UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 35
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 29
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Karl Roberson
2.57 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
2.42 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.72 TD Avg
40.0% TD Acc.
40.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Wellington Turman
3.23 SLpM
51.0% Str. Acc.
4.17 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
1.55 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
42.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Karl Roberson - Fight History
TKO (elbows) R3 2:19 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Jul 09, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 20 of 43 46% 64 of 114 5 of 7 71% 1 0 10:46
Karl Roberson 0 9 of 19 47% 16 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 3 of 8 37% 9 of 17 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:16
Karl Roberson 0 1 of 2 50% 8 of 9 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 2 of 7 28% 39 of 66 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:41
Karl Roberson 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Kennedy Nzechukwu 0 15 of 28 53% 16 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:49
Karl Roberson 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kennedy Nzechukwu 20 of 43 46% 18 of 37 2 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 22 0 of 0 17 of 21
Karl Roberson 9 of 19 47% 4 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kennedy Nzechukwu 3 of 8 37% 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 3 of 3
Karl Roberson 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kennedy Nzechukwu 2 of 7 28% 1 of 4 1 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 6 of 10 60% 4 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Kennedy Nzechukwu 15 of 28 53% 15 of 26 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 10 0 of 0 14 of 18
Karl Roberson 2 of 7 28% 0 of 4 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 3, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Angelo picks Karl Roberson despite Kennedy Nzechukwu's power and reach. He notes Roberson is the better all-around fighter with solid game planning and takedowns against strikers. He worries about Roberson's knockout loss to Khalil Rountree but believes Roberson's clean technique and solid game planning will get it done. He acknowledges Kennedy will be dangerous the entire 15 minutes.

"I think roberson gets it done with clean technique and solid game planning."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 5, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Big Brady picks Kennedy Nzechukwu primarily due to his significant size advantage (4-inch height, 9-inch reach) and superior cardio. He notes that Kennedy is still green and inconsistent, but Karl Roberson's low output, inconsistency, and three-fight skid make him hard to trust. Brady acknowledges that Roberson is more skilled but believes Kennedy's physical attributes and cardio will allow him to do more over three rounds. He expresses low confidence, calling it a borderline '100 gambler fight' and says he won't bet it.

"if i had to make a pick give me kennedy for the size for the cardio for the physical attributes but i don't know if the skills there"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

Cody picks Nzechukwu but with low confidence. He notes Nzechukwu has a huge reach advantage but doesn't use it well, and his fights are often sloppy. He thinks Roberson has better kickboxing but terrible ring IQ. He sees this as a low-level fight where either could win.

Mentions Nzechukwu over 47.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks.
"i'll take kennedy and jukwu as my pick will not be betting that whatsoever i think over 47 and a half significant strikes for him is very low though"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Jul 9, 2022 (fight day)

The host discusses this fight but does not place a bet. He acknowledges that Roberson is technically the better striker and could win if he grapples, but he does not trust Roberson's fight IQ. He mentions that Roberson could win by decision or submission but ultimately does not pull the trigger.

"I like Roberson tonight ... if he grapples he is technically the better Striker so if he just LED kicks his way to Victory that's absolutely possible I'm just not trusting you man his only qualm is his fight IQ"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 6, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Paul picks Roberson as a dog, noting his striking is more refined and he has better kickboxing. He thinks Roberson's durability could hold up and he might mix in takedowns. However, he's not confident due to Roberson's poor decision-making.

"i would say if carl robertson's gonna be able to get to the money i think he's a little more refined i need his durability to stand out to hold up a little bit and then you know mix in …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Kennedy Nzechukwu

The Guru picks Kennedy Nzechukwu due to his massive size and reach advantage (9-inch reach). He believes Nzechukwu should have won his last fight and that Roberson lacks power at range. He worries about Nzechukwu's chin but notes Roberson doesn't take punches well either. He predicts a 29-28 decision win at range.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to be going with Kennedy Nzechukwu here, way bigger, way longer."
TKO (body kick and punches) R2 0:25 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khalil Rountree Jr. 2 26 of 69 37% 26 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karl Roberson 0 17 of 28 60% 17 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 18 of 54 33% 18 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karl Roberson 0 17 of 27 62% 17 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 2 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Karl Roberson 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khalil Rountree Jr. 26 of 69 37% 16 of 53 5 of 9 5 of 7 17 of 55 5 of 7 4 of 7
Karl Roberson 17 of 28 60% 4 of 10 6 of 9 7 of 9 16 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khalil Rountree Jr. 18 of 54 33% 10 of 41 3 of 6 5 of 7 14 of 48 4 of 6 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 17 of 27 62% 4 of 9 6 of 9 7 of 9 16 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Khalil Rountree Jr. 8 of 15 53% 6 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 4 of 7
Karl Roberson 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Angelo gives a slight edge to Karl Roberson because he believes Roberson can hang in the striking and has a clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes that the skill gap on the ground is wider than on the feet, favoring Roberson. However, he acknowledges that Khalil Rountree is a very good striker and could knock Roberson out at any moment.

"i am giving the slight edge to roberson here because i think he can hang in the striking and there is a clear path to victory him for him with the takedowns"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Big Brady picks Karl Roberson to win by third-round submission. He notes Roberson has never been knocked out and has underrated grappling, despite being submitted by elite grapplers. He points out that Rountree has zero takedowns in 11 UFC fights, so Roberson will likely keep the fight standing where he is the better striker. He also thinks Roberson can mix in takedowns and submit Rountree, who has poor takedown defense (50%). He expects Roberson to out-strike Rountree for two rounds then get a submission in the third.

third round submission
"i'm gonna say he wins this fight by like a third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Cody leans Rountree, citing his durability, power, and pressure. He notes Roberson's ground game is weak but Rountree won't exploit it. He sees it as a striking battle where Rountree's forward pressure and power give him the edge.

"i just think i'm going to go with durability towards khalil roundtree power towards kill roundtree"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

Daniel Levi leans with Khalil Rountree Jr., citing his speed advantage and the fact that when Rountree is mentally on and there's no takedown threat, he can be a serious problem. He notes that both fighters have been flaky and can't be fully trusted, but Rountree's speed gives him the edge. Levi acknowledges that Karl Roberson might be tougher but thinks Rountree's speed is the difference.

"i'm going to lean with khalil roundtree with the speed advantage here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Karl Roberson

Roberson is seen as the more technical striker with a better overall MMA game, including grappling and clinch work. He can nullify Rountree's early power and then chip away with kicks and takedowns. Rountree has been inconsistent, with losses to Prachnio and Cutelaba. Roberson is expected to win via decision, using a grapple-heavy game plan.

Decision line for Roberson at plus 300 is mentioned as intriguing; submission line also noted.
"I think Roberson is the side here. I'm not 100% sold on him yet though, but I do think he is the side."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)

Paul has no clear pick, calling it a dogger pass. He notes both fighters have moments but he doesn't trust either. He mentions Rountree's inconsistency and Roberson's cancellations.

"this one's more of a dogger pass to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr. over Karl Roberson, expecting a stand-up contest. He believes Rountree has a big advantage on the feet and will pull the trigger more than in his last fight. He predicts a KO in round two, as Rountree lands powerful shots and gains respect. He notes that Roberson has shown some grappling ability but doesn't think it will be enough to stop Rountree.

KO round 2
"i'm going to go with khalil roundtree here i think he's big enough strong enough to stop the grappling of carl roberson"
LOSS vs Brendan Allen
Submission (ankle lock) R1 4:55 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brendan Allen 0 6 of 14 42% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karl Roberson 0 9 of 16 56% 15 of 22 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brendan Allen 0 6 of 14 42% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Karl Roberson 0 9 of 16 56% 15 of 22 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brendan Allen 6 of 14 42% 5 of 11 0 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brendan Allen 6 of 14 42% 5 of 11 0 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 4 9 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendan Allen vs. Karl Roberson

Round 1
An all-action middleweight contest is next, as two thrillers that prefer to finish their foes lock horns, when Allen (15-4, 3-1 UFC) looks to pacify “Baby K” Roberson (9-3, 4-3 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this battle is referee Dan Miragliotta, and the two decide to touch gloves before trying to take the other’s head off. Allen quickly lets loose a head kick as soon as he retracts the touch, and Roberson is barely able to block it in time. Both men start trading, and both hurt the other with massive shots. Roberson gets off a body kick, and a left hand just misses the target as Allen dances out of the way to score a right. Allen fires off several kicks to the body and legs, and he clips “Baby K” with a right and a left chained into a head kick. “All In” uses his forward momentum to clinch up, where he hits a trip and puts Roberson on his back emphatically. Allen has some damage on the corner of his right eye, but he does not appear bothered by it as he crushes Roberson down in half guard. Roberson is stuck with his neck against the fence, and Allen reaches a little too far to pursue a straight armbar or kimura. Allen nearly falls off, but he readjusts himself and steps into mount, with the so-called “Dagestani handcuff” trapping Roberson’s legs while he can wail on Roberson’s face. Allen tries to pull Roberson’s legs out as he steps over toe the side, and Roberson bursts to his feet only to quickly be thrown back down to the ground. Allen in half guard squeezes with his shoulder, and Roberson can do little but hold on tight to stop the offense from coming. Allen smothers with his top pressure even though he does not land anything of note, but he does grind his elbow on Roberson’s face.
“Baby K” bucks like a bronco into a leglock from his back, and Allen defends in the 50/50 guard with his own heel hook attempt at the same time. Roberson is suddenly in big trouble, as Allen hooks the ankle underneath his armpit. “All In” torques it with seconds to spare, and Roberson grimaces in pain and taps out so his knee and ankle do not get shredded.
That is now submission number nine for Allen, who elicits this rare and elusive ankle-based tapout in impressive fashion.

The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Karl Roberson R1 4:55 via Submission (Ankle Lock)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Big Brady picks Allen to win by first-round submission, but is hesitant because Allen often fails to implement his wrestling game plan. He notes Allen's striking defense is poor and he was knocked out by Strickland when he didn't wrestle. However, Roberson's weakness is takedown defense and ground game, and Allen is a good submission artist. He hopes Allen learned from his last loss.

Allen by submission in round 1
"i'm gonna say brendan allen wins by submission in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Cody leans toward Allen but is not confident, noting Allen's grappling skills and Roberson's weakness against wrestlers. He worries about Allen's cardio and tendency to stand and strike. He thinks Allen must take Roberson down early to win, and if he doesn't, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds (-145)
"if he goes in with a wrestling heavy approach grappling heavy approach he's still only 25. if he can get that cardio in check and can k take this guy down he'll have a lot of success"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Brendan Allen

Daniel picks Brendan Allen, expecting him to take Roberson down and submit him. He notes Roberson has been choked out three times in the UFC and that Allen's striking has improved. He hopes Allen's fight IQ is on point and predicts a first-round submission.

first round submission
"i'm gonna go with brennan allen to get it done i hope that um his iq is on point saturday night because i know if it is it's gonna be a first round submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Karl Roberson

I'm going the opposite way on this one. I think Roberson keeps the fight on the feet and uses his leg kicks to set up a knockout. Allen's takedown accuracy is only 37%, and Roberson has decent takedown defense. If Roberson can stuff the takedowns, he has the striking advantage. I like Roberson by KO at +335, but we need to wait for weigh-ins to see if he makes weight.

Roberson by KO +335
"i'm gonna go the opposite side i think robertson manages to keep this fight on the feet and plus 335 for roberson by k.o ooh that looks nice to me"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

Paul picks Allen but is hesitant, citing Allen's grappling advantage and Roberson's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Allen's cardio issues and tendency to tire if he doesn't get an early finish. He thinks Allen needs to use a wrestling-heavy approach to win, and if he stands with Roberson, he could get knocked out. He also likes the over 1.5 rounds.

Over 1.5 rounds (-145)
"i think i'm gonna go out and i think i'm looking at that over one and a half at minus 145"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Brendan Allen

The MMA Guru picks Brendan Allen by second-round rear-naked choke. He notes that Allen has good submissions and has submitted Kevin Holland, while Roberson has been taken down and submitted quickly in recent fights. He expects Allen to grapple his way to a win after some stand-up exchanges.

submission in second round
"i'm going to go with brendan allen here"
LOSS vs Marvin Vettori
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:17 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Karl Roberson 0 45 of 64 70% 60 of 79 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Karl Roberson 0 45 of 64 70% 60 of 79 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 45 of 64 70% 45 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 43 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 4 of 16 25% 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Karl Roberson 45 of 64 70% 45 of 64 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 12 0 of 0 43 of 52
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Marvin Vettori

Daniel Levi leans towards Marvin Vettori, citing his improved boxing, tough chin, and well-rounded game including clinch and jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Karl Roberson's potential, knockout threat, and improving jiu-jitsu, but believes Vettori is the better overall fighter. Levi notes the line may be inflated due to the hotel incident and considers it a dog-or-pass situation, but still favors Vettori by tough decision.

line inflated due to TMZ footage; dog-or-pass situation
"I'm gonna go with Marvin again by a tough a tough decision but man from a betting perspective I do think the lines a little a little I don't want to say disrespectful because I do think Vittorio's the better …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Marvin Vettori

The MMA Guru picks Marvin Vettori, noting that Karl Roberson botched a weight cut recently and was in critical condition, which increases Vettori's chances. He highlights Vettori's forward pressure and combination punching, while Roberson struggles moving backwards. He predicts Vettori will get a TKO finish in the third round.

Vettori wins by TKO in round 3
"Marvin vitória is gonna get the job done. I believe he's gonna keep a level head in the fight."
WIN vs Roman Kopylov
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:01 · UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar · Nov 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karl Roberson 0 37 of 95 38% 38 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Roman Kopylov 0 43 of 117 36% 43 of 117 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karl Roberson 0 12 of 28 42% 12 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Roman Kopylov 0 9 of 38 23% 9 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Karl Roberson 0 11 of 30 36% 11 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Roman Kopylov 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karl Roberson 0 14 of 37 37% 15 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Roman Kopylov 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karl Roberson 37 of 95 38% 19 of 72 15 of 20 3 of 3 37 of 95 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 43 of 117 36% 14 of 77 3 of 10 26 of 30 41 of 115 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karl Roberson 12 of 28 42% 5 of 17 4 of 8 3 of 3 12 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 9 of 38 23% 3 of 29 1 of 4 5 of 5 8 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Karl Roberson 11 of 30 36% 4 of 23 7 of 7 0 of 0 11 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 18 of 41 43% 2 of 21 1 of 3 15 of 17 18 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Karl Roberson 14 of 37 37% 10 of 32 4 of 5 0 of 0 14 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roman Kopylov 16 of 38 42% 9 of 27 1 of 3 6 of 8 15 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Karl Roberson vs. Roman Kopylov

Round 1
Moving right along, Roberson (8-2, 3-2 UFC) welcomes undefeated knockout artist Kopylov (8-0, 0-0 UFC) to the organization in a big way at middleweight. Serving as the referee for this bout will be Vyacheslav Kiselev. A touch of gloves in sporting fashion begins the fight, and Kopylov quickly opens with a few looping punches that fall short. Roberson responds with a few that are shy of the mark as well, so Kopylov aims for a kick instead. The American presses forward and lands a low kick, so Kopylov fires with a one-two up top that makes Roberson readjust his position. Trading jabs back and forth, Roberson looks to set up a big left hand, but Kopylov keeps moving and working the body to stay away from that prospective power punch. Roberson lands a few more heavy leg kicks, and then barely misses with one up high. Roberson stalks down Kopylov, and then flips up another head kick that glances off the shoulder of his opponent. Kopylov backs off and bounces off the cage a few times to find his place in the cage, and dodges some punches that fly from Roberson. Kopylov fires a head kick up that gets blocked, but follows with a quick short left that catches Roberson right on the jaw, much to the delight of the crowd -- they have not had much to cheer for so far. As Kopylov tries to dig to the body, Roberson wings a big left hand and a body kick. The Russian plants a one-two right on the jaw of his opponent, and backs away before the counters come in his direction. Kopylov just misses with a spinning back kick, so Roberson throws up a kick that almost appears to be an axe kick, leading to a clinch and the end of this razor-close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Roberson

Round 2
Once more the two men touch gloves, and trade leather immediately. Both score effectively and wear it well, but it is Roberson that is advancing and pressing forward. A straight punch to the body leads to a response from Roberson in the form of a hard leg kick, and then another. Kopylov stings Roberson with a left hand, and the crowd chants for him, but Roberson scores a heavy leg kick that makes Kopylov's knee buckle slightly. One more lands and makes Kopylov duck away, so Roberson chases after him with a head kick and falls over in the process. Kopylov allows him to get up and they touch gloves, so Roberson goes to the inside of Kopylov's lead leg. Another low kick finds its home from Roberson, and by throwing another, Kopylov's movement seems slightly hampered. Kopylov sits down on a left straight, but it does not have the same pop on it after the American lands yet another hard leg kick. The continued leg kicks are bothering Kopylov, so Roberson smartly continues to pursue it. Roberson whips another leg kick and Kopylov does not check it but actually reaches for it, and grimaces as he absorbs it. "Baby K" then launches a head kick and Kopylov is barely able to block it in time, so Roberson then pursues that lead leg some more. The leg is turning into hamburger, as these leg kicks are hard and loud. Roberson turns his hips into a leg kick and Kopylov fully takes the brunt of it, causing him to limp off. Kopylov tries to fire back at him, but he cannot plant on that lead leg, so Roberson goes after it once more to end the round dramatically.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Roberson
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Roberson

Round 3
Unsurprisingly, within five seconds of the last round, Roberson throws a low kick. Kopylov attempts to come back at him and catches Roberson coming in, but the Russian instead pursues a takedown that Roberson shucks off. Sensing he might be down on the scorecards, Kopylov turns up the pace and starts throwing big shots at Roberson, much to the delight of the home fans. Roberson stays largely out of harm's way, but shoots in for his own takedown, and cannot land it. The American backs away and digs to that lead leg again, forcing Kopylov to try to respond by throwing a looping hook that nearly makes him topple over. A striking exchange dings up the nose of Kopylov, who then absorbs an inside leg kick as Roberson jumps in and out. Kopylov stretches his left arm out and jabs his pointer finger directly into the eye of Roberson, and that is a nasty poke as Roberson falls over. That eye starts bleeding, and the doctor is taking a hard look at it. Roberson is calling for the fight to continue, and there is a lot of blood coming from a cut on the eyelid. Kiselev takes a point from Kopylov, but the action resumes. Now confident he is behind in the fight, Kopylov throws everything he has at Roberson by winging combinations with wild kicks and punches. Roberson eats some strikes but aims directly at that lead leg with a few more kicks, causing Kopylov to retreat. Roberson chases him down and clinches up, muscling the Russian to the ground.
Roberson takes his opponent's back, and immediately seeks out a rear-naked choke. He grabs hold of the neck and will not let go, wrenching it with all his might until the Russian taps out.
Roberson becomes the first man to defeat Kopylov, and does so in style in front of a crowd that sits in stunned silence. Russian fighters are now 0-4 tonight against their foreign adversaries.

The Official Result
Karl Roberson def. Roman Kopylov R3 4:01 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karl Roberson 0 50 of 80 62% 79 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 3 5:48
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 51 49% 38 of 67 4 of 7 57% 2 0 6:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karl Roberson 0 23 of 38 60% 41 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:14
Wellington Turman 0 9 of 16 56% 11 of 18 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:57
2 Karl Roberson 0 17 of 26 65% 25 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:54
Wellington Turman 0 8 of 21 38% 12 of 27 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:14
3 Karl Roberson 0 10 of 16 62% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Wellington Turman 0 8 of 14 57% 15 of 22 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karl Roberson 50 of 80 62% 35 of 64 11 of 12 4 of 4 15 of 40 8 of 8 27 of 32
Wellington Turman 25 of 51 49% 20 of 42 5 of 8 0 of 1 8 of 27 5 of 6 12 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karl Roberson 23 of 38 60% 17 of 31 4 of 5 2 of 2 7 of 18 0 of 0 16 of 20
Wellington Turman 9 of 16 56% 8 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Karl Roberson 17 of 26 65% 13 of 22 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 13 7 of 7 5 of 6
Wellington Turman 8 of 21 38% 5 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 8 5 of 6 3 of 7
3 Karl Roberson 10 of 16 62% 5 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 3 of 9 1 of 1 6 of 6
Wellington Turman 8 of 14 57% 7 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 8
LOSS vs Glover Teixeira
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 11 54% 20 of 26 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:46
Karl Roberson 1 24 of 30 80% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 11 54% 20 of 26 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:46
Karl Roberson 1 24 of 30 80% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8
Karl Roberson 24 of 30 80% 22 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 6 of 6 17 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8
Karl Roberson 24 of 30 80% 22 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 6 of 6 17 of 21
WIN vs Jack Marshman
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · Nov 03, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karl Roberson 0 34 of 71 47% 90 of 135 2 of 3 66% 0 0 5:06
Jack Marshman 0 21 of 98 21% 30 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karl Roberson 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
Jack Marshman 0 13 of 52 25% 16 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Karl Roberson 0 8 of 20 40% 35 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:15
Jack Marshman 0 8 of 31 25% 10 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Karl Roberson 0 11 of 19 57% 40 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:33
Jack Marshman 0 0 of 15 0% 4 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karl Roberson 34 of 71 47% 24 of 58 6 of 8 4 of 5 24 of 57 5 of 7 5 of 7
Jack Marshman 21 of 98 21% 12 of 80 3 of 5 6 of 13 19 of 95 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karl Roberson 15 of 32 46% 6 of 23 6 of 6 3 of 3 10 of 25 5 of 7 0 of 0
Jack Marshman 13 of 52 25% 8 of 42 2 of 2 3 of 8 11 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Karl Roberson 8 of 20 40% 8 of 18 0 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jack Marshman 8 of 31 25% 4 of 25 1 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 30 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Karl Roberson 11 of 19 57% 10 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 2 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 6
Jack Marshman 0 of 15 0% 0 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman - Fight History
LOSS vs Jared Gooden
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:11 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jared Gooden 0 37 of 57 64% 46 of 73 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 53 of 83 63% 62 of 95 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jared Gooden 0 27 of 44 61% 36 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:40
Wellington Turman 0 28 of 52 53% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jared Gooden 0 10 of 13 76% 10 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 31 80% 29 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jared Gooden 37 of 57 64% 27 of 47 2 of 2 8 of 8 32 of 49 2 of 2 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 53 of 83 63% 33 of 59 14 of 18 6 of 6 43 of 72 1 of 1 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jared Gooden 27 of 44 61% 18 of 35 2 of 2 7 of 7 23 of 37 1 of 1 3 of 6
Wellington Turman 28 of 52 53% 9 of 30 13 of 16 6 of 6 28 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jared Gooden 10 of 13 76% 9 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1 9 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 31 80% 24 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 20 1 of 1 9 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Big Brady leans toward Jared Gooden as a dog, noting he doesn't think Wellington Turman should be such a big favorite. He favors Gooden's striking and power, and thinks Gooden's takedown defense is solid enough to stuff Turman's wrestling. He expects a close fight but picks Gooden by decision, though he's not confident enough to bet on it.

"I kind of lean the dog side there just because I don't feel like Wellington Turman should really be this big of a favorite against anybody"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman, agreeing that he mixes in takedowns and makes it ugly. He thinks Turman's size at welterweight helps his grappling. He notes Turman trains with top guys and this is a good matchup. He doesn't love the price but picks him.

"terman is the pick for me I think he mixes in the takedowns I think he makes it a little bit uglier"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Lucrative James picks Wellington Turman, stating that despite Turman's inconsistent fight IQ and chin issues, he has too many advantages to lose. He notes Turman's decent striking and grappling skills, and believes he can win by decision or submission. He acknowledges Jared Gooden's power but thinks Turman's overall game will prevail.

potential submission if fight goes to the mat
"overall I think Wellington terman has too many advantages to lose the fight consistently so I'm going with Wellington terman to get the win probably by decision potentially could get a submission if the fight gets to the mat"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Turman is a BJJ black belt with improving striking, and he should be able to take Gooden down and dominate on the ground. Gooden is a power striker with a developing ground game, but he has shown weakness when taken down and has weight-cutting issues. Turman is expected to be competitive on the feet before changing levels and securing a submission victory.

submission victory predicted
"I'm going to go Wellington tman here and I think he wins this fight like I said by submission"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul picks Turman, citing his youth, move to welterweight, and training with Glover Teixeira. He thinks Turman's grappling and takedowns will be the difference. He notes Gooden's takedown defense is poor and Turman can mix in wrestling. He doesn't love the price but thinks Turman wins more often than not.

"I think Wellington terman just mixes in Blends it in up together a little bit better and gets the win it's the minus 185 I don't like this price tag Paul I don't"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The MMA Guru picks Wellington Turman, impressed by his striking improvements under Alex Pereira's tutelage. He notes Turman arguably beat Randy Brown in his last fight and believes he can replicate that performance against Jared Gooden. He sees Turman as the more improving fighter at 27 years old and expects him to win.

"I'm going with Wellington Turman... in his last fight with Randy Brown he looked like Alex Pereira out there... I really like the improvements in his striking."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 64 of 134 47% 78 of 156 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:47
Wellington Turman 0 55 of 105 52% 96 of 153 0 of 5 0% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 31 of 69 44% 31 of 69 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Wellington Turman 0 25 of 52 48% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Randy Brown 0 15 of 30 50% 28 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:21
Wellington Turman 0 12 of 18 66% 42 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:17
3 Randy Brown 0 18 of 35 51% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Wellington Turman 0 18 of 35 51% 28 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 64 of 134 47% 21 of 85 17 of 23 26 of 26 53 of 121 11 of 13 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 55 of 105 52% 19 of 60 10 of 14 26 of 31 43 of 90 12 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 31 of 69 44% 10 of 46 7 of 9 14 of 14 31 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 25 of 52 48% 5 of 26 2 of 3 18 of 23 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 15 of 30 50% 3 of 17 3 of 4 9 of 9 5 of 20 10 of 10 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 12 of 18 66% 4 of 10 4 of 4 4 of 4 7 of 12 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 18 of 35 51% 8 of 22 7 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 18 of 35 51% 10 of 24 4 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 27 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo is confident in Randy Brown, citing his length, power, takedown defense, and BJJ. He expects Brown to stay on the outside and jab, avoiding a ground game. He notes Wellington Turman's striking looked good in his last fight but doesn't think it will be enough against Brown's reach and skills.

"Randy is one of my more confident picks here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Big Brady picks Randy Brown, citing a significant striking advantage with a six-inch reach advantage. He notes Turman's questionable chin, having been knocked out by Andrew Sanchez. He acknowledges Turman's path to victory via wrestling but believes Brown's grappling is good enough to defend. He predicts a first-round knockout, especially if Turman has a bad weight cut.

first round knockout
"I'm gonna say round knocks out willing to determine here I think it does it in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown, noting his speed and linear striking. He expects Turman to gas after the first round and Brown to take over. He mentions Turman's poor takedown accuracy and cardio issues.

"I think Randy Brown will be able to dance around this guy and tee off when need be."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Connor believes Randy Brown should win this fight easily. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Connor also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown, citing his length, skill, and experience. He notes Brown's occasional showboating and chin questions but thinks he is the more skilled fighter. He is not laying -220 due to Brown's inconsistency and Turman's danger, but picks Brown to win.

Pass on betting; picks Brown.
"I do think Randy Brown's the more skilled fighter so I am picking him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The host picks Randy Brown to win by decision. He believes Brown's slick striking and distance management will be too much for Turman, who struggles to close the distance and get takedowns. He notes Turman's grappling advantage is nullified if he can't get the fight to the ground, and expects Brown to pick him apart from range.

"give me Randy Brown to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Brown, citing his speed and reach advantage. He expects Brown to use his jab and movement to win a decision, though he notes Turman's strength and potential grappling. He considers live betting if Turman wins the first round.

Live betting considered.
"I'm gonna take him by decision but turman's also been ko'd a few times."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The Guru picks Randy Brown, expressing concern about Wellington Turman moving down to welterweight. He believes Brown has a clear skill advantage on the feet and that Turman's weight cut will leave him vulnerable. He predicts Brown will pick Turman apart with knees and elbows in the clinch and finish by TKO in the second round after Turman fails takedown attempts.

Predicts TKO in the second round.
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown getting a TKO here at some point in the second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Zane agrees that Randy Brown should win. He notes that Brown has limitations like poor kick defense and a tendency to throw one shot from range that puts him out of position, but Turman's game is entirely based on dogged toughness and cage wrestling. Turman's takedowns come from the cage, not open space, and Brown is a great clinch fighter and hard to take down against the cage. Zane also points out that Turman is dropping down a division and has a six-inch reach disadvantage, making Brown feel fast. He thinks there's a lot of room for error for Brown, meaning a lot of room for fun.

"I think there's just a lot of room for error. That's where Randy Brown and that means a lot of room for fun."
LOSS vs Andre Petroski
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andre Petroski 0 42 of 96 43% 58 of 119 8 of 11 72% 2 0 7:59
Wellington Turman 0 41 of 86 47% 71 of 118 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andre Petroski 0 25 of 63 39% 26 of 64 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:04
Wellington Turman 0 33 of 67 49% 36 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Andre Petroski 0 12 of 22 54% 16 of 29 2 of 3 66% 1 0 2:23
Wellington Turman 0 7 of 15 46% 24 of 33 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:32
3 Andre Petroski 0 5 of 11 45% 16 of 26 4 of 4 100% 1 0 4:32
Wellington Turman 0 1 of 4 25% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andre Petroski 42 of 96 43% 32 of 83 9 of 11 1 of 2 32 of 78 3 of 3 7 of 15
Wellington Turman 41 of 86 47% 22 of 54 12 of 23 7 of 9 38 of 82 0 of 1 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andre Petroski 25 of 63 39% 17 of 53 7 of 8 1 of 2 24 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 33 of 67 49% 20 of 45 7 of 16 6 of 6 30 of 63 0 of 1 3 of 3
2 Andre Petroski 12 of 22 54% 10 of 19 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 15 2 of 2 2 of 5
Wellington Turman 7 of 15 46% 1 of 8 5 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andre Petroski 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10
Wellington Turman 1 of 4 25% 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 2 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Andre Petroski vs. Wellington Turman
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Petroski (-195), Turman (+165)

Round 1
New Jersey’s Petroski has finished his first three fights in UFC competition, while Turman is riding the momentum of back-to-back wins over Misha Cirkunov and Sam Alvey. Keith Peterson will officiate the middleweight showdown. Turman lands a leg kick early. A straight right from Turman backs Petroski up. Petroski lands a leg kick of his own. Turman responds with a front kick to the body. Turman lands a glancing high kick, and Petroski answers with a left hook and a right hand that might’ve hurt Turman a little. Petroski is on the attack and he lands a jab. Turman lands a pair of solid kicks to the lead leg of his foe. A right hand over the top finds the mark for Petroski. Petroski with a body kick. Petroski shoots for a single leg and drives Turman to the fence, where he switches to a double and gets the Brazilian down. Petroski takes the back as Turman stands. Turman works to break the grip of his opponent, and Petroski takes the opportunity to land a right to the head. Turman turns and then escapes the position. Petroski blocks a high kick and the middleweights trade punches. Petroski backs up Turman with a right. Turman again goes with a high kick but it’s blocked. Turman jumps in with a knee. Turman is working the body know, blending in kicks and punches. Petroski shoots for a single leg, resets against the fence and gets Turman down before the horn. Turman lands some elbows to the head from his seat as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Turman
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Turman

Round 2
Petroski lands a kick to the body. He sticks a jab into the mug of Turman. Turman with a right hand followed by a front kick to the midsection. Petroski lands a left to the body and shoots for a takedown behind it. He’s momentarily trapped in a guillotine but he escapes and winds up in side control. Turman regains half guard, then recovers full guard. Petroski jmps on Turman’s back as his opponent crawls toward the fence. He squeezes a neck crank but relinquishes the hold to return to top posiiton. Turman is able to stand and he goes back to working on Petroski’s body. That prompts Petroski to shoot. Turman can’t secure the guillotine but he assumes top position. Petroski explodes to his feet, but Turman maintains a rear body lock. Turman drags him down and Petroski pops up. Turman maintains the rear waist lock. He tries to lift Petroski up , but his opponent defends and reverses position. Petroski gets a takedown while trapping Turman’s arm behind him. He lets it go to take mount, then moves into Turman’s half guard. Turman tries to stay active with short punches from his back but they’re not doing much. Petroski ends the round with several hard elbows from half guard.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski

Round 3
Petroski changes levels and briefly gets Turman down near the fence. He maintains a body lock and slams Turman back down. Petroski locks in a guillotine during a scramble and he applies the squeeze while falling back. Petroski moves to full mount but relents on the choke. He drops punches and elbows from above, then floats on top as Turman attempts to scramble. Petroski is still in full mount, looking to frame an arm triangle. Turman recovers his half guard. Petroski is still heavy on top, applying shoulder pressure to Turman. Turman has regained full guard now. Petroski covers his foe’s mouth before dropping a right hand. More right hands for Petroski. Petroski takes the back as Turman attempts to stand. Turman is back to his feet, but Petroski picks him up and dumps him back on the mat. Petroski with some right hands under the armpit as Turman stands again. Petroski still has the body lock against the fence, and he dumps Turman on the canvas once more. Turman looks to frame a leg lock in the last 20 seconds, but Petroski escapes without issue. Petroski ends the fight in mount, pounding away with left hands.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Petroski (29-28 Petroski)

The Official Result
Andre Petroski def. Wellington Turman via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Angelo believes Petroski has superior wrestling and solid BJJ, and expects him to get takedowns and avoid submissions. He notes that Turman is training with Glover and Pajeda, which is a positive, but still picks Petroski. He warns that Turman's armbar over Misha Cirkunov was impressive and any mistake could cost Petroski. He plans to bet on Petroski's takedown line when it drops.

takedown line on BetOnline
"I'm still gonna pick Andre here because his wrestling is absolutely better and his BJJ is solid"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady picks Wellington Turman to win by third-round submission, pulling off an upset. He is not sold on Andre Petroski, citing his poor cardio and weak competition (Yizong, Michael Gilmore, Nick Maximov). He notes Turman is a legit BJJ black belt with 85% takedown defense, and that Petroski tired and got submitted by Brian Battle. He believes Turman will survive early pressure and get a late finish as Petroski fades.

Turman by submission in round 3
"I'm actually gonna take the pretty big upset here with Wellington Turman"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman as a slight flyer, noting that Petroski has suspect cardio despite third-round finishes. He thinks Turman is a better striker and has good grappling off his back, and that if Petroski gasses, Turman can take over. Cody also mentions that Turman trains with Glover Teixeira and Alex Pereira, which should have him in good shape. He sees value in the underdog price.

"I'm gonna take a slight flyer here over on Wellington terminal."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Connor picks Turman, reasoning that Petroski's high-energy, submission-hunting style leads to gassing, and Turman has never been submitted despite looking panicked. He notes that Turman has survived against dangerous grapplers and has more left in the tank after the first round. Connor acknowledges that Petroski will likely win the first round but expects Turman to take over as the fight goes on.

"I think I'm going to pick Wellington Terman and she's just going to survive around a really devastating round and then he'll have more left in the tank."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Daniel Levi picks Andre Petroski, citing his wrestling background, grappling credentials (submitted Eric Anders in a tournament), and high-volume pressure. He notes that Turman has shown weaknesses in getting his back taken and losing rounds late (e.g., Sam Alvey fight). Levi believes Petroski will win the first two rounds or get a finish, though he acknowledges Petroski's tendency to gas. He sees Turman as a step up in competition but thinks Petroski's grappling will be too much.

"I think petrossi is going to come out here and win these first two rounds if not get it finished"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The host sees Petroski as the slightly better Jiu-Jitsu player with a strength advantage, but the line at -200 is too wide for him to bet. He considers the under 2.5 rounds but worries both grapplers could neutralize each other, leading to a decision. He predicts Petroski by submission in round 2 but with low conviction.

"I'll likely be staying away from this matchup but I do think the slightly better Jiu Jitsu player is petrovsky"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul also picks Turman, citing recency bias in the line. He notes that Petroski was a +300 underdog against Nick Maximov and now is -200 after a first-round submission, which seems like an overreaction. Paul thinks Turman can match Petroski on the ground and has more technical striking. He sees it as a clear dog-or-pass situation and takes Turman.

"I think it's a very very clear dog or pass situation here with Wellington Turman."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

The MMA Guru picks Andre Petroski, citing his dominant performances and grappling wins over Eric Anders and Phil Hawes. He believes Petroski has advantages on both feet and ground, with good chain takedowns and submission awareness. He predicts a decision win, noting Turman's unimpressive split decision over Sam Alvey.

"I went with Andre petrovski here over Wellington German"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Turman. He notes that Petroski gasses but doesn't seem to know it, and his striking is not functional when tired. Zane points out that Turman has a history of surviving and finding ways to win, even if it's ugly. He also mentions that Petroski's path to victory is narrow, relying on an early finish.

"I'll take Terman to, to, to have his worst fears realized and just sort of accidentally find himself in a winning position."
Submission (armbar) R2 1:29 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 30 of 44 68% 50 of 64 1 of 3 33% 1 0 3:04
Misha Cirkunov 0 15 of 19 78% 24 of 28 0 of 3 0% 2 0 2:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 23 of 34 67% 33 of 44 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:06
Misha Cirkunov 0 4 of 6 66% 8 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 0 2:15
2 Wellington Turman 0 7 of 10 70% 17 of 20 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:58
Misha Cirkunov 0 11 of 13 84% 16 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 30 of 44 68% 20 of 33 9 of 10 1 of 1 8 of 16 2 of 2 20 of 26
Misha Cirkunov 15 of 19 78% 8 of 12 6 of 6 1 of 1 8 of 12 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 23 of 34 67% 17 of 27 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 20 of 26
Misha Cirkunov 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 7 of 10 70% 3 of 6 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0
Misha Cirkunov 11 of 13 84% 5 of 7 6 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 6 7 of 7 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

Big Brady picks Misha Cirkunov to win, likely by first-round TKO. He notes Cirkunov is much bigger with a five-inch reach advantage and has very good wrestling and grappling, having submitted legit light heavyweights. He criticizes Turman's striking defense and negative strike differential, and points out that Turman was outgrappled by Carl Roberson. Brady believes Cirkunov can win on the feet or on the mat, and sees Turman's path to victory as unlikely.

Cirkunov by first-round TKO
"I like circanov here and i like him quite a bit um i just don't like tournament in this matchup"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Cody picks Turman as an underdog, citing his youth (25), better cardio, and training at Glover Teixeira's gym. He notes Cirkunov's poor striking, declining chin, and inability to get takedowns against Giaco. Cody believes Turman's volume and durability will pay off as Cirkunov fades, and he plans to live-bet Turman if Cirkunov doesn't finish early.

live bet Turman if Cirkunov doesn't finish round 1
"i got i got term on and if for whatever reason i'm i'm going to have a look at the live betting odds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Daniel Levi picks Wellington Turman to edge out a decision. He questions Misha Cirkunov's heart and notes he has folded in tough fights. Levi believes Turman is hungrier and more confident after his last win, and that Cirkunov's best days are behind him. He warns that Turman must avoid getting finished early but expects him to pull away down the stretch.

"give me wellington tournament to come out here and just pull away down the stretch as long as he doesn't get finished in the early going"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

The host leans with Cirkunov, believing he will be stronger and craftier in grappling exchanges. He expects Cirkunov to land takedowns and assert top position, eventually finding a finish via submission or ground and pound. He notes both fighters have durability and fight IQ issues but favors Cirkunov's jiu-jitsu from the top. His favorite play is 'fight doesn't go to decision' at -190.

fight doesn't go to decision (-190)
"i do lean with serkanov and i do agree that he should be the slight favorite in this spot which is why i'll take him to win and i'm gonna take him to win this fight via you know let's …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Paul leans toward Turman as an underdog, noting both fighters are chinny but Turman has better volume and striking. He parlayed the over 1.5 rounds in this fight with Gegard Mousasi at +128. Paul sees this as a competitive fight that could go either way, but Turman's cardio and youth give him an edge.

over 1.5 rounds parlayed with Mousasi at +128
"i actually did parlay with uh mousasi on the bellator card i parlayed the over one and a half in this with mousasi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Misha Cirkunov

The MMA Guru picks Misha Cirkunov to win by arm-triangle submission in the second round. He believes Cirkunov's size, physicality, and strong grappling will be too much for Wellington Turman, who has been taken down and finished by lesser grapplers. He notes that Turman has been KO'd multiple times and that Cirkunov's experience and strength will tip the grappling exchanges in his favor. The Guru expects a close fight on the feet but sees Cirkunov securing dominant positions and finishing with an arm triangle.

second round arm-triangle submission
"i'm going to go over like a misha circle of arm triangle submission in round two"
WIN vs Sam Alvey
Decision (split) (27–28, 28–27, 28–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Aug 28, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 68 of 122 55% 114 of 169 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
Sam Alvey 0 69 of 119 57% 75 of 126 2 of 9 22% 0 0 2:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 8 of 20 40% 42 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Sam Alvey 0 13 of 16 81% 17 of 20 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:50
2 Wellington Turman 0 26 of 44 59% 32 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Sam Alvey 0 24 of 44 54% 24 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:54
3 Wellington Turman 0 34 of 58 58% 40 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Sam Alvey 0 32 of 59 54% 34 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 68 of 122 55% 55 of 105 9 of 13 4 of 4 58 of 112 10 of 10 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 69 of 119 57% 36 of 77 19 of 27 14 of 15 63 of 113 6 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 8 of 20 40% 8 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 13 of 16 81% 4 of 7 5 of 5 4 of 4 10 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 26 of 44 59% 17 of 34 5 of 6 4 of 4 21 of 39 5 of 5 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 24 of 44 54% 12 of 29 5 of 8 7 of 7 24 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Wellington Turman 34 of 58 58% 30 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 0 32 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Sam Alvey 32 of 59 54% 20 of 41 9 of 14 3 of 4 29 of 56 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Angelo picks Turman, citing his BJJ black belt, slick ground game, and clear path to victory via takedowns. He notes training feedback from Dan Cramer that Turman feels good. He acknowledges Alvey's deceptive power but believes Turman will get the submission.

Angelo might bet the under on rounds because he doesn't think it sees a decision.
"wellington's the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

Cody picks Alvey as a dog, citing his strong takedown defense and power. He notes that Turman has poor takedown accuracy and tends to lose position on the ground. Cody thinks Alvey's veteran savvy and ability to fight 15 minutes will pay off. He is concerned about Alvey's recent losing streak but believes the style matchup favors him.

"i'm gonna have faith that he is going to get it done so this will be a dog play"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Jacob picks Turman but is hesitant, noting Turman was knocked out cold two months ago and may be hesitant. He agrees the UFC is feeding Alvey to Turman, but warns Alvey is tough and could win if he eats shots. He stayed away from betting.

"my official pick i guess would be uh would be wellington"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 27, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Sam Alvey

Lock picks Alvey by KO at +300, believing Alvey's power and durability will be too much for Turman. He notes Turman has shown poor durability, getting knocked out by Andrew Sanchez and Bruno Silva. Lock thinks Alvey's takedown defense and clinch strength will keep the fight standing, where he can land a big shot. He expects Alvey to win minutes only by knockout, not decision.

Alvey by KO +300
"sam alvi by ko at plus 300 is absolutely ridiculous as that's probably his best win condition in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 25, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

Paul picks Alvey, surprised himself but noting that Turman is the exact type of fighter Alvey can beat. He highlights Alvey's takedown defense and left hand power. Paul thinks Turman's grappling is overrated and that he tires easily. He expects Alvey to win by knockout or decision.

Alvey inside the distance
"i'm considering a bet on sam alvey here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Sam Alvey

The Guru picks Sam Alvey as an underdog, questioning Wellington Turman's chin after two consecutive KO losses and his quick return. He believes Alvey's toughness, cardio, and grappling awareness will allow him to outlast Turman and win a unanimous decision. The Guru dismisses Turman's grappling threat and expects Alvey to display veteran savvy.

Alvey by unanimous decision
"i'm picking sam alvey to get this one done i'll say by unanimous decision"
LOSS vs Bruno Silva
KO (punches) R1 4:45 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruno Silva 0 1 of 1 100% 12 of 12 0 of 10 0% 0 0 2:52
Wellington Turman 0 19 of 26 73% 28 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruno Silva 0 1 of 1 100% 12 of 12 0 of 10 0% 0 0 2:52
Wellington Turman 0 19 of 26 73% 28 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruno Silva 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 19 of 26 73% 18 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 19 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruno Silva 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Wellington Turman 19 of 26 73% 18 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 19 of 24
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Wellington Turman vs. Bruno Silva

Round 1
The overused adage of “classic striker vs. grappler” matchup rings true for this middleweight contest, as Turman (16-4, 1-2 UFC) welcomes former M-1 champ Silva (19-6, 0-0 UFC) to the Octagon. Not to be confused with Bruno “Bulldog” Silva who competes in the UFC at flyweight, this Brazilian goes by “Blindado” and he sports a knockout rate of 84 percent. The touch of gloves comes before referee Chris Tognoni, and the fight is underway. The two tentatively strike out of the gate, but Turman is much more interesting in grappling as he hunts for a takedown. Silva defends with a clear fence grab, and then another, leading Tognoni to call him on it. Turman kicks off the fence, lifts the newcomer in the air and slams him down. Silva springs back up and turns the tide, even taking Turman’s back standing up. Turman defends this with a fence grab, and he utilizes a kimura to toss Silva down for a moment. When “Blindado” gets back up, Turman lifts him up and slams him down, nearly on his head. Silva is already back to a knee, and Turman looks to take his back. Once more, Turman kicks from the cage to put Silva down, and Silva pops back up. Turman hops on to serve as a backpack, where Silva is standing up leaning on the fence and Turman is fishing for a submission. The fence grab clearly the most significant tool of the evening, Silva gets away with two more when he tries to turn around and break the grip of Turman. The grappler looks to cinch up an armbar when he slides off, as Silva shimmies him off by getting out the back door. Silva climbs into his foe’s full guard, and he starts smashing his fists into Turman’s face with ferocious ground-and-pound. Turman’s head bounces off the canvas several times, but Turman keeps the wherewithal to pull for an armbar. When Silva escapes this, Turman lands an illegal upkick right on Silva’s chin. Silva ignores it and continues his assault of ground punches.
In full guard, “Blindado” blinds Turman with a barrage of punches, and as they mount, Turman goes out cold. Tognoni sees Turman’s eyes roll back and he is able to stop the fight right in time, as Silva’s left hands from on top were lethal weapons.
That is 17 knockouts in 20 wins for Silva, who announces his presence in a big way to the UFC two years after intended – Silva tested positive for boldenone before making his debut, delaying him until now. Either way, this is a statement win by recording a clean knockout from the guard position.

The Official Result
Bruno Silva def. Wellington Turman R1 4:45 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva, citing his knockout power and clinch work. He acknowledges the layoff and PED suspension as question marks. He thinks Silva can catch Turman early, but is not confident enough to bet straight. He bet on Turman by submission at +500 and under 2.5 rounds, hedging both sides.

Turman by submission (+500, 0.25 unit); under 2.5 rounds
"i actually have bruno silva in this fight but i don't i'm not confident enough to bet on him straight up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady sees this as a 50/50 fight. He notes Silva has many submission losses and poor grappling, while Turman is a BJJ black belt. He thinks Turman will get takedowns and submit Silva, but acknowledges Silva could knock him out early.

win by submission
"I'll take wellington tournament to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva, emphasizing Silva's knockout power and proven ability as a sizable underdog in Russia. He notes Silva's cardio issues and two-year layoff but believes his power and pressure will overwhelm Turman, who has suspect chin and wrestling. Cody suggests Silva by KO is a solid play.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'm curious about bruno by ko plus 200 i see out there again again solid play because how does he win this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva in his long-awaited UFC debut, but with hesitation due to the two-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes that Silva looked impressive in his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov, and that he has improved his get-up game and durability. However, he worries about Silva gassing out or giving up bad positions if he comes in too emotional. He expects a knockout if Silva is the same fighter.

"i'm gonna go with bruno silva to get it done in his long-awaited ufc debut find knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Jacob picks Wellington Turman, citing his BJJ and body lock takedowns. He thinks Turman will take Silva down and submit him, noting Silva's losses by submission. He is concerned about Silva's power but believes Turman's grappling will prevail. He does not have either in his lineup.

"i like wellington in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The host picks Wellington Turman, citing his grappling ability and the uncertainty around Bruno Silva coming off a USADA suspension. He believes Turman can get the fight to the ground and nullify Silva's power. He notes Silva's sketchy takedown defense and that Turman is a solid grappler. He predicts a decision win for Turman, but also sees a submission as live given Silva has been tapped before. He acknowledges Turman's recent KO loss but thinks his chin will hold up.

Turman by decision; Turman by submission at +420 mentioned as a sprinkle
"i'm going wellington tournament i think he's a solid dog in the spot and i think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting his power and the fact that he was a plus 145 underdog initially. He mentions Silva's cardio and layoff as red flags but believes his power is a difference-maker. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Silva by KO props.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'll pick this bruno silva character here um i don't feel too great about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round KO. He expects Silva to have nervous energy and blitz Turman early, landing a KO blow. He notes Turman's recent first-round KO loss and Silva's KO power. He also mentions Turman showed up with gyno, which he finds notable. He predicts a brutal KO in the first round.

first round KO
"i'm going with bruno silva... brutal ko in the first round over wellington sherman"
LOSS vs Andrew Sanchez
KO (punch) R1 4:14 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrew Sanchez 1 28 of 55 50% 40 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Wellington Turman 0 21 of 51 41% 26 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrew Sanchez 28 of 55 50% 23 of 48 4 of 6 1 of 1 26 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Wellington Turman 21 of 51 41% 16 of 40 1 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Big Brady picks Sanchez as an underdog, believing his wrestling and takedown defense will neutralize Turman's ground game. He notes Sanchez's higher striking volume and experience. He predicts a decision win for Sanchez.

"i do like the underdog in this spot so i'm going to be picking my second underdog on the card and andrew sanchez i'm gonna pick him win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Wellington Turman

Daniel Levi leans with Wellington Turman, but acknowledges it could go either way. He notes that Turman is young, hungry, and has shown improvement, while Sanchez has questions about his chin and cardio. Levi believes Turman's aggression and youth might edge out a split decision, but he is not confident due to Sanchez's wrestling and durability.

"i lean with wellington tournament as well"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

Sanchez's wrestling should be able to take Turman down and control him, as Turman's takedown defense is not as strong as Marvin Vettori's. Sanchez showed improved cardio in his last fight, but his past cardio issues are a concern. He should avoid submissions from Turman and grind out a decision, though the third round could be dangerous if he gasses.

Wellington Turman round 3 win prop (if odds are high)
"I am going to take Andrew Sanchez to win this fight by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Andrew Sanchez

The MMA Guru picks Andrew Sanchez in a tough 50/50 fight. He notes that Wellington Turman hasn't done anything dominantly, while Sanchez has beaten decent opponents and is the bigger guy with a reach advantage. He expects Sanchez to wear Turman down over three rounds and win a unanimous decision.

"i think i'm going to go with andrew sanchez wellington turman is very good but he's not doing things dominantly"
WIN vs Markus Perez
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wellington Turman 0 49 of 96 51% 56 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:21
Markus Perez 0 48 of 120 40% 59 of 132 2 of 9 22% 0 0 6:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wellington Turman 0 12 of 29 41% 13 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Markus Perez 0 9 of 35 25% 9 of 35 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:24
2 Wellington Turman 0 15 of 31 48% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:31
Markus Perez 0 23 of 48 47% 28 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:40
3 Wellington Turman 0 22 of 36 61% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Markus Perez 0 16 of 37 43% 22 of 44 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wellington Turman 49 of 96 51% 33 of 72 13 of 21 3 of 3 26 of 67 21 of 26 2 of 3
Markus Perez 48 of 120 40% 35 of 103 8 of 12 5 of 5 23 of 91 19 of 21 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wellington Turman 12 of 29 41% 7 of 21 3 of 6 2 of 2 6 of 22 6 of 7 0 of 0
Markus Perez 9 of 35 25% 5 of 29 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Wellington Turman 15 of 31 48% 10 of 24 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 23 5 of 7 1 of 1
Markus Perez 23 of 48 47% 15 of 38 5 of 7 3 of 3 11 of 34 11 of 13 1 of 1
3 Wellington Turman 22 of 36 61% 16 of 27 6 of 9 0 of 0 11 of 22 10 of 12 1 of 2
Markus Perez 16 of 37 43% 15 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 25 5 of 5 5 of 7
Comments (1)
BR
brian 10 months, 3 weeks ago

Yeet