Career Averages - Juliana Miller
Career Averages - Brogan Walker
Juliana Miller
Brogan Walker
Juliana Miller - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carli Judice | 0 | 36 of 122 | 29% | 46 of 138 | 2 of 13 | 15% | 1 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 79 of 185 | 42% | 104 of 214 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carli Judice | 0 | 10 of 25 | 40% | 15 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 18 of 40 | 45% | 37 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:52 | |
| 2 | Carli Judice | 0 | 17 of 58 | 29% | 18 of 61 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 35 of 89 | 39% | 36 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Carli Judice | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 13 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 1:40 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 31 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carli Judice | 36 of 122 | 29% | 24 of 100 | 11 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 29 of 109 | 7 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 79 of 185 | 42% | 53 of 143 | 20 of 34 | 6 of 8 | 75 of 180 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carli Judice | 10 of 25 | 40% | 6 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 18 of 40 | 45% | 11 of 29 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Carli Judice | 17 of 58 | 29% | 12 of 50 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 35 of 89 | 39% | 26 of 72 | 8 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 35 of 88 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Carli Judice | 9 of 39 | 23% | 6 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 56 | 46% | 16 of 42 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Carli Judice, citing her superior striking, good volume, and takedown defense. He notes Juliana Miller has heart but lacks skill and hasn't improved. He mentions a potential prop bet on Miller plus 3.5 if she wins a round, but his clear pick is Judice.
Big Brady picks Carli Judice to defeat Juliana Miller, calling it a 'sanctioned murder.' He notes Miller has terrible striking defense (36%) and was pieced up by Luana Santos, who is not a good striker. He believes Judice is physically strong, has good takedown defense, and superior striking with phenomenal volume. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly by head kick or knee, and thinks it could be a mercy stoppage.
Cody thinks Judice's striking and athleticism will be too much for Miller. He notes Miller's poor wrestling and linear movement. He expects Judice to win by decision or TKO.
Connor picks Judice, comparing her technical footwork to Duane Ludwig. He notes she shifts to cut angles and outmaneuver opponents, which has improved since her debut. Miller is tough but can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will easily outclass her.
James picks Carli Judice to win by knockout, citing her massive striking advantage over Miller. He notes that Miller is multiple levels below Judice on the feet and that her only hope is grappling, which Judice has defended well. James expects Judice to land a TKO.
Judice is a talented striker with good takedown defense, as shown in her recent wins. She should be able to keep the fight standing and pick apart Miller, who is mediocre on the feet. Miller will try to grapple, but Judice has improved her grappling defense and should get back to her feet. Expect a TKO in the second or third round as Miller fades.
Paul agrees, citing Judice's improvement and Miller's lack of wrestling. He thinks Miller's only path is takedowns, but Judice's striking will be too much. He expects Judice to win comfortably.
The MMA Guru believes Carli Judice is a much more technical fighter with a significant striking advantage over Juliana Miller. He notes that Judice arguably won her Contender Series fight and her UFC debut, and has since finished her last two opponents via TKO. He expects Judice to break Miller down with body work, specifically knees, front kicks, and teeps, leading to a second or third round TKO.
Zane picks Judice emphatically, noting she has improved dramatically as a technician, especially her footwork. She runs circles around opponents and negates power disadvantages. Miller can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will tear her apart. Zane expects Judice to style on Miller.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 54 of 101 | 3 of 9 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:10 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 25 of 53 | 47% | 57 of 87 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 32 of 39 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 24 of 38 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 8 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 43 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 2:33 |
| Ivana Petrović | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 22 of 55 | 40% | 11 of 41 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 46 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Ivana Petrović | 25 of 53 | 47% | 8 of 33 | 9 of 12 | 8 of 8 | 25 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ivana Petrović | 7 of 12 | 58% | 0 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Ivana Petrović | 6 of 15 | 40% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 14 of 32 | 43% | 5 of 21 | 6 of 8 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Ivana Petrović | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges both fighters are low-level and tough, but he expects Ivana Petrović to win because she is more well-rounded and has better grappling. He notes that Juliana Miller is inexperienced and fights on instinct, which often fails her. However, he strongly advises against betting on this fight because the odds are too wide and the outcome is unpredictable.
Big Brady picks Ivana Petrović but is not confident, calling it a fight to stay away from. He notes Petrović has a significant striking advantage by default because Miller's striking defense is terrible (32%). However, he worries that both fighters accept bottom position and are submission over position, making the fight potentially messy. He expects a close competitive decision going to the judges, and he questions Miller's motivation after a long layoff and multiple surgeries.
Miller is coming off a poor performance but that was against Luana Santos, a different style opponent. She has since changed camps to Sik Jitsu and claims to be healthier than ever. I expect her to take Petrović down and grind out a decision win, surprising many.
The MMA Guru picks Ivana Petrović because Juliana Miller is 'absolutely awful' and has no business in the UFC. He notes that while Petrović isn't great either, she is more technical, bigger, and stronger. He expects a 30-27 decision win for Petrović.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 63 of 105 | 60% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 0 | 24 of 75 | 32% | 25 of 77 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 63 of 105 | 60% | 64 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luana Santos | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 61 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 63 of 105 | 60% | 44 of 82 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 53 of 88 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luana Santos | 24 of 75 | 32% | 15 of 61 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 64 | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 63 of 105 | 60% | 44 of 82 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 3 | 53 of 88 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-155), Miller (+130)
Round 1
Fight fans have now passed the midpoint of what will be the longest stretch of consecutive UFC weekends, and there are only seven to go including UFC on ESPN 51. This will be the last event in the Apex until its streak-ending Sept. 23 show, and it is certainly a fight card. As mentioned in a previous article, 15 of the 26 fighters tonight are coming in having lost their last bouts, and eight of those have dropped two in a row or more. It all starts with grappler-on-grappler action in the women’s flyweight division, as “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 30 victor Miller (3-2, 1-1 UFC) looks to lift her promotional record above .500. She takes on promotional newcomer Santos (5-1, 0-0 UFC), who made her way to the UFC not through the Contender Series or any of the other feeder programs, but from the LFA. This opening bout draws the assignment of referee Jason Herzog, and it begins without a touch of gloves as Miller charges like a bull. The two ladies immediately start swinging, and Miller snaps the head back with a few heavy blows. Miller’s aggression leads her into a clinch, where she immediately presses onto her opponent while kneeing her in the gut. Santos turns the corner and splits apart, and she resets. Miller walks her down, stutter-stepping her way in and throwing hammers. Santos sits down on a right hand to catch her on the way in, but Miller completely ignores it and keeps on storming forward. Miller puts her hands on Santos’ face, not landing with any individually damaging blow, but getting Santos’ attention. The Brazilian woman steels herself and launches a bomb of a right hand that bangs right into Miller’s temple, rocking “Killer.” Santos does not let her foe off the hook, as she slugs away and even mixes in a head kick as Miller leans her back to the wall to stay upright. Miller leans forward to try to slow things down, and Santos snatches up a guillotine choke that ends up with the two ladies landing on the mat. Santos releases her grip to allow them back to their feet, and she stays right in Miller’s grill throwing hands. Santos belts her foe in the jaw a few times, and Miller wobbles back to the wall and tries to counter but is only flailing. Santos smashes Miller in the face, and Miller reels and is in big trouble. Santos pours it on with fists flying, and she connects repeatedly and does not care about anything Miller gives back to her. Herzog is taking a close eye on the action, and Santos tries to force a stoppage by laying into Miller with everything she has.
The punches keep coming, and Miller drops to a knee and fights her way back up. Miller may be out on her feet, and Santos continues busting her in the chops until Herzog has seen enough.
This is a statement performance for the debuting Santos, who earns her first career knockout in her biggest fight to date. Meanwhile, she also becomes the first fighter to finish the TUF victor as a professional.
Advertisement
The Official Result
Luana Santos def. Juliana Miller R1 3:41 via TKO (Punches)
Angelo picks Santos confidently, citing her judo background and slick grappling versus Miller's lack of skill and poor takedown defense. He notes Miller was a terrible -450 favorite who couldn't defend takedowns. He already placed a quarter unit at -140 and expects the line to move further.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller to win by decision, but is not confident. He notes Miller's terrible striking defense but good grappling. He thinks Santos's head-and-arm throws could be reversed by Miller, leading to back takes. He calls the line a 'massive over correction' and sees Miller as a live dog. However, he admits he doesn't want to bet it.
Cody picks Santos, citing her judo black belt and solid takedown entries. He criticizes Miller's wrestling and striking, noting she was taken down four times by Veronica Hardy. He thinks Santos can get the fight to the mat and control it. He also notes Santos' only losses are to a high-level grappler (Jenna Bishop). He believes Santos would have won The Ultimate Fighter season if she were on it.
James leans toward Miller as a potential underdog, noting Santos didn't look great in her last fight and Miller is gritty. However, he hasn't done full tape and is not confident. He sees possible value on Miller but needs to study more.
Miller is a BJJ black belt who does her best work on the ground, but her striking is lacking. Santos is a newcomer with a BJJ and Judo black belt, but she is not the type of striker that Hardy was, who used lateral movement to avoid takedowns. Miller should be able to drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision. The recency bias has made Miller a plus 140 dog after being a minus 400 favorite in her last fight, which is a value spot.
Paul picks Santos, agreeing that Miller is overrated. He notes Miller's poor wrestling and striking, and that Santos is the better striker and grappler. He thinks Santos' judo will neutralize Miller's wrestling and that Santos can win by decision or submission. He also mentions that the line opened with the wrong fighter favored.
The MMA Guru picks Luana Santos based on Juliana Miller's poor performance in her last fight, where she showed no skill, bad stand-up, and poor submission attempts. He notes that women's MMA is unpredictable but trusts Santos's age (23) and regional wins. He emphasizes that after watching Miller's last fight, he cannot logically pick her again.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 0 | 30 of 79 | 37% | 49 of 98 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 62 of 77 | 80% | 78 of 95 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 7:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 25 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 26 of 35 | 74% | 32 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:42 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 8 of 20 | 40% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 16 of 19 | 84% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 3 of 14 | 21% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 20 of 23 | 86% | 26 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 30 of 79 | 37% | 20 of 63 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 2 | 22 of 65 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 5 |
| Juliana Miller | 62 of 77 | 80% | 39 of 52 | 12 of 14 | 11 of 11 | 32 of 43 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 28 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 19 of 45 | 42% | 12 of 35 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 39 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Juliana Miller | 26 of 35 | 74% | 19 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 27 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 8 of 20 | 40% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 |
| Juliana Miller | 16 of 19 | 84% | 14 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 3 of 14 | 21% | 1 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Juliana Miller | 20 of 23 | 86% | 6 of 8 | 9 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 13 |
Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.
Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.
Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.
Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.
Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.
Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.
Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.
The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.
Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 30 of 48 | 62% | 52 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:16 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 54 of 85 | 63% | 110 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 9:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 18 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:51 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 27 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 33 of 52 | 63% | 55 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 30 of 48 | 62% | 16 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 54 of 85 | 63% | 43 of 72 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 39 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 12 of 18 | 66% | 6 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 13 of 20 | 65% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 15 of 26 | 57% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 33 of 52 | 63% | 26 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 27 |
Angelo picks Brogan Walker based on experience. He notes Miller's intensity and pressure but believes Walker's composure and high-level experience will prevail. He thinks Walker can weather the storm and impose her will, while Miller might be overwhelmed by the moment. He plans to just enjoy the fight without betting.
Big Brady leans toward Brogan Walker, citing her experience advantage over the green Juliana Miller, who has only three professional fights. He notes that Walker has faced tougher competition and is a black belt in BJJ, though Miller is a more dangerous submission grappler. He believes Walker is the better striker and can keep the fight on the feet to win a decision. He acknowledges Miller's upside but favors Walker's current skill set.
Cody is confident in Miller, calling her a 'junkyard dog' with a grinding style. He praises her flexibility, funky jiu-jitsu, and willingness to scrap. Cody notes that Walker is a striker who tends to tire, and that Miller's pace and grappling will break her down. He sees multiple paths to victory for Miller, whether by submission or decision.
Paul leans toward Miller, citing her aggression and grappling ability. He notes that Miller is younger and less experienced but can push a pace that Walker may not handle. Paul thinks Miller's body lock takedowns and ground game give her an edge, and that Walker's experience may not be enough.
The MMA Guru picks Brogan Walker, citing her more experience and better technique from watching TUF. He thinks Walker is more technical and will win 30-27. He notes the UFC might want Miller to win for promotional reasons, but he still goes with Walker.
Brogan Walker - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 1 | 39 of 75 | 52% | 53 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 22 of 60 | 36% | 30 of 70 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 9 of 20 | 45% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 15 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 1 | 16 of 29 | 55% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 8 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 0 | 14 of 26 | 53% | 14 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Hardy | 39 of 75 | 52% | 31 of 65 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 65 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 22 of 60 | 36% | 12 of 49 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 8 | 16 of 49 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veronica Hardy | 9 of 20 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 15 | 46% | 1 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Veronica Hardy | 16 of 29 | 55% | 12 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Veronica Hardy | 14 of 26 | 53% | 11 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 7 of 20 | 35% | 6 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.
Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.
Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.
The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.
Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 53 of 118 | 44% | 57 of 123 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 29 of 145 | 20% | 31 of 149 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 50 | 16% | 8 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 15 of 34 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 12 of 42 | 28% | 14 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 3 | Iasmin Lucindo | 0 | 25 of 46 | 54% | 25 of 46 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 9 of 53 | 16% | 9 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iasmin Lucindo | 53 of 118 | 44% | 33 of 93 | 19 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 51 of 115 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 29 of 145 | 20% | 6 of 99 | 13 of 22 | 10 of 24 | 22 of 137 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iasmin Lucindo | 17 of 43 | 39% | 13 of 37 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 50 | 16% | 1 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 11 | 7 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Iasmin Lucindo | 11 of 29 | 37% | 7 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 12 of 42 | 28% | 2 of 27 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Iasmin Lucindo | 25 of 46 | 54% | 13 of 32 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 25 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 9 of 53 | 16% | 3 of 39 | 4 of 9 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Iasmin Lucindo confidently, based on his notes from Brogan Walker's last fight where she showed awful takedown defense. He believes Lucindo will get takedowns and dominate on the ground, similar to what Juliana Miller did. He notes Lucindo struggled in her last fight but that was a tougher matchup. He is waiting for props to drop, possibly betting on under 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Iasmin Lucindo to win by second-round TKO. He notes that Lucindo is a 21-year-old prospect with good grappling and ground-and-pound, and that Brogan Walker showed zero takedown defense in her last fight against Juliana Miller, who dominated her. Brady expects Lucindo to take Walker down, beat her up, and finish her on top. He has a bad feeling because of the young age and big favorite status, but still picks Lucindo.
Cody picks Lucindo despite the high price, using logic over the 'Pac-Man theory' of backing big underdogs. He notes Lucindo is young (20), fast, strong, and aggressive, with a cast-iron chin. He criticizes Brogan Walker as slow and flat-footed, with poor defense. Cody believes Lucindo will land power shots and possibly get a second-round stoppage. However, he admits he won't bet this fight.
Connor picks Brogan Walker (referred to as 'cash aware' in transcript), reasoning that she is a disciplined puncher who has improved her striking. He notes that Lucindo (Silva) has good submissions off her back but rarely initiates takedowns, and that Walker's pressure will likely put Lucindo on the mat. Connor trusts Walker to land the punch that hurts Lucindo over a Hail Mary submission.
Connor picks Lucindo, emphasizing that Walker's fight against Miller showed she is unwilling to engage in striking and has poor balance. He notes that Lucindo is aggressive, hits hard, and makes adjustments, as seen in her fight against a tough opponent. He also points out that Walker's only path is a takedown and grind, but she lacks the coordination to do so.
Lucindo is a grapple-heavy fighter with good top control and pressure. She trains with Virna Jandiroba, which should help her grappling. Brogan Walker has shown inconsistent takedown defense and can be overwhelmed by forward pressure. However, Lucindo is young and inexperienced at the UFC level, and Walker has a win over Miranda Maverick, showing she can pull off upsets. Lucindo should return to her grappling and grind out a decision, but it's a risky spot with low confidence.
Paul also picks Lucindo, impressed by her performance against Yazmin Jauregui despite the loss. He sees her as a top prospect with a bright future. He notes she proved she belongs at this level and has a lot of potential. Paul also says he won't bet this fight.
The MMA Guru picks Iasmin Lucindo, aided by a coin flip. He notes Brogan Walker's loss to Juliana Miller and age, while Lucindo had a good performance against Yasmine Urigui and a long win streak. He thinks Lucindo's technique is solid and that this should be a lock. He predicts a win for Lucindo.
Zane picks Lucindo confidently, noting that she is much more technical, fluid, and combination-savvy than Walker. He points out that Walker struggled against Juliana Miller, who is less skilled than Lucindo, and that Walker's inability to throw more than one strike without getting off balance will be exploited. He also mentions Lucindo's speed and power.
Zane picks Iasmin Lucindo (Silva), arguing that she has a clear grappling advantage and that it would be foolish for her not to try takedowns. He refuses to consider that she wouldn't attempt takedowns against Walker, who is a terrible grappler. Zane believes Lucindo's submissions off her back are a threat, and that Walker's lack of grappling knowledge will be exploited.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 0 | 30 of 48 | 62% | 52 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:16 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 54 of 85 | 63% | 110 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 9:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 17 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 28 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 18 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:51 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 13 of 20 | 65% | 27 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 17 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Brogan Walker | 0 | 33 of 52 | 63% | 55 of 81 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Miller | 30 of 48 | 62% | 16 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 28 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 54 of 85 | 63% | 43 of 72 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 41 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 39 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juliana Miller | 3 of 4 | 75% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 2 | Juliana Miller | 12 of 18 | 66% | 6 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Brogan Walker | 13 of 20 | 65% | 9 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 4 | |
| 3 | Juliana Miller | 15 of 26 | 57% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Brogan Walker | 33 of 52 | 63% | 26 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 18 of 27 |
Angelo picks Brogan Walker based on experience. He notes Miller's intensity and pressure but believes Walker's composure and high-level experience will prevail. He thinks Walker can weather the storm and impose her will, while Miller might be overwhelmed by the moment. He plans to just enjoy the fight without betting.
Big Brady leans toward Brogan Walker, citing her experience advantage over the green Juliana Miller, who has only three professional fights. He notes that Walker has faced tougher competition and is a black belt in BJJ, though Miller is a more dangerous submission grappler. He believes Walker is the better striker and can keep the fight on the feet to win a decision. He acknowledges Miller's upside but favors Walker's current skill set.
Cody is confident in Miller, calling her a 'junkyard dog' with a grinding style. He praises her flexibility, funky jiu-jitsu, and willingness to scrap. Cody notes that Walker is a striker who tends to tire, and that Miller's pace and grappling will break her down. He sees multiple paths to victory for Miller, whether by submission or decision.
Paul leans toward Miller, citing her aggression and grappling ability. He notes that Miller is younger and less experienced but can push a pace that Walker may not handle. Paul thinks Miller's body lock takedowns and ground game give her an edge, and that Walker's experience may not be enough.
The MMA Guru picks Brogan Walker, citing her more experience and better technique from watching TUF. He thinks Walker is more technical and will win 30-27. He notes the UFC might want Miller to win for promotional reasons, but he still goes with Walker.
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo picks Brogan Walker based on experience. He notes Miller's intensity and pressure but believes Walker's composure and high-level experience will prevail. He thinks Walker can weather the storm and impose her will, while Miller might be overwhelmed by the moment. He plans to just enjoy the fight without betting.
Big Brady leans toward Brogan Walker, citing her experience advantage over the green Juliana Miller, who has only three professional fights. He notes that Walker has faced tougher competition and is a black belt in BJJ, though Miller is a more dangerous submission grappler. He believes Walker is the better striker and can keep the fight on the feet to win a decision. He acknowledges Miller's upside but favors Walker's current skill set.
Cody is confident in Miller, calling her a 'junkyard dog' with a grinding style. He praises her flexibility, funky jiu-jitsu, and willingness to scrap. Cody notes that Walker is a striker who tends to tire, and that Miller's pace and grappling will break her down. He sees multiple paths to victory for Miller, whether by submission or decision.
Paul leans toward Miller, citing her aggression and grappling ability. He notes that Miller is younger and less experienced but can push a pace that Walker may not handle. Paul thinks Miller's body lock takedowns and ground game give her an edge, and that Walker's experience may not be enough.
The MMA Guru picks Brogan Walker, citing her more experience and better technique from watching TUF. He thinks Walker is more technical and will win 30-27. He notes the UFC might want Miller to win for promotional reasons, but he still goes with Walker.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!