Career Averages - Ronnie Lawrence
Career Averages - Leomana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence
Leomana Martinez
Ronnie Lawrence - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Argueta | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 12 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 2:08 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Argueta | 0 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 12 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 2:08 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Argueta | 4 of 4 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Argueta | 4 of 4 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Dan Argueta as a low confidence underdog. He notes that Ronnie Lawrence is a great offensive wrestler but struggled when pressured in his last fight. Argueta's forward pressure and wrestling could cause similar issues. Angelo likes the plus 135 moneyline but hasn't bet yet, saying he's keeping an eye on it.
Big Brady picks Ronnie Lawrence to win by decision. He is high on Lawrence, praising his relentless wrestling, cardio, and underrated striking. Lawrence averages 7 takedowns per 15 minutes with 77% accuracy. Argueta is also a wrestler, but Brady thinks Lawrence's relentless pace will be too much. He notes that Lawrence can attempt 20+ takedowns if needed. He disagrees with the initial -550 opener for Lawrence, saying -155 is about right, but still expects Lawrence to win a decision.
Cody picks Lawrence, noting that despite his poor takedown performance against Said Khamzatov, he got up nine times and learned from the experience. He thinks Lawrence is a talented striker with good footwork and speed, and that Argueta's takedown defense is not great and his volume is low. Cody believes Lawrence can stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Connor picks Argueta, arguing that Lawrence is not a strong athlete and will struggle with Argueta's strength and wrestling. He notes that Argueta is a featherweight cutting down and will be able to spend time on top. Connor believes Lawrence will give up tie-ups and Argueta will end up in dominant positions. He expects Argueta to grind out a decision or get a late finish.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, citing his significant striking edge and power. He notes Argueta's poor striking defense and cardio issues. He acknowledges Lawrence's bad loss to Saydokub but attributes it to a broken nose and tough opponent. He got Lawrence at -150 and thinks he wins at a decent clip, though weight cut concerns exist.
Argueta has superior technical wrestling compared to Lawrence, who is more of a pace-based wrestler. Lawrence's takedown-heavy style may not work against a better wrestler like Argueta. Argueta can get top position and grind out a decision. The plus 155 underdog line offers value.
Paul is tempted by Argueta at plus money, noting that Lawrence has been rocked before and that Argueta is a strong grappler with low center of gravity. He thinks this fight is best approached live, as the first wrestling exchanges will reveal a lot. He picks Argueta for the show but is not confident pre-fight.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence, stating a massive talent difference. He argues Lawrence should not have been cut from the UFC after a close loss to Said Nurmagomedov, and that Dan Argueta lacks the power to trouble Lawrence. He praises Lawrence's transitions and scrambling, expecting him to be too much for Argueta's simple style.
Zane picks Lawrence, describing Argueta as slow and cumbersome, loading up on single shots. He believes Lawrence's tricky karate-style striking and scrambling will befuddle Argueta. Zane notes that Lawrence's first layer of offense is more capable of confusing Argueta than vice versa. He expects Lawrence to land more impressive shots and win a competitive fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 0 | 15 of 33 | 45% | 16 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 32 of 59 | 54% | 105 of 156 | 10 of 16 | 62% | 0 | 0 | 12:19 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 30 of 44 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 | |
| 2 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 8 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 35 of 61 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 40 of 51 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 4:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 15 of 33 | 45% | 8 of 21 | 4 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 32 of 59 | 54% | 28 of 53 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 20 | 7 of 9 | 21 of 30 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 12 of 18 | 66% | 11 of 16 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 9 | |
| 2 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 8 of 21 | 38% | 6 of 14 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 11 of 28 | 39% | 10 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 14 | 0 of 2 | 8 of 12 | |
| 3 | Saidyokub Kakhramonov | 3 of 6 | 50% | 1 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ronnie Lawrence | 9 of 13 | 69% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 |
Angelo picks Ronnie Lawrence based on his relentless wrestling pressure and high takedown volume. He notes Lawrence averages over 9 takedowns per 15 minutes with 78% accuracy, and has shown he can survive dangerous striking exchanges. He acknowledges Kakhramonov has cleaner striking but slows down and gets taken down, as seen in his PFL loss. Angelo already has a moneyline bet on Lawrence but cautions that betting the first fight of the night is tricky.
Big Brady slightly leans toward Ronnie Lawrence, highlighting his exceptional takedown rate (9 per 15 minutes) and cardio. He notes that Lawrence is well-rounded and showed power in his last fight. He acknowledges Kakhramonov's power and potential, but believes Lawrence's pace and wrestling will be key, especially as Kakhramonov has slowed down in past fights. He predicts a decision win for Lawrence.
Cody is high on Lawrence, citing his improved wrestling, cardio, and tenacity. He thinks Lawrence's volume and grappling will overwhelm Kakhramonov, who has low output and was controlled in the clinch by Trevin Jones. He believes Lawrence is the more proven fighter.
The host makes this his dog of the night play with 2 units at +115. He believes Kakhramonov has good enough defensive grappling to deal with Lawrence's relentless takedowns and can dish out more damage on the feet. He thinks Kakhramonov could win by finish or decision, especially with the emphasis on damage. He notes that Lawrence is not a big damage inflictor when grappling.
Paul is leaning towards Kakhramonov as a dog, noting his talent and performance against Umar Nurmagomedov. He's worried about Lawrence's durability after nearly being finished by Mana Martinez. He thinks the line moving towards Lawrence might offer value on Kakhramonov.
The Guru picks Saidyokub Kakhramonov over Ronnie Lawrence, citing better competition faced and a strong performance against Umar Nurmagomedov. He notes Lawrence's tough fight against Mana Martinez and believes Kakhramonov's takedown defense and chin will be key. He predicts a TKO in the second round, mentioning Kakhramonov is an underdog worth taking.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 39 of 78 | 50% | 105 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Leomana Martinez | 3 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 63 of 99 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 8:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 37 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 |
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 51 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 39 of 78 | 50% | 24 of 59 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Leomana Martinez | 46 of 82 | 56% | 30 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 33 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 20 of 33 | 60% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 14 of 27 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 30 of 54 | 55% | 20 of 44 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Leomana Martinez | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.
Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.
Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.
Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.
Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:36 |
| Vince Cachero | 0 | 77 of 121 | 63% | 102 of 151 | 8 of 9 | 88% | 0 | 0 | 7:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 11 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Vince Cachero | 0 | 17 of 34 | 50% | 18 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 10 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0:27 |
| Vince Cachero | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 12 of 24 | 5 of 5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vince Cachero | 0 | 50 of 68 | 73% | 72 of 90 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 15 of 46 | 32% | 8 of 36 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 38 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 1 |
| Vince Cachero | 77 of 121 | 63% | 53 of 89 | 14 of 19 | 10 of 13 | 22 of 46 | 5 of 7 | 50 of 68 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 10 of 24 | 41% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 17 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Cachero | 17 of 34 | 50% | 5 of 17 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 5 of 20 | 25% | 2 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Vince Cachero | 10 of 19 | 52% | 1 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vince Cachero | 50 of 68 | 73% | 47 of 64 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 48 of 65 |
Big Brady picks Ronnie Lawrence to win by decision, but he is not confident. He notes Lawrence has a wrestling advantage and can get takedowns, while Cachero has poor takedown defense. However, he thinks the line at -160 is too wide and sees this as a close fight. He says he would not bet on it and considers it a low-level fight.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, citing his wrestling and takedown ability, which exploits Cachero's weakness in takedown defense. He notes Cachero has been taken down and finished by higher-level opponents. Levi believes Lawrence's mix of strikes and takedowns will overwhelm Cachero, leading to a decision win.
Lawrence mixes strikes and takedowns well, keeping opponents guessing. Cachero has weak takedown defense and Lawrence should be able to secure takedowns and control the fight. Lawrence's movement and kicking game will keep Cachero at range. Expect a decision win for Lawrence.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence, citing his strong wrestling and ability to take down Cachero at will, as seen in Cachero's previous fight where Jamal Emmers easily secured takedowns. He notes Lawrence's short-notice Contender Series win showed great cardio, and with a full camp he expects even better performance. He is not tempted by Cachero's underdog odds, believing Lawrence's wrestling gives him a clear path to victory via unanimous decision.
Leomana Martinez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 60 of 148 | 40% | 63 of 160 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 117 of 240 | 48% | 146 of 272 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 28 of 67 | 41% | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 40 of 85 | 47% | 41 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 18 of 45 | 40% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 32 of 71 | 45% | 44 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:12 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 0 | 14 of 36 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 45 of 84 | 53% | 61 of 101 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Saaiman | 60 of 148 | 40% | 40 of 125 | 15 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 58 of 144 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 117 of 240 | 48% | 66 of 175 | 23 of 30 | 28 of 35 | 85 of 191 | 1 of 3 | 31 of 46 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameron Saaiman | 28 of 67 | 41% | 19 of 56 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 28 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 40 of 85 | 47% | 14 of 52 | 11 of 14 | 15 of 19 | 40 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cameron Saaiman | 18 of 45 | 40% | 10 of 36 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 32 of 71 | 45% | 22 of 56 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 12 of 21 | |
| 3 | Cameron Saaiman | 14 of 36 | 38% | 11 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Leomana Martinez | 45 of 84 | 53% | 30 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 7 | 25 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 25 |
Angelo leans towards Leomana Martinez, citing his raw power, durability, and relentless pressure. He notes that Saaiman was losing his last fight before getting a late knockout and is relatively untested. Angelo is not confident enough to bet but sees value in Martinez as an underdog.
Big Brady picks Cameron Saaiman, highlighting his excellent cardio, pressure, and volume that breaks opponents. He notes Martinez has power but fades as the fight goes on, while Saaiman gets better. He predicts a third-round knockout for Saaiman, though he acknowledges Martinez's power makes it risky.
Cody picks Saaiman, citing his volume and durability. He thinks Martinez has power but low volume and questionable cardio. He expects Saaiman to take over as the fight goes on and win by decision or late TKO.
Connor picks Cameron Saaiman, though he is not very confident. He notes that Saaiman is a marginally better athlete than Martinez and has shown some functional aggression. However, he acknowledges that Martinez is tough, determined, and more comprehensive in his game, and that Saaiman's takedown defense and striking defense are poor. Connor thinks Saaiman's athleticism and willingness to push the pace might be enough.
Jacob picks Cameron Saaiman, citing his speed, pressure, and good scrambles. He notes that Martinez lacks volume and urgency at times, which could be his downfall. However, Jacob is not super high on Saaiman and is leaving him out of parlays due to the risk.
Saaiman is a scrappy fighter with good speed, footwork, and grappling reversals. Martinez has power but a clear ceiling and a recent camp change. Saaiman's skill set should nullify Martinez's threats and he wins by decision or late finish.
Paul picks Saaiman but is not confident at -300. He notes Saaiman looked green in his debut and Martinez has more UFC experience. He won't bet it but expects Saaiman to get the job done.
The MMA Guru picks Cameron Saaiman, praising his versatility in stand-up, clinch, and grappling. He notes Martinez is limited and that Saaiman has more ways to win, predicting a 29-28 decision.
Zane picks Leomana Martinez, reasoning that Martinez is a more complete martial artist who will pressure Saaiman and find good positions. He notes that Saaiman is reckless and disorganized, while Martinez is tough and will do a little bit of everything. Zane thinks Martinez's experience and composure will allow him to win a messy fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 87 of 161 | 54% | 87 of 162 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 76 of 181 | 41% | 84 of 189 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:31 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 31 of 55 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 2 | 37 of 62 | 59% | 37 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 29 of 55 | 52% | 29 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 44 | 43% | 19 of 45 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Brandon Davis | 0 | 23 of 69 | 33% | 31 of 77 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:59 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 87 of 161 | 54% | 45 of 108 | 25 of 34 | 17 of 19 | 82 of 154 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 76 of 181 | 41% | 43 of 139 | 16 of 24 | 17 of 18 | 69 of 170 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 31 of 55 | 56% | 12 of 31 | 12 of 15 | 7 of 9 | 31 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 24 of 57 | 42% | 14 of 44 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 37 of 62 | 59% | 21 of 43 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
| Brandon Davis | 29 of 55 | 52% | 14 of 39 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 11 | 29 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 44 | 43% | 12 of 34 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Brandon Davis | 23 of 69 | 33% | 15 of 56 | 7 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 17 of 59 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 |
Angelo picks Leomana Martinez, citing his cleaner technique, power, and heart shown in the Ronnie Lawrence fight. He notes that Brandon Davis has a wrestling advantage and took Giga Chikadze down three times, but Mana showed incredible resilience and never stops coming forward. He trusts Mana to fight for the win.
Big Brady picks Leomana Martinez to win by first-round knockout. He highlights Martinez's power (finished all regional wins in the first round, knocked out Ricky Turcios) and notes that Brandon Davis was knocked out in his last fight and has been hurt before. He believes Davis's takedown threat is minimal and that Martinez's power will be too much. He calls Martinez the more dangerous striker.
Cody picks Martinez but is not confident. He notes Martinez has huge power and a nasty left hook, and could knock Davis out. However, he acknowledges Davis is a volume puncher and could push the pace. He thinks Martinez might win by knockout but is not willing to bet heavily.
Martinez is the better striker with power, and his cardio has improved. Davis has suspect takedown defense and could be a live underdog if he gets the fight to the mat. However, Martinez's takedown defense is a concern; if he can keep it standing, he should win by knockout. The host is not betting the moneyline but likes Martinez inside the distance at +240.
Paul leans towards Davis as a dog, noting Davis has fought high-level competition and has a junkyard dog style. He thinks Davis can push the pace, score takedowns, and potentially win if he survives the first round. However, he is on the fence and might switch back to Martinez.
The MMA Guru picks Leomana Martinez, refusing to fall for Brandon Davis as an underdog. He criticizes Davis as hit-or-miss and notes his poor weight cut to 135. He believes Martinez will hold his own in grappling and win on the feet, catching an aggressive Davis and finishing by TKO in the first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 39 of 78 | 50% | 105 of 156 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 1 | 0:08 |
| Leomana Martinez | 3 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 63 of 99 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 0 | 1 | 8:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 37 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Leomana Martinez | 1 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:02 |
| Leomana Martinez | 2 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 20 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:55 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 2 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 51 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 1:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Lawrence | 39 of 78 | 50% | 24 of 59 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 11 |
| Leomana Martinez | 46 of 82 | 56% | 30 of 59 | 6 of 12 | 10 of 11 | 28 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 33 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ronnie Lawrence | 6 of 14 | 42% | 3 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 20 of 33 | 60% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | |
| 2 | Ronnie Lawrence | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 5 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Leomana Martinez | 14 of 27 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 19 | |
| 3 | Ronnie Lawrence | 30 of 54 | 55% | 20 of 44 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 43 | 0 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Leomana Martinez | 12 of 22 | 54% | 8 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.
Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.
Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.
Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.
Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 0 | 79 of 157 | 50% | 88 of 169 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 66 of 109 | 60% | 68 of 111 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 21 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 27 of 37 | 72% | 28 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 23 of 40 | 57% | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 0 | 36 of 74 | 48% | 43 of 83 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
| Guido Cannetti | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 17 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leomana Martinez | 79 of 157 | 50% | 35 of 98 | 31 of 44 | 13 of 15 | 72 of 147 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 66 of 109 | 60% | 21 of 57 | 13 of 19 | 32 of 33 | 64 of 105 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leomana Martinez | 19 of 32 | 59% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 27 of 37 | 72% | 5 of 11 | 6 of 9 | 16 of 17 | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Leomana Martinez | 24 of 51 | 47% | 8 of 29 | 11 of 16 | 5 of 6 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Guido Cannetti | 23 of 40 | 57% | 8 of 22 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 23 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Leomana Martinez | 36 of 74 | 48% | 19 of 49 | 12 of 20 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 64 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| Guido Cannetti | 16 of 32 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Martinez, citing his solid power, aggression, and constant stance switches that complicate things for opponents. He notes Cannetti is over 40, losing by stoppage, and needs to get the fight to the ground to win, which is unlikely. The only concern is Martinez's headspace after his coach died, but he still sees a mismatch.
Cody picks Martinez confidently, citing his power in both hands and aggressive style. He notes that Cannetti is 41 years old, has been knocked out multiple times, and looked old in his last fight. Cody thinks Martinez's takedown defense is solid and that he will knock Cannetti out early, likely in round one.
Jacob picks Martinez, emphasizing his power that hits like a middleweight and Cannetti's flat-footed movement and age. He expects Martinez to dominate and likely flatline Cannetti inside two and a half minutes. He plans to bet on a first-round stoppage for better odds.
Lock picks Martinez by KO at -110, expecting a violent fight. He notes both fighters have finishing ability and poor cardio, leading to an early finish. Lock likes the under 1.5 rounds and fight doesn't go to decision props. He thinks Martinez's power and durability give him the edge, but acknowledges Cannetti can crack too.
Paul picks Martinez, agreeing that he has power and that Cannetti is old and faded. He notes Martinez's wins over Ricky Turcios and Jose Johnson, showing he can finish good opponents. Paul thinks Martinez's takedown defense will keep the fight standing and lead to a knockout. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Martinez inside the distance.
The Guru picks Mana Martinez, citing his youth, momentum, and knockout power against the older Guido Cannetti, who is coming off a KO loss. He expects Martinez to start fast and finish by TKO in the first round. The Guru notes Cannetti's age (41) and history of being finished as key factors.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Lawrence due to his relentless wrestling, noting his insane takedown numbers. He acknowledges that Martinez has power and will have opportunities on the feet when Lawrence's opponents get up, but believes Lawrence will shoot a million takedowns and control Martinez to remove the power threat. He calls it a parlay piece rather than a straight moneyline bet due to the odds.
Big Brady likes Lawrence's wrestling and fight IQ, noting he has landed 20 takedowns in two fights. He believes Lawrence will take Martinez down early and often, grinding out a decision. He acknowledges Martinez has power and could knock Lawrence out, but thinks Lawrence is smart enough to avoid that. Brady also notes Martinez's last performance was poor due to personal issues, but expects a better version. He picks Lawrence by decision.
Cody agrees, noting Martinez has shown poor takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Lawrence's pressure and grappling will be too much, and that Martinez's only path is an early knockout. He expects Lawrence to win decisively.
Daniel Levi picks Ronnie Lawrence, praising his relentless takedown attempts and work rate. He notes that Martinez has power but tends to wait, and that Lawrence's pressure will grind him down. Levi expects Lawrence to win a decision, as Martinez's knockout power is overrated against better competition.
Lawrence is a strong wrestler with excellent takedowns and top control. He should easily take Martinez down and overwhelm him. Martinez has decent striking but poor takedown defense. Lawrence's only concern is his weight cut, but if he makes weight, he should finish Martinez. The inside the distance line is a good play.
Paul is high on Lawrence, calling him a top prospect. He notes Lawrence's relentless pressure, takedowns, and cardio. He thinks Martinez is a first-round banger with no backup plan and that Lawrence will dominate on the ground.
The MMA Guru picks Ronnie Lawrence by unanimous decision, citing his unorthodox footwork and grappling. He believes Martinez struggled against lesser competition and will be confused by Lawrence's style.
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