Career Averages - Cameron Saaiman
Career Averages - Leomana Martinez
Cameron Saaiman
Leomana Martinez
Cameron Saaiman - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Wellmaker | 1 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Wellmaker | 1 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Wellmaker | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 9 of 18 | 50% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Wellmaker | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 9 of 18 | 50% | 1 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Saaiman (-110), Wellmaker (-110)
Round 1
Undefeated as a pro, 2024 Contender Series pickup Wellmaker (8-0, 0-0 UFC) want to keep that momentum going as he reaches the big leagues. His first test in the Octagon will be Saaiman (9-2, 3-2 UFC), who knocked out an unbeaten foe in Steven Koslow in his own UFC debut. Knockout rates of 50% or higher for each bantamweight mean that referee Zach Teiberis should be on his A game. There is no glove touch, as they instead want to find a way in with their alternated stances—Saaiman southpaw to Wellmaker in orthodox. Chants in support of Wellmaker rain down quickly, only to abate when the fighters do not do anything. They finally get down to business 30 seconds in, firing single strikes at one another. They take turns when engaging, with Saaiman the slightly more active as he stays on the outside edge with kicks going to all targets. Wellmaker swings twice with big hooks, and Saaiman sees them coming and returns fire with a spinning back kick to the gut. Wellmaker frowns and tries to let go with a right hook, and Saaiman dodges it and chews up the front leg with a trio of kicks. Wellmaker goes to the body with a right hand, and Saaiman does not like it and circles away.
Ignoring a right hand on the jaw, “The Machine” mechanically launches a devastating right hook that sends Saaiman flying, and Saaiman is out cold before he hits the mat. As Teiberis is rushing to get between the fighters, Wellmaker connects with a vicious standing-to-ground right hand to punctuate his performance
. When Teiberis halts the match, Wellmaker drops to his knees to drink in the moment, still undefeated while authoring an incredible knockout in his UFC debut. It takes Saaiman a bit of time to get back to his stool, but he manages to recover. Thrilled as can be, the victorious UFC newcomer calls for a spot on the upcoming Atlanta event in June, and he will more than likely get it as the promotion loves when fighters call for opportunities like that.
The Official Result
Malcolm Wellmaker def. Cameron Saaiman R1 1:59 via KO (Punch)
Angelo picks Malcolm Wellmaker but with low confidence, noting that Wellmaker is an untested UFC debutant with power and accuracy, while Cameron Saaiman has volume and experience. He mentions that if the fight were in Las Vegas, he'd be more confident in Wellmaker due to judging preferences for finishing ability.
Big Brady leans toward Malcolm Wellmaker, impressed by his composure and power despite limited pro experience. He notes Cameron Saaiman's hittability (51% striking defense) and questions the quality of his wins. He predicts Wellmaker will land a clean shot and win by second-round knockout, though he acknowledges Saaiman's losses are to good competition.
The host leans Wellmaker as the superior striker, noting he is hittable but has good durability and defensive grappling, and expects him to snipe Saaiman from distance and win by knockout.
The MMA Guru picks Malcolm Wellmaker, but his reasoning is heavily influenced by a personal grievance: Cameron Saaiman missed a scheduled interview, leading the Guru to speculate that disaster has struck Saaiman's camp. He acknowledges Saaiman is more well-rounded but likes Wellmaker's counter punching and finishing potential. He calls the fight a 50/50.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Talbott | 1 | 79 of 129 | 61% | 83 of 135 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 31 of 64 | 48% | 33 of 66 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Payton Talbott | 0 | 59 of 105 | 56% | 63 of 111 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 31 of 62 | 50% | 33 of 64 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Payton Talbott | 1 | 20 of 24 | 83% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Talbott | 79 of 129 | 61% | 52 of 96 | 21 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 54 of 98 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 23 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 31 of 64 | 48% | 13 of 40 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 30 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Payton Talbott | 59 of 105 | 56% | 32 of 72 | 21 of 27 | 6 of 6 | 53 of 96 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 31 of 62 | 50% | 13 of 38 | 11 of 17 | 7 of 7 | 30 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Payton Talbott | 20 of 24 | 83% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 22 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Payton Talbott, citing his dangerous striking and the poor performance of Saaiman in his last loss. He notes that Talbott's takedown defense is a concern, but Saaiman is not a great wrestler. He is undecided on a bet but may place a small wager or include Talbott in a high-risk parlay due to the even odds.
Big Brady picks Payton Talbott, citing his striking volume, power, pressure, cardio, and durability advantages. He notes Saaiman's takedown threat is a concern but believes the fight will primarily be on the feet. He predicts Talbott wins by decision, possibly finishing late.
Cody prefers the known commodity in Saaiman, who has proven his toughness and volume. He notes that Talbott is untested and lost the first round against Nick Aguirre. Cody believes Saaiman's forward pressure and volume will earn him rounds, and he likes the plus money on the underdog.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Payton Talbott, citing his physical attributes, durability, and cardio. He notes Talbott is a slow starter but comes on strong in later rounds, while Saaiman is more technically sound. He expects a competitive fight but thinks Talbott's intangibles edge him out.
Talbott is the cleaner striker with good combinations and improving defensive grappling. Saaiman relies on athleticism and power but has been taken down and ground out before. Talbott should keep the fight standing and land cleaner shots, possibly opening up a finish. Saaiman's power is a threat, but Talbott's technical edge should win a decision.
Paul leans toward Talbott based on his reach advantage and high volume output (145 significant strikes in his Contender Series fight). He acknowledges Saaiman's takedown ability but thinks Talbott's striking and familiarity with the Vegas environment give him an edge. Paul sees it as a close fight.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman over Payton Talbott, citing Saaiman's kicks and clinch work as key. He thinks Talbott is kickable and that Saaiman's body kicks and low kicks will be effective. He also favors Saaiman's grappling and scrambles. He predicts Saaiman wins a decision, losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 83 of 161 | 51% | 92 of 173 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 | 1 | 3:12 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 73 of 175 | 41% | 87 of 192 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 22 of 50 | 44% | 22 of 50 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0:36 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 27 of 69 | 39% | 32 of 74 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 19 of 27 | 70% | 28 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 2:25 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 8 of 19 | 42% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 3 | Christian Rodriguez | 0 | 42 of 84 | 50% | 42 of 84 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 38 of 87 | 43% | 39 of 89 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Rodriguez | 83 of 161 | 51% | 64 of 141 | 18 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 63 of 131 | 13 of 21 | 7 of 9 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 73 of 175 | 41% | 38 of 121 | 14 of 21 | 21 of 33 | 65 of 160 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christian Rodriguez | 22 of 50 | 44% | 14 of 42 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 44 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 27 of 69 | 39% | 12 of 44 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 16 | 23 of 61 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Christian Rodriguez | 19 of 27 | 70% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 9 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 8 of 19 | 42% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Christian Rodriguez | 42 of 84 | 50% | 33 of 74 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 35 of 72 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Cameron Saaiman | 38 of 87 | 43% | 22 of 65 | 6 of 10 | 10 of 12 | 34 of 80 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rodriguez (-142), Saaiman (+120)
Round 1
A catchweight appetizer gets the blood pumping on the main card, as Saaiman (9-0, 3-0 UFC) puts his undefeated record on the line against Rodriguez (9-1, 2-1 UFC) at 140 pounds. Rodriguez missed weight by a whopping four pounds and was fined a percentage of his purse. Smith serves as the referee. No glove touch. Rodriguez presses forward and clips Saaiman with a right hand. Saaiman eats a knee, and Rodriguez flurries with punches. Rodriguez connects with a spinning backfist, ducks return fire and secures a takedown. He threatens with an anaconda choke, but Saaiman escapes. They return to their feet. Saaiman finds the mark with a body kick, but he is losing the striking battle at this point. Rodriguez follows a knee to the body with an elbow upstairs. Rodriguez lands another collar-tie knee. Saaiman probes forward with his jab, but the output is not where it needs to be yet. Rodriguez bleeding from a cut near his left eye. Saaiman pieces together a combination, started by his jab. Saaiman misfires on two spinning attacks. He shoots on a takedown in the closing seconds but goes nowhere.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Round 2
Saaiman delivers an inside leg kicks, then throws a left hook upstairs. Rodriguez commands the center of the cage. Saaiman slams another kick into the Roufusport rep’s tight. Rodriguez narrowly misses a knee and shuts down an attempted takedown. He sprawls on a follow-up takedown, makes another pass at an anaconda choke but surrenders top position. Saaiman sets up in full guard and scrambles to the back. Rodriguez springs a reversal, climbs to the back and secures his position with a body triangle. Punches follow. Saaiman scrambles free, moves to the back and slides off. This has turned into a scramblefest. Rodriguez slips behind Saaiman and settles in a kneeling position before threading the needle with punches. Saaiman rolls into a heel hook, but Rodriguez defends without issue and wheels behind him. They finish on the feet.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Round 3
Rodriguez paws with his jab from the center of the cage. Saaiman lands a low kick, then eats a left hook to the body. Saaiman clinches but releases Rodriguez into open space. A jab from Rodriguez buckles Saaiman’s knees. Saaiman backs him up with punches, connects with an uppercut and clangs a wild overhand left off the side of his head. Rodriguez lands an elbow in close quarters, circles on the outside and steps back into the pocket. Saaiman lets his hands go and throws in an inside leg kick. Rodriguez connects with a one-two. Rodriguez tosses the unbeaten prospect to the mat but allows him to get back to his feet. Saaiman circles on the outside, connects with another leg kick, eats a knee up the middle and answers with punches. He closes with a one-two and a spinning back kick to the body.
Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)
The Official Result
Christian Rodriguez def. Cameron Saaiman—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Cameron Saaiman as an underdog, believing Christian Rodriguez is overvalued after beating a 'high school kid' (Raul Rosas Jr.) who gassed. He thinks Saaiman's technical striking and potential wrestling could be key, but he's not sure if Saaiman will commit to wrestling. He plans to bet on Saaiman if the line moves favorably, possibly taking plus 3.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman by close decision. He likes Saaiman's higher volume striking and cardio, and thinks his grappling is competitive. He sees it as a well-matched fight but leans Saaiman slightly due to his higher ceiling. He will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Rodriguez, highlighting his proven track record against prospects (beating Joshua Weems, competitive with Jonathan Pearce). He notes Rodriguez's excellent cardio, solid striking, and ability to escape bad positions. Cody contrasts Saaiman's rawness and tendency to get taken down, and believes Rodriguez's high fight IQ and grappling will be the difference.
The host picks Christian Rodriguez confidently, citing his technical advantages in striking, grappling, and Jiu-Jitsu. He notes Rodriguez's clean combinations and discipline, and expects him to exploit Saaiman's technical flaws. He predicts a decision win for Rodriguez.
Paul agrees with Cody, pointing to Saaiman's struggles against wrestlers (e.g., losing to Cody Stamann via takedowns). He notes that Rodriguez is more complete at this stage and has shown he can bully opponents on the ground. Paul expects Rodriguez to mix in takedowns and control the fight.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman as an underdog over Christian Rodriguez. He believes Saaiman is better on the feet, more dynamic and versatile, with higher finishing potential. In grappling, he thinks Saaiman is more vicious with ground and pound, while Rodriguez is more positional. He also notes Saaiman is younger, taller, and more active, having taken no damage in his last fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 23 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 1:37 |
| Terrence Mitchell | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 32 | 56% | 23 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 1:37 |
| Terrence Mitchell | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 6 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 32 | 56% | 15 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 24 |
| Terrence Mitchell | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 32 | 56% | 15 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 14 of 24 |
| Terrence Mitchell | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Saaiman but with low confidence, calling him a 'parlay buster'. He notes Saaiman's technical striking, forward pressure, and cardio, but warns that undefeated prospects often struggle against experienced fighters like Mitchell, who can grapple and strike. He thinks the odds (-400) are too high and advises against including Saaiman in parlays.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman to win by late first-round finish. He notes that Saaiman is a very good striker with sneaky power and good cardio, but his takedown defense is a concern. He expects Mitchell to have early success with takedowns, but if Mitchell doesn't submit Saaiman in the first round, Saaiman will take over and finish him in the second or third round. He mentions that Mitchell's wins come against low-level competition and that Saaiman is a significant step up.
Cody is confident Saaiman wins, noting Mitchell's competition is from Alaska and he was knocked out quickly by Kai Kara-France. He thinks Saaiman's pressure and brawling style will be too much. He mentions Saaiman's foul issues but expects a finish.
Connor picks Saaiman because Mitchell is a top control specialist from a weak regional scene who got destroyed in his UFC debut. Saaiman is a messy but high-volume fighter who will keep coming and eventually break Mitchell. Mitchell's grappling is raw, and Saaiman's relentless pressure should overwhelm him.
Daniel Levi picks Saaiman, noting that Mitchell comes from a weak regional scene in Alaska and was knocked out quickly by Kai Kara-France on TUF. He praises Saaiman's talent, heart, and improving takedown defense, though he has a tendency to get points deducted for fouls. Levi believes Saaiman is infinitely more talented and battle-tested, and expects him to win, though he is not betting at minus-550.
James sees this as a squash match, with Saaiman levels above Mitchell. He praises Saaiman's pace, pressure, tenacity, and striking ability, noting he throws a lot of strikes and is also a good striker. He predicts Saaiman will get a knockout in round one, easily.
Saaiman is a young, explosive prospect with power and speed, while Mitchell has faced low-level competition and was knocked out quickly in his only UFC stint. Saaiman's physicality and skill gap will be too much; he will find Mitchell's chin and finish by knockout. The under 2.5 rounds is a very confident play.
Paul picks Saaiman, noting Mitchell's record is padded with regional wins. He thinks Mitchell's wrestling won't be enough. He mentions Saaiman's DQ risk but expects a win. He says -550 is relatively safe compared to other big favorites on the card.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman to win by third-round TKO. He dismisses Mitchell's striking, noting his grappling is his best asset, but believes Saaiman's top game and elbows will be too much. He also mentions Mitchell's short notice and Saaiman's ability to scramble and sweep.
Zane picks Saaiman because Mitchell is not UFC caliber, coming from a weak regional scene and getting crushed in his debut. Saaiman is a solid rangey kickboxer who fights hard and has good cardio, and he should overwhelm Mitchell with pressure. Even if Mitchell gets a dominant position, Saaiman's relentless work rate will break him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 60 of 148 | 40% | 63 of 160 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 117 of 240 | 48% | 146 of 272 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 41 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 44 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 61 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 60 of 148 | 40% | 40 of 125 | 15 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 58 of 144 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 117 of 240 | 48% | 66 of 175 | 23 of 30 | 28 of 35 | 85 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 46 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 40 of 85 | 47% | 14 of 52 | 11 of 14 | 15 of 19 | 40 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 45 | 40% | 10 of 36 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 32 of 71 | 45% | 22 of 56 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 21 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 45 of 84 | 53% | 30 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 25 |
Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.
Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.
Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.
Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.
Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 53 of 89 | 59% | 105 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 6 | 6:29 |
| Steven Koslow | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 20 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 1 | 2 | 4:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 20 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:34 |
| Steven Koslow | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:39 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 20 of 31 | 64% | 32 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 1:19 |
| Steven Koslow | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 9 of 19 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 1 | 2:09 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 29 of 49 | 59% | 53 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 2 | 2:36 |
| Steven Koslow | 0 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 4 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:52 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 53 of 89 | 59% | 38 of 69 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 50 | 9 of 11 | 21 of 28 |
| Steven Koslow | 11 of 29 | 37% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 4 of 9 | 44% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Steven Koslow | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 20 of 31 | 64% | 11 of 21 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 9 |
| Steven Koslow | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 29 of 49 | 59% | 25 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 25 | 4 of 6 | 13 of 18 |
| Steven Koslow | 3 of 9 | 33% | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Saaiman because he believes the gap in striking is wider than the gap in grappling. He notes that Koslow is an aggressive grappler but his striking is not great, while Saaiman is a technical striker who can also grapple. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight due to both fighters being UFC debutants with only six fights each, calling it a 50-50 fight.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman to win, but with low confidence due to limited tape on both fighters. He notes Saaiman has power and finishing ability, but questions his takedown defense and getup game against Koslow's submission threat. He expects Koslow to have early success with takedowns, but thinks Saaiman will eventually land a knockout as the fight progresses.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his performance on Contender Series where he beat an undefeated opponent. He notes Saaiman's cardio, strength, and pressure. He thinks Koslow is a one-dimensional submission specialist who will struggle if he can't get the fight to the ground. He expects Saaiman to win by TKO inside the distance.
Daniel Levi picks Steven Koslow as a slight underdog lean, but admits he has very little information on either fighter. He likes Koslow's slick grappling (mounted triangle, back takes) and training at Fusion XL. He notes Saaiman has fought slightly better competition but still low-level. Levi says this is a 'dog or pass' situation and he'll go with the plus money, but it's not a confident play. He suggests taking a small unit bet or just watching.
Lock mentions he took a 0.3 unit shot on Koslow's moneyline because he thinks the line is a bit wide. He believes Koslow is strong in areas where Saaiman has shown struggles in the past, and that the unknown factor could make Koslow the next big prospect. He sees it as a buy-low opportunity at 30 cents on PredictionStrike.
Paul picks Saaiman, noting he is a young prospect with a bright future. He thinks Koslow is a one-dimensional grappler and that Saaiman's takedown defense and cardio will be key. He suggests Saaiman inside the distance as a prop.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman over Steven Koslow, noting that Koslow is stepping in on short notice and tends to go for early submissions, which Saaiman can survive. He believes Saaiman is composed and experienced enough to weather the early storm and come back to win a 29-28 decision, losing the first round but taking the second and third.
Leomana Martinez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 60 of 148 | 40% | 63 of 160 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 117 of 240 | 48% | 146 of 272 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 41 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 44 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 61 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 60 of 148 | 40% | 40 of 125 | 15 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 58 of 144 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 117 of 240 | 48% | 66 of 175 | 23 of 30 | 28 of 35 | 85 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 46 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 40 of 85 | 47% | 14 of 52 | 11 of 14 | 15 of 19 | 40 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 45 | 40% | 10 of 36 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 32 of 71 | 45% | 22 of 56 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 21 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 45 of 84 | 53% | 30 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 25 |
Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.
Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.
Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.
Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.
Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 87 of 161 | 54% | 87 of 162 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 76 of 181 | 41% | 84 of 189 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 2 | 37 of 62 | 59% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 19 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 23 of 69 | 33% | 31 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 87 of 161 | 54% | 45 of 108 | 25 of 34 | 17 of 19 | 82 of 154 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 76 of 181 | 41% | 43 of 139 | 16 of 24 | 17 of 18 | 69 of 170 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 31 of 55 | 56% | 12 of 31 | 12 of 15 | 7 of 9 | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 24 of 57 | 42% | 14 of 44 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 37 of 62 | 59% | 21 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 29 of 55 | 52% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 11 | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 23 of 69 | 33% | 15 of 56 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 |
Angelo picks Leomana Martinez, citing his cleaner technique, power, and heart shown in the Ronnie Lawrence fight. He notes that Brandon Davis has a wrestling advantage and took Giga Chikadze down three times, but Mana showed incredible resilience and never stops coming forward. He trusts Mana to fight for the win.
Big Brady picks Leomana Martinez to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Martinez's power (finished all regional wins in the first round, knocked out Ricky Turcios) and notes that Brandon Davis was knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before. He believes Davis's takedown threat is minimal and that Martinez's power will be too much. He calls Martinez the more dangerous striker.
Cody picks Martinez but is not confident. He notes Martinez has huge power and a nasty left hook, and could knock Davis out. However, he acknowledges Davis is a volume puncher and could push the pace. He thinks Martinez might win by knockout but is not willing to bet heavily.
Martinez is the better striker with power, and his cardio has improved. Davis has suspect takedown defense and could be a live underdog if he gets the fight to the mat. However, Martinez's takedown defense is a concern; if he can keep it standing, he should win by knockout. The host is not betting the moneyline but likes Martinez inside the distance at +240.
Paul leans towards Davis as a dog, noting Davis has fought high-level competition and has a junkyard dog style. He thinks Davis can push the pace, score takedowns, and potentially win if he survives the first round. However, he is on the fence and might switch back to Martinez.
The MMA Guru picks Leomana Martinez, refusing to fall for Brandon Davis as an underdog. He criticizes Davis as hit-or-miss and notes his poor weight cut to 135. He believes Martinez will hold his own in grappling and win on the feet, catching an aggressive Davis and finishing by TKO in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 39 of 78 | 50% | 105 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Leomana Martinez | 3 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 63 of 99 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 8:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 37 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 |
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 51 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 39 of 78 | 50% | 24 of 59 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Leomana Martinez | 46 of 82 | 56% | 30 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 33 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 20 of 33 | 60% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 14 of 27 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 30 of 54 | 55% | 20 of 44 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Leomana Martinez | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.
Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.
Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.
Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.
Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 79 of 157 | 50% | 88 of 169 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 66 of 109 | 60% | 68 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 21 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 43 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 79 of 157 | 50% | 35 of 98 | 31 of 44 | 13 of 15 | 72 of 147 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 66 of 109 | 60% | 21 of 57 | 13 of 19 | 32 of 33 | 64 of 105 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 32 | 59% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 27 of 37 | 72% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 24 of 51 | 47% | 8 of 29 | 11 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 23 of 40 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 36 of 74 | 48% | 19 of 49 | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 16 of 32 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.
Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.
Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.
Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.
Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.
The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.
Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.
Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.
Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.
Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!