Career Averages - Cynthia Calvillo
Career Averages - Cortney Casey
Cynthia Calvillo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 0 | 104 of 333 | 31% | 107 of 338 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 87 of 180 | 48% | 93 of 188 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 18 of 83 | 21% | 21 of 87 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 38 of 118 | 32% | 38 of 118 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 32 of 54 | 59% | 33 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 0 | 48 of 132 | 36% | 48 of 133 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 36 of 81 | 44% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loopy Godinez | 104 of 333 | 31% | 58 of 249 | 30 of 64 | 16 of 20 | 104 of 333 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 87 of 180 | 48% | 65 of 146 | 15 of 24 | 7 of 10 | 87 of 178 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loopy Godinez | 18 of 83 | 21% | 12 of 70 | 3 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 18 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 19 of 45 | 42% | 14 of 37 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Loopy Godinez | 38 of 118 | 32% | 21 of 84 | 13 of 26 | 4 of 8 | 38 of 118 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 32 of 54 | 59% | 25 of 43 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 2 | 32 of 52 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Loopy Godinez | 48 of 132 | 36% | 25 of 95 | 14 of 28 | 9 of 9 | 48 of 132 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 36 of 81 | 44% | 26 of 66 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 4 | 36 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Lupita Godinez but is not betting due to her unreliable performance against Angela Hill. He notes that when Lupita shows up, she is a big, strong, powerful wrestler with clean boxing, but she needs to be the bully. He thinks she should be able to push Cynthia Calvillo around, but needs to prove herself after the last fight.
Big Brady picks Lupita Godinez but with hesitation due to her poor game plan against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle. He believes Godinez should win by using her wrestling against Calvillo, who is on a losing streak. He predicts a decision win but expresses distrust in Godinez's consistency.
Cody picks Calvillo as a value play. He notes Godinez's inconsistency and poor fight IQ, and believes Calvillo has a chance despite her losing streak. He mentions Calvillo's wrestling background and that she has been competitive against top fighters. Cody says he already put $200 on Calvillo earlier in the week and may add more. He calls it a system play based on Pat Mayo's CF model.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Godinez. He notes that Calvillo's division switch is a bad sign and that her game doesn't connect. Connor also mentions that Godinez is aggressive and should win.
Jacob is leaning towards Lupita but is wary after being burned by her last fight. He notes that if Lupita uses her wrestling, she can dominate, but if she doesn't, it will be a close fight. He thinks Cynthia Calvillo may be 'broke' with zero confidence, but Lupita's inconsistency makes him hesitant.
Godinez has good wrestling and BJJ, but needs to blend takedowns behind her striking. Calvillo has struggled with her striking and confidence, and a recent camp change may not help at 35. Godinez should have a striking advantage and can stuff takedowns. My only concern is Godinez getting stuck in bad positions, but I think she pulls away via decision.
Paul picks Godinez but is very hesitant. He criticizes Godinez's poor fight IQ, noting she often abandons her wrestling and strikes instead. He points to her fight against Angela Hill where she didn't wrestle despite having a clear advantage. Paul thinks Calvillo is on a losing streak but has faced tough competition. He says Godinez is talented but unreliable at -300.
The MMA Guru picks Lupita Godinez to win by 29-28 split decision. He expects Godinez to land crisper shots on the feet and mix in takedowns in the first two rounds, while Calvillo will come back in the third round. He sees round two as a toss-up but believes Godinez's takedowns will be the difference maker. The prediction is close and acknowledges Calvillo's late surge.
Zane picks Godinez because Calvillo has been mentally in a hole and her game is dysfunctional. He notes that Godinez is crazy and aggressive, which should be enough to win. However, he worries that if Godinez can't get takedowns, she loses confidence in her boxing.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 0 | 48 of 139 | 34% | 66 of 159 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:09 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 39 of 133 | 29% | 47 of 142 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 10 of 40 | 25% | 10 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 10 of 37 | 27% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 27 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:44 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 9 of 39 | 23% | 16 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 0 | 29 of 58 | 50% | 29 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 57 | 35% | 21 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Nunes | 48 of 139 | 34% | 16 of 86 | 17 of 26 | 15 of 27 | 47 of 138 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 39 of 133 | 29% | 17 of 94 | 4 of 12 | 18 of 27 | 38 of 131 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nina Nunes | 10 of 40 | 25% | 4 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 10 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 10 of 37 | 27% | 1 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 8 of 12 | 10 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Nina Nunes | 9 of 41 | 21% | 3 of 28 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 6 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 9 of 39 | 23% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 8 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Nina Nunes | 29 of 58 | 50% | 9 of 32 | 12 of 15 | 8 of 11 | 28 of 57 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 57 | 35% | 11 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 7 of 9 | 20 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nina Nunes as an underdog, citing Calvillo's decline after the Andrade loss and her quitting on the stool. He believes Nunes is more consistent, tough, and will not break. He notes Calvillo is the more talented fighter but has lost her edge.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Nina Nunes to win by decision. He notes that both fighters are on losing streaks and have question marks: Nunes is 36, coming off a layoff and a loss, while Calvillo is 35, on a three-fight skid, and seems distracted. Stylistically, Nunes has better takedown defense and striking. Brady says he would never bet on this fight but picks Nunes to stuff takedowns and win on the feet.
Cody picks Nina Nunes, citing red flags on both sides but favoring Nunes' striking advantage and improved grappling camp with Amanda Nunes. He notes Calvillo's recent lack of wrestling and poor durability. Cody thinks Nunes can scramble back to her feet and win on the feet.
Daniel Levi passes on this fight, noting that both fighters are in uncertain form. He says Cynthia Calvillo has been quitting on the stool and Nina Nunes had a baby and COVID. He cannot confidently pick a winner.
The host mentions Nunes as an underdog he likes but wants nothing to do with that fight, so he does not make a pick. He does not provide any analysis or reasoning for either fighter.
Paul leans toward Nina Nunes as an underdog. He notes that Calvillo hasn't dominated with wrestling at 125 lbs and that if the fight stays standing, Nunes wins. He is considering a shot on the dog, citing Calvillo's recent poor performances and lack of desire.
The host picks Cynthia Calvillo, questioning Nina Nunes's focus and commitment. He notes Nunes's easy loss to Mackenzie Dern and believes Calvillo's grappling and recent competition level will lead to a 29-28 decision. He expects Calvillo to pull ahead after a tough first round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 47 of 154 | 30% | 47 of 154 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 84 of 210 | 40% | 85 of 211 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 25 of 87 | 28% | 25 of 87 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 43 of 116 | 37% | 44 of 117 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 41 of 94 | 43% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lee | 47 of 154 | 30% | 18 of 99 | 21 of 46 | 8 of 9 | 47 of 154 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 84 of 210 | 40% | 46 of 155 | 30 of 45 | 8 of 10 | 83 of 208 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrea Lee | 25 of 87 | 28% | 11 of 62 | 10 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 25 of 87 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 43 of 116 | 37% | 27 of 92 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 43 of 115 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Andrea Lee | 22 of 67 | 32% | 7 of 37 | 11 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 41 of 94 | 43% | 19 of 63 | 18 of 26 | 4 of 5 | 40 of 93 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrea Lee, citing her polished striking and comfort on the feet. He notes that Calvillo looks uncomfortable striking and that Lee has improved grappling. Angelo has a moneyline bet on Lee at near even money and thinks she can control the striking exchanges.
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo but is hesitant, noting Andrea Lee has superior striking volume and accuracy. However, he highlights Lee's poor takedown defense (57%) and that she has been taken down in every UFC fight except one. Brady believes Calvillo can win by wrestling, but recalls her fight against Chookagian where she didn't wrestle enough, causing doubt.
Cody has a gut feeling that Calvillo might lose. He notes that Lee has been working on her wrestling and that Calvillo is 1-2 at 125 lbs. He thinks if Lee can stuff takedowns, she can out-strike Calvillo. He calls it a 'dog or pass' and might take a small shot on Lee.
Daniel Levi picks Cynthia Calvillo, citing her dominant ground game and ability to get takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee has been taken down multiple times by previous opponents (Roxanne Modafferi, Lauren Murphy, Joanne Calderwood) and believes Calvillo only needs one or two takedowns to win rounds or secure a finish. Levi acknowledges Lee's striking volume but thinks Calvillo's grappling will be the difference.
Jacob picks Cynthia Calvillo, believing she will dominate on the ground. He thinks Calvillo will get in the pocket, take Lee down, and control the fight. Jacob is a big Calvillo fan and thinks the UFC gave her a winnable matchup after her loss to Andrade.
Paul believes Calvillo has a massive wrestling advantage and should spam takedowns. He notes that Andrea Lee gives up takedowns to everyone. He thinks Calvillo can control the fight on the ground and win a decision.
The Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo by unanimous decision (29-27). He expects Andrea Lee to win the first round on the feet, but Calvillo's takedowns and ground control in rounds two and three will secure the win. Calvillo will get a 10-8 in the third due to dominant ground and pound.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 0 | 48 of 86 | 55% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jéssica Andrade | 48 of 86 | 55% | 34 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 13 | 41 of 72 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 75 | 36% | 10 of 52 | 13 of 18 | 4 of 5 | 27 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Andrade, noting her power, bullying style, and that her losses are only to champions. He believes Andrade's strength and aggression will overwhelm Calvillo, who is more technical but lacks power. Angelo thinks Andrade will bully Calvillo and win.
Big Brady picks Jéssica Andrade to win by decision. He believes Andrade is the better striker with more power and volume, and she should stuff Calvillo's takedowns. He notes Andrade has fought much better competition and expects a dominant performance.
Cody is confident Andrade wins, citing her superior strength, pressure, and well-rounded skills. He thinks she will finish Calvillo, who has never been finished in MMA but has shown vulnerabilities. He likes Andrade inside the distance at +150.
Daniel Levi picks Jéssica Andrade, acknowledging her power and history of knockouts in the women's divisions. He notes that Andrade's power can override technique, but he questions her motivation after losing two title fights. He respects Cynthia Calvillo's ground game and toughness, but believes if Andrade is mentally focused, she will win. He expresses concern about a potential title-fight letdown.
Jacob picks Calvillo, seeing value at +220. He thinks Calvillo can out-tough Andrade and threaten submissions. Jacob notes that Andrade may not be able to bully Calvillo at flyweight. He admits he doesn't think Calvillo will dominate but sees a path to victory.
The host picks Jéssica Andrade via decision. He believes Andrade will march forward, land big shots, and stop takedowns. He thinks Calvillo's wrestling is not good enough to take Andrade down repeatedly. He notes that Andrade has a power advantage and will do damage, but Calvillo is durable. He expects the fight to take place mostly on the feet where Andrade has the edge.
Paul is confident Andrade wins, calling her a 'body snatcher' and noting her power and durability. He acknowledges Calvillo's path to victory via wrestling but doubts she can impose her will. He expects Andrade to dominate.
The MMA Guru picks Jéssica Andrade over Cynthia Calvillo, citing Andrade's superior striking and grappling. He notes that Calvillo has no finishing ability and cannot keep Andrade down. He expects Andrade to win a decision, possibly with a late-round finish, as she builds momentum. He mentions that Andrade is younger and has fought for titles, while Calvillo couldn't crack the top 10 at strawweight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 69 of 230 | 30% | 69 of 230 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 60 of 197 | 30% | 60 of 197 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 27 of 72 | 37% | 27 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 60 | 35% | 21 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 80 | 30% | 24 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 17 of 71 | 23% | 17 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 18 of 78 | 23% | 18 of 78 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 66 | 33% | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 69 of 230 | 30% | 45 of 190 | 11 of 22 | 13 of 18 | 68 of 227 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 60 of 197 | 30% | 31 of 134 | 17 of 46 | 12 of 17 | 59 of 196 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 27 of 72 | 37% | 11 of 51 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 27 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 60 | 35% | 11 of 42 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 7 | 21 of 60 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 80 | 30% | 19 of 71 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 23 of 79 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 17 of 71 | 23% | 8 of 51 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 17 of 71 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 18 of 78 | 23% | 15 of 68 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 18 of 77 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 66 | 33% | 12 of 41 | 7 of 20 | 3 of 5 | 21 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by decision. He notes Calvillo has good wrestling and Chookagian has poor takedown defense (48%). He thinks Calvillo will take her down and control the fight, though the line is too wide for a close fight.
Daniel picks Calvillo, citing her toughness, improved striking, and ground game. He notes Chookagian has been talking about retirement and was stopped in her last fight. He believes Calvillo is hungrier and will impose her will, especially if she gets top position.
The host picks Katlyn Cerminara to win by decision, seeing massive value at plus money. He believes her movement and range will cause problems for Calvillo, and that she can keep the fight on the feet or hold her own on the ground. He thinks the line is too wide and that Cerminara has a good chance.
The MMA Guru picks Cynthia Calvillo to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Calvillo's takedowns will be the difference, as she has evolved and has good grappling. He notes Chookagian may be coming back too soon after a body shot loss, and that Calvillo has wins over top flyweights like Joanne Calderwood.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 70 of 280 | 25% | 70 of 283 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 113 of 237 | 47% | 150 of 294 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 7:46 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 20 of 82 | 24% | 20 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 24 of 68 | 35% | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 7 of 23 | 30% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 30 of 43 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 23 of 53 | 43% | 26 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 33 of 59 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 86 | 27% | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jessica Eye | 0 | 37 of 68 | 54% | 37 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 70 of 280 | 25% | 59 of 261 | 10 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 69 of 276 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 113 of 237 | 47% | 77 of 185 | 32 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 105 of 225 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 20 of 82 | 24% | 16 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 80 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 24 of 68 | 35% | 13 of 54 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 24 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 7 of 23 | 30% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 14 of 55 | 25% | 14 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 14 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 23 of 53 | 43% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 53 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Cynthia Calvillo | 5 of 34 | 14% | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 17 of 30 | 56% | 14 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 86 | 27% | 20 of 77 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jessica Eye | 37 of 68 | 54% | 26 of 53 | 11 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 33 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 |
Daniel Levi slightly leans towards Cynthia Calvillo, emphasizing her opportunistic ground game and finishing ability. He notes that while Jessica Eye may have advantages in boxing and athleticism, Calvillo can capitalize on takedowns and ground control to steal rounds. Levi acknowledges his bias against Eye but believes Calvillo's cardio and opportunistic nature could edge her to a close decision or even a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Jessica Eye, citing her reach advantage, size, takedown defense, and superior boxing. He notes that Cynthia Calvillo is 32 and not a young talent, so he favors Eye's experience. He predicts a boring five-round unanimous decision with Eye winning every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 56 of 140 | 40% | 61 of 145 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 78 of 130 | 60% | 112 of 173 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 5:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 22 of 53 | 41% | 27 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 21 of 32 | 65% | 25 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 29 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 13 of 39 | 33% | 14 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 44 of 59 | 74% | 73 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Rodriguez | 56 of 140 | 40% | 30 of 110 | 18 of 20 | 8 of 10 | 39 of 117 | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 78 of 130 | 60% | 51 of 90 | 17 of 26 | 10 of 14 | 30 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 46 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marina Rodriguez | 22 of 53 | 41% | 17 of 48 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 21 of 32 | 65% | 12 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Marina Rodriguez | 29 of 71 | 40% | 13 of 51 | 11 of 13 | 5 of 7 | 20 of 58 | 9 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 13 of 39 | 33% | 5 of 22 | 4 of 10 | 4 of 7 | 12 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marina Rodriguez | 5 of 16 | 31% | 0 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cynthia Calvillo | 44 of 59 | 74% | 34 of 49 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 42 of 52 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 73 of 176 | 41% | 73 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 82 of 192 | 42% | 82 of 192 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 73 of 176 | 41% | 41 of 136 | 6 of 8 | 26 of 32 | 72 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 82 of 192 | 42% | 41 of 139 | 17 of 24 | 24 of 29 | 79 of 186 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 32 of 62 | 51% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 28 of 63 | 44% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 28 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 22 of 67 | 32% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Cortney Casey - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 55 of 117 | 47% | 81 of 158 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 80 of 146 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 3:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 16 of 35 | 45% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:34 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 35 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 24 of 57 | 42% | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 9 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 0 | 15 of 25 | 60% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 36 of 60 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonina Shevchenko | 55 of 117 | 47% | 26 of 73 | 15 of 26 | 14 of 18 | 54 of 115 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 33 of 86 | 38% | 17 of 52 | 2 of 7 | 14 of 27 | 28 of 78 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antonina Shevchenko | 16 of 35 | 45% | 6 of 21 | 5 of 8 | 5 of 6 | 16 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 20 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 9 of 14 | 11 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Antonina Shevchenko | 24 of 57 | 42% | 9 of 34 | 6 of 11 | 9 of 12 | 24 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 37 | 24% | 5 of 23 | 0 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 9 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Antonina Shevchenko | 15 of 25 | 60% | 11 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 29 | 41% | 9 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 |
Angelo picks Antonina Shevchenko as the better striker, expecting the fight to stay on the feet since Cortney Casey has poor takedown offense (no takedowns in 4 years). He notes Antonina has clean technique but real gaps in grappling. He is not betting the moneyline but considers a plus 3.5 round bet on Casey because she is tough and could win one round.
Big Brady picks Antonina Shevchenko but with low confidence, noting that he typically looks to fade her. He explains that Cortney Casey's path to victory would be via takedowns, but she rarely uses her wrestling (only 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes). Since he can't trust Casey to implement that game plan, he expects the fight to stay on the feet where Shevchenko is the better striker. He calls it a close fight and says he doesn't want to bet it.
Cody thinks Shevchenko's striking is world-class and she has a slight wrestling advantage over Casey. He notes Casey is durable but has poor takedown defense. He expects Shevchenko to use her speed and technique to win a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
The host does not pick a winner for this fight. He only bets on the fight going to decision (over 2.5 rounds) at -180. He expects Shevchenko to outpoint Casey but notes that Casey could snatch a submission. He does not commit to a side on the moneyline.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Shevchenko. He notes that Casey's wrestling is non-existent and Shevchenko should have a grappling advantage. He thinks the price is reasonable for a women's MMA fight and expects Shevchenko to win.
The Guru picks Cortney Casey as an underdog, calling the fight a coin flip between two inconsistent fighters. He believes oddsmakers overvalue Shevchenko's surname and record. He trusts Casey's volume and grappling to edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 89 of 218 | 40% | 124 of 257 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 34 of 154 | 22% | 57 of 184 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 29 of 67 | 43% | 53 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 9 of 47 | 19% | 13 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 23 of 61 | 37% | 30 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 8 of 45 | 17% | 26 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 37 of 90 | 41% | 41 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Liana Jojua | 0 | 17 of 62 | 27% | 18 of 63 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 89 of 218 | 40% | 61 of 173 | 12 of 25 | 16 of 20 | 86 of 213 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 3 |
| Liana Jojua | 34 of 154 | 22% | 29 of 143 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 30 of 145 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 29 of 67 | 43% | 19 of 53 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 29 of 67 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Liana Jojua | 9 of 47 | 19% | 8 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 43 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 23 of 61 | 37% | 14 of 46 | 3 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 22 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Liana Jojua | 8 of 45 | 17% | 7 of 41 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 37 of 90 | 41% | 28 of 74 | 5 of 11 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 88 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Liana Jojua | 17 of 62 | 27% | 14 of 57 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Cortney Casey due to her higher level of competition and more technical striking. He acknowledges that Jojua has a path to victory through grappling but notes her poor takedown ability. Angelo thinks the odds are a bit wide and considers this a close fight, but picks experience.
Big Brady is confident in Cortney Casey, criticizing Liana Jojua's poor striking defense, wrestling, and cardio. He notes Jojua was dominated by Sarah Morris and Miranda Maverick, and while Casey has a mediocre record, she has faced tougher competition. Brady expects Casey to have a striking advantage and predicts a TKO in the second round as Jojua fades.
Cody is betting against Jojua, not for Casey. He notes Jojua's poor performances and long layoff. He thinks Casey's volume and experience should win, but he's not confident because Casey is 9-9 and hasn't won in two years. He advises caution and checking weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey, noting that Jojua's takedowns are not strong and most of her wins come by armbar off her back, which Casey has not been submitted by. He acknowledges Casey's poor takedown defense but believes she is the tougher fighter and has beaten higher-level competition. Levi says he would never bet Casey at -240 but still picks her to win.
Jacob picks Liana Jojua as his lock of the week, believing she will use offensive wrestling to take Casey down and control her. He notes that Casey has been taken down in recent fights and thinks Jojua's grappling is superior. Jacob is very confident in this pick.
Paul thinks Casey is far more skilled than Jojua, who has poor stand-up and is hittable. He expects Casey to win by volume and experience. He notes Casey's grappling is adequate and Jojua's only path is a submission, which is unlikely.
The Guru picks Cortney Casey by submission (rear-naked choke) in the second round. He expects Casey to out-strike Jojua on the feet, then reverse a takedown attempt and secure the choke. Jojua's nose and eye will be bloodied from Casey's pressure and clinch work.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 0 | 55 of 131 | 41% | 121 of 202 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 45 of 80 | 56% | 58 of 99 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 21 of 40 | 52% | 51 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 19 | 47% | 18 of 31 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:54 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 43 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 15 of 24 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 25 of 43 | 58% | 25 of 44 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Aldrich | 55 of 131 | 41% | 35 of 107 | 9 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 45 of 114 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 45 of 80 | 56% | 41 of 74 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 64 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JJ Aldrich | 21 of 40 | 52% | 8 of 26 | 5 of 5 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 27 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 19 | 47% | 6 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 13 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | JJ Aldrich | 7 of 25 | 28% | 4 of 20 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 11 of 18 | 61% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 8 | |
| 3 | JJ Aldrich | 27 of 66 | 40% | 23 of 61 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 25 of 62 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 25 of 43 | 58% | 24 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks JJ Aldrich but is not confident, calling it a close fight. He notes that Casey has terrible takedown defense (37%) and Aldrich could exploit that by mixing in takedowns, though Aldrich rarely attempts them. He sees the striking as near 50-50 with a slight edge to Aldrich. He predicts a close decision, possibly 29-28 split, and advises against betting on this fight.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey reluctantly, reasoning that if there are no takedowns, Casey's higher output could edge a split decision. He acknowledges Casey's poor takedown defense and questionable decisions, but notes that JJ Aldridge rarely shoots for takedowns and has been stopped standing. He believes Casey's toughness and volume could be enough in a striking match.
Lock loves Aldrich's fighting style, noting she moves forward, throws combinations with heat, and has good technique. He mentions her close fight with Sabina Mazo that could have gone her way. He thinks she can cause Casey issues on the feet and is confident at -140. He questions Casey's recent form.
The Guru initially changes his mind mid-sentence but ultimately picks Cortney Casey as an underdog. He believes Casey's experience against tougher competition gives her an edge, and he criticizes JJ Aldridge's losses, particularly to Macy Barber and Sabina Mazo. He expects a scrappy fight where Casey secures a submission, specifically an armbar, in the second round. He notes that Casey has fought better opponents and her losses look better than Aldridge's.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 0 | 22 of 55 | 40% | 113 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 41 of 72 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 0 | 11:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 3 of 13 | 23% | 23 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 5 of 14 | 35% | 12 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:17 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 40 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 20 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 0 | 14 of 29 | 48% | 50 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 9 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 0 | 2:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gillian Robertson | 22 of 55 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 5 | 20 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 21 of 50 | 42% | 15 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Robertson | 3 of 13 | 23% | 2 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 5 of 14 | 35% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Gillian Robertson | 5 of 13 | 38% | 4 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 9 | |
| 3 | Gillian Robertson | 14 of 29 | 48% | 10 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 4 of 20 | 20% | 2 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Gillian Robertson by decision, expecting her to take Cortney Casey down repeatedly and control the fight on the ground. He notes Casey's poor takedown defense and believes Robertson will avoid striking exchanges. He acknowledges Casey's submission threat from bottom but thinks Robertson will be safe on top and may even get a ground-and-pound finish.
Daniel Levi leans toward Cortney Casey, acknowledging she will be taken down but believing she has a good guard and submission threats. He notes that Gillian Robertson checks out if she can't get an early sub, and Casey can win on the feet or via submission. Levi warns that betting Casey requires accepting early takedowns, but sees value at plus money.
Casey has momentum and is bigger with a reach advantage. Robertson has a good ground game but Casey is stronger. Casey will get a submission in the first round, though it's a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 21 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 18 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 0 | 5 of 7 | 71% | 21 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 6 of 12 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
| Mara Romero Borella | 5 of 7 | 71% | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Mara Romero Borella by decision, noting that Borella has a takedown advantage and Casey has poor takedown defense. He acknowledges that on the feet Casey is likely better, but believes Borella can get takedowns and control time on the ground. He mentions that Borella is chinny and has been knocked out multiple times, but still favors her due to the grappling edge.
Daniel Levi picks Cortney Casey. He notes that Casey is the far superior fighter and tougher, despite her questionable fight IQ. He believes Borella lacks chin and confidence, and if she can't get takedowns, she loses. He expects Casey to give up early takedowns but eventually land a big shot and win.
The host picks Mara Romero Borella, though he admits both fighters are not great. He cites Borella's physical advantages (shorter with longer reach) making it harder for Casey to get inside. He predicts a close, uneventful decision win for Borella.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 73 of 176 | 41% | 73 of 177 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 82 of 192 | 42% | 82 of 192 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:58 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 32 of 62 | 51% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 22 of 52 | 42% | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 28 of 63 | 44% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 0 | 27 of 66 | 40% | 27 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 22 of 67 | 32% | 22 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynthia Calvillo | 73 of 176 | 41% | 41 of 136 | 6 of 8 | 26 of 32 | 72 of 175 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 82 of 192 | 42% | 41 of 139 | 17 of 24 | 24 of 29 | 79 of 186 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cynthia Calvillo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 14 of 47 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 24 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 32 of 62 | 51% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 11 | 14 of 14 | 29 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Cynthia Calvillo | 22 of 52 | 42% | 12 of 38 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 11 | 22 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 28 of 63 | 44% | 15 of 45 | 7 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 28 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cynthia Calvillo | 27 of 66 | 40% | 15 of 51 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 12 | 26 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Cortney Casey | 22 of 67 | 32% | 16 of 57 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 22 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 111 of 333 | 33% | 117 of 341 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 121 of 222 | 54% | 123 of 224 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 29 of 98 | 29% | 29 of 99 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 33 of 65 | 50% | 33 of 65 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 43 of 113 | 38% | 47 of 117 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 41 of 75 | 54% | 43 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 0 | 39 of 122 | 31% | 41 of 125 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Angela Hill | 0 | 47 of 82 | 57% | 47 of 82 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cortney Casey | 111 of 333 | 33% | 80 of 290 | 17 of 28 | 14 of 15 | 100 of 321 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 2 |
| Angela Hill | 121 of 222 | 54% | 65 of 156 | 34 of 41 | 22 of 25 | 110 of 211 | 10 of 10 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cortney Casey | 29 of 98 | 29% | 22 of 89 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
| Angela Hill | 33 of 65 | 50% | 16 of 46 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 11 | 29 of 61 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Cortney Casey | 43 of 113 | 38% | 30 of 95 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 35 of 104 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 41 of 75 | 54% | 21 of 52 | 13 of 15 | 7 of 8 | 38 of 72 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Cortney Casey | 39 of 122 | 31% | 28 of 106 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 39 of 122 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Angela Hill | 47 of 82 | 57% | 28 of 58 | 14 of 18 | 5 of 6 | 43 of 78 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
The strawweights come to the center of the cage, ready to go. Hill is moving quite a bit early, giving Casey plenty of angles. “Overkill” peppers the taller fighter with a quick combo upstairs, but there’s not behind it. During an exchange, Casey stumbles back and sits down; Hill lets her up. Hill goes with a slick left hook to the face, followed by a right low kick. Hill walks into a straight left, but she counters that with a left low kick. A hard right leg kick by “Overkill” follows but Casey storms back with a left and a right to the face. The two begin opening up much more and tag each other with punches to the head. Casey eats a few more punches and then opts for a takedown. Casey ties Hill up against the cage and drags her foe to the canvas. Hill wastes no time and latches on an armbar, but the Phoenix-based fighter stacks her nicely to fend it off. Casey perfectly executes the armbar escapes, but she is immediately attacked by Hill, who shoots in for a double. Back on their feet late in the round, the ladies trade solid punches. Hill tags Casey with a pair of rights to the face to seal the round in her favor. 10-9 Hill.
Round 2
The women pick up where they left off from the end of the first and trade hard punches to the head. Hill gets the better of the initial exchange, forcing Casey to shoot in for a takedown. Hill stuffs her long enough to separate and regroups to the center of the Octagon. Hill slams a left hook and right leg kick onto the taller fighter, but the Casey counters with a straight right to the jaw that snaps Hill’s head back. “Overkill” settles down and pops her foe’s head back with a series of jabs, but the Phoenix-based fighter answers with a slurry to the head and body. Casey ducks under a left hook and shoots in for a double-leg takedown. “Overkill” does a splendid job defending it and eventually separates back to the center of the cage. Hill is bleeding from the nose, but she connects with a left hook to the jaw that briefly rocks Casey. “Cast Iron” backs off but Hill chases after her. Hill lands a straight left up top and narrowly avoids a knee to the face in return. Hill lands an overhand elbow to the head during an exchange just before the horn, capturing another round. 10-9 Hill.
Round 3
Casey, likely sensing she desperately needs this round, comes out aggressively. Hill sees it and tags her with a sweeping left hook to the jab. “Cast Iron” shakes it off and goes low with a kick before coming back upstairs with a right-left that is blocked. “Overkill” clips her foe with a right behind the ear, but it doesn’t seem to faze Casey that much. Hill has some swelling around her left eye as she digs a flurry to the body. Casey, in return, fires off a pair of rights to the head. At the midway point, Hill is moving around the cage nicely; Casey seems to be growing frustrated. A stiff left jab from “Overkill” backs off the charging Casey, who then has to swallow a right cross. Hill delivers a shot to the gut just as Casey tries closing the gap. With a minute left, Casey needs to go for broke her, but “Overkill” is playing it smart by staying just out of range. Hill tags her opponent with three left jabs, a right cross and then a left to the body. Casey tries to fire back, but Hill is nowhere to be found. They trade punches for the final few moments of the fight, but nothing is too severe. 10-9 Hill (30-27 Hill).
The Official Result
Cortney Casey-Sanchez def. Angela Hill via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 61 of 84 | 72% | 77 of 103 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 6:05 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 36 of 96 | 37% | 64 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 1:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 23 of 36 | 63% | 27 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 16 of 38 | 42% | 23 of 47 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 2 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 23 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 22 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:23 | |
| 3 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 22 of 27 | 81% | 27 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Cortney Casey | 0 | 9 of 33 | 27% | 19 of 43 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 61 of 84 | 72% | 30 of 49 | 13 of 15 | 18 of 20 | 41 of 61 | 6 of 7 | 14 of 16 |
| Cortney Casey | 36 of 96 | 37% | 22 of 79 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 9 | 22 of 82 | 9 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 23 of 36 | 63% | 11 of 20 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 10 | 14 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 7 |
| Cortney Casey | 16 of 38 | 42% | 9 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 11 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 16 of 21 | 76% | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Cortney Casey | 11 of 25 | 44% | 8 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 21 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 22 of 27 | 81% | 9 of 14 | 8 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 18 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Cortney Casey | 9 of 33 | 27% | 5 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
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