vs
+130 -163
UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021 · Middleweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny Next Fight
Age 38
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 3"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Omari Akhmedov
2.97 SLpM
34.0% Str. Acc.
2.84 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.58 TD Avg
45.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Tom Breese
3.34 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
2.81 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
70.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Omari Akhmedov
Moneyline
BetWay +130
KO/TKO
BetWay +800
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +200
Tom Breese
Moneyline
BetWay -163
KO/TKO
BetWay +225
Submission
BetWay +800
Decision
BetWay +240
Omari Akhmedov - Fight History
LOSS vs Brad Tavares
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Jul 10, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brad Tavares 0 48 of 166 28% 50 of 168 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:42
Omari Akhmedov 1 84 of 150 56% 88 of 155 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brad Tavares 0 11 of 43 25% 11 of 43 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:05
Omari Akhmedov 0 22 of 39 56% 22 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Brad Tavares 0 17 of 56 30% 19 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:37
Omari Akhmedov 0 24 of 38 63% 27 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Brad Tavares 0 20 of 67 29% 20 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 1 38 of 73 52% 39 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brad Tavares 48 of 166 28% 37 of 151 5 of 8 6 of 7 46 of 160 2 of 6 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 84 of 150 56% 48 of 103 12 of 18 24 of 29 78 of 144 5 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brad Tavares 11 of 43 25% 8 of 40 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 41 2 of 2 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 22 of 39 56% 15 of 30 3 of 4 4 of 5 18 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Brad Tavares 17 of 56 30% 13 of 50 2 of 4 2 of 2 17 of 52 0 of 4 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 24 of 38 63% 12 of 24 2 of 3 10 of 11 23 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Brad Tavares 20 of 67 29% 16 of 61 1 of 2 3 of 4 20 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 38 of 73 52% 21 of 49 7 of 11 10 of 13 37 of 72 0 of 0 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Angelo picks Akhmedov, citing his relentless wrestling and physical strength. He notes Tavares has good takedown defense but Akhmedov is a legitimate wrestler who will keep pressing. He expects Akhmedov to win a 29-28 decision. He also plans to bet Tavares +3.5 on the scorecards as a hedge.

Bet on Tavares +3.5 rounds (buying points)
"i think he gets brad tavares down and wins this fight and i have him in my draftkings lineup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Big Brady picks Brad Tavares to win by decision. He favors Tavares' striking and cardio, and notes his excellent takedown defense (79%), as seen against Antonio Carlos Jr. He expects Akhmedov to have some success early but slow down, while Tavares stuffs takedowns and takes over in later rounds. He thinks Tavares will win the last two rounds and cruise to a decision.

"i'm gonna say brad tavares does take over as the fight goes on wins those last two rounds and cruises to a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Cody picks Tavares, citing his takedown defense and striking advantage. He notes Akhmedov's cardio issues and lack of power. He expects Tavares to win by decision or late finish. He also took Tavares round 3 at 12-1.

Brad Tavares round 3 at +1200 on DraftKings
"i took brad tavares round three at draftkings sportsbook i believe it is 12 to 1"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Daniel Levi leans toward Brad Tavares. He praises Tavares' takedown defense and balance, which could frustrate Akhmedov and cause him to gas. He notes that Akhmedov hits hard and has been competitive in all his middleweight fights, making the underdog tempting. He thinks the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Tavares, who can point-fight with his jab and leg kicks. He calls it a tough call and mentions that some sharp people are on Tavares.

"i am leaning a little bit towards brad tavares"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Jacob also picks Akhmedov, noting his wrestling is different from Antonio Carlos Jr.'s. He thinks Akhmedov will pin Tavares against the fence and work takedowns. He is scared to spend 8600 on Tavares and believes the fight favors the grappler as it goes on.

"i'm picking the omaree he's not my lock of the week but i'm picking on maury"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

I like Tavares by decision. He has great takedown defense and better cardio. Akhmedov will try to wrestle, but Tavares should be able to get back to his feet and out-strike him. Akhmedov slows down in later rounds, and Tavares will pull away. I trust Tavares to win a decision, though he might get taken down early. The over 2.5 rounds is also a good parlay piece.

over 2.5 rounds, Tavares by decision
"i'm going to tavares uh and i'm going to go tavares by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Brad Tavares

Paul picks Tavares, agreeing with Cody. He notes Tavares' takedown defense and striking, and Akhmedov's cardio issues. He expects Tavares to win by decision.

"i would go brad tavares i would go back to bars by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Brad Tavares

The Guru picks Tavares by 29-27 unanimous decision. He expects Akhmedov to target Tavares' lead leg with kicks early, but Tavares will land jabs and straight left hands. Akhmedov will attempt takedowns but Tavares has excellent takedown defense and will stay on his feet or get up quickly. The failed takedowns will gas Akhmedov, and Tavares will take over in the second and third rounds, with a potential 10-8 third round. The Guru gives Akhmedov the first round.

"brad tavares has the best takedown defense maybe in the ufc ... 29-27 brad tavares gets the job done"
WIN vs Tom Breese
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 1:41 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 25 of 38 65% 73 of 91 2 of 5 40% 1 0 4:34
Tom Breese 0 1 of 4 25% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 3 1 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 24 of 37 64% 71 of 89 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:32
Tom Breese 0 1 of 3 33% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 2 1 1:00
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 1 of 1 100% 2 of 2 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:02
Tom Breese 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 25 of 38 65% 23 of 34 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 21 of 31
Tom Breese 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 24 of 37 64% 22 of 33 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 31
Tom Breese 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Omari Akhmedov 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tom Breese 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Big Brady believes Tom Breese has a massive striking and cardio advantage. He expects Omari Akhmedov to take Breese down early, but Breese is good off his back and will work back up. He predicts Breese will stuff takedowns as the fight goes on and piece up Akhmedov on the feet, winning a decision. He notes Breese is a finisher but expects Akhmedov to tough it out to a decision.

Breese by decision; possibly a finish late
"i'm going to take tom breeze to win by decision possibly a finish"
LOSS vs Chris Weidman
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Weidman 0 33 of 91 36% 60 of 118 4 of 8 50% 0 0 1:34
Omari Akhmedov 0 29 of 56 51% 67 of 98 5 of 16 31% 0 0 8:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Weidman 0 6 of 25 24% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 0 5 of 15 33% 13 of 24 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:59
2 Chris Weidman 0 25 of 62 40% 32 of 69 4 of 7 57% 0 0 1:34
Omari Akhmedov 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 40 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:37
3 Chris Weidman 0 2 of 4 50% 9 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 0 9 of 11 81% 31 of 34 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:41
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Weidman 33 of 91 36% 25 of 81 7 of 9 1 of 1 21 of 74 8 of 11 4 of 6
Omari Akhmedov 29 of 56 51% 25 of 50 4 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 42 1 of 2 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Weidman 6 of 25 24% 4 of 23 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 5 of 15 33% 4 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Chris Weidman 25 of 62 40% 20 of 55 5 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 49 5 of 7 4 of 6
Omari Akhmedov 15 of 30 50% 12 of 26 3 of 4 0 of 0 12 of 26 0 of 0 3 of 4
3 Chris Weidman 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 9 of 11 81% 9 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 1 8 of 8
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

Big Brady picks Weidman despite his recent losing streak, citing advantages in wrestling, submission game, and reach. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down and avoid a brawl, using a smart game plan similar to Stephen Thompson's. However, he is concerned about Weidman's durability and history of getting knocked out. He predicts a decision win for Weidman.

Maybe Akhmedov KO prop if odds are right
"i like chris weidman to win this fight by decision i think he's going to really tire out akhmed off and if you fight smart this is a such a winnable fight for white men"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Daniel Levi picks Omari Akhmedov to win, possibly by left hook knockout. He argues that Chris Weidman is 'damaged goods' with five knockout losses in his last six fights, and that Akhmedov has underrated power and durability. Levi dismisses the narrative that Akhmedov gasses in the third round, noting that at middleweight he has shown better cardio and even wobbled Ian Heinisch in the third. He also points out that Weidman's chin is suspect and that Akhmedov's wrestling and pressure will be too much.

left hook knockout
"i got omari ahmeda be a left hook knockout here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Omari Akhmedov

Weidman's chin is a major concern after multiple KO losses, and Akhmedov has power even if he lacks finishes on his record. Akhmedov's wrestling is solid and he has cardio to push the pace. Weidman has advantages in striking and size, but if he gets hit, he could go down. Akhmedov by KO in the second round is the pick, but it's a risky bet.

Akhmedov inside distance +200, Akhmedov by KO
"I'm going with Omari to win this fight by second round ko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Chris Weidman

The MMA Guru picks Chris Weidman to win by second-round submission via arm triangle. He notes that Omari Akhmedov has a gas tank problem and slows down dramatically, while Weidman has five-round experience and a five-inch reach advantage. He believes Weidman can take Akhmedov down, drain his power, and finish him in the second round. He worries about Weidman's chin but thinks Akhmedov won't have a chance to land cleanly.

second round submission, arm triangle
"wideman's going to go in there get a double leg ride out the first round and then in the second round go for the takedown again akhmadov's going to be way more gassed out and wideman is going to sink …"
WIN vs Ian Heinisch
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · Dec 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 53 of 103 51% 70 of 121 3 of 10 30% 0 0 2:29
Ian Heinisch 0 55 of 166 33% 69 of 180 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 13 of 28 46% 17 of 32 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Ian Heinisch 0 19 of 54 35% 21 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:37
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 17 of 31 54% 19 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:51
Ian Heinisch 0 18 of 60 30% 25 of 67 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
3 Omari Akhmedov 0 23 of 44 52% 34 of 56 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:38
Ian Heinisch 0 18 of 52 34% 23 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 53 of 103 51% 26 of 62 13 of 27 14 of 14 46 of 94 4 of 6 3 of 3
Ian Heinisch 55 of 166 33% 41 of 139 10 of 23 4 of 4 48 of 159 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 13 of 28 46% 3 of 11 1 of 8 9 of 9 13 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ian Heinisch 19 of 54 35% 12 of 46 4 of 5 3 of 3 17 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Omari Akhmedov 17 of 31 54% 7 of 17 7 of 11 3 of 3 15 of 28 1 of 2 1 of 1
Ian Heinisch 18 of 60 30% 14 of 49 3 of 10 1 of 1 15 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Omari Akhmedov 23 of 44 52% 16 of 34 5 of 8 2 of 2 18 of 38 3 of 4 2 of 2
Ian Heinisch 18 of 52 34% 15 of 44 3 of 8 0 of 0 16 of 50 2 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Zak Cummings
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · Sep 07, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 26 of 77 33% 47 of 106 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:39
Zak Cummings 0 17 of 69 24% 24 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 5 of 22 22% 10 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
Zak Cummings 0 6 of 17 35% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 13 of 27 48% 19 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Zak Cummings 0 7 of 24 29% 11 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Omari Akhmedov 0 8 of 28 28% 18 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:04
Zak Cummings 0 4 of 28 14% 5 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 26 of 77 33% 14 of 60 5 of 10 7 of 7 21 of 67 0 of 2 5 of 8
Zak Cummings 17 of 69 24% 6 of 51 2 of 7 9 of 11 17 of 69 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 1 of 2 2 of 2 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 1
Zak Cummings 6 of 17 35% 2 of 10 1 of 3 3 of 4 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Omari Akhmedov 13 of 27 48% 8 of 20 2 of 4 3 of 3 10 of 24 0 of 0 3 of 3
Zak Cummings 7 of 24 29% 2 of 17 1 of 2 4 of 5 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Omari Akhmedov 8 of 28 28% 4 of 22 2 of 4 2 of 2 6 of 22 0 of 2 2 of 4
Zak Cummings 4 of 28 14% 2 of 24 0 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Tim Boetsch
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos · Mar 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 41 of 97 42% 64 of 121 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
Tim Boetsch 0 52 of 135 38% 58 of 141 0 of 2 0% 0 0 3:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 9 of 18 50% 18 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tim Boetsch 0 13 of 36 36% 16 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:56
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 8 of 28 28% 19 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Tim Boetsch 0 19 of 42 45% 21 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
3 Omari Akhmedov 0 24 of 51 47% 27 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Tim Boetsch 0 20 of 57 35% 21 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 41 of 97 42% 20 of 66 12 of 20 9 of 11 32 of 85 9 of 12 0 of 0
Tim Boetsch 52 of 135 38% 32 of 110 13 of 17 7 of 8 35 of 113 17 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 9 of 18 50% 2 of 9 4 of 5 3 of 4 4 of 13 5 of 5 0 of 0
Tim Boetsch 13 of 36 36% 5 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 3 5 of 27 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Omari Akhmedov 8 of 28 28% 3 of 20 2 of 4 3 of 4 7 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0
Tim Boetsch 19 of 42 45% 8 of 30 7 of 8 4 of 4 13 of 35 6 of 7 0 of 0
3 Omari Akhmedov 24 of 51 47% 15 of 37 6 of 11 3 of 3 21 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0
Tim Boetsch 20 of 57 35% 19 of 54 1 of 2 0 of 1 17 of 51 3 of 6 0 of 0
LOSS vs Marvin Vettori
Draw (majority) (28–28, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · Dec 30, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 66 of 161 40% 85 of 181 0 of 1 0% 2 0 2:03
Omari Akhmedov 0 51 of 174 29% 55 of 178 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:31
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 18 of 52 34% 18 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Omari Akhmedov 0 21 of 88 23% 21 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
2 Marvin Vettori 0 8 of 28 28% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Omari Akhmedov 0 17 of 38 44% 20 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:19
3 Marvin Vettori 0 40 of 81 49% 56 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:21
Omari Akhmedov 0 13 of 48 27% 14 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 66 of 161 40% 56 of 149 8 of 10 2 of 2 55 of 139 7 of 15 4 of 7
Omari Akhmedov 51 of 174 29% 39 of 152 6 of 11 6 of 11 50 of 171 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 18 of 52 34% 14 of 46 2 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 21 of 88 23% 17 of 81 3 of 4 1 of 3 20 of 86 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Marvin Vettori 8 of 28 28% 7 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 26 0 of 2 0 of 0
Omari Akhmedov 17 of 38 44% 10 of 28 2 of 3 5 of 7 17 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Marvin Vettori 40 of 81 49% 35 of 76 5 of 5 0 of 0 29 of 61 7 of 13 4 of 7
Omari Akhmedov 13 of 48 27% 12 of 43 1 of 4 0 of 1 13 of 47 0 of 1 0 of 0
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · May 28, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 43 of 99 43% 44 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:01
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 52 of 153 33% 99 of 213 6 of 9 66% 0 0 5:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 9 of 31 29% 9 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 13 of 54 24% 17 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:02
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 20 of 38 52% 21 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 26 of 62 41% 46 of 89 3 of 3 100% 0 0 2:25
3 Omari Akhmedov 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:01
Abdul Razak Alhassan 0 13 of 37 35% 36 of 66 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 43 of 99 43% 37 of 88 3 of 5 3 of 6 37 of 91 6 of 8 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 52 of 153 33% 42 of 140 6 of 9 4 of 4 38 of 126 2 of 5 12 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 9 of 31 29% 5 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 4 8 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 13 of 54 24% 11 of 50 0 of 2 2 of 2 11 of 49 1 of 3 1 of 2
2 Omari Akhmedov 20 of 38 52% 18 of 36 1 of 1 1 of 1 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 26 of 62 41% 19 of 54 6 of 7 1 of 1 15 of 45 1 of 2 10 of 15
3 Omari Akhmedov 14 of 30 46% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 1 9 of 24 5 of 6 0 of 0
Abdul Razak Alhassan 13 of 37 35% 12 of 36 0 of 0 1 of 1 12 of 32 0 of 0 1 of 5
Tom Breese - Fight History
LOSS vs Omari Akhmedov
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 1:41 · UFC on ESPN: Chiesa vs. Magny · Jan 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omari Akhmedov 0 25 of 38 65% 73 of 91 2 of 5 40% 1 0 4:34
Tom Breese 0 1 of 4 25% 6 of 12 0 of 1 0% 3 1 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omari Akhmedov 0 24 of 37 64% 71 of 89 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:32
Tom Breese 0 1 of 3 33% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 2 1 1:00
2 Omari Akhmedov 0 1 of 1 100% 2 of 2 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:02
Tom Breese 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omari Akhmedov 25 of 38 65% 23 of 34 1 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 21 of 31
Tom Breese 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omari Akhmedov 24 of 37 64% 22 of 33 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 31
Tom Breese 1 of 3 33% 0 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Omari Akhmedov 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tom Breese 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Big Brady believes Tom Breese has a massive striking and cardio advantage. He expects Omari Akhmedov to take Breese down early, but Breese is good off his back and will work back up. He predicts Breese will stuff takedowns as the fight goes on and piece up Akhmedov on the feet, winning a decision. He notes Breese is a finisher but expects Akhmedov to tough it out to a decision.

Breese by decision; possibly a finish late
"i'm going to take tom breeze to win by decision possibly a finish"
WIN vs KB Bhullar
TKO (punches) R1 1:42 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Breese 1 17 of 27 62% 18 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
KB Bhullar 0 2 of 15 13% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Breese 1 17 of 27 62% 18 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
KB Bhullar 0 2 of 15 13% 2 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Breese 17 of 27 62% 15 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2 11 of 19 0 of 1 6 of 7
KB Bhullar 2 of 15 13% 0 of 9 0 of 2 2 of 4 2 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Breese 17 of 27 62% 15 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2 11 of 19 0 of 1 6 of 7
KB Bhullar 2 of 15 13% 0 of 9 0 of 2 2 of 4 2 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Big Brady picks Breese despite trust issues, citing his BJJ black belt and submission game. He notes Breese has a 91% finish rate and expects a second round submission. He acknowledges Bhullar has decent power but believes Breese is the more tested fighter and has advantages on the feet and ground.

Breese by second round submission; fight ends inside the distance
"i'm gonna take tom breeze to win i'm going to say by like a second round submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Daniel picks Tom Breese but with hesitation due to Breese's past mental issues and pulling out of fights. He believes Breese is better everywhere—boxing, jiu-jitsu, experience—but questions his mindset. He notes that KB Bhullar is average and only dangerous if Breese quits. Daniel thinks if Breese shows up, he wins easily.

Daniel mentions that Breese's only loss was to Brendan Allen where he quit early. He also notes that Bhullar has a good chin but limited skills.
"I think tom breeze is getting back on track saturday night man so i got tom breeze for the win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Breese has the experience and striking advantage, but his mental fragility is a concern. Bhullar is an unknown with limited tape. Breese should outpoint him via decision if he shows up mentally prepared. This is a stay-away fight for betting.

"i'm going to lean with tom breeze for the experience"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Tom Breese

The Guru picks Breese but is hesitant due to Breese's anxiety issues and recent KO loss. He analyzes Bhullar's record, noting he has only fought cans and struggled against his first opponent with a winning record. He predicts Breese will win by submission off his back, possibly an armbar or triangle, in the first or second round. He acknowledges the odds are juicy but says he won't be swayed.

submission (armbar or triangle) in first or second round; odds comment: 'the odds are juicy'
"i am going to go if tom brees getting a job done you know what i could actually see this ending up on the ground and i think i'm going to go with tom breeze getting the submission off of …"
LOSS vs Brendan Allen
TKO (elbows and punches) R1 4:47 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brendan Allen 0 20 of 29 68% 38 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:13
Tom Breese 0 4 of 5 80% 5 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brendan Allen 0 20 of 29 68% 38 of 52 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:13
Tom Breese 0 4 of 5 80% 5 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brendan Allen 20 of 29 68% 17 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 16 of 23
Tom Breese 4 of 5 80% 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brendan Allen 20 of 29 68% 17 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 3 2 of 3 16 of 23
Tom Breese 4 of 5 80% 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Brendan Allen vs. Tom Breese

Round 1
A pair of submission-minded fighters will square off now at middleweight, when Allen (13-3, 1-0 UFC) looks to go “All In” against the returning Breese (11-1, 4-1 UFC). Our Octagon ranger is referee Bill Bookwalter, and the commission is keeping refs busy with back-to-back assignments. This fight starts furiously, as they swing with reckless abandon at one another. Breese goes to the body, and Allen clinches up to hit a trip. Breese defends it well, and nearly lifts up a knee to take him down, so Allen stomps his feet. The two jockey for position against the cage and trade knees, and both fight off trip attempts as Breese goes for one and falls to his back. Allen is in a precarious position, and spins out of danger from back control to take half guard. Allen decides not to land many punches, and instead goes after a kimura on the far side while he pops over to side control. He torques the kimura more, and Breese puts his arm behind his back so he escapes the submission, but in the process eats several heavy punches on the chin. Allen goes after the same arm with another kimura, and then bails on it when he slams down elbows. As he works over Breese with these elbows, the Brit smiles and laughs at him while on his back. Allen, comfortable in side control while landing some powerful strikes, fights off a sweep attempt by walking over the cage. Breese circles around and guns for an armbar, but falls to his back and ends in north-south position briefly. Breese throws his legs up to go after a triangle, but his right leg his trapped beneath his opponent so Allen walks past it and cracks him with some nasty elbows.
The punches and elbows rain down from Allen, and Bookwalter is calling for Breese to get out of it. Allen pours it on, and Bookwalter has no choice but to stop the fight.
This is a massive win for “All In,” as he becomes the first fighter to finish the durable Breese.

The Official Result
Brendan Allen def. Tom Breese R1 4:47 via TKO (Elbows and Punches)
WIN vs Daniel Kelly
TKO (punches) R1 3:33 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · May 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Breese 0 6 of 28 21% 6 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Kelly 1 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Breese 0 6 of 28 21% 6 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Kelly 1 23 of 44 52% 23 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Breese 6 of 28 21% 1 of 19 1 of 3 4 of 6 6 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Kelly 23 of 44 52% 21 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Breese 6 of 28 21% 1 of 19 1 of 3 4 of 6 6 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Kelly 23 of 44 52% 21 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 42 0 of 0 1 of 2
LOSS vs Sean Strickland
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Jun 04, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sean Strickland 0 73 of 207 35% 77 of 211 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Tom Breese 0 62 of 153 40% 62 of 153 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:12
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sean Strickland 0 15 of 50 30% 15 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tom Breese 0 21 of 57 36% 21 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sean Strickland 0 29 of 81 35% 29 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tom Breese 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sean Strickland 0 29 of 76 38% 33 of 80 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:18
Tom Breese 0 18 of 46 39% 18 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sean Strickland 73 of 207 35% 51 of 181 13 of 16 9 of 10 65 of 195 4 of 6 4 of 6
Tom Breese 62 of 153 40% 33 of 109 24 of 37 5 of 7 62 of 153 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sean Strickland 15 of 50 30% 8 of 42 3 of 3 4 of 5 15 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tom Breese 21 of 57 36% 5 of 34 12 of 18 4 of 5 21 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sean Strickland 29 of 81 35% 18 of 67 7 of 10 4 of 4 28 of 79 1 of 2 0 of 0
Tom Breese 23 of 50 46% 15 of 39 7 of 10 1 of 1 23 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sean Strickland 29 of 76 38% 25 of 72 3 of 3 1 of 1 22 of 66 3 of 4 4 of 6
Tom Breese 18 of 46 39% 13 of 36 5 of 9 0 of 1 18 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sean Strickland vs. Tom Breese

Round 1
There’s an early feeling-out process as righty Strickland steps forward on southpaw Breese, with the Englishman firing off harder strikes in the first 90 seconds. Breese’s punches don’t look to be landing flush, but already he’s put a few hard kicks on Strickland’s lead leg. Strickland looks to jab his way forward but keeps pulling up short and having his high kicks deflected. A leaping left hand from Breese gets the attention of Strickland, but the American is soon back on the march, walking after his opponent. The striking stalemate continues down the stretch, with both men landing leg kicks and little else in the way of significant strikes.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Breese
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Breese
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10

Round 2
Strickland continues to press forward at the start of round two, though his aggression is still yielding little in the way of clean offense. Breese isn’t exactly lighting up his opponent, but he’s doing the better work from his back foot through the first 90 seconds. Strickland tries to jab his way forward and gets dinged by a counter left hook. Now a straight left scores down the center for Breese, who’s starting to pick up the pace a little as Strickland’s forward movement drops off. Right on cue, Strickland starts stepping forward again and puts a pair of kicks on Breese’s right thigh. Down to the last minute of the round, Breese finds the mark on Strickland’s gut with a nice left hand. Strickland tries to get busy before the end of the round but walks away shaking his head, hands on his hips.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Breese
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Strickland
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Breese

Round 3
It’s more of the same as the final round begins: Strickland steppping forward, reaching out with long punches for Breese, who slides out of the way and looks to counter off his back foot. Breese begins really connecting when he takes a moment to step inside on Strickland, but that momentum is slowed by a Strickland clinch and the threat of a takedown. The welterweights separate and then tie up again, nearly hitting the ground in a whizzer but instead winding up in a brief clinch on the fence, Strickland on the outside. They step back to the middle of the cage with three minutes left to fight, then spend the better part of a minute circling one another. Strickland snaps off a couple successful jabs, follows them with a right hook. Breese responds with a body kick and a left-handed Superman punch, which hits but doesn’t seem to hurt Strickland. With 60 seconds left, Breese changes levels for a quick takedown, but Strickland is back up immediately and resists the follow-up slam attempt from Breese. The Englishman shoots for another takedown in the waning seconds of the fight, only to be stuffed to his back and socked with a couple punches from Strickland before the final horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Strickland (29-28 Breese)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Strickland (29-28 Strickland)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Strickland (29-29 Draw)

The Official Result
Sean Strickland def. Tom Breese via Split Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-29) R3 5:00
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping · Feb 27, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Breese 0 32 of 59 54% 88 of 121 0 of 0 --- 1 1 6:25
Keita Nakamura 0 6 of 16 37% 16 of 27 3 of 6 50% 1 1 4:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Breese 0 15 of 25 60% 25 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:20
Keita Nakamura 0 6 of 12 50% 9 of 16 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:50
2 Tom Breese 0 12 of 20 60% 37 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 3:25
Keita Nakamura 0 0 of 2 0% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 1 1 1:15
3 Tom Breese 0 5 of 14 35% 26 of 40 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:40
Keita Nakamura 0 0 of 2 0% 6 of 8 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Breese 32 of 59 54% 26 of 50 4 of 7 2 of 2 13 of 31 9 of 11 10 of 17
Keita Nakamura 6 of 16 37% 4 of 9 2 of 5 0 of 2 6 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Breese 15 of 25 60% 10 of 18 3 of 5 2 of 2 10 of 18 5 of 7 0 of 0
Keita Nakamura 6 of 12 50% 4 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Tom Breese 12 of 20 60% 11 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 17
Keita Nakamura 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Tom Breese 5 of 14 35% 5 of 13 0 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0
Keita Nakamura 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:37 · UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs. Smolka · Oct 24, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Breese 0 5 of 24 20% 8 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Cathal Pendred 1 23 of 35 65% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Breese 0 5 of 24 20% 8 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Cathal Pendred 1 23 of 35 65% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Breese 5 of 24 20% 2 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 5 3 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Cathal Pendred 23 of 35 65% 20 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Breese 5 of 24 20% 2 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 5 3 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Cathal Pendred 23 of 35 65% 20 of 32 3 of 3 0 of 0 22 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 4:58 · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves · May 30, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tom Breese 0 21 of 43 48% 28 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
Luiz Dutra Jr. 1 26 of 42 61% 26 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tom Breese 0 21 of 43 48% 28 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:45
Luiz Dutra Jr. 1 26 of 42 61% 26 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tom Breese 21 of 43 48% 7 of 25 9 of 13 5 of 5 10 of 26 11 of 17 0 of 0
Luiz Dutra Jr. 26 of 42 61% 11 of 23 11 of 15 4 of 4 8 of 16 11 of 15 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tom Breese 21 of 43 48% 7 of 25 9 of 13 5 of 5 10 of 26 11 of 17 0 of 0
Luiz Dutra Jr. 26 of 42 61% 11 of 23 11 of 15 4 of 4 8 of 16 11 of 15 7 of 11
Expert Picks (1)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tom Breese

Big Brady believes Tom Breese has a massive striking and cardio advantage. He expects Omari Akhmedov to take Breese down early, but Breese is good off his back and will work back up. He predicts Breese will stuff takedowns as the fight goes on and piece up Akhmedov on the feet, winning a decision. He notes Breese is a finisher but expects Akhmedov to tough it out to a decision.

Breese by decision; possibly a finish late
"i'm going to take tom breeze to win by decision possibly a finish"