UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez Next Fight
Age 37
Height 5' 6"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 38
Height 5' 8"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Andrea Lee
4.62 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.91 SApM
61.0% Str. Def.
1.65 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Ashlee Evans-Smith
4.03 SLpM
34.0% Str. Acc.
4.59 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.95 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Andrea Lee - Fight History
LOSS vs JJ Aldrich
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night 253 · Mar 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 53 of 175 30% 66 of 192 1 of 4 25% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 74 of 137 54% 77 of 142 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 18 of 57 31% 18 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 21 of 43 48% 23 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 58 25% 18 of 61 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
JJ Aldrich 0 25 of 46 54% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
3 Andrea Lee 0 20 of 60 33% 30 of 74 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:46
JJ Aldrich 0 28 of 48 58% 29 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 53 of 175 30% 13 of 109 25 of 44 15 of 22 52 of 174 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 74 of 137 54% 54 of 114 10 of 13 10 of 10 68 of 130 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 18 of 57 31% 1 of 32 8 of 12 9 of 13 18 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 21 of 43 48% 14 of 34 2 of 4 5 of 5 18 of 39 2 of 3 1 of 1
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 58 25% 3 of 35 6 of 14 6 of 9 15 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 25 of 46 54% 17 of 37 4 of 5 4 of 4 25 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Andrea Lee 20 of 60 33% 9 of 42 11 of 18 0 of 0 19 of 59 1 of 1 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 28 of 48 58% 23 of 43 4 of 4 1 of 1 25 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee despite her five-fight losing streak, arguing that she is still a good striker with quality losses and close decisions. He criticizes JJ Aldrich as inconsistent and lacking in wrestling and striking. He sees value in Lee at +163 odds but warns against betting on this fight due to the unpredictability of both fighters.

Value bet at +163; do not bet heavily
"Andrea Lee at plus 163 are decent odds like this is pretty good ODS there's some good value there and it might be worth a step"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2025 (5 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is hesitant. He acknowledges value on Andrea Lee at +170 but cannot pick her due to her five-fight losing streak and apparent decline. He notes Aldrich's takedown defense and striking should be enough, but expects a close split decision.

Aldrich by split decision
"I'm going to pick JJ Aldridge and I'm going to take Aldridge to win probably by a split decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 26, 2025 (3 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The host leans with Aldrich, believing she can use her striking approach to nullify Lee's kickboxing and shut down any grappling attempts. He expects Aldrich's combination style to earn her a decision win.

"I have to lean with the Aldrich side as I believe that she can go out there and utilize her striking approach to nullify the kickboxing of Lee shut down the grappling that Lee might might look to initiate and …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Feb 28, 2025 (1 day before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Andrea Lee. He reasons that Andrea Lee is on a five-fight losing streak and declining, while Aldrich is more well-rounded and can get takedowns. He recalls Aldrich's performance against Erin Blanchfield before getting caught in a guillotine. He predicts a split decision win for Aldrich.

"I'm gonna go with JJ Aldridge over Andrea Lee... she's a little bit more well-rounded than Andrea Lee and she'll probably be able to get a few takedowns in this fight."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Montana De La Rosa 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 201 0 of 2 0% 0 2 2:08
Andrea Lee 0 70 of 180 38% 88 of 206 3 of 6 50% 1 0 2:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Montana De La Rosa 0 27 of 50 54% 52 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 1 1:52
Andrea Lee 0 14 of 44 31% 17 of 49 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:10
2 Montana De La Rosa 0 31 of 68 45% 36 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 33 of 81 40% 37 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Montana De La Rosa 0 17 of 34 50% 27 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:16
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 55 41% 34 of 71 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Montana De La Rosa 75 of 152 49% 37 of 109 29 of 31 9 of 12 58 of 129 13 of 16 4 of 7
Andrea Lee 70 of 180 38% 53 of 156 12 of 17 5 of 7 62 of 161 5 of 16 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Montana De La Rosa 27 of 50 54% 16 of 38 10 of 10 1 of 2 12 of 31 11 of 12 4 of 7
Andrea Lee 14 of 44 31% 9 of 37 4 of 6 1 of 1 10 of 36 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Montana De La Rosa 31 of 68 45% 14 of 49 11 of 12 6 of 7 30 of 65 1 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 33 of 81 40% 26 of 72 4 of 5 3 of 4 33 of 77 0 of 4 0 of 0
3 Montana De La Rosa 17 of 34 50% 7 of 22 8 of 9 2 of 3 16 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 55 41% 18 of 47 4 of 6 1 of 2 19 of 48 1 of 4 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee, noting that Montana De La Rosa is a wrestler but didn't use her wrestling in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He thinks if Montana doesn't commit to takedowns, Andrea will out-strike her. Andrea is a good striker with underrated skills, and her losses are to quality opponents. He is not confident Montana will wrestle, so he goes with Andrea.

"unless I was 100% positive that Montana Delarosa was all in on the wrestling I gotta go Andrea Lee"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Big Brady picks Montana De La Rosa with little confidence. He notes that Andrea Lee is on a four-fight losing streak and looks to be declining, while De La Rosa's striking has improved. He expects De La Rosa to get takedowns and control time. He says he is not betting on this fight and advises others to avoid it.

"I'm going to take De la Rosa with little to no confidence I'm not betting on this fight and God help you if you are betting on on this fight here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has poor ring IQ and does not commit to her wrestling. Lee has improved her takedown defense and has better striking volume. Cody expects Lee to sprawl and brawl, outpointing De La Rosa on the feet. He also likes Lee by decision at plus money.

Andrea Lee by decision
"I got Lee and then if you want to get a little spicy with it uh lee by decision she's not knocking out delar Roa she's not submitting delar Rosa so if she's going to win she's just going to …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Daniel picks Lee as the better fighter despite both being on losing streaks. He notes Lee won their first fight and has faced tougher competition, but questions her motivation and slowing speed. He sees Montana as never assertive enough, so he expects Lee to win a split decision.

split decision
"I'll go Andrea Lee via split decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Andrea Lee

Jacob leans Andrea Lee, but with low confidence. He notes that both fighters are better than their records suggest. He worries that if Montana commits to wrestling, Andrea could be on her back for 15 minutes. However, he thinks Andrea is the better striker and can defend takedowns with footwork. He expects a close fight and goes with Andrea, but is not confident.

"I'm leaning Andrea Lee here I don't absolutely love it because if Montana does come in all in wrestling all of a sudden it's Andrew Lee laying on her back for 15 minutes"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Lee is a skilled striker with an active Jiu-Jitsu game, while De La Rosa relies on grappling but lacks striking. Lee should land strikes and stuff takedowns, and may even catch a submission off her back. However, Lee can be flaky if she gets demoralized. Leaning Lee by submission, but passing on betting due to line movement.

submission
"I'm going to Le Lee in this spot... I'm going to say Lee by submission she might throw something up and catch T Roa in it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, noting that De La Rosa has not been dominant with her grappling recently. Lee has better striking and takedown defense. Paul expects Lee to win on volume and outpoint De La Rosa over three rounds.

"Lee Lee on on volume Montana Del la ro said for all of her faults she has always been incredibly durable so uh credit word credits do on that front"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

The Guru picks Andrea Lee because she does damage well and is a more physical specimen with less wasted weight. He thinks her age (35) and lack of children give her anger and aggression, especially in the third round. He notes Montana De La Rosa has a decent grappling game but Lee did better on the feet against Macy Barber. He expects Lee to do better on the feet and win.

"I'll go with Andrea Lee I think she can Implement damage more she's a more physical specimen out of the two of them"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miranda Maverick 0 36 of 102 35% 59 of 126 2 of 3 66% 1 0 0:42
Andrea Lee 0 66 of 136 48% 106 of 180 3 of 8 37% 0 0 3:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miranda Maverick 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:40
Andrea Lee 0 24 of 43 55% 31 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
2 Miranda Maverick 0 9 of 34 26% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Andrea Lee 0 23 of 48 47% 47 of 74 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Miranda Maverick 0 15 of 37 40% 31 of 54 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 19 of 45 42% 28 of 55 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miranda Maverick 36 of 102 35% 14 of 72 13 of 19 9 of 11 32 of 96 3 of 3 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 66 of 136 48% 28 of 89 16 of 25 22 of 22 60 of 128 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miranda Maverick 12 of 31 38% 4 of 20 4 of 6 4 of 5 9 of 28 3 of 3 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 24 of 43 55% 9 of 25 5 of 8 10 of 10 23 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Miranda Maverick 9 of 34 26% 4 of 26 3 of 5 2 of 3 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 23 of 48 47% 11 of 34 4 of 6 8 of 8 21 of 46 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Miranda Maverick 15 of 37 40% 6 of 26 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 34 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 19 of 45 42% 8 of 30 7 of 11 4 of 4 16 of 41 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 11, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Angelo picks Miranda Maverick, citing her pressure, takedowns, and toughness. He notes that Andrea Lee has fought tougher competition but is on a three-fight skid. He cautions that the moneyline is juiced and recommends the over 2.5 rounds as a lock.

over 2.5 rounds
"I am going to pick Miranda Maverick here... I think the over two and a half in this fight is probably the lock of the card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Big Brady picks Miranda Maverick to win, citing her youth (26 vs 35) and physical strength as key advantages. He notes Andrea Lee's poor takedown defense (54%) and history of being taken down by lesser wrestlers, expecting Maverick to get the fight to the mat and grind out a decision. He acknowledges Lee's underrated striking but believes Maverick's wrestling and control will be too much. He mentions the line is moving but says he's probably not betting this one.

Maverick by decision
"I do like Maverick here to win this fight... Maverick by decision is the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, noting her high volume striking (100+ significant strikes) compared to Maverick's lower output. He questions Maverick's takedown effectiveness and believes Lee can win on the feet. He sees plus 170 as good value and picks Lee.

"Andrea Lee is the pick for me."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Daniel picks Miranda Maverick but expresses hesitation about the betting line. He notes that Andrea Lee is physically strong and that Maverick's striking is her weakest area. He worries that Lee's strength could cause problems, but ultimately believes Maverick's grappling advantage will prevail. He says he is staying away from the line.

"I'm on Maverick here but I'm probably this is probably a line I'm staying away from."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland passes on this fight, noting Andrea Lee's decline and Miranda Maverick's inconsistency. He considered taking the dog on Lee but decided against it given her recent performances.

"Pass for me also."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Jeff picks Miranda Maverick, noting that Andrea Lee is on a three-fight skid and hasn't won since 2021. He believes Maverick is a younger, stronger fighter who can impose her will. He acknowledges Lee's physical strength but thinks Maverick's grappling and overall game will be too much. He is not betting the line, however, as he finds it unappealing.

"Maverick is is my pick here as well yeah you can't really put any any faith in Lee at this point in her career and she's going to have a big strong younger fighter on her case here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

Maverick is younger, stronger, and will dominate in the clinch and on the ground. Lee may be the better technical striker but has a history of breaking under pressure. Maverick grinds out a decision win.

"I expect Maverick to be competitive in that realm but eventually drag this fight into the clinch position and to the ground where Maverick should be able to control it and suck the energy out of Lee"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, arguing that the line is inflated by Maverick's recent win over low-level competition. He notes Lee has fought tougher opponents and has better volume striking. He believes Maverick's wrestling is not as effective against higher-level grapplers, and Lee can outwork her on the feet. He sees Lee as a clear underdog value.

Lee by decision (suggested)
"it just has to be an auto bet on the underdog so I will take Andre Le to win by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Miranda Maverick

The MMA Guru picks Miranda Maverick, citing her youth, improvement at Team Elevation, and full focus on MMA now that she's done with education. He notes Andrea Lee's frustration when taken down and lack of calmness on bottom. He believes Maverick's grappling will be key, though he acknowledges Lee's stronger strength of schedule and mentions he might advise betting on Lee if her odds become bigger underdog.

If more money comes in on Miranda Maverick and Andrea Lee becomes even bigger of an underdog, I might advise people to put some money on her.
"I think Miranda Maverick is the more improving fighter she's the younger fighter she's training at Team elevation... I think she'll be able to outgrapple Andrea Lee in this fight."
LOSS vs Natália Silva
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · Aug 19, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Natália Silva 0 43 of 125 34% 43 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 70 of 174 40% 70 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Natália Silva 0 14 of 49 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 26 of 62 41% 26 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Natália Silva 0 18 of 42 42% 18 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Natália Silva 0 11 of 34 32% 11 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andrea Lee 0 22 of 62 35% 22 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Natália Silva 43 of 125 34% 12 of 74 11 of 23 20 of 28 43 of 125 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 70 of 174 40% 34 of 111 17 of 43 19 of 20 70 of 174 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Natália Silva 14 of 49 28% 4 of 29 3 of 7 7 of 13 14 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 26 of 62 41% 13 of 38 6 of 16 7 of 8 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Natália Silva 18 of 42 42% 5 of 24 6 of 10 7 of 8 18 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 22 of 50 44% 8 of 29 9 of 16 5 of 5 22 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Natália Silva 11 of 34 32% 3 of 21 2 of 6 6 of 7 11 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 22 of 62 35% 13 of 44 2 of 11 7 of 7 22 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Angelo is confident in Natália Silva, citing her well-rounded skills, power that carries into later rounds, and ability to turn fights into brawls. He notes that Andrea Lee is tough and technical but believes Silva is the better striker and grappler, and that Lee won't be able to take her down. He has Silva in a parlay and also suggests betting the under on Andrea Lee's takedown line.

Parlay with Andre Petroski at -133; under on Andrea Lee takedowns if line is high
"This should be a Natalia Silva play all day long... I am confident enough in Natalia Silva to have a one unit parlay."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Aug 12, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Big Brady leans toward Natália Silva despite the wide line, citing her power advantage and elite takedown defense. He notes Andrea Lee has good volume and underrated skills, but Silva lands harder shots and may mix in takedowns. He expects the fight to go the distance with Silva winning by decision, similar to Lee's fight with Mayra Bueno Silva.

fight goes to decision
"I think this fight could be a lot closer than this line does indicate... I do have to lean to the Natalia Silverside... I think this fight does Go the Distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Cody sees Silva as the complete package with good striking and fast hands, while Lee is slowing down and has a wonky training situation. He expects Silva to piece up Lee, but warns that women's MMA is unpredictable.

"I would think Natalie's still a big favorite women's MMA I would say don't do it I would take Natali Silva"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 17, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Daniel Levi picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, citing her experience and savvy. He notes that Silva is small for the weight class and has shown weaknesses when taken down, as Lee's grappling is better than Silva's previous opponents. Levi thinks Lee can win via grappling and that the plus money is valuable. He also likes the plus 3.5 spread. However, he acknowledges Silva is the real deal and is not going heavy on the bet.

Lee plus 3.5 spread; Lee by submission or decision
"I like her not gonna go crazy on it because I know Silva's the real deal but I'm gonna have some money on Lee"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 18, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Natália Silva

Lucrative James picks Natália Silva to win, citing her excellent distance management and takedown defense. He expects Silva to dictate the striking range and potentially get takedowns of her own, as Andrea Lee has historically lost when taken down and controlled on the ground. He sees the fight going to a decision with Silva edging it out 29-28 or 30-27.

"I do think she's gonna win I am picking Natalia silver to win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 15, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Natália Silva

Silva's movement and striking accuracy should be too much for Lee. She lands significant strikes from distance and has shown finishing ability. However, the moneyline is too wide given Lee's experience and potential grappling success. Prefer Silva by decision prop as a better value.

Silva by decision
"I lean Silva on this fight and I'm not too high on the chalky price tag... I would rather hone in on that Natalia Silva by decision line more than her actual money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Natália Silva

The MMA Guru confidently picks Natália Silva, calling her one of the rare good female MMA prospects. He highlights her stunning striking performances and dominant wins over Jasmine Jasudavicius and Tereza Bledá. He notes Andrea Lee has taken a lot of damage and is 34, while Silva is 26 and improving. He expects Silva to win by decision but thinks Lee will make it tough.

decision win 29-28
"I'm going with Natalia Silva getting this one done by decision win 29-28"
LOSS vs Maycee Barber
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Vera vs. Sandhagen · Mar 25, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maycee Barber 0 39 of 103 37% 57 of 125 5 of 5 100% 0 0 5:20
Andrea Lee 0 48 of 127 37% 66 of 158 2 of 2 100% 0 1 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maycee Barber 0 12 of 35 34% 16 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:06
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 45 37% 22 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
2 Maycee Barber 0 15 of 38 39% 26 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:54
Andrea Lee 0 17 of 43 39% 24 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:02
3 Maycee Barber 0 12 of 30 40% 15 of 34 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:20
Andrea Lee 0 14 of 39 35% 20 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maycee Barber 39 of 103 37% 10 of 57 15 of 27 14 of 19 34 of 97 4 of 5 1 of 1
Andrea Lee 48 of 127 37% 31 of 97 9 of 20 8 of 10 38 of 113 3 of 7 7 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maycee Barber 12 of 35 34% 3 of 18 5 of 11 4 of 6 12 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 45 37% 11 of 35 2 of 6 4 of 4 11 of 38 1 of 2 5 of 5
2 Maycee Barber 15 of 38 39% 6 of 23 2 of 6 7 of 9 14 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Andrea Lee 17 of 43 39% 11 of 31 2 of 6 4 of 6 17 of 42 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Maycee Barber 12 of 30 40% 1 of 16 8 of 10 3 of 4 8 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1
Andrea Lee 14 of 39 35% 9 of 31 5 of 8 0 of 0 10 of 33 2 of 4 2 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee as an underdog, arguing that Barber is overrated and a decision fighter who can break mentally. He notes that Lee is a technical striker with improved grappling and has fought tougher competition. He believes Lee can keep the fight standing and out-strike Barber, and that Barber's takedowns may not be enough. He says no bet on this fight due to unknowns.

"I like Andrea Lee in this fight I do think she wins no bet here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Big Brady picks Andrea Lee as a dog, believing the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He thinks Lee is the better striker with more volume, while Barber relies on physical strength and takedowns. Brady notes Barber's striking is still a work in progress and that Lee can work back to her feet if taken down. He predicts a split decision win for Lee, possibly a robbery, and expects the fight to go the distance.

Lee by split decision
"I'll go Lee here and lead by like a split decision maybe even like a robbery decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)

Cody does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup, noting Barber's youth and cardio advantage but also her lack of takedowns in recent fights. He sees a path for Lee if she can keep the fight standing and outstrike Barber, but he is wary of Lee's tendency to fatigue. He ultimately says he wants nothing to do with the line, finding it too wide.

"I want nothing to do with this line way too wide for my liking"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Connor picks Barber because Lee has a history of crumbling under pressure and bullying. He notes Barber's recent assertiveness and willingness to clinch and use her strength. He acknowledges Barber's poor kickboxing but thinks she will force a clinch-heavy fight where Lee fades.

Mentions odds: Lee opened +165, currently +213; Barber opened -190, currently -268. Notes line trending away from Lee.
"I think it's too much of a situation where Barber just rushes at her and puts her on the fence and starts landing elbows and just starts taking the fight away from her. Lee will fade out of it."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 22, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Jacob picks Barber but admits he is biased against Lee. He thinks Barber can get takedowns and wear Lee down, similar to how Viviane Araujo did. He warns that Barber is a decision fighter and should not be put in parlays. He acknowledges Lee is dangerous on the feet and that Barber's takedowns are key.

"I am going to pick Macy Barber because I just feel like I'm just way too biased to pick Andrew Lee."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

The host believes Barber's strength and grappling improvements at Team Alpha Male will be key. He expects Barber to assert herself early, counter Lee's combinations, and eventually get clinch situations where she can rough Lee up against the cage. He notes that if Lee gets into a flow state it could be trouble, but Barber's power and explosiveness should deter her. He predicts Barber wins by decision.

"I'm going to go Macy Barber here feeling pretty good about it as well and I expect her to go out there and grind out Andrea Lee on route to a decision victory"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

The Guru picks Barber, citing her improved grappling and youth (24 vs 34). He thinks Barber can take Lee down and slow her down as the fight progresses, winning the last two rounds via decision. He notes Lee's tendency to fade when wrestled.

"I'm going with Macy Barber... I think if she does [get the takedown] we'll start to see Andrea Lee slow down"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Maycee Barber

Zane picks Barber but notes it could easily be a fight where Barber flops around and Lee jabs her. He highlights Barber's physicality and willingness to make opponents deal with her strength. He also notes Barber's reliable third-round surge if things aren't going well.

Mentions odds: Lee +213, Barber -268. Notes line swinging wide.
"The only thing Barbara has shown her recent fights is a willingness to just make people deal with her physicality. Yeah. Make them deal with her athleticism and her strength and just grab ahold of them and throw them around."
LOSS vs Viviane Araújo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Viviane Araújo 0 39 of 79 49% 96 of 160 3 of 5 60% 2 0 10:40
Andrea Lee 1 47 of 82 57% 64 of 103 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Viviane Araújo 0 18 of 34 52% 31 of 48 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:48
Andrea Lee 1 25 of 51 49% 29 of 55 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
2 Viviane Araújo 0 14 of 27 51% 48 of 83 0 of 0 --- 2 0 4:26
Andrea Lee 0 9 of 10 90% 13 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Viviane Araújo 0 7 of 18 38% 17 of 29 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:26
Andrea Lee 0 13 of 21 61% 22 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Viviane Araújo 39 of 79 49% 25 of 63 9 of 11 5 of 5 32 of 66 0 of 0 7 of 13
Andrea Lee 47 of 82 57% 34 of 65 9 of 13 4 of 4 36 of 64 7 of 11 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Viviane Araújo 18 of 34 52% 11 of 26 5 of 6 2 of 2 17 of 31 0 of 0 1 of 3
Andrea Lee 25 of 51 49% 19 of 42 4 of 7 2 of 2 15 of 34 6 of 10 4 of 7
2 Viviane Araújo 14 of 27 51% 10 of 22 3 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 18 0 of 0 6 of 9
Andrea Lee 9 of 10 90% 5 of 6 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Viviane Araújo 7 of 18 38% 4 of 15 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 1
Andrea Lee 13 of 21 61% 10 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Andrea Lee, noting her improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Araújo has cardio issues and fades in the third round. He believes Lee will push the pace, tire Araújo out, and win by volume. He mentions Lee's training with Tony Kelley and her social media showing hard work.

"i think this lead thing is the same thing like physically lisa as strong as anybody the technique's just not quite there in the takedown defense she shorted up a little bit and she still stops more takedowns than she …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)

Paul is cautious, warning that Araújo is more of a wrestler and Lee's takedown defense is her kryptonite. He says it could be a situation where Araújo takes Lee down and holds top control, making it risky. He advises not putting this on a top ticket.

"i would say cody just be careful don't put this all the way up but like ticket one ticket two because it could be a situation where arujo takes her down is able to hold top control"
TKO (corner stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · Nov 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 47 of 154 30% 47 of 154 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 84 of 210 40% 85 of 211 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 25 of 87 28% 25 of 87 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:39
Cynthia Calvillo 0 43 of 116 37% 44 of 117 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrea Lee 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Cynthia Calvillo 0 41 of 94 43% 41 of 94 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 47 of 154 30% 18 of 99 21 of 46 8 of 9 47 of 154 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 84 of 210 40% 46 of 155 30 of 45 8 of 10 83 of 208 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 25 of 87 28% 11 of 62 10 of 20 4 of 5 25 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 43 of 116 37% 27 of 92 12 of 19 4 of 5 43 of 115 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 22 of 67 32% 7 of 37 11 of 26 4 of 4 22 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cynthia Calvillo 41 of 94 43% 19 of 63 18 of 26 4 of 5 40 of 93 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.

moneyline bet at minus 105
"andrea leaves my pick and i do have a moneyline bet at her at minus 105 almost even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.

Calvillo by decision
"i will take alveo though and i will take alvey to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.

"i got a bad gut feeling that calvio's actually gonna end up losing this one"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.

"give me cynthia calvio to come out here and and probably win the decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.

"i think she absolutely dominates this fight i i'm a big cynthia fan"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Cynthia Calvillo

Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.

"i think calvio is the side here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2021 (fight day)
Cynthia Calvillo

The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.

unanimous decision 29-27
"i'm going to be going with cynthia calvillo here and i'm going to be picking her by unanimous decision"
Submission (triangle armbar) R2 4:52 · UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 45 of 62 72% 88 of 108 3 of 3 100% 3 0 2:11
Antonina Shevchenko 0 23 of 41 56% 36 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 28 of 44 63% 43 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:31
Antonina Shevchenko 0 22 of 39 56% 34 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Andrea Lee 0 17 of 18 94% 45 of 47 2 of 2 100% 3 0 0:40
Antonina Shevchenko 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 45 of 62 72% 32 of 43 11 of 15 2 of 4 19 of 35 6 of 6 20 of 21
Antonina Shevchenko 23 of 41 56% 13 of 30 8 of 9 2 of 2 15 of 32 8 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 28 of 44 63% 15 of 25 11 of 15 2 of 4 18 of 34 6 of 6 4 of 4
Antonina Shevchenko 22 of 39 56% 13 of 29 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 30 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 17 of 18 94% 17 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 17
Antonina Shevchenko 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Lee throws high volume (5.58 strikes/min) and has good striking defense. Shevchenko has poor takedown defense and has been taken down by strikers. Lee can mix in takedowns and control the fight. The line has shifted heavily towards Lee, and I think she wins a decision as a slight underdog.

"I'm gonna side with andrea lee here to get it done as a dog but i really don't think she's going to be a dog for soon here but i'll take andrew lee by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Cody picks Lee, arguing that Shevchenko has no power and Lee's volume will be decisive. He notes that Lee's takedown defense is her weakness, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler. Cody believes Lee will win by decision, using her striking output.

Monkey Knife Fight: double over on significant strikes (59.5 for Lee, 35.5 for Shevchenko).
"i would agree with your assessment pretty much on all points and go with andrea lee here andrew lee by decision more specifically"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi picks Antonina Shevchenko, citing Andrea Lee's cardio issues and decline since her breakup. He notes that Lee gasses out and becomes flat-footed, while Shevchenko is more disciplined and can clinch and knee. Levi thinks Shevchenko will dominate in the clinch and win a 30-27 decision. He also mentions Shevchenko's improved ground game.

"i'm going with antonina via 30-27"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 13, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

The host picks Shevchenko, giving her the slight advantage in striking. He notes she is the better technical striker and taller, which should help maintain distance. He acknowledges concerns about her grappling defense but thinks Lee is unlikely to implement a wrestling game plan. He predicts a decision win for Shevchenko but says he is not lock confident.

Shevchenko by decision
"i will go with chevchenko to win this fight by decision but by no means am i like lock the knight confident on it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 12, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Andrea Lee

Paul picks Lee, noting that Shevchenko is not her sister and lacks power. He believes Lee's volume and takedown defense will be key, though he is not confident. Paul mentions that Lee has been losing due to takedowns, but Shevchenko is not a wrestler.

"i'll pick andrea lee i don't feel great about it though"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked May 9, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Antonina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru picks Antonina Shevchenko, but with low confidence, admitting he flipped a coin. He thinks Shevchenko is slightly more technical on the feet and benefits from training with her sister Valentina. He acknowledges Andrea Lee has a grappling advantage but predicts a split decision 29-28 for Shevchenko.

"i'm going with antonina chefchenko"
Ashlee Evans-Smith - Fight History
LOSS vs Ailín Pérez
Decision (unanimous) (30–25, 30–25, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ailín Pérez 0 12 of 47 25% 13 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 60 of 104 57% 127 of 190 10 of 15 66% 0 0 11:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ailín Pérez 0 4 of 17 23% 4 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 36 of 63 57% 50 of 87 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:30
2 Ailín Pérez 0 5 of 22 22% 6 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 11 of 18 61% 33 of 44 3 of 4 75% 0 0 3:38
3 Ailín Pérez 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 13 of 23 56% 44 of 59 4 of 7 57% 0 0 4:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ailín Pérez 12 of 47 25% 6 of 40 2 of 3 4 of 4 7 of 40 5 of 7 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 60 of 104 57% 50 of 87 7 of 11 3 of 6 12 of 32 14 of 23 34 of 49
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ailín Pérez 4 of 17 23% 3 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 36 of 63 57% 33 of 58 2 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 21 4 of 5 26 of 37
2 Ailín Pérez 5 of 22 22% 2 of 18 2 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 11 of 18 61% 8 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 6 of 10 2 of 5 3 of 3
3 Ailín Pérez 3 of 8 37% 1 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 13 of 23 56% 9 of 15 2 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 1 8 of 13 5 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Angelo picks Ailín Pérez, believing Ashlee will be rusty after a two-year layoff due to a USADA suspension. He notes Pérez defended five takedowns in her debut and got one of her own, while Ashlee is well-rounded but not a killer. He acknowledges Ashlee's experience makes her a live dog but thinks Pérez's youth and activity give her the edge.

"the pick is aylin here but anytime you get somebody with the experience of Ashley fighting a relative newcomer you could really have a live dog situation"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Big Brady picks Ailín Pérez because Ashlee Evans-Smith is coming off a 2.5-year layoff, is 36 years old, and was 1-4 in her last five fights before the suspension. He doubts she will show a much improved version of herself. While he acknowledges Pérez is not great, he believes her youth and activity will be enough to win. He calls laying -225 'very irresponsible' and says he won't bet it, but he thinks Pérez wins the fight.

Laying -225 is very irresponsible, not a bet
"give me Eileen Perez to get it done laying minus 225 and Eileen Perez seems very irresponsible and it's not something I'll do but I think she she wins the fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Cody picks Pérez, citing her youth, hunger, and physical strength. He details Evans-Smith's personal issues, inactivity, and declining athleticism. He thinks Pérez will mash her into the cage, take her down, and test her cardio. He expects a finish inside the distance.

inside the distance
"I think Perez just mashes her into the cage takes her down when she needs to if not you know just keep it in the clinch rough her up tester that cardio and show her why at 36 it's hard …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

The host notes that Ashlee Evans-Smith is coming off a nearly three-year layoff and is 36 years old, making her hard to trust. He believes Pérez will follow a similar game plan to Norma Dumont, using forward pressure and power to nullify Evans-Smith's wrestling and win by decision. Despite Pérez being raw, the host favors her due to Evans-Smith's inactivity and age.

"I'm still gonna go with the Argentinian Eileen Perez I think she batters her way to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

Paul picks Pérez, citing her youth, hunger, and physical strength. He notes Evans-Smith has been inactive for three years and has personal issues. He thinks Pérez can take her down and rough her up. He is not touching the -220 line but picks her to win.

"I'll still pick her but there's no way I am touching mine is 220 with a 10 foot pole"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 11, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ailín Pérez

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Ailín Pérez over Ashlee Evans-Smith, noting Evans-Smith's three-year layoff and age (36) but questioning Pérez's loss to Stephanie Egger. He acknowledges Pérez's regional wins and Evans-Smith's potential return, but ultimately goes with Pérez by decision, though he wouldn't be surprised by an Evans-Smith win.

"gotta go alien Perez by decision"
LOSS vs Norma Dumont
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Smith vs. Clark · Nov 28, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Norma Dumont 0 42 of 164 25% 47 of 169 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Ashlee Evans-Smith 1 94 of 161 58% 109 of 178 2 of 4 50% 0 1 4:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Norma Dumont 0 20 of 63 31% 22 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 33 of 56 58% 36 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
2 Norma Dumont 0 6 of 33 18% 6 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 21 of 33 63% 33 of 47 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:33
3 Norma Dumont 0 16 of 68 23% 19 of 71 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Ashlee Evans-Smith 1 40 of 72 55% 40 of 72 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Norma Dumont 42 of 164 25% 12 of 108 17 of 35 13 of 21 37 of 156 5 of 8 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 94 of 161 58% 78 of 142 8 of 11 8 of 8 71 of 130 9 of 13 14 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Norma Dumont 20 of 63 31% 6 of 38 6 of 13 8 of 12 18 of 60 2 of 3 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 33 of 56 58% 27 of 47 3 of 6 3 of 3 28 of 48 2 of 4 3 of 4
2 Norma Dumont 6 of 33 18% 2 of 22 3 of 8 1 of 3 6 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 21 of 33 63% 18 of 30 1 of 1 2 of 2 14 of 24 1 of 1 6 of 8
3 Norma Dumont 16 of 68 23% 4 of 48 8 of 14 4 of 6 13 of 64 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 40 of 72 55% 33 of 65 4 of 4 3 of 3 29 of 58 6 of 8 5 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs. Norma Dumont Viana (139.5: Missed Weight)

Round 1
What was once a bantamweight tilt has been transformed into a catchweight after Viana (4-1, 0-1 UFC) missed weight by 3.5 pounds before taking on Evans-Smith (6-4, 3-4 UFC). With both trying to even their UFC records to .500, referee Jason Herzog will make sure everything is above board as they collide. There is no glove touch, and instead Evans-Smith walks forward to land a leg kick, miss with a high kick and also swing wildly with a front kick to the body. The American does land another leg kick, and two more to the body connect as well. Viana tries to time a right hand, and Evans-Smith goes back to kicks high and low. When Viana tries to respond with a kick, Evans-Smith counters with a left hand, but the kick landed much heavier than her opponent’s previous strikes. Evans-Smith comes up short with a few more, and she is out of range from a standing elbow as well. Viana sits down on a right hand in a one-two, and it careens off Evans-Smith’s guard. Evans-Smith scores a right hand when Viana comes forward, and she follows it with a chipping leg kick. Viana drills her with a hard leg kick of her own, and a left hand from Viana appears to have started a little swelling above Evans-Smith’s right eye. Viana strings together a trip of punches, and she walks through a kick but Viana loads up on heavier strikes. Evans-Smith charges forward with a salvo of strikes, but Viana dodges them all and clips her with a counter. Viana cracks Evans-Smith with three punches, and Evans-Smith has four strikes easily thwarted. Viana blocks a strike and lands a left hand, and Evans-Smith does sneak in a right hand but Viana blitzes her with several hard punches. Viana clinches up with her opponent, and she holds her hand over Evans-Smith’s mouth and Evans-Smith is wincing. A strike from Viana has opened up a cut on the bridge of her opponent’s nose, and Evans-Smith shoots in for a takedown but hits a brick wall. Viana, the much stronger woman at the moment, lifts Evans-Smith up and slams her down hard. Viana sits up and lands a left hand from above, and the round ends. Viana helps Evans-Smith up on the break.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Viana
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Viana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Viana

Round 2
Evans-Smith swings and misses with a kick to open up the second, and Viana stands before her and waits to land a few thudding punches. Evans-Smith fakes a takedown but Viana sees it coming, and she pulls off a head-and-arm throw but cannot maintain the position. Instead, Viana rolls through the position, takes Evans-Smith’s back, and the two wildly scramble back to their feet. Pressed against the cage, Viana tosses Evans-Smith down, and she lands in side control, where she opens up with elbows before taking Evans-Smith’s back. Evans-Smith blocks a rear-naked choke attempt and she pushes off the fence, but Viana takes full mount and looks to unload strikes on top. Evans-Smith clings to her heavier opponent like Saran wrap, and Viana breaks the grip and lands occasional ground-and-pound. Viana grinds her forehead on her opponent’s like the UFC days of old, and when she sits up, her top gets trapped and slides off. Herzog pauses the action to get it fixed for her, and when we resume, Viana lands several cracking elbows. Evans-Smith is fired up, and she kicks off to get back to her feet, and she starts throwing heavy leather when they both get back up. Evans-Smith is busted up but she stalks down her opponent, and Viana stays composed and lands an overhand right as Evans-Smith rushes towards her. Viana connects with a loud leg kick, and she ducks out of the way of a one-two to score a right hand over the top. Evans-Smith tries to attack with high kicks, but Viana’s counter strikes are doing damage and making Evans-Smith recoil at each one that lands. One final body kick concludes the round for Evans-Smith.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Viana
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Viana
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Viana

Round 3
The American uses herky-jerky movement to work her way in and land kicks, but Viana strings together four punches that ring Evans-Smith’s bell. Evans-Smith slaps up a kick that glances off Viana’s guard, and the Brazilian darts out of the way from another that flies by. Viana gets off a one-two that makes Evans-Smith take a back step, and she puts four more together before Evans-Smith can reply. Viana scores a left hand, and then a right, and the two go strike-for-strike with Viana getting marked up as well from these exchanges. They clinch up, and Evans-Smith scores a knee but gets elbowed in the face to send her reeling. Evans-Smith switches stances and rips a body kick, and she lands two more to the body while Viana counters her with punches over the top. Evans-Smith targets the liver with another kick, and Viana circles on the outside before socking Evans-Smith with a stiff one-two. Viana punches her way into a clinch, but she bails on it when Evans-Smith tries to elbow her face off. Viana chops at the lead leg, and she hops backwards to avoid the counter and evades four more strikes that are all inaccurate. Viana again lands a leg kick, and three punches that follow collide off Evans-Smith’s high guard. Evans-Smith charges in to clinch up, and Viana turns her around and gets kneed in the body several times. Viana is well out of the way from Evans-Smith strikes, and she lands a few punches but pulls back when Evans-Smith gets stung. Viana loads up on a right hand, and she chains together a series of punches that hurt Evans-Smith badly and make the American fall to the canvas. Evans-Smith attacks a desperation takedown to save herself, and Viana shrugs it off and starts swinging with everything she has left, hurting Evans-Smith again. A trip takedown for Viana leads to a fun scramble, and Viana ends the round holding Evans-Smith down. We have our first decision of the night, although Viana came very close to finish the fight in the waning seconds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-8 Viana (30-26 Viana)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-8 Viana (30-26 Viana)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Viana (30-27 Viana)

The Official Result
Norma Dumont Viana def. Ashlee Evans-Smith via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
LOSS vs Andrea Lee
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Andrea Lee 0 66 of 225 29% 71 of 230 2 of 10 20% 0 0 0:35
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 111 of 209 53% 118 of 216 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Andrea Lee 0 34 of 103 33% 34 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 44 of 86 51% 46 of 88 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Andrea Lee 0 15 of 47 31% 20 of 52 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:03
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 35 of 56 62% 39 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
3 Andrea Lee 0 17 of 75 22% 17 of 75 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:18
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 32 of 67 47% 33 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Andrea Lee 66 of 225 29% 38 of 178 20 of 36 8 of 11 56 of 214 8 of 9 2 of 2
Ashlee Evans-Smith 111 of 209 53% 47 of 132 34 of 46 30 of 31 98 of 190 11 of 17 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Andrea Lee 34 of 103 33% 20 of 77 9 of 18 5 of 8 33 of 102 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ashlee Evans-Smith 44 of 86 51% 19 of 57 12 of 16 13 of 13 42 of 84 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Andrea Lee 15 of 47 31% 7 of 38 6 of 7 2 of 2 9 of 41 5 of 5 1 of 1
Ashlee Evans-Smith 35 of 56 62% 15 of 31 11 of 16 9 of 9 26 of 41 7 of 13 2 of 2
3 Andrea Lee 17 of 75 22% 11 of 63 5 of 11 1 of 1 14 of 71 3 of 4 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 32 of 67 47% 13 of 44 11 of 14 8 of 9 30 of 65 2 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Bec Rawlings
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · Apr 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 88 of 195 45% 89 of 196 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Bec Rawlings 0 116 of 331 35% 121 of 337 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 30 of 60 50% 31 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Bec Rawlings 0 35 of 99 35% 40 of 105 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:07
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 28 of 65 43% 28 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Bec Rawlings 0 45 of 124 36% 45 of 124 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 30 of 70 42% 30 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Bec Rawlings 0 36 of 108 33% 36 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashlee Evans-Smith 88 of 195 45% 46 of 147 14 of 18 28 of 30 82 of 188 6 of 7 0 of 0
Bec Rawlings 116 of 331 35% 81 of 276 20 of 36 15 of 19 101 of 305 14 of 25 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 30 of 60 50% 14 of 44 5 of 5 11 of 11 25 of 55 5 of 5 0 of 0
Bec Rawlings 35 of 99 35% 20 of 78 9 of 12 6 of 9 26 of 86 8 of 12 1 of 1
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 28 of 65 43% 18 of 54 4 of 4 6 of 7 27 of 63 1 of 2 0 of 0
Bec Rawlings 45 of 124 36% 33 of 106 8 of 13 4 of 5 39 of 112 6 of 12 0 of 0
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 30 of 70 42% 14 of 49 5 of 9 11 of 12 30 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 0
Bec Rawlings 36 of 108 33% 28 of 92 3 of 11 5 of 5 36 of 107 0 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Sarah Moras
Submission (armbar) R1 2:51 · UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sarah Moras 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:08
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sarah Moras 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:08
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 3 of 9 33% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sarah Moras 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 4
Ashlee Evans-Smith 3 of 9 33% 1 of 5 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sarah Moras 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 1 3 of 4
Ashlee Evans-Smith 3 of 9 33% 1 of 5 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 4 2 of 4 1 of 1
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Reis · Apr 15, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 68 of 189 35% 100 of 228 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:05
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 71 of 235 30% 89 of 256 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 35 of 61 57% 50 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 24 of 77 31% 26 of 80 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:41
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 15 of 58 25% 29 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 22 of 78 28% 23 of 80 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:17
3 Ketlen Vieira 0 18 of 70 25% 21 of 76 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 25 of 80 31% 40 of 96 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 68 of 189 35% 20 of 132 17 of 22 31 of 35 52 of 168 16 of 21 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 71 of 235 30% 56 of 218 11 of 13 4 of 4 57 of 217 13 of 17 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 35 of 61 57% 9 of 33 9 of 9 17 of 19 24 of 50 11 of 11 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 24 of 77 31% 19 of 71 5 of 6 0 of 0 17 of 68 7 of 9 0 of 0
2 Ketlen Vieira 15 of 58 25% 5 of 43 4 of 7 6 of 8 13 of 54 2 of 4 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 22 of 78 28% 18 of 74 3 of 3 1 of 1 19 of 73 2 of 4 1 of 1
3 Ketlen Vieira 18 of 70 25% 6 of 56 4 of 6 8 of 8 15 of 64 3 of 6 0 of 0
Ashlee Evans-Smith 25 of 80 31% 19 of 73 3 of 4 3 of 3 21 of 76 4 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Ashlee Evans-Smith vs. Ketlen Vieira

Round 1
The bantamweights sling a few punches before entering the clinch, and now it's Vieira pushing Evans-Smith against the wall. They separate quickly and Vieira counters a lazy low kick from Evans-Smith with a right hand down the center. Vieira scores with another counter combination as she walks Evans-Smith backward toward the wall. Evans-Smith continues to work her low kicks, but the Brazilian is landing the harder shots with uppercuts and combos. Vieira stuffs a shot and digs an underhook to jam Evans-Smith against the wall again. Vieira drops for a single-leg, can't get anything going, but pops Evans-Smith with an uppercut on her way out of the clinch. Evans-Smith scores with a right hand, follows with a knee to the body and a leg kick. Vieira goes body-head with the right hand before pushing Evans-Smith against the fence, now looking for a trip takedown. Vieira nearly secures a takedown but Evans-Smith reaches her hand over the top of the fence and stays standing. Evans-Smith reverses the position and lands a clinch knee before the horn.
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira

Round 2
Vieira goes back to the body with her right hand early in the round, blocks a shot from Evans-Smith and runs the American against the fence again. Evans-Smith does well to fend off a bodylock takedown at first, but when Vieira adjusts her position, the Brazilian is able to drag her to the mat. Evans-Smith is back on her feet quickly but can't free herself from the clinch. The bantamweights split with just under three minutes on the clock. Evans-Smith lands a jab-low kick combo, gets swatted back with Vieira's right hook. Vieira continues to press forward and slams Evans-Smith with a pair of hard right hands, forcing Evans-Smith to back away and slowing the pace of the striking. Left hook-uppercut combo connects for Vieira, and it leaves Evans-Smith looking a bit stung. Evans-Smith comes back with a body kick in the final moments but eats a straight right hand in return.
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Vieira
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira

Round 3
Vieira gets tripped up as Evans-Smith comes forward and slips to the mat late in the first minute of the round. Evans-Smith tries to pounce, but Vieira jumps back to her feet, clinches up and gets a rear waistlock at the fence. Evans-Smith defends the takedown as Vieira works from behind her, stomping at the American's feet and kneeing the back of her legs. Referee Keith Peterson waits a minute before breaking up the fighters and bringing them back to the center. Evans-Smith is sporting a mouse under her right eye as she shoots inside, gets underhooked and pushed away. Measured striking from both fighters down the stretch, with Vieira pressing forward but looking to counter. The Brazilian has some damage near her left eye, too, possibly from a behind-the-back elbow Evans-Smith threw in their earlier stalemate position. Evans-Smith continues to pepper Vieira with leg kicks down the stretch but can't find a home for her right hand. Vieira cracks Evans-Smith with a pair of hard rights just before time expires.
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Evans-Smith (29-28 Vieira)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Vieira (30-27 Vieira)

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Ashlee Evans-Smith via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
TKO (punches and elbows) R3 2:46 · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · Sep 03, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 73 of 115 63% 114 of 162 2 of 5 40% 0 0 6:01
Veronica Hardy 0 23 of 41 56% 34 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 16 of 27 59% 22 of 37 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:51
Veronica Hardy 0 11 of 16 68% 19 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 29 of 45 64% 52 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:26
Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 14 64% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 28 of 43 65% 40 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:44
Veronica Hardy 0 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashlee Evans-Smith 73 of 115 63% 41 of 78 27 of 31 5 of 6 11 of 38 29 of 35 33 of 42
Veronica Hardy 23 of 41 56% 13 of 27 7 of 9 3 of 5 12 of 28 11 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 16 of 27 59% 5 of 13 8 of 10 3 of 4 3 of 11 12 of 15 1 of 1
Veronica Hardy 11 of 16 68% 7 of 10 4 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 8 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 29 of 45 64% 16 of 30 12 of 14 1 of 1 4 of 14 16 of 19 9 of 12
Veronica Hardy 9 of 14 64% 5 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 9 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 28 of 43 65% 20 of 35 7 of 7 1 of 1 4 of 13 1 of 1 23 of 29
Veronica Hardy 3 of 11 27% 1 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Marion Reneau
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Cowboy · Feb 21, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 53 of 140 37% 55 of 142 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:12
Marion Reneau 0 55 of 213 25% 57 of 216 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 20 of 59 33% 22 of 61 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:12
Marion Reneau 0 19 of 71 26% 19 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 21 of 40 52% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 16 of 78 20% 16 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Marion Reneau 0 20 of 64 31% 22 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ashlee Evans-Smith 53 of 140 37% 24 of 106 12 of 14 17 of 20 44 of 117 9 of 20 0 of 3
Marion Reneau 55 of 213 25% 25 of 167 25 of 40 5 of 6 44 of 194 9 of 13 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ashlee Evans-Smith 20 of 59 33% 14 of 52 2 of 2 4 of 5 12 of 40 8 of 18 0 of 1
Marion Reneau 19 of 71 26% 9 of 56 7 of 12 3 of 3 15 of 59 4 of 8 0 of 4
2 Ashlee Evans-Smith 21 of 40 52% 7 of 25 7 of 8 7 of 7 21 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Marion Reneau 16 of 78 20% 8 of 65 7 of 12 1 of 1 16 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Ashlee Evans-Smith 12 of 41 29% 3 of 29 3 of 4 6 of 8 11 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 2
Marion Reneau 20 of 64 31% 8 of 46 11 of 16 1 of 2 13 of 57 5 of 5 2 of 2