Career Averages - Karl Roberson
Career Averages - Wellington Turman
Karl Roberson - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 64 of 114 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 1 | 0 | 10:46 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 16 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 9 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 8 of 9 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 39 of 66 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:41 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 6 of 10 | 60% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 0 | 15 of 28 | 53% | 16 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Nzechukwu | 20 of 43 | 46% | 18 of 37 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 21 |
| Karl Roberson | 9 of 19 | 47% | 4 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Karl Roberson | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 6 of 10 | 60% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Kennedy Nzechukwu | 15 of 28 | 53% | 15 of 26 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 18 |
| Karl Roberson | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Karl Roberson despite Kennedy Nzechukwu's power and reach. He notes Roberson is the better all-around fighter with solid game planning and takedowns against strikers. He worries about Roberson's knockout loss to Khalil Rountree but believes Roberson's clean technique and solid game planning will get it done. He acknowledges Kennedy will be dangerous the entire 15 minutes.
Big Brady picks Kennedy Nzechukwu primarily due to his significant size advantage (4-inch height, 9-inch reach) and superior cardio. He notes that Kennedy is still green and inconsistent, but Karl Roberson's low output, inconsistency, and three-fight skid make him hard to trust. Brady acknowledges that Roberson is more skilled but believes Kennedy's physical attributes and cardio will allow him to do more over three rounds. He expresses low confidence, calling it a borderline '100 gambler fight' and says he won't bet it.
Cody picks Nzechukwu but with low confidence. He notes Nzechukwu has a huge reach advantage but doesn't use it well, and his fights are often sloppy. He thinks Roberson has better kickboxing but terrible ring IQ. He sees this as a low-level fight where either could win.
The host discusses this fight but does not place a bet. He acknowledges that Roberson is technically the better striker and could win if he grapples, but he does not trust Roberson's fight IQ. He mentions that Roberson could win by decision or submission but ultimately does not pull the trigger.
Paul picks Roberson as a dog, noting his striking is more refined and he has better kickboxing. He thinks Roberson's durability could hold up and he might mix in takedowns. However, he's not confident due to Roberson's poor decision-making.
The Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu due to his massive size and reach advantage (9-inch reach). He believes Nzechukwu should have won his last fight and that Roberson lacks power at range. He worries about Nzechukwu's chin but notes Roberson doesn't take punches well either. He predicts a 29-28 decision win at range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 2 | 26 of 69 | 37% | 26 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 0 | 18 of 54 | 33% | 18 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 2 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | 26 of 69 | 37% | 16 of 53 | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 17 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 7 |
| Karl Roberson | 17 of 28 | 60% | 4 of 10 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 18 of 54 | 33% | 10 of 41 | 3 of 6 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 17 of 27 | 62% | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 16 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Khalil Rountree Jr. | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo gives a slight edge to Karl Roberson because he believes Roberson can hang in the striking and has a clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes that the skill gap on the ground is wider than on the feet, favoring Roberson. However, he acknowledges that Khalil Rountree is a very good striker and could knock Roberson out at any moment.
Big Brady picks Karl Roberson to win by third-round submission. He notes Roberson has never been knocked out and has underrated grappling, despite being submitted by elite grapplers. He points out that Rountree has zero takedowns in 11 UFC fights, so Roberson will likely keep the fight standing where he is the better striker. He also thinks Roberson can mix in takedowns and submit Rountree, who has poor takedown defense (50%). He expects Roberson to out-strike Rountree for two rounds then get a submission in the third.
Cody leans Rountree, citing his durability, power, and pressure. He notes Roberson's ground game is weak but Rountree won't exploit it. He sees it as a striking battle where Rountree's forward pressure and power give him the edge.
Daniel Levi leans with Khalil Rountree Jr., citing his speed advantage and the fact that when Rountree is mentally on and there's no takedown threat, he can be a serious problem. He notes that both fighters have been flaky and can't be fully trusted, but Rountree's speed gives him the edge. Levi acknowledges that Karl Roberson might be tougher but thinks Rountree's speed is the difference.
Roberson is seen as the more technical striker with a better overall MMA game, including grappling and clinch work. He can nullify Rountree's early power and then chip away with kicks and takedowns. Rountree has been inconsistent, with losses to Prachnio and Cutelaba. Roberson is expected to win via decision, using a grapple-heavy game plan.
Paul has no clear pick, calling it a dogger pass. He notes both fighters have moments but he doesn't trust either. He mentions Rountree's inconsistency and Roberson's cancellations.
The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr. over Karl Roberson, expecting a stand-up contest. He believes Rountree has a big advantage on the feet and will pull the trigger more than in his last fight. He predicts a KO in round two, as Rountree lands powerful shots and gains respect. He notes that Roberson has shown some grappling ability but doesn't think it will be enough to stop Rountree.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 15 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Allen | 6 of 14 | 42% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
An all-action middleweight contest is next, as two thrillers that prefer to finish their foes lock horns, when Allen (15-4, 3-1 UFC) looks to pacify “Baby K” Roberson (9-3, 4-3 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this battle is referee Dan Miragliotta, and the two decide to touch gloves before trying to take the other’s head off. Allen quickly lets loose a head kick as soon as he retracts the touch, and Roberson is barely able to block it in time. Both men start trading, and both hurt the other with massive shots. Roberson gets off a body kick, and a left hand just misses the target as Allen dances out of the way to score a right. Allen fires off several kicks to the body and legs, and he clips “Baby K” with a right and a left chained into a head kick. “All In” uses his forward momentum to clinch up, where he hits a trip and puts Roberson on his back emphatically. Allen has some damage on the corner of his right eye, but he does not appear bothered by it as he crushes Roberson down in half guard. Roberson is stuck with his neck against the fence, and Allen reaches a little too far to pursue a straight armbar or kimura. Allen nearly falls off, but he readjusts himself and steps into mount, with the so-called “Dagestani handcuff” trapping Roberson’s legs while he can wail on Roberson’s face. Allen tries to pull Roberson’s legs out as he steps over toe the side, and Roberson bursts to his feet only to quickly be thrown back down to the ground. Allen in half guard squeezes with his shoulder, and Roberson can do little but hold on tight to stop the offense from coming. Allen smothers with his top pressure even though he does not land anything of note, but he does grind his elbow on Roberson’s face.
“Baby K” bucks like a bronco into a leglock from his back, and Allen defends in the 50/50 guard with his own heel hook attempt at the same time. Roberson is suddenly in big trouble, as Allen hooks the ankle underneath his armpit. “All In” torques it with seconds to spare, and Roberson grimaces in pain and taps out so his knee and ankle do not get shredded.
That is now submission number nine for Allen, who elicits this rare and elusive ankle-based tapout in impressive fashion.
The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Karl Roberson R1 4:55 via Submission (Ankle Lock)
Big Brady picks Allen to win by first-round submission, but is hesitant because Allen often fails to implement his wrestling game plan. He notes Allen's striking defense is poor and he was knocked out by Strickland when he didn't wrestle. However, Roberson's weakness is takedown defense and ground game, and Allen is a good submission artist. He hopes Allen learned from his last loss.
Cody leans toward Allen but is not confident, noting Allen's grappling skills and Roberson's weakness against wrestlers. He worries about Allen's cardio and tendency to stand and strike. He thinks Allen must take Roberson down early to win, and if he doesn't, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.
Daniel picks Brendan Allen, expecting him to take Roberson down and submit him. He notes Roberson has been choked out three times in the UFC and that Allen's striking has improved. He hopes Allen's fight IQ is on point and predicts a first-round submission.
I'm going the opposite way on this one. I think Roberson keeps the fight on the feet and uses his leg kicks to set up a knockout. Allen's takedown accuracy is only 37%, and Roberson has decent takedown defense. If Roberson can stuff the takedowns, he has the striking advantage. I like Roberson by KO at +335, but we need to wait for weigh-ins to see if he makes weight.
Paul picks Allen but is hesitant, citing Allen's grappling advantage and Roberson's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Allen's cardio issues and tendency to tire if he doesn't get an early finish. He thinks Allen needs to use a wrestling-heavy approach to win, and if he stands with Roberson, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen by second-round rear-naked choke. He notes that Allen has good submissions and has submitted Kevin Holland, while Roberson has been taken down and submitted quickly in recent fights. He expects Allen to grapple his way to a win after some stand-up exchanges.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 45 of 64 | 70% | 60 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 2:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 45 of 64 | 70% | 60 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 2:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 45 of 64 | 70% | 45 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 43 of 52 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marvin Vettori | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karl Roberson | 45 of 64 | 70% | 45 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 43 of 52 |
Daniel Levi leans towards Marvin Vettori, citing his improved boxing, tough chin, and well-rounded game including clinch and jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Karl Roberson's potential, knockout threat, and improving jiu-jitsu, but believes Vettori is the better overall fighter. Levi notes the line may be inflated due to the hotel incident and considers it a dog-or-pass situation, but still favors Vettori by tough decision.
The MMA Guru picks Marvin Vettori, noting that Karl Roberson botched a weight cut recently and was in critical condition, which increases Vettori's chances. He highlights Vettori's forward pressure and combination punching, while Roberson struggles moving backwards. He predicts Vettori will get a TKO finish in the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 37 of 95 | 38% | 38 of 96 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Roman Kopylov | 0 | 43 of 117 | 36% | 43 of 117 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Kopylov | 0 | 9 of 38 | 23% | 9 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Roman Kopylov | 0 | 18 of 41 | 43% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 14 of 37 | 37% | 15 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Roman Kopylov | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 16 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 37 of 95 | 38% | 19 of 72 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 37 of 95 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Kopylov | 43 of 117 | 36% | 14 of 77 | 3 of 10 | 26 of 30 | 41 of 115 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 12 of 28 | 42% | 5 of 17 | 4 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Kopylov | 9 of 38 | 23% | 3 of 29 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 11 of 30 | 36% | 4 of 23 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Kopylov | 18 of 41 | 43% | 2 of 21 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 17 | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 14 of 37 | 37% | 10 of 32 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Roman Kopylov | 16 of 38 | 42% | 9 of 27 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 15 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Moving right along, Roberson (8-2, 3-2 UFC) welcomes undefeated knockout artist Kopylov (8-0, 0-0 UFC) to the organization in a big way at middleweight. Serving as the referee for this bout will be Vyacheslav Kiselev. A touch of gloves in sporting fashion begins the fight, and Kopylov quickly opens with a few looping punches that fall short. Roberson responds with a few that are shy of the mark as well, so Kopylov aims for a kick instead. The American presses forward and lands a low kick, so Kopylov fires with a one-two up top that makes Roberson readjust his position. Trading jabs back and forth, Roberson looks to set up a big left hand, but Kopylov keeps moving and working the body to stay away from that prospective power punch. Roberson lands a few more heavy leg kicks, and then barely misses with one up high. Roberson stalks down Kopylov, and then flips up another head kick that glances off the shoulder of his opponent. Kopylov backs off and bounces off the cage a few times to find his place in the cage, and dodges some punches that fly from Roberson. Kopylov fires a head kick up that gets blocked, but follows with a quick short left that catches Roberson right on the jaw, much to the delight of the crowd -- they have not had much to cheer for so far. As Kopylov tries to dig to the body, Roberson wings a big left hand and a body kick. The Russian plants a one-two right on the jaw of his opponent, and backs away before the counters come in his direction. Kopylov just misses with a spinning back kick, so Roberson throws up a kick that almost appears to be an axe kick, leading to a clinch and the end of this razor-close round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Round 2
Once more the two men touch gloves, and trade leather immediately. Both score effectively and wear it well, but it is Roberson that is advancing and pressing forward. A straight punch to the body leads to a response from Roberson in the form of a hard leg kick, and then another. Kopylov stings Roberson with a left hand, and the crowd chants for him, but Roberson scores a heavy leg kick that makes Kopylov's knee buckle slightly. One more lands and makes Kopylov duck away, so Roberson chases after him with a head kick and falls over in the process. Kopylov allows him to get up and they touch gloves, so Roberson goes to the inside of Kopylov's lead leg. Another low kick finds its home from Roberson, and by throwing another, Kopylov's movement seems slightly hampered. Kopylov sits down on a left straight, but it does not have the same pop on it after the American lands yet another hard leg kick. The continued leg kicks are bothering Kopylov, so Roberson smartly continues to pursue it. Roberson whips another leg kick and Kopylov does not check it but actually reaches for it, and grimaces as he absorbs it. "Baby K" then launches a head kick and Kopylov is barely able to block it in time, so Roberson then pursues that lead leg some more. The leg is turning into hamburger, as these leg kicks are hard and loud. Roberson turns his hips into a leg kick and Kopylov fully takes the brunt of it, causing him to limp off. Kopylov tries to fire back at him, but he cannot plant on that lead leg, so Roberson goes after it once more to end the round dramatically.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Round 3
Unsurprisingly, within five seconds of the last round, Roberson throws a low kick. Kopylov attempts to come back at him and catches Roberson coming in, but the Russian instead pursues a takedown that Roberson shucks off. Sensing he might be down on the scorecards, Kopylov turns up the pace and starts throwing big shots at Roberson, much to the delight of the home fans. Roberson stays largely out of harm's way, but shoots in for his own takedown, and cannot land it. The American backs away and digs to that lead leg again, forcing Kopylov to try to respond by throwing a looping hook that nearly makes him topple over. A striking exchange dings up the nose of Kopylov, who then absorbs an inside leg kick as Roberson jumps in and out. Kopylov stretches his left arm out and jabs his pointer finger directly into the eye of Roberson, and that is a nasty poke as Roberson falls over. That eye starts bleeding, and the doctor is taking a hard look at it. Roberson is calling for the fight to continue, and there is a lot of blood coming from a cut on the eyelid. Kiselev takes a point from Kopylov, but the action resumes. Now confident he is behind in the fight, Kopylov throws everything he has at Roberson by winging combinations with wild kicks and punches. Roberson eats some strikes but aims directly at that lead leg with a few more kicks, causing Kopylov to retreat. Roberson chases him down and clinches up, muscling the Russian to the ground.
Roberson takes his opponent's back, and immediately seeks out a rear-naked choke. He grabs hold of the neck and will not let go, wrenching it with all his might until the Russian taps out.
Roberson becomes the first man to defeat Kopylov, and does so in style in front of a crowd that sits in stunned silence. Russian fighters are now 0-4 tonight against their foreign adversaries.
The Official Result
Karl Roberson def. Roman Kopylov R3 4:01 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 50 of 80 | 62% | 79 of 113 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 3 | 5:48 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 38 of 67 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 2 | 0 | 6:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 41 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:14 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 11 of 18 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 0:57 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 17 of 26 | 65% | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:54 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 12 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:40 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 15 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 50 of 80 | 62% | 35 of 64 | 11 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 40 | 8 of 8 | 27 of 32 |
| Wellington Turman | 25 of 51 | 49% | 20 of 42 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 12 of 18 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 23 of 38 | 60% | 17 of 31 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 20 |
| Wellington Turman | 9 of 16 | 56% | 8 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 17 of 26 | 65% | 13 of 22 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 6 |
| Wellington Turman | 8 of 21 | 38% | 5 of 16 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 7 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 10 of 16 | 62% | 5 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 |
| Wellington Turman | 8 of 14 | 57% | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glover Teixeira | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 20 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Karl Roberson | 1 | 24 of 30 | 80% | 29 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glover Teixeira | 0 | 6 of 11 | 54% | 20 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Karl Roberson | 1 | 24 of 30 | 80% | 29 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glover Teixeira | 6 of 11 | 54% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Karl Roberson | 24 of 30 | 80% | 22 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 21 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glover Teixeira | 6 of 11 | 54% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Karl Roberson | 24 of 30 | 80% | 22 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 21 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 0 | 34 of 71 | 47% | 90 of 135 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 5:06 |
| Jack Marshman | 0 | 21 of 98 | 21% | 30 of 108 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 15 of 32 | 46% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Jack Marshman | 0 | 13 of 52 | 25% | 16 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 35 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:15 |
| Jack Marshman | 0 | 8 of 31 | 25% | 10 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 40 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Jack Marshman | 0 | 0 of 15 | 0% | 4 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Roberson | 34 of 71 | 47% | 24 of 58 | 6 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 57 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 7 |
| Jack Marshman | 21 of 98 | 21% | 12 of 80 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 13 | 19 of 95 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Roberson | 15 of 32 | 46% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 25 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jack Marshman | 13 of 52 | 25% | 8 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 50 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karl Roberson | 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 of 18 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Jack Marshman | 8 of 31 | 25% | 4 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Karl Roberson | 11 of 19 | 57% | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 |
| Jack Marshman | 0 of 15 | 0% | 0 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Wellington Turman - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 37 of 57 | 64% | 46 of 73 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 53 of 83 | 63% | 62 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Gooden | 0 | 27 of 44 | 61% | 36 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 28 of 52 | 53% | 33 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jared Gooden | 0 | 10 of 13 | 76% | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 25 of 31 | 80% | 29 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Gooden | 37 of 57 | 64% | 27 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 8 | 32 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 |
| Wellington Turman | 53 of 83 | 63% | 33 of 59 | 14 of 18 | 6 of 6 | 43 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jared Gooden | 27 of 44 | 61% | 18 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 23 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
| Wellington Turman | 28 of 52 | 53% | 9 of 30 | 13 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jared Gooden | 10 of 13 | 76% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 25 of 31 | 80% | 24 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 |
Big Brady leans toward Jared Gooden as a dog, noting he doesn't think Wellington Turman should be such a big favorite. He favors Gooden's striking and power, and thinks Gooden's takedown defense is solid enough to stuff Turman's wrestling. He expects a close fight but picks Gooden by decision, though he's not confident enough to bet on it.
Cody picks Turman, agreeing that he mixes in takedowns and makes it ugly. He thinks Turman's size at welterweight helps his grappling. He notes Turman trains with top guys and this is a good matchup. He doesn't love the price but picks him.
Lucrative James picks Wellington Turman, stating that despite Turman's inconsistent fight IQ and chin issues, he has too many advantages to lose. He notes Turman's decent striking and grappling skills, and believes he can win by decision or submission. He acknowledges Jared Gooden's power but thinks Turman's overall game will prevail.
Turman is a BJJ black belt with improving striking, and he should be able to take Gooden down and dominate on the ground. Gooden is a power striker with a developing ground game, but he has shown weakness when taken down and has weight-cutting issues. Turman is expected to be competitive on the feet before changing levels and securing a submission victory.
Paul picks Turman, citing his youth, move to welterweight, and training with Glover Teixeira. He thinks Turman's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Gooden's takedown defense is poor and Turman can mix in wrestling. He doesn't love the price but thinks Turman wins more often than not.
The MMA Guru picks Wellington Turman, impressed by his striking improvements under Alex Pereira's tutelage. He notes Turman arguably beat Randy Brown in his last fight and believes he can replicate that performance against Jared Gooden. He sees Turman as the more improving fighter at 27 years old and expects him to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 0 | 64 of 134 | 47% | 78 of 156 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 55 of 105 | 52% | 96 of 153 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 0 | 31 of 69 | 44% | 31 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 28 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:21 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 42 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 19 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 28 of 46 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Brown | 64 of 134 | 47% | 21 of 85 | 17 of 23 | 26 of 26 | 53 of 121 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 55 of 105 | 52% | 19 of 60 | 10 of 14 | 26 of 31 | 43 of 90 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Randy Brown | 31 of 69 | 44% | 10 of 46 | 7 of 9 | 14 of 14 | 31 of 69 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 25 of 52 | 48% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 23 | 24 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Randy Brown | 15 of 30 | 50% | 3 of 17 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 20 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Randy Brown | 18 of 35 | 51% | 8 of 22 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 18 of 35 | 51% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is confident in Randy Brown, citing his length, power, takedown defense, and BJJ. He expects Brown to stay on the outside and jab, avoiding a ground game. He notes Wellington Turman's striking looked good in his last fight but doesn't think it will be enough against Brown's reach and skills.
Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing a significant striking advantage with a six-inch reach advantage. He notes Turman's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Andrew Sanchez. He acknowledges Turman's path to victory via wrestling but believes Brown's grappling is good enough to defend. He predicts a first-round knockout, especially if Turman has a bad weight cut.
Cody picks Brown, noting his speed and linear striking. He expects Turman to gas after the first round and Brown to take over. He mentions Turman's poor takedown accuracy and cardio issues.
Connor believes Randy Brown should win this fight easily. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Connor also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.
Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown, citing his length, skill, and experience. He notes Brown's occasional showboating and chin questions but thinks he is the more skilled fighter. He is not laying -220 due to Brown's inconsistency and Turman's danger, but picks Brown to win.
The host picks Randy Brown to win by decision. He believes Brown's slick striking and distance management will be too much for Turman, who struggles to close the distance and get takedowns. He notes Turman's grappling advantage is nullified if he can't get the fight to the ground, and expects Brown to pick him apart from range.
Paul picks Brown, citing his speed and reach advantage. He expects Brown to use his jab and movement to win a decision, though he notes Turman's strength and potential grappling. He considers live betting if Turman wins the first round.
The Guru picks Randy Brown, expressing concern about Wellington Turman moving down to welterweight. He believes Brown has a clear skill advantage on the feet and that Turman's weight cut will leave him vulnerable. He predicts Brown will pick Turman apart with knees and elbows in the clinch and finish by TKO in the second round after Turman fails takedown attempts.
Zane agrees that Randy Brown should win. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Zane also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Petroski | 0 | 42 of 96 | 43% | 58 of 119 | 8 of 11 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 7:59 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 41 of 86 | 47% | 71 of 118 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 25 of 63 | 39% | 26 of 64 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 33 of 67 | 49% | 36 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 16 of 29 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:23 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 24 of 33 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:32 | |
| 3 | Andre Petroski | 0 | 5 of 11 | 45% | 16 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:32 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Petroski | 42 of 96 | 43% | 32 of 83 | 9 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 32 of 78 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 15 |
| Wellington Turman | 41 of 86 | 47% | 22 of 54 | 12 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 38 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andre Petroski | 25 of 63 | 39% | 17 of 53 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 33 of 67 | 49% | 20 of 45 | 7 of 16 | 6 of 6 | 30 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Andre Petroski | 12 of 22 | 54% | 10 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 |
| Wellington Turman | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Andre Petroski | 5 of 11 | 45% | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 |
| Wellington Turman | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-195), Turman (+165)
Round 1
New Jersey’s Petroski has finished his first three fights in UFC competition, while Turman is riding the momentum of back-to-back wins over Misha Cirkunov and Sam Alvey. Keith Peterson will officiate the middleweight showdown. Turman lands a leg kick early. A straight right from Turman backs Petroski up. Petroski lands a leg kick of his own. Turman responds with a front kick to the body. Turman lands a glancing high kick, and Petroski answers with a left hook and a right hand that might’ve hurt Turman a little. Petroski is on the attack and he lands a jab. Turman lands a pair of solid kicks to the lead leg of his foe. A right hand over the top finds the mark for Petroski. Petroski with a body kick. Petroski shoots for a single leg and drives Turman to the fence, where he switches to a double and gets the Brazilian down. Petroski takes the back as Turman stands. Turman works to break the grip of his opponent, and Petroski takes the opportunity to land a right to the head. Turman turns and then escapes the position. Petroski blocks a high kick and the middleweights trade punches. Petroski backs up Turman with a right. Turman again goes with a high kick but it’s blocked. Turman jumps in with a knee. Turman is working the body know, blending in kicks and punches. Petroski shoots for a single leg, resets against the fence and gets Turman down before the horn. Turman lands some elbows to the head from his seat as time expires.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Round 2
Petroski lands a kick to the body. He sticks a jab into the mug of Turman. Turman with a right hand followed by a front kick to the midsection. Petroski lands a left to the body and shoots for a takedown behind it. He’s momentarily trapped in a guillotine but he escapes and winds up in side control. Turman regains half guard, then recovers full guard. Petroski jmps on Turman’s back as his opponent crawls toward the fence. He squeezes a neck crank but relinquishes the hold to return to top posiiton. Turman is able to stand and he goes back to working on Petroski’s body. That prompts Petroski to shoot. Turman can’t secure the guillotine but he assumes top position. Petroski explodes to his feet, but Turman maintains a rear body lock. Turman drags him down and Petroski pops up. Turman maintains the rear waist lock. He tries to lift Petroski up , but his opponent defends and reverses position. Petroski gets a takedown while trapping Turman’s arm behind him. He lets it go to take mount, then moves into Turman’s half guard. Turman tries to stay active with short punches from his back but they’re not doing much. Petroski ends the round with several hard elbows from half guard.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Round 3
Petroski changes levels and briefly gets Turman down near the fence. He maintains a body lock and slams Turman back down. Petroski locks in a guillotine during a scramble and he applies the squeeze while falling back. Petroski moves to full mount but relents on the choke. He drops punches and elbows from above, then floats on top as Turman attempts to scramble. Petroski is still in full mount, looking to frame an arm triangle. Turman recovers his half guard. Petroski is still heavy on top, applying shoulder pressure to Turman. Turman has regained full guard now. Petroski covers his foe’s mouth before dropping a right hand. More right hands for Petroski. Petroski takes the back as Turman attempts to stand. Turman is back to his feet, but Petroski picks him up and dumps him back on the mat. Petroski with some right hands under the armpit as Turman stands again. Petroski still has the body lock against the fence, and he dumps Turman on the canvas once more. Turman looks to frame a leg lock in the last 20 seconds, but Petroski escapes without issue. Petroski ends the fight in mount, pounding away with left hands.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Wellington Turman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00
Angelo believes Petroski has superior wrestling and solid BJJ, and expects him to get takedowns and avoid submissions. He notes that Turman is training with Glover and Pajeda, which is a positive, but still picks Petroski. He warns that Turman's armbar over Misha Cirkunov was impressive and any mistake could cost Petroski. He plans to bet on Petroski's takedown line when it drops.
Big Brady picks Wellington Turman to win by third-round submission, pulling off an upset. He is not sold on Andre Petroski, citing his poor cardio and weak competition (Yizong, Michael Gilmore, Nick Maximov). He notes Turman is a legit BJJ black belt with 85% takedown defense, and that Petroski tired and got submitted by Brian Battle. He believes Turman will survive early pressure and get a late finish as Petroski fades.
Cody picks Turman as a slight flyer, noting that Petroski has suspect cardio despite third-round finishes. He thinks Turman is a better striker and has good grappling off his back, and that if Petroski gasses, Turman can take over. Cody also mentions that Turman trains with Glover Teixeira and Alex Pereira, which should have him in good shape. He sees value in the underdog price.
Connor picks Turman, reasoning that Petroski's high-energy, submission-hunting style leads to gassing, and Turman has never been submitted despite looking panicked. He notes that Turman has survived against dangerous grapplers and has more left in the tank after the first round. Connor acknowledges that Petroski will likely win the first round but expects Turman to take over as the fight goes on.
Daniel Levi picks Andre Petroski, citing his wrestling background, grappling credentials (submitted Eric Anders in a tournament), and high-volume pressure. He notes that Turman has shown weaknesses in getting his back taken and losing rounds late (e.g., Sam Alvey fight). Levi believes Petroski will win the first two rounds or get a finish, though he acknowledges Petroski's tendency to gas. He sees Turman as a step up in competition but thinks Petroski's grappling will be too much.
The host sees Petroski as the slightly better Jiu-Jitsu player with a strength advantage, but the line at -200 is too wide for him to bet. He considers the under 2.5 rounds but worries both grapplers could neutralize each other, leading to a decision. He predicts Petroski by submission in round 2 but with low conviction.
Paul also picks Turman, citing recency bias in the line. He notes that Petroski was a +300 underdog against Nick Maximov and now is -200 after a first-round submission, which seems like an overreaction. Paul thinks Turman can match Petroski on the ground and has more technical striking. He sees it as a clear dog-or-pass situation and takes Turman.
The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski, citing his dominant performances and grappling wins over Eric Anders and Phil Hawes. He believes Petroski has advantages on both feet and ground, with good chain takedowns and submission awareness. He predicts a decision win, noting Turman's unimpressive split decision over Sam Alvey.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Turman. He notes that Petroski gasses but doesn't seem to know it, and his striking is not functional when tired. Zane points out that Turman has a history of surviving and finding ways to win, even if it's ugly. He also mentions that Petroski's path to victory is narrow, relying on an early finish.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 50 of 64 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 24 of 28 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 2:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 33 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 2:15 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 17 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 0 | 11 of 13 | 84% | 16 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 30 of 44 | 68% | 20 of 33 | 9 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 26 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 15 of 19 | 78% | 8 of 12 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 23 of 34 | 67% | 17 of 27 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 26 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 7 of 10 | 70% | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Misha Cirkunov | 11 of 13 | 84% | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Misha Cirkunov to win, likely by first-round TKO. He notes Cirkunov is much bigger with a five-inch reach advantage and has very good wrestling and grappling, having submitted legit light heavyweights. He criticizes Turman's striking defense and negative strike differential, and points out that Turman was outgrappled by Carl Roberson. Brady believes Cirkunov can win on the feet or on the mat, and sees Turman's path to victory as unlikely.
Cody picks Turman as an underdog, citing his youth (25), better cardio, and training at Glover Teixeira's gym. He notes Cirkunov's poor striking, declining chin, and inability to get takedowns against Giaco. Cody believes Turman's volume and durability will pay off as Cirkunov fades, and he plans to live-bet Turman if Cirkunov doesn't finish early.
Daniel Levi picks Wellington Turman to edge out a decision. He questions Misha Cirkunov's heart and notes he has folded in tough fights. Levi believes Turman is hungrier and more confident after his last win, and that Cirkunov's best days are behind him. He warns that Turman must avoid getting finished early but expects him to pull away down the stretch.
The host leans with Cirkunov, believing he will be stronger and craftier in grappling exchanges. He expects Cirkunov to land takedowns and assert top position, eventually finding a finish via submission or ground and pound. He notes both fighters have durability and fight IQ issues but favors Cirkunov's jiu-jitsu from the top. His favorite play is 'fight doesn't go to decision' at -190.
Paul leans toward Turman as an underdog, noting both fighters are chinny but Turman has better volume and striking. He parlayed the over 1.5 rounds in this fight with Gegard Mousasi at +128. Paul sees this as a competitive fight that could go either way, but Turman's cardio and youth give him an edge.
The MMA Guru picks Misha Cirkunov to win by arm-triangle submission in the second round. He believes Cirkunov's size, physicality, and strong grappling will be too much for Wellington Turman, who has been taken down and finished by lesser grapplers. He notes that Turman has been KO'd multiple times and that Cirkunov's experience and strength will tip the grappling exchanges in his favor. The Guru expects a close fight on the feet but sees Cirkunov securing dominant positions and finishing with an arm triangle.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 68 of 122 | 55% | 114 of 169 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:54 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 69 of 119 | 57% | 75 of 126 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 42 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 13 of 16 | 81% | 17 of 20 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 26 of 44 | 59% | 32 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 24 of 44 | 54% | 24 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 34 of 58 | 58% | 40 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
| Sam Alvey | 0 | 32 of 59 | 54% | 34 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 68 of 122 | 55% | 55 of 105 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 58 of 112 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 69 of 119 | 57% | 36 of 77 | 19 of 27 | 14 of 15 | 63 of 113 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 13 of 16 | 81% | 4 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 26 of 44 | 59% | 17 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 39 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 24 of 44 | 54% | 12 of 29 | 5 of 8 | 7 of 7 | 24 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 34 of 58 | 58% | 30 of 52 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Sam Alvey | 32 of 59 | 54% | 20 of 41 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 29 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Turman, citing his BJJ black belt, slick ground game, and clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes training feedback from Dan Cramer that Turman feels good. He acknowledges Alvey's deceptive power but believes Turman will get the submission.
Cody picks Alvey as a dog, citing his strong takedown defense and power. He notes that Turman has poor takedown accuracy and tends to lose position on the ground. Cody thinks Alvey's veteran savvy and ability to fight 15 minutes will pay off. He is concerned about Alvey's recent losing streak but believes the style matchup favors him.
Jacob picks Turman but is hesitant, noting Turman was knocked out cold two months ago and may be hesitant. He agrees the UFC is feeding Alvey to Turman, but warns Alvey is tough and could win if he eats shots. He stayed away from betting.
Lock picks Alvey by KO at +300, believing Alvey's power and durability will be too much for Turman. He notes Turman has shown poor durability, getting knocked out by Andrew Sanchez and Bruno Silva. Lock thinks Alvey's takedown defense and clinch strength will keep the fight standing, where he can land a big shot. He expects Alvey to win minutes only by knockout, not decision.
Paul picks Alvey, surprised himself but noting that Turman is the exact type of fighter Alvey can beat. He highlights Alvey's takedown defense and left hand power. Paul thinks Turman's grappling is overrated and that he tires easily. He expects Alvey to win by knockout or decision.
The Guru picks Sam Alvey as an underdog, questioning Wellington Turman's chin after two consecutive KO losses and his quick return. He believes Alvey's toughness, cardio, and grappling awareness will allow him to outlast Turman and win a unanimous decision. The Guru dismisses Turman's grappling threat and expects Alvey to display veteran savvy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12 of 12 | 0 of 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 28 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 12 of 12 | 0 of 10 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 28 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Silva | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 19 of 26 | 73% | 18 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 24 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bruno Silva | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wellington Turman | 19 of 26 | 73% | 18 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 24 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The overused adage of “classic striker vs. grappler” matchup rings true for this middleweight contest, as Turman (16-4, 1-2 UFC) welcomes former M-1 champ Silva (19-6, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon. Not to be confused with Bruno “Bulldog” Silva who competes in the UFC at flyweight, this Brazilian goes by “Blindado” and he sports a knockout rate of 84 percent. The touch of gloves comes before referee Chris Tognoni, and the fight is underway. The two tentatively strike out of the gate, but Turman is much more interesting in grappling as he hunts for a takedown. Silva defends with a clear fence grab, and then another, leading Tognoni to call him on it. Turman kicks off the fence, lifts the newcomer in the air and slams him down. Silva springs back up and turns the tide, even taking Turman’s back standing up. Turman defends this with a fence grab, and he utilizes a kimura to toss Silva down for a moment. When “Blindado” gets back up, Turman lifts him up and slams him down, nearly on his head. Silva is already back to a knee, and Turman looks to take his back. Once more, Turman kicks from the cage to put Silva down, and Silva pops back up. Turman hops on to serve as a backpack, where Silva is standing up leaning on the fence and Turman is fishing for a submission. The fence grab clearly the most significant tool of the evening, Silva gets away with two more when he tries to turn around and break the grip of Turman. The grappler looks to cinch up an armbar when he slides off, as Silva shimmies him off by getting out the back door. Silva climbs into his foe’s full guard, and he starts smashing his fists into Turman’s face with ferocious ground-and-pound. Turman’s head bounces off the canvas several times, but Turman keeps the wherewithal to pull for an armbar. When Silva escapes this, Turman lands an illegal upkick right on Silva’s chin. Silva ignores it and continues his assault of ground punches.
In full guard, “Blindado” blinds Turman with a barrage of punches, and as they mount, Turman goes out cold. Tognoni sees Turman’s eyes roll back and he is able to stop the fight right in time, as Silva’s left hands from on top were lethal weapons.
That is 17 knockouts in 20 wins for Silva, who announces his presence in a big way to the UFC two years after intended – Silva tested positive for boldenone before making his debut, delaying him until now. Either way, this is a statement win by recording a clean knockout from the guard position.
The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Wellington Turman R1 4:45 via KO (Punches)
Angelo picks Bruno Silva, citing his knockout power and clinch work. He acknowledges the layoff and PED suspension as question marks. He thinks Silva can catch Turman early, but is not confident enough to bet straight. He bet on Turman by submission at +500 and under 2.5 rounds, hedging both sides.
Big Brady sees this as a 50/50 fight. He notes Silva has many submission losses and poor grappling, while Turman is a BJJ black belt. He thinks Turman will get takedowns and submit Silva, but acknowledges Silva could knock him out early.
Cody picks Silva, emphasizing Silva's knockout power and proven ability as a sizable underdog in Russia. He notes Silva's cardio issues and two-year layoff but believes his power and pressure will overwhelm Turman, who has suspect chin and wrestling. Cody suggests Silva by KO is a solid play.
Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva in his long-awaited UFC debut, but with hesitation due to the two-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes that Silva looked impressive in his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov, and that he has improved his get-up game and durability. However, he worries about Silva gassing out or giving up bad positions if he comes in too emotional. He expects a knockout if Silva is the same fighter.
Jacob picks Wellington Turman, citing his BJJ and body lock takedowns. He thinks Turman will take Silva down and submit him, noting Silva's losses by submission. He is concerned about Silva's power but believes Turman's grappling will prevail. He does not have either in his lineup.
The host picks Wellington Turman, citing his grappling ability and the uncertainty around Bruno Silva coming off a USADA suspension. He believes Turman can get the fight to the ground and nullify Silva's power. He notes Silva's sketchy takedown defense and that Turman is a solid grappler. He predicts a decision win for Turman, but also sees a submission as live given Silva has been tapped before. He acknowledges Turman's recent KO loss but thinks his chin will hold up.
Paul picks Silva, noting his power and the fact that he was a plus 145 underdog initially. He mentions Silva's cardio and layoff as red flags but believes his power is a difference-maker. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Silva by KO props.
The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round KO. He expects Silva to have nervous energy and blitz Turman early, landing a KO blow. He notes Turman's recent first-round KO loss and Silva's KO power. He also mentions Turman showed up with gyno, which he finds notable. He predicts a brutal KO in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 1 | 28 of 55 | 50% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 1 | 28 of 55 | 50% | 40 of 68 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sanchez | 28 of 55 | 50% | 23 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Wellington Turman | 21 of 51 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Sanchez | 28 of 55 | 50% | 23 of 48 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Wellington Turman | 21 of 51 | 41% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Sanchez as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedown defense will neutralize Turman's ground game. He notes Sanchez's higher striking volume and experience. He predicts a decision win for Sanchez.
Daniel Levi leans with Wellington Turman, but acknowledges it could go either way. He notes that Turman is young, hungry, and has shown improvement, while Sanchez has questions about his chin and cardio. Levi believes Turman's aggression and youth might edge out a split decision, but he is not confident due to Sanchez's wrestling and durability.
Sanchez's wrestling should be able to take Turman down and control him, as Turman's takedown defense is not as strong as Marvin Vettori's. Sanchez showed improved cardio in his last fight, but his past cardio issues are a concern. He should avoid submissions from Turman and grind out a decision, though the third round could be dangerous if he gasses.
The MMA Guru picks Andrew Sanchez in a tough 50/50 fight. He notes that Wellington Turman hasn't done anything dominantly, while Sanchez has beaten decent opponents and is the bigger guy with a reach advantage. He expects Sanchez to wear Turman down over three rounds and win a unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 0 | 49 of 96 | 51% | 56 of 103 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 48 of 120 | 40% | 59 of 132 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 6:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 13 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 9 of 35 | 25% | 9 of 35 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 18 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 23 of 48 | 47% | 28 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:40 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 25 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Markus Perez | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 22 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Turman | 49 of 96 | 51% | 33 of 72 | 13 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 67 | 21 of 26 | 2 of 3 |
| Markus Perez | 48 of 120 | 40% | 35 of 103 | 8 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 91 | 19 of 21 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Turman | 12 of 29 | 41% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Markus Perez | 9 of 35 | 25% | 5 of 29 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Wellington Turman | 15 of 31 | 48% | 10 of 24 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 23 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 1 |
| Markus Perez | 23 of 48 | 47% | 15 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 34 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Wellington Turman | 22 of 36 | 61% | 16 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 22 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 2 |
| Markus Perez | 16 of 37 | 43% | 15 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 7 |
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