UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023 · Catchweight (137 lb) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane Next Fight
Age 25
Height 5' 8"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 30
Height 5' 10"
Reach 70"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cameron Saaiman
5.3 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
4.14 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
0.89 TD Avg
28.0% TD Acc.
47.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Leomana Martinez
4.33 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
4.94 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.72 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
25.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Cameron Saaiman
Moneyline
DraftKings -250
KO/TKO
BetRivers +225
Submission
BetRivers +700
Decision
FanDuel +195
Leomana Martinez
Moneyline
BetMGM +220
KO/TKO
FanDuel +600
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +600
Cameron Saaiman - Fight History
KO R1 1:59 · UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Apr 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Malcolm Wellmaker 1 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cameron Saaiman 0 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Malcolm Wellmaker 1 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Cameron Saaiman 0 9 of 18 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Malcolm Wellmaker 6 of 12 50% 1 of 6 4 of 4 1 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 1
Cameron Saaiman 9 of 18 50% 1 of 9 1 of 2 7 of 7 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Malcolm Wellmaker 6 of 12 50% 1 of 6 4 of 4 1 of 2 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 1
Cameron Saaiman 9 of 18 50% 1 of 9 1 of 2 7 of 7 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cameron Saaiman vs. Malcolm Wellmaker
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Saaiman (-110), Wellmaker (-110)

Round 1
Undefeated as a pro, 2024 Contender Series pickup Wellmaker (8-0, 0-0 UFC) want to keep that momentum going as he reaches the big leagues. His first test in the Octagon will be Saaiman (9-2, 3-2 UFC), who knocked out an unbeaten foe in Steven Koslow in his own UFC debut. Knockout rates of 50% or higher for each bantamweight mean that referee Zach Teiberis should be on his A game. There is no glove touch, as they instead want to find a way in with their alternated stances—Saaiman southpaw to Wellmaker in orthodox. Chants in support of Wellmaker rain down quickly, only to abate when the fighters do not do anything. They finally get down to business 30 seconds in, firing single strikes at one another. They take turns when engaging, with Saaiman the slightly more active as he stays on the outside edge with kicks going to all targets. Wellmaker swings twice with big hooks, and Saaiman sees them coming and returns fire with a spinning back kick to the gut. Wellmaker frowns and tries to let go with a right hook, and Saaiman dodges it and chews up the front leg with a trio of kicks. Wellmaker goes to the body with a right hand, and Saaiman does not like it and circles away.
Ignoring a right hand on the jaw, “The Machine” mechanically launches a devastating right hook that sends Saaiman flying, and Saaiman is out cold before he hits the mat. As Teiberis is rushing to get between the fighters, Wellmaker connects with a vicious standing-to-ground right hand to punctuate his performance
. When Teiberis halts the match, Wellmaker drops to his knees to drink in the moment, still undefeated while authoring an incredible knockout in his UFC debut. It takes Saaiman a bit of time to get back to his stool, but he manages to recover. Thrilled as can be, the victorious UFC newcomer calls for a spot on the upcoming Atlanta event in June, and he will more than likely get it as the promotion loves when fighters call for opportunities like that.

The Official Result
Malcolm Wellmaker def. Cameron Saaiman R1 1:59 via KO (Punch)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Malcolm Wellmaker

Angelo picks Malcolm Wellmaker but with low confidence, noting that Wellmaker is an untested UFC debutant with power and accuracy, while Cameron Saaiman has volume and experience. He mentions that if the fight were in Las Vegas, he'd be more confident in Wellmaker due to judging preferences for finishing ability.

"I am going to pick him here, but with very low confidence."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Malcolm Wellmaker

Big Brady leans toward Malcolm Wellmaker, impressed by his composure and power despite limited pro experience. He notes Cameron Saaiman's hittability (51% striking defense) and questions the quality of his wins. He predicts Wellmaker will land a clean shot and win by second-round knockout, though he acknowledges Saaiman's losses are to good competition.

second round knockout
"I'll take Wallmaker to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Malcolm Wellmaker

The host leans Wellmaker as the superior striker, noting he is hittable but has good durability and defensive grappling, and expects him to snipe Saaiman from distance and win by knockout.

by knockout
"I have to lean Wmaker here as he is the significantly superior striker... I think he'll eventually be able to snipe Simon from distance and put him away by knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Malcolm Wellmaker

The MMA Guru picks Malcolm Wellmaker, but his reasoning is heavily influenced by a personal grievance: Cameron Saaiman missed a scheduled interview, leading the Guru to speculate that disaster has struck Saaiman's camp. He acknowledges Saaiman is more well-rounded but likes Wellmaker's counter punching and finishing potential. He calls the fight a 50/50.

"Malcolm Wellmaker is going to win the fight. The only explanation as to why Cameron Simon would treat me, his best friend, in this manner is that he is currently in a tornado."
LOSS vs Payton Talbott
TKO (punches) R2 0:21 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Payton Talbott 1 79 of 129 61% 83 of 135 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Cameron Saaiman 0 31 of 64 48% 33 of 66 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Payton Talbott 0 59 of 105 56% 63 of 111 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Cameron Saaiman 0 31 of 62 50% 33 of 64 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Payton Talbott 1 20 of 24 83% 20 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Cameron Saaiman 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Payton Talbott 79 of 129 61% 52 of 96 21 of 27 6 of 6 54 of 98 6 of 8 19 of 23
Cameron Saaiman 31 of 64 48% 13 of 40 11 of 17 7 of 7 30 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Payton Talbott 59 of 105 56% 32 of 72 21 of 27 6 of 6 53 of 96 6 of 8 0 of 1
Cameron Saaiman 31 of 62 50% 13 of 38 11 of 17 7 of 7 30 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Payton Talbott 20 of 24 83% 20 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 19 of 22
Cameron Saaiman 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Payton Talbott

Angelo picks Payton Talbott, citing his dangerous striking and the poor performance of Saaiman in his last loss. He notes that Talbott's takedown defense is a concern, but Saaiman is not a great wrestler. He is undecided on a bet but may place a small wager or include Talbott in a high-risk parlay due to the even odds.

possible small bet or parlay
"I like pton the win here he's certainly the more dangerous Striker my only concern is the wrestling"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Payton Talbott

Big Brady picks Payton Talbott, citing his striking volume, power, pressure, cardio, and durability advantages. He notes Saaiman's takedown threat is a concern but believes the fight will primarily be on the feet. He predicts Talbott wins by decision, possibly finishing late.

"I'm going to pick him to win this fight and I think he could potentially get it done late... I'll say Tabit by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody prefers the known commodity in Saaiman, who has proven his toughness and volume. He notes that Talbott is untested and lost the first round against Nick Aguirre. Cody believes Saaiman's forward pressure and volume will earn him rounds, and he likes the plus money on the underdog.

"I would rather go with the guy I know is good and let po pton talber prove it to me so Cameron Simon slight dog money."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Payton Talbott

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Payton Talbott, citing his physical attributes, durability, and cardio. He notes Talbott is a slow starter but comes on strong in later rounds, while Saaiman is more technically sound. He expects a competitive fight but thinks Talbott's intangibles edge him out.

"I'm gonna lean with Payton to Edge it out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Payton Talbott

Talbott is the cleaner striker with good combinations and improving defensive grappling. Saaiman relies on athleticism and power but has been taken down and ground out before. Talbott should keep the fight standing and land cleaner shots, possibly opening up a finish. Saaiman's power is a threat, but Talbott's technical edge should win a decision.

"I think that talber is a cleaner cleaner fighter uh overall here... I'm going to go with talbet I think talbet out strikes him on the feet... wins it on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Payton Talbott

Paul leans toward Talbott based on his reach advantage and high volume output (145 significant strikes in his Contender Series fight). He acknowledges Saaiman's takedown ability but thinks Talbott's striking and familiarity with the Vegas environment give him an edge. Paul sees it as a close fight.

"I'm ever so slightly leaning towards Talbot most mostly based on what I perceive as if it just turns into a striking match."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman over Payton Talbott, citing Saaiman's kicks and clinch work as key. He thinks Talbott is kickable and that Saaiman's body kicks and low kicks will be effective. He also favors Saaiman's grappling and scrambles. He predicts Saaiman wins a decision, losing the third round.

decision win
"I'm going with Cameron Simon here over Payton tabot... by decision 2928"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Oct 14, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christian Rodriguez 0 83 of 161 51% 92 of 173 3 of 6 50% 2 1 3:12
Cameron Saaiman 0 73 of 175 41% 87 of 192 0 of 5 0% 1 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christian Rodriguez 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:36
Cameron Saaiman 0 27 of 69 39% 32 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Christian Rodriguez 0 19 of 27 70% 28 of 39 1 of 1 100% 1 1 2:25
Cameron Saaiman 0 8 of 19 42% 16 of 29 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:04
3 Christian Rodriguez 0 42 of 84 50% 42 of 84 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Cameron Saaiman 0 38 of 87 43% 39 of 89 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christian Rodriguez 83 of 161 51% 64 of 141 18 of 19 1 of 1 63 of 131 13 of 21 7 of 9
Cameron Saaiman 73 of 175 41% 38 of 121 14 of 21 21 of 33 65 of 160 8 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christian Rodriguez 22 of 50 44% 14 of 42 8 of 8 0 of 0 19 of 44 3 of 6 0 of 0
Cameron Saaiman 27 of 69 39% 12 of 44 7 of 9 8 of 16 23 of 61 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Christian Rodriguez 19 of 27 70% 17 of 25 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 15 3 of 3 7 of 9
Cameron Saaiman 8 of 19 42% 4 of 12 1 of 2 3 of 5 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Christian Rodriguez 42 of 84 50% 33 of 74 8 of 9 1 of 1 35 of 72 7 of 12 0 of 0
Cameron Saaiman 38 of 87 43% 22 of 65 6 of 10 10 of 12 34 of 80 4 of 7 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Christian Rodriguez (140: Missed Weight) vs. Cameron Saaiman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rodriguez (-142), Saaiman (+120)

Round 1
A catchweight appetizer gets the blood pumping on the main card, as Saaiman (9-0, 3-0 UFC) puts his undefeated record on the line against Rodriguez (9-1, 2-1 UFC) at 140 pounds. Rodriguez missed weight by a whopping four pounds and was fined a percentage of his purse. Smith serves as the referee. No glove touch. Rodriguez presses forward and clips Saaiman with a right hand. Saaiman eats a knee, and Rodriguez flurries with punches. Rodriguez connects with a spinning backfist, ducks return fire and secures a takedown. He threatens with an anaconda choke, but Saaiman escapes. They return to their feet. Saaiman finds the mark with a body kick, but he is losing the striking battle at this point. Rodriguez follows a knee to the body with an elbow upstairs. Rodriguez lands another collar-tie knee. Saaiman probes forward with his jab, but the output is not where it needs to be yet. Rodriguez bleeding from a cut near his left eye. Saaiman pieces together a combination, started by his jab. Saaiman misfires on two spinning attacks. He shoots on a takedown in the closing seconds but goes nowhere.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez

Round 2
Saaiman delivers an inside leg kicks, then throws a left hook upstairs. Rodriguez commands the center of the cage. Saaiman slams another kick into the Roufusport rep’s tight. Rodriguez narrowly misses a knee and shuts down an attempted takedown. He sprawls on a follow-up takedown, makes another pass at an anaconda choke but surrenders top position. Saaiman sets up in full guard and scrambles to the back. Rodriguez springs a reversal, climbs to the back and secures his position with a body triangle. Punches follow. Saaiman scrambles free, moves to the back and slides off. This has turned into a scramblefest. Rodriguez slips behind Saaiman and settles in a kneeling position before threading the needle with punches. Saaiman rolls into a heel hook, but Rodriguez defends without issue and wheels behind him. They finish on the feet.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Rodriquez

Round 3
Rodriguez paws with his jab from the center of the cage. Saaiman lands a low kick, then eats a left hook to the body. Saaiman clinches but releases Rodriguez into open space. A jab from Rodriguez buckles Saaiman’s knees. Saaiman backs him up with punches, connects with an uppercut and clangs a wild overhand left off the side of his head. Rodriguez lands an elbow in close quarters, circles on the outside and steps back into the pocket. Saaiman lets his hands go and throws in an inside leg kick. Rodriguez connects with a one-two. Rodriguez tosses the unbeaten prospect to the mat but allows him to get back to his feet. Saaiman circles on the outside, connects with another leg kick, eats a knee up the middle and answers with punches. He closes with a one-two and a spinning back kick to the body.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Saaiman (29-28 Rodriguez)

The Official Result
Christian Rodriguez def. Cameron Saaiman—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Angelo picks Cameron Saaiman as an underdog, believing Christian Rodriguez is overvalued after beating a 'high school kid' (Raul Rosas Jr.) who gassed. He thinks Saaiman's technical striking and potential wrestling could be key, but he's not sure if Saaiman will commit to wrestling. He plans to bet on Saaiman if the line moves favorably, possibly taking plus 3.5 rounds.

Considering plus 3.5 rounds bet on Saaiman
"I'm going to go ahead I am going to pick Cameron here uh low confidence type pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman by close decision. He likes Saaiman's higher volume striking and cardio, and thinks his grappling is competitive. He sees it as a well-matched fight but leans Saaiman slightly due to his higher ceiling. He will not bet this fight.

"I'm going to take Cameron Simon to win this fight I just feel like I'm higher as a whole on Cameron Simon"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Rodriguez

Cody picks Rodriguez, highlighting his proven track record against prospects (beating Joshua Weems, competitive with Jonathan Pearce). He notes Rodriguez's excellent cardio, solid striking, and ability to escape bad positions. Cody contrasts Saaiman's rawness and tendency to get taken down, and believes Rodriguez's high fight IQ and grappling will be the difference.

"Sign me up for Christian Rodriguez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Christian Rodriguez

The host picks Christian Rodriguez confidently, citing his technical advantages in striking, grappling, and Jiu-Jitsu. He notes Rodriguez's clean combinations and discipline, and expects him to exploit Saaiman's technical flaws. He predicts a decision win for Rodriguez.

"give me Rodriguez and I'm going to take Rodriguez by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christian Rodriguez

Paul agrees with Cody, pointing to Saaiman's struggles against wrestlers (e.g., losing to Cody Stamann via takedowns). He notes that Rodriguez is more complete at this stage and has shown he can bully opponents on the ground. Paul expects Rodriguez to mix in takedowns and control the fight.

"I got Christian Rodriguez as the guy who's maybe just a little bit more ready right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman as an underdog over Christian Rodriguez. He believes Saaiman is better on the feet, more dynamic and versatile, with higher finishing potential. In grappling, he thinks Saaiman is more vicious with ground and pound, while Rodriguez is more positional. He also notes Saaiman is younger, taller, and more active, having taken no damage in his last fight.

"I'm going to go with Cameron Simon on the grappling department and on the feet I think he's way better than chrisan Rodriguez"
TKO (punches) R1 3:10 · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Jul 08, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Saaiman 0 18 of 32 56% 23 of 38 2 of 2 100% 1 1 1:37
Terrence Mitchell 0 3 of 7 42% 6 of 11 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Saaiman 0 18 of 32 56% 23 of 38 2 of 2 100% 1 1 1:37
Terrence Mitchell 0 3 of 7 42% 6 of 11 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Saaiman 18 of 32 56% 15 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 6 14 of 24
Terrence Mitchell 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Saaiman 18 of 32 56% 15 of 29 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 2 4 of 6 14 of 24
Terrence Mitchell 3 of 7 42% 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 2, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Angelo picks Saaiman but with low confidence, calling him a 'parlay buster'. He notes Saaiman's technical striking, forward pressure, and cardio, but warns that undefeated prospects often struggle against experienced fighters like Mitchell, who can grapple and strike. He thinks the odds (-400) are too high and advises against including Saaiman in parlays.

Advises against parlay inclusion
"Cameron is the pick feels like a parlay Buster I would not put him in my parlays if I were you"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 1, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman to win by late first-round finish. He notes that Saaiman is a very good striker with sneaky power and good cardio, but his takedown defense is a concern. He expects Mitchell to have early success with takedowns, but if Mitchell doesn't submit Saaiman in the first round, Saaiman will take over and finish him in the second or third round. He mentions that Mitchell's wins come against low-level competition and that Saaiman is a significant step up.

finish in round 1 or 2
"I'll go Cameron Simon I'll say late first round finish for Cameron Simon"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody is confident Saaiman wins, noting Mitchell's competition is from Alaska and he was knocked out quickly by Kai Kara-France. He thinks Saaiman's pressure and brawling style will be too much. He mentions Saaiman's foul issues but expects a finish.

Saaiman inside distance, under 1.5 rounds
"Cameron Salmon beats Terence Mitchell is the bottom line on that one"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Connor picks Saaiman because Mitchell is a top control specialist from a weak regional scene who got destroyed in his UFC debut. Saaiman is a messy but high-volume fighter who will keep coming and eventually break Mitchell. Mitchell's grappling is raw, and Saaiman's relentless pressure should overwhelm him.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"He's just not a physically up to snuff for UFC caliber."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Daniel Levi picks Saaiman, noting that Mitchell comes from a weak regional scene in Alaska and was knocked out quickly by Kai Kara-France on TUF. He praises Saaiman's talent, heart, and improving takedown defense, though he has a tendency to get points deducted for fouls. Levi believes Saaiman is infinitely more talented and battle-tested, and expects him to win, though he is not betting at minus-550.

"I got Simon here it's just I'm you know I'm not betting on him because he's minus 550."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2023 (fight day)
Cameron Saaiman

James sees this as a squash match, with Saaiman levels above Mitchell. He praises Saaiman's pace, pressure, tenacity, and striking ability, noting he throws a lot of strikes and is also a good striker. He predicts Saaiman will get a knockout in round one, easily.

Cameron Saaiman wins by KO in round 1
"I think it's a squash match I think uh Cameron Simon is uh levels above with Terence Mitchell here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Saaiman is a young, explosive prospect with power and speed, while Mitchell has faced low-level competition and was knocked out quickly in his only UFC stint. Saaiman's physicality and skill gap will be too much; he will find Mitchell's chin and finish by knockout. The under 2.5 rounds is a very confident play.

under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision
"I think here we'll see Cameron Simon utilizes explosivity his speed advantage and his power to find the chin of Terence Mitchell and eventually put him out."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 5, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Paul picks Saaiman, noting Mitchell's record is padded with regional wins. He thinks Mitchell's wrestling won't be enough. He mentions Saaiman's DQ risk but expects a win. He says -550 is relatively safe compared to other big favorites on the card.

Saaiman inside distance
"minus 500 the only reason it looks good that minus 500 is because compared to the other three big favorites it's half the price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 3, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman to win by third-round TKO. He dismisses Mitchell's striking, noting his grappling is his best asset, but believes Saaiman's top game and elbows will be too much. He also mentions Mitchell's short notice and Saaiman's ability to scramble and sweep.

wins by third round TKO
"Cameron Simon's going to win this fight I think he wins it by third round TKO"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Zane picks Saaiman because Mitchell is not UFC caliber, coming from a weak regional scene and getting crushed in his debut. Saaiman is a solid rangey kickboxer who fights hard and has good cardio, and he should overwhelm Mitchell with pressure. Even if Mitchell gets a dominant position, Saaiman's relentless work rate will break him.

Saaiman opened at -337, currently -518; Mitchell opened at +282, currently +406. Zane notes the wide line but says Saaiman hasn't shone against bad athletes.
"Mitchell probably just shouldn't be in the UFC."
Decision (majority) (29–26, 28–27, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Saaiman 0 60 of 148 40% 63 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 1 117 of 240 48% 146 of 272 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Saaiman 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 0 40 of 85 47% 41 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cameron Saaiman 0 18 of 45 40% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 1 32 of 71 45% 44 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
3 Cameron Saaiman 0 14 of 36 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 0 45 of 84 53% 61 of 101 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Saaiman 60 of 148 40% 40 of 125 15 of 18 5 of 5 58 of 144 2 of 4 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 117 of 240 48% 66 of 175 23 of 30 28 of 35 85 of 191 1 of 3 31 of 46
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Saaiman 28 of 67 41% 19 of 56 5 of 7 4 of 4 28 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 40 of 85 47% 14 of 52 11 of 14 15 of 19 40 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cameron Saaiman 18 of 45 40% 10 of 36 7 of 8 1 of 1 17 of 42 1 of 3 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 32 of 71 45% 22 of 56 3 of 6 7 of 9 20 of 49 0 of 1 12 of 21
3 Cameron Saaiman 14 of 36 38% 11 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 45 of 84 53% 30 of 67 9 of 10 6 of 7 25 of 57 1 of 2 19 of 25
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.

inside distance decision no action
"I like Mana Martinez I think Mana could actually get this done he's the more dangerous fighter I think he has more raw power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.

third round knockout
"I'm gonna say Simon gets Mana Martinez out of here in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.

Live bet Saaiman if he survives the first round
"I think salmon takes over if salmon gets dropped in the first round but survives and I can get some plus money on him going into the second and third I take the live hit"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.

"I'm gonna pick Simon I think but it is, you know, it is interesting in that. It's just I would say not a UFC level bantamweight bout."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.

"I think Cameron's gonna have the speed advantage and the pressure advantage in the Striking"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.

"I think a lot of Cameron Simon and I think that this is his fight to lose he is absolutely going to go out there and have his way in my opinion with mono Martinez"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.

"I'll pick salmon uh moving on"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Cameron Simon here... I think he gets this one done by decision 2928."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.

"I guess I'll take Martinez because you know, he he is at least very tough and and and and he's a determined fighter."
WIN vs Steven Koslow
TKO (knees and punches) R3 4:13 · UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Dec 10, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Saaiman 0 53 of 89 59% 105 of 149 0 of 0 --- 0 6 6:29
Steven Koslow 0 11 of 29 37% 20 of 42 5 of 9 55% 1 2 4:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Saaiman 0 4 of 9 44% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:34
Steven Koslow 0 3 of 7 42% 7 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:39
2 Cameron Saaiman 0 20 of 31 64% 32 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:19
Steven Koslow 0 5 of 13 38% 9 of 19 2 of 5 40% 1 1 2:09
3 Cameron Saaiman 0 29 of 49 59% 53 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 2 2:36
Steven Koslow 0 3 of 9 33% 4 of 11 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Saaiman 53 of 89 59% 38 of 69 9 of 14 6 of 6 23 of 50 9 of 11 21 of 28
Steven Koslow 11 of 29 37% 8 of 25 1 of 2 2 of 2 8 of 21 1 of 3 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Saaiman 4 of 9 44% 2 of 5 0 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Steven Koslow 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5
2 Cameron Saaiman 20 of 31 64% 11 of 21 7 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 17 5 of 5 7 of 9
Steven Koslow 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Cameron Saaiman 29 of 49 59% 25 of 43 2 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 25 4 of 6 13 of 18
Steven Koslow 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Angelo picks Saaiman because he believes the gap in striking is wider than the gap in grappling. He notes that Koslow is an aggressive grappler but his striking is not great, while Saaiman is a technical striker who can also grapple. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight due to both fighters being UFC debutants with only six fights each, calling it a 50-50 fight.

Do not bet on this fight; save your money.
"saman is going to be my my pick because I think the gap between their striking is much wider than the gap between their grappling but again save your money do not bet on this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman to win, but with low confidence due to limited tape on both fighters. He notes Saaiman has power and finishing ability, but questions his takedown defense and getup game against Koslow's submission threat. He expects Koslow to have early success with takedowns, but thinks Saaiman will eventually land a knockout as the fight progresses.

Saaiman wins by second round knockout
"I'm gonna pick Simon to win this fight I'm gonna take him to win by second round at knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody picks Saaiman, citing his performance on Contender Series where he beat an undefeated opponent. He notes Saaiman's cardio, strength, and pressure. He thinks Koslow is a one-dimensional submission specialist who will struggle if he can't get the fight to the ground. He expects Saaiman to win by TKO inside the distance.

Saaiman inside the distance (-120)
"I think he puts a beating on him I think he does fluke submission sure it could happen but uh I don't even think he gets a fight to the ground if he does it's for a second and if …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Steven Koslow

Daniel Levi picks Steven Koslow as a slight underdog lean, but admits he has very little information on either fighter. He likes Koslow's slick grappling (mounted triangle, back takes) and training at Fusion XL. He notes Saaiman has fought slightly better competition but still low-level. Levi says this is a 'dog or pass' situation and he'll go with the plus money, but it's not a confident play. He suggests taking a small unit bet or just watching.

Small unit bet on Koslow at +270.
"I'll actually go with Cosmo because it seems like a dog or pass situation but it's not like a convicted play"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Steven Koslow

Lock mentions he took a 0.3 unit shot on Koslow's moneyline because he thinks the line is a bit wide. He believes Koslow is strong in areas where Saaiman has shown struggles in the past, and that the unknown factor could make Koslow the next big prospect. He sees it as a buy-low opportunity at 30 cents on PredictionStrike.

0.3 unit bet on moneyline
"I personally have taken a shot on him myself you know a 0.3 unit shot on his money line because I think it's a little bit wide and I think he is strong in parts of the game that Cameron …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Paul picks Saaiman, noting he is a young prospect with a bright future. He thinks Koslow is a one-dimensional grappler and that Saaiman's takedown defense and cardio will be key. He suggests Saaiman inside the distance as a prop.

Saaiman inside the distance
"Simon inside the distance actually doesn't seem all that bad to be perfectly honest it's Simon inside the distance is in the minus 120-ish range right now"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman over Steven Koslow, noting that Koslow is stepping in on short notice and tends to go for early submissions, which Saaiman can survive. He believes Saaiman is composed and experienced enough to weather the early storm and come back to win a 29-28 decision, losing the first round but taking the second and third.

"I'm gonna go over 29-28 decision for Cameron Simon losing the first round escaping some bad situations and then coming back into second and third to win the fight"
Leomana Martinez - Fight History
LOSS vs Cameron Saaiman
Decision (majority) (29–26, 28–27, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cameron Saaiman 0 60 of 148 40% 63 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 1 117 of 240 48% 146 of 272 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cameron Saaiman 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 0 40 of 85 47% 41 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cameron Saaiman 0 18 of 45 40% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 1 32 of 71 45% 44 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:12
3 Cameron Saaiman 0 14 of 36 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 0 45 of 84 53% 61 of 101 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cameron Saaiman 60 of 148 40% 40 of 125 15 of 18 5 of 5 58 of 144 2 of 4 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 117 of 240 48% 66 of 175 23 of 30 28 of 35 85 of 191 1 of 3 31 of 46
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cameron Saaiman 28 of 67 41% 19 of 56 5 of 7 4 of 4 28 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 40 of 85 47% 14 of 52 11 of 14 15 of 19 40 of 85 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Cameron Saaiman 18 of 45 40% 10 of 36 7 of 8 1 of 1 17 of 42 1 of 3 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 32 of 71 45% 22 of 56 3 of 6 7 of 9 20 of 49 0 of 1 12 of 21
3 Cameron Saaiman 14 of 36 38% 11 of 33 3 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Leomana Martinez 45 of 84 53% 30 of 67 9 of 10 6 of 7 25 of 57 1 of 2 19 of 25
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.

inside distance decision no action
"I like Mana Martinez I think Mana could actually get this done he's the more dangerous fighter I think he has more raw power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.

third round knockout
"I'm gonna say Simon gets Mana Martinez out of here in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.

Live bet Saaiman if he survives the first round
"I think salmon takes over if salmon gets dropped in the first round but survives and I can get some plus money on him going into the second and third I take the live hit"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.

"I'm gonna pick Simon I think but it is, you know, it is interesting in that. It's just I would say not a UFC level bantamweight bout."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.

"I think Cameron's gonna have the speed advantage and the pressure advantage in the Striking"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.

"I think a lot of Cameron Simon and I think that this is his fight to lose he is absolutely going to go out there and have his way in my opinion with mono Martinez"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.

"I'll pick salmon uh moving on"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Cameron Simon here... I think he gets this one done by decision 2928."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.

"I guess I'll take Martinez because you know, he he is at least very tough and and and and he's a determined fighter."
WIN vs Brandon Davis
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Leomana Martinez 2 87 of 161 54% 87 of 162 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:45
Brandon Davis 0 76 of 181 41% 84 of 189 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Leomana Martinez 0 31 of 55 56% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Brandon Davis 0 24 of 57 42% 24 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
2 Leomana Martinez 2 37 of 62 59% 37 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Brandon Davis 0 29 of 55 52% 29 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
3 Leomana Martinez 0 19 of 44 43% 19 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:39
Brandon Davis 0 23 of 69 33% 31 of 77 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Leomana Martinez 87 of 161 54% 45 of 108 25 of 34 17 of 19 82 of 154 3 of 5 2 of 2
Brandon Davis 76 of 181 41% 43 of 139 16 of 24 17 of 18 69 of 170 3 of 4 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Leomana Martinez 31 of 55 56% 12 of 31 12 of 15 7 of 9 31 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brandon Davis 24 of 57 42% 14 of 44 5 of 8 5 of 5 23 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Leomana Martinez 37 of 62 59% 21 of 43 10 of 13 6 of 6 32 of 55 3 of 5 2 of 2
Brandon Davis 29 of 55 52% 14 of 39 4 of 5 11 of 11 29 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Leomana Martinez 19 of 44 43% 12 of 34 3 of 6 4 of 4 19 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Brandon Davis 23 of 69 33% 15 of 56 7 of 11 1 of 2 17 of 59 2 of 3 4 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Angelo picks Leomana Martinez, citing his cleaner technique, power, and heart shown in the Ronnie Lawrence fight. He notes that Brandon Davis has a wrestling advantage and took Giga Chikadze down three times, but Mana showed incredible resilience and never stops coming forward. He trusts Mana to fight for the win.

"I gotta go with Mana here because of that cleaner technique and I know that if he gets into trouble he's not going to stop"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Big Brady picks Leomana Martinez to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Martinez's power (finished all regional wins in the first round, knocked out Ricky Turcios) and notes that Brandon Davis was knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before. He believes Davis's takedown threat is minimal and that Martinez's power will be too much. He calls Martinez the more dangerous striker.

Martinez wins by first-round knockout
"I think Mana puts him out here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Cody picks Martinez but is not confident. He notes Martinez has huge power and a nasty left hook, and could knock Davis out. However, he acknowledges Davis is a volume puncher and could push the pace. He thinks Martinez might win by knockout but is not willing to bet heavily.

"I'm gonna take Mana Martinez I got a feeling that he might even be able to knock about but I'm not going to get greedy."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Martinez is the better striker with power, and his cardio has improved. Davis has suspect takedown defense and could be a live underdog if he gets the fight to the mat. However, Martinez's takedown defense is a concern; if he can keep it standing, he should win by knockout. The host is not betting the moneyline but likes Martinez inside the distance at +240.

Leomana Martinez inside the distance +240
"give me Martinez inside the distance plus 240 hope that can cash"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Brandon Davis

Paul leans towards Davis as a dog, noting Davis has fought high-level competition and has a junkyard dog style. He thinks Davis can push the pace, score takedowns, and potentially win if he survives the first round. However, he is on the fence and might switch back to Martinez.

"I'm leaning towards the dog with you right now... Brandon Davis dog number four I think he can hopefully push a pace on Mana."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

The MMA Guru picks Leomana Martinez, refusing to fall for Brandon Davis as an underdog. He criticizes Davis as hit-or-miss and notes his poor weight cut to 135. He believes Martinez will hold his own in grappling and win on the feet, catching an aggressive Davis and finishing by TKO in the first round.

prediction: TKO in round 1
"I'm not falling for the Brandon Davis Underdog I'm picking Mana Martinez"
LOSS vs Ronnie Lawrence
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronnie Lawrence 2 39 of 78 50% 105 of 156 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:08
Leomana Martinez 3 46 of 82 56% 63 of 99 6 of 7 85% 0 1 8:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronnie Lawrence 0 6 of 14 42% 37 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Leomana Martinez 1 20 of 33 60% 30 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:52
2 Ronnie Lawrence 0 3 of 10 30% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
Leomana Martinez 2 14 of 27 51% 20 of 33 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:55
3 Ronnie Lawrence 2 30 of 54 55% 51 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
Leomana Martinez 0 12 of 22 54% 13 of 23 2 of 3 66% 0 1 1:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronnie Lawrence 39 of 78 50% 24 of 59 8 of 11 7 of 8 32 of 65 0 of 2 7 of 11
Leomana Martinez 46 of 82 56% 30 of 59 6 of 12 10 of 11 28 of 49 0 of 0 18 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronnie Lawrence 6 of 14 42% 3 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 4 5 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
Leomana Martinez 20 of 33 60% 11 of 22 2 of 4 7 of 7 11 of 20 0 of 0 9 of 13
2 Ronnie Lawrence 3 of 10 30% 1 of 5 2 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1
Leomana Martinez 14 of 27 51% 11 of 22 2 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 19
3 Ronnie Lawrence 30 of 54 55% 20 of 44 6 of 6 4 of 4 24 of 43 0 of 2 6 of 9
Leomana Martinez 12 of 22 54% 8 of 15 2 of 4 2 of 3 11 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.

parlay piece
"this is a pretty confident pick i'm going with ronnie and his wrestling the odds are absurd in this fight so he is more of a parlay piece than anything"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.

Lawrence by decision
"give me ronnie lawrence to win a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.

"ronnie lawrence is gonna be a pivotal piece of a lot of the lineups for sure"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.

"give me ronnie lawrence to defeat the very tough and hard-hitting leo mana martinez"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.

inside the distance; under 2.5 rounds; Lawrence by TKO in round 2
"i really like lawrence in the spot i completely understand why he's in that minus 300 range he is absolutely deserving of being in that range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.

"ronnie lawrence is gonna be a pivotal piece of a lot of the lineups for sure"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ronnie Lawrence

The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.

unanimous decision 30-26
"i'm going to be going with ronnie lawrence here"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Leomana Martinez 0 79 of 157 50% 88 of 169 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:07
Guido Cannetti 0 66 of 109 60% 68 of 111 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Leomana Martinez 0 19 of 32 59% 21 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
Guido Cannetti 0 27 of 37 72% 28 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:28
2 Leomana Martinez 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Guido Cannetti 0 23 of 40 57% 23 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Leomana Martinez 0 36 of 74 48% 43 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:53
Guido Cannetti 0 16 of 32 50% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Leomana Martinez 79 of 157 50% 35 of 98 31 of 44 13 of 15 72 of 147 3 of 4 4 of 6
Guido Cannetti 66 of 109 60% 21 of 57 13 of 19 32 of 33 64 of 105 0 of 1 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Leomana Martinez 19 of 32 59% 8 of 20 8 of 8 3 of 4 19 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Guido Cannetti 27 of 37 72% 5 of 11 6 of 9 16 of 17 25 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Leomana Martinez 24 of 51 47% 8 of 29 11 of 16 5 of 6 24 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Guido Cannetti 23 of 40 57% 8 of 22 4 of 7 11 of 11 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Leomana Martinez 36 of 74 48% 19 of 49 12 of 20 5 of 5 29 of 64 3 of 4 4 of 6
Guido Cannetti 16 of 32 50% 8 of 24 3 of 3 5 of 5 16 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.

Martinez is -350 favorite; Angelo suggests chasing a first-round stoppage for better odds.
"i just really don't see amanda martinez having an issue here other than i can i have no idea what his headspace will be like"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.

fight doesn't go to decision (parlay piece); under 2.5 rounds; Martinez inside the distance by TKO
"i'm expecting to see amanda martinez knockout uh probably in round one"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.

Jacob will place a bet on Martinez, likely a first-round stoppage prop for better odds than -350.
"i honestly think that martinez should and will uh dominate this fight and probably flatline uh guido inside of two and a half minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)

Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.

under 1.5 rounds -105, fight doesn't go to decision -260, Martinez by KO -110
"i do think it's ultimately going to be martinez who gets the knockout here uh minus 110"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)

Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds; Martinez inside the distance by TKO
"i think mana martinez is the clear and obvious choice here right he should go out there and he should be able to get the the first round knockout"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)

The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.

Martinez by TKO in round 1
"i'm gonna have to go with mana martinez here getting a finish i'll say he gets it done by tko in the first round"
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.

inside distance decision no action
"I like Mana Martinez I think Mana could actually get this done he's the more dangerous fighter I think he has more raw power"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.

third round knockout
"I'm gonna say Simon gets Mana Martinez out of here in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.

Live bet Saaiman if he survives the first round
"I think salmon takes over if salmon gets dropped in the first round but survives and I can get some plus money on him going into the second and third I take the live hit"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.

"I'm gonna pick Simon I think but it is, you know, it is interesting in that. It's just I would say not a UFC level bantamweight bout."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.

"I think Cameron's gonna have the speed advantage and the pressure advantage in the Striking"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.

"I think a lot of Cameron Simon and I think that this is his fight to lose he is absolutely going to go out there and have his way in my opinion with mono Martinez"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.

"I'll pick salmon uh moving on"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Cameron Saaiman

The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Cameron Simon here... I think he gets this one done by decision 2928."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Leomana Martinez

Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.

"I guess I'll take Martinez because you know, he he is at least very tough and and and and he's a determined fighter."