vs
+110 -120
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 26
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 28
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Chase Hooper
4.5 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.02 SApM
39.0% Str. Def.
2.43 TD Avg
32.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
2.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Nick Fiore
2.83 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
7.93 SApM
42.0% Str. Def.
2.5 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Chase Hooper
Moneyline
BetWay +110
KO/TKO
BetRivers +750
Submission
BetRivers +360
Decision
BetMGM +400
Nick Fiore
Moneyline
FanDuel -120
KO/TKO
BetRivers +335
Submission
BetRivers +525
Decision
FanDuel +360
Chase Hooper - Fight History
SCHED vs Mitch Ramirez
UFC Fight Night 281 · Jul 18, 2026
LOSS vs Lance Gibson
KO R1 2:56 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 11 of 32 34% 13 of 34 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Lance Gibson 1 13 of 22 59% 19 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 11 of 32 34% 3 of 18 5 of 8 3 of 6 11 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
Lance Gibson 13 of 22 59% 6 of 13 2 of 3 5 of 6 7 of 14 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 22, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is not confident, noting that Hooper relies on experience and BJJ, and that he hasn't beaten anyone under 40 in years. He thinks Lance Gibson could win if he wrestles and stays safe. Angelo criticizes the odds, saying Hooper should not be a 3-to-1 favorite.

"I'm going to pick Chase here because I do believe that experience at this level matters almost as much as the actual skills."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round submission. He acknowledges Hooper's striking deficiencies and recent knockout losses, but believes Hooper's ground game is elite. He notes Hooper has improved his wrestling, taking down Jim Miller eight times and Clay Guida three times. He thinks once Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate with ground and pound and submissions.

Hooper by submission round 2
"Give me Chase Hooper here. I think he gets the fight down to the ground and he starts to style on Lance Gibson Jr."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody believes Hooper's grappling and improving striking will be too much for Gibson, who he views as a Bellator-level fighter. He expects Hooper to win via submission or decision.

"It's going to be a Chase Hooper play."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper as well, agreeing that Hooper's grappling is dynamite and he is a violent grappler. He thinks Gibson's mentality is not suited for fighting and that Hooper will take advantage.

"I'll take Hooper as well."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper's experience and grappling will be too much for Gibson, who he views as not UFC caliber. He expects Hooper to submit Gibson, noting Gibson lacks knockout power to threaten Hooper.

"I'm going to pick Hooper to come out here and submit this guy."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Mar 28, 2026 (fight day)

The host believes Hooper is very likely to win due to his improved wrestling and ground game, but the odds (-318) are too steep to bet. Gibson is a volume striker without knockout power, so Hooper should eventually get a takedown and finish. However, there is not enough known about Gibson to bet the underdog, making this an easy pass.

"Hooper's probably going to get the job done. I'm not going to be betting this one. Hooper's too big of a favorite for me to take a shot on him."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host likes Hooper's submission game but is wary of the minus 240 line, as he thinks Hooper may struggle to get the fight to the ground against Gibson's athleticism. He suggests Hooper needs to be reckless with striking to create openings for grappling. He predicts Hooper will eventually find a submission but acknowledges the risk.

submission
"I am going to go Hooper. I think it's just a matter of time before he finds a way to get this into the grappling realm. And I think from there he eventually pulls off a submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 25, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul agrees, noting Hooper's length and grappling advantage. He's not impressed by Gibson's UFC debut and expects Hooper to handle him.

"Chase Hooper for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, citing his recent grappling improvements and wins over Jim Miller and Jordan Leavitt. He believes Hooper's grappling will be too much for Lance Gibson Jr., who he considers a name merchant. He expects Hooper to survive early danger and eventually submit or outgrapple Gibson for a decision.

"I'm going to go with Chase Hooper getting this one done."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 27, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper because Hooper knows how to be aggressive and go after submissions, while Gibson seems to avoid fighting. He notes that Gibson's wins are against cans and he shuts down when faced with skill parity.

"Hooper knows how to try to win. He knows how to go after people, be aggressive."
KO R1 4:58 · UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 20 of 82 24% 20 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Alexander Hernandez 1 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 20 of 82 24% 7 of 62 7 of 12 6 of 8 20 of 81 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alexander Hernandez 17 of 38 44% 14 of 35 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 33 0 of 0 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alexander Hernandez vs. Chase Hooper
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-345), Hernandez (+275)

Round 1
Getting away from the prelims to the four-bout chunk on the ESPN network, we start with a lightweight clash that pits a young-up-and-comer against someone who used to hold that status before aging out of it. Hooper (16-3-1, 8-3 UFC) is full of things and vinegar at the age of 25 on a five-fight win streak—one shy of a career long. His opponent Hernandez (16-8, 8-7 UFC) has won lately to edge himself above the .500 UFC record line, although a defeat tonight would even him out again. The two men have referee Jason Herzog to thank for how the officiating will play out in the next 15 minutes or fewer, and they opt to bump fists.
Hooper starts off with long front kicks from either limb to the body. The kicks set up one up high, and he chains a spinning back fist into it. Hernandez steps in to kick the body, and Hooper nearly reaches him on the way out with his far longer limbs. Hernandez tries to close the distance again, and Hooper uses his front kick to frustrate his foe. Hernandez manages to get in to score a pair of punches, only to have to back off and wait for Hooper to throw a naked kick to counter with an overhand left. Hernandez sticks out a straight right hand, and Hooper whizzes past him with a combination.
Hernandez sits down on two counterpunches when Hooper kicks at the ribs, and he hurls a big left hand as Hooper shoots in for a single-leg entry. Hernandez breaks out of it and circles away, blocking a chasing strike or two including a spinning back fist. Hooper plants two punches on the jaw, and Hernandez reaches him at the end of a left. Hooper’s front kick is mixed in, and he shoots in low for a takedown and lands on his own face. Hernandez scoots away and lets Hooper back up, and he measures the longer fighter with looping punches out of range. Hernandez connects on a few punches and evades a long right hand, while parrying two subsequent strikes. “The Great Ape” hits with a left, and Hooper partially rolls with it and replies with doubled left hooks.
Hernandez keeps moving from side to side, and he lances a fierce right hand down the middle to separate Hooper from his senses. Hooper collapses to his knees and tries for a desperate takedown to save himself, and Hernandez pounds on him from both sides of the head with seconds to go in the round. As Hooper takes damage, Herzog waves the fight off
, as he does not feel that Hooper should have a few more seconds to ride out the round and recover. Hooper is crestfallen but nods in understanding when informed exactly what happened, while the victorious Hernandez raises his arms and parades around the cage to celebrate.

The Official Result
Alexander Hernandez def. Chase Hooper R1 4:58 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo notes Hooper has filled out physically, improved his takedowns, and is undefeated at 155. He thinks Hernandez is inconsistent and undersized, and that Hooper's height and BJJ advantage could be key. However, he acknowledges Hernandez's takedown defense and toughness, making this a close fight. He slightly leans Hooper but is not confident.

Considering betting Hernandez to win a round (+3.5) at plus money
"I'm going to slight lean Chase. Chase is going to be the pick, but like by this much."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to win by second-round TKO. He notes Hernandez struggles with high pace and has been broken in many fights. Hooper is massive, pushes a pace, and will drain Hernandez's gas tank. He thinks Hooper will chain takedowns and submission attempts, finishing Hernandez in the second or third round. He acknowledges Hernandez could hurt Hooper early, but if Hooper gets rolling, it's a bad matchup for Hernandez.

Hooper by TKO, round 2
"I think Chase Suber is going to get it done. So, give me Chase to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round TKO."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

The host notes Hooper's recent improvements and chaotic striking approach. He expects Hooper to wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission, likely in the second or third round.

submission in the second or third round
"Given his recent improvements and his chaotic striking approach, I think he can wear down Hernandez and eventually find a submission probably in the second or third round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

The Guru leans towards Alexander Hernandez, though he expresses some hesitation. He believes Hernandez's explosiveness and body shots will be effective against Chase Hooper. The Guru notes that Hooper's grappling is improved but he lacks damaging ground and pound and often wins by submission threat rather than actual submissions. He worries about Hernandez's close fight with Austin Hubbard but thinks Hernandez will have more moments in the scrambles and on the feet.

"I'm going to lean towards Alexander Hernandez here for some reason. I don't know why I'm feeling it, but I think Alexander Hernandez is going to show up and have a, you know, I beat Benil Darush, by the way, …"
WIN vs Jim Miller
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jim Miller 0 13 of 35 37% 22 of 45 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 21 of 44 47% 59 of 94 8 of 14 57% 1 0 10:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jim Miller 0 10 of 16 62% 14 of 21 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:39
Chase Hooper 0 10 of 21 47% 24 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:57
2 Jim Miller 0 1 of 12 8% 2 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 11 45% 10 of 19 5 of 8 62% 0 0 4:04
3 Jim Miller 0 2 of 7 28% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chase Hooper 0 6 of 12 50% 25 of 34 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jim Miller 13 of 35 37% 11 of 30 1 of 2 1 of 3 7 of 28 1 of 2 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 21 of 44 47% 13 of 34 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 41 1 of 1 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jim Miller 10 of 16 62% 10 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 10 1 of 1 5 of 5
Chase Hooper 10 of 21 47% 4 of 13 5 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jim Miller 1 of 12 8% 0 of 9 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 5 of 11 45% 4 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Jim Miller 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 6 of 12 50% 5 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jim Miller
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-800), Miller (+550)

Round 1
While it is understandable, it is still unfortunate that announcer Bruce Buffer declined to shout out Miller’s (38-18, 1 NC; 27-17, 1 NC UFC) preferred nickname that was certainly not “A-10.” We get what we get, so “Expletive Deleted” will have to hold serve for now. The grizzled veteran, one whose name is all over the leaderboards including the most fights (soon to be 46) and the most victories (27 for now), will throw down with a man 16 years his junior. In a contest of old man strength vs. youthful exuberance, Hooper (15-3-1, 7-3 UFC) will represent the latter and will close as an astronomical betting favorite north of -800. Things like 41 and -800 are just numbers to Miller, who will meet Hooper in the center of the cage while referee Kerry Hatley watches on. They do not touch gloves. When Miller plods forward, Hooper backs away and uses his kicks to keep his preferred distance. Hooper suddenly attacks with a swarm of punches, and Miller sits in the pocket and fires back at him. Hooper gets the better of an exchange, and he slides back and clips Miller with a solid right hand. Miller is unfazed and cracks his foe with a left hook, and Hooper punches and shoots low for a single. Miller drops to a knee to defend it, and he wraps up a guillotine choke that forces Hooper to stand. Hooper drops to the floor to roll out of it, and Miller lowers himself down and blasts the youngster in the face with a standing-to-ground left hand. Hooper hunts for a triangle choke, and Miller punches his way out of it and reassumes top position in the guard. “A-10” stacks Hooper up to prevent Hooper from going after anything, and Miller latches on with a guillotine and jumps guard to secure it. Hooper calmly works his neck out of harm’s way, and he finds himself in top. Miller turns over and gives up his back, and Hooper is quick to start hunting for a standing rear-naked choke. Miller leans against the cage to take some of the weight off, and he tries to scrape “The Dream” off of him using the chain links. Hooper has the body triangle wrapped around the waist to remain on Miller’s back, and he hacks at Miller with an elbow. Hooper attempts a neck crank, and Miller bucks and twists to get Hooper off of his back. Hooper hits his back and instantly attacks an armbar, and Miller punches his way out of that and a subsequent triangle setup. Miller nails his man with a big left hand, and he pushes out of a quick triangle that materializes out of nowhere. Miller stands up, and Hooper follows him and pushes out a front kick. One more front kick from Hooper results in him getting caught with an overhand right, and the horn sounds to end the dramatic round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Miller
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 2
Miller starts out the round ready to get in the pocket and exchange, and he scores a solid left hand to back Hooper off. When Hooper presses him, Miller tags him with another left. The youngster chains a front kick into a spinning back fist, and Miller defends against them and allows Hooper to take him down so he can grip hold of a two-on-one wrist lock. Hooper elbows him in the side while Miller clings to the limb, using it to work back to his feet. Hooper takes his back standing and wrenches him to the ground, where he flirts with a rear-naked choke to further control his foe. Miller works his way back to his feet and leans himself on the wire, and Hooper softens him up and is pulled off of Miller’s back, but he sells out for a takedown and lands in side control. After Hooper gets off some strikes, Miller fights to his feet, and he considers a guillotine when Hooper pursues a mat return. Miller lets it go and stands up, and Hooper kicks off the fencing and tosses Miller to his back. Hooper controls Miller from the side and then back, and the two scramble and roll to find themselves in an awkward situation. Hoop looks to lace Miller’s legs and spread them apart for a banana split, and he tugs on Miller’s foot to further hold on tight. Miller survives this and makes it to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper

Round 3
Hooper wants to take the fight down to begin the final round, with Miller wearing it after 10 minutes of combat. The control of Hooper starts to take over, as he latches on the elder statesman’s back and wrangles him to the floor. Hooper again pursues a leglock from a strange angle, and Miller’s knee is trapped in a precarious predicament. They remain stuck in a 50-50 of sorts, with a possible twister or other unorthodox submission coming together. Miller on his back, has his legs caught between Hooper’s, and his torso is about to turn the wrong direction until Hooper decides to abandon it and take top position. Hooper clings to the top position like Saran wrap, nullifying Miller and causing the audience to start booing. Hooper resides in half guard, smothering and hanging tight until posturing up with a few elbows to the side. Hooper sits up with seconds to go, and the fight that started with a roar ends with a whimper.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (29-28 Hooper)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hooper (30-27 Hooper)

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jim Miller via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi notes that Chase Hooper handled a legend, securing eight takedowns and doing what he was supposed to do. He suggests moving Hooper up and even proposes a fight against Michael Chandler. He respects Jim Miller as a legend but acknowledges the loss.

"Chase Hooper went out there, handled a legend, you know, eight takedowns. Uh he didn't he didn't get to sub him, but you know, he went out there, did what he was supposed to do."
WIN vs Clay Guida
Submission (armbar) R1 3:41 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Clay Guida 0 7 of 15 46% 14 of 28 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 5 of 13 38% 3 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0
Clay Guida 7 of 15 46% 5 of 10 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Angelo picks Chase Hooper, arguing that Clay Guida is 42 years old and past his prime, while Hooper's grappling and evolving striking will be too much. He mentions Hooper already submitted Guida in their first fight with a calf slicer. Angelo dismisses the idea that Hooper can't win a kickboxing match, stating Guida is too old and worn down. He is confident Hooper will win again.

"Chase Hooper absolutely smokes here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper, citing his youth, jiu-jitsu, and improvement. He notes Guida's age and submission losses. He expects Hooper to win inside the distance, likely by submission.

Hooper inside the distance
"Chase Hooper inside the distance... whether it be submission or TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor is very confident in Hooper, stating that Guida can no longer wrestle or strike effectively. He notes that Hooper is much larger with long arms, and that if Guida tries to wrestle, Hooper will submit him. Connor points out that Guida's style has been ineffective for years and that Hooper's modern technique will be too much.

"This is just a layup for chase. Hooper. Yeah, it should be right really should be."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel believes Hooper has matured and can beat Guida anywhere. He references their previous grappling match where Hooper submitted Guida. He expects Hooper to finish Guida, possibly by submission.

by submission
"I think he's going to come out here and finish Klay Guida."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper should absolutely smash Clay Guida, who is notorious for coming up short against submission specialists early, just as Charles Oliveira and Jim Miller were able to do. I expect Hooper to submit Guida within the first five minutes.

submission within first round
"I expect Hooper to submit quido within the first five minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, emphasizing his grappling and physical advantages. He notes Guida's age and lack of offense. He expects Hooper to submit Guida, but suggests inside the distance is safer.

Hooper by submission (small bet)
"Chase Hooper by submission is somewhat playable."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, noting Guida's age (42) and tendency to make grappling mistakes that lead to submissions. He thinks Hooper's reach, youth, and improved striking will allow him to dominate. He sees Hooper latching up a guillotine or getting dominant position. He does not see Guida having the power to knock Hooper out.

Chase Hooper wins by submission (guillotine)
"I'm going with Chase Hooper um getting this one done against Klay Guida"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane agrees, confidently picking Hooper. He notes that Guida is ancient and cannot wrestle or strike anymore, while Hooper is a young, skilled grappler with a size advantage. Zane believes Hooper will either outstrike Guida or submit him if Guida tries to wrestle.

"Jay super is gonna beat him using modern technology."
Submission (brabo choke) R2 3:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 1 62 of 109 56% 129 of 217 1 of 1 100% 2 0 6:03
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 1 32 of 62 51% 76 of 123 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:10
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chase Hooper 0 30 of 47 63% 53 of 94 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:53
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 62 of 109 56% 58 of 104 4 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 23 0 of 0 58 of 86
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 32 of 62 51% 28 of 57 4 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 18 0 of 0 29 of 44
Viacheslav Borshchev 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chase Hooper 30 of 47 63% 30 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 42
Viacheslav Borshchev 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Angelo picks Viacheslav Borshchev because of his striking advantage and Chase Hooper's poor takedown offense (22% accuracy). He notes Borshchev has a professional kickboxing background and can defend takedowns well enough. He acknowledges Hooper's dangerous BJJ but believes Borshchev can keep the fight standing and land punishment.

"Vice should be able to defend the takedowns Dole out some punishment viav is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

Big Brady picks Slava Borshchev to win by first-round knockout, but admits it's a tough call and he could look stupid. He notes that on the feet, Borshchev has a huge advantage, as Hooper has been knocked down repeatedly by strikers like Steve Garcia. However, if Hooper gets the fight to the ground, he will dominate. Borshchev has poor takedown defense (36%), but Hooper's wrestling may not be as good as previous opponents. He hopes Borshchev stuffs takedowns and makes it look easy.

"I'm going to take Slava to win this fight by first round knockout um hopefully stuff the takedowns and if he does I think he makes it look pretty easy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Hooper as a confident underdog, noting that Borshchev has terrible takedown defense (35% in UFC) and has been taken down 24 times in 6 fights. Hooper, despite his own takedown accuracy issues, should be able to take Borshchev down and dominate on the ground with his elite BJJ. Cody believes Hooper's cardio and tenacity will allow him to survive early striking exchanges and find takedowns later. He already bet Hooper at plus 140.

Bet at +140
"I think Chase gets the dub I'll take Chase as the dog I actually already bet him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Vreeland picks Chase Hooper, noting that Borshchev has poor takedown defense, especially when tired. He believes Hooper can weather the early storm and drag Borshchev to the ground for a ground-and-pound TKO or submission. He mentions that Hooper has moved up to 155 and is growing into his body.

by submission or ground-and-pound TKO
"If Hooper can weather this storm and not get knocked the [ __ ] out he can drag this guy down and either ground and pound TKO or submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The host leans Borshchev due to his improved takedown defense and striking advantage. He expects Borshchev to land big shots as Hooper recklessly closes distance, and hopes his submission defense holds up on the mat. He acknowledges Hooper's grappling danger but thinks Borshchev can survive and find a knockout. The pick is a lean, as he understands the underdog appeal.

"I'll lean borchev um but a very dangerous fight on both sides"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul picks Hooper, echoing Cody's reasoning. He emphasizes that Borshchev's takedown defense is abysmal and that Hooper, despite his own flaws, has the grappling to exploit it. Paul notes that Hooper has shown heart and improvement at 155, and his BJJ is elite. He expects Hooper to get the fight to the ground and submit or control Borshchev. Paul calls it a 'dog pick' and is confident Hooper can win.

"I got a dog I was hoping that this was going to be our shoy bet of the week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Viacheslav Borshchev

The MMA Guru picks Viacheslav Borshchev over Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's improvement. He believes the striking gap is too large and that Borshchev's leg kicks and body shots will be effective. He notes that Hooper lacks the strength to power through takedowns against Borshchev, who has good takedown defense. He predicts a body shot TKO finish.

left hook to the body, liver shot TKO
"I'm going to go with vishav borchev over Chase Hooper... I think he's going to chop that leg kick... and probably finish people with a body shot."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:58 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 1 of 3 33% 13 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:57
Jordan Leavitt 0 3 of 4 75% 5 of 10 0 of 2 0% 0 1 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Leavitt 3 of 4 75% 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hooper (-230), Leavitt (+190)

Round 1
Styles make fights, and these two lightweights appear to have the same one. These two grapplers may treat fans with fun exchanges, or they could nullify the other and result in a kickboxing match. Hooper (12-3-1, 4-3 UFC) and Leavitt (11-2, 4-2 UFC) are ready to go wherever is needed over the next three rounds, as is referee Mike Beltran. Two of the more convivial fighters on the roster share a light-hearted clap of hands, and then prepare to hurt each other. Hooper rushes out hoping to strike, and Leavitt hunts for a takedown. Hooper turns him over and fights off a single attempt from Leavitt, and the two spin one another around in the clinch. A scramble leads to the two hitting the mat, and Leavitt considers a guillotine and then a triangle choke into an omoplata. Leavitt uses these attempts to sweep his opponent, and he maintains a can opener only to fall into an armbar setup. Hooper turns over and leans to his back to try to lock the submission down, and Leavitt turns and stands up to stack Hooper up and break up the submission. Hooper chains a leglock into an armbar, and Leavitt smashes him in the face with big right hand that stuns Hooper. “The Dream” attempts a leglock, and Leavitt drops down to do the same, and the 50/50 position persists until Hooper drills Leavitt in the face.
Hooper turns over, and Leavitt sits up and is a bit too slow to spin around. Hooper takes his back during the scramble, and he fastens the body triangle around the waist and locks down a rear-naked choke. The forearm slides beneath the chin, and Hooper starts celebrating the submission before he even gets a tap. Leavitt ultimately does surrender instead of going out
, and Hooper lets go and stands to release a guttural celebratory shriek.

The Official Result
Chase Hooper def. Jordan Leavitt R1 2:58 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

Angelo picks Jordan Leavitt, expecting him to be more physical and have slightly better wrestling. He notes both are similar grapplers with poor striking, but thinks Leavitt's power in his hands and ability to get takedowns will be the difference. He may bet if Leavitt becomes a bigger dog.

May bet if line moves and Leavitt becomes a bigger dog
"I'm still going to pick Jordan leave it in this fight I think he can be more physical I think he's going to have the slightly better wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady likes Hooper, noting he's putting it together with incredible pace and cardio, as seen in his wins over Felipe Colares and Nick Fiore. He thinks Leavitt has solid wrestling and striking but slows down, as in the Claudio Puelles fight. He predicts Hooper will push a pace Leavitt can't keep up with and finish him late in the third round by TKO.

"I think Chase super can can set a pace that L not going be able to keep up with and I think Hooper gets Lev out of there late in that third round so give me Chase Hooper to win …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody picks Chase Hooper, noting his high volume striking and improved grappling. He mentions Hooper's durability and ability to win by submission or decision. Cody sees Leavitt as one-dimensional with low output and believes Hooper's size and skill advantage will prevail.

"I think Chase wins on volume Chase could potentially you know sub them have the better grappling"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Hooper has improved his pressure fighting and can get the fight to the ground where he has a slick submission game. Leavitt has a weird submission game but questionable cardio and striking. Hooper can land better damage and control on top, winning by decision. However, both fighters are flaky, so confidence is low.

"I'm going to lean Chase superer here still though I think he can get off on better damage I think he can get some control time from that top position and I think he can make it look good enough …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Paul is high on Chase Hooper, citing his youth, size advantage at lightweight, and improved wrestling. He notes Hooper's legitimate jiu-jitsu and cardio, and believes Leavitt is one-dimensional with no standout skills. Paul expects Hooper to drown Leavitt with pressure and volume.

"I think Chase Hooper gets the win"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Leavitt

The MMA Guru picks Jordan Leavitt over Chase Hooper, believing Leavitt is further along in his MMA career. He notes Leavitt's improved striking since 2021 and his competitive grappling with Claudio Puelles, which he thinks Leavitt won. He believes Leavitt's grappling is good enough to stop Hooper and that Hooper's win over Nick Fiore is not impressive.

"I just think Jordan Leavitt is further along in his mixed martial arts career than Chase Hooper... I'm going to go Jordan Leavitt wins this fight."
WIN vs Nick Fiore
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 149 of 245 60% 217 of 340 1 of 10 10% 1 1 3:54
Nick Fiore 0 51 of 90 56% 58 of 98 4 of 8 50% 0 0 4:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 60 of 101 59% 68 of 112 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:55
Nick Fiore 0 17 of 32 53% 20 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
2 Chase Hooper 0 56 of 90 62% 74 of 112 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:54
Nick Fiore 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:36
3 Chase Hooper 0 33 of 54 61% 75 of 116 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:05
Nick Fiore 0 19 of 27 70% 22 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 149 of 245 60% 110 of 203 31 of 34 8 of 8 97 of 160 42 of 73 10 of 12
Nick Fiore 51 of 90 56% 49 of 88 1 of 1 1 of 1 34 of 66 11 of 17 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 60 of 101 59% 44 of 84 11 of 12 5 of 5 35 of 61 22 of 36 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1
2 Chase Hooper 56 of 90 62% 43 of 76 12 of 13 1 of 1 36 of 57 17 of 29 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 15 of 31 48% 14 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 25 2 of 4 1 of 2
3 Chase Hooper 33 of 54 61% 23 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2 26 of 42 3 of 8 4 of 4
Nick Fiore 19 of 27 70% 18 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Angelo picks Nick Fiore because Chase Hooper's striking is abysmal and he lacks wrestling to get the fight to the ground. He notes that Hooper is a 'full-on Jiu Jitsu nerd' with no hands, while Fiore is a solid grappler with better takedowns. However, he admits Hooper could sneak out a win since he may be the better BJJ artist, so no bet is placed.

Maybe inside the distance decision no action on Chase
"I can't go with Chase Hooper here in reality he's gonna be the better Grappler and he is fighting another Grappler so that is a recipe for a win but his absolute lack of hands his inability to wrestle to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to submit Nick Fiore in the third round, but with low confidence. He notes Hooper has looked better recently, especially in the Felipe Colares fight, but also got knocked out badly by Steve Garcia. He expects this to be a grappling-heavy fight and trusts Hooper's cardio and experience in later rounds over Fiore, who slowed in his UFC debut. However, he admits having much confidence in Hooper is not smart.

submission in round 3
"give me Chase super for the win I'll say Chase super third round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody thinks Hooper's grappling and cardio could be decisive if the fight stays on the ground. He notes Hooper has been given a favorable matchup and that Fiore's cardio is untested. He takes the underdog for value.

"I'm gonna take Chase Hooper plus money."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper, noting that Fiore's pre-UFC wins were over weak competition and that he was easily handled by Rubezki. He believes Hooper's grappling advantage will be decisive, and that Fiore's aggression will play into Hooper's comfort zone. Connor also mentions that Hooper's move to lightweight is smart and that he will continue to pack on strength.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper as an underdog. He argues that Nick Fiore's style plays into Hooper's strengths: Fiore likes to scramble and grapple, which is Hooper's wheelhouse. Levi notes Fiore is not a threat standing and that Hooper has superior BJJ and flexibility. He acknowledges Hooper's poor striking defense but believes Fiore will take the fight to the mat, where Hooper can win. He calls Hooper his 'fighter to watch.'

"Chase Hooper's my pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The host picks Nick Fiore but is not highly confident, calling it a toss-up between two BJJ black belts. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as the grappling may cancel out early. He thinks Fiore's aggressive style and top pressure could be the difference, and he expects a decision win.

over 1.5 rounds
"I like the over one and a half as I think the majority of their Jiu Jitsu will cancel each other out for at least seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Paul picks Fiore, citing his better striking and the fact that Hooper has taken a lot of damage. He thinks Fiore's grappling is solid and that Hooper's stand-up is not sustainable. He is not confident but leans Fiore.

"I'll be picking Fiore."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The MMA Guru believes in New England Cartel's ability to improve fighters. He notes Fiore has dominated regional competition (though against cans) and showed toughness against Ricky Turcios on short notice. He expects Fiore's takedown defense and boxing to be too much for Chase Hooper, predicting a TKO finish on the feet in the first round. He doubts Hooper's athleticism and ability to get the fight to the ground.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Nick Fior over Chase Hooper ... I think he's going to spark him on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, believing he can tangle Fiore up on the mat and come out ahead in scrambles. He notes that Fiore's striking is purely a way to get to grappling, and Hooper is comfortable in clinch and ground exchanges. Zane also thinks Hooper's striking has improved, as seen against Philippa Colares, and that Fiore is not the same level of pocket aggressor as Steve Garcia.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
Nick Fiore - Fight History
LOSS vs Chase Hooper
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chase Hooper 0 149 of 245 60% 217 of 340 1 of 10 10% 1 1 3:54
Nick Fiore 0 51 of 90 56% 58 of 98 4 of 8 50% 0 0 4:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chase Hooper 0 60 of 101 59% 68 of 112 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:55
Nick Fiore 0 17 of 32 53% 20 of 35 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
2 Chase Hooper 0 56 of 90 62% 74 of 112 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:54
Nick Fiore 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:36
3 Chase Hooper 0 33 of 54 61% 75 of 116 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:05
Nick Fiore 0 19 of 27 70% 22 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chase Hooper 149 of 245 60% 110 of 203 31 of 34 8 of 8 97 of 160 42 of 73 10 of 12
Nick Fiore 51 of 90 56% 49 of 88 1 of 1 1 of 1 34 of 66 11 of 17 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chase Hooper 60 of 101 59% 44 of 84 11 of 12 5 of 5 35 of 61 22 of 36 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 17 of 32 53% 17 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0 12 of 25 4 of 6 1 of 1
2 Chase Hooper 56 of 90 62% 43 of 76 12 of 13 1 of 1 36 of 57 17 of 29 3 of 4
Nick Fiore 15 of 31 48% 14 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 25 2 of 4 1 of 2
3 Chase Hooper 33 of 54 61% 23 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2 26 of 42 3 of 8 4 of 4
Nick Fiore 19 of 27 70% 18 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1 10 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Angelo picks Nick Fiore because Chase Hooper's striking is abysmal and he lacks wrestling to get the fight to the ground. He notes that Hooper is a 'full-on Jiu Jitsu nerd' with no hands, while Fiore is a solid grappler with better takedowns. However, he admits Hooper could sneak out a win since he may be the better BJJ artist, so no bet is placed.

Maybe inside the distance decision no action on Chase
"I can't go with Chase Hooper here in reality he's gonna be the better Grappler and he is fighting another Grappler so that is a recipe for a win but his absolute lack of hands his inability to wrestle to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to submit Nick Fiore in the third round, but with low confidence. He notes Hooper has looked better recently, especially in the Felipe Colares fight, but also got knocked out badly by Steve Garcia. He expects this to be a grappling-heavy fight and trusts Hooper's cardio and experience in later rounds over Fiore, who slowed in his UFC debut. However, he admits having much confidence in Hooper is not smart.

submission in round 3
"give me Chase super for the win I'll say Chase super third round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody thinks Hooper's grappling and cardio could be decisive if the fight stays on the ground. He notes Hooper has been given a favorable matchup and that Fiore's cardio is untested. He takes the underdog for value.

"I'm gonna take Chase Hooper plus money."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper, noting that Fiore's pre-UFC wins were over weak competition and that he was easily handled by Rubezki. He believes Hooper's grappling advantage will be decisive, and that Fiore's aggression will play into Hooper's comfort zone. Connor also mentions that Hooper's move to lightweight is smart and that he will continue to pack on strength.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper as an underdog. He argues that Nick Fiore's style plays into Hooper's strengths: Fiore likes to scramble and grapple, which is Hooper's wheelhouse. Levi notes Fiore is not a threat standing and that Hooper has superior BJJ and flexibility. He acknowledges Hooper's poor striking defense but believes Fiore will take the fight to the mat, where Hooper can win. He calls Hooper his 'fighter to watch.'

"Chase Hooper's my pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The host picks Nick Fiore but is not highly confident, calling it a toss-up between two BJJ black belts. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as the grappling may cancel out early. He thinks Fiore's aggressive style and top pressure could be the difference, and he expects a decision win.

over 1.5 rounds
"I like the over one and a half as I think the majority of their Jiu Jitsu will cancel each other out for at least seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Paul picks Fiore, citing his better striking and the fact that Hooper has taken a lot of damage. He thinks Fiore's grappling is solid and that Hooper's stand-up is not sustainable. He is not confident but leans Fiore.

"I'll be picking Fiore."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The MMA Guru believes in New England Cartel's ability to improve fighters. He notes Fiore has dominated regional competition (though against cans) and showed toughness against Ricky Turcios on short notice. He expects Fiore's takedown defense and boxing to be too much for Chase Hooper, predicting a TKO finish on the feet in the first round. He doubts Hooper's athleticism and ability to get the fight to the ground.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Nick Fior over Chase Hooper ... I think he's going to spark him on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, believing he can tangle Fiore up on the mat and come out ahead in scrambles. He notes that Fiore's striking is purely a way to get to grappling, and Hooper is comfortable in clinch and ground exchanges. Zane also thinks Hooper's striking has improved, as seen against Philippa Colares, and that Fiore is not the same level of pocket aggressor as Steve Garcia.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Rębecki 0 89 of 171 52% 130 of 228 3 of 4 75% 0 0 8:27
Nick Fiore 0 34 of 93 36% 52 of 113 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Rębecki 0 54 of 101 53% 59 of 107 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:32
Nick Fiore 0 20 of 53 37% 23 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mateusz Rębecki 0 23 of 49 46% 42 of 76 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:43
Nick Fiore 0 11 of 31 35% 19 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:30
3 Mateusz Rębecki 0 12 of 21 57% 29 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:12
Nick Fiore 0 3 of 9 33% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Rębecki 89 of 171 52% 53 of 125 27 of 37 9 of 9 63 of 138 4 of 10 22 of 23
Nick Fiore 34 of 93 36% 25 of 76 7 of 13 2 of 4 28 of 83 5 of 9 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Rębecki 54 of 101 53% 32 of 73 17 of 23 5 of 5 43 of 85 2 of 6 9 of 10
Nick Fiore 20 of 53 37% 14 of 42 5 of 8 1 of 3 17 of 47 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Mateusz Rębecki 23 of 49 46% 12 of 35 8 of 11 3 of 3 17 of 42 0 of 1 6 of 6
Nick Fiore 11 of 31 35% 8 of 26 2 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 27 2 of 3 1 of 1
3 Mateusz Rębecki 12 of 21 57% 9 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 11 2 of 3 7 of 7
Nick Fiore 3 of 9 33% 3 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nick Fiore vs. Mateusz Rebecki
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rebecki (-700), Fiore (+510)

Round 1
It is extremely rare to have such lopsided betting odds when two UFC newcomers are pitted against one another, but here we are. Poland’s Rebecki (16-1, 0-0 UFC) is anywhere from the low -700 range to above -800 in his first UFC appearance, as he will be squaring off against late replacement and substantial +570ish underdog Fiore (6-0, 0-0 UFC). Fiore steps in for the injured Omar Morales, and betting confidence is low in him – likely due in part to a strength of schedule that includes not one but two wins over the notorious Jay Ellis. It’s the fight game, anything can happen and these two lightweights know it. Overseen by referee Kerry Hatley, the two men looking to make a violent statement bump fists to seal the cage around them. Rebecki instantly releases a body kick, and he comes out aggressive to kick low and follow it with a right hand. When Fiore tries to crowd him, Rebecki fires off a kick to the chest, and Fiore responds with a right hand. Rebecki clubs him with a pair of fastballs, and Fiore bounces off the cage wall to reset. The Polish fighter chops down the lead calf as he pushes forward, and he wings three straight left hands to the head and body. Rebecki rips the body with a kick, and a one-two plants right on the New Hampshire native’s chin. Fiore connects with a right hand to open up some swelling on Rebecki’s left eye, but he ignores it and keeps throwing caution to the wind. Rebecki punishes his foe with a long string of punches, and he keeps one-twos landing one after the other. Fiore’s left eye is marked up as well, and he counters his charging opponent with an elbow. Rebecki digs punches to the body, and Fiore fires back with a vengeance but gets his legs kicked hard. Rebecki slams a left hand to the body, and Fiore spins all the way around and retreats. “Chinczyk” gives chase with a flying knee, and he walks through strikes from Fiore to load up on his own power blows. Fiore shakes off two punches to the side of the head, and Rebecki unloads with rights and lefts to the ribcage. Fiore wears it all well without his knees buckling, and Rebecki suddenly blitzes him to tackle him over with a double-leg takedown. Fiore throws his legs up quickly for a possible triangle setup, or something to slow the wild Rebecki down. Fiore ties his man up in the guard, and Rebecki pushes off and drives down elbows with pure power. The Polish fighter tears open a serious cut above the left eyebrow of his opponent with his elbows, and Fiore wraps Rebecki up to make it to the bell, likely blowing up any betting line of the match ending in Round 1 – barring doctor intervention regarding that cut.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki

Round 2
The two lightweights reach Round 2, and Rebecki is no less aggressive to start things off. Rebecki pounds the body with a kick, and he swings and misses with a wide uppercut. Fiore stands back and trades blows with his reckless adversary, but the body work from Rebecki is not matched. Fiore catches a charging Rebecki with a vertical elbow, and this makes Rebecki changes levels for a takedown. The attempt fails, and Rebecki appears to be visibly slowing as Fiore backpedals. Fiore tags his man with a one-two, and he grabs hold of a double and nearly takes Rebecki for a ride. Fiore drags his opponent to the mat, and he steps into full mount briefly while Rebecki scrambles. The two slide around and work their way back to their feet before anyone claims position, and Rebecki slams his fists in Fiore’s face. Fiore takes them flush and gets his lead leg kicked out, and this draws a grimace. Rebecki bull-rushes forward to secure a double and plant Fiore on his back, and he takes a deep breath when landing. Not wanting the referee to get involved, Rebecki stays busy enough with ground-and-pound, all while Fiore clings to him to force a standup. Rebecki methodically works Fiore over with punches, and the New Hampshire native keeps his guard closed even while absorbing punishment. Rebecki continues his slow but steady drubbing of his grounded foe, and the horn sounds to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki

Round 3
The final frame begins with a glove touch, and Rebecki appears briefly energized although he walks into a few power punches and a front kick. Fiore advances first to go after a takedown, and Rebecki throws him down and backs off. Rebecki swipes with a right hand over the top and slams his shin on the inside of Fiore’s lead leg, and Fiore shakes his leg and backs off. Rebecki follows him all the way from one side of the cage to the other courtesy of a double, and he plops Fiore on the mat to pick up where he left off in the second round. Fiore once more closes up his guard, with no signs of standing or scrambling or moving in any fashion to recover. Rebecki does not mind, as he can go at his own pace, dropping down punches and keeping Hatley from making them get up. Rebecki thumps down an elbow and looks for a guard pass, but Fiore keeps him in this posture. Rebecki has activated the grind-embracing mode, and he has no interest in changing his pace or doing more on his end. Fiore briefly flirts with a high guard, but Rebecki shucks it off and returns to his control that has devolved into something more akin to lay-and-pray. The time ticks away while Rebecki holds on from on top, and with 30 seconds to spare, Fiore looks to implement a butterfly guard. There is nothing to it, as Rebecki holds on to the final bell, thereby taking Fiore to the scorecards for the first time in the latter's career.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (30-27 Rebecki)
Keith Shillan scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (30-27 Rebecki)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Rebecki (30-27 Rebecki)

The Official Result
Mateusz Rebecki def. Nick Fiore via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Angelo is confident in Rębecki, calling him close to a lock. He cites Rębecki's relentless grappling, power, and experience against a short-notice debutant. He notes Fiore's BJJ black belt but thinks Rębecki's wrestling and pressure will be too much. He considers the -750 odds too rich for a bet but appropriate.

"I think Rebecca's close to a lock in this fight just given Styles short notice match up"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Big Brady picks Mateusz Rębecki confidently, calling him a prospect to watch. He notes Rębecki's strong wrestling and grappling, and power on the feet. He sees Fiore as untested with limited tape, and believes Rębecki will finish him early, likely by knockout in the first round. He also mentions submission as a possibility but leans toward a knockout.

Rębecki by first round knockout
"I gotta go with robekski I'll take him to win by by first round finish honestly I think could be a potential knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Cody picks Rębecki, emphasizing his strength, wrestling, and experience against quality opponents. He notes Fiore's BJJ black belt but doubts he can handle Rębecki's physicality. He expects Rębecki to smash and repeat takedowns.

"Rebecca is UFC ready... he's battle tested already he's not learning on the job"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Jacob agrees Rębecki should win, noting Fiore's weak competition. He mentions Fiore's first two wins were against the same journeyman. He thinks Rębecki's grappling is superior but suggests a sprinkle on a weird submission due to Fiore's BJJ. He sees Rębecki as a safe play.

Mentions round 1 submission at +2500 as a Hail Mary sprinkle
"Rebecca is a much better fighter than anything Nick's ever seen"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Mateusz Rębecki

Paul is very confident in Rębecki, calling him a powerhouse with excellent wrestling and durability. He notes Rębecki's battle-tested resume and believes he will dominate Fiore, who has fought low-level competition. He parlayed Rębecki with Ige and Umar.

Parlayed with Ige and Umar at +167; over 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Rebecca looks like uh like an absolute Powerhouse he should absolutely roll here"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Angelo picks Nick Fiore because Chase Hooper's striking is abysmal and he lacks wrestling to get the fight to the ground. He notes that Hooper is a 'full-on Jiu Jitsu nerd' with no hands, while Fiore is a solid grappler with better takedowns. However, he admits Hooper could sneak out a win since he may be the better BJJ artist, so no bet is placed.

Maybe inside the distance decision no action on Chase
"I can't go with Chase Hooper here in reality he's gonna be the better Grappler and he is fighting another Grappler so that is a recipe for a win but his absolute lack of hands his inability to wrestle to get it to the ground is just full-on Jiu Jitsu …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Big Brady picks Chase Hooper to submit Nick Fiore in the third round, but with low confidence. He notes Hooper has looked better recently, especially in the Felipe Colares fight, but also got knocked out badly by Steve Garcia. He expects this to be a grappling-heavy fight and trusts Hooper's cardio and experience in later rounds over Fiore, who slowed in his UFC debut. However, he admits having much confidence in Hooper is not smart.

submission in round 3
"give me Chase super for the win I'll say Chase super third round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Cody thinks Hooper's grappling and cardio could be decisive if the fight stays on the ground. He notes Hooper has been given a favorable matchup and that Fiore's cardio is untested. He takes the underdog for value.

"I'm gonna take Chase Hooper plus money."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Connor picks Hooper, noting that Fiore's pre-UFC wins were over weak competition and that he was easily handled by Rubezki. He believes Hooper's grappling advantage will be decisive, and that Fiore's aggression will play into Hooper's comfort zone. Connor also mentions that Hooper's move to lightweight is smart and that he will continue to pack on strength.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper as an underdog. He argues that Nick Fiore's style plays into Hooper's strengths: Fiore likes to scramble and grapple, which is Hooper's wheelhouse. Levi notes Fiore is not a threat standing and that Hooper has superior BJJ and flexibility. He acknowledges Hooper's poor striking defense but believes Fiore will take the fight to the mat, where Hooper can win. He calls Hooper his 'fighter to watch.'

"Chase Hooper's my pick"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The host picks Nick Fiore but is not highly confident, calling it a toss-up between two BJJ black belts. He likes the over 1.5 rounds as the grappling may cancel out early. He thinks Fiore's aggressive style and top pressure could be the difference, and he expects a decision win.

over 1.5 rounds
"I like the over one and a half as I think the majority of their Jiu Jitsu will cancel each other out for at least seven and a half minutes"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

Paul picks Fiore, citing his better striking and the fact that Hooper has taken a lot of damage. He thinks Fiore's grappling is solid and that Hooper's stand-up is not sustainable. He is not confident but leans Fiore.

"I'll be picking Fiore."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Nick Fiore

The MMA Guru believes in New England Cartel's ability to improve fighters. He notes Fiore has dominated regional competition (though against cans) and showed toughness against Ricky Turcios on short notice. He expects Fiore's takedown defense and boxing to be too much for Chase Hooper, predicting a TKO finish on the feet in the first round. He doubts Hooper's athleticism and ability to get the fight to the ground.

TKO in the first round
"I'm gonna go with Nick Fior over Chase Hooper ... I think he's going to spark him on the feet"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Chase Hooper

Zane picks Hooper, believing he can tangle Fiore up on the mat and come out ahead in scrambles. He notes that Fiore's striking is purely a way to get to grappling, and Hooper is comfortable in clinch and ground exchanges. Zane also thinks Hooper's striking has improved, as seen against Philippa Colares, and that Fiore is not the same level of pocket aggressor as Steve Garcia.

"I got to pick Cooper. I think he can tango Fioria."