UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal Next Fight
Age 32
Height 5' 3"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 32
Height 5' 4"
Reach 65.0"
Weight 115 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Amanda Ribas
4.26 SLpM
39.0% Str. Acc.
3.29 SApM
60.0% Str. Def.
2.05 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
82.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Paige VanZant
3.35 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
2.62 SApM
42.0% Str. Def.
1.27 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
34.0% TD Def.
1.0 Sub. Avg
Amanda Ribas - Fight History
SCHED vs Fatima Kline
UFC Fight Night 281 · Jul 18, 2026
LOSS vs Tabatha Ricci
KO R2 2:59 · UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 30 of 72 41% 77 of 122 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Tabatha Ricci 0 34 of 76 44% 82 of 140 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 22 of 47 46% 55 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Tabatha Ricci 0 14 of 42 33% 48 of 86 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:39
2 Amanda Ribas 0 8 of 25 32% 22 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Tabatha Ricci 0 20 of 34 58% 34 of 54 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 30 of 72 41% 18 of 57 5 of 6 7 of 9 29 of 68 1 of 4 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 34 of 76 44% 23 of 60 6 of 10 5 of 6 20 of 61 4 of 5 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 22 of 47 46% 13 of 37 5 of 5 4 of 5 22 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 14 of 42 33% 8 of 33 3 of 6 3 of 3 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Amanda Ribas 8 of 25 32% 5 of 20 0 of 1 3 of 4 7 of 21 1 of 4 0 of 0
Tabatha Ricci 20 of 34 58% 15 of 27 3 of 4 2 of 3 6 of 19 4 of 5 10 of 10
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas but is split between brain and gut. He notes Ribas is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and striking, while Tabatha Ricci has abandoned her grappling for boxing due to her boyfriend's influence. He believes Ricci's new style is ineffective and Ribas is the better fighter, but acknowledges Ricci's pressure and cardio could cause an upset.

"Ultimately, the pick is going to be Amanda because the reality is while Amanda made a couple of mistakes in her last fight, she is the absolute type of person to feel bad for herself for about five minutes, pick …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, believing she is the better striker and grappler. He notes Ribas has a reach advantage and a positive striking differential, while Ricci has low volume and a very short reach. He acknowledges Ribas has chin issues but thinks Ricci lacks power to exploit it. He predicts a decision win.

decision
"I got to go with Heboss here. I think she's just a little bit better everywhere."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jul 23, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

Both women are flaky, but Ricci has the ability to work through Ribas's unflashy striking game and could even land takedowns to grind out a decision win.

Ricci by decision
"I think Richi has the ability to work through that unflashy game of Hebos in the striking room. And I think Richi could even land some takedowns to grind Hebos out. So, I'm going to go Reichi and Reichi by …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jul 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Tabatha Ricci

The MMA Guru picks Tabatha Ricci despite acknowledging she has been 'gifted' decisions in the past. He notes Ribas's chinny nature and recent submission loss, but is hesitant because Ricci's wins are often controversial. He predicts a close 29-28 decision, possibly a robbery, in Ricci's favor.

"I'm going with Taba Richie to get this one done. She's an industry plant. ... Robbery 2928 decision."
LOSS vs Mackenzie Dern
Submission (armbar) R3 4:56 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mackenzie Dern 0 27 of 46 58% 82 of 107 1 of 3 33% 1 2 4:34
Amanda Ribas 0 17 of 56 30% 99 of 151 2 of 2 100% 0 0 5:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mackenzie Dern 0 12 of 25 48% 34 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Amanda Ribas 0 10 of 33 30% 27 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mackenzie Dern 0 3 of 3 100% 24 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:19
Amanda Ribas 0 3 of 6 50% 37 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:31
3 Mackenzie Dern 0 12 of 18 66% 24 of 35 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:39
Amanda Ribas 0 4 of 17 23% 35 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mackenzie Dern 27 of 46 58% 13 of 27 3 of 8 11 of 11 18 of 34 1 of 3 8 of 9
Amanda Ribas 17 of 56 30% 10 of 44 1 of 4 6 of 8 14 of 51 0 of 0 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mackenzie Dern 12 of 25 48% 4 of 15 2 of 4 6 of 6 12 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 10 of 33 30% 6 of 26 1 of 3 3 of 4 9 of 32 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Mackenzie Dern 3 of 3 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1
Amanda Ribas 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2
3 Mackenzie Dern 12 of 18 66% 8 of 11 1 of 4 3 of 3 4 of 7 1 of 3 7 of 8
Amanda Ribas 4 of 17 23% 2 of 13 0 of 1 2 of 3 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, noting that she dominated the first fight and has improved her striking since. He believes Ribas is the better striker and wrestler, and that her takedown defense and cardio will be key. He thinks the five rounds favor Ribas, as Dern's danger decreases as the fight goes on. He mentions Jacob had a big bet on Ribas at plus money when she was an underdog.

Jacob had a massive bet on Amanda Ribas at plus money (now -200)
"Amanda heas wins this fight I think it's pretty straightforward and I think the five rounds only benefits Amanda"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady notes that Dern has improved her striking and takedown accuracy since their first fight, but still considers her wrestling and striking not great. He highlights Ribas's elite takedown defense (85%) and her own grappling ability, meaning she won't be afraid to grapple. He predicts Ribas will dictate where the fight takes place and win by decision, though not as dominant as the first fight.

"I got to go heos here um I don't think it's going to look as dominant as one-sided as their first fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Cody leans toward Ribas despite the -200 price, citing Dern's inability to chain wrestle and finish submissions over three years. He notes Dern's mental lapses in later rounds and Ribas's forward pressure and power. He suggests a live bet strategy, expecting Ribas to win rounds 3-5 as Dern fades.

live bet on Ribas after round 2
"I'm leaning towards heus but this minus 200 price tag in the first main event of the year I'm not digging it to be honest"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Connor picks Ribas because she has a fundamental technical advantage on the feet and a style that counters Dern's approach. He notes that Dern's striking defense is nonexistent and she cannot land the same strike twice due to poor technique. Ribas is comfortable trading and landing cleaner counters, as seen in their first fight. Dern's path to victory requires a simple aggressive game plan, but she lacks the technical ability to execute it consistently.

"I'm definitely taking Heebush in the rematch."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel acknowledges Ribas is more technically sound but notes her chinny defect, having been knocked out by multiple opponents. He thinks Ribas will dominate but could get cracked, so he passes on betting. As a pure pick, he goes with Ribas via decision, citing her superior technique and the fact that she usually needs to be finished to lose. He also mentions Dern's improved hands but still favors Ribas.

pass on betting, dog-or-pass situation
"I'm going to go with heos as a pure pick I just think she's more technically sound than McKenzie D in probably every Department"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Lucrative James confidently picks Amanda Ribas, having placed a bet at -160. He believes Ribas is better in all facets of MMA, as shown in their first fight. He notes that five rounds favor Ribas's cardio and experience, though Dern's danger (power, submissions) offsets it slightly. He hasn't seen enough improvement from Dern to change the outcome. He also mentions that the line has moved to -200, giving him CLV.

Bet placed at -160, line now -200
"I played Amanda rebass at minus 160 about a week or two ago"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Ribas is still ahead of Dern and should stop Dern's poor wrestling. Ribas will be more effective and active with her striking, busting up Dern and winning on the scorecards in this rematch from 2019.

"I still believe heos is ahead of where dur is at heos should do a good enough job in terms of stopping the very poor uh wrestling style of D and then from there I think heos can stay more …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Dern's improved focus but still rudimentary wrestling. He highlights Ribas's takedown defense and well-roundedness, and that Dern went 0 for 6 on takedowns in their first fight. He is not excited about -200 but sees Ribas as the rightful favorite.

"I think that uh Amanda heus keeps this standing she's more well-rounded she's been bouncing around from 125 to 115 so this being at 115 um you're going to have full strength full capabilities everything like that for heas I …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The Guru struggles with this pick, initially leaning towards Dern but then recalling that Ribas won the first fight by stuffing takedowns and outstriking Dern. He notes Dern's poor striking and Ribas's suspect chin but ultimately goes with Ribas, predicting a TKO in round 3 or 4. He expresses frustration with the difficulty of the pick.

TKO in round 3 or 4
"ribass won the first fight sorry ribass I'm going with Amanda ribash she stuffed all the takedowns and she beat the [ __ ] out of her let's go Ribas easy"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Zane agrees with Connor, initially seeing an avenue for Dern but concluding that Ribas is the correct pick. He notes that Dern's success comes against opponents terrified of her ground game or those she can outmuscle, but Ribas is not afraid to scrap and will fire back. Dern's lack of technical improvement and inability to finish fights in recent years are key factors. Zane also mentions that Ribas has not changed her style, which works against Dern.

"I'm with you on that. But can't not pick Heebush."
LOSS vs Rose Namajunas
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rose Namajunas 0 83 of 270 30% 137 of 342 4 of 8 50% 0 0 1:38
Amanda Ribas 0 93 of 188 49% 169 of 281 1 of 3 33% 0 1 6:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rose Namajunas 0 16 of 47 34% 30 of 63 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:18
Amanda Ribas 0 23 of 34 67% 35 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:55
2 Rose Namajunas 0 15 of 49 30% 22 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Amanda Ribas 0 19 of 39 48% 43 of 65 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:00
3 Rose Namajunas 0 18 of 50 36% 31 of 70 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:20
Amanda Ribas 0 19 of 36 52% 20 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
4 Rose Namajunas 0 10 of 39 25% 29 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Amanda Ribas 0 7 of 25 28% 45 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:40
5 Rose Namajunas 0 24 of 85 28% 25 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Amanda Ribas 0 25 of 54 46% 26 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rose Namajunas 83 of 270 30% 39 of 195 19 of 42 25 of 33 76 of 259 4 of 6 3 of 5
Amanda Ribas 93 of 188 49% 45 of 124 44 of 60 4 of 4 81 of 176 12 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rose Namajunas 16 of 47 34% 8 of 33 2 of 6 6 of 8 14 of 45 2 of 2 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 23 of 34 67% 6 of 16 16 of 17 1 of 1 16 of 27 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Rose Namajunas 15 of 49 30% 7 of 34 3 of 8 5 of 7 14 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 19 of 39 48% 12 of 27 6 of 11 1 of 1 18 of 38 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Rose Namajunas 18 of 50 36% 10 of 39 3 of 5 5 of 6 15 of 44 0 of 1 3 of 5
Amanda Ribas 19 of 36 52% 11 of 26 7 of 9 1 of 1 17 of 34 2 of 2 0 of 0
4 Rose Namajunas 10 of 39 25% 3 of 28 2 of 5 5 of 6 10 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 7 of 25 28% 4 of 19 3 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Rose Namajunas 24 of 85 28% 11 of 61 9 of 18 4 of 6 23 of 83 1 of 2 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 25 of 54 46% 12 of 36 12 of 17 1 of 1 23 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 17, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Angelo picks Rose Namajunas despite rooting for Amanda Ribas. He acknowledges Rose's superior skills and accomplishments but is concerned about her mental state and training camp. He notes that Rose has not looked bad in recent losses, being outstruck by a larger striker in Manon Fiorot and having a boring fight with Carla Esparza. He hopes Ribas wins but cannot pick against Rose's talent.

"I got to pick rose rose is going to be the pick Amanda's going to stay in her face hopefully Amanda rips her to the ground and just beats on her and breaks her and wins this fight let's have …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Big Brady picks Rose Namajunas, stating she is the much better fighter with a better resume. He notes Rose is the better striker, has good grappling, and has gone five rounds before. He points out Ribas is less durable (knocked out three times) and this is her first five-round fight. He predicts a decision win for Rose.

"I got to go Rose here I mean I I just think she's the much better fighter... I'm going to take rose on my un to win this fight and to Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Cody acknowledges Rose's technical skills and well-rounded game, but highlights her mental inconsistency and tendency to have flat performances like the Carla Esparza fight. He notes that Rose is capable of looking like a -500 favorite or just handing rounds away. He ultimately picks Rose but with hesitancy due to these red flags.

"I will take Rose but again there's always going to be some hesitancy there."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel Vreeland leans toward Amanda Ribas if the fight goes past the first two rounds, citing Rose's tendency to fade or lose focus when extended. He notes Ribas has better output, wrestling, and durability in later rounds, while Rose's path is an early knockout. He acknowledges Rose's danger but prefers the dog at plus money.

"if this fight gets extended I think that her output's on the higher side as well and it's one of those things where Rose is very momentum based"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Namajunas has superior technical striking and should be able to set traps and land clean shots. Ribas is durable but leaves openings and has been finished by technical strikers before. Namajunas should stop takedowns and control the striking, likely finishing by TKO in the third round. The under on 4.5 rounds is favored, indicating a finish is expected.

Namajunas by TKO (round 3); under 4.5 rounds
"I think we see Nami yunas control this fight in the Striking realm I think she stops the takedowns... and then I think we obviously see Nami unas find that knockout I'm going to call it round three."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 21, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

Paul points out that Amanda Ribas has been bouncing between weight classes and hasn't filled out her frame at 125. He credits Rose's performance against Manon Fiorot, where she fought through a broken hand, and believes Rose will learn from her flat performance against Carla Esparza. He picks Rose but acknowledges the possibility of another lackluster showing.

"I got Rose as well... I'll hope that she's learned her lesson from that absolutely flat performance."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rose Namajunas

The MMA Guru picks Rose Namajunas over Amanda Ribas, citing Rose's shot placement and five-round experience. He thinks Ribas' chin is suspect and that Rose will hurt her on the feet. He predicts a second-round rear-naked choke after dropping Ribas with a punch.

second round rear-naked choke
"I'm going Rosen am yunas over Amanda Ribas... second round re naked choke to Rose nunas"
TKO (spinning wheel kick and punches) R3 3:53 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 55 of 116 47% 56 of 120 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:11
Luana Pinheiro 1 87 of 224 38% 96 of 234 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 25 of 54 46% 25 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luana Pinheiro 0 18 of 69 26% 19 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
2 Amanda Ribas 0 18 of 35 51% 18 of 36 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Luana Pinheiro 0 40 of 98 40% 40 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Amanda Ribas 0 12 of 27 44% 13 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:11
Luana Pinheiro 1 29 of 57 50% 37 of 66 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 55 of 116 47% 36 of 86 11 of 18 8 of 12 51 of 109 4 of 6 0 of 1
Luana Pinheiro 87 of 224 38% 57 of 158 8 of 29 22 of 37 81 of 212 3 of 6 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 25 of 54 46% 17 of 42 4 of 7 4 of 5 24 of 52 1 of 2 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 18 of 69 26% 12 of 51 1 of 8 5 of 10 17 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Amanda Ribas 18 of 35 51% 11 of 23 4 of 7 3 of 5 18 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luana Pinheiro 40 of 98 40% 23 of 64 3 of 14 14 of 20 39 of 96 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Amanda Ribas 12 of 27 44% 8 of 21 3 of 4 1 of 2 9 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 1
Luana Pinheiro 29 of 57 50% 22 of 43 4 of 7 3 of 7 25 of 48 1 of 3 3 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, expecting her to use her size and strength to grind out a win. He notes she is well-rounded with solid takedown defense and cardio. He warns she must stay controlled and not get sucked into a brawl. He also mentions a prop bet on Luana Pinheiro inside the distance.

Bet on Luana Pinheiro inside the distance (decision no action)
"Amanda's going to be the pick here but honestly the bet is going to be Lanna Panera inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady thinks Ribas is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, grappling, cardio—but her chin is very bad, having been dropped and knocked out multiple times. He finds it hard to pick Pinheiro, who he doesn't think is that great, to win by knockout. He predicts Ribas wins by decision but calls it a sketchy fight due to durability concerns.

"I'm going to pick heos to win this fight by decision but a sketchy fight to be honest"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Cody picks Amanda Ribas, citing her takedown offense and volume striking. He notes that Pinheiro is a front-runner who tires, and Ribas can mix in takedowns and striking to win. He acknowledges Ribas took damage in her last fight but believes she has the dog in her to win.

"I'll pick heus as well to win on volume and just that she has that hashtag dog in her"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Luana Pinheiro

Pinheiro has good striking power and can hurt Ribas on the feet. Ribas's grappling is a threat, but Pinheiro is strong enough to keep it standing. Pinheiro's power punches can find the button and knock Ribas out, likely in the second round. The line is too wide; Pinheiro has value at plus money.

win by knockout
"give me Pinero and I think I'm going to go down a limb here uh and I'm going to take her to win this fight by knockout low confidence but I think she can find the button on heos and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Paul picks Ribas, noting her takedown accuracy and ability to grind. He points out that Pinheiro gasses and has questionable durability. Paul believes Ribas can take her down, tire her, and open up striking. He mentions Ribas' loss to Barber but thinks Pinheiro lacks that finishing ability.

"I'm going to end up going with heos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas despite concerns about her chin after being knocked out at flyweight. He criticizes Luana Pinheiro's record as padded, noting her controversial win over Michelle Waterson and a fake knockout against Randa Markos. He believes Ribas has a massive reach advantage and that Pinheiro lacks the power to finish her, predicting a 29-28 decision win.

decision 29-28
"I am going to go Amanda Ribas here... I don't see Pinheiro having the power to finish her at this point so I'm going to go Ribas wins a decision 29-28."
LOSS vs Maycee Barber
TKO (punches and elbows) R2 3:42 · UFC on ABC: Emmett vs. Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maycee Barber 0 35 of 74 47% 43 of 85 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:25
Amanda Ribas 0 81 of 124 65% 93 of 139 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maycee Barber 0 22 of 42 52% 26 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:13
Amanda Ribas 0 35 of 62 56% 41 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
2 Maycee Barber 0 13 of 32 40% 17 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:12
Amanda Ribas 0 46 of 62 74% 52 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maycee Barber 35 of 74 47% 21 of 52 7 of 14 7 of 8 30 of 68 5 of 6 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 81 of 124 65% 70 of 108 5 of 10 6 of 6 32 of 60 6 of 9 43 of 55
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maycee Barber 22 of 42 52% 11 of 27 6 of 9 5 of 6 19 of 38 3 of 4 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 35 of 62 56% 28 of 55 1 of 1 6 of 6 14 of 28 2 of 5 19 of 29
2 Maycee Barber 13 of 32 40% 10 of 25 1 of 5 2 of 2 11 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 46 of 62 74% 42 of 53 4 of 9 0 of 0 18 of 32 4 of 4 24 of 26
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her better Jiu-Jitsu, higher level of competition, and solid takedown defense. He notes Maycee Barber has been taken down nine times in the UFC and two of her wins were questionable decisions. He expects Ribas to come forward, stay busy, use takedowns, and win an easy decision. He also calls it an over 2.5 rounds play.

over 2.5 rounds
"Amanda hebos is sitting at a comfortable minus 185 and that honestly makes a ton of sense"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas, citing her superior wrestling and BJJ. He notes Barber's poor takedown defense (47%) and that she was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He believes Ribas will easily take Barber down and control her on the ground, unlike Andrea Lee who let Barber get up. He predicts a decision win but warns that judges favor Barber.

"give me he boss to win this fight Win It by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Cody agrees with Paul, picking Ribas. He highlights Barber's takedown defense issues, especially against Andrea Lee, and believes Ribas's superior jiu-jitsu and top control will be decisive. He notes the minus 200 price is not a betting opportunity but for the show he picks Ribas.

"I'll pick he was in it really kind of comes down to the Andrea Lee five takedowns."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Connor picks Ribas, agreeing with Zane that Ribas is the better fighter. He highlights Barber's awkwardness and physicality but notes that Ribas is a legitimate takedown artist and better grappler. Connor points out that Andrea Lee took Barber down five times, which bodes well for Ribas. He sees a small margin for error for Ribas due to Barber's power and toughness, but expects Ribas to win via superior technique.

Ribas is more likely to finish via submission; Barber unlikely to KO Ribas cleanly. Fight likely goes to decision.
"I side with you on that."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel Levi picks Amanda Ribas, citing her technical superiority everywhere the fight goes. He notes Barber's power but believes Ribas's grappling will be the difference, as Barber was taken down five times by Andrea Lee. He thinks Ribas will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly finishing. He mentions he got in at -145 and considers -200 a dog-or-pass situation.

Got in at -145; now dog or pass at -200.
"pure pick hebosh but I think at Plus 170. it's dog or pass like I said you got in minus 145 you did your job"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The host picks Amanda Ribas to win by decision. He believes Ribas is a far superior grappler and that she can take Barber down and control the fight from top position. He notes Barber's takedown defense issues and thinks Ribas's pressure and pace will be key. He acknowledges Barber's power and explosivity on the feet but expects Ribas to grind out a decision victory.

"I fully expect he boss to control the majority of this fight and take home a decision victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Paul picks Ribas, emphasizing her wrestling and grappling to neutralize Barber. He notes Ribas's improvements and her ability to take down opponents, while Barber has plateaued and struggles with takedown defense. He thinks the plus money on Barber is tempting but can't get there.

"I gotta go with hebis man if we're looking at a stylistical approach she's got the style she's got the the wrestling and she's got the grappling to just neutralize Barber."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The Guru initially leaned Maycee Barber but switched to Amanda Ribas after counter-arguing his own points. He notes Ribas has a better chin at flyweight, a big advantage on the ground, and outpoints at range with reach. He criticizes Barber's win over Miranda Maverick as a robbery and points out that Maverick was recently dominated by Jasudavicius, undermining Barber's credentials. He also mentions Ribas' wins over Araujo and Jandiroba, and her competitive fight with Chookagian.

"I was gonna pick Macy Barber to win but I'm not sure now I'm picking Amanda rib ass now"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Zane picks Ribas, comparing the matchup to Jaco vs Eric Anders. He notes Ribas is the better technical fighter with superior wrestling and grappling, and expects her to come out ahead in the chaotic exchanges. He acknowledges Barber's athleticism and toughness but believes Ribas's transitional grappling and ability to work on the ground will be decisive. Zane sees Barber's technical limitations and poor wrestling as key vulnerabilities.

Ribas opened -154 now -191; Barber +121 to +170. Likely decision, but Ribas could submit Barber.
"I got I think I got to pick Hiebesch in what will be like a pretty car crashy kind of fight."
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Mar 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 46 of 115 40% 86 of 162 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Viviane Araújo 0 98 of 183 53% 205 of 320 2 of 2 100% 0 0 8:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 18 of 48 37% 35 of 65 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Viviane Araújo 0 31 of 71 43% 48 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:25
2 Amanda Ribas 0 4 of 8 50% 15 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Viviane Araújo 0 9 of 15 60% 81 of 112 0 of 0 --- 0 0 4:40
3 Amanda Ribas 0 24 of 59 40% 36 of 73 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Viviane Araújo 0 58 of 97 59% 76 of 117 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 46 of 115 40% 37 of 105 5 of 6 4 of 4 45 of 114 0 of 0 1 of 1
Viviane Araújo 98 of 183 53% 71 of 149 11 of 16 16 of 18 93 of 176 0 of 0 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 18 of 48 37% 13 of 42 3 of 4 2 of 2 18 of 48 0 of 0 0 of 0
Viviane Araújo 31 of 71 43% 20 of 58 4 of 4 7 of 9 31 of 70 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Amanda Ribas 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1
Viviane Araújo 9 of 15 60% 7 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 5 of 6
3 Amanda Ribas 24 of 59 40% 21 of 56 1 of 1 2 of 2 24 of 59 0 of 0 0 of 0
Viviane Araújo 58 of 97 59% 44 of 78 6 of 11 8 of 8 58 of 97 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her faster striking and better cardio. He notes that Viviane Araújo is more dangerous early but fades as the fight goes on. Angelo believes Ribas can point her way to a decision if she stays on the outside and works her striking.

"Amanda he boss is going to win this fight um I think the odds are probably probably good"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo but is hesitant due to her cardio issues. He notes she has 90% takedown defense and is the better striker, but she tends to slow down after the first round. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Araújo, acknowledging Ribas may take the third round.

"I will take Vivian every yujo to win this fight by 28 29-28 decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Cody picks Araújo, believing her takedown defense and striking will be enough to keep the fight standing and win rounds. He notes her cardio issues but thinks she can win two of three rounds. He sees value at plus money.

"I'm gonna go with Viviana ruizio actually it's basically a pick em type fight"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Connor picks Viviane Araújo, believing her improved striking and range management will allow her to outwork Ribas. He notes that Ribas's striking is technically poor and she relies on aggression and transitions, but Araújo's takedown defense is solid and she is a better athlete. Connor thinks Ribas will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet.

"I guess I I like I like Viviana here."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Jacob picks Amanda Ribas but is scared, noting that Araújo is dangerous early and hits hard. He believes Ribas can take over in the second and third rounds as Araújo's cardio fades. Jacob does not have a straight bet on Ribas due to the risk.

"I'm picking Amanda but honestly I'm scared out of my mind"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Araújo is a solid striker with good power and leg kicks. Ribas has average striking and gets flustered against better strikers. Araújo's takedown defense should hold up, keeping the fight standing where she has the advantage, and she wins a decision.

"I think her more effective striking style is going to allow her to distance herself from he boss here... I think that we'll see Russo just beat her to the punch over and over again battering her on route to …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Paul picks Ribas, citing her youth and takedown ability. He thinks she can get takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges it's a close fight and won't bet it, but for picks he goes with Ribas.

"I'll be picking hibis but uh but yeah not not one that I feel like I can really attack"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 27, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas, citing her youth and potential versus Araújo's age. He believes Ribas has a submission advantage and a better chin, predicting a close 29-28 decision.

"I'm gonna go with Amanda Ribas over Vivian arawaho... I think she gets this one done by again a close 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Viviane Araújo

Zane also picks Araújo, agreeing that her improved striking and ability to stay at range will be key. He notes that Ribas's best wins are against lower-level competition and that her grappling success may not translate against Araújo's strong takedown defense. Zane adds that Araújo is more accurate and self-contained, and Ribas's aggressive style will leave her open to counters.

"I think I got a pic vivier Aja."
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · May 14, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Katlyn Cerminara 0 63 of 222 28% 71 of 230 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:06
Amanda Ribas 0 55 of 169 32% 84 of 204 3 of 6 50% 0 0 4:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Katlyn Cerminara 0 20 of 62 32% 25 of 67 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Amanda Ribas 0 7 of 34 20% 15 of 45 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:30
2 Katlyn Cerminara 0 24 of 61 39% 27 of 64 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Amanda Ribas 0 15 of 46 32% 28 of 62 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:01
3 Katlyn Cerminara 0 19 of 99 19% 19 of 99 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Amanda Ribas 0 33 of 89 37% 41 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:18
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Katlyn Cerminara 63 of 222 28% 42 of 175 20 of 44 1 of 3 56 of 210 7 of 12 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 55 of 169 32% 28 of 124 8 of 23 19 of 22 49 of 156 3 of 7 3 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Katlyn Cerminara 20 of 62 32% 13 of 46 7 of 15 0 of 1 17 of 59 3 of 3 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 7 of 34 20% 5 of 28 1 of 4 1 of 2 4 of 29 1 of 2 2 of 3
2 Katlyn Cerminara 24 of 61 39% 17 of 48 6 of 12 1 of 1 23 of 57 1 of 4 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 15 of 46 32% 7 of 34 2 of 5 6 of 7 13 of 41 1 of 2 1 of 3
3 Katlyn Cerminara 19 of 99 19% 12 of 81 7 of 17 0 of 1 16 of 94 3 of 5 0 of 0
Amanda Ribas 33 of 89 37% 16 of 62 5 of 14 12 of 13 32 of 86 1 of 3 0 of 0
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Cody picks Chookagian, agreeing she is a rightful favorite. He notes Ribas has been matched softly and showed limitations against Marina Rodriguez. He thinks Chookagian will out-volume Ribas on the outside, stuff takedowns, and win a decision. He mentions Chookagian's grappling has improved.

"i think it's probably decision i think it's probably just going to be one of these try to keep ahead on the punch stats and stay to the outside type fights but caitlyn jake again rightful favorite and i uh …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 11, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Katlyn Cerminara

Paul is very confident in Chookagian by decision, calling it one of his first bets. He notes she out-volumes everyone, only gets finished by elite fighters, and Ribas's wrestling isn't good enough. He says 95% of her win probability is tied to a decision, and the decision prop at +120 is great value.

Chookagian by decision +120
"don't overthink this fight you just take shook by decision and be on your way i mean she pretty much out volumes everyone that she takes on she only ever really gets finished by you know the jessica andrades or …"
Paige VanZant - Fight History
LOSS vs Amanda Ribas
Submission (armbar) R1 2:21 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Ribas 0 6 of 7 85% 13 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:08
Paige VanZant 0 3 of 5 60% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Ribas 0 6 of 7 85% 13 of 15 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:08
Paige VanZant 0 3 of 5 60% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Ribas 6 of 7 85% 1 of 1 4 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 3 of 5 60% 1 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Ribas 6 of 7 85% 1 of 1 4 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 3 of 5 60% 1 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 3 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas by second-round submission, stating she wins everywhere – on the feet and on the ground. He notes VanZant may have improved but Ribas is the better fighter overall, and he expects a submission given VanZant's history of being submitted.

submission round 2
"give me a reboss i'm gonna go second round submission ... reebos wins this fight everywhere she wins it on the feet she wins on the ground i am very very high on reeboks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Amanda Ribas, calling it a mismatch. He notes Ribas is a top prospect and will dominate everywhere. He believes Paige VanZant is being fed to Ribas as a highlight-reel win, and expects Ribas to finish via submission or complete domination. He dismisses any chance of an upset.

predicts submission or 30-24/30-25 decision
"I got Amanda Reba's by finishing the spot"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Ribas is better than VanZant in every area: striking, grappling, and jiu-jitsu. VanZant's only chance is to wrestle, but that plays into Ribas's strength. Ribas should dominate and finish, likely by first-round rear-naked choke. Not betting due to heavy favorite odds.

first round rear naked choke
"I'll say first round rear naked choke for Amanda he busts"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The Guru picks Ribas, noting that VanZant tried to outwrestle Ribas and failed. He mentions that the odds on VanZant are juicy but he still puts money on Ribas. He also comments that VanZant has only fought twice in four years and is lucky to have a job.

Mentions VanZant at +550 odds, says 'I put money on bands on anyway because those odds are too juicy to pass up'
"I put money on bands on anyway because those odds are too juicy to pass up"
Submission (armbar) R2 1:50 · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Jan 19, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paige VanZant 0 17 of 27 62% 38 of 56 0 of 1 0% 2 0 4:33
Rachael Ostovich 0 10 of 14 71% 13 of 18 4 of 4 100% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paige VanZant 0 2 of 7 28% 12 of 17 0 of 1 0% 1 0 4:12
Rachael Ostovich 0 6 of 8 75% 9 of 12 3 of 3 100% 0 0 0:06
2 Paige VanZant 0 15 of 20 75% 26 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:21
Rachael Ostovich 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paige VanZant 17 of 27 62% 13 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 3 5 of 13 0 of 0 12 of 14
Rachael Ostovich 10 of 14 71% 7 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 1 8 of 11 0 of 0 2 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paige VanZant 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rachael Ostovich 6 of 8 75% 4 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3
2 Paige VanZant 15 of 20 75% 12 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 6 0 of 0 12 of 14
Rachael Ostovich 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Jan 14, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessica-Rose Clark 0 54 of 118 45% 96 of 162 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:33
Paige VanZant 0 55 of 98 56% 78 of 122 2 of 3 66% 1 1 5:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 7 of 16 43% 21 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Paige VanZant 0 12 of 25 48% 24 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:40
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 19 of 29 65% 47 of 59 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:29
Paige VanZant 0 15 of 22 68% 26 of 34 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:58
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 0 28 of 73 38% 28 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Paige VanZant 0 28 of 51 54% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessica-Rose Clark 54 of 118 45% 29 of 75 18 of 32 7 of 11 40 of 100 2 of 3 12 of 15
Paige VanZant 55 of 98 56% 36 of 71 12 of 19 7 of 8 32 of 67 7 of 11 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessica-Rose Clark 7 of 16 43% 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 12 of 25 48% 9 of 21 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 15 3 of 5 4 of 5
2 Jessica-Rose Clark 19 of 29 65% 15 of 23 3 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 12 of 15
Paige VanZant 15 of 22 68% 10 of 17 4 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 12 of 15
3 Jessica-Rose Clark 28 of 73 38% 9 of 40 13 of 24 6 of 9 27 of 72 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 28 of 51 54% 17 of 33 6 of 12 5 of 6 25 of 46 3 of 5 0 of 0
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:21 · UFC on Fox: VanZant vs. Waterson · Dec 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 5 of 12 41% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Paige VanZant 0 12 of 17 70% 13 of 18 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michelle Waterson-Gomez 0 5 of 12 41% 9 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Paige VanZant 0 12 of 17 70% 13 of 18 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michelle Waterson-Gomez 5 of 12 41% 1 of 6 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 12 of 17 70% 6 of 9 3 of 4 3 of 4 10 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michelle Waterson-Gomez 5 of 12 41% 1 of 6 2 of 3 2 of 3 4 of 11 1 of 1 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 12 of 17 70% 6 of 9 3 of 4 3 of 4 10 of 15 2 of 2 0 of 0
WIN vs Bec Rawlings
KO (jumping switch kick and punches) R2 0:17 · UFC on Fox: Maia vs. Condit · Aug 27, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paige VanZant 1 25 of 63 39% 27 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Bec Rawlings 0 21 of 51 41% 30 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paige VanZant 0 16 of 48 33% 17 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
Bec Rawlings 0 21 of 50 42% 30 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Paige VanZant 1 9 of 15 60% 10 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Bec Rawlings 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paige VanZant 25 of 63 39% 14 of 38 4 of 12 7 of 13 15 of 45 3 of 7 7 of 11
Bec Rawlings 21 of 51 41% 15 of 41 6 of 10 0 of 0 9 of 34 12 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paige VanZant 16 of 48 33% 6 of 26 4 of 11 6 of 11 13 of 41 3 of 7 0 of 0
Bec Rawlings 21 of 50 42% 15 of 40 6 of 10 0 of 0 9 of 33 12 of 17 0 of 0
2 Paige VanZant 9 of 15 60% 8 of 12 0 of 1 1 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 11
Bec Rawlings 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Rose Namajunas
Submission (rear-naked choke) R5 2:25 · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · Dec 10, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rose Namajunas 0 57 of 100 57% 104 of 158 8 of 10 80% 4 0 16:40
Paige VanZant 0 10 of 50 20% 53 of 97 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rose Namajunas 0 20 of 40 50% 28 of 53 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:09
Paige VanZant 0 2 of 14 14% 13 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Rose Namajunas 0 10 of 18 55% 20 of 28 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:37
Paige VanZant 0 1 of 5 20% 11 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Rose Namajunas 0 17 of 30 56% 28 of 45 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:19
Paige VanZant 0 3 of 21 14% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
4 Rose Namajunas 0 7 of 7 100% 23 of 23 2 of 2 100% 2 0 4:24
Paige VanZant 0 1 of 3 33% 8 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
5 Rose Namajunas 0 3 of 5 60% 5 of 9 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:11
Paige VanZant 0 3 of 7 42% 7 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rose Namajunas 57 of 100 57% 43 of 82 12 of 16 2 of 2 27 of 53 9 of 13 21 of 34
Paige VanZant 10 of 50 20% 2 of 30 4 of 15 4 of 5 8 of 46 2 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rose Namajunas 20 of 40 50% 16 of 35 4 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 21 4 of 5 7 of 14
Paige VanZant 2 of 14 14% 0 of 8 0 of 3 2 of 3 2 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rose Namajunas 10 of 18 55% 7 of 13 2 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 6 3 of 6 3 of 6
Paige VanZant 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Rose Namajunas 17 of 30 56% 13 of 25 3 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 19 1 of 1 7 of 10
Paige VanZant 3 of 21 14% 0 of 13 2 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 19 2 of 2 0 of 0
4 Rose Namajunas 7 of 7 100% 4 of 4 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 4
Paige VanZant 1 of 3 33% 1 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Rose Namajunas 3 of 5 60% 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Paige VanZant 3 of 7 42% 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Alex Chambers
Submission (armbar) R3 1:01 · UFC 191: Johnson vs. Dodson 2 · Sep 05, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paige VanZant 0 73 of 130 56% 165 of 248 3 of 7 42% 1 0 7:12
Alex Chambers 0 30 of 47 63% 66 of 88 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:29
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paige VanZant 0 27 of 59 45% 65 of 107 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Alex Chambers 0 17 of 27 62% 40 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:10
2 Paige VanZant 0 38 of 59 64% 84 of 118 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:37
Alex Chambers 0 10 of 17 58% 23 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
3 Paige VanZant 0 8 of 12 66% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:49
Alex Chambers 0 3 of 3 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paige VanZant 73 of 130 56% 37 of 78 32 of 43 4 of 9 19 of 52 47 of 71 7 of 7
Alex Chambers 30 of 47 63% 23 of 36 3 of 7 4 of 4 16 of 26 14 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paige VanZant 27 of 59 45% 13 of 34 12 of 19 2 of 6 4 of 22 22 of 36 1 of 1
Alex Chambers 17 of 27 62% 14 of 22 1 of 3 2 of 2 8 of 13 9 of 14 0 of 0
2 Paige VanZant 38 of 59 64% 18 of 34 19 of 23 1 of 2 13 of 24 24 of 34 1 of 1
Alex Chambers 10 of 17 58% 7 of 12 1 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 10 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Paige VanZant 8 of 12 66% 6 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 5
Alex Chambers 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Felice Herrig
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Machida vs. Rockhold · Apr 18, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paige VanZant 0 28 of 47 59% 44 of 67 0 of 4 0% 1 1 2:43
Felice Herrig 0 67 of 92 72% 199 of 241 2 of 5 40% 0 2 10:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paige VanZant 0 16 of 24 66% 21 of 31 0 of 2 0% 1 0 1:42
Felice Herrig 0 21 of 29 72% 45 of 53 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:24
2 Paige VanZant 0 11 of 18 61% 17 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:42
Felice Herrig 0 16 of 28 57% 60 of 74 0 of 1 0% 0 1 3:43
3 Paige VanZant 0 1 of 5 20% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:19
Felice Herrig 0 30 of 35 85% 94 of 114 1 of 2 50% 0 1 4:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paige VanZant 28 of 47 59% 12 of 24 14 of 20 2 of 3 8 of 20 18 of 24 2 of 3
Felice Herrig 67 of 92 72% 45 of 67 14 of 17 8 of 8 8 of 15 22 of 27 37 of 50
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paige VanZant 16 of 24 66% 7 of 12 8 of 11 1 of 1 4 of 9 10 of 13 2 of 2
Felice Herrig 21 of 29 72% 11 of 19 7 of 7 3 of 3 4 of 8 11 of 12 6 of 9
2 Paige VanZant 11 of 18 61% 5 of 9 5 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 7 7 of 10 0 of 1
Felice Herrig 16 of 28 57% 9 of 18 4 of 7 3 of 3 2 of 5 8 of 11 6 of 12
3 Paige VanZant 1 of 5 20% 0 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0
Felice Herrig 30 of 35 85% 25 of 30 3 of 3 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 4 25 of 29
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Big Brady picks Amanda Ribas by second-round submission, stating she wins everywhere – on the feet and on the ground. He notes VanZant may have improved but Ribas is the better fighter overall, and he expects a submission given VanZant's history of being submitted.

submission round 2
"give me a reboss i'm gonna go second round submission ... reebos wins this fight everywhere she wins it on the feet she wins on the ground i am very very high on reeboks"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Daniel Levi is extremely confident in Amanda Ribas, calling it a mismatch. He notes Ribas is a top prospect and will dominate everywhere. He believes Paige VanZant is being fed to Ribas as a highlight-reel win, and expects Ribas to finish via submission or complete domination. He dismisses any chance of an upset.

predicts submission or 30-24/30-25 decision
"I got Amanda Reba's by finishing the spot"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

Ribas is better than VanZant in every area: striking, grappling, and jiu-jitsu. VanZant's only chance is to wrestle, but that plays into Ribas's strength. Ribas should dominate and finish, likely by first-round rear-naked choke. Not betting due to heavy favorite odds.

first round rear naked choke
"I'll say first round rear naked choke for Amanda he busts"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Amanda Ribas

The Guru picks Ribas, noting that VanZant tried to outwrestle Ribas and failed. He mentions that the odds on VanZant are juicy but he still puts money on Ribas. He also comments that VanZant has only fought twice in four years and is lucky to have a job.

Mentions VanZant at +550 odds, says 'I put money on bands on anyway because those odds are too juicy to pass up'
"I put money on bands on anyway because those odds are too juicy to pass up"