Career Averages - Amanda Ribas
Career Averages - Paige VanZant
Amanda Ribas - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 30 of 72 | 41% | 77 of 122 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 34 of 76 | 44% | 82 of 140 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 22 of 47 | 46% | 55 of 83 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 14 of 42 | 33% | 48 of 86 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 22 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 34 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 30 of 72 | 41% | 18 of 57 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 29 of 68 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 34 of 76 | 44% | 23 of 60 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 6 | 20 of 61 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 22 of 47 | 46% | 13 of 37 | 5 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 22 of 47 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 14 of 42 | 33% | 8 of 33 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 8 of 25 | 32% | 5 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 21 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Tabatha Ricci | 20 of 34 | 58% | 15 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas but is split between brain and gut. He notes Ribas is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and striking, while Tabatha Ricci has abandoned her grappling for boxing due to her boyfriend's influence. He believes Ricci's new style is ineffective and Ribas is the better fighter, but acknowledges Ricci's pressure and cardio could cause an upset.
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, believing she is the better striker and grappler. He notes Ribas has a reach advantage and a positive striking differential, while Ricci has low volume and a very short reach. He acknowledges Ribas has chin issues but thinks Ricci lacks power to exploit it. He predicts a decision win.
Both women are flaky, but Ricci has the ability to work through Ribas's unflashy striking game and could even land takedowns to grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci despite acknowledging she has been 'gifted' decisions in the past. He notes Ribas's chinny nature and recent submission loss, but is hesitant because Ricci's wins are often controversial. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly a robbery, in Ricci's favor.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 27 of 46 | 58% | 82 of 107 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 2 | 4:34 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 17 of 56 | 30% | 99 of 151 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 34 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:36 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 27 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 24 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:19 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 37 of 49 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 24 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1:39 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 35 of 52 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:16 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern | 27 of 46 | 58% | 13 of 27 | 3 of 8 | 11 of 11 | 18 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 9 |
| Amanda Ribas | 17 of 56 | 30% | 10 of 44 | 1 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mackenzie Dern | 12 of 25 | 48% | 4 of 15 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 12 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 10 of 33 | 30% | 6 of 26 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mackenzie Dern | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Amanda Ribas | 3 of 6 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Mackenzie Dern | 12 of 18 | 66% | 8 of 11 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 7 of 8 |
| Amanda Ribas | 4 of 17 | 23% | 2 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, noting that she dominated the first fight and has improved her striking since. He believes Ribas is the better striker and wrestler, and that her takedown defense and cardio will be key. He thinks the five rounds favor Ribas, as Dern's danger decreases as the fight goes on. He mentions Jacob had a big bet on Ribas at plus money when she was an underdog.
Big Brady notes that Dern has improved her striking and takedown accuracy since their first fight, but still considers her wrestling and striking not great. He highlights Ribas's elite takedown defense (85%) and her own grappling ability, meaning she won't be afraid to grapple. He predicts Ribas will dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision, though not as dominant as the first fight.
Cody leans toward Ribas despite the -200 price, citing Dern's inability to chain wrestle and finish submissions over three years. He notes Dern's mental lapses in later rounds and Ribas's forward pressure and power. He suggests a live bet strategy, expecting Ribas to win rounds 3-5 as Dern fades.
Connor picks Ribas because she has a fundamental technical advantage on the feet and a style that counters Dern's approach. He notes that Dern's striking defense is nonexistent and she cannot land the same strike twice due to poor technique. Ribas is comfortable trading and landing cleaner counters, as seen in their first fight. Dern's path to victory requires a simple aggressive game plan, but she lacks the technical ability to execute it consistently.
Daniel acknowledges Ribas is more technically sound but notes her chinny defect, having been knocked out by multiple opponents. He thinks Ribas will dominate but could get cracked, so he passes on betting. As a pure pick, he goes with Ribas via decision, citing her superior technique and the fact that she usually needs to be finished to lose. He also mentions Dern's improved hands but still favors Ribas.
Lucrative James confidently picks Amanda Ribas, having placed a bet at -160. He believes Ribas is better in all facets of MMA, as shown in their first fight. He notes that five rounds favor Ribas's cardio and experience, though Dern's danger (power, submissions) offsets it slightly. He hasn't seen enough improvement from Dern to change the outcome. He also mentions that the line has moved to -200, giving him CLV.
Ribas is still ahead of Dern and should stop Dern's poor wrestling. Ribas will be more effective and active with her striking, busting up Dern and winning on the scorecards in this rematch from 2019.
Paul agrees with Cody, noting Dern's improved focus but still rudimentary wrestling. He highlights Ribas's takedown defense and well-roundedness, and that Dern went 0 for 6 on takedowns in their first fight. He is not excited about -200 but sees Ribas as the rightful favorite.
The Guru struggles with this pick, initially leaning towards Dern but then recalling that Ribas won the first fight by stuffing takedowns and outstriking Dern. He notes Dern's poor striking and Ribas's suspect chin but ultimately goes with Ribas, predicting a TKO in round 3 or 4. He expresses frustration with the difficulty of the pick.
Zane agrees with Connor, initially seeing an avenue for Dern but concluding that Ribas is the correct pick. He notes that Dern's success comes against opponents terrified of her ground game or those she can outmuscle, but Ribas is not afraid to scrap and will fire back. Dern's lack of technical improvement and inability to finish fights in recent years are key factors. Zane also mentions that Ribas has not changed her style, which works against Dern.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 83 of 270 | 30% | 137 of 342 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 93 of 188 | 49% | 169 of 281 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 1 | 6:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 16 of 47 | 34% | 30 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 23 of 34 | 67% | 35 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 15 of 49 | 30% | 22 of 57 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 19 of 39 | 48% | 43 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:00 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 18 of 50 | 36% | 31 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:24 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 29 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 7 of 25 | 28% | 45 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 24 of 85 | 28% | 25 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 26 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 83 of 270 | 30% | 39 of 195 | 19 of 42 | 25 of 33 | 76 of 259 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
| Amanda Ribas | 93 of 188 | 49% | 45 of 124 | 44 of 60 | 4 of 4 | 81 of 176 | 12 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 16 of 47 | 34% | 8 of 33 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 8 | 14 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 23 of 34 | 67% | 6 of 16 | 16 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 27 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 15 of 49 | 30% | 7 of 34 | 3 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 19 of 39 | 48% | 12 of 27 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 38 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 18 of 50 | 36% | 10 of 39 | 3 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 15 of 44 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 5 |
| Amanda Ribas | 19 of 36 | 52% | 11 of 26 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 10 of 39 | 25% | 3 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 7 of 25 | 28% | 4 of 19 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 24 of 85 | 28% | 11 of 61 | 9 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 23 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 25 of 54 | 46% | 12 of 36 | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 52 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite rooting for Amanda Ribas. He acknowledges Rose's superior skills and accomplishments but is concerned about her mental state and training camp. He notes that Rose has not looked bad in recent losses, being outstruck by a larger striker in Manon Fiorot and having a boring fight with Carla Esparza. He hopes Ribas wins but cannot pick against Rose's talent.
Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas, stating she is the much better fighter with a better resume. He notes Rose is the better striker, has good grappling, and has gone five rounds before. He points out Ribas is less durable (knocked out three times) and this is her first five-round fight. He predicts a decision win for Rose.
Cody acknowledges Rose's technical skills and well-rounded game, but highlights her mental inconsistency and tendency to have flat performances like the Carla Esparza fight. He notes that Rose is capable of looking like a -500 favorite or just handing rounds away. He ultimately picks Rose but with hesitancy due to these red flags.
Daniel Vreeland leans toward Amanda Ribas if the fight goes past the first two rounds, citing Rose's tendency to fade or lose focus when extended. He notes Ribas has better output, wrestling, and durability in later rounds, while Rose's path is an early knockout. He acknowledges Rose's danger but prefers the dog at plus money.
Namajunas has superior technical striking and should be able to set traps and land clean shots. Ribas is durable but leaves openings and has been finished by technical strikers before. Namajunas should stop takedowns and control the striking, likely finishing by TKO in the third round. The under on 4.5 rounds is favored, indicating a finish is expected.
Paul points out that Amanda Ribas has been bouncing between weight classes and hasn't filled out her frame at 125. He credits Rose's performance against Manon Fiorot, where she fought through a broken hand, and believes Rose will learn from her flat performance against Carla Esparza. He picks Rose but acknowledges the possibility of another lackluster showing.
The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Amanda Ribas, citing Rose's shot placement and five-round experience. He thinks Ribas' chin is suspect and that Rose will hurt her on the feet. He predicts a second-round rear-naked choke after dropping Ribas with a punch.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 55 of 116 | 47% | 56 of 120 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 87 of 224 | 38% | 96 of 234 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 25 of 54 | 46% | 25 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 18 of 69 | 26% | 19 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 18 of 35 | 51% | 18 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 0 | 40 of 98 | 40% | 40 of 98 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 13 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:11 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 1 | 29 of 57 | 50% | 37 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 55 of 116 | 47% | 36 of 86 | 11 of 18 | 8 of 12 | 51 of 109 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 1 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 87 of 224 | 38% | 57 of 158 | 8 of 29 | 22 of 37 | 81 of 212 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 25 of 54 | 46% | 17 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 5 | 24 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 18 of 69 | 26% | 12 of 51 | 1 of 8 | 5 of 10 | 17 of 68 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 18 of 35 | 51% | 11 of 23 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 5 | 18 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 40 of 98 | 40% | 23 of 64 | 3 of 14 | 14 of 20 | 39 of 96 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 12 of 27 | 44% | 8 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 |
| Luana Pinheiro | 29 of 57 | 50% | 22 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 7 | 25 of 48 | 1 of 3 | 3 of 6 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, expecting her to use her size and strength to grind out a win. He notes she is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and cardio. He warns she must stay controlled and not get sucked into a brawl. He also mentions a prop bet on Luana Pinheiro inside the distance.
Big Brady thinks Ribas is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, grappling, cardio—but her chin is very bad, having been dropped and knocked out multiple times. He finds it hard to pick Pinheiro, who he doesn't think is that great, to win by knockout. He predicts Ribas wins by decision but calls it a sketchy fight due to durability concerns.
Cody picks Amanda Ribas, citing her takedown offense and volume striking. He notes that Pinheiro is a front-runner who tires, and Ribas can mix in takedowns and striking to win. He acknowledges Ribas took damage in her last fight but believes she has the dog in her to win.
Pinheiro has good striking power and can hurt Ribas on the feet. Ribas's grappling is a threat, but Pinheiro is strong enough to keep it standing. Pinheiro's power punches can find the button and knock Ribas out, likely in the second round. The line is too wide; Pinheiro has value at plus money.
Paul picks Ribas, noting her takedown accuracy and ability to grind. He points out that Pinheiro gasses and has questionable durability. Paul believes Ribas can take her down, tire her, and open up striking. He mentions Ribas' loss to Barber but thinks Pinheiro lacks that finishing ability.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas despite concerns about her chin after being knocked out at flyweight. He criticizes Luana Pinheiro's record as padded, noting her controversial win over Michelle Waterson and a fake knockout against Randa Markos. He believes Ribas has a massive reach advantage and that Pinheiro lacks the power to finish her, predicting a 29-28 decision win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 35 of 74 | 47% | 43 of 85 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 81 of 124 | 65% | 93 of 139 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 22 of 42 | 52% | 26 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 35 of 62 | 56% | 41 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 17 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:12 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 46 of 62 | 74% | 52 of 69 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 35 of 74 | 47% | 21 of 52 | 7 of 14 | 7 of 8 | 30 of 68 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 81 of 124 | 65% | 70 of 108 | 5 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 60 | 6 of 9 | 43 of 55 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 22 of 42 | 52% | 11 of 27 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 38 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 35 of 62 | 56% | 28 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 28 | 2 of 5 | 19 of 29 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 13 of 32 | 40% | 10 of 25 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 46 of 62 | 74% | 42 of 53 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 32 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 26 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her better Jiu-Jitsu, higher level of competition, and solid takedown defense. He notes Maycee Barber has been taken down nine times in the UFC and two of her wins were questionable decisions. He expects Ribas to come forward, stay busy, use takedowns, and win an easy decision. He also calls it an over 2.5 rounds play.
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ. He notes Barber's poor takedown defense (47%) and that she was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He believes Ribas will easily take Barber down and control her on the ground, unlike Andrea Lee who let Barber get up. He predicts a decision win but warns that judges favor Barber.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Ribas. He highlights Barber's takedown defense issues, especially against Andrea Lee, and believes Ribas's superior jiu-jitsu and top control will be decisive. He notes the minus 200 price is not a betting opportunity but for the show he picks Ribas.
Connor picks Ribas, agreeing with Zane that Ribas is the better fighter. He highlights Barber's awkwardness and physicality but notes that Ribas is a legitimate takedown artist and better grappler. Connor points out that Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, which bodes well for Ribas. He sees a small margin for error for Ribas due to Barber's power and toughness, but expects Ribas to win via superior technique.
Daniel Levi picks Amanda Ribas, citing her technical superiority everywhere the fight goes. He notes Barber's power but believes Ribas's grappling will be the difference, as Barber was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He thinks Ribas will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly finishing. He mentions he got in at -145 and considers -200 a dog-or-pass situation.
The host picks Amanda Ribas to win by decision. He believes Ribas is a far superior grappler and that she can take Barber down and control the fight from top position. He notes Barber's takedown defense issues and thinks Ribas's pressure and pace will be key. He acknowledges Barber's power and explosivity on the feet but expects Ribas to grind out a decision victory.
Paul picks Ribas, emphasizing her wrestling and grappling to neutralize Barber. He notes Ribas's improvements and her ability to take down opponents, while Barber has plateaued and struggles with takedown defense. He thinks the plus money on Barber is tempting but can't get there.
The Guru initially leaned Maycee Barber but switched to Amanda Ribas after counter-arguing his own points. He notes Ribas has a better chin at flyweight, a big advantage on the ground, and outpoints at range with reach. He criticizes Barber's win over Miranda Maverick as a robbery and points out that Maverick was recently dominated by Jasudavicius, undermining Barber's credentials. He also mentions Ribas' wins over Araujo and Jandiroba, and her competitive fight with Chookagian.
Zane picks Ribas, comparing the matchup to Jaco vs Eric Anders. He notes Ribas is the better technical fighter with superior wrestling and grappling, and expects her to come out ahead in the chaotic exchanges. He acknowledges Barber's athleticism and toughness but believes Ribas's transitional grappling and ability to work on the ground will be decisive. Zane sees Barber's technical limitations and poor wrestling as key vulnerabilities.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 46 of 115 | 40% | 86 of 162 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 98 of 183 | 53% | 205 of 320 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 35 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 48 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 81 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:40 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 58 of 97 | 59% | 76 of 117 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 46 of 115 | 40% | 37 of 105 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 45 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 98 of 183 | 53% | 71 of 149 | 11 of 16 | 16 of 18 | 93 of 176 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 18 of 48 | 37% | 13 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 31 of 71 | 43% | 20 of 58 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 31 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 9 of 15 | 60% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 24 of 59 | 40% | 21 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 58 of 97 | 59% | 44 of 78 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 8 | 58 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her faster striking and better cardio. He notes that Viviane Araújo is more dangerous early but fades as the fight goes on. Angelo believes Ribas can point her way to a decision if she stays on the outside and works her striking.
Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo but is hesitant due to her cardio issues. He notes she has 90% takedown defense and is the better striker, but she tends to slow down after the first round. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Araújo, acknowledging Ribas may take the third round.
Cody picks Araújo, believing her takedown defense and striking will be enough to keep the fight standing and win rounds. He notes her cardio issues but thinks she can win two of three rounds. He sees value at plus money.
Connor picks Viviane Araújo, believing her improved striking and range management will allow her to outwork Ribas. He notes that Ribas's striking is technically poor and she relies on aggression and transitions, but Araújo's takedown defense is solid and she is a better athlete. Connor thinks Ribas will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet.
Jacob picks Amanda Ribas but is scared, noting that Araújo is dangerous early and hits hard. He believes Ribas can take over in the second and third rounds as Araújo's cardio fades. Jacob does not have a straight bet on Ribas due to the risk.
Araújo is a solid striker with good power and leg kicks. Ribas has average striking and gets flustered against better strikers. Araújo's takedown defense should hold up, keeping the fight standing where she has the advantage, and she wins a decision.
Paul picks Ribas, citing her youth and takedown ability. He thinks she can get takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges it's a close fight and won't bet it, but for picks he goes with Ribas.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas, citing her youth and potential versus Araújo's age. He believes Ribas has a submission advantage and a better chin, predicting a close 29-28 decision.
Zane also picks Araújo, agreeing that her improved striking and ability to stay at range will be key. He notes that Ribas's best wins are against lower-level competition and that her grappling success may not translate against Araújo's strong takedown defense. Zane adds that Araújo is more accurate and self-contained, and Ribas's aggressive style will leave her open to counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 63 of 222 | 28% | 71 of 230 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 55 of 169 | 32% | 84 of 204 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 20 of 62 | 32% | 25 of 67 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 7 of 34 | 20% | 15 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:30 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 24 of 61 | 39% | 27 of 64 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 15 of 46 | 32% | 28 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:01 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 19 of 99 | 19% | 19 of 99 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 33 of 89 | 37% | 41 of 97 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 63 of 222 | 28% | 42 of 175 | 20 of 44 | 1 of 3 | 56 of 210 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 55 of 169 | 32% | 28 of 124 | 8 of 23 | 19 of 22 | 49 of 156 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 20 of 62 | 32% | 13 of 46 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 17 of 59 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 7 of 34 | 20% | 5 of 28 | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 24 of 61 | 39% | 17 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 23 of 57 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 15 of 46 | 32% | 7 of 34 | 2 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 13 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 19 of 99 | 19% | 12 of 81 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 16 of 94 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Amanda Ribas | 33 of 89 | 37% | 16 of 62 | 5 of 14 | 12 of 13 | 32 of 86 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Chookagian, agreeing she is a rightful favorite. He notes Ribas has been matched softly and showed limitations against Marina Rodriguez. He thinks Chookagian will out-volume Ribas on the outside, stuff takedowns, and win a decision. He mentions Chookagian's grappling has improved.
Paul is very confident in Chookagian by decision, calling it one of his first bets. He notes she out-volumes everyone, only gets finished by elite fighters, and Ribas's wrestling isn't good enough. He says 95% of her win probability is tied to a decision, and the decision prop at +120 is great value.
Paige VanZant - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 13 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 13 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas by second-round submission, stating she wins everywhere – on the feet and on the ground. He notes VanZant may have improved but Ribas is the better fighter overall, and he expects a submission given VanZant's history of being submitted.
Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Amanda Ribas, calling it a mismatch. He notes Ribas is a top prospect and will dominate everywhere. He believes Paige VanZant is being fed to Ribas as a highlight-reel win, and expects Ribas to finish via submission or complete domination. He dismisses any chance of an upset.
Ribas is better than VanZant in every area: striking, grappling, and jiu-jitsu. VanZant's only chance is to wrestle, but that plays into Ribas's strength. Ribas should dominate and finish, likely by first-round rear-naked choke. Not betting due to heavy favorite odds.
The Guru picks Ribas, noting that VanZant tried to outwrestle Ribas and failed. He mentions that the odds on VanZant are juicy but he still puts money on Ribas. He also comments that VanZant has only fought twice in four years and is lucky to have a job.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 38 of 56 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 4:33 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 0 | 10 of 14 | 71% | 13 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:51 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 12 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 4:12 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 9 of 12 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 17 of 27 | 62% | 13 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 14 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 10 of 14 | 71% | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 15 of 20 | 75% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 14 |
| Rachael Ostovich | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 54 of 118 | 45% | 96 of 162 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 55 of 98 | 56% | 78 of 122 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 1 | 5:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 21 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 24 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 3:40 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 47 of 59 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:29 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 15 of 22 | 68% | 26 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 0 | 28 of 73 | 38% | 28 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 28 of 51 | 54% | 28 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica-Rose Clark | 54 of 118 | 45% | 29 of 75 | 18 of 32 | 7 of 11 | 40 of 100 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 15 |
| Paige VanZant | 55 of 98 | 56% | 36 of 71 | 12 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 32 of 67 | 7 of 11 | 16 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 7 of 16 | 43% | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 12 of 25 | 48% | 9 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | |
| 2 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 19 of 29 | 65% | 15 of 23 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 |
| Paige VanZant | 15 of 22 | 68% | 10 of 17 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 15 | |
| 3 | Jessica-Rose Clark | 28 of 73 | 38% | 9 of 40 | 13 of 24 | 6 of 9 | 27 of 72 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 28 of 51 | 54% | 17 of 33 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 46 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 12 of 17 | 70% | 13 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1:48 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 5 of 12 | 41% | 1 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michelle Waterson-Gomez | 5 of 12 | 41% | 1 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 12 of 17 | 70% | 6 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 1 | 25 of 63 | 39% | 27 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Bec Rawlings | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 30 of 60 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 16 of 48 | 33% | 17 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Bec Rawlings | 0 | 21 of 50 | 42% | 30 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 1 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 10 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Bec Rawlings | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 25 of 63 | 39% | 14 of 38 | 4 of 12 | 7 of 13 | 15 of 45 | 3 of 7 | 7 of 11 |
| Bec Rawlings | 21 of 51 | 41% | 15 of 41 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 34 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 16 of 48 | 33% | 6 of 26 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 11 | 13 of 41 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Bec Rawlings | 21 of 50 | 42% | 15 of 40 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 33 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 9 of 15 | 60% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 11 |
| Bec Rawlings | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 0 | 57 of 100 | 57% | 104 of 158 | 8 of 10 | 80% | 4 | 0 | 16:40 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 10 of 50 | 20% | 53 of 97 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 28 of 53 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:09 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 2 of 14 | 14% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 10 of 18 | 55% | 20 of 28 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 28 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:19 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 3 of 21 | 14% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 7 of 7 | 100% | 23 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 4:24 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:18 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 0 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:11 |
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Namajunas | 57 of 100 | 57% | 43 of 82 | 12 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 27 of 53 | 9 of 13 | 21 of 34 |
| Paige VanZant | 10 of 50 | 20% | 2 of 30 | 4 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 8 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rose Namajunas | 20 of 40 | 50% | 16 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 7 of 14 |
| Paige VanZant | 2 of 14 | 14% | 0 of 8 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Rose Namajunas | 10 of 18 | 55% | 7 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
| Paige VanZant | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rose Namajunas | 17 of 30 | 56% | 13 of 25 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 10 |
| Paige VanZant | 3 of 21 | 14% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Rose Namajunas | 7 of 7 | 100% | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 |
| Paige VanZant | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Rose Namajunas | 3 of 5 | 60% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Paige VanZant | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 73 of 130 | 56% | 165 of 248 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 1 | 0 | 7:12 |
| Alex Chambers | 0 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 66 of 88 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 27 of 59 | 45% | 65 of 107 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:46 |
| Alex Chambers | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 40 of 51 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 38 of 59 | 64% | 84 of 118 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Alex Chambers | 0 | 10 of 17 | 58% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 3 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:49 |
| Alex Chambers | 0 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 73 of 130 | 56% | 37 of 78 | 32 of 43 | 4 of 9 | 19 of 52 | 47 of 71 | 7 of 7 |
| Alex Chambers | 30 of 47 | 63% | 23 of 36 | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 26 | 14 of 21 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 27 of 59 | 45% | 13 of 34 | 12 of 19 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 22 | 22 of 36 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex Chambers | 17 of 27 | 62% | 14 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 13 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 38 of 59 | 64% | 18 of 34 | 19 of 23 | 1 of 2 | 13 of 24 | 24 of 34 | 1 of 1 |
| Alex Chambers | 10 of 17 | 58% | 7 of 12 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 10 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Paige VanZant | 8 of 12 | 66% | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 |
| Alex Chambers | 3 of 3 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 0 | 28 of 47 | 59% | 44 of 67 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 2:43 |
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 67 of 92 | 72% | 199 of 241 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 2 | 10:34 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 21 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:42 |
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 21 of 29 | 72% | 45 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:24 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 16 of 28 | 57% | 60 of 74 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 3:43 | |
| 3 | Paige VanZant | 0 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 6 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:19 |
| Felice Herrig | 0 | 30 of 35 | 85% | 94 of 114 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 4:27 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige VanZant | 28 of 47 | 59% | 12 of 24 | 14 of 20 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 20 | 18 of 24 | 2 of 3 |
| Felice Herrig | 67 of 92 | 72% | 45 of 67 | 14 of 17 | 8 of 8 | 8 of 15 | 22 of 27 | 37 of 50 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paige VanZant | 16 of 24 | 66% | 7 of 12 | 8 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 10 of 13 | 2 of 2 |
| Felice Herrig | 21 of 29 | 72% | 11 of 19 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 8 | 11 of 12 | 6 of 9 | |
| 2 | Paige VanZant | 11 of 18 | 61% | 5 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 1 |
| Felice Herrig | 16 of 28 | 57% | 9 of 18 | 4 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 5 | 8 of 11 | 6 of 12 | |
| 3 | Paige VanZant | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Felice Herrig | 30 of 35 | 85% | 25 of 30 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 29 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas by second-round submission, stating she wins everywhere – on the feet and on the ground. He notes VanZant may have improved but Ribas is the better fighter overall, and he expects a submission given VanZant's history of being submitted.
Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Amanda Ribas, calling it a mismatch. He notes Ribas is a top prospect and will dominate everywhere. He believes Paige VanZant is being fed to Ribas as a highlight-reel win, and expects Ribas to finish via submission or complete domination. He dismisses any chance of an upset.
Ribas is better than VanZant in every area: striking, grappling, and jiu-jitsu. VanZant's only chance is to wrestle, but that plays into Ribas's strength. Ribas should dominate and finish, likely by first-round rear-naked choke. Not betting due to heavy favorite odds.
The Guru picks Ribas, noting that VanZant tried to outwrestle Ribas and failed. He mentions that the odds on VanZant are juicy but he still puts money on Ribas. He also comments that VanZant has only fought twice in four years and is lucky to have a job.
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