Career Averages - Orion Cosce
Career Averages - Mike Mathetha
Orion Cosce
Mike Mathetha
Orion Cosce - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 51 of 82 | 62% | 100 of 139 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 34 of 47 | 72% | 83 of 104 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Orion Cosce | 1 | 17 of 35 | 48% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Urbina | 16 of 32 | 50% | 9 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 14 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 51 of 82 | 62% | 31 of 56 | 12 of 16 | 8 of 10 | 27 of 55 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 23 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gilbert Urbina | 10 of 18 | 55% | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
| Orion Cosce | 34 of 47 | 72% | 23 of 34 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 23 | |
| 2 | Gilbert Urbina | 6 of 14 | 42% | 2 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 17 of 35 | 48% | 8 of 22 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 7 | 16 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Orion Cosce because he believes Cosce can get takedowns and his takedown offense is better than Urbina's takedown defense. He notes Cosce's poor fight IQ and striking, but thinks he can grind out a win. He plans to bet on Orion to have more takedowns when the prop lines drop on Friday.
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to submit Gilbert Urbina in the third round. He notes that both fighters have questionable cardio, but he trusts Cosce to push through fatigue better. He sees Cosce as the better wrestler who can mix in takedowns and wear on Urbina, eventually getting a late submission. However, he admits he doesn't trust either fighter completely and calls it a low-level fight.
Cody thinks Cosce has a clinch advantage and better wrestling, but his cardio is a concern. He expects a close fight that could go either way, but leans Cosce due to his physicality. He is not confident and calls it a greasy fight.
Connor also picks Cosce, agreeing that he is a better athlete and more coordinated. He points out that Urbina gets tired and runs out of ideas, while Cosce maintains consistent power wrestling. Connor expects Cosce to win the first round and then both fighters to fall off, but Cosce will have the lead.
Daniel Levi picks Orion Cosce based on a coin flip, calling both fighters 'frauds.' He notes Cosce has more wrestling but gassing issues, while Urbina is more dangerous but can't wrestle. He is not confident and says he is passing on betting this fight. He leans Cosce because the coin said so.
The host picks Gilbert Urbina as an underdog, citing his more complete skill set including better striking, jiu-jitsu, and wrestling. He thinks Urbina's activity off his back could lead to a submission, and he expects the pace to force Cosce to slow down. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and predicts a submission in the second round.
Paul picks Urbina to be different, citing a potential edge in cardio and length. He acknowledges both fighters are unreliable and that the loser may be cut. He is not confident and will not bet.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce, citing his wrestling and grinding style. He notes Cosce's loss to Blood Diamond is not disqualifying, as Philip Rowe is a good fighter. He questions Gilbert Urbina's UFC caliber, suggesting he may not deserve to be there, and also raises concerns about Urbina's weight cut and conditioning. He expects Cosce to grind out a decision over the rounds.
Zane picks Cosce, describing him as a slightly better athlete and more consistently putting himself in strong positions with good leverage for throws and lifts. He notes that Urbina is not very coordinated and lacks natural athleticism, and that Cosce's power wrestling game should prevail. Zane expects an ugly fight but sees Cosce winning the first round when fresh.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 77 of 107 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 9:26 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 63 of 98 | 64% | 90 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 21 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 33 of 59 | 55% | 50 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 38 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 10 of 11 | 90% | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 25 of 52 | 48% | 14 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 11 |
| Mike Mathetha | 63 of 98 | 64% | 28 of 55 | 26 of 29 | 9 of 14 | 34 of 60 | 29 of 37 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 8 of 15 | 53% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 20 of 28 | 71% | 5 of 9 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 33 of 59 | 55% | 19 of 42 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 5 of 12 | 41% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Mike Mathetha | 10 of 11 | 90% | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to win by first-round submission. He notes Cosce is the wrestler with a 100% finish rate, but has cardio concerns if the fight extends past the first round. He believes Cosce will get takedowns early and finish Mathetha, who has a kickboxing background but limited MMA experience. Brady is staying away from betting this fight due to the sketchy nature of low-level matchups.
Cody picks Cosce, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Blood Diamond has zero takedown defense and will be taken down and mauled. He thinks Cosce will get the takedown early and deliver ground and pound. He also mentions that Cosce has cardio issues but expects him to finish inside two rounds. He says the price is about right but that Cosce should win.
Daniel picks Cosce but is not confident. He notes Cosce has serious gas tank issues and is not a great grappler. He acknowledges Blood Diamond's kickboxing background but says his MMA experience is minimal (3-1). He thinks if Cosce can take the fight to the ground, he can win, but if they stand and bang, it could get interesting. He does not want to lay -175 on Cosce, so he passes on betting.
Preet expects Cosce to get the fight to the ground quickly and finish early, or Blood Diamond catches him on the way in. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +111, predicting an early finish either way. He notes Cosce's rough weight cut but still leans on his grappling to end it quickly.
Paul leans Cosce but is not confident. He notes that Blood Diamond is knockout or bust and that Cosce has a wrestling advantage. He thinks Cosce will take him down and finish him early, but if it goes to the second or third, Cosce's cardio could be an issue. He also mentions that Blood Diamond pulled out of the fight six weeks ago, which is a concern. He says he would wait for live betting after the first round.
The MMA Guru predicts Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond) will win by TKO in the third round. He expects Orion Cosce to take Mathetha down repeatedly in the first two rounds, but Mathetha will work back to his feet and land damaging knees to the body. Cosce's weight cut was bad, so he will slow down in round three, allowing Mathetha to finish him with knees and strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rowe | 1 | 46 of 93 | 49% | 53 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 51 of 82 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 6:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Rowe | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 7 of 11 | 63% | 22 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 2 | Philip Rowe | 1 | 43 of 87 | 49% | 45 of 89 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rowe | 46 of 93 | 49% | 32 of 76 | 13 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 78 | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 22 of 52 | 42% | 17 of 45 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 16 of 44 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philip Rowe | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 7 of 11 | 63% | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | |
| 2 | Philip Rowe | 43 of 87 | 49% | 31 of 72 | 12 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 31 of 73 | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Orion Cosce | 15 of 41 | 36% | 11 of 35 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 38 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Philip Rowe over Orion Cosce. He highlights Rowe's significant 9.5-inch reach advantage and superior cardio, noting that Rowe is a better grappler with a brown belt in BJJ and slick submissions off his back. He expects Cosce to have early wrestling success but fade, allowing Rowe to secure a late finish. Brady predicts a third-round knockout for Rowe.
Cody picks Philip Rowe as a live underdog, citing his massive reach advantage (9 inches) and tricky striking. He notes that Cosce has cardio issues and that Rowe can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Cody believes that if Rowe survives the first round, he can take over as Cosce tires. He already placed a bet on Rowe at +150.
Daniel Levi is surprised that Cosce is a -160 favorite, as he sees this as a more even fight. He believes Rowe has significant physical advantages with his 81-inch reach and 6'4" frame, and that his jiu-jitsu training under Julian Williams and Adolfo Vieira gives him a submission threat. Levi acknowledges Rowe's vulnerability to leg kicks due to his build but hasn't seen Cosce employ that strategy. He leans on Rowe to use his physical tools and possibly find a submission or grind out a decision.
Rowe has a huge reach and height advantage, slicker boxing, good movement, and enough jiu-jitsu to avoid trouble. Cosce's regional tape shows gassing and sketchy competition. Rowe's distance striking should wear Cosce down as the fight progresses. The only concern is leg kicks, but Cosce doesn't rely on them heavily. Rowe by decision is the most likely outcome.
Paul leans towards Orion Cosce, noting his power and wrestling advantage. He believes Cosce can take Rowe down and use his strength to control the fight. However, he is concerned about Cosce's cardio and the reach disadvantage. Paul sees this as a close fight and is not confident enough to bet, calling it a 'dog or pass' spot.
The MMA Guru picks Orion Cosce over Philip Rowe, stating that Cosce is better and pressures opponents. He notes that Rowe struggled against Gabriel Green, who pressured him, and that Cosce is a better pressure fighter. He expects Cosce to break Rowe as the rounds go on and predicts a finish in the third round by TKO.
Mike Mathetha - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 0 | 44 of 94 | 46% | 75 of 136 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 63 of 112 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 9:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 9 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 18 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 13 of 34 | 38% | 24 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 20 of 39 | 51% | 25 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 0 | 27 of 47 | 57% | 42 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Radtke | 44 of 94 | 46% | 19 of 58 | 19 of 28 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 58 | 25 of 36 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 35 of 76 | 46% | 31 of 72 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 27 of 59 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles Radtke | 4 of 13 | 30% | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 4 of 11 | 36% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Charles Radtke | 13 of 34 | 38% | 2 of 17 | 8 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 22 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 20 of 39 | 51% | 18 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 31 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Charles Radtke | 27 of 47 | 57% | 15 of 30 | 9 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 26 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Mathetha | 11 of 26 | 42% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is shooting his shot on Blood Diamond as a two-to-one underdog. He notes that Charlie Radtke is a big favorite but has questionable cardio and gets hit by regional-level fighters. If Blood Diamond can defend takedowns, his striking should be too much. Angelo plans to look for a KO prop at plus money when props drop.
Big Brady picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident laying the price. He notes Radtke's good jiu-jitsu and submission skills, but worries he hasn't wrestled much. He thinks if Radtke gets takedowns, he will submit Blood Diamond. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody picks Mathetha as a value underdog, arguing that the line is inaccurate and that Radtke's wrestling may not be as effective as expected. He notes that Mathetha has a kickboxing background and could win if the fight stays standing. Cody is tempted by the plus money and sees this as a potential upset.
Daniel Levi picks Charlie Radtke but is not confident in the price. He thinks Radtke is overhyped and not as special as people claim. However, he gives Radtke the edge due to more MMA experience and offensive grappling. Levi notes that Mathetha has been off for over a year and could have improved his grappling, but until he sees it, he picks against him.
Radtke is a CFFC welterweight champion with a BJJ black belt, recently winning by submission. He closes distance well and uses trips and throws to get fights to the ground. Blood Diamond is a kickboxer who has been fed grapplers and is still seeking his first UFC win. Radtke should be competitive on the feet and then take the fight to the mat, working for a submission within the under 2.5 round mark. The pick is Radtke by submission.
Paul picks Radtke, citing his superior grappling and submission skills. He notes that Mathetha has poor takedown defense and that Radtke should be able to secure a submission. Paul likes the Radtke by submission prop and believes Radtke will win this fight even if he loses every other fight in the UFC.
The MMA Guru picks Charlie Radtke over Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond), despite acknowledging that Radtke may not be UFC caliber. He notes that Mathetha has significant holes in his game, particularly in grappling, and is old (34-35) to make adjustments. Radtke has a win over Raheem Forrest, a regional prospect, and showed grappling ability by choking him out after getting rocked. He believes Radtke will outgrapple Mathetha and submit him in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 77 of 107 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 9:26 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 63 of 98 | 64% | 90 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 18 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 23 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 21 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 33 of 59 | 55% | 50 of 76 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 38 of 48 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:06 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 10 of 11 | 90% | 17 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion Cosce | 25 of 52 | 48% | 14 of 38 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 27 | 9 of 14 | 8 of 11 |
| Mike Mathetha | 63 of 98 | 64% | 28 of 55 | 26 of 29 | 9 of 14 | 34 of 60 | 29 of 37 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orion Cosce | 8 of 15 | 53% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 20 of 28 | 71% | 5 of 9 | 12 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 11 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Orion Cosce | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 6 of 9 | 1 of 3 |
| Mike Mathetha | 33 of 59 | 55% | 19 of 42 | 10 of 11 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 16 of 24 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Orion Cosce | 5 of 12 | 41% | 3 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
| Mike Mathetha | 10 of 11 | 90% | 4 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to win by first-round submission. He notes Cosce is the wrestler with a 100% finish rate, but has cardio concerns if the fight extends past the first round. He believes Cosce will get takedowns early and finish Mathetha, who has a kickboxing background but limited MMA experience. Brady is staying away from betting this fight due to the sketchy nature of low-level matchups.
Cody picks Cosce, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Blood Diamond has zero takedown defense and will be taken down and mauled. He thinks Cosce will get the takedown early and deliver ground and pound. He also mentions that Cosce has cardio issues but expects him to finish inside two rounds. He says the price is about right but that Cosce should win.
Daniel picks Cosce but is not confident. He notes Cosce has serious gas tank issues and is not a great grappler. He acknowledges Blood Diamond's kickboxing background but says his MMA experience is minimal (3-1). He thinks if Cosce can take the fight to the ground, he can win, but if they stand and bang, it could get interesting. He does not want to lay -175 on Cosce, so he passes on betting.
Preet expects Cosce to get the fight to the ground quickly and finish early, or Blood Diamond catches him on the way in. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +111, predicting an early finish either way. He notes Cosce's rough weight cut but still leans on his grappling to end it quickly.
Paul leans Cosce but is not confident. He notes that Blood Diamond is knockout or bust and that Cosce has a wrestling advantage. He thinks Cosce will take him down and finish him early, but if it goes to the second or third, Cosce's cardio could be an issue. He also mentions that Blood Diamond pulled out of the fight six weeks ago, which is a concern. He says he would wait for live betting after the first round.
The MMA Guru predicts Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond) will win by TKO in the third round. He expects Orion Cosce to take Mathetha down repeatedly in the first two rounds, but Mathetha will work back to his feet and land damaging knees to the body. Cosce's weight cut was bad, so he will slow down in round three, allowing Mathetha to finish him with knees and strikes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 23 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 4:25 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 0 | 15 of 19 | 78% | 23 of 27 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 1 | 0 | 4:25 |
| Mike Mathetha | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wells | 15 of 19 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 16 |
| Mike Mathetha | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Wells | 15 of 19 | 78% | 14 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 16 |
| Mike Mathetha | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
No matter what the broadcast displays, the debuting fighter out of City Kickboxing’s name is Mike Mathetha (3-0, 0-0 UFC), and not “Blood Diamond.” That is just his nickname. In his first Octagon appearance with just three pro MMA fights on his belt and an unknown number of kickboxing contests in the past, he will take on the surging powerhouse Wells (9-2-1, 1-0 UFC) at welterweight. Keeping his head on a swivel will be referee Jacob Montalvo, and Wells decides against touching gloves and instead sprints around the edge of the cage to possibly gain momentum and fly out with a strike, but he trips and nearly blows out his ankle. Mathetha crashes in while loading up on a right hand, and he misses it and they clinch up, with Wells trying to take the fight down. The action stalls out with Wells in pursuit of a body lock, but he cannot get the right leverage and cannot trip Mathetha down. Wells opts to lift Mathetha in the air, and he slams him to the mat and immediately lands in mount. “Blood Diamond” turns over, and he gives up his back while Wells hunts for a quick rear-naked choke. Wells flattens Mathetha out as Mathetha turns to his side, and Wells slugs away at him before latching on to another rear-naked choke. The City Kickboxing fighter turns into the choke with his chin tucked, stifling the submission, and Wells postures up to blast Mathetha with high elbows and punches. Mathetha gets to his knees, only to get wrenched back down, all while Wells works him over with punches. Wells pounds on Mathetha with right hands, and a strike or two hits the back of the head without any protest. Wells goes for another rear-naked choke, and bails on it to find a better angle as Mathetha sits up.
“Blood Diamond” makes a grave mistake by trying to stand without fighting off the choke, and he falls down to the mat when Wells sinks in the choke once and for all. Without any hooks in, the Philadelphia native squeezes with all his might, and “Blood Diamond” goes out on his shield and falls unconscious instead of tapping out.
Wells lets Montalvo know Wells is sleeping, Montalvo checks Mathetha’s arm, and it is limp. Montalvo intervenes quickly, and Mathetha comes to soon enough with no harm done.
The Official Result
Jeremiah Wells def. Mike Mathetha R1 4:38 via Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angelo picks Jeremiah Wells because he is the more complete MMA fighter with solid takedowns and very good BJJ. He acknowledges that Mathetha is a dangerous striker but believes Wells can close the distance, drop down for takedowns, and work his jiu-jitsu. He notes that Wells' striking is wild but sets up his grappling.
Big Brady is confident in Jeremiah Wells due to his well-rounded skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wells trains at Renzo Gracie Philly and has a legit black belt in BJJ with good wrestling. He expects Wells to take down Blood Diamond and submit him in the first round, as Blood Diamond's competition has been weak and his takedown defense is questionable. Brady also mentions Wells has never been knocked out.
Cody agrees, noting Wells' BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Mathetha's lack of ground game and poor fundamentals will be exposed. He expects Wells to finish early, possibly by submission.
Daniel Levi picks Jeremiah Wells, citing his experience, black belt in jiu-jitsu, and improvement on the feet. He notes that Mike Mathetha is a kickboxer transitioning to MMA with only three fights and a two-year layoff. Levi believes Wells will use his grappling to expose Mathetha's lack of MMA experience.
Wells is a strong grappler who should easily take Mathetha down and finish him. Mathetha is a kickboxer with poor takedown defense and has been controlled against the cage in past fights. Wells has seen harder shots and has cardio comparable to Mathetha. The inside the distance line at -125 is the best play as Wells should get a finish.
Paul is very confident in Wells, citing his grappling advantage and power. He notes Mathetha has no ground game and is a kickboxer with sloppy technique. He expects Wells to take him down and submit him early.
The MMA Guru picks Jeremiah Wells to win by first-round KO. He criticizes Mike Mathetha's kickboxing level, calling him clumsy and overhyped, while noting Wells' explosive power and grappling advantage. He believes the debut pressure will be too much for Mathetha.
Expert Picks (6)
Big Brady picks Orion Cosce to win by first-round submission. He notes Cosce is the wrestler with a 100% finish rate, but has cardio concerns if the fight extends past the first round. He believes Cosce will get takedowns early and finish Mathetha, who has a kickboxing background but limited MMA experience. Brady is staying away from betting this fight due to the sketchy nature of low-level matchups.
Cody picks Cosce, citing his wrestling advantage. He notes that Blood Diamond has zero takedown defense and will be taken down and mauled. He thinks Cosce will get the takedown early and deliver ground and pound. He also mentions that Cosce has cardio issues but expects him to finish inside two rounds. He says the price is about right but that Cosce should win.
Daniel picks Cosce but is not confident. He notes Cosce has serious gas tank issues and is not a great grappler. He acknowledges Blood Diamond's kickboxing background but says his MMA experience is minimal (3-1). He thinks if Cosce can take the fight to the ground, he can win, but if they stand and bang, it could get interesting. He does not want to lay -175 on Cosce, so he passes on betting.
Preet expects Cosce to get the fight to the ground quickly and finish early, or Blood Diamond catches him on the way in. He bet the under 1.5 rounds at +111, predicting an early finish either way. He notes Cosce's rough weight cut but still leans on his grappling to end it quickly.
Paul leans Cosce but is not confident. He notes that Blood Diamond is knockout or bust and that Cosce has a wrestling advantage. He thinks Cosce will take him down and finish him early, but if it goes to the second or third, Cosce's cardio could be an issue. He also mentions that Blood Diamond pulled out of the fight six weeks ago, which is a concern. He says he would wait for live betting after the first round.
The MMA Guru predicts Mike Mathetha (Blood Diamond) will win by TKO in the third round. He expects Orion Cosce to take Mathetha down repeatedly in the first two rounds, but Mathetha will work back to his feet and land damaging knees to the body. Cosce's weight cut was bad, so he will slow down in round three, allowing Mathetha to finish him with knees and strikes.
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