, indicating action on Perrin. Says he sees a case for the underdog but leans with Aoriqileng.
"I'm gonna lean with our Richie land to have the bigger moments land the bigger shots and and Edge this one out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Jay Perrin is the dog of the night play with 2 units at +132. He expects Perrin to use a grapple-heavy approach similar to Cody Durden's blueprint against Aoriqileng, landing takedowns and controlling the fight on the ground. Perrin has solid durability and has been training at Syndicate MMA, which should help his development. Aoriqileng is the better striker but can be beaten by wrestlers, as seen in the Durden fight.

Dog of the night: 2 units on Perrin moneyline at +132.
"I'm going two units here on j piranha plus 130."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jay Perrin

Paul picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and training with Merab and Aljamain Sterling. He thinks Perrin can take down Aoriqileng and grind out a win. He notes the line has moved and he may have missed the best value.

"i'll pick perrin at minus at plus 125 i think i missed most of the best part of the line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2022 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

The Guru predicts Aoriqileng wins by first-round KO. He describes both fighters exchanging shots, with Perrin taking a big shot and shooting a takedown that Aoriqileng stuffs. He sees Aoriqileng landing elbows, body shots, and a big overhand that rocks Perrin, finishing him against the cage via TKO.

KO in round 1
"aori length by a first round ko"
WIN vs Cameron Else
TKO (punches) R1 2:48 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aoriqileng 1 37 of 64 57% 49 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Cameron Else 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aoriqileng 1 37 of 64 57% 49 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Cameron Else 0 6 of 12 50% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aoriqileng 37 of 64 57% 28 of 55 7 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 43
Cameron Else 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aoriqileng 37 of 64 57% 28 of 55 7 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 19 2 of 2 25 of 43
Cameron Else 6 of 12 50% 5 of 10 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cameron Else vs. Qileng Aori

Round 1
There is no need to adjust your set: the last time you saw Aori (22-11, 0-2 UFC) in the cage, his record listed at 18-9 after his defeat to Cody Durden. Since then, the diligent Sherdog Fight Finder team has unearthed a number of unlisted performances earlier in his career, so his tally may not match what the UFC displays. No matter the discrepancy, what will not change is that British finisher Else (10-5, 0-1 UFC) will be standing across from him with a 100% stoppage rate. The bantamweights will be accompanied in the Octagon by referee Keith Peterson, and aware that they will not get away with any nonsense tonight, the fighters touch gloves to seal the cage around them. Else slowly makes his way forward, backing Aori against the wall, and then trading leg kicks but little else. A solid calf kick from Aori gets his foe’s attention, and Aori charges forward with a pair of looping hooks. They trade heavy shots, and a left from Else clubs Aori on the side of the head. From there, Else pursues a takedown, and Aori spins him around to trip him to the mat. Else scurries back up to his feet, and Aori pressures him tightly on the wall before breaking and loosing an uppercut. Else gets rocked with a few punches, and Aori leaps in the air with a knee. Aori drills his fist into Else’s liver, and Else is reeling from the blow but he gathers himself to throw back hard.
As he does, Aori targets the same spot with a vicious left hand, bending Else over in pain and sending him crashing into the wall behind him. Aori lords over him and punches the body a few more times for good measure after Else crumples to the mat, and Else rolls to give up his back when shelling up to protect himself. “The Mongolian Murderer” continues his bombardment of right hands as he flattens Else out, and Peterson tells the Brit to defend himself. Else holds on to the sides of his heads to block the blows, and Aori will not stop smashing him.
The punches continue until Peterson calls an end to the fight, and Aori has now earned the first win of his UFC career after his third try.

The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Cameron Else R1 2:48 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Else

Angelo is leaning Cameron Else here, calling it a razor thin fight. He notes Else has real power and is a submission threat, while Aoriqileng is more technical. He factors in Else's short notice loss to Kyler Phillips and quarantine issues. He says he will be watching the scales closely because Else is coming off a long layoff.

"i'm leaning else here but he is coming off a long layoff that does have me worried"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Big Brady picks Aoriqileng to finish Cameron Else in the second round by knockout. He notes that Else is a kill-or-be-killed fighter who fades badly after the first round, while Aoriqileng has better durability and cardio. He thinks Aoriqileng can survive the early storm and break Else in the second round.

Win by knockout, second round
"Give me a reach along to finish cameron else in that second round uh with a knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks Aoriqileng, citing his physical strength and durability. He notes Else's poor UFC debut and lack of wrestling. He thinks Aoriqileng will clip Else and finish him. He sees Aoriqileng as a good parlay piece.

"i would go with richie lang again owen two in the ufc but i think the results uh are a little bit misleading"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Aoriqileng

The host picks Aoriqileng to win, but his bet is on the fight not going to decision. He believes Cameron Else is dangerous early, but if he doesn't get it done, Aoriqileng takes over and finishes later. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop over the moneyline.

Bet 1.5 units on fight doesn't go to decision at +114. Also included in totals parlay under 1.5 rounds.
"the spot that i took instead was the fight doesn't go to decision cameron house is dangerous early but if you can't get it done early i think arichie lang takes over later and then finishes him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Paul agrees, noting Aoriqileng's never been KO'd and Else's lack of grappling. He expects Aoriqileng to press forward and land a knockout. He thinks Else is knockout or bust.

"i think orich lang should roll here 100"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

The MMA Guru picks Aoriqileng over Cameron Else, citing Else's padded record and poor competition. He notes Else's submissions come from bad shots, not enforced grappling, and that Aoriqileng has good takedown defense and a great chin. He predicts Else will fall in love with striking and get knocked out late in the first round. He believes Aoriqileng is better in all areas except jiu-jitsu, but Else won't be able to get it to the ground.

late first round TKO
"ayori quileng i think wins this one cameron else uh took a fight on short notice to get into the ufc against kyla phillips got embarrassed"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Angelo picks Aoriqileng, citing his better striking and footwork, but is nervous about Cody Durden's relentless takedown attempts. He notes Aoriqileng's takedown defense is listed at 100% but lacks data. He prefers a prop bet: Aoriqileng to win at least one round (+3.5) at -150, which he is monitoring for line movement. He expects Aoriqileng to win the fight but is not confident enough for a straight moneyline bet.

Considering Aoriqileng +3.5 rounds at -150; DraftKings prices: Aoriqileng 7600, Durden 8600; monkey knife fight less/less
"i am leaning towards key lane here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Big Brady picks Aoriqileng (Archie Long) as an underdog at +145. He notes that Aoriqileng impressed in his UFC debut despite a loss, showing good striking and takedown ability. He believes Aoriqileng has the cardio and striking advantage over Cody Durden, and predicts a second or third round knockout. He spent two hours breaking down this fight and favors Aoriqileng's offensive wrestling and ability to cut off the cage.

win by knockout, second or third round
"I'm actually going to take upset here with archie long to knock out cody durden I'm going to say second or third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Aoriqileng

Cody picks the underdog Aoriqileng (Richie Lang). He is not sold on Durden's wrestling or striking, noting that Durden has a limited takedown game and poor cardio. He thinks Aoriqileng is the better striker, has better cardio, and is durable. He expects a close fight but leans towards the dog.

Cody mentions he has small bets on under 2.5 rounds (+165) and fight doesn't go to decision (+150) for this fight.
"i think i'm gonna go with the dog shot on a richie lang"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cody Durden

Daniel Levi picks Cody Durden, emphasizing the need to mix takedowns and clinch to slow down Aoriqileng. He notes that Durden went to a draw with Chris Gutierrez on short notice, showing his caliber. He warns against banging too long with Aoriqileng, who is durable and keeps walking forward. Levi believes Durden's wrestling and volume will earn him a decision.

"i think cody durden should be the favor tonight and i think he gets the win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Cody Durden

Lock thinks Durden's wrestling will be too much for Aoriqileng. He notes Aoriqileng has been taken down by lesser competition, so Durden should have success. He sees Durden doing good work from top position and possibly getting a finish in the second round. Lock likes Durden inside the distance at +335.

Cody Durden inside the distance +335, under 2.5 rounds +170
"I do like cody dirt in here I do think he gets his uh grappling off and I could see him possibly getting this done in the second round."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick for the winner. He mentions he has bets on under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision, but does not state a side on the moneyline.

Paul says he is on the under 2.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision for this fight.
"i'm on the under two and a half rounds and fight doesn't go to decision in uh durden versus uh our boy chalang"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Cody Durden

The MMA Guru picks Cody Durden over Aoriqileng. He highlights Durden's grappling, especially his performance against Chris Gutierrez where he had his back for four minutes with submission attempts. He notes that Aoriqileng has been out-grappled and choked out in his career. He expects Durden to out-grapple Aoriqileng and win by close unanimous decision (29-28).

"i'm going to go with cody durden here"