UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Next Fight
Age 47
Height 5' 9"
Reach 70.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 41
Height 6' 1"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Switch
Career Averages - Francisco Trinaldo
3.13 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
2.67 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.98 TD Avg
42.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Dwight Grant
3.29 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
2.66 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.61 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Francisco Trinaldo
Moneyline
DraftKings -125
KO/TKO
FanDuel +380
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
FanDuel +190
Dwight Grant
Moneyline
BetMGM +120
KO/TKO
BetWay +400
Submission
FanDuel +2600
Decision
BetMGM +275
Francisco Trinaldo - Fight History
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · Oct 01, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 1 60 of 141 42% 65 of 148 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:38
Francisco Trinaldo 0 40 of 67 59% 82 of 111 1 of 4 25% 0 0 5:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 1 23 of 49 46% 27 of 53 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:38
Francisco Trinaldo 0 9 of 15 60% 13 of 19 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:04
2 Randy Brown 0 25 of 69 36% 25 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Francisco Trinaldo 0 19 of 37 51% 22 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:50
3 Randy Brown 0 12 of 23 52% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 15 80% 47 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 60 of 141 42% 30 of 101 10 of 16 20 of 24 56 of 136 0 of 1 4 of 4
Francisco Trinaldo 40 of 67 59% 20 of 44 9 of 12 11 of 11 33 of 59 0 of 1 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 23 of 49 46% 8 of 28 2 of 5 13 of 16 21 of 46 0 of 1 2 of 2
Francisco Trinaldo 9 of 15 60% 1 of 6 3 of 4 5 of 5 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 25 of 69 36% 15 of 55 6 of 9 4 of 5 25 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 19 of 37 51% 8 of 24 6 of 8 5 of 5 19 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Randy Brown 12 of 23 52% 7 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 21 0 of 0 2 of 2
Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 15 80% 11 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 7 of 7
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Trinaldo as a plus money underdog, believing the line should be closer to -170/+150. He argues that Trinaldo is very good at making opponents fight at his pace and that Brown's boxing is not as functional as it seems. He expects a close fight and wants to be holding the plus 270 ticket if it goes to decision. He plans to bet Trinaldo and may wait for a better price at weigh-ins.

Trinaldo moneyline +270; may wait for better price
"I'm picking Grandpa t on the program here I will be betting Grandpa t"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Paul picks Randy Brown by decision, citing Brown's significant reach advantage, improved striking, and ability to use his jab and footwork to outpoint Trinaldo. He acknowledges Trinaldo's durability and winning streak but believes Brown's superior technique and youth will prevail. He notes that Trinaldo has never been knocked down and hasn't been submitted since 2017, so a decision is the most likely outcome.

Brown by decision +125
"Brown by decision plus 125 because trinaldo like you said hasn't been submitted in a really long time and never been knocked down"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru sees this as a complete mismatch, citing Randy Brown's significant advantages in height, reach, and athleticism over the 44-year-old Trinaldo. He expects Brown to use volume striking from distance and possibly mix in wrestling, similar to his win over Cowboy Oliveira. He believes Trinaldo's only path is an early knockout, but Brown's activity and youth should overwhelm him. He calls it a 'free betting boost' and includes Brown in his parlay.

included in parlay with Barcelos and Castaneda
"This is a complete mismatch to me... Randy Brown by whatever you want to pick."
WIN vs Danny Roberts
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 07, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 80 of 124 64% 91 of 137 0 of 1 0% 1 0 4:21
Danny Roberts 0 36 of 118 30% 44 of 128 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 23 of 37 62% 25 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Danny Roberts 0 16 of 57 28% 16 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 34 of 48 70% 41 of 57 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:14
Danny Roberts 0 7 of 17 41% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 23 of 39 58% 25 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:46
Danny Roberts 0 13 of 44 29% 19 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 80 of 124 64% 62 of 102 16 of 20 2 of 2 51 of 86 21 of 26 8 of 12
Danny Roberts 36 of 118 30% 15 of 92 12 of 15 9 of 11 27 of 103 8 of 14 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 23 of 37 62% 15 of 27 8 of 10 0 of 0 20 of 33 3 of 4 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 16 of 57 28% 6 of 44 4 of 7 6 of 6 15 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 34 of 48 70% 28 of 40 5 of 7 1 of 1 14 of 21 12 of 15 8 of 12
Danny Roberts 7 of 17 41% 5 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1
3 Francisco Trinaldo 23 of 39 58% 19 of 35 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 32 6 of 7 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 13 of 44 29% 4 of 33 7 of 7 2 of 4 9 of 38 4 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo picks Francisco Trinaldo, continuing to ride the Trinaldo train. He likes the matchup because Danny Roberts won't initiate takedowns and has poor takedown defense. He acknowledges Trinaldo's age but believes his chin is still intact, though he notes Roberts has the power to test it.

"I like ronaldo to stay in robert's face and grind out a win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Big Brady picks Danny Roberts to win by decision, but he is leaning and not confident. He notes that Trinaldo is 43 years old and small for welterweight, while Roberts is nine years younger, taller, and has a reach advantage. However, Roberts has shown poor fight IQ and durability issues, being finished in all his losses. Brady thinks the youth and size advantage will be decisive, but it's a close fight and he cannot be confident. He expects a competitive decision.

decision
"I decide with that youth and that length that reach and tornado's gotta fall off a cliff at some point right like 43 years old almost 44. too small for the weight class I I like roberts here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Cody picks Danny Roberts as his second underdog. He notes that Roberts is faster, has better footwork, and higher output. Cody believes Roberts can win the first two rounds and survive the third. He acknowledges Roberts' history of bonehead decisions but thinks the big cage and Sanford MMA game plan will help. Cody sees it as a close fight that could go either way.

"i think my official uh goal here is going to be with the underdog danny roberts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 5, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

Daniel Levi leans toward Danny Roberts as a slight underdog, citing Roberts' size, power, and prime age versus the 44-year-old Trinaldo. He acknowledges Trinaldo's durability and experience but thinks age may finally catch up. He plans to bet one unit on Roberts if the line improves to around +105 or +110, but has not placed the bet yet.

Daniel considers a one-unit bet on Roberts moneyline if the line improves. No other props mentioned.
"If you give me dog odds on him, just give me like plus 105, give me a plus 110, I'll take a one unit shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Danny Roberts

The host picks Danny Roberts but is not betting the fight. He believes Roberts is the better fighter at this stage, younger and faster, and should outpoint Trinaldo. However, he acknowledges Trinaldo's knockout power and Roberts' questionable chin. He mentions a possible Trinaldo KO prop at +450 to +550 as a small shot. He is staying away from betting due to the volatility.

Trinaldo by KO +450 to +550
"i hate myself for picking him but i'm going danny roberts"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 4, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Paul picks Francisco Trinaldo, despite acknowledging that Roberts will likely be winning early. He believes Trinaldo's durability and power will eventually catch Roberts, similar to the Jai Herbert fight. Paul notes that Roberts has a suspect chin and Trinaldo can land a big left hand late. He expects Trinaldo to be losing on the scorecards before getting a finish.

"grandpa t for me i'll never pick against him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 2, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Danny Roberts

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Danny Roberts as an underdog, acknowledging Roberts' history of being KO'd but noting Trinaldo's age (43) and lack of power at welterweight. He believes Roberts' reach and rangy style will allow him to fight patiently and win a close decision. He mentions Roberts has momentum with a couple of wins and confidence, while Trinaldo hasn't had many finishes recently. He predicts a razor-close 29-28 decision.

"i'm gonna have to take the good underdog here in danny roberts in my opinion so i'm gonna swag with danny roberts"
WIN vs Dwight Grant
Decision (split) (29–27, 27–29, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 36 of 70 51% 61 of 101 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:45
Dwight Grant 0 31 of 133 23% 41 of 145 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 14 of 51 27% 14 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 15 of 28 53% 16 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Dwight Grant 0 8 of 48 16% 13 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 10 of 22 45% 34 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Dwight Grant 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 36 of 70 51% 20 of 50 11 of 14 5 of 6 26 of 57 4 of 5 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 31 of 133 23% 20 of 114 7 of 14 4 of 5 28 of 128 1 of 1 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 11 of 20 55% 4 of 12 5 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 14 of 51 27% 6 of 39 4 of 7 4 of 5 14 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 15 of 28 53% 9 of 19 4 of 6 2 of 3 11 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 8 of 48 16% 8 of 44 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 4
3 Francisco Trinaldo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 9 of 34 26% 6 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo leans Trinaldo because he thinks the shorter, stockier fighter can get inside Grant's reach, get to the hips, and grind. He notes Grant has questionable cardio and was knocked out in his last fight despite winning early. However, he's worried about Trinaldo's age (43) and when he'll start to decline. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight and will have Trinaldo in his DraftKings lineup.

considering a +3.5 bet on Grant or a 'wins inside distance, decision no action' bet on Grant; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; will spend 8400 on Trinaldo in DraftKings
"i'm leaning trinaldo i like ronaldo here styles make fights short stocky guy should be able to get inside the range bully dwight grant to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to knock out the 43-year-old Trinaldo, citing Trinaldo's age, size disadvantage, and recent knockdowns. He notes Grant's power and Trinaldo's never-been-KO'd record, but believes the chin will crack. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"i think dwight grant knocks him out here he's now 43 years old we've seen him hurt a lot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Francisco Trinaldo, admitting it's a heart-over-mind bet. He notes Trinaldo's durability and veteran savvy, and criticizes Dwight Grant's tendency to run away and his unimpressive UFC performances. Cody points out that Grant has looked abysmal, losing to low-level competition and barely beating Stefan Sekulich. He believes Trinaldo's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, though he acknowledges the risk.

Heart over mind bet; legend
"i'm betting grandpa again here bud um if i lose i lose i'll still be up on grandpa trinaldo bets over the course of my life by by a wide margin love the guy legend"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Lock picks Trinaldo based on pressure and durability. He notes Trinaldo has never been knocked down and should stalk Grant, who tends to backpedal. He expects Trinaldo to win by decision, citing Grant's lack of volume and Trinaldo's superior kickboxing.

Trinaldo by decision +195
"i like trinaldo minus 135. i think it's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He notes that Trinaldo is now the favorite and he is not interested at that price. He also points out that Dwight Grant could win by staying on the outside and landing chip shots. Paul seems to lean towards passing on the fight.

"now that he's the favorite i'm not interested in taking a shot on francisco tripp"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

The MMA Guru picks Francisco Trinaldo, trusting his chin and durability. He criticizes Dwight Grant for being gun-shy and compares him to Uriah Hall. He believes Trinaldo's pressure and chin will carry him to a decision win, though he notes Grant has KO power.

"i'm gonna trust francisco trinaldo to get this one done"
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Jun 05, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 39 of 128 30% 51 of 148 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:40
Francisco Trinaldo 1 62 of 118 52% 71 of 129 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Francisco Trinaldo 1 26 of 49 53% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 16 of 48 33% 17 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Francisco Trinaldo 0 16 of 39 41% 18 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 10 of 41 24% 21 of 56 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:28
Francisco Trinaldo 0 20 of 30 66% 26 of 38 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 39 of 128 30% 22 of 101 16 of 26 1 of 1 34 of 119 5 of 9 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 62 of 118 52% 29 of 84 26 of 27 7 of 7 48 of 98 1 of 1 13 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 13 of 39 33% 9 of 31 4 of 8 0 of 0 11 of 34 2 of 5 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 26 of 49 53% 13 of 36 10 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 35 0 of 0 9 of 14
2 Muslim Salikhov 16 of 48 33% 7 of 34 9 of 14 0 of 0 14 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 16 of 39 41% 6 of 28 9 of 10 1 of 1 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muslim Salikhov 10 of 41 24% 6 of 36 3 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 39 1 of 2 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 20 of 30 66% 10 of 20 7 of 7 3 of 3 15 of 24 1 of 1 4 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Francisco Trinaldo vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
For the first time in many years, Trinaldo (26-7, 16-6 UFC) is fighting outside of the lightweight division. In this return to welterweight – Trinaldo started his UFC career at middleweight but his pro career in this 170-pound category – he will meet “King of Kung Fu” Salikhov (17-2, 4-1 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this interesting style matchup is referee Mark Smith, and the two fighters do not touch gloves to begin their melee. Trinaldo wades forward to pressure Salikhov, and “King of Kung Fu” jabs at him from a distance. Trinaldo catches his man on the way in with a looping shot, and a body kick surprises Salikhov. The two are not committing on strikes of note, preferring to find their range and fake the other out. Salikhov unleashes a nasty body kick that slaps on the midsection of his opponent, and the sound echoes throughout the empty UFC Apex. The Brazilian tries to chase Salikhov down to make him pay, but Salikhov keeps his man at bay with kicks. “Massaranduba” rushes through strikes to land a left hand of his own, and Salikhov laughs it off to tag Trinaldo with a huge right hand. Trinaldo chases after him with a swarm of inaccurate punches, but he does bully the Dagestani fighter into the cage to knee him in the chest. Salikhov swipes at him with a left hand, and he chops the lead leg of the Brazilian on the way out. Trinaldo scores a right hand and just narrowly avoids a head kick and a subsequent spinning heel kick. “Massaranduba” bites down on his mouthpiece to throw hands, but Salikhov slips and rips with counters. A quick uppercut from “King of Kung Fu” clips Trinaldo on the chin, and the Brazilian falls to his back in serious danger. Salikhov chases him down and slams his fists on the side of his head, but Trinaldo survives by throwing his legs up for a desperation heel hook to occupy Salikhov’s time until the bell sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 2
The welterweights meet in the center of the cage, and Trinaldo is ready to go back to battle as he presses forward to land a left hand on the backpedaling Dagestan native. Salikhov sits on an uppercut, but he comes up just short of the mark. Trinaldo comes forward confidently and knees the body a few times, but Salikhov tags him with fierce punches on the way out. “King of Kung Fu” gets off a crisp uppercut and a follow-up punch, and a low kick to the calf nearly puts Trinaldo down. Trinaldo times a big left hand as Salikhov advances, and Salikhov does not even register the strike as he puts his own combination together. A nasty right hand shocks Trinaldo, who is on wobbled legs but not going down this time, and Salikhov leaps in the air with a knee that glances off the target. The Brazilian only appears enraged, as he takes a punch on the chin and lashes out with a huge strike that Salikhov can barely dodge. The two are loading up on their strikes with everything they have, until they come together in a clinch. Salikhov does not way to stay here for long, as he backs off and pins a one-two on the chin. A few jabs from Salikhov find their home, and a high kick blazes up and just gets blocked in time. Salikhov ducks a looping shot to tag his foe with an uppercut, and he escapes as Trinaldo bears down on him with reaching shots. Trinaldo throws so hard he nearly falls over, and Salikhov lands a few quick strikes on the way out. A heavy body kick from Salikhov finds its mark on the midsection, and he steps forward to throw the Brazilian down to his back. “Massaranduba” slowly climbs to a knee and back up, and the tense round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov

Round 3
The two men are amped up to get after it, and Smith needs them to back off before he calls time. Seconds into the round, as Salikhov is readying a strike, Trinaldo lunges his fingers out and one goes deep into the eyeball. Salikhov falls to the ground in pain, clutching his eye, and Smith rushes over to attend to him while calling in the doctor. Salikhov’s eye appears bloodied and his eyelid is not opening all the way, but he tells the doctor that his vision is blurry but returning. The doctor wipes Salikhov’s eye clear, and Smith issues Trinaldo a hard warning. The action resumes after about two minutes in the break, and the two offer a glove touch before getting back down to business. Trinaldo winds up a bomb of a left hand that clacks off Salikhov’s chin, and Salikhov wobbles but backs off. Trinaldo knows the vision is compromised, and his left hand finds its home on that eye repeatedly, doing some serious damage. Trinaldo pushes in for a clinch to land a few knees, and Salikhov backs out of the clinch and catches a charging Trinaldo with an uppercut. The Brazilian swings with reckless abandon, with looping shots nowhere near the mark. The Dagestani fighter blocks a big head kick, and he lances Trinaldo with a straight right hand. Trinaldo falls over throwing so hard, and Salikhov backs off and kicks his leg a few times before Smith stands him up. Salikhov gets off a one-two when they start up, and he dances out of the way as Trinaldo bears down on him. Salikhov sits down on a left hand, and a spinning heel kick glances off the shoulder. Trinaldo is not afraid, taking strikes on the jaw and marching forward to throw haymakers. Salikhov absorbs a stern body kick that makes him drop his right hand, and Trinaldo follows the kick with a big right hand. Salikhov stings him with a few punches, and the Brazilian maintains his composure and takes another one-two on the chin. Ever the Terminator, Trinaldo plods forward through a few strikes to land his own, but Salikhov is much faster, putting a few punches together in rapid succession. Salikhov ends a combination by lifting Trinaldo in the air and slamming him down. From on top, Salikhov delivers a wild barrage of ground-and-pound to end the round in style.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (30-27 Salikhov)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (30-27 Salikhov)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (30-27 Salikhov)

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Francisco Trinaldo via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady expects a low-volume, boring fight likely going to decision. He notes Trinaldo is 42 with a great chin but poor cardio, while Salikhov has flashier strikes and slightly more volume. He acknowledges Salikhov has struggled with grapplers in the past but thinks Trinaldo lacks the cardio to implement a ground game. He predicts Salikhov wins a boring decision, with a possible late finish if Trinaldo gasses.

"i'm gonna take uh salakov to win a boring decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Trinaldo, agreeing with Paul. He notes Salikhov's takedown defense issues and Trinaldo's grappling advantage. Cody thinks Trinaldo's cardio is overblown and that he can win via takedowns and top control. He sees great value at +210.

"great value on ronaldo just took him plus 210"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel picks Salikhov via second-round knockout, citing his sharp counter-striking, accuracy, and improving takedown defense. He notes that Trinaldo is 42 and only has one round of wrestling in him, as seen in his last fight. Daniel believes Trinaldo will slow down and get countered by Salikhov's spinning attacks and straight punches. He respects Trinaldo but thinks father time is undefeated, and that Salikhov's distance management and power will be too much.

"i gotta go with salakov here probably via second round knockout man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Trinaldo is durable, never knocked out, and can mix in takedowns. Salikhov is low-output and overvalued due to the 'Russian tax'. This fight will be close and go to decision, with Trinaldo having the edge.

Trinaldo by decision +385, over 2.5 rounds -160
"I like me some francisco trinado at plus 385 via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 2, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Paul picks Trinaldo as a dog, citing his experience and well-rounded skills. He notes Salikhov's takedown defense issues and that Trinaldo has a path via grappling. Paul thinks the odds are too high for a fighter of Trinaldo's caliber. He already bet Trinaldo at +210.

"great value on ronaldo just took him plus 210 at one of the books that i have access to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 30, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The Guru picks Muslim Salikhov, expecting a striking stalemate but believing Salikhov will be too strong in grappling and more technical on the feet. He thinks Salikhov will give Trinaldo a rude awakening to welterweight, being bigger and faster. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision in a somewhat boring fight.

unanimous decision, 30-27
"i think muslim salakov is going to be a little bit too strong in the grappling situations"
WIN vs Jai Herbert
TKO (punch) R3 1:30 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till · Jul 26, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 1 30 of 58 51% 37 of 66 2 of 3 66% 2 1 3:18
Jai Herbert 1 21 of 70 30% 37 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 9 of 20 45% 13 of 24 2 of 3 66% 2 0 3:15
Jai Herbert 0 4 of 14 28% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 9 of 22 40% 12 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
Jai Herbert 1 14 of 32 43% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:37
3 Francisco Trinaldo 1 12 of 16 75% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Jai Herbert 0 3 of 24 12% 3 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 30 of 58 51% 15 of 35 7 of 14 8 of 9 19 of 45 3 of 4 8 of 9
Jai Herbert 21 of 70 30% 15 of 63 4 of 5 2 of 2 16 of 61 5 of 6 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 9 of 20 45% 4 of 13 4 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 12 3 of 4 3 of 4
Jai Herbert 4 of 14 28% 4 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 1
2 Francisco Trinaldo 9 of 22 40% 4 of 12 2 of 6 3 of 4 8 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jai Herbert 14 of 32 43% 9 of 27 4 of 4 1 of 1 11 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 2
3 Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 16 75% 7 of 10 1 of 2 4 of 4 8 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 4
Jai Herbert 3 of 24 12% 2 of 22 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Francisco Trinaldo (160: Missed Weight) vs. Jai Herbert

Round 1
Headlining the prelims that might have felt like an eternity to some is a catchweight fight between longtime UFC vet Trinaldo (25-7, 15-6 UFC) and hard-charging British striker Herbert (10-1, 0-0 UFC), with the latter making his UFC debut while Trinaldo has already fought in the Octagon 21 times. As Trinaldo missed weight by four pounds, this is a 160-pound affair, and it will be overseen by referee Herb Dean. There is no glove touch, and Herbert starts out with a wide stance as he paws out his left. Trinaldo winds up with a left hook that comes up well short, and Herbert is dancing around the cage while avoiding strikes. Herbert stings him with a right hand, and lands another, forcing the Brazilian to bite down on his mouthpiece and land a left hook and a body kick. “Massaranduba” mashes him against the fence, where it leads to a simple takedown as he hops into half guard. Trinaldo drops down a hard elbow, and fishes for an arm-triangle choke that leads him to fall off. Herbert springs back up, but Trinaldo snags his neck on the way up and clamps on a guillotine choke. The Brit stays calm, and he pulls his head free and returns to his feet as Trinaldo squeezes him on the fence. When Herbert tries to gain separation, Trinaldo redoubles his effort to get the fight down, and he tosses his man to the canvas. Herbert tries to get to his knees and stand up, but he gives up his neck as Trinaldo steps over to hunt for a rear-naked choke. Herbert falls to his back to defend the choke, so Trinaldo lashes at him with vicious elbows. Herbert manages to kick off, but Trinaldo comes back forward to bully Herbert on the fence. Herbert turns out and lifts up a few knees that ring Trinaldo’s bell, but the Brazilian winds up with a right hand that does some damage as well. When they are still holding tight, Herbert hits his own takedown, and he wings a big elbow at his opponent from on top. Herbert rides out the rest of the round with a few punches from half guard.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo

Round 2
Herbert opens the round with a few jabs, and he follows one with a piston-like right straight that sets Trinaldo down on the ground. The Brit dives on top and drills him with an elbow, so Trinaldo scrambles but inadvertently gives up his back. Herbert gets both his hooks in, and he secures a body triangle as he fishes for a neck. Herbert tries to set up a rear-naked choke, and the Brazilian defends it well, so Herbert softens him up with a few punches. Trinaldo bucks like a bronco, but Herbert has him locked down from turning. Trinaldo gets two-on-one wrist control to force a sweep, and after they jockey for position, Trinaldo gets him off and gets to his knees. The Brazilian takes a moment to get up, so Herbert blasts him on the chin again. Trinaldo looks tired as he tries to get back up, and he swings wildly and inaccurately but zings one off the chin. Herbert stuffs a takedown attempt, and he sticks Trinaldo with another right hand. Trinaldo is wobbling around like he is on an ice-covered canvas, and Herbert nearly drops him again with a right hand. Trinaldo gets his knees back beneath him but his punches are labored and not finding their mark in time. Herbert is loose, and when they clinch, Herbert knees him in the face before breaking position. Herbert sneaks in another right hand, and Trinaldo greets him with a thumping low kick. Trinaldo tries another one of those kicks, but Herbert checks it and sticks him with a right. The round ends with both men swinging to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Herbert
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Trinaldo opens the last round up with some hard leg kicks, and Herbert replies in kind with long left hands. Trinaldo kicks to the body, and Herbert can do nothing but take it and aim right hands down the pipe. They trade kicks, and Herbert doubles up on a jab while blocking the counter left coming at him. Trinaldo sends a body kick skimming off the midsection of the debuting Brit.
The Brazilian winds up with a crazy left hand that bounces off the forehead, and there is a delayed reaction as Herbert loses his equilibrium and falls back with his arms outstretched and could be out cold! Unfortunately for Herbert, Dean stands there and urges Trinaldo to pound on him, but Herbert is already done. Trinaldo does not want to finish the job, and waits a moment before reluctantly slamming down four more jackhammering left hands to officially seal the deal.
That was not a good display of refereeing, and not the first potentially late stoppage from Dean tonight; more than anything, what a surprising win for the Brazilian.

The Official Result
Francisco Trinaldo def. Jai Herbert R3 1:30 via TKO (Punches)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Herbert as his first underdog of the card, citing Herbert's speed, volume, and youth. He thinks Trinaldo is on the decline and doesn't throw enough. He is concerned about Trinaldo's takedowns but notes Trinaldo rarely uses them. He predicts Herbert wins a decision by outworking Trinaldo.

Herbert by decision
"I like herbert to win this fight based off of volume alone this kid's fast this kid's pretty good"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Daniel leans Trinaldo but acknowledges Herbert's knockout power. He thinks Trinaldo will mix in takedowns and have success on the mat if Herbert can't knock him out. He notes Trinaldo's experience and toughness but also that Herbert's right hand is a real threat. He sees Trinaldo winning a decision.

"i'm gonna go with trinaldo to to win another decision and uh show why he's one of the the most badass guys in the lightweight division"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 23, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good striker with movement and kicks, and Trinaldo is 41 and may start to slow down. Herbert can manage distance and avoid Trinaldo's power shots. However, Trinaldo has power and experience, making this a tough fight to cap. Herbert likely wins by decision if he stays safe.

Under 2.5 rounds (+155) considered
"i'm gonna go with jay herbert i think he plays a super safe fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing his good wins, training with Leon Edwards, and his amateur career showing seriousness. He notes Herbert has quick KOs and a gas tank for later rounds. He predicts Herbert will have big moments and win a decision, as Trinaldo has never been TKO'd and has a good chin.

"I'm going to go with Jai Herbert getting big moments, winning the fight based on those moments, but Ronaldo is going to be in there for the distance."
WIN vs John Makdessi
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 55 of 126 43% 55 of 126 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 67 of 123 54% 68 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 25 of 35 71% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 19 of 44 43% 19 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 19 of 38 50% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 24 of 52 46% 24 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
John Makdessi 0 23 of 50 46% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 55 of 126 43% 34 of 100 17 of 22 4 of 4 53 of 124 2 of 2 0 of 0
John Makdessi 67 of 123 54% 15 of 54 16 of 26 36 of 43 65 of 121 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 30 40% 5 of 22 6 of 7 1 of 1 12 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 25 of 35 71% 5 of 9 7 of 10 13 of 16 25 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 19 of 44 43% 12 of 33 6 of 10 1 of 1 19 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
John Makdessi 19 of 38 50% 4 of 18 5 of 8 10 of 12 19 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Francisco Trinaldo 24 of 52 46% 17 of 45 5 of 5 2 of 2 22 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
John Makdessi 23 of 50 46% 6 of 27 4 of 8 13 of 15 21 of 48 2 of 2 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Daniel picks Trinaldo, citing his power and aggression. He thinks Trinaldo's left hand will find Makdessi's chin, which has been broken before. He predicts a decision win for Trinaldo by landing harder shots, even without the crowd.

"I think that he'll drop him along the way and and win this decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
John Makdessi

The host picks John Makdessi over Francisco Trinaldo. He notes that Makdessi has been on a three-fight win streak since a KO loss, while Trinaldo is older and coming off a win over Bobby Green but couldn't beat a one-armed Alexander Hernandez. He expects Makdessi to out-strike Trinaldo for a boring decision win.

"I feel as though John Makdessi is gonna get the jump on Francisco turn our dough and be able to keep him at bay on the feet and slowly out strike him for a free round boring decision fest"
WIN vs King Green
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Nov 16, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 31 of 122 25% 36 of 127 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:04
King Green 0 50 of 115 43% 67 of 135 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 4 of 13 30% 8 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:19
King Green 0 9 of 18 50% 25 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:15
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 15 of 58 25% 15 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
King Green 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 51 23% 13 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
King Green 0 17 of 47 36% 18 of 48 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 31 of 122 25% 20 of 100 5 of 14 6 of 8 26 of 109 5 of 13 0 of 0
King Green 50 of 115 43% 27 of 77 13 of 24 10 of 14 43 of 106 1 of 2 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 4 of 13 30% 4 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
King Green 9 of 18 50% 3 of 10 4 of 5 2 of 3 4 of 12 0 of 0 5 of 6
2 Francisco Trinaldo 15 of 58 25% 4 of 41 5 of 10 6 of 7 13 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
King Green 24 of 50 48% 14 of 32 5 of 12 5 of 6 24 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 51 23% 12 of 47 0 of 3 0 of 1 11 of 45 1 of 6 0 of 0
King Green 17 of 47 36% 10 of 35 4 of 7 3 of 5 15 of 45 1 of 1 1 of 1
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Jul 20, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexander Hernandez 0 25 of 91 27% 26 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Francisco Trinaldo 0 25 of 52 48% 28 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexander Hernandez 0 8 of 30 26% 8 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francisco Trinaldo 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Alexander Hernandez 0 6 of 23 26% 6 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Francisco Trinaldo 0 5 of 17 29% 5 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Alexander Hernandez 0 11 of 38 28% 12 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Francisco Trinaldo 0 12 of 21 57% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexander Hernandez 25 of 91 27% 9 of 53 13 of 33 3 of 5 25 of 90 0 of 0 0 of 1
Francisco Trinaldo 25 of 52 48% 13 of 33 11 of 18 1 of 1 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexander Hernandez 8 of 30 26% 1 of 17 5 of 10 2 of 3 8 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 8 of 14 57% 5 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alexander Hernandez 6 of 23 26% 4 of 13 2 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francisco Trinaldo 5 of 17 29% 2 of 11 3 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alexander Hernandez 11 of 38 28% 4 of 23 6 of 13 1 of 2 11 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 1
Francisco Trinaldo 12 of 21 57% 6 of 13 5 of 7 1 of 1 11 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Alexander Hernandez vs. Francisco Trinaldo

Round 1
It’s time for a lightweight bout between Alexander Hernandez and Francisco Trinaldo. The referee is Frank Collazo. Hernandez comes out flying with a side kick. Trinaldo connects on a long straight right. Hernandez explodes forward with a straight right of his own. Hernandez is circling around Trinaldo, who has posted up in the center of the Octagon. Trinaldo lands a counter straight right after connecting on a kick by Hernandez. Trinaldo lands a low blow that hurts Hernandez and the referee calls time. Time is back in. The round is soon over, but not before Trinaldo lands a flying knee just before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo

Round 2
Round two begins. Trinaldo pushes forward and lands a high kick. Hernandez pushes forward and grabs a hold of Trinaldo, but shakes him off. Hernandez is unable to land anything on Trinaldo right now, but Trinaldo isn’t doing much either. Hernandez lands an overhand right. Trinaldo walks forward and lands a high kick. Neither guy really landed much that round and it’s soon over.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Trinaldo
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez

Round 3
The third round begins and right now it could be in either guy’s favor. Hernandez shoves Trinaldo against the fence. They break. Trinaldo throws a kick but slips and Hernandez is unable to take advantage of the slip. There just really isn’t much happening in this fight. Trinaldo has been planted in the center of the Octagon while Hernandez has danced around him. Hernandez finally starts to pick it up near the end of the round but he just hasn’t landed much of anything. Weird fight, and who knows how the judges will score it.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Hernandez)
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Trinaldo)
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Hernandez (29-28 Hernandez)

The Official Result
Alexander Hernandez def. Francisco Trinaldo via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
Dwight Grant - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Stoltzfus 0 52 of 100 52% 54 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 49 of 112 43% 102 of 173 2 of 5 40% 0 0 4:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 23 of 35 65% 23 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 14 of 28 50% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 20 of 38 52% 31 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:51
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 0 15 of 37 40% 15 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 12 of 31 38% 54 of 78 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Stoltzfus 52 of 100 52% 35 of 79 7 of 9 10 of 12 50 of 97 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 49 of 112 43% 23 of 81 7 of 8 19 of 23 35 of 88 3 of 4 11 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Stoltzfus 23 of 35 65% 19 of 30 1 of 1 3 of 4 21 of 32 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 17 of 43 39% 7 of 30 2 of 3 8 of 10 15 of 40 2 of 3 0 of 0
2 Dustin Stoltzfus 14 of 28 50% 5 of 16 5 of 7 4 of 5 14 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 20 of 38 52% 12 of 29 4 of 4 4 of 5 10 of 21 1 of 1 9 of 16
3 Dustin Stoltzfus 15 of 37 40% 11 of 33 1 of 1 3 of 3 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 12 of 31 38% 4 of 22 1 of 1 7 of 8 10 of 27 0 of 0 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Angelo picks Dwight Grant as the overall better fighter, but is hesitant due to Grant's chin and cardio issues, and Stoltzfus's power. He notes both fighters have flaws and advises against betting due to too many traps.

advises not to bet on this fight
"i think dwight grant is the overall better fighter so he's going to be my pick but dustin's live for a stoppage here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 12, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win by decision, but with very low confidence. He notes that Grant is hit-or-miss and hard to predict. He thinks Grant's takedown defense and striking should be enough to outpoint Stoltzfus, who is a grappler but may not be able to get the fight down. He mentions Grant is moving up a weight class, which is a concern.

"i'm gonna take dwight grant um just stylistically it should be a winnable matchup for him"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Cody picks Stoltzfus as a slight underdog, citing his policy of fading Dwight Grant as a favorite. He notes Grant's low output, poor cardio, and tendency to lose close fights. He believes Stoltzfus can take Grant down and grind out a win, but he is not betting it.

"i'm so done with dwight grant there's no world that exists that i'm willing to pay minus 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Stoltzfus for the upset, believing he is better across the board. He notes Grant's low output, age, and recent decline, while Stoltzfus's 0-3 UFC start was against grapplers, not strikers like Grant. He expects Stoltzfus to land takedowns and possibly get a submission, and considers betting him at underdog odds.

underdog bet; possible submission
"i'm gonna go dustin stoltzfus for the upset and i'm actually considering uh betting him at the underdog price"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 13, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dustin Stoltzfus

Paul also picks Stoltzfus, arguing that Grant's power will be less effective at 185 and that Stoltzfus has better grappling. He notes that Grant has been taken down by lesser fighters and that Stoltzfus can exploit that. However, he calls it a dogger pass and won't bet it.

"it's dogger pass for me i'm gonna go soul foods the guy who actually fights at 185 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant over Dustin Stoltzfus, emphasizing Grant's power advantage and tougher division background. He criticizes Stoltzfus's lack of impressive wins, noting losses to Kyle Daukaus and Rodolfo Vieira, and believes Grant's size and reach will be decisive. He predicts a KO victory for Grant, as Stoltzfus has been finished in kickboxing and Grant's power exceeds that of Stoltzfus's previous opponents.

predicts KO
"i'm going with dwight grant in the middleweight division dustin stoltzfus other than looking like tom hardy um there's no real impressive part of his career whatsoever"
TKO (punches) R2 4:15 · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Apr 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sergey Khandozhko 1 42 of 110 38% 47 of 115 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:20
Dwight Grant 2 49 of 125 39% 49 of 125 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sergey Khandozhko 1 25 of 63 39% 30 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Dwight Grant 1 18 of 52 34% 18 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Sergey Khandozhko 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Dwight Grant 1 31 of 73 42% 31 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sergey Khandozhko 42 of 110 38% 35 of 103 5 of 5 2 of 2 38 of 105 2 of 2 2 of 3
Dwight Grant 49 of 125 39% 35 of 109 13 of 15 1 of 1 47 of 120 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sergey Khandozhko 25 of 63 39% 21 of 59 3 of 3 1 of 1 21 of 58 2 of 2 2 of 3
Dwight Grant 18 of 52 34% 12 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0 18 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sergey Khandozhko 17 of 47 36% 14 of 44 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 31 of 73 42% 23 of 63 7 of 9 1 of 1 29 of 68 0 of 0 2 of 5
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Angelo picks Dwight Grant, citing experience and speed, but notes his gut says Sergey due to pressure and willingness to chase stoppage. He says Grant has more power but Sergey has better counter-striking. He warns that if Grant's cardio slips, Sergey's pressure will steal rounds. He also notes Sergey is coming off a two-year layoff and will watch weigh-ins.

"i gotta go with grant here but if his cardio slips up even a little bit sergey's pressure is gonna steal rounds"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Dwight Grant to win a close decision, citing his power advantage and recent activity. He notes that Sergey Khandozhko has been out for over two years, which is a concern. He expects a low-volume striking match and thinks Grant lands the harder shots. He has low confidence and says he wants nothing to do with the fight.

"I'll take dwight grant to land the harder shots... dwight grant wins like a very close and competitive decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sergey Khandozhko

Cody picks Khandozhko but is not confident. He notes Khandozhko's long layoff and low volume striking. He thinks the over 2.5 rounds is a good parlay piece. He expects a low-volume striking affair and avoids heavy betting.

Over 2.5 rounds (-170)
"I'll pick the candy man just cause i think i'm the only person who calls him that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 23, 2022 (fight day)
Sergey Khandozhko

The host picks Sergey Khandozhko in his quick picks list but does not elaborate or place a bet on this fight. No strong reasoning is provided.

"sergey kandosko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Paul leans Grant, citing his higher level of competition and Khandozhko's inactivity. He notes Grant's fights often go to split decision and that Khandozhko hasn't fought in three years. He expects a boring striking battle and avoids heavy betting.

"ever so slightly i'll lean towards dwight grant but he burns me all the time"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by KO in the second or third round. He notes Grant's power and awkward style, comparing him to Uriah Hall. He believes Khandozhko's long layoff will cause jitters and that Grant can catch him as the fight goes on. He mentions Grant's close fight with Francisco Trinaldo and his power to put away opponents. He also notes Grant is a slight underdog, which he likes.

KO in second or third round, slight underdog
"i'm gonna go with dwight grant here i'm gonna go with him by ko in the third round or the second round late second round third round ko"
Decision (split) (29–27, 27–29, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francisco Trinaldo 0 36 of 70 51% 61 of 101 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:45
Dwight Grant 0 31 of 133 23% 41 of 145 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francisco Trinaldo 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 14 of 51 27% 14 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Francisco Trinaldo 0 15 of 28 53% 16 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:08
Dwight Grant 0 8 of 48 16% 13 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
3 Francisco Trinaldo 0 10 of 22 45% 34 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Dwight Grant 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francisco Trinaldo 36 of 70 51% 20 of 50 11 of 14 5 of 6 26 of 57 4 of 5 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 31 of 133 23% 20 of 114 7 of 14 4 of 5 28 of 128 1 of 1 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francisco Trinaldo 11 of 20 55% 4 of 12 5 of 6 2 of 2 11 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 14 of 51 27% 6 of 39 4 of 7 4 of 5 14 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Francisco Trinaldo 15 of 28 53% 9 of 19 4 of 6 2 of 3 11 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 8 of 48 16% 8 of 44 0 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 4
3 Francisco Trinaldo 10 of 22 45% 7 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 14 0 of 0 6 of 8
Dwight Grant 9 of 34 26% 6 of 31 3 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo leans Trinaldo because he thinks the shorter, stockier fighter can get inside Grant's reach, get to the hips, and grind. He notes Grant has questionable cardio and was knocked out in his last fight despite winning early. However, he's worried about Trinaldo's age (43) and when he'll start to decline. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight and will have Trinaldo in his DraftKings lineup.

considering a +3.5 bet on Grant or a 'wins inside distance, decision no action' bet on Grant; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; will spend 8400 on Trinaldo in DraftKings
"i'm leaning trinaldo i like ronaldo here styles make fights short stocky guy should be able to get inside the range bully dwight grant to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to knock out the 43-year-old Trinaldo, citing Trinaldo's age, size disadvantage, and recent knockdowns. He notes Grant's power and Trinaldo's never-been-KO'd record, but believes the chin will crack. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"i think dwight grant knocks him out here he's now 43 years old we've seen him hurt a lot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Francisco Trinaldo, admitting it's a heart-over-mind bet. He notes Trinaldo's durability and veteran savvy, and criticizes Dwight Grant's tendency to run away and his unimpressive UFC performances. Cody points out that Grant has looked abysmal, losing to low-level competition and barely beating Stefan Sekulich. He believes Trinaldo's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, though he acknowledges the risk.

Heart over mind bet; legend
"i'm betting grandpa again here bud um if i lose i lose i'll still be up on grandpa trinaldo bets over the course of my life by by a wide margin love the guy legend"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Lock picks Trinaldo based on pressure and durability. He notes Trinaldo has never been knocked down and should stalk Grant, who tends to backpedal. He expects Trinaldo to win by decision, citing Grant's lack of volume and Trinaldo's superior kickboxing.

Trinaldo by decision +195
"i like trinaldo minus 135. i think it's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not make a clear pick. He notes that Trinaldo is now the favorite and he is not interested at that price. He also points out that Dwight Grant could win by staying on the outside and landing chip shots. Paul seems to lean towards passing on the fight.

"now that he's the favorite i'm not interested in taking a shot on francisco tripp"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

The MMA Guru picks Francisco Trinaldo, trusting his chin and durability. He criticizes Dwight Grant for being gun-shy and compares him to Uriah Hall. He believes Trinaldo's pressure and chin will carry him to a decision win, though he notes Grant has KO power.

"i'm gonna trust francisco trinaldo to get this one done"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 0 49 of 156 31% 52 of 160 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Stefan Sekulić 0 33 of 52 63% 39 of 59 3 of 7 42% 1 0 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 0 14 of 49 28% 16 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stefan Sekulić 0 7 of 13 53% 12 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
2 Dwight Grant 0 18 of 58 31% 18 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stefan Sekulić 0 12 of 20 60% 13 of 21 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:56
3 Dwight Grant 0 17 of 49 34% 18 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:25
Stefan Sekulić 0 14 of 19 73% 14 of 19 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 49 of 156 31% 28 of 126 10 of 17 11 of 13 45 of 152 2 of 2 2 of 2
Stefan Sekulić 33 of 52 63% 14 of 31 5 of 7 14 of 14 31 of 50 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 14 of 49 28% 6 of 37 3 of 5 5 of 7 14 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stefan Sekulić 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 2 of 3 3 of 3 5 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Dwight Grant 18 of 58 31% 11 of 47 2 of 6 5 of 5 16 of 56 2 of 2 0 of 0
Stefan Sekulić 12 of 20 60% 4 of 12 1 of 1 7 of 7 12 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dwight Grant 17 of 49 34% 11 of 42 5 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 47 0 of 0 2 of 2
Stefan Sekulić 14 of 19 73% 8 of 12 2 of 3 4 of 4 14 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to win by first-round knockout. He notes Grant has power and a 70% finish rate by KO, while Sekulić is hittable with poor striking defense and has been knocked out before. He has concerns about Grant's chin and cardio after his last fight, but expects Grant's power to be too much early. He suggests the under is a better bet.

Grant by KO in round 1; under
"i'm going to say why grant knocks out secular in that first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Stefan Sekulić

Cody also leans toward Sekulić, noting Grant's low output and cardio problems. He thinks Sekulić can implement a grinding gameplan and take Grant down. He acknowledges Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and durability will be key. He passes on betting Grant at -210.

"if sekolich can clench him get him up against the cage shoot some takedowns work them it'll be a jacob malcoon type performance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dwight Grant

Daniel picks Dwight Grant, citing his vicious knockout power and the fact that Stefan Sekulić is coming off jaw surgery. He notes Grant's low volume and age as concerns, but expects Grant to catch Sekulić. He mentions that if Grant lays an egg, he could be outworked.

"i'm going to go with dwight grant to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dwight Grant

I think Grant's power and explosiveness will be too much for Sekulić, who is coming off a long layoff and a USADA suspension. Grant has low volume but big power, and if he lands, he can finish. I like Grant by KO at +120, but I'm not a huge fan of Grant overall. The under 2.5 at -130 is also a consideration.

Grant by KO +120
"i think that power that explosiveness and that speed of dwight grant is going to be a little bit too much for secular chair and i think he ends up finding that knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Stefan Sekulić

Paul leans toward Sekulić, citing Grant's low output and cardio issues. He thinks Sekulić can grind Grant against the cage and take him down, similar to how others have beaten Grant. He notes Grant's power but believes Sekulić's wrestling and cardio will be decisive. He avoids the -210 favorite price on Grant.

"my worry is on a card full of favorites do i grant minus 210 there's your pie so i'm looking to avoid that one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

The MMA Guru picks Dwight Grant by first-round KO. He notes that Sekulić hasn't fought since 2018 and has been KO'd before, while Grant has power and a quick turnaround after a KO loss that wasn't devastating. He believes Grant will catch Sekulić early and finish him.

KO in first round
"i'm gonna go with dwight grants by ko in the first round"
KO (punches) R1 2:24 · UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Aug 22, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Rodriguez 3 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 1 30 of 68 44% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Rodriguez 3 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 1 30 of 68 44% 31 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Rodriguez 15 of 32 46% 10 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dwight Grant 30 of 68 44% 25 of 61 2 of 2 3 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 17 of 44
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Rodriguez 15 of 32 46% 10 of 26 3 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 27 0 of 0 4 of 5
Dwight Grant 30 of 68 44% 25 of 61 2 of 2 3 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 17 of 44
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Big Brady picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by second-round knockout. He was surprised by the line (-185) and thinks it's a little wide, but after watching tape, he believes Rodriguez is the more talented fighter with better durability and volume (9.5 significant strikes per minute). Sato has been rocked multiple times and knocked out before, including by Ben Saunders. Rodriguez has never been finished. Brady expects Rodriguez to land a knockout in the later rounds.

If line drops to -150/-140, might take a shot on Rodriguez
"i'm going to pick rodriguez to win here... i'm going to say second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2020 (fight day)
Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel Levi picks Daniel Rodriguez to win by decision. He notes Rodriguez has underrated boxing and high volume, while Grant is a power-punching specialist with low output and long layoffs due to shoulder surgery. Levi believes Grant needs a knockout to win, as he tends to lose rounds when he doesn't land big shots. He expects Rodriguez to outwork Grant and stay upright even if clipped.

decision
"i'ma go with rodriguez for the decision win but maybe he's a little hesitant to throw because you know he knows what's coming back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

Rodriguez is a southpaw with a great jab and power in his left hand, and he trains with Joe Schilling. He's efficient and calm under pressure. Sato has power but is more linear and hittable. Rodriguez should keep Sato at range and finish him in the second round. The under 2.5 rounds is also intriguing at -130.

Under 2.5 rounds at -130 is a good bet.
"i'm taking rodriguez to win this fight by uh let's say second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Rodriguez

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Rodriguez (though he initially says Jared Gooden vs Dwight Grant, then corrects to Daniel Rodriguez vs Takashi Sato). He favors Rodriguez due to his superior striking volume, chin, and pace, predicting a third-round TKO. He notes Sato's lack of top competition and Rodriguez's recent win over Tim Means.

third round tko
"daniel rodriguez i believe is gonna win this fight he's got great stand up"
WIN vs Alan Jouban
Decision (split) (29–28, 27–30, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · Apr 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 0 24 of 100 24% 25 of 101 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
Alan Jouban 0 38 of 122 31% 39 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 0 5 of 31 16% 5 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dwight Grant 0 9 of 27 33% 9 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alan Jouban 0 13 of 37 35% 13 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dwight Grant 0 10 of 42 23% 11 of 43 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Alan Jouban 0 15 of 50 30% 15 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 24 of 100 24% 9 of 77 3 of 6 12 of 17 19 of 89 1 of 4 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 38 of 122 31% 13 of 88 4 of 8 21 of 26 37 of 121 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 5 of 31 16% 1 of 26 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 29 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 10 of 35 28% 5 of 28 1 of 2 4 of 5 9 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dwight Grant 9 of 27 33% 3 of 20 1 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
Alan Jouban 13 of 37 35% 4 of 23 1 of 4 8 of 10 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dwight Grant 10 of 42 23% 5 of 31 1 of 2 4 of 9 6 of 35 0 of 0 4 of 7
Alan Jouban 15 of 50 30% 4 of 37 2 of 2 9 of 11 15 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dwight Grant 1 20 of 53 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 0 17 of 45 37% 17 of 45 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dwight Grant 20 of 53 37% 14 of 47 2 of 2 4 of 4 12 of 44 2 of 3 6 of 6
Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 17 of 45 37% 7 of 32 9 of 11 1 of 2 14 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
LOSS vs Zak Ottow
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2 · Dec 15, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zak Ottow 0 14 of 71 19% 22 of 82 1 of 6 16% 0 0 2:53
Dwight Grant 0 25 of 84 29% 33 of 93 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zak Ottow 0 5 of 28 17% 5 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dwight Grant 0 7 of 29 24% 7 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
2 Zak Ottow 0 3 of 27 11% 3 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Dwight Grant 0 7 of 25 28% 11 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
3 Zak Ottow 0 6 of 16 37% 14 of 27 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:51
Dwight Grant 0 11 of 30 36% 15 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zak Ottow 14 of 71 19% 5 of 53 7 of 14 2 of 4 11 of 67 2 of 3 1 of 1
Dwight Grant 25 of 84 29% 15 of 71 7 of 9 3 of 4 19 of 77 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zak Ottow 5 of 28 17% 2 of 22 2 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 7 of 29 24% 4 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 28 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Zak Ottow 3 of 27 11% 2 of 21 0 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dwight Grant 7 of 25 28% 3 of 20 2 of 2 2 of 3 5 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Zak Ottow 6 of 16 37% 1 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1
Dwight Grant 11 of 30 36% 8 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Angelo leans Trinaldo because he thinks the shorter, stockier fighter can get inside Grant's reach, get to the hips, and grind. He notes Grant has questionable cardio and was knocked out in his last fight despite winning early. However, he's worried about Trinaldo's age (43) and when he'll start to decline. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight and will have Trinaldo in his DraftKings lineup.

considering a +3.5 bet on Grant or a 'wins inside distance, decision no action' bet on Grant; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; will spend 8400 on Trinaldo in DraftKings
"i'm leaning trinaldo i like ronaldo here styles make fights short stocky guy should be able to get inside the range bully dwight grant to the ground"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dwight Grant

Big Brady picks Grant to knock out the 43-year-old Trinaldo, citing Trinaldo's age, size disadvantage, and recent knockdowns. He notes Grant's power and Trinaldo's never-been-KO'd record, but believes the chin will crack. He predicts a first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"i think dwight grant knocks him out here he's now 43 years old we've seen him hurt a lot"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Cody picks Francisco Trinaldo, admitting it's a heart-over-mind bet. He notes Trinaldo's durability and veteran savvy, and criticizes Dwight Grant's tendency to run away and his unimpressive UFC performances. Cody points out that Grant has looked abysmal, losing to low-level competition and barely beating Stefan Sekulich. He believes Trinaldo's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, though he acknowledges the risk.

Heart over mind bet; legend
"i'm betting grandpa again here bud um if i lose i lose i'll still be up on grandpa trinaldo bets over the course of my life by by a wide margin love the guy legend"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

Lock picks Trinaldo based on pressure and durability. He notes Trinaldo has never been knocked down and should stalk Grant, who tends to backpedal. He expects Trinaldo to win by decision, citing Grant's lack of volume and Trinaldo's superior kickboxing.

Trinaldo by decision +195
"i like trinaldo minus 135. i think it's a solid spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick. He notes that Trinaldo is now the favorite and he is not interested at that price. He also points out that Dwight Grant could win by staying on the outside and landing chip shots. Paul seems to lean towards passing on the fight.

"now that he's the favorite i'm not interested in taking a shot on francisco tripp"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Francisco Trinaldo

The MMA Guru picks Francisco Trinaldo, trusting his chin and durability. He criticizes Dwight Grant for being gun-shy and compares him to Uriah Hall. He believes Trinaldo's pressure and chin will carry him to a decision win, though he notes Grant has KO power.

"i'm gonna trust francisco trinaldo to get this one done"