UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022 · Light Heavyweight · Completed
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 3"
Reach 80"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 46
Height 6' 2"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jiří Procházka
5.69 SLpM
55.0% Str. Acc.
5.6 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.51 TD Avg
60.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Glover Teixeira
3.73 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.43 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
2.11 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Jiří Procházka
Moneyline
Caesars -220
KO/TKO
FanDuel -135
Submission
FanDuel +3000
Decision
BetMGM +750
Glover Teixeira
Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
FanDuel +380
Decision
DraftKings +900
Jiří Procházka - Fight History
LOSS vs Carlos Ulberg
KO R1 3:45 · UFC 327 · Apr 11, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 14 of 20 70% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Ulberg 1 27 of 42 64% 27 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 14 of 20 70% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Carlos Ulberg 1 27 of 42 64% 27 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 14 of 20 70% 6 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 8 14 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Ulberg 27 of 42 64% 21 of 35 1 of 2 5 of 5 16 of 30 0 of 0 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 14 of 20 70% 6 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 8 14 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Carlos Ulberg 27 of 42 64% 21 of 35 1 of 2 5 of 5 16 of 30 0 of 0 11 of 12
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo picks Jiří Procházka, believing he will close the distance and make the fight ugly. He acknowledges Carlos Ulberg's technical striking and range management but doubts his power to knock out Procházka, citing Ulberg's KO victims as low-level. He thinks Procházka wins if he gets in the pocket and notes the odds are interesting.

"Jiří Procházka's going to be the pick. Minus 135, these odds are very, very interesting here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 5, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady expects Procházka to be patient in the first round, then turn up the pressure in the second and third rounds, breaking Ulberg similar to how Kennedy Nzechukwu broke him. He notes Procházka's durability and power, but acknowledges his poor striking defense and the risk of being knocked out. He predicts a second-round knockout for Procházka.

second round knockout
"I'm taking Jiří Procházka. He could get knocked out here, Jiří. I always talk about the striking defense... give me Jiří Procházka to win this fight by second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Cody leans towards Ulberg's technical striking and believes he can intercept Procházka early. He thinks Ulberg's tight style and jab will exploit Procházka's openings, but acknowledges it's a close fight.

"I think I'm edging to more towards Alberg... I just feel like Carlos Berg maybe intercepts him or within the first three rounds and puts him away."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka despite some concerns about his recent tendency to overthink and hesitate early in fights. He notes that Procházka has a clear striking plan and is a devastating finisher, while Ulberg's style relies on speed and clean single shots but lacks maintenance work and pressure. Connor believes Ulberg hasn't proven he can handle this level of pressure and that Procházka will eventually force exchanges and land fight-ending blows. He acknowledges Ulberg's speed and power but thinks Procházka's durability and finishing ability will prevail.

Odds comment: Procházka opened +145, dropped to -120, currently -110; Ulberg opened -170, jumped to +105, currently -110. Connor thinks Procházka should be a favorite.
"I got to pick Prashazka here. But, you know, it's a great test for Olberg..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel Vreeland picks Carlos Ulberg because he believes Ulberg's precision striking and counter-fighting style will exploit Jiri's reckless aggression. He notes that Ulberg's jab and calf kicks can keep Jiri at range, and that Jiri's unorthodox style leaves openings for Ulberg's left hook. He also mentions that Ulberg has paid his dues and is ready for the title.

"I like Ulberg here. I think Ulberg's basics are significantly better than Jiri's, but I'm not sure about his cardio. So I think it'll balance out a little bit, but I like Ulberg to walk out of there with a …"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

Daniel is torn on this fight, acknowledging both fighters have strong cases. He notes that both scenarios start with Ulberg lighting up Procházka, but he ultimately picks the underdog Ulberg to win by knockout, citing his left hook and calf kicks.

"I'm going to pick the underdog Carlos Goldberg to come out here, chop down the calf of the beloved Yuri Prohaska, and eventually find a home for that left hook, get a knockout, and take that belt home to New …"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The host leans towards Procházka because of his proven toughness, durability, and kill-or-be-killed style, especially in a five-round fight. He notes Ulberg is the more technical striker, but Procházka's heart and ability to turn up the pressure when losing are major factors. He believes Ulberg may not have the same dog in him and could be overwhelmed by Procházka's relentless pressure.

Thinks fight likely ends inside the distance but odds are unplayable.
"I lean heavily towards Jairzinho here because I don't know if Overeem's got that dog in him, and that's often the difference in big, high-profile title fights such as this."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)

James is unsure who will win the fight, leaning towards Jiří Procházka after the line moved, but he doesn't commit to a winner. Instead, he focuses on prop bets, covering both fighters in different rounds.

Carlos Ulberg win in round 1 (+700), round 2 (+900); Jiří Procházka win in round 3 (+1000), round 4 (+1300), round 5 (+1600)
"I was leaning Albazi earlier in the week, he was plus 120. Now at minus 110, I'm leaning Jiří. So that just tells me that I don't know and James, you should probably stay away unless you want to get …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Apr 6, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Carlos Ulberg

James picks Carlos Ulberg as a slight underdog, reasoning that Ulberg will have his chance to win early and that Procházka has to survive the early storm. He acknowledges Procházka's advantages in experience and cardio but leans Ulberg because of the underdog value and early finishing potential.

Fight to end inside the distance; prop bets on Ulberg by KO in rounds 1-2 and Procházka by KO in rounds 3-5
"I'm going to go with Carlos Allberg. And there's a few reasons. The first reason is because he's an underdog, right? So I feel like this close this fight is close to 50/50, but Carlos is the underdog."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka's pressure and cardio are key in a five-round fight. He can absorb early shots and break opponents in later rounds. Ulberg is a good technical striker but may fade under Procházka's relentless pressure. Procházka's chin has held up against top competition, and Ulberg is not the same level of knockout threat as Pereira. Expect Procházka to finish in rounds 3 or 4.

Procházka wins in rounds 3 or 4
"I think Prohaska gets the finish in rounds three or round four."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Paul believes Procházka's chaotic style and cardio will allow him to survive early and finish late. He notes Procházka has never gone to decision in the UFC and expects a finish, possibly in later rounds.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go with Yuri and say that Yuri survives early and probably gets a finish late."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The MMA Guru picks Jiří Procházka over Carlos Ulberg, despite initially favoring Ulberg. He believes Procházka has improved his striking defense and head movement, and that Ulberg may break if the fight gets scrappy. He notes Procházka's baby is due the day after, and envisions a storybook win. He predicts Procházka will take over from the second half of round two onwards and win by TKO or decision.

"I'm going to go with Jiří Procházka, man."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 9, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Zane picks Procházka but expresses less faith than Connor, noting that Ulberg's style could flummox Procházka if he is too committed to his own approach. He points out that Procházka looked bad for two rounds against Khalil Rountree before turning it on, and that Ulberg's speed and clean punching could hurt Procházka. However, Zane believes Procházka will eventually go for it and that his finishing ability is the difference. He also notes that light heavyweight is a division where anyone can get knocked out, but Procházka's track record of finishes gives him the edge.

Odds comment: Procházka opened +145, dropped to -120, currently -110; Ulberg opened -170, jumped to +105, currently -110.
"I don't have as much faith in the area as I as I once did. I think there's a possibility that Olberg is so committed to his style that Yuri may be a little flummoxed."
KO R3 3:04 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 1 71 of 138 51% 71 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 66 of 158 41% 66 of 158 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 43 27% 12 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 24 of 65 36% 24 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jiří Procházka 1 47 of 71 66% 47 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Khalil Rountree Jr. 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 71 of 138 51% 44 of 100 16 of 25 11 of 13 61 of 127 10 of 11 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 66 of 158 41% 44 of 127 12 of 17 10 of 14 62 of 151 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 12 of 24 50% 7 of 17 1 of 2 4 of 5 12 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 15 of 32 46% 9 of 22 4 of 6 2 of 4 15 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 12 of 43 27% 7 of 34 1 of 4 4 of 5 12 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 24 of 65 36% 10 of 47 7 of 9 7 of 9 24 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jiří Procházka 47 of 71 66% 30 of 49 14 of 19 3 of 3 37 of 60 10 of 11 0 of 0
Khalil Rountree Jr. 27 of 61 44% 25 of 58 1 of 2 1 of 1 23 of 54 4 of 7 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo picks Jiří Procházka but is not confident, as he thinks the odds are too wide. He believes Procházka's relentless forward pressure and threat of takedowns will be key against Khalil Rountree, who struggles when moving backwards. However, he notes Procházka gets hit a lot and has been knocked out twice recently, while Rountree has power and durability. He calls it a very close fight.

"I'm going to pick Yuri here because I think that relentless crazy person forward pressure is going to be tricky for Khalil who does not fight as well backing up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady acknowledges Procházka's poor striking defense but believes he is built differently and will break Rountree as the fight goes on. He notes that Procházka often switches to an aggressive style in the second round, as seen in the Rakic fight. He predicts Procházka wins by second-round knockout.

Jiří Procházka by second round knockout.
"I like Yuri Bhashka to win this fight. I think he's going to break Khalil as the fight goes on. I'm going to take Gary Bhashka by second round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka, emphasizing that Rountree's technical improvements have not overcome his mental fragility. He notes that Procházka's relentless pressure and willingness to exchange will force Rountree into defensive mode, and that Procházka's athleticism and relaxed style give him an edge. Connor also acknowledges the possibility of Rountree landing a knockout or leg kicks, but believes Procházka's overall dynamics favor him.

"I got to just go with Proshaska here in terms of the general overall dynamics."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Khalil Rountree Jr.

The host expects a violent matchup, but Rountree's improvements will help him find Procházka's chin and his power will put Procházka away by knockout.

"I believe this will be a very violent matchup, but the improvements in Rountree's game, I think, will help him find the chin of Procházka. And I think Rountree has the type of power to put Procházka away."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The MMA Guru picks Jiří Procházka, believing his chaos and durability will overwhelm Khalil Rountree. He notes Rountree's lack of one-punch KO power and tendency to fade under pressure. He predicts a third-round TKO.

third-round TKO
"I'm going to say that Jiri Prochazka gets a third round TKO win."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Zane picks Procházka because he believes Rountree's mentality is his biggest weakness, as seen in the Jamal Hill fight where Rountree fought with fear despite having a technical advantage. Zane argues that Procházka's fearless, chaotic pressure will overwhelm Rountree, who tends to tense up and fight with a panic response. He also notes that Procházka is a better athlete, faster, and more dynamic, and that Rountree's leg kicks could be a threat but are unlikely to stop Procházka's forward pressure.

"I think that's just going to make him terrified of fighting Yuri Prashaska. Just terrified."
WIN vs Jamahal Hill
TKO (punches) R3 3:01 · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 2 97 of 165 58% 101 of 170 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Jamahal Hill 0 81 of 177 45% 84 of 180 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 1 32 of 58 55% 32 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jamahal Hill 0 23 of 64 35% 25 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 22 of 49 44% 22 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jamahal Hill 0 38 of 74 51% 38 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jiří Procházka 1 43 of 58 74% 47 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Jamahal Hill 0 20 of 39 51% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 97 of 165 58% 73 of 132 19 of 23 5 of 10 71 of 129 10 of 13 16 of 23
Jamahal Hill 81 of 177 45% 55 of 145 24 of 29 2 of 3 68 of 158 13 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 32 of 58 55% 27 of 51 3 of 4 2 of 3 28 of 51 4 of 6 0 of 1
Jamahal Hill 23 of 64 35% 17 of 56 5 of 6 1 of 2 21 of 59 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 22 of 49 44% 12 of 33 9 of 12 1 of 4 22 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jamahal Hill 38 of 74 51% 25 of 59 12 of 14 1 of 1 34 of 69 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jiří Procházka 43 of 58 74% 34 of 48 7 of 7 2 of 3 21 of 29 6 of 7 16 of 22
Jamahal Hill 20 of 39 51% 13 of 30 7 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 30 7 of 9 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo flips his pick to Jiří Procházka after initially favoring Jamal Hill. He cites Hill's poor weight management (claiming to be 240 lbs), delusion about his loss to Pereira, and lack of recent training. He believes Procházka's relentless pressure, durability, and never-quit attitude will overwhelm Hill, who has been inactive and may not be in proper fight shape.

"I think Yuri pahaska wins I've completely 180 flipped here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Cody picks Jamahal Hill, viewing him as a value play. He criticizes Procházka's defensive liabilities, wild style, and lack of a fallback grappling game. Cody notes that Procházka has been knocked out multiple times and relies on landing a big shot. In contrast, Hill is a volume striker with a good jab and right hand, and his only bad performance was on short notice against Pereira. Cody believes Hill's striking volume and durability will be key, and that Procházka's style plays into Hill's hands.

Mentions that this is a 205-pound striking match and buyer beware, but no specific prop.
"I like Jamal Hill I think this is definitely a value play this week minus 130 around that range"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka, citing his sustained pressure and ability to overwhelm opponents. He notes that Procházka's messy but systematic style is more reliable than Hill's self-taught, technically flawed approach. Connor points out that Hill's footwork is terrible, with crossed feet and a narrow stance, making him vulnerable to pressure. He believes that if Hill doesn't knock Procházka out early, Procházka's pressure will break him down. Connor also mentions that Procházka's recent loss to Pereira might affect his confidence, but his win over Rakic shows he still has the same grit.

Odds: Hill opened +122, now -125; Procházka opened -136, now +112. Connor thinks Procházka should be the favorite.
"Yuri is gonna win."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 14, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Daniel picks Hill, citing his volume as the best in light heavyweight history. He notes that Hill's durability and accuracy should be the difference, and that Procházka's defense is a concern. Daniel mentions that he took Hill at +100 earlier and believes the line should be closer to -150. He acknowledges both fighters have knockout power but thinks Hill can outclass Procházka.

Daniel took Hill at +100 earlier and says the line should be closer to -150. He mentions that both fighters have knockout power but Hill's volume is key.
"I actually took Hill here at plus 100 um I thought that you know if I'm the book Nick I'm charging you chalk on both sides"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Lucrative James picks Jamahal Hill via knockout, emphasizing Hill's power, volume, and ability to hurt opponents. He notes that Procházka gets hit frequently and has been dropped in many fights, while Hill has shown durability and heart, even with a broken arm against Paul Craig. James believes Hill's clean striking and cardio are on par with Procházka's, making it difficult for Procházka to break him late. He acknowledges recency bias from Hill's knockout loss to Alex Pereira but still favors Hill's striking accuracy and power.

"my prediction is Jamal Hill via knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jan 17, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The host leans with the power striking and pressure of Procházka. If his durability holds up, he should be able to pressure Hill, walk through his offense, land big shots, break him, and finish him within 10 minutes.

finishes within 10 minutes
"I am going to have to lean with the power striking and pressure of prasa here if his durability holds up similar to what I said about darush in the previous fight he should be able to pressure Hill walk …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Paul leans Hill but is less confident than Cody. He prefers the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' as a parlay piece, expecting a knockout. Paul notes that Procházka is a wild striker who gets hit a lot, and Hill has good durability. However, he points out Hill's takedown defense issues (Thiago Santos fight) as a potential path for Procházka. Paul thinks someone's head will get knocked off, and he leans Hill based on volume and chin.

Fight doesn't go to decision at -270 as a parlay piece. Also mentions under 1.5 rounds at +130 as a possibility.
"my preferred way like as a parlay piece is like taking like the minus 270 fight doesn't go to decision and uh and using that as a parlay piece this week"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Procházka. He emphasizes that Procházka's pressure and ability to force chaotic fights will be too much for Hill. Zane notes that Hill's technical flaws, especially his footwork and tendency to trade shots, play into Procházka's strengths. He also points out that Hill's path to the title was against aging fighters, while Procházka has faced tougher competition. Zane acknowledges the risk of Hill's power but believes Procházka's durability and pressure will win out.

Same odds commentary as Connor.
"You got to take your knee here. Yuri beats Jamal Hill."
LOSS vs Alex Pereira
TKO (head kick and punches) R2 0:13 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Pereira 2 38 of 50 76% 49 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jiří Procházka 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Pereira 1 27 of 37 72% 38 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jiří Procházka 0 7 of 25 28% 7 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
2 Alex Pereira 1 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jiří Procházka 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Pereira 38 of 50 76% 21 of 32 8 of 9 9 of 9 21 of 31 7 of 7 10 of 12
Jiří Procházka 7 of 25 28% 4 of 20 2 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Pereira 27 of 37 72% 10 of 19 8 of 9 9 of 9 20 of 30 7 of 7 0 of 0
Jiří Procházka 7 of 25 28% 4 of 20 2 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Alex Pereira 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 12
Jiří Procházka 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Cody picks Pereira to win again, citing his cleaner striking and the leg kick issue that Procházka couldn't solve in the first fight. He notes that Procházka's karate stance leaves his lead leg exposed, and Pereira's heavy leg kicks will be a problem. Cody also mentions that Pereira has improved his takedown defense since the first fight, and that Procházka's tendency to brawl plays into Pereira's hands. He acknowledges that Procházka is a madman who never stops coming, but believes Pereira's refined skills will prevail.

"Pereira for me... it's getting closer to a pick 'em because it's just going to be a straight-up fire fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Daniel Vreeland picks Alex Pereira, stating that Procházka's best path is creating chaos, but Pereira has the ability to navigate chaos and not engage with it while still taking advantage. He notes that Pereira is a more controlled and technical striker than Procházka, and he took care of him in the first fight. Vreeland believes Pereira will be almost impossible to beat unless someone comes with a heavy wrestling plan or is a striking savant like Izzy.

"I think Yuri prashka is probably worse nightmare as Alex paa... he has the ability to navigate the chaos and make it not chaotic for him himself... I think he's going to continue to beat guys."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel views the fight as a 50/50 coin flip, but likes the plus money on Procházka. He believes Procházka can create his 'perfect storm' and return the favor after being stopped early in the first fight. He notes that Procházka was not truly out and that the rematch is justified. He expects someone to hit the deck and hopes Procházka can avoid accumulated damage and the left hook.

"I took Yuri here plus 125... I'm going with Yuri because I think it should be minus 110 a piece... you give me a plus 125 I'm gonna go Yuri here."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Jeff Fox picks Alex Pereira, stating he usually takes the winner of the first fight in a rematch. He notes that both fighters are dangerous on the feet, but Pereira is a more controlled version of Procházka and way more technical. Fox believes Pereira can keep himself safer while still being dangerous, and he expects Pereira to do the same as the first fight.

"Give me Bea in this one... I usually almost always take the winner of the first to win the rematch... P just a more controll version of prashka definitely way more technical."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

The host acknowledges this is a very close fight, calling it a coin flip. He gives a slight edge to Pereira because he is the technically better striker, citing the calf kick and check left hook. However, he notes Procházka is just as capable of knocking Pereira out and that the underdog line at +130 is tempting. He ultimately leans Pereira by knockout but says he will likely not bet the fight, possibly taking the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds considered
"I ever so slightly lean with the fighter that is technically the better Striker and that's P that calf kick that check left hook... I'm going to take Pera Pera win by knockout and retain his title once again."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, emphasizing that he already beat Procházka once and is the cleaner striker. He notes that Procházka's leg kicks were a major issue in the first fight and that Pereira's left hook is deadly. Paul also points out that Procházka's takedown in the first fight was a result of Pereira grabbing a guillotine, a mistake he likely won't repeat. He expects a wild brawl but believes Pereira will finish Procházka again, possibly by knockout.

"I'm picking Pereira but there's no doubt about it that it's not going to come easy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The Guru picks Jiří Procházka to defeat Alex Pereira in the rematch. He notes that in the first fight, Pereira had little success outside of low kicks, and Procházka was coming off a long layoff and shoulder injury. He believes Procházka's active fighting style and recent war with Rakic will benefit him, while Pereira's last fight was an easy win over Jamahal Hill. He predicts Procházka will pressure Pereira and finish him by TKO in round three.

TKO in round three
"I'm gonna go with Yuri praska over Alex Pereira... I think he tko's Alex Pereira in round three"
TKO (punches) R2 3:17 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 69 of 118 58% 69 of 118 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:38
Aleksandar Rakić 0 58 of 109 53% 58 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Aleksandar Rakić 0 36 of 69 52% 36 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 53 of 80 66% 53 of 80 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
Aleksandar Rakić 0 22 of 40 55% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 69 of 118 58% 56 of 101 5 of 9 8 of 8 45 of 87 7 of 7 17 of 24
Aleksandar Rakić 58 of 109 53% 34 of 77 1 of 2 23 of 30 56 of 107 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 16 of 38 42% 10 of 29 2 of 5 4 of 4 15 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 36 of 69 52% 19 of 45 0 of 1 17 of 23 35 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 53 of 80 66% 46 of 72 3 of 4 4 of 4 30 of 50 6 of 6 17 of 24
Aleksandar Rakić 22 of 40 55% 15 of 32 1 of 1 6 of 7 21 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Angelo picks Jiri Prochazka as the underdog, citing his relentless pressure and chaos. He notes Rakic is the more technical striker but has been out for two years and doesn't like brawls. He likes the +110 odds as juicy but may not bet due to conservatism.

Odds comment: +110 is juicy
"plus 110 Jerry is the underdog those odds seem juicy"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is confused why Rakić is a slight favorite. He lists many red flags for Rakić: a near 2-year layoff, coming off a leg injury, low volume, and unimpressive performances even before the injury. In contrast, Procházka is a former champion with dynamic striking, power, and a samurai mentality. Cody notes Procházka has a fifth-round submission win over Glover Teixeira and can wrestle if needed. He believes Procházka's pressure and power will overwhelm Rakić, who tends to avoid fighting. Cody picks Procházka as the underdog.

"I'm actually confused on this one I don't know why it's even money... got to go with yri."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Connor picks Procházka because his willingness to create chaos and take risks is valuable at light heavyweight. He contrasts Procházka's creative, reckless style with Rakić's neurotically technical, restrained approach. Connor argues that Procházka's ability to scramble and make fights uncontrollable will overcome Rakić's grinding, as Rakić has not faced someone with Procházka's level of unpredictability.

Odds: Procházka opened -100, now -103; Rakić opened -128, now -107. Connor notes the odds are dead even.
"I am going to pick Jiri Prashaska because I think despite the immense risk inherent to his game, that is a very valuable thing to have in MMA in general at light heavyweight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Vreeland picks Jiří Procházka as a slight underdog, citing his chaotic, unpredictable style and ability to force opponents into brawls. He acknowledges Rakić's athleticism and leg kicks but believes Procházka's offensive juggernaut approach and durability will lead to a finish. Vreeland notes that Procházka has been knocked out but expects him to make it wild and catch Rakić.

"I'm gonna go with the former champ Jiří Procházka"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He says he is excited to see how Jiří Procházka bounces back from his loss. He does not provide a prediction.

"Jiří versus Rakić I'm excited to see how Jiří bounces back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Rakić will drag the fight to the ground where he can have success from top position. Procházka has struggled with opponents on top. Rakić will chain wrestling attempts and keep Procházka on his back, grinding out a decision win.

decision
"I think we'll see rage utilize that wrestling chain those wrestling attempts and then eventually keep rasa muzzled on his back and grind this fight out over 15 minutes winning this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Paul agrees with Cody, favoring Procházka. He notes that if it turns into an absolute fight, Procházka's pace and volume will be too much for Rakić, as seen in Procházka's fight with Dominick Reyes where he landed 77 significant strikes before a early third-round finish. Paul acknowledges both fighters have red flags (layoffs, injuries), but Rakić has been on the shelf longer and has bigger question marks. He emphasizes Procházka's samurai mentality and believes he will bring the fight to Rakić.

"I'm with I'm on Yuri as well... if it turns into an absolute fight you want Yuri."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić to defeat Jiří Procházka by targeting his lead leg with low kicks. He notes Procházka's weakness against leg kicks and that Rakić is comfortable backpedaling. He also mentions Rakić may mix in takedowns and predicts a finish or decision.

"Alexander rakic is going to chew up that lead leg of Yuri prasa."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Zane picks Rakić despite hating his fighting style. He believes Rakić will land leg kicks, take Procházka down, and grind out a win over three rounds. He notes Procházka's wildness could turn the fight, but Rakić's durability and grinding approach should prevail. Zane is hedging because he wants Procházka to win but feels Rakić is the safer bet.

Odds: Rakić opened -128, now -107; Procházka opened -100, now -103. Zane mentions the fight is dead even in odds.
"My feel bad vibe is that I'm going to take Alexander Rocketch. I think he's going to land a lot of leg kicks. I think Proshaska is going to start lunging in and getting really aggressive. And Rocketch is going …"
LOSS vs Alex Pereira
TKO (elbows) R2 4:08 · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Pereira 0 30 of 53 56% 44 of 70 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:45
Jiří Procházka 1 38 of 61 62% 49 of 72 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Pereira 0 11 of 19 57% 23 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:17
Jiří Procházka 0 11 of 20 55% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Alex Pereira 0 19 of 34 55% 21 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Jiří Procházka 1 27 of 41 65% 32 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Pereira 30 of 53 56% 18 of 37 7 of 10 5 of 6 26 of 49 2 of 2 2 of 2
Jiří Procházka 38 of 61 62% 21 of 38 5 of 8 12 of 15 22 of 43 4 of 4 12 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Pereira 11 of 19 57% 6 of 13 2 of 3 3 of 3 8 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2
Jiří Procházka 11 of 20 55% 4 of 9 1 of 3 6 of 8 8 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Alex Pereira 19 of 34 55% 12 of 24 5 of 7 2 of 3 18 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jiří Procházka 27 of 41 65% 17 of 29 4 of 5 6 of 7 14 of 26 1 of 1 12 of 14
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Fight: Alex Pereira vs. Jiri Prochazka
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-155), Prochazka (+130)

Round 1
Stepping in to save the day once more—these two men also headlined UFC 300 when everything was up in the air—the shoe is now on the other foot. While Prochazka (30-4-1, 4-1 UFC) was the champion nearly eight months ago, Pereira (10-2, 7-1 UFC) wrested it from him viciously with a right hook, a number of elbows and a helpful stoppage from typically excellent referee Marc Goddard. This time, Pereira is the second of the two announced, and violence is once more a virtual guarantee. Having performed 34 knockouts in their 40 combined victories, another one could be right around the corner. The staredown before the fight begins is just as sensational as the first time they fought if not better, as they do not break gaze from one another for a second. Referee Herb Dean will take charge in the main attraction, and he brings the intense power hitters together so they can touch gloves before the cage door seals behind them. It’s on with the chaos. Both men flirt with taking the middle of the cage first, but it is Pereira who ultimately claims it initially as he pitches out a low kick. A front kick from “Poatan” pushes into the belly, and Prochazka switches stances back and forth. Pereira connects with a heavy low kick, and Prochazka rushes at him and is jabbed away. Prochazka goes after his own leg kick, and he absorbs a much heavier one despite the stance switch. Pereira prods out with another push kick, and Prochazka tries to reach with a left hand and he absorbs one coming back. Pereira intercepts him with a dagger of a jab, and he is able to easily block a high kick. Prochazka races at him launching punches, and he gets countered and nods at the Brazilian. Pereira drives home a blistering leg kick, and Prochazka jabs the body and absorbs another kick on the other side. Pereira whips a kick to the ribs, and Prochazka does not answer. Instead, “BJP” bounces down a few times, as if to fake a level change, but Pereira is not buying it. Prochazka closes the distance and ends up tying the champion up, and Pereira answers him with a stern knee to the midsection. Prochazka looks to trip Pereira up, isolating the left leg of his foe, but the Brazilian’s defense is currently ironclad. They trade knees until Pereira tosses him aside, and he looses a head kick that brushes Prochazka’s shoulder. Pereira connects with a right hook, and he easily parries a high kick that swats his way. Power is completely in the favor of the champion so far, and Prochazka rushes at the champion right before the bell and is sat down by blazing left hook. When Prochazka hits his back, the round ends, and he wobbles back to his corner as it was not a stoppage.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-8 Pereira

Round 2
The second round begins with Pereira marching out of his corner, a man on a mission. “Poatan” unleashes a hellacious high kick that smashes into Prochazka’s dome and sets him crashing to the canvas. Dean rushes in but pulls back before intervening, and Prochazka sits up and turns to his side as Pereira charges him and blasts him with hammerfists. Knowing his work here is about to be done, Pereira finishes the job with a handful of ferocious fists to the side of the head. Dean steps in between them to call a halt to the main event, and if there was any question regarding the nature of the stoppage, Prochazka is unable to get back to his feet without assistance. Prochazka falls into the arms of Dean, as he should not have stood back up yet and is completely short-circuited. Pereira walks off, adjusting his foot, and he pops a toe back into socket or cranks it as it is broken or re-broken, likely from the punctuating head kick. Prochazka is brought down to the stool to recover, and when he recovers, he is crestfallen when learning the result. Once more, the two-division champion makes a statement, ending any debate regarding his series with Prochazka. In his post-fight interview, “Poatan” is asked about his future, which could potentially include a move to heavyweight to challenge for another belt. If the UFC does that, we will be here for that. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Alex Pereira def. Jiri Prochazka R2 0:13 via TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Angelo picks Pereira after flipping from Procházka. He acknowledges Procházka's ability to win ugly fights but believes Pereira's world-class kickboxing and left hook will be too much for the hittable Procházka. He falls into the 'easy narrative' but thinks it's correct.

"I am going to go with Alice B here he is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Big Brady picks Alex Pereira to win by first-round knockout. He criticizes Procházka's non-existent striking defense, noting he blocks punches with his face and has been rocked by lesser hitters. He believes Pereira's left hook will be too much for Procházka to handle. Brady acknowledges Procházka's toughness but thinks Pereira's power is a different level.

Pereira by first-round knockout
"I like Alex Pereira here... I'm going to take Alex Pereira to win this fight and win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, citing Procházka's long layoff and shoulder surgery as major concerns. He notes Procházka is a defensive liability who gets hit often, while Pereira is more polished and has been improving under Glover Teixeira. He believes Pereira's kickboxing pedigree and second fight at 205 will be key, though he acknowledges Procházka's power and volume could cause problems.

"I got a guy that I now still think is a defensive liability... Pereira meanwhile... more polished more refined kickboxer"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)

James passes on this fight entirely, calling it a massive pass due to extreme volatility. He notes both fighters have knockout power and questionable chins, and Procházka brings unorthodox strikes that Pereira hasn't faced. He leans slightly toward Pereira based on technical striking but admits he doesn't know and considers it 50/50. He mentions Procházka may have better recovery and durability.

No bet; considers over 1.5 but doesn't commit.
"Big pass for me."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Pereira's disciplined technical striking will be the difference against the wild and reckless Procházka. He will stuff takedowns and keep the fight on the feet. Procházka's power is a concern but Pereira's check left hook is nasty. Expects Pereira to open up a knockout victory and become the light heavyweight champion.

knockout victory
"look for the disciplined technical striking approach for Pera to open up a knockout victory over Yuri prasa"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing that Pereira's first move up to 205 was tough but now he's had time to fill out his frame. He thinks Pereira's grappling under Glover is improving and that the takedown threat from Procházka is minimal. He sees Pereira's precision striking as the difference, eventually clipping Procházka.

"I'm on board with you I feel like eventually he's going to get clipped from a much more precise type of strike so uh it's Pereira for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Alex Pereira, citing his takedown defense and momentum. He notes that Procházka drops his right hand when striking, leaving him open to Pereira's left hook. He also mentions that Procházka has been wobbled in every fight and has been out for a year and a half with injury. He predicts Pereira will TKO Procházka in round one or two.

TKO in round 1 or 2
"I reckon Pereira is going to TKO Yi in round two or one"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R5 4:32 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 111 of 161 68% 159 of 212 5 of 17 29% 1 2 9:47
Glover Teixeira 0 120 of 205 58% 157 of 245 0 of 0 --- 1 4 4:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 27 of 36 75% 48 of 58 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
Glover Teixeira 0 14 of 25 56% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
2 Jiří Procházka 0 27 of 42 64% 32 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:35
Glover Teixeira 0 36 of 66 54% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 22 54% 15 of 26 1 of 6 16% 0 1 1:17
Glover Teixeira 0 43 of 59 72% 55 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
4 Jiří Procházka 0 24 of 29 82% 29 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 1 2:33
Glover Teixeira 0 21 of 39 53% 29 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:09
5 Jiří Procházka 0 21 of 32 65% 35 of 46 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:33
Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 16 37% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 111 of 161 68% 98 of 145 12 of 15 1 of 1 45 of 86 6 of 7 60 of 68
Glover Teixeira 120 of 205 58% 106 of 190 12 of 13 2 of 2 76 of 142 8 of 11 36 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 27 of 36 75% 25 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 1 of 1 20 of 22
Glover Teixeira 14 of 25 56% 12 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 9 of 14
2 Jiří Procházka 27 of 42 64% 25 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 22 0 of 0 17 of 20
Glover Teixeira 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0 32 of 59 3 of 5 1 of 2
3 Jiří Procházka 12 of 22 54% 10 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 4 of 5 6 of 6
Glover Teixeira 43 of 59 72% 34 of 50 8 of 8 1 of 1 26 of 39 5 of 6 12 of 14
4 Jiří Procházka 24 of 29 82% 17 of 22 7 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 13 1 of 1 13 of 15
Glover Teixeira 21 of 39 53% 19 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 22
5 Jiří Procházka 21 of 32 65% 21 of 30 0 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Glover Teixeira 6 of 16 37% 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Angelo picks Glover, admitting bias but also providing objective reasoning. He notes Glover has multiple paths to victory (KO, submission, decision) while Jiri only has KO. He highlights Glover's takedown ability and Jiri's poor takedown defense. He believes Glover's chin will hold up and he can weather Jiri's early storm.

money line bet at plus 170
"i've got a money line bet on glover at plus 170. if you can't bet on your fights who the hell you gonna bet on but i genuinely bias aside think that glover can win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady picks Jiří Procházka to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Procházka has a significant advantage in striking power and reach, while Teixeira's chin is questionable at 42 years old. Although Teixeira has a path to victory via takedowns and ground control, Brady believes Procházka's unorthodox style and power will be too much.

win by knockout in round 1
"I'm gonna say Jiří knocks out Glover Teixeira in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Glover's grappling and submission threat, but thinks Procházka's dynamic striking and youth will be too much. He notes Procházka's takedown defense is an unknown but expects improvements. He leans Procházka by KO, but plans to hedge with Glover if needed.

under 2.5 rounds considered safest; plans to hedge with Glover at plus money
"my head tells me here he's going to catch it way too fast way too long... but my heart's telling me gloria's gonna wade to the left... i'm torn"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Levi picks Jiří Procházka but is very hesitant. He acknowledges the value on Glover Teixeira at plus money and admits he has been wrong on Glover many times before. He worries about Procházka's defensive liabilities and small UFC sample size, but ultimately leans on Procházka's unique style, speed, and finishing ability. He also mentions jet lag favoring Procházka since the Czech Republic is closer to Singapore than the US.

Procházka by KO; fight doesn't go the distance (minus 500); Glover money line or inside distance or submission line has value
"my official pick is going to be Yuri prohaska to become the new champ it's just you guys got to understand I've been wrong on so many Glory Sheriff fights this guy keeps defying the odds I think the value …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka has dynamic striking and power, and Glover's head movement is poor. Glover's path is grappling, but Procházka's length and movement make it hard to take him down. Glover has been knocked out by rangy strikers before. I see Procházka winning by knockout, likely in the first two rounds. The under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-190), Procházka by KO (-150)
"I think that pro huska will eventually find that chin and put him out here i just can't bet myself i would rather take the under two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Paul leans Glover by submission, citing Glover's superior grappling and top control. He questions Procházka's ground game and believes Glover will get a takedown and submit him. He notes Glover's chin issues but thinks his experience and BJJ will prevail.

Glover by submission
"i'm going to lean on glover does get a takedown and i don't know enough about pro hotsky's ground game... glover by sub"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The MMA Guru picks Glover Teixeira to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He believes Procházka has defensive flaws on the ground and gets hit often on the feet. He notes that many fighters have taken Procházka down, and Teixeira's grappling will be a major threat. He expects Procházka to be aggressive and switch stances, leaving openings for Teixeira's double-leg takedown. He mentions Teixeira's lack of damage in his last fight and championship experience as advantages. He admits he wants Procházka to win but thinks Teixeira has it.

first round rear-naked choke
"i'm going to go with a glover to share her first round remake of choke over yuri"
KO (spinning back elbow) R2 4:29 · UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Prochazka · May 01, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 63 of 108 58% 68 of 114 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:29
Dominick Reyes 1 77 of 136 56% 78 of 137 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 39 of 66 59% 39 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:29
Dominick Reyes 0 45 of 81 55% 45 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jiří Procházka 0 24 of 42 57% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Dominick Reyes 1 32 of 55 58% 33 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 63 of 108 58% 39 of 81 21 of 24 3 of 3 57 of 100 1 of 1 5 of 7
Dominick Reyes 77 of 136 56% 61 of 119 16 of 17 0 of 0 70 of 122 1 of 2 6 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 39 of 66 59% 25 of 51 12 of 13 2 of 2 39 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dominick Reyes 45 of 81 55% 36 of 71 9 of 10 0 of 0 44 of 79 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Jiří Procházka 24 of 42 57% 14 of 30 9 of 11 1 of 1 18 of 34 1 of 1 5 of 7
Dominick Reyes 32 of 55 58% 25 of 48 7 of 7 0 of 0 26 of 43 0 of 0 6 of 12
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dominick Reyes

Big Brady picks Dominick Reyes to win by first-round knockout, taking the underdog. He criticizes Procházka's striking defense, noting that he was tagged multiple times by Volkan Oezdemir and fights with his hands down. Brady believes Reyes is motivated after a bad loss and has the power to exploit Procházka's defensive flaws. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds, expecting an early finish. He acknowledges that both can knock each other out but favors Reyes due to Procházka's recklessness.

under 2.5 rounds, first round knockout
"i'm gonna take dominic reyes here to get the first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is a huge Jiří Procházka fan and has backed him before. He notes that Procházka comes out berserk and is always looking to bet the under on his fights. He believes Procházka will bomb rush Reyes and win the early rounds, and questions Reyes' durability after being flatlined by Jan Błachowicz. He also mentions that Reyes' output falls off in later rounds, which favors Procházka's aggressive style. However, he acknowledges that if Reyes survives the early onslaught, the fight could turn in his favor in a five-round fight.

under 1.5 rounds (lean)
"i am going to go yeary in this spot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 29, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Levi picks Jiří Procházka to win, citing Procházka's high confidence, unique style, and toughness. He notes that Reyes is a point fighter who may be mentally deflated after the Jones fight and lacks one-punch power. Levi believes Procházka's offensive arsenal and ability to recover from adversity will be the difference.

"i'm gonna go with uh the favorite here yuri prohaska to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The host picks Jiří Procházka by KO, citing his power and unorthodox style. He notes that Reyes is more technical but has shown durability issues and a tendency to fade. He expects Procházka's constant pressure to eventually overwhelm Reyes and get a finish in the second round.

Jiří Procházka by KO at +125; Over 1.5 rounds at -155; Fight won't start round 4 at -210; Fight won't start round 3 at -130
"I do like pro husks guy here i think he gets it done"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Apr 27, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Paul has backed Dominick Reyes in every fight but was let down in the Jan fight. He thinks Reyes' best performance was against Jon Jones, but that might be due to Jones fighting down to his level. He notes that Reyes has low output outside of that fight and that Procházka's aggression could exploit Reyes' potential chin issues. He leans toward Procházka but is not confident, saying the fight could go either way. He also mentions he'd rather bet under 2.5 rounds if available.

under 2.5 rounds (preference)
"i'm gonna take yuri as well i'm leaning towards that under one and a half but honestly one i'd rather be under two and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

The MMA Guru picks Jiří Procházka to win by second-round TKO over Dominick Reyes. He notes that Reyes is coming off a broken nose and rib, and that Procházka's awkward movement and power could break Reyes' nose early. He believes Procházka has momentum and a reach advantage, and that Reyes may not have improved enough. He also mentions that if Reyes wins, it will likely be by head kick.

second round TKO
"i'm going with yuri project man got the momentum tko second round over dominic reyes"
Glover Teixeira - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamahal Hill
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–44) R5 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamahal Hill 0 75 of 160 46% 108 of 196 2 of 17 11% 0 0 3:26
Glover Teixeira 0 232 of 402 57% 248 of 419 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamahal Hill 0 12 of 27 44% 14 of 29 0 of 7 0% 0 0 0:03
Glover Teixeira 0 46 of 85 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamahal Hill 0 21 of 44 47% 28 of 52 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Glover Teixeira 0 51 of 91 56% 52 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Jamahal Hill 0 17 of 30 56% 18 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:13
Glover Teixeira 0 44 of 82 53% 51 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:34
4 Jamahal Hill 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Glover Teixeira 0 79 of 120 65% 79 of 120 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
5 Jamahal Hill 0 7 of 18 38% 30 of 43 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:44
Glover Teixeira 0 12 of 24 50% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamahal Hill 75 of 160 46% 52 of 136 19 of 20 4 of 4 65 of 145 5 of 6 5 of 9
Glover Teixeira 232 of 402 57% 180 of 343 42 of 49 10 of 10 188 of 347 18 of 21 26 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamahal Hill 12 of 27 44% 7 of 21 3 of 4 2 of 2 12 of 26 0 of 1 0 of 0
Glover Teixeira 46 of 85 54% 27 of 65 13 of 14 6 of 6 42 of 81 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jamahal Hill 21 of 44 47% 15 of 38 4 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 37 4 of 4 2 of 3
Glover Teixeira 51 of 91 56% 38 of 77 9 of 10 4 of 4 49 of 87 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jamahal Hill 17 of 30 56% 13 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Glover Teixeira 44 of 82 53% 41 of 76 3 of 6 0 of 0 24 of 56 1 of 1 19 of 25
4 Jamahal Hill 18 of 41 43% 12 of 35 6 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Glover Teixeira 79 of 120 65% 65 of 104 14 of 16 0 of 0 68 of 108 11 of 12 0 of 0
5 Jamahal Hill 7 of 18 38% 5 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 6
Glover Teixeira 12 of 24 50% 9 of 21 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 0 of 0 7 of 9
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Big Brady picks the 43-year-old Teixeira despite age concerns, noting he has been counted out before and keeps winning. He highlights Teixeira's durability, having not been knocked out since 2017, and his excellent grappling and ground and pound. He questions Hill's takedown defense, as he was taken down six times by Thiago Santos. He thinks Teixeira can get takedowns and finish, but has low confidence due to Hill's power. He predicts a finish.

"I'm gonna pick the 43 year old here I'm going to take over the share to get it done"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Cody picks Jamahal Hill but admits he is not super confident. He thinks Hill is one of the best strikers in the division with power and calmness, and believes Hill will clip Glover in the later rounds after giving up early rounds. He acknowledges Glover's massive grappling advantage and Hill's poor takedown defense, but thinks Hill's youth and striking will prevail. He suggests live betting Glover after losing early rounds.

suggests live betting Glover after losing early rounds; mentions total set at 1.5 rounds, over 2.5 rounds at +180, Glover's takedowns at 2.5 on PrizePicks, Hill's strikes at 40.5
"I'm gonna take Jamal hell but what I will admit is that if you were gonna bet Glover just like you said maybe better while the fight's going on maybe hit that live bet"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Connor picks Jamahal Hill, citing youth, power, and the likelihood that Glover gets hurt and finished early. He compares it to the Anthony Johnson loss where Glover was iced in 13 seconds. Connor admits Glover is better everywhere but feels Hill's speed and one-two power could end it quickly. He acknowledges that if the fight goes past one round, Glover likely wins.

Connor mentions Hill's odds at -133 but does not place a bet.
"I'm gonna pick Jamal Hill. The youth, the power, Glover getting hurt all the time, his ability to just stick on a one two and do it really fast and early."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Paul picks Glover Teixeira but is very cautious, admitting bias because he loves Glover. He notes Glover's massive grappling advantage and great wrestling, but acknowledges he is long in the tooth and gives up speed. He sees arguments for both sides and is not betting pre-fight, but might bet live if things go well. He thinks Glover can win via grappling and top control.

not betting pre-fight, might bet live; mentions Glover's takedowns
"I'm not gonna bet it because we are closer to a pickum I see the arguments for both sides I'm picking Glover maybe because I'm a little bit biased and love the guy"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The Guru picks Teixeira as an underdog. He rewatched Hill vs Santos and noted Santos took Hill down six times, and Hill gave up bad positions. Teixeira's grappling is superior, and he stayed in shape after a December fight was canceled. The Guru criticizes Hill's physique, saying he had a 'huge belly' in fight announcement videos. He predicts Teixeira will find a rear-naked choke in the second or third round, or possibly after rocking Hill on the feet.

submission (rear-naked choke)
"I'm gonna go with Glover to Shara here he has been made an underdog in this matchup so I have to pick Clover to Shara over Jamal Hill"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Zane picks Glover Teixeira, arguing that Glover is a much better fighter overall—better striker, wrestler, and grappler. He notes that Jamahal Hill has poor defense, walks in straight lines, and has never faced a grappler of Glover's caliber. Zane believes Glover's improved boxing and ability to survive being hurt will carry him to victory, especially if the fight goes past the first round.

Glover Teixeira opened at +130, dropped to +100, now +110; Hill opened at -150, now -133. Zane mentions Glover's odds movement but does not place a bet.
"I'm for sure picking Glover Teixeira. I think really if he just gets much much older overnight than he already is uh or Jamal Hill gets very lucky and lands a Rumble Johnson style uppercut or something."
Submission (rear-naked choke) R5 4:32 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jiří Procházka 0 111 of 161 68% 159 of 212 5 of 17 29% 1 2 9:47
Glover Teixeira 0 120 of 205 58% 157 of 245 0 of 0 --- 1 4 4:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jiří Procházka 0 27 of 36 75% 48 of 58 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:49
Glover Teixeira 0 14 of 25 56% 20 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:22
2 Jiří Procházka 0 27 of 42 64% 32 of 48 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:35
Glover Teixeira 0 36 of 66 54% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Jiří Procházka 0 12 of 22 54% 15 of 26 1 of 6 16% 0 1 1:17
Glover Teixeira 0 43 of 59 72% 55 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:24
4 Jiří Procházka 0 24 of 29 82% 29 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 1 2:33
Glover Teixeira 0 21 of 39 53% 29 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:09
5 Jiří Procházka 0 21 of 32 65% 35 of 46 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:33
Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 16 37% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jiří Procházka 111 of 161 68% 98 of 145 12 of 15 1 of 1 45 of 86 6 of 7 60 of 68
Glover Teixeira 120 of 205 58% 106 of 190 12 of 13 2 of 2 76 of 142 8 of 11 36 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jiří Procházka 27 of 36 75% 25 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 13 1 of 1 20 of 22
Glover Teixeira 14 of 25 56% 12 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 11 0 of 0 9 of 14
2 Jiří Procházka 27 of 42 64% 25 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 22 0 of 0 17 of 20
Glover Teixeira 36 of 66 54% 36 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0 32 of 59 3 of 5 1 of 2
3 Jiří Procházka 12 of 22 54% 10 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 11 4 of 5 6 of 6
Glover Teixeira 43 of 59 72% 34 of 50 8 of 8 1 of 1 26 of 39 5 of 6 12 of 14
4 Jiří Procházka 24 of 29 82% 17 of 22 7 of 7 0 of 0 10 of 13 1 of 1 13 of 15
Glover Teixeira 21 of 39 53% 19 of 36 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 22
5 Jiří Procházka 21 of 32 65% 21 of 30 0 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Glover Teixeira 6 of 16 37% 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Angelo picks Glover, admitting bias but also providing objective reasoning. He notes Glover has multiple paths to victory (KO, submission, decision) while Jiri only has KO. He highlights Glover's takedown ability and Jiri's poor takedown defense. He believes Glover's chin will hold up and he can weather Jiri's early storm.

money line bet at plus 170
"i've got a money line bet on glover at plus 170. if you can't bet on your fights who the hell you gonna bet on but i genuinely bias aside think that glover can win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady picks Jiří Procházka to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Procházka has a significant advantage in striking power and reach, while Teixeira's chin is questionable at 42 years old. Although Teixeira has a path to victory via takedowns and ground control, Brady believes Procházka's unorthodox style and power will be too much.

win by knockout in round 1
"I'm gonna say Jiří knocks out Glover Teixeira in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Glover's grappling and submission threat, but thinks Procházka's dynamic striking and youth will be too much. He notes Procházka's takedown defense is an unknown but expects improvements. He leans Procházka by KO, but plans to hedge with Glover if needed.

under 2.5 rounds considered safest; plans to hedge with Glover at plus money
"my head tells me here he's going to catch it way too fast way too long... but my heart's telling me gloria's gonna wade to the left... i'm torn"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Levi picks Jiří Procházka but is very hesitant. He acknowledges the value on Glover Teixeira at plus money and admits he has been wrong on Glover many times before. He worries about Procházka's defensive liabilities and small UFC sample size, but ultimately leans on Procházka's unique style, speed, and finishing ability. He also mentions jet lag favoring Procházka since the Czech Republic is closer to Singapore than the US.

Procházka by KO; fight doesn't go the distance (minus 500); Glover money line or inside distance or submission line has value
"my official pick is going to be Yuri prohaska to become the new champ it's just you guys got to understand I've been wrong on so many Glory Sheriff fights this guy keeps defying the odds I think the value …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka has dynamic striking and power, and Glover's head movement is poor. Glover's path is grappling, but Procházka's length and movement make it hard to take him down. Glover has been knocked out by rangy strikers before. I see Procházka winning by knockout, likely in the first two rounds. The under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-190), Procházka by KO (-150)
"I think that pro huska will eventually find that chin and put him out here i just can't bet myself i would rather take the under two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Paul leans Glover by submission, citing Glover's superior grappling and top control. He questions Procházka's ground game and believes Glover will get a takedown and submit him. He notes Glover's chin issues but thinks his experience and BJJ will prevail.

Glover by submission
"i'm going to lean on glover does get a takedown and i don't know enough about pro hotsky's ground game... glover by sub"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The MMA Guru picks Glover Teixeira to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He believes Procházka has defensive flaws on the ground and gets hit often on the feet. He notes that many fighters have taken Procházka down, and Teixeira's grappling will be a major threat. He expects Procházka to be aggressive and switch stances, leaving openings for Teixeira's double-leg takedown. He mentions Teixeira's lack of damage in his last fight and championship experience as advantages. He admits he wants Procházka to win but thinks Teixeira has it.

first round rear-naked choke
"i'm going to go with a glover to share her first round remake of choke over yuri"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:02 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 28 of 45 62% 53 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Jan Błachowicz 0 23 of 39 58% 71 of 93 2 of 6 33% 2 0 5:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 8 75% 29 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jan Błachowicz 0 10 of 15 66% 51 of 61 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:29
2 Glover Teixeira 0 22 of 37 59% 24 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Jan Błachowicz 0 13 of 24 54% 20 of 32 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 28 of 45 62% 20 of 37 6 of 6 2 of 2 26 of 43 1 of 1 1 of 1
Jan Błachowicz 23 of 39 58% 17 of 33 6 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 25 0 of 0 12 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jan Błachowicz 10 of 15 66% 9 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 11
2 Glover Teixeira 22 of 37 59% 16 of 31 6 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jan Błachowicz 13 of 24 54% 8 of 19 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Big Brady picks Jan Błachowicz to win by knockout. He believes Jan is the better striker and will hurt Glover, who is chinny at 42. Glover's path is takedowns, but Jan has excellent takedown defense (only taken down once in last 10 fights). He expects Jan to be calculated and not rush in, eventually knocking Glover out. He references Jan's performance against Adesanya.

Błachowicz by knockout
"I'm going to go blhovet here um i could see to share having success here or there but i think beljovich knocks them out at some point."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Cody agrees Jan wins but disagrees on finish, thinking Jan is more of a decision fighter. He notes Jan's solid takedown defense, BJJ black belt, and cardio. He picks Jan but sees the fight going over 2.5 rounds, possibly a decision. He mentions Jan by decision is +300 but he's not confident in a finish.

Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Jan by decision +300
"i got yawn but i could also see where yon just wins four of the five rounds and wins the unanimous decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Daniel picks Jan Błachowicz to defend his title, citing Jan's improved accuracy, timing, and ability to mix strikes and takedowns. He notes Jan's career turnaround and his wins over top competition like Dominick Reyes and Israel Adesanya. Daniel acknowledges Glover's dangerous ground game and toughness but believes Jan's composure and polish power will lead to a knockout. He emphasizes that Jan is a black belt and won't panic if Glover gets top position.

predicts knockout
"i got yamblochovic to defend his title for the second time and get a knockout along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Błachowicz has Polish power and solid cardio, and he can stuff takedowns. Teixeira is slow and has been hurt in recent fights, relying on takedowns to bail him out. Błachowicz will find a knockout on the feet, likely in the first round.

"I still lean blo blhovich here i'm gonna go ablohovich i think he puts that polish power on him and then he gets to share out of there."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Paul picks Jan Błachowicz by knockout, citing Jan's 'Polish power' and Glover's compromised chin. He notes Glover has been stunned in recent fights and thinks over five rounds Jan will crack that chin. He mentions the bet is a small play at +100 by KO, not a massive one.

Jan by KO +100 (DraftKings), small play
"yawn by knockout is my pick"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

The MMA Guru picks Jan Błachowicz to win by KO in the first round. He notes that Glover Teixeira is 41, takes damage in every fight, and has been dropped multiple times. He praises Błachowicz's takedown defense, finishing instinct, and reach advantage. He contrasts Błachowicz's composed finishing (separating and dropping hammer fists) with other opponents who rushed in and gave up position. He predicts Błachowicz will rock Glover, separate, and finish with hammer fists.

first round ko
"i'm going to be going with yamblahovic here over glover to sharer i reckon he gets this one done by ko"
WIN vs Thiago Santos
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira · Nov 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 1 40 of 64 62% 81 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Thiago Santos 0 46 of 63 73% 148 of 180 4 of 7 57% 2 0 9:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 15 of 24 62% 40 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Thiago Santos 0 20 of 27 74% 77 of 87 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:02
2 Glover Teixeira 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 22 of 31 70% 58 of 78 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:39
3 Glover Teixeira 1 22 of 33 66% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Thiago Santos 0 4 of 5 80% 13 of 15 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 40 of 64 62% 38 of 58 0 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 24 0 of 0 29 of 40
Thiago Santos 46 of 63 73% 46 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 44 of 58
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 15 of 24 62% 15 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 16 0 of 0 7 of 8
Thiago Santos 20 of 27 74% 20 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 24
2 Glover Teixeira 3 of 7 42% 1 of 3 0 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
Thiago Santos 22 of 31 70% 22 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 21 of 30
3 Glover Teixeira 22 of 33 66% 22 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 31
Thiago Santos 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Big Brady picks Teixeira as an underdog, citing Santos' injury layoff and questionable losses. He thinks Teixeira has more paths to victory, including takedowns and submissions. He notes Teixeira's recent form and improved conditioning.

submission
"I'm going to take the underdog plus 200 I don't really agree with that I think there's too many question marks I'm going to take glover to shara"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Daniel Levi leans toward Glover Teixeira as a betting pick, despite acknowledging Thiago Santos should be the favorite. He believes Teixeira's ground game is a huge edge; if he gets Santos down, the fight is likely over via submission. Levi notes that Santos is explosive and powerful on the feet, and Teixeira has been wobbled before, but he thinks Teixeira can take him down and submit him. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and picks Teixeira at plus money.

submission; plus 200 underdog
"when i'm having this much trouble picking you gotta lean with the plus 200 dog so i'm gonna lean with glover to i'm gonna lean with thiago in terms of like he should be the favorite but as far as …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The host is very confident in Glover Teixeira at plus money, citing Thiago Santos coming off a severe ACL injury and a 16-month layoff. He believes Glover's durability, top pressure, and jiu-jitsu will be too much, especially in a five-round fight where Glover can drown Santos. He notes that Santos is not a one-punch knockout artist and that Glover has only been finished once in 3.5 years. He plans to wait for a better line, expecting it to reach +200.

He loves Glover by submission, likely second or third round. He mentions waiting for the submission prop. He also notes the public is 72% on Santos, which he sees as value on Glover.
"I love love love glover to share at this price... I'm taking at least a two unit shot here i'm glad to share it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

The MMA Guru picks Thiago Santos to win by first-round TKO. He believes Santos is too dangerous in the first round and Teixeira has a habit of getting cracked early. He notes Santos's power and cardio, and that Teixeira cannot afford to take the same shots he took against lesser opponents.

first round TKO
"santos by first round tko win"
WIN vs Anthony Smith
TKO (punches) R5 1:04 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 86 of 210 40% 87 of 212 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:07
Anthony Smith 1 138 of 226 61% 202 of 297 1 of 2 50% 0 0 7:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 37 of 82 45% 37 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 0 14 of 36 38% 14 of 36 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Glover Teixeira 0 36 of 92 39% 36 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 0 30 of 62 48% 30 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Glover Teixeira 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:07
Anthony Smith 1 43 of 54 79% 76 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
4 Glover Teixeira 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 0 32 of 46 69% 57 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:15
5 Glover Teixeira 0 0 of 2 0% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Anthony Smith 0 19 of 28 67% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 86 of 210 40% 63 of 171 17 of 31 6 of 8 85 of 205 1 of 5 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 138 of 226 61% 112 of 192 17 of 25 9 of 9 63 of 129 12 of 21 63 of 76
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 37 of 82 45% 29 of 66 4 of 11 4 of 5 36 of 81 1 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 14 of 36 38% 4 of 21 5 of 10 5 of 5 12 of 33 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Glover Teixeira 36 of 92 39% 25 of 78 10 of 12 1 of 2 36 of 89 0 of 3 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 30 of 62 48% 24 of 54 3 of 5 3 of 3 23 of 51 7 of 11 0 of 0
3 Glover Teixeira 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 43 of 54 79% 33 of 44 9 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 13 1 of 2 34 of 39
4 Glover Teixeira 12 of 29 41% 8 of 22 3 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 32 of 46 69% 32 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 26 2 of 5 14 of 15
5 Glover Teixeira 0 of 2 0% 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Smith 19 of 28 67% 19 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 22
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

Big Brady picks Anthony Smith, citing Smith's improved BJJ and cardio advantage. He believes Smith can survive takedowns and submissions from Teixeira, tire him out, and finish him in the later rounds (third or fourth). He notes Teixeira hasn't had a knockout since 2015-2016 and that Smith has not been knocked out since moving to 205. He plans to parlay Smith.

Smith wins by knockout in round 3 or 4; plans to parlay him
"I like anything you Smith here ... I'm going to pick Anthony Smith to win by knockout and uh maybe the fourth round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Anthony Smith

Daniel Levi picks Anthony Smith, noting that Smith is a dangerous finisher with length and a comeback ability, especially in five-round fights. He mentions that Smith can be losing but land a big knee or choke, and that Glover is older and smaller. However, he hesitates because Smith is a favorite and he prefers him as an underdog, but ultimately leans Smith catching a finish.

"I'm gonna slightly lean with Anthony Smith catching somewhere along the way"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

The MMA Guru picks Anthony Smith, citing that Glover Teixeira almost lost to Nikita Krylov and that Smith has great takedown defense and submission defense at light heavyweight. He believes Smith will use his pace to outwork the older Teixeira, who may slow down in the later rounds due to a poor training camp situation. He also mentions Smith's win over Volkan Oezdemir as evidence of his ability.

"I'm going with Smith I can't not go with Smith... I think he's gonna win... I'll go Smith by TKO in the fourth round."
WIN vs Nikita Krylov
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Sep 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 43 of 71 60% 85 of 119 1 of 6 16% 2 2 4:20
Nikita Krylov 0 47 of 95 49% 74 of 123 2 of 4 50% 1 1 4:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 11 of 24 45% 24 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:41
Nikita Krylov 0 20 of 34 58% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:49
2 Glover Teixeira 0 21 of 35 60% 35 of 49 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:07
Nikita Krylov 0 23 of 56 41% 35 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
3 Glover Teixeira 0 11 of 12 91% 26 of 30 0 of 0 --- 2 2 1:32
Nikita Krylov 0 4 of 5 80% 15 of 17 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 43 of 71 60% 39 of 67 4 of 4 0 of 0 22 of 45 10 of 10 11 of 16
Nikita Krylov 47 of 95 49% 20 of 66 17 of 19 10 of 10 37 of 85 3 of 3 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 11 of 24 45% 11 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 7 of 12
Nikita Krylov 20 of 34 58% 8 of 22 9 of 9 3 of 3 13 of 27 3 of 3 4 of 4
2 Glover Teixeira 21 of 35 60% 17 of 31 4 of 4 0 of 0 17 of 31 4 of 4 0 of 0
Nikita Krylov 23 of 56 41% 9 of 40 7 of 9 7 of 7 23 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Glover Teixeira 11 of 12 91% 11 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 6 of 6 4 of 4
Nikita Krylov 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 3
WIN vs Ion Cuțelaba
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:37 · UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson · Apr 27, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 30 of 57 52% 35 of 63 0 of 7 0% 1 0 1:02
Ion Cuțelaba 0 74 of 135 54% 74 of 135 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 10 of 22 45% 12 of 24 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Ion Cuțelaba 0 43 of 79 54% 43 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
2 Glover Teixeira 0 20 of 35 57% 23 of 39 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:41
Ion Cuțelaba 0 31 of 56 55% 31 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 30 of 57 52% 24 of 51 6 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 38 9 of 11 5 of 8
Ion Cuțelaba 74 of 135 54% 57 of 113 16 of 21 1 of 1 43 of 94 20 of 25 11 of 16
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 10 of 22 45% 5 of 17 5 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 17 5 of 5 0 of 0
Ion Cuțelaba 43 of 79 54% 32 of 65 10 of 13 1 of 1 22 of 51 10 of 13 11 of 15
2 Glover Teixeira 20 of 35 57% 19 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 21 4 of 6 5 of 8
Ion Cuțelaba 31 of 56 55% 25 of 48 6 of 8 0 of 0 21 of 43 10 of 12 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Glover Teixeira vs. Ion Cutelaba

Round 1
Up next is a light heavyweight bout between Glover Teixeira and Ion Cutelaba. The referee is Alan Abeles. Cutelaba lands a head kick but Teixeira eats it. Teixeira with an overhand right and he initiates the clinch. Cutelaba with some knees to the body from the clinch and they break. Teixeira changs levels for a single leg but Cutelaba stuffs it. Cutelaba grabs Teixeira and lands another set of knees to the body. Teixeira lands a straight right but Cutelaba counters him with a spinning back fist that drops him. Cutelaba follows Teixeira to the ground and lands some nasty punches but Teixeira survives the onslaught and catches Cutelaba in a standing guillotine choke. Cutelaba gets out of the choke and they are back in the center of the Octagon. Teixeira moves forward and lands a left hook to the body. Cutelaba clinches up Teixeira and lands a knee to his face. Teixeira with an overhand right and he nearly connects on a massive left hook. The 10-second bell rings and Cutelaba lands a spinning back fist just before the round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Cutelaba
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cutelaba
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Cutelaba

Round 2
Round two begins. Teixeira lands a straight right. He clips Cutelaba with another straight right that has him wobbly. Teixeira looks for a single but Cutelaba shakes him off. Kick to the body by Cutelaba. Another straight right by Teixeira. Now a right hook by Teixeira. Straight right by Teixeira. He changes levels for a single but can’t get it. Cutelaba clinches up Teixeira and hits him with a knee. Cutelaba lands a heavy left hook. Straight right down the pipe by Teixeira. Now a left hook by Teixeira lands and Cutelaba eats it. Another left hook by Teixeira. Now Teixeira shoves a tired Cutelaba to the mat. Teixeira is in half guard and quickly moves to mount.
Teixeira lands some heavy ground and pound and has Cutelaba flattened out on his belly. He puts his hooks in and locks in the rear-naked choke
. Fantastic performance by the veteran.

The Official Result
Glover Teixeira def. Ion Cutelaba via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) R2, 3:37
WIN vs Karl Roberson
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 3:21 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 11 54% 20 of 26 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:46
Karl Roberson 1 24 of 30 80% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 6 of 11 54% 20 of 26 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:46
Karl Roberson 1 24 of 30 80% 29 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8
Karl Roberson 24 of 30 80% 22 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 6 of 6 17 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8
Karl Roberson 24 of 30 80% 22 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 6 of 6 17 of 21
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Angelo picks Glover, admitting bias but also providing objective reasoning. He notes Glover has multiple paths to victory (KO, submission, decision) while Jiri only has KO. He highlights Glover's takedown ability and Jiri's poor takedown defense. He believes Glover's chin will hold up and he can weather Jiri's early storm.

money line bet at plus 170
"i've got a money line bet on glover at plus 170. if you can't bet on your fights who the hell you gonna bet on but i genuinely bias aside think that glover can win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Big Brady picks Jiří Procházka to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Procházka has a significant advantage in striking power and reach, while Teixeira's chin is questionable at 42 years old. Although Teixeira has a path to victory via takedowns and ground control, Brady believes Procházka's unorthodox style and power will be too much.

win by knockout in round 1
"I'm gonna say Jiří knocks out Glover Teixeira in the very first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Cody is torn on this fight. He acknowledges Glover's grappling and submission threat, but thinks Procházka's dynamic striking and youth will be too much. He notes Procházka's takedown defense is an unknown but expects improvements. He leans Procházka by KO, but plans to hedge with Glover if needed.

under 2.5 rounds considered safest; plans to hedge with Glover at plus money
"my head tells me here he's going to catch it way too fast way too long... but my heart's telling me gloria's gonna wade to the left... i'm torn"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Daniel Levi picks Jiří Procházka but is very hesitant. He acknowledges the value on Glover Teixeira at plus money and admits he has been wrong on Glover many times before. He worries about Procházka's defensive liabilities and small UFC sample size, but ultimately leans on Procházka's unique style, speed, and finishing ability. He also mentions jet lag favoring Procházka since the Czech Republic is closer to Singapore than the US.

Procházka by KO; fight doesn't go the distance (minus 500); Glover money line or inside distance or submission line has value
"my official pick is going to be Yuri prohaska to become the new champ it's just you guys got to understand I've been wrong on so many Glory Sheriff fights this guy keeps defying the odds I think the value is on him from the odds uh perspective"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jiří Procházka

Procházka has dynamic striking and power, and Glover's head movement is poor. Glover's path is grappling, but Procházka's length and movement make it hard to take him down. Glover has been knocked out by rangy strikers before. I see Procházka winning by knockout, likely in the first two rounds. The under 2.5 rounds is a strong play.

Under 2.5 rounds (-190), Procházka by KO (-150)
"I think that pro huska will eventually find that chin and put him out here i just can't bet myself i would rather take the under two and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Paul leans Glover by submission, citing Glover's superior grappling and top control. He questions Procházka's ground game and believes Glover will get a takedown and submit him. He notes Glover's chin issues but thinks his experience and BJJ will prevail.

Glover by submission
"i'm going to lean on glover does get a takedown and i don't know enough about pro hotsky's ground game... glover by sub"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The MMA Guru picks Glover Teixeira to win by first-round rear-naked choke. He believes Procházka has defensive flaws on the ground and gets hit often on the feet. He notes that many fighters have taken Procházka down, and Teixeira's grappling will be a major threat. He expects Procházka to be aggressive and switch stances, leaving openings for Teixeira's double-leg takedown. He mentions Teixeira's lack of damage in his last fight and championship experience as advantages. He admits he wants Procházka to win but thinks Teixeira has it.

first round rear-naked choke
"i'm going to go with a glover to share her first round remake of choke over yuri"