Career Averages - Gustavo Lopez
Career Averages - Alateng Heili
Gustavo Lopez
Alateng Heili
Gustavo Lopez - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 44 of 115 | 38% | 47 of 119 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 36 of 118 | 30% | 37 of 120 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 11 of 42 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 26 of 54 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 10 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 44 of 115 | 38% | 32 of 93 | 5 of 10 | 7 of 12 | 35 of 99 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 36 of 118 | 30% | 23 of 102 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 35 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 11 of 42 | 26% | 7 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 11 of 35 | 31% | 5 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 15 of 41 | 36% | 10 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 23 of 50 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 10 of 35 | 28% | 6 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.
Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.
Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.
Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Yañez | 2 | 41 of 103 | 39% | 41 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 23 of 51 | 45% | 23 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian Yañez | 0 | 20 of 54 | 37% | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Adrian Yañez | 1 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 10 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Adrian Yañez | 1 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Yañez | 41 of 103 | 39% | 32 of 83 | 8 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 41 of 102 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 23 of 51 | 45% | 14 of 40 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 23 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian Yañez | 20 of 54 | 37% | 16 of 48 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 12 of 29 | 41% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Adrian Yañez | 17 of 43 | 39% | 13 of 30 | 4 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 10 of 19 | 52% | 3 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Adrian Yañez | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Switching gears to the bantamweight category, Yanez (12-3, 1-0 UFC) and Lopez (12-5, 1-1 UFC) square off in what should be a fun one between two men who vastly prefer the finish. Trying to keep up with these fast-paced fighters will be referee Chris Tognoni, and they respectfully touch gloves to begin their melee. Both men come out hesitant, jumping back and forth but not engaging with anything of note. It takes 50 seconds before a man lands a strike, as they both trade left hands. Lopez comes out to take his foe’s head off, throwing a winding left hand but just missing as it blows Yanez’ head back. Yanez backs off to land a leg kick, and he scores a right hand that forces Lopez to retreat. Lopez kicks the calf once, and he has another checked when Yanez walks him down to throw a one-two. Lopez advances and gets clipped by a right hand, but he wears it well and takes another on the chin for good measure. Yanez starts sizing up that right hand and Lopez is looking for angles but cannot close the distance. Lopez lands a short combination, only to get disrupted by a quick left hand. Lopez boots Yanez in the body and strafes away to avoid the counter. Lopez paws out a jab, and Yanez gives him one back only to take a right hand square on the chin. Yanez quickly brings up a front kick on the jaw, and a heavy left-right stings Lopez. Yanez follows the punches with a front kick right to the sternum, and he nails Lopez coming in with a sharp left hand that drops him to a knee. Lopez stumbles off and gathers himself, where he starts dancing on the outside and gets worked with crisp punches. Yanez’ boxing is crisp, and he hurts Lopez with a few punches and busts Lopez’ nose up. Yanez catches a body kick and walks Lopez down, where he lands a one-two and resets. Two more punches find their mark before the horn sounds, and a confident Yanez strides away.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Round 2
Yanez takes the center of the cage to start the second frame, and he catches Lopez on the end of a right hand. Lopez darts in, lobs a bomb that comes up short, and ducks away in time to not get countered. Both men throw front kicks at the same time, and one clicks off a cup but there is no pause. Yanez threatens with a flying knee, and Lopez sees it coming just in time to back away. The Texan gets off a right hand even while Lopez lands on him, and he slowly marches Lopez down. When Lopez lets go, Yanez fires big shots. Yanez cracks Lopez on the chin and sets him down, and although he tries to finish the fight, he cannot secure the stoppage when Lopez shoots in for a desperation takedown from his seat. Yanez stuffs it, lands a few more shots and tries to punctuate a combination with a flying knee. Yanez does not step on the accelerator to force a stoppage, and instead backs off to keep his counter-happy gameplan in full display. Yanez fakes and feints as he waves his hands around and switches his stances, freezing Lopez in place but neither man commit to any strikes. Yanez stays out of range from jabs, but he does take a stiff calf kick as the two stare at one another from a distance. Yanez sneaks up a head kick, and it is just blocked in time. The pace wanes as neither want to make any mistakes, and out of nowhere, Yanez blasts Lopez with a right hand. Lopez eats it like a sandwich and starts advancing, but he backs off when Yanez threatens with a head kick. Yanez aims and misses with another head kick, spinning around but keeping Lopez at bay. A body kick from Yanez leads to a single punch from Lopez, and Yanez is able to counter him right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Yanez
Round 3
The bantamweights touch gloves, and Lopez grins as he comes out of his corner. Yanez jabs out with a punch and a kick, and he steps back to admire his handiwork.
Lopez winds up with a strike, and a pinpoint-accurate right hand cracks him square on the jaw. Lopez falls face-first to the ground, and Tognoni leaps in to halt the action as Lopez’ forehead bounces off the canvas.
This was a masterful performance for Yanez, who looks every bit a future contender after that impressive victory over a tough foe.
The Official Result
Adrian Yanez def. Gustavo Lopez R3 0:27 via KO (Punch)
Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez, praising his striking combinations, power, and takedown defense. He notes Yañez is a black belt in BJJ with good get-up game, while Lopez is hittable and has been knocked out twice. Brady expects Yañez to knock out Lopez in the second round, as Lopez's path to victory via takedown is unlikely.
Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez as an underdog, citing his well-rounded attack and power. He compares Yañez to a young Jorge Masvidal in terms of coasting and questionable decisions. He believes if Yañez doesn't get an early knockout, Lopez can mix in takedowns and win a close fight or even knock him out.
Yañez is crisp and precise with his striking, using straight shots down the middle. Lopez is too looping and wide with his hooks, which Yañez should counter. Yañez has good takedown defense and has never been knocked out. He should piece Lopez up and likely finish him in the first or second round. The under 2.5 rounds is a solid play.
The MMA Guru picks Adrian Yanez to win, predicting a first-round KO. He praises Yanez's patience and calmness in the cage, noting he doesn't overthrow shots and waits for his moment. He references Yanez's wins over Brandy Huang and Victor Rodriguez (head kick KO). He acknowledges it's a dangerous fight but believes Yanez will put Lopez out cold, as Lopez has been KO'd before by Andre Ewell and John Castaneda.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 33 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Anthony Birchak | 0 | 17 of 40 | 42% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 26 of 43 | 60% | 33 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 1:06 |
| Anthony Birchak | 0 | 17 of 40 | 42% | 18 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 26 of 43 | 60% | 17 of 33 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 27 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 9 |
| Anthony Birchak | 17 of 40 | 42% | 8 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 26 of 43 | 60% | 17 of 33 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 27 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 9 |
| Anthony Birchak | 17 of 40 | 42% | 8 of 27 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Gustavo Lopez, thinking he is the hungrier fighter and has more to prove. He notes that Anthony Birchak has already had his UFC opportunity and has been inconsistent. Levi mentions Lopez's guillotine threat and better conditioning, while Birchak is on short notice. However, he acknowledges Birchak's experience and past wins over UFC vets.
The MMA Guru picks Gustavo Lopez to win by unanimous decision. He believes Lopez will control Felipe Colares on the feet for three rounds, citing Lopez's good wins and Colares's recent losses. He notes Lopez's heart and ability to get back up after being taken down.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 73 of 128 | 57% | 110 of 187 | 13 of 18 | 72% | 2 | 0 | 9:15 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 14 of 57 | 24% | 49 of 103 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 27 of 46 | 58% | 40 of 64 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 25 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 23 of 45 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 2 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 47 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 5 of 23 | 21% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | 73 of 128 | 57% | 47 of 99 | 13 of 15 | 13 of 14 | 23 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 47 of 71 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 14 of 57 | 24% | 5 of 46 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 6 | 10 of 43 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Merab Dvalishvili | 27 of 46 | 58% | 17 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 28 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 4 of 20 | 20% | 3 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 19 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Merab Dvalishvili | 13 of 25 | 52% | 8 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 5 of 14 | 35% | 1 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Merab Dvalishvili | 33 of 57 | 57% | 22 of 44 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 8 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 34 |
| Gustavo Lopez | 5 of 23 | 21% | 1 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 15 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi is confident in Merab Dvalishvili, calling him 'the Machine' and highlighting his relentless wrestling and takedown record. He notes that even wrestlers like Ricky Simon and Casey Kenney couldn't stop Merab's takedowns, and Gustavo Lopez is on short notice. Levi predicts Merab will finally get a finish, possibly setting a takedown record, and should be ranked higher.
The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili, highlighting his size, reach advantage, and strength. He notes that Merab has been training with Aljamain Sterling and is in shape. He believes Merab will drown Ray Borg on the ground for three rounds, as Borg is a grappler but Merab did better against common opponent Ricky Simone. He predicts a dominant decision or ground control.
Alateng Heili - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 125 of 273 | 45% | 127 of 275 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 61 of 190 | 32% | 61 of 191 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 37 of 78 | 47% | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 11 of 45 | 24% | 11 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 40 of 96 | 41% | 42 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 25 of 60 | 41% | 25 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 3 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 0 | 48 of 99 | 48% | 48 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 25 of 85 | 29% | 25 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Mon Blackshear | 125 of 273 | 45% | 75 of 200 | 37 of 50 | 13 of 23 | 123 of 270 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 61 of 190 | 32% | 34 of 148 | 19 of 34 | 8 of 8 | 60 of 189 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 37 of 78 | 47% | 17 of 45 | 15 of 21 | 5 of 12 | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 11 of 45 | 24% | 7 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 40 of 96 | 41% | 24 of 74 | 11 of 15 | 5 of 7 | 39 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 25 of 60 | 41% | 11 of 41 | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Da'Mon Blackshear | 48 of 99 | 48% | 34 of 81 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 47 of 97 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 25 of 85 | 29% | 16 of 69 | 5 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 25 of 85 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Da'Mon Blackshear, citing his athleticism, speed, power, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Alateng Heili struggles to combine his skills, and that Blackshear's technical boxing and clean takedowns should prevail. He has Blackshear in a parlay with Joselyne Edwards.
Big Brady is confident in Da'Mon Blackshear, highlighting his superior grappling and Alateng Heili's low volume and lack of wrestling. He expects Blackshear to get the fight to the ground and submit Heili, noting a massive skill gap on the mat. He predicts a second-round submission.
Connor picks Blackshear, citing his phenomenal scrambling ability and confidence once he gets momentum. He notes that Alateng Heili is not a big puncher and will likely be pulled into Blackshear's grappling game. Connor also points out that Blackshear's losses have come against elite scramblers, and Alateng Heili is not at that level.
The host acknowledges Heili's wrestling could cause issues but believes Blackshear's striking power and BJJ black belt will keep him safe and allow him to grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Da'Mon Blackshear to win by finish in the first two rounds. He cites Blackshear's reach advantage (5.5 inches), activity, and ability to dictate range. He notes Heili is not a pressure fighter and fights once a year, which hurts his development. He expects Blackshear to hurt Heili and finish via TKO or submission.
Zane also picks Blackshear, agreeing that his scrambling will be too much for Alateng Heili. He notes that Alateng Heili is not a powerful puncher and that Blackshear's ability to find position in scrambles is elite. Zane also comments on the odds, saying Blackshear is a bigger favorite than he deserves, but still picks him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 18 of 59 | 30% | 107 of 183 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 8:16 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 37 of 88 | 42% | 70 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 49 of 73 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 24 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 19 of 50 | 38% | 30 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 7 of 28 | 25% | 34 of 62 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 16 of 34 | 47% | 31 of 50 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 18 of 59 | 30% | 14 of 50 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 37 of 88 | 42% | 15 of 55 | 10 of 15 | 12 of 18 | 37 of 88 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 3 of 6 | 50% | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 8 of 25 | 32% | 6 of 19 | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 19 of 50 | 38% | 9 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 12 | 19 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 7 of 28 | 25% | 5 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 16 of 34 | 47% | 6 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo notes that Alateng Heili struggles with forward pressure and brawlers, and can only do one thing at a time—strike or grapple. Kleydson Rodrigues brings constant forward pressure, versatile striking with kicks, and solid takedown offense from the clinch. However, Rodrigues can be overexposed and taken down. Angelo leans Rodrigues but worries if Heili decides to grapple, which could cause problems.
Cody sees Rodrigues as a potential fraud: he missed weight twice, has poor cardio, and his power may not translate up at bantamweight. Heili is tough, durable, and has never been finished. Cody believes Heili's wrestling defense and forward pressure will wear Rodrigues down, and he expects Heili to win a decision or possibly get a late finish.
Rodrigues is a former flyweight adjusting to 135 lbs but has superior striking and a BJJ black belt. He should be able to box up Alateng Heili, who over-relied on striking against Chris Gutierrez and lost. Expects Rodrigues to win on the scorecards using his striking advantage.
Paul notes Heili is durable and has never been finished in the UFC, while Rodrigues has struggled with weight cuts and cardio. He believes Heili's toughness and pressure will be a problem for Rodrigues, who may fade if he doesn't get an early finish. Paul sees value in Heili as a slight underdog.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili as an underdog over Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes the odds are incorrect and that Heili is a more consistent and composed fighter with good striking. He criticizes Rodrigues' losses, including a finish by Farid Basharat, and notes that Rodrigues' only UFC win is against Shannon Ross, which he dismisses as unimpressive. He also mentions Heili's takedown ability as a potential factor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 39 of 143 | 27% | 56 of 163 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 49 of 131 | 37% | 60 of 148 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 12 of 43 | 27% | 13 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 16 of 44 | 36% | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 14 of 53 | 26% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 13 of 47 | 27% | 29 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Chad Anheliger | 0 | 17 of 42 | 40% | 28 of 59 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 39 of 143 | 27% | 25 of 118 | 8 of 14 | 6 of 11 | 35 of 139 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Chad Anheliger | 49 of 131 | 37% | 30 of 102 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 22 | 43 of 123 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 12 of 43 | 27% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 4 | 12 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Anheliger | 16 of 44 | 36% | 9 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 14 of 53 | 26% | 8 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Chad Anheliger | 16 of 45 | 35% | 9 of 36 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 16 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 13 of 47 | 27% | 6 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Chad Anheliger | 17 of 42 | 40% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
Angelo picks Chad Anheliger, liking his power and ability to not be fazed by takedowns. He notes Anheliger has been taken down nine times in two UFC fights but still won, showing he scrambles back up and keeps firing. He expects Heili to work in grappling but believes Anheliger's resilience and power will get the job done.
Big Brady picks Chad Anheliger as a live dog, citing Alateng Heili's reluctance to wrestle despite having a wrestling background. He notes Heili has zero takedowns in his last three fights and poor striking volume, while Anheliger has power and has shown durability. He predicts Anheliger wins by decision, though he is not sure if he will bet it.
Cody picks Alateng Heili, noting his wrestling advantage and durability. He believes Heili will take Anheliger down and control the fight. He points out that Anheliger looked bad against Jesse Strader, getting taken down multiple times, and that his cardio is questionable. He thinks Heili is the better fighter.
Daniel Levi picks Alateng Heili, citing his physicality and improved wrestling. He respects Anheliger's toughness and comeback ability, but thinks Heili's size and takedowns will be the difference. He notes that if Heili gasses, Anheliger could take over, but expects Heili's conditioning at Fight Ready to hold up.
Jacob picks Alateng Heili but is hesitant, calling it the toughest fight to pick. He notes Heili is technical with power and has backdoor wrestling if he uses it. He worries about Anheliger's hands-down head movement and thinks Heili's technical striking and power could catch him. However, he admits if Anheliger wins, he wouldn't be surprised.
The host picks Alateng Heili, believing he has too many tools for Anheliger. He expects Heili to mix in wrestling to set up his striking, avoid trading in the pocket, and win a decision. He notes Anheliger's power but thinks Heili is the more complete fighter and that the line is accurate.
Paul picks Alateng Heili, agreeing with Cody. He notes that Anheliger has cardio issues and was taken down multiple times by Jesse Strader. He believes Heili's wrestling and durability will be the difference, and that he is the more reliable fighter.
The MMA Guru picks Chad Anheliger to win by decision, 30-27. He expects a scrappy fight where both rock each other and get takedowns, but Anheliger recovers quicker, scrambles harder, and ends up in dominant positions with better ground and pound. He out-hustles Alateng in every occasion.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Kevin Croom | 0 | 2 of 12 | 16% | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Kevin Croom | 2 of 12 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alateng Heili, but thinks the odds are a bit wide. He notes that Heili is a technical striker who can struggle with brawlers like Croom. He believes Heili can get the fight to the ground if needed, but must be wary of Croom's submissions. He considers Croom a far better fighter than his recent record shows.
Big Brady picks Kevin Croom for the upset by decision. He notes Croom has a massive size advantage (6 inches taller, 6.5 inch reach) and will throw more volume than Alateng Heili, who has low output (max 47 significant strikes in a UFC fight). He expects Croom to win minutes on the feet and avoid Heili's power. He acknowledges Croom's takedown accuracy is poor but thinks Heili's wrestling plays into Croom's ground game.
Cody picks Heili, emphasizing his wrestling and top pressure. He notes Croom's size but thinks Heili can take him down and win from guard. He believes Heili's camp at Fight Ready will help him execute the right game plan.
Daniel Levi leans Alateng Heili, noting this is his proper weight class and he is likely fight-ready with good conditioning. He respects Croom's size and finishing ability but worries about Croom cutting to 135 and fading late, as he has a history of losing decisions. Levi expects Heili to win a decision.
Paul picks Heili, citing his wrestling advantage and durability. He thinks Heili can take Croom down and control him. He notes Heili's poor decision-making in the past but believes he will wrestle here.
The MMA Guru picks Kevin Croom as an underdog, believing the odds are incorrect. He notes Croom's 7-inch reach advantage and awkward striking style, and doubts Heili's chin and technical ability. He expects Croom to win a 29-28 unanimous decision, possibly losing the third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 44 of 115 | 38% | 47 of 119 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 36 of 118 | 30% | 37 of 120 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 10 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 11 of 42 | 26% | 12 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 11 of 35 | 31% | 11 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 0 | 23 of 50 | 46% | 26 of 54 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 10 of 35 | 28% | 10 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Lopez | 44 of 115 | 38% | 32 of 93 | 5 of 10 | 7 of 12 | 35 of 99 | 2 of 6 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 36 of 118 | 30% | 23 of 102 | 10 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 35 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gustavo Lopez | 10 of 30 | 33% | 8 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 11 of 42 | 26% | 7 of 38 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gustavo Lopez | 11 of 35 | 31% | 5 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 9 | 11 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 15 of 41 | 36% | 10 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gustavo Lopez | 23 of 50 | 46% | 19 of 43 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 14 of 35 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 10 |
| Alateng Heili | 10 of 35 | 28% | 6 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.
Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.
Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.
Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Kenney | 0 | 109 of 263 | 41% | 109 of 263 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 46 of 171 | 26% | 46 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 40 of 94 | 42% | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 19 of 64 | 29% | 19 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 29 of 79 | 36% | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 14 of 52 | 26% | 14 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Casey Kenney | 0 | 40 of 90 | 44% | 40 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 13 of 55 | 23% | 13 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Kenney | 109 of 263 | 41% | 57 of 192 | 41 of 58 | 11 of 13 | 109 of 261 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 46 of 171 | 26% | 26 of 140 | 11 of 20 | 9 of 11 | 46 of 171 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey Kenney | 40 of 94 | 42% | 21 of 69 | 15 of 19 | 4 of 6 | 40 of 94 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 19 of 64 | 29% | 9 of 53 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 19 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Casey Kenney | 29 of 79 | 36% | 11 of 58 | 15 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 29 of 79 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 14 of 52 | 26% | 9 of 43 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 14 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Casey Kenney | 40 of 90 | 44% | 25 of 65 | 11 of 21 | 4 of 4 | 40 of 88 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Alateng Heili | 13 of 55 | 23% | 8 of 44 | 4 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Casey Kenney to win by decision. He highlights Kenney's superior striking volume and takedown defense, noting that Heili is low volume and gets outlanded. He thinks Kenney is better everywhere and that Heili's only chance is a knockout.
Daniel confidently picks Kenney, praising his fight IQ and level of competition. He expects Kenney to use kicks to avoid Heili's right hand, mix in takedowns, and dominate on top. He notes Heili's toughness and power but believes Kenney is on a different level and will out-tough him.
The host is extremely confident in Casey Kenney, citing his superior grappling, scrambles, and experience against high-level grapplers like Manny Bermudez and Brandon Royval. He believes Alateng Heili's wrestling credentials won't translate to MMA grappling and that Kenney will dominate on the ground. He placed a 5-unit bet at -281, calling it his lock of the night.
The Guru picks Casey Kenney, citing his quality wins over Manny Bermudez, Ray Borg, and Louis Smolka, and noting that Alateng's close fight with Ryan Benoit was unimpressive. He acknowledges Kenney is a heavy favorite at 1-3 odds but still picks him, predicting a submission in the first or second round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 0 | 47 of 131 | 35% | 72 of 160 | 4 of 13 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 68 of 128 | 53% | 84 of 145 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 12 of 50 | 24% | 15 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 19 of 32 | 59% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 28 of 65 | 43% | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 26 of 59 | 44% | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 29 of 42 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Ryan Benoit | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 39 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alateng Heili | 47 of 131 | 35% | 27 of 108 | 11 of 13 | 9 of 10 | 47 of 131 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 68 of 128 | 53% | 45 of 101 | 17 of 21 | 6 of 6 | 53 of 112 | 15 of 16 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alateng Heili | 12 of 50 | 24% | 9 of 46 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 19 of 32 | 59% | 6 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alateng Heili | 28 of 65 | 43% | 13 of 49 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 26 of 59 | 44% | 18 of 47 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 26 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alateng Heili | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ryan Benoit | 23 of 37 | 62% | 21 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 22 | 14 of 15 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.
Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.
Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.
Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.
Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.
The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
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