UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 6"
Reach 68.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 4"
Reach 62.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Taila Santos
3.39 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
2.64 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
2.0 TD Avg
76.0% TD Acc.
86.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Molly McCann
5.28 SLpM
49.0% Str. Acc.
4.65 SApM
62.0% Str. Def.
1.78 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
38.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Taila Santos - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 61 of 128 47% 119 of 210 0 of 14 0% 0 0 8:08
Taila Santos 0 55 of 151 36% 96 of 202 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 26 of 55 47% 36 of 69 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:22
Taila Santos 0 25 of 71 35% 31 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Erin Blanchfield 0 9 of 18 50% 34 of 58 0 of 4 0% 0 0 4:01
Taila Santos 0 11 of 24 45% 32 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Erin Blanchfield 0 26 of 55 47% 49 of 83 0 of 6 0% 0 0 2:45
Taila Santos 0 19 of 56 33% 33 of 74 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 61 of 128 47% 37 of 99 18 of 23 6 of 6 43 of 102 17 of 24 1 of 2
Taila Santos 55 of 151 36% 28 of 118 9 of 15 18 of 18 46 of 133 9 of 18 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 26 of 55 47% 16 of 45 7 of 7 3 of 3 20 of 49 6 of 6 0 of 0
Taila Santos 25 of 71 35% 13 of 56 5 of 8 7 of 7 21 of 63 4 of 8 0 of 0
2 Erin Blanchfield 9 of 18 50% 3 of 9 4 of 7 2 of 2 5 of 9 3 of 7 1 of 2
Taila Santos 11 of 24 45% 5 of 16 2 of 4 4 of 4 8 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Erin Blanchfield 26 of 55 47% 18 of 45 7 of 9 1 of 1 18 of 44 8 of 11 0 of 0
Taila Santos 19 of 56 33% 10 of 46 2 of 3 7 of 7 17 of 51 2 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo acknowledges Blanchfield's grappling and improved striking, but leans toward Santos because of her power, technical striking, and BJJ. He questions whether Blanchfield can get takedowns against Santos, and if she can't, Santos will light her up. He notes that Blanchfield is a surprising 2-to-1 favorite and thinks the fight should be closer to even money.

"I just have a tiny slight lean for Tyler she's I'm gonna pick her this should be almost even money"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady is torn on this fight, acknowledging both fighters are championship caliber. He favors Blanchfield due to her youth, activity, and improvements, especially in striking. He questions Santos's mental toughness, citing her excuses after the Valentina fight and pulling out of this fight earlier. He expects a close fight and picks Blanchfield by decision, but with low confidence.

decision
"blanchfield blanchfield by decision but not a ton of confidence"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Cody picks Blanchfield due to her youth, improving skills, and superior cardio. He believes her wrestling and pressure will wear down Santos, who he sees as a step down from the elite. Cody expects a close decision or late submission.

"the pick for me is Blanche Shield because I'm Blanche Shield believer"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel picks Erin Blanchfield, praising her mean streak and relentless pressure. He notes that Santos is more physical and a better striker, but Blanchfield's grappling and cardio will take over in later rounds. He mentions that Blanchfield is a lifelong black belt and has a strong chin. He is confident she wins, though he thinks the price is accurate and not a value bet.

"I think Aaron blanchfield wins here um I'm close to betting her but I haven't yet because I do think I kind of agree with you the slime"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Erin Blanchfield

James picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her continuous improvement, will to win, and superior grappling chain. He believes she can get takedowns on Santos and dominate on the mat, potentially submitting her. He acknowledges Santos' size and power but thinks Blanchfield's pace and cardio will be decisive. He also notes Santos' inactivity and the emotional letdown from the title loss.

bet on Erin Blanchfield moneyline; also considered Blanchfield submission at 22-1 but did not bet
"I lean air in blanchfield a decent amount"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host acknowledges Taila Santos' strength and performance against Valentina Shevchenko, but believes Blanchfield's technical grappling and top control will be the difference. He notes Blanchfield's dominant win over Jessica Andrade and her ability to pass guard and maintain top position. The host expects a grueling fight but picks Blanchfield by decision.

"I'm going to go blanchfield and blanchfield by decision but it's going to be a grueling grueling fight for bro both women."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul sides with Blanchfield, noting her grappling advantage and potential to get takedowns. He acknowledges Santos' close fight with Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's youth and improvement give her the edge. Paul is not fully confident but leans Blanchfield.

"I'm going to side with Blanche Fields uh on that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield over Taila Santos, citing Blanchfield's youth (6-year age difference) and likely improvement. He believes Blanchfield has better grappling, scrambles, and crisper stand-up, though Santos may have a power advantage. He notes Santos' close fight with Valentina Shevchenko but thinks Blanchfield's activity and conditioning will win. He predicts a competitive 29-28 decision.

Unanimous decision predicted
"I'm gonna go Erin blanchfield I think her grappling game's a bit better I think her striking's a bit more active she's a bit busier her conditioning is a bit better"
Decision (split) (48–47, 47–48, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · Jun 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Valentina Shevchenko 0 77 of 139 55% 234 of 309 3 of 5 60% 1 0 4:15
Taila Santos 0 55 of 102 53% 128 of 180 3 of 3 100% 3 2 8:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Valentina Shevchenko 0 10 of 16 62% 35 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:28
Taila Santos 0 5 of 10 50% 12 of 17 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:51
2 Valentina Shevchenko 0 7 of 19 36% 64 of 81 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:09
Taila Santos 0 4 of 7 57% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 1 3:40
3 Valentina Shevchenko 0 17 of 22 77% 46 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Taila Santos 0 7 of 15 46% 10 of 18 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:21
4 Valentina Shevchenko 0 29 of 59 49% 37 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Taila Santos 0 28 of 56 50% 33 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
5 Valentina Shevchenko 0 14 of 23 60% 52 of 63 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:36
Taila Santos 0 11 of 14 78% 42 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Valentina Shevchenko 77 of 139 55% 46 of 100 12 of 18 19 of 21 65 of 123 7 of 10 5 of 6
Taila Santos 55 of 102 53% 18 of 58 11 of 15 26 of 29 45 of 89 4 of 5 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Valentina Shevchenko 10 of 16 62% 5 of 8 2 of 4 3 of 4 6 of 11 4 of 5 0 of 0
Taila Santos 5 of 10 50% 2 of 7 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Valentina Shevchenko 7 of 19 36% 5 of 14 1 of 3 1 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 1 4 of 5
Taila Santos 4 of 7 57% 3 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 3
3 Valentina Shevchenko 17 of 22 77% 6 of 11 3 of 3 8 of 8 16 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
Taila Santos 7 of 15 46% 0 of 6 1 of 2 6 of 7 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Valentina Shevchenko 29 of 59 49% 20 of 48 6 of 8 3 of 3 27 of 56 2 of 3 0 of 0
Taila Santos 28 of 56 50% 11 of 35 6 of 9 11 of 12 23 of 49 1 of 2 4 of 5
5 Valentina Shevchenko 14 of 23 60% 10 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 4 13 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
Taila Santos 11 of 14 78% 2 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 8 11 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Angelo picks Shevchenko confidently, acknowledging she is the best in the division. He notes Santos is dangerous and the toughest opponent Shevchenko has faced recently, but still believes Shevchenko wins. He mentions the odds are wide but doesn't recommend a bet due to the high price.

"i still think valentina shivchenko wins this fight but there is a world where she doesn't and tyla has some success"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Big Brady picks Valentina Shevchenko to win by TKO, expressing high confidence. He notes that Santos' best wins are against lower-level competition and that she lost to Mara Romero Barela. He believes Shevchenko is superior everywhere and will break Santos down, finishing her mid-to-late in the fight.

win by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Shevchenko to win I'm gonna say Shevchenko actually finishes Santos I think it could be early but I'm kind of lean like mid to late."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Cody is confident in Shevchenko, citing her elite skills, wrestling advantage, and championship experience. He questions Santos' level of competition and output, noting she hasn't faced anyone near Shevchenko's caliber. He expects Shevchenko to win by decision.

Shevchenko by decision; over 3.5 rounds
"i likely end up going valentina on the top ticket but uh i i do have some hesitancy at this like exact moment"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Daniel Levi confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko, dismissing Taila Santos's chances due to her poor performance against Mara Romero Barella. He believes Shevchenko is in her prime and has never been dominated in any facet. He notes that Santos's best win is against Joanne Calderwood, who gets finished repeatedly, and that Santos's nerves against Barella indicate she cannot handle the pressure of fighting Shevchenko. He expects Shevchenko to impose her will and win decisively.

Shevchenko by decision at plus 600 (mentioned in context of Holm fight); not laying minus 600
"I got chefchenko to defend uh her belt but yeah I'm curious to see if uh Tyler Santos can bring the fight to her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Shevchenko is the better fighter everywhere. Santos has not shown enough to suggest she can compete with Shevchenko's level. Santos struggled to finish lesser opponents and lost to Mara Romero Borella. Shevchenko has fought Amanda Nunes closely and is on another level. The line is too high to bet, but Shevchenko wins easily.

Over 3.5 rounds (-160)
"I just haven't seen anything yet that's going to make me say i don't know valentina isn't going to just do what she normally does."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

Paul is confident in Shevchenko, calling her the most skilled female fighter. He dismisses Santos' resume and believes Shevchenko's wrestling, striking, and cardio are superior. He expects a decision win for the champion.

Shevchenko by decision; over 3.5 rounds
"valentina's focused enough... she's got the wrestling advantage... she's got the striking advantage... shevchenko decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Valentina Shevchenko

The MMA Guru confidently picks Valentina Shevchenko to win, citing her elite level and experience. He expects Shevchenko to outstrike Santos at range, chopping legs and jabbing. He acknowledges Santos has power and could land some shots, but believes Shevchenko's defense and composure will prevail. He thinks the fight will be competitive but Shevchenko will win clearly. He criticizes the title shot timing for Santos, suggesting she needed another fight.

"i'm going to go valentina shevchenko um i don't mean to have a hot take you know i mean like a shocking news i'm going with valentina chefchenko here"
WIN vs Joanne Wood
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:49 · UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · Nov 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 27 of 68 39% 30 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joanne Wood 2 30 of 60 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 27 of 68 39% 8 of 36 3 of 7 16 of 25 26 of 67 1 of 1 0 of 0
Joanne Wood 30 of 60 50% 21 of 46 3 of 7 6 of 7 19 of 42 0 of 0 11 of 18
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo picks Taila Santos, saying she is better than Joanne Wood everywhere. He notes Taila's power, athleticism, and willingness to mix in takedowns, while Wood is technical but less powerful. He expects Taila to cruise to a decision win, though Wood is tough and could make it competitive. He does not bet due to high DraftKings price (9200) and expects a decision.

DraftKings prices: Santos 9200, Wood 7000; monkey knife fight more/more
"tyler's definitely the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Big Brady picks Taila Santos confidently, stating the line is accurate and could be wider. He highlights Santos' phenomenal wrestling and grappling, noting she controlled top grapplers like Jillian Robertson and Roxy Modafferi for long periods. He points out Joanne Wood's 63% takedown defense and age (35), and believes Santos will dominate with takedowns and control. He predicts a one-sided decision.

win by decision
"give me santos to win by a very dominated one-sided decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Cody picks Taila Santos but strongly dislikes the -380 price. He acknowledges Santos's wrestling and grinding style should neutralize Wood's Muay Thai, but he questions the level of competition Santos has faced. He notes that Wood has fought the division's best and has better striking volume. Cody believes Santos wins via grinding against the cage and takedowns, but he would not bet her straight up at that price; he might include her in parlays lower down.

Cody mentions that if he were betting straight up, he might put a little on Wood, but for parlays he will use Santos. He says the line is out of proportion and he doesn't fully buy into it.
"i just don't agree with the price tag i mean if i was betting straight up fights i might be inclined to maybe put a you know what do they call it a little bit of chedda a little bit …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos confidently, citing her recent improvements and physicality. He notes that Santos has been looking better each fight, with strong muay Thai and takedown ability. He questions Joanne Wood's mental state, suggesting she may not be fully committed after getting married. Levi believes Santos will be stronger, more physical, and hungrier, and that Wood has a history of being broken mentally.

"i think we're seeing the best tyler santos... i'm not sure mentally that she's still in it like she once was"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 19, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Taila Santos

Lock is high on Santos, noting she looked much better in her second UFC fight. He thinks Santos has a grappling advantage and will land takedowns consistently. He also mentions Wood's distractions (recent marriage, talk of retirement) and that she struggles off her back. Lock expects Santos to win by decision at -135.

Taila Santos by decision -135, Joanne Wood by decision +400 (hedge)
"I think tyler santos is the [__] man a lot of people are just dragging her through the mud because of that loss in her ufc debut."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Paul argues that if you think Santos will win, the price shouldn't scare you off. He believes Santos's wrestling and strength advantage will allow her to grind Wood against the cage and render her Muay Thai useless. He thinks Santos wins at least 6-7 out of 10 times, which justifies the -380 line. He criticizes the mentality of flipping a pick based on odds and sticks with Santos as the winner.

"if someone came up to me with just a bout sheet there's no odds right it's just about cheap 12 fights and said who do you think is going to win well i would circle taylor santos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Joanne Wood

The MMA Guru picks Joanne Wood as an underdog over Taila Santos. He argues that Santos's stand-up is not great and she hasn't dominated on the ground against top competition. He highlights Wood's experience against top flyweights, including wins over Lauren Murphy and Andrea Lee, and argues she was robbed in some losses. He expects Wood to outland Santos on the feet and win by unanimous decision (30-27).

"i'm going to go with joanne caudle as a cowderwood as an underdog here"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 18 of 92 19% 43 of 124 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:02
Roxanne Modafferi 1 55 of 95 57% 118 of 164 5 of 5 100% 0 0 8:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 6 of 24 25% 19 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:17
Roxanne Modafferi 0 18 of 30 60% 35 of 50 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:50
2 Taila Santos 0 4 of 12 33% 14 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:30
Roxanne Modafferi 0 9 of 17 52% 34 of 43 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:49
3 Taila Santos 0 8 of 56 14% 10 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Roxanne Modafferi 1 28 of 48 58% 49 of 71 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 18 of 92 19% 13 of 85 2 of 3 3 of 4 16 of 90 2 of 2 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 55 of 95 57% 38 of 75 8 of 11 9 of 9 40 of 72 8 of 9 7 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 6 of 24 25% 3 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 3 5 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 18 of 30 60% 10 of 21 7 of 8 1 of 1 9 of 20 8 of 9 1 of 1
2 Taila Santos 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 9 of 17 52% 6 of 12 0 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 4
3 Taila Santos 8 of 56 14% 6 of 53 1 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Roxanne Modafferi 28 of 48 58% 22 of 42 1 of 1 5 of 5 24 of 39 0 of 0 4 of 9
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Angelo picks Santos, highlighting her athleticism, boxing, and fight IQ. He notes she can adjust game plans, as seen in her fight against Molly McCann where she took her down five times. Angelo believes Santos is better everywhere and will cruise to a decision, as Modafferi is tough to finish.

Angelo suggests Santos by decision prop. He also mentions the plus three and a half points bet for Modafferi and wins inside the distance decision no action for Modafferi at +200.
"Taylor Santos is the pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Taila Santos

Big Brady picks Taila Santos to win by dominant decision. He emphasizes that Santos is a completely different fighter from her debut, having dominated Molly McCann and Gillian Robertson. He sees Santos as younger, stronger, and better everywhere, with no clear path to victory for Modafferi. He warns against betting on Modafferi based on Santos' first fight.

"tawa santos is the real deal you know she's somebody to definitely look out for"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Cody leans towards Modafferi as a value play, noting her durability, grit, and history of cashing as an underdog. He acknowledges Santos' strength and crisp striking but questions her cardio and the wide price. He is hesitant due to Modafferi's age and torn meniscus.

"value is value and i think the value is squarely on roxanne at plus 310"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Taila Santos

Daniel Levi picks Taila Santos but is hesitant due to her previous performance against Mara Borella where she refused to throw. He notes that Santos should win dominantly but is concerned about her tendency to freeze, especially with fans returning. He respects Roxanne Modafferi's toughness and ability to upset, but believes Santos is the superior fighter. He advises against betting the -400 line.

betting advice: not laying -400
"all that said give me the superior fighter give me tyler santos is just please don't pull a stun here like please perform to the best of your abilities and you'll win this fight period"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Roxanne Modafferi

Jacob picks Modafferi by submission, following her pattern of alternating wins and losses. He feels this is a fight where Modafferi shouldn't win but will find a way. He notes Santos lacks killer instinct and thinks a weird scramble could lead to a submission.

Jacob says he'll take a small flyer on Modafferi by submission at +1200. He also mentions the plus three and a half points bet.
"I'm gonna put a wild weird bet on rockstein by submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Taila Santos

The host picks Taila Santos to win via decision. He believes Santos is a much better striker with improving takedown defense and get-up ability. He expects Santos to pick Modafferi apart from distance and pass her takedown defense test. He notes Modafferi's durability but thinks Santos is on the ascent while Modafferi is on the decline.

Santos by decision at -130
"i am gonna go with tyler santos and i'll pick her to win this fight via decision hit that minus one thirty i like it"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not have a clear pick. He finds Santos' price too high and is wary of Modafferi's injury and age. He considers Modafferi at plus money but is not confident. He will watch weigh-ins before deciding.

"i can't bet taylor at this price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Taila Santos

The MMA Guru picks Taila Santos over Roxanne Modafferi, citing Modafferi's age and lack of improvement. He notes that Santos is young, well-rounded, and has a good ground game, which should prevent Modafferi from laying in half guard. He expects Santos to win a unanimous decision, as Modafferi is tough but not skilled enough. He mentions that Santos' win over Molly McCann looks better now, and that Modafferi has over 40 fights but still looks lost.

"i'm going to go with taylor santos here by unanimous decision over rocks and motor fairing"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 9 of 14 64% 42 of 48 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:01
Gillian Robertson 0 27 of 37 72% 72 of 85 1 of 1 100% 1 0 12:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 6 of 9 66% 25 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Gillian Robertson 0 6 of 8 75% 22 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:33
2 Taila Santos 0 1 of 3 33% 7 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Gillian Robertson 0 12 of 12 100% 19 of 20 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:01
3 Taila Santos 0 2 of 2 100% 10 of 10 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Gillian Robertson 0 9 of 17 52% 31 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 9 of 14 64% 7 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 5
Gillian Robertson 27 of 37 72% 21 of 30 3 of 4 3 of 3 4 of 13 1 of 1 22 of 23
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 6 of 9 66% 5 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 4
Gillian Robertson 6 of 8 75% 6 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 5
2 Taila Santos 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Gillian Robertson 12 of 12 100% 8 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 9
3 Taila Santos 2 of 2 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gillian Robertson 9 of 17 52% 7 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

Big Brady picks Gillian Robertson over Taila Santos, emphasizing Robertson's relentless takedown game and BJJ black belt. He notes Santos' inconsistency (bad nerves in the Barella fight, but looked great against McCann). Brady believes if Robertson gets the fight to the mat, she will win by TKO or submission in round three. He also likes the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at +155.

fight doesn't go to decision (+155), TKO or submission in round three
"give me jillian robertson by tko or sub whichever one inside the distance"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

The host picks Robertson, believing her grappling and submission threat will be decisive. He notes Santos is a better striker but expects Robertson to drag the fight to the ground and finish via submission or ground-and-pound. He likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

Under 2.5 rounds (if plus money)
"i'm taking robertson i think she wins either by submission or tko on the ground"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Gillian Robertson

The Guru picks Gillian Robertson, citing her superior grappling and submission ability. He notes that Robertson has dominated on the ground against opponents like Poliana Botelho and Courtney Casey, while Santos has been controlled by grapplers like Mara Romero Borella. He predicts a second or third round rear-naked choke submission.

Predicts a submission win, specifically a rear-naked choke in the second or third round.
"i think jillian robertson's got this one in the bag... i think julian robertson gets this one done by third round rear naked choke submission"
WIN vs Molly McCann
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Taila Santos 0 48 of 106 45% 67 of 125 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:56
Molly McCann 0 57 of 143 39% 75 of 164 5 of 7 71% 1 0 7:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Taila Santos 0 25 of 45 55% 34 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:26
Molly McCann 0 23 of 54 42% 30 of 62 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:36
2 Taila Santos 0 8 of 24 33% 13 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:30
Molly McCann 0 14 of 33 42% 19 of 40 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:18
3 Taila Santos 0 15 of 37 40% 20 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 20 of 56 35% 26 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:59
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Taila Santos 48 of 106 45% 25 of 79 13 of 17 10 of 10 43 of 96 5 of 10 0 of 0
Molly McCann 57 of 143 39% 24 of 90 21 of 36 12 of 17 34 of 113 12 of 13 11 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Taila Santos 25 of 45 55% 15 of 34 6 of 7 4 of 4 22 of 42 3 of 3 0 of 0
Molly McCann 23 of 54 42% 5 of 32 12 of 15 6 of 7 16 of 47 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Taila Santos 8 of 24 33% 2 of 16 3 of 5 3 of 3 6 of 18 2 of 6 0 of 0
Molly McCann 14 of 33 42% 8 of 23 5 of 9 1 of 1 5 of 21 4 of 5 5 of 7
3 Taila Santos 15 of 37 40% 8 of 29 4 of 5 3 of 3 15 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0
Molly McCann 20 of 56 35% 11 of 35 4 of 12 5 of 9 13 of 45 1 of 1 6 of 10
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann, believing she can take Santos down and control the fight on the ground. He notes McCann absorbs too many strikes but thinks Santos can be taken down and that McCann's ground game will be decisive. He predicts a decision win, as McCann is not a knockout threat and Santos has only lost by decision.

Doesn't mind the -120 line; thinks McCann can get the fight to the ground
"I'm gonna go with McCann here to get the fight on the ground win a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, calling Santos a potential fraud with a padded record. He highlights McCann's improved boxing, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and intensity, and believes she will dominate on the feet and on the mat, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound.

dominant win, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound
"I'm going Molly McCann here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The Guru initially criticizes Taila Santos's record as extremely padded, then briefly retracts, then reaffirms it's padded. He picks Molly McCann based on her scrappy style and better competition (wins over Cori Lipski, Priscila Cachoeira). He also uses a 'food chain' argument: Mara Romero Barela beat Santos by split decision, and McCann is at a similar level. He believes McCann's toughness will carry her.

"I'm definitely begin to be going with money McCann I think she gets it done money McCann is a scrapper a great fighter a tough girl actually goes in there and fight she beat a girl a Corey Lipsky priscila …"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Assunção vs. Moraes 2 · Feb 02, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mara Romero Borella 0 29 of 83 34% 84 of 140 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:56
Taila Santos 0 36 of 100 36% 57 of 123 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mara Romero Borella 0 11 of 17 64% 36 of 42 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:17
Taila Santos 0 2 of 5 40% 8 of 11 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:13
2 Mara Romero Borella 0 6 of 15 40% 35 of 45 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:39
Taila Santos 0 9 of 19 47% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
3 Mara Romero Borella 0 12 of 51 23% 13 of 53 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Taila Santos 0 25 of 76 32% 25 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mara Romero Borella 29 of 83 34% 14 of 64 7 of 9 8 of 10 15 of 62 5 of 9 9 of 12
Taila Santos 36 of 100 36% 17 of 69 10 of 20 9 of 11 27 of 89 9 of 11 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mara Romero Borella 11 of 17 64% 9 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 12
Taila Santos 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mara Romero Borella 6 of 15 40% 2 of 10 3 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 9 3 of 6 0 of 0
Taila Santos 9 of 19 47% 0 of 6 6 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 9 8 of 10 0 of 0
3 Mara Romero Borella 12 of 51 23% 3 of 40 2 of 3 7 of 8 11 of 49 1 of 2 0 of 0
Taila Santos 25 of 76 32% 17 of 60 3 of 9 5 of 7 25 of 76 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann - Fight History
LOSS vs Alexia Thainara
Submission R1 4:32 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alexia Thainara 0 9 of 21 42% 14 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Molly McCann 0 11 of 21 52% 17 of 32 1 of 1 100% 2 0 3:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alexia Thainara 9 of 21 42% 6 of 17 2 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 11 0 of 0 5 of 10
Molly McCann 11 of 21 52% 7 of 13 1 of 2 3 of 6 6 of 14 0 of 0 5 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann as a plus 150 underdog, having bet on her at that price. He initially thought Molly was in trouble but after tape study, he believes Alexia Thainara is not very good and her record is misleading. He thinks Molly's toughness, forward pressure, and takedowns will secure a hometown win. He notes the line movement was crazy and he suspects people are just looking at Alexia's record.

Bet on Molly at +150
"Molly's a pick got the bet on Molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Brady likes Thainara's improved striking and BJJ black belt. He notes Molly McCann has been submitted multiple times and had her back taken in her last fight. Brady thinks if the fight hits the mat, McCann is in trouble. He predicts a first-round submission, either armbar or rear-naked choke.

Thainara by submission round 1
"give me thara here and I think she gets a sub ... first round sub"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

Connor picks Thainara, arguing that McCann is capable of losing to anyone and Thainara's wrestling and submissions could be the key. He notes Thainara's athleticism and ability to take McCann down, where McCann is suicidal on the ground. However, he admits Thainara is raw and may not execute the right game plan.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I'll take i'll take tainara just because there is no level of opponent that molly mccann knows too."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The host sees this as a solid spot for Thainara to utilize her overall game. McCann may be more powerful, but Thainara will get the fight into grappling, keep McCann on her back, and open up a submission or win on the scorecards.

submission or decision
"I think Fenara will be able to get this into the grappling realm and keep man kind of on her back foot or even just on her back."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Alexia Thainara

The Guru picks Alexia Thainara, praising her power, physicality, and reach advantage. He notes that she 'punches like a man' and has strong takedowns. He expects her to be too much for Molly McCann, possibly holding her down and beating her up on the ground for a TKO win. He also mentions that Thainara will be hungrier.

TKO
"I'm gonna go with Alexia thara here over Molly maccan"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Zane picks McCann despite acknowledging Thainara's athleticism and grappling potential. He believes Thainara is too raw and will likely engage in striking, where McCann's volume and aggression can overwhelm her. However, he notes McCann's tendency to lose fights she should win and Thainara's ability to wrestle could be a problem.

McCann opened at +136, currently +155; Thainara opened at -178, currently -188.
"I think i'm still gonna pick mccann ... thina just seems incredibly undercooked."
LOSS vs Bruna Brasil
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Jul 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bruna Brasil 0 32 of 56 57% 57 of 84 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:31
Molly McCann 0 44 of 74 59% 63 of 99 3 of 3 100% 0 1 5:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bruna Brasil 0 10 of 21 47% 10 of 22 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:55
Molly McCann 0 25 of 38 65% 31 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:44
2 Bruna Brasil 0 11 of 20 55% 30 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
Molly McCann 0 11 of 19 57% 21 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:20
3 Bruna Brasil 0 11 of 15 73% 17 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:31
Molly McCann 0 8 of 17 47% 11 of 22 2 of 2 100% 0 1 3:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bruna Brasil 32 of 56 57% 19 of 38 11 of 15 2 of 3 28 of 52 2 of 2 2 of 2
Molly McCann 44 of 74 59% 20 of 46 22 of 24 2 of 4 32 of 56 8 of 9 4 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bruna Brasil 10 of 21 47% 7 of 15 2 of 4 1 of 2 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 25 of 38 65% 8 of 18 15 of 17 2 of 3 18 of 28 5 of 5 2 of 5
2 Bruna Brasil 11 of 20 55% 6 of 13 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 18 1 of 1 1 of 1
Molly McCann 11 of 19 57% 6 of 14 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Bruna Brasil 11 of 15 73% 6 of 10 5 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1
Molly McCann 8 of 17 47% 6 of 14 2 of 2 0 of 1 6 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann despite originally leaning toward Bruna Brasil. He explains that Bruna has the tools but is too low volume and doesn't pull the trigger, while Molly's forward pressure, output, and crowd energy will be decisive. He acknowledges that Bruna has power and could win, but believes Molly's aggression will earn a close decision.

"I think the forward pressure the output the crowd I think all of that is just going to work in Molly's favor"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks Molly McCann, citing her motivation after dropping to strawweight and her improved performance in her last fight. He notes that Bruna Brasil has shown poor grappling defense and was taken down easily by Denise Gomes and Loma Lookboonmee. Cody believes McCann's size, strength, and pressure will be too much, and she can win by decision or late finish.

"I think Molly wins based on like the style and the skill level it just really depends on her and like where her motivation level is at."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel believes Molly McCann will bully Bruna Brasil with pressure, takedowns, and ground control. He notes Bruna's poor chin and lack of heart, while Molly is the more physical fighter. He predicts a dominant win by submission, TKO, or decision.

"I think Molly mcc's going to win this fight but just being meaner just wanting it a little bit more"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul also picks McCann, noting that Bruna Brasil hasn't shown any reason to believe she can compete at this level. He points out that McCann's grappling and pressure will be key, and that the hometown crowd will support her. Paul expects McCann to win, possibly by decision.

"I think Molly wins based on like the style and the skill level it just really depends on her and like where her motivation level is at."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 22, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, citing her physicality advantage at strawweight and her finishing ability. He notes that McCann has KO power and a spinning elbow KO, which is rare for women's MMA. He believes Bruna Brasil is not a grappler and may struggle on the back foot. The Guru expects McCann to pressure and eventually get a TKO later in the fight, though he admits it's a tricky matchup.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Molly mccan over Bruno Brazil am I am I gonna go with Molly mccan over Brun I think I am I think Molly mcan's like a tough [ __ ] to be honest with you"
Submission (armbar) R1 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Feb 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 0 42 of 91 46% 43 of 92 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:08
Diana Belbiţă 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 42 of 91 46% 43 of 92 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:08
Diana Belbiţă 0 29 of 77 37% 29 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 42 of 91 46% 27 of 71 14 of 19 1 of 1 34 of 76 2 of 4 6 of 11
Diana Belbiţă 29 of 77 37% 9 of 46 13 of 23 7 of 8 24 of 72 5 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 42 of 91 46% 27 of 71 14 of 19 1 of 1 34 of 76 2 of 4 6 of 11
Diana Belbiţă 29 of 77 37% 9 of 46 13 of 23 7 of 8 24 of 72 5 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann, expecting her to dominate in a dirty slugfest. He notes that Diana Belbiţă is more well-rounded but McCann's pressure and brawling style should prevail. He warns that McCann has poor submission defense but Belbiţă is not a good grappler. He does not bet on this fight.

No bet
"Molly's going to be the pick I think she's going to win this fight but hopefully everybody learned their lesson betting on Molly mccan in these favorite spots"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by second-round submission. He notes that this is a rematch from 2019 where McCann dominated Belbiţă, nearly finishing her multiple times. He believes McCann will come in with a chip on her shoulder after two embarrassing losses. However, he cautions that Belbiţă has improved and McCann is moving down to strawweight for the first time at age 33, so the weight cut is a concern. If she makes weight, he expects a finish.

second round, submission
"give me Molly mccan to win this fight by second round sub"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Cody picks Belbiţă, arguing she has improved significantly since their first fight while McCann has stagnated. He notes Belbiţă's better kickboxing, improved takedown defense, and youth. He thinks McCann's chin and cardio are declining, and Belbiţă can outwork her.

"I'll take the dog"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 29, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann should use her takedowns and top control to grind out Belbiţă, who lacks takedown defense. However, the host is hesitant to trust McCann as a -305 favorite given her history of losing as a big favorite. The pick is McCann by decision.

"I know better than to try to trust her as a minus 300 favorite in any spot period."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Diana Belbiţă

Paul picks Belbiţă, calling the plus-220 price a mistake. He notes her improvements under coach Krzysztof Alin, especially in wrestling, and her youth advantage. He thinks she can outpoint McCann or even finish her.

"that number's dumb"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann over Diana Belbiţă, despite acknowledging McCann's recent struggles. He argues Belbiţă is not capable of inflicting damage, having no TKO wins on her record (though he later finds one early in her career). He believes McCann's aggression and power advantage will be the difference in a scrappy fight, predicting a 30-27 decision.

30-27 decision
"I'm going Molly mccan funnily enough... I think that Molly maccan is Tough Enough aggressive enough I think that's going to be the difference... I'm going to go Molly mccan fun scrap 3027."
Submission (armbar) R1 1:55 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julija Stoliarenko 0 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Molly McCann 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julija Stoliarenko 6 of 16 37% 1 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Molly McCann 9 of 29 31% 4 of 20 2 of 3 3 of 6 9 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo is extremely confident in Molly McCann, calling this a showcase fight. He believes she will win, possibly by stoppage, and suggests she could be parlayed. He notes the odds are -400 but thinks she could be even more favored.

suggested as parlay piece
"Molly McCann's going to win this fight I don't know if it's gonna be by stoppage but she's gonna win this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by first-round knockout, but predicts Stoliarenko will miss weight. He notes Stoliarenko is dangerous on the ground with armbars but has no striking or wrestling. He thinks McCann will keep it standing and knock her out. He calls it a setup fight for McCann in London. He is concerned if the fight goes to the mat.

first round knockout
"Molly McCann first round knockout my goodness"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody thinks McCann wins by out-volume and avoiding takedowns. He notes Stoliarenko's path is submission only, and the sub prop at +350 is too short for him. He would only bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better.

would bet Stoliarenko sub at +500 or better
"I think Molly meatball McCann out volumes out Tufts uh uh solo renko she just has to avoid getting taken down and subbed in this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel is very confident Molly McCann will win, calling Stoliarenko 'one of the worst fighters on the roster'. He believes Molly is better on the feet and can take Stoliarenko down as long as she avoids the armbar. He expects a highlight-reel finish and notes the line at -190 is good value to fade Stoliarenko. He dismisses comparisons to high-level grapplers like Erin Blanchfield, stating Stoliarenko is not on that level.

Daniel says 'it's less than minus 200 to fade one of the worst fighters on the roster' and expects a highlight-reel finish.
"I think Molly is gonna bust this girl up gonna get a highlight real finish"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The host picks Molly McCann, citing her speed, striking advantage, and ability to keep the fight standing. He acknowledges the danger of Stoliarenko's armbar but believes McCann can avoid it. He predicts a knockout win and mentions waiting for a better price around -200.

by knockout, waiting for better price around -200
"give me model McCann by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul sees this as a setup for McCann, noting Stoliarenko is 1-5 in the UFC and her only win is over a retired fighter. He thinks McCann is popular in the UK and will be re-motivated after a loss to Blanchfield. He expects McCann to roll, though he jokes about a first-round armbar loss.

"I think this is an absolute setup for Molly McCann to go out there and roll"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann, noting Dana White's investment in Barstool fighters. He praises McCann's toughness, chin, and scrappy style, and believes she can keep the fight on the feet. He criticizes Julija Stoliarenko's recent losses and lack of success unless she gets the fight to the ground. The Guru predicts McCann will win a 30-27 or 30-26 decision.

"I'm going with Molly McCann over Julius dolorenko"
Submission (kimura) R1 3:37 · UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Erin Blanchfield 0 25 of 38 65% 93 of 115 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:48
Molly McCann 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Erin Blanchfield 25 of 38 65% 22 of 34 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 19 0 of 0 18 of 19
Molly McCann 7 of 13 53% 2 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Nov 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Angelo thinks Blanchfield is the more talented fighter with a higher ceiling, but he is concerned about her struggles in her last fight against JJ Aldrich. He notes that McCann is gritty, experienced, and could break a young prospect. He picks Blanchfield to win via takedowns and control, but does not expect a submission. He suggests the bet might be on McCann inside the distance (decision no action) because McCann could avoid takedowns and win by stoppage, while a decision loss would refund the bet.

Molly McCann inside the distance (decision no action) on BetOnline
"I am not putting Aaron blanchfield in a parlay and the BET might actually be Molly McCann inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Big Brady picks Erin Blanchfield to win by submission, calling it a terrible matchup for Molly McCann. He notes McCann's 46% takedown defense and how she was ragdolled by Laura Procopio. He compares Blanchfield's dominance over Miranda Maverick (7 takedowns) to that fight. He believes Blanchfield will take McCann down repeatedly and likely finish her, as McCann has been submitted before (by Gillian Robertson). He questions why McCann took the fight.

Blanchfield by submission; inside the distance
"it's blanchfield all day and honestly it's maybe even blanchfield inside the distance"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody leans towards McCann strictly because of the plus money. He notes that Blanchfield struggled to get takedowns against JJ Aldrich and was taken down herself, which raises questions. He thinks if Blanchfield can't get the fight to the mat, McCann's striking could make it competitive. However, he acknowledges McCann's takedown defense is poor and Blanchfield is a strong wrestler, so he is not confident.

"I'm leaning towards uh McCann strictly because of the number."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Connor picks Blanchfield, citing McCann's inability to solve problems in fights and her tendency to get taken down easily. He notes that McCann's recent wins were against limited opponents, and that Blanchfield is a good opportunist who can take advantage of McCann's overaggression. Connor also mentions that McCann's best work is on the back foot, but she often presses forward and walks into danger.

"I'm going to pick Blanchfield. No, I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Daniel Levi picks Erin Blanchfield, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take McCann down and control her. He notes that McCann struggles to get back up when taken down, and Blanchfield is a black belt. However, he is not interested in betting at -390 because he wants guarantees and worries that Blanchfield might stand and trade, giving McCann a chance. He respects McCann's heart and spirit but believes Blanchfield's path to victory is through grappling.

No bet at -390; odds mentioned: Blanchfield -390, McCann +320 at DraftKings
"Aaron's my pick it's just not really in any kind of Rush delay minus 400 on it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The host believes Blanchfield's superior grappling and trips will eventually get the fight to the ground, where she can submit McCann. He notes McCann's improved striking and confidence could make it competitive on the feet, but Blanchfield's grappling is the difference. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at +180 for finishing potential. He is not betting the moneyline at -390.

under 2.5 rounds (+180), Blanchfield by submission
"I'm gonna take her to win by submission I'll be keeping my eye on that submission prop"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Paul picks Blanchfield by decision, highlighting her relentless pressure and grappling. He notes that McCann has poor takedown defense (47%) and has been taken down 12 times in her two losses. Paul believes Blanchfield will take McCann down and control her on the mat, and that McCann's only chance is a spinning elbow knockout. He thinks Blanchfield's wrestling and top control will secure a decision win.

"I got Blanche field but I'm gonna try to chase the price and go by blanchfield by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

The MMA Guru picks Erin Blanchfield, highlighting her dominant grappling win over Miranda Maverick, who has since ragdolled others. He notes McCann's history of being outgrappled and believes the threat of takedowns will diminish McCann's striking. He predicts a 29-28 decision, with McCann possibly doing decent in the third round but lacking power to finish.

"I'm going with Aaron blanchfield"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Erin Blanchfield

Zane picks Blanchfield, noting that McCann's grappling deficiencies were exposed against Laura Procopio, who took her down easily. He points out that Blanchfield is a decent clinch wrestler and opportunist, and that McCann's tendency to overextend and get countered makes her vulnerable. Zane also mentions that Blanchfield's fight with JJ Aldrich showed she can take shots and keep pressing for takedowns.

"I think you have to pick Blanchfield honestly..."
WIN vs Hannah Goldy
TKO (spinning back elbow and punches) R1 3:52 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 1 24 of 52 46% 29 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Hannah Goldy 0 9 of 33 27% 9 of 33 0 of 5 0% 0 0 1:10
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 24 of 52 46% 20 of 46 3 of 5 1 of 1 19 of 45 2 of 2 3 of 5
Hannah Goldy 9 of 33 27% 5 of 26 3 of 3 1 of 4 6 of 27 3 of 6 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann, citing her hometown crowd advantage and technical boxing. He is surprised by the -400 odds, noting Goldy is likely stronger and faster with better striking differential. He suggests a prop bet on Molly by decision or a 'plus 3.5' round handicap bet, as Molly is not a finisher.

plus 3.5 rounds handicap bet
"i do think molly wins here but i genuinely think it's because of the crowd"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He thinks the line is too wide but McCann should win, especially with the crowd behind her in London. He notes the striking could be close, but McCann can mix in takedowns. He expects a decision win for McCann.

McCann by decision
"give me molly mccann to win give me molly mccann to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody confidently picks Molly McCann, stating she can win any way she wants. He highlights her excellent cardio, high volume striking, and pressure fighting. Cody notes Goldie's striking is not good and she was dropped by Balbita. He thinks McCann's takedown defense is sufficient and that Goldie won't be able to grapple with her. Cody suggests McCann by TKO at +425 as a prop.

McCann by TKO +425
"i think she's going to just come you know continue to come forward and do whatever she wants"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, comparing her to a female Frankie Edgar with a volume boxing style and ability to mix in takedowns. He sees Hannah Goldy as inactive and not winning minutes, relying on opportunistic submissions. Levi expects McCann to outwork and overwhelm Goldy with pace.

"i just see molly mccann coming out here and outworking her putting a pace on her and just overwhelming her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Hannah Goldy

McCann is not a -400 fighter. Her wrestling is overrated and she has poor takedown defense. Goldy can make it competitive, has output, and can take it to the grappling realm. I'm throwing a half-unit shot on Goldy. The fight will be closer than the odds suggest.

Goldy by submission +1200, Goldy by decision +500 (mentioned as possibilities)
"I'm throwing a half unit shot on Hannah Goldie this fight's gonna play out close"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Paul picks Molly McCann but won't bet at -425. He thinks the line will grow to -500 by fight night due to fan support. He notes McCann has made significant improvements and is a grinder, but went life and death with Ketchup. Paul believes if rounds are close, McCann will get the decision in the UK. He considers a flyer on Goldie but can't bring himself to bet her.

"i'll pick molly mccann but like it just isn't in my dna to lay minus 425 on meatballs so"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru confidently picks Molly McCann to win by decision. He states it's a no-brainer, citing McCann's experience and toughness. He criticizes Hannah Goldy's level of competition and believes McCann's grappling has improved. On the feet, McCann is scrappy and tough. He expects a 29-28 decision, possibly with Goldy having a moment in the third round.

29-28 decision
"molly mccann gets this one done way more experienced"
KO (spinning back elbow) R3 1:52 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 1 85 of 159 53% 99 of 174 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:30
Luana Carolina 0 64 of 132 48% 76 of 144 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 56 of 107 52% 61 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:58
Luana Carolina 0 22 of 52 42% 23 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
2 Molly McCann 0 15 of 30 50% 23 of 39 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:05
Luana Carolina 0 26 of 51 50% 33 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 1 14 of 22 63% 15 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Luana Carolina 0 16 of 29 55% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 85 of 159 53% 52 of 118 28 of 36 5 of 5 69 of 139 14 of 18 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 64 of 132 48% 26 of 88 33 of 39 5 of 5 47 of 113 17 of 19 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 56 of 107 52% 35 of 79 19 of 26 2 of 2 47 of 96 9 of 11 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 22 of 52 42% 6 of 32 13 of 17 3 of 3 16 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
2 Molly McCann 15 of 30 50% 5 of 19 8 of 9 2 of 2 12 of 26 1 of 2 2 of 2
Luana Carolina 26 of 51 50% 13 of 37 12 of 13 1 of 1 16 of 40 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 14 of 22 63% 12 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 10 of 17 4 of 5 0 of 0
Luana Carolina 16 of 29 55% 7 of 19 8 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 27 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Angelo picks Molly McCann with a slight edge, citing her cleaner boxing and willingness to grapple to steal rounds. He notes that Luana Carolina has 88% takedown defense but was taken down in her last two fights and still won. He says it's a razor-thin fight and he's siding with the bookies who have Molly as a slight favorite.

"i'm siding with the bookies here and i'm just gonna give a tiny tiny slight edge to molly"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Big Brady picks Luana Carolina to win a close split decision. He notes Carolina has good takedown defense (88%) and a height and reach advantage. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Carolina will land more strikes. Brady acknowledges Molly McCann has the home crowd and walks forward, but he sees Carolina improving and pulling off the upset.

"give me carolina for the upset give me carolina to win a very close probably greasy split decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody picks McCann but is hesitant, citing home-cage advantage and judging bias. He thinks McCann's volume and pressure will be key, but acknowledges Carolina's reach and size. He says the pick is McCann by decision, but he's not confident.

"the pick would be my mccann by decision ever so slightly"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, citing the hometown advantage at the O2 Arena. He believes McCann's volume boxing, opportunistic takedowns, and toughness will overwhelm Luana Carolina, who has a reach advantage but may struggle with McCann's pressure. Levi expects a close decision that will favor McCann due to the crowd and judges. He also notes that McCann's heart and willpower are key factors.

"close fight favors uh molly mccann um but i think that molly mccann might turn up on luana carolina maybe even get 130 27 in there too"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

McCann's forward pressure and hard-nosed striking should overwhelm Carolina, who isn't that good. Carolina's win over Godinez was overrated due to Godinez taking the fight on short notice up a weight class. McCann is more fit for flyweight and should use her speed to close distance and land strikes. The hometown crowd will help sway judges. I'm picking McCann via decision, but a sprinkle on McCann by submission at +1100 is worth it given her activity off her back.

McCann via decision; McCann by submission (+1100)
"I expect her at her optimal level to go out there and outstrike Luana Carolina."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

Paul picks Carolina on paper but is wary of British judging. He thinks Carolina's reach and striking could give McCann trouble, but the crowd and potential robbery scare him. He says he'll pick Carolina for the show but likely won't bet.

"i'll pick carolina for the purposes of this show but uh i don't think i'm gonna get money my money in there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Luana Carolina

The Guru picks Luana Carolina as an upset, citing her size, reach advantage (7 inches), youth, and recent win over Lupita Godinez. He believes Molly McCann is overrated due to her association with Paddy Pimblett and the Scouse crew. He thinks Carolina can stuff takedowns and outgrapple McCann, and predicts a split decision win despite potential UK judging bias.

split decision
"i'm gonna go luanna carolina here... she's longer, she's got good kicks, she was able to stuff takedowns"
WIN vs Ji Yeon Kim
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Molly McCann 0 127 of 272 46% 130 of 275 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:47
Ji Yeon Kim 0 122 of 361 33% 134 of 374 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Molly McCann 0 21 of 51 41% 23 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Ji Yeon Kim 0 24 of 75 32% 35 of 87 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:35
2 Molly McCann 0 51 of 101 50% 51 of 101 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Ji Yeon Kim 0 42 of 124 33% 42 of 124 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Molly McCann 0 55 of 120 45% 56 of 121 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ji Yeon Kim 0 56 of 162 34% 57 of 163 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Molly McCann 127 of 272 46% 110 of 249 16 of 22 1 of 1 126 of 270 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 122 of 361 33% 87 of 316 24 of 33 11 of 12 114 of 349 6 of 10 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Molly McCann 21 of 51 41% 17 of 45 4 of 6 0 of 0 21 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 24 of 75 32% 15 of 63 7 of 9 2 of 3 17 of 64 5 of 9 2 of 2
2 Molly McCann 51 of 101 50% 43 of 93 7 of 7 1 of 1 51 of 101 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 42 of 124 33% 27 of 106 8 of 11 7 of 7 42 of 124 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Molly McCann 55 of 120 45% 50 of 111 5 of 9 0 of 0 54 of 118 1 of 2 0 of 0
Ji Yeon Kim 56 of 162 34% 45 of 147 9 of 13 2 of 2 55 of 161 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann to win by decision, citing her superior striking accuracy (50% vs Kim's 34%) and volume. He notes Kim has a 10-inch reach advantage but doesn't use it effectively and misses a lot. McCann can also mix in takedowns against Kim, who has poor takedown defense (42%). Brady points out that McCann's losses have come against grapplers, while Kim is not a wrestler. He expects McCann to win a decision.

"i like molly mccann to win by decision kim is very tough she's never been knocked out"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Cody slightly leans McCann, noting her wrestling and ground-and-pound against lower-level opposition. He acknowledges Kim's 10-inch reach advantage and better striking, but thinks McCann can get takedowns and grind out a decision. He is not confident and may flip depending on weigh-ins.

"i'm going to go with my mccann"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

I like Kim here. She has a huge size advantage—10-inch reach and 3-inch height advantage. She's fought much better competition like Antonina Shevchenko and Alexa Grasso and had moments standing with them. McCann's wins are over low-level opponents, and she lost to the only decent fighters she faced. Kim's takedown defense has been a concern, but McCann isn't a great wrestler and her control time is weak. I think Kim wins the stand-up easily and can even finish. I'm sprinkling Kim by KO at +1160.

Kim by KO +1160, Kim decision +150
"I really like Kim here... I think she's much better on the feet than Molly McCann... I'm gonna take a little sprinkle on that KO prop."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Ji Yeon Kim

Paul is high on Kim, calling her the best bet on the card. He cites the 10-inch reach advantage and Kim's superior striking. He doubts McCann can sustain wrestling for three rounds and thinks Kim will win on the feet. He plans to bet Kim.

"i feel like kim may be the best bet on the cart"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Aug 30, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The MMA Guru picks Molly McCann to win by close decision. He calls it a pick'em fight but trusts McCann's toughness and grit to push the pace and finish rounds strong. He notes McCann's wins over Ariane Lipski, Diana Belbita, and Priscila Cachoeira as evidence of her ability to grind out decisions. He expects a split decision 29-28.

"i think i'm going to go with molly mccann i think she's just a bit tougher and a bit grindier"
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Big Brady picks Molly McCann, believing she can take Santos down and control the fight on the ground. He notes McCann absorbs too many strikes but thinks Santos can be taken down and that McCann's ground game will be decisive. He predicts a decision win, as McCann is not a knockout threat and Santos has only lost by decision.

Doesn't mind the -120 line; thinks McCann can get the fight to the ground
"I'm gonna go with McCann here to get the fight on the ground win a decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Molly McCann

Daniel Levi picks Molly McCann, calling Santos a potential fraud with a padded record. He highlights McCann's improved boxing, jiu-jitsu, wrestling, and intensity, and believes she will dominate on the feet and on the mat, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound.

dominant win, possibly by submission or ground-and-pound
"I'm going Molly McCann here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Molly McCann

The Guru initially criticizes Taila Santos's record as extremely padded, then briefly retracts, then reaffirms it's padded. He picks Molly McCann based on her scrappy style and better competition (wins over Cori Lipski, Priscila Cachoeira). He also uses a 'food chain' argument: Mara Romero Barela beat Santos by split decision, and McCann is at a similar level. He believes McCann's toughness will carry her.

"I'm definitely begin to be going with money McCann I think she gets it done money McCann is a scrapper a great fighter a tough girl actually goes in there and fight she beat a girl a Corey Lipsky priscila capoeira as well"