UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020 · Featherweight · Completed
UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige Next Fight
Age 38
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Calvin Kattar
4.41 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
6.55 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
29.0% TD Acc.
77.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Dan Ige
3.6 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.56 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.93 TD Avg
26.0% TD Acc.
56.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Calvin Kattar - Fight History
LOSS vs Steve Garcia
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 0 26 of 123 21% 26 of 123 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Steve Garcia 1 85 of 250 34% 85 of 250 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steve Garcia 0 22 of 71 30% 22 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Calvin Kattar 0 5 of 47 10% 5 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Steve Garcia 0 32 of 87 36% 32 of 87 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 0 13 of 50 26% 13 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:21
Steve Garcia 1 31 of 92 33% 31 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 26 of 123 21% 21 of 116 3 of 5 2 of 2 26 of 123 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steve Garcia 85 of 250 34% 52 of 208 23 of 29 10 of 13 85 of 249 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 8 of 26 30% 4 of 22 2 of 2 2 of 2 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steve Garcia 22 of 71 30% 11 of 53 5 of 10 6 of 8 22 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 5 of 47 10% 5 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steve Garcia 32 of 87 36% 19 of 72 10 of 11 3 of 4 32 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 13 of 50 26% 12 of 47 1 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Steve Garcia 31 of 92 33% 22 of 83 8 of 8 1 of 1 31 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Steve Garcia
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Garcia (-120); Kattar (+100)

Round 1
On a career-long four-fight skid, Kattar (23-9, 7-7 UFC) has not gotten his hand raised since outdueling Giga Chikadze in 2022. Possibly in the later stages of his career at 37 years old, he is being matched up against a dangerous brawler in Garcia (17-5, 6-2 UFC) who is knocking on the door of ludicrous status should he clock “The Boston Finisher.” Referee Jason Herzog understands his assignment, and the fighters do too, as they touch gloves to engage.
The two featherweight strikers measure one another in the early going, with Garcia eventually leading the dance with a looping pair of punches and some awkward kicks to any target he can find. Kattar ducks and swings hard on an overhand right counter that zips right past the Jackson-Wink representative. Garcia is in the driver’s seat but his connect rate remains low a minute in. Garcia wraps a right around the guard, but his left goes wide. Woots, whoops and cries rain down throughout the Bridgestone Arena, and Garcia silences them with a long punch combination and three head kicks in a row. Kattar defends well but stumbles, and he gets back to his feet and takes a left hand on the jaw. Garcia scores with a left hand and kicks after it.
Katter misses with a huge left hand, and Garcia races through it and lands a combination on Kattar’s face. Kattar is stuck not hitting anything of note, while Garcia is scoring to the head, body and legs. Garcia spins with a sudden wheel kick, and Kattar shells up but his nose takes the brunt of it. Kattar steps in with an elbow on the chin after Garcia hits him a few times, and he partially connects with a lead hook. Garcia forces Kattar to constantly defend himself, and his power drives “The Boston Finisher” back a few steps. Kattar starts to put his jab together, and he is answered with a Jackson-Wink-style oblique kick to the knee. One more kick to the lead leg ends the tepid round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Garcia

Round 2
Both featherweights trade right hands as the round begins, and Garcia stays in Kattar’s face but walks into a left hand on the jaw. Garcia shrugs it off and bounces around before settling down, planting a one-two on Kattar’s visage. Kattar’s looping punches continue to miss, as he is telegraphing his big right and Garcia is able to dodge or stay away from them. Garcia walks Kattar down, spinning with a clean back kick to the ribs, and he drives home several rib-roasters as well. This fires up Kattar, who cracks the favorite. Garcia gives it right back, happy to be getting the brawl he was seeking. Garcia beats Kattar to the jab time and time again.
Kattar employs a step-in elbow that graces Garcia’s melon, and Garcia gives him back several body shots to think about. Garcia dips and dodges the oncoming fire to crack Kattar with a huge left, smashing Kattar’s nose and forcing Kattar to paw at it. Garcia strikes the body when he sees an opening, and he skips forward to deliver two lefts on the chin. Garcia misses a right and left hook by a matter of inches, and he kicks the front of Kattar’s thigh to back him off. The body work from Garcia is getting Kattar to drop his hands, and he winds up with a bomb of a left that buzzes past the longtime vet. Garcia keeps doing work until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Garcia
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Garcia

Round 3
Garcia immediately engages to start the last round, putting hands in Kattar’s face early and often. A heavy left hand drives Kattar back a ways, and he times a head kick and a spinning back fist that Garcia is able to defend. Kattar hops back and forth switching stances, but he does not engage and is just backpedaling when Garcia comes at him. Garcia reaches him with a left hand, and he loads up a subsequent bomb that nearly separates Kattar from his senses. Kattar bounces off the fence to stay afloat, and he clinches Garcia to get his head right. Garcia breaks off and chases the wounded man down, stabbing body kicks and following with liver punches that draw reactions almost every time he connects. Garcia fearlessly walks “The Boston Finisher” down, hurling one-twos and any open strike he can lob. Garcia tries for two clubbing lefts that do not get through, and he parries a front kick and pushes a left hand down the pipe.
Kattar appears to have recovered, but Garcia is not about to let him of the hook and hacks at him with a tomahawk elbow. Garcia kicks Kattar’s leg out, and he lets him back up to swing heavy leather. Kattar bites down on his mouthpiece and walks into a left hand, and he spins with an elbow that bangs square into Garcia’s temple. Garcia, blood now streaking from the bridge of his nose, boots Kattar upside the head and follows him with a left hand. He pushes Kattar back and pops him with a front kick, staying up close and looping lefts. Kattar stands him up with a right hand, and he strikes with a knee and a spinning back fist that both get part of the betting favorite. Garcia tosses windmills, and he waits for Kattar to spin so he can blast him when he plants. Garcia lets loose with a head kick and a spinning wheel kick, and Kattar knocks him back with a fierce overhand right. The two trade last strikes until time expires, and Garcia’s knockout streak has officially ended. Despite that, he still has soundly beaten a legitimate force at featherweight, and has announced himself as a new contender.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (30-27 Garcia)
Dayne Fox scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (30-27 Garcia)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Garcia (30-27 Garcia)

The Official Result
Steve Garcia def. Calvin Kattar via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Angelo picks Steve Garcia but was initially not confident at higher odds. He notes Calvin Kattar is still a good striker with good takedown defense, but hasn't won in three years and is 37. At even money, he thinks Garcia is a decent play because he's younger and on a knockout streak, but he acknowledges Kattar has never been knocked out.

At even money, thinks Garcia is a decent play.
"Steve Garcia is the pick. I was never going to bet him at a minus 160, but at minus 110, which is unfortunately even money here, I think Steve Garcia could be a decent play."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Big Brady is a fan of Steve Garcia but picks Calvin Kattar due to durability. He notes Garcia has been dropped multiple times, while Kattar has never been knocked out in over 30 fights. He expects a stand-up war and believes Kattar will finish what Charlie Ontiveros started, picking Kattar by first-round knockout.

first round knockout
"Calvin Kedar to win this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Connor picks Kattar despite his losing streak, reasoning that Kattar has fought only elite fighters and has an incredible chin that has never been cracked. He views Steve Garcia as a 'bad fighter' who closes his eyes and swings wildly, and believes Kattar's durability and experience will carry him. Connor admits he is tired of being wrong about Garcia but trusts the pattern of Kattar losing only to top-tier opponents.

"I'm going to pick Calvin Kattar. ... Steve Garcia, I think is a bad fighter."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

The host acknowledges recency bias making Garcia a slight favorite, but notes that Kattar has never been finished by knockout (except an injury). He believes this is a perfect stylistic matchup for Kattar to counter Garcia effectively and find a knockout, reminding people of his quality. The pick is based on Kattar's durability and counter-striking.

knockout
"Ton of recency bias here making Garcia a very slight favorite. And yes, he is very dangerous, especially with him coming off a fiveight winning streak with all of those wins coming by knockout. But Kater has never been finished …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

The MMA Guru picks Steve Garcia, citing his recent finishes (Chase Hooper, Shalan Nerd Beck) and his pressure style. He criticizes Calvin Kattar's recent performances, noting poor footwork and takedown defense since his leg injury. He expects Garcia to get in Kattar's face immediately, mix in wrestling, and finish him, though he acknowledges Kattar could win if he finds his rhythm late.

finish
"I'm going to go with Steve Garcia over Calvin Kater. ... I think he's actually gonna finish Calvin Kater here."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Steve Garcia

Zane picks Garcia, partly to avoid being mocked by a friend named Eddie for always picking against Garcia. He acknowledges that Garcia is a wild, unhinged fighter who frequently gets into trouble but has been winning. Zane notes that Kattar has slowed down and lost venom, and that Garcia's aggressive blitz could overwhelm him, similar to how Arnold Allen attacked Kattar. However, he admits Garcia is not a good technical fighter.

"I'm going to pick Steve Garcia. I'm going to say this is the day that it happens for Calvin Kattar that starting slow..."
LOSS vs Youssef Zalal
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 0 38 of 134 28% 38 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 74 of 133 55% 75 of 134 0 of 8 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 26 of 46 56% 26 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Calvin Kattar 0 10 of 37 27% 10 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 27 of 46 58% 28 of 47 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 0 20 of 74 27% 20 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Youssef Zalal 0 21 of 41 51% 21 of 41 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 38 of 134 28% 27 of 110 5 of 11 6 of 13 35 of 128 3 of 6 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 74 of 133 55% 53 of 104 5 of 9 16 of 20 74 of 133 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 8 of 23 34% 7 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 1 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 26 of 46 56% 16 of 33 2 of 2 8 of 11 26 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 10 of 37 27% 5 of 27 2 of 3 3 of 7 10 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 27 of 46 58% 20 of 35 2 of 5 5 of 6 27 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 20 of 74 27% 15 of 63 2 of 6 3 of 5 17 of 68 3 of 6 0 of 0
Youssef Zalal 21 of 41 51% 17 of 36 1 of 2 3 of 3 21 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Youssef Zalal
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Zalal (-395), Kattar (+310)

Round 1
Records are meant to be broken, and torches are meant to be passed. It is not a guarantee of either, but rather that with enough time, everything moves forward. Itching to see if the featherweight division has passed him by entirely, 36-year-old striker Kattar (23-8, 7-6 UFC) had had a tough go of it since his fateful encounter with Max Holloway in 2021. On the other side of that metric is Zalal (16-5-1, 6-3-1 UFC), who bounced out and back into the UFC only to find himself on a solid run of three straight submissions. Whether Kattar can impose adequate resistance or be the fourth in that line, referee Dan Miragliotta will oversee it all from start to finish. Gloves are touched, and both men want to start fairly measured. Picking their shots with jabs and low kicks—a pace that has been consistent for many of the fights on this card—Zalal aims a few more times at the front leg before going up high. Zalal jabs and moves, with Kattar giving chase but not cutting him off or cornering him. Zalal is able to strafe to either side, poking with his strikes and not taking much back. They both flash jabs at the same time, and it is Zalal who follows up with a one-two. The Moroccan is comfortable at his own distance, outshooting the boxer and marking his face up with power punches. Zalal picks a jab to open up a step-in knee, and Kattar walks him down but is stuck in first gear. Zalal reaches his man with a long right hand, and they try to trip one another at the same time. Kattar buzzes the hair with a huge overhand right, and Zalal pecks at him with a left hook before zipping away. Zalal measures another knee up the middle, and Kattar’s chin has no trouble holding up. Kattar puts a little more mustard behind some punches, and Zalal is forced to book it to the side so he does not get hurt. Zalal keeps moving, Kattar keeps chasing and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 2
Fists are tapped together before they are traded in Round 2, and they let their jabs fly early. Zalal shoots in for a double, and Kattar easily stuffs it and turns to the side to break away. Zalal jabs the body and then the head, and his head movement keeps him from taking unnecessary shots. Zalal shifts to one direction, then pivots the other way, and he throws out a takedown to keep Kattar guessing. Zalal jabs Kattar up, and his leg kicks mixed in are repeatedly effective. Zalal steps in with a high knee that bounces off the eyebrow, and he checks a kick that flies his way. Zalal splits the guard with a jab and rips a kick to the ribs, and he does not slow “The Boston Finisher.” Kattar follows Zalal around the Octagon, with Zalal doing full rotations and then some while Kattar tries and fails to track him down. Kattar drops low to shoot a faked takedown, and Zalal just misses with an uppercut. “The Moroccan Devil” rifles off a kick to the side, and he chains a few jabs behind it. Kattar reaches him with his own body kick, but it is one-and-done as he is primarily headhunting with jabs. Kattar checks a kick and maintains Zalal’s respect with a scooping right hand over the shoulder, and he appears irritated that he cannot track and lock Zalal down. The horn sounds with Kattar lunging at air.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zalal
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Zalal

Round 3
There is a presumptive final glove touch leading into the last round, and Kattar has listened to his corner and is pressing the action even harder than before. Kattar’s chases have turned into borderline jogging sessions, with Zalal rapidly springing from side to side to evade attack. Kattar tries to time an uppercut, and he gets his hands on Zalal at least once in a flurry before Zalal rushes away. Kattar scores a low kick, checks one back and drops to his knees to defend and crawl away from a takedown. Kattar gets up and sprints towards Zalal with looping left hands, and Zalal pecks back with jabs. Kattar sells out and marches through a few strikes to bash Zalal in the cheek with an elbow, and Zalal’s expression changes from light-hearted to one a bit more serious. Zalal keeps hurrying away to one side, and Kattar is tracking him and winding up with big power. Zalal senses danger and slides away, marking up Kattar’s face and swelling up his right eye. Kattar reaches and connects cleanly on Zalal, who stumbles to the side and is no worse for wear. Kattar is buzzing missiles past his intended target, with Zalal doing nothing but running away while Kattar is hellbent for leather. Zalal occasionally sticks out a jab, but over the last few minutes he has been backpedaling even more than usual—drawing boos and questions of what the rule of timidity is for, if a fighter can back away from engagements for minutes at a time without being called on it. Kattar cannot get the home run strike he is looking for, and when the fight wraps, he is understandably disappointed that he got outhustled.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (29-28 Zalal)

The Official Result
Youssef Zalal def. Calvin Kattar via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lock picked Feb 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Angelo is extremely confident in Youssef Zalal, calling him his 'most confident pick on this card.' He highlights Zalal's momentum, improved wrestling and submissions, and Calvin Kattar's inability to defend takedowns. He also notes that Kattar's team (New England Cartel) has not proven they can stop takedowns, so he fades them against any wrestler.

"yousef's going to be the pick I'm very he's my most confident pick on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Big Brady picks Zalal by second-round submission, citing Zalal's recent finishing streak and improved aggression. Kattar is 36, on a losing streak, and had a terrible performance against Aljamain Sterling. Zalal has a grappling path and can also win on the feet with movement. He expects Zalal to take down Kattar and submit him.

submission in round 2
"give me AOW give me AOW by sub I'll say in the second round"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Connor picks Youssef Zalal, emphasizing Zalal's newfound confidence and flexibility. He notes that Zalal has turned a corner, becoming a more dynamic fighter who can create and take advantage of openings. Connor compares Zalal's development to a sumo wrestler who has found his center, and believes Zalal's adaptability marks him as a potential elite fighter. He acknowledges Kattar's durability and slow-start style but thinks Zalal's improved wrestling and ability to recover from difficulty will be key.

Connor comments that the odds are too wide: Kattar opened at +296 and is now +366, Zalal opened at -438 and is now -427. He says he agrees the odds are too strongly in Zalal's favor, given Kattar's cold streak should be contextualized by the level of his opponents.
"I think he has basically come out the other side of the young veteran tunnel and realized that he has spent all this time developing this fantastically well-rounded game and at the only thing that was standing between him and …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Lucrative James is confident Youssef Zalal will win and cover the -400 price tag. He believes Zalal is the better striker, kickboxer, grappler, and wrestler everywhere except pure boxing, where Kattar has an edge. He highlights Zalal's elite footwork and defensive skills, noting that even Ilia Topuria struggled to land clean on him. He expects Zalal to outclass Kattar on the outside with jabs and leg kicks, and predicts a 30-27 decision. He dismisses the idea of betting Kattar as a value underdog, stating the narrative that Kattar is washed is correct.

"I believe that this week's narrative is correct and that yusf Sala is going to cover his minus 400 price tag"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2025 (fight day)
Youssef Zalal

Zalal is the better fighter with momentum. He will remain competitive on the feet and then get the fight to the ground, showcasing his aggressive submission approach. He is more aggressive than Sterling, who couldn't finish Kattar, and will find a submission.

Zalal by submission
"I think Zalal is the better fighter and obviously the momentum is in his corner... I see a lot of people leaning on the Sterling fight... but I believe Zalal is a little bit more aggressive than Sterling... the official …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

The MMA Guru picks Youssef Zalal over Calvin Kattar, citing Zalal's ability to mix it up with wrestling, low kicks, and boxing. He notes Kattar's recent losses, injuries, and susceptibility to leg kicks. He believes Zalal will chew up Kattar's legs, grapple, and win a decision, possibly with a 10-8 round.

decision
"I'm gonna go of Yousef zal over Calvin ker"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Youssef Zalal

Zane picks Youssef Zalal confidently, citing Zalal's transformation into a more confident, aggressive, and well-rounded fighter. He notes that Zalal has developed killer instinct, recovers well from difficulty, and has incorporated wrestling effectively into his flow. Zane contrasts this with Calvin Kattar's slow starts and recent losses to elite fighters, suggesting Kattar may have hit a wall stylistically. He believes Zalal is primed for a run and that this fight is a great opportunity for him to prove he's a top-10 fighter.

Zane comments that the odds are too wide: Kattar opened at +296 and is now +366, Zalal opened at -438 and is now -427. He says he agrees the odds are too strongly in Zalal's favor, given Kattar's cold streak should be contextualized by the level of his opponents.
"I'm willing to love it more for Zalalal than I don't like it for Cater because I want to see fighters in Zalalal."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 13, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aljamain Sterling 0 8 of 29 27% 19 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Calvin Kattar 0 39 of 71 54% 89 of 128 8 of 13 61% 0 0 10:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aljamain Sterling 0 6 of 23 26% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 15 of 33 45% 16 of 35 4 of 7 57% 0 0 1:51
2 Aljamain Sterling 0 2 of 5 40% 4 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 14 of 20 70% 30 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:10
3 Aljamain Sterling 0 0 of 1 0% 5 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Calvin Kattar 0 10 of 18 55% 43 of 56 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aljamain Sterling 8 of 29 27% 7 of 26 1 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 1
Calvin Kattar 39 of 71 54% 12 of 40 15 of 17 12 of 14 23 of 46 5 of 5 11 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aljamain Sterling 6 of 23 26% 6 of 21 0 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 1
Calvin Kattar 15 of 33 45% 4 of 20 3 of 4 8 of 9 12 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 5
2 Aljamain Sterling 2 of 5 40% 1 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 14 of 20 70% 4 of 9 7 of 8 3 of 3 9 of 15 4 of 4 1 of 1
3 Aljamain Sterling 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 10 of 18 55% 4 of 11 5 of 5 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 14
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Aljamain Sterling
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sterling (-170), Kattar (+142)

Round 1
The storied rivalry of Boston vs. New York continues with a featherweight contest pitting “The Boston Finisher” Kattar (23-7, 7-5 UFC) against former bantamweight champ Sterling (23-9, 14-4 UFC). This will be a sink-or-swim moment for the New York-based funk-style wrestler, as he jumps into the deep end in his new weight class. The fighters will have 15 minutes or less to prove their case as contenders at 145 pounds, while referee Jason Herzog watches over every step of the way. Fists are not bumped, and instead Sterling wants to crowd forward and start attacking. Sterling reaches out with side kicks to the knee, and Kattar skirts out of the way a few times to take the sting out of them. Sterling wings a right hand that catches his foe on the side of the head, and Kattar stands form and moves away to check a low kick and push out his own jab. Kattar whips a head kick up and nearly clears the shoulder, but Sterling pushes past it and tries to tie him up. Kattar tosses him aside and slowly walks him down. Sterling fakes dropping down for a leg, and he fires off two wide hooks. A high kick from Sterling misses the mark, but several low kicks connect in succession. Sterling continues chipping away from afar with low kicks or the occasional one to the body, and he keeps Kattar from doing much. Sterling shoots in for a single, lifting Kattar’s leg up, but Kattar defends by scoring several punches up close. On Sterling’s second attempt, he leverages “The Boston Finisher” down to the canvas. Kattar pushes on the back of the head to stand back up, and Sterling lifts him off the ground to find a better angle to approach. Kattar leans with his back to the wall, and Sterling sneaks a single hook in as he methodically looks to take the back. Kattar muscles his way upright, and Sterling hits a quick mat return of sorts. Sterling wrenches Kattar all the way down to the ground, and he continues to set up his back take. Sterling ducks down, releasing the grip, so he can let loose a right hand over the top. Kattar sheds him, and he gets kicked in the ribs on the way out. Sterling pushes off his foe’s knee when Kattar advances, and he spins a spinning back fist as Kattar continues to walk him down. Sterling’s awkward movement and takedown efforts shut most of Kattar’s offense down, and Sterling manages to secure a single-leg takedown and climb on top to conclude the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
James Mannino scores the round: 10-9 Sterling

Round 2
Sterling commences the round with a low kick, and he kicks the other side to trip Kattar up when Kattar tries to throw a punch. Sterling chains a head kick into a level change, and he backs Kattar to the wire and drives a knee to the chest. Sterling trips Kattar’s other leg up to sit him down, and the audience starts to boo Sterling’s efforts. Sterling has a single deep, and he appears to motion or nod to Facebook chief Mark Zuckerberg, who is sitting cageside. Sterling gets Kattar all the way down, only for the Massachusetts native bounce back to his feet in short order. Sterling keeps after a single until there is no way in, and he opts to split Kattar’s legs far apart against the fence to disrupt his balance. When that too does not result in a change in position, Sterling knees the thigh several times and tries to impose his body weight to drag Kattar down. Sterling has a knee brush on the cup of his foe, but Kattar signals he is fine. Sterling clings to his man until he slides off the side, and he dodges a front kick and advances with a trio of punches. Sterling retreats, circling away from anything Kattar tries to reach him with, until he kicks low and aims body shots. The punches from Sterling lead to a level change, where he completes an easy double to rend Kattar to the floor. Sterling moves to side control and stays there, where he holds Kattar down and thwarts any potential offense coming back his way. Sterling continues to grind in the position until the horn blares.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Sterling
James Mannino scores the round: 10-9 Sterling

Round 3
Sterling practically races out of his corner, throwing looping punches and a high kick until he closes in and grips hold of his adversary. Sterling chucks Kattar down to the mat without much effort, and Kattar posts off his arms to push himself back up. Sterling grapples him from behind, where he pushes Kattar to the wall with a hook in from behind. Kattar fights off the back take to turn himself to the fence, and Sterling switches up for a single. Kattar hangs on, and Sterling lowers him down to the ground comfortably. The crowd is not amused by Sterling’s strategy, and they let him have it as time ticks off the clock. Herzog asks Sterling to do more than hold in this position, and Sterling answers by lifting Kattar’s legs up to scoot him away from the cage wall and put him in a more horizontal position. Sterling keeps smothering until he sets up an arm-triangle choke, and he considers stepping over to one side but opts to go to the other instead to maintain control. Sterling knees the side a few times, and Kattar explodes to his knees and stands up. Sterling uses all of his might, lifting “The Boston Finisher” in the air and slamming him in the mat in a maneuver reminiscent of a pro wrestling powerbomb. The slam hurts Kattar, and Sterling recognizes this and tries to pound his damaged man out. Kattar manages to gather his thoughts as Sterling lays into him, and he grips hold of the waist to keep Sterling from landing anything especially harmful. Sterling attempts to posture up, and Kattar follows him by sitting up, ignoring any offense landing on his ribs. Sterling turns a potentially guillotine choke to a brabo choke, and Kattar sits out of it. Sterling drops hammers right until the end, putting a stamp on a clear-cut dominant performance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (30-27 Sterling)
Christian Stein scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (30-27 Sterling)
James Mannino scores the round: 10-9 Sterling (30-27 Sterling)

The Official Result
Aljamain Sterling def. Calvin Kattar via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Apr 7, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Aljamain Sterling

Angelo slightly leans Aljamain Sterling due to Kattar's 18-month layoff and knee surgery, which could cause ring rust. He notes Sterling's takedown accuracy is poor but his relentless wrestling may be enough. He acknowledges Kattar is the better striker and if he stuffs takedowns, he wins. He calls it razor thin at 51-49.

"Alaine very very very slight lean as the pick"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Cody sees this as a live underdog spot. He notes Sterling's wrestling may not translate to 145 lbs, as his grappling diminishes against bigger opponents. Sterling has been reluctant to shoot takedowns, as seen against Sean O'Malley, and was knocked out. Kattar has 91% takedown defense in the UFC, stuffing attempts from wrestlers like Dan Ige and Josh Emmett. Cody believes Kattar's volume and power advantage will be key, and if he stuffs takedowns, he can outpoint Sterling. He also mentions Sterling's mentality of wanting to grind out boring fights, which may not impress judges in a hot Vegas crowd.

"I'm going to back up with you on that one and uh take Calvin cater is dog number well we got Yuri peta's so to speak dog number one but you want a real dog we'll go with Calvin ker …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Connor also picks Kattar with a cloud of question marks. He notes that Sterling is a creative takedown artist but moving up in weight against a big featherweight. Connor points out that wrestlers moving up rarely succeed, and Kattar's defensive wrestling has been solid. He also mentions that Kattar is a slow starter but has power and size advantages.

Odds: Sterling opened -115, now -167; Kattar opened -110, now +149. Connor notes the line movement.
"I'm going to take a Calvin cater as well with just a huge cloud of question marks floating around."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Calvin Kattar as a dog, citing his boxing advantage and takedown defense. He acknowledges Sterling's grappling threat but believes Kattar's size and striking can keep the fight standing. Vreeland is concerned about Kattar's injury layoff and Sterling's experience, but sees value in the underdog.

"I'll lean with Kattar"
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 10, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Lucrative James does not make a pick for this fight. He says it's a really good fight and he is excited to see how Aljamain Sterling bounces back from losing his bantamweight title now fighting at featherweight. He does not give a prediction.

"Aljamain Sterling versus Calvin Kattar that's a really good fight I'm very excited to see how Aljo bounces back"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Kattar holds a striking advantage and will touch up Sterling from distance. He will shut down takedown attempts and batter Sterling on the feet, winning a decision. Sterling's featherweight debut will be tough.

decision
"I think we'll see Kar really touch up Alain Sterling from distance be able to Shu off off a couple of the takedown attempts and then really batter Sterling on the feet on route to a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Paul picks Kattar as a dog, citing the weight change for Sterling and Kattar's takedown defense. He notes that few have tried to wrestle Kattar, and those who did (Dan Ige, Josh Emmett) had little success. Paul thinks if Sterling can't get takedowns, it becomes a competitive standup fight where Kattar has more power. He also mentions Sterling's recent knockout loss and his apparent mental state, questioning his motivation. Paul believes Kattar can keep the fight standing and win a decision or even get a knockout.

"Calvin CER will be one for me."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Aljamain Sterling

The MMA Guru picks Aljamain Sterling to win, citing Kattar's long layoff and leg injury. He believes Sterling's grappling will be too much for Kattar, especially targeting the injured rear leg with single legs. He expects Sterling to either finish or ride out a decision.

"Al Jamaine Sterling the Funk Master is going to get it done he's going to show these featherweights what real grappling is."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Apr 12, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Zane picks Kattar despite many question marks. He notes that Kattar is a big featherweight with power, and Sterling is moving up for the first time. Zane argues that wrestlers moving up rarely look their best, and Sterling's inefficient style may not translate well. He also points out that Kattar has faced few dedicated wrestlers, but Sterling's first fight at 145 could be a disadvantage.

Odds: Sterling opened -115, now -167; Kattar opened -110, now +149. Zane mentions the line movement.
"I am gonna, I'm gonna take Kater. I am he's the, the guys that have beat him tend to be bigger punching or more deft range strikers who can actually just handle him there."
LOSS vs Arnold Allen
TKO (knee injury) R2 0:08 · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · Oct 29, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Arnold Allen 0 14 of 58 24% 14 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 28 of 67 41% 28 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Arnold Allen 0 14 of 57 24% 14 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 27 of 65 41% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
2 Arnold Allen 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 1 of 2 50% 1 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Arnold Allen 14 of 58 24% 5 of 47 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 28 of 67 41% 21 of 55 2 of 5 5 of 7 27 of 62 0 of 0 1 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Arnold Allen 14 of 57 24% 5 of 46 6 of 8 3 of 3 14 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 27 of 65 41% 21 of 54 2 of 5 4 of 6 26 of 60 0 of 0 1 of 5
2 Arnold Allen 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Arnold Allen

Round 1
The two ranked fighters on this fight card – in terms of listings on Sherdog – come to blows in its main event, as impressive technical boxer Kattar (23-6, 7-4 UFC) throws down with the streaking Allen (18-1, 9-0 UFC), who has won all nine of his trips to the UFC cage. Whether he can go 10-0 and put himself on the shortlist for championship contention in the logjammed featherweight category, he will have to get through “The Boston Finisher” first. The stakes are high, and referee Herb Dean is bringing his A-game to the headliner. Gloves are gladly touched, and it’s on with the show. Both men hunt for their range as they face off in alternating stances, pushing out jabs that bump into the other. Allen scores first with a low kick, and he lands a second as Kattar skirts out of the way. Kattar splits the guard with a jab, and Allen ignores it to double down on the calf kick. The defenses are solid thus far, with low accuracy rates and very active blocks, and as a result, they do not sit down on anything of note. Allen scores a single straight left, and Kattar responds with a snapping jab. When Kattar looks to double up on his jab, Allen settles for two kicks including one to the side. Kattar rushes forward with a clean one-two, and Allen shakes it off and walks right into a low kick. Allen gives chase but hits nothing but air, and Kattar pokes with his toes on the midsection. Allen knocks his man a step back with a left hand, and when Kattar attempts to reply, he kicks the upper thigh. Allen has a left hand get around the guard, and he chains several punches together to shake Kattar up. As Kattar backs off, Allen picks it up briefly, but he lets go before Kattar can lean on heavy counters. Allen lands a one-two across the bow, and Kattar largely uses the jab to respond. Allen scores several left hands that get Kattar’s attention, and Kattar’s face has begun to turn red. Allen comfortably lands another left hand, and he stays moving and circles fast. Kattar leaps in the air with a kick and lands awkwardly, and his right knee blows out as he falls to the ground. Allen leaps on top to strike, and he moves to set up a brabo choke but cannot secure it before the round ends. It will be interesting to see if Kattar can make it out of his corner for the second frame given the obvious injury he suffered.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Allen
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Allen

Round 2
Dean calls in the doctor before the round begins, and Kattar states that he is good to go. Kattar walks around gingerly but he has his balance and can continue. Allen marches forward, knowing what his clear path to victory is, and he lashes out.
“Almighty” unleashes one almighty leg kick to the lead leg of his opponent, and as Kattar attempts to check it, his right knee buckles and gives out beneath him. Kattar falls to the ground in agony and Allen does not go in for the kill as he knows the fight is over. Dean steps between them just to make sure,
and the medical staff races in immediately after the stoppage to tend to the downed Kattar. This is an extremely unfortunate ending to this featherweight headliner, and a difficult pill to swallow for the Brit, who notches his 10th UFC win in a row. Allen is crestfallen, not just because his opponent suffered an injury, but because he states that he does not want to win like that. In his post-fight interview, Allen is put on the spot by commentator Michael Bisping, in which he calls for an interim title shot should champ Alexander Volkanovski move up in weight and be away from the division for a time. He does not call for a specific opponent, although potential options could include Josh Emmett or Yair Rodriguez. If that should come together, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Arnold Allen def. Calvin Kattar R2 0:08 via TKO (Knee Injury)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Big Brady picks Calvin Kattar to win by decision. He argues that Kattar's volume and pressure will be too much for Allen, who has shown low output and cardio issues in three-round fights. He notes that Kattar has never been knocked down and has gone five rounds in his last four fights, while Allen has never seen a fourth round. He believes Allen will need to hurt Kattar to win, which is unlikely given Kattar's durability.

Kattar wins by decision
"give me catering to win here and I would not be shocked if he finished Arnold Allen late but I'll say decision win for Calvin kator"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Cody argues that Arnold Allen is a low-output fighter who has been carried by close decisions and flashy finishes against declining competition. He points to Allen's low significant strike totals in many fights and notes that Calvin Kattar has landed over 100 significant strikes in his last four fights, has a cast-iron chin, and superior technical boxing and work rate. Cody expects Kattar's volume and five-round experience to wear Allen down over the distance, likely resulting in a close decision win.

"I gotta go with kader I think that the strike accumulation is going to wear off down the end and again Arnold Allen good wins but when you look at them he's not competing at the same level as Calvin …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Arnold Allen

Daniel Levi picks Arnold Allen, citing his versatility, southpaw stance with an outside calf kick, and ability to win early rounds. He notes Allen's experience against tough competition and his own money train on Allen. He respects Kattar's durability and iron will but questions the cumulative damage from recent fights. He got Allen at +110 and is confident in the pick, though he acknowledges Kattar could win if Allen fatigues.

Bet at +110, 2 units. Would not bet at -125. Mentions Allen as one of his money trains.
"I'm betting on Arnold Allen firstly I got it at plus 110 it's currently minus 125. I did my job in terms of getting the best of the line."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Arnold Allen

Jacob picks Arnold Allen but is scared to death. He notes Allen's counter-striking and wrestling should be key, but Kattar is a better boxer and can mix in wrestling. Jacob worries about Allen facing adversity for the first time. He calls it a coin flip.

"I'm going to pick Arnold out in this matchup but I'm scared to death"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Kattar's volume and combination striking will be too much for Allen, who tends to be low-volume and waits for moments. Allen's explosive win over Hooker was against a compromised opponent. Kattar has five-round experience and should outwork Allen over 25 minutes. The plus money on Kattar is excellent value.

Kattar by decision
"give me Calvin cater cater by decision but the fact that we can get him around plus 100 plus 105 his money line is fine here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Paul agrees with Cody that volume is the deciding factor, noting that Kattar is obscenely durable and has five-round experience. He mentions a prop on Prize Picks for Arnold Allen over 0.5 takedowns, expecting Allen to mix in wrestling but not being a great wrestler. Paul says he'll probably end up with money on Calvin Kattar on Saturday, indicating a betting interest.

Prize Picks: Arnold Allen over 0.5 takedowns
"I'm total agreement that I think it really comes down to like you know who's throwing more over the course of five rounds and we've seen kater do it over the court like in five round fights"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

The MMA Guru picks Calvin Kattar over Arnold Allen, despite expecting Allen to look great early and possibly break Kattar's nose. He doubts Allen's finishing ability and notes Allen tends to slow down in later rounds, as seen against Sadiq Yusuff. He believes Kattar's experience fighting with a broken nose and his body work will pay off, predicting Kattar wins rounds 3-5 via decision or late TKO.

"I'm going with Calvin kater here I think he's gonna get busted up in the first round broken nose... but if Emmett can't KO you I don't think Arnold Allen can"
LOSS vs Josh Emmett
Decision (split) (47–48, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Emmett 0 130 of 375 34% 131 of 376 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 107 of 332 32% 107 of 332 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Emmett 0 14 of 39 35% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
2 Josh Emmett 0 22 of 78 28% 22 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 26 of 73 35% 26 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Josh Emmett 0 19 of 66 28% 19 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 27 of 77 35% 27 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Josh Emmett 0 41 of 106 38% 41 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 21 of 80 26% 21 of 80 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
5 Josh Emmett 0 34 of 86 39% 34 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Emmett 130 of 375 34% 114 of 351 15 of 23 1 of 1 130 of 375 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 107 of 332 32% 73 of 286 26 of 37 8 of 9 106 of 330 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Emmett 14 of 39 35% 12 of 36 1 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 11 of 35 31% 8 of 32 1 of 1 2 of 2 10 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Josh Emmett 22 of 78 28% 20 of 76 2 of 2 0 of 0 22 of 78 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 26 of 73 35% 19 of 63 6 of 9 1 of 1 26 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Josh Emmett 19 of 66 28% 18 of 62 1 of 4 0 of 0 19 of 66 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 27 of 77 35% 18 of 65 8 of 11 1 of 1 27 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Josh Emmett 41 of 106 38% 35 of 98 6 of 8 0 of 0 41 of 106 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 21 of 80 26% 13 of 68 5 of 9 3 of 3 21 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Josh Emmett 34 of 86 39% 29 of 79 5 of 7 0 of 0 34 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 22 of 67 32% 15 of 58 6 of 7 1 of 2 22 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Angelo picks Calvin Kattar, citing his superior boxing, footwork, and technique. He notes Kattar's 90% takedown defense and believes he can avoid Emmett's power. He acknowledges the possibility of Emmett winning by power and damage (like Font vs Vera) but thinks Kattar's pressure and volume will win the decision.

"i do like calvin qatar to win with his footwork and his technique but it's not completely out of the question that calvin vs emmett looks like font vs vera"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Big Brady picks Calvin Kattar to win by fourth-round knockout. He notes Kattar is younger, taller, and has a reach advantage, and is the better striker with excellent boxing combinations. He acknowledges Emmett's power and seven-fight knockdown streak, but trusts Kattar's chin (never knocked down) and believes Kattar's volume and length will wear Emmett down for a late finish.

fourth round knockout
"I like calvin keator to win i like common cater i'll say to win bye i'll say fourth round knockout for calvin keator"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Cody believes Calvin Kattar's volume and technical striking will overwhelm Josh Emmett over five rounds. He notes Emmett's power is dangerous but Kattar's durability and head movement are elite, and Emmett rarely uses his wrestling. He expects Kattar to pull away late and suggests Kattar by decision as a prop.

Calvin Kattar by decision
"i think calvin kater's just going to put volume on him all day and slowly start to pull away the longer the fight goes"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Daniel Levi leans Calvin Kattar as the minute winner, believing Kattar's jab and improved striking variety will keep him ahead on the scorecards. However, he emphasizes that Josh Emmett's one-punch power and ability to steal rounds make this a dog-or-pass betting situation, especially with Kattar at -230. He notes Kattar absorbs a lot of strikes and Emmett has knocked down every featherweight opponent, so a finish is possible either way. Levi ultimately sees it as a coin flip and prefers not to lay the heavy juice.

dog or pass situation; Kattar -230 is too high; Emmett +195 is tempting
"i lean cater it's just minus 250 odds are not indicative of a coin flip fight so i see this at the betting window being a dogger pass situation"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Paul agrees with Cody, emphasizing Kattar's volume and technical superiority. He points out that Emmett's power is a threat but Kattar's durability and five-round experience favor him. He notes the over/under is set high, suggesting a decision is likely, and he picks Kattar as the rightful favorite.

"i think calvin kater's just going to put volume on him all day and slowly start to pull away the longer the fight goes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

The MMA Guru picks Calvin Kattar, trusting his technique and durability. He notes that Josh Emmett has power but has struggled against tough opponents like Jeremy Stephens and Dan Ige. He believes Kattar has better boxing, a good chin, and a front kick to keep Emmett at distance. He predicts Kattar will get hurt early but recover and finish Emmett in the third round via TKO.

third round tko
"i'm going with cater over emmett... i see calvin kater getting this one done by third round tko"
WIN vs Giga Chikadze
Decision (unanimous) (50–45, 50–45, 50–44) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Chikadze · Jan 15, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 1 144 of 402 35% 157 of 418 2 of 7 28% 1 1 3:42
Giga Chikadze 0 128 of 347 36% 129 of 348 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 4 of 7 57% 17 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 1 3:19
Giga Chikadze 0 8 of 19 42% 9 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:09
2 Calvin Kattar 0 28 of 81 34% 28 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:08
Giga Chikadze 0 38 of 99 38% 38 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 0 25 of 87 28% 25 of 87 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Giga Chikadze 0 22 of 67 32% 22 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Calvin Kattar 0 36 of 102 35% 36 of 102 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Giga Chikadze 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Calvin Kattar 1 51 of 125 40% 51 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Giga Chikadze 0 32 of 92 34% 32 of 92 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 144 of 402 35% 127 of 369 13 of 28 4 of 5 135 of 390 2 of 2 7 of 10
Giga Chikadze 128 of 347 36% 94 of 297 27 of 41 7 of 9 127 of 344 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
Giga Chikadze 8 of 19 42% 4 of 14 2 of 2 2 of 3 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 28 of 81 34% 26 of 77 2 of 3 0 of 1 23 of 75 2 of 2 3 of 4
Giga Chikadze 38 of 99 38% 30 of 89 8 of 10 0 of 0 38 of 99 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 25 of 87 28% 22 of 78 3 of 9 0 of 0 25 of 87 0 of 0 0 of 0
Giga Chikadze 22 of 67 32% 18 of 61 1 of 2 3 of 4 22 of 67 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Calvin Kattar 36 of 102 35% 32 of 94 3 of 7 1 of 1 36 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 0
Giga Chikadze 28 of 70 40% 20 of 57 6 of 11 2 of 2 27 of 67 1 of 3 0 of 0
5 Calvin Kattar 51 of 125 40% 45 of 115 5 of 9 1 of 1 48 of 121 0 of 0 3 of 4
Giga Chikadze 32 of 92 34% 22 of 76 10 of 16 0 of 0 32 of 92 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Calvin Kattar vs. Giga Chikadze

Round 1
The main event kicks off, with referee Keith Peterson having banished all vestiges of nonsense from the premises by means of ancient, arcane and forbidden magic. The first strike of the fight is a right outside leg kick by Chikadze. He lands another, then a front kick to the chin. Kattar is coming forward, switching stances and throwing jabs from both sides. Chikadze is backpedaling and using lateral movement to avoid being backed into the fence. Chikadze lands a low kick, followed by a kick to the body. Kattar times the next one and explodes forward for a huge takedown. Kattar lands in half guard. Two minutes gone in the round, and Kattar is heavy on top, denying a hip escape. Kattar looking to pass to side control, but can’t. Chikadze stuffs him back to a deep half guard. Kattar briefly contemplates isolating the far arm, but Chikadze is active with his hips and Kattar is forced to hold him down. Chikadze grabs a guillotine, but Kattar hops to the opposite side. Chikadze sweeps to top, but Kattar has an arm-triangle from the bottom and moves to the back. Kattar is working with a body triangle from the back, throwing punches as the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar

Round 2
Chikadze lands a solid body kick. Kattar comes into punching range and Chikadze lands a pair of hooks to the body, followed by a left kick. Kattar counters a body kick with a sharp left hand. Kattar is still coming forward relentlessly, switching stances frequently, and Chikadze is having trouble adjusting, even as he lands. Kattar lands a hard right hook that hurts Chikadze. Kattar tries dropping for a single leg, but Chikadze evades it easily. Kattar lands a two-punch combination, followed by a step-in elbow. Chikadze retreats, and Kattar keeps the pressure on. Under a minute left, and “The Boston Finisher” has all the momentum. Chikadze lands a pair of punches, and Kattar responds with a spinning back elbow that lands flush. Kattar lands a takedown at the 10-second clapper and nails Chikadze with a couple of punches before he can stand. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar

Round 3
Kattar continues to come forward, pressuring Chikadze, and lands a one-two. Kattar is in control, and Chikadze is starting to look tired, discouraged or both. Chikadze lands an outside calf kick, then another. Kattar lands a right cross, and Chikadze whiffs on a counter. Kattar drops for a single-leg and chases Chikadze all the way across the Octagon with it, where the Georgian uses a fence grab to steady himself, lets it go quickly, but not before it succeeds in foiling the takedown. Under two minutes left and they’re standing in the center of the cage again. Kattar’s jab is busting Chikadze up. Chikadze lands a pair of hard punches, but stumbles afterward, off-balance or just fatigued. Kattar comes forward with 30 seconds left and throws a one-two and a body kick. Chikadze catches Kattar with a flush right and takes another back elbow for his trouble, right before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar

Round 4
The main event rounds open up with both men’s face showing wear, but Chikadze’s more so. Kattar walks him down and lands a jab. And another. Chikadze denies a takedown attempt against the cage. Kattar’s jab is once again right in Chikadze’s face as the Bostonian moves forward. Kattar throws another step-in elbow. Chikadze throws a body kick, but Kattar punishes him with a three-punch combo. Halfway through the round, Kattar catches a kick and marches forward, throwing punches while holding the leg. Chikadze lands a solid straight left, but the volume advantage is definitely with Kattar. They land simultaneous jabs. Kattar has busted the right eye of Chikadze badly, cuts above as well as below. The horn sounds on another easy Kattar round.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kattar
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar

Round 5
The final round begins as the other four did, with Kattar marching forward and cutting off the cage, but Chikadze explodes forward and tags him with a flurry of punches. Kattar keeps coming, though, and lands his own relentless volley of jabs. Chikadze lands a body kick, but Kattar is just overwhelming him. Kattar lands a high kick of his own. Chikadze comes forward, and Kattar counters with elbow strikes from both sides, then throws a kick up the middle. The round hits its halfway point, and Chikadze is still doing his best to find the finish he clearly knows he needs, but Kattar is far fresher and answering everything with two or more strikes to one. Kattar begins looking for bigger single shots on the flagging Chikadze, and lands a couple, leaving the Georgian stumbling backward. Kattar lands another spinning back elbow. Chikadze throws a kick up the middle. Under 30 seconds left and both men are still looking for the knockout. Kattar drops Chikadze with an elbow strike with under 10 seconds left, and referee Peterson looks on closely as he follows up with punches, but the round expires. Complete bell-to-bell performance by Calvin Kattar.

Sherdog Scores
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (50-45 Kattar)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (50-45 Kattar)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Kattar (50-45 Kattar)

The Official Result
Calvin Kattar def. Giga Chikadze via Unanimous Decision (50-45, 50-45, 50-44)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Angelo picks Chikadze as the safe pick, citing his phenomenal striking, kicks, and range management. He notes Kattar is a live underdog with excellent boxing and a wrestling background that could pose problems if he pressures. He mentions possibly sprinkling a bet on Kattar.

May sprinkle a bet on Kattar as underdog.
"geek is the pick but that's a safe pick calvin qatar is very live here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Big Brady admits he has been a Giga Chikadze hater but acknowledges Giga's improvements, especially his cardio in the Omar Morales fight. He notes Giga has never seen the fourth or fifth round and has slowed down in the past, while Calvin Kattar has a steel chin and absorbs strikes. Brady expects Giga to win the first three rounds and take a decision, but is hesitant due to the five-round distance and Kattar's durability. He does not like the moneyline at -233 and would not bet it.

"I'm going to say giga chicago does win this fight i'm going to say he does win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Cody picks Giga Chikadze, emphasizing his clean kickboxing and ability to dictate range with kicks. He notes Kattar struggles against longer opponents and that Giga's cardio looked solid in recent fights. He worries about Giga's takedown defense but doubts Kattar will wrestle. He suggests betting Kattar live after the second or third round if he survives the early onslaught.

Consider hedging on Kattar after round 2 or 3 if he survives
"as far as striker versus striker goes gotta go with the better striker better striker is giga just don't love the price tag"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 13, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Daniel Levi picks Giga Chikadze to win and be the first to finish Calvin Kattar via strikes. He argues that Kattar is a one-dimensional boxer with a negative strike differential, and that Giga's diverse striking—especially body kicks and head kicks—will be too much. He notes Giga has improved his cardio and grappling, citing his anaconda attempt on Barboza and brown belt in jiu-jitsu. Levi acknowledges Kattar's toughness and right hand but believes Giga's precision and power will prevail. He placed 5 units on Giga at -215.

5 units at -215
"I think giga chikazi is going to be the first man in mma history to finish calvin kater via strikes and i think he's going to open a lot of eyes so yeah give me giga chikazi i put five …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

The host believes Giga Chikadze's kick-heavy game plan will be the key to victory, targeting Calvin Kattar's legs which have historically been a weakness. He notes that Kattar is the better technical boxer, but Chikadze's diverse kicking attacks (leg, body, head) and ability to switch targets will slow Kattar down. The host is confident Chikadze can implement this strategy effectively, though he acknowledges the fight could go the distance if Kattar absorbs the kicks and keeps moving forward. He ultimately picks Chikadze by decision, but also considers an inside-the-distance finish possible.

Decision prop at +325, over 2.5 rounds at -135 mentioned as possible bets.
"i'll go to kaze... i'm stuck between decision and inside the distance honestly... i'm gonna go chicago just staying methodical staying cerebral as well and just staying on the outside letting those leg kicks go"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 12, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

Paul leans toward Giga Chikadze as the better striker, noting that if the fight stays at kicking range, Kattar will get torn up. He acknowledges Kattar's boxing and pressure but believes Giga's kicks and range control are decisive. He mentions the line is close to accurate but doesn't love the -235 price. He suggests Kattar might have a path via wrestling, but considers it unlikely.

"if this fight takes place at kicking range uh you got to imagine that calvin kater is going to get torn up completely"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Giga Chikadze

The MMA Guru picks Giga Chikadze to win by decision, citing Chikadze's superior kicking game and Kattar's well-known vulnerability to leg kicks, as exposed by Renato Moicano. He notes that Kattar is a slow starter who struggles with kicks, and coming off a year-long layoff after taking massive damage against Max Holloway, he expects Kattar to be even more hesitant early. Chikadze's activity (three fights in the past year) and improved takedown defense are also factors, as Kattar is unlikely to wrestle. However, he acknowledges Kattar is a good underdog and could pull off an upset if he survives the early kicking onslaught.

Kattar is a good underdog at nearly 2-to-1 odds; Chikadze is a 2-to-1 favorite. Prediction: Chikadze by decision (49-46).
"i'm gonna go with the gigachicken but don't be surprised if qatar gets the upset man"
LOSS vs Max Holloway
Decision (unanimous) (50–43, 50–43, 50–42) R5 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar · Jan 16, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Max Holloway 0 445 of 744 59% 447 of 746 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Calvin Kattar 0 133 of 283 47% 134 of 284 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Max Holloway 0 56 of 108 51% 56 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 24 of 47 51% 24 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Max Holloway 0 89 of 164 54% 89 of 164 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 20 of 48 41% 20 of 48 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
3 Max Holloway 0 75 of 139 53% 77 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Calvin Kattar 0 29 of 59 49% 30 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Max Holloway 0 141 of 191 73% 141 of 191 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Calvin Kattar 0 34 of 71 47% 34 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
5 Max Holloway 0 84 of 142 59% 84 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Calvin Kattar 0 26 of 58 44% 26 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Max Holloway 445 of 744 59% 274 of 553 117 of 133 54 of 58 439 of 737 6 of 7 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 133 of 283 47% 99 of 237 16 of 23 18 of 23 129 of 279 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Max Holloway 56 of 108 51% 30 of 75 15 of 20 11 of 13 56 of 108 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 24 of 47 51% 13 of 34 2 of 2 9 of 11 24 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Max Holloway 89 of 164 54% 53 of 127 25 of 25 11 of 12 87 of 161 2 of 3 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 20 of 48 41% 14 of 41 4 of 5 2 of 2 19 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Max Holloway 75 of 139 53% 53 of 111 13 of 19 9 of 9 73 of 137 2 of 2 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 29 of 59 49% 25 of 51 3 of 5 1 of 3 28 of 58 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Max Holloway 141 of 191 73% 89 of 135 45 of 48 7 of 8 139 of 189 2 of 2 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 34 of 71 47% 27 of 63 5 of 6 2 of 2 32 of 69 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Max Holloway 84 of 142 59% 49 of 105 19 of 21 16 of 16 84 of 142 0 of 0 0 of 0
Calvin Kattar 26 of 58 44% 20 of 48 2 of 5 4 of 5 26 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Max Holloway

Big Brady picks Max Holloway to win by decision. He notes that Holloway has only lost to the best (Volkanovski, Poirier, McGregor) and that Kattar is a big step up in competition. He highlights Kattar's poor striking defense, absorbing more than he lands (5.66 vs 5.01), which is a red flag against Holloway's volume. He also mentions Holloway's motivation after two losses and that he looked great in his last fight. He believes Kattar's only path is a knockout, but Holloway hasn't been knocked out in 27 fights.

"i'm going to take max holloway to win here by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 12, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Daniel Levi picks Calvin Kattar for the upset, citing Kattar's power and ability to land hard shots that could sway judges. He notes Holloway's ego and emotional issues may have cost him the Volk rematch, and that Holloway absorbs many head strikes. He believes Kattar doesn't need to match volume but land the cleaner, harder shots over five rounds.

"i'm gonna go with calvin uh for the upset"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Kattar is the more technical striker with crisp hands and a piston-like jab. He matches Holloway in height and reach, which neutralizes Holloway's typical range advantage. Holloway has been hurt in past fights and Kattar has the power to finish. Kattar's cardio held up in a five-round fight against Dan Ige, and his New England Cartel camp is on a hot streak. The main concern is Holloway's volume, but Kattar's cleaner striking should win rounds.

Kattar by decision is the primary pick, but a finish is possible given Holloway's durability questions.
"I like cater here I wouldn't even be surprised if he gets a knockout too because holloway's been hurt a lot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Max Holloway

The MMA Guru picks Max Holloway over Calvin Kattar, citing Holloway's improved kicking game, five-round experience, and youth. He notes Kattar's broken nose as a major vulnerability, expecting Holloway to target it with jabs. He predicts Holloway will win four rounds to one, with Kattar taking the first round before Holloway makes adjustments. He also questions Kattar's KO power, noting he hasn't faced a chin like Holloway's.

"i just see max holloway winning himself a fun exciting competitive decision four rounds to one i think qatar wins the first round"
WIN vs Dan Ige
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Ige · Jul 16, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Calvin Kattar 0 105 of 260 40% 107 of 262 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Dan Ige 0 84 of 218 38% 87 of 221 0 of 9 0% 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Calvin Kattar 0 20 of 46 43% 20 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:39
Dan Ige 0 13 of 36 36% 16 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Calvin Kattar 0 15 of 39 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 18 of 45 40% 18 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Calvin Kattar 0 21 of 63 33% 21 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 20 of 49 40% 20 of 49 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
4 Calvin Kattar 0 21 of 57 36% 22 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Dan Ige 0 16 of 36 44% 16 of 36 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:03
5 Calvin Kattar 0 28 of 55 50% 29 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Dan Ige 0 17 of 52 32% 17 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Calvin Kattar 105 of 260 40% 70 of 211 19 of 32 16 of 17 95 of 236 1 of 3 9 of 21
Dan Ige 84 of 218 38% 37 of 150 30 of 46 17 of 22 82 of 216 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Calvin Kattar 20 of 46 43% 11 of 34 9 of 11 0 of 1 17 of 38 0 of 0 3 of 8
Dan Ige 13 of 36 36% 7 of 26 4 of 7 2 of 3 13 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Calvin Kattar 15 of 39 38% 13 of 34 2 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dan Ige 18 of 45 40% 7 of 32 6 of 7 5 of 6 18 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Calvin Kattar 21 of 63 33% 14 of 52 3 of 7 4 of 4 21 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dan Ige 20 of 49 40% 7 of 29 8 of 15 5 of 5 20 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Calvin Kattar 21 of 57 36% 12 of 47 2 of 3 7 of 7 18 of 51 0 of 1 3 of 5
Dan Ige 16 of 36 44% 10 of 27 4 of 6 2 of 3 14 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0
5 Calvin Kattar 28 of 55 50% 20 of 44 3 of 6 5 of 5 24 of 45 1 of 2 3 of 8
Dan Ige 17 of 52 32% 6 of 36 8 of 11 3 of 5 17 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Big Brady picks Calvin Kattar to win, noting that the five-round fight favors Kattar's superior cardio. He believes Dan Ige will struggle to get takedowns due to Kattar's 77% takedown defense, and that Ige's cardio is questionable even in three-round fights. He predicts a finish in the fourth or fifth round, calling Kattar the 'Boston Finisher' and referencing his nasty elbow in his last fight.

Parlayed Kattar with Khamzat Chimaev at around -110; notes Kattar's line moved from -240 to -310
"I parlayed Kamara Oman with something on this card and that somebody is Calvin cater and I like that partly a lot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Daniel Levi picks Calvin Kattar to finish Dan Ige, citing Kattar's best hands in the division and his ability to maintain pressure over five rounds. He believes Ige may have early success but Kattar will take over and knock him out, possibly earning a title shot.

by knockout
"I got Calvin by knockout you know at some point in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

The Guru picks Calvin Kattar, highlighting his impressive wins over Jeremy Stephens, Josh Emmett, Shane Burgos, and Ricardo Lamas. He believes Kattar's jab and power will be key, and that Dan Ige lacks the power to knock him out. He predicts Kattar may lose the first round due to Ige's volume but will adjust and land a big shot for a TKO in round 2. He also notes Ige's underrated grappling but thinks Kattar's takedown defense is solid.

TKO round 2
"I think Calvin Qatar goes out there puts hands on Danny gay probably loses the first round but when he covers up he's watching the entire time Calvin Qatar's got a slick jab I think he watches the entire first …"
Dan Ige - Fight History
KO R1 4:56 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 0 7 of 11 63% 12 of 16 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Melquizael Costa 1 19 of 40 47% 26 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 0 7 of 11 63% 12 of 16 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:31
Melquizael Costa 1 19 of 40 47% 26 of 48 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Melquizael Costa 19 of 40 47% 9 of 26 7 of 9 3 of 5 13 of 29 4 of 5 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 7 of 11 63% 2 of 5 2 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Melquizael Costa 19 of 40 47% 9 of 26 7 of 9 3 of 5 13 of 29 4 of 5 2 of 6
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Melquizael Costa vs. Dan Ige

Round 1
Jacob Montalvo is the referee. Ige takes the center, kicks the leg and then lands a takedown. Costa is right back up as Ige presses him into the cage. Ige with a shoulder strike from the clinch. Costa is able to toss Ige to the canvas and then lands a knee to the body as his foe stands. They’re battling it out in the clinch, and Costa drives a couple knees to the midsection. Costa with another knee and then he shoves Ige away. Costa goes high with a kick, but Ige has his guard up .Another high kick from Costa is blocked. Costa follows yet another head kick with a front kick down the middle. Another front kick has hurt Ige, but he keeps his wits to survive a follow-up barrage from his foe. Costa steps in with an elbow, then lands a knee as he slides out of range. Ige forces the clinch, but Costa knees and separates. Costa follows a side kick to the body with a left hand. A leg kick lands on Ige. Costa backs up to the fence but leaps in with a knee.
With time winding down, Costa drops Ige with a beautiful spinning back kick to the jaw. Ige covers up on the canvas, and Costa unloads with about seven to eight standing-to-ground punches before Montalvo steps in to wave off the fight.
Costa has his sixth straight UFC win and in the process becomes the first person to finish Ige in 30 professional fights.

The Official Result
Melquizael Costa def. Dan Ige via TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches) R1 4:56
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Angelo picks Melquizael Costa, citing his speed, busy style, and well-rounded skills. He respects Dan Ige's toughness and experience but believes Costa is the rising star. He also suggests a plus 3.5 bet on Ige as a potential prop, noting Ige often wins rounds even in losses.

Suggests Dan Ige plus 3.5 as a prop bet.
"I got to pick Mel Costa."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Big Brady picks Melquizael Costa to defeat Dan Ige, citing Costa's hot streak and superior minute-winning. He notes Costa has more tools on the feet, including kicks, and that Ige is hittable and tends to lose decisions. He is concerned about Ige's last performance against Pitbull, where he did nothing. He predicts Costa will win by decision, picking him apart with volume. He mentions the line moved from -120 to -185, indicating public money on Costa.

Melquizael Costa by decision; line movement noted
"I like Costa here. I kind of think it's just a Costa decision. Just picking apart Dan Ige, who is hittable, landing a lot of kicks, landing a lot of volume, and winning this fight on the scorecard."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody likes Ige at plus money, citing his recent performances against top competition (Diego Lopez, Lerone Murphy, Patricio Pitbull) where he won rounds. He thinks Costa's wrestling isn't proven and that Ige's cardio and power in later rounds give him an edge. He expects a decision win for Ige.

"I got a Dan Eay play out of this. And if you really want to get jiggy with it, like Eay's got knockout power. Do not overlook it, but likely Eay by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Connor picks Ige but with caution, noting that Costa is an opportunistic fighter who has been winning but often in messy ways. He points out that Costa tends to fade in the third round and that Ige is durable and a good counter puncher. He also notes that Ige has been impossible to finish and that Costa's lack of process could be exploited by Ige's experience.

Ige opened +105, now +182; Costa opened -125, now -212
"I'm going to pick Danny Gaye, but it's a very uneasy pick and I have been wrong. I've been surprised by Costa all the way through."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)

The host favors Costa stylistically due to his size, length, and technical striking, but considers the odds too steep to bet. He notes both fighters are weak on the ground, and Ige has one-shot knockout power, making Costa a risky bet at -224. He passes on betting either side.

"This is one of those matchups where for me it's an easy pass. I favor Costa. He should win. The odds are too steep. There's no way I can justify a bet on him at these odds."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Dan Ige

James picks Dan Ige as the betting side, believing Ige has better pocket boxing and power, and that Costa's cardio and durability are questionable. He notes that Ige has faced much tougher competition and that Costa's recent wins are over lesser opponents. James expects Ige to get a knockout, possibly in the later rounds as Costa fades.

"I am going to pick Eay as the betting side. I think that ultimately gets a knockout in this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Costa is on a five-fight winning streak with good activity and a kicking game that should trouble Ige. Ige is a veteran boxer but has struggled against high-volume strikers. Costa's range and kicks should keep Ige at bay, and he should land the more significant strikes. Ige could have success if he crashes the pocket, but Costa should win a decision.

"I still think he ends up landing more significant strikes, the better shots, the more eye-catching shots, and I think that leads to him winning this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Ige's ability to win rounds against elite fighters. He points out that Costa has slowed down in later rounds and that Ige's takedown defense has improved. He thinks the fight goes to decision and Ige's experience gives him the edge.

"I want that plus money price tag for sure. Milk's a little unproven, right?"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige by TKO, feeling that Ige's composure and power will catch Costa. He notes that Costa sometimes throws lazy kicks and can be caught on the back foot. He believes Ige is the highest-level opponent Costa has faced and can time him for a KO.

TKO
"I think Dan Ige is going to get this one done by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Zane also picks Ige with the same caution, agreeing that Costa's success is partly smoke and mirrors. He notes that Costa is not a process-driven fighter and that opponents who are resilient tend to do better against him as the fight goes on. He believes Ige's counter-punching and durability will be key, but acknowledges Costa could win if he lands a big shot early.

"So I'm picking Ige too, but with exactly the same amount of caution. As you, I am prepared to be wrong."
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Patrício Pitbull 0 47 of 124 37% 59 of 145 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Dan Ige 0 55 of 97 56% 71 of 114 5 of 9 55% 0 0 2:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Patrício Pitbull 0 6 of 28 21% 10 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 7 of 13 53% 7 of 13 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:03
2 Patrício Pitbull 0 19 of 51 37% 19 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 37 of 58 63% 47 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:55
3 Patrício Pitbull 0 22 of 45 48% 30 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Dan Ige 0 11 of 26 42% 17 of 33 2 of 5 40% 0 0 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Patrício Pitbull 47 of 124 37% 24 of 93 15 of 23 8 of 8 38 of 109 3 of 5 6 of 10
Dan Ige 55 of 97 56% 42 of 82 9 of 10 4 of 5 42 of 82 9 of 11 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Patrício Pitbull 6 of 28 21% 1 of 21 2 of 4 3 of 3 6 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 0
Dan Ige 7 of 13 53% 2 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 3 7 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Patrício Pitbull 19 of 51 37% 10 of 38 6 of 10 3 of 3 17 of 48 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dan Ige 37 of 58 63% 30 of 50 6 of 6 1 of 2 25 of 45 8 of 9 4 of 4
3 Patrício Pitbull 22 of 45 48% 13 of 34 7 of 9 2 of 2 15 of 34 1 of 1 6 of 10
Dan Ige 11 of 26 42% 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Angelo picks Dan Ige, calling him a tough, durable journeyman who has fought top competition in the UFC. He is wary of the Patricio Pitbull trap after Pitbull's loss in his UFC debut. He thinks Ige's will and determination will carry him, but he won't bet on it.

Says he'll stay away from this one betting wise.
"Dan Eay is going to be the pick just off of raw will and determination."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 15, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Big Brady picks Dan Ige, citing Pitbull's age (38), declining durability, low volume, and lack of wrestling. He notes Ige has advantages in size, reach, volume, durability, and competition level. He predicts Ige wins by knockout, as Pitbull has been dropped recently.

Ige by knockout
"I got to go Eay here. ... I think Eay could potentially even knock out Pitle."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patrício Pitbull

Connor believes Pitbull's patient counterpunching style is a great matchup against Ige, who tends to rush in and make mistakes. He notes that Ige lacks a range game and often gets hit while coming forward, which plays into Pitbull's strengths. He sees Pitbull capitalizing on Ige's aggression with counters and takedowns.

"This is a forgiving bounce back that will still make Pitbull look elite."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The host believes Ige's volume output and ability to manage distance and pace will be key to shutting down Pitbull's power striking. He expects Ige to have a competitive first round but then chip away and win on the scorecards.

"Look for Eay to have a competitive first round, but really start chipping away at pitbull and showcasing that he's winning and inching out each round here and winning it on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige over Patrício Pitbull, predicting a KO win. He criticizes Pitbull as a jack-of-all-trades but master of none, lacking dominant grappling or KO power. Ige is described as a short, stocky power puncher who can crack on the inside, similar to Michael Chandler who knocked out Pitbull. The Guru also references Pitbull's poor performance against Yair Rodriguez and believes Ige will put him away. He notes that Ige is a slight favorite and should be a bigger favorite.

Ige is a slight favorite and should be bigger (odds comment)
"I'm going with Dan Eay over Patriceio Pitbull."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patrício Pitbull

Zane agrees, stating that Ige's style of rushing forward with flurries is exactly what Pitbull thrives against. He notes that Ige's lack of a range game and tendency to get hit while pressing forward will allow Pitbull to land counters and control the fight. He sees this as a much better matchup for Pitbull than the Yair Rodriguez fight.

"Dan Ige may in fact be the best matchup for him in the division."
WIN vs Sean Woodson
KO R3 1:12 · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 0 44 of 107 41% 53 of 116 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:33
Sean Woodson 0 51 of 115 44% 57 of 121 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 0 9 of 37 24% 9 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Sean Woodson 0 26 of 51 50% 26 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Ige 0 15 of 41 36% 17 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
Sean Woodson 0 18 of 49 36% 24 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
3 Dan Ige 0 20 of 29 68% 27 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sean Woodson 0 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 44 of 107 41% 28 of 78 11 of 20 5 of 9 41 of 104 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sean Woodson 51 of 115 44% 36 of 98 7 of 9 8 of 8 51 of 115 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 9 of 37 24% 4 of 25 1 of 6 4 of 6 9 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Woodson 26 of 51 50% 15 of 39 6 of 7 5 of 5 26 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Dan Ige 15 of 41 36% 9 of 30 5 of 9 1 of 2 15 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sean Woodson 18 of 49 36% 15 of 45 0 of 1 3 of 3 18 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dan Ige 20 of 29 68% 15 of 23 5 of 5 0 of 1 17 of 26 3 of 3 0 of 0
Sean Woodson 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2025 (fight day)
Sean Woodson

Daniel Levi picked Sean Woodson but never got the price he wanted, so he passed. He emphasizes the importance of getting the best number and not forcing bets. He notes that even though Woodson lost, he saved money by not betting at unfavorable odds.

Passed on the bet because he didn't get the desired price
"I wanted to bet Shawn Woodson. I picked Shawn Woodson. However, I never got the price I wanted, so I passed."
LOSS vs Lerone Murphy
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lerone Murphy 0 52 of 100 52% 78 of 133 3 of 5 60% 0 0 2:17
Dan Ige 1 46 of 106 43% 52 of 116 1 of 3 33% 0 2 4:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lerone Murphy 0 17 of 32 53% 18 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Dan Ige 1 32 of 60 53% 32 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 1 1:30
2 Lerone Murphy 0 19 of 42 45% 36 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:57
Dan Ige 0 11 of 29 37% 12 of 31 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:43
3 Lerone Murphy 0 16 of 26 61% 24 of 39 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:58
Dan Ige 0 3 of 17 17% 8 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lerone Murphy 52 of 100 52% 36 of 77 12 of 17 4 of 6 37 of 80 12 of 16 3 of 4
Dan Ige 46 of 106 43% 35 of 92 5 of 8 6 of 6 32 of 79 6 of 16 8 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lerone Murphy 17 of 32 53% 11 of 23 4 of 5 2 of 4 14 of 28 3 of 4 0 of 0
Dan Ige 32 of 60 53% 27 of 53 2 of 4 3 of 3 19 of 39 5 of 11 8 of 10
2 Lerone Murphy 19 of 42 45% 12 of 31 6 of 10 1 of 1 16 of 36 3 of 5 0 of 1
Dan Ige 11 of 29 37% 5 of 22 3 of 4 3 of 3 10 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Lerone Murphy 16 of 26 61% 13 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 16 6 of 7 3 of 3
Dan Ige 3 of 17 17% 3 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 4 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Angelo picks Lerone Murphy confidently. He praises Murphy's striking, footwork, and power, and believes he is too clean a striker for Dan Ige. He thinks Murphy's ability to mix striking and wrestling will keep Ige guessing. He also notes both fighters are tough and expects the over 2.5 rounds to be solid.

Over 2.5 rounds should be solid.
"Lon Murphy should win too clean of a striker to defensively sound I don't think he's going to get taken down and written out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Big Brady likes Murphy in this fight, believing he has more paths to win and is better everywhere. He praises Murphy's striking in his last fight against Edson Barboza and notes that Murphy can mix in takedowns, while Ige has shown he can be taken down and controlled. He predicts Murphy will win by decision, doing better work on the feet and mixing in occasional takedowns.

"give me Lon Murphy Lon Murphy by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Cody picks Lerone Murphy, citing his well-rounded skills, reach advantage, and recent win over Edson Barboza. He notes that Ige is undersized, has poor takedown defense, and relies on power that may not translate against a longer, more technical striker. Cody believes Murphy's volume and precision will overwhelm Ige, and that Murphy can mix in takedowns if needed.

"I actually like Laurel Murphy quite a bit"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Connor picks Murphy, emphasizing that Ige struggles when forced to lead and lacks range tools. Murphy's jab and footwork can keep Ige at distance, and his size and reach advantage should allow him to control the fight. Connor notes that Ige is dangerous in the pocket but Murphy can avoid that by fighting at range.

Murphy opened at -192, currently -260; Ige opened at +169, currently +221
"I think this is just a really good fight for Laurent Murphy."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Daniel Vreeland picks Lerone Murphy to win by decision, highlighting Murphy's volume striking and top-five potential. He notes that Murphy out-landed Edson Barboza with 220 significant strikes over five rounds and that Ige's toughness and power are his main advantages. Vreeland believes Murphy's skill set and minute-winning ability will carry him to a clear decision win.

"I think it's going to be a clear Lon Murphy decision win"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Lucrative James picks Lerone Murphy to win, citing Murphy's superior technical striking, fight IQ, and grappling upside. He believes Murphy is the better all-around fighter and can win via striking or takedowns. He acknowledges Ige's power and experience but thinks Murphy's calculated approach will prevail. He expects Murphy to look good and possibly call for a title shot.

"I think luron Murphy's going to be too smart for him too calculated"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Murphy is the better overall fighter with slicker striking and more damaging offense on the feet. He can also grind Ige out in clinch positions and take him down. Ige's boxing will be muzzled by Murphy's superior athleticism. Murphy wins on the scorecards.

"Murphy grinds his fight out and wins it on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Paul picks Murphy, emphasizing his reach advantage and superior striking. He notes that Ige struggles against bigger fighters and has never landed over 88 significant strikes in a fight. Paul believes Murphy's length and technical boxing will keep Ige at range, and that Murphy's takedown defense has improved. He also mentions that Ige's wrestling is not a threat.

"Murphy will be the pick for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

The Guru picks Lerone Murphy by decision, arguing that Murphy's technical, well-rounded style is a bad matchup for Dan Ige. He notes that Ige struggles against fighters who can mix in grappling and fight at range, and that Murphy's jab, low kicks, and clinch work will outpoint Ige. He compares Murphy to fighters like Calvin Kattar and Movsar Evloev who have beaten Ige with technical breakdowns. The Guru acknowledges Ige's power but believes Murphy's discipline will earn a 29-28 decision.

"I'm going to go with Lerone Murphy by decision 29-28 maybe a random scorecard goes out there for Ige but Murphy will have won it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
Lerone Murphy

Zane expected Murphy to win but noted he took the hardest path, getting caught early by a huge counter due to overstepping. He credited Murphy's durability and conditioning for bouncing back and winning. Zane emphasized that Ige is a dangerous pocket fighter with a great chin, but Murphy minded the pocket and won scrambles to secure the win.

"the win that i had expected him to get but it was he took the hardest path to get there"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Lerone Murphy

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Ige is a counter puncher who struggles when forced to lead. Murphy's jab and range management should neutralize Ige's offense. Zane points to Ige's losses to fighters who kept him at range and thinks Murphy can replicate that.

Murphy opened at -192, currently -260; Ige opened at +169, currently +221
"I totally agree. Like just Ige is dangerous. If you give him something to counter, he's a lot less dangerous if you make him actually initiate of his own accord."
LOSS vs Diego Lopes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Lopes 0 42 of 77 54% 67 of 103 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:39
Dan Ige 0 49 of 100 49% 90 of 143 1 of 3 33% 1 0 4:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Lopes 0 9 of 24 37% 9 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 22 of 47 46% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:23
2 Diego Lopes 0 8 of 12 66% 17 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dan Ige 0 12 of 16 75% 51 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:10
3 Diego Lopes 0 25 of 41 60% 41 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:39
Dan Ige 0 15 of 37 40% 16 of 38 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Lopes 42 of 77 54% 34 of 67 4 of 5 4 of 5 24 of 53 3 of 4 15 of 20
Dan Ige 49 of 100 49% 32 of 74 8 of 14 9 of 12 38 of 85 10 of 14 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Lopes 9 of 24 37% 6 of 21 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dan Ige 22 of 47 46% 16 of 38 3 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 37 8 of 10 0 of 0
2 Diego Lopes 8 of 12 66% 6 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 2 6 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 2
Dan Ige 12 of 16 75% 6 of 9 3 of 3 3 of 4 11 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Diego Lopes 25 of 41 60% 22 of 37 1 of 2 2 of 2 11 of 22 1 of 1 13 of 18
Dan Ige 15 of 37 40% 10 of 27 2 of 5 3 of 5 13 of 33 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dan Ige vs. Diego Lopes
ODDS: Lopes (-275), Ige (+220)

Round 1
The sport never fails to surprise. As recent as a few hours ago, two-time former featherweight title challenger Ortega was planning on facing surging 145er Lopes (24-6, 3-1 UFC). That fight came together on quite short notice, and as a result, Ortega was unable to make 146 pounds comfortably—transforming the matchup into a lightweight affair. However, on fight day, Ortega fell ill and was forced out of the fight. In a first for the UFC, Xtreme Couture product Ige (18-7, 10-6 UFC), who trains in Las Vegas, is stepping up to serve as the latest-notice replacement imaginable. Again, this has never happened before. Ige hit the scale at 164.5 pounds today, making the 165-pound catchweight affair official—the magnificently mulleted Lopes weighed 161 pounds on the other side of the equation. The two will give it their all while referee Jason Herzog keeps things clean, and they decide to touch ‘em up before swinging for the fences. Lopes starts right out in the center of the cage, keeping his guard up to parry early jabs from the Hawaiian. Lopes lands a quick leg kick, ducks down and lets go with two fast punches. Ige comes in to swing, and Lopes dips to drive a counter knee up the middle. Ige counters on the way out, and they reset with Lopes pawing with a front kick. Ige misses a huge left hand, and Lopes catches him with a knee that spins his man around. Ige twirls and recovers without issue, evading the worst of the rest that comes his way. Ige shells up to protect against a few punches and a step-in elbow, and he lets Lopes bounce punches off his guard. Lopes sneaks in a knee, and he strings three punches around the guard as well. Lopes slams his shin on the outside of Ige’s front leg and flashes a jab, and the two in alternating stances hand-fight on the outer edge. Ige swings and misses, and Lopes meets him with a right hand before Ige backs off. Lopes whiffs with a jump knee, and he lands lobbing hooks from both hand. Ige prevents them from getting to him and pushes Lopes away, keeping his guard up to defend against a head kick that follows. Lopes winds up on a power right hand, and it is one-and-done as Ige lets it harmless clatter off the guard. Ige ducks down to race forward and engage in a slugfest, and Lopes drives him back with a combination punctuated with an uppercut. Ige walks through a low kick to shoot for a takedown, and Lopes hits the ground and instinctively snatches up a guillotine choke. Ige turns to the right direction, and Lopes adjusts his grip to set up a brabo choke. Ige keeps twisting and returns to his feet, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lopes
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lopes
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Lopes

Round 2
The fighters jog towards one another to start the second round, where they share a fist bump. Ige is the initial aggressor, sliding in to deliver a straight left hand and slipping away to not get countered. Lopes chambers and fires a calf kick that spurs Ige into movement, and Lopes is ready for him coming in and tags him with a right hand. Lopes works on the front leg again, forcing a stance switch. Lopes tries to jab and is caught with a right hand behind the ear, and he shakes it off and meanders forward to let go with a leg kick. Ige returns fire with his own calf kick, prompting Lopes to loose a few body shots. A few jabs have opened a cut on the bridge of Ige’s nose, and he pays it no mind and slings a head kick that bangs onto the man with the mullet. Lopes grabs hold of it and chucks the Hawaiian down to the ground, where Ige scrambles and is quick to recover back to his feet. Lopes follows him and gets hold of him from behind, and he allows Ige to roll through so he can maintain the back control while locking down a body triangle in a hurry. Lopes softens Ige up with short, frustrating right hands, and he searches for a rear-naked choke but does not have a free hand to get it. Ige turns over to his knees, and Lopes adjusts his leg lock around the waist to keep Ige stuck in his grasp. Lopes smacks Ige upside the head a few times, and his search for the choke is fruitless as Ige maintains smart two-on-one wrist control. Lopes keeps bopping Ige with minor strikes, and Ige turns to his side and start slugging Lopes in the face with surprisingly powerful blows. Lopes transitions to an armbar with seconds to spare, and Ige turns over and rides it out to end the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Lopes
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Lopes
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Lopes

Round 3
Lopes offers a double glove touch and pats Ige on the side to initiate the final frame, and he backs away to commence offense. The Brazilian reaches out with a front kick while adjusting his gloves, and Ige walks through it and a low kick to back Lopes to the wall. Ige loops a left hand over the top that brushes Lopes’ hair, and he tries again and does the same. Lopes gets off six punches in a rapid flurry while Ige chucks one bomb, and Lopes is not concerned about the flamethrowing Hawaiian. Lopes gets out a jab, and Ige touches him with a right hand that briefly wobbles Lopes. Lopes fires back with an uppercut, and he appears to have his legs beneath him again in a hurry. Ige charges swinging punches, and he walks into a leg kick that disrupts his movement. Lopes rushes him and nearly completes a takedown, but Ige scrambles to burst back to his feet. Ige walks Lopes down, who may be flagging, and he has his right hand ready to release. Ige releases it. Lopes takes it on the temple and absorbs a subsequent uppercut, and he digs a left to the body and right to the head. A huge left hand from the Hawaiian knocks Lopes against the fencing, prompting a desperation single from the Brazilian. Lopes manages to turn the corner and drive Ige down to a knee, and Ige stands back up with a hook around him as Lopes tries to make him carry their body weight. Ige forces Lopes to slide off his back, and he lowers himself down to the guard to bust Lopes in the chops with fierce punches. Lopes ties him up with a closed guard to ride out the clock, and Ige sits up to nail him with a stiff right. Ige postures up to deliver a single elbow on the cheek, and he rains two more down and smiles. Ige drops right hands on the midsection, and he lets loose with a number of pounding left hands. Ige is pushed up to his feet from Lopes’ legs after Lopes gets tagged, and Lopes upkicks him and flusters him until the final horn sounds. No matter the result, these two men should be proud of their performances and simply the fact that the fight happened. History was made tonight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ige (29-28 Lopes)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ige (29-28 Lopes)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ige (29-28 Lopes)

The Official Result
Diego Lopes def. Dan Ige via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Cody fades the hype on Diego Lopes and picks Brian Ortega. He argues that Lopes' wins are over lower-level competition (Gavin Tucker, Pat Sabatini, Sodi Yusuf) and that his takedown defense is poor. Ortega, on the other hand, has fought the elite of the division and has shown improved wrestling, taking down Yair Rodriguez, Alexander Volkanovski, and Max Holloway. Cody believes Ortega's experience, durability, and Jiu-Jitsu will neutralize Lopes' grappling, and that Ortega has multiple paths to victory including submission or decision.

"The fade train's going to roll into town here, we're going to go with T-City to take out Diego Lopez."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)

Daniel Vreeland picks Brian Ortega as the underdog, arguing that people are writing him off too soon. He notes that Ortega was a whisper away from submitting Alexander Volkanovski, and his grappling is at another level. Vreeland believes Ortega can hold his own on the feet and will get the better of scrambles. He compares this fight to Ortega vs. Yair Rodriguez, where Ortega proved doubters wrong. He also questions whether Diego Lopes is as good as Yair Rodriguez.

"I like the dog here I'm going Brian Ortega... people have been writing off Brian Ortega for some time... we're literally three fights removed from him damn near submitting Alexander volkanovski."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Daniel is leaning towards Ortega (Ige) by decision, citing Ortega's durability, offensive wrestling improvements, and experience against top competition. He notes that Lopes has a poor record when fights go to decision (2-4) and that Ortega is 5-1 in decisions with the only loss to Volkanovski. He expects Ortega to weather early adversity and accumulate top control.

wins by decision
"I'm leaning towards Ortega by decision... I'm going Brian Ortega here to get past the early adversity and accumulate some top control."
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

Jeff Fox picks Diego Lopes, stating he is far more explosive on the feet, which is a concern for Ortega. He acknowledges Ortega's grappling is elite but notes that the Volkanovski fight was almost four years ago. Fox prefers the younger fighter who has been mowing through people and sees good value in the line. He admits it's a close matchup but leans Lopes.

"Give me Lopez... far more far more explosive on the feet that's got to be a concern for artega... I'll take the younger fighter who is just been mowing through people."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The host does not discuss this fight at all in the transcript. The entire podcast is focused on the Conor McGregor vs Michael Chandler fight, which is not on the provided fight card. Therefore, no pick is made for this fight.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

The host gives a slight lean to Diego Lopes, citing his momentum, confidence, and striking improvements. He believes Lopes has good enough defensive jiu-jitsu to avoid Ortega's submissions and should have a striking advantage. He notes Ortega has more high-level experience but thinks Lopes' style is perfect to beat Ortega. He mentions the line has moved from -160 to -125 and says he might bet if Lopes becomes the underdog.

"I'm going to lean ever so slightly with Diego Lopez... I think just where he's at in his career and going up against the guy in Diego Lopez who seems to have all the confidence and all the momentum in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2024 (3 days before fight)

Paul agrees with Cody, noting that the market loves Lopes but that Ortega has never been finished and has fought the best. He points out that Lopes has low striking volume and questionable takedown defense, while Ortega has a proven ability to win decisions or submissions. Paul also mentions that Ortega's experience against top competition gives him a clear edge, and that Lopes' hype is based on flashy finishes over lesser opponents.

"I agree with pretty much everything you said there. The market seems to absolutely love Diego Lopez this week."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Diego Lopes

The Guru picks Diego Lopes over Brian Ortega (note: transcript says Ortega vs Lopes, but fight card lists Lopes vs Ige; likely a mistake in transcript). He is confident in Lopes, citing his dangerous striking and submission skills. He believes Lopes will be aggressive from the start, while Ortega may be hesitant. He notes Lopes' short-notice advantage and year-round training. He predicts a first-round finish for Lopes.

finishes in the first round
"I'm going to go with Diego Lopez... I reckon he finishes him in the first round"
WIN vs Andre Fili
KO (punches) R1 2:43 · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · Feb 10, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 1 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Andre Fili 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 1 11 of 19 57% 11 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Andre Fili 0 8 of 33 24% 8 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 11 of 19 57% 4 of 11 2 of 3 5 of 5 10 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
Andre Fili 8 of 33 24% 7 of 28 1 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 11 of 19 57% 4 of 11 2 of 3 5 of 5 10 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1
Andre Fili 8 of 33 24% 7 of 28 1 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Feb 4, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Angelo calls this a 50-50 fight. Dan Ige is a fantastic kickboxer with good BJJ and underrated wrestling, having defended 10 takedowns from Bryce Mitchell. Andre Fili has all the tools but a questionable chin and tends to brawl. Angelo thinks if Fili wrestles, he can win, but expects him to brawl, favoring Ige. He suggests this is a great live bet fight.

might be the best live BET fight on the card
"Dan eay is going to be the pick but low confidence."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Big Brady picks Dan Ige to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Ige is durable (never knocked out or submitted), hits hard, and has fought top competition, while Fili has been knocked out multiple times and has questionable striking defense. He expects a stand-up fight where Ige's power and durability prevail, dropping and finishing Fili.

second round knockout
"I'm going to take Dan EA here I'm going to take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody picks Ige, expecting a close decision. He notes Ige's durability and power, while Fili has been knocked out before. He thinks the fight will likely go to decision, with Ige's superior hand speed and pressure being key. Cody also mentions the Apex environment may favor Ige's impactful strikes. He suggests a prop on Ige by decision or the over 2.5 rounds.

fight goes to decision, over 2.5 rounds, Ige by decision
"I'm gonna go with Dan eay but again it's not like I love the money line specifically because this is going to be a very close competitive fight likely goes to decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Ige has crisp boxing, high fight IQ, and a great game plan. He should be able to counter Fili's unorthodox striking and potentially mix in grappling to open up his boxing. Fili has a reach advantage but struggles to land big shots against disciplined strikers. Ige's experience and reliability should lead to a decision victory.

"I think we'll see the better damage and better productivity come from the Dan eay side which would eventually go out there and allow him to get a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul also picks Ige, noting Fili's experience but questioning if his wrestling is enough to neutralize Ige. He thinks Ige's chin and power are key, and that Fili's volume may not be enough. Paul mentions a possible Ige knockout, but leans toward Ige on the moneyline. He also considers a sprinkle on Ige by KO in round 1 at +850.

Ige by KO round 1 (+850)
"Dan eay on the money line is where I'm going here as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige because he follows game plans well and performs against opponents just outside the rankings. He expects Ige to chop low kicks and work his way inside, finishing Fili in the second round. He notes Ige's wins over Damon Jackson and his competitive fight with Bryce Mitchell.

finish in the second round
"I'm gonna go Dan eay... I think he will find the finish on Andre Philly... chewing up Philly's legs and then finishing him at some point in the second round."
LOSS vs Bryce Mitchell
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryce Mitchell 0 23 of 40 57% 37 of 59 5 of 15 33% 1 0 7:33
Dan Ige 0 18 of 55 32% 32 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryce Mitchell 0 14 of 22 63% 20 of 30 2 of 6 33% 0 0 1:56
Dan Ige 0 10 of 25 40% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Bryce Mitchell 0 5 of 12 41% 13 of 23 1 of 5 20% 1 0 2:30
Dan Ige 0 8 of 26 30% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
3 Bryce Mitchell 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 2 of 4 50% 0 0 3:07
Dan Ige 0 0 of 4 0% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryce Mitchell 23 of 40 57% 13 of 22 7 of 14 3 of 4 17 of 29 1 of 3 5 of 8
Dan Ige 18 of 55 32% 13 of 47 3 of 6 2 of 2 16 of 51 2 of 3 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryce Mitchell 14 of 22 63% 7 of 11 4 of 7 3 of 4 11 of 15 0 of 1 3 of 6
Dan Ige 10 of 25 40% 7 of 20 2 of 4 1 of 1 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Bryce Mitchell 5 of 12 41% 3 of 6 2 of 6 0 of 0 5 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0
Dan Ige 8 of 26 30% 6 of 23 1 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 22 2 of 3 0 of 1
3 Bryce Mitchell 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2
Dan Ige 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Dan Ige vs. Bryce Mitchell
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Mitchell (-205), Ige (+170)

Round 1
In the co-headliner spot, fans will be treated to a striker vs. grappler affair, at least on paper. Longing to take this fight to the ground, Mitchell (15-1, 6-1 UFC) would like nothing more than to hand Ige (17-6, 9-5 UFC) his first career submission defeat. On the other hand, the Hawaiian is hunting for his third win in a row, which would continue his run up the logjammed featherweight division. Referee Mark Smith draws the charge for this big fight, and he looks confused when Mitchell grabs a bible out of his cornerman’s hand and holds it up while screaming “Freedom.” When that odd moment ends, Smith clocks them in. There is no glove touch, as Mitchell is on a mission. Ige jabs to start the fight, and he counters a kick from Mitchell with a hard right hook. Mitchell wears it well and backs off when Ige chases after him to land a few punches. Mitchell pushes off with a side kick, and Ige misses a hook by a matter of inches. Ige clips “Thug Nasty” with a right hand, and Mitchell leaps at him to go after a double. Ige pushes him over, lands a punch that slips open a cut on Mitchell’s left cheek, and backs off. Ige is calm as a cucumber as he measures his opponent, and his third hook connects on the chin. Mitchell charges for a takedown attempt, and Ige defends the first try but gets tossed down on the second effort. Ige works his way back up and separates without much concern, and he blitzes with a winging right hook that just misses. Ige doubles up on a jab, and he counters a low kick with a left hook. As Mitchell recoils from the blow, his kick slaps into Ige’s cup. Ige is good to go, and Mitchell offers an apology from the accidental foul. Mitchell runs at Ige, where he does not get the takedown but does push Ige to the wall. The Hawaiian defends until he doesn’t, as Mitchell uses a body lock to put Ige on his back. “Thug Nasty” lands in full mount, and Ige defends himself from any ground strikes. Mitchell sets up an arm-triangle choke, and Ige bucks to stop it. Ige turns to his side, swaying around to dodge all but a pair of punches. The round ends with Mitchell riding on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ige
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ige
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ige

Round 2
Ige starts off the round flicking out several jabs, looking for his range so he can follow one with an overhand right. Mitchell pushes off with a front kick, and Ige belts him in the face with a left and a devastating right. Mitchell grimaces in pain and shoots in for a double, only to get turned around and elbows in the side of the head a few times. Ige stands him up, and the two jockey for position in the clinch. The Hawaiian slips away to restart in striking range, and damage has developed above and below Mitchell’s right eye. Ige loops a big hook on the busted eye, which splits open an enormous cut and draws some swelling. Smith calls time and brings in the doctor, but she clears Mitchell in a few seconds when Mitchell states he can see. When they resume, Mitchell tries for a naked takedown, and Ige tackles him over and lands on top. As Mitchell defends with rubber guard, Ige thinks better of the situation and stands back up. Mitchell follows after him, and he dives down after an ankle. Ige hops out of the way, parries a front kick and lands a right hand on the temple. Ige walks into a short left hand, and Mitchell times Ige’s blitz to take him off his feet and land right in mount. Ige keeps moving, turning to a side and then his knee. Mitchell follows him and takes his back with Ige leaning on the fence on his knees. “Thug Nasty” wrenches his right arm on the chin of his opponent, and he gets both hooks in and tries to flatten the Hawaiian out. Ige looks to slide out the back door, and Mitchell does not let him off the hook as he turns over to attack an arm-triangle choke. Ige defends it as Mitchell has him mounted, punching Mitchell in the side a few times. Mitchell lets go with the choke, and Ige bucks as the round comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ige
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Ige
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ige

Round 3
Mitchell is once more cleared to keep fighting, even with the swollen eye and the serious cut above it. Ige peppers that damaged eye immediately when the last round kicks off, with a number of jabs. Mitchell replies with a body kick, and he runs at Ige to grab hold of a single. Ige gets taken down, but he is quick to power back to his feet even with Mitchell clinging to him. Ige turns Mitchell over, until Mitchell slides his legs around to keep the back take intact. Mitchell locks down a body triangle, and he switches it to the other side when Ige tries to break it. Ige slowly, calmly looks to spin in this position, and Mitchell hangs on without offering any offense of his own. When Ige is about to escape, Mitchell slithers over to take mount while Ige is on his back. Ige still manages to get upright, and Mitchell stays tight to him like a cheap suit. Ige leans up against the fence and shakes Mitchell with all his might to get some space. Mitchell elects to lift Ige completely off the ground to throw him down, and Ige lands and switches things around to turn Mitchell to his seat. Mitchell grips both of his hands on Ige’s left arm for a possible armlock, and Ige keeps tight from on top. Ige sits up to lean on Mitchell, and he moves into mount with 10 seconds to spare. Ige is unable to land anything until the horn sounds, and this fight could go either way depending on how the second round is scored.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Mitchell (29-28 Ige)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Mitchell (29-28 Ige)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Mitchell (29-28 Ige)

The Official Result
Bryce Mitchell def. Dan Ige via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 17, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Angelo picks Mitchell but with very low confidence. He notes Mitchell's wrestling is dominant and his control is phenomenal, but his personal life is a mess and Dan Ige is a tough, experienced opponent. He is staying away from betting this fight.

"Bryce Mitchell is going to be the pick insanely low pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Big Brady picks Dan Ige as an underdog, expecting a decision win. He analyzes Ige's past fights against wrestlers (Evalov, Korean Zombie, Bektich) and notes Ige was not controlled for long periods. He believes if Ige keeps the fight standing for at least half the fight, his striking advantage will win rounds. He thinks it could be a split decision based on damage vs control.

"I'm gonna take Danny gay to win this final actually say he wins it by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Cody picks Bryce Mitchell by decision, citing Mitchell's superior wrestling and physicality. He notes Ige's poor takedown defense (58% in UFC) and that Mitchell has dominated similar opponents. He acknowledges Ige's durability and power but believes Mitchell's game plan of takedowns and control will prevail.

"I think he's going to be able to get the takedowns and probably wins this fight by decision so he's my pick."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Daniel thinks Mitchell's price is too high at -200 and sees value in Ige as a dog. He notes Ige's confidence is back after two wins, he's physical, and has never been submitted. He questions Mitchell's focus after a bad knockout and personal issues, and points out Mitchell's low striking output and reliance on takedowns. He believes Ige can win a split decision if he avoids extended grappling, and likes the plus money.

plus 170 moneyline; considering Ige by split decision
"I'm hoping at this plus 170 plus 180 where I might take a one or two unit shot that e get me to a split decision"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Lucrative James sees value on Ige at plus 170, noting Ige's power and takedown defense when fresh. He questions Mitchell's mindset after a loss and possible retirement talk. However, he acknowledges Mitchell could dominate on the ground. He considers a small shot on Ige but is not fully committed.

"I kind of feel like there's a little bit of value on Ige here at plus 170."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The host picks Dan Ige as a plus 180 underdog, citing Ige's takedown defense and BJJ black belt to neutralize Mitchell's grappling. He expects Ige to use his crisp boxing to draw out desperation takedowns and angle off, accruing damage on the feet. He notes Mitchell's striking is empty and only sets up takedowns, and that Ige's experience against better grapplers (like Movsar Evloev) prepares him for this.

"plus 180 I think Danny gets a damn good Underdog spot here to go out there and pull off the upside against Mitchell"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 20, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

Paul also picks Mitchell by decision, despite acknowledging Ige's live underdog potential due to Mitchell's injuries and personal issues. He believes Mitchell's takedown entries are sharp and that he will stick to his wrestling game plan. He mentions Ige's durability but thinks Mitchell's wrestling will be the difference.

"I'm willing to give Bryce Mitchell the benefit of the doubt... I think I'm just gonna stick with Bryce Mitchell and go with the Mitchell by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Bryce Mitchell

The MMA Guru picks Bryce Mitchell, believing his grappling will be the difference. He notes Mitchell's poor stand-up but excellent wrestling, and thinks he can take down Dan Ige, who struggled with Damon Jackson's takedown threat. He acknowledges Ige's wrestling at Team Alpha Male but believes Mitchell's positional grappling is superior. He mentions potential value on Ige by KO if Mitchell is distracted by personal issues, but expects a composed Mitchell to outwrestle Ige.

maybe some value on a Danny gay KO in case...
"Bryce Mitchell versus Dan Eagle this is a good matchup and I'm gonna go with Bryce Mitchell..."
WIN vs Nate Landwehr
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Jun 10, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 1 88 of 184 47% 88 of 184 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:41
Nate Landwehr 0 74 of 195 37% 74 of 195 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 0 14 of 45 31% 14 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Nate Landwehr 0 12 of 44 27% 12 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Dan Ige 1 41 of 78 52% 41 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Nate Landwehr 0 30 of 69 43% 30 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Dan Ige 0 33 of 61 54% 33 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Nate Landwehr 0 32 of 82 39% 32 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 88 of 184 47% 61 of 143 19 of 31 8 of 10 78 of 169 6 of 8 4 of 7
Nate Landwehr 74 of 195 37% 54 of 161 13 of 24 7 of 10 55 of 168 18 of 24 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 14 of 45 31% 8 of 34 4 of 7 2 of 4 14 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 12 of 44 27% 9 of 33 1 of 7 2 of 4 9 of 40 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Dan Ige 41 of 78 52% 28 of 59 10 of 16 3 of 3 34 of 68 3 of 3 4 of 7
Nate Landwehr 30 of 69 43% 20 of 57 7 of 8 3 of 4 23 of 59 6 of 7 1 of 3
3 Dan Ige 33 of 61 54% 25 of 50 5 of 8 3 of 3 30 of 56 3 of 5 0 of 0
Nate Landwehr 32 of 82 39% 25 of 71 5 of 9 2 of 2 23 of 69 9 of 13 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Angelo picks Dan Ige, but is cautious about betting. He acknowledges Ige is the better fighter skill-for-skill, but Nate Landwehr's relentless pressure and unpredictability could cause problems. He compares it to the Jaime Malarkey situation where a favorite was put in parlays and lost. He will keep Ige out of parlays and not bet on this fight.

"my pick is going to be Danny gay but I'm gonna keep him out of parlays"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jun 3, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Nate Landwehr

Big Brady picks Nate Landwehr to win a close decision. He notes that Landwehr is higher volume and can mix in takedowns, while Ige is more skilled but lower volume. Both are tough, but Landwehr's pace and wrestling could edge rounds. He expects a back-and-forth war and thinks Landwehr's activity will earn him the nod.

"I'm gonna say Nate landwer edges out a very very close competitive decision here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody picks Dan Ige by knockout, citing Ige's durability (Hawaiians don't get knocked out) and power advantage. He notes that Landwehr can get wobbled, as seen in the Julian Erosa fight. He believes Ige's quick hands and combinations will be too much for Landwehr, who tends to brawl recklessly. He took Ige by KO at +205, expecting a finish in round 2.

Dan Ige by knockout +205; round 2 guess
"I took Dan ige by knockout plus 205 which I believe is still out there on the market right now"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Connor picks Ige, emphasizing his technical improvement and durability. He notes that Ige has a great chin and has weathered shots from big punchers. He believes Ige's counter-punching and takedown ability will capitalize on Landwehr's reckless aggression. He also notes that Landwehr is not a technical fighter and often leaves himself open.

Ige opened at -224, currently -245; Landwehr opened at +195, currently +213.
"You got to take Danny."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Daniel Levi picks Dan Ige, citing Ige's crisp boxing and power, and noting that Nate Landwehr has poor striking defense and gets chinned in almost every fight. He references that Korean Zombie said Ige was the hardest hitter he ever fought. He believes Ige will knock Landwehr out, especially given Landwehr's tendency to get tagged up early. He mentions that if Landwehr survives the early onslaught, he could take over late, but he sees Ige as the cleaner, more experienced fighter.

"I see an igeko here"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jun 10, 2023 (fight day)
Dan Ige

James picks Dan Ige to win, either by knockout in round one or by decision. He believes Ige is a level above Landwehr in MMA, with sharper boxing and heavier hands. Landwehr is a brawler who gets hit often and has been knocked out before. James thinks Ige's veteran savvy will prevent him from being dragged into a wild war, and that Ige will land the cleaner, more damaging shots. He notes Ige is four years younger and has faced better competition.

"I think ige just a level above in MMA man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 6, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Ige's tight boxing and counter-striking should exploit Landwehr's wild aggression. Landwehr has durability concerns and has been knocked out before. Ige's power and accuracy should find a finish, likely in the second round. Landwehr could win if he overwhelms Ige with output and takedowns, but Ige's well-rounded game gives him the edge.

Ige wins by KO (round 2)
"I think he eventually finds a knockout in this fight give me Dan ige by knockout round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul picks Dan Ige, emphasizing Ige's endless cardio, speed, and experience against elite competition. He notes that Landwehr's wild brawling style leaves him open, and Ige's quick hand speed and combinations will clip him. He believes Landwehr's takedown threat is minimal because Landwehr prefers to stand and brawl. He expects Ige to win by decision or knockout, but his gut says knockout.

"I feel like ige is just way too fast stay to the outside better cardio Clips him at some point puts him over"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige despite being a fan of Nate Landwehr, citing Ige's knockout power and Landwehr's tendency to get hit with his chin up. He notes Ige has finished fighters like Damon Jackson and Gavin Tucker, while Landwehr has been caught before. He predicts a late first-round KO for Ige, though he hopes Landwehr wins.

prediction of late first round KO
"I am gonna have to go with Danny gay here over Nate lambware"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Zane picks Ige, noting that Landwehr's style is to build momentum without a foundation, which can be exploited by a disciplined fighter like Ige. He believes Ige will have many opportunities to counter Landwehr's wild attacks and that Ige's takedowns will be effective. He also notes that Landwehr is not as fast as Ige.

"I think he's just going to have a lot of opportunities in the middle of, of Nick land where trying to have a very fun, wild, cool brawl."
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 13, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Big Brady picks Calvin Kattar to win, noting that the five-round fight favors Kattar's superior cardio. He believes Dan Ige will struggle to get takedowns due to Kattar's 77% takedown defense, and that Ige's cardio is questionable even in three-round fights. He predicts a finish in the fourth or fifth round, calling Kattar the 'Boston Finisher' and referencing his nasty elbow in his last fight.

Parlayed Kattar with Khamzat Chimaev at around -110; notes Kattar's line moved from -240 to -310
"I parlayed Kamara Oman with something on this card and that somebody is Calvin cater and I like that partly a lot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 14, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

Daniel Levi picks Calvin Kattar to finish Dan Ige, citing Kattar's best hands in the division and his ability to maintain pressure over five rounds. He believes Ige may have early success but Kattar will take over and knock him out, possibly earning a title shot.

by knockout
"I got Calvin by knockout you know at some point in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 12, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Calvin Kattar

The Guru picks Calvin Kattar, highlighting his impressive wins over Jeremy Stephens, Josh Emmett, Shane Burgos, and Ricardo Lamas. He believes Kattar's jab and power will be key, and that Dan Ige lacks the power to knock him out. He predicts Kattar may lose the first round due to Ige's volume but will adjust and land a big shot for a TKO in round 2. He also notes Ige's underrated grappling but thinks Kattar's takedown defense is solid.

TKO round 2
"I think Calvin Qatar goes out there puts hands on Danny gay probably loses the first round but when he covers up he's watching the entire time Calvin Qatar's got a slick jab I think he watches the entire first round Danny Kaye throws a lot of volume probably wins …"