vs
-120 +114
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann Next Fight
Age N/A
Height 5' 6"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ariane da Silva
4.05 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
4.4 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.47 TD Avg
38.0% TD Acc.
68.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Mandy Böhm
2.51 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.24 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.72 TD Avg
18.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Ariane da Silva
Moneyline
BetMGM -120
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
FanDuel +1000
Decision
DraftKings +215
Mandy Böhm
Moneyline
FanDuel +114
KO/TKO
DraftKings +800
Submission
FanDuel +1200
Decision
FanDuel +190
Ariane da Silva - Fight History
LOSS vs Wang Cong
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 63 of 176 35% 65 of 178 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:03
Wang Cong 1 143 of 222 64% 147 of 226 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 17 of 41 41% 17 of 41 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Wang Cong 0 46 of 65 70% 48 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Ariane da Silva 0 19 of 59 32% 21 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Wang Cong 1 42 of 64 65% 44 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
3 Ariane da Silva 0 27 of 76 35% 27 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Wang Cong 0 55 of 93 59% 55 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 63 of 176 35% 31 of 121 20 of 37 12 of 18 55 of 164 8 of 12 0 of 0
Wang Cong 143 of 222 64% 75 of 148 28 of 31 40 of 43 127 of 206 13 of 13 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 17 of 41 41% 9 of 29 4 of 7 4 of 5 15 of 37 2 of 4 0 of 0
Wang Cong 46 of 65 70% 16 of 34 12 of 12 18 of 19 39 of 58 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 19 of 59 32% 11 of 44 5 of 10 3 of 5 16 of 56 3 of 3 0 of 0
Wang Cong 42 of 64 65% 19 of 39 8 of 8 15 of 17 37 of 59 2 of 2 3 of 3
3 Ariane da Silva 27 of 76 35% 11 of 48 11 of 20 5 of 8 24 of 71 3 of 5 0 of 0
Wang Cong 55 of 93 59% 40 of 75 8 of 11 7 of 7 51 of 89 4 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Angelo picks Wang Cong but is not fully confident. He acknowledges Ariane Lipski's underrated striking and ability to make it competitive. He thinks Wang's power will add up over time and Lipski will become afraid to engage. He notes the odds are almost 4-to-1 and says he will likely avoid betting on this fight.

Likely to avoid betting on this fight.
"I am going to pick Kong because her power is insane. ... I'm likely going to avoid this fight altogether."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Big Brady picks Wang Cong, citing her high-level striking and the fact that Ariane da Silva has been finished in five of her losses, four by KO. He thinks da Silva doesn't like getting hit and that Cong can finish her on the feet or by mixing in takedowns, as da Silva's ground game is suspect. He predicts a second-round knockout.

Cong by KO in round 2
"I like Kong Wong. I'm going to take Kong Wong to win this fight by second round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Wang Cong is expected to be more effective with her footwork, distance management, and combinations. She will land more effective damage throughout the fight and chip away at Lipski to win on the scorecards.

"I fully expect Wang to be more effective with her footwork, distance management, and combinations. And I ultimately think she can land more effective damage throughout the 15 minutes in this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

The MMA Guru confidently picks Wang Cong, citing her superior kickboxing, power, and ability to finish. He notes Ariane da Silva has submission skills but lacks power and is reactionary. He predicts Wang Cong wins by TKO in the first round, dominating exchanges. He mentions Wang Cong's only loss was a fluke submission she would win 8 out of 10 times.

Finish prediction: first round TKO.
"I'm going with Wang Kong. She's just good at fighting, you know."
Submission (brabo choke) R3 2:28 · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Nov 02, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 42 of 92 45% 43 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 36 of 84 42% 130 of 218 3 of 5 60% 1 0 5:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 27 of 57 47% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 13 of 46 28% 20 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 9 of 20 45% 10 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 17 of 28 60% 83 of 120 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:42
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 6 of 10 60% 27 of 38 1 of 3 33% 1 0 1:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jasmine Jasudavicius 42 of 92 45% 26 of 65 15 of 23 1 of 4 41 of 88 1 of 4 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 36 of 84 42% 29 of 76 5 of 6 2 of 2 24 of 70 1 of 1 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jasmine Jasudavicius 27 of 57 47% 17 of 39 10 of 15 0 of 3 27 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 13 of 46 28% 10 of 42 2 of 3 1 of 1 13 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jasmine Jasudavicius 9 of 20 45% 4 of 13 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 17 of 28 60% 15 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 10 of 12
3 Jasmine Jasudavicius 6 of 15 40% 5 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 1 of 4 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 6 of 10 60% 4 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Angelo is confident Jasmine wins, citing her superior wrestling and pressure. He disagrees with those who think Ariane da Silva is a bad matchup for Jasmine. He notes Ariane has improved but Jasmine is a better wrestler than Karini Silva, who outwrestled Ariane. He expects Jasmine to get takedowns and win, though he wishes the line were more affordable. He may add action as the week goes on.

"Jasmine wins this fight she is minus 184 wish she was a little more affordable than that but I am confident she gets the takedown confident she gets the win and we'll have some action on her as the week …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Big Brady picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to win by decision, but with some concern. He acknowledges that Ariane da Silva has improved her takedown defense significantly, stuffing many takedowns in recent fights. However, Brady believes Jasudavicius is a much better wrestler than those opponents and will get takedowns. He notes that if Jasudavicius can't get takedowns, she is in trouble on the feet, but he leans toward her wrestling winning out.

"I'll take Jasmine here to win this fight by decision could get sketchy she's probably going to eat some big shots but I'll take Jaz deicious to win this fight by decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, expecting her to spam takedowns and rack up control time. He notes that Ariane Lipski has been taken down frequently in the past, and Jasudavicius's wrestling should be enough to win a decision. He acknowledges that Jasudavicius's striking is not elite but believes her grappling will be the difference.

"I expect her to go out there spam take Downs get rack up a whole bunch of control time and probably win a very convincing decision."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Daniel Vreeland picks Jasmine Jasudavicius to pace Ariane da Silva, but notes it's a pass at the betting line. He acknowledges da Silva's recent improvements in maturity and output, but believes Jasudavicius's relentless pace and pressure will be too much. Vreeland expects Jasudavicius to push the pace and potentially get a finish, though he's not confident enough to bet at -225.

"I'm picking Jasmine jici is to come out here and the pace Arian lipsky"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Jasudavicius will put a grind on da Silva, put her in uncomfortable positions, chain wrestling attempts together, and win on the scorecards. Da Silva's defensive grappling improvements were against lower-level grapplers, and she struggled against more impressive grapplers like Jasudavicius.

"Jasudavicius should be able to put that grind on her put her in uncomfortable positions chain wrestling attempts together and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul picks Ariane Lipski as an underdog, arguing that her takedown defense has improved significantly since joining American Top Team, stuffing 21 straight takedown attempts before facing Karine Silva. He believes Lipski is the better striker and can keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage. He also notes that Jasudavicius struggled to takedown Tracy Cortez and was out struck in that fight.

"I take a flyer on the underdog here for lipsky."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jasmine Jasudavicius

The Guru picks Jasmine Jasudavicius over Ariane da Silva, noting Jasudavicius's recent decent performances and size advantage. He questions da Silva's consistency and believes Jasudavicius's momentum and reach will carry her to a win.

"I'm going to go Jasmine judicious little bit bigger as well little bit rangier that goes a long way in these lower divisions"
LOSS vs Karine Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Karine Silva 0 42 of 81 51% 89 of 153 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
Ariane da Silva 0 27 of 75 36% 53 of 120 5 of 6 83% 0 0 7:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Karine Silva 0 7 of 13 53% 20 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:43
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 17 23% 15 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:58
2 Karine Silva 0 9 of 18 50% 22 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ariane da Silva 0 10 of 20 50% 23 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:39
3 Karine Silva 0 26 of 50 52% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Ariane da Silva 0 13 of 38 34% 15 of 42 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Karine Silva 42 of 81 51% 12 of 37 22 of 29 8 of 15 31 of 66 8 of 11 3 of 4
Ariane da Silva 27 of 75 36% 8 of 29 9 of 32 10 of 14 21 of 65 2 of 4 4 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Karine Silva 7 of 13 53% 4 of 8 2 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 4
Ariane da Silva 4 of 17 23% 0 of 7 2 of 7 2 of 3 4 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Karine Silva 9 of 18 50% 1 of 8 4 of 5 4 of 5 9 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 10 of 20 50% 4 of 10 3 of 7 3 of 3 6 of 14 0 of 1 4 of 5
3 Karine Silva 26 of 50 52% 7 of 21 16 of 20 3 of 9 19 of 41 7 of 9 0 of 0
Ariane da Silva 13 of 38 34% 4 of 12 4 of 18 5 of 8 11 of 35 2 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ariane Lipski vs. Karine Silva

Round 1
Jason Herzog is the referee. Lipski catches a kick and lands the first punch. Silva lands a jumping kick to the body. Lipski uses her jab and lands a straight right to the body. Silva gets a takedown and winds up in half-guard. Elbows from Silva land. Lipski pushes her opponent off. Silva engages on the ground again and gets into side control. Lipski gives up her neck as Silva is cranking. Lipski gets out of the submission attempt. Silva gets pushed off again, and Lipski gets up. Lipski lands leg kicks and gets into guard. Lipski finishes the round on top, landing a few elbows.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 2
The two fighters exchange leg kicks on the feet. Lipski uses her jab and goes high with a kick. Silva catches a leg and is forced to give it up after Lipski throws a bunch of punches. Silva is able to throw Lipski to the ground. Silva is in half-guard and in full control of Lipski. Some nice elbows are landing for Silva. Lipski goes for a leg lock. Silva defends well. Silva gets to her feet and lands a few leg kicks. Lipski with a good upkick. Silva lands a damaging body kick as Lipski gets up. Silva drags Lipski back to the ground and has her back. Lipski defends well and survives the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva

Round 3
Lipski comes out swinging as she knows she needs a finish. Silva slows the pace with some leg kicks. Lipski answers with some body kicks. Silva catches a kick and goes for a takedown. Lipski rips her hands free, but the two are still clinched against the fence. A few knees land for Lipski, who then backs away. Silva throws a front kick. Halfway through the round. Lipski landing more kicks but isn't putting Silva in any danger. They clinch again. Silva is just holding on and not doing any damage. Lipski gets back to her feet, although Silva manages to scramble and take the back. Silva looks for a rear-naked choke as the fight ends.

Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)

The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Ariane Lipski via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Angelo bet Karine Silva at +118 underdog, noting she has 17 wins all by stoppage. He believes she can get the fight to the ground and find a submission or ground-and-pound. He gives credit to Ariane da Silva for improving her grappling and takedown defense, but thinks Karine's finishing ability will be the difference. He is confident she wins and notes the line has since flipped to -140.

Bet: at +118 (now -140)
"I bet bet her at plus 118 ... karini Silva is the pick and hopefully you were a premium member so you saw that bet before the line moved"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Cody picks Lipski as a dog, citing her improved takedown defense (stuffed 19 of 20 attempts in last three fights) and volume striking. He believes she can survive Silva's early submission threats and win a decision, noting she has never been submitted.

"I think Arion lipsky is heading in the right direction now"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Karine Silva

Daniel is impressed by Silva's 100% finish rate (17 finishes) and her dangerous ground game, including a rare leg lock. He thinks her striking is hittable but she's confident because she's dangerous on the ground. He believes she will finish Lipski, noting that in women's MMA, such finishing upside is huge.

"I think karini Silva is going to come out here and finish Arian lipsky"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Ariane da Silva has shown improved takedown defense, stuffing all 25 takedown attempts in her last five fights. She should be able to keep the fight standing and use her striking to beat Karine Silva. Karine Silva is dangerous on the ground but has holes in her striking. I lean Ariane da Silva by decision.

"I am going to lean ever so slightly to the lipsky side though as I think that she has a good enough takedown defense game here to keep this fight upright"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Paul also picks Lipski, highlighting her three-fight winning streak as an underdog since moving to American Top Team. He notes her takedown defense and ability to keep fights standing, and expects her volume to outwork Silva over three rounds.

"I'll take lipsky as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Karine Silva

The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva, highlighting her consistent finishing ability with five or six submissions in a row. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's wins as over weak competition and notes her submission game is more opportunistic. He believes Silva's ability to force submissions will be the difference, and predicts she will get past da Silva.

"I'm going Karen Silva consistency recent levels of consistency from Karen Silva have superseded ariani lipsky's overall somewhat goodness in fights"
WIN vs Casey O'Neill
Submission (armbar) R2 1:18 · UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Dec 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 31 of 74 41% 32 of 75 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Casey O'Neill 0 64 of 127 50% 86 of 152 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 28 of 68 41% 29 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:20
Casey O'Neill 0 39 of 93 41% 44 of 98 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:05
2 Ariane da Silva 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Casey O'Neill 0 25 of 34 73% 42 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:53
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 31 of 74 41% 17 of 57 3 of 3 11 of 14 29 of 72 2 of 2 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 64 of 127 50% 45 of 106 16 of 18 3 of 3 37 of 95 9 of 11 18 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 28 of 68 41% 15 of 52 3 of 3 10 of 13 26 of 66 2 of 2 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 39 of 93 41% 21 of 73 15 of 17 3 of 3 29 of 81 9 of 11 1 of 1
2 Ariane da Silva 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Casey O'Neill 25 of 34 73% 24 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 17 of 20
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo leans Ariane da Silva, noting her recent evolution in grappling and takedown defense. He contrasts her upward trajectory with Casey O'Neill's recent struggles. He fears O'Neill's size but picks Ariane, comparing the fight to Veronica Hardy vs. Jamie Lorth.

"I'm going to lean ariani here... Ariana lipsky is going to be the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Big Brady picks Casey O'Neill to win by second-round TKO, citing a phenomenal stylistic matchup. He notes O'Neill's vicious ground and pound and believes she will take down Lipski and dominate, as Lipski has been finished 4 times and struggles with ground pressure. Brady acknowledges Lipski's recent wins stuffing takedowns but thinks O'Neill's wrestling and volume will be too much. He also mentions O'Neill could knock Lipski out on the feet.

"give me Casey O'Neal to finish this fight by second round at TKO in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Cody picks Lipski as an underdog, citing her recent improvements at American Top Team and her wins as an underdog over JJ Aldrich and Melissa Gatto. He notes that O'Neill's wrestling has not been as effective against higher-level competition and that Lipski can keep the fight standing and make it competitive. Cody believes Lipski's volume and clinch elbows could be key, and at +165 she offers value.

"I'm gonna to enact the CF doop model here again Cody Arion lipsky is the pick for me"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)

Lucrative James picks Ariane Lipski outright. He notes that Lipski's takedown defense has improved dramatically, and if she stuffs takedowns, she will piece Casey O'Neill up on the feet. He believes Casey's path is only via takedown and ground control, but Lipski's improved defense and the value on her as an underdog make her the side. He has already bet Lipski.

"I like Lipski in this spot... I'm picking Ariane Lipski outright."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

The host, who previously faded Lipski, is now on board after her recent improvements. He believes Lipski has a technical striking advantage, better takedown defense, and growing confidence. He expects Lipski to keep the fight standing, land the more damaging blows, and win a decision. He notes that O'Neill is still raw and untested, and that Lipski can provide a similar type of loss as Jennifer Maia did to O'Neill.

Lipski by decision
"I'm officially on the lipsky train and I feel like again somebody is still as raw as untested is you know I don't want to say that fully you know O'Neal she's faced some decent names but she's still yet …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Dec 14, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Paul picks O'Neill but is not confident. He notes that O'Neill has good volume and takedowns against lower-level competition, but her wrestling has been less effective against better opponents. He believes O'Neill should use her wrestling to win but is hesitant because Lipski has improved. Paul expects a competitive fight and thinks O'Neill by decision is likely, but he is not fully confident.

Casey O'Neill by decision
"I'm gonna go end up going with O'Neal by decision yeah just don't feel super confident about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

The Guru picks Casey O'Neill over Ariane Lipski, citing O'Neill's higher volume striking and physicality. He notes O'Neill threw nearly 400 significant strikes against Roxanne Modafferi, while Lipski's output is lower. He expects a decision win for O'Neill.

"I'm GNA go with Casey O'Neal over ariani lipin... Casey O'Neal puts a way higher volume out there and in women's MMA if it's close they might just just look at the person that's throwing more punches"
WIN vs Melissa Gatto
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 66 of 149 44% 81 of 166 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:47
Melissa Gatto 0 85 of 186 45% 100 of 201 0 of 7 0% 0 0 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 16 of 49 32% 18 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Melissa Gatto 0 28 of 53 52% 28 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:17
2 Ariane da Silva 0 26 of 46 56% 39 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Melissa Gatto 0 33 of 66 50% 45 of 78 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:16
3 Ariane da Silva 0 24 of 54 44% 24 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Melissa Gatto 0 24 of 67 35% 27 of 70 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 66 of 149 44% 28 of 101 27 of 36 11 of 12 53 of 131 12 of 15 1 of 3
Melissa Gatto 85 of 186 45% 39 of 117 34 of 50 12 of 19 70 of 165 15 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 16 of 49 32% 3 of 30 9 of 15 4 of 4 14 of 45 2 of 4 0 of 0
Melissa Gatto 28 of 53 52% 13 of 31 10 of 15 5 of 7 25 of 49 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 26 of 46 56% 10 of 27 12 of 14 4 of 5 18 of 37 8 of 9 0 of 0
Melissa Gatto 33 of 66 50% 11 of 37 17 of 21 5 of 8 23 of 52 10 of 14 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 24 of 54 44% 15 of 44 6 of 7 3 of 3 21 of 49 2 of 2 1 of 3
Melissa Gatto 24 of 67 35% 15 of 49 7 of 14 2 of 4 22 of 64 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) based on her last performance against JJ Aldrich, where her hands and wrestling looked great. He acknowledges the logical pick is Melissa Gatto due to Lipski's history of being outgrappled, but he goes against logic. He suggests a plus 3.5 point buy on the scorecard for Lipski as a safer bet.

plus 3.5 points on judges scorecard (potential bet)
"I'm going to go against the logic I'm going to pick lipsky like she looked so good against JJ Aldridge"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Big Brady picks Melissa Gatto to win by first-round submission. He notes Gatto has improved significantly, with better striking and takedown defense, and has power. He points out that Ariane da Silva (Lipski) has been dominated on the ground by fighters like Montana De La Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko, and Gatto's top game is dangerous. He expects Gatto to get on top and finish early.

first round submission
"give me got her to win this fight by first round I'll say sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Cody sees Lipski as a live underdog. He notes Gatto's low volume (17 significant strikes in nearly 3 rounds against Eubanks) and poor defensive wrestling. Lipski showed improved wrestling at ATT and has high volume (101 significant strikes against Aldrich). Cody thinks if Lipski can stuff takedowns, she wins the striking battle. He also notes Lipski is only 29 and improving.

"I too will take lip ski all right"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

Daniel confidently picks Gatto, citing her superior heart, durability, and grappling. He notes Lipski's history of quitting when pressured and her poor defensive grappling, while Gatto showed toughness against Tracy Cortez, reversing positions and landing takedowns. He believes Gatto's chin and submission threat are key, and that Lipski's recent win over JJ Aldrich is overrated. However, he missed the opening line (-150) and won't bet at -230, but expects Gatto to win.

missed the line at -150; Gatto minus 230
"I definitely favorite gato here it's just you know all you guys that came in on that minus 150. that minus 170. you all did your job"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Paul is tempted by the CF dog model. He notes Lipski's last performance against Aldrich was impressive and that Gatto's wins are over low-level competition. He questions if Lipski has turned the corner and thinks the line is off. Paul believes Lipski has a legitimate chance.

"I am tempted for uh to to enact the CF dot model on this one Cody is has ariani lipsky turned the corner here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Melissa Gatto

The Guru picks Melissa Gatto, noting her impressive win over Ariane Lipski via front kick to the body and her submission win over Karol Rosa. He acknowledges her loss to Tracy Cortez but believes she has improved during her year off. He predicts a submission off her back, possibly an armbar.

submission off her back, armbar
"all the logic in the world is pointing me towards Melissa gato here"
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 0 101 of 204 49% 113 of 216 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 49 of 99 49% 56 of 106 0 of 12 0% 0 0 1:16
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 67 52% 40 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 11 of 20 55% 14 of 23 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:25
2 Ariane da Silva 0 35 of 73 47% 35 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 20 of 39 51% 20 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 0 31 of 64 48% 38 of 71 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:19
JJ Aldrich 0 18 of 40 45% 22 of 44 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 101 of 204 49% 47 of 134 42 of 56 12 of 14 77 of 176 24 of 28 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 49 of 99 49% 42 of 92 4 of 4 3 of 3 45 of 95 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 35 of 67 52% 17 of 42 15 of 20 3 of 5 22 of 53 13 of 14 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 11 of 20 55% 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 73 47% 15 of 48 15 of 20 5 of 5 30 of 68 5 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 20 of 39 51% 18 of 37 1 of 1 1 of 1 19 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 31 of 64 48% 15 of 44 12 of 16 4 of 4 25 of 55 6 of 9 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 18 of 40 45% 15 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 17 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2023 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo is very confident in JJ Aldrich, describing her as a solid, dependable grinder who will stick to a game plan and grind forward. He notes she is dangerous nowhere but good everywhere, and despite breaking his rule against betting on women's MMA, he places a 1.5 unit bet at -220. He believes she will win without taking risks.

1.5 unit bet at -220
"I've got a one and a half unit bet that's a lot of money on JJ Aldridge but I got a one and a half unit bet at minus 220. I'm just very confident in her ability to go out …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady is confident in JJ Aldrich, noting she is the much more technical striker with better footwork. He highlights Lipski's huge hole in her ground game, calling it 'atrocious' and noting she has been finished on the mat multiple times. Brady expects Aldrich to mix takedowns and eventually get a late TKO, though he acknowledges decision is more likely.

win by TKO in round 3
"I like Aldrich to have success in the Striking mixing the takedowns win minutes on the on the feet on the mat and I'm gonna say Aldridge eventually gets a TKO here late late fight uh late third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Cody picks Aldrich, citing her training and striking. He notes da Silva's lack of improvement and thinks Aldrich can finish or win a decision. He is cautious about the price but sees Aldrich as a safe parlay piece.

"we're gonna take JJ Aldridge she'll probably be somewhere around like the second or third lot I don't want her on the second"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Connor picks Aldrich confidently, citing her superior striking, takedown ability, and experience. He notes that Lipski has poor takedown defense and tends to focus on punching when pressured, which Aldrich can exploit with clinch work and takedowns. He believes Aldrich is a level above Lipski's previous competition.

Aldrich opened at unknown, now -380 to -450; Lipski +285 to +350. Connor says the odds feel appropriate.
"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2023 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Aldrich's footwork, combination striking, and experience should be too much for Lipski. Lipski has struggled against higher-level competition and has been finished in her losses. Aldrich can win on the feet or even on the ground. I expect Aldrich to box her way to a decision victory, controlling the distance and landing the cleaner shots.

"I think a combination of aldrich's output footwork and ability to stay safe at distance is going to overwhelm lipsky here and I think Aldrich boxes her way to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 8, 2023 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Paul picks Aldrich, noting her striking advantage and improved wrestling. He thinks she can win standing or on the ground, but is wary of the -450 price. He mentions the under 2.5 rounds prop as interesting.

under 2.5 rounds +165
"JJ Aldridge can win this fight standing she can win this fight to the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2023 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich, calling her underrated. He notes she trains with top fighters and performed decently against Blanchfield before getting guillotined. He believes Aldrich is more well-rounded and tougher, and will win a decision by out-grappling and making Ariane da Silva gun-shy.

by decision
"I'm definitely gonna side with JJ Aldridge here being the better more well-rounded fighter overall and a bit tougher"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2023 (2 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Zane picks Aldrich, noting that she is a consistent, well-rounded fighter who should handle Lipski's aggressive but flawed style. He points out that Lipski's best win is against Luana Carolina, who is messy, and that Aldrich's takedown threat and counter-striking will be too much.

"Aldrich is just too good. Lipsky has yet to beat anybody at this level who even approaches JJ Aldrich's level of ability."
TKO (punches) R1 1:05 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Cruz · Aug 13, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Priscila Cachoeira 1 20 of 35 57% 20 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Ariane da Silva 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Priscila Cachoeira 20 of 35 57% 15 of 27 4 of 5 1 of 3 6 of 17 0 of 0 14 of 18
Ariane da Silva 4 of 15 26% 3 of 12 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Priscila Cachoeira vs. Ariane Lipski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Lipski (-195), Cachoeira (+165)

Round 1
This is another rescheduled fight from last week’s event, with both women moving up a division to keep the bout intact. After a rough start to her UFC tenure, Brazil’s Cachoeira is building momentum with three wins in her last four outings. A former KSW champ, Lipski has been up and down since signing with the Las Vegas-based promotion. Herb Dean is in charge of the contest. Lipski catches Cachoeira with a counter right. Cachoeira lands a right of her own. “Zombie Girl” moves forward to force the brawl she desires and Lipski obliges. That turns out to be the wrong decision, as a left hook from Cachoeira backs up “The Violence Queen.” Cachoeira forces the issue, landing more shots.
Lipski is firing back but leaving herself exposed, and eventually the onslaught from Cachoeira drops her opponent — puncutated by a right to the chin. Cachoeira smells blood, and a barrage of punches and hammerfists on the canvas on a defenseless Lipski brings the show to a close.

The Official Result
Priscila Cachoeira def. Ariane Lipski via TKO (Punches) R1 1:05
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Angelo switched his pick from Lipski to Cachoeira due to Lipski's weight cut issues and medical problems. He notes Cachoeira is the more dangerous fighter with heavy pressure and power, and Lipski may not be at 100% after cutting weight twice in a short period.

"i'm full on switching my pick i'm going priscilla cachera here she was always the more dangerous fighter in this matchup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Big Brady picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) to win by first-round submission. He notes that Cachoeira absorbs an absurd 7.91 significant strikes per minute with 45% striking defense, calling her the definition of blocking punches with her face. Lipski hits hard and has a good submission game, and Cachoeira has been submitted twice in the UFC. Brady believes Lipski will take the fight down and submit her easily in the first round.

first round submission
"i think lipski takes the path of release resistance get this fight down to the mat and submits catch aware in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Cody picks Lipski, criticizing Cachoeira's technique and durability. He notes Cachoeira missed weight and had lingering COVID symptoms, which are bad signs. Cody thinks Lipski is better standing and in the clinch, and he cannot bet Cachoeira.

"there's just no world that exists that i want to bet priscilla cachuera it just does it's not happening"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 10, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Priscila Cachoeira

Paul picks Cachoeira, having already bet her at +150 and a round three prop at 20-1. He acknowledges she missed weight and had COVID issues but still believes she can win. Paul is sticking with his bet despite the line moving against him.

Cachoeira round three +2000; Cachoeira moneyline +150
"i'm already on catch awara plus 150 the market is moving against me i'm already on catch aware uh 20 to one in round three"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

The host picks Ariane Lipski (Ariane da Silva) over Priscila Cachoeira, citing Cachoeira's weak UFC wins and losses to fighters like Molly McCann and Luana Carolina. He expects Lipski to take the fight to the ground and secure a submission in the first or second round, referencing Lipski's previous dominant submission win over Luana Carolina who also beat Cachoeira.

submission in first or second round
"i can see ariana lipski getting this one to the ground and finding herself a submission victory in the first or second round"
WIN vs Mandy Böhm
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 2 87 of 194 44% 116 of 233 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:26
Mandy Böhm 0 36 of 108 33% 47 of 123 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 17 of 50 34% 44 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:04
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:29
2 Ariane da Silva 1 35 of 72 48% 36 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 41 29% 15 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 1 35 of 72 48% 36 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 41 29% 15 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 87 of 194 44% 27 of 106 53 of 73 7 of 15 64 of 157 15 of 23 8 of 14
Mandy Böhm 36 of 108 33% 18 of 84 12 of 16 6 of 8 31 of 101 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 17 of 50 34% 7 of 34 9 of 13 1 of 3 14 of 43 3 of 5 0 of 2
Mandy Böhm 12 of 26 46% 2 of 12 6 of 10 4 of 4 9 of 21 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 72 48% 10 of 36 22 of 30 3 of 6 25 of 57 6 of 9 4 of 6
Mandy Böhm 12 of 41 29% 8 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 2 11 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 35 of 72 48% 10 of 36 22 of 30 3 of 6 25 of 57 6 of 9 4 of 6
Mandy Böhm 12 of 41 29% 8 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 2 11 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) confidently. He thinks she is a little better everywhere and has a huge experience edge (20 fights vs 7). He notes that Mandy Böhm is undefeated but has no specific elite skill to lean on, and that Lipski's losses came on her back, which he doesn't think will happen here. He placed a 1-unit bet on the moneyline at -121.

Moneyline bet at -121, 1 unit
"ariana lipsky is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Big Brady picks underdog Mandy Böhm, believing her grappling will be the difference. He notes Ariane Lipski has poor takedown defense (42%) and a weak ground game, having been finished on the mat multiple times. He predicts Böhm will exploit this and win by second-round TKO or submission.

second round TKO or submission
"i'm going to take the underdog and mandy baum"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Cody picks Mandy Böhm, citing her superior striking, reach advantage, and underrated wrestling. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's poor takedown defense and low output, calling her 'fraudulent.' Cody notes that Böhm has a year layoff but believes she has the skills to win if she shows up in shape.

"i'm gonna go with mandy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Daniel Levi leans with Ariane Lipski. He notes Lipski has lost twice in a row but those losses were to high-level fighters (Montana De La Rosa, Antonina Shevchenko). He thinks Mandy Böhm is green, with issues getting off the fence and off her back. He credits Böhm's toughness and clinch elbows but believes Lipski's experience will prevail. He says he's not confident enough to bet Lipski but picks her to get back on track.

"i do have to lean with the experience of lipski i just think that experience counts for a lot in this game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Preet reluctantly picks Lipski because she is the much better striker and has trained at ATT. However, he is concerned about her takedown defense. He thinks Lipski will overwhelm Böhm on the feet and get a TKO in the second round. He likes Lipski by TKO at +500 and under 2.5 rounds at +185.

Ariane Lipski by TKO +500, Under 2.5 rounds +185
"I do think she eventually finds that tko in the second round here by over one overwhelming mandy bomb on the feet uh and getting her out of there lipski by tko is plus 500"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ariane da Silva was dominated on the ground by Antonina Shevchenko, who is not a strong grappler. He believes Böhm's clinch work and cage control will be key. Paul says he cannot bet anyone who gets 'throttled' by Shevchenko.

"i can't bet anybody who gets absolutely throttled in the wrestling department by antonina shivchenko it's just not gonna happen so i'm with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

The MMA Guru picks Mandy Böhm over Ariane Lipski, noting Böhm's technical skill, athleticism, and undefeated record. He criticizes Lipski's inconsistency against fundamentally sound opponents. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Böhm.

"i'm going to go with mandy bomb here and she's also evens with ariana lipsky"
Mandy Böhm - Fight History
WIN vs Ji Yeon Kim
Technical Decision (split) (27–28, 28–27, 28–27) R3 1:55 · UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mandy Böhm 0 10 of 36 27% 32 of 62 0 of 1 0% 1 1 5:44
Ji Yeon Kim 0 17 of 31 54% 25 of 51 2 of 6 33% 1 1 4:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mandy Böhm 0 1 of 5 20% 1 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:43
Ji Yeon Kim 0 3 of 3 100% 7 of 11 1 of 2 50% 1 1 1:59
2 Mandy Böhm 0 9 of 26 34% 16 of 35 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:54
Ji Yeon Kim 0 12 of 23 52% 14 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:42
3 Mandy Böhm 0 0 of 5 0% 15 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Ji Yeon Kim 0 2 of 5 40% 4 of 7 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mandy Böhm 10 of 36 27% 5 of 31 3 of 3 2 of 2 7 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 1
Ji Yeon Kim 17 of 31 54% 9 of 19 3 of 7 5 of 5 10 of 21 5 of 8 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mandy Böhm 1 of 5 20% 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 1
Ji Yeon Kim 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Mandy Böhm 9 of 26 34% 4 of 21 3 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 12 of 23 52% 7 of 14 1 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 18 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Mandy Böhm 0 of 5 0% 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 7, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Angelo picks Kim Ji-yeon, saying she is the better striker and has proven durable. He notes Mandy Böhm is 0-2 in the UFC and hasn't shown takedowns in the UFC. He is frustrated that Kim is almost a 3-to-1 favorite despite a 4-fight losing streak and advises not to bet on this fight. He suggests maybe over 2.5 rounds if the line drops.

Maybe over 2.5 rounds if line drops; otherwise no bet
"Kim's the pick but for the absolute love of God don't do anything with this fight save your money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Big Brady picks Kim Ji-yeon but says nobody should bet on this fight. He notes Kim is on a four-fight skid and has poor striking accuracy, but she throws high volume. He thinks Mandy Böhm has looked terrible in the UFC despite looking solid outside it, with no wrestling shown. Brady expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Kim is the much better striker, and predicts Kim wins by decision. He calls laying chalk on Kim a bad idea.

goes to decision
"I'll take Jian Kim to win this fight win this fight by decision but this is a fight that will not be getting any of my Monday or any of my interests"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Cody picks Kim, citing her high volume striking and cardio. He notes that Böhm has been gun-shy and lacks urgency in the UFC. He expects Kim to outwork Böhm on the feet and win a decision. He mentions that Kim's fights are often close but she should get the nod here.

over 81.5 significant strikes for Kim on PrizePicks
"I think Gian Kim probably gets this thing by should be unanimous but you know how this sport goes it'll be a split or a majority or something stupid but I think she wins all three rounds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 11, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Daniel Levi picks Kim Ji-yeon, citing her aggressive style and experience. He criticizes Mandy Böhm's poor UFC performances, noting her negative strike ratio and lack of takedowns. Levi believes Kim's activity and slightly meaner approach will earn her a decision win. He expresses distrust in Kim at heavy chalk prices but still thinks she has enough to win.

Kim by decision
"I still think she's got enough to win this fight because Mandy you all want to know what Mandy's showing inside the Octagon... she hasn't shown [__] inside the Octagon"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 8, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Kim is the superior striker with slick technique and should outpoint Böhm from distance. She may mix in grappling from her new camp at Bang Tao Muay Thai. Böhm is aggressive but may walk into a shot, leading to a knockout. Low confidence but Kim via knockout is the pick.

"I'm gonna go to you and Kim I'll take her to win this fight bye I think she has a significant enough striking advantage that she could potentially find a Knockout here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 10, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Paul picks Kim, noting her volume and ability to outwork Böhm. He mentions that his model says pass from a betting perspective due to Kim's losing streak, but he still favors her. He likes the over on Kim's significant strikes prop.

over 81.5 significant strikes for Kim on PrizePicks
"Kim will be the pick uh but we move on to greener pastures"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

The MMA Guru picks Kim Ji-yeon, citing her striking and reach advantage. He notes that Mandy Böhm has not shown anything great and lost to Victoria Leonardo, which he considers a disgrace. He predicts a decision win for Kim.

decision
"I'm gonna go with Yeon Kim over Mandy bomb... I reckon she'll get this one done by decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Victoria Leonardo 0 52 of 93 55% 83 of 124 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:55
Mandy Böhm 0 39 of 110 35% 85 of 166 2 of 6 33% 0 0 7:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Victoria Leonardo 0 15 of 26 57% 25 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Mandy Böhm 0 9 of 30 30% 25 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:30
2 Victoria Leonardo 0 18 of 36 50% 29 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Mandy Böhm 0 20 of 43 46% 35 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:15
3 Victoria Leonardo 0 19 of 31 61% 29 of 41 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:23
Mandy Böhm 0 10 of 37 27% 25 of 60 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Victoria Leonardo 52 of 93 55% 26 of 66 14 of 15 12 of 12 35 of 75 17 of 17 0 of 1
Mandy Böhm 39 of 110 35% 21 of 80 18 of 26 0 of 4 25 of 94 13 of 15 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Victoria Leonardo 15 of 26 57% 6 of 17 3 of 3 6 of 6 12 of 23 3 of 3 0 of 0
Mandy Böhm 9 of 30 30% 5 of 22 4 of 6 0 of 2 6 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Victoria Leonardo 18 of 36 50% 11 of 29 5 of 5 2 of 2 11 of 29 7 of 7 0 of 0
Mandy Böhm 20 of 43 46% 10 of 30 10 of 11 0 of 2 13 of 35 7 of 8 0 of 0
3 Victoria Leonardo 19 of 31 61% 9 of 20 6 of 7 4 of 4 12 of 23 7 of 7 0 of 1
Mandy Böhm 10 of 37 27% 6 of 28 4 of 9 0 of 0 6 of 32 3 of 4 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Angelo picks Mandy Böhm as the more talented fighter overall, despite her inexperience and loss in her UFC debut. He notes Victoria Leonardo has fought higher competition but needs to get the fight to the ground, and Mandy defended all takedown attempts in her last fight. He calls it a no-bet situation and advises saving money.

no bet
"i'm gonna go with my head here i'm gonna grab the overall more talented fighter in mandy but this is a no bet situation"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Big Brady picks Victoria Leonardo as an underdog. He was unimpressed with Mandy Böhm, calling her performance 'horrible' and couldn't find a positive. He thinks Leonardo is physically stronger, can push Böhm against the cage, and take her down. He expects Leonardo to grind out a decision win.

Leonardo by decision
"give me leonardo to win um she's on a two fight losing streak but again look at who she's lost to i think she uses her physicality out here uh goes and grinds out a decision win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Cody picks Victoria Leonardo, noting her bully style might work against Mandy Böhm, who is not physically strong. He thinks Böhm looked poor in her UFC debut. Cody says it's a dogger pass and he is taking the slight underdog.

"this is women's mma dog or pass and i believe it's slight underdog money here on victoria leonardo so that's that's where i ended up going"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Daniel Levi treats this fight as a coin flip, acknowledging that both fighters are low-level. He notes that Leonardo has fought better competition but lost badly, while Böhm had a poor UFC debut but has since moved to a new gym. He decides to go with Böhm because everyone else is on Leonardo, but admits it's not a confident pick.

"since everybody's on leonardo i'll just go with bone but it was more of like a coin flip type thing"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Leonardo has the grit and fighting nature to will herself to a win. She can drag Böhm to the ground and rough her up. Böhm lacks power and distance management, and needs a kickboxing match to succeed. Leonardo at underdog odds is good value.

"I'm gonna go Victoria Leonardo to pull off the upside here in the second fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Victoria Leonardo

Paul picks Victoria Leonardo at plus money, calling it a dogger pass. He has no intention to bet on this fight. He notes both fighters have poor records but thinks Leonardo's bully style might work against Böhm, who is not physically strong. Paul says it's women's MMA and passes.

"this is the fight that puts the pass in fight pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

The MMA Guru leans towards Mandy Böhm, citing her size advantage and reach. He notes that Victoria Leonardo is coming off a broken arm and should be a strawweight. Böhm has a 71-inch reach and will use it on the feet. He doesn't see Leonardo outgrappling her and expects Böhm to win by decision.

decision
"i'm definitely going to lean towards mandy bomb here"
LOSS vs Ariane da Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ariane da Silva 2 87 of 194 44% 116 of 233 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:26
Mandy Böhm 0 36 of 108 33% 47 of 123 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ariane da Silva 0 17 of 50 34% 44 of 83 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:04
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 26 46% 17 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:29
2 Ariane da Silva 1 35 of 72 48% 36 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 41 29% 15 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ariane da Silva 1 35 of 72 48% 36 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:01
Mandy Böhm 0 12 of 41 29% 15 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ariane da Silva 87 of 194 44% 27 of 106 53 of 73 7 of 15 64 of 157 15 of 23 8 of 14
Mandy Böhm 36 of 108 33% 18 of 84 12 of 16 6 of 8 31 of 101 5 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ariane da Silva 17 of 50 34% 7 of 34 9 of 13 1 of 3 14 of 43 3 of 5 0 of 2
Mandy Böhm 12 of 26 46% 2 of 12 6 of 10 4 of 4 9 of 21 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Ariane da Silva 35 of 72 48% 10 of 36 22 of 30 3 of 6 25 of 57 6 of 9 4 of 6
Mandy Böhm 12 of 41 29% 8 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 2 11 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Ariane da Silva 35 of 72 48% 10 of 36 22 of 30 3 of 6 25 of 57 6 of 9 4 of 6
Mandy Böhm 12 of 41 29% 8 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 2 11 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) confidently. He thinks she is a little better everywhere and has a huge experience edge (20 fights vs 7). He notes that Mandy Böhm is undefeated but has no specific elite skill to lean on, and that Lipski's losses came on her back, which he doesn't think will happen here. He placed a 1-unit bet on the moneyline at -121.

Moneyline bet at -121, 1 unit
"ariana lipsky is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Big Brady picks underdog Mandy Böhm, believing her grappling will be the difference. He notes Ariane Lipski has poor takedown defense (42%) and a weak ground game, having been finished on the mat multiple times. He predicts Böhm will exploit this and win by second-round TKO or submission.

second round TKO or submission
"i'm going to take the underdog and mandy baum"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Cody picks Mandy Böhm, citing her superior striking, reach advantage, and underrated wrestling. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's poor takedown defense and low output, calling her 'fraudulent.' Cody notes that Böhm has a year layoff but believes she has the skills to win if she shows up in shape.

"i'm gonna go with mandy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Daniel Levi leans with Ariane Lipski. He notes Lipski has lost twice in a row but those losses were to high-level fighters (Montana De La Rosa, Antonina Shevchenko). He thinks Mandy Böhm is green, with issues getting off the fence and off her back. He credits Böhm's toughness and clinch elbows but believes Lipski's experience will prevail. He says he's not confident enough to bet Lipski but picks her to get back on track.

"i do have to lean with the experience of lipski i just think that experience counts for a lot in this game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Preet reluctantly picks Lipski because she is the much better striker and has trained at ATT. However, he is concerned about her takedown defense. He thinks Lipski will overwhelm Böhm on the feet and get a TKO in the second round. He likes Lipski by TKO at +500 and under 2.5 rounds at +185.

Ariane Lipski by TKO +500, Under 2.5 rounds +185
"I do think she eventually finds that tko in the second round here by over one overwhelming mandy bomb on the feet uh and getting her out of there lipski by tko is plus 500"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ariane da Silva was dominated on the ground by Antonina Shevchenko, who is not a strong grappler. He believes Böhm's clinch work and cage control will be key. Paul says he cannot bet anyone who gets 'throttled' by Shevchenko.

"i can't bet anybody who gets absolutely throttled in the wrestling department by antonina shivchenko it's just not gonna happen so i'm with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

The MMA Guru picks Mandy Böhm over Ariane Lipski, noting Böhm's technical skill, athleticism, and undefeated record. He criticizes Lipski's inconsistency against fundamentally sound opponents. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Böhm.

"i'm going to go with mandy bomb here and she's also evens with ariana lipsky"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Angelo picks Ariane Lipski (da Silva) confidently. He thinks she is a little better everywhere and has a huge experience edge (20 fights vs 7). He notes that Mandy Böhm is undefeated but has no specific elite skill to lean on, and that Lipski's losses came on her back, which he doesn't think will happen here. He placed a 1-unit bet on the moneyline at -121.

Moneyline bet at -121, 1 unit
"ariana lipsky is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Big Brady picks underdog Mandy Böhm, believing her grappling will be the difference. He notes Ariane Lipski has poor takedown defense (42%) and a weak ground game, having been finished on the mat multiple times. He predicts Böhm will exploit this and win by second-round TKO or submission.

second round TKO or submission
"i'm going to take the underdog and mandy baum"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Cody picks Mandy Böhm, citing her superior striking, reach advantage, and underrated wrestling. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's poor takedown defense and low output, calling her 'fraudulent.' Cody notes that Böhm has a year layoff but believes she has the skills to win if she shows up in shape.

"i'm gonna go with mandy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Daniel Levi leans with Ariane Lipski. He notes Lipski has lost twice in a row but those losses were to high-level fighters (Montana De La Rosa, Antonina Shevchenko). He thinks Mandy Böhm is green, with issues getting off the fence and off her back. He credits Böhm's toughness and clinch elbows but believes Lipski's experience will prevail. He says he's not confident enough to bet Lipski but picks her to get back on track.

"i do have to lean with the experience of lipski i just think that experience counts for a lot in this game"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ariane da Silva

Preet reluctantly picks Lipski because she is the much better striker and has trained at ATT. However, he is concerned about her takedown defense. He thinks Lipski will overwhelm Böhm on the feet and get a TKO in the second round. He likes Lipski by TKO at +500 and under 2.5 rounds at +185.

Ariane Lipski by TKO +500, Under 2.5 rounds +185
"I do think she eventually finds that tko in the second round here by over one overwhelming mandy bomb on the feet uh and getting her out of there lipski by tko is plus 500"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that Ariane da Silva was dominated on the ground by Antonina Shevchenko, who is not a strong grappler. He believes Böhm's clinch work and cage control will be key. Paul says he cannot bet anyone who gets 'throttled' by Shevchenko.

"i can't bet anybody who gets absolutely throttled in the wrestling department by antonina shivchenko it's just not gonna happen so i'm with you"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Mandy Böhm

The MMA Guru picks Mandy Böhm over Ariane Lipski, noting Böhm's technical skill, athleticism, and undefeated record. He criticizes Lipski's inconsistency against fundamentally sound opponents. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Böhm.

"i'm going to go with mandy bomb here and she's also evens with ariana lipsky"