Career Averages - Arman Tsarukyan
Career Averages - Christos Giagos
Arman Tsarukyan
Christos Giagos
Arman Tsarukyan - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 42 of 60 | 70% | 69 of 89 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 6:02 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 17 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 32 of 45 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:16 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 5 of 20 | 25% | 9 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 23 of 30 | 76% | 37 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Dan Hooker | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 8 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 42 of 60 | 70% | 33 of 49 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 27 |
| Dan Hooker | 10 of 33 | 30% | 3 of 20 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 19 of 30 | 63% | 12 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 26 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Dan Hooker | 5 of 20 | 25% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 23 of 30 | 76% | 21 of 27 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 25 |
| Dan Hooker | 5 of 13 | 38% | 1 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, but calls the -550 odds insane. He notes Tsarukyan's wrestling and striking are elite, but Hooker has heart and takedown defense, as seen against Gamrot. Tsarukyan should get takedowns and control Hooker, but Hooker could make it a dogfight. Angelo suggests Hooker at +5.5 is a decent bet.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan (Magomed Ankalaev) by third-round KO, citing his championship caliber and youth. He notes Hooker's struggles against top competition and expects Ankalaev to finish him via TKO on the mat or a big shot on the feet.
Cody picks Arman Tsarukyan but is hesitant due to the betting line. He notes Arman has the grappling edge and is younger, but Dan Hooker thrives in five-round fights and has a decent get-up game. Cody worries about Arman's past fatigue and the possibility of judges favoring damage over control time in Qatar. He suggests hedging after the first round if Hooker is still competitive.
Connor picks Tsarukyan as a knee-jerk reaction, citing his elite grappling and top control. He notes Hooker's vulnerability to early finishes and slow starts, but acknowledges Hooker's toughness and 25% chance of a KO. Connor emphasizes Tsarukyan's bullying style and potential to finish quickly on the ground.
Lucrative James picks Arman Tsarukyan despite rooting for Dan Hooker. He cites Arman's elite wrestling as the key factor, noting Hooker's historical struggles with grapplers. He mentions Arman's age advantage (29 vs 35), recent training with the Russian Olympic wrestling team, and improved submission game. He also notes Hooker's inactivity and hand surgery concerns. However, he acknowledges Hooker's dangerous striking and hopes for an upset.
Tsarukyan is a top lightweight with elite wrestling and cardio. Hooker is durable but has taken a lot of damage. Tsarukyan should dominate with grappling and pressure, winning by decision or late finish. The method is uncertain but the win is solid.
Paul leans towards Dan Hooker as a plus money underdog, citing value at plus 420. He acknowledges Arman's takedowns are the path of least resistance against Hooker, but believes Hooker can hang around and make it competitive. Paul mentions that if forced to bet one side right now, he'd take Hooker, but he doesn't have to bet it.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, citing Arman's superior grappling and ability to maintain dominant positions. He notes Hooker's broken arms and believes Arman will finish him via ground and pound in round two or three. He acknowledges Hooker's underrated takedown defense but trusts Arman's improvement.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Tsarukyan due to his superior wrestling and top control. He notes Hooker's tendency to start slow and get overwhelmed, but also mentions Hooker's durability and ability to make fights competitive over five rounds. Zane highlights Tsarukyan's power and speed as key factors.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 33 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 4 | 1 | 2:32 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 49 of 83 | 59% | 75 of 117 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 8:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 9 of 11 | 81% | 12 of 14 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 19 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 2:42 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 38 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:49 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 17 | 29% | 7 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:48 |
| Charles Oliveira | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 19 of 37 | 51% | 11 of 22 | 5 of 9 | 3 of 6 | 7 of 24 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 7 |
| Charles Oliveira | 49 of 83 | 59% | 37 of 69 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 23 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 29 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 9 of 11 | 81% | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 5 |
| Charles Oliveira | 9 of 16 | 56% | 6 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 7 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 9 | 55% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Charles Oliveira | 22 of 36 | 61% | 19 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 16 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 17 | 29% | 2 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Charles Oliveira | 18 of 31 | 58% | 12 of 25 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, comparing him to Islam Makhachev with slightly better striking and slightly worse wrestling. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be too much for Oliveira, similar to how Islam submitted him. He notes the public heavily favors Oliveira but the oddsmakers have Tsarukyan as favorite for a reason.
Cody believes Charles Oliveira's defensive flaws will be exposed. He notes Oliveira takes a lot of damage and relies on comebacks, which is unsustainable. Tsarukyan is a strong wrestler with good takedown defense (only taken down by Islam Makhachev and a former KSW champion). Cody thinks Oliveira won't be able to take Tsarukyan down, forcing a striking battle where Tsarukyan's power and youth will prevail. He mentions Tsarukyan's impressive physique and recent knockout of Beneil Dariush. Cody sees Tsarukyan as the fresher, ascending fighter who will eventually land a big right hand and finish Oliveira.
Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, agreeing with guest Giani that Tsarukyan's wrestling and pressure will be key. He notes that Tsarukyan is younger, has a comparable style to Islam Makhachev, and will not hesitate to follow Oliveira to the ground. Vreeland believes Oliveira's submission threat is real but Tsarukyan's top control and ground-and-pound will win rounds.
Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, noting that the line is a bit wide but he likes Tsarukyan's youth and finishing ability. He mentions that Tsarukyan's grappling and wrestling are top-notch, and that Oliveira will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes that Tsarukyan has power on the feet and less mileage than Oliveira.
Jeff Fox picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing that the only fighters who have given Oliveira trouble are exceptional wrestlers. He notes that Oliveira's takedown game won't be enough against Tsarukyan's wrestling, and that Tsarukyan's kickboxing will take over. He also mentions that Tsarukyan's scrambles with Islam Makhachev on short notice show his level.
Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He mentions that bookmakers expect Arman Tsarukyan to win as a decent favorite, and that if he wins, a rematch with Islam Makhachev is likely. He calls it a banger but does not state his own prediction.
Tsarukyan will nullify Oliveira's grappling and his submission defense will keep Oliveira in bad positions. Tsarukyan's big power on the feet will find Oliveira's chin and knock him out within two rounds.
Paul sees Tsarukyan as the fresher fighter with fewer miles. He notes that Tsarukyan's short-notice fight against Islam Makhachev was competitive and looks good in hindsight. Paul points out that Tsarukyan has a good chin and has only been knocked out once, early in his career. He expects Charles to come out hot and have early success, but Tsarukyan will weather the storm and take over. Paul also mentions that if Tsarukyan scores takedowns, he must be careful of Oliveira's guard, but he believes Tsarukyan's youth and power will be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Charles Oliveira to submit Arman Tsarukyan via guillotine in round one. He believes Oliveira will wobble Tsarukyan with a left hook, prompting a panicked takedown attempt that Oliveira will capitalize on. He dismisses Tsarukyan's grappling credentials, noting he was wobbled by Walkin Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Beneil Dariush | 1 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Beneil Dariush | 1 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Beneil Dariush | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Beneil Dariush | 8 of 15 | 53% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsarukyan (-278), Dariush (+225)
Round 1
Lightweights close the show in the five-round headliner, where Dariush (22-5-1, 16-5-1 UFC) sets his sights on Tsarukyan (20-3, 7-2 UFC) at 155 pounds. Tsarukyan has rattled off eight victories across his past nine outings.
For more on the American Top Team standout, see “Rivalries: Arman Tsarukyan” in Features
. Smith administers the law and order once the Octagon door closes. They touch gloves to get us started in the final bout of the night. Dariush fires an inside leg kick, eats a jab and then attacks the leg again.
Tsarukyan steps forward with a knee and follows it with a brutal right hook, dropping Dariush where he stands. He then dives in with punches and pounds Dariush unconscious. A signature victory for the young lightweight contender
.
The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Beneil Dariush—KO (Punches) 1:04 R1
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing youth, cardio, and durability advantages. He notes Dariush has been finished in all five of his losses, and that Tsarukyan's relentless pace will break him down in the later rounds. He predicts a third-round TKO, as Tsarukyan's ground and pound and big shots will eventually finish Dariush.
Cody picks Tsarukyan but acknowledges Dariush's skills and path to victory. He notes Dariush's cardio, high ring IQ, and BJJ black belt, but thinks Tsarukyan's speed and youth are decisive. He mentions Tsarukyan's five-round experience and that he's only getting better. He doesn't love the money line but expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by finish.
Lucrative James picks Beneil Dariush, stating that the line is wide and disrespectful at +240. He believes Dariush can defend takedowns and scramble well, and is the better striker. He notes that Tsarukyan's youth and tenacity could be a factor in a five-round fight, but still sees Dariush as the side. He would go heavy on Dariush if it were a three-round fight.
Tsarukyan has high-level wrestling and improving striking, and he is expected to control the fight with his grappling and striking advantage. However, Dariush is a live underdog with great scrambling and BJJ, making the fight closer than the odds suggest. Tsarukyan is predicted to win by decision over 3.5 rounds, but a small underdog shot on Dariush is also recommended due to value.
Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the rightful favorite due to a sizable speed advantage and good enough grappling to avoid submissions. He notes the line is wide but doesn't see much value at -310. He mentions Tsarukyan's speed in striking and entrances/exits as the biggest difference. He is not lining up to bet it but picks Tsarukyan.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan, believing his youth, wrestling, and striking will be too much for Beneil Dariush. He notes Tsarukyan's reach advantage and ability to win the leg kick battle. He predicts Tsarukyan will break Dariush down and win by TKO in the fourth round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 80 of 115 | 69% | 134 of 175 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 0 | 0 | 9:01 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 23 of 41 | 56% | 77 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 28 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 27 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 33 of 57 | 57% | 39 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:47 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 16 of 30 | 53% | 41 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 35 of 45 | 77% | 67 of 83 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Joaquim Silva | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 80 of 115 | 69% | 64 of 95 | 13 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 32 of 64 | 7 of 8 | 41 of 43 |
| Joaquim Silva | 23 of 41 | 56% | 11 of 27 | 9 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 12 of 13 | 92% | 9 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 9 |
| Joaquim Silva | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 33 of 57 | 57% | 23 of 43 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 23 of 46 | 6 of 7 | 4 of 4 |
| Joaquim Silva | 16 of 30 | 53% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 19 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 35 of 45 | 77% | 32 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 28 of 30 |
| Joaquim Silva | 5 of 8 | 62% | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.
Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.
Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.
Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.
Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.
Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 34 of 81 | 41% | 50 of 105 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 9:25 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 36 of 86 | 41% | 51 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 9 of 23 | 39% | 15 of 29 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 3:04 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 24 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 18 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:24 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 11 of 28 | 39% | 13 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 13 of 31 | 41% | 17 of 41 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 0 | 12 of 32 | 37% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 34 of 81 | 41% | 14 of 57 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 9 | 31 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 36 of 86 | 41% | 18 of 60 | 15 of 21 | 3 of 5 | 26 of 74 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 9 of 23 | 39% | 2 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 13 of 26 | 50% | 7 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 13 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Arman Tsarukyan | 12 of 27 | 44% | 7 of 21 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 11 of 28 | 39% | 6 of 18 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 23 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Arman Tsarukyan | 13 of 31 | 41% | 5 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Damir Ismagulov | 12 of 32 | 37% | 5 of 24 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 26 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, his guy, hoping the loss to Gamrot helps him improve. He notes that Damir is not the wrestler Gamrot is, so he sees Arman getting takedowns and winning the scrambles. He acknowledges Arman faded in his last fight but this is a three-round fight, which favors him.
Big Brady picks Tsarukyan, citing his elite wrestling and power advantage. He notes Ismagulov has 90% takedown defense but hasn't faced a wrestler like Tsarukyan. He thinks Tsarukyan will mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision. He wants to see Ismagulov's weight cut but leans Tsarukyan.
Cody likes Ismagulov as an underdog because of his well-rounded skills, solid takedown defense, and durability. He thinks Ismagulov can stay on the outside, use his jab, and stifle Tsarukyan's takedowns to win a striking battle. He notes Tsarukyan is still green and was taken down by Gamrot, which raises questions.
Ismagulov is very talented and this should be a 50/50 fight. He didn't show his best in his last two fights due to long layoffs, but this is his second fight in six months, so he should be in better shape. He can be defensively responsible with his grappling and outstrike Tsarukyan on the feet. The line is too wide in favor of Tsarukyan.
Paul picks Tsarukyan, believing he is a top talent with all the skills. He thinks Tsarukyan will land takedowns and is super quick on the feet. He notes Tsarukyan is young and still developing, expecting to see the best version of him. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Damir Ismagulov, noting the three-round fight favors Tsarukyan's cardio. He believes Tsarukyan's lead switch kick to the body will be effective against Ismagulov's high guard, and that Ismagulov doesn't have the offensive grappling of Mateusz Gamrot to threaten takedowns. He also thinks Ismagulov took damage in his last fight against Guram Kutateladze. He predicts Tsarukyan's higher fight IQ and youth (26) will lead to a win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 1 | 95 of 247 | 38% | 110 of 264 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 1:39 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 81 of 138 | 58% | 108 of 166 | 6 of 21 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 4:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 15 of 37 | 40% | 19 of 41 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:46 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 11 of 20 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 19 of 64 | 29% | 21 of 68 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 18 of 38 | 47% | 21 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 23 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 30 of 43 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 | |
| 4 | Mateusz Gamrot | 1 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 18 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 13 of 23 | 56% | 18 of 29 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 | |
| 5 | Mateusz Gamrot | 0 | 23 of 54 | 42% | 29 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 20 of 25 | 80% | 28 of 33 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | 95 of 247 | 38% | 43 of 182 | 39 of 48 | 13 of 17 | 88 of 235 | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 81 of 138 | 58% | 68 of 121 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 73 of 129 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mateusz Gamrot | 15 of 37 | 40% | 3 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 36 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 10 of 19 | 52% | 6 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mateusz Gamrot | 19 of 64 | 29% | 7 of 47 | 9 of 12 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 18 of 38 | 47% | 13 of 33 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mateusz Gamrot | 22 of 45 | 48% | 11 of 33 | 8 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 43 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 20 of 33 | 60% | 19 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Mateusz Gamrot | 16 of 47 | 34% | 9 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 45 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 13 of 23 | 56% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Mateusz Gamrot | 23 of 54 | 42% | 13 of 43 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 21 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 20 of 25 | 80% | 18 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan but bets on Mateusz Gamrot via buying points. He notes both are mirror images as wrestlers with improving hands, but Tsarukyan has never been out-wrestled except by Islam Makhachev, while Gamrot has struggled with takedown efficiency in some fights. He expects a close decision and buys +5.5 points on Gamrot, believing Gamrot can steal rounds on scorecards.
Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be the difference, getting takedowns and controlling Gamrot. He notes Tsarukyan's youth (25 vs 31), improved striking, and success against Islam Makhachev. He questions Gamrot's cardio in a five-round fight (Gamrot admitted doubts about cardio in a three-round fight). He expects a back-and-forth fight but Tsarukyan winning minutes with takedowns and top control. He says the line is wide but Tsarukyan is the pick.
Cody agrees with Paul, but thinks Gamrot is a live dog. He notes Gamrot's slow starts and potential cardio issues in a five-round fight. He believes Tsarukyan's speed and power will be too much, and he also likes Tsarukyan by decision.
Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the total package with elite striking and grappling, and he's only 24. He notes the price is a bit wide but Tsarukyan is a rightful favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by decision, and mentions Tsarukyan decision at +150 as a prop.
The host picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing his consistent cardio and ability to improve as the fight goes on. He notes Gamrot slows down in later rounds, as seen against Diego Ferreira. He expects Tsarukyan to take over in rounds 3-5 and predicts a fourth-round TKO. He acknowledges Gamrot's explosiveness but believes Tsarukyan's overall game is superior.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Alvarez | 0 | 36 of 53 | 67% | 93 of 122 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 6:08 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Alvarez | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 50 of 59 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 25 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Joel Alvarez | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 43 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:46 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Alvarez | 36 of 53 | 67% | 31 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 32 of 44 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 7 of 10 | 70% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Alvarez | 13 of 19 | 68% | 10 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 12 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Joel Alvarez | 23 of 34 | 67% | 21 of 32 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 32 |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
It’s a pairing of four-fight winning streaks for these lightweight prospects, and Chris Tognoni will referee the bout. Tsarukyan sticks a jab early. Tsarukyan kicks Alvarez’s leg and is able to score a takedown with his opponent off balance. Tsarukyan is now inside the lanky Spaniard’s guard. Alvarez lands an elbow from his back. Tsarukyan remains heavy on top, and he’s working diligently to pass to half guard. Alvarez does a good job preventing the pass. Tsarukyan drops an elbow from above. Alvarez is active with his guard and lands a hammerfist from his back. Tsarukyan floats into a front headlock before finding himself in the full guard of his opponent. A slashing elbow lands for Tsarukyan, who then lands a short elbow to the face. It’s control time galore for the Russian standout, and another elbow cuts Alvarez wide open. Alvarez is just gushing blood in the waning seconds, and Tsarukyan is pouring it on. Another elbow lands before the horn. The fight could be in danger of being stopped between rounds, as Alvarez’s face is a crimson mask.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Round 2
Amazingly, Alvarez is allowed to continue for another round after a brief examination from the cageside doctor. Tsarukyan shoots immediately. Alvarez looks for a guillotine but his foe passes to side control. Tsarukyan briefly achieves a mounted crucifix but Alvarez frees his arm. From side control, Tsarukyan drops brual elbows and punches, and Alvarez is spewing blood again, his vision obviously obscured. Alvarez is on all fours, eating punches. The Spaniard attempts to stand, and Tsarukyan ragdolls him back down near the fence. More punches from Tsarukyan, and Tognoni urges Alvarez to fight back.
From back mount, Tsarukyan controls the wrists and unloads with more left hands. Tognoni has finally seen enough and mercifully calls off the fight.
The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Joel Alvarez via TKO (Punches) R2 1:57
Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win inside the distance. He notes Alvarez has a massive eight-inch height and 4.5-inch reach advantage, and is dangerous everywhere: striking and submissions. He points out that Tsarukyan's wrestling could play into Alvarez's game, as Alvarez has a 0% takedown defense but is very dangerous off his back with multiple submission wins. Brady was initially surprised that money was coming in on Alvarez but now sees it as justified. He believes Alvarez can finish by knockout or submission.
Cody picks Tsarukyan by decision, citing his superior speed, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Alvarez's submission threats but believes Tsarukyan's head placement and takedown defense will keep him safe. Cody mentions Tsarukyan's camp in Russia as a slight concern but still sees him winning via volume and takedowns.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He emphasizes Tsarukyan's relentless takedown game and ability to neutralize submissions. Levi notes Alvarez is dangerous with submissions off his back and has knockout power, but believes Tsarukyan will avoid standing and grind out a win. He disagrees with the dog-or-pass label and expects Tsarukyan to cover the spread.
The host hesitantly picks Alvarez as an underdog, citing his size, confidence, and finishing streak. He believes Alvarez can keep the fight standing and land big strikes, potentially drawing a desperation takedown from Tsarukyan that could lead to a guillotine. He acknowledges Tsarukyan is a top prospect but thinks the odds are too wide and Alvarez deserves more respect. He predicts a second-round TKO.
Paul agrees with Tsarukyan by decision, emphasizing his wrestling and striking advantage. He notes Alvarez's improved striking but trusts Tsarukyan's ability to mix takedowns and avoid submissions. Paul suggests waiting for a better price on Tsarukyan as the line may move.
The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez to win, calling it a 51-49 lean. He acknowledges Arman Tsarukyan's skills but believes Alvarez's size, reach, and power are decisive factors. He notes that Alvarez is much bigger and may have a weight advantage, and that his immediate damaging shots (elbows, guillotines) give him more paths to victory. The Guru expects Tsarukyan to win by decision if he wins, while Alvarez can finish early by TKO or submission. He also mentions Alvarez's chin held up against Thiago Moises.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.
Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.
Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.
Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.
Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.
Christos Giagos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 40 of 68 | 58% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 1 | 40 of 68 | 58% | 40 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 17 of 45 | 37% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Bahamondes | 40 of 68 | 58% | 26 of 53 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 56 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignacio Bahamondes | 40 of 68 | 58% | 26 of 53 | 8 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 33 of 56 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 17 of 45 | 37% | 7 of 31 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 16 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans Ignacio Bahamondes because he believes Bahamondes' last loss was more about how good Ludovit Klein is rather than Bahamondes being bad. He acknowledges that Bahamondes has good takedown defense (85%) but that it failed in his last fight. He thinks Christos Giagos could win if he gets takedowns, but Angelo is on the Bahamondes side, though he admits he will be biting his nails over takedowns.
Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by second-round submission. He notes that Giagos will likely have early success with takedowns and wrestling, but will fade as the fight goes on due to poor cardio. Bahamondes will grow into the fight and finish Giagos in the second round.
Cody agrees, pointing to Giagos's pattern of fading after round 1, as seen in the Zellhuber fight. He notes Bahamondes's length and reach may make it hard for Giagos to land early, and that Bahamondes has never been knocked out. Cody thinks Bahamondes will take control as the fight goes on, and that Giagos's takedown threat diminishes as he tires.
Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Ignacio Bahamondes, praising his stance switching, range, and opportunistic submissions. He dismisses Bahamondes' losses to Melsik Baghdasaryan and Ludovit Klein as forgivable, noting Klein's suspicious transformation. Vreeland sees Christos Giagos as an athletic journeyman who fades after the first round, lacking depth beyond spamming hooks. He expects Bahamondes to frustrate Giagos with range and dominate past round one, possibly by finish.
Bahamondes is a talented striker with nasty Muay Thai and improving grappling. Giagos has early finishing power but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Bahamondes can weather the early storm, then take over in later rounds with his striking and cardio. Expect a TKO in the second or third round.
Paul is confident in Bahamondes, citing his length, chin, cardio, and striking. He notes Giagos is explosive but fades after 6-7 minutes, and that Bahamondes's takedown defense and ability to get up will neutralize Giagos's early wrestling. Paul expects Bahamondes to take over in rounds 2 and 3, possibly by TKO. He also suggests live betting Bahamondes if he loses the first round.
The host dismisses Giagos as a 'pensioner killer' with wins over older fighters like Ricky Glenn, Soroano, and Carlton Minus. He notes Bahamondes' lanky frame (6'2" at lightweight) and recent wins over Roosevelt Roberts, Ronu, and Trey Ogden. He predicts Bahamondes will sleep Giagos, ignoring technique and focusing on size advantage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Zellhuber | 0 | 36 of 101 | 35% | 36 of 101 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 38 of 82 | 46% | 38 of 82 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Zellhuber | 0 | 12 of 50 | 24% | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 26 of 52 | 50% | 26 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Daniel Zellhuber | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 24 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:17 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 12 of 30 | 40% | 12 of 30 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Zellhuber | 36 of 101 | 35% | 18 of 75 | 11 of 19 | 7 of 7 | 35 of 100 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 38 of 82 | 46% | 25 of 63 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 36 of 79 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Zellhuber | 12 of 50 | 24% | 7 of 40 | 2 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 12 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 26 of 52 | 50% | 16 of 37 | 2 of 6 | 8 of 9 | 26 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Zellhuber | 24 of 51 | 47% | 11 of 35 | 9 of 12 | 4 of 4 | 23 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 12 of 30 | 40% | 9 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber as the more technical striker with good takedown defense. He acknowledges Christos Giagos has a path if he pressures and wrestles, but doubts Giagos will stick to a game plan. He is not betting this fight yet.
Big Brady picks Zellhuber, noting his improved performance after a poor debut. He expects Giagos to have early success but fade due to cardio issues, and Zellhuber to take over as the fight progresses. He predicts a submission in the second round, possibly via guillotine when Giagos shoots.
Cody leans toward Giagos but is hesitant due to cardio concerns. He notes Giagos is a front-runner with big power early but fades. He thinks Zellhuber may work his way back into the fight in later rounds. Cody prefers to get a better live price but ultimately picks Giagos for the pregame show.
Daniel Levi has bet Zellhuber in all three UFC fights and is confident here. He attributes Zellhuber's debut loss to a 'debut stun' and believes he has recovered, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Levi sees Giagos as an athletic but limited fighter who fades down the stretch, while Zellhuber's length, creativity, and pressure should allow him to take over late and potentially get a finish.
Zellhuber has excellent footwork, range management, and volume striking, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Giagos is a wrestler who may have early success but will likely gas out. Zellhuber should pick him apart in the later rounds and get a finish, possibly by submission or TKO. I expect Giagos to revert to wrestling, but Zellhuber's conditioning and striking will be too much.
Paul picks Giagos as a live underdog, citing his physicality, wrestling, and power. He notes that Zellhuber looked green in his UFC debut against Trey Ogden, getting outworked and taken down. Paul believes Giagos can land early shots and get takedowns, though cardio is a concern. He has circled this bet and plans to add it to his card.
The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Christos Giagos, despite considering the underdog. He notes Zellhuber's reach advantage (77 inches) and dangerous striking. He criticizes Giagos's recent performance against Ricky Glenn, where Glenn looked old and slow, and notes Giagos has been dominated by others. He predicts Zellhuber may catch Giagos on the chin.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricky Glenn | 1 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ricky Glenn | 1 | 9 of 16 | 56% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 2 of 11 | 18% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricky Glenn | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 2 of 11 | 18% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ricky Glenn | 9 of 16 | 56% | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo picks Ricky Glenn because of his superior striking. He thinks Glenn's striking will be so much better that Giagos will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes Glenn has solid submission defense if taken down. He is not betting due to both fighters being inactive and not having won in a couple of years.
Big Brady picks Ricky Glenn to win by decision. He notes that Glenn has solid takedown defense and a very good get-up game, which will be a problem for Giagos, who tends to slow down as fights go on. Brady expects Giagos to have early success taking Glenn down, but Glenn will pop back up, and as Giagos fades, Glenn will take over in the second and third rounds. He trusts Glenn's cardio over Giagos's.
Cody picks Ricky Glenn, praising his cardio, durability, and striking volume. He notes Giagos is explosive but gasses quickly, often winning the first round but fading. Glenn has excellent takedown defense and submission defense, and he can get back to his feet. Cody believes Glenn will weather the early storm and take over in later rounds, possibly getting a late stoppage. He mentions a third-round TKO prop as a live play.
Connor picks Ricky Glenn, noting that Glenn is a slow-starting fighter who builds into fights and has a history of comebacks. He highlights Glenn's ability to stuff takedowns and win scrambles, turning them into top position where he is fearsome. Connor contrasts this with Giagos, who is a physical bully but has a rudimentary wrestle-boxing style and tends to crumble when pushed back.
Ricky Glenn is a solid all-around fighter with good cardio and defensive grappling. He should be able to stuff Giagos' early takedowns and take over in later rounds. Giagos has poor cardio and a limited striking game. However, Glenn has a history of hip injuries and layoffs, so his conditioning is a concern. If Glenn is anywhere near 80%, he should win by late finish or decision. Prediction: Glenn by third-round TKO.
Paul agrees with Cody, saying he is in complete agreement and has nothing to add. He implicitly picks Ricky Glenn.
The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn over Christos Giagos. He criticizes Giagos for losing to top-level competition and notes his wins are against low-level opponents. He praises Glenn's performances against good opponents like Dennis Bermudez and Gavin Tucker, and his short-notice majority draw with Grant Dawson. He thinks Glenn can out-grapple or out-strike Giagos and predicts a decision win, 29-28.
Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricky Glenn. He emphasizes that Glenn is never the faster or harder hitter, but he is undeterred by Giagos's early success. Zane notes that Giagos has never lost the ability to be shocked when someone he bullied early works back into the fight, and he tends to crumble. Zane feels relatively confident in Glenn getting the win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 1 | 22 of 31 | 70% | 27 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arman Tsarukyan | 22 of 31 | 70% | 21 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 21 |
| Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.
Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.
Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.
Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.
Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 23 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 0 | 0:59 |
| Sean Soriano | 0 | 33 of 53 | 62% | 37 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 21 of 48 | 43% | 21 of 48 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
| Sean Soriano | 0 | 29 of 45 | 64% | 33 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:27 |
| Sean Soriano | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 22 of 54 | 40% | 15 of 43 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 19 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Sean Soriano | 33 of 53 | 62% | 16 of 35 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 30 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 21 of 48 | 43% | 14 of 37 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 44 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Sean Soriano | 29 of 45 | 64% | 13 of 28 | 8 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 26 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Sean Soriano | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Giagos has a clear path to victory via takedowns and top control. Soriano is on short notice and has historically poor takedown defense, giving up his back. Giagos averages about three takedowns per 15 minutes, though his cardio fades in round three. He should ride out at least two rounds for a decision win.
Cody picks Giagos, emphasizing that Soriano's takedown defense is non-existent and he gives up submissions easily. Cody believes Giagos will take him down and control the fight. He notes that Soriano's only path to victory is a first-round KO, but Giagos is durable.
Daniel Levi picks Sean Soriano as a dog, citing his technical kickboxing and the possibility that Giagos gasses. He notes that both fighters have cardio issues, but Soriano's striking could give him an edge if he doesn't get taken down. Levi is concerned about Soriano's history of gassing and getting choked out, but thinks at the dog price it's worth a shot.
The host picks Giagos but expresses significant hesitation. He notes Giagos has decent striking but his bread and butter is grinding opponents on the ground, though his cardio looks suspect. He worries that if Soriano can stop takedowns and get his hands going, it could cause Giagos problems later in the fight. He ultimately thinks Giagos grinds out a decision but says he just can't trust him and thinks the line is too wide.
Paul picks Giagos, noting that Soriano has a clear weakness: he cannot stop takedowns and gives up his back. Paul believes Giagos will spam takedowns and either win by submission or decision. He mentions that Giagos is a decision machine but Soriano leaves his neck out, making a submission possible.
The MMA Guru picks Christos Giagos over Sean Soriano, citing Giagos's impressive performance on short notice against Carlton Minus and a competitive fight with Drakkar Klose. He questions Soriano's recent win over an older Noah Lahat and notes Soriano is stepping in on short notice. He predicts Giagos will win the grappling exchanges and land more on the feet, winning a unanimous decision 30-27.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 76 of 124 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 8:57 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 28 of 80 | 35% | 29 of 81 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 26 of 37 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:40 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 6 of 15 | 40% | 34 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Christos Giagos | 0 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 16 of 40 | 1 of 10 | 10% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Carlton Minus | 0 | 19 of 55 | 34% | 20 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Giagos | 31 of 67 | 46% | 23 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 17 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 16 |
| Carlton Minus | 28 of 80 | 35% | 18 of 64 | 4 of 9 | 6 of 7 | 28 of 79 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christos Giagos | 13 of 19 | 68% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 13 |
| Carlton Minus | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Christos Giagos | 6 of 15 | 40% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Carlton Minus | 7 of 18 | 38% | 3 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Christos Giagos | 12 of 33 | 36% | 8 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Carlton Minus | 19 of 55 | 34% | 15 of 46 | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 19 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Christos Giagos over Carlton Minus, noting Giagos' pressure and the small cage favoring him. He is underwhelmed by Minus' tape (no power, poor takedown defense) and believes Giagos can win by decision or possibly finish. However, he acknowledges Giagos is coming off an injury and layoff, which explains the shorter odds.
The host picks Giagos but is hesitant due to his long layoff and the close nature of the fight. He believes Giagos' grappling and wrestling will be the difference, but notes Minus could make it close on the feet. He recommends Giagos by decision and advises against parlaying him.
The Guru picks Christos Giagos, noting he is the bigger fighter and has good wins including a dominant performance over Gavin Tucker. He criticizes Carlton Minus for a poor UFC debut and lack of quality wins. He predicts a submission win for Giagos in the second or third round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drakkar Klose | 0 | 87 of 155 | 56% | 113 of 186 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 1 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 99 of 160 | 61% | 159 of 223 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 0 | 0 | 3:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drakkar Klose | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 39 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 53 of 73 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 2 | Drakkar Klose | 0 | 22 of 32 | 68% | 29 of 42 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 37 of 48 | 77% | 50 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:05 | |
| 3 | Drakkar Klose | 0 | 41 of 76 | 53% | 45 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:18 |
| Christos Giagos | 0 | 41 of 71 | 57% | 56 of 87 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drakkar Klose | 87 of 155 | 56% | 55 of 117 | 29 of 33 | 3 of 5 | 69 of 127 | 16 of 23 | 2 of 5 |
| Christos Giagos | 99 of 160 | 61% | 56 of 114 | 29 of 30 | 14 of 16 | 39 of 93 | 38 of 40 | 22 of 27 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drakkar Klose | 24 of 47 | 51% | 7 of 28 | 15 of 16 | 2 of 3 | 17 of 38 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 21 of 41 | 51% | 4 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 28 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Drakkar Klose | 22 of 32 | 68% | 18 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 18 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 5 |
| Christos Giagos | 37 of 48 | 77% | 27 of 37 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 12 | 9 of 10 | 21 of 26 | |
| 3 | Drakkar Klose | 41 of 76 | 53% | 30 of 63 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 34 of 66 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Christos Giagos | 41 of 71 | 57% | 25 of 54 | 8 of 8 | 8 of 9 | 23 of 53 | 17 of 17 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.
Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.
Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.
Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.
Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.
Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.
The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.
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