Career Averages - Gilbert Urbina
Career Averages - Orion Cosce
Gilbert Urbina
Orion Cosce
Gilbert Urbina - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uroš Medić | 1 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 1 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uroš Medić | 1 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 1 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uroš Medić | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uroš Medić | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 5 of 10 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Uroš Medić but hates the odds at -350. He notes Medić is a technical striker with 100% finish rate and killer instinct, but his takedown defense is low. Gilbert Urbina is a grappler with high output but poor striking defense. Angelo thinks Medić will win because strikers are having more success, but the odds are too wide for his liking.
Big Brady is confident in Uroš Medić, citing his 100% finish rate and legitimate striking power. He criticizes Gilbert Urbina's chin, noting he was dropped multiple times by Tawn Gore and knocked out by Charles Raki. Brady believes Medić is a much better striker than Raki and will knock out Urbina early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Medić.
Connor picks Urbina because he thinks Medić's game has been figured out after getting wrecked a few times, and Urbina might not give him respect. He notes Urbina's cage wrestling and good riding skills from his win over Cosce.
Despite not being a big fan of Medic, the host sees this as a winnable fight and expects it to be violent. He thinks Medic will consistently crash the pocket and produce car crashes that could result in a finish, leading him to pick Medic by knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić over Gilbert Urbina, noting that Urbina's height is likely misreported and he lacks presence. He believes Medić has better offensive skills and finishing potential, and that his losses are to higher-level opponents. He predicts a TKO win for Medić.
Zane picks Medić because he is dynamic on the front foot and fast, and Urbina is not a pressure fighter. He notes Medić's tendency to put himself in bad positions but thinks Urbina will give him early opportunities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 2 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 33 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 2 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 33 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 16 of 38 | 42% | 4 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 30 of 47 | 63% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 16 of 38 | 42% | 4 of 17 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 11 | 16 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 30 of 47 | 63% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Angelo picks Gilbert Urbina, citing his cardio and pace as key factors. He notes that Urbina's takedown defense is a concern but believes his early pace will be too much for Radtke. He has Urbina in a parlay but only one bet to avoid overexposure.
Big Brady picks Charles Radtke to win by second-round submission. He notes that Urbina's last win came against a compromised Orion Coy, and he has questions about Urbina's durability and cardio. Radtke has power in his hands and solid defensive grappling. Brady expects Urbina to have early success with takedowns, but Radtke will find the chin and knock him out. He thinks people are overrating Urbina and underrating Radtke.
Cody picks Urbina, criticizing Radtke's limited skills and poor performance against Blood Diamond. He notes Urbina's youth, size advantage, and improving striking and wrestling. He expects Urbina to win by decision or late finish.
Urbina has range management and a strong top game, and should be able to grind out a finish. However, Radtke is a live underdog with good wrestling and power, and there are questions about his gas tank and durability. The host is not super confident but picks Urbina to win inside the distance.
Paul picks Urbina, highlighting the size difference and Radtke's inability to push around a bigger fighter. He notes Urbina's losses are to solid prospects and expects him to handle Radtke's pressure.
The MMA Guru picks Gilbert Urbina over Charles Radtke, predicting a second-round finish. He criticizes Radtke's performance against Blood Diamond, calling it pathetic, and compares Radtke to Ryan Koischeck. He believes Urbina will have similar success as he did against Koischeck, and notes Urbina's only losses are to Brian Battle and Sean Brady.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 51 of 82 | 62% | 100 of 139 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 34 of 47 | 72% | 83 of 104 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 16 of 32 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 51 of 82 | 62% | 31 of 56 | 12 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 27 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 10 of 18 | 55% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 34 of 47 | 72% | 23 of 34 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 23 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 6 of 14 | 42% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Orion Cosce because he believes Cosce can get takedowns and his takedown offense is better than Urbina's takedown defense. He notes Cosce's poor fight IQ and striking, but thinks he can grind out a win. He plans to bet on Orion to have more takedowns when the prop lines drop on Friday.
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to submit Gilbert Urbina in the third round. He notes that both fighters have questionable cardio, but he trusts Cosce to push through fatigue better. He sees Cosce as the better wrestler who can mix in takedowns and wear on Urbina, eventually getting a late submission. However, he admits he doesn't trust either fighter completely and calls it a low-level fight.
Cody thinks Cosce has a clinch advantage and better wrestling, but his cardio is a concern. He expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans Cosce due to his physicality. He is not confident and calls it a greasy fight.
Connor also picks Cosce, agreeing that he is a better athlete and more coordinated. He points out that Urbina gets tired and runs out of ideas, while Cosce maintains consistent power wrestling. Connor expects Cosce to win the first round and then both fighters to fall off, but Cosce will have the lead.
Daniel Levi picks Orion Cosce based on a coin flip, calling both fighters 'frauds.' He notes Cosce has more wrestling but gassing issues, while Urbina is more dangerous but can't wrestle. He is not confident and says he is passing on betting this fight. He leans Cosce because the coin said so.
The host picks Gilbert Urbina as an underdog, citing his more complete skill set including better striking, jiu-jitsu, and wrestling. He thinks Urbina's activity off his back could lead to a submission, and he expects the pace to force Cosce to slow down. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and predicts a submission in the second round.
Paul picks Urbina to be different, citing a potential edge in cardio and length. He acknowledges both fighters are unreliable and that the loser may be cut. He is not confident and will not bet.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce, citing his wrestling and grinding style. He notes Cosce's loss to Blood Diamond is not disqualifying, as Philip Rowe is a good fighter. He questions Gilbert Urbina's UFC caliber, suggesting he may not deserve to be there, and also raises concerns about Urbina's weight cut and conditioning. He expects Cosce to grind out a decision over the rounds.
Zane picks Cosce, describing him as a slightly better athlete and more consistently putting himself in strong positions with good leverage for throws and lifts. He notes that Urbina is not very coordinated and lacks natural athleticism, and that Cosce's power wrestling game should prevail. Zane expects an ugly fight but sees Cosce winning the first round when fresh.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 0 | 46 of 87 | 52% | 54 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:22 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 45 of 76 | 59% | 63 of 95 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 34 of 62 | 54% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 38 of 59 | 64% | 56 of 78 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 14 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:35 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Battle | 46 of 87 | 52% | 17 of 54 | 23 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 68 | 15 of 18 | 1 of 1 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 45 of 76 | 59% | 33 of 62 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 39 | 18 of 23 | 12 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryan Battle | 34 of 62 | 54% | 10 of 35 | 20 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 47 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 38 of 59 | 64% | 28 of 47 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 30 | 14 of 15 | 12 of 14 | |
| 2 | Bryan Battle | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Gilbert Urbina | 7 of 17 | 41% | 5 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Battle, citing his striking volume, head kicks, and takedown defense. He notes Urbina lost in the semifinals due to striking and that Battle is the better striker. He placed a 2-unit moneyline bet, which is rare for him.
Cody picks Battle, noting he looks like the bigger middleweight with solid takedown defense and clinch work. He contrasts Urbina's sporadic career and poor performance against Trashon Gore, where he was dropped by jabs. Cody believes Battle's generalist skills and experience from fighting frequently give him the edge, and he expects a decision win.
Jacob reluctantly picks Battle, saying he doesn't think either fighter is very good. He notes Battle was getting outgrappled before finding a D'Arce choke, and Urbina got dropped in his last fight. He expects a sloppy mess but gives Battle the edge due to his ability to get back to his feet.
Lock picks Battle by decision at +210, believing Battle will grind out Urbina over 15 minutes. He notes Battle's grappling and striking progression, and thinks Urbina is tentative and low-volume. Lock is concerned about Battle's power but thinks he can outpoint Urbina. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as well. Lock considered Battle as a potential lock of the night but wants more data.
Paul agrees with Battle, emphasizing that Urbina is the smaller man moving up and has limited skills. He notes Battle's ability to mix striking and wrestling, and that Urbina's chin looked suspect against Gore. Paul thinks Battle is the clear pick and will likely win by decision or TKO.
The Guru picks Bryan Battle to finish Gilbert Urbina, noting Battle's rapid improvement and Urbina's lack of preparation. He mentions that Urbina was knocked out on TUF and is taking the fight on short notice. The Guru predicts a third-round submission for Battle, as he trusts Battle's finishing ability over Urbina's durability.
Orion Cosce - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 51 of 82 | 62% | 100 of 139 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 34 of 47 | 72% | 83 of 104 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 16 of 32 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 51 of 82 | 62% | 31 of 56 | 12 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 27 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 10 of 18 | 55% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 34 of 47 | 72% | 23 of 34 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 23 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 6 of 14 | 42% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Orion Cosce because he believes Cosce can get takedowns and his takedown offense is better than Urbina's takedown defense. He notes Cosce's poor fight IQ and striking, but thinks he can grind out a win. He plans to bet on Orion to have more takedowns when the prop lines drop on Friday.
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to submit Gilbert Urbina in the third round. He notes that both fighters have questionable cardio, but he trusts Cosce to push through fatigue better. He sees Cosce as the better wrestler who can mix in takedowns and wear on Urbina, eventually getting a late submission. However, he admits he doesn't trust either fighter completely and calls it a low-level fight.
Cody thinks Cosce has a clinch advantage and better wrestling, but his cardio is a concern. He expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans Cosce due to his physicality. He is not confident and calls it a greasy fight.
Connor also picks Cosce, agreeing that he is a better athlete and more coordinated. He points out that Urbina gets tired and runs out of ideas, while Cosce maintains consistent power wrestling. Connor expects Cosce to win the first round and then both fighters to fall off, but Cosce will have the lead.
Daniel Levi picks Orion Cosce based on a coin flip, calling both fighters 'frauds.' He notes Cosce has more wrestling but gassing issues, while Urbina is more dangerous but can't wrestle. He is not confident and says he is passing on betting this fight. He leans Cosce because the coin said so.
The host picks Gilbert Urbina as an underdog, citing his more complete skill set including better striking, jiu-jitsu, and wrestling. He thinks Urbina's activity off his back could lead to a submission, and he expects the pace to force Cosce to slow down. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and predicts a submission in the second round.
Paul picks Urbina to be different, citing a potential edge in cardio and length. He acknowledges both fighters are unreliable and that the loser may be cut. He is not confident and will not bet.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce, citing his wrestling and grinding style. He notes Cosce's loss to Blood Diamond is not disqualifying, as Philip Rowe is a good fighter. He questions Gilbert Urbina's UFC caliber, suggesting he may not deserve to be there, and also raises concerns about Urbina's weight cut and conditioning. He expects Cosce to grind out a decision over the rounds.
Zane picks Cosce, describing him as a slightly better athlete and more consistently putting himself in strong positions with good leverage for throws and lifts. He notes that Urbina is not very coordinated and lacks natural athleticism, and that Cosce's power wrestling game should prevail. Zane expects an ugly fight but sees Cosce winning the first round when fresh.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 77 of 107 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 9:26 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 63 of 98 | 64% | 90 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 21 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 33 of 59 | 55% | 50 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 38 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 10 of 11 | 90% | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 25 of 52 | 48% | 14 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 11 |
| Mike Mathetha | 63 of 98 | 64% | 28 of 55 | 26 of 29 | 9 of 14 | 34 of 60 | 29 of 37 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 8 of 15 | 53% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 20 of 28 | 71% | 5 of 9 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 33 of 59 | 55% | 19 of 42 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 5 of 12 | 41% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Mike Mathetha | 10 of 11 | 90% | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to win by first-round submission. He notes Cosce is the wrestler with a 100% finish rate, but has cardio concerns if the fight extends past the first round. He believes Cosce will get takedowns early and finish Mathetha, who has a kickboxing background but limited MMA experience. Brady is staying away from betting this fight due to the sketchy nature of low-level matchups.
Cody picks Cosce, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Blood Diamond has zero takedown defense and will be taken down and mauled. He thinks Cosce will get the takedown early and deliver ground and pound. He also mentions that Cosce has cardio issues but expects him to finish inside two rounds. He says the price is about right but that Cosce should win.
Daniel picks Cosce but is not confident. He notes Cosce has serious gas tank issues and is not a great grappler. He acknowledges Blood Diamond's kickboxing background but says his MMA experience is minimal (3-1). He thinks if Cosce can take the fight to the ground, he can win, but if they stand and bang, it could get interesting. He does not want to lay -175 on Cosce, so he passes on betting.
Preet expects Cosce to get the fight to the ground quickly and finish early, or Blood Diamond catches him on the way in. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +111, predicting an early finish either way. He notes Cosce's rough weight cut but still leans on his grappling to end it quickly.
Paul leans Cosce but is not confident. He notes that Blood Diamond is knockout or bust and that Cosce has a wrestling advantage. He thinks Cosce will take him down and finish him early, but if it goes to the second or third, Cosce's cardio could be an issue. He also mentions that Blood Diamond pulled out of the fight six weeks ago, which is a concern. He says he would wait for live betting after the first round.
The MMA Guru predicts Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond) will win by TKO in the third round. He expects Orion Cosce to take Mathetha down repeatedly in the first two rounds, but Mathetha will work back to his feet and land damaging knees to the body. Cosce's weight cut was bad, so he will slow down in round three, allowing Mathetha to finish him with knees and strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rowe | 1 | 46 of 93 | 49% | 53 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 51 of 82 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Rowe | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 22 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Philip Rowe | 1 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 45 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rowe | 46 of 93 | 49% | 32 of 76 | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 78 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 22 of 52 | 42% | 17 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 44 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Rowe | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 7 of 11 | 63% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Philip Rowe | 43 of 87 | 49% | 31 of 72 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 73 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 15 of 41 | 36% | 11 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Philip Rowe over Orion Cosce. He highlights Rowe's significant 9.5-inch reach advantage and superior cardio, noting that Rowe is a better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ and slick submissions off his back. He expects Cosce to have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Rowe to secure a late finish. Brady predicts a third-round knockout for Rowe.
Cody picks Philip Rowe as a live underdog, citing his massive reach advantage (9 inches) and tricky striking. He notes that Cosce has cardio issues and that Rowe can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Cody believes that if Rowe survives the first round, he can take over as Cosce tires. He already placed a bet on Rowe at +150.
Daniel Levi is surprised that Cosce is a -160 favorite, as he sees this as a more even fight. He believes Rowe has significant physical advantages with his 81-inch reach and 6'4" frame, and that his jiu-jitsu training under Julian Williams and Adolfo Vieira gives him a submission threat. Levi acknowledges Rowe's vulnerability to leg kicks due to his build but hasn't seen Cosce employ that strategy. He leans on Rowe to use his physical tools and possibly find a submission or grind out a decision.
Rowe has a huge reach and height advantage, slicker boxing, good movement, and enough jiu-jitsu to avoid trouble. Cosce's regional tape shows gassing and sketchy competition. Rowe's distance striking should wear Cosce down as the fight progresses. The only concern is leg kicks, but Cosce doesn't rely on them heavily. Rowe by decision is the most likely outcome.
Paul leans towards Orion Cosce, noting his power and wrestling advantage. He believes Cosce can take Rowe down and use his strength to control the fight. However, he is concerned about Cosce's cardio and the reach disadvantage. Paul sees this as a close fight and is not confident enough to bet, calling it a 'dog or pass' spot.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce over Philip Rowe, stating that Cosce is better and pressures opponents. He notes that Rowe struggled against Gabriel Green, who pressured him, and that Cosce is a better pressure fighter. He expects Cosce to break Rowe as the rounds go on and predicts a finish in the third round by TKO.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Orion Cosce because he believes Cosce can get takedowns and his takedown offense is better than Urbina's takedown defense. He notes Cosce's poor fight IQ and striking, but thinks he can grind out a win. He plans to bet on Orion to have more takedowns when the prop lines drop on Friday.
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to submit Gilbert Urbina in the third round. He notes that both fighters have questionable cardio, but he trusts Cosce to push through fatigue better. He sees Cosce as the better wrestler who can mix in takedowns and wear on Urbina, eventually getting a late submission. However, he admits he doesn't trust either fighter completely and calls it a low-level fight.
Cody thinks Cosce has a clinch advantage and better wrestling, but his cardio is a concern. He expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans Cosce due to his physicality. He is not confident and calls it a greasy fight.
Connor also picks Cosce, agreeing that he is a better athlete and more coordinated. He points out that Urbina gets tired and runs out of ideas, while Cosce maintains consistent power wrestling. Connor expects Cosce to win the first round and then both fighters to fall off, but Cosce will have the lead.
Daniel Levi picks Orion Cosce based on a coin flip, calling both fighters 'frauds.' He notes Cosce has more wrestling but gassing issues, while Urbina is more dangerous but can't wrestle. He is not confident and says he is passing on betting this fight. He leans Cosce because the coin said so.
The host picks Gilbert Urbina as an underdog, citing his more complete skill set including better striking, jiu-jitsu, and wrestling. He thinks Urbina's activity off his back could lead to a submission, and he expects the pace to force Cosce to slow down. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and predicts a submission in the second round.
Paul picks Urbina to be different, citing a potential edge in cardio and length. He acknowledges both fighters are unreliable and that the loser may be cut. He is not confident and will not bet.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce, citing his wrestling and grinding style. He notes Cosce's loss to Blood Diamond is not disqualifying, as Philip Rowe is a good fighter. He questions Gilbert Urbina's UFC caliber, suggesting he may not deserve to be there, and also raises concerns about Urbina's weight cut and conditioning. He expects Cosce to grind out a decision over the rounds.
Zane picks Cosce, describing him as a slightly better athlete and more consistently putting himself in strong positions with good leverage for throws and lifts. He notes that Urbina is not very coordinated and lacks natural athleticism, and that Cosce's power wrestling game should prevail. Zane expects an ugly fight but sees Cosce winning the first round when fresh.
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