vs
-300 +270
UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill Next Fight
Age 31
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Bryan Battle
5.12 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.11 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
0.77 TD Avg
17.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Takashi Sato
2.21 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.73 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
0.76 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Bryan Battle
Moneyline
BetWay -300
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
BetWay +350
Decision
FanDuel +120
Takashi Sato
Moneyline
DraftKings +270
KO/TKO
BetRivers +475
Submission
BetRivers +2800
Decision
BetRivers +800
Bryan Battle - Fight History
CANCEL vs Nursulton Ruziboev
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Angelo has been a big supporter of Ruziboev since his UFC debut and picks him here. He highlights Ruziboev's wrestling and grappling prowess, his size at 6'5, and his power, noting that Battle missed weight and is moving up to middleweight where his power may not carry. He believes Battle is not big enough for the weight class and that Ruziboev's chin and skills will prevail. He bet on Ruziboev at +150.

bet at +150
"I'm picking Nerzleton and I bet on Nerzleton at plus 150."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

Big Brady picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by second-round knockout. He notes Ruziboev has massive size, reach, and power, and that Battle has poor striking defense (44%). He thinks Battle will walk into big shots and could get knocked out. He also mentions Ruziboev's takedown defense is improving and Battle is not a wrestler at middleweight. He acknowledges Ruziboev is low volume but dangerous, and could win by damage-based decision or knockout.

Ruziboev by KO, round 2
"I'm going to take Ruseabova to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Nursulton Ruziboev

The Guru picks Nursulton Ruziboev to win by TKO in the first two rounds. He believes Ruziboev's height and reach advantage will be problematic for Bryan Battle, who won't be able to use his physicality as he did against Randy Brown. The Guru notes that Ruziboev is a dirty fighter who will cheat to win, extending fingers and grabbing the cage. He also mentions Ruziboev's dynamic movement and ability to dart in and out, which will be difficult for Battle to handle.

TKO in first two rounds; Ruziboev wins by TKO
"I'm actually going to go with Ruseo getting this one done by TKO. ... I think he'll finish Brian Battle in the first two rounds."
WIN vs Randy Brown
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · Dec 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 60 of 111 54% 80 of 135 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:46
Randy Brown 0 57 of 110 51% 109 of 175 0 of 6 0% 0 0 7:25
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 21 of 45 46% 29 of 56 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Randy Brown 0 14 of 31 45% 18 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 Bryan Battle 0 15 of 29 51% 21 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:56
Randy Brown 0 22 of 41 53% 56 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
3 Bryan Battle 0 24 of 37 64% 30 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Randy Brown 0 21 of 38 55% 35 of 54 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 60 of 111 54% 32 of 79 22 of 26 6 of 6 49 of 96 11 of 15 0 of 0
Randy Brown 57 of 110 51% 20 of 64 31 of 38 6 of 8 27 of 76 30 of 34 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 21 of 45 46% 11 of 32 9 of 12 1 of 1 19 of 42 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 14 of 31 45% 4 of 17 9 of 11 1 of 3 11 of 27 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 15 of 29 51% 11 of 25 3 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0
Randy Brown 22 of 41 53% 6 of 23 13 of 15 3 of 3 7 of 25 15 of 16 0 of 0
3 Bryan Battle 24 of 37 64% 10 of 22 10 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 28 7 of 9 0 of 0
Randy Brown 21 of 38 55% 10 of 24 9 of 12 2 of 2 9 of 24 12 of 14 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, believing his forward pressure and dirty boxing will frustrate the more technical Randy Brown. He notes Battle's improvements and work ethic, but acknowledges he gets hit a lot. Angelo thinks the clash of styles favors Battle, as he can brawl the boxer. He is monitoring the line movement and may bet if Battle's odds drop to -150.

If odds drop to -150, will bet
"I am going to pick Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle, citing his power and improving skills. He notes Brown's tendency to struggle against pressure fighters and thinks Battle will land big shots. He expects a knockout win for Battle.

Battle by knockout
"Battle by knockout is on the table."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Connor is confident in Battle because his new pressure-fighting style is the exact antidote to Randy Brown. He notes that Brown has historically struggled against pressure fighters who are willing to eat shots and counter, as seen in his losses to Jack Della Maddalena and Vicente Luque. Connor believes Battle's aggression, power, and willingness to trade will overwhelm Brown, who tends to hit the fence and fall apart. He also points out that Battle's recent performances show a clear, winning game plan.

"I gotta pick battle here 100 percent brian battle 100 percent this feels like his kind of fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel picks Brown as an underdog, citing his experience, reach, and cleaner technique. He believes Battle's competition has been weak and that Brown's length and footwork will be too much. He expects Brown to pick Battle apart.

"I think it's Randy Brown's time. I think he's going to set back Brian Battle."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle's aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling will break down Randy Brown and lead to a second or third round finish.

finish in rounds 2-3
"I believe the aggressiveness in the clinch and grappling realm of battle will allow him to break down Randy Brown and eventually lead to a second or third round finish for Brian battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, emphasizing his momentum and power. He notes Brown's age and suspect chin, and thinks Battle's pressure will be too much. He expects a finish inside the distance.

"Battle for me, Battle potentially inside the distance."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his volume, hustle, and cardio. He thinks Battle will out-volume Brown on the feet and that Brown lacks takedown threats to mix in. He notes Brown has lost close decisions before and that lesser fighters have made it close with Brown. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly split.

"I'm gonna go with Brian battle I think he's got that next thing that puts him over Fighters that are slightly lesser"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Zane also confidently picks Battle, agreeing that his pressure style is the key to beating Brown. He notes that Brown has always struggled against fighters who walk him down and put combinations together against the fence. Zane highlights that Battle has evolved from a reactive fighter to an aggressive pressure fighter, and that this new approach makes him a dangerous matchup for Brown. He believes Battle will overwhelm Brown with volume and power.

"I 100 percent taking brian battle here."
WIN vs Kevin Jousset
TKO (punches) R2 3:47 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 58 of 97 59% 63 of 107 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 97 of 170 57% 118 of 194 0 of 3 0% 0 0 3:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 40 72% 32 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Kevin Jousset 0 26 of 57 45% 36 of 69 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:54
2 Bryan Battle 0 29 of 57 50% 31 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Jousset 0 71 of 113 62% 82 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 58 of 97 59% 31 of 66 10 of 12 17 of 19 46 of 84 12 of 13 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 97 of 170 57% 79 of 146 17 of 23 1 of 1 80 of 145 17 of 25 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 29 of 40 72% 16 of 26 6 of 7 7 of 7 19 of 29 10 of 11 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 26 of 57 45% 19 of 46 6 of 10 1 of 1 21 of 49 5 of 8 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 29 of 57 50% 15 of 40 4 of 5 10 of 12 27 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kevin Jousset 71 of 113 62% 60 of 100 11 of 13 0 of 0 59 of 96 12 of 17 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 22, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle and has a small bet on him. He highlights Battle's constant forward pressure, tenacity, and improving skills. He notes that Battle never quits, as seen in his loss to Rinat Fakhretdinov. He acknowledges Jousset is good and could slow the pace, plus home territory might affect judging, but believes Battle's pressure and range will get the job done.

small bet
"Brian battle wins this fight... I've got a small bet on him here... Brian battle's forward pressure, willingness to never stop..."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle by decision, citing his toughness, output, sneaky power, and opportunistic grappling. He notes Battle is improving rapidly and has more ways to win. He thinks the striking could be competitive but Battle has the grappling edge.

Battle by decision
"I'm going to take battle to win here by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 27, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Bryan Battle to win but expresses hesitation, noting that Kevin Jousset is more technical and could be competitive at home in France. He highlights Battle's effective striking, submission grappling, better competition, and ability to fight through adversity. However, he also mentions Jousset's leg kicks and Judo background as potential threats. Cody ultimately leans Battle but is second-guessing his pick.

"I picked battle to win I'm a little bit second guessing that but battle is the more effective Striker here the more effective submission grapple..."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Cody picks Jousset as a plus-money underdog, highlighting Battle's poor grappling defense. He notes that Battle has been controlled by grapplers like Rinat Fakhretdinov, while Jousset has a strong takedown game and submission threat. Jousset's forward pressure and ability to mix in wrestling should neutralize Battle's counter-striking.

"I'm in on Kevin I'm actually got six underdogs on this card... I like Kevin ju said dude I like him and the fact that he's plus money even better"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Connor picks Jousset because he believes Jousset's consistent, technical striking from City Kickboxing will allow him to outwork Battle over three rounds. He notes that Battle's counter-punching is dangerous but Jousset's jab and lead hand will be difficult to counter. Connor also points out that Jousset has never been finished and is physically imposing, while Battle's success has come against fighters who fall into his counter game. He sees Jousset controlling the range and winning a decision.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Connor mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm inclined to pick him as well. I mean, it looks like a, I could totally see battle just landing a big shocking blow and ending the fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Daniel Vreeland picks Kevin Jousset as a slight underdog. He thinks Jousset has good durability, cardio, and striking, and that Battle can be hit in the clinch. He expects a close fight and sees value in Jousset at plus money, possibly winning by decision.

"I have to lean with the dog the price is coming up on him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

JP picks Bryan Battle because he thinks Battle is faster, has a reach advantage, and is better on the ground. He notes Jousset is slow and calculated, and once in a negative position, his confidence fades. He predicts Battle will dominate and submit him.

"I think battle's going to dominate I think he's going to clip him I think J is going to like brev said be in a negative situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that if the fight stays standing it's 50/50, but Jousset's wrestling gives him an edge. He believes Battle is overvalued at -175 and that Jousset's grappling advantage makes him a solid underdog pick.

"Jette will also be the pick for me in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle over Kevin Jousset, citing Battle's reach advantage and momentum. He criticizes Jousset's performances, including going to decision with Song Kenan. He believes Battle will finish Jousset and become a mainstay in the welterweight rankings.

"I'm going to go with Brian battle here I don't think he's going to be anything at welterweight like he might get ranked but I don't think he's going to be a top prospect but I think he'll be like …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Jousset

Zane picks Jousset because he trusts Jousset's technical consistency and believes Battle's counter-punching will be less effective against a disciplined striker. He notes that Jousset is stiff but has a solid jab and good fundamentals, while Battle tends to rely on opponents overextending. Zane also points out that Jousset is durable and has never been finished, making it likely he can weather Battle's power and win on points.

Odds: Jousset +147, Battle -160. Zane mentions the odds are reasonable.
"I'm trying, I'm trusting the process with you say, like, yeah, it really just does seem like something where he's never been finished before..."
NC vs Ange Loosa
NC R2 1:00 · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 27 of 75 36% 28 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 23 of 54 42% 26 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 23 of 63 36% 24 of 66 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:33
Ange Loosa 0 17 of 44 38% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Bryan Battle 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ange Loosa 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 27 of 75 36% 16 of 56 10 of 18 1 of 1 24 of 69 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 23 of 54 42% 6 of 34 8 of 9 9 of 11 22 of 53 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 23 of 63 36% 12 of 45 10 of 17 1 of 1 20 of 57 3 of 5 0 of 1
Ange Loosa 17 of 44 38% 4 of 29 6 of 6 7 of 9 16 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Bryan Battle 4 of 12 33% 4 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ange Loosa 6 of 10 60% 2 of 5 2 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo is a big fan of Battle, noting his incredible improvement every fight. He worries that Battle needs to be the better wrestler and may not be able to take Loosa down, and he doesn't see Battle winning a striking match. However, he has blind faith in Battle's rapid improvement and thinks the latest version of Battle, with added improvements, will win. He is monitoring the line before betting.

monitoring line movement
"I think the last version of Brian battle with the Improvement since then wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Big Brady picks Ange Loosa to win by decision as an upset. He thinks Loosa's wrestling and takedown defense will be key, as Battle has poor takedown defense. He expects a close, competitive fight but favors Loosa's ability to mix in takedowns.

by decision
"I'm going to go with aneli here to pull off the upset... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Cody sides with the underdog Ange Loosa, citing Bryan Battle's suspect takedown defense (45% overall) and Loosa's improved wrestling. He notes Battle is a good counter puncher but lacks physical strength and has been taken down by lesser wrestlers. Loosa has shown volume striking and takedowns in recent fights, which should sway rounds. He sees this as close to 50/50 and likes the plus money.

"I got to side with the ever so slight underdog on Loosa... it's the takedowns mixed in should secure them."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Lucrative James believes Bryan Battle is the much better fighter overall. He notes that Ange Loosa is durable but lacks technique and grappling strength, and that Battle can scramble if taken down. He sees Battle winning via finish, possibly by submission or head kick, and mentions that Loosa's path to victory is limited to a knockout or three rounds of grappling, which he doubts Loosa has the gas tank for.

Battle by submission in round 2
"I think battle's a good fighter... I actually like battle in this spot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ange Loosa

The host admits this is the fight he is least confident in picking. He sides with Loosa's explosive power striking and notes that Battle hasn't utilized the style that made him successful at 185 lbs, possibly due to the weight cut to 170. He expects Loosa to be on the front foot, using power punches to keep Battle defensive, and even try grappling where he can hold Battle down. He acknowledges Battle's submission threats but believes Loosa wins on the scorecards.

"I have to side with the explosive power striking style of Anala"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ange Loosa

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Battle's low volume and poor takedown defense. He points out that Loosa has durability and the plus 155 line offers value, as he sees the fight closer to 50/50. He mentions Loosa by decision at +275 as an interesting prop.

Loosa by decision (+275)
"I'll join you in Loosa... you're giving me plus 155 I think there's probably a close to 10% edge on taking that."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting his size, power, and grappling. He criticizes Loosa for getting hurt easily and nearly finished in fights. He believes Battle is a level above and will either TKO or outpoint Loosa. He mentions Battle's recent grappling performances against AJ Fletcher.

"I think Brian barbarena is just that next level above younger way taller got the reach Advantage big strong dude for welterweight I think he mugs onoa and I think he catches him on the chin."
WIN vs AJ Fletcher
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:32 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 0 45 of 80 56% 63 of 105 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:30
AJ Fletcher 0 25 of 51 49% 29 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
AJ Fletcher 0 18 of 38 47% 18 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
2 Bryan Battle 0 22 of 30 73% 40 of 55 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:30
AJ Fletcher 0 7 of 13 53% 11 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 45 of 80 56% 9 of 25 34 of 52 2 of 3 29 of 61 16 of 19 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 25 of 51 49% 6 of 26 6 of 9 13 of 16 20 of 41 5 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 23 of 50 46% 5 of 19 16 of 28 2 of 3 22 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 18 of 38 47% 4 of 20 2 of 3 12 of 15 15 of 32 3 of 5 0 of 1
2 Bryan Battle 22 of 30 73% 4 of 6 18 of 24 0 of 0 7 of 13 15 of 17 0 of 0
AJ Fletcher 7 of 13 53% 2 of 6 4 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 9 2 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo's most confident pick on the card. He notes Battle improves every fight, has great hands, and never stops working. He thinks Fletcher will struggle with Battle's reach and movement, and will make poor decisions like pulling guillotine. He has a 1.5 unit bet on Battle.

1.5 unit moneyline bet
"Prime battle's my most confident pick and I have a one and a half unit moneyline bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle to win by second-round submission, citing Fletcher's poor cardio and striking defense. He notes Battle has a 10-inch reach advantage and is dangerous on the feet and ground. He expects Fletcher to win the first round with wrestling but fade, allowing Battle to capitalize. He mentions this is a good live betting spot.

second round submission
"give me Brian battle to win this fight I'll say second round submission for Prime battle on this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Bryan Battle, citing his reach advantage (10 inches), volume striking, and ability to fight off his back foot. He acknowledges Fletcher's wrestling and athleticism but notes Battle's takedown defense and counter-striking. He sees Fletcher's path to victory as narrow and prefers Battle's proven skills.

"I struggled to see a real legitimate path for AJ Fletcher here so the pick is Brian battle."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
AJ Fletcher

Daniel sees value in Fletcher at plus money, believing the line should be closer to pick'em. He notes Battle backs up and relies on counters, while Fletcher pressures and mixes takedowns. He thinks Fletcher's cardio has been addressed by training at elevation in Colorado. He only needs a close decision to cash, and thinks Fletcher can win rounds with pressure and grappling.

plus 165 moneyline; mentions point spread +3.5
"I just need a 2928 get me to a split decision and there's value at these plus 165 odds on on AJ Fletcher"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Lucrative James picks Battle but is hesitant due to Fletcher's early wrestling and durability. He notes Fletcher gasses out but stays tough, so Battle may come back late. He doesn't want to lay -200 on a fighter with cardio issues, but expects Battle to win via late finish or decision. He also considers a small bet on Fletcher but ultimately passes.

Battle submission considered; Battle round 3 considered
"Pick Battle for the minus EV comeback win... AJ Fletcher will do well early but he probably capitulate late."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The host picks Battle to win inside the distance, citing his reach advantage and ability to touch Fletcher from distance with leg kicks and body shots. He expects Battle's cardio and pressure to wear on Fletcher, leading to a late finish (round 2 or 3). He notes Fletcher's power but questions his durability and cardio, and that Fletcher's wins rely on early finishes.

"give me Brian battle inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul also picks Battle, but sees a path for Fletcher via wrestling and pressure. He notes Battle's 38% takedown defense but believes Battle's best characteristic is fighting moving backwards, which counters Fletcher's forward pressure. He mentions the reach advantage and Battle's experience.

"I think I'm also gonna tail on that and just go with probably in battle... I too I do see the path for AJ Fletcher."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, citing his 10-inch reach advantage and better overall skills. He notes Battle lost to Renat Khetagurov via wrestling but believes AJ Fletcher's grappling is not at that level. He criticizes Fletcher's short reach and tendency to get wild, predicting Battle will counter him at range. He expects a TKO in late round two, similar to Battle's last fight where he fired back in the pocket.

TKO late round two
"I've got to go Brian battle here I think he's a better fighter I think Brian battle is a better fighter than AJ Fletcher..."
WIN vs Gabe Green
KO (punch) R1 0:14 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gabe Green 0 6 of 12 50% 6 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Gabe Green 6 of 12 50% 2 of 8 2 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, noting his constant pressure and improving skills. He says Battle never quit in his last loss and that grinding loss prepared him. He thinks the striking will be even but Battle will have the more dangerous ground game. He bet 0.2 units on Battle at +110.

Bet 0.2 units at +110
"I think Brian's gonna win this fight right I think on the feet it's going to be somewhat even"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Big Brady likes Gabriel Green because he has a clear path to victory: taking down Bryan Battle. He notes Battle has poor takedown defense, citing his debut against Urbin and his last fight against Fakhretdinov where he was controlled for 14 minutes. Green is a brown belt in BJJ and has good cardio. Brady expects Green to grind out a decision, as both guys are tough and durable. He thinks the fight is competitive on the feet but Green's wrestling gives him the edge.

goes to decision
"gabrine has a clear path to Victory I think I think he he takes that clear path to Victory and potentially grinds out a decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, citing his lateral movement and ability to fight off his back foot. He notes that Green is a grimy forward pressure fighter but lacks cage cutting skills. He expects Battle to win a competitive decision, but worries about Battle's wrestling liability and short notice. He proposes a second Shoei bet.

Bryan Battle by decision (suggested), second Shoei bet
"I'm gonna take Brian battle he's the underdog I don't have a whole lot of other dogs on this card so I need one of them Brian battle Hopefully the guy but what I don't feel good about it is …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Battle's style is not honed and that Green's constant pressure and tirelessness will create opportunities. He points out that Battle's path to victory is unclear, while Green's game is straightforward and effective. Connor expects Green to control the fight and win.

"somebody who's all about constant creation and tirelessness are going to find constant opportunity."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Gabriel Green, citing his work rate, durability, and never-say-die attitude. He notes that Bryan Battle was badly exposed in his last fight, landing only three strikes and being taken down seven times. However, Battle has physical advantages in height and reach. Levi sees this as a close fight but favors Green's pressure and leg kicks.

"I kind of think Gabe Greene's work rate is going to be the difference but Brian battle is the more physical guy so that should be interesting"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Battle can utilize his range and height advantage to pick apart Green from distance, mix in takedowns, and wear on him with cardio. Green is a durable, hard-nosed striker but may struggle with Battle's pace and grappling. Battle should pull away late and win by decision, though a Green knockout is a possible hedge.

"I ultimately think he ends up winning by uh by decision although a good hedge could be the Gabe green via knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Paul picks Green, citing Battle's poor wrestling and Green's durability. He notes that Green can take Battle down and control him, and that Battle has been taken down multiple times in past fights. He expects a close competitive fight but leans toward Green. He accepts the second Shoei bet.

second Shoei bet
"I don't know man maybe we should just have like a second a second chewy bed a one for one on this one I'll take I'll take second chewy bet you know what you got yourself a deal"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

The MMA Guru picks Bryan Battle, noting that he was dealt a bad card in his last fight against a tough opponent. He believes Battle is underrated and can keep up with Green's pace, picking him apart for a 30-27 decision.

decision 30-27
"I am gonna go with Brian battle over Gabe green... I think he'll pick him apart for three rounds to a 30-27 decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Gabe Green

Zane picks Gabe Green, citing his constant pressure and output as a style that will overwhelm Bryan Battle, who lacks a clear plan and relies on scrapping. He notes that Battle struggled against wrestlers and that Green's relentless striking will keep him on the back foot. Zane expects Green to win by decision or late stoppage.

"green is the favorite here opened at minus one 20 or so, and is currently at minus one 27"
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 3 of 16 18% 25 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 43 of 68 63% 102 of 149 7 of 9 77% 0 0 14:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 3 33% 3 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 19 of 30 63% 37 of 52 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:41
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 5 20% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 0 10 of 15 66% 30 of 42 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:49
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 1 of 8 12% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Bryan Battle 1 14 of 23 60% 35 of 55 3 of 3 100% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 3 of 16 18% 1 of 11 1 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 43 of 68 63% 38 of 62 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 11 2 of 3 33 of 54
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 19 of 30 63% 16 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 25
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 10 of 15 66% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 12
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 of 8 12% 0 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bryan Battle 14 of 23 60% 13 of 21 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, citing that Bryan Battle is stepping up on short notice and facing the toughest opponent of his career. He believes Fakhretdinov's wrestling will be the difference, as Battle has poor takedown accuracy. He acknowledges Battle is a live underdog and plans to look for prop bets on him.

Plans to look for plus 3.5 or win inside distance (decision no action) on Bryan Battle
"I'm gonna go with we're not here and I think his wrestling is going to be the difference"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Big Brady picks Bryan Battle as an underdog, citing Fakhretdinov's padded record against low-level competition. He likes Battle's striking, power, opportunistic submission game, and cardio. However, he notes Battle is hittable and has defensive issues, and Fakhretdinov has power. He expects Fakhretdinov to have early success but Battle to wear on him and get a late submission. He needs to see Battle's weight cut to increase confidence.

Battle wins by submission in round 2
"I like uh Brian battle to win the fight pull off the upset and I'll say late second round submission win for Brian battle"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody picks Battle as an underdog, believing his volume and striking can win rounds. He thinks Fakhretdinov's lay-and-pray style may not impress judges. He notes Battle has good takedown defense and cardio. He is not confident but sees value.

"I think Brian battle could just land the better shots in that space right so uh yeah slide Underdog clay Brian battle"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Connor picks Fakhretdinov, expecting him to come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game. He notes Battle is too takedownable and depends on scrambling after bad stuff. He thinks Fakhretdinov's clingy wrestling will be the answer to Battle's volume-based style.

"I'm just gonna pick fakratina of I think he'll just come out dedicated to an ugly wrestling game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Bryan Battle

Battle's style, pace, and pressure will cause Fakhretdinov problems, making him work too much and slow down. Battle either finishes in the third or wins a decision. The line moved against the host to +130, but he still likes the matchup. The main question is whether Battle can maintain his cardio at this weight class.

1.5 units at +112 (dog of the night)
"I love his overall style I love his Pace I love his you know never really settling for bad positions or anything like that and I think that's going to cause we're not some problems tonight make him work a …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Paul picks Fakhretdinov, noting his wrestling and control. He thinks Battle's takedown defense is not elite and Fakhretdinov will take him down. He is not sure about betting because of judging concerns but picks him.

"I'm gonna go with renault's uh I don't think I'm gonna be betting that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Bryan Battle, disagreeing with the majority picking Battle. He highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, citing 14 minutes of control time against Andreas Michailidis and a recent freestyle wrestling match where he made his opponent retire. He notes Battle took the fight on short notice and questions his preparation, suggesting Battle might be looking for a paycheck before Christmas. He believes Fakhretdinov's grappling is a different level and that Battle's takedown defense won't be enough.

"I'm going with renat for cretinov I know a lot of people are picking Brian Batson"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Zane agrees, noting Fakhretdinov's persistent wrestling game is the kryptonite to Battle's style of weathering attacks. He thinks Battle has no full dimension while Fakhretdinov has one strong dimension. He expects Fakhretdinov to take Battle down and test his guard.

"I think that like an insanely clingy persistent wrestling game is like the eqr to that approach"
WIN vs Takashi Sato
KO (head kick) R1 0:44 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'

"I think brian can win this fight with his noises and his jabs sato is a solid striker but i think the grinding style the takedown attempts from battle i think all of those are likely going to earn him …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle is more of a striker... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.

"I'll lean Battle to maybe break him down the stretch... you can't be laying on minus 270 on Brian Battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle will be the pick... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
Takashi Sato - Fight History
LOSS vs Themba Gorimbo
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · May 20, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Themba Gorimbo 0 30 of 47 63% 56 of 76 2 of 6 33% 0 1 2:21
Takashi Sato 1 33 of 56 58% 110 of 158 3 of 8 37% 0 2 11:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Themba Gorimbo 0 3 of 8 37% 15 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Takashi Sato 0 7 of 16 43% 39 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:58
2 Themba Gorimbo 0 14 of 17 82% 21 of 25 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
Takashi Sato 1 18 of 30 60% 40 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:20
3 Themba Gorimbo 0 13 of 22 59% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:35
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 10 80% 31 of 44 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Themba Gorimbo 30 of 47 63% 21 of 37 9 of 10 0 of 0 5 of 16 15 of 16 10 of 15
Takashi Sato 33 of 56 58% 21 of 41 12 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 25 9 of 12 12 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Themba Gorimbo 3 of 8 37% 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 3 of 4 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 7 of 16 43% 1 of 9 6 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 9 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 Themba Gorimbo 14 of 17 82% 9 of 12 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 4 11 of 11 2 of 2
Takashi Sato 18 of 30 60% 15 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 8 2 of 4 11 of 18
3 Themba Gorimbo 13 of 22 59% 10 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 8 1 of 1 8 of 13
Takashi Sato 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Takashi Sato
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sato (-110), Gorimbo (-110)

Round 1
The last UFC card before a much-needed weekend off is upon us, and it will be in the form of a dozen-fight showcase at the UFC Apex. There are two ranked fighters on the entire billing, both coming in the main attraction, but with any luck, those numbers will not matter when the cage doors close and the competitors all get after it. The first match of the evening comes in the welterweight division between two men who would very much like a win. With three losses in his last three appearances, Sato (15-6, 2-4 UFC) may need to get his hand raised to stay on the roster. Meanwhile, South Africa’s Gorimbo (10-4, 0-1 UFC) is hoping to have a second chance to make a first impression. This classic Japan vs. South Africa (or Zimbabwe, if you prefer birth nation) battle will be overseen by referee Chris Tognoni and his sweet mustache, and the combatants do not touch gloves before getting started. Gorimbo leads the dance with a head kick early, and follows it with a few punches while Sato bears down on him. Sato blocks another high kick before it can reach his head, and Gorimbo mashes forward to attempt a takedown. Sato stonewalls him and nearly shoves Gorimbo to his back, but he decides instead to stand back up and Gorimbo follows him to the clinch. Gorimbo looks to muscle his man down, and Sato turns the corner and dumps him to his back for a moment. Gorimbo explodes right back up, and he manages to suck Sato’s legs out beneath him and drag him to his seat. Sato moves to his knees while Gorimbo hooks his foe’s legs between one of his own, and he wall-walks to stand back up as Gorimbo continues to jam him up. Gorimbo looks for a trip that does not succeed, and he lifts up a knee to the chest to get a strike off in this position. This allows Sato to turn him around for a second, but Gorimbo powers him back around. “The Answer” answers a potential ref request for more action with another solid knee, and Sato replies with a half-hearted throw that he abandons when he realizes he will need to use much more energy than he is willing to succeed. Gorimbo drills another knee to the solar plexus, and Sato uses a sweep and a body lock to toss his foe to the floor. Gorimbo scrambles wildly, doing enough to get Sato down and circling around to take the back. The South African fighter hooks up a body triangle and starts fishing for a rear-naked choke, and Sato is wise to the attempt and tries to turn to a side to escape. Gorimbo softens him up with short strikes to the side of the head, and he hands on with back control until the horn blares.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 2
Sato initiates the second round aggressively, pressuring forward and hoping to turn the tables on Gorimbo after giving up the last round. Gorimbo cocks back a right hand and releases it, blasting the charging Sato in the face and knocking him down to the floor. Sato hits his back and tries to clear out the cobwebs, and Gorimbo leaps down on top of him and tries to jack him up with hammerfists. Sato gathers his thoughts enough to consider a takedown, perhaps in a desperation effort, and the two end up standing up in the clinch. Sato starts driving several knees to the body, and Gorimbo works for another takedown as he turns the Japanese fighter around. Gorimbo looks to hook up a single-leg takedown, and Sato reverses him brilliantly with a head-and-arm throw that deposits Gorimbo to the floor. “Ten” starts fishing for a scarf hold in the advantageous position, and when there is no submission to be found, he sits up. Gorimbo threatens off his back with a leglock, but it does not come anywhere near close before Sato starts smacking him in the face with ground strikes. Gorimbo tugs his toes on the fence to get enough leverage to work his way to his knees and then upright, where he stays bent over to go for a takedown. Sato defends with a series of elbows to the side of the head, and even when he is pulled down to his knees, he continues doing some work with elbows. Gorimbo keeps grinding on him and defends a throw from Sato to stay in this grueling position. Sato breaks away from the clinch and gains some space, but Gorimbo gives chase and wings punches at him until changing levels. The round ends with Gorimbo trying to take the fight down again.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 3
With Sato advancing as per usual to start off the round, Gorimbo is prepared and goes after another huge right hand. This time, Sato does not walk face-first into it, and he ducks it to tie the African fighter up. Gorimbo is glad to get back into the close range, where he turns Sato around and drags him down to a knee for a moment. When Sato springs back up, Gorimbo redoubles his effort and hits the takedown he is seeking. Sato falls to his back, with a cut around his right eye starting to bleed. Sato does not remain on his back for long before shifting enough to get to a knee, and Gorimbo again works his way around to take the back. “The Answer” locks his legs around the waist, and Sato grimaces in pain as the position must be causing him no small amount of discomfort. Sato attempts to turn and spin around, but Gorimbo has him locked down. Gorimbo lands occasional punches to both sides of the head to keep Sato guessing, with the strikes more frustrating than damaging. Gorimbo uses one moment to snake his right forearm around the chin, but he cannot sink it under it to lock down the rear-naked choke before Sato defends it. Sato cannot get out of this miserable position, and Gorimbo turns to the side and looks for a side choke. Sato takes advantage of this momentary lapse of judgment and flips Gorimbo to his back, and he starts shelling the African fighter with punches and elbows. Sato unloads a final barrage of blows, with few actually getting through the guard, and time expires before a stoppage is even close. It may have been too little, too late for the Japanese fighter, as the fight is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)

The Official Result
Themba Gorimbo def. Takashi Sato via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Angelo picks Themba Gorimbo based on his solid grappling and takedown defense shown in the loss to AJ Fletcher. He notes that Gorimbo never looked panicked and can make adjustments on the fly. While Sato is better than his recent record, Angelo believes his best years are behind him.

"I'm gonna have to go with themba here right and a lot of it has to do with how good he looked in the loss to AJ Fletcher"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Big Brady picks Themba Gorimbo to submit Takashi Sato in the second round. He notes that Sato has a massive hole in his takedown defense and ground game, and Gorimbo is the grappler who will exploit that. However, he has concerns about Gorimbo's cardio after his debut against AJ Fletcher, but gives him a pass for short notice. He expects Gorimbo to get takedowns early and submit Sato, though he advises against going all-in on this fight.

submission in round 2
"I'm gonna take them to go out there and submit Takashi Sato in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

Cody gives Sato a slight edge due to his power and experience. He notes Gorimbo's durability issues and thinks Sato's kickboxing could be decisive. He is not confident and calls it a 50-50 fight.

"I'm gonna take Takashi Sato."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Connor also picks Gorimbo, agreeing that his pace and aggression will be key. He notes that Sato is a solid defensive wrestler but will be tested immediately and repeatedly because he doesn't do anything. Connor expects an ugly fight but sees Gorimbo's pace winning out.

"I'll pick the pace with you, but ugly fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Daniel Levi picks Themba Gorimbo, citing confidence and mental state. He questions Takashi Sato's ability to rebound from a brutal knockout loss (head kick, back of head to canvas) and thinks Sato may be hesitant. He notes Sato has low volume but heavy hands, while Gorimbo is not the most athletic but may be hungrier. He admits Gorimbo could be faded but thinks Sato's demons will be a factor.

"I'll go with themba garimba uh to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The host picks Themba Gorimbo despite feeling slightly sketchy about him. He believes Gorimbo's grappling advantage will be the key, as he should be able to drag the fight to the ground and control Sato for the majority. He notes Gorimbo's striking is wild and erratic, but his kicks can keep Sato at range. He expects a decision win for Gorimbo.

"I think he is going to be the side here still feels slightly sketchy about him but I feel like he'll be able to use his grappling Advantage correctly here and get the W by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick, stating he has no strong opinion and that the fight is a toss-up. He does not commit to either fighter.

"I'm not very sold maybe you can sell me on a side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The MMA Guru expects a striking matchup, noting that neither fighter is strong on the ground. He believes Takashi Sato has become gun-shy on the feet since his KO over Jason Witt, while Themba Gorimbo is a big athlete with a reach advantage and trains at MMA Masters. He predicts Gorimbo will hurt Sato on the feet and then secure a submission, likely a rear-naked choke or armbar, finishing in the first round.

finish in the first round, submission (rear naked choke or armbar)
"I'm actually gonna go with themba gorimbo by finish in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Zane picks Gorimbo, citing his pace and aggressive wrestling as the modern way to win. He notes that Sato is a low-output counter puncher who will be overwhelmed by Gorimbo's constant pressure and awkward tie-ups. Zane acknowledges Gorimbo is not a good fighter but believes his pace will be too much for Sato.

"I'm going to pick pace to win. Yeah. It is the modern. It is the modern way to win an MMA."
LOSS vs Bryan Battle
KO (head kick) R1 0:44 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'

"I think brian can win this fight with his noises and his jabs sato is a solid striker but i think the grinding style the takedown attempts from battle i think all of those are likely going to earn him …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle is more of a striker... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.

"I'll lean Battle to maybe break him down the stretch... you can't be laying on minus 270 on Brian Battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle will be the pick... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
LOSS vs Gunnar Nelson
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gunnar Nelson 0 44 of 55 80% 140 of 166 3 of 3 100% 1 0 8:09
Takashi Sato 0 9 of 23 39% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gunnar Nelson 0 24 of 29 82% 46 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
Takashi Sato 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gunnar Nelson 0 12 of 16 75% 25 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Takashi Sato 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gunnar Nelson 0 8 of 10 80% 69 of 82 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:28
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 7 28% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gunnar Nelson 44 of 55 80% 36 of 47 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 20 1 of 2 33 of 33
Takashi Sato 9 of 23 39% 4 of 16 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gunnar Nelson 24 of 29 82% 21 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 1 20 of 20
Takashi Sato 4 of 12 33% 2 of 8 0 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gunnar Nelson 12 of 16 75% 9 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 7
Takashi Sato 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gunnar Nelson 8 of 10 80% 6 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 6
Takashi Sato 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Angelo picks Gunnar Nelson, predicting a submission win. He notes that Nelson has been away for two years due to rib injuries but has a short-notice opponent with grappling holes. He worries about Nelson's takedown entries leaving him hittable but thinks the UFC set him up for a win. He says Nelson probably wins by submission but acknowledges the layoff makes it uncertain.

prediction: wins by submission
"i think the stars have a line for him here but i would not be surprised if we see a pretty unmotivated gunner nelson who's kind of just doing this because he wants to fight in europe one last time"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Big Brady picks Gunnar Nelson to win by first-round submission, but expresses concern about Nelson's two-year layoff. He believes if Nelson is anywhere near his best, he should submit Sato early, as Sato has been submitted three times and has poor ground game. Brady notes Nelson has fought elite competition like Gilbert Burns and Leon Edwards, while Sato's level is lower.

first round submission
"gunner nelson first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Cody picks Nelson by submission, noting Nelson's superior grappling and Sato's submission liability. He thinks Nelson will get the fight to the mat and find a submission. He mentions the prop is minus 110 and he took it.

nelson by submission minus 110
"nelson by submission probably makes it look easy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Daniel Levi picks Gunnar Nelson by submission, noting that Sato has lost 75% of his fights by submission and that Nelson has 12 submission wins. He acknowledges Nelson's low striking volume and questions his motivation, but believes Nelson only needs one takedown to finish. Levi also mentions the hometown advantage for British fighters at the O2, suggesting a decision win is possible if it goes the distance. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the high price on Nelson.

Nelson by submission at -120; if goes to decision, Nelson wins
"most likely if gunny is anything like gunny used to be probably finds an opportunistic submission along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Nelson is a jiu-jitsu wizard who should get the fight to the ground and find a submission. Sato has been finished by submission in three of his last four losses, a huge red flag. However, ring rust and past injuries are concerns for Nelson. Sato has power and a karate style, but Nelson's grappling should be too much. I'd rather play Nelson inside the distance than the -450 line. I'm picking Nelson via second-round submission.

Nelson inside the distance; Nelson via submission round 2
"I do think that this is a tailor-made matchup for him to go out there and do what we all know he can do and that's use that jiu jitsu."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Paul picks Nelson, emphasizing his world-class skills and Sato's tendency to fade. He believes Nelson's cardio and grappling will be too much, and that Sato's power is only a threat early. He thinks Nelson will win handily, possibly by submission.

"gunner nelson should win this one pretty handily"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

The Guru picks Gunnar Nelson but expects a first-round scare where Sato drops him. He believes Nelson will recover, get a takedown, and eventually secure a rear-naked choke in round two or three. He notes Nelson's close losses to Leon Edwards and Gilbert Burns, and argues that if Burns couldn't finish him, Sato won't either. He predicts a late submission.

rear-naked choke round 2 or 3
"i'm gonna go gunna nelson... he gets dropped badly in round one and has to really fight back... eventually getting like a re-naked choke"
LOSS vs Miguel Baeza
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 4:28 · UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 28, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miguel Baeza 0 40 of 73 54% 43 of 82 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:09
Takashi Sato 0 15 of 58 25% 15 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miguel Baeza 0 18 of 37 48% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 29 27% 8 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Miguel Baeza 0 22 of 36 61% 24 of 44 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:02
Takashi Sato 0 7 of 29 24% 7 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miguel Baeza 40 of 73 54% 16 of 40 20 of 28 4 of 5 32 of 65 3 of 3 5 of 5
Takashi Sato 15 of 58 25% 10 of 49 4 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 56 0 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miguel Baeza 18 of 37 48% 5 of 17 10 of 16 3 of 4 15 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 8 of 29 27% 5 of 24 2 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 1
2 Miguel Baeza 22 of 36 61% 11 of 23 10 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 31 0 of 0 5 of 5
Takashi Sato 7 of 29 24% 5 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Jason Witt
TKO (punches) R1 0:48 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Takashi Sato 1 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jason Witt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Takashi Sato 1 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jason Witt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Takashi Sato 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 16
Jason Witt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Takashi Sato 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 16
Jason Witt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

Big Brady picks Takashi Sato, despite the narrative that Witt (Brahimaj) has a submission-heavy record. He thinks Sato's takedown defense and cardio will be key, and that Witt will gas after the first round. He predicts Sato will weather the early storm and get a knockout in the second round. He notes that Witt's UFC debut and poor cardio are concerns.

Sato by KO in round 2; wouldn't bet it; Witt at +105 is not an awful underdog play
"I think Sato is gonna weather the early storm... give me Sato by knockout in that second round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Takashi Sato

Daniel Levi leans with Takashi Sato, citing his full camp preparation and UFC experience. He notes Sato's karate style, judo base for takedown defense, and counter-striking power. However, he acknowledges Sato's questionable chin and that Witt is taking the fight on short notice but has a wrestling background. Levi thinks Sato's discipline and preparation give him the edge, but warns that short-notice fighters have pulled off upsets before.

"I'm allying with Sato just cuz he's had the full camp the UFC experience all those things."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

The MMA Guru picks Takashi Sato, citing his experience and recent UFC wins, while dismissing Jason Witt's resume as not UFC-level. He predicts Sato will dominate and win by submission in the second or third round, as Witt may come out aggressive but fade. He initially considered a decision but changed to submission, noting Sato is not a finisher but expects the experience gap to show.

Sato by submission in second or third round
"I'm definitely gonna be going with Takashi Saito... I'll go with Takashi Saito by submission in the second or third round"
LOSS vs Belal Muhammad
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:55 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Belal Muhammad 0 49 of 106 46% 78 of 148 2 of 9 22% 1 0 2:30
Takashi Sato 0 29 of 89 32% 34 of 95 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Belal Muhammad 0 20 of 40 50% 43 of 75 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:41
Takashi Sato 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Belal Muhammad 0 20 of 44 45% 25 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:20
Takashi Sato 0 12 of 40 30% 17 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
3 Belal Muhammad 0 9 of 22 40% 10 of 23 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:29
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Belal Muhammad 49 of 106 46% 40 of 85 7 of 19 2 of 2 42 of 98 3 of 4 4 of 4
Takashi Sato 29 of 89 32% 23 of 79 4 of 8 2 of 2 29 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Belal Muhammad 20 of 40 50% 16 of 30 3 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 35 1 of 1 4 of 4
Takashi Sato 9 of 30 30% 7 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Belal Muhammad 20 of 44 45% 17 of 37 2 of 6 1 of 1 18 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 12 of 40 30% 9 of 35 2 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Belal Muhammad 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 8 of 19 42% 7 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Belal Muhammad vs. Takashi Sato

Round 1
Headlining the early prelims by staying at welterweight, Muhammad (15-3, 6-3 UFC) looks to spoil Sato's (15-2, 1-0 UFC) sophomore Octagon appearance. Drawing the assignment for this one is referee Viacheslav Kiselev. As the fight begins, the two try to find their distance and jab at one another. Muhammad fires a right to the body and a left to the head, and then tries for a looping right hand that is barely blocked. He does this two-punch combination two more times, working the body and head indiscriminately and effectively. A big left hand cracks Sato, who backs away against the fence, and Muhammad charges in to try for a takedown and takes the back of his Japanese opponent. Muhammad lifts up Sato and drops him down, but Sato bounces back up and keeps the jab flowing. "Remember the Name" goes after a right high kick that does not quite find its mark, but a right hand following up does. Sato scores over the top with a right, and Muhammad uses this brief lull in the action to again wrap his hands around his adversary's waist. Sato circles away, and Muhammad shoots for a double leg takedown and emphatically puts Sato down. In the ensuing scramble, Muhammad takes Sato's back and secures the body lock. Cracking Sato with elbows, the horn sounds and this exciting round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 2
As the second round begins, Sato scores with a left hand up top and then one more to the body. He ducks away from the combinations of the American, and avoids a high kick as well. Muhammad briefly considers a takedown and Sato defends it well. Muhammad goes back to the combination that served him well in the opening stanza, with a right to the body and left to the head. Muhammad then leans on a few more left hands, scoring on each of them until he shoots at a distance for a takedown and somehow lands it -- albeit briefly. Sato escapes by trying to throw Muhammad, who returns to that right-left combo that scores almost every time he tries it. Sato sticks out a strong left jab, as Muhammad shoots in for another takedown attempt, but Sato is prepared for it. The two separate again, and Muhammad jumps in the air with a knee that is nowhere near his opponent. Sato tags Muhammad with a straight left hand, and Muhammad returns fire with a powerful right hook that backs off Sato. The two clinch, and Sato scores a trip and lands in side control with about 30 seconds left. Sato may not land a great deal while in control, but he does end the round on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 3
As the third and final round commences, the two men stand in the center of the cage and trade. They appear to clash heads, causing a cut to appear on the side of Sato's right eye, but this could have also come from one of Muhammad's left hands. Sato fires off a head kick and Muhammad blocks it, with the American closing the distance to try to drag the fight down. Muhammad fails on one attempt, but does not relent and eventually gets his man to the canvas.
"Remember the Name" takes Sato's back, and quickly tries for a rear-naked choke. Unable to secure it with one arm, he switches to the other and locks it up, forcing Sato to tap.
With the victory, Muhammad picks up the first submission win of his career.

The Official Result
Belal Muhammad def. Takashi Sato R3 1:55 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
WIN vs Ben Saunders
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 1:18 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Takashi Sato 0 46 of 90 51% 47 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ben Saunders 1 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Takashi Sato 0 39 of 74 52% 39 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ben Saunders 0 12 of 41 29% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Takashi Sato 0 7 of 16 43% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Saunders 1 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Takashi Sato 46 of 90 51% 9 of 46 22 of 28 15 of 16 29 of 70 17 of 20 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 28 of 69 40% 25 of 64 2 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 44 2 of 6 13 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Takashi Sato 39 of 74 52% 8 of 38 21 of 25 10 of 11 22 of 54 17 of 20 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 12 of 41 29% 10 of 37 1 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 35 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Takashi Sato 7 of 16 43% 1 of 8 1 of 3 5 of 5 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 16 of 28 57% 15 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 19
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'

"I think brian can win this fight with his noises and his jabs sato is a solid striker but i think the grinding style the takedown attempts from battle i think all of those are likely going to earn him a decision win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle is more of a striker... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.

"I'll lean Battle to maybe break him down the stretch... you can't be laying on minus 270 on Brian Battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle will be the pick... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."