UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019 · Catchweight (148.5 lbs) · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis Next Fight
Age 32
Height 6' 3"
Reach 75"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 36
Height 5' 10"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Luis Peña
3.66 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.12 SApM
51.0% Str. Def.
1.17 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
48.0% TD Def.
1.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Steven Peterson
4.76 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
5.94 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
1.42 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Luis Peña - Fight History
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 0 90 of 195 46% 90 of 195 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alexander Munoz 0 80 of 169 47% 82 of 172 4 of 9 44% 0 0 2:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 0 21 of 43 48% 21 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Munoz 0 18 of 45 40% 20 of 48 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:30
2 Luis Peña 0 22 of 59 37% 22 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alexander Munoz 0 29 of 48 60% 29 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
3 Luis Peña 0 47 of 93 50% 47 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Alexander Munoz 0 33 of 76 43% 33 of 76 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 90 of 195 46% 74 of 171 12 of 19 4 of 5 88 of 186 2 of 9 0 of 0
Alexander Munoz 80 of 169 47% 40 of 110 20 of 38 20 of 21 77 of 163 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 21 of 43 48% 16 of 35 4 of 7 1 of 1 20 of 40 1 of 3 0 of 0
Alexander Munoz 18 of 45 40% 10 of 31 3 of 9 5 of 5 18 of 43 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Luis Peña 22 of 59 37% 20 of 56 1 of 1 1 of 2 21 of 57 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alexander Munoz 29 of 48 60% 15 of 33 6 of 7 8 of 8 26 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Luis Peña 47 of 93 50% 38 of 80 7 of 11 2 of 2 47 of 89 0 of 4 0 of 0
Alexander Munoz 33 of 76 43% 15 of 46 11 of 22 7 of 8 33 of 75 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Luis Peña

Big Brady picks Luis Peña to win by submission. He acknowledges Peña's poor takedown defense (45%) but argues that Peña's ground game is underrated, with good submissions and reversals. He believes Peña has a striking advantage and can threaten submissions off his back. He notes that Munoz is a good wrestler but may put himself in bad positions. He sees Peña's submission as a likely outcome and mentions the submission prop at +330, though he would prefer better odds.

Submission prop at +330 considered but not bet
"i'm gonna take him to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Munoz

Cody is very critical of Peña, calling him overrated with poor striking and takedown defense. He notes that Peña gives up takedowns to everyone and has no power. He thinks Munoz, a wrestler, will take Peña down and control him. He likes Munoz as an underdog and expects a better performance in his second UFC fight.

"i'm willing to take the shot i could not tell you what louise pena does well"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Luis Peña

Daniel Levi hesitantly picks Luis Peña, acknowledging that Munoz is a D1 wrestler with a strong double leg. He is concerned about Peña's emotional state and past performances, especially his submission loss to Kamuela Kirk. However, Levi thinks Peña is the better overall fighter and should win if he can keep the fight at range and avoid being grinded out. He notes that this is a dog-or-pass situation from a betting perspective.

dog or pass situation
"i'm gonna still pick him for the win i think alex munoz is kind of like you know he's a coach at alpha mill"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alexander Munoz

Manpreet leans toward Munoz by decision, highlighting Peña's poor takedown defense (47%) and Munoz's strong wrestling background. He believes Munoz will repeatedly take Peña down and control him on the ground, avoiding submissions. He notes that Peña has lost as a favorite before and that Munoz's cardio should hold up for three rounds.

Munoz by decision +285
"i still do lean munos here so obviously i'm gonna be going with munoz by decision at plus 285 which isn't a bad spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alexander Munoz

Paul is not high on Peña either, but he is less confident. He notes that Munoz is a wrestler and that Peña has poor takedown defense. He thinks Munoz could win by controlling the fight on the ground. He is leaning towards Munoz but not strongly.

"i'd be willing to just take anybody against louise payne at this point"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alexander Munoz

The MMA Guru picks Alexander Munoz to win by unanimous decision, citing his superior wrestling and grappling. He notes Munoz is the wrestling coach at Team Alpha Male and has a good wrestling background. He believes Peña is a bottom-tier lightweight and that Munoz will push a good pace for three rounds, winning 30-27. He acknowledges the risk of Peña taking Munoz's back but trusts Munoz's ability.

"i'm picking alex munoz i am picking alex munoz here i think he's a little bit underrated"
LOSS vs Khama Worthy
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 2:53 · UFC on ESPN: Poirier vs. Hooker · Jun 27, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khama Worthy 0 38 of 77 49% 40 of 79 3 of 7 42% 3 0 4:13
Luis Peña 0 55 of 101 54% 66 of 114 0 of 0 --- 1 2 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khama Worthy 0 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Luis Peña 0 32 of 60 53% 32 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Khama Worthy 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 17 2 of 2 100% 3 0 3:52
Luis Peña 0 5 of 7 71% 16 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:32
3 Khama Worthy 0 13 of 31 41% 13 of 31 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:21
Luis Peña 0 18 of 34 52% 18 of 34 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khama Worthy 38 of 77 49% 25 of 61 6 of 8 7 of 8 33 of 70 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 55 of 101 54% 20 of 61 18 of 22 17 of 18 51 of 96 1 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khama Worthy 16 of 31 51% 8 of 21 3 of 5 5 of 5 16 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 32 of 60 53% 7 of 31 12 of 16 13 of 13 32 of 60 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Khama Worthy 9 of 15 60% 8 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 5 of 7
Luis Peña 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Khama Worthy 13 of 31 41% 9 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 18 of 34 52% 10 of 25 5 of 5 3 of 4 15 of 30 1 of 2 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Luis Peña

Big Brady picks Luis Peña confidently, stating he is the better fighter in every category except power. He notes Peña's durability, striking, and submission game, and thinks Peña can take Worthy down and submit him. He believes the line should be wider and sees value at -270. He predicts a first-round submission.

Peña by submission in round 1; line -270 has value in a parlay; Worthy's only path is a KO
"I like Peña quite a bit... one of my most confident plays here... I'm gonna go Luis Peña first round submission."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Luis Peña

Daniel Levi leans with Luis Peña, citing Peña's length, volume striking, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Peña has more answers stylistically, though he still has questions about Worthy's grappling and chin. Levi thinks Peña's training at ATT and wider array of techniques will lead to a close decision win. He acknowledges Worthy's power and experience but believes Peña's volume and durability will be the difference.

Peña wins by close decision (29-28)
"I'm gonna go with him by a 29-28 decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Luis Peña

The MMA Guru picks Luis Peña, believing he will enforce his game plan and not stand and trade with Khama Worthy. He notes Peña's wins over Steve Garcia Jr., Matt Wiman, and Steven Peterson, and predicts Peña will take the back and dominate for a 30-27 unanimous decision. He acknowledges Worthy as a live dog but is not willing to bet on him, though he hints at a small parlay hedge.

Peña by unanimous decision (30-27); small bet on Worthy as hedge
"Luis Pena wins this one by a dominant 30-27 unanimous decision... as far as live dogs go I'm not willing to bet on it I might bet on it secretly"
WIN vs Steve Garcia
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 0 27 of 42 64% 58 of 95 0 of 1 0% 1 0 14:01
Steve Garcia 0 21 of 39 53% 98 of 153 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 0 21 of 33 63% 30 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:10
Steve Garcia 0 15 of 26 57% 26 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
2 Luis Peña 0 6 of 6 100% 25 of 37 0 of 1 0% 1 0 4:54
Steve Garcia 0 4 of 7 57% 47 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Luis Peña 0 0 of 3 0% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:57
Steve Garcia 0 2 of 6 33% 25 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 27 of 42 64% 24 of 38 1 of 2 2 of 2 6 of 15 2 of 3 19 of 24
Steve Garcia 21 of 39 53% 15 of 32 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 27 1 of 1 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 21 of 33 63% 19 of 31 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 13 2 of 3 14 of 17
Steve Garcia 15 of 26 57% 10 of 20 1 of 2 4 of 4 11 of 21 1 of 1 3 of 4
2 Luis Peña 6 of 6 100% 5 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 5
Steve Garcia 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Luis Peña 0 of 3 0% 0 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2
Steve Garcia 2 of 6 33% 1 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luis Pena vs. Steve Garcia

Round 1
In a lightweight contest, the man with one of the best nicknames of the sport in “Violent Bob Ross” Pena (7-2, 3-2 UFC) will try to make “Mean Machine” Garcia (11-3, 0-0 UFC) feel unwelcome in his promotional debut. The third man inside the Octagon is referee Mike King once again. The two clash legs right out of the gate, and Garcia is kicking low. Pena opens up with a right jab, and stings Garcia as the debuting fighter whiffs with a huge right hand. Garcia starts to work him over with punches, and Pena clinches up. As Pena walks him towards the cage, Pena lifts up a big knee, and Garcia catches it. When he gets leverage, he lifts Pena up and slams him down, but “Violent Bob Ross” is not down for long. He springs to his feet, and pressures Garcia until Garcia gives up his back. Pena sets up a body triangle and starts to throw long punches and elbows to try to open up Garcia’s neck for a choke. Pena lands an elbow that appears borderline legal, in both the angle and the location, and then starts landing punches until Garcia gives up the neck. Pena hunts for the rear-naked choke, and Garcia is defending it as he fights off a hook, and frees himself from the choke attempt. The punches that continue to follow from Pena have opened up the nose of Garcia, and Pena keeps his full body weight on his opponent as he tries to flatten him out. Garcia rolls around, and lands a heavy elbow from behind that makes Pena turn away. Pena goes after the neck once more, and is searching for a neck crank instead of a rear-naked choke. Pena goes palm-to-palm, but Garcia wrenches the hands free and fights up to get back to a knee. Pena slams a few elbows down, and Garcia rolls out to give his back up again. While Pena is in back control the two surprisingly trade elbows, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-8 Pena

Round 2
Garcia charges out of his corner like his hair is on fire, landing a superman punch and chasing after him with punches and kicks. In the flurry, Garcia puts himself in danger, and Pena is quick to circle out and take his opponent’s back quickly. Pena tries to jump on Garcia’s back to bully him down, but instead lets go and just drags him down while maintaining the back position. Pena sets up a body lock, and Pena is aiming for the choke while Garcia fights it off by controlling one wrist with both hands. Garcia turns around for a moment, lands an unexpectedly powerful elbow, and turns back while he fights free. “Mean Machine” starts elbowing the thighs of his adversary to break the lock, all while Pena is punching him in the head. Garcia lands some effective strikes again from behind his head, but “Violent Bob Ross” ignores them as he goes after the choke. He cinches up a rear-naked choke that is not under the chin, and Garcia grits it out and lets Pena try to burn his arms out. Garcia continues to throw blind punches behind him, and most of them land, but he is unable to escape from danger as Pena holds tight. Garcia continues to slug it out without seeing his target, and he appears to mark up the eye of his foe. Garcia is throwing double hammer fists and swinging at him while the two start screaming at each other. Garcia is a madman as he keeps throwing and shouts "Let's go," and earns Pena’s respect as the two embrace when we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pena

Round 3
This time, Pena leaps in the air to start the round, and bowls Garcia over. As Garcia goes down, Pena falls face down into a triangle choke attempt, and Garcia tightens his legs up from around Pena’s neck. Pena is in the danger zone now, and Garcia nearly wraps up a triangle armbar, until Pena stands upright and Garcia falls off. “Violent Bob Ross” uses the moment of confusion to grab the back of Garcia again, and we return to the position where we spent the majority of the last frame. Pena tries to go after another rear-naked choke from a different angle, and Garcia is able to defend it by not pulling on the wrists but instead punching Pena in the head. Pena readjusts, and squeezes for more of a palm-to-palm neck crank, and lets go but sinks in the body triangle. “Mean Machine” twists and turns to end up on top, but Pena is just able to fight him off and stay with back control. Garcia elects to land punches and elbows with his adversary behind him, and some of these elbows are doing damage as Pena’s nose has started to bleed. Pena again snatches up a rear-naked choke, but only briefly, as Garcia squirms and fights it off once more. Garcia throws a barrage of strikes including more double hammer fists, and Pena opts to throw right back at him. The “slugfest” from an unusual position ends with the horn, and a valiant but largely nullified Garcia bellows as he is upset by his performance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pena (30-27 Pena)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 Pena (30-27 Pena)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pena (30-26 Pena)

The Official Result
Luis Pena def. Steve Garcia via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
LOSS vs Matt Frevola
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · Oct 12, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Matt Frevola 0 48 of 110 43% 51 of 115 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:50
Luis Peña 0 51 of 120 42% 60 of 129 1 of 2 50% 2 3 1:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Matt Frevola 0 15 of 45 33% 15 of 45 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:07
Luis Peña 0 13 of 35 37% 21 of 43 1 of 2 50% 0 1 0:52
2 Matt Frevola 0 10 of 26 38% 13 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:00
Luis Peña 0 26 of 49 53% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 2 2 0:13
3 Matt Frevola 0 23 of 39 58% 23 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:43
Luis Peña 0 12 of 36 33% 12 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Matt Frevola 48 of 110 43% 27 of 82 10 of 17 11 of 11 46 of 105 2 of 5 0 of 0
Luis Peña 51 of 120 42% 43 of 104 7 of 15 1 of 1 37 of 101 8 of 10 6 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Matt Frevola 15 of 45 33% 7 of 32 2 of 7 6 of 6 14 of 41 1 of 4 0 of 0
Luis Peña 13 of 35 37% 11 of 27 2 of 8 0 of 0 9 of 29 4 of 6 0 of 0
2 Matt Frevola 10 of 26 38% 5 of 21 2 of 2 3 of 3 9 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Peña 26 of 49 53% 21 of 43 5 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 36 4 of 4 6 of 9
3 Matt Frevola 23 of 39 58% 15 of 29 6 of 8 2 of 2 23 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luis Peña 12 of 36 33% 11 of 34 0 of 1 1 of 1 12 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luis Pena vs. Matt Frevola

Round 1
Pena (7-1, 3-1 UFC), who was recently
the inaugural guest on Sherdog.com contributor Jordan Colbert's new show "Blunt Force Trauma"
is up next, as he clashes with Serra-Longo Fight Team standout Frevola (7-1-1, 1-1-1 UFC). Serving as the referee for this lightweight fight is Herb Dean. There is no touch of gloves, as Frevola charges in with strikes, swinging with everything he has in the opening seconds of the round. "The Steamrolla" wings two huge hooks that fall short, but he lands several leg kicks to Pena's outstretched lead leg. While Frevola is unable to connect with these huge right hands, he is working the right leg of Pena often. As Frevola ducks down to throw one of those rights, Pena throws a heavy body kick. Frevola stings Pena with a right, backing "Violent Bob Ross" up and scoring a takedown, although Pena gets right back up. Frevola clips Frevola with a one-two, and Frevola responds with that big right again. Frevola shoots in low for a single, and as Pena almost escapes, Frevola lifts him up and slams him down. On his back, Pena pulls for an exceptionally unorthodox head-and-arm choke to get Frevola locked up, and Pena uses the submission attempt to sweep Frevola. As they scramble, they return standing, so Pena unloads a few short knees as he clinches up and tries to take Frevola down. As Frevola breaks away, Pena fires off a long combination that hurts Frevola, and "The Steamrolla" responds with a right hand that catches Pena on the chin. The two men trade until the time expires to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Frevola
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Frevola
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Pena

Round 2
Pena rushes out from his corner to start the action, and he clips Frevola right out of the gate, opening a cut under Frevola's left eye. Pena fakes for a loopy swing with his arm and leaps in the air with a knee, catching Frevola flush and sending him staggering. Pena pulls Frevola down and goes after a kimura, but Frevola yanks his arm out and stands up. As he gets to his feet, Pena cracks Frevola with several more knees, and Frevola's face is showing more and more damage. Pena looks comfortable with his timing, working the right jab and busting up Frevola under his right eye. A combination from Pena sends the gumshield hurling out of Frevola's mouth, so he strolls over to pick it up as Dean pauses the action. Frevola closes the distance with a superman punch, but not before Pena kicks him in the face. Pena goes for that same arm swinging-flying knee attack, but Frevola sees it coming and dodges out of the way. Pena fires a big head kick and lands it squarely, but it is Pena who falls over. "The Steamrolla" charges in, and he cannot capitalize on it as Pena gets back up. Frevola shoots in for a takedown, and Pena fishes for a kimura off his back before switching to a triangle choke setup. Frevola pushes the legs away and tries to start ground-and-pound. As Pena explodes to his feet, Frevola says "not so fast, my friend" and suplexes Pena. "Violent Bob Ross" scrambles out of the position and ends up in control of Frevola's back with seconds to go, and he drops down a few punches before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Pena
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Pena

Round 3
The final round opens up with Pena trying to keep the distance, backing away when Frevola comes at him and pumping a right jab in Frevola's face. Frevola jumps with a front kick to the body, and Pena tries to come back at him with a straight right. "The Steamrolla" rumbles forward and digs to the body, but comes up short when trying to fire a right over the top. "Violent Bob Ross" launches up a head kick and Frevola barely blocks it in time, and the mere impact of the kick makes Frevola lose his footing briefly. The crowd starts chanting "Steamrolla," and an energized Frevola blitzes in and tags Pena. Pena tries to pull off his tricky flying knee again, and as Frevola avoids the assault, he clips Pena with a straight right to send Pena falling backwards. Pena recovers, pushes Frevola away, and looks to set the jab up again. Frevola counters over the top with a left, and then thumps a right to the body. Seeing his foe may be tired, Pena leaps in with another knee, but Frevola scampers away by circling off the cage. Frevola clips Pena with a right, and then a left, but Pena is coming on strong and lands hard with a left of his own. With 10 seconds remaining, Frevola shoots in for a takedown to try to steal the round, and as the horn sounds, it's anyone's guess who goes home with the win.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Frevola (29-28 Frevola)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Frevola (29-28 Frevola)
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Frevola (29-28 Pena)

The Official Result
Matt Frevola def. Luis Pena via Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
WIN vs Matt Wiman
TKO (punches) R3 1:14 · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Korean Zombie · Jun 22, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 0 24 of 42 57% 28 of 46 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:14
Matt Wiman 0 87 of 148 58% 98 of 160 1 of 1 100% 1 1 7:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 0 8 of 14 57% 10 of 16 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:10
Matt Wiman 0 35 of 65 53% 38 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:09
2 Luis Peña 0 9 of 15 60% 11 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Matt Wiman 0 29 of 40 72% 37 of 49 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:03
3 Luis Peña 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matt Wiman 0 23 of 43 53% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 24 of 42 57% 2 of 18 3 of 4 19 of 20 24 of 36 0 of 2 0 of 4
Matt Wiman 87 of 148 58% 84 of 144 3 of 4 0 of 0 18 of 45 9 of 12 60 of 91
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 8 of 14 57% 0 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 9 8 of 11 0 of 2 0 of 1
Matt Wiman 35 of 65 53% 33 of 62 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 11 9 of 12 26 of 42
2 Luis Peña 9 of 15 60% 2 of 8 2 of 2 5 of 5 9 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 3
Matt Wiman 29 of 40 72% 29 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 21 of 26
3 Luis Peña 7 of 13 53% 0 of 6 1 of 1 6 of 6 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Matt Wiman 23 of 43 53% 22 of 42 1 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 20 0 of 0 13 of 23
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 0 52 of 112 46% 66 of 127 1 of 3 33% 0 2 4:47
Steven Peterson 0 34 of 85 40% 57 of 109 4 of 8 50% 1 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 0 16 of 29 55% 21 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:14
Steven Peterson 0 13 of 31 41% 21 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
2 Luis Peña 0 23 of 57 40% 26 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Steven Peterson 0 14 of 41 34% 20 of 47 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:30
3 Luis Peña 0 13 of 26 50% 19 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:11
Steven Peterson 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 22 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 52 of 112 46% 43 of 102 9 of 10 0 of 0 36 of 83 12 of 24 4 of 5
Steven Peterson 34 of 85 40% 15 of 63 9 of 12 10 of 10 27 of 75 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 16 of 29 55% 13 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 16 7 of 11 2 of 2
Steven Peterson 13 of 31 41% 2 of 18 5 of 7 6 of 6 10 of 25 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Luis Peña 23 of 57 40% 19 of 52 4 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 46 3 of 11 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 14 of 41 34% 8 of 34 3 of 4 3 of 3 11 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Luis Peña 13 of 26 50% 11 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 3
Steven Peterson 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Michael Trizano
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Trizano 0 51 of 100 51% 55 of 104 1 of 2 50% 1 1 2:14
Luis Peña 0 23 of 85 27% 34 of 97 1 of 9 11% 0 1 5:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Trizano 0 11 of 18 61% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:25
Luis Peña 0 7 of 31 22% 9 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:55
2 Michael Trizano 0 17 of 36 47% 20 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:12
Luis Peña 0 7 of 25 28% 14 of 33 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:49
3 Michael Trizano 0 23 of 46 50% 24 of 47 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:37
Luis Peña 0 9 of 29 31% 11 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 1 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Trizano 51 of 100 51% 25 of 68 10 of 16 16 of 16 37 of 85 9 of 9 5 of 6
Luis Peña 23 of 85 27% 12 of 68 9 of 15 2 of 2 20 of 80 2 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Trizano 11 of 18 61% 0 of 5 2 of 4 9 of 9 10 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luis Peña 7 of 31 22% 3 of 23 3 of 7 1 of 1 7 of 29 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Michael Trizano 17 of 36 47% 12 of 28 2 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 25 6 of 6 4 of 5
Luis Peña 7 of 25 28% 2 of 19 4 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Michael Trizano 23 of 46 50% 13 of 35 6 of 7 4 of 4 20 of 43 2 of 2 1 of 1
Luis Peña 9 of 29 31% 7 of 26 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:32 · The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · Jul 06, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 1 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 1 1:02
Richie Smullen 0 7 of 9 77% 15 of 17 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 1 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 1 1:02
Richie Smullen 0 7 of 9 77% 15 of 17 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 8 of 23 34% 8 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 2
Richie Smullen 7 of 9 77% 3 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 3 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 8 of 23 34% 8 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 2
Richie Smullen 7 of 9 77% 3 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 3 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 4
Steven Peterson - Fight History
LOSS vs Lucas Alexander
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lucas Alexander 0 26 of 101 25% 27 of 102 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:31
Steven Peterson 1 85 of 158 53% 86 of 159 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lucas Alexander 0 11 of 34 32% 11 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 24 of 41 58% 24 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Lucas Alexander 0 8 of 31 25% 8 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:03
Steven Peterson 0 27 of 54 50% 27 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Lucas Alexander 0 7 of 36 19% 8 of 37 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:28
Steven Peterson 1 34 of 63 53% 35 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lucas Alexander 26 of 101 25% 8 of 67 9 of 18 9 of 16 25 of 99 1 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 85 of 158 53% 43 of 108 20 of 27 22 of 23 78 of 142 1 of 1 6 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lucas Alexander 11 of 34 32% 2 of 18 4 of 6 5 of 10 10 of 32 1 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 24 of 41 58% 12 of 26 5 of 7 7 of 8 24 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Lucas Alexander 8 of 31 25% 4 of 23 1 of 4 3 of 4 8 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 27 of 54 50% 10 of 35 6 of 8 11 of 11 27 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lucas Alexander 7 of 36 19% 2 of 26 4 of 8 1 of 2 7 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 34 of 63 53% 21 of 47 9 of 12 4 of 4 27 of 47 1 of 1 6 of 15
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Angelo picks Peterson, citing his toughness and relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson is never the more skilled fighter but makes up for it with grit. He thinks Peterson will frustrate Alexander, who may not handle the constant forward pressure. However, he says he cannot trust Peterson with his money because he puts himself in danger and could get caught.

"Stephen Peterson's going to be the pick but at no offense to Steve Peterson because this guy's great I can't trust him with my money."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Big Brady picks Steven Peterson by submission, calling it a sneaky way to attack the fight. He notes Peterson's ability to get takedowns and his submission skills (42% of wins by sub), though he hasn't submitted anyone in the UFC. Brady thinks Peterson has more ways to win, especially if he gets the fight to the mat, and predicts a third-round submission. He acknowledges Alexander's striking advantage on the feet but favors Peterson's toughness and experience.

Peterson by submission in round 3
"I'm gonna say Peterson by submission I think that could be a sneaky way to look at it"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

Cody leans towards Alexander as a dog, citing his kickboxing advantage and physicality. He notes Peterson is a forward-pressure fighter but not high-level, and that Alexander could have more time to work in his comfort zone. He expects a close, possibly split decision, and sees value in the plus money.

Fight goes to decision
"If I needed to squeeze another Underdog I feel like I would take that shot on Lucas Alexander"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Connor also picks Steven Peterson, agreeing with Zane that Alexander is too inexperienced to handle Peterson's relentless pressure. He notes that Peterson's technical flaws don't matter if he just keeps coming, and that Alexander has shown he can be cornered and flustered. Connor says he would not be shocked if Alexander wins by landing a big shot, but he sees Peterson as the more reliable pick given Alexander's rawness.

Same odds commentary as Zane.
"I think I'm going to take Peterson too."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Jacob picks Peterson but is not confident, noting that Peterson's toughness is his main attribute. He thinks Peterson should out-tough Alexander but that Alexander is dangerous and could land a big shot. He says there are better places to put money on this card.

"Stephen Peterson should be the play he should be able to out tough this guy do what he does throw volume in his face."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Lucas Alexander

The host is surprised to see Alexander as an underdog, believing his speed, slick striking, and calf kicking game will be too much for Peterson. He notes Alexander's performance against Jacob Kilburn showed he can pick apart a similar gritty opponent. He expects Alexander to win by decision, as Peterson is tough to put away.

"I expect the speed slick striking in calf kicking game of Lucas Alexander to come through in this matchup and get his hand raised"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

The Guru picks Peterson, calling it a lock. He criticizes Alexander's lack of finishing ability and poor performance against Britto. He highlights Peterson's durability (only finished once in 2013) and expects a dominant decision win.

"I'm going with Stephen Peterson here... I actually like Stephen Peterson here to drag this into deep Waters have a scrap with Lucas Alexander and win this fight by like 30 27 30-26 decision"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Zane picks Steven Peterson because he sees Lucas Alexander as a raw, undercooked fighter who lacks fight management and is easily overwhelmed by relentless pressure. Peterson is insanely durable and aggressive, and Zane believes his veteran pace and toughness will be too much for Alexander, who has shown he can be backed up and flustered. Zane notes that if Alexander wins, it would prove something he hasn't seen yet, whereas a Peterson win would just be expected.

Odds: Peterson opened at -170, currently -164; Alexander opened at +145, currently +133. Zane thinks the odds are about right.
"I'm kind of inclined to pick Peterson for like the veteran pace fighter pick."
LOSS vs Julian Erosa
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Feb 05, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julian Erosa 0 155 of 291 53% 163 of 300 3 of 5 60% 0 0 1:52
Steven Peterson 0 148 of 247 59% 174 of 276 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julian Erosa 0 45 of 96 46% 49 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 39 of 71 54% 41 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:21
2 Julian Erosa 0 48 of 103 46% 50 of 105 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:12
Steven Peterson 0 59 of 96 61% 63 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
3 Julian Erosa 0 62 of 92 67% 64 of 95 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:40
Steven Peterson 0 50 of 80 62% 70 of 103 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julian Erosa 155 of 291 53% 120 of 242 30 of 43 5 of 6 141 of 270 9 of 16 5 of 5
Steven Peterson 148 of 247 59% 113 of 204 15 of 17 20 of 26 133 of 227 15 of 19 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julian Erosa 45 of 96 46% 35 of 84 7 of 9 3 of 3 43 of 94 2 of 2 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 39 of 71 54% 22 of 48 3 of 4 14 of 19 37 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Julian Erosa 48 of 103 46% 40 of 87 7 of 14 1 of 2 42 of 92 6 of 11 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 59 of 96 61% 48 of 83 8 of 9 3 of 4 49 of 83 10 of 13 0 of 0
3 Julian Erosa 62 of 92 67% 45 of 71 16 of 20 1 of 1 56 of 84 1 of 3 5 of 5
Steven Peterson 50 of 80 62% 43 of 73 4 of 4 3 of 3 47 of 75 3 of 4 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Angelo picks Julian Erosa for his violent striking and volume. He notes Erosa is hittable but has a solid chin, and his range striking should outwork Peterson. Peterson is tough and willing to take risks, but Erosa's pressure and volume are key. Angelo expects a fun brawl with Erosa getting the win.

"i do like irosa to push the axe and stay in peterson's face and get it done in a fun ugly brawl"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Cody is high on Erosa, noting his deep gas tank, volume striking, and improved wrestling. He points out that Erosa has been an underdog in his recent wins and has shown he can take a punch and come back. He thinks Peterson's only path is a knockout, but Peterson doesn't have that power. He is confident Erosa wins but understands the price is steep.

"it all adds up to a julian erosive play but yeah minus 300 for a guy with his history i completely understand"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Daniel Levi picks Julian Erosa but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He notes Erosa has been dropped in every fight but often comes back to win. Peterson is a tough veteran who can knock people out, but he gets hit a lot. Levi thinks Erosa's volume and reach advantage will lead to target practice, but he's worried about Peterson's power. He says the pick is Erosa but advises against betting the -310 line.

"my pick is a rosa but at the betting window this is a dogger pass situation"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Lock of the Night picks Erosa, citing his stylistic advantage with range and kicks. He notes Peterson's durability but believes Erosa can stick and move for a decision. He references the Caceres fight as a blueprint. He likes Erosa by decision at +150.

Erosa by decision +150
"i feel good about a roast on the spot... great stylistic matchup for him"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Paul thinks Erosa is way better than Peterson. He notes Erosa's length, volume, and improved grappling. He acknowledges Erosa has chin issues but believes Peterson doesn't have the power to exploit that. He is confident Erosa wins but says the minus 300 price is too high to bet.

"i think a rosso wins but you basically you set yourself an early grave if you are getting too invested in juicy j at minus 300"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa, noting his wins have aged well and he is 'really about that life'. He expects Erosa to land body shots and knees, leading to a bad takedown from Peterson and a d'arce choke submission in the third round. He references Erosa's previous third-round choke win over Charles Jourdain.

submission, round 3, d'arce choke
"i'm going to go with julian arose... i think he gets this one done big shots body shots knees to the body front kicks on stephen peterson eventually steven peterson shoots a bad takedown gets darsh choked"
WIN vs Chase Hooper
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steven Peterson 0 31 of 61 50% 98 of 132 3 of 8 37% 2 1 2:55
Chase Hooper 0 49 of 68 72% 102 of 124 1 of 1 100% 2 0 7:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steven Peterson 0 13 of 24 54% 17 of 28 1 of 3 33% 2 1 1:15
Chase Hooper 0 24 of 32 75% 34 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:03
2 Steven Peterson 0 11 of 18 61% 35 of 45 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:41
Chase Hooper 0 14 of 21 66% 36 of 45 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:30
3 Steven Peterson 0 7 of 19 36% 46 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:59
Chase Hooper 0 11 of 15 73% 32 of 37 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steven Peterson 31 of 61 50% 21 of 51 9 of 9 1 of 1 28 of 55 0 of 0 3 of 6
Chase Hooper 49 of 68 72% 38 of 56 8 of 9 3 of 3 19 of 37 5 of 5 25 of 26
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steven Peterson 13 of 24 54% 9 of 20 3 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 6
Chase Hooper 24 of 32 75% 19 of 27 3 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 14 1 of 1 16 of 17
2 Steven Peterson 11 of 18 61% 8 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 11 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 14 of 21 66% 12 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 10 2 of 2 9 of 9
3 Steven Peterson 7 of 19 36% 4 of 16 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chase Hooper 11 of 15 73% 7 of 11 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Big Brady picks Steven Peterson, emphasizing Peterson's 75% takedown defense and strong get-up game, which should neutralize Hooper's grappling. He notes Hooper's poor takedown accuracy (7%) and striking defense, and believes Peterson will out-strike Hooper on the feet. He expects a decision win.

Peterson by decision
"I will take peterson to win i'm taking a win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Cody picks Peterson, citing his experience, takedown defense, and wild striking that will be effective against Hooper. He thinks Hooper is too green and one-dimensional, and that Peterson will win by decision or TKO. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"i think it's steven stephen ocho peterson"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper, despite acknowledging Hooper's poor striking and being a punching bag. He notes that Hooper has a path to victory by using his length and kicks to keep Peterson at range, and that Hooper has been training with Wonderboy Thompson. Levi is underwhelmed by Peterson's tape and thinks Hooper's toughness and submission ability could be factors. He admits Peterson has more experience but trusts Hooper's improvements.

"i might actually go with hooper on this one man i think he just lands the more effective strikes at range"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Steven Peterson

Peterson is a veteran with superior striking and serviceable takedown defense. Hooper is still green and relies on jiu-jitsu, but Peterson has never been submitted in his career. Peterson should keep the fight standing and outpoint Hooper, likely winning a decision. Hooper's durability means a finish is unlikely.

Peterson by decision (+210)
"I think he's striking is much better than Chase Hooper's... his takedown defense is serviceable... I'll go with Stephen Peterson and I'm going to take him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Steven Peterson

Paul picks Peterson but is not betting it. He thinks Hooper's striking is a massive work in progress and Peterson's durability and experience will be key. He likes the over 2.5 rounds as a safer play.

over 2.5 rounds
"i'll pick stephen ocho peterson my favorite bet on it is the over two and a half rounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Chase Hooper

The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper, believing Peterson is the best possible matchup for him due to Peterson's lack of KO power and recent inactivity. He compares Hooper's style to Luis Pena, who beat Peterson, and notes Hooper's improvements and youth. He predicts a submission win in the second round, citing Peterson's vulnerability to submissions as seen in the Pena fight.

submission in the second round
"i feel like chase hooper is a little bit underrated"
WIN vs Martin Bravo
KO (spinning backfist) R2 1:31 · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · Sep 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steven Peterson 0 86 of 199 43% 93 of 206 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:38
Martin Bravo 1 49 of 105 46% 53 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steven Peterson 0 69 of 159 43% 74 of 164 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:25
Martin Bravo 0 35 of 75 46% 39 of 79 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Steven Peterson 0 17 of 40 42% 19 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
Martin Bravo 1 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steven Peterson 86 of 199 43% 60 of 157 20 of 33 6 of 9 85 of 198 1 of 1 0 of 0
Martin Bravo 49 of 105 46% 33 of 84 12 of 17 4 of 4 46 of 98 1 of 2 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steven Peterson 69 of 159 43% 48 of 123 15 of 27 6 of 9 69 of 159 0 of 0 0 of 0
Martin Bravo 35 of 75 46% 20 of 56 11 of 15 4 of 4 35 of 72 0 of 0 0 of 3
2 Steven Peterson 17 of 40 42% 12 of 34 5 of 6 0 of 0 16 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Martin Bravo 14 of 30 46% 13 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0 11 of 26 1 of 2 2 of 2
LOSS vs Alex Caceres
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 94 of 197 47% 95 of 198 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 67 of 218 30% 87 of 241 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 20 of 41 48% 20 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 19 of 54 35% 25 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:37
2 Alex Caceres 0 43 of 74 58% 43 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 24 of 87 27% 25 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alex Caceres 0 31 of 82 37% 32 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 24 of 77 31% 37 of 92 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 94 of 197 47% 63 of 154 27 of 39 4 of 4 91 of 194 3 of 3 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 67 of 218 30% 41 of 171 13 of 32 13 of 15 65 of 214 0 of 0 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 20 of 41 48% 14 of 31 4 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 19 of 54 35% 9 of 38 3 of 8 7 of 8 19 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alex Caceres 43 of 74 58% 30 of 60 11 of 12 2 of 2 40 of 71 3 of 3 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 24 of 87 27% 16 of 70 4 of 13 4 of 4 24 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Caceres 31 of 82 37% 19 of 63 12 of 19 0 of 0 31 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 24 of 77 31% 16 of 63 6 of 11 2 of 3 22 of 73 0 of 0 2 of 4
LOSS vs Luis Peña
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luis Peña 0 52 of 112 46% 66 of 127 1 of 3 33% 0 2 4:47
Steven Peterson 0 34 of 85 40% 57 of 109 4 of 8 50% 1 0 5:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luis Peña 0 16 of 29 55% 21 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:14
Steven Peterson 0 13 of 31 41% 21 of 40 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:18
2 Luis Peña 0 23 of 57 40% 26 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Steven Peterson 0 14 of 41 34% 20 of 47 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:30
3 Luis Peña 0 13 of 26 50% 19 of 33 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:11
Steven Peterson 0 7 of 13 53% 16 of 22 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luis Peña 52 of 112 46% 43 of 102 9 of 10 0 of 0 36 of 83 12 of 24 4 of 5
Steven Peterson 34 of 85 40% 15 of 63 9 of 12 10 of 10 27 of 75 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luis Peña 16 of 29 55% 13 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 16 7 of 11 2 of 2
Steven Peterson 13 of 31 41% 2 of 18 5 of 7 6 of 6 10 of 25 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Luis Peña 23 of 57 40% 19 of 52 4 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 46 3 of 11 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 14 of 41 34% 8 of 34 3 of 4 3 of 3 11 of 38 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Luis Peña 13 of 26 50% 11 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 21 2 of 2 2 of 3
Steven Peterson 7 of 13 53% 5 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Matt Bessette
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · Jul 06, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steven Peterson 0 57 of 141 40% 88 of 177 0 of 3 0% 0 1 1:33
Matt Bessette 0 74 of 175 42% 115 of 220 2 of 6 33% 1 1 7:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steven Peterson 0 25 of 60 41% 38 of 73 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:12
Matt Bessette 0 22 of 60 36% 32 of 70 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:21
2 Steven Peterson 0 28 of 69 40% 33 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Matt Bessette 0 38 of 89 42% 42 of 93 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:54
3 Steven Peterson 0 4 of 12 33% 17 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:21
Matt Bessette 0 14 of 26 53% 41 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steven Peterson 57 of 141 40% 42 of 121 12 of 15 3 of 5 45 of 125 10 of 14 2 of 2
Matt Bessette 74 of 175 42% 44 of 141 19 of 23 11 of 11 46 of 136 16 of 25 12 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steven Peterson 25 of 60 41% 17 of 50 6 of 8 2 of 2 19 of 51 4 of 7 2 of 2
Matt Bessette 22 of 60 36% 9 of 46 7 of 8 6 of 6 17 of 48 5 of 12 0 of 0
2 Steven Peterson 28 of 69 40% 22 of 60 5 of 6 1 of 3 24 of 64 4 of 5 0 of 0
Matt Bessette 38 of 89 42% 28 of 77 5 of 7 5 of 5 26 of 74 5 of 7 7 of 8
3 Steven Peterson 4 of 12 33% 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0
Matt Bessette 14 of 26 53% 7 of 18 7 of 8 0 of 0 3 of 14 6 of 6 5 of 6
LOSS vs Brandon Davis
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Medeiros · Feb 18, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brandon Davis 0 73 of 286 25% 82 of 296 1 of 10 10% 0 0 1:49
Steven Peterson 0 114 of 285 40% 119 of 291 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brandon Davis 0 26 of 109 23% 26 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Steven Peterson 0 39 of 106 36% 39 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Brandon Davis 0 20 of 72 27% 29 of 82 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:40
Steven Peterson 0 28 of 70 40% 33 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
3 Brandon Davis 0 27 of 105 25% 27 of 105 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:09
Steven Peterson 0 47 of 109 43% 47 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brandon Davis 73 of 286 25% 55 of 257 12 of 18 6 of 11 65 of 271 6 of 12 2 of 3
Steven Peterson 114 of 285 40% 83 of 243 12 of 19 19 of 23 108 of 278 6 of 6 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brandon Davis 26 of 109 23% 17 of 97 5 of 5 4 of 7 26 of 109 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 39 of 106 36% 19 of 80 6 of 10 14 of 16 39 of 106 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Brandon Davis 20 of 72 27% 12 of 60 7 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 58 6 of 11 2 of 3
Steven Peterson 28 of 70 40% 24 of 64 3 of 3 1 of 3 23 of 64 5 of 5 0 of 1
3 Brandon Davis 27 of 105 25% 26 of 100 0 of 3 1 of 2 27 of 104 0 of 1 0 of 0
Steven Peterson 47 of 109 43% 40 of 99 3 of 6 4 of 4 46 of 108 1 of 1 0 of 0