UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021 · Lightweight · Completed
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Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 10"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Arman Tsarukyan
3.85 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
1.8 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
3.26 TD Avg
37.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Christos Giagos
3.03 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.21 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
2.84 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
52.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Arman Tsarukyan
Moneyline
Caesars -800
KO/TKO
FanDuel +340
Submission
FanDuel +420
Decision
FanDuel -120
Christos Giagos
Moneyline
FanDuel +610
KO/TKO
DraftKings +2200
Submission
FanDuel +3400
Decision
BetMGM +1100
Arman Tsarukyan - Fight History
WIN vs Dan Hooker
Submission R2 3:34 · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 42 of 60 70% 69 of 89 2 of 4 50% 1 0 6:02
Dan Hooker 0 10 of 33 30% 17 of 41 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 19 of 30 63% 32 of 45 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:16
Dan Hooker 0 5 of 20 25% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:10
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 23 of 30 76% 37 of 44 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:46
Dan Hooker 0 5 of 13 38% 8 of 16 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 42 of 60 70% 33 of 49 3 of 5 6 of 6 18 of 31 2 of 2 22 of 27
Dan Hooker 10 of 33 30% 3 of 20 6 of 12 1 of 1 9 of 30 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 19 of 30 63% 12 of 22 2 of 3 5 of 5 15 of 26 2 of 2 2 of 2
Dan Hooker 5 of 20 25% 2 of 13 2 of 6 1 of 1 4 of 17 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Arman Tsarukyan 23 of 30 76% 21 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 1 3 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 25
Dan Hooker 5 of 13 38% 1 of 7 4 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo leans Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, but calls the -550 odds insane. He notes Tsarukyan's wrestling and striking are elite, but Hooker has heart and takedown defense, as seen against Gamrot. Tsarukyan should get takedowns and control Hooker, but Hooker could make it a dogfight. Angelo suggests Hooker at +5.5 is a decent bet.

Minus 550 is insane; Dan Hooker at plus five and a half seems like it could be a decent bet.
"I have to slightly lean Arman Sooqi because of the wrestling upside, but minus 550 is insane."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan (Magomed Ankalaev) by third-round KO, citing his championship caliber and youth. He notes Hooker's struggles against top competition and expects Ankalaev to finish him via TKO on the mat or a big shot on the feet.

third round KO
"I'm going to take Magomed Ankalaev to win this fight and win it by third round KO."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody picks Arman Tsarukyan but is hesitant due to the betting line. He notes Arman has the grappling edge and is younger, but Dan Hooker thrives in five-round fights and has a decent get-up game. Cody worries about Arman's past fatigue and the possibility of judges favoring damage over control time in Qatar. He suggests hedging after the first round if Hooker is still competitive.

"I got Arman Sukian, but I'm not loving the number I'm getting here, Paul."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Connor picks Tsarukyan as a knee-jerk reaction, citing his elite grappling and top control. He notes Hooker's vulnerability to early finishes and slow starts, but acknowledges Hooker's toughness and 25% chance of a KO. Connor emphasizes Tsarukyan's bullying style and potential to finish quickly on the ground.

Tsarukyan by submission or early KO; Hooker has 25% chance to clip him
"I'm picking Suruken, but I still like this fight. You know, I think, I guess all of this is to say that like, I think you have to pick Suruken as just sort of a knee-jerk reaction to this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Lucrative James picks Arman Tsarukyan despite rooting for Dan Hooker. He cites Arman's elite wrestling as the key factor, noting Hooker's historical struggles with grapplers. He mentions Arman's age advantage (29 vs 35), recent training with the Russian Olympic wrestling team, and improved submission game. He also notes Hooker's inactivity and hand surgery concerns. However, he acknowledges Hooker's dangerous striking and hopes for an upset.

submission prop mentioned as potentially live
"I do think Arman Surukin is going to win this matchup. That would be my pick gun to my head."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan is a top lightweight with elite wrestling and cardio. Hooker is durable but has taken a lot of damage. Tsarukyan should dominate with grappling and pressure, winning by decision or late finish. The method is uncertain but the win is solid.

"I think Sukian wins. I think he wins at a pretty decent clip."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Dan Hooker

Paul leans towards Dan Hooker as a plus money underdog, citing value at plus 420. He acknowledges Arman's takedowns are the path of least resistance against Hooker, but believes Hooker can hang around and make it competitive. Paul mentions that if forced to bet one side right now, he'd take Hooker, but he doesn't have to bet it.

"I'd probably take this plus 420 on Dan Hooker."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Dan Hooker, citing Arman's superior grappling and ability to maintain dominant positions. He notes Hooker's broken arms and believes Arman will finish him via ground and pound in round two or three. He acknowledges Hooker's underrated takedown defense but trusts Arman's improvement.

second or third round mount ground and pound TKO
"I'm going to go with Arman Tsarukyan here over Dan Hooker."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Tsarukyan due to his superior wrestling and top control. He notes Hooker's tendency to start slow and get overwhelmed, but also mentions Hooker's durability and ability to make fights competitive over five rounds. Zane highlights Tsarukyan's power and speed as key factors.

Tsarukyan by finish; Hooker could make it a war
"I fully believe that Armand Suruken can do both of those things. You know, he has the power to do that, to do either, to just go out and flatten Hooker or to go out, take him down and break …"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 19 of 37 51% 33 of 53 0 of 0 --- 4 1 2:32
Charles Oliveira 0 49 of 83 59% 75 of 117 2 of 4 50% 0 1 8:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 9 of 11 81% 12 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:44
Charles Oliveira 0 9 of 16 56% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:42
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 5 of 9 55% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Charles Oliveira 0 22 of 36 61% 38 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:49
3 Arman Tsarukyan 0 5 of 17 29% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:48
Charles Oliveira 0 18 of 31 58% 18 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 19 of 37 51% 11 of 22 5 of 9 3 of 6 7 of 24 6 of 6 6 of 7
Charles Oliveira 49 of 83 59% 37 of 69 10 of 11 2 of 3 23 of 50 3 of 4 23 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 9 of 11 81% 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 4 2 of 2 4 of 5
Charles Oliveira 9 of 16 56% 6 of 12 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 8 1 of 1 5 of 7
2 Arman Tsarukyan 5 of 9 55% 4 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 2
Charles Oliveira 22 of 36 61% 19 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 1 9 of 18 1 of 2 12 of 16
3 Arman Tsarukyan 5 of 17 29% 2 of 10 3 of 6 0 of 1 2 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0
Charles Oliveira 18 of 31 58% 12 of 25 5 of 5 1 of 1 11 of 24 1 of 1 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, comparing him to Islam Makhachev with slightly better striking and slightly worse wrestling. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be too much for Oliveira, similar to how Islam submitted him. He notes the public heavily favors Oliveira but the oddsmakers have Tsarukyan as favorite for a reason.

"I think Armen is basically Islam I think he's got slightly better striking slightly worse wrestling and I think he wins here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody believes Charles Oliveira's defensive flaws will be exposed. He notes Oliveira takes a lot of damage and relies on comebacks, which is unsustainable. Tsarukyan is a strong wrestler with good takedown defense (only taken down by Islam Makhachev and a former KSW champion). Cody thinks Oliveira won't be able to take Tsarukyan down, forcing a striking battle where Tsarukyan's power and youth will prevail. He mentions Tsarukyan's impressive physique and recent knockout of Beneil Dariush. Cody sees Tsarukyan as the fresher, ascending fighter who will eventually land a big right hand and finish Oliveira.

"I do favor Armen suuki to get the job done."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, agreeing with guest Giani that Tsarukyan's wrestling and pressure will be key. He notes that Tsarukyan is younger, has a comparable style to Islam Makhachev, and will not hesitate to follow Oliveira to the ground. Vreeland believes Oliveira's submission threat is real but Tsarukyan's top control and ground-and-pound will win rounds.

"I'm on Arman as well"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Vreeland picks Arman Tsarukyan, noting that the line is a bit wide but he likes Tsarukyan's youth and finishing ability. He mentions that Tsarukyan's grappling and wrestling are top-notch, and that Oliveira will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes that Tsarukyan has power on the feet and less mileage than Oliveira.

"I'm taking San excuse me as well I thought you were going Charlie Alives this is the one I differing on yeah okay maybe won't differ in any no I'll take cin much younger and is uh you know been …"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Jeff Fox picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing that the only fighters who have given Oliveira trouble are exceptional wrestlers. He notes that Oliveira's takedown game won't be enough against Tsarukyan's wrestling, and that Tsarukyan's kickboxing will take over. He also mentions that Tsarukyan's scrambles with Islam Makhachev on short notice show his level.

"I am going to go with Arman cuki in uh largely because if you look at the type of people who have ever given him trouble it's always exceptional wrestlers"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He mentions that bookmakers expect Arman Tsarukyan to win as a decent favorite, and that if he wins, a rematch with Islam Makhachev is likely. He calls it a banger but does not state his own prediction.

"if Arman Tsarukyan wins that fight which the bookmakers expect him to do as a decent sized favorite then you already know they're going to do the Islam rematch"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan will nullify Oliveira's grappling and his submission defense will keep Oliveira in bad positions. Tsarukyan's big power on the feet will find Oliveira's chin and knock him out within two rounds.

knockout within two rounds
"I ultimately think it's going to be sarin's big Power on his feet that eventually finds the chin of Oliva and he knocks him out within two rounds"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul sees Tsarukyan as the fresher fighter with fewer miles. He notes that Tsarukyan's short-notice fight against Islam Makhachev was competitive and looks good in hindsight. Paul points out that Tsarukyan has a good chin and has only been knocked out once, early in his career. He expects Charles to come out hot and have early success, but Tsarukyan will weather the storm and take over. Paul also mentions that if Tsarukyan scores takedowns, he must be careful of Oliveira's guard, but he believes Tsarukyan's youth and power will be the difference.

"I get that... I expect Charles to probably come out hot have some real success early but outside of getting knocked out super super early... hasn't been knocked out... I think suin is the fresher guy in shape headed upwards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Charles Oliveira

The MMA Guru picks Charles Oliveira to submit Arman Tsarukyan via guillotine in round one. He believes Oliveira will wobble Tsarukyan with a left hook, prompting a panicked takedown attempt that Oliveira will capitalize on. He dismisses Tsarukyan's grappling credentials, noting he was wobbled by Walkin Silva.

guillotine round one
"Charles Ola guillotining the [ __ ] out of you badly after rocking you with a left hook."
KO (knee and punches) R1 1:04 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Beneil Dariush 1 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Beneil Dariush 1 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Beneil Dariush 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 0 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Beneil Dariush 8 of 15 53% 8 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 2 of 2 2 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Tsarukyan (-278), Dariush (+225)

Round 1
Lightweights close the show in the five-round headliner, where Dariush (22-5-1, 16-5-1 UFC) sets his sights on Tsarukyan (20-3, 7-2 UFC) at 155 pounds. Tsarukyan has rattled off eight victories across his past nine outings.
For more on the American Top Team standout, see “Rivalries: Arman Tsarukyan” in Features
. Smith administers the law and order once the Octagon door closes. They touch gloves to get us started in the final bout of the night. Dariush fires an inside leg kick, eats a jab and then attacks the leg again.
Tsarukyan steps forward with a knee and follows it with a brutal right hook, dropping Dariush where he stands. He then dives in with punches and pounds Dariush unconscious. A signature victory for the young lightweight contender
.

The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Beneil Dariush—KO (Punches) 1:04 R1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing youth, cardio, and durability advantages. He notes Dariush has been finished in all five of his losses, and that Tsarukyan's relentless pace will break him down in the later rounds. He predicts a third-round TKO, as Tsarukyan's ground and pound and big shots will eventually finish Dariush.

third round TKO
"I see suruki going out there and getting a third round TKO in this one"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody picks Tsarukyan but acknowledges Dariush's skills and path to victory. He notes Dariush's cardio, high ring IQ, and BJJ black belt, but thinks Tsarukyan's speed and youth are decisive. He mentions Tsarukyan's five-round experience and that he's only getting better. He doesn't love the money line but expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by finish.

decision props considered but not bet
"I think darush is a lot a bigger like the it's a good plus money for sure and he's he he I think he's gonna give a better account of himself than that might dictate but it's not enough for …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Beneil Dariush

Lucrative James picks Beneil Dariush, stating that the line is wide and disrespectful at +240. He believes Dariush can defend takedowns and scramble well, and is the better striker. He notes that Tsarukyan's youth and tenacity could be a factor in a five-round fight, but still sees Dariush as the side. He would go heavy on Dariush if it were a three-round fight.

"I definitely think benil darush is wied I think that darus is going to be able to defend the takedowns early"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan has high-level wrestling and improving striking, and he is expected to control the fight with his grappling and striking advantage. However, Dariush is a live underdog with great scrambling and BJJ, making the fight closer than the odds suggest. Tsarukyan is predicted to win by decision over 3.5 rounds, but a small underdog shot on Dariush is also recommended due to value.

over 3.5 rounds, decision win predicted, half unit shot on Dariush mentioned
"prediction is suin but I am not touching that chalk darush is way more alive than plus 260 indicates"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the rightful favorite due to a sizable speed advantage and good enough grappling to avoid submissions. He notes the line is wide but doesn't see much value at -310. He mentions Tsarukyan's speed in striking and entrances/exits as the biggest difference. He is not lining up to bet it but picks Tsarukyan.

"I think arman's a rightful favorite not one that I'm lining up to uh to go bet this week but suian is the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan, believing his youth, wrestling, and striking will be too much for Beneil Dariush. He notes Tsarukyan's reach advantage and ability to win the leg kick battle. He predicts Tsarukyan will break Dariush down and win by TKO in the fourth round.

TKO in fourth round
"I'm going Arman Tsarukyan... I think he can pick at Dariush, annoy him, frustrate him, hurt him to the body and legs, break him down and I think he beats him by TKO in the fourth round."
WIN vs Joaquim Silva
TKO (punches) R3 3:25 · UFC on ESPN: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 17, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 80 of 115 69% 134 of 175 4 of 5 80% 0 0 9:01
Joaquim Silva 0 23 of 41 56% 77 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 12 of 13 92% 28 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:26
Joaquim Silva 0 2 of 3 66% 27 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 33 of 57 57% 39 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:47
Joaquim Silva 0 16 of 30 53% 41 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Arman Tsarukyan 0 35 of 45 77% 67 of 83 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:48
Joaquim Silva 0 5 of 8 62% 9 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 80 of 115 69% 64 of 95 13 of 17 3 of 3 32 of 64 7 of 8 41 of 43
Joaquim Silva 23 of 41 56% 11 of 27 9 of 11 3 of 3 11 of 25 10 of 13 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 12 of 13 92% 9 of 10 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 9
Joaquim Silva 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2
2 Arman Tsarukyan 33 of 57 57% 23 of 43 7 of 11 3 of 3 23 of 46 6 of 7 4 of 4
Joaquim Silva 16 of 30 53% 8 of 20 6 of 8 2 of 2 8 of 19 7 of 10 1 of 1
3 Arman Tsarukyan 35 of 45 77% 32 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 28 of 30
Joaquim Silva 5 of 8 62% 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jun 11, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is extremely confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him a massive favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to dominate with relentless wrestling, avoiding Silva's submissions. Silva has knockout power but will be defending takedowns the entire time. Angelo says there is no reason to overcomplicate this pick.

"Armin is a minus 1100 favorite there is no reason to over complicate this armin's gonna dominate with the wrestling he's gonna avoid the submissions"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by first-round knockout. He calls this an astronomical step down in competition for Tsarukyan, who has fought top-tier opponents like Islam Makhachev and Mateusz Gamrot. Brady believes Tsarukyan will get takedowns at will, as Silva's takedown defense and durability are poor. He expects a vicious finish, either by knockout on the feet or TKO via ground and pound, similar to Tsarukyan's win over Joel Alvarez. Brady questions why this fight was even made.

"I think saruki and not only wins this fight but wins it in uh vicious fashion and probably a first round finish."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody sees this as a massive step down for Tsarukyan, who has been fighting elite competition. He expects Tsarukyan to win easily, likely by TKO in the second round, as Tsarukyan has a traditional Russian grinding style that breaks down lesser opponents. He notes Silva is a banger with knockout power but poor takedown defense, and at 34, his skills aren't improving. Cody thinks Tsarukyan will take him down and finish him in the second round.

Tsarukyan wins in round 2 at +300; mentions prop hunting
"I would think in the second round he's not necessarily like I need to kill you in the first round as much as he's got that traditional Russian style where he's gonna grind on you and lean on you and …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Connor agrees with Zane, calling Tsarukyan a 'gimme matchup' for Silva. He highlights Tsarukyan's elite grappling and physicality, and notes that Silva's only path to victory is an early knockout. Connor is confident Tsarukyan will dominate with his wrestling and pressure.

"This is a gimme matchup, but to layup."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by knockout in round one or two. He notes Tsarukyan's improved striking and power, and expects a dominant performance. He compares it to the Giagos fight where Tsarukyan finished quickly, rather than the Fiziev fight which was more competitive. He respects Silva but sees a clear mismatch.

knockout round 1, knockout round 2
"I like The Knockout round one for most of what I'm gonna put down on it and then some knockout round two"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Tsarukyan can dominate Silva anywhere and will finish him. He is a solid grappler with improving striking and cardio. Silva is a BJJ black belt but prefers striking and has been knocked out in recent fights. Tsarukyan should make an emphatic statement. The pick is Tsarukyan inside the distance rather than the heavy moneyline.

Tsarukyan inside the distance
"I'll be looking at that walk uh sarukian inside the distance line rather than taking the minus 1000... give me sarukin via KO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 14, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul agrees Tsarukyan is a justifiable massive favorite, but he doesn't see an edge in betting the moneyline at -1000. He prefers to chase a prop or just avoid the fight entirely. He notes that Tsarukyan is 26, improving, and has gone five rounds before, while Silva is a banger with nothing to lose but likely gets taken down and finished.

suggests chasing a prop or avoiding the fight; mentions Tsarukyan by second round TKO
"you definitely gotta chase a prop here or just don't like I mean I probably just want that this fight at all because that's just not how I roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan easily, calling it a straightforward matchup. He notes Silva has been KO'd by Ricky Glenn and Nazareno Malegarie, and hasn't had a first-round finish since 2014. He expects Tsarukyan to stay calm, out-strike Silva, and get a late TKO.

"I'm going to be going with Armand sarukian I reckon he wins this matchup pretty easily"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Zane sees this as a complete stylistic layup for Tsarukyan. He notes that Tsarukyan is one of the best wrestler-grapplers in the sport, while Silva is a dynamic but limited striker who struggles against physical pressure. Zane believes Tsarukyan will bully Silva on the feet and take him down at will, making Silva's only chance a flying knee in the first minute.

"It's a layup. Like it is a complete stylistic layup."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 0 34 of 81 41% 50 of 105 7 of 21 33% 0 0 9:25
Damir Ismagulov 0 36 of 86 41% 51 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 0 9 of 23 39% 15 of 29 1 of 10 10% 0 0 3:04
Damir Ismagulov 0 13 of 26 50% 24 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Arman Tsarukyan 0 12 of 27 44% 18 of 35 4 of 6 66% 0 0 3:24
Damir Ismagulov 0 11 of 28 39% 13 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Arman Tsarukyan 0 13 of 31 41% 17 of 41 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:57
Damir Ismagulov 0 12 of 32 37% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 34 of 81 41% 14 of 57 12 of 15 8 of 9 31 of 76 2 of 4 1 of 1
Damir Ismagulov 36 of 86 41% 18 of 60 15 of 21 3 of 5 26 of 74 10 of 11 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 9 of 23 39% 2 of 14 3 of 5 4 of 4 9 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
Damir Ismagulov 13 of 26 50% 7 of 18 4 of 5 2 of 3 13 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Arman Tsarukyan 12 of 27 44% 7 of 21 3 of 3 2 of 3 9 of 23 2 of 3 1 of 1
Damir Ismagulov 11 of 28 39% 6 of 18 5 of 9 0 of 1 7 of 23 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Arman Tsarukyan 13 of 31 41% 5 of 22 6 of 7 2 of 2 13 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Damir Ismagulov 12 of 32 37% 5 of 24 6 of 7 1 of 1 6 of 26 6 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 11, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan, his guy, hoping the loss to Gamrot helps him improve. He notes that Damir is not the wrestler Gamrot is, so he sees Arman getting takedowns and winning the scrambles. He acknowledges Arman faded in his last fight but this is a three-round fight, which favors him.

Plans to bet on Arman more takedowns (prop bet) because Damir won't take him down
"I'm gonna stick with my guy here I'm hoping that loss to gamrat just sort of helps moving him forward"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 15, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Tsarukyan, citing his elite wrestling and power advantage. He notes Ismagulov has 90% takedown defense but hasn't faced a wrestler like Tsarukyan. He thinks Tsarukyan will mix in takedowns and win a competitive decision. He wants to see Ismagulov's weight cut but leans Tsarukyan.

Tsarukyan wins by decision
"I gotta go with saruki in here and I will take him to win by decision but I think it's going to be a pretty close one here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Cody likes Ismagulov as an underdog because of his well-rounded skills, solid takedown defense, and durability. He thinks Ismagulov can stay on the outside, use his jab, and stifle Tsarukyan's takedowns to win a striking battle. He notes Tsarukyan is still green and was taken down by Gamrot, which raises questions.

plus 165 underdog
"at plus 165 I feel like you can get worse underdogs... I'm not gonna lie man this is a 14 fight card... 165 one of the better ones that I did like"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 17, 2022 (fight day)
Damir Ismagulov

Ismagulov is very talented and this should be a 50/50 fight. He didn't show his best in his last two fights due to long layoffs, but this is his second fight in six months, so he should be in better shape. He can be defensively responsible with his grappling and outstrike Tsarukyan on the feet. The line is too wide in favor of Tsarukyan.

1 unit at +159
"this fight should really be a 50 50 fight it should be minus 110 on both sides as Israel gulab is very talented"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 14, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul picks Tsarukyan, believing he is a top talent with all the skills. He thinks Tsarukyan will land takedowns and is super quick on the feet. He notes Tsarukyan is young and still developing, expecting to see the best version of him. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him.

"I'm gonna pick saruki and I think he will be able to uh land some takedowns here... I expect to see the best arm and Armin sarukian that we have seen to date"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan over Damir Ismagulov, noting the three-round fight favors Tsarukyan's cardio. He believes Tsarukyan's lead switch kick to the body will be effective against Ismagulov's high guard, and that Ismagulov doesn't have the offensive grappling of Mateusz Gamrot to threaten takedowns. He also thinks Ismagulov took damage in his last fight against Guram Kutateladze. He predicts Tsarukyan's higher fight IQ and youth (26) will lead to a win.

"I'm gonna go if I'm in saruki in here over damira's magulov"
LOSS vs Mateusz Gamrot
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mateusz Gamrot 1 95 of 247 38% 110 of 264 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:39
Arman Tsarukyan 0 81 of 138 58% 108 of 166 6 of 21 28% 0 0 4:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mateusz Gamrot 0 15 of 37 40% 19 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:46
Arman Tsarukyan 0 10 of 19 52% 11 of 20 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:24
2 Mateusz Gamrot 0 19 of 64 29% 21 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Arman Tsarukyan 0 18 of 38 47% 21 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
3 Mateusz Gamrot 0 22 of 45 48% 23 of 46 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Arman Tsarukyan 0 20 of 33 60% 30 of 43 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:20
4 Mateusz Gamrot 1 16 of 47 34% 18 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Arman Tsarukyan 0 13 of 23 56% 18 of 29 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:41
5 Mateusz Gamrot 0 23 of 54 42% 29 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Arman Tsarukyan 0 20 of 25 80% 28 of 33 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mateusz Gamrot 95 of 247 38% 43 of 182 39 of 48 13 of 17 88 of 235 3 of 6 4 of 6
Arman Tsarukyan 81 of 138 58% 68 of 121 9 of 12 4 of 5 73 of 129 4 of 5 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mateusz Gamrot 15 of 37 40% 3 of 21 7 of 9 5 of 7 14 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Arman Tsarukyan 10 of 19 52% 6 of 13 2 of 4 2 of 2 9 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Mateusz Gamrot 19 of 64 29% 7 of 47 9 of 12 3 of 5 18 of 62 0 of 1 1 of 1
Arman Tsarukyan 18 of 38 47% 13 of 33 3 of 3 2 of 2 16 of 36 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Mateusz Gamrot 22 of 45 48% 11 of 33 8 of 9 3 of 3 20 of 43 2 of 2 0 of 0
Arman Tsarukyan 20 of 33 60% 19 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 1 18 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
4 Mateusz Gamrot 16 of 47 34% 9 of 38 7 of 9 0 of 0 15 of 45 0 of 1 1 of 1
Arman Tsarukyan 13 of 23 56% 12 of 21 1 of 2 0 of 0 13 of 22 0 of 1 0 of 0
5 Mateusz Gamrot 23 of 54 42% 13 of 43 8 of 9 2 of 2 21 of 49 0 of 1 2 of 4
Arman Tsarukyan 20 of 25 80% 18 of 23 2 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo picks Arman Tsarukyan but bets on Mateusz Gamrot via buying points. He notes both are mirror images as wrestlers with improving hands, but Tsarukyan has never been out-wrestled except by Islam Makhachev, while Gamrot has struggled with takedown efficiency in some fights. He expects a close decision and buys +5.5 points on Gamrot, believing Gamrot can steal rounds on scorecards.

bought +5.5 points on Mateusz Gamrot (buying points on scorecard)
"the pick's gonna be armin but the bet here is plus five and a half on gamron because i absolutely think he can steal some points on some judge's core cards"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling will be the difference, getting takedowns and controlling Gamrot. He notes Tsarukyan's youth (25 vs 31), improved striking, and success against Islam Makhachev. He questions Gamrot's cardio in a five-round fight (Gamrot admitted doubts about cardio in a three-round fight). He expects a back-and-forth fight but Tsarukyan winning minutes with takedowns and top control. He says the line is wide but Tsarukyan is the pick.

"i like armin here um the line's wide it really is gameron is very good but i just feel like armin is going to be the one getting takedowns and just going to rinse to repeat"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody agrees with Paul, but thinks Gamrot is a live dog. He notes Gamrot's slow starts and potential cardio issues in a five-round fight. He believes Tsarukyan's speed and power will be too much, and he also likes Tsarukyan by decision.

Tsarukyan by decision +150 at DraftKings
"i'm gonna agree that i think sirikin wins the fight just three to one three to one is like supposed to be a walk in the park right he should be able to go out there and dominate gamron i …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul thinks Tsarukyan is the total package with elite striking and grappling, and he's only 24. He notes the price is a bit wide but Tsarukyan is a rightful favorite. He expects Tsarukyan to win, possibly by decision, and mentions Tsarukyan decision at +150 as a prop.

Tsarukyan by decision +150 at DraftKings
"I love saruka i think he's got the he's the total package he's like 24 years old still striking is on point grappling is is elites"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 20, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The host picks Arman Tsarukyan, citing his consistent cardio and ability to improve as the fight goes on. He notes Gamrot slows down in later rounds, as seen against Diego Ferreira. He expects Tsarukyan to take over in rounds 3-5 and predicts a fourth-round TKO. He acknowledges Gamrot's explosiveness but believes Tsarukyan's overall game is superior.

fourth round TKO prediction
"i'm going to go with arm and saruki in here"
WIN vs Joel Alvarez
TKO (punches) R2 1:57 · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Feb 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Joel Alvarez 0 36 of 53 67% 93 of 122 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:08
Arman Tsarukyan 0 7 of 10 70% 27 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Joel Alvarez 0 13 of 19 68% 50 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Arman Tsarukyan 0 5 of 8 62% 25 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Joel Alvarez 0 23 of 34 67% 43 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:46
Arman Tsarukyan 0 2 of 2 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Joel Alvarez 36 of 53 67% 31 of 48 3 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 9 0 of 0 32 of 44
Arman Tsarukyan 7 of 10 70% 5 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Joel Alvarez 13 of 19 68% 10 of 16 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
Arman Tsarukyan 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 4
2 Joel Alvarez 23 of 34 67% 21 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 23 of 32
Arman Tsarukyan 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joel Alvarez

Round 1
It’s a pairing of four-fight winning streaks for these lightweight prospects, and Chris Tognoni will referee the bout. Tsarukyan sticks a jab early. Tsarukyan kicks Alvarez’s leg and is able to score a takedown with his opponent off balance. Tsarukyan is now inside the lanky Spaniard’s guard. Alvarez lands an elbow from his back. Tsarukyan remains heavy on top, and he’s working diligently to pass to half guard. Alvarez does a good job preventing the pass. Tsarukyan drops an elbow from above. Alvarez is active with his guard and lands a hammerfist from his back. Tsarukyan floats into a front headlock before finding himself in the full guard of his opponent. A slashing elbow lands for Tsarukyan, who then lands a short elbow to the face. It’s control time galore for the Russian standout, and another elbow cuts Alvarez wide open. Alvarez is just gushing blood in the waning seconds, and Tsarukyan is pouring it on. Another elbow lands before the horn. The fight could be in danger of being stopped between rounds, as Alvarez’s face is a crimson mask.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Tsarukyan

Round 2
Amazingly, Alvarez is allowed to continue for another round after a brief examination from the cageside doctor. Tsarukyan shoots immediately. Alvarez looks for a guillotine but his foe passes to side control. Tsarukyan briefly achieves a mounted crucifix but Alvarez frees his arm. From side control, Tsarukyan drops brual elbows and punches, and Alvarez is spewing blood again, his vision obviously obscured. Alvarez is on all fours, eating punches. The Spaniard attempts to stand, and Tsarukyan ragdolls him back down near the fence. More punches from Tsarukyan, and Tognoni urges Alvarez to fight back.
From back mount, Tsarukyan controls the wrists and unloads with more left hands. Tognoni has finally seen enough and mercifully calls off the fight.

The Official Result
Arman Tsarukyan def. Joel Alvarez via TKO (Punches) R2 1:57
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

Big Brady picks Joel Alvarez to win inside the distance. He notes Alvarez has a massive eight-inch height and 4.5-inch reach advantage, and is dangerous everywhere: striking and submissions. He points out that Tsarukyan's wrestling could play into Alvarez's game, as Alvarez has a 0% takedown defense but is very dangerous off his back with multiple submission wins. Brady was initially surprised that money was coming in on Alvarez but now sees it as justified. He believes Alvarez can finish by knockout or submission.

Alvarez to win inside the distance
"I'll take alvarez to you know whether it's a knockout on the feet sorkin has been knocked out before or whether it is a submission off his back you know maybe he can get a reversal get on top but …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody picks Tsarukyan by decision, citing his superior speed, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Alvarez's submission threats but believes Tsarukyan's head placement and takedown defense will keep him safe. Cody mentions Tsarukyan's camp in Russia as a slight concern but still sees him winning via volume and takedowns.

Tsarukyan by decision
"my pick is saruki and by decision i think he does mind his p's and q's"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win by decision. He emphasizes Tsarukyan's relentless takedown game and ability to neutralize submissions. Levi notes Alvarez is dangerous with submissions off his back and has knockout power, but believes Tsarukyan will avoid standing and grind out a win. He disagrees with the dog-or-pass label and expects Tsarukyan to cover the spread.

"i think armin is going to come out here smart and rinse and repeat on the takedowns eventually just neutralize the submission attempts and win this decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The host hesitantly picks Alvarez as an underdog, citing his size, confidence, and finishing streak. He believes Alvarez can keep the fight standing and land big strikes, potentially drawing a desperation takedown from Tsarukyan that could lead to a guillotine. He acknowledges Tsarukyan is a top prospect but thinks the odds are too wide and Alvarez deserves more respect. He predicts a second-round TKO.

"i'm actually going to go out on the limb here and take uh joel alvarez to get the dub in this spot"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul agrees with Tsarukyan by decision, emphasizing his wrestling and striking advantage. He notes Alvarez's improved striking but trusts Tsarukyan's ability to mix takedowns and avoid submissions. Paul suggests waiting for a better price on Tsarukyan as the line may move.

Tsarukyan by decision
"i would go with circuit my decision as well use the wrestling to either put them down when you want or just yeah neutralizing"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Joel Alvarez

The MMA Guru picks Joel Alvarez to win, calling it a 51-49 lean. He acknowledges Arman Tsarukyan's skills but believes Alvarez's size, reach, and power are decisive factors. He notes that Alvarez is much bigger and may have a weight advantage, and that his immediate damaging shots (elbows, guillotines) give him more paths to victory. The Guru expects Tsarukyan to win by decision if he wins, while Alvarez can finish early by TKO or submission. He also mentions Alvarez's chin held up against Thiago Moises.

first round TKO or guillotine submission; weight advantage; Alvarez by finish
"i'm going to go with joel alvarez here um dangerous with elbows as well when they're covering up against the cage"
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 1 22 of 31 70% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 1 22 of 31 70% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 22 of 31 70% 21 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 21
Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 22 of 31 70% 21 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 21
Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.

Under 2.5 rounds (suggested for plus money)
"armin is obviously the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.

third round submission
"i think saruki and does get a finish here i think is late in the fight after um geos definitely does slow down definitely does gas out and i'll take armas rookie to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.

Tsarukyan inside distance +150, Tsarukyan round 3 TKO
"i got saruki and then i got a feeling that this thing ends up being in sarukian later finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.

"give me armand surukian not sure if it's a finisher or a decision but i am sure about him winning this fight so give me arm and surrounding for the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.

Arman Tsarukyan inside the distance +170, Tsarukyan round 2 +550, Tsarukyan round 3 +975
"I think this is the spot for saurikan to go out there and get his first ever ufc finish so uh sarukin inside the distance again I think it could come submission or ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.

"sarookian's the pick he's a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.

submission in round 2
"armand saruki and way more well-rounded"
Christos Giagos - Fight History
KO (head kick) R1 3:34 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Apr 06, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ignacio Bahamondes 1 40 of 68 58% 40 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Christos Giagos 0 17 of 45 37% 18 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 1 40 of 68 58% 40 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Christos Giagos 0 17 of 45 37% 18 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ignacio Bahamondes 40 of 68 58% 26 of 53 8 of 9 6 of 6 33 of 56 7 of 12 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 17 of 45 37% 7 of 31 3 of 7 7 of 7 16 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ignacio Bahamondes 40 of 68 58% 26 of 53 8 of 9 6 of 6 33 of 56 7 of 12 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 17 of 45 37% 7 of 31 3 of 7 7 of 7 16 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 31, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Angelo leans Ignacio Bahamondes because he believes Bahamondes' last loss was more about how good Ludovit Klein is rather than Bahamondes being bad. He acknowledges that Bahamondes has good takedown defense (85%) but that it failed in his last fight. He thinks Christos Giagos could win if he gets takedowns, but Angelo is on the Bahamondes side, though he admits he will be biting his nails over takedowns.

"I'm on the Bahamondes side... Ignacio is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Big Brady picks Ignacio Bahamondes to win by second-round submission. He notes that Giagos will likely have early success with takedowns and wrestling, but will fade as the fight goes on due to poor cardio. Bahamondes will grow into the fight and finish Giagos in the second round.

win by second round submission
"give me bonus to win this fight I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Cody agrees, pointing to Giagos's pattern of fading after round 1, as seen in the Zellhuber fight. He notes Bahamondes's length and reach may make it hard for Giagos to land early, and that Bahamondes has never been knocked out. Cody thinks Bahamondes will take control as the fight goes on, and that Giagos's takedown threat diminishes as he tires.

live bet on Bahamondes in round 2
"I'm with you I think the longer that this fight plays out B mes will take control"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 4, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Daniel Vreeland confidently picks Ignacio Bahamondes, praising his stance switching, range, and opportunistic submissions. He dismisses Bahamondes' losses to Melsik Baghdasaryan and Ludovit Klein as forgivable, noting Klein's suspicious transformation. Vreeland sees Christos Giagos as an athletic journeyman who fades after the first round, lacking depth beyond spamming hooks. He expects Bahamondes to frustrate Giagos with range and dominate past round one, possibly by finish.

"I expect Ignacio Bahamondes to really frustrate Christos with his range and I don't know if it's gonna be a finish or not but I do expect dominance past round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Bahamondes is a talented striker with nasty Muay Thai and improving grappling. Giagos has early finishing power but fades if he doesn't get the finish. Bahamondes can weather the early storm, then take over in later rounds with his striking and cardio. Expect a TKO in the second or third round.

Bahamondes round 3 TKO; hedge with Giagos round 1 KO at +1700
"I'm going to go baham mundez third round uh TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 3, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

Paul is confident in Bahamondes, citing his length, chin, cardio, and striking. He notes Giagos is explosive but fades after 6-7 minutes, and that Bahamondes's takedown defense and ability to get up will neutralize Giagos's early wrestling. Paul expects Bahamondes to take over in rounds 2 and 3, possibly by TKO. He also suggests live betting Bahamondes if he loses the first round.

by TKO, under 2.5 rounds, live market on Bahamondes if he loses round 1
"baham mandz wins this fight... you play it right now on a parlay... or you just hit that baham Manz by TKO maybe that under two and a half"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 2, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Ignacio Bahamondes

The host dismisses Giagos as a 'pensioner killer' with wins over older fighters like Ricky Glenn, Soroano, and Carlton Minus. He notes Bahamondes' lanky frame (6'2" at lightweight) and recent wins over Roosevelt Roberts, Ronu, and Trey Ogden. He predicts Bahamondes will sleep Giagos, ignoring technique and focusing on size advantage.

"I'm going to go with ignasio bahamondes over Christos kagos ... this bully is about to get [ __ ] slept"
Submission (anaconda choke) R2 3:26 · UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 16, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Zellhuber 0 36 of 101 35% 36 of 101 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 38 of 82 46% 38 of 82 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Zellhuber 0 12 of 50 24% 12 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Christos Giagos 0 26 of 52 50% 26 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Daniel Zellhuber 0 24 of 51 47% 24 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:17
Christos Giagos 0 12 of 30 40% 12 of 30 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Zellhuber 36 of 101 35% 18 of 75 11 of 19 7 of 7 35 of 100 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 38 of 82 46% 25 of 63 3 of 7 10 of 12 36 of 79 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Zellhuber 12 of 50 24% 7 of 40 2 of 7 3 of 3 12 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 26 of 52 50% 16 of 37 2 of 6 8 of 9 26 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Daniel Zellhuber 24 of 51 47% 11 of 35 9 of 12 4 of 4 23 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 12 of 30 40% 9 of 26 1 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 10, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Angelo picks Daniel Zellhuber as the more technical striker with good takedown defense. He acknowledges Christos Giagos has a path if he pressures and wrestles, but doubts Giagos will stick to a game plan. He is not betting this fight yet.

"Zell Huber's still going to be the pick he's too accurate of a striker and Gallegos does have a path but he's proven to us multiple times that these insanely tough"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Big Brady picks Zellhuber, noting his improved performance after a poor debut. He expects Giagos to have early success but fade due to cardio issues, and Zellhuber to take over as the fight progresses. He predicts a submission in the second round, possibly via guillotine when Giagos shoots.

second round submission
"give me Daniel zellhuber to win this fight I'll say second round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Cody leans toward Giagos but is hesitant due to cardio concerns. He notes Giagos is a front-runner with big power early but fades. He thinks Zellhuber may work his way back into the fight in later rounds. Cody prefers to get a better live price but ultimately picks Giagos for the pregame show.

"I am going to take ho I think he wins down the stretch but it'll be greasy early."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Daniel Levi has bet Zellhuber in all three UFC fights and is confident here. He attributes Zellhuber's debut loss to a 'debut stun' and believes he has recovered, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Levi sees Giagos as an athletic but limited fighter who fades down the stretch, while Zellhuber's length, creativity, and pressure should allow him to take over late and potentially get a finish.

bet at minus-220, now minus-260; expects line to go higher
"I'm going doniozo Hoover here to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber has excellent footwork, range management, and volume striking, as shown in his win over Lando Vannata. Giagos is a wrestler who may have early success but will likely gas out. Zellhuber should pick him apart in the later rounds and get a finish, possibly by submission or TKO. I expect Giagos to revert to wrestling, but Zellhuber's conditioning and striking will be too much.

"give me zel Huber by finish more so than his money line here as jagos could have some early success and make this fight closer than it should be but I expect zel Huber to go out there and to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 13, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Paul picks Giagos as a live underdog, citing his physicality, wrestling, and power. He notes that Zellhuber looked green in his UFC debut against Trey Ogden, getting outworked and taken down. Paul believes Giagos can land early shots and get takedowns, though cardio is a concern. He has circled this bet and plans to add it to his card.

"Christo giago... I don't really quite understand he's obviously you know he got submitted against Chago Moises but that's the top 10 top 15 guy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Daniel Zellhuber

The MMA Guru picks Daniel Zellhuber over Christos Giagos, despite considering the underdog. He notes Zellhuber's reach advantage (77 inches) and dangerous striking. He criticizes Giagos's recent performance against Ricky Glenn, where Glenn looked old and slow, and notes Giagos has been dominated by others. He predicts Zellhuber may catch Giagos on the chin.

"I am going to go with Daniel zellhuber over Ricky Glenn"
WIN vs Ricky Glenn
KO (punch) R1 1:35 · UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · Apr 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christos Giagos 0 2 of 11 18% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 1 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christos Giagos 0 2 of 11 18% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ricky Glenn 1 9 of 16 56% 9 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christos Giagos 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christos Giagos 2 of 11 18% 1 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ricky Glenn 9 of 16 56% 4 of 11 3 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Angelo picks Ricky Glenn because of his superior striking. He thinks Glenn's striking will be so much better that Giagos will struggle to get takedowns. He also notes Glenn has solid submission defense if taken down. He is not betting due to both fighters being inactive and not having won in a couple of years.

"Ricky's gonna be the pick because of that striking Gap... no bet here we got two inactive guys."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Big Brady picks Ricky Glenn to win by decision. He notes that Glenn has solid takedown defense and a very good get-up game, which will be a problem for Giagos, who tends to slow down as fights go on. Brady expects Giagos to have early success taking Glenn down, but Glenn will pop back up, and as Giagos fades, Glenn will take over in the second and third rounds. He trusts Glenn's cardio over Giagos's.

"give me Ricky Glenn here I'll take Ricky Glenn to win by decision I think he probably loses the first even but wins that second and third as Diego starts to slow down"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Cody picks Ricky Glenn, praising his cardio, durability, and striking volume. He notes Giagos is explosive but gasses quickly, often winning the first round but fading. Glenn has excellent takedown defense and submission defense, and he can get back to his feet. Cody believes Glenn will weather the early storm and take over in later rounds, possibly getting a late stoppage. He mentions a third-round TKO prop as a live play.

Ricky Glenn wins by TKO in round 3
"Rick Glenn and then if you want to chase those exotic props like a third round TKO is 100 live and play here so give me a rick Glenn"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Connor picks Ricky Glenn, noting that Glenn is a slow-starting fighter who builds into fights and has a history of comebacks. He highlights Glenn's ability to stuff takedowns and win scrambles, turning them into top position where he is fearsome. Connor contrasts this with Giagos, who is a physical bully but has a rudimentary wrestle-boxing style and tends to crumble when pushed back.

"I think he is going to beat Christos Geagos up."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Apr 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Ricky Glenn is a solid all-around fighter with good cardio and defensive grappling. He should be able to stuff Giagos' early takedowns and take over in later rounds. Giagos has poor cardio and a limited striking game. However, Glenn has a history of hip injuries and layoffs, so his conditioning is a concern. If Glenn is anywhere near 80%, he should win by late finish or decision. Prediction: Glenn by third-round TKO.

Glenn by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to call it third round finish over Christos yagos... official prediction Ricky Glenn round three TKO"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Paul agrees with Cody, saying he is in complete agreement and has nothing to add. He implicitly picks Ricky Glenn.

"yeah I mean I'm in completely agreement with yeah really nothing else to add to that one to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn over Christos Giagos. He criticizes Giagos for losing to top-level competition and notes his wins are against low-level opponents. He praises Glenn's performances against good opponents like Dennis Bermudez and Gavin Tucker, and his short-notice majority draw with Grant Dawson. He thinks Glenn can out-grapple or out-strike Giagos and predicts a decision win, 29-28.

decision
"I'm gonna go with Ricky Glenn over Christos Gallegos Giagos is just like he's all right against non-top level competition but then he's one of those Fighters where when he does take that step up he gets smoked"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ricky Glenn

Zane agrees with Connor, picking Ricky Glenn. He emphasizes that Glenn is never the faster or harder hitter, but he is undeterred by Giagos's early success. Zane notes that Giagos has never lost the ability to be shocked when someone he bullied early works back into the fight, and he tends to crumble. Zane feels relatively confident in Glenn getting the win.

"I feel relatively confident in Glenn getting this one."
LOSS vs Thiago Moises
Submission R1 3:05 · UFC on ESPN: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · Jun 25, 2022
LOSS vs Arman Tsarukyan
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arman Tsarukyan 1 22 of 31 70% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arman Tsarukyan 1 22 of 31 70% 27 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:11
Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 4 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arman Tsarukyan 22 of 31 70% 21 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 21
Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arman Tsarukyan 22 of 31 70% 21 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 21
Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.

Under 2.5 rounds (suggested for plus money)
"armin is obviously the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.

third round submission
"i think saruki and does get a finish here i think is late in the fight after um geos definitely does slow down definitely does gas out and i'll take armas rookie to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.

Tsarukyan inside distance +150, Tsarukyan round 3 TKO
"i got saruki and then i got a feeling that this thing ends up being in sarukian later finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.

"give me armand surukian not sure if it's a finisher or a decision but i am sure about him winning this fight so give me arm and surrounding for the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.

Arman Tsarukyan inside the distance +170, Tsarukyan round 2 +550, Tsarukyan round 3 +975
"I think this is the spot for saurikan to go out there and get his first ever ufc finish so uh sarukin inside the distance again I think it could come submission or ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.

"sarookian's the pick he's a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.

submission in round 2
"armand saruki and way more well-rounded"
WIN vs Sean Soriano
Technical Submission (brabo choke) R2 0:59 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christos Giagos 0 22 of 54 40% 23 of 55 3 of 5 60% 1 0 0:59
Sean Soriano 0 33 of 53 62% 37 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christos Giagos 0 21 of 48 43% 21 of 48 2 of 4 50% 0 0 0:32
Sean Soriano 0 29 of 45 64% 33 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Christos Giagos 0 1 of 6 16% 2 of 7 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:27
Sean Soriano 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christos Giagos 22 of 54 40% 15 of 43 5 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 50 2 of 3 1 of 1
Sean Soriano 33 of 53 62% 16 of 35 8 of 9 9 of 9 30 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christos Giagos 21 of 48 43% 14 of 37 5 of 9 2 of 2 18 of 44 2 of 3 1 of 1
Sean Soriano 29 of 45 64% 13 of 28 8 of 9 8 of 8 26 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Christos Giagos 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Soriano 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Giagos has a clear path to victory via takedowns and top control. Soriano is on short notice and has historically poor takedown defense, giving up his back. Giagos averages about three takedowns per 15 minutes, though his cardio fades in round three. He should ride out at least two rounds for a decision win.

"I'm going to take diago's here I'm going to take him to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Cody picks Giagos, emphasizing that Soriano's takedown defense is non-existent and he gives up submissions easily. Cody believes Giagos will take him down and control the fight. He notes that Soriano's only path to victory is a first-round KO, but Giagos is durable.

Giagos by submission at +600.
"this thing favors giago's day and night 100"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sean Soriano

Daniel Levi picks Sean Soriano as a dog, citing his technical kickboxing and the possibility that Giagos gasses. He notes that both fighters have cardio issues, but Soriano's striking could give him an edge if he doesn't get taken down. Levi is concerned about Soriano's history of gassing and getting choked out, but thinks at the dog price it's worth a shot.

dog or pass situation
"i will take the dog but um it could be one of those situations where he hasn't fixed the mistakes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The host picks Giagos but expresses significant hesitation. He notes Giagos has decent striking but his bread and butter is grinding opponents on the ground, though his cardio looks suspect. He worries that if Soriano can stop takedowns and get his hands going, it could cause Giagos problems later in the fight. He ultimately thinks Giagos grinds out a decision but says he just can't trust him and thinks the line is too wide.

Giagos by decision
"at the end of the day i still will go with yago so i think he grinds this fight out i think he stays safe enough in the second or in the third round and then eventually gets a decision …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Paul picks Giagos, noting that Soriano has a clear weakness: he cannot stop takedowns and gives up his back. Paul believes Giagos will spam takedowns and either win by submission or decision. He mentions that Giagos is a decision machine but Soriano leaves his neck out, making a submission possible.

Giagos by submission at +600 (worth a sniff).
"the price on giago's by submissions plus 600 out there right now yeah that's worth it that's worth a sniff man"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The MMA Guru picks Christos Giagos over Sean Soriano, citing Giagos's impressive performance on short notice against Carlton Minus and a competitive fight with Drakkar Klose. He questions Soriano's recent win over an older Noah Lahat and notes Soriano is stepping in on short notice. He predicts Giagos will win the grappling exchanges and land more on the feet, winning a unanimous decision 30-27.

"i am going to be going with christos giagos here"
WIN vs Carlton Minus
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Christos Giagos 0 31 of 67 46% 76 of 124 5 of 15 33% 0 0 8:57
Carlton Minus 0 28 of 80 35% 29 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Christos Giagos 0 13 of 19 68% 26 of 37 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:40
Carlton Minus 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Christos Giagos 0 6 of 15 40% 34 of 47 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:34
Carlton Minus 0 7 of 18 38% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Christos Giagos 0 12 of 33 36% 16 of 40 1 of 10 10% 0 0 1:43
Carlton Minus 0 19 of 55 34% 20 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Christos Giagos 31 of 67 46% 23 of 57 3 of 5 5 of 5 17 of 50 1 of 1 13 of 16
Carlton Minus 28 of 80 35% 18 of 64 4 of 9 6 of 7 28 of 79 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Christos Giagos 13 of 19 68% 11 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 10 of 13
Carlton Minus 2 of 7 28% 0 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Christos Giagos 6 of 15 40% 4 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 3 of 3
Carlton Minus 7 of 18 38% 3 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Christos Giagos 12 of 33 36% 8 of 28 1 of 2 3 of 3 11 of 32 1 of 1 0 of 0
Carlton Minus 19 of 55 34% 15 of 46 3 of 7 1 of 2 19 of 54 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

Big Brady picks Christos Giagos over Carlton Minus, noting Giagos' pressure and the small cage favoring him. He is underwhelmed by Minus' tape (no power, poor takedown defense) and believes Giagos can win by decision or possibly finish. However, he acknowledges Giagos is coming off an injury and layoff, which explains the shorter odds.

decision win
"i'm gonna take rick lynn to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The host picks Giagos but is hesitant due to his long layoff and the close nature of the fight. He believes Giagos' grappling and wrestling will be the difference, but notes Minus could make it close on the feet. He recommends Giagos by decision and advises against parlaying him.

Giagos by decision
"i'll go a rickland to win this 5v decision but uh yeah my initial thoughts of wanting to parlay rickland are definitely not there anymore"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Christos Giagos

The Guru picks Christos Giagos, noting he is the bigger fighter and has good wins including a dominant performance over Gavin Tucker. He criticizes Carlton Minus for a poor UFC debut and lack of quality wins. He predicts a submission win for Giagos in the second or third round.

Predicts a submission win in the second or third round.
"i think he's going to get the job done against carlton linus grinding him out to a submission win in the second or third round"
LOSS vs Drakkar Klose
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Drakkar Klose 0 87 of 155 56% 113 of 186 2 of 5 40% 1 0 3:19
Christos Giagos 0 99 of 160 61% 159 of 223 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Drakkar Klose 0 24 of 47 51% 39 of 64 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Christos Giagos 0 21 of 41 51% 53 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
2 Drakkar Klose 0 22 of 32 68% 29 of 42 2 of 4 50% 1 0 1:43
Christos Giagos 0 37 of 48 77% 50 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
3 Drakkar Klose 0 41 of 76 53% 45 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:18
Christos Giagos 0 41 of 71 57% 56 of 87 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Drakkar Klose 87 of 155 56% 55 of 117 29 of 33 3 of 5 69 of 127 16 of 23 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 99 of 160 61% 56 of 114 29 of 30 14 of 16 39 of 93 38 of 40 22 of 27
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Drakkar Klose 24 of 47 51% 7 of 28 15 of 16 2 of 3 17 of 38 7 of 9 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 21 of 41 51% 4 of 23 13 of 13 4 of 5 9 of 28 12 of 13 0 of 0
2 Drakkar Klose 22 of 32 68% 18 of 26 4 of 5 0 of 1 18 of 23 2 of 4 2 of 5
Christos Giagos 37 of 48 77% 27 of 37 8 of 9 2 of 2 7 of 12 9 of 10 21 of 26
3 Drakkar Klose 41 of 76 53% 30 of 63 10 of 12 1 of 1 34 of 66 7 of 10 0 of 0
Christos Giagos 41 of 71 57% 25 of 54 8 of 8 8 of 9 23 of 53 17 of 17 1 of 1
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Angelo is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, calling him the biggest favorite on the card. He praises Arman's wrestling, striking, and athleticism, noting he improves between fights. He thinks Christos Giagos is tough but will be outmatched everywhere. He expects a one-sided beating and suggests the under on rounds might be worth a bet for plus money.

Under 2.5 rounds (suggested for plus money)
"armin is obviously the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Big Brady is very confident in Arman Tsarukyan, citing his relentless wrestling and high pace. He notes Giagos has poor takedown defense and cardio, and has been finished five times. He predicts Tsarukyan will get a late finish, specifically a third-round submission, as Giagos slows down.

third round submission
"i think saruki and does get a finish here i think is late in the fight after um geos definitely does slow down definitely does gas out and i'll take armas rookie to win by third round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Cody is very confident in Tsarukyan, highlighting his youth, wrestling, and experience against tough competition. He believes Giagos' only path is wrestling, but Tsarukyan is a superior wrestler and will not be taken down. Cody predicts a late finish as Giagos gasses.

Tsarukyan inside distance +150, Tsarukyan round 3 TKO
"i got saruki and then i got a feeling that this thing ends up being in sarukian later finish"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Daniel Levi picks Arman Tsarukyan to win. He says Giagos might make it competitive for five minutes before gassing, then Tsarukyan will take over with takedowns. He questions whether -800 is worth it for a decision win but is sure Tsarukyan wins. He mentions Tsarukyan's only scored over 100 fantasy points once (against Matt Frevola) but sees potential for a breakthrough.

"give me armand surukian not sure if it's a finisher or a decision but i am sure about him winning this fight so give me arm and surrounding for the dub"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Preet is very confident Tsarukyan will win and finish Giagos. He notes Tsarukyan's striking is improving and he owns Giagos everywhere. Giagos has poor cardio and will slow down, allowing Tsarukyan to get his first UFC finish. He likes Tsarukyan inside the distance at +170 and round 2-3 props.

Arman Tsarukyan inside the distance +170, Tsarukyan round 2 +550, Tsarukyan round 3 +975
"I think this is the spot for saurikan to go out there and get his first ever ufc finish so uh sarukin inside the distance again I think it could come submission or ko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

Paul picks Tsarukyan as a parlay piece, noting that Giagos has suspect cardio and was outstruck by Sean Soriano before getting a submission. He believes Tsarukyan's wrestling and durability will be too much. Paul mentions he has Tsarukyan in a three-leg parlay.

"sarookian's the pick he's a parlay piece"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Arman Tsarukyan

The MMA Guru picks Arman Tsarukyan by submission in the second round, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tsarukyan's well-rounded skills, great grappling, and cardio. He notes Giagos is not a prolific finisher and predicts Tsarukyan will easily get takedowns and finish with a rear-naked choke.

submission in round 2
"armand saruki and way more well-rounded"