vs
+225 -255
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 33
Height 6' 0"
Reach 74"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Alex Caceres
4.21 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
3.09 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
0.54 TD Avg
68.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - SeungWoo Choi
3.56 SLpM
38.0% Str. Acc.
3.16 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
0.83 TD Avg
54.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Alex Caceres
Moneyline
BetWay +225
KO/TKO
FanDuel +900
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +490
SeungWoo Choi
Moneyline
FanDuel -255
KO/TKO
FanDuel +310
Submission
FanDuel +1600
Decision
FanDuel +100
Alex Caceres - Fight History
LOSS vs Sean Woodson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Woodson 0 82 of 197 41% 85 of 200 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Alex Caceres 0 101 of 226 44% 101 of 226 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Woodson 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 31 of 63 49% 31 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sean Woodson 0 32 of 73 43% 32 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Alex Caceres 0 31 of 71 43% 31 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sean Woodson 0 32 of 75 42% 35 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Alex Caceres 0 39 of 92 42% 39 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Woodson 82 of 197 41% 43 of 143 28 of 40 11 of 14 79 of 190 3 of 7 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 101 of 226 44% 61 of 171 19 of 28 21 of 27 98 of 222 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Woodson 18 of 49 36% 11 of 36 4 of 8 3 of 5 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 31 of 63 49% 18 of 44 3 of 6 10 of 13 31 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sean Woodson 32 of 73 43% 16 of 52 11 of 15 5 of 6 31 of 70 1 of 3 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 31 of 71 43% 16 of 51 9 of 13 6 of 7 29 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sean Woodson 32 of 75 42% 16 of 55 13 of 17 3 of 3 30 of 71 2 of 4 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 39 of 92 42% 27 of 76 7 of 9 5 of 7 38 of 90 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Angelo picks Sean Woodson, citing his excellent boxing, reach management, and 84% takedown defense. He notes Woodson uses his length well and is a clean boxer. He expects Woodson to win a decision, as Alex Caceres is durable but not powerful. He is confident in Woodson's ability to keep the fight at distance.

"I'm going wood Woodson's the pick ceris is tough as hell his style is weird as hell but Woodson is such a clean boxer incredible takedown defense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Big Brady picks Sean Woodson by decision, citing his height and reach advantage, volume advantage, and the hometown crowd in St. Louis. He notes that Caceres has a black belt but rarely uses it, so this will be a striker vs. striker matchup. He expects Woodson to do more work over 15 minutes and not have to worry about takedowns, which should give him confidence to throw more volume.

"give me sha Woodson to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Cody picks Woodson but is hesitant due to Woodson's inconsistency. He notes that Woodson has shown improvements in wrestling and cardio in recent fights, and his length is a major advantage at 145. Cody believes Woodson can outpoint Caceres on the feet and has the takedown defense to avoid submissions. However, he acknowledges that Caceres is a savvy veteran and Woodson has been chinny in the past. Cody ultimately sides with Woodson but is not confident.

"I eventually did end up settling with a sha Woodson pick"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

Daniel Vreeland picks Sean Woodson, emphasizing his physical attributes (6'2" with 78-inch reach) and his ability to come back from adversity, as seen in the Luis Saldana fight. He believes Woodson's length and jab will be too much for Caceres, and that Woodson is ready to crack the top 15. He predicts a decision win.

by decision
"I see a decision win here for Shawn Woodson."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

The host confidently picks Woodson due to his length, jab, and distance management, which should neutralize Caceres' unorthodox striking. He notes Woodson's improved takedown defense and discipline, expecting him to outpoint Caceres over three rounds. He sees Caceres' grappling as a threat but doubts he can get the fight to the ground. The pick is confident, with a decision victory expected.

"give me Woodson and Woodson by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Paul picks Caceres as a slight underdog, citing his veteran savvy and ability to win scrambles. He notes that Caceres knocked out Julian Rosa, while Woodson lost to Rosa. Paul thinks the fight will be competitive and that Caceres has value at plus money. However, he is not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 'dog or pass' situation. He mentions that Woodson's improvements could make it close, but he leans towards Caceres.

"if you're going to give me plus 170 I'm going to take the the plus 170 there on the underdog"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Sean Woodson

The MMA Guru picks Sean Woodson over Alex Caceres, citing Caceres' age (35) and recent losses. He notes Woodson's height and reach advantage (4.5 inches) and believes Woodson has looked better recently. He predicts a decision win, possibly with body shots against the cage.

decision
"I'm going with Shawn Woodson over Alex ceris... I think he gets this one done."
LOSS vs Giga Chikadze
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Giga Chikadze 0 65 of 141 46% 65 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 62 of 168 36% 62 of 168 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Giga Chikadze 0 17 of 30 56% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 15 of 39 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Giga Chikadze 0 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 24 of 61 39% 24 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Giga Chikadze 0 25 of 67 37% 25 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 23 of 68 33% 23 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Giga Chikadze 65 of 141 46% 25 of 83 22 of 38 18 of 20 65 of 139 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 62 of 168 36% 25 of 110 25 of 44 12 of 14 62 of 168 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Giga Chikadze 17 of 30 56% 7 of 16 5 of 8 5 of 6 17 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 15 of 39 38% 5 of 23 5 of 10 5 of 6 15 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Giga Chikadze 23 of 44 52% 14 of 30 4 of 9 5 of 5 23 of 43 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 24 of 61 39% 8 of 40 12 of 16 4 of 5 24 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Giga Chikadze 25 of 67 37% 4 of 37 13 of 21 8 of 9 25 of 66 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 23 of 68 33% 12 of 47 8 of 18 3 of 3 23 of 68 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Giga Chikadze vs. Alex Caceres
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chikadze (-245), Caceres (+200)

Round 1
A hotly anticipated featherweight scrap heats up the room in Southeast Asia. Chikadze finds his way back into the cage for the first time in more than a year and looks to rebound from a decision defeat to Calvin Kattar that put an end to his nine-fight winning streak. Caceres appears to be enjoying a mid-career resurgence, with victories seven of his past eight bouts. Marc Goddard gets the nod to officiate. Caceres opens with a side kick to the body and looks light on his feet. Chikadze stalks from the center of the cage and uses feints to back up the Miami native. Caceres connects with a crisp one-two, then stomps at the knee. Chikadze partially blocks and spinning backfist and targets the body with one of his patented kicks. Caceres controls the center of the cage but eats a right hand over the top. His unorthodox style seems to be giving Chikadze trouble. Caceras throws in a jab, follows it with a low kick and misfires on a Superman punch. Chikadze still throwing in single strikes. So far, Caceres is holding his own on the feet. Chikadze meets him with a jab in the center of the cage, as Caceres lunges in and out with punches. They trade right hands as the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Caceres
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Caceres
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze

Round 2
Caceres once again gets out of the gate first. Chikadze looks keen to counter, but the Georgian is still only throwing one shot at a time. Lack of output is limiting his effectiveness. Chikadze follows a sharp jab with a right cross. The Kings MMA rep seems to have found his rang and timing, as he starts to connect in combination. Caceres dives in with a right hook to the body and exits without absorbing anything in return. Chikadze steps into a right hand, then follows a jab with a heavy straight right, snapping back his counterpart’s head. There is a noticeable difference in the impact of their shots. Chikadze uncorks a kicks to the body, backs out of the pocket and answers a leg kick with a right cross. Momentum has definitely shifted here.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze

Round 3
Chikadze gives Caceres pause with a head kick to start Round 3, then rattles him with a jarring right hook. The Georgian counters a low kick with an overhand right and continues to land the more impactful blows. Caceres probably needs to alter his strategy, though he punctuates a nice combination with a partially blocked head kick. The Miami native smiles, as Chikadze remains stoic and hunts opportunities. Kicks to the leg and body back up Caceres, who is swinging and missing far more often now. Chikadze steps into another right hand, nearly spinning around “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 12 graduate. With 90 seconds left, Caceres needs to put forth something significant. Chikadze circles on the outside and delivers a heavy kick to the chest. A two-punch volley comes next. Caceres is running out of time. Chikadze counters while moving backward and chews up the remaining seconds on the clock.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (29-28 Chikadze)
Tudor Leonte scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (29-28 Chikadze)
J.L. Kirven scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)

The Official Result
Giga Chikadze def. Alex Caceres—Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-37, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Angelo sees Giga as the much better striker and dangerous, but worries about the long layoff (1.5 years) and takedown defense issues from past losses. He notes that Caceres is a tough veteran with good scrambles. He picks Giga but is undecided on betting him, as the layoff and Caceres' toughness give him pause.

"this should be Giga all day long he's going to be the much better Striker the far more dangerous guy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Big Brady acknowledges Giga Chikadze's long layoff and loss to Calvin Kattar but sees this as a good matchup for him. He notes that Alex Caceres doesn't use his wrestling and prefers to strike, which favors Giga. He believes Giga is the better striker with more power and tools, and expects him to win a kickboxing fight by decision.

decision
"I like eager here to win a kickboxing fight across 15 minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Cody is tempted by the underdog line on Caceres but ultimately picks Chikadze. He notes that Caceres has a grappling advantage but may not be able to get takedowns against a high-level striker. Chikadze's striking is elite and he should win if he keeps it standing. Cody is not highly confident due to the 16-month layoff and grappling risk.

"super tempted by that Underdog money and I think it's very juicy but there's a couple other underdogs later on"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Daniel picks Giga Chikadze, noting that this is a major step down in competition from Calvin Kattar. He believes Giga's power advantage is one-sided and that Caceres doesn't have the power to hurt him. He acknowledges concerns about Giga's layoff and surgeries, but thinks he cruises to a victory, possibly by knockout. He mentions that Caceres has a grappling edge but rarely uses takedowns.

"if I have to pick a winner I think Giga probably cruises to a victory here could even be a knockout"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Alex Caceres

James picks Alex Caceres as an underdog, citing Giga's long layoff, age (35), and the beating he took from Calvin Kattar. He believes Caceres can keep the striking close and has a massive grappling edge if the fight goes to the mat. He notes Giga gasses quickly after grappling exchanges, and Caceres could submit him or win via cardio advantage. He sees value at +210.

bet on Alex Caceres moneyline
"I've actually got a bell and Alex caceres here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The host notes Giga Chikadze has been out for over a year and was exposed by Calvin Kattar's grappling. He believes Caceres is in his best form, with an unorthodox striking style and a dangerous Jiu-Jitsu game. The host expects Caceres to stifle Chikadze's early power, take the fight to the ground, and possibly find a submission. He calls the +210 odds 'crazy' and picks Caceres by decision.

"The fact that we can get Alexis air as close to plus 210 in this fight I think is crazy."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Caceres' path to victory is via grappling, but Chikadze's striking is superior. He mentions Caceres' loss to Yusuff as a blueprint for how this fight could go. Paul is not confident enough to bet Chikadze at the price.

"total agreement not don't really have anything to add to that one"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The MMA Guru picks Alex Caceres as an underdog over Giga Chikadze, envisioning Caceres finding a back take and rear-naked choke. He notes Caceres' momentum and two-fight winning streak, and Chikadze's struggles against well-rounded opponents who threaten takedowns. He believes Chikadze's best performances are against pure strikers, and Caceres' grappling threat will make Chikadze second-guess. He predicts a submission in round two via standing back take.

Submission via rear-naked choke in round 2 predicted
"I'm gonna go Alex casares ... my heart is telling me that he finds the back at some point and gets a really naked joke"
WIN vs Daniel Pineda
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 60 of 99 60% 86 of 128 1 of 2 50% 0 1 4:26
Daniel Pineda 0 27 of 56 48% 43 of 74 3 of 11 27% 1 1 3:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 15 of 30 50% 29 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 3:02
Daniel Pineda 0 5 of 7 71% 11 of 13 1 of 6 16% 1 0 0:16
2 Alex Caceres 0 5 of 9 55% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:43
Daniel Pineda 0 9 of 14 64% 19 of 26 2 of 3 66% 0 1 3:36
3 Alex Caceres 0 40 of 60 66% 50 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:41
Daniel Pineda 0 13 of 35 37% 13 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 60 of 99 60% 32 of 69 26 of 28 2 of 2 45 of 76 11 of 15 4 of 8
Daniel Pineda 27 of 56 48% 15 of 42 3 of 4 9 of 10 22 of 50 2 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 15 of 30 50% 9 of 24 5 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 15 5 of 7 4 of 8
Daniel Pineda 5 of 7 71% 1 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 4 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alex Caceres 5 of 9 55% 2 of 6 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 5 2 of 4 0 of 0
Daniel Pineda 9 of 14 64% 8 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 8 2 of 3 3 of 3
3 Alex Caceres 40 of 60 66% 21 of 39 18 of 20 1 of 1 36 of 56 4 of 4 0 of 0
Daniel Pineda 13 of 35 37% 6 of 27 2 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Angelo picks Caceres, believing he can weather Pineda's early storm and then take over as Pineda fades. He notes Pineda is dangerous but only for about three minutes. Angelo is concerned about recency bias from Caceres' knockout win over Julian Erosa, but still thinks Caceres' durability and experience will carry him.

"I gotta go with Bruce Leroy here I the line is moving he's becoming a bigger favorite"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Cody picks Caceres, noting his resurgence and improved skills across the board. He mentions Caceres has a knack for taking the back and fishing for rear-naked chokes. Cody contrasts Pineda's early-finish style with Caceres's ability to go the distance. He also notes Caceres recently lost a grappling match to Pat Sabatini, which could be a concern. Overall, he feels Caceres should win over 15 minutes but isn't overly confident.

"I feel like casera should win over the course of 15."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Pineda

Connor picks Pineda, citing that Caceres has historically struggled against intense, fast-starting power punchers. He notes that Pineda's aggression and power could overwhelm Caceres early, as seen in Caceres' losses to Francisco Rivera and Juan Wong. However, Connor is hesitant because Pineda is inconsistent and can be outmaneuvered by mobile strikers.

"I'm picking a repeat of the Cub Swanson fight, essentially."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Pineda

Daniel sees this as a dog-or-pass situation, noting that Pineda is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 30 finishes in 30 wins. He believes the line has overcorrected after Caceres' win over Julian Erosa, and that Pineda's grappling and finishing ability make him a live underdog. However, he acknowledges Pineda's cardio issues and the risk of him getting finished himself.

"it's a dog or pass situation and ... I'll pick him as well"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Pineda

Jacob picks Pineda, citing his power and finishing ability. He thinks Pineda's leg kicks will slow Caceres' movement and set up takedowns or knockout shots. Jacob notes Caceres' recent knockout was against a broken Julian Erosa and he hasn't shown real power since 2010. He believes Pineda finds a finish.

"I think Daniel Pineda can can find a way to find the shot on Alex caceres and maybe he starts taking a desperate shot when he's hurt"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Caceres has cleaner technical striking and a sneaky submission game. Pineda is aggressive but leaves openings. Caceres will likely land a head kick or set up a submission in the second or third round. The fight not going to decision is a strong prop.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I'm going to go with the Bruce Leroy side here I think he finds uh probably a head kick submission or a head kick and then rear naked choke submission in the second or third round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Paul picks Alex Caceres but is not confident at the -180 price. He notes Caceres has improved his wrestling and striking, and his grappling is his best asset. Paul points out Pineda is a front-runner who fades in later rounds, while Caceres can survive and be dangerous in the second and third. However, he acknowledges Pineda's physical strength and BJJ could pose problems if he gets takedowns early. Paul leans Caceres over 15 minutes but won't bet heavily.

Under 0.5 takedowns for Alex Caceres on PrizePicks
"I'm leaning towards Bruce Leroy but I will admit Daniel Pineda is very physically strong is it BJJ black belt as well and probably does have the wrestling Advantage"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The MMA Guru picks Alex Caceres, noting he is very hard to finish due to his elusiveness. He highlights Caceres' five-fight win streak with finishes, and a close fight with Sadiq Youssef. He believes Caceres will make it tricky for Pineda on the feet and that Pineda will slow down due to rough weight cuts. He thinks if it goes to decision, Caceres wins, though Pineda is a finisher.

"I'm going with Alex caceres over Daniel Pineda... is very hard to finish because he's so Elusive and tricky"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

Zane picks Caceres because he believes Pineda's striking falls apart against fighters who use movement and angles. He notes that Pineda overthrows and is vulnerable to fluid strikers like Caceres. Zane expects Caceres to survive Pineda's early intensity and then take over, similar to how Andre Fili beat Pineda.

"I think that that is actually going to work pretty well for Caceres here."
WIN vs Julian Erosa
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 3:04 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 1 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Julian Erosa 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 1 16 of 30 53% 16 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Julian Erosa 0 10 of 22 45% 10 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 16 of 30 53% 9 of 19 3 of 6 4 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 6
Julian Erosa 10 of 22 45% 2 of 11 3 of 4 5 of 7 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 16 of 30 53% 9 of 19 3 of 6 4 of 5 13 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 6
Julian Erosa 10 of 22 45% 2 of 11 3 of 4 5 of 7 10 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Angelo is very confident in Julian Erosa, believing he can win the stand-up exchanges and stay alive on the ground. He notes Erosa has more power, volume, and good enough takedowns to keep Caceres guessing. He acknowledges Caceres' experience could sneak out a win but thinks Erosa is dangerous and well-rounded enough.

"I love Julian erosa in this spot and he's one of the few confident picks I have on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Big Brady picks Julian Erosa, noting that Erosa is typically an underdog but is favored here. He likes Erosa's volume, pressure, power, and submission game. He thinks Caceres lacks power and has been submitted many times. He expects Erosa to break Caceres and get a second-round submission.

Erosa wins by submission in round 2
"I like a Rosa to kind of break because Sarah says the fight goes on and I'll say Rosa gets a second round submission win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Cody picks Erosa, noting his inconsistency but coming off a good performance against Hakeem Dawodu. He thinks Erosa has all the intangibles: volume, movement, wrestling, and grappling. He believes Caceres is a gatekeeper who beats lower-level guys but loses to legit fighters. He expects Erosa to outwork Caceres and win by decision.

Erosa by decision
"I gotta go with that man he looks so complete against Hakeem... I think Rosa wins gross wins by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)

The host bet the over 2.5 rounds, not a moneyline pick. He thinks both guys are durable and neither has big knockout power, so it should go to decision. He leans Erosa to win but doesn't like the -170 moneyline. No clear winner pick.

Over 2.5 rounds at -155, 1.55 units; mentioned Erosa by decision
"I don't really think considers has that big pop in his shots to put him down and put him out same on the erosa side"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Paul picks Erosa, agreeing with Cody. He notes his biggest concern with Erosa is his chin against power punchers, but Caceres is not a one-hitter quitter. He expects Erosa to clear 65.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks, as he throws high volume and the fight likely goes to decision.

Erosa over 65.5 significant strikes (PrizePicks)
"I will be adding erosa significant strikes more than 65.5 on price picks"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa over Alex Caceres, believing Erosa's pace, pressure, and wrestling will be too much. He notes Caceres is vegan and Erosa goes to the body a lot, which could be a factor. He thinks Caceres won't finish Erosa, and Erosa's grappling is too good to get submitted. He predicts a third-round finish or decision win for Erosa, citing his recent wins over Hakeem Dawodu and Nate Landwehr.

"I'll go Juliana Rosa I think it's time to stop doubting him as a fighter"
LOSS vs Sodiq Yusuff
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sodiq Yusuff 0 64 of 123 52% 74 of 133 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:42
Alex Caceres 0 66 of 138 47% 71 of 143 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sodiq Yusuff 0 8 of 25 32% 17 of 34 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:24
Alex Caceres 0 13 of 23 56% 18 of 28 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
2 Sodiq Yusuff 0 29 of 48 60% 29 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Alex Caceres 0 25 of 53 47% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sodiq Yusuff 0 27 of 50 54% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Alex Caceres 0 28 of 62 45% 28 of 62 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sodiq Yusuff 64 of 123 52% 18 of 70 12 of 16 34 of 37 59 of 117 5 of 6 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 66 of 138 47% 43 of 107 14 of 20 9 of 11 64 of 133 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sodiq Yusuff 8 of 25 32% 1 of 17 4 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 13 of 23 56% 8 of 18 2 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sodiq Yusuff 29 of 48 60% 5 of 22 5 of 6 19 of 20 27 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 25 of 53 47% 18 of 42 4 of 6 3 of 5 25 of 51 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Sodiq Yusuff 27 of 50 54% 12 of 31 3 of 5 12 of 14 25 of 47 2 of 3 0 of 0
Alex Caceres 28 of 62 45% 17 of 47 8 of 12 3 of 3 26 of 59 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Angelo picks Sodiq Yusuff because he is too powerful and fast on the feet for Alex Caceres. He notes that Caceres averages less than one takedown per fight and likely won't use his wrestling, so he will lose the striking exchanges. However, he suggests Caceres might be worth a plus 3.5 bet (buying a round on scorecards) as he could have moments of success.

Suggests Alex Caceres +3.5 points bet (available at BetOnline)
"i do think yusuf is just too powerful too fast on the feet and i think alex you know he averages less than one takedown per fight and i just don't see him using his wrestling to get this to …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Big Brady picks Sodiq Yusuff to win by decision. He notes Yusuff has more power and will land the harder shots, while Caceres is a volume striker with a black belt in BJJ but rarely goes for takedowns. He thinks the smaller cage favors Yusuff's pressure. He expects a competitive fight but Yusuff's power will be the difference, possibly hurting or dropping Caceres, but ultimately winning a decision.

"i'm gonna say yusuf does win this fight i'm gonna say yusuf does win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Cody leans Yusuff but is not confident. He notes Caceres' submission threat but believes Yusuff's power and pressure will be too much. He worries about Caceres' grappling but thinks Yusuff's takedown defense and ability to get up will suffice.

"i kind of end up in the use of corner but this one just feels like it's going to potentially be the apple pie shooter"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Daniel Levi picks Sodiq Yusuff, noting that he has been on Yusuff every fight except the Arnold Allen one. He believes Yusuff will walk Caceres down and use his Nigerian power and underrated ground game. Levi mentions that he has a bet on Yusuff at minus 220. He acknowledges Caceres's veteran tricks but thinks Yusuff's physicality and pressure will be too much.

i do have a bet on so deek at minus 220
"i do have a bet on so deek at minus 220"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Yusuff is a powerful striker returning from a loss to Arnold Allen. He has knockout power and good boxing, but cardio can be a concern if he grapples heavily. Caceres is on a five-fight win streak but against lesser competition, and was nearly finished by Seungwoo Choi. Yusuff is expected to land a big shot and knock out Caceres, likely in the first round.

KO line at plus money is mentioned as a potential play; predicted first-round KO.
"I think Yusuff is going to march him down, stalk him and land those big shots and I think eventually he's going to land a beautiful counter to put Alex Caceres' lights out."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

Paul leans Yusuff but is not confident. He notes Caceres' submission threat but believes Yusuff's power and pressure will be too much. He worries about Caceres' grappling but thinks Yusuff's takedown defense and ability to get up will suffice.

"i kind of end up in the use of corner but this one just feels like it's going to potentially be the apple pie shooter"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Sodiq Yusuff

The MMA Guru picks Sodiq Yusuff over Alex Caceres, citing Yusuff's maturity in grappling situations and his composure on the feet. He notes that Yusuff stayed calm against Andre Fili and Arnold Allen, showing good sprawls and top control. He believes Yusuff's power will be a difference-maker and predicts a second-round KO. However, he admits Caceres is a good underdog and that the odds are too wide, suggesting a small bet on Caceres might be worth it. He still thinks Yusuff prevails.

second round KO; Caceres is a good underdog bet
"i'm going to go with sadiq yousef over alex caceres the reason being is sadiq yusuf shows a level of maturity beyond his years in grappling situations"
WIN vs SeungWoo Choi
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:31 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 46 of 64 71% 54 of 72 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:49
SeungWoo Choi 1 33 of 98 33% 38 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 29 of 39 74% 29 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
SeungWoo Choi 1 19 of 65 29% 22 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
2 Alex Caceres 0 17 of 25 68% 25 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:49
SeungWoo Choi 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 46 of 64 71% 22 of 33 13 of 17 11 of 14 37 of 54 9 of 10 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 33 of 98 33% 18 of 78 11 of 16 4 of 4 26 of 85 3 of 3 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 29 of 39 74% 12 of 18 9 of 12 8 of 9 26 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 19 of 65 29% 13 of 56 2 of 5 4 of 4 15 of 55 0 of 0 4 of 10
2 Alex Caceres 17 of 25 68% 10 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 5 11 of 18 6 of 7 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 14 of 33 42% 5 of 22 9 of 11 0 of 0 11 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo thinks Choi is the more technical striker with better takedown entries, and should win the fight. However, he loves the value on Caceres as a +200 underdog and already grabbed a +3.5 bet on him at -115, meaning Caceres only needs to win one round. He thinks Caceres is tough enough to not get finished and can steal a round. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight.

grabbed a +3.5 bet on Caceres at -115; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; won't spend 9200 on Choi in DraftKings
"i am loving the value at an at a two to one underdog alice casera so i already grabbed a plus three and a half bet on him at minus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks Choi as the younger, improving fighter who lands harder shots. He notes Caceres is durable but expects Choi to win a clear decision, though he warns that betting a -300 favorite to decision is risky due to poor judging. He sees Choi's takedown defense as a potential issue but believes he's worked on it.

"i think troy gets it done again landing the harder shots"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody is confident in Seung Woo Choi, citing his size, reach, and striking acumen. He notes that Choi is a former Korean Muay Thai champion and has improved his takedown defense. Cody contrasts Choi's recent wins against solid competition with Alex Caceres's wins over lower-level opponents. He points out that Caceres has not scored a clean knockout since 2010 and lacks the wrestling to take Choi down. Cody believes Choi will out-strike Caceres and potentially finish him.

Top ticket material; parlay piece
"sue wong choi looks like he'll probably be top ticket material this week i just really like how he matches up with one bruce lee caceres"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Lock picks Choi based on power and striking. He thinks Choi's power will be the difference and that Caceres will be outmatched on the feet. He expects Choi to win by decision, noting Caceres is experienced but may be on the decline.

Choi by decision +100
"i like troy i like troy decision which i currently think is sitting around plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Caceres is not used to facing opponents with reach and height advantages. He highlights Choi's cleaner, harder strikes and Caceres's lack of takedown threat. Paul mentions that Caceres's recent wins are over fighters who are no longer in the UFC or are fringe roster members. He believes Choi's size and striking will be too much for Caceres.

"going through alex caceres's last 10 fights which brings you back to 2016. he's landed three takedowns fact so he's throwing the harder cleaner more technical strikes it's gonna be choi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his Muay Thai skills, reach, and physical advantages. He questions Alex Caceres' level of competition and believes Choi will out-strike him, particularly with leg kicks, winning by decision.

"i'm going to go have seong wu choi here i think it's a logical prediction to make"
WIN vs Kevin Croom
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Feb 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 48 of 68 70% 97 of 121 1 of 1 100% 1 1 3:44
Kevin Croom 0 16 of 51 31% 26 of 67 1 of 16 6% 0 1 7:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 18 of 28 64% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:32
Kevin Croom 0 7 of 22 31% 8 of 23 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:36
2 Alex Caceres 0 8 of 11 72% 26 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Kevin Croom 0 5 of 8 62% 11 of 18 1 of 6 16% 0 0 4:16
3 Alex Caceres 0 22 of 29 75% 48 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:09
Kevin Croom 0 4 of 21 19% 7 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 1 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 48 of 68 70% 33 of 49 11 of 13 4 of 6 30 of 46 12 of 14 6 of 8
Kevin Croom 16 of 51 31% 10 of 44 1 of 2 5 of 5 14 of 46 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 18 of 28 64% 9 of 16 7 of 8 2 of 4 11 of 18 3 of 4 4 of 6
Kevin Croom 7 of 22 31% 1 of 15 1 of 2 5 of 5 7 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Alex Caceres 8 of 11 72% 6 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0
Kevin Croom 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Alex Caceres 22 of 29 75% 18 of 25 3 of 3 1 of 1 15 of 22 5 of 5 2 of 2
Kevin Croom 4 of 21 19% 4 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Big Brady picks Kevin Croom to win by submission, calling it an upset. He thinks Croom will be more aggressive, throw harder shots, and have higher volume. He notes Croom can take Caceres' back standing and take the fight to the mat, where Caceres has been submitted six times. He compares Croom favorably to Chase Hooper, who was a favorite against Caceres. He believes the line at +175 is off and that Caceres should not be a -210 favorite.

submission win for Croom
"i'm going to take kevin croom to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alex Caceres

Daniel Levi picks Alex Caceres, citing his experience and level of competition. He notes Croom's win over Roosevelt Roberts was more about Roberts not being ready, and that Croom has a ugly, lunge-heavy style. Levi believes Caceres' striking edge and movement will allow him to pick Croom apart over three rounds, and that Croom's recent win is overrated.

"I think alex caceres is gonna win this fight man i like kevin croom... but i think bruce leroy is just going to touch him up for three rounds"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Kevin Croom

Croom's pressure and pace will not allow Caceres to operate at his preferred kicking range. Croom has solid cardio, good volume, and a strong clinch game. Caceres struggles when pressured, and Croom's takedowns and forward movement should earn him a decision. The line is moving down, indicating value.

"i'm on the kevin chrome train here i think that he even springs the uh the upset via decision here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The MMA Guru picks Alex Caceres, believing his UFC experience against higher-level competition gives him the edge. He expects Croom to start fast and fade, allowing Caceres to take over in the later rounds for a 29-28 decision. He notes the odds are tempting for Croom but sticks with Caceres as the winner, though he acknowledges Caceres should not be such a heavy favorite.

"i think caceres is a little bit underrated... i think caceres wins so i'm not going to pick the dog"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:38 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 18 of 31 58% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Austin Springer 0 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 18 of 31 58% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
Austin Springer 0 14 of 32 43% 14 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 18 of 31 58% 11 of 22 4 of 4 3 of 5 18 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Springer 14 of 32 43% 3 of 17 2 of 5 9 of 10 13 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 18 of 31 58% 11 of 22 4 of 4 3 of 5 18 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Austin Springer 14 of 32 43% 3 of 17 2 of 5 9 of 10 13 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Alex Caceres

Daniel Levi picks Alex Caceres, calling him a gatekeeper who measures if a fighter belongs in the UFC. He believes Springer is not ready for this level, citing his loss to Chris Gruetzemacher and knockout loss to Julian Erosa. He expects Caceres to use his left hand and footwork to pick Springer apart, possibly getting a knockout.

"i'm gonna go with bruce leroy to make it three in a row in 2020."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Alex Caceres

The host picks Alex Caceres as an underdog, citing that Giga Chikadze has been unimpressive in the UFC, with split decisions over Brandon Davis, Jamal Emmers, and Irwin Rivera. He believes Caceres is a step up in competition and can stuff Chikadze's takedowns. He expects Caceres to win a close split decision, using his kicks and experience.

split decision
"i'm going to pick alex caceres... i think caceres is going to get the job done by a close decision win two rounds to one i'll say split decision"
SeungWoo Choi - Fight History
LOSS vs Kevin Vallejos
KO R1 3:09 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
SeungWoo Choi 0 16 of 44 36% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Vallejos 1 14 of 27 51% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 SeungWoo Choi 0 16 of 44 36% 16 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kevin Vallejos 1 14 of 27 51% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
SeungWoo Choi 16 of 44 36% 4 of 20 1 of 8 11 of 16 16 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Vallejos 14 of 27 51% 4 of 12 3 of 6 7 of 9 13 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 SeungWoo Choi 16 of 44 36% 4 of 20 1 of 8 11 of 16 16 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kevin Vallejos 14 of 27 51% 4 of 12 3 of 6 7 of 9 13 of 26 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

Angelo picks Kevin Vallejos over Choi Seung-woo. He is very confident in Vallejos, citing his power, speed, and the fact that Choi has been knocked out recently. He notes that UFC debuts can be nerve-wracking but believes Vallejos is the real deal. He expects the odds to move further in Vallejos' favor.

"I love Kevin in this matchup and even with the grappling I am very confident in him here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

Big Brady picks Kevin Vallejos, calling Choi Seung-woo very hittable and chinny. He notes that Choi has been knocked down or finished by lesser strikers like Michael Trizano and Josh Culibao, and that his style of standing and banging when hurt will backfire against Vallejos. Brady expects Vallejos to land a brutal first-round knockout, predicting he 'pipes up' Choi on sight.

Vallejos first round KO
"give me Kevin vallejos to win this fight by a brutal brutal first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Christian Leroy Duncan, citing his speed, movement, and ability to finish. He notes that Eric Anders has been knocked down in his last three fights and is 38 years old. He believes Duncan can land a knockout, possibly in the first round, and considers the KO prop at plus 200.

KO prop at +200
"CLD by knockout. That may make my card this week to be perfectly honest. Um plus 200 when you've got like a minus 600 favorite."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

Connor agrees, noting that Vallejos is a much more natural puncher inside and that Choi will relegate himself to brawling. He compares Vallejos to Jack Della Maddalena without a jab, but still fearsome. He also mentions that Vallejos looks for ways in off his opponent's offense and is a damn good combination puncher once he gets you out of position.

"I'm going to take Vallejos."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

The host believes this is a horrible matchup for Choi, who may have an output advantage but will eventually be caught by Vallejos crashing the pocket with big shots that put him clean out.

knockout
"I believe this is a horrible matchup for Troy he might have the output Advantage here against valos but I think it's just a matter of time before valos is able to crash the Pocket land those big shots on …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks Duncan, noting that Anders is a low-volume fighter who has been dropped early in recent fights. He believes Duncan's speed and athleticism will be too much, and he expects a finish. He is considering the KO prop as well.

"I think he's improving. They've not given him the easiest run. Anders isn't the easiest fight, but you should be able to just use that speed, that movement, keep him off of you, outpoint him at the very least."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

The MMA Guru is very high on Kevin Vallejos, calling him the 'people's Main Event' and a real deal prospect. He praises his striking, head movement, and defensive responsibility, noting he took Jean Silva to a decision on the Contender Series at age 21. He criticizes Choi Seung-woo's bad chin and knockout losses, including to Mike Trizano. He predicts Vallejos will get a TKO finish in the second round, possibly late first, and believes he will go far in the division.

Second round TKO (maybe late first)
"I'm going with Kevin valos this is the people's Main Event okay you might not know it yet but you will after this Kevin vallejos is the real [ __ ] deal"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Kevin Vallejos

Zane picks Vallejos because he believes Vallejos has a good chin (going three rounds with John Silva) and that Choi will eventually brawl, which favors Vallejos' natural pocket punching. He notes that Vallejos is a good combination puncher with defense, and that Choi cannot fight from distance forever. He acknowledges the competition level concern but thinks Vallejos has the tools.

Odds: Vallejos opened -384, now -636; Choi opened +248, now +424. Zane says the line is too wide but Vallejos deserves to be a favorite.
"I think I'm going to pick Vallejos, not just because he's a witch."
LOSS vs Steve Garcia
TKO (punches) R1 1:36 · UFC on ESPN: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Steve Garcia 1 15 of 27 55% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Steve Garcia 1 15 of 27 55% 18 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:37
SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Steve Garcia 15 of 27 55% 10 of 19 2 of 5 3 of 3 9 of 19 1 of 2 5 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 9 of 15 60% 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Steve Garcia 15 of 27 55% 10 of 19 2 of 5 3 of 3 9 of 19 1 of 2 5 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 9 of 15 60% 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Seung Woo Choi vs. Steve Garcia
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-148), Choi (+124)

Round 1
Finding himself in the unexpected situation of serving as the co-main event after the cancelation of Brad Tavares vs. Jun Yong Park, “Mean Machine” Garcia (15-5, 4-2 UFC) is ready to rise the occasion and lock down his fourth win in a row. The Jackson-Wink fighter will try to hand Choi (11-6, 4-5 UFC) his fourth loss in five fights, and the two featherweights will likely meet in the middle and throw down. When they do, referee Herb Dean will be hanging on tight. There is a touch of gloves, and Garcia is the initial aggressor as he gets into the center of the cage and lands a stomp kick to the knee. Garcia ducks back to avoid two looping hooks, only to race forward and bump into Choi’s forehead to tie him up. Garcia ties up a leg but is unable to put the South Korean down, and when Choi escapes, he throws hands. Garcia welcomes the exchange, and when things settle down, he lands another kick to the knee. Choi chambers and fires a low kick that puts Garcia down to a knee, and Garcia climbs back up and gets swept with another kick. Garcia wades forward, thinks about throwing a front kick and lets it go to stand and bang. Stand and bang is exactly what “Mean Machine” does, rocking Choi and getting clipped in a destructive exchange.
Garcia lands the cleaner of the blows as he continues to slug it out, and he knocks Choi off-balance with a left hand and floors him with another bomb of a left. Choi turns to his side and then knees in an effort to shell up and survive, but Garcia is a man possessed at getting the win. Garcia stings “Sting” repeatedly with hammerfists, raining down a seemingly unending onslaught of fists until Dean has no choice but to stop the fight.
Choi looks up at Dean quizzically as blood streams from his mouth, and Garcia runs to the cage wall to scream and then scales it to shout even louder. This is a big moment for Garcia, who has now picked up four straight knockout victories. The triumphant Garcia calls for an MMA fight against Dan Ige, a popular name lately, while also calling out commentator Daniel Cormier for a golf match.

The Official Result
Steve Garcia def. Seung Woo Choi R1 1:36 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Angelo picks Steve Garcia because he is sneaky good with five UFC wins all by KO/TKO. He believes Garcia's striking and wrestling are there, and that Choi Seung-woo has been finished before. He has placed a bet on Garcia at -140 and expects the line to move.

bet placed at -140
"Steve Garcia is the pick I got a nice little bet on him at minus 140"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Cody also picks Garcia but with less confidence, noting Garcia's own durability issues and the fact that both fighters have been dropped. He sees the fight as close to 50/50 and suggests taking Choi if plus money is available. He emphasizes the under 2.5 rounds as the best bet, expecting a violent finish.

"I got one guy that's on a three-fight winning streak... I got to get the guy in the three-fight winning streak."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Daniel Vreeland picks Steve Garcia by knockout, comparing the fight to a coin flip but ultimately choosing Garcia. He notes both fighters have high knockdown rates and can be dropped, but Garcia's size (6'0", 75" reach) and recent form (5 knockdowns in last 3 fights) give him the edge. He expects a stand-up war ending in a Garcia knockout.

by KO
"heads we're gonna go with Steve Garcia here to uh drop Troy a couple times and then all out War"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Garcia is a -140 favorite. He relies on his knockout power and has a three-fight KO streak. Choi is more technical but has been finished before. Garcia can survive early pressure and land a big shot to get the KO. I prefer Garcia by knockout rather than moneyline, as his KO line is around +130.

Garcia by knockout
"I would rather Garcia by knockout rather than Garcia moneyline at minus 140"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Paul likes Garcia's momentum and power, noting his three-fight winning streak with five knockdowns. He questions Choi's durability, pointing out Choi has been knocked down five times in his last three fights. Paul thinks Garcia's power is the difference and expects a knockout, though he acknowledges both have shaky chins.

"I think it's Steve all day here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

The MMA Guru picks Steve Garcia, noting he has doubted Garcia before but he keeps winning. He highlights Garcia's recent finishes over Malik El Kousa, Shannon Nurnbeck, and Chase Hooper, and his training at Jackson Wink. He points out Choi Seung-woo's questionable chin, getting wobbled in most fights, and believes Garcia's power and size at 145 will be too much.

"I'm gonna go with um Steve Garcia I've doubted Steve Garcia enough"
WIN vs Jarno Errens
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
SeungWoo Choi 1 56 of 115 48% 108 of 179 1 of 1 100% 0 0 5:21
Jarno Errens 1 30 of 76 39% 40 of 88 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 SeungWoo Choi 0 26 of 52 50% 29 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Jarno Errens 0 18 of 41 43% 18 of 41 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:17
2 SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 19 47% 28 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:34
Jarno Errens 1 4 of 8 50% 14 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
3 SeungWoo Choi 1 21 of 44 47% 51 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:52
Jarno Errens 0 8 of 27 29% 8 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
SeungWoo Choi 56 of 115 48% 22 of 69 8 of 15 26 of 31 51 of 107 2 of 3 3 of 5
Jarno Errens 30 of 76 39% 13 of 47 6 of 14 11 of 15 30 of 73 0 of 2 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 SeungWoo Choi 26 of 52 50% 10 of 32 4 of 6 12 of 14 24 of 49 2 of 3 0 of 0
Jarno Errens 18 of 41 43% 9 of 25 3 of 6 6 of 10 18 of 39 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 SeungWoo Choi 9 of 19 47% 5 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 4 6 of 14 0 of 0 3 of 5
Jarno Errens 4 of 8 50% 2 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1
3 SeungWoo Choi 21 of 44 47% 7 of 24 3 of 7 11 of 13 21 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jarno Errens 8 of 27 29% 2 of 16 3 of 8 3 of 3 8 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo acknowledges Choi's three-fight losing streak and recent TKO loss, but notes that his losses came against solid competition. He highlights Choi's technical striking, leg kicks, and takedown setups. Despite the losing streak, he believes Choi is the better fighter and picks him, but with no bet due to the streak.

"sengu Choi is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady acknowledges Choi Seung-woo's three-fight skid but believes he is much better than his record indicates, with good striking and power. He thinks Choi has improved his takedown defense enough to keep the fight standing. He is not a fan of Jarno Errens, citing a lackluster debut and disadvantages in volume and power. He expects Choi to outpoint Errens over 15 minutes.

decision
"give me a song with Troy to win this fight I'll take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jarno Errens

Cody picks Errens as an underdog, noting his Dutch kickboxing style and volume. He thinks Choi's chin is deteriorating and Errens can outwork him. Cody likes the plus money value.

"the plus money is right to me I'd be willing to take a flight on the underdog"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel leans Choi Seung-woo, noting that he is the more skilled mixed martial artist. He mentions that Choi has a habit of dropping his right hand and getting countered with left hooks, and his chin may be damaged. He acknowledges that Errens has a good submission game and takedown defense issues. He is not confident and advises staying away from this fight.

"I'm gonna lean with Troy but it's it's not a confident pick and you know unless someone has a strong read I'd advise most likely staying away from this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Jarno Errens

James leans towards Jarno Errens as an underdog, citing Choi's poor durability and defensive technique after being dropped multiple times in recent fights. He believes the fight will be a 15-minute striking affair and trusts Errens' durability and technical striking over Choi's power. He notes the line has moved but originally Errens was at +180, which he sees as value.

"I'm gonna lean to the general Erin side here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jarno Errens

The host notes that Choi Seung-woo is on a 0-3 slump, has been finished in two of those fights, and his durability is declining. He highlights Choi's poor striking defense and vulnerability to grappling. Jarno Errens has a judo background and decent power, and the host believes his power and grappling advantage will allow him to pull off the upset. The host mentions that Errens' odds have moved from +210 to +140/+150, indicating public support.

"I think his big Power and grappling advantage in this matchup will allow him to string the upset against the Korean fighter here."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jarno Errens

Paul picks Errens, noting Choi's low volume and defensive issues. He expects Errens to pressure and land more strikes. Paul is not confident but likes the underdog value.

"I'll side with the underdog at plus 135 here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks Choi Seung-woo over Jarno Errens, citing Errens' lack of skill and poor performance against William Gomez. He notes Choi's mixed results but highlights his experience at a high level, takedown defense, and composure. He believes Choi's striking and clinch strength will be decisive, predicting a TKO finish.

TKO finish predicted
"I'm gonna have to go with the composure of sun Wu Choi I think he's got more experience at a high level as well more experience at a ubfc level especially"
LOSS vs Michael Trizano
KO (punches) R1 4:51 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michael Trizano 2 32 of 53 60% 34 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
SeungWoo Choi 1 26 of 73 35% 26 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michael Trizano 2 32 of 53 60% 34 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
SeungWoo Choi 1 26 of 73 35% 26 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michael Trizano 32 of 53 60% 28 of 49 2 of 2 2 of 2 21 of 40 1 of 1 10 of 12
SeungWoo Choi 26 of 73 35% 19 of 61 3 of 7 4 of 5 25 of 70 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michael Trizano 32 of 53 60% 28 of 49 2 of 2 2 of 2 21 of 40 1 of 1 10 of 12
SeungWoo Choi 26 of 73 35% 19 of 61 3 of 7 4 of 5 25 of 70 1 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo sees this as a close firefight between two forward-pressure strikers. He thinks Trizano may be more technical, but Choi is more well-rounded, has higher volume, and is more durable. He notes that Choi's losses were close and he showed durability. He is not sure about betting because the odds are close, but he leans Choi to win.

significant strikes props on BetOnline
"I like Troy to win but I mean it's likely going to be a fire fight so I think it's closer than the odds are telling you"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks SeungWoo Choi to win by decision. He believes Choi is the better striker with more power, and that Trizano doesn't wrestle (only 1-2 takedowns in UFC). He notes Choi has struggled with grapplers but Trizano won't take him down. He criticizes Trizano's recent performances, being outlanded by Lucas Almeida and Chidi Njokuani. He expects a striking match where Choi's power and volume earn him a decision.

Choi by decision
"give me Troy to win enjoy to win this one by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody picks Choi, arguing that Trizano looks washed and disinterested, with poor striking defense and low volume. He notes that Choi is long, rangy, and versatile with his Muay Thai, and that Trizano has been getting hit and knocked down recently. Cody believes Choi will pick Trizano apart from distance and win by decision or TKO.

"I'm taking Troy one of us is going to be right unfortunately and none of us is going to be wrong."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Connor picks Choi, noting that Trizano's low output and discomfort in exchanges play into Choi's strengths as a sharp counter puncher. He points out that Choi is dangerous at range and Trizano struggles to force the kind of messy fight that would make Choi uncomfortable. Connor also mentions that Trizano's recent improvements in aggression are not natural, and he still looks uncomfortable in exchanges.

"I think I'm taking Sun Wuchoi as bad as he looked against Kula Bell..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, believing he will land the bigger shots and potentially knock out Trizano. He notes that Trizano has a low-volume point-fighting style and may be on a losing streak, while Choi has faced tougher competition and shown resilience. Levi thinks Choi's power and experience will be too much for Trizano, who has confidence issues after recent losses.

"I'm going with song with Choi to get back on track here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The host sees Choi as the slicker striker with better range and combinations. He notes Trizano struggles when at a striking disadvantage, as seen in losses to L'Empereur and Almeida. Choi's size and reach should allow him to touch Trizano from the outside and win a decision. The host also likes the over 2.5 rounds if the price is right, expecting a kickboxing match without a finish.

over 2.5 rounds (if even money or plus money)
"I do lean the choice side though I do think it's slightly closer than the odds indicate but I still think that Troy ends up getting his hand raise"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michael Trizano

Paul leans towards Trizano, noting that Choi's volume is low and that Trizano could mix in takedowns. He acknowledges that Trizano has looked bad recently but thinks the fight is close and that Trizano's wrestling could be the difference. Paul is not confident and calls it a stay-away fight.

"I'll ever so slightly lean towards trizano I wish he had more of a wrestling game than he does."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru confidently picks SeungWoo Choi, reasoning that Trizano lacks takedown ability and Choi has great takedown defense. He criticizes Trizano's basic, goofy striking and notes that Choi has dealt with unorthodox fighters before. He predicts a 30-27 decision for Choi.

"I'm going with seongwoo choya only because Mike trizano doesn't really be he hasn't really shown an ability to get people to the ground"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Zane picks Choi, agreeing that Trizano's low output and lack of comfort in exchanges make him vulnerable. He notes that Choi is sharp and dangerous in the first layer of striking, where Trizano tends to get stuck. Zane also points out that Trizano's jab and low kicks may have success, but he won't be able to make Choi uncomfortable enough to win.

"I can't trust Trisano to fight that fight."
LOSS vs Josh Culibao
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Culibao 0 46 of 163 28% 64 of 184 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:30
SeungWoo Choi 2 51 of 111 45% 69 of 132 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Culibao 0 17 of 62 27% 18 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
SeungWoo Choi 1 23 of 47 48% 35 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
2 Josh Culibao 0 16 of 59 27% 16 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
SeungWoo Choi 1 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Josh Culibao 0 13 of 42 30% 30 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 21 42% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Culibao 46 of 163 28% 29 of 137 6 of 14 11 of 12 39 of 147 4 of 10 3 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 51 of 111 45% 40 of 97 7 of 9 4 of 5 40 of 95 6 of 8 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Culibao 17 of 62 27% 13 of 56 1 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 58 2 of 4 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 23 of 47 48% 20 of 42 3 of 4 0 of 1 17 of 36 2 of 4 4 of 7
2 Josh Culibao 16 of 59 27% 10 of 50 2 of 4 4 of 5 15 of 56 1 of 3 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 19 of 43 44% 16 of 39 1 of 2 2 of 2 17 of 41 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Josh Culibao 13 of 42 30% 6 of 31 3 of 7 4 of 4 9 of 33 1 of 3 3 of 6
SeungWoo Choi 9 of 21 42% 4 of 16 3 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo picks Choi, expecting him to keep the fight technical and avoid a brawl. He notes Culibao is tough and has power but is willing to fight dirty, which could be dangerous. However, he believes Choi's technical striking and ability to mix in takedowns will secure a decision win.

"i like joining this fight i think he can keep it technical avoid that phone booth brawl and cruise to a solid striking showcase win"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks SeungWoo Choi to win by decision. He notes that Choi is a very good Muay Thai striker with power, while Culibao has zero takedown accuracy in the UFC and is unlikely to take Choi down. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Choi has the advantage.

"I got to favor SeungWoo Choi here I think he's the better striker so yeah pretty simple fight to break down for me pretty straightforward pick here give me SeungWoo Choi to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody picks Choi, citing his length, Muay Thai background, and improved takedown defense. He thinks Choi's striking will be too much for Culibao, who is shorter and less technical. He expects Choi to win by decision or late stoppage.

"i think this is a good spot for him to jump back on track"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his physicality, knockout power, and technical striking. He is not fully convinced about Josh Culibao's ceiling and sees Choi as the better athlete. He notes that Culibao's best chance is to win competitive striking exchanges, but Choi's advantages should prevail. He is not betting the fight.

"my pick is gonna be song and also the size difference here I'm very curious to see how apparent that is"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Choi is the better striker with range and power. Culibao wants to brawl, but Choi can stay on the outside and pick him apart. Culibao's chin is granite, so a decision is likely. Choi is a solid parlay piece. I think Choi wins by decision.

Choi by decision (+175)
"I think troy is the better fighter better striker and if culibao's chin wasn't made of granite i think he'd be able to knock him out here but i think he's going to style on him for the majority of …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Choi's length and striking advantage. He thinks Culibao's takedowns won't be effective and that Choi will control the distance. He sees Choi as the rightful favorite.

"choi is the rightful favor minus 235 seems like a high price to be paying"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi by 29-28 decision, but warns not to sleep on Josh Culibao. He acknowledges Culibao's skills and close fight with Jordan, but believes Choi's superior stand-up, reach advantage, and Muay Thai credentials will give him the edge. He expects Choi to win the first two rounds clearly, with Culibao possibly taking the third due to volume. He rates Choi's chances at 6.5-7 out of 10, not higher.

"i'm gonna go sung wu choy but do not sleep on joshua calibal"
LOSS vs Alex Caceres
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:31 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Caceres 0 46 of 64 71% 54 of 72 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:49
SeungWoo Choi 1 33 of 98 33% 38 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Caceres 0 29 of 39 74% 29 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
SeungWoo Choi 1 19 of 65 29% 22 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
2 Alex Caceres 0 17 of 25 68% 25 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:49
SeungWoo Choi 0 14 of 33 42% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Caceres 46 of 64 71% 22 of 33 13 of 17 11 of 14 37 of 54 9 of 10 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 33 of 98 33% 18 of 78 11 of 16 4 of 4 26 of 85 3 of 3 4 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Caceres 29 of 39 74% 12 of 18 9 of 12 8 of 9 26 of 36 3 of 3 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 19 of 65 29% 13 of 56 2 of 5 4 of 4 15 of 55 0 of 0 4 of 10
2 Alex Caceres 17 of 25 68% 10 of 15 4 of 5 3 of 5 11 of 18 6 of 7 0 of 0
SeungWoo Choi 14 of 33 42% 5 of 22 9 of 11 0 of 0 11 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo thinks Choi is the more technical striker with better takedown entries, and should win the fight. However, he loves the value on Caceres as a +200 underdog and already grabbed a +3.5 bet on him at -115, meaning Caceres only needs to win one round. He thinks Caceres is tough enough to not get finished and can steal a round. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight.

grabbed a +3.5 bet on Caceres at -115; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; won't spend 9200 on Choi in DraftKings
"i am loving the value at an at a two to one underdog alice casera so i already grabbed a plus three and a half bet on him at minus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks Choi as the younger, improving fighter who lands harder shots. He notes Caceres is durable but expects Choi to win a clear decision, though he warns that betting a -300 favorite to decision is risky due to poor judging. He sees Choi's takedown defense as a potential issue but believes he's worked on it.

"i think troy gets it done again landing the harder shots"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody is confident in Seung Woo Choi, citing his size, reach, and striking acumen. He notes that Choi is a former Korean Muay Thai champion and has improved his takedown defense. Cody contrasts Choi's recent wins against solid competition with Alex Caceres's wins over lower-level opponents. He points out that Caceres has not scored a clean knockout since 2010 and lacks the wrestling to take Choi down. Cody believes Choi will out-strike Caceres and potentially finish him.

Top ticket material; parlay piece
"sue wong choi looks like he'll probably be top ticket material this week i just really like how he matches up with one bruce lee caceres"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Lock picks Choi based on power and striking. He thinks Choi's power will be the difference and that Caceres will be outmatched on the feet. He expects Choi to win by decision, noting Caceres is experienced but may be on the decline.

Choi by decision +100
"i like troy i like troy decision which i currently think is sitting around plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Caceres is not used to facing opponents with reach and height advantages. He highlights Choi's cleaner, harder strikes and Caceres's lack of takedown threat. Paul mentions that Caceres's recent wins are over fighters who are no longer in the UFC or are fringe roster members. He believes Choi's size and striking will be too much for Caceres.

"going through alex caceres's last 10 fights which brings you back to 2016. he's landed three takedowns fact so he's throwing the harder cleaner more technical strikes it's gonna be choi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his Muay Thai skills, reach, and physical advantages. He questions Alex Caceres' level of competition and believes Choi will out-strike him, particularly with leg kicks, winning by decision.

"i'm going to go have seong wu choi here i think it's a logical prediction to make"
WIN vs Julian Erosa
TKO (punches) R1 1:37 · UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige · Jun 19, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
SeungWoo Choi 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julian Erosa 1 13 of 29 44% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 SeungWoo Choi 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Julian Erosa 1 13 of 29 44% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
SeungWoo Choi 10 of 20 50% 5 of 14 2 of 3 3 of 3 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julian Erosa 13 of 29 44% 10 of 25 2 of 2 1 of 2 7 of 22 0 of 0 6 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 SeungWoo Choi 10 of 20 50% 5 of 14 2 of 3 3 of 3 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Julian Erosa 13 of 29 44% 10 of 25 2 of 2 1 of 2 7 of 22 0 of 0 6 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Angelo picks Julian Erosa, noting his violence, aggression, and multiple ways to win (KO or submission). He acknowledges Erosa relies on his chin but thinks he has more paths to victory than Choi, who can only win by KO. He has a bet on the fight going under 2.5 rounds at +125 and also bet on it not going the distance at +105.

under 2.5 rounds (+125, half unit); does not go the distance (+105)
"julian rosa is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady thinks Choi is the much better striker and that Erosa is very hittable with a weak chin. He expects a knockout, predicting Choi finishes Erosa in the second round. He considered betting but decided to pass.

win by KO in round 2
"I'm going to take sangwoo choi to knock out juliana rosa"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody picks Choi, citing Choi's physical strength, excellent jab, and durability. He acknowledges Erosa's pressure and volume but believes Choi's jab and ability to stay on the outside will carry him to a competitive decision win. He notes Choi's fatigue in the third round of his last fight but thinks Erosa's pressure could be neutralized.

"i myself see my uh myself going with seongwoo choi again i think that he's physically stronger than woodson uh he's got a better chin than nate lanware"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his physicality, size, and technical striking. He notes that Choi has been improving and is now more comfortable in the UFC, while Erosa has a tendency to fight with his hands down and has been knocked out multiple times. He believes Choi's technique and strength will be too much for Erosa, and expects a dominant performance.

"i'm going to go with sung wu choi to get the biggest uh biggest win of his career and also have the best performance of his career"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Jacob picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his speed and precise in-and-out striking. He believes Choi can stuff takedowns and keep the distance, avoiding Erosa's dirty boxing and submissions. He also mentions a pattern where Erosa alternates wins and losses, predicting a loss here. He has Choi in his lineup.

"sing woo choy is gonna win and he's in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The host picks SeungWoo Choi, believing his Muay Thai and technical striking will overcome Julian Erosa's wild, loopy shots. He notes Choi's improving takedown defense and that Erosa's brawling style plays into Choi's counters. He expects Choi to keep the fight standing and outpoint Erosa over 15 minutes, possibly earning a decision. He mentions Choi's win over Youssef Zalal as evidence of his growth, and that Erosa's wrestling is not better than Gavin Tucker's, which Choi handled.

Choi by decision at +190 mentioned as a good line
"i'm gonna take troy to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Paul picks Erosa by KO as a YOLO play, noting Erosa's recent knockout wins and Choi's history of being knocked out. He also bets under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish. He acknowledges the risk but likes Erosa's pressure and volume.

Erosa by KO +700; under 2.5 rounds +120
"i'm on the under two and a half plus 120 and i'm on uh juicy j by ko plus 700 tell me i'm wrong"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Julian Erosa

The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa to win by submission (d'arce choke) in round three. He expects Choi to land good shots early, but Erosa will make it messy in round two, forcing clinches and takedowns. In round three, Erosa will lure Choi into a war, Choi will lose composure and shoot a bad takedown, allowing Erosa to latch on a d'arce choke.

submission win, third round, d'arce choke
"i'm going to go with julian arosa darsh choke submission in round three"
WIN vs Youssef Zalal
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · Feb 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
SeungWoo Choi 0 41 of 109 37% 73 of 144 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:39
Youssef Zalal 0 23 of 47 48% 46 of 70 3 of 9 33% 1 1 4:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 SeungWoo Choi 0 13 of 54 24% 26 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
Youssef Zalal 0 12 of 24 50% 19 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:33
2 SeungWoo Choi 0 19 of 37 51% 34 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Youssef Zalal 0 6 of 14 42% 14 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:52
3 SeungWoo Choi 0 9 of 18 50% 13 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:20
Youssef Zalal 0 5 of 9 55% 13 of 17 3 of 5 60% 1 1 1:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
SeungWoo Choi 41 of 109 37% 25 of 84 10 of 13 6 of 12 26 of 93 12 of 13 3 of 3
Youssef Zalal 23 of 47 48% 12 of 34 9 of 10 2 of 3 21 of 44 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 SeungWoo Choi 13 of 54 24% 7 of 42 4 of 6 2 of 6 9 of 50 4 of 4 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 12 of 24 50% 5 of 16 6 of 6 1 of 2 12 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 SeungWoo Choi 19 of 37 51% 14 of 31 3 of 3 2 of 3 10 of 28 8 of 8 1 of 1
Youssef Zalal 6 of 14 42% 4 of 11 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 SeungWoo Choi 9 of 18 50% 4 of 11 3 of 4 2 of 3 7 of 15 0 of 1 2 of 2
Youssef Zalal 5 of 9 55% 3 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Seung Woo Choi vs. Youssef Zalal

Round 1
In yet another bout stung by opponent change after opponent change, “Sting” Choi (8-3, 1-2 UFC) finds himself glad to face anyone inside the cage, drawing a tough matchup against the recently surging Zalal (10-3, 3-1 UFC) also at featherweight. The third man inside the Octagon is referee Chris Tognoni, and the two men are so glad to be competing tonight that they practically hug when touching gloves. Choi opens up with a leg kick that comes up short, and Zalal walks around the outside and similarly misses with his own leg kick. Choi lets loose with a head kick, and he fires off a one-two that makes Zalal bounce off the cage wall. Choi’s punches are drawing reactions out of his opponent, and he just misses with a head kick that blows back Zalal’s hair. Zalal jabs to the body, and he hops forward with a left hand and ducks out of the way before a counter can find him. Zalal sticks his man with a jab, and is in and out with a body strike but he does take a high body kick. Zalal starts talking, and Choi slams him in the leg with a kick. Zalal’s jabs allow him to get out of danger as Choi is loading up on power strikes, and the South Korean does land with a solid right hand but Zalal rolls with it without issue. Choi scores a body kick and glances off with a pair of punches as he wings heavily, but the speed of Zalal is giving his foe issues as he jabs in and out. Zalal chains a strike into a takedown attempt, and he does not secure it but bullies “Sting” into the wire. Choi grinds his elbow on Zalal’s face while defending himself, and Tognoni asks them to stay busy as a stalemate has presented itself. Zalal pushes up high before changing levels for a low double, but Choi keeps his legs spread far enough apart to keep his balance and break the grip. Choi lands a couple heavy shoulder strikes, but Tognoni breaks them apart. Choi steps back and delivers a leg kick, and gets clipped with a left hand on the way in but he lands as well. As they come together and break, “Sting” stings him with an elbow. Choi tags Zalal with a quick counter, and presses Zalal into the fence before dragging Zalal down to punctuate the round right before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 2
Both men jab at the same time to begin the second frame, and Choi walks Zalal down and works him with a left hand. An errant kick from Zalal clanks off the cup, but Choi assures that he is fine and darts forward to pursue a takedown. Zalal, with his back on the fence, jumps up to attack a guillotine choke. In the process, Zalal turns the two around, and he goes after his own takedown while Choi works him with short elbows to the side of the head. Zalal’s single leg takedown attempt ignores a solid elbow to lift Choi’s leg up, but Choi is still able to stay standing on one leg. “The Moroccan Devil” changes it up to a double leg takedown, and Choi keeps elbowing him to break it up. Zalal looks to elevate his opponent, and he does not have the ability to put Choi on his back, leading to Tognoni asking them to keep fighting. Zalal stays pressed on Choi against the cage until Tognoni splits them up. Choi lands a kick on the shoulder, and a few punches clatter off Zalal’s face. Zalal smiles and gets out of the way, but he takes a jab on the chin as he retreats. Choi powers forward with punches before latching on to his opponent for a body lock takedown attempt, but Zalal sees it coming and holds on tight without concern of hitting the canvas. Choi turns the attempt into a throw, and both end up on the ground but Choi cannot keep him there. Zalal looks for upkicks that do not score, and when he stands up, he goes after a flying knee. Choi brushes it aside and cracks him with a right hand. Zalal scores a knee when Choi tries to clinch up, and he connects with a jab but eats a right hand. Choi catches a kick and pushes Zalal down, but Zalal pops up. The two both leap with flying strikes at the same time, and they crash into the fence without landing much of note before the second round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Choi
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Choi

Round 3
The glove touch commences the final round, and Choi is looking for knockout blows early as he slings head kick and big punches. He backs Zalal away with a kick and then follows it with a slapping leg kick, and his forward momentum bowls Zalal over. “The Moroccan Devil” is sly, and he rolls through to stand back up, where he re-presents his jab. Choi crashes forward with strikes to clinch, and this time, Zalal is not interested in engaging like this. Choi gathers himself and attempts this again, so Zalal jumps guard for a guillotine choke. As there is nothing to it, Zalal bails on it and spins around to attack a double leg takedown. Choi stands him back up, and for the first time, Zalal lifts him up and sets him down. Zalal immediately attacks a guillotine choke, and he rolls to mount as it is locked in fairly tight. Choi grits it out, and he puts Zalal on his back, so Zalal throws his legs up for a triangle choke. The South Korean is not remotely flustered, as he breaks the posture and sits down in Zalal’s guard. Choi drops down a shoulder strike to put Zalal flat on his back, and Zalal sits up only to get dropped back down. Zalal uses upkicks to back Choi off, and as Choi avoids them, he vaults back up. Zalal lands a quick jab but takes two punches for it, and he changes levels for a single leg takedown. Choi defends it by grabbing the fence, and Tognoni does not call it as Zalal is still pushing to try to complete it. Choi sits against the fence and stands up, but Zalal scoops him up and hits a double. “Sting” stands up once more without issue, and he allows Zalal to take his back for a moment. Zalal defends a takedown attempt with a guillotine choke, and he keeps his balance as Choi nearly has him down. Choi stays heavy, keeping his full body weight pressed on his opponent, so Zalal latches on to one final guillotine choke. It is not there, and time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Choi)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Zalal)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal (29-28 Choi)

The Official Result
Seung Woo Choi def. Youssef Zalal via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks the underdog SeungWoo Choi, disagreeing with the line that has Zalal as a heavy favorite. He notes that Zalal may struggle to take Choi down, and if the fight stays standing, Choi's striking is very impressive. He also mentions that Zalal is coming in on short notice, which adds to his uncertainty. He is not overly confident but likes the value at plus money.

odds comment: Zalal minus 255 is too wide; Choi plus 195 is good value
"I'm gonna take the underdog here, I'm gonna take the underdog and Choi... those odds are insane like Zalal minus 255."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi as a dog-or-pass, viewing it as a close fight. He notes Choi's takedown defense (stuffed 11 vs Evloev, 8 vs Tucker) and believes his physical attributes and kickboxing make him live. He thinks the line moved too far in Zalal's favor and sees value on Choi.

"i'll roll with troy but realistically i i i just i don't think he's going to come out here and dominate i think it's going to be a very close fight that could go either way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal is a well-rounded fighter with good cardio and a solid ground game. He should be able to mix in takedowns and grind out a decision. Choi has a tough run in the UFC and tends to fade as fights go on. Zalal's pace and pressure will be too much. I expect Zalal to win by decision, using his wrestling and volume striking.

Zalal by decision
"i'm going with yusuf's the law i think he wins this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2021 (7 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks the underdog SeungWoo Choi, believing the odds should be even. He highlights Choi's Muay Thai background and reach advantage, and doubts Zalal's offensive grappling ability to expose Choi's ground game. He predicts Choi will piece Zalal up on the feet for two rounds, possibly slowing in the third, winning a 30-27 decision.

30-27 decision
"I'm going with the underdog in sung wu choi to get the upset against yusuf salao"
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Angelo thinks Choi is the more technical striker with better takedown entries, and should win the fight. However, he loves the value on Caceres as a +200 underdog and already grabbed a +3.5 bet on him at -115, meaning Caceres only needs to win one round. He thinks Caceres is tough enough to not get finished and can steal a round. He likes the more/more on the monkey knife fight.

grabbed a +3.5 bet on Caceres at -115; likes more/more on monkey knife fight; won't spend 9200 on Choi in DraftKings
"i am loving the value at an at a two to one underdog alice casera so i already grabbed a plus three and a half bet on him at minus 115"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady picks Choi as the younger, improving fighter who lands harder shots. He notes Caceres is durable but expects Choi to win a clear decision, though he warns that betting a -300 favorite to decision is risky due to poor judging. He sees Choi's takedown defense as a potential issue but believes he's worked on it.

"i think troy gets it done again landing the harder shots"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody is confident in Seung Woo Choi, citing his size, reach, and striking acumen. He notes that Choi is a former Korean Muay Thai champion and has improved his takedown defense. Cody contrasts Choi's recent wins against solid competition with Alex Caceres's wins over lower-level opponents. He points out that Caceres has not scored a clean knockout since 2010 and lacks the wrestling to take Choi down. Cody believes Choi will out-strike Caceres and potentially finish him.

Top ticket material; parlay piece
"sue wong choi looks like he'll probably be top ticket material this week i just really like how he matches up with one bruce lee caceres"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Lock picks Choi based on power and striking. He thinks Choi's power will be the difference and that Caceres will be outmatched on the feet. He expects Choi to win by decision, noting Caceres is experienced but may be on the decline.

Choi by decision +100
"i like troy i like troy decision which i currently think is sitting around plus 100"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Caceres is not used to facing opponents with reach and height advantages. He highlights Choi's cleaner, harder strikes and Caceres's lack of takedown threat. Paul mentions that Caceres's recent wins are over fighters who are no longer in the UFC or are fringe roster members. He believes Choi's size and striking will be too much for Caceres.

"going through alex caceres's last 10 fights which brings you back to 2016. he's landed three takedowns fact so he's throwing the harder cleaner more technical strikes it's gonna be choi"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The MMA Guru picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his Muay Thai skills, reach, and physical advantages. He questions Alex Caceres' level of competition and believes Choi will out-strike him, particularly with leg kicks, winning by decision.

"i'm going to go have seong wu choi here i think it's a logical prediction to make"