Career Averages - Natália Silva
Career Averages - Victoria Leonardo
Natália Silva
Victoria Leonardo
Natália Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 51 of 133 | 38% | 63 of 147 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 26 of 94 | 27% | 46 of 119 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 15 of 44 | 34% | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 13 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 15 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 5 of 18 | 27% | 25 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 28 of 62 | 45% | 33 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 8 of 37 | 21% | 8 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 51 of 133 | 38% | 25 of 95 | 8 of 14 | 18 of 24 | 50 of 132 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 26 of 94 | 27% | 11 of 64 | 3 of 13 | 12 of 17 | 26 of 92 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 15 of 44 | 34% | 10 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 9 | 15 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 13 of 39 | 33% | 4 of 22 | 1 of 6 | 8 of 11 | 13 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 8 of 27 | 29% | 4 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 5 of 18 | 27% | 3 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 28 of 62 | 45% | 11 of 41 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 11 | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rose Namajunas | 8 of 37 | 21% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Natália Silva, calling her faster, cleaner, and a better athlete. He praises her footwork and timing. He acknowledges Rose Namajunas's experience and fight IQ but believes Silva's youth and speed will prevail. He suggests over 2.5 rounds as a likely lock.
Big Brady believes Silva is one of the best flyweights, with elite takedown defense (92%) and great striking volume and power. He thinks Rose will struggle similar to her fight with Fiorot, and Silva will piece her up over 15 minutes for a dominant decision win.
Cody confidently picks Natália Silva, citing her 92% takedown defense and striking volume. He believes Rose Namajunas struggles at 125 pounds and won't be able to secure takedowns. Cody expects Silva to win a unanimous decision, outworking Rose on the feet.
Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that Rose Namajunas has not adapted well to flyweight. He notes that Rose's power and speed have diminished, and that she now has to outwork opponents—a style she never excelled at. Connor points out that Silva is faster, hits harder, and throws more, and that Rose's best chance (wrestling) is untested against Silva. He believes Silva's dynamism will be too much for Rose to handle.
Daniel Vreeland picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He praises Silva's confidence, well-rounded game, and impressive wins over former champions. He notes that Silva is younger, hungrier, and has speed that matches Namajunas. Vreeland believes Silva will beat Namajunas decisively and earn a title shot against Valentina Shevchenko.
James is confident in Silva, noting her superior footwork neutralizes Namajunas's best asset. He expects Silva to win via decision, possibly hurting Namajunas with kicks but not finishing her. He mentions Silva's taekwondo background and that she has cashed for him multiple times.
The host leans towards Silva by decision, praising her distance management and blitzing style. However, he finds the -410 line too wide and believes Rose Namajunas is live as a plus-310 underdog. He notes Namajunas's experience, improved grappling, and ability to counter mobile strikers. He suggests the over 2.5 rounds is a no-brainer and recommends betting on Namajunas for value.
Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Silva's speed and combination punching. He doubts Rose can get the wrestling going and believes Silva's quickness will overwhelm her. Paul sees a decision win for Silva, noting that a knockout prop is not worth the price.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva, praising her kicking game and ability to fight off the back foot. He notes that Rose Namajunas often leaves fights close and lacks offensive grappling at flyweight. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27.
Zane picks Natália Silva confidently, highlighting her incredible speed and high output. He notes that Silva's bad defensive habits (chin in the air) are mitigated by her speed and ability to counter, and that she has hurt every opponent she's faced. Zane argues that Rose Namajunas has lost power and speed at flyweight, and that she can no longer rely on fight-changing shots. He believes Silva's volume and pace will overwhelm Rose over three rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 45 of 139 | 32% | 54 of 149 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Natália Silva | 0 | 65 of 164 | 39% | 74 of 173 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 11 of 36 | 30% | 12 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Natália Silva | 0 | 16 of 48 | 33% | 24 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 19 of 51 | 37% | 19 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Natália Silva | 0 | 21 of 56 | 37% | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 15 of 52 | 28% | 23 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Natália Silva | 0 | 28 of 60 | 46% | 29 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 45 of 139 | 32% | 28 of 101 | 5 of 15 | 12 of 23 | 43 of 136 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Natália Silva | 65 of 164 | 39% | 42 of 137 | 9 of 11 | 14 of 16 | 64 of 162 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 11 of 36 | 30% | 7 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 10 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Natália Silva | 16 of 48 | 33% | 6 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 19 of 51 | 37% | 13 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 6 | 19 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Natália Silva | 21 of 56 | 37% | 17 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 15 of 52 | 28% | 8 of 35 | 2 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 14 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Natália Silva | 28 of 60 | 46% | 19 of 50 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Natália Silva confidently, calling her the future of the division. He notes Alexa Grasso is a former champion who never defended her belt and has struggled. He believes Silva's speed, accuracy, and mobility will give Grasso trouble finding her range. He suggests parlaying Silva with other favorite women on the card, as he thinks the women's fights provide stability.
Big Brady is confident in Natália Silva, noting she is younger, in her prime, and a better striker. He questions Alexa Grasso's form after a poor performance against Valentina Shevchenko, possibly due to injury. He thinks Silva can win by decision and may even mix in takedowns. He doesn't love the -220 price but believes Silva wins.
Connor picks Natália Silva, agreeing with Zane that Silva's speed and mobility will be too much for Grasso. He notes that Grasso's game is rudimentary and she tends to have the same exchanges repeatedly, while Silva can fight her way out of corners and land bigger shots. Connor believes Silva's athleticism and dynamic striking will earn her a win and a title shot.
The host believes Silva's style—perpetual movement, lateral movement, range management, and blitzing attacks—will frustrate Grasso and cause her to walk into big shots. He expects Silva to win clearly on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva, calling her 'the truth' of the division. He praises her striking, takedown defense, and ability to piece up opponents like Jasudavicius. He thinks Grasso's linear style and high guard are tailor-made for Silva's front kicks and lateral movement. He predicts a decision win, possibly 30-27, but notes the UFC may favor Grasso for the Guadalajara card.
Zane picks Natália Silva, arguing that her speed, mobility, and long-range output will outwork Grasso. He notes that Grasso tends to be stationary when throwing and will struggle to deal with Silva's constant movement and kicking game. Zane points to Grasso's fight with Vivi Araujo as a blueprint for how a similar athlete can give her trouble, and believes Silva is more dynamic than Araujo.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 50 of 140 | 35% | 62 of 153 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 117 of 208 | 56% | 119 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 24 of 56 | 42% | 24 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 33 of 74 | 44% | 33 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 17 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 37 of 69 | 53% | 37 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:46 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 15 of 47 | 31% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 47 of 65 | 72% | 49 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 50 of 140 | 35% | 33 of 114 | 13 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 48 of 136 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 117 of 208 | 56% | 67 of 151 | 38 of 45 | 12 of 12 | 106 of 197 | 9 of 9 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 24 of 56 | 42% | 16 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 33 of 74 | 44% | 14 of 53 | 12 of 14 | 7 of 7 | 32 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 11 of 37 | 29% | 9 of 31 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 37 of 69 | 53% | 20 of 47 | 15 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 32 of 64 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 15 of 47 | 31% | 8 of 37 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 15 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jéssica Andrade | 47 of 65 | 72% | 33 of 51 | 11 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 42 of 60 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 |
Angelo picks Natália Silva because she is very well-rounded, technical, and has power that lasts into the third round. He believes she is the better fighter and as long as she doesn't let Andrade bully her, she should win. He notes that Silva has beaten prospects and veterans alike.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He is high on Silva, noting her impressive performances and striking. He acknowledges Andrade is a tough test and has revived her career, but believes Silva is the much better striker and may even drop Andrade. Brady thinks the odds are a bit disrespectful to Andrade but still favors Silva.
Cody believes Silva's size, speed, and counter-punching will be too much for Andrade, who struggles at 125 lbs against longer fighters. He notes Andrade's recent losses and personal issues but respects her toughness. He thinks Silva can win by decision or knockout, but does not like the -300 price. He picks Silva but is not betting the moneyline.
Daniel is high on Natália Silva, calling her one of the best prospects in women's MMA. He praises her movement, takedown defense, athleticism, and the fact that she paid her dues on the regional scene. He thinks Andrade's charging-forward style is a bad matchup against Silva's speed and accuracy. While he respects Andrade's evolution, he believes Silva is catching her at a great time and picks her to win.
Silva is a technical striker with excellent lateral movement and accuracy. Andrade is a power puncher who struggles with fighters who stick and move. Silva can keep the fight at range and potentially land a knockout. The pick is Silva by decision, with a sprinkle on Silva by KO if odds are favorable.
Paul sees Silva as faster, bigger, and more technical, with a counter-striking style that can neutralize Andrade's blitzes. He notes Andrade's recent losses and personal distractions (divorce, manager issues) but acknowledges her toughness. He believes Silva can win by decision or even knockout, but is wary of the -300 price. He leans Silva but does not love the moneyline.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva over Jéssica Andrade. He praises Silva's range control and ability to fight on the back foot. He notes Andrade has been outstruck by lesser fighters like Erin Blanchfield and struggles at flyweight. He highlights Silva's 11-fight win streak and her dominant UFC wins over Viviane Araujo, Andrea Lee, and others. He believes Silva is young (27) and still improving.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 26 of 67 | 38% | 63 of 110 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 38 of 128 | 29% | 65 of 157 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 36 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 8 of 32 | 25% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 9 of 31 | 29% | 9 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 18 of 58 | 31% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 26 of 67 | 38% | 20 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 38 of 128 | 29% | 24 of 103 | 8 of 16 | 6 of 9 | 38 of 128 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 8 of 32 | 25% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 12 of 38 | 31% | 10 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 9 of 31 | 29% | 8 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 18 of 58 | 31% | 9 of 44 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very high on Natália Silva, calling her a potential top-five fighter. He notes her footwork, takedown defense (92%), and power that carries into later rounds. He believes she will outclass Viviane Araújo everywhere and get the win.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He notes that Silva is 10 years younger and has better cardio, while Araújo slows down significantly as fights go on. He expects the fight to be competitive early, possibly with Araújo trying to wrestle, but Silva will take over as the fight progresses and win a decision.
Cody picks Silva, praising her evolution and athleticism. He notes Araújo's cardio issues and inconsistency, expecting Silva to win a decision or possibly get a late finish. He likes Silva by decision prop to avoid the heavy moneyline.
Silva has looked unstoppable in the UFC with her lateral movement, kicks from distance, and submissions off her back. Araújo is a crisp striker early but fades as fights go on, and Silva's volume and output should allow her to win a decision. The host suggests playing Silva live if Araújo wins round one, or using her as a parlay piece.
Paul picks Silva by KO, taking a small stab at +540. He notes Silva's power and Araújo's toughness but thinks Silva's evolving skill set can get the finish. He acknowledges the moneyline is too steep.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva over Viviane Araújo, despite a bizarre tangent about fighters' relationship status. He acknowledges Araújo is good but believes Silva has the skill level to make something happen. He notes Silva's wins over Jasmine Jasudavicius, Mayra Bueno Silva, and Andrea Lee, and thinks Araújo may be on the downswing. He predicts a decision win for Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 43 of 125 | 34% | 43 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 70 of 174 | 40% | 70 of 174 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 14 of 49 | 28% | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 26 of 62 | 41% | 26 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 22 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 11 of 34 | 32% | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 22 of 62 | 35% | 22 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 43 of 125 | 34% | 12 of 74 | 11 of 23 | 20 of 28 | 43 of 125 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 70 of 174 | 40% | 34 of 111 | 17 of 43 | 19 of 20 | 70 of 174 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 14 of 49 | 28% | 4 of 29 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 13 | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 26 of 62 | 41% | 13 of 38 | 6 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 26 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 18 of 42 | 42% | 5 of 24 | 6 of 10 | 7 of 8 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 22 of 50 | 44% | 8 of 29 | 9 of 16 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 11 of 34 | 32% | 3 of 21 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Andrea Lee | 22 of 62 | 35% | 13 of 44 | 2 of 11 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Natália Silva, citing her well-rounded skills, power that carries into later rounds, and ability to turn fights into brawls. He notes that Andrea Lee is tough and technical but believes Silva is the better striker and grappler, and that Lee won't be able to take her down. He has Silva in a parlay and also suggests betting the under on Andrea Lee's takedown line.
Big Brady leans toward Natália Silva despite the wide line, citing her power advantage and elite takedown defense. He notes Andrea Lee has good volume and underrated skills, but Silva lands harder shots and may mix in takedowns. He expects the fight to go the distance with Silva winning by decision, similar to Lee's fight with Mayra Bueno Silva.
Cody sees Silva as the complete package with good striking and fast hands, while Lee is slowing down and has a wonky training situation. He expects Silva to piece up Lee, but warns that women's MMA is unpredictable.
Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, citing her experience and savvy. He notes that Silva is small for the weight class and has shown weaknesses when taken down, as Lee's grappling is better than Silva's previous opponents. Levi thinks Lee can win via grappling and that the plus money is valuable. He also likes the plus 3.5 spread. However, he acknowledges Silva is the real deal and is not going heavy on the bet.
Lucrative James picks Natália Silva to win, citing her excellent distance management and takedown defense. He expects Silva to dictate the striking range and potentially get takedowns of her own, as Andrea Lee has historically lost when taken down and controlled on the ground. He sees the fight going to a decision with Silva edging it out 29-28 or 30-27.
Silva's movement and striking accuracy should be too much for Lee. She lands significant strikes from distance and has shown finishing ability. However, the moneyline is too wide given Lee's experience and potential grappling success. Prefer Silva by decision prop as a better value.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Natália Silva, calling her one of the rare good female MMA prospects. He highlights her stunning striking performances and dominant wins over Jasmine Jasudavicius and Tereza Bledá. He notes Andrea Lee has taken a lot of damage and is 34, while Silva is 26 and improving. He expects Silva to win by decision but thinks Lee will make it tough.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 20 of 45 | 44% | 16 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 20 of 45 | 44% | 16 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Natália Silva winning, citing her superior striking, grappling, power, and athleticism. He acknowledges Victoria Leonardo may be the better wrestler and could get takedowns, but believes Silva will work back up and potentially get a finish. However, he is undecided on betting due to the juiced line and past burns on women's MMA favorites.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to knock out Victoria Leonardo in the second round. He is very confident, noting Silva's striking is elite and her takedown defense has improved significantly. He sees Leonardo's only path to success being clinch control, but doubts she can get takedowns. He expects Silva to dominate on the feet and finish Leonardo, who has been finished in all her losses.
Cody is very confident in Silva, citing her impressive debut and well-rounded skills. He notes Leonardo's poor durability and record. He expects Silva to win easily, possibly by finish.
Connor is also very confident in Silva, agreeing that she is much better technically, harder hitting, and more dynamic everywhere. He notes that Leonardo is slow and that Silva will dominate. Connor mentions that Silva has lost fights early in her career but has used that experience to hit the UFC very ready.
Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Natália Silva, calling her a future star. He praises her striking, takedown defense, and highlight-reel potential (spinning back kick KO). He views Victoria Leonardo as a stepping stone and expects Silva to make a statement. He notes Leonardo has been susceptible to high kicks in the past. He says Silva is ready for the top 15 and this is a showcase fight.
The host is confident Natália Silva will win, but notes the -1000 moneyline is prohibitive. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop, expecting Silva's speed and power to be too much for Leonardo. He thinks Silva will find a finish, possibly by knockout or club and sub, as Leonardo slows down and eats damage.
Paul also picks Silva, but notes the heavy price. He thinks Silva is much more skilled and should win, but acknowledges the risk of betting such a short favorite. He takes a prop bet on Silva inside the distance.
The MMA Guru calls this the lock of the card, praising Natália Silva's well-rounded game including submissions off her back and excellent striking. He notes she schooled Jasmine Jasudavicius and finished Teresa Blader with a spinning back kick. He dismisses Victoria Leonardo as mediocre in every realm, despite her win over Mandy Böhm. He expects Silva to win decisively.
Zane is very confident in Silva, describing her as aggressive, fast, and technical with good wrestling and grappling. He notes that Leonardo is terribly slow and that Silva will absolutely flex on her. Zane believes Silva is a borderline finished product and will crush Leonardo.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 1 | 45 of 72 | 62% | 62 of 89 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:13 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 25 of 55 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 0 | 4:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:01 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 11 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 2:19 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 24 of 38 | 63% | 37 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 10 of 23 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 1 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 45 of 72 | 62% | 26 of 50 | 7 of 9 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 65 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 |
| Tereza Bledá | 18 of 47 | 38% | 8 of 33 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 13 of 40 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 6 of 9 | 66% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Tereza Bledá | 4 of 7 | 57% | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 24 of 38 | 63% | 14 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Tereza Bledá | 10 of 22 | 45% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 15 of 25 | 60% | 10 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Tereza Bledá | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 31 of 101 | 30% | 40 of 116 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 96 of 185 | 51% | 120 of 213 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 16 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:51 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 27 of 53 | 50% | 44 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 14 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 41 of 78 | 52% | 48 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 9 of 34 | 26% | 10 of 36 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 28 of 54 | 51% | 28 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 31 of 101 | 30% | 12 of 72 | 18 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 95 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 96 of 185 | 51% | 55 of 137 | 18 of 24 | 23 of 24 | 85 of 169 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 15 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 12 of 33 | 36% | 5 of 24 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 27 of 53 | 50% | 9 of 32 | 9 of 11 | 9 of 10 | 26 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 3 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 10 of 34 | 29% | 4 of 24 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 10 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 41 of 78 | 52% | 30 of 65 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 31 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 12 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 9 of 34 | 26% | 3 of 24 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 32 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 28 of 54 | 51% | 16 of 40 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 28 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-240), Silva (+195)
Round 1
Representatives of Canada in Jasudavicius (7-1, 1-0 UFC) and Brazil in Silva (12-5-1, 0-0 UFC) will battle it out for international supremacy at the flyweight division next. While Jasudavicius made a splash by handling Kay Hansen in her UFC debut, Silva will be making her first Octagon appearance. The preliminary headliner will receive oversight from referee Jacob Montalvo, and the ladies do not touch gloves in front of him. Jasudavicius claims the center of the cage, and Silva is happy to allow this as she picks and pokes at Jasudavicius with low kicks and long jabs. Silva just misses a head kick, and she scores three punches that knock Jasudavicius off-balance. The Brazilian gets clinched up after delivering the blows, with Jasudavicius stung from the strikes, and Jasudavicius starts going after a body lock takedown. The Canadian gets her wits about her as she hangs on in the clinch, ands he hooks the legs and hunts for an inside trip, but she cannot land it. Silva breaks the grip and escapes, but she absorbs a quick elbow on the way out. Silva kicks the side, and when Jasudavicius advances towards her, she pushes off with the ball of her foot on her foe’s solar plexus. Silva scores two punches and just comes up short with a head kick, and she takes a flush one-two on the way back. Silva sneaks a high kick up that slaps Jasudavicius in the face, and she kicks low and high in rapid succession as Jasudavicius is forced to defend. Silva leans back when Jasudavicius bears down on her, and she scores an effective kick and slips the punch counters. Jasudavicius dives forward for takedown, and she wraps her arms around Silva’s waist but cannot wrench her down. They jockey for position when tied up, and Jasudavicius’ efforts to ground her opponent are unsuccessful. The horn sounds when Jasudavicius gets off a pair of knees on the inside.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Silva strikes first to start off the second round with a push kick, and she marks Jasudavicius’ face up with three clean left hands. When Jasudavicius tries to reply, Silva cracks her with a left hand. Jasudavicius continues moving towards her, but Silva is teeing off on her and she cannot land anything back. Jasudavicius leans in to clinch, and she goes to set up a body lock. Silva deftly reverses Jasudavicius with a high-amplitude throw, and she stacks Jasudavicius up when Jasudavicius hunts for a leg lock upon landing on her back. Silva uses the fence behind her to keep on her feet, even when Jasudavicius powers into a double-leg entry. Silva splits off and fires off a pair of punches, and she misses a spinning wheel kick. Silva slaps her shin on Jasudavicius’ calf, and she remains light on her feet when tossing out a few punches. Silva flusters her adversary with punch bursts and kicks to mix them up, and Jasudavicius cannot reach her with anything of note. Jasudavicius dives low for a single, and Silva stands her all the way back up. Jasudavicius lifts Silva’s leg in the air, and Silva reverses her and tosses her to the mat. The Brazilian slams Jasudavicius with several brutal elbows, and Montalvo takes a hard look at this barrage of unanswered blows. Jasudavicius scrambles well enough to get to her knees, and Silva slams her down again. Silva lets her back up so that she can spin with a wheel kick, and it rebounds off Jasudavicius’ arm. Silva works her foe over with punches high and kicks low, and she slaps Jasudavicius in the face with two speedy kicks. Jasudavicius blitzes in to get off a single right hand, but it is one-and-done as Silva escapes out. Jasudavicius gives chase, and Silva is on her bike and out of harm’s way. Silva spins with a kick to the ribcage, and she dodges a flying knee to respond. Silva rings Jasudavicius’ bell with two hooks, and the horn sounds while Jasudavicius tries to recover.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The flyweights rush out of their corners, with Jasudavicius advancing again as Silva coolly slides away laterally. Silva pushes out a few jabs, and Jasudavicius walks through them to trap Silva against the fence. Silva does not get slowed or absorb any noteworthy strikes, all while she pieces Jasudavicius up with punches and kicks. The kicks go to the calf or the high guard, and she is able to lean back with her hands down as Jasudavicius marches her down. Jasudavicius keeps chasing straight after Silva, but Silva is not there when Jasudavicius swings at her. Silva chips away at the lead leg, and one kick gets caught by the Canadian. Silva stands her back up after stumbling briefly, and Jasudavicius pushes her into the wire. Silva splits off and tosses out a high kick, and Jasudavicius barely blocks it in the nick of time. Silva dances out of the way when not peppering Jasudavicius with low kicks, and Jasudavicius is not fazed but slowing down to a degree. Silva is easily able to scamper away when Jasudavicius reaches her, and she sticks Jasudavicius with a few punches only to dart away. Silva sinks her shin into the side of her opponent, and she smoothly dodges the counter. Jasudavicius tries hard to grab Silva and glom on to her, and she decides to sprint forward and jump in the air so that she can close the distance and get her hands on the Brazilian. Silva fights off the single, and she breaks away before an elbow can crack her. The newcomer scores a clean push kick on the jaw, and Jasudavicius is wearing it. Silva slows Jasudavicius down more with her own tie-up, and when there is no takedown for her there, she gives up on it and backs away to loose a spinning back fist. With a couple seconds left, Jasudavicius leaps in the air with a strike, but Silva is able to somehow counter her midair with a jumping hammerfist to drop Jasudavicius to her knees in a furious collision. The final bell sounds right after they crash together.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
The Official Result
Natalia Cristina da Silva def. Jasmine Jasudavicius via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)
Angelo picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her wrestling and ability to get takedowns. He notes Natália Silva's brawling style leaves her open to takedowns. He wishes Silva had a different debut matchup but believes Jasudavicius will avoid the brawl and secure takedowns.
Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but is hesitant due to her cardio issues. He notes Jasudavicius has a size advantage (height and reach) and improved wrestling, while Silva is smaller. He expects Jasudavicius to bank the first two rounds, though she tends to fade in the third.
Cody leans toward Jasudavicius due to her wrestling and striking advantage, but he's cautious because Silva is young and has potential. He notes Silva's limited tape and long layoff, but women's MMA is unpredictable. He calls it a dogger pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, highlighting her wrestling background (Olympic medalist in Canada) and physicality. He believes she will take Natália Silva down and avoid Silva's armbar attempts from guard. Levi thinks Jasudavicius is still green but has the right style to grind out a unanimous decision. He is confident she wins as long as she doesn't get caught in an armbar.
Paul picks Silva as a dog, noting her youth and six-fight win streak. He thinks the price is attractive and women's MMA is volatile. He acknowledges limited tape but sees value in the underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, noting she is a better physical athlete with good takedown defense and her own takedowns. He believes Natália Silva is a decent prospect but not ready for this step up. He expects Jasudavicius to win a competitive 30-27 unanimous decision, using her clinch work and striking.
Victoria Leonardo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 1 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 1 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wang Cong | 10 of 26 | 38% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wang Cong | 10 of 26 | 38% | 4 of 16 | 1 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Wang Cong, calling her the biggest favorite on the card at 8-to-1 odds. He notes her high-level kickboxing background, including a win over Valentina Shevchenko, and her striking speed and power. He thinks she is light years ahead of Leonardo in striking and should win, potentially by stoppage. However, he warns against betting the moneyline because the odds are too far gone and she is an untested UFC debut. He considers a bet on the under 2.5 rounds if the line is juiced.
Cody picks Wang Cong because of her striking pedigree, including a kickboxing win over Valentina Shevchenko. He notes that Leonardo is 1-3 in the UFC and has been finished by lesser strikers. He thinks Wang Cong's power and precision will be too much. He also mentions that the UFC is building her up as a potential contender.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Wang Cong, noting her kickboxing background and Leonardo's history of being finished by UFC-caliber opponents. He expects a dominant performance, possibly by head kick or other finish.
Brevin picks Wang Cong by KO, citing her strong wrestling and grappling, and noting that Leonardo is a terrible striker with no striking ability. He is confident Wang will get the job done on Saturday. JP piggybacks, also taking Wang by KO, emphasizing Leonardo's poor record of 1-4 with KOs.
Paul picks Wang Cong, noting her kickboxing background and the UFC's intention to build a Chinese star. He thinks Leonardo is a gatekeeper who will be used to propel Wang Cong. He also mentions that Wang Cong showed grappling skills on Road to the UFC. He says he's willing to pay the chalk.
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong because she is undefeated and Victoria Leonardo is 'garbage' and should not be in the UFC. He dismisses Leonardo's skills entirely, suggesting she has no business being signed. He does not elaborate on Wang's specific strengths but is confident in her victory.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 1 | 20 of 45 | 44% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 20 of 45 | 44% | 16 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 20 of 45 | 44% | 16 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 7 of 18 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Natália Silva winning, citing her superior striking, grappling, power, and athleticism. He acknowledges Victoria Leonardo may be the better wrestler and could get takedowns, but believes Silva will work back up and potentially get a finish. However, he is undecided on betting due to the juiced line and past burns on women's MMA favorites.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to knock out Victoria Leonardo in the second round. He is very confident, noting Silva's striking is elite and her takedown defense has improved significantly. He sees Leonardo's only path to success being clinch control, but doubts she can get takedowns. He expects Silva to dominate on the feet and finish Leonardo, who has been finished in all her losses.
Cody is very confident in Silva, citing her impressive debut and well-rounded skills. He notes Leonardo's poor durability and record. He expects Silva to win easily, possibly by finish.
Connor is also very confident in Silva, agreeing that she is much better technically, harder hitting, and more dynamic everywhere. He notes that Leonardo is slow and that Silva will dominate. Connor mentions that Silva has lost fights early in her career but has used that experience to hit the UFC very ready.
Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Natália Silva, calling her a future star. He praises her striking, takedown defense, and highlight-reel potential (spinning back kick KO). He views Victoria Leonardo as a stepping stone and expects Silva to make a statement. He notes Leonardo has been susceptible to high kicks in the past. He says Silva is ready for the top 15 and this is a showcase fight.
The host is confident Natália Silva will win, but notes the -1000 moneyline is prohibitive. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop, expecting Silva's speed and power to be too much for Leonardo. He thinks Silva will find a finish, possibly by knockout or club and sub, as Leonardo slows down and eats damage.
Paul also picks Silva, but notes the heavy price. He thinks Silva is much more skilled and should win, but acknowledges the risk of betting such a short favorite. He takes a prop bet on Silva inside the distance.
The MMA Guru calls this the lock of the card, praising Natália Silva's well-rounded game including submissions off her back and excellent striking. He notes she schooled Jasmine Jasudavicius and finished Teresa Blader with a spinning back kick. He dismisses Victoria Leonardo as mediocre in every realm, despite her win over Mandy Böhm. He expects Silva to win decisively.
Zane is very confident in Silva, describing her as aggressive, fast, and technical with good wrestling and grappling. He notes that Leonardo is terribly slow and that Silva will absolutely flex on her. Zane believes Silva is a borderline finished product and will crush Leonardo.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 52 of 93 | 55% | 83 of 124 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 39 of 110 | 35% | 85 of 166 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 7:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:25 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 9 of 30 | 30% | 25 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 2 | Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 29 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 35 of 60 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 3 | Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 19 of 31 | 61% | 29 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Mandy Böhm | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 25 of 60 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Leonardo | 52 of 93 | 55% | 26 of 66 | 14 of 15 | 12 of 12 | 35 of 75 | 17 of 17 | 0 of 1 |
| Mandy Böhm | 39 of 110 | 35% | 21 of 80 | 18 of 26 | 0 of 4 | 25 of 94 | 13 of 15 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Leonardo | 15 of 26 | 57% | 6 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mandy Böhm | 9 of 30 | 30% | 5 of 22 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Victoria Leonardo | 18 of 36 | 50% | 11 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 29 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Mandy Böhm | 20 of 43 | 46% | 10 of 30 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 13 of 35 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Victoria Leonardo | 19 of 31 | 61% | 9 of 20 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
| Mandy Böhm | 10 of 37 | 27% | 6 of 28 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 32 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Mandy Böhm as the more talented fighter overall, despite her inexperience and loss in her UFC debut. He notes Victoria Leonardo has fought higher competition but needs to get the fight to the ground, and Mandy defended all takedown attempts in her last fight. He calls it a no-bet situation and advises saving money.
Big Brady picks Victoria Leonardo as an underdog. He was unimpressed with Mandy Böhm, calling her performance 'horrible' and couldn't find a positive. He thinks Leonardo is physically stronger, can push Böhm against the cage, and take her down. He expects Leonardo to grind out a decision win.
Cody picks Victoria Leonardo, noting her bully style might work against Mandy Böhm, who is not physically strong. He thinks Böhm looked poor in her UFC debut. Cody says it's a dogger pass and he is taking the slight underdog.
Daniel Levi treats this fight as a coin flip, acknowledging that both fighters are low-level. He notes that Leonardo has fought better competition but lost badly, while Böhm had a poor UFC debut but has since moved to a new gym. He decides to go with Böhm because everyone else is on Leonardo, but admits it's not a confident pick.
Leonardo has the grit and fighting nature to will herself to a win. She can drag Böhm to the ground and rough her up. Böhm lacks power and distance management, and needs a kickboxing match to succeed. Leonardo at underdog odds is good value.
Paul picks Victoria Leonardo at plus money, calling it a dogger pass. He has no intention to bet on this fight. He notes both fighters have poor records but thinks Leonardo's bully style might work against Böhm, who is not physically strong. Paul says it's women's MMA and passes.
The MMA Guru leans towards Mandy Böhm, citing her size advantage and reach. He notes that Victoria Leonardo is coming off a broken arm and should be a strawweight. Böhm has a 71-inch reach and will use it on the feet. He doesn't see Leonardo outgrappling her and expects Böhm to win by decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 43 of 91 | 47% | 59 of 110 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 2:27 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 70 of 121 | 57% | 96 of 148 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 1 | 1:50 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 27 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 1:59 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 36 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 1 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 0 | 30 of 64 | 46% | 32 of 66 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 57 of 100 | 57% | 60 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Gatto | 43 of 91 | 47% | 14 of 58 | 13 of 17 | 16 of 16 | 38 of 84 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 70 of 121 | 57% | 42 of 83 | 12 of 19 | 16 of 19 | 63 of 110 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Gatto | 13 of 27 | 48% | 4 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 13 of 21 | 61% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Melissa Gatto | 30 of 64 | 46% | 10 of 41 | 10 of 13 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 57 of 100 | 57% | 35 of 71 | 10 of 14 | 12 of 15 | 54 of 96 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Leonardo, citing Gatto's long layoff (2.5 years due to USADA suspension) and that Gatto is a grappler who likes to fight off her back. He thinks Leonardo will be on top and win a decision. He calls Leonardo a solid underdog pick.
Big Brady is hesitant on this fight due to many question marks. He thinks Melissa Gatto is sub-or-bust and has poor takedown defense, while Victoria Leonardo is more active and likely the better striker. He picks Leonardo to win by decision but warns that Gatto could pull off an armbar from guard. He advises staying away from betting this fight.
Cody picks Gatto, citing the narrative of Brazilian fighters improving after long layoffs. He notes her BJJ skills and potential improvements in wrestling. He thinks she can get the fight to the ground and submit Leonardo.
Daniel Levi picks Melissa Gatto to win by opportunistic submission, citing that Victoria Leonardo is a punching bag on the feet and has been stopped multiple times. He notes that Gatto is young and may have improved during her USADA suspension, and that Leonardo's takedown attempts could lead to submissions. He does not put much stock into the suspension for a young fighter and believes Gatto has the skills to finish.
Gatto is a BJJ specialist who relies on takedowns, but Leonardo has a purple belt and good enough grappling to nullify submissions. Leonardo is stronger, has better striking, and better cardio. The longer the fight goes, the more success Leonardo will have, likely finishing Gatto in the third round via ground and pound.
Paul does not make a clear pick. He is surprised by the pick'em line and notes the lack of tape on both fighters.
The MMA Guru picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He highlights Gatto's undefeated record (6-0 with two draws) and her win over Carol Rosa, who is now on a four-fight win streak in the UFC. He criticizes Victoria Leonardo's lack of technical skill and poor chin, noting she has been knocked out twice recently. He predicts Gatto will submit Leonardo, possibly off her back.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 0 | 17 of 81 | 20% | 18 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 53 of 100 | 53% | 58 of 105 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 10 of 51 | 19% | 11 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 32 of 55 | 58% | 33 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 7 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 25 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manon Fiorot | 17 of 81 | 20% | 7 of 59 | 3 of 11 | 7 of 11 | 15 of 76 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 53 of 100 | 53% | 31 of 72 | 14 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 42 of 82 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manon Fiorot | 10 of 51 | 19% | 4 of 39 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 47 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 32 of 55 | 58% | 14 of 34 | 12 of 15 | 6 of 6 | 22 of 42 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Manon Fiorot | 7 of 30 | 23% | 3 of 20 | 0 of 4 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Victoria Leonardo | 21 of 45 | 46% | 17 of 38 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 20 of 40 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
In the middle of this short stint on Fight Island, the UFC comes at fans with a Wednesday card that will be going on at the same time as some other thing people are watching. We’re here for the fights, with a 14-fight card that requires fans to get out some coffee for this match starting in the women’s flyweight division. A pair of newcomers battle it out to begin the day, as Contender Series signee Leonardo (8-2, 0-0 UFC) comes to blows with French kickboxer Fiorot (5-1, 0-0 UFC). The referee for this opening bout is Lukasz Bosacki, and the two flyweights do not touch gloves before coming out swinging. Instead, Fiorot is ready with kicks to the body and legs, and Leonardo absorbs them and tries to fire back. “Fury” throws with early fury, but the Frenchwoman dances out of the way as she paws out side kicks to the body. Leonardo aims a low kick to the knee, and looks to time an overhand right, but she falls short. Fiorot stays in distinct kickboxing range, booting Leonardo in the face with a kick. The American wears it well, and Fiorot tees off on her from afar with long reaching kicks. Leonardo cannot find her range, so she charges into a clinch and narrowly avoids a brief punch combination. Leonardo crashes the pocket but gets tagged to the body and head by the newcomer from France. While Leonardo looks to strike her way in, Fiorot greets her with strikes but cannot keep Leonardo off of her. Instead, Fiorot works the body a few times, so the two separate, allowing Leonardo to reach with a right hand only to get smacked with a heavy elbow. Fiorot tattoos her foot on Leonardo’s body and head, leading “Fury” to charge in and clinch. Leonardo gets met with several knees up the middle as she does this, and a few punches knock her hair tie out. Fiorot stuns Leonardo with a combination, and Leonardo stumbles out of the way as she just avoids a spinning wheel kick that brushes by her loosed hair. Fiorot clinches up, scoring a stiff knee and a few punches that ring Leonardo’s bell. A single body kick from Leonardo scores, so Fiorot tries to give it back to her with a spinning back kick but she is too close. The two stare at each other to end the round, and Fiorot briefly puts her hands on her hips to take a deep breath as the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Fiorot
Round 2
Leonardo rushes out of her corner with strikes to begin the second frame, likely sensing she dropped the first five-minute period. Fiorot is ready to counter her with sharp strikes including a check right hook, and Leonardo is stuck hitting little but air as the Frenchwoman dances out of the way. Fiorot stabs her foot out to the midsection to push Leonardo away, and “Fury” tries to close the distance with strikes. Fiorot uses solid head movement to evade most strikes, brushing off high kicks and even thwarting a takedown attempt with ease. Leonardo lands a single right hand, and manages to avoid the counter strikes but it is one-and-done. Leonardo flips up a high kick that Fiorot slaps away, and it is the Frenchwoman who comes in to clinch up and pursue a takedown. Leonardo gets lifted up in the air and planted on her back, where Fiorot takes half guard with ease as she immediately starts dropping down elbows and punches. Leonardo kicks off the cage and is able to get her foe back to guard before pushing Fiorot away to stand back up. Fiorot blocks three punches and a head kick without any concern, and springs forward to land a few punches. When Leonardo blitzes her, Fiorot clips her with a check hook.
Fiorot unleashes a hellacious combination that has Leonardo hurt, and “Fury” turns away from this furious barrage. A head kick gets the damage started as Leonardo turns away, and a stream of punches overwhelms her until Bosacki has no choice but to step in.
A standing TKO is the call, and this was a spectacular debut for the French fighter on short notice.
The Official Result
Manon Fiorot def. Victoria Leonardo R2 4:08 via TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
Big Brady is very high on Manon Fiorot, praising her striking as fantastic and noting her power and accuracy. He criticizes Victoria Leonardo's striking defense, saying she got head kicked multiple times and has poor IQ. He believes Fiorot will have massive success on the feet and predicts a knockout in round two. He mentions that Fiorot opened at +115 and is now -190, and he would have loved to get her at the plus price.
The host believes Manon Fiorot's kickboxing and Muay Thai background will be too much for Victoria Leonardo. He notes Fiorot's improvements in grappling and ability to stay out of bad positions, while Leonardo's path to victory is on the ground. He predicts Fiorot will land a head kick or combination in the second round for a TKO finish.
The MMA Guru picks Manon Fiorot, citing her strong kickboxing and taekwondo background, and her ability to grapple as shown in her debut against Leah McCourt where she reversed positions and showed escapes. He believes Fiorot has a massive stand-up advantage over Leonardo, who relies on grappling. He predicts a unanimous decision win, noting that Leonardo has been TKO'd by a head kick before but expects Fiorot to control the fight on the feet and avoid trouble on the ground.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is very confident in Natália Silva winning, citing her superior striking, grappling, power, and athleticism. He acknowledges Victoria Leonardo may be the better wrestler and could get takedowns, but believes Silva will work back up and potentially get a finish. However, he is undecided on betting due to the juiced line and past burns on women's MMA favorites.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to knock out Victoria Leonardo in the second round. He is very confident, noting Silva's striking is elite and her takedown defense has improved significantly. He sees Leonardo's only path to success being clinch control, but doubts she can get takedowns. He expects Silva to dominate on the feet and finish Leonardo, who has been finished in all her losses.
Cody is very confident in Silva, citing her impressive debut and well-rounded skills. He notes Leonardo's poor durability and record. He expects Silva to win easily, possibly by finish.
Connor is also very confident in Silva, agreeing that she is much better technically, harder hitting, and more dynamic everywhere. He notes that Leonardo is slow and that Silva will dominate. Connor mentions that Silva has lost fights early in her career but has used that experience to hit the UFC very ready.
Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Natália Silva, calling her a future star. He praises her striking, takedown defense, and highlight-reel potential (spinning back kick KO). He views Victoria Leonardo as a stepping stone and expects Silva to make a statement. He notes Leonardo has been susceptible to high kicks in the past. He says Silva is ready for the top 15 and this is a showcase fight.
The host is confident Natália Silva will win, but notes the -1000 moneyline is prohibitive. He prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop, expecting Silva's speed and power to be too much for Leonardo. He thinks Silva will find a finish, possibly by knockout or club and sub, as Leonardo slows down and eats damage.
Paul also picks Silva, but notes the heavy price. He thinks Silva is much more skilled and should win, but acknowledges the risk of betting such a short favorite. He takes a prop bet on Silva inside the distance.
The MMA Guru calls this the lock of the card, praising Natália Silva's well-rounded game including submissions off her back and excellent striking. He notes she schooled Jasmine Jasudavicius and finished Teresa Blader with a spinning back kick. He dismisses Victoria Leonardo as mediocre in every realm, despite her win over Mandy Böhm. He expects Silva to win decisively.
Zane is very confident in Silva, describing her as aggressive, fast, and technical with good wrestling and grappling. He notes that Leonardo is terribly slow and that Silva will absolutely flex on her. Zane believes Silva is a borderline finished product and will crush Leonardo.
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